Latest / She's On The Money / How to Value & Pick Shares
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hello.
- 0:01Speaker 2: My name's Santasha Nabananga Bamblet. I'm a proud yr the
- 0:05Speaker 2: Order Kerni Whalbury and a waddery woman. And before we
- 0:08Speaker 2: get started on She's on the Money podcast, I would
- 0:11Speaker 2: like to acknowledge the traditional custodians of the land of
- 0:14Speaker 2: which this podcast is recorded on a wondery country, acknowledging
- 0:18Speaker 2: the elders, the ancestors and the next generation coming through
- 0:23Speaker 2: as this podcast is about connecting, empowering, knowledge sharing and
- 0:27Speaker 2: the storytelling of you to make a difference for today
- 0:31Speaker 2: and lasting impact for tomorrow.
- 0:33Speaker 1: Let's get into it.
- 0:34Speaker 3: She's on the Money, She's on the Money.
- 0:57Speaker 4: Hello, and welcome to Money, the Podcast for millennials who
- 1:01Speaker 4: want financial freedom. My name is Georgia King, and joining
- 1:05Speaker 4: me as she does each and every week, is Victoria
- 1:08Speaker 4: Divine V.
- 1:09Speaker 1: How are we you, lucky duck? I am so good because,
- 1:12Speaker 1: to be really honest, we are recording two episodes this week.
- 1:16Speaker 1: We just did one, we had a lunch break and
- 1:18Speaker 1: now we're doing this one, which I'm really excited about.
- 1:20Speaker 1: But I'm really good because we just had a like
- 1:23Speaker 1: panco crusted egg plant barn me mouth ordering. If you've
- 1:28Speaker 1: never had that you're missing out.
- 1:30Speaker 4: You are missing out, So we're feeling energized, is what
- 1:32Speaker 4: we're challenging.
- 1:33Speaker 1: We are so ready to talk about shares and EBIT
- 1:36Speaker 1: ratings and what a PE ratio is. But let's go
- 1:39Speaker 1: back to the investment series that we did a couple
- 1:41Speaker 1: of months ago. Was ages ago. I feel like it
- 1:43Speaker 1: was only two months ago, but I feel like it
- 1:45Speaker 1: would have been like six months ago. But in saying that,
- 1:46Speaker 1: we do lots of investing contents, so I'm not surprised
- 1:49Speaker 1: that I'm confused. But we looked at the difference between
- 1:51Speaker 1: different types of investing platforms, and I feel like that
- 1:54Speaker 1: would be a really good precursor to today. Right, So if
- 1:57Speaker 1: you haven't listened to that episode, I would recommend going
- 1:59Speaker 1: back and having a listen to that because I feel
- 2:01Speaker 1: like this is the next level. We're not talking about
- 2:03Speaker 1: ETFs or managed funds or different product We're actually talking
- 2:07Speaker 1: about what it means to assess an individual company. And
- 2:10Speaker 1: I get asked this all the time, like how do
- 2:12Speaker 1: I look at a share that I'm going to buy?
- 2:14Speaker 1: And it's like, okay, well, if you've gotten to the
- 2:16Speaker 1: point where you've done your risk profile and you've worked
- 2:18Speaker 1: out what you want to invest in, and that investment
- 2:21Speaker 1: strategy includes individual shares. How do you pick it?
- 2:25Speaker 2: Like?
- 2:25Speaker 1: What happens if you log onto shares is and you're
- 2:27Speaker 1: trying to pick shares? Like, how do you do that?
- 2:30Speaker 1: So that's what this is about today. If you're new
- 2:32Speaker 1: to being a shared trader, you might be like WHOA well,
- 2:34Speaker 1: hold back, like, this is not my thing. We did
- 2:37Speaker 1: do a four part investment series which I would absolutely
- 2:39Speaker 1: recommend you go back to. But we're at a point
- 2:42Speaker 1: in life, Gee, where the community is saying, vee, we
- 2:44Speaker 1: really want to know more about how to individually value
- 2:47Speaker 1: stock and value a company, and that's what this episode
- 2:50Speaker 1: is all about. Now we're in a bear market, terrifying
- 2:53Speaker 1: but also really normal, Like the investment world and the
- 2:57Speaker 1: investment markets have cycles, and we're going through them. We've
- 3:01Speaker 1: sen this time and time again. Gee, We've been through
- 3:03Speaker 1: market corrections, We've been through bear markets, and we've been
- 3:05Speaker 1: through recessions before. It's not new. It's just so scary
- 3:10Speaker 1: that I think people tend to jump up and down
- 3:12Speaker 1: a little bit more than they need to, which puts
- 3:15Speaker 1: you in a position where consumers and us like basically
- 3:18Speaker 1: people who use the stock market to buy and sell trades,
- 3:21Speaker 1: we lose a bit of confidence. So I think now
- 3:23Speaker 1: is a really good time to start honing in and
- 3:25Speaker 1: focusing on it and going, yeah, you're right. The media
- 3:28Speaker 1: is jumping up and down and making us really scared.
- 3:30Speaker 1: But is this a bad thing? No, because shares could
- 3:32Speaker 1: be on sale, you could get a really good deal.
- 3:34Speaker 1: It could be a good time for you to start
- 3:37Speaker 1: your investment journey if you haven't before. So today we're
- 3:40Speaker 1: talking about tips and tricks that day traders use, not
- 3:43Speaker 1: necessarily tips and tricks I want you to necessarily use
- 3:46Speaker 1: because you might turn around g and go all right, well, actually,
- 3:49Speaker 1: after all that, that sounds like a lot of responsibility.
- 3:51Speaker 1: I actually just want to go buy an ETF or
- 3:53Speaker 1: I want to go and sign up to six Park
- 3:55Speaker 1: and have a robo advice platform because that aligns to
- 3:57Speaker 1: my values. But I use these tips every single day
- 4:01Speaker 1: when I am picking client portfolios, because I think a
- 4:04Speaker 1: good precursor to this is I am not just a
- 4:07Speaker 1: financial advisor. I am a direct share financial advisor, which
- 4:11Speaker 1: not all financial advisors are. It's not a flex it's
- 4:14Speaker 1: just part of your job of what you focus on
- 4:16Speaker 1: so my focus with my clients is often about creating
- 4:20Speaker 1: comprehensive investment portfolios made up of direct shares that I
- 4:23Speaker 1: then manage on their behalf. So a lot of my
- 4:25Speaker 1: clients don't have ETFs or managed funds. They actually have
- 4:29Speaker 1: direct shares, and we have a platform of maybe eight
- 4:32Speaker 1: to twelve different shares at any point in time. And
- 4:35Speaker 1: I usually deal with I guess you could say high
- 4:38Speaker 1: net wealth individuals, and I say that right here, G
- 4:40Speaker 1: not so I can go, hey, G, I work with
- 4:42Speaker 1: really rich people, Like, that's not it at all. I
- 4:45Speaker 1: say that because did you hear the number I said before?
- 4:48Speaker 1: Eight to twelve individual shares. That's what people with a
- 4:51Speaker 1: million dollar portfolio have. They're not picking thousands of companies.
- 4:56Speaker 1: They're not picking hundreds of companies. They are making sure
- 4:58Speaker 1: they have good diversification across the portfolio that makes sense
- 5:01Speaker 1: to them. But I don't think it's as comprehensive as
- 5:04Speaker 1: people think it's going to be, because I think if
- 5:07Speaker 1: I put up a pole, I really should have done this.
- 5:09Speaker 1: Maybe we'll do this another time. But if I put
- 5:11Speaker 1: up a pole on cheese on the money and said
- 5:13Speaker 1: how many different shares do you think someone with a
- 5:16Speaker 1: million dollar portfolio would hold. I guarantee you people be
- 5:19Speaker 1: like fifty one, one hundred and fifty because that's what
- 5:22Speaker 1: they think diversification entails, when it's not actually the case.
