Shows / Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Helping retail investors grow wealth through long-term, buy-and-hold investing in stocks, index funds, and Bitcoin. Subscribe to the Rigatoni Capital Substack newsletter for weekly analysis, market insights, and portfolio updates.
Episodes
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Bill Ackman Just Bought a Rigatoni Capital Stock: NFLX
Bill Ackman's Pershing Square opened six new positions, and one of them is Netflix, a stock I already own and that I have talked about being on a roughly 50%…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
CPI Wednesday: Our Lives Didn't Depend On It
July CPI came in at 3.4% year over year, roughly in line, and market odds for a September rate hike fell to around 34%. As always, this is not a news show, and…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Nvidia's $500 Billion Deal and the Circular Funding Debate
The big story is Nvidia and Wall Street firms like Blackstone, BlackRock, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR striking an AI financing deal targeting $500…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Berkshire's Operating Profit Is the Real Read on the Economy
The big Monday headline is Berkshire Hathaway reporting earnings and being a net buyer of stocks, with oil green and the market still climbing a wall of worry…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The Jobs Report Was Just an Excuse for Stocks to Rip Higher
Stocks jumped, especially tech, on a weak jobs report showing a loss of 23,000 jobs, which markets read as the Fed being less likely to raise. My take is this…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Weak Guides Get Punished: AppLovin, Datadog, SanDisk
Earnings were ugly with AppLovin down as much as 27%, Datadog off 15%, and SanDisk down 11%, as weak guides got punished across growth software even when year…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
TQQQ Inflation Adjusted Returns From 2011 Are Ridiculous
Amazon continues higher even after Jeff Bezos sold $4 billion in stock, gold and silver are catching a bid off their 50-day, and Nvidia got a leg up to $219…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Palantir's Perfect Quarter, and Caterpillar's Backlog Explodes
Palantir delivered an A++ quarter, with revenue up 93% to $1.94 billion, US commercial up 159%, a Rule of 40 at 155, and guidance raised over $8 billion for…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Quality over Cheap: What CompoundingAlpha sees in Axon, Palantir, Toast, and FTAI Aviation
Thank you Nick Ridenour of Nick | CompoundingAlpha on Substack for joining me this evening to review a number of popular names in markets today, including Axon…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Stop Trying to Be the Next Michael Burry
Futures are green after Trump backed off the Iran attack over the weekend, another TACO, with WTI and Brent lower as Iran dismisses his talk plans. Amazon…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
AWS on Track for a Trillion, and the Situational Awareness Blowup
Big tech and the semis are continuing Thursday's huge bounce, which some call a dead cat and others the next leg up. Microsoft was the turning point, noting…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Why I Bought the Dip
Futures are green pre-market on strong Microsoft earnings and a big Lam Research report guiding $8.1 billion for next quarter, with the stock up around 11%…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
In Search of the Next Unsexy Compounder
Markets are a mess pre-market with the Fed announcing today, a US surprise attack in Jordan by Iran sending oil spiking, SK Hynix's weak headline number, and…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The Semiconductor Selloff Was a Leverage Story | Marc Rudajev
Welcome back Marc Rudajev of Learning.Investing.Thriving to the podcast. We got into the semiconductor selloff, mark to market earnings, sector rotation…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Is China Purposely Commoditizing AI Models?
