Latest / True Crime with Gavin Fish / The Sick, Disgusting Plot Against Nancy Guthrie’s Family | This is a Cruel Scam | Where's Nancy?
Transcript
- 0:01OK, I'm going to admit it. I'm going to try not to bump my
- 0:04mic first of all, but I'm going to admit this.
- 0:07I'm in a bit of a mood today. I'm in a mood and what my baby
- 0:11sister would have said I am PIST when she was narking on me to
- 0:19our parents. I don't know guys, the the Nancy
- 0:24Guthrie situation where we've apparently got 2 new notes just
- 0:31I'm disgusted by it. I'm disgusted to be a member of
- 0:35the human family. I'm disgusted by apparent
- 0:40behavior that is intended only to what's what's what's the word
- 0:48that I'm looking for extract, extract money out of the pain of
- 0:54others. It kills me.
- 0:56It kills me. And So what I did today, well,
- 1:01kind of what started it off was I read an article in the New
- 1:04York Post that quoted our pal Jen Koffendaffer.
- 1:08And oh not Jen didn't, but it did.
- 1:13It just made me PIST. It made me so mad.
- 1:18And so I started doing research into the into the literature and
- 1:22what causes people to behave this way.
- 1:26And as I dug deeper and deeper and deeper into it, I just got
- 1:31more and more angry. And lucky you, you get to join
- 1:35me in my anger. So what we're going to do today,
- 1:41we're going to 1st, we're going to read that article from the
- 1:44post. We are going to get into some of
- 1:47my research. There's another article that I
- 1:49want to share with you on the case.
- 1:52Of course, we've got three questions tonight.
- 1:53We've got some true crime headlines and which includes Amy
- 1:57Hilliard, Rex Heuermann, an update on the Celeste Rivas
- 2:01Hernandez case. And then I did not forget.
- 2:05I just, I did not forget good news.
- 2:08We're going to get to some good news today too, because while we
- 2:13are righteously indignant on behalf of the Guthrie family, we
- 2:16also need to take a breather, get a fresher breath air, a
- 2:21fresh hobby. I need to take to a breath of
- 2:24fresh air and and find out what's what's beautiful in the
- 2:30world. And there's plenty to talk
- 2:31about. So I guess if that's interesting
- 2:34to you, stick with me. This video contains mature
- 2:50themes and discussions intended only for adult audiences.
- 2:53Viewer discretion is advised. Hello there, my friend.
- 2:58Welcome back to another true crime conversation.
- 3:01My name is Gavin. What is yours?
- 3:03Tell me. Go ahead, tell me.
- 3:04And while you're telling me your name, tell me where you're from.
- 3:08I like it when you guys put in the comments where you are
- 3:11watching from. In three questions today, we
- 3:14have a viewer from New Zealand, a Maori friend that that has
- 3:21asked a question of me. And I love knowing where you
- 3:25guys are watching from near and far.
- 3:27I'm, I'm here in Western Pennsylvania.
- 3:29I know that some of you are very close.
- 3:33They you live right here in my neck of the woods.
- 3:35Some of you are far, far away. And, and I love finding out
- 3:40where you're from. OK, what are we talking about
- 3:43tonight? Tonight we are talking about the
- 3:45case of Nancy Guthrie. Quick recap.
- 3:48Nancy Guthrie, 84 years old, goes to dinner with family on
- 3:53January 31st, gets dropped off back at her house.
- 3:57She has a bad back. She has a bad ticker.
- 3:59She has a pacemaker. She has heart medication.
- 4:02She is the mother of someone who's rather famous.
- 4:06The Today Show's Savannah Guthrie And the next day she's
- 4:12expected in church. She does not show her
- 4:16congregation being good folks and being concerned about her
- 4:20because, hey, that that's out of the ordinary.
- 4:23Nancy's not here. They reach out to her kiddos.
- 4:27They go over, they find basically they find a crime
- 4:30scene. So the last time she was seen,
- 4:33it was January 31st. Of course the FBI released video
- 4:37of nefarious, A nefarious individual.