- 5:25Speaker 1: So I say this because I use these tips and tricks,
- 5:28Speaker 1: but I also say this as a hey, you can
- 5:31Speaker 1: go and be an individual share trader. These are some
- 5:33Speaker 1: tips and tricks that might help you along the way,
- 5:35Speaker 1: but it doesn't necessarily mean you'll get instant diversification because
- 5:39Speaker 1: to get good diversification you actually have to have a
- 5:41Speaker 1: fair bit of money behind it if you're picking. So
- 5:44Speaker 1: I think that's enough disclaimery.
- 5:45Speaker 4: Stuff's good, that's good.
- 5:47Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 5:47Speaker 4: I definitely am one of the people that would have
- 5:49Speaker 4: said fifty.
- 5:50Speaker 1: To eighty because it makes sense, right, because I think
- 5:52Speaker 1: if we look at ETFs and managed funds, and when
- 5:55Speaker 1: we talk about funds and indexes, I'll say things like, oh, yeah, gee,
- 5:59Speaker 1: the S and P three and you'll be like, oh,
- 6:01Speaker 1: that makes sense, that's the three hundred top companies. But
- 6:04Speaker 1: when you get into the nitty gritty of it, a
- 6:06Speaker 1: lot of more high net wealth clients actually have less
- 6:10Speaker 1: shares but more of them, And it just depends on
- 6:12Speaker 1: what they are, they're usually more blue chip stocks, So
- 6:16Speaker 1: we're not talking about buying an after pay here. We're
- 6:18Speaker 1: talking about buying one of the big four banks, and
- 6:21Speaker 1: they're usually high dividend, so good dividend paying shares that
- 6:25Speaker 1: don't have massive amounts of growth. Because if you're at
- 6:28Speaker 1: that point where you have a million dollars in an
- 6:30Speaker 1: investment portfolio, it's very likely that your tenacity to take
- 6:35Speaker 1: on risk is very low because you don't want to
- 6:37Speaker 1: lose what you already have. It's about maintaining capital stability
- 6:40Speaker 1: and about keeping cash in the bank, even if it
- 6:43Speaker 1: means you're not chasing those you know, sexy twenty percent
- 6:46Speaker 1: returns that some people are getting. My client's usually like
- 6:49Speaker 1: the the AM's five percent, Like that's that's what it is,
- 6:52Speaker 1: because we want to stay rich, like we don't want
- 6:55Speaker 1: to put that wealth at risk. So yeah, that's where
- 6:58Speaker 1: we're at today, and I feel like it could get
- 6:59Speaker 1: a little bit complex, and I do apologize, and I'll
- 7:01Speaker 1: try my best.
- 7:02Speaker 4: As always, we'll explain it, we'll break it down on
- 7:05Speaker 4: the complex note fee, there are a lot of acronyms
- 7:09Speaker 4: in today's episode. You just said S and P three
- 7:11Speaker 4: hundred you said ETF at the top you were like
- 7:14Speaker 4: EP trader or something like that, pe ratio. That's what
- 7:17Speaker 4: I meant to say, Why so many acronyms, Because.
- 7:20Speaker 1: Gee, there's a technical reason and the reason I believe
- 7:23Speaker 1: it exists. So we'll start with the reason I believe
- 7:25Speaker 1: that exists. And I believe that exists because mediocre, middle
- 7:28Speaker 1: aged white men want to make it seem more confusing
- 7:31Speaker 1: for young women to get into the investment market. Or
- 7:34Speaker 1: did you see the S and P five hundred today
- 7:36Speaker 1: It's at one point six percent, which is today great,
- 7:39Speaker 1: But like then if I said to you, well, actually
- 7:42Speaker 1: that is unnecessary, Like we just don't need this added
- 7:45Speaker 1: level of complexity. Let's shorten it. SMP means the Standard
- 7:49Speaker 1: and Pause and it's literally just the five hundred top
- 7:53Speaker 1: tracking companies in the American market as listed on the
- 7:56Speaker 1: US Exchange, and it's just tracking the average EBB and
- 7:59Speaker 1: flow of that. And the SMP five hundred is used
- 8:03Speaker 1: as a very normal index in our industry of how
- 8:06Speaker 1: the market's performing, because like, what are the top five
- 8:09Speaker 1: hundred companies doing? Like if it's up one percent, you're like, oh,
- 8:11Speaker 1: that's like one percent across five hundred companies. That must
- 8:14Speaker 1: mean there's something pretty okay going on in the market.
- 8:17Speaker 1: If it was down ten percent, you'd be like, wow,
- 8:19Speaker 1: what's happening in the industry kind of vibes. So I
- 8:21Speaker 1: feel like there's a lot of confusing acronyms, and as
- 8:24Speaker 1: you know, I try to steer away from them because
- 8:28Speaker 1: it's just not necessary, Like I don't need to use
- 8:30Speaker 1: an acronym to make myself seem smarter so that you
- 8:33Speaker 1: don't feel educated. But it's important for you to be
- 8:36Speaker 1: educated and know what these things are and when they're
- 8:39Speaker 1: used and how they're used. And ebit is one of
- 8:41Speaker 1: those things where I'm like, look, this is just what
- 8:42Speaker 1: it's going to be called on a balance sheet. So
- 8:44Speaker 1: if you're at a point in your investing journey where
- 8:46Speaker 1: you're like, I'm gonna invest in individual shares, cool, You're
- 8:49Speaker 1: probably gonna look at an annual report from a company
- 8:52Speaker 1: and ebit will be on it. So I need you
- 8:54Speaker 1: to know what to look out for. But I also
- 8:56Speaker 1: don't want you to think that they exist to make
- 8:58Speaker 1: you feel overwhelmed or confused us because how many times
- 9:02Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but I was on Tinder
- 9:04Speaker 1: before I met Steve and the amount of people that
- 9:07Speaker 1: I would meet that would try and be like, oh,
- 9:08Speaker 1: I'm an investor. I'm maybe it's more of a reflection
- 9:12Speaker 1: of the type of guy. I go, yeah, maybe Steve's
- 9:14Speaker 1: not like that. It's okay, bank time. He's a different kind.
- 9:17Speaker 1: But like the banker types would always like use complex
- 9:20Speaker 1: terminology and I'd be like, do you know what I
- 9:23Speaker 1: do as a job?
- 9:24Speaker 2: No?
- 9:24Speaker 1: Okay, no problems.
- 9:25Speaker 4: Yeah. I think it's a signal of a smarter person
- 9:28Speaker 4: to use simpler language that's much more accessible. But you
- 9:32Speaker 4: always talk about starting a journey of investment when you're
- 9:34Speaker 4: ready for it and not being influenced by other factors,
- 9:37Speaker 4: not trying to time the market and so on. Why
- 9:39Speaker 4: should I value shares before I buy them and not
- 9:42Speaker 4: just jump in if I feel like I'm ready or
- 9:44Speaker 4: if the prices are down.
- 9:46Speaker 1: Because as much as we can't time the market, and
- 9:48Speaker 1: we shouldn't be trying to toe the market because again
- 9:51Speaker 1: I'd be really really rich, we don't want to be
- 9:53Speaker 1: overpaying for shares that are driven by hype. We don't
- 9:56Speaker 1: want to be in a situation where you're ready to
- 9:59Speaker 1: invest in your like you know what I want to
- 10:00Speaker 1: do I want to get some blue chip shares G.
- 10:03Speaker 1: And when I say blue chip, blue chip shares are
- 10:06Speaker 1: companies that are really well known and highly respected, so
- 10:09Speaker 1: it's by customers and the market and business analysts. We're
- 10:13Speaker 1: not talking businesses that have just come out of nowhere.