Markets are green pre-market on a reversal Monday, with oil dropping after a weekend of war headlines where the US and Iran held off on attacking each other…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Silver Miners at Decade-Low Valuations and the Hyperscaler Margin Question | Bagholder
Welcome back Kevin aka Bagholder to the podcast. We had a lot to catch up on and I think you will all get a lot of enjoyment and knowledge from Kevin's…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The Wartime Economy Shows Up in the Backlogs
Markets are rebounding slightly with Intel bouncing after earnings and Brent Crude back under $100, but this is the dog days of summer and I do not expect a…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Industrials Week and Why Google Is No Longer the Cool Kid
Markets are selling off pre-market after Yemen declared a naval blockade targeting Saudi shipping and struck two tankers in the Red Sea, with oil spiking and…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Stop Being All Tech: Why Your Watchlist Needs Financials and Industrials
Trump is reportedly considering banning Chinese open weight AI models in the US, and my take is that the argument it is unsafe to run CCP open weight is fake…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The AI Bubble Is in the Model Layer, Not the Infrastructure
I get into Kimi K3 from Moonshot, another so called DeepSeek moment, and why I think open weights are good for the hyperscalers and AI infrastructure. I…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Kimi K3 Spooks Tech, But This Could Actually Be Bullish for the Hyperscalers
Tech got spooked by the Kimi's new K3 headline, the open source Chinese model out of Moonshot that is benchmarking competitive with the frontier labs, and it…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
BlackRock Blows Out Earnings and Larry Fink Pushes Back on the CapEx Bears
BlackRock reported a blowout quarter with record revenue and record assets under management above $15 trillion. I own BlackRock directly and I am up 75% on the…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
BlackRock and Bank Earnings Matter Most Today for Long Term Investors
I rolled out of bed this morning and my phone was full of distractions. The Warren Buffett and Bill Gates Foundation drama, the Stripe deal with PayPal and…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
June CPI Comes In Low, Bank Earnings Kick Off, and IBM Drags Down Software
June CPI came in surprisingly low this morning, with the month over month down 0.4% and year over year at 3.5%, a nice cooldown from the US-Iran war energy…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Citadel's Ken Griffin Says Long Term Investors Will Have the Advantage Going Forward
Ken Griffin was interviewed last week and made a point that lines up with everything I talk about here: as alternative data and AI make each quarter more…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Why 2028 Free Cash Flow is the Only Hyperscaler Story That Matters
The biggest news yesterday was Meta unveiling its first paid AI model, Muse Spark 1.1, an agentic coding platform that puts them in direct competition with…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Tech Bounces Back: Is this a Rotation or Just Consolidation?
Tech and semiconductors bounced this morning, which has everyone asking whether the great rotation is real. Caitlin McCabe at the Wall Street Journal is…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Sell the Chips, Buy the Hyperscalers: Is Morgan Stanley's Rotation Call Real?
Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson is telling clients to get out of chip stocks and rotate into the hyperscalers. This morning I walk through whether this rotation…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Software Job Cuts, Funky Earnings, and Why I'm Not Trimming Caterpillar
We are heading into the dog days of summer with the World Cup on and earnings still a few weeks out. I talk about why the current SaaS software selloff reminds…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Buy in June and Go Away
Micron reported last night and the stock is swinging hard, which is exactly the kind of summer volatility that gets friends and family texting me asking what…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Own What the Chips Produce, Not Where They Reside: Jim Chanos on the AI Trade
Jim Chanos was on the Monetary Matters podcast this weekend. He is net long AI through the index and short what he calls the financialized middle layer, the…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Kevin Warsh Said a Whole Lot of Nothing: Markets Have Knee-Jerk Reaction
Note: My screen was not sharing during today's recording. Apologies to everyone watching on YouTube. Kevin Warsh held his first press conference as Federal…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Watching SpaceX from the QQQ Sidelines
SpaceX options are open to trade for the first time today and retail is going crazy. I am watching from the sidelines and I am completely comfortable with…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Cleaning Up My Portfolio: Why QQQ is Now Bigger Than Nvidia
I added a significant chunk to my Invesco QQQ position during last Tuesday's flush down at $687 a share, and the Nasdaq 100 is now my largest holding for the…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
How Long Term Investors Create Their Own Luck Like Brunson and the Knicks
The Knicks pulled off the biggest comeback in NBA Finals history last night, down 29 points, and I could not help but draw the parallel to long term investing…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Why Buying the Dip Always Works
I was out for a couple of days but I am back and I bought the dip while I was gone. I added to my QQQ position at around $687 a share, which happened to catch…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Emergency Podcast: I Bought Broadcom Stock
The Nasdaq had one of its worst weeks in over a year, semiconductors sold off hard, and I came on over the weekend to tell you exactly what I did and why. On…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The Markets That Beat America Last Year | Marc Rudajev
Marc Rudajev of the Learning.Investing.Thriving newsletter on Substack is back on the Rigatoni Capital Podcast for round two. This time we cover three big…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Broadcom and CrowdStrike Sell Off After Earnings: Is a Financial Stocks Rotation Next?
Broadcom is down 14% after earnings despite reporting 48% year over year revenue growth and guiding for 84% growth next quarter. CrowdStrike dropped 10% on a…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Oil Back at $97, Palo Alto Beats, and Are Boring Stocks the Next Trade?
