Latest / The Road to Accountable AI / DJ Patil: AI's Steering Wheel Challenge
Transcript
- 0:01DJ, glad to have you on the podcast.
- 0:03Thanks, good to be here.
- 0:05You were the first chief data officer of the US, now something like 15 years ago, back in the Obama administration, when I was also in government.
- 0:14Is that a role that governments should still have today?
- 0:19So the short answer is yes, but one clarification is the chief data scientist and it's actually it's a You'll appreciate this because you're in public service like these subtle
- 0:28distinctions actually make a Big important deltas in the role and part of the reasons to chief data scientist
- 0:38is that the mission is to responsibly help the president and the president's staff think about how to responsibly unleash the power of data to benefit all Americans.
- 0:50And then in that, you're providing the advice versus sort of saying, what is the control of all the data in the US?
- 0:57And now a lot of that has been codified into the chief data officers at the federal level, and the federal CIO has it.
- 1:05But if I think about oh
- 1:07Why do you want this role?
- 1:10What's important about it?
- 1:12You know, all the conversations around AI, like what's the foundation of this?
- 1:17What's the substrata of this?
- 1:19It's data.
- 1:20It's making sure you have good data.
- 1:21It's making sure that you're using that data responsibly.
- 1:24How do you get the value out of it?
- 1:26What are the application layers?
- 1:28And then what's the data that the AI produces?
- 1:30And how do you think of it and utilize all of that?
- 1:33And so if anything, I think the role is substantially more important than it had been previously.
- 1:43Today though, we're in an era where you don't need a whole lot of training to be a data scientist, or at least to do data science when you can just put in a prompt and it'll
- 1:52write code for you and so forth.
- 1:54Does that change the nature of thinking about data science and its role in policy or in business?
- 2:01I think it is changing.
- 2:03to your point, one of the really fine, it's like, finally, we have these tools that are getting rid of the yuck work.
- 2:11It's still too often, still cleaning a lot of data, bringing data sets together, a lot of that just like the very painful thing.
- 2:20And now we're starting to get into a space where big data won.
- 2:25And what I mean by that is like, we got tons of data in the data warehouse.
- 2:30We have tons of dashboards and now we're getting paralyzed.
- 2:34We don't get to decisions.
- 2:37We don't actually have the ability.
- 2:40We have the ability to parse tons of data, but what's the decision we're trying to make?
- 2:43Are we asking the right question?
- 2:46And this is the place where the data scientist is now moved to this higher order function.
- 2:52And it's like, great.
- 2:53How do we cut through that stuff?
- 2:55and actually get to an answer that's there.
- 2:59actually, in fact, we just announced one of the companies I've been working on for the past year or so called Sundial, which is a lot of the former Facebook team is really
- 3:09building this analytics layer that says, hey, what is the AI native version of dashboarding and business intelligence and all those other things?
- 3:18Because now it's how it's time to get to decision, not time to
- 3:25to a chart.
- 3:28What exactly is the difference though?
- 3:30Yeah, so right now, what you see very often is people have the ability, like, what is a day in the life of a data scientist?
- 3:38Like, right now.
- 3:40Right now, it's still like, hey, I'm trying to get a graph that shows sales figures.
- 3:46I'm trying to get a graph that shows pick your favorite thing.
- 3:49And then you go, man, I got to go find that data in the data warehouse.
- 3:54If a data warehouse happens, I might have to combine external data and I have to put all this stuff together.
- 4:00And then you get a chart and then somebody says, oh, not that chart.
- 4:03And you go back and you kind of redo it again and again and again.
- 4:06And so you ended up with all
- 4:11And many times people want to automate that.
- 4:12So you end up with dashboard after dashboard after dashboard.
- 4:15But then what happens is people really get to say, and the data scientists have this when they have bandwidth, is to say,
- 4:22What chart, what is the right question to ask?
- 4:26Should we be asking that type of question or another one?
- 4:30I'll give you a more concrete version.
- 4:32Is you saw this very quickly in the early days of something like the COVID crisis, where people were saying, here's a model.
- 4:39And then you say, well, here's a strategy.
- 4:42And then you say, what does the model say?