- 4:41I was about to say individuals. I think that more than one
- 4:43person was involved in this. Curious what you think about
- 4:46that. But the FBI has released some
- 4:50videos and some still footage from these videos of this
- 4:55person. They believe that Nancy Guthrie
- 4:58was taken sometime in the early morning hours, around 2:30 AM
- 5:03from her Catalina Foothills home outside of Tucson, AZ.
- 5:08She's not been seen since. Now, there has been stumbling,
- 5:12there has been bumbling. There have been press
- 5:16conferences. There have been press junkets,
- 5:20mostly by this guy, the sheriff of of Pima County there, Chris
- 5:25Nanos. We all have our opinions about
- 5:30him. We know that the Sheriff's
- 5:34Office and the FBI are involved in the search for Misses
- 5:38Guthrie. But being 84 years old, hope
- 5:43that she is and being a heart patient, she left her heart
- 5:49medication behind. I shouldn't say she let.
- 5:51She didn't leave it behind. Her abductors left it behind.
- 5:59Anyway, Hope is hope is not all lost.
- 6:04Hope is not all lost. She could be out there alive.
- 6:08Now, recently, as you guys know well, throughout this whole
- 6:13ordeal, there have been multiple messages from alleged ransomers
- 6:21asking for money to from the Guthrie family to in exchange
- 6:27for telling them where she is. Two more have come recently
- 6:34through TMZ. They have claimed they've been
- 6:37contradicting. Right.
- 6:38Yeah, I saw her alive. No, she's dead.
- 6:41Right. And anyway, I think I actually,
- 6:45you know what? I see a comment saying mostly a
- 6:48bunch of BS. And I think that is correct.
- 6:51And that is the thing that makes me the most angry, is that I
- 6:55think it is a bunch of BS. And why do people behave this
- 7:00way? We're going to get into it.
- 7:02We're going to have a long conversation about it tonight.
- 7:05Based on the psychological literature that I have been
- 7:08reading as a layperson, I don't want you guys to believe that
- 7:12I'm some sort of like educated A psychologist with bona fides.
- 7:17I am not any of that. But but I do read English pretty
- 7:21darn well. I taught good.
- 7:23I read good, I think anyway. And, and I'm starting to
- 7:29understand the answer to the age-old question, the devil man.
- 7:35That's my age-old question. OK, so let's start where I
- 7:39started getting all angry, right over here in an article in the
- 7:46New York Post by Patrick Riley. This is just going to be our
- 7:50introduction, OK? Headline reads Nancy Guthrie
- 7:55Ransom notes exposes sick plot against family, ex FBI agent
- 8:04claims Isn't that a double plural?
- 8:06Shouldn't that be ransom notes exposed?
- 8:08Nancy Guthrie Ransom notes expose It doesn't matter.
- 8:15That's just another thing for me to be angry about today, OK?
- 8:18Mr. Riley writes. The latest purported ransom
- 8:23notes sent to TMZ claiming to know who kidnapped Nancy Guthrie
- 8:27reveal a sick plot to continue to torment the missing
- 8:31grandmother's devastated family for a quick profit, according to
- 8:35a former FBI agent. The notes, which also claim to
- 8:39know where her body could be found, were sent just as
- 8:42Guthrie's daughter, Savannah Guthrie, made her emotional
- 8:45return to NBC's Today show for the first time since her mom
- 8:49vanished more than two months ago.
- 8:52Quote, they sent these right when Savannah Guthrie went back
- 8:56to work. That was by no mistake.
- 8:59That was absolutely meant to further torment her and her
- 9:03family, Jennifer Coffendaffer told Newsweek, continuing the
- 9:08quote. I think it speaks to the fact
- 9:10that there is at least someone out there that is still willing
- 9:13to torture this family by sending these continued
- 9:16communications with no proof of life, she added.