- 10:16Speaker 1: We're talking about those tried, true resources. We're talking about
- 10:20Speaker 1: the big four banks G. We're talking about you know,
- 10:22Speaker 1: things like Macquarie and West Farmers, businesses that have been
- 10:26Speaker 1: in the Australian economy for a really long time. They
- 10:29Speaker 1: might not be shares that are completely outperforming the market,
- 10:33Speaker 1: but they're are tried and true and steady, like Telstra
- 10:36Speaker 1: is another blue chip stock. And the reason we say
- 10:40Speaker 1: that these are blue chip stocks is one because they
- 10:42Speaker 1: are literally just well known companies respected have good businesses
- 10:46Speaker 1: behind them. Blue Chip is a term used in the
- 10:49Speaker 1: financial services industry as a term that's kind of perceived
- 10:53Speaker 1: as being safe havens due to their stability during times
- 10:57Speaker 1: like now where you know, the markets might not be
- 10:59Speaker 1: doing well. So those fancy tech stocks people are going
- 11:02Speaker 1: to sell up. But West Farmers, what do they own?
- 11:04Speaker 1: Their own Bunnings and they own Kmart and Target and
- 11:08Speaker 1: those are all things that people still need during times
- 11:10Speaker 1: of economic downturn, banks, people still need Woolworths, people still
- 11:15Speaker 1: need to go to the supermarket. So these are shares
- 11:18Speaker 1: that are going to perform. I mean, they might be down,
- 11:21Speaker 1: but they're going to still exist because they're basic human
- 11:24Speaker 1: needs at the end of the day. So you'll often
- 11:26Speaker 1: see a lot more fluctuation in shares, like again, fancy
- 11:29Speaker 1: tech stocks, where if people have money and they have
- 11:32Speaker 1: a lot of confidence, they're like, oh, I'm buying all
- 11:34Speaker 1: these after pay shares where are second the market turns,
- 11:37Speaker 1: they're like, oh, better pull back on that, Whereas people
- 11:40Speaker 1: are less likely to pull back on a Woolworths share
- 11:42Speaker 1: because they're like, oh, pandemic toilet paper sales throw the roof.
- 11:46Speaker 1: Does that make sense?
- 11:47Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, gotcha. So would you say it's like the
- 11:51Speaker 4: best way to value a company's worth.
- 11:54Speaker 1: Toilet paper they sell.
- 11:56Speaker 4: No, would it be to compare it to a company
- 11:58Speaker 4: that's similar and see how their stock is.
- 12:01Speaker 1: Yeah, you absolutely can. And that's why I find it
- 12:03Speaker 1: so interesting talking about share prices, because the share prices
- 12:08Speaker 1: across the big four banks are quite significantly different. You
- 12:11Speaker 1: would assume big four bank right, very similar share price,
- 12:14Speaker 1: but that's actually not the case at all. So it's
- 12:17Speaker 1: not like comparing apples with apples where you go bank
- 12:19Speaker 1: good cheap. They all have different business structures behind them
- 12:23Speaker 1: and performance analytics and dividend yields and performance that drives
- 12:28Speaker 1: their perception in the market as to what they're worth.
- 12:30Speaker 1: So a good example of this is combank shares are
- 12:33Speaker 1: really expensive. So today as of recording combank shares and
- 12:37Speaker 1: ninety one dollars and sixteen cents per share, you go,
- 12:40Speaker 1: all right, no problems. But that is going to be
- 12:42Speaker 1: built up of you know, their historical data, how well
- 12:45Speaker 1: they've done in the market. It's going to be built
- 12:47Speaker 1: up of what their dividend payart is, so how much
- 12:50Speaker 1: money you make from owning that share. It's going to
- 12:52Speaker 1: be made up of you know, consumer demand and how
- 12:54Speaker 1: much somebody wants that share and what their past performance was.
- 12:58Speaker 1: So if I then said, well, it's a NAB share
- 13:00Speaker 1: worth George, what would you say?
- 13:02Speaker 4: You'd assume similar?
- 13:04Speaker 1: Right, So a NAB share is twenty seven dollars fifty
- 13:06Speaker 1: eight much cheaper exactly. So are we saying that one
- 13:10Speaker 1: bank's better than the other?
- 13:12Speaker 2: No?
- 13:12Speaker 1: Do they both have the government guarantee of two hundred
- 13:15Speaker 1: and fifty thousand dollars for everybody. Yes, they do. Do
- 13:18Speaker 1: they all have similar business practices at the crux of it,
- 13:21Speaker 1: yes and no, But they all have different marketing strategies
- 13:25Speaker 1: like banks now are bringing out different after pay options
- 13:28Speaker 1: or buy now pay later options. Banks are doing different things.
- 13:31Speaker 1: They all are different businesses. So you can't just go
- 13:34Speaker 1: bank compared with bank and assume that that's going to
- 13:37Speaker 1: be like a good deal, because if you look at it, go,
- 13:40Speaker 1: oh my gosh, Well, if combank shares are ninety one dollars,
- 13:44Speaker 1: it's a money win to buy NAB shares. Past performance
- 13:47Speaker 1: over the last five years for a NAB share is
- 13:49Speaker 1: actually down seven point four percent. You go, okay, no problems.
- 13:53Speaker 1: Well what does that compare to this ninety one dollar
- 13:55Speaker 1: one This one's so much more expensive. Past performance on
- 13:59Speaker 1: a combank share If today it is ninety one dollars
- 14:01Speaker 1: and nine cents, past performance actually up ten point nine
- 14:06Speaker 1: two percent. Oh wow. So you go, all right, this
- 14:08Speaker 1: clearly isn't apples with apples. When we start to get
- 14:11Speaker 1: into it, and I'm not saying this to confuse you,
- 14:13Speaker 1: I just don't want you lumping all banks in with
- 14:15Speaker 1: one and going, oh, they must be equal. I've got
- 14:17Speaker 1: a bank, because it actually becomes a little bit more
- 14:19Speaker 1: finicky than that. And we're having this conversation off air
- 14:22Speaker 1: right before we started recording, and we're talking about how
- 14:25Speaker 1: Combank shares over the last month have absolutely decreased, like
- 14:29Speaker 1: they've gone over the last month down thirteen point five
- 14:32Speaker 1: eight percent. And in the investment world, there's a lot
- 14:35Speaker 1: of conversation about whether it's worth adding to your portfolio
- 14:38Speaker 1: at the moment. So when I go and talk to
- 14:40Speaker 1: my stockbrokers, because as a financial advisor, I obviously pulled
- 14:44Speaker 1: together a portfolio for my clients, but a lot of
- 14:48Speaker 1: that happens because I'm having back and forth conversations with
- 14:50Speaker 1: different stockbrokers and different research houses and understanding what that
- 14:54Speaker 1: means and how to pull it together. And that seems
- 14:56Speaker 1: to be a common topic at the moment. What's going
- 14:59Speaker 1: on with Combank? How does that work? Does that mean
- 15:01Speaker 1: we should be adding it, should we be selling some
- 15:03Speaker 1: of it? What does that mean for clients? So I
- 15:04Speaker 1: think it's interesting, Ge when you ask me a very
- 15:07Speaker 1: clean question of like, all right, will you do just
- 15:09Speaker 1: compare it to a like business that makes sense yeah,
- 15:12Speaker 1: but unfortunately it's not as clean car as that.
- 15:15Speaker 4: So basic question from me be surprise, surprise, but I
- 15:18Speaker 4: think it's probably a good place to start before we
- 15:20Speaker 4: get into the thick of things. What's an undervalued share
- 15:23Speaker 4: versus an overvalued share?
- 15:25Speaker 1: So, and this gets confusing because I'm going to talk
- 15:28Speaker 1: about intrinsic and extrinsic value here. So an overvalued asset
- 15:33Speaker 1: is an investment that's trading for more money than what
- 15:35Speaker 1: its intrinsic value is. And an undervalued share is a
- 15:39Speaker 1: financial term for referring to a security or any other
- 15:41Speaker 1: type of investment that's selling in a market for a
- 15:44Speaker 1: price that's presumed to be below the investment's true intrinsic value.