- 4:44Oh, no, it's going to take us like two months to go build that into the model.
- 4:47And you go back and so you can't keep up.
- 4:51with the questions that are being asked.
- 4:54Or what happens is your feedback cycle isn't sufficient that you're able to say, hey, I think you mean to ask this.
- 5:03This is the more fundamental, interesting question to ask.
- 5:08So to get back to the first question I was asking you about government, presumably it's the same challenge.
- 5:13If you're a federal agency or a business, you need to ask the right questions.
- 5:19People, excuse me, at this call.
- 5:24People often suggest that government is just inherently too slow for everything.
- 5:29In this kind of era, where presumably there's going to be even more pressure for who can get to the right question and answer it more quickly, what should government be doing?
- 5:39Well, one, think, and especially what we're seeing right now, unfortunately, is we're dismantling a lot of the key infrastructure that gives us good data.
- 5:49That could be weather data, and we've seen how important that is just very recently with the tragedy in Texas and other type of weather events that have been happening.
- 5:59You know, that's high.
- 6:00We have a very good system to create high quality data in those worlds.
- 6:05Our economic, much of our economic forecasting is built off a pipeline of aggregating data from lots of sources, making sure it's very clean.
- 6:15understanding traffic fatalities, is our food system clean and acceptable?
- 6:21Is our delivery system of pharmaceuticals good?
- 6:27All of this stuff has gone through decades of hardening in the sense of making sure that's very, very good.
- 6:35Could it be improved?
- 6:36Absolutely.
- 6:37But what happens is as soon as you start cracking that infrastructure,
- 6:44we learn about how much is actually built on top of it.
- 6:48Think about how much actually depends on census.
- 6:52Not only the way we distribute Congress is based on census.
- 6:58And if we do that, if you don't do a good job of that, you're not allocating representation correctly, but so much more financial and the way we just allocate
- 7:09resources is done with that.
- 7:11So that kind of gets to one thing.
- 7:14Now to get to your other part is government.
- 7:18So there is a slowness that you want on government on certain things.
- 7:22There's a speed on other aspects and how do you unleash that data more quickly?
- 7:27And with that, for example, we should be able to go a lot faster with medical data.
- 7:34It's still crazy that in this day and age that how much effort is to go get your own medical data.
- 7:41You know, that was a lot of work that that President Obama drove and and it was subsequently driven by both the Trump administration and the Biden administration, but
- 7:51it's still too hard.
- 7:52And so if you want to use an AI system to look through all of your medical information between multiple doctors and hospitals,
- 8:04systems or something where you may have complex care, that's non-trivial to do.
- 8:10You have to download stuff, it's just tough.
- 8:13So there's a lot more to be done.
- 8:15And then the other thing that's there is there's a tremendous amount of data that sits inside the federal government.
- 8:21that has yet to be unlocked.
- 8:23We haven't even used it yet.
- 8:26And the opportunity to use that data to get massive benefits for the American public is very real.
- 8:33To be very specific, there's a project in the VA called the Veteran Affairs called the Million Veterans Project.
- 8:41Unbelievable data set of biological samples getting contributed by veterans to improve health care.
- 8:47That is one of the great, you know,
- 8:51collections and what is sitting in that, that data could fundamentally change the trajectory of the speed at which of figuring out other diseases.
- 9:01And so the fact that we haven't even begun to tap into that is, in my opinion, just a loss like that that needs to take place now.
- 9:11What stands in the way of unlocking that government data?
- 9:14One part is funding.
- 9:16A big part of it is funding, because these things are just not resourced appropriately.
- 9:20uh Too often, we found, uh I think over when I was in that role, as well as subsequently, what we found is these are unfunded mandates.
- 9:32We say, we should get that data out there.
- 9:34And the people who are responsible for that data, they're stuck behind five other tasks.
- 9:40That would be nice if it's only five.
- 9:43But we haven't really embraced it uh in that sense.
- 9:47Two is you have a process that does need to change.
- 9:52You have CIOs and other general councils whose job fundamentally is to say no.
- 9:58Because no is a safe thing to do rather than asking, how could we do this?
- 10:04What could we do to, what are the right safeguards to do this that people could benefit from?