- 9:19Of course, then there's a recap. Since her disappearance,
- 9:27multiple purported ransom notes have been reported, including
- 9:31several sent to TMZ. The pair of notes received by
- 9:34the outlet on Monday, you know, three days ago, were sent from
- 9:38the same anonymous person who nearly two months ago demanded
- 9:41one Bitcoin in exchange for information related to Guthrie's
- 9:44abduction. The first note claimed that
- 9:46Guthrie was dead, but the sender said that their offer to deliver
- 9:50the kidnappers on a silver platter for the cryptocurrency
- 9:53still stands. And a second note, they claimed
- 9:56to have seen Guthrie alive with her captors in the Mexican state
- 10:00of Sonora, just across the border from Arizona.
- 10:04I don't know that it said just across the border from Arizona.
- 10:07Sonora does border Arizona, but it is a large state.
- 10:11It goes way down, way, way down into the southern reaches of
- 10:15North America. The person said they will
- 10:19surrender the information for half a Bitcoin, with another
- 10:22half transferred to their wallet when there is a public arrest.
- 10:26Coffin Daffer believes they're lying about having any real
- 10:29information because they're shooting for a single Bitcoin
- 10:31valued at about $71,000 rather than the massive reward that's
- 10:36been offered by Guthrie's family and law enforcement agencies.
- 10:42Quote, the reason this makes sense to me that they don't have
- 10:45that knowledge is because they're not seeking the $1.2
- 10:47million. Instead, they're trying to
- 10:50subvert it with this quickly paid.
- 10:52No hoops to jump through, just get the money.
- 10:54But I think that these people are scammers.
- 10:56So that got me to thinking and we're going to keep Missus
- 11:02Guthrie's photo up here while I kind of go through what what my
- 11:09research has revealed. My my question was why would
- 11:13somebody do this? Now, before I do, before I hop
- 11:16in, let me check in with you guys over here in the live chat.
- 11:21If you're on YouTube, if you're on Spotify right now, thank you
- 11:25very much for following on me on Spotify, man, that that helps
- 11:29the channel so much. I can't even tell you.
- 11:31If you are on Spotify, please follow me over there.
- 11:35And of course, links are in the description and all over my
- 11:40socials. OK.
- 11:41But thank you, thank you, thank you.
- 11:44Where have we got you guys coming in from?
- 11:46Christine Meadows is checking in from the Peach State.
- 11:50Just Jamie. Good afternoon from Utah.
- 11:53We got the West Coast of Florida, Erie, PA in the house,
- 11:57Salisbury, Tennessee, Florida. Bama Beth is here from Alabama,
- 12:03Jill from Minnesota, Fresno, CA, and Normie from Houston.
- 12:09Good evening from still freezing Old Dominion.
- 12:13I am in a mood too. You and me both.
- 12:18Tuavivi, the land of Poi and Spam is here.
- 12:21Sharon from Big Blue Heavenly Mountain is here, Western
- 12:24Kentucky, Indiana. Miss Chivos from Austin, TX,
- 12:27South Carolina, near West Virginia, but in Pittsburgh high
- 12:32from near Thoreau's Walden Pond. Good morning from sewer, France.
- 12:37Justice for Nancy. Thank you very much for being
- 12:39here, Deanne. I'd be far, far away in the land
- 12:43of cacti, says Sherry. Nevada, we've got Plainfield, IL
- 12:50from the state of the Wright Brothers.
- 12:52First flight. Glad to have you here.
- 12:53Southwest Missouri, Jersey Shore.
- 12:56So, so, so cool. I think Tuvivi, you might be my
- 13:03writer in our three questions. So that's pretty cool.
- 13:09Montana's in the house, Sherry says.
- 13:12Gavin, they need to release more info of the perp and a profile
- 13:15too. I think so.
- 13:18Patricia from the Berkshires in Western Mass.
- 13:21And Renee says I'm sick of these TMZ notes.
- 13:24I am too. Dandelioness watching from a
- 13:28state of confusion. Thank you all for checking in
- 13:31from wherever you are so, so so glad.
