Shows / UBS On-Air: House View
UBS On-Air: House View
House View brings you daily, weekly, and monthly content covering our multi-asset views on economic trends and financial markets from the UBS Chief Investment Office
Episodes
UBS On-Air: House ViewHouse View Daily | Look globally to diversify stock exposure
Cooling US inflation has helped global stocks reach new highs, but concentration risks remain elevated. We see opportunities to diversify across Europe, Japan…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Quality bonds should find support from cooling inflation
Higher oil prices have tempered investor sentiment ahead of July’s CPI report. We expect core inflation to trend lower in the coming months, allowing the Fed…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Robust demand remains key to AI trade despite financing concerns
NVIDIA’s financing push has raised fresh questions about circularity in the AI trade, but strong cloud demand and rising advance orders continue to support our…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View | Jumpstart
Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Fed inflation concerns put US data in focus
Renewed uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has pushed oil prices and bond yields higher, reviving concerns that the Federal Reserve may…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Gold’s rally has support
Gold has risen to its highest level in seven weeks, and we think the medium- to longer-term case for holding the metal remains supported by lower real rates, a…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Strong earnings and easing geopolitical risks lift S&P 500 to record high
Recovering sentiment toward the AI trade, strong earnings results, and signs of diplomatic progress in the US-Iran conflict pushed equities higher on Tuesday…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | AI opportunities beyond tech
The AI story is evolving beyond a narrow tech trade. We see opportunities across the broader value chain, from power to chips to health care.
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Earnings strength, disinflation support a constructive outlook
July brought a sharp reminder that geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, and crowded trades can still unsettle markets. Even so, stronger earnings…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Constructive fundamentals support further US equity upside
AI investment and monetization, resilient US growth, and a patient Fed should help keep the US equity rally on track. We believe investors should remain…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Tech earnings point to a broader AI trade
The latest hyperscaler earnings point to strong capital expenditures in the near term and encouraging monetization trends. But pressure on cash flows could…
UBS On-Air: House ViewCIO Live Special | Strait to the point
After months of geopolitical uncertainty and heightened market volatility, markets have been quick to respond to both signs of de-escalation and fresh sources…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Fed policy in focus
While the Fed is likely to hold rates steady today, investors should watch for longer-term changes to how it communicates policy and manages its balance sheet…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Ensure portfolio resilience to navigate uncertainty
Markets are facing renewed pressure from geopolitical escalation, higher oil prices, rising bond yields, and questions over AI investment returns. Investors…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Semis sell-off highlights broader equity opportunities
While we remain constructive on semiconductors amid solid AI demand, recent market performance highlights the case for broader equity exposure. Strong earnings…
- UBS On-Air: House View
CIO Live Global | Testing the rally
With equity markets near record highs, attention is turning to whether corporate earnings can continue to justify market valuations. As the AI investment cycle…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Add quality bonds as yields should fall
US Treasury yields have risen as renewed Middle East tensions and higher oil prices have revived inflation concerns, but we expect yields to move lower over…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Big tech earnings to test the AI trade
Earnings from hyperscalers will be a key test for the AI trade as investors look for greater clarity on capex, revenue durability, and margin resilience. While…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Stocks have room to move up despite risks
Hostilities in the Middle East are weighing on investor sentiment already weakened by the sell-off in chipmakers over the past week. But we maintain the view…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Broad global earnings strength should support equities
Global stocks came under pressure this week amid a selloff in chipmakers and escalating tensions in the Middle East. We think strong earnings growth should…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Understanding semis volatility
South Korea's equity benchmark has fallen more than 25% since its all-time high in June amid regulatory concerns and investor worries over the durability of…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Strong earnings should drive US equities higher
We expect second-quarter earnings to deliver another strong set of results, with all sectors likely to report an increase in profits. Our forecast of 28%…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Inflation data and Warsh in focus as yields rise
Markets are on edge as renewed US-Iran tensions pushed oil prices and Treasury yields higher. Investors will now look to June CPI data and Fed Chair Kevin…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | US-Iran tensions reinforce the case for portfolio resilience
Continued US-Iran tensions are testing markets, but there are ways investors can consider helping portfolios navigate uncertainty while staying positioned for…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Maintain diversification amid renewed US-Iran tensions
The path toward a lasting peace deal between the US and Iran is proving to be bumpy, with President Trump saying further negotiations with Tehran were a…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Diversify equity exposure as market leadership broadens
As investors assess the next phase of the AI growth story, we believe diversifying equity exposure remains key. We expect the next leg of stock gains to be…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Diversify equity exposure as market leadership broadens
As investors assess the next phase of the AI growth story, we believe diversifying equity exposure remains key. We expect the next leg of stock gains to be…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Navigate AI volatility with diversification and selectivity
We remain constructive on the AI theme, but the market narrative is gradually shifting from strong near-term growth to the durability of spending beyond 2027…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Navigate AI volatility with diversification and selectivity
We remain constructive on the AI theme, but the market narrative is gradually shifting from strong near-term growth to the durability of spending beyond 2027…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Consider broad commodity exposure in portfolios
Despite the recent decline in commodity prices, we believe fundamentals should provide support in the coming months. We also believe broad commodity exposure…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Consider broad commodity exposure in portfolios