- 10:09And then the third is Congress many times.
- 10:13What happens is the government opens up some data and then somebody else gets really angry that you're doing that because they have figured out how to get a contract or something
- 10:26for that data and now they feel threatened
- 10:28that everyone's, and it's the public's data.
- 10:32And so there is this version that you see that people go to Congress to complain and Congress has hearings about why are you opening up this data?
- 10:40And you're like, wait, weren't you just yelling at us about not moving fast on the data?
- 10:46Now we can.
- 10:47So uh it makes it a very, we should really be aligned, I think fundamentally.
- 10:54on what does it mean to responsibly unleash this data to benefit all Americans.
- 10:59And if you do that as your true North, I think we get to a set of data that are very obvious that that investment is going to pay off massively in the next five, 10 years.
- 11:12So it's interesting to compare what you're saying in the public sector with government data with
- 11:21analogous kinds of issues in the private sector.
- 11:23uh Maybe not as much with unlocking data, but there's still, I think, these incentive problems in companies.
- 11:31Sorry, let me take this again.
- 11:34Apologies, normally I'm not this bad.
- 11:37Let me just take that question from the top, sorry.
- 11:41It's interesting what you were saying about uh the challenge of unlocking that data in government, because it makes me think that there are some similar issues in the private
- 11:49sector.
- 11:50It's still a question of alignment of incentives.
- 11:52have general councils and risk and compliance people who want to say no.
- 11:56uh You have different groups who have silos and so forth.
- 12:01But at least in government, you can ultimately point to, have a mission.
- 12:05This is to serve the public.
- 12:07In a company to turn to the private sector, what are the leverage points to get organizations to unwind on taking advantage of this AI opportunity?
- 12:20So I think you raised a number of really interesting points when we moved to the private sector.
- 12:25So first is companies may not want to release that information for various versions.
- 12:31One is there have been plenty of cases where people have tried to release data and then somebody finds something in that data that shouldn't have been released and then that just
- 12:40causes...
- 12:41a problem, it's a headache for the company, and then they say, hey, why are we doing this?
- 12:46And most often that benefits researchers.
- 12:50There's another side that people don't want to, they find that if they open that data up, they're gonna have a degree of transparency that people are uncomfortable with.
- 13:00One of the recent cases about this is Facebook and transparency around...
- 13:05the what type of information is how much misinformation is happening, other things.
- 13:11And they've continued to pull back from that data.
- 13:14And it's not just Facebook, it's the problems on YouTube.
- 13:18is pick any of platforms that this is an issue around this topic.
- 13:23What type of harms are happening to kids?
- 13:26We know that there have been studies that have been able to do this, but there's very hard to get the data to access it.
- 13:32So you see that form of it.
- 13:33You see another form, which is protectionist, in that you're seeing a version of this happening with AI right now around a Gentic system.
- 13:42So it's been reported on is there are a number of the big platforms like Salesforce, Atlassian, others are saying, sorry, we don't want you to have access to everything in
- 13:53Slack or some other platform because we, their argument is that even though it's your data, we're protecting it.
- 14:02And it sounds very much like that.
- 14:03healthcare conversations, I think most companies are saying, wait a second, that doesn't feel like the contract that we agreed to that says our data, we're using it, we want to it
- 14:13used to her.
- 14:14And so they hold it close.
- 14:16And we saw this with the email providers of not allowing export, could you also take your network, your social network and graph and move it?
- 14:24So this is like a well-known version of things that have been going on.
- 14:29And then you see another side, is very much exactly what you see in the government is one team says, Hey, we need data from over there.
- 14:40And that would make this great product over here or we need to do it.
- 14:44And those parts of the organization are literally in a fight.
- 14:48And it's, it's, it's exact.
- 14:49It's, it looks exactly the same.
- 14:52And the bigger the company, the bigger the set of issues that, that, that are there.
- 14:56And usually it takes like some special initiative or somebody to
- 15:00to get there.
- 15:01And then the other one which I would say is very often the infrastructure of some of the bigger companies are not ready to leverage this data in the way that they technically need
- 15:11to be able to have in place.
- 15:14All right, so let's take a step back.
- 15:16What excites you most about AI today?