- 13:34Paddy watching from beautiful northwestern Pennsylvania.
- 13:36You might be a writer tonight as well, a frequent correspondent.
- 13:40Thank you very much. OK, let's I just have notes
- 13:47scribbled. I've, I've put them onto Acrobat
- 13:52so that I can, so I can follow kind of my line of, of thinking
- 13:57today. OK, again, the question is what
- 14:01the devil man? Why would somebody do this?
- 14:05So let's start with that question.
- 14:07And you know, the question being, why would someone send
- 14:11messages like this claiming to know what happened to Nancy
- 14:14Guthrie, sending them to media outlets, targeting a family that
- 14:19is already going through so much, just just so much.
- 14:25They're just being piled on. Why would they do that?
- 14:28Because if the messages are not real, then someone is
- 14:34purposefully inserting themselves into the tragedy.
- 14:38And that is not cool, man Not cool.
- 14:43So I started to do some research and I found a couple of things.
- 14:48The first one that I wanted to, I'm actually going to read kind
- 14:52of what I jotted down. It's called the theory of moral
- 14:56disengagement. And I don't know if this is
- 14:59interesting to you guys. Hopefully it is.
- 15:01It's interesting to me. I feel like I'm blowing out your
- 15:03ears. When I get excited, I scream.
- 15:05I need to stop doing that. It's it's fascinating to me.
- 15:13I hope it is to you. OK, so Albert Bandura's theory
- 15:17of moral disengagement, it describes what he calls the
- 15:22cognitive psychosocial process by which individuals convince
- 15:26themselves that ethical standards do not apply to them
- 15:31in a particular context. It's really interesting because
- 15:36the human brain, deep down in our lizard brain, we are capable
- 15:41of rationalizing anything, right?
- 15:43And this moral disengagement is like the rationalization of hey,
- 15:48ethics don't apply to me in this situation.
- 15:52And it allows a person to do super harmful things while at
- 15:59the same time maintaining their self worth, which I mean, most
- 16:04of us, we just would not send these kinds of letters to TMZ
- 16:10and other outlets to the Guthrie family because we would feel
- 16:14crappy about ourselves, man. We'd be like, I am the worst.
- 16:18I am worthless. We would not do that.
- 16:21But there are people that can. So they this moral disengagement
- 16:28involves suspending self condemnation through what
- 16:32Bandura said are 8 mechanisms that restructure harmful
- 16:38conduct, minimize responsibility, and distort
- 16:41consequences. And he grouped those or
- 16:43organized those 8 mechanisms into four stages or loci of self
- 16:51regulation. The first one is the behavior
- 16:54locus, 2nd is the agency locus, third is the outcome locus, and
- 17:004th is the victim locus. So basically these 8 mechanisms
- 17:06are moral justification, right? They're saying hey, these
- 17:10detrimental actions are serving as a worthy moral, social, or
- 17:15ideological cause. Hey, I'm broke.
- 17:20If I were not broke, I would be able to care for my family and I
- 17:25would be able to make donations in the in the community and I
- 17:29would be able to do all these wonderful things If I were not
- 17:33broke. Therefore I can do this horrible
- 17:37thing and I have now morally justified it.
- 17:42The next one, according to Bandura, is what he called
- 17:45euphemistic labeling, that is, using sanitized language to make
- 17:51harmful behavior sound benign. For example, that's like in
- 17:55wartime, calling civilian deaths collateral damage.
- 18:01Right. We're just going to, we're going
- 18:02to add a euphemistic label. Yeah.
- 18:05It's too bad when there's collateral damage.
- 18:08Didn't mean to do that. It's beyond.
- 18:14Well, I don't. I don't know what's beyond, but
- 18:18but it is something that happens, right?
- 18:21The third little mechanism he calls the advantageous
- 18:25comparison, comparing harmful acts to much worse acts, making
- 18:29the current behavior seem minor or positive.