- 15:48Speaker 1: So when we talk about intrinsic and extrinsic it's I
- 15:52Speaker 1: feel like these words get really complex, really quickly. So essentially,
- 15:56Speaker 1: intrinsic value is like the fundamental objective value of that object. Right,
- 16:01Speaker 1: So the intrinsic value of a one dollar coin, what
- 16:04Speaker 1: is it? G one dollar? So if you paid a
- 16:07Speaker 1: dollar ten for a one dollar coin, are you undervaluing
- 16:11Speaker 1: it or overvaluing it? Over over over over over. But
- 16:15Speaker 1: you're overvaluing it because you're paying more than what that
- 16:18Speaker 1: value of that asset is. Same for a two dollar coin, right,
- 16:21Speaker 1: So a two dollar coin is worth two dollars. If
- 16:23Speaker 1: you want to paid two dollars fifty for that coin
- 16:25Speaker 1: to get it in your possession, you've paid more than
- 16:28Speaker 1: what it's worth. Because when the market settles down, and
- 16:30Speaker 1: maybe I don't know, maybe you're a coin collector and
- 16:32Speaker 1: you will want to jump down my throat. But this
- 16:34Speaker 1: was a good example. But when the market comes down
- 16:37Speaker 1: and there's heaps of two dollars coins out there, it's
- 16:39Speaker 1: not going to be worth two dollars fifty anymore. It's
- 16:41Speaker 1: going to go back to what it's genuinely worth. Right,
- 16:44Speaker 1: So fundamentally base value, it's base value. Fundamentally what is
- 16:48Speaker 1: it worth? And fundamentals in the world of investment are
- 16:53Speaker 1: really important to understand because they sit under market hype,
- 16:57Speaker 1: they sit under what's going on, and that's what investment
- 17:00Speaker 1: advisors are looking for. So like I want in a
- 17:03Speaker 1: perfect world, right, I want a client to come to
- 17:05Speaker 1: me and be like they want to start an investment portfolio.
- 17:07Speaker 1: I've got this amount of money and I go shopping
- 17:09Speaker 1: for shares and I'm like, oh, my God, all these
- 17:11Speaker 1: companies are undervalued because they're Intrinsic value is telling me
- 17:15Speaker 1: I should be paying ten dollars a share for this,
- 17:18Speaker 1: but they're asking eight dollars a share. This is a
- 17:20Speaker 1: money win. So it's one of those things where it's
- 17:23Speaker 1: not as confusing so intrinsic value, it's that innate internal
- 17:27Speaker 1: value of just what that asset is worth. Does that
- 17:31Speaker 1: make sense?
- 17:31Speaker 4: It does make sense? And am I right in thinking?
- 17:34Speaker 4: This is Warren Buffett's investing strategy. He buys the undervalued shares,
- 17:39Speaker 4: who likes the underdog.
- 17:40Speaker 1: To contrast that, though, the opposite is called an extrinsic value,
- 17:44Speaker 1: So intrinsic internal, extrinsic external yep, and extrinsic value is
- 17:49Speaker 1: the difference between the market price of an option and
- 17:52Speaker 1: it's premium. So often if we're talking about the extrinsic
- 17:55Speaker 1: value of a share, well, that's that two dollar coin
- 17:57Speaker 1: that was once touched by Taylor Swift. So therefore you
- 18:00Speaker 1: guys are paying two dollars fifty for it. Is that
- 18:02Speaker 1: asset actually worth two dollars or is it worth two
- 18:05Speaker 1: dollars fifty? Probably two dollars, But you're willing to pay
- 18:08Speaker 1: a premium. Take t swift, she touched it.
- 18:10Speaker 4: And more people want it, so the price is increased.
- 18:14Speaker 1: Does that make sense?
- 18:14Speaker 4: Making sense?
- 18:15Speaker 1: Extrinsic value is how it's driven by the market, and
- 18:18Speaker 1: intrinsic value is its genuine, fundamental base price.
- 18:22Speaker 4: So is it always safe, then, to buy an undervalued stock.
- 18:26Speaker 4: That sounds like the right way to go.
- 18:28Speaker 1: It sounds like a really good way Laaren's doing it.
- 18:30Speaker 1: But what makes it undervalued? So how do you actually
- 18:33Speaker 1: know that that's a good deal or not. You might go,
- 18:35Speaker 1: all right, well, it's a blue chip stock, it's undervalued.
- 18:38Speaker 1: Oh what a money win, And then you find out
- 18:41Speaker 1: that you didn't know something that you needed to know
- 18:44Speaker 1: to make that decision, and you already purchased those shares.
- 18:47Speaker 1: For example, you might purchase shares and think it's a
- 18:49Speaker 1: great money win, but the market's been really slowing down
- 18:52Speaker 1: and you haven't known why. And then later an annual
- 18:54Speaker 1: report comes out and that business has not performed as
- 18:57Speaker 1: well as you thought it would. So it's intrinsic value
- 19:00Speaker 1: is not as much as you actually thought it would be.
- 19:03Speaker 1: So it might not actually be undervalued. It's been deemed
- 19:06Speaker 1: undervalued because of the research and information that's available about
- 19:10Speaker 1: it right now. Same thing happens when we find out
- 19:13Speaker 1: a company's done something really cheeky or naughty or abused
- 19:16Speaker 1: the situation or made use of something they shouldn't have
- 19:19Speaker 1: made use of. When it comes out, they go, well,
- 19:21Speaker 1: your intrinsic value is going to go down. Because intrinsic
- 19:24Speaker 1: value is made up of things like, you know, the
- 19:26Speaker 1: balance sheet and the profit and loss statement and all
- 19:28Speaker 1: those financial things, but it's also like brand reputation. Yeah, Like,
- 19:32Speaker 1: if you look at Telstra, what's their brand reputation in
- 19:36Speaker 1: the industry for service they provide when you compare it
- 19:38Speaker 1: to any other phone carrier, right, Like, there's a reason
- 19:41Speaker 1: their consumers are willing to pay more for that product.
- 19:43Speaker 1: And it's not just about coverage, Like, guys, it's twenty
- 19:46Speaker 1: twenty two coverage not that hard to sort out anymore.
- 19:50Speaker 1: But people are still willing to pay more for that
- 19:52Speaker 1: service because they align it with quality. So intrinsic value
- 19:57Speaker 1: is obviously those fundamental things. You've also got to have
- 20:01Speaker 1: your hat on the right way and know that it's
- 20:04Speaker 1: not just about the financial sometimes, gotcha, that makes sense.
- 20:07Speaker 4: It does make sense.
- 20:08Speaker 1: The ones would all just be buying Cole's home brand everything,
- 20:11Speaker 1: wouldn't we.
- 20:11Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly right? So on that, how do you actually
- 20:15Speaker 4: analyze the market though, Like, how do you know what's
- 20:17Speaker 4: undervalued and what's overvalued?
- 20:19Speaker 2: Where?
- 20:19Speaker 4: Like where do we begin?
- 20:20Speaker 1: Are you ready? Are you ready? All right? So there's
- 20:23Speaker 1: two schools of thought on this when it comes down
- 20:26Speaker 1: to it. There's technical and fundamental analysis And what did
- 20:29Speaker 1: I teach you before? Fundamental is intrinsically valued nice and
- 20:35Speaker 1: technical sits more on the extrinsically valued side of things. Ah,
- 20:39Speaker 1: Investors and financial advisors and traders use both of these
- 20:43Speaker 1: to research and work out what stock price is. And
- 20:46Speaker 1: from my perspective as a financial advisor, I think that
- 20:49Speaker 1: they go hand in hand. But you will meet some
- 20:52Speaker 1: financial advisors or some investment advisors or some economists that
- 20:56Speaker 1: only subscribe to one of those schools of thought, and
- 20:59Speaker 1: they'll be like, we are look at fundamental or we
- 21:01Speaker 1: only like technical or whatever it is, because sometimes people
- 21:05Speaker 1: get really caught up in the semantics of it. Go figure,
- 21:08Speaker 1: So we've got the intrinsic and the extrinsic and it
- 21:11Speaker 1: kind of goes back to when I was doing my
- 21:13Speaker 1: psych degree, just way back when I feel like it
- 21:16Speaker 1: was yesterday, the same time as being told that we've
- 21:18Speaker 1: got a ten year reunion coming up.