- 15:21Couple of things that I see that are the most exciting in AI right now.
- 15:24It's one, how much, if I, actually, sorry.
- 15:29What excites me the most about AI right now, if there's one thing above all else, it's actually how many people are working on it.
- 15:36If you look at...
- 15:38you talk to any college student kid, they're playing with something.
- 15:42They're not just playing with one thing, they're playing with all these things.
- 15:45You say, hey, how do you use AI?
- 15:47You learn all these incredible things about what they're doing.
- 15:50And you're just like, I never thought that.
- 15:52And it feels like the same way when mobile.
- 15:55was happening, you're like, I'd never thought about using the mobile device that way.
- 15:59They were building apps and doing all this.
- 16:00So we see just the raw number of human calories that are going into using this kind of foundation, foundational technology.
- 16:11to apply it to different areas.
- 16:12So that's one.
- 16:14Two, I am constantly surprised, both in my personal life and talking to other people and I hear from, in the various ways that they're using AI, whether it's something mundane like
- 16:26planning, you know, what to do with the kids on a rainy afternoon to taking care of somebody that, you know, they're trying to interpret.
- 16:36lab results or they're trying to understand what the doctor is saying because they're talking so fast.
- 16:42And what I found, you when I was working on precision medicine initiative, Cancer Moonshot, is we often dismiss the patient or the caregiver and say, oh, they need to have
- 16:55the doctor to understand this.
- 16:57But they get so much value from turning to Google.
- 17:01or pick your favorite search engine, that they now have jumped to that with the AI systems to manage the complexity or to say, what questions should I ask my physician?
- 17:13What should I ask my primary care physician?
- 17:15What should I ask the oncologist?
- 17:18And I see those things.
- 17:19I see people who are preparing flashcards and other things.
- 17:23And so the amount of innovation here is extraordinary.
- 17:28There is that flip side also that I see those people who are being left out because of the cost structure of these tools.
- 17:36see people whose careers are getting about, if not already getting disrupted, you see it coming very soon.
- 17:44And so that combination is front and center right now.
- 17:52Although do we deal with the challenges if people are using it for all of these situations, but we know these systems are imperfect.
- 18:01They may hallucinate bias, all the problems that data scientists are very familiar with.
- 18:08But now it's everyone using it for everything.
- 18:12So I think a few things that are there and there.
- 18:14One is, and this is getting really hard, the more we adopt these systems.
- 18:19There is an EI laziness, a complacency that happens, no different than when we trust, know, map software.
- 18:28Like you trust Google Maps, Apple Maps, pick your favorite one.
- 18:33You know, people just blindly drove off cliffs or people drove into lakes just because they were like ignoring reality.
- 18:39I used to do that in my class.
- 18:41There was an Uber driver who in San Francisco wound up stuck on a stairway because it showed that there was a road there, it actually literally a staircase and the car couldn't
- 18:49move.
- 18:49Yeah.
- 18:50they ignored all reality to do this.
- 18:55And so what I think there is a very real concern about what does this look like?
- 19:02when those type of issues happen.
- 19:05we saw this with search engines, like with people said, I want to harm myself or do something where self harm would happen.
- 19:13You'd get a great recipe to do so.
- 19:15mean, it was terrible until these issues were highlighted.
- 19:19And so what is that level of responsibility in the platforms for what you might call base level sort of duh kind of protections, like the obvious things.
- 19:32a set of things as you move up and I think it is very clear that these models are improving, getting better, substantially better, but the thing that has to happen in
- 19:43there, like if you're thinking about making a medical decision with this, you should be always thinking of this as a co-pilot, not the pilot, and I think that's easy for us to
- 19:54say.
- 19:55but as more and more people adopt it, and like the example you said of people, know, the Uber driver, the example they use in your class, that...
- 20:03exemplifies the problem we're going to have in society here.
- 20:08And there isn't an easy answer overall, but I do think of it as a steady, very aggressive testing approach, trying things out, red teaming.
- 20:19We actually wrote a book on this, a small book called Data and Ethics, to really kind of give practical ideas that you can do to get a sense of
- 20:29how dangerous the technology might be as you're building it, and what do you want to do and put guardrails in place for it?