- 18:32So like, yeah, OK, I'm reaching out to the Guthrie's and I'm
- 18:36asking for this Bitcoin, but it's not like I killed anyone,
- 18:41right? So again, rationalizing it
- 18:44through, through comparison to much, much worse things.
- 18:48OK, that's all in the behavior locus.
- 18:52The next of the four loci is shifting responsibility or the
- 18:56agency locus, right? So the the first mechanism is
- 19:00displacement of responsibility, viewing actions as stemming from
- 19:04the dictates of authorities rather than a personal choice.
- 19:08So like I was just following orders and we could see this in
- 19:12this sort of or we might. I'm not saying we have seen
- 19:15this, but I'm saying we could see this in a case like this
- 19:17where maybe there is a Co conspirator after the fact that
- 19:24found out what was happening and is now going, well, I didn't do
- 19:30it, they did it, but you know, they now need me to send in
- 19:37these letters. So I'm going I'm just following
- 19:39their direction. That's that's what he's saying
- 19:41here. The next one is a diffusion.
- 19:45So the first was a displacement of responsibility.
- 19:47The next is a diffusion of responsibility, Right.
- 19:51Diffusion meaning to spread out. So spreading responsibility
- 19:55among a group so no single individual feels responsible for
- 20:00the outcome. This is actually a mechanism in
- 20:04human behavior that you can see in like the DP by firing squad,
- 20:08for example, right? The old way of doing it where
- 20:13there's several people in a firing squad, say they're five
- 20:17and only one of them has a live round, the rest of them have
- 20:22blanks. They all fire at the same time.
- 20:25One round hits the hits the convicted, and then all five
- 20:31people have that diffused responsibility.
- 20:36It probably wasn't me, it was all of us.
- 20:40We all did it, right? OK, the next of the four loci is
- 20:45the outcome locus ignoring or minimizing consequences.
- 20:50Right. So a disregard or distortion of
- 20:52consequences, Minimizing, ignoring, ignoring or
- 20:54disbelieving the harm caused by one actions.
- 20:57Oh, she was 84. She was a heart patient.
- 21:01She had a bad back. She could barely walk.
- 21:04I did her a favor. It's sick.
- 21:08But that's that's what that distortion or disregard of
- 21:12consequences. Oh, she was going to die anyway.
- 21:15Don't worry about it. Right.
- 21:17And then the next of the four loci is blaming the victim.
- 21:23And there are two mechanisms in that one.
- 21:26One is dehumanization. So stripping the victims or the
- 21:31victim of like human qualities, right?
- 21:33Making it easier to mistreat. We see this in prisoners of war.
- 21:39Oh my goodness. If you want to see this on
- 21:41display, guys, listen, this isn't a tangent.
- 21:48This, this is germane to what we're talking about, but
- 21:51everybody alive today should make the trip to Munich, and
- 22:00then once in Munich, take the short ride out to Dachau and see
- 22:05Dachau. You could watch, you could go to
- 22:08any concentration camp. It could be any one of them, but
- 22:11go to one of them. It is a master class and
- 22:17dehumanization. What happened in those
- 22:21concentration camps during the Holocaust in Germany.
- 22:26I have gone twice by myself to Dachau, and I've taken two of
- 22:30our older children there. Our oldest son couldn't last.
- 22:36We were in there 20 minutes and he just begged to leave.
- 22:40So, yeah, it's it's within us to dehumanize victims.
- 22:47And, and of course, that is victim blaming.
- 22:50And then the attribution of blame, arguing that the victim
- 22:53brought the suffering on themselves.
- 22:56You know, if she just would have come with us if we didn't have
- 23:00to fight her, if, you know, all that blood that was spilled
- 23:04didn't have to be done. It was her fault.
- 23:07That is, that is an example of the attribution of blame.
- 23:12So Albert Bandura explains how people justify harm by saying
- 23:16moral disengagement enables individuals to engage in conduct
- 23:20that violates their own moral standards without feeling
- 23:23distress. So if someone sends emails
- 23:26saying, hey, I know where her body is, I know who did this
- 23:30because of moral disengagement, they're not thinking I'm
- 23:34potentially re traumatizing this family.