- 21:20Speaker 4: So what.
- 21:22Speaker 1: But we spoke a lot about qualitative versus quantitative measurement
- 21:26Speaker 1: and the different ways that you can measure things. So
- 21:29Speaker 1: qualitative data is like that kind of more fluffier data gee,
- 21:34Speaker 1: So it's not necessarily a numerical value. Whereas if we
- 21:37Speaker 1: talked about quantitative quantity, like the number associated with it,
- 21:43Speaker 1: so it might be, you know, a scale of one
- 21:44Speaker 1: to five, where do you sit on this? Most people
- 21:47Speaker 1: were three. It is very fact based, whereas quantitative is like, well,
- 21:51Speaker 1: how did the podcast make you feel? Or how did
- 21:54Speaker 1: this business make you feel? And then we collect a
- 21:56Speaker 1: whole heap of data and we actually just look for
- 21:58Speaker 1: similarities in it. There's no hard and fast rule or
- 22:02Speaker 1: number associated with it. So there's like the soft and
- 22:05Speaker 1: the hard, and from my perspective, we're making a good
- 22:08Speaker 1: investment decision. We need to take both of these things
- 22:10Speaker 1: into a consideration. Right, Because I'm quite vocal not online,
- 22:15Speaker 1: but just quite vocal in my everyday life about you know,
- 22:18Speaker 1: the importance of ethical fashion. So if we looked at
- 22:21Speaker 1: a company like Sheen, right, they at their crux of it,
- 22:25Speaker 1: they probably have really good financials. They probably are blowing
- 22:28Speaker 1: it out of the water. They are a fast fashion
- 22:30Speaker 1: brand who have managed to capture a massive part of
- 22:32Speaker 1: the market. They are churning out shitloads of clothes and content,
- 22:37Speaker 1: and from their perspective, they're probably doing really well. Then
- 22:41Speaker 1: you look at the quality of data on that and
- 22:43Speaker 1: you go, but they're abusing the system. They aren't doing
- 22:45Speaker 1: the right thing when it comes to child labor, they
- 22:48Speaker 1: aren't doing the right thing when it comes to you know.
- 22:50Speaker 4: The environment.
- 22:51Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 22:51Speaker 1: So for me to make a good decision as to
- 22:54Speaker 1: whether Geking on Tour should be buying that as a share,
- 22:58Speaker 1: I don't want to just look at their fine I
- 23:00Speaker 1: want to look at the holistic picture. And I think
- 23:02Speaker 1: that when it comes to looking at shares and putting
- 23:05Speaker 1: something in your portfolio, I think everybody should be doing that,
- 23:08Speaker 1: not just because of your values, but because values often
- 23:12Speaker 1: drive economies, and I think that that should be really
- 23:15Speaker 1: taken into consideration. But that is my take. You might
- 23:18Speaker 1: be like, V love Sheen and I'll be like, we're
- 23:20Speaker 1: probably not friends, But that's.
- 23:22Speaker 4: Okay, okay in terms of value something on Sheen. No, Yeah,
- 23:26Speaker 4: for good reasoning or not, you're a nagnata kind of gal.
- 23:29Speaker 4: I just can't see you buying fast fashion ge King,
- 23:32Speaker 4: But I mean, I understand why people do, but I
- 23:34Speaker 4: think it's something that we're really turning away from as
- 23:37Speaker 4: a society, which is brilliant because it's.
- 23:39Speaker 1: A huge I agree, and I think that's maybe a
- 23:42Speaker 1: really good point for me to just drop in there.
- 23:45Speaker 1: I'm not actually against fast fashion. I think that there
- 23:48Speaker 1: is a place for it. I'm not actually against fast
- 23:51Speaker 1: fashion in the way you think that I might be,
- 23:53Speaker 1: because I think that accessibility is really important, and I
- 23:56Speaker 1: think that if you're starting to crucify people just for
- 23:59Speaker 1: buying cheaply, there's something fundamentally wrong with our economy and
- 24:03Speaker 1: our system and our community. Like some people genuinely need
- 24:06Speaker 1: access to clothing items that are at a kmart price point,
- 24:11Speaker 1: like at the end of the day, that is what
- 24:13Speaker 1: it is. And I think it's really beautiful that there
- 24:15Speaker 1: is a level of quality there that they can be
- 24:18Speaker 1: assured of so that they can get wear out of
- 24:20Speaker 1: clothes if that's you know, that's aligned to their budget.
- 24:23Speaker 1: What I don't like is the consumerism behind fast fashion,
- 24:26Speaker 1: where it's like we're that top onees and throw it
- 24:28Speaker 1: away exactly. That's what we're crucifying when we talk about
- 24:31Speaker 1: fast fashion, not about companies who are selling cheap clothes.
- 24:34Speaker 1: Does that make sense?
- 24:36Speaker 4: Back to finance, So, yes, we've got fundamental analysis speed,
- 24:40Speaker 4: and we've got technical analysis. Tell me a little bit
- 24:42Speaker 4: more about technical analysis.
- 24:43Speaker 1: I know you don't mean that. I know you're just
- 24:45Speaker 1: like looking at it. Going V mentioned this, I probably
- 24:47Speaker 1: should follow up because people are interested.
- 24:49Speaker 4: On behalf of the listeners.
- 24:50Speaker 1: Thank you, you are so kind. So technical analysis is
- 24:53Speaker 1: all that like stats and algorithms that analyze the share
- 24:56Speaker 1: price movement over time to find out the underl lying
- 25:00Speaker 1: market trends or what we call market sentiment based on
- 25:03Speaker 1: the number of people that are buying and selling that stock.
- 25:05Speaker 1: So you know, if it's really popular, it might be
- 25:07Speaker 1: worth more, not necessarily because the business is doing better,
- 25:10Speaker 1: but because everybody's talking about after pay. Does that make sense.
- 25:14Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 25:14Speaker 1: So analysts then use stock charts to identify patterns which
- 25:18Speaker 1: maybe will suggest future trends for stocks and shares and
- 25:22Speaker 1: stuff like that. Also clarify stock and share same thing.
- 25:26Speaker 1: I use them interchangeably. I much prefer the word share
- 25:29Speaker 1: only because I feel like it's a little bit more Australian,
- 25:32Speaker 1: whereas stock feels very stock. Mard Yeah, I just feel
- 25:35Speaker 1: like it's got like a mansplainy vibe to it. So
- 25:38Speaker 1: often shy away from it. But the core assumption is
- 25:41Speaker 1: that all known fundamentals from fundamental analysis are already factored
- 25:45Speaker 1: into price, and thus there's no need to pay close
- 25:47Speaker 1: attention to them. I don't particularly subscribe to that, you
- 25:50Speaker 1: know how I said before, some people will like poopoo
- 25:53Speaker 1: fundamental and be like it's a waste of time. I
- 25:55Speaker 1: just don't think it is. I just want to know
- 25:57Speaker 1: what's going on. I want to know when I'm getting
- 25:59Speaker 1: a good deal. I want to genuinely be able to
- 26:01Speaker 1: explain that to my clients as well. I don't want
- 26:03Speaker 1: to just say I know what I'm talking about, trust me,
- 26:05Speaker 1: Like it's just it's not enough for.
- 26:07Speaker 4: Me, okay, perfect, I feel like I grasp what a
- 26:09Speaker 4: technical analysis is. Thank you so much for me. I
- 26:12Speaker 4: think we should press pause here, go to a little break,
- 26:14Speaker 4: and then on the other side we are going to
- 26:16Speaker 4: dive into exactly how it can value stocks, How to
- 26:20Speaker 4: make sense of all is that.
- 26:20Speaker 1: About pe ratios? The pig ratio We're going to talk
- 26:23Speaker 1: about the price book ratio, which is the PB ratio,
- 26:26Speaker 1: which is not a PB and jelly sandwich, which is
- 26:28Speaker 1: kind of disappointing.
- 26:29Speaker 4: A little bit, but there's so much fun to come.