- 20:37Yeah.
- 20:38What's the argument though to convince organizations to do that given that there's so much pressure to move as fast as possible?
- 20:44Yeah, so I think what we're in a version which I might call breaks versus gas.
- 20:50And there is a version of what I would say, know, previously, you know, over the last several years, we've been in a largely at least from policymakers as a breaks modality is
- 21:03like, how do we put breaks on this?
- 21:04How do we slow down?
- 21:05And many technologists were saying, we should stop development on AI.
- 21:08So hard breaks.
- 21:10We're right now in a moment where I think I would describe it as almost all gas, right?
- 21:14Everyone's like, it's a race for China.
- 21:16It's a race against each other.
- 21:18There's new opportunities.
- 21:19So it's go, go, go, go.
- 21:21We don't have the steering wheel.
- 21:24That's the problem.
- 21:25Policy is a steering wheel.
- 21:27And what does that happen at
- 21:30the state level, what has a federal level.
- 21:32So at the state level, there's some, what you might call duh legislations also, like these AI systems should not be allowed to use to generate porn or harms of kids or impersonate
- 21:47people without their uh permission.
- 21:50It should not be allowed to use to die healthcare or things like that.
- 21:54There's like a bunch that are obvious.
- 21:57despite all of those being put in, the number of bills that have been turned into law across the country, there has been next to nothing on the enforcement mechanism.
- 22:10And so how do you control this?
- 22:14There has to be that.
- 22:16And then the other portion of this, and this is where I think it's really important in academia, is that we have to teach everybody
- 22:26ethics, the notions of morality, civics, all of these things have to be integrated as we talk about what does it mean to not only build these technologies but use them in
- 22:37different examples and cases.
- 22:42No question.
- 22:42that's good for me to hear, because that's what we do in business school, at least at my institution.
- 22:47um
- 22:52the thing, you're exemplifying one of the biggest challenges that we have, is there is so much being done in pockets.
- 23:03We have yet to figure out where the right convening, the right molding place, how do we get the right people, the right organizational structures to take place inside the
- 23:15building of these AI systems to allow this to happen?
- 23:18Just in the same way that we went through in Web 2.0, we really realized that, hey, you can't have the general counsel way often on one side of the building.
- 23:29You have to actually embed the lawyers and policy people into the team.
- 23:35These became known as product counsel.
- 23:36A new model had to emerge to allow building these things correctly.
- 23:41That same version of iteration is now needed for these kind of technologies.
- 23:47Yeah, it's interesting.
- 23:48It's a good point.
- 23:49You're talking about organizational innovation.
- 23:50It's not the technical innovation.
- 23:52It's how we wrestle with this new complexity.
- 23:55I completely agree.
- 23:56That's right.
- 23:58oh What's your view about the speed of change that we're going to see going forward with AI?
- 24:04Will the next five years be as fast as the last five years or what do you think will determine that?
- 24:10Yeah, so here's my framework of how I've gotten my head around it is, you know, I think of these things in rate of change.
- 24:18So how fast is society changing?
- 24:20So one way to think of it is a basic company, a big company has like one major release a year.
- 24:27Car companies like, hey, this is our 2025 model or 2026 model, those type things.
- 24:32Apple, Google, they're like, here's our phone for the year, or here's our big operating system update.
- 24:37That's a 1x.
- 24:39Startups have an advantage because they typically release three times a year.
- 24:43So they are operating at a 3x versus a 1x.
- 24:47The crazy thing is AI companies are releasing at 7 to 10x.
- 24:53So startups are already on an exponential compared to the sort of flat, if you will, of traditional companies.
- 25:02AI companies, and they're using AI themselves to kind of keep on that 7 to 10x rate of progress.
- 25:11So the AI companies are rapidly outpacing everybody else.
- 25:15Meanwhile,
- 25:17policy changes roughly every 20, 30 years.
- 25:23So we're at a oh 0.02X versus a 10X.
- 25:29So that delta, it means an incredible imbalance.
- 25:32Culture inside companies changes decadally.
- 25:36So that's a 0.1X.
- 25:37So we go from 1X uh on the base level company, culture changing at 0.1.