- 23:36They're thinking, hey man, I'm just sending a message and I'm
- 23:40not forcing anyone to believe it.
- 23:42And I'm just putting that information out there.
- 23:44All they have to do is give me, I'm not even asking for the $1.2
- 23:48million, I'm asking for $71,000. I'm just putting that
- 23:51information out there. And maybe I mean, they should,
- 23:58but because they're disengaged morally, they're just not
- 24:03putting those things together. It's sick.
- 24:08So yeah. He also says the victim is
- 24:10stripped of human qualities or viewed in abstract terms.
- 24:13So, you know, these these would be scammers.
- 24:17They're not thinking of the Guthrie's as the Guthrie
- 24:20family's victims. They're they're just, they're
- 24:24stripping them. You know, they're Nancy's not
- 24:27the only victim here, right? The Guthrie family is and with
- 24:31these scammers who have probably nothing to do with the with the
- 24:38actual crime of abducting Nancy, their victims are the Guthrie's
- 24:48right, Annie, Tomaso, Cameron, Savannah, all the grandkids and
- 24:56but but to these people, they're going, they're not they're not a
- 24:59family. They are.
- 25:01They're a case, they are a mark, they are a headline, they are an
- 25:07opportunity and that's it. They have they have
- 25:12disassociated themselves from morality.
- 25:16Now as I'm as I'm going through this stuff, I really hope that
- 25:21in the live chat, you guys will put your comments so that I can
- 25:25see what you're thinking as well.
- 25:27I did, I did see, I think I saw a super chat.
- 25:30I want to make sure that I bring that up, Cheryl says Gavin,
- 25:36these people are sick. If they really knew anything
- 25:38truthful about the case, they'd be $1.2 million richer checking
- 25:42in from Florida. I agree.
- 25:45And thank you Cheryl's for starting us out with the with
- 25:49the Super chat. Deeply appreciated guys are
- 25:52awesome. See if there's anything else
- 25:54that you guys wanted me to bring up.
- 25:56Any any GFS in there? Internet jury says Gavin, who
- 26:04out there is obsessed with this case and also had a felony
- 26:08federal conviction for harassing a friend of the Guthrie's.
- 26:11In any other case, said person would be looked at closely.
- 26:19Yeah. OK.
- 26:22See if there's Mary. This is Humans are the cruelest
- 26:25creatures of all creatures. Yeah.
- 26:33Teresa says, I think the random notes are some Nigerian Prince
- 26:36type and that's exactly right. I mean, I mean, people who are
- 26:40scammers, they, they are disengaged morally right from
- 26:46their moral compass or they're finding some way to justify it
- 26:49as, as you know, we just, we just went through with, with
- 26:54Bandura's theory of, of moral disengagement.
- 26:59OK, so the next thing that I wanted to, you know, as I was,
- 27:05as I was doing this, this research into what the devil man
- 27:11trying to answer this question, why would some, why would
- 27:14somebody do this? And Jennifer Coffendafer is
- 27:17right. These people are sick, right?
- 27:20I, I found some literature by Delroy Paulhus Paulus.
- 27:26I don't know how to pronounce the name and Kevin Williams and
- 27:30this theory is called the dark triad.
- 27:34I don't know if you guys have heard of this before.
- 27:36I hadn't heard of it but it makes perfect sense to me.
- 27:38The dark triad is what they call 3 socially terrible.
- 27:46What do we want? Malevolent personality traits?
- 27:48They are, we talk about the, the first one on this channel and
- 27:52throughout true crime a lot narcissism, right?
- 27:55This whole idea of superiority, superiority to others to
- 28:00entitlement things that they're not entitled to.
- 28:03The second of the dark triad is Machiavellianism, somebody who
- 28:10uses strategy to manipulate others.
