Shows / UBS On-Air: House View
UBS On-Air: House View
House View brings you daily, weekly, and monthly content covering our multi-asset views on economic trends and financial markets from the UBS Chief Investment Office
Episodes
UBS On-Air: House ViewHouse View Daily | Hotter US inflation keeps the Fed on course to hike
US core inflation rose 0.3% in October, with short-term momentum accelerating and price pressures evident across tariff- and AI-sensitive goods. The report was…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Dip buying lifts US stocks after tech sell-off
Stocks have rallied over the past 24 hours as investors bought technology shares following last week’s sharp sell-off, while lower oil prices eased inflation…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Using structures to stay invested in stocks while limiting risk of loss
Asian technology stocks have rebounded after last week’s sharp AI-linked sell-off, but the recovery may also offer investors an opportunity to reduce…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Chip rout tests AI investment case
US stocks fell sharply on Thursday, led by semiconductor and AI infrastructure companies, as investors reassessed the implications of the election for data…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Gridlock and diplomatic hopes lift US stocks
The S&P 500 rallied on Wednesday as markets digested the Democratic sweep of Congress in the US. The prospect of gridlock reduced the likelihood of radical…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | US midterms: Blue wave ushers in gridlock
Democratic control of Congress may raise political noise and fiscal uncertainty, but investors should avoid repositioning portfolios around the election result…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | US midterms put Congress in play
The composition of Congress may shape the policy debate, but investors should stay anchored to the fundamental forces driving markets.
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Tech sell-off highlights rising scrutiny of AI spending
The US stock market fell sharply on Friday as investors scrutinized potential returns on the AI investment cycle. While the 3Q earnings season is demonstrating…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Build resilience as tech volatility rises
Concerns about AI capital spending and renewed geopolitical risks have weighed on equities. But resilient economic growth, robust demand for AI infrastructure…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | AI delivers despite volatility
Accelerating cloud revenue and continued investment indicate that AI demand remains robust. We believe AI remains a key market growth engine, though investors…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Measured Fed tightening should not derail markets
The Fed is likely to tighten policy further in the coming months despite an expected hold today. But we think market pricing remains too hawkish. Investors…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Diversify beyond the AI rally
The latest tech-led advance reflects continued confidence in AI demand, but high expectations and company-specific risks strengthen the case for looking beyond…
- UBS On-Air: House View
Jumpstart | Your guide to the week ahead
This week we take a look at whether the Fed will remain patient as energy costs sustain inflation risks. If earnings can support further equity gains beyond…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Build resilience as oil prices climb
Continued attacks in the Middle East have pushed Brent crude above USD 111/bbl, adding to concerns over energy supplies and inflation. But the global energy…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Strengthen portfolio defenses as volatility rises
Questions around AI profitability, elevated rates, and geopolitical tensions may keep markets volatile through the earnings season. Yet we remain constructive…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Tech earnings face the returns test
US mega-cap technology companies' earnings should provide fresh evidence of the strength of cloud growth, digital advertising, and AI adoption. Investors will…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | AI fundamentals remain robust despite market volatility
Funding pressures are testing the growth model of specialized cloud infrastructure providers, but demand for AI compute remains robust. Resilient semiconductor…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Quality bonds for income and diversification
While bond market volatility may persist, elevated yields and the potential for less Fed tightening than markets expect strengthen the outlook for fixed…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Higher inflation need not derail US assets
US inflation accelerated more than expected in September, increasing expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes. But we do not expect a measured…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Semis stumble. Time to reboot expectations?