- 25:44oh 0.02x for policy and 7 to 10x.
- 25:48So that imbalance means that we're set up for one of three things.
- 25:53Are we going to have a hard landing of society as the technology changes?
- 25:58Are we going to have a soft landing?
- 26:00And what opportunities are there?
- 26:02What accelerants are there?
- 26:03And the accelerants go to the companies that are leveraging the technology.
- 26:09But now we have to think about what does it mean for policy and other things to happen for mitigating a soft landing.
- 26:17And so the conference that I've been arguing for that I think we need to be having in every state level is to say, and the federal level to say, here are our 10 biggest
- 26:29economic drivers.
- 26:31What is AI going to do for them?
- 26:34and what is AI going to change and possibly hurt on those economic ones.
- 26:40Then we should have our 10 societal issues and what could AI do for it and what could it hurt.
- 26:47Here in California at least, agriculture, Hollywood, classic technology, a la Silicon Valley.
- 26:56What can AI do and not do there?
- 26:58Societal issues, homelessness, uh climate change.
- 27:03uh education, healthcare access, where can AI help?
- 27:08And that should define where and what populations are going to get impacted and what we can do both to create opportunities and mitigate that hard landing.
- 27:19It makes a lot of sense, but then I think even when you get to that point, so let's take education, we can see lots of incredible things that AI can do for learning.
- 27:30We can also see all kinds of problems, starting with students not having to think and just using the, pushing the button with the AI and doing a prompt as a substitute.
- 27:40And so just identifying that doesn't necessarily get us any closer to solving the problem.
- 27:47Yeah, so you're absolutely right.
- 27:49So from that, we need kind of concrete action plans and attempts to do things.
- 27:54The thing that I think is the most interesting right now, especially in the AI space, given the pace at which it's working, is every school, like just to stick on education,
- 28:03every school is an experiment.
- 28:06And different teachers are different experiments.
- 28:09And so some are finding ways that it works well, others are finding where it's a dud.
- 28:15And what we need to figure out is what are the templates from that?
- 28:20What can scale out of this?
- 28:22In the same way, I'm sure you've seen, I have seen in the higher academia, like in the university levels, other places, I'm always like, wow, that's a really cool use.
- 28:35I didn't think of incorporating AI that way into the class.
- 28:39And then once I see that as a pattern, I go, oh, I should do that.
- 28:45It's still hard to leverage that learning.
- 28:49And part of it is because I think we've, a lot of those other places, especially like in education or places where there's been the unions have largely said, I'll get all breaks.
- 28:59And there's also parts where it's good reason to say breaks, to be clear.
- 29:03But they've been so hard on breaks, they haven't given space for people to say, how are you using it?
- 29:08What could be done?
- 29:10And what might work?
- 29:13We saw this with Wikipedia where people were like, Wikipedia bad, you should never use it.
- 29:18You should go to the library and use Encyclopedia Britannica.
- 29:21And then finally we were able to say, oh wait, this actually works pretty well.
- 29:27Yeah, it's interesting.
- 29:29Similar to what we were talking about at the beginning about government, there is this tension though.
- 29:34On the one hand, experimentation is great.
- 29:38On the other hand, you can't just have everyone running in different directions.
- 29:42Ultimately, the organization needs to get everyone on board.
- 29:46You need to say, if you're getting a college degree, this is some aspect that you're getting out of your education.
- 29:52It's not just we happen to be in my class, you learn well, some other class you don't.
- 29:57So how do we take advantage of that potential of diversity, but at the same time, get the learnings out
- 30:06Yeah, so the evaluation frameworks for how we think about what is qualified, so to speak.
- 30:14That is a rapidly changing surface.
- 30:21And I would argue it's been changing before this.
- 30:24A lot of people were saying, how do you evaluate if somebody is good in one of these newer roles?
- 30:29What does it mean to be good as a software developer?
- 30:31Hmm
- 30:31Especially when you're like, you don't have to, you know, we used to have these things where he said, here's a laptop, write this code from scratch.
- 30:40And then we realized that's stupid because no one actually writes code from scratch.
- 30:45You go pull code from this GitHub repository in this place, you cut and paste templates together to go fast.