- 28:13And then the third is psychopathy or psychopathy,
- 28:17however you want to pronounce it, which I would define as a
- 28:22lack of empathy, right? Somebody who cannot feel
- 28:27empathy, somebody who cannot feel remorse.
- 28:30And this dark triad, while independent, or these traits,
- 28:38while independent, they often overlap.
- 28:40And Dr. exploitive behavior. And Paulus and William said the
- 28:44individuals with these traits account for about 7% of the
- 28:51population, according to their research, right?
- 28:55And they frequently utilize manipulation for self-interest.
- 29:00So they describe this dark triad as a tendency to exploit others
- 29:05for personal begin personal gain.
- 29:08So let's look at this behavior as we're thinking about why
- 29:14would somebody like, let's answer the question, what the
- 29:18freaking devil man? Why would somebody do this?
- 29:22Well, somebody is willing to insert themselves into a high
- 29:25profile case. They're willing to claim that
- 29:28they have some sort of insider knowledge.
- 29:30They are willing to make demands.
- 29:33They are willing to make statements tied to those
- 29:36demands. And it, I mean, that is, that is
- 29:41classic Machiavellian, narcissistic, calculated
- 29:46manipulation, right? So when we see these notes
- 29:50going, I am so hopeful. I am so hopeful that the FBI, we
- 29:56know of one arrest. You know what I need to do?
- 29:59I need to get my like AI assistant just checking all of
- 30:04the US attorney's offices for announcements of arrests because
- 30:09we only know of the one arrest so far of somebody who inserted
- 30:13themselves into the case. I'm sure there's so many more,
- 30:22right? And it's not chaos, guys.
- 30:24It's not people. It's not people going having a
- 30:28wild hair and saying, oh, I, I, I'm, hey, I might be able to
- 30:32make $71,000 here. No, they, they know and
- 30:37understand exactly what they're doing.
- 30:42These narcissistic Machiavelli stick psychotic people are
- 30:50willing. That is roughly, according to
- 30:53Paulus and Williams, about 7% of the human family.
- 31:01They are willing to, to manipulate and, and calculate
- 31:07and use strategy to get what it is that they want or at least
- 31:12attempt to get what they want. Now, the third thing I found was
- 31:17a, this one, this one actually, I, I actually think that we all
- 31:27probably understand this on some level.
- 31:32You know, those of us who like to tease people.
- 31:38And I'm this way with kiddos. I, I think it's delightful to,
- 31:41to just kind of tease the kids and you get that kind of rush of
- 31:47joy by by in my case, you know, it's innocently just kind of
- 31:51teasing trolls get that same kind of of rush, right?
- 32:04And there are certain there's a certain segment of the
- 32:08population that get a certain satisfaction, which Paul Ekman
- 32:15described as duping delight, the delight that one gets out of
- 32:23duping another. OK, so this is this is what I
- 32:27wrote down. Duping delight is a term coined
- 32:31by Paul Ekman. He's a psychologist to describe
- 32:34the sense of pleasure or satisfaction some people
- 32:38experience when they successfully deceive others.
- 32:42Have you ever met somebody who's just a storyteller?
- 32:45You know, it's just a storyteller just likes to tell
- 32:47lies. I think most of us were that way
- 32:52as we were little and kind of like, lost it as we grew up.
- 32:55But there are people who are grown adults that man, they just
- 33:00love to successfully deceive others and, and they will, they
- 33:04will commit to the bed man. It will not be broken.
- 33:08So in Eggman's research on basically it was it was research
- 33:12on lying and on facial expressions that he did.
- 33:15He observed that for certain individuals, the act of getting
- 33:18away with a lie, especially one that fools or manipulates
- 33:21someone can produce a kind of emotional reward or or even like
- 33:28full on excitement. And it's not always about money
- 33:32or outcome, but about the feeling of control, the feeling
- 33:36of superiority, the feeling of cleverness that that comes from
- 33:44pulling off a deception, which can make the behavior self
- 33:48reinforcing, right and sometimes habitual.