A sharp sell-off in semiconductor stocks has reignited questions about the durability of the AI trade. But with earnings expectations still strong, cloud…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Strong 3Q earnings can send US equities higher
Higher energy prices and geopolitical risks may fuel near-term volatility, but AI demand, a healthy cyclical economy, and resilient consumer spending should…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Commodity fundamentals speak for further upside
Geopolitical and macro uncertainties are driving near-term commodity volatility, but tight supply and durable demand remain supportive of the outlook. We see…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | AI demand remains robust despite market jitters
Recent adoption, semiconductor revenue, and cloud-growth data continue to point to healthy AI demand. While volatility may persist as the trade matures…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Stay invested near record highs
US stocks eased from record highs as elevated Treasury yields, rising oil prices, and renewed geopolitical risks weighed on sentiment. But waiting for these…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | US equities can gain further after record highs
The S&P 500 reached a record high despite ongoing market risks. We think AI investment, broadening earnings growth, and a resilient US economy should support…
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House View Daily | Broaden equity exposure as market leadership narrows
The Nasdaq reached a record high despite elevated Treasury yields, but the rally remains concentrated in a narrow group of large technology companies…
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House View Daily | Building resilience to navigate market risks
Lower oil prices and softer US jobs data have reduced immediate concerns about further Federal Reserve tightening, but geopolitical risks and elevated bond…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Treasuries face a challenging reset
The sell-off in US Treasuries reflects growing concern that inflation and policy rates could remain elevated. While further disinflation, easing energy…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Resilient growth should underpin equity gains
Long-dated Treasury yields have risen to multi-decade highs. But resilient growth, robust earnings, and accelerating AI adoption should help equities absorb…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Why higher rates can favor hedge funds
Higher interest rates can be a headwind for many investments, but they can also create a more favorable environment for hedge funds. A higher cost of capital…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | AI infrastructure: Strong demand does not remove execution risks
Potential delays at a major US data center have intensified scrutiny of AI infrastructure financing. We don’t see this as a risk to compute demand itself, but…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Higher yields need not derail markets
Strong US activity, higher oil prices, and a weak Treasury auction pushed the 10-year yield above 5.1% and weighed on equities. But we expect less Fed…
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House View Daily | Build resilience through portfolio diversification
Oil prices fell on signs of progress in US-Iran talks, but geopolitical and market risks remain. We expect equities to rise further, although periods of…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Consumer agents may power the next phase of the AI trade
The rapid early adoption of Meta’s Muse highlights the potential for consumer AI agents to expand monetization channels. We see rising adoption supporting…
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House View | Jumpstart
Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead. Today we ask the following three questions: 1. Can equities…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | The case for investing amid rising rates
While elevated oil prices and renewed monetary tightening are testing investor confidence, cash alone is unlikely to deliver the long-term returns needed to…
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House View Daily | How to position in fixed income as Fed hikes rates
The Fed’s hawkish rate hike has led markets to price in more tightening. We believe this repricing creates opportunities in fixed income, but investors should…
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House View Daily | What matters from today’s Fed decision?
Wednesday may see the Fed kick off a new tightening cycle in the US. For portfolios, the key questions concern earnings resilience, market pricing, and…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Frontier 'pacing' calls may not spell an end to AI capex cycle
Stronger safeguards need not derail the AI rally. We still favor diversified exposure across the AI value chain.
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View | Jumpstart
Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead. Today we ask the following three questions: 1. Will the Fed signal…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Equities should withstand higher yields
Rising oil prices and Treasury yields are testing investor confidence, but equities have remained resilient. We believe solid economic growth, robust earnings…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Brent tops 100: A milestone, not a turning point
Brent crude rose above USD 100/bbl on Wednesday as geopolitical tensions and tightening physical supplies support prices. But we believe strong earnings…
UBS On-Air: House ViewHouse View Daily | Look beyond rates to gold’s long-term support
Gold may face near-term pressure from higher interest rates and a stronger US dollar, but we believe its long-term investment case remains intact. Robust…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View | Jumpstart
Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead. Today we ask the following three questions: 1. Will inflation…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | What a more hawkish Fed means for investors
Economic growth has stayed resilient, earnings are strong, and AI-related investment continues to support activity. Against that backdrop, the possibility of…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Look beyond tech as AI strength persists
Broadcom’s stronger AI-chip outlook has reinforced confidence that demand for AI infrastructure remains robust. But elevated government bond yields…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Higher yields put currency fundamentals to the test
Rising oil prices and shifting central bank expectations have pushed global yields higher, but currency markets are responding selectively. We favor carry…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Bond opportunities remain despite volatility
Renewed conflict in the Middle East and elevated oil prices have intensified pressure on global bond markets. We expect volatility to persist, but see scope…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View | Jumpstart
Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Markets look to Jackson Hole
Investors are looking to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech for clues on the path of interest rates. But sticky inflation, geopolitical risks, and…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Bond markets are repricing more than inflation
This week's pullback in longer-term interest rates looks more like a pause than a reset. Behind the move sits a deeper shift in how investors price growth…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | AI fundamentals remain intact despite tech volatility
As investors look to NVIDIA’s earnings later today, we see supportive AI fundamentals across demand, monetization, and earnings trends. We continue to favor a…
UBS On-Air: House ViewCIO Live Global | Still room to run?
Markets have continued to climb higher, supported by strong corporate earnings, robust AI-related investment, and expectations that inflation can ease…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Diversify beyond the US dollar
Renewed concerns about US government finances are adding pressure to the dollar. Gold, broad commodities, and select global currencies can help investors…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View | Jumpstart
Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Treasury pressure: The implications across markets
As long-term yields remain elevated, market adjustments may increasingly occur through currencies and commodities rather than bonds alone. A weaker US dollar…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | The Treasury’s rare intervention buys time, not a solution
Markets have welcomed signs that US policymakers are willing to respond when bond volatility rises too far, too fast. But we think lasting stability in bond…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Higher yields are testing the equity thesis, not breaking it
Global equities have remained under pressure amid concerns over higher bond yields, rising oil prices, and the outlook for AI capital spending. But we believe…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Higher long-end yields do not undermine quality bonds
The recent rise in long-term yields reflects new bond supply and persistent concerns over inflation and deficits. We do not think this undermines the case for…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Stocks should stay supported despite a potential pickup in volatility
Implied volatility may not stay low for long, but resilient economic data, strong corporate earnings, and the prospect of a steady Fed should continue to…