- 30:52It's a whole reason open source got created.
- 30:55You would never do it again.
- 30:57Like we don't write assembly code.
- 30:59We have apps that on top of it.
- 31:01em That same way we've had to move to the different frameworks of evaluation to the same way I think we're going to say what does it mean to be good at something.
- 31:12The thing that I think that is more so in at least education for me is portfolio of work.
- 31:19What have you done?
- 31:21Like, can you show things that are project-based?
- 31:23What have you built?
- 31:25Can you show your skills in practice?
- 31:28And, you know, I think that version that is very true in society, but we don't talk about it, is no one is really looking at your college grades anymore.
- 31:38People are looking at what you did in the internship.
- 31:42What did you perform there?
- 31:44Especially in the business school, I imagine, at least in my case, everyone calls a person's manager where they interned and said, where do you rank this person?
- 31:54What is that?
- 31:55I'm not even evaluating what classes they took per se.
- 31:59I'm putting them through a very different process to understand what can they do.
- 32:03And I'm really looking at what have they done to inform the...
- 32:10How do we set them up for success in an organization and cultural fit to all those other things?
- 32:15Sure.
- 32:16So this gets to a broad question about what the role is of humans.
- 32:22What you're talking about in this, particular example is you still get value out of having the manager give you that color.
- 32:29One of the things that's happening going forward with AI is, you know, we have this notion of value of humans in the loop, but as we give them more autonomy with agentic systems,
- 32:39there's less of that, at least in the process of getting to the result.
- 32:44So,
- 32:45How do you think about that step change for AI and what it means?
- 32:49Yeah, so there's a couple things that first, let me go back to some of the about ethics is people come into companies and think about the roles.
- 33:00One of the things that when any student is interviewing or anybody is interviewing in general, if you're ever interviewing anybody else, there's interviewing with me, they're
- 33:08going to get an ethics question.
- 33:11They're going to get an ethics question in there.
- 33:13And the only answer that's bad is, I don't know what to do.
- 33:21These are designed to be non-trivial, hard problems oh that you have to talk to, think through.
- 33:29And so the same way any person who's interviewing should ask the company, how do they handle uh ethical issues?
- 33:40What's their process?
- 33:41What do they do?
- 33:42And when people do that, start to, the company goes, wow, this is important and starts to really focus on it.
- 33:47There's a similar version of that with AI systems, agentic systems.
- 33:52And we definitely see that starting to merge where people are coming to companies are saying, which AI systems am I allowed to use?
- 34:00What am I not allowed to use?
- 34:02It's kind of like that version of like, do I get to use Microsoft Word back in the day, or do I have to still use a typewriter?
- 34:08You know, like,
- 34:10uh Maybe we just dated ourselves here.
- 34:14you got measured on how many words you could type for a while.
- 34:17And then that became a stupid measure.
- 34:19They were like, no, we don't even need to look at that anymore.
- 34:22You didn't put it on your resume back then.
- 34:25So people are saying what tools there are.
- 34:27And I think there's a flip version where also companies are like, which ones do you use?
- 34:31And what are you familiar with?
- 34:33That same version we're going to start seeing with agentic, which is like, you should be asking, well, how is the company thinking about this role with relation to agentic systems
- 34:45or other type things?
- 34:46And that tells you a little bit about the longevity of those kind of things.
- 34:51So in a hospital situation, they might say, what are you talking about?
- 34:57We're not going to be using agentic here.
- 34:59But other places, they may say, yes, this is really a clearly
- 35:03a temporary, temporary maybe two years kind of thing.
- 35:09Now,
- 35:10That's like one side of what the handshake is as you try to understand what the company is thinking about on agentic.
- 35:17Overall on agentic systems, think the thing and you know, what I think we're still in the very early beginnings to understand what agentic is.
- 35:26And the version I would tell people is when we had the opportunity to write the first national strategy on AI and autonomous systems, all these type things, what did we get
- 35:38wrong?
- 35:38We kind of thought, blue collar
- 35:40workers are the ones that are going to get disrupted first.
- 35:43And we realized, oh, dexterity is really hard.
- 35:47Creating robots is hard.
- 35:49Self-driving cars, way harder than anybody thought.