- 33:52So thinking about the sick, sick person who might be sending
- 33:58these, sending these notes in, it might not be about the money
- 34:03at all. It might not be that they're
- 34:05trying to get get rich off of this.
- 34:08It could just be that they get off on deceiving someone else,
- 34:18something like that, right. Now, if we think about the
- 34:22messages that were sent to TMZ and other places, these messages
- 34:27were not sent privately, right? They were sent to the media
- 34:29outlets. They were sent very, very
- 34:31publicly. And so I think, I mean, this
- 34:37isn't in Eckman's research, but I think maybe if that person is
- 34:43just trying to deceive someone, just just for the giggles of it,
- 34:49I think it probably amplifies it if they see that many people are
- 34:55deceived by their by their tail, by their lie.
- 35:01So, yeah, and maybe it's not just that they're trying to
- 35:07deceive all of us. Maybe they're like, oh, the
- 35:11Guthrie's. It would be hilarious to deceive
- 35:14them, to deceive them into thinking that.
- 35:18I know where Nancy Guthrie is. Yeah, it's a very snidely
- 35:23whiplash. You know, I got the got the
- 35:25mustache twirl. Like, just, it's just a level of
- 35:29evil that is just so bad, man. Just just trying to convince
- 35:35this family, hey, I know where your mom is.
- 35:39And you know, I don't want to, I don't want to besmirch anyone's
- 35:46beliefs, but this is the very reason that I don't buy into
- 35:52medium mediums. I almost had media, but people
- 35:57who claim to to be a medium to the great beyond the reason that
- 36:02I personally don't buy into it. And I and there's several people
- 36:05that I love that do, and I respect their their belief.
- 36:09I don't mean to dismirge, to besmirch it, but it's the reason
- 36:14that I don't buy into it is because I think that the
- 36:16incentive structure exists that that person is just really
- 36:21enjoying deceiving somebody else.
- 36:28OK, So is duping Delight from Paul Ekman something that
- 36:35applies here? Are they, you know, trying to
- 36:40influence the family, trying to influence the narrative, trying
- 36:43to see if their claims will be reported in the media, trying to
- 36:47insert themselves out of the story And then when people
- 36:50believe it, getting this like rush of adrenaline or dopamine.
- 36:58Yeah, I, I think it's possible. I, I do, I think it's possible.
- 37:04So those are the reasons why now I want to get into selecting the
- 37:08target, but let's see what you guys are saying over over in the
- 37:18over in the live chat here. Affordable, affordable, says
- 37:24Gavin. I was in another channel
- 37:26following this case and I and I cannot tell you how many people
- 37:29keep saying that the family is involved.
- 37:32So ridiculous. Yeah.
- 37:33And and I don't see it. I don't see it.
- 37:36And And why put it out there? Is it is it just something that
- 37:41you get satisfaction about sharing your heartfelt belief?
- 37:44Are you trying to get that duping delight?
- 37:48Right? Same.
- 37:52Affordable says they're saying Tommaso is involved.
- 37:54That really bothers me. And that Annie and Savannah
- 37:56knew. How sick is that?
- 37:58Yeah, I It is. It is sick.
- 38:03Hey Mooney, thank you very much for gifting those memberships.
- 38:06You guys are awesome, Archangel says.
- 38:10Love the psychology topic of today.
- 38:12Well, I'm glad. I'm glad because I am.
- 38:15I'm angry about this today. I've really been feeling it
- 38:18today. What have we got from Second
- 38:22Beach Gal? Thank you very much for the
- 38:24generous super chat. Usually at this point not it's a
- 38:28situation the state is covering up sorry Long Island serial
- 38:32killer and Coburger are the same These are not typical cases just
- 38:35my opinion. While you're certainly entitled
- 38:38to your opinion I yeah, I I don't think that I don't think
- 38:45that there is a cover up here. I really don't now having said
- 38:50that there there are such things as cover ups and conspiracies.
- 38