- 26:31Speaker 4: Don't go anywhere, guys, All right, straight back into it. VD,
- 26:39Speaker 4: tell me how on earth do I begin it to
- 26:42Speaker 4: value a share? Seems overwhelmed, Okay.
- 26:44Speaker 1: So let's strip it back. There are three different ways
- 26:47Speaker 1: that you're able to put a value or a relative
- 26:50Speaker 1: value on a share. So the first is the PE ratio,
- 26:53Speaker 1: that is the price to earnings ratio, the second is
- 26:57Speaker 1: the price to earning growth ratio, and then the third
- 27:02Speaker 1: is the price book ratio. There are going to be,
- 27:05Speaker 1: if you google it, a million different ways to value
- 27:08Speaker 1: a share, but in the industry in Australia, these are
- 27:11Speaker 1: the most common or the top three most common ways
- 27:15Speaker 1: of valuing a share. Yes, there's more. Do you need
- 27:18Speaker 1: to know more at this point in your journey? Probably not,
- 27:20Speaker 1: So we're just going to focus on getting these three right.
- 27:23Speaker 1: So first things first, I know you are on the
- 27:25Speaker 1: edge of your seat, Georgia.
- 27:26Speaker 4: King, price earnings ratio, what is it?
- 27:29Speaker 1: PE ratio?
- 27:30Speaker 4: PE ratio?
- 27:31Speaker 1: So it looks at a company's recent or forecasted so
- 27:34Speaker 1: recent or predicted earnings per share so against what the
- 27:38Speaker 1: current market price of the share is, and it has
- 27:40Speaker 1: a look at that and says, is what we are
- 27:42Speaker 1: predicting they are worth in the future actually similar to
- 27:47Speaker 1: the current market priuce of what people are paying for
- 27:49Speaker 1: this share. And sometimes that'll be really low or sometimes
- 27:53Speaker 1: that'll be really high. But that ratio gives people a
- 27:56Speaker 1: really good indicator of whether it's a good deal or not.
- 27:59Speaker 1: So the earnings per share, or what the industry calls
- 28:01Speaker 1: that the EPs, is the proportion of the company's profit
- 28:05Speaker 1: allocated back to each individual share. To figure out a
- 28:09Speaker 1: company's PE ratio, we need to do some really quick maths.
- 28:12Speaker 1: We need to look at the company's earnings per share,
- 28:15Speaker 1: which is really readily available in their annual report or
- 28:18Speaker 1: their quarterly report, or it's usually on their website. It's
- 28:20Speaker 1: not a hard number to find. Then you divide the
- 28:23Speaker 1: current price per share by the earnings per share to
- 28:27Speaker 1: find your PE ratio. So if a company has a
- 28:31Speaker 1: quote adjusted EPs figures or earnings per share figures, use
- 28:35Speaker 1: these instead. Is they going to take into account any
- 28:38Speaker 1: major expenses that were incurred during that period that might
- 28:40Speaker 1: affect the EPs. So for example, if they acquired a
- 28:43Speaker 1: new factory, or they bought something really big or invested
- 28:47Speaker 1: in a new database or something like that, that's an outlier,
- 28:51Speaker 1: like that's not a common thing to happen each and
- 28:52Speaker 1: every single year, so they might have an adjusted figure
- 28:55Speaker 1: fit used so that you can still value the company
- 28:57Speaker 1: without absolutely blowing it out of border. So to run
- 29:00Speaker 1: a quick example for you, if a company currently has
- 29:02Speaker 1: a share price of one hundred bucks, so close to
- 29:05Speaker 1: what Combank has, but like imagine if Combank got to
- 29:07Speaker 1: one hundred, I think my group chat for financial advisors
- 29:10Speaker 1: would go off. It would be a fleet. Anyway, company
- 29:13Speaker 1: has a share price of one hundred dollars and an
- 29:15Speaker 1: earnings per share of ten dollars as stated in its
- 29:18Speaker 1: latest report. If we use the formula, the company's PEE
- 29:22Speaker 1: ratio would then be ten. Pretty quick maths.
- 29:24Speaker 4: Pretty quick maths.
- 29:25Speaker 1: Feel like it was so confusing, guys. It's podcast will
- 29:28Speaker 1: do a whole lot of post on this, and it
- 29:30Speaker 1: will be in the blog post because it's in front
- 29:32Speaker 1: of me. We've already done the work. We will share
- 29:33Speaker 1: it with you. But the pe ratio works best when
- 29:36Speaker 1: comparing apples with apples. So most investors would argue that
- 29:39Speaker 1: a share price with a lower pe ratio compared to
- 29:42Speaker 1: its peers is cheaper and could be undervalued. So that's
- 29:46Speaker 1: a way of having a look at it and going
- 29:48Speaker 1: what does this mean? How does that work? But see
- 29:50Speaker 1: how now we're into talking about a price per earning ratio,
- 29:54Speaker 1: not a price per share George, So before I gave
- 29:57Speaker 1: you the example and said, wow, twenty seven dollars for
- 29:59Speaker 1: a NAB share but ninety one for a Combak share,
- 30:01Speaker 1: and you go, well, that makes no sense. How do
- 30:03Speaker 1: I pick? But then we introduce something like this price
- 30:06Speaker 1: to earnings ratio and you go, oh okay. So I
- 30:10Speaker 1: would just take the share price and what it actually
- 30:12Speaker 1: paid and I'd get a score. And then the lower
- 30:15Speaker 1: the score, the quote cheaper it is. So it doesn't
- 30:18Speaker 1: actually matter that one's twenty seven dollars and one's ninety one.
- 30:22Speaker 1: We kind of put them on a level playing field,
- 30:25Speaker 1: and that's the way we do that. Does that make sense?
- 30:27Speaker 4: Does make sense?
- 30:28Speaker 1: Makes you go, oh, that's not as overwhelming. I don't
- 30:30Speaker 1: have to go ones expensive or one's cheap. You go, well,
- 30:33Speaker 1: what is that twenty seven dollars returning if that's what
- 30:36Speaker 1: we're paying for a NAB share, or what is that
- 30:38Speaker 1: ninety one dollars returning for that combat share? Does that
- 30:41Speaker 1: make sense? I hope I'm making sense. This is really hard.
- 30:43Speaker 1: But gee, at the end of the day, there's no
- 30:45Speaker 1: definitive what's quote good ratio when it comes to it,
- 30:49Speaker 1: I can't be like, hey, a five is good and
- 30:50Speaker 1: a ten's bad, Like that's not how it works. So
- 30:53Speaker 1: over the last forty years, that all ordinaries, which you've
- 30:55Speaker 1: probably heard, like you know when you watch TV or
- 30:57Speaker 1: when you were younger, you used to watch TV and
- 30:59Speaker 1: your mom and dad had the new on there, like
- 31:00Speaker 1: the all lords are up? Who are rah?
- 31:02Speaker 4: The all odds?
- 31:04Speaker 1: Yeah, the all odds. That's just an index. It just
- 31:06Speaker 1: tracks the market. It's like the S and P five hundred.
- 31:10Speaker 4: Sure, okay, but the Australian.
- 31:11Speaker 1: Verse, like the Australian version oka tracking shares in Australia
- 31:15Speaker 1: and seeing what the average price of the share market's
- 31:17Speaker 1: looking so that they can say, oh my god, all
- 31:20Speaker 1: the all ords are down, which means the share market
- 31:23Speaker 1: across the board is a bit down, not oh, nabs
- 31:26Speaker 1: up and combanks down like nobody. Nobody can conceptualize that
- 31:30Speaker 1: we need one common measure, and in Australia we use
- 31:33Speaker 1: the all odds. Okay, but if we look at the
- 31:35Speaker 1: all odds over the last forty years, it's averaged a
- 31:38Speaker 1: PE of about fifteen, which is sometimes seen as a
- 31:41Speaker 1: broad threshold. Is kind of fair value to give you
- 31:45Speaker 1: a bit of an indicator.
- 31:46Speaker 4: Very good. I'm going to keep an eye out for
- 31:48Speaker 4: the all odds with the news is on and.