- 35:53And so there's a version in this which is, Egentic looks like, it's like, okay, and here it is, it's going to wipe out all this stuff.
- 36:00It's not that that's not yet the case.
- 36:02And I'd say at least for three to five years, we're going to be in this process of figuring it out.
- 36:10And there may be new companies that are fully agentic and take advantage of it.
- 36:14But there's a lot of things elsewhere.
- 36:16It's not going to be there.
- 36:18But no matter what I think of it as agentic.
- 36:22Well, a lot of these things is going to help you put stitch together your various apps or workflows.
- 36:28And in ideal, it's going to, it should make your workflow a lot easier because like one of the things that I see in customer service centers over and over again is somebody's like,
- 36:38or, know, when you call, they're like, sorry, I got to transfer you to this over to this person because they handle this.
- 36:44And then you're like, but I still need to get transferred back for this other thing.
- 36:47And you're kind of going back and forth.
- 36:49In theory, the agentic stuff should be able to pull all of that together so that it makes that customer service person's ability to be effective more so.
- 37:00And I think that customer service person is no longer a customer service person.
- 37:05They should be more of a concierge person that is there to give you the taste and the feel for all these things that make it work.
- 37:15It's fascinating how you've now come back to what you started when I asked you the question about 15 years ago in government, this challenge of putting together data as
- 37:27breaking through silos.
- 37:28We've come a tremendously long way, but we're still struggling with that same issue.
- 37:33That's absolutely right.
- 37:35if you think, as I mentioned earlier, the healthcare one is just front and center.
- 37:39It's like, what prevents us from moving faster on cancer?
- 37:45And I tell people all the time, it's like, it's not just a database.
- 37:49It's like 10,000s of databases scattered across the country where all this data sits.
- 37:55And the belief is, is if you pulled all that together,
- 38:00there are natural, like there are already solutions to different types of cancer out there.
- 38:07We just don't know what question to ask.
- 38:10And we've seen this over and over again.
- 38:12And then people ask like, well, why should we do it now?
- 38:15And you go, well, the next big, like not only is there, like we're all gonna experience this, whether we...
- 38:23suffer directly from cancer, we're going to have a loved one who goes through it.
- 38:25So there's a human direct aspect to it because this is a species disease, this is a genetic disease, a genomic disease.
- 38:33But then there's this other portion that is there is, well, who gets to these cures first?
- 38:40And you do have these big systems.
- 38:43know, this is why places like in China, they're trying to bring all this data together to kind of bring this next nouveau type of precision medicine in place.
- 38:53When we launched precision medicine, initially with like a couple hundred million dollars in funding, China responded with like eight or nine billion.
- 39:02You know, we finally moved our marker up to one billion, but they're still going hard at this because the next set of transformations in
- 39:10healthcare they want to own and they need it for their aging population.
- 39:15We need it.
- 39:15We get productivity.
- 39:16The healthier our population is, the cost bankrupt people.
- 39:20So if we can use AI the right way, is this.
- 39:24Can I go on a high horse for a second?
- 39:27So this is my angry moment.
- 39:29So if we think about healthcare, one of my biggest...
- 39:36problems about the space is we've done an amazing job of using healthcare data with the purpose of denying people care, charging more, and getting economic efficiencies.
- 39:49We're making physician burnout a problem.
- 39:52We're making the lines longer.
- 39:54All the things are wrong because of using data.
- 39:58We have yet to create the incentive structure to use this data to improve quality of care, provide better treatments, make efficiencies, better long-term outcomes.
- 40:11We have shown we can do it economically.
- 40:15by squeezing people for more, doing more, but we have not used data in any material way.
- 40:21We've got lots of great examples.
- 40:23We can identify sepsis earlier.
- 40:25We can do chronic kidney disease identification faster.
- 40:27We can do tons of stuff.
- 40:30We won't do it because the incentive structure isn't there to use data to help people.
- 40:37No, it's a very, very deep, hard, human problem.
- 40:40uh we still have a long way to go, but as you say, the opportunities are there.
- 40:46Unfortunately, we've got to wrap up, but DJ, it's really been a pleasure talking with you.
- 40:50As always, thank you.