Oil is back near $97 a barrel as US-Iran tensions flare up again. Palo Alto reported last night and beat on revenue with 31% year over year growth, though a…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Is Google's $80 Billion Equity Raise a Sign of Strength or Desperation?
Alphabet announced last night it is raising $80 billion in equity to fund its AI CapEx buildout. That includes a $40 billion at the market offering, $30…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Why I Added This Biotech Stock to My Watchlist
I spent the weekend researching Eli Lilly and wrote a post on Substack about why I added it to my watchlist. I am not a biotech expert, I cannot read a phase…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Snowflake Sparks a Software Rally and What I Learned from Dan Loeb This Week
Snowflake reported an extraordinary quarter and the software sector is responding. Palantir was up 10% yesterday, AppLovin crossed $600 a share, Dell surged…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Finding the Next Bottleneck: Why I Still Prefer the Nasdaq 100
Markets are catching a breather after the unbelievable run in semiconductors. This morning I talk about the people on social media getting filthy rich finding…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Micron and SK Hynix Join the $1 Trillion Club: Investors Are Getting Filthy Rich
Micron Technology just became the fastest company in history to go from a $500 billion to a $1 trillion market cap, doing it in roughly 48 days. SK Hynix is…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Why I Choose Palantir, AppLovin, and Bitcoin Over the AI Disruption Noise
South Korea's KOSPI has rallied about 80% this year and Taiwan is up about 40%, both markets transformed by AI driven semiconductor demand. Samsung, SK Hynix…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Nvidia Earnings Memorial Day Weekend Special
Nvidia just reported record revenue of $81.6 billion for the quarter, up 85% from a year ago, with Data Center revenue hitting a record $75.2 billion, up 92%…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The SpaceX IPO Is Coming at an Extremely Stretched Valuation | Bagholder
Kevin, aka Bagholder, is back on the Rigatoni Capital Podcast for another great conversation. This week we focus on the SpaceX IPO set for June 12th at a…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
CAVA Earnings and Why Fast Casual Restaurants Are the Best Stocks to Learn Investing
CAVA reported last night and the numbers were strong. Revenue grew 32.2% year over year to $438 million, beating estimates, same restaurant sales up 9.7%…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Nvidia Earnings Week and Why I'm Not Worried About the Semiconductor Pullback
Semiconductors are pulling back and the dopamine hits from watching the SMH go vertical are slowing down. This morning I talk about why this is completely…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The SpaceX IPO Could Be Your Next Buy the Dip Opportunity
It is Merger Monday in the utility sector. NextEra Energy just announced a $66.8 billion all-stock deal to acquire Dominion Energy, the largest power sector…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Super Investors Are Finding Value in Software Stocks: Live from the Great Outdoors
The Q1 2026 13F filings keep trickling in and a clear theme is emerging. Super investors are quietly picking at software stocks that have been beaten up by AI…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The Trade That Turned $50K Into $1 Million in 13 Months
If you had invested $50,000 in SOXL around Liberation Day lows of around $9 per share just 13 months ago, your position would be worth over $1 million today…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
PPI Comes in Hot and CNBC Goes Into Overdrive: Don't Take the Bait
April PPI just dropped this morning and it is hotter than expected across the board. Final demand rose 1.4% month over month, the largest monthly gain since…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The Best ETFs to Own Semiconductors Long Term
Semiconductors are pulling back this morning and I could not be happier about it. After a 17-day historic winning streak and a 40% gain in the Philadelphia…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
We Will Never Forget This Nasdaq and Semiconductor Moment in History
We are witnessing something that has never happened before in the history of the semiconductor index. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index went up 17…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
We More Than Survived Software Earnings Week
Software earnings week is officially in the books and long term investors who held through the volatility should be feeling good right now. AI is not…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
AI Software Disruption Fears Are Overblown: Enough is Enough
I am calling it this morning. The AI disruption fear narrative is over. Software earnings have been nothing short of extraordinary this season. AppLovin just…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
The Picks and Shovels Play for Every Boeing and Airbus Cycle
TransDigm just reported another strong quarter, with revenue up 18.3% year over year to $2.54 billion, EBITDA margins holding at 52.6%, and full year guidance…
- Rigatoni Capital Podcast
Michael Burry is Wrong: I'm Siding With Palantir and Shyam Sankar
Palantir reported last night and the numbers were historic. Revenue grew 85% year over year to $1.63 billion, beating expectations of $1.54 billion. US revenue…