Despite the recent decline in commodity prices, we believe fundamentals should provide support in the coming months. We also believe broad commodity exposure…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Warsh’s focus on price stability does not point to rate hikes
Markets are looking to June’s payrolls today for clues on the Fed’s interest rate path after Chair Kevin Warsh offered little indication. We maintain the view…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Warsh’s focus on price stability does not point to rate hikes
Markets are looking to June’s payrolls today for clues on the Fed’s interest rate path after Chair Kevin Warsh offered little indication. We maintain the view…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Stock outlook remains positive after a strong 2Q
Global equities delivered a strong performance in the second quarter, and we think the momentum can continue in the coming months. The next phase of the rally…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Stock outlook remains positive after a strong 2Q
Global equities delivered a strong performance in the second quarter, and we think the momentum can continue in the coming months. The next phase of the rally…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Why the rotation into health care may have room to run
Investors have shifted some capital back into health care amid tech sector volatility, seeking both stability and growth. Recent policy changes around GLP-1s…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Why the rotation into health care may have room to run
Investors have shifted some capital back into health care amid tech sector volatility, seeking both stability and growth. Recent policy changes around GLP-1s…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Monitoring AI risks amid volatility
We continue to like the semiconductor complex of the AI story, but recent market volatility has pointed to certain risks worth monitoring. The key for…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Monitoring AI risks amid volatility
We continue to like the semiconductor complex of the AI story, but recent market volatility has pointed to certain risks worth monitoring. The key for…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Oil’s path is not a one-way Strait
While oil may stay under pressure in the near term, we expect prices to recover over the coming months, as the normalization of traffic through the Strait of…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Oil’s path is not a one-way Strait
While oil may stay under pressure in the near term, we expect prices to recover over the coming months, as the normalization of traffic through the Strait of…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Why gold could stage a rebound
Gold has fallen to its lowest level in nearly eight months, but we think this offers an opportunity for underallocated investors to build strategic exposure…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Why gold could stage a rebound
Gold has fallen to its lowest level in nearly eight months, but we think this offers an opportunity for underallocated investors to build strategic exposure…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Equities can move higher despite tech sell-off
Risk sentiment weakened amid pressure on semiconductor stocks, but we believe the recent correction should be seen in the context of the strong rally in recent…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Equities can move higher despite tech sell-off
Risk sentiment weakened amid pressure on semiconductor stocks, but we believe the recent correction should be seen in the context of the strong rally in recent…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Why we think a Fed hike remains unlikely
We view current market expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in the near term as too aggressive, as inflation should moderate in the coming…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Record equity issuance shouldn't be a headwind for equity markets
The window has swung back open for new IPOs and secondary offerings, with share issuance likely to reach a record high in dollar terms this year. But we do not…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Why we believe equities can still move higher
The AI rally has been one of the defining features of markets in the first half of the year. While we think it can drive further gains, we also believe the…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Warsh era starts on a hawkish note
The FOMC held the policy rate unchanged at 3.5-3.75%, but the combination of higher inflation projections, a hawkish distribution of rate forecasts, and the…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Markets on Warsh watch
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates steady today, but markets will be watching Kevin Warsh's debut press conference as chair and his outlook on…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | What tighter US frontier model rules could mean for the AI trade
An unexpected US intervention shows how quickly AI policy can shift from theory to tangible risk. With this year’s equity rally directly linked to AI demand…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | US-Iran deal raises market optimism
The US and Iran have reached an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with official signing scheduled later this week. Volatility may persist in the near…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Volatility in AI and tech do not derail the investment thesis
Market swings may persist as geopolitics, rates, and funding questions collide, but the underlying buildout driving AI-linked equities remains intact, in our…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Equities fall on tech pressures
US equities and bonds fell in tandem on Friday, as concerns over potential Fed rate hikes, equity issuance by Meta, Broadcom's disappointing AI revenue…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Markets should overcome near-term headwinds
US stocks fell to their lowest level in over a month as a tech-led sell-off deepened, the war in Iran showed little signs of ending, and accelerating inflation…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Renewed tech selling leads markets lower
US stocks fell on Tuesday after an earlier rise on optimism about an imminent US-Iran deal. While the path toward a resolution is likely to be uneven, our base…
- UBS On-Air: House View
House View Daily | Health care offers more than a defensive role in portfolios
Health care has traditionally been viewed as a defensive sector, but investors should not ignore the innovative growth opportunities it offers. Supported by…
UBS On-Air: House ViewWashington Weekly Podcast: Davos takeaways, Greenland, Government shutdown
Shane returns to share some reflections on President Trump’s policy remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, this week. This includes a look…
- UBS On-Air: House View
Washington Weekly Podcast: Davos takeaways, Greenland, Government shutdown
Shane returns to share some reflections on President Trump’s policy remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, this week. This includes a look…
- UBS On-Air: House View
Washington Weekly Podcast: Healthcare, Defense, Congressional stock trading
As we close out the series for 2025, Shane drops by for a Capitol Hill roundup as we cover developments surrounding Congressional votes on healthcare…