- 31:50Speaker 1: I know exactly what that is. Yes, yes, we're educated, queen,
- 31:54Speaker 1: exactly right.
- 31:55Speaker 4: Now we have the PEG ratio and the price book
- 31:57Speaker 4: ratio to get to. So let's start with PEG. Tell
- 31:59Speaker 4: me about that.
- 32:00Speaker 1: So the PEG ratio or the price earnings to growth ratio.
- 32:03Speaker 1: So it's taking that first ratio and building off it.
- 32:06Speaker 1: So before we had the PE, so the price earnings.
- 32:10Speaker 1: Now it's the PE to growth, which is comparing its
- 32:13Speaker 1: price earnings to growth. Does that make sense? I feel
- 32:15Speaker 1: like it was obvious if you really think about it,
- 32:19Speaker 1: but no one's going to really think about it. They
- 32:20Speaker 1: just look at it and go, peg ratio, What the hell?
- 32:23Speaker 1: So the PEG ratio considers the company's earnings growth, so
- 32:27Speaker 1: to figure this out. You need to find out the
- 32:28Speaker 1: company's estimated earnings per share, which we talked about just before,
- 32:31Speaker 1: which will be in the latest down your report or
- 32:34Speaker 1: on the website, all really accessible if they are listed company.
- 32:37Speaker 1: And then to calculate the PEG ratio, you use the
- 32:40Speaker 1: PE that we just did and you divide by the
- 32:43Speaker 1: growth in earnings per share or the EPs. So I
- 32:47Speaker 1: feel like this is getting really complicated, but I know
- 32:49Speaker 1: you guys are following, and if not, just go back
- 32:51Speaker 1: listen to it again. I'm lucky for you to have
- 32:53Speaker 1: to listen to me more and more. But a good
- 32:55Speaker 1: example of this is let's say the company has an
- 32:57Speaker 1: EPs of eleven dollars over the next year as stated
- 33:00Speaker 1: in its report. You go, great, no problems, thank you.
- 33:03Speaker 1: This is an increase of ten percent on its current
- 33:06Speaker 1: EPs of ten dollars. Because we're using the same example
- 33:08Speaker 1: as we had before, so using the PEG formula, So
- 33:11Speaker 1: the price to earnings growth formula of the PE, so
- 33:14Speaker 1: the PE was ten as we spoke about before, and
- 33:17Speaker 1: you divide it by the growth in EPs, which is
- 33:20Speaker 1: ten percent. We then have a PEG ratio of a one.
- 33:23Speaker 1: You go, he that makes absolutely no sense, but he
- 33:27Speaker 1: out here, me out, sit down. Just like a PE ratio,
- 33:30Speaker 1: the PEG ratio compares peer performance, so it's trying to
- 33:33Speaker 1: compare apples with apples. Again, there's no set PEG ratio
- 33:36Speaker 1: that's considered to be like the gold standard, or this
- 33:38Speaker 1: is like a by signal. If you get a PEG
- 33:41Speaker 1: ratio of x, like bye bye bye. That's not how
- 33:43Speaker 1: this works. These are all just ratios that we use,
- 33:45Speaker 1: We write them down, we take them into consideration of
- 33:48Speaker 1: our larger piece of research. But fundamentalists, so people who
- 33:52Speaker 1: are really subscribed to that school of like fundamental analysis,
- 33:55Speaker 1: they might treat that share with a PEG ratio of
- 33:58Speaker 1: less than one as an UNDERVAALP share, so they might
- 34:01Speaker 1: go less than one undervalued over one overvalued one on par.
- 34:06Speaker 1: Does that make sense?
- 34:07Speaker 4: It does.
- 34:07Speaker 1: So, it doesn't necessarily mean it absolutely is or it
- 34:09Speaker 1: absolutely isn't that.
- 34:10Speaker 4: It's an indicator indicata.
- 34:12Speaker 1: We have a little look at it.
- 34:14Speaker 4: The I really thought peg was going to be more
- 34:15Speaker 4: fun than that. I'm not gonna lie to you.
- 34:17Speaker 1: Really you have more fun.
- 34:19Speaker 4: It took me back to your eleven maths anyway, let's
- 34:22Speaker 4: move on.
- 34:23Speaker 1: That's what you were doing in your eleven maths.
- 34:25Speaker 4: Let's move on to the final method of valuing a stock,
- 34:29Speaker 4: the price book ratio. Tell me all about it in
- 34:32Speaker 4: twenty seconds or less.
- 34:33Speaker 1: PB ratio. I always think of peanut butter and jelly.
- 34:35Speaker 1: I don't know why. I'm not even American. I don't
- 34:37Speaker 1: even eat peanut butter and jelly. Sandwich has had them
- 34:39Speaker 1: one time? Terrible. Why would you mix those two things together?
- 34:44Speaker 1: But I really do like the price book ratio. So
- 34:48Speaker 1: the price book ratio gives us a little bit of
- 34:49Speaker 1: a snapshot of company's value according to the book value
- 34:53Speaker 1: of assets on its balance sheet. So it kind of
- 34:55Speaker 1: makes sense, like price book, what's on its book? Let's
- 34:58Speaker 1: have a look a little, right, I'm going to put
- 35:02Speaker 1: myself in the bin. We really do need that break.
- 35:04Speaker 1: But a price book ratio is calculated by dividing the
- 35:07Speaker 1: current share price by the stocks book value divided by
- 35:11Speaker 1: the number of shares that have been issued. So the
- 35:13Speaker 1: book value is worked out from the balance sheet as
- 35:16Speaker 1: the total assets minus the total liabilities, and so liabilities
- 35:20Speaker 1: is costs. So you take what they own and then
- 35:23Speaker 1: minus what they owe or what they have in costs,
- 35:25Speaker 1: and then you get that number. So the balance sheet
- 35:28Speaker 1: with these figures is super easy to locate if you're
- 35:30Speaker 1: looking for it. It will be on the company's website,
- 35:32Speaker 1: it will be in their annual report. It's a very
- 35:35Speaker 1: large part of the report. They are legally not allowed
- 35:37Speaker 1: to skip on. So to give you an example of that,
- 35:40Speaker 1: because we love an example in this community, let's take
- 35:42Speaker 1: an example of a company's market price being currently two dollars,
- 35:46Speaker 1: and they have fifty million shares in the market, all
- 35:49Speaker 1: issued out. They're all bought right, So the total assets
- 35:53Speaker 1: are eighty million dollars. I'd love this business. I'm glad
- 35:56Speaker 1: we did this example. So the total assets in this
- 35:59Speaker 1: business at eighty million dollars, and then the total liabilities
- 36:03Speaker 1: in this business are twenty million dollars. That then equals
- 36:06Speaker 1: a total book value of sixty million dollars. So the
- 36:10Speaker 1: price book ratio is two dollars divided by the eighty
- 36:14Speaker 1: minus twenty million dollars, rich is sixty divided by fifty
- 36:17Speaker 1: million dollars, which equals one point seven. And I know
- 36:20Speaker 1: you didn't follow that, so you've just got to trust
- 36:23Speaker 1: me that the PB ratio is one point seven. But basically,
- 36:28Speaker 1: the closer the PB ratio is to one or below
- 36:32Speaker 1: the greater the perceived value of the stock, and the
- 36:35Speaker 1: PB or the price book ratio is used more often
- 36:38Speaker 1: for more mature companies, so like it's for the older
- 36:42Speaker 1: hens in the share market that don't have as much growth,
- 36:46Speaker 1: so they say it's for limited growth. But at the
- 36:48Speaker 1: same time, I feel like, you look at a bank, right,
- 36:51Speaker 1: They're not going to triple in value overnight, But are
- 36:54Speaker 1: they a good, solid, steady steed that's maybe going to
- 36:57Speaker 1: win the race. Maybe that's where we would look at
- 36:59Speaker 1: a price ratio. You wouldn't really look at a price
- 37:02Speaker 1: book ratio again for a company like after Pay. I
- 37:05Speaker 1: used this example a lot, and I've really needed to
- 37:08Speaker 1: check myself recently on it. It's not because I don't
- 37:09Speaker 1: like after pay, which I don't for the community, but
- 37:12Speaker 1: it's because the community so recently had been talking about
- 37:16Speaker 1: buying and selling after pay shares and it was so topical,
- 37:19Speaker 1: and I feel like it's a trendy share that people buy.
