Latest / Selling Your Canadian Business / Give Buyers Options and Watch What They Choose
Transcript
- 0:31SPEAKER_00: You know, um when you think about selling a business, sitting at the like the the most important negotiating table of your entire life, getting ready to hand over your life's work there is this deeply ingrained expectation of a dramatic, you know, movie style showdown.
- 0:46SPEAKER_01: Oh, absolutely.
- 0:47SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 0:47SPEAKER_00: We picture this tense standoff, right, across this massive mahogany table.
- 0:53SPEAKER_00: Someone slides a piece of paper across the desk with a single number on it.
- 0:57SPEAKER_01: Aaron Powell Right, the classic single number.
- 0:59SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 1:00SPEAKER_00: And the other person looks at it, scoffs, crosses it out, and just slides it back.
- 1:04SPEAKER_00: It's this um classic tug-of-war.
- 1:07SPEAKER_01: Aaron Powell It really is a very compelling image.
- 1:09SPEAKER_01: I mean, we inherently like the simplicity of a tug of war because it's binary.
- 1:12SPEAKER_01: You know, you pull hard enough, you win.
- 1:14unknown: Right.
- 1:14SPEAKER_01: You lose your grip, you lose the deal.
- 1:16SPEAKER_01: It makes sense to us on a primal level.
- 1:18SPEAKER_00: Aaron Powell But then you actually look at the data on how real value is created in modern deal making, and suddenly that tug-of-war rope completely snaps.
- 1:25SPEAKER_01: It just totally breaks down, yeah.
- 1:27SPEAKER_00: It turns out that Hollywood approach is like a fantastic way to leave a massive amount of money on the table.
- 1:34SPEAKER_00: So welcome to the deep dive, and a huge thank you to you, our listener, for taking time out of your busy day to hang out with us.
- 1:40SPEAKER_01: Yes, thank you so much.
- 1:42SPEAKER_00: Our mission today is pretty straightforward, honestly.
- 1:44SPEAKER_00: We're gonna make sure you do not get taken advantage of when selling your business.
- 1:49SPEAKER_00: We've got an incredible stack of research today, specifically unpacking Article 5 from the Shaughnessy Group's eight-part series on mergers and acquisitions, alongside some uh foundational research out of Harvard Business School.
- 2:02SPEAKER_01: Really fascinating stuff, yeah.
- 2:04SPEAKER_00: We're looking at a strategy that fundamentally transforms how deals are made.
- 2:07SPEAKER_01: It really is a complete paradigm shift.
- 2:10SPEAKER_01: We are going to break down exactly how this Harvard strategy works, the psychology behind it, and you know, most importantly, the actual mechanics of why it creates value out of thin air.
- 2:20SPEAKER_00: Out of thin air, literally.
- 2:22SPEAKER_01: Because the reality of negotiation is completely counterintuitive to everything most of us have been taught.
- 2:27SPEAKER_00: Okay, let's unpack this.
- 2:28SPEAKER_00: But before we get to the actual solution, I feel like we need to understand the trap that almost everyone falls into, like the default method.
- 2:38SPEAKER_01: Right, the way it usually happens.
- 2:39SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 2:40SPEAKER_00: Picture the standard way a lower middle market business sale usually happens.
- 2:44SPEAKER_00: The seller states an asking price, the buyer counters, you haggle on that base price until someone caves, or honestly, you both just get exhausted.
- 2:53SPEAKER_01: Aaron Powell, which happens a lot more than you'd think.
- 2:55SPEAKER_00: Yeah, right.
- 2:56SPEAKER_00: And only once that specific number is settled do you move on to the next item on the agenda.
- 3:00SPEAKER_01: Aaron Powell Right.
- 3:01SPEAKER_01: You secure the base price and then you move to the earnout structure.
- 3:04SPEAKER_01: Trevor Burrus, Jr.
- 3:04SPEAKER_00: And for those listening who might not, you know, live in the MA world day-to-day, an earnout is essentially a bonus paid out later if the company hits certain performance targets after the sale.
- 3:14SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 3:15SPEAKER_00: So you argue over that.
- 3:16SPEAKER_00: Then you move to the escrow, which is um a chunk the purchase price, held back in a neutral account, just in case there are hidden liabilities or skeletons in the closet.
- 3:25SPEAKER_00: Right, protective measures.
- 3:27SPEAKER_00: Then you fight over the working capital peg, which is basically making sure there's enough cash left in the business checking account to keep the lights on on day one of the new ownership.
- 3:37SPEAKER_01: Yeah, that's usually a tense one.
- 3:39SPEAKER_00: I bet.
- 3:40SPEAKER_00: But it's entirely sequential.
- 3:41SPEAKER_00: You don't open the next door until you've locked the one behind you.
- 3:44SPEAKER_01: And if we connect this to the bigger picture, you can immediately see why our brains crave that kind of order.
- 3:50SPEAKER_00: Sure.
- 3:50SPEAKER_01: I mean, it feels organized.
- 3:52SPEAKER_01: It feels like you are making tangible progress.
- 3:55SPEAKER_01: You are checking boxes off a list, so the sheer complexity of selling a company doesn't completely overwhelm you.
- 4:02SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 4:02SPEAKER_00: I mean, naturally I'd push back and say, doesn't sequential negotiation just make sense?
- 4:07SPEAKER_01: A lot of people think so, yeah.
- 4:08SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 4:08SPEAKER_00: Because if I'm selling my business, I absolutely want to know the guaranteed price before I start arguing about like how long I have to stick around as a consultant.
- 4:15SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 4:16SPEAKER_00: I want my foundation set.
- 4:17SPEAKER_01: It feels safe.
- 4:18SPEAKER_01: Absolutely.
- 4:19SPEAKER_01: But according to a massive body of research in negotiation science, it is systematically the worst possible way to structure a deal conversation.
- 4:27SPEAKER_00: Oh.
- 4:28SPEAKER_01: It is an absolute value destroyer.
- 4:30SPEAKER_00: Aaron Powell But why though?
- 4:31SPEAKER_00: If I'm locking in wins step by step, how is that destroying value?
- 4:37SPEAKER_01: Because it turns the entire process into a series of painful, isolated compromises.
- 4:42SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 4:43SPEAKER_01: When you negotiate sequentially, you are resolving every single issue in a vacuum.
- 4:48SPEAKER_01: Let's say you are fighting over the base price.
- 4:50SPEAKER_01: You want 20 million, they want to pay 16.
- 4:53SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 4:53SPEAKER_01: You eventually meet in the middle at 18, you took a hit, they took a hit.
- 4:57SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 4:57SPEAKER_00: Standard compromise.
- 4:58SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 4:58SPEAKER_01: Then you move to the earnout.
- 5:00SPEAKER_01: You take a hit, they take a hit.
- 5:02SPEAKER_01: What you are fundamentally doing by isolating these issues is blocking what they call cross-issue trades.
- 5:08SPEAKER_00: Okay, cross-issue trades, meaning um I give you something you really care about over in this category in exchange for something I deeply care about over in that category.
- 5:17SPEAKER_00: Trevor Burrus, Jr.
- 5:17SPEAKER_01: Precisely.
- 5:18SPEAKER_01: In complex deals, the magic, the actual creation of new value happens when you combine variables.
- 5:25SPEAKER_01: Interesting.
- 5:25SPEAKER_01: Let's say the buyer cares intensely about keeping cash up front because I don't know, maybe their fund is currently illiquid.
- 5:31SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 5:32SPEAKER_01: But they are very confident in the future growth of the business.
- 5:35SPEAKER_01: You, the seller, might care less about cash today and more about maximizing your total ultimate payout over time.
- 5:43SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 5:43SPEAKER_00: I want the biggest check at the end of the day.
- 5:45SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 5:46SPEAKER_01: If you negotiate price first and earn out second, you completely miss the interaction.
- 5:51SPEAKER_01: But if you combine them, you could take a slightly lower base price in exchange for a massive uncapped earnout.
- 5:58SPEAKER_00: Oh wow.
- 5:59SPEAKER_01: That deal serves both parties perfectly.
- 6:02SPEAKER_01: But the sequential checklist approach completely blinds you to those combinations.
- 6:06SPEAKER_00: You're just haggling over the size of a single pie rather than figuring out how to bake a bigger one.
- 6:11SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 6:12SPEAKER_00: So if checking boxes one by one is broken, what does the alternative actually look like when you sit down at the table?
- 6:18SPEAKER_01: The alternative is a structural concept called mesos.
- 6:21SPEAKER_00: Mesos.
- 6:22SPEAKER_01: Yeah, M-E-S-O.
- 6:23SPEAKER_01: So it stands for multiple equivalent simultaneous offers.
- 6:26SPEAKER_00: Multiple equivalent simultaneous offers.
- 6:28SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 6:29SPEAKER_00: It sounds very academic, but conceptually it's a radical shift.
- 6:32SPEAKER_01: It really is.
- 6:33SPEAKER_00: Because instead of sliding that one piece of paper across the mahogany table with a single proposed deal, you are presenting two or three complete deal packages at the exact same time.
- 6:43SPEAKER_01: All at once, yeah.
- 6:44SPEAKER_01: Each package covers all the major dimensions of the deal.
- 6:47SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 6:48SPEAKER_01: The base price, the earnout, the escrow holdback, the transition terms, the liability caps, everything.
- 6:55SPEAKER_01: Every package features a totally different configuration of those elements.
- 6:59SPEAKER_01: But here is the absolute linchpin of this entire strategy.
- 7:03SPEAKER_01: Each package is engineered to be worth the exact same total economic value to you, the seller.
- 7:09SPEAKER_00: Okay, let's ground this in reality so everyone listening can visualize it.
- 7:13SPEAKER_00: Because the Shaughnessy Group text provides a fantastic, like very concrete example of what this looks like in practice.
- 7:19SPEAKER_01: Yeah, it's great illustration.
- 7:20SPEAKER_00: Imagine you are sitting across from a private equity buyer.
- 7:24SPEAKER_00: You don't hand them one offer, you hand them two.
- 7:26SPEAKER_00: Let's call them package A and package B.
- 7:28SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 7:28SPEAKER_01: Let's look at how those are actually structured.
- 7:30SPEAKER_00: So package A is your standard solid structure.
- 7:33SPEAKER_00: You ask for an$18 million base price up front.
- 7:36SPEAKER_00: You include an 18-month earnout of up to three million.
- 7:40SPEAKER_00: And that earnout is tied strictly to EBITDA targets.
- 7:44SPEAKER_01: Which is very common.
- 7:45SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 7:45SPEAKER_00: And just to clarify for everyone listening, EBITDA is essentially your raw operating profit before you know the accountants get in there with taxes and depreciation.
- 7:55SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 7:55SPEAKER_01: It's a measure of pure profitability.
- 7:57SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 7:57SPEAKER_00: And finally, you want a$1.5 million escrow held for 12 months.
- 8:02SPEAKER_00: So that's package A.
- 8:03SPEAKER_01: A very traditional, very recognizable deal for any buyer.
- 8:06SPEAKER_01: Trevor Burrus, Jr.
- 8:06SPEAKER_00: But sitting right next to it is package B.
- 8:08SPEAKER_00: Now, package B looks entirely different on the surface.
- 8:11SPEAKER_00: It have a lower upfront base price,$16 million instead of$18 million.
- 8:15SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 8:15SPEAKER_00: However, it features a much longer 36-month earnout of up to$5 million.
- 8:20SPEAKER_00: And here is the kicker.
- 8:22SPEAKER_00: This earnout is tied to revenue growth, just top-line sales rather than pure profit.
- 8:27SPEAKER_01: A very crucial distinction.
- 8:29SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 8:29SPEAKER_00: And the escrow holdback is smaller, only$750,000, but the buyer gets to hold it for 18 months instead of twelve.
- 8:35SPEAKER_01: Now stop and look at the architecture of those two options.
- 8:39SPEAKER_01: On the surface, they seem like totally different deals, right?
- 8:42SPEAKER_00: Oh yeah, completely.
- 8:44SPEAKER_01: One is heavy on upfront cash and focuses on short-term profitability.
- 8:49SPEAKER_01: The other asks for less cash today, shifts the focus to long-term top line growth, and alters the risk profile with the escrow.
- 8:57SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 8:57SPEAKER_01: But and this is the magic part.
- 8:59SPEAKER_01: Assuming you have done the underlying financial modeling correctly, under a range of reasonable business performance scenarios, package A and package B equal the exact same bottom line for the seller.
- 9:11SPEAKER_00: Which brings us to the actual turning point in the room.
- 9:13SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 9:14SPEAKER_00: You slide both these packages across the table.
- 9:16SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 9:16SPEAKER_00: But you aren't looking at the buyer and demanding a yes or no.
- 9:19SPEAKER_01: No, no.
- 9:20SPEAKER_01: A binary yes or no is a trap.
- 9:21unknown: Right.
- 9:22SPEAKER_01: If they say no, where do you go?
- 9:23SPEAKER_01: You just have to lower your price.
- 9:24SPEAKER_01: Instead, you ask a very specific, carefully worded question.
- 9:28SPEAKER_01: You say, which of these comes closest to what you want and why?
- 9:32SPEAKER_00: Which comes closest and why?
- 9:34SPEAKER_01: I love that.
- 9:35SPEAKER_00: It's completely shatters the tug-of-war dynamic.
- 9:37SPEAKER_00: You aren't fighting over a single number anymore.
- 9:40SPEAKER_00: You are suddenly sitting on the same side of the table, collaborating on a puzzle.
- 9:44SPEAKER_01: It forces a profound psychological shift in the negotiation.
- 9:49SPEAKER_01: The buyer is no longer defending uh, you know, a dug-in position.
- 9:54SPEAKER_01: They are evaluating options.
- 9:56SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 9:56SPEAKER_00: They're looking at choices.
- 9:58SPEAKER_01: They are acting as a critic rather than an adversary.
- 10:01SPEAKER_01: And the results of this approach, which have been documented across multiple experimental and field studies, are incredibly striking.
- 10:08SPEAKER_00: So let's get into the science of why this works so effectively, because it's not just a clever parlor trick.
- 10:14SPEAKER_00: There is serious academic weight behind this.
- 10:16SPEAKER_01: Oh, absolutely.
- 10:17SPEAKER_00: The research comes from Deepak Malutra and Max Baserman at Harvard Business School, who literally wrote the book on this called Negotiation Genius.
- 10:26SPEAKER_00: They identified three distinct mechanisms at play here.
- 10:30SPEAKER_00: And the first one is all about revealing priorities, the concept of revealed preference.
- 10:35SPEAKER_01: Yeah, revealed preference.
- 10:36SPEAKER_01: Think about the reality of a high-stakes deal.
- 10:38SPEAKER_01: Buyers are not going to just hand over their secret playbook.
- 10:41SPEAKER_01: If you ask a private equity firm directly, hey, what do you care about more?
- 10:45SPEAKER_01: Preserving your upfront cash or securing long-term liability protection, what are they going to say?
- 10:52SPEAKER_00: I mean, they'll say they care equally about everything.
- 10:55SPEAKER_00: They'll say everything is a deal breaker just to keep the pressure on me.
- 10:58SPEAKER_01: Aaron Powell Exactly.
- 10:59SPEAKER_01: They hedge.
- 11:00SPEAKER_01: But when a buyer is forced to evaluate two complete equivalent packages and tell you which one they lean toward, they voluntarily and often completely unknowingly disclose how they weight those different deal dimensions internally.
- 11:13SPEAKER_00: Aaron Powell It's brilliant.
- 11:14SPEAKER_00: It's almost like um like going to a bespoke tailor.
- 11:17SPEAKER_01: Okay, yeah.
- 11:17SPEAKER_00: A good tailor doesn't just ask, do you want a suit?
- 11:20SPEAKER_00: They bring out two different cuts and ask, do you prefer the broader shoulders here or the tapered waist over there?
- 11:26SPEAKER_00: By forcing you to choose between options, they map your exact shape without you ever having to like explain your measurements.
- 11:32SPEAKER_01: That is a perfect analogy.
- 11:34SPEAKER_01: You are mapping their internal mandate.
- 11:37SPEAKER_01: So going back to our example, if the buyer looks at your two offers and says, Well, we definitely prefer the structure of package A, but we really like the revenue-driven earnout metric from package B, they just handed you the keys to the kingdom.
- 11:49SPEAKER_00: Because they just revealed that they have the$18 million in upfront capital to spend since they didn't balk at the higher base price in package A.
- 11:56SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 11:57SPEAKER_00: But they also revealed that their internal thesis for buying my company is based on aggressive top-line growth, which is why they like the revenue metric from B over the profit metric from A.
- 12:09SPEAKER_00: I could never get that level of strategic intelligence by just asking them direct questions.
- 12:14SPEAKER_01: Never.
- 12:14SPEAKER_01: You've extracted their hidden priorities without them realizing they gave anything up.
- 12:19SPEAKER_01: Which leads us to the second mechanism, which deals with how you, the seller, are perceived in the room.
- 12:24SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 12:24SPEAKER_00: And I have to push back here.
- 12:26SPEAKER_00: Because the research claims that offering mesos allows you to signal flexibility without actually conceding anything.
- 12:33SPEAKER_00: But if I walk into a room and immediately offer three different ways to buy my company right out of the gate, doesn't that make me look incredibly weak?
- 12:41SPEAKER_00: Doesn't it look desperate like I'm negotiating against myself before they've even opened their mouths?
- 12:46SPEAKER_01: It is the single most common fear business owners have when they first learn about this strategy.
- 12:52SPEAKER_01: Really?
- 12:52SPEAKER_01: Oh yeah.
- 12:54SPEAKER_01: But it stems from a misunderstanding of what a concession actually is.
- 12:58SPEAKER_01: Think about a traditional negotiation.
- 13:28SPEAKER_01: You ask for 20 million, they say 16.
- 13:30SPEAKER_01: How do you show them you are a reasonable person who is willing to play ball?
- 13:34SPEAKER_00: I have to lower my price.
- 13:35SPEAKER_00: I come down to 19.
- 13:37SPEAKER_00: I literally give up a million dollars of ground.
- 13:39SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 13:39SPEAKER_01: And every single time you move from your stated position, you make a financial concession.
- 13:44SPEAKER_01: And what does every concession do?
- 13:46SPEAKER_01: It makes the buyer wonder how much further can I push them?
- 13:49SPEAKER_01: Where is their actual floor?
- 13:50SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 13:50SPEAKER_01: But Miso has completely bypassed that dynamic because the packages you present are mathematically equal in value to you.
- 13:58SPEAKER_00: Ah.
- 13:59SPEAKER_00: I see.
- 14:00SPEAKER_00: I am demonstrating massive flexibility.
- 14:03SPEAKER_00: I am showing the buyer that I am open to different deal structures, different timelines, different risk profiles.
- 14:09SPEAKER_00: I look incredibly reasonable, collaborative, you know, easy to work with, but I haven't actually moved one inch off my economic floor.
- 14:17SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 14:17SPEAKER_01: The flexibility is entirely real, but the economic concession is strictly zero.
- 14:23SPEAKER_01: You get all the relational goodwill of being an accommodating partner with absolutely none of the financial penalty.
- 14:29SPEAKER_00: Okay, here's where it gets really interesting.
- 14:31SPEAKER_00: We've mapped their priorities and we've shown flexibility without losing money.
- 14:36SPEAKER_00: The third mechanism is where the actual magic happens, creating room for creative solutions.
- 14:41SPEAKER_00: Yes.
- 14:42SPEAKER_00: Because once the buyer gives you their feedback on package A and package B, I'm not actually stuck with either of them, am I?
- 14:47SPEAKER_01: No, you're not.
- 14:48SPEAKER_01: The initial packages are almost like a diagnostic test.
- 14:51SPEAKER_01: You use their feedback to build package C.
- 14:53SPEAKER_00: Okay, let's walk through how that actually works.
- 14:55SPEAKER_00: The buyer told me they like the higher 18 million base price of package A, but they wanted the 36-month revenue-based earnout from package B.
- 15:03SPEAKER_00: So I, the seller, take a step back and design a brand new hybrid package.
- 15:08SPEAKER_00: Maybe I offer a base price of 17.5 million, just a hair under A, but I give them exactly the revenue earnout structure they want from B, and I ask for favorable escrow terms to balance my risk.
- 15:22SPEAKER_01: And suddenly you have a deal on the table that aggressively targets the buyer's highest priority interests while still completely protecting your bottom line.
- 15:30SPEAKER_01: Wow.
- 15:31SPEAKER_01: Package C is a genuinely superior deal for both parties than either of the original options.
- 15:37SPEAKER_01: And here is the profound realization package C would never have emerged from a sequential negotiation.
- 15:43SPEAKER_00: Because if we had just started by fighting over the base price, we would have gotten stuck there.
- 15:47SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 15:47SPEAKER_00: We never would have discovered that they were willing to pay more upfront if they could tie the future payouts to revenue instead of profit.
- 15:53SPEAKER_00: It was structurally impossible to find that win-win until the Meso process made those cross-issue trades visible.
- 16:00SPEAKER_01: Malhotra and Baserman's research proves this out empirically.
- 16:03SPEAKER_01: Negotiators who use mesos consistently achieve higher joint value.
- 16:08SPEAKER_01: And just as importantly, they document significantly higher post-negotiation satisfaction for both the buyer and the seller.
- 16:16SPEAKER_00: Which matters tremendously in MA.
- 16:18SPEAKER_00: When you sell a business, you don't just hand over the keys and disappear.
- 16:21SPEAKER_01: Rarely.
- 16:22SPEAKER_00: You usually have to work with these private equity folks for months, sometimes years through the transition, especially if you have an earnout tied to the company's performance.
- 16:31SPEAKER_00: You do not want a relationship poisoned by a bitter tug of war where someone feels like they got squeezed.
- 16:37SPEAKER_01: No, you need a partnership built on a mutually beneficial structure.
- 16:41SPEAKER_01: Maso's help architect that reality.
- 16:43SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 16:43SPEAKER_00: Listening to this, I'm entirely sold.
- 16:45SPEAKER_00: It sounds like a literal superpower.
- 16:47SPEAKER_00: So tomorrow, I'm going to walk into my negotiation, slap three mathematically equivalent offers on the table, and wait for the magic to happen.
- 16:54SPEAKER_00: Wait, hold on.
- 16:55SPEAKER_00: What could possibly go wrong?
- 16:57SPEAKER_00: Why doesn't every single business owner just do this themselves?
- 17:00SPEAKER_01: This is exactly where we enter the danger zone.
- 17:02SPEAKER_01: The Shaughnessy Group article is very clear about the pitfalls of trying to deploy this directly without professional advisory representation.
- 17:11SPEAKER_01: Let's look at the first massive hurdle, the construction problem.
- 17:15SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 17:15SPEAKER_00: We keep using the phrase genuinely equivalent in total economic value.
- 17:21SPEAKER_00: But building two packages that equal the same amount isn't just simple addition.
- 17:26SPEAKER_00: It's not a back of the napkin math problem.
- 17:28SPEAKER_01: Not at all.
- 17:29SPEAKER_01: It requires intense, sophisticated financial modeling.
- 17:33SPEAKER_01: Because you aren't comparing apples to apples.
- 17:35SPEAKER_01: You are comparing a guaranteed pile of upfront cash today against the mere possibility of an earnout payout three years from now.
- 17:42SPEAKER_00: Aaron Ross Powell Right.
- 17:43SPEAKER_00: Because a million dollars sitting in my bank account today is a guaranteed million dollars.
- 17:47SPEAKER_00: A million dollars promised in an earnout three years down the road is well, it's a huge baby.
- 17:52SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 17:52SPEAKER_00: What if the market crashes?
- 17:53SPEAKER_00: What if the new management team is terrible and they tank the sales?
- 17:55SPEAKER_00: I have to price in that risk.
- 17:57SPEAKER_01: Aaron Powell You have to calculate the net present value of that deferred consideration.
- 18:02SPEAKER_01: You have to account for inflation, opportunity cost, and the risk-adjusted economic cost of different escrow holdbacks.
- 18:09SPEAKER_01: If you give up two million in upfront cash for a three million earnout, but there is a 50% chance the earnout fails, your packages are not actually equivalent.
- 18:19SPEAKER_00: And if I mess up that math.
- 18:38SPEAKER_01: Oh man.
- 18:39SPEAKER_01: Alternatively, if your packages are so obviously skewed in your favor that the buyer realizes they aren't truly equivalent, you lose all credibility.
- 18:47SPEAKER_00: You just look manipulative, like you are playing games.
- 18:49SPEAKER_01: Precisely.
- 18:49SPEAKER_01: A poorly constructed miso is significantly worse than no miso at all.
- 18:54SPEAKER_01: It signals to the buyer that you either lack analytical competence or that you are negotiating in bad faith.
- 19:00SPEAKER_00: Which leads right into the second pitfall: the presentation problem.
- 19:04SPEAKER_00: Even if I hire a math genius and my deal construction is absolutely flawless, how I actually present these packages in the room matters immensely.
- 19:13SPEAKER_01: Context is everything in MA.
- 19:15SPEAKER_01: Imagine an owner having an informal direct conversation over coffee with a potential buyer.
- 19:21SPEAKER_01: If the owner suddenly pulls out a spreadsheet with three complex, simultaneous offers, it's jarring.
- 19:27SPEAKER_00: It could look really desperate, right?
- 19:28SPEAKER_00: Like I'm just throwing spaghetti at the wall to see what's next.
- 19:31SPEAKER_00: Please, just take one of these.
- 19:32SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 19:33SPEAKER_01: It can be entirely misread as indecisiveness.
- 19:36SPEAKER_01: But when a professional MA advisor presents MILISOs, it happens within the context of a formal, structured bid process.
- 19:44SPEAKER_00: It's the difference between someone walking up to you on the street and offering you three different life insurance policies versus you sitting down in a professional broker's office and then presenting three options.
- 19:54SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 19:54SPEAKER_00: The setting completely changes how you perceive the legitimacy of the offer.
- 19:58SPEAKER_01: That is exactly it.
- 19:59SPEAKER_01: The advisor provides what the Shaughnessy group calls contextual protection.
- 20:04SPEAKER_01: Buyers who participate in these structured processes understand that multiple simultaneous offers are a standard, highly professional mechanism.
- 20:12SPEAKER_01: The exact same technique that looks desperate coming from an unrepresented owner looks routine, credible, and sophisticated coming from an advisor.
- 20:21SPEAKER_00: Okay, but let's say I get the math right and I manage to present it professionally.
- 20:25SPEAKER_00: That brings us to the third pitfall, which honestly sounds like the hardest part: the pattern recognition problem.
- 20:31SPEAKER_00: Yes.
- 20:31SPEAKER_00: Because getting the buyer to pick a package is only step one.
- 20:35SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 20:35SPEAKER_01: The true value of a messo isn't the initial package itself, it's the intelligence you gather from their response.
- 20:41SPEAKER_01: When a buyer says, we prefer the Espera terms in package B, but the earnout in A, you have to translate that stated preference into an accurate diagnosis of their hidden fears and desires.
- 20:52SPEAKER_00: I have to be able to read the matrix.
- 20:54SPEAKER_01: You do.
- 20:55SPEAKER_01: And an experienced advisor has a mental database of hundreds of prior transactions.
- 21:01SPEAKER_01: They've seen this specific type of private equity buyer respond to these exact package configurations dozens of times before.
- 21:08SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 21:08SPEAKER_01: They know exactly what that signal means for building package C.
- 21:12SPEAKER_01: An owner who is selling a business for the very first time simply doesn't have that pattern recognition.
- 21:18SPEAKER_01: They might get the feedback from the buyer and have absolutely no idea how to optimally piece together that final hybrid deal.
- 21:24SPEAKER_00: Now, to be fair to the source text, it does mention one rare exception where an owner can pull this off directly without an advisor.
- 21:32SPEAKER_01: Yes, there is a caveat.
- 21:33SPEAKER_01: If an owner has a long, deeply trusting, very candid relationship with a specific buyer, maybe they've been friendly competitors in the industry for a decade.
- 21:42SPEAKER_01: They can sometimes mimic this process informally.
- 21:45SPEAKER_00: Because the trust required to surface those true preferences already exists.
- 21:49SPEAKER_00: You don't need the formal structure of a mezzo to force the revelation.
- 21:52SPEAKER_00: You could just grab a beer and say, look, what do you actually need out of this deal?
- 21:56SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 21:57SPEAKER_01: But that is highly situation-specific.
- 21:59SPEAKER_01: It is absolutely not transferable to a high-stakes deal with a new, unfamiliar private equity firm or an aggressive strategic competitor.
- 22:08SPEAKER_00: So what does this all mean?
- 22:09SPEAKER_00: If you're a business owner listening to this, preparing for the biggest transaction of your life, what are your core takeaways from this deep dive into Article V?
- 22:18SPEAKER_00: Let's distill it down.
- 22:20SPEAKER_01: I would frame it as three distinct shifts in mindset.
- 22:23SPEAKER_01: First, you must consciously resist the instinct to negotiate one issue at a time.
- 22:28SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 22:28SPEAKER_01: It feels incredibly safe, but it is a trap that guarantees you will leave money on the table and destroys the potential for creative problem solving.
- 22:35SPEAKER_01: You have to embrace the slight discomfort of presenting multiple options.
- 22:38SPEAKER_00: Second, you have to respect the math.
- 22:41SPEAKER_00: If you are going to use Misos, the deal construction has to be bulletproof.
- 22:45SPEAKER_00: If you don't have the deep financial modeling capability to ensure your packages are genuinely equivalent, factoring in time value and risk, you need to hire an expert who does.
- 22:53SPEAKER_01: And third, always remember where the real value lives in this strategy.
- 22:58SPEAKER_01: The initial packages you put on the table are just the bait.
- 23:01SPEAKER_01: They are diagnostic tools.
- 23:03SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 23:03SPEAKER_01: The real value is the intelligence you extract from the buyer's reaction and your ability to use that intelligence to architect the ultimate, optimal, final deal.
- 23:14SPEAKER_00: It completely flips the script on how we think about negotiating.
- 23:18SPEAKER_01: It does.
- 23:18SPEAKER_01: And this raises an important question for you, the listener, to mull over long after this deep dive is done.
- 23:25SPEAKER_01: We've been talking about this exclusively in the context of selling a multimillion dollar business.
- 23:30SPEAKER_01: But think about how the psychology of Misos applies to almost any complex negotiation in your daily life.
- 23:36SPEAKER_00: Oh, I see where you're going with this.
- 23:37SPEAKER_01: Whether you are negotiating a new role and salary with your boss, hiring a general contractor for a major house renovation, or even just trying to get your kids to agree on weekend plans.
- 23:47SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 23:47SPEAKER_01: When you stop giving ultimatums and you start offering people equivalent choices, what hidden priorities, fears, and desires are you actually tricking them into revealing?
- 23:56SPEAKER_00: That is a fascinating way to look at it.
- 23:58SPEAKER_00: You stop fighting over the tugawar rope and you start giving them options on how they want to cross the river with you.
- 24:03SPEAKER_00: The mahogany table doesn't have to be a battleground, it can actually be a design studio.
- 24:07SPEAKER_00: I love that perspective.
- 24:09SPEAKER_00: A massive thank you to you for hanging out with us today and exploring this.
- 24:12SPEAKER_01: It's been a pleasure to break this down.
- 24:14SPEAKER_00: We also want to explicitly thank the Shaughnessy Group for providing these incredibly practical, counterintuitive insights from their MA series.
- 24:23SPEAKER_00: For more resources on how to navigate these waters, please visit shaughnessy.group.
- 24:28SPEAKER_01: I highly recommend checking out their work.
- 24:30SPEAKER_01: If you are even remotely thinking about entering a transaction, it provides invaluable context.
- 24:36SPEAKER_00: And for those of you who want to dig even deeper into the Harvard research we discussed today, the foundational book is Negotiation Genius by Deepak Malhotra and Max Baserman.
- 24:45SPEAKER_00: You can find it on Amazon, and we've got the link for you right here.
- 24:48SPEAKER_00: Https.wwd Amazon.cad PB0GeroFGAX WJVXQ.
- 24:57SPEAKER_01: It is truly a mandatory read for anyone who wants to master the art of the deal.
- 25:01SPEAKER_00: So the next time you find yourself sitting across that proverbial mahogany table, remember don't just slide one piece of paper across.
- 25:08SPEAKER_00: Slide two or three.
- 25:10SPEAKER_00: Watch closely what they do and completely change the game.
- 25:14SPEAKER_00: Thanks for listening.