- 37:22Speaker 1: So people were buying Tesla, or they're buying after pay,
- 37:24Speaker 1: or they're buying Apple or whatever. But my example of
- 37:28Speaker 1: after pay is used a fair bit because it's pbe
- 37:30Speaker 1: ratio wouldn't be indicative of what it is like after
- 37:34Speaker 1: pay is such an interesting company where you go commercially
- 37:38Speaker 1: that makes a lot of sense. Is it putting the
- 37:40Speaker 1: community in the best possible position. Absolutely not. But when
- 37:44Speaker 1: you look at it's PB ratios, is it actually turning
- 37:46Speaker 1: a profit?
- 37:47Speaker 3: No?
- 37:47Speaker 1: But people are still buying into it and still loving it.
- 37:50Speaker 1: So I really like using it as an example because
- 37:53Speaker 1: of the hype that was surrounded it. Right, you know,
- 37:55Speaker 1: we should go to a break because I think you
- 37:56Speaker 1: guys are so sick of that. But to summarize that
- 37:59Speaker 1: was my PE ratio, my PEG ratio, and my price
- 38:02Speaker 1: book ratio explained, there'll be blong on it.
- 38:05Speaker 4: Okay, So I feel like I'm getting met a price
- 38:08Speaker 4: book ratio. I get it, PEG, I get it. You
- 38:11Speaker 4: get paid price earnings, I get it. I get it all.
- 38:14Speaker 1: Do you actually no? But I will re.
- 38:17Speaker 4: Listen to this episode and I'm sure I will get there.
- 38:20Speaker 1: I feel like these things feel really overwhelming when you
- 38:23Speaker 1: first hear them, and you're like, holy moly. But then
- 38:26Speaker 1: after a few times and a few miles over, you're like, yea,
- 38:29Speaker 1: all right, I can't get my head around that. I
- 38:30Speaker 1: don't expect anyone to get that. On the first time,
- 38:32Speaker 1: because I remember evening in an accounting class when I was
- 38:34Speaker 1: learning this for the very first time, I was like, cool,
- 38:36Speaker 1: I'm never going to get there. But now I'm like, okay,
- 38:39Speaker 1: these three things make a lot of sense. And I'm
- 38:41Speaker 1: actually quite a visual learner, so I need to see
- 38:43Speaker 1: how it plays out and see what does this mean
- 38:45Speaker 1: and where does this plug in and what does that
- 38:47Speaker 1: look like? And for me, that's how I learned. But
- 38:50Speaker 1: we all learn really differently, and I think that the
- 38:53Speaker 1: main thing here is that nobody is going to pick
- 38:55Speaker 1: that up after me explaining it to you once, especially
- 38:57Speaker 1: when you can't contextualize it. So it's once you start
- 38:59Speaker 1: you're in investment journey and you start looking at it
- 39:01Speaker 1: and you go, oh, this makes sense, like this is
- 39:03Speaker 1: where this goes. That's when you start to comprehend it properly.
- 39:06Speaker 4: Amazing. So, for people who have really vibed with this
- 39:09Speaker 4: chat v and they're feeling confident and ready to invest,
- 39:13Speaker 4: which platforms would you suggest they use to get cracking?
- 39:16Speaker 1: Look, I can't recommend specific platforms because that would be
- 39:19Speaker 1: wildly inappropriate of me. But our community has a number
- 39:22Speaker 1: of different platforms that they love. Obviously, you guys are
- 39:24Speaker 1: obsessed with shares's which is really nice. Say are classified,
- 39:27Speaker 1: I guess as a mid level DIY platform, so you
- 39:30Speaker 1: can go on and buy shares. But the thing that
- 39:33Speaker 1: you guys seem to really like about them is that
- 39:35Speaker 1: you can buy portions of shares. So if you thought, hey,
- 39:38Speaker 1: be I really want to own combat, but I don't
- 39:40Speaker 1: have ninety one dollars to do that, you can actually
- 39:42Speaker 1: purchase a portion of that share instead of the whole deal,
- 39:45Speaker 1: which I think is really nice to get exposure to
- 39:47Speaker 1: an asset that you might really love. Not recommending that
- 39:50Speaker 1: share at all. That was just an example. They have
- 39:53Speaker 1: access as well to a number of different platforms other
- 39:56Speaker 1: platforms in the industry. I mean, our community has been
- 39:59Speaker 1: talking a lot recently about self Wealth and Superhero. Obviously
- 40:02Speaker 1: those are more direct. When we talk about investing platforms,
- 40:06Speaker 1: we're not talking about platforms like Rays or Spaceship or
- 40:10Speaker 1: even six Park, which is a robo advice platform, because
- 40:13Speaker 1: none of those enabled you to invest directly. So if
- 40:16Speaker 1: you were looking to invest directly, what you'd be looking
- 40:18Speaker 1: for is a DIY platform, And the things I'd be
- 40:21Speaker 1: taking into consideration is just really, is this aligned to
- 40:24Speaker 1: my values is this aligned to how much I want
- 40:27Speaker 1: to pay for a platform, And you can find all
- 40:29Speaker 1: of that information out on those websites for those companies.
- 40:32Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, completely up to
- 40:34Speaker 1: you what you pick, just as long as they are legit,
- 40:37Speaker 1: my friends incredible.
- 40:38Speaker 4: Remember as well, as we flagged at the top of
- 40:40Speaker 4: the episode, guys, we have done many an episode on investing,
- 40:44Speaker 4: so have a scroll back and you'll find everything from
- 40:47Speaker 4: what micro investing is, to how to use entry level platforms,
- 40:50Speaker 4: so on and so forth. That's a really good place to start.
- 40:54Speaker 4: We are going to wrap today's episode here. We were
- 40:56Speaker 4: going to talk about e bits and ebitday, so we
- 41:02Speaker 4: are actually now going to make that a completely new episode,
- 41:05Speaker 4: So keep an eye on your feed for that one.
- 41:07Speaker 4: It will go dropping not too far a well.
- 41:08Speaker 1: George is decided after recording this episode and only half
- 41:11Speaker 1: of the episode, that she's like, nah, mate, this is
- 41:14Speaker 1: too much. It's Victoria divine. You are canceled and you
- 41:17Speaker 1: are dense. So you guys, just get the ratios in
- 41:19Speaker 1: the first one and we will extend it out over
- 41:22Speaker 1: a few other episodes. Because I feel like that's you're right, George,
- 41:24Speaker 1: I feel not for today. Yeah, but it's easier to
- 41:27Speaker 1: absorb in smaller bits. And to be honest, the feedback
- 41:29Speaker 1: I've heard from people who are listening to the investing
- 41:32Speaker 1: episodes is that they listen to it a couple of
- 41:34Speaker 1: times just for it to really sink in. So I
- 41:36Speaker 1: feel like that's a good idea. Yeah, geniuses, that's boring,
- 41:40Speaker 1: but important stuff. Get it done, Liz, do you talk
- 41:43Speaker 1: about investment, Yes, exactly.
- 41:45Speaker 4: The advisor shared on She's on the Money is general
- 41:47Speaker 4: in nature and does not consider your individual circumstances. She's
- 41:51Speaker 4: on the Money exists purely for educational purposes and should
- 41:54Speaker 4: not be relied upon to make an investment or financial decision.
- 41:58Speaker 4: And we promised Victoria Divine and She's on the Money
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- 42:06Speaker 4: four seven zero nine seven seven nine seven zero four
- 42:08Speaker 4: nine a FOSL two three six five two three. We
- 42:11Speaker 4: will see you on Friday, guys soon.
- 42:13Speaker 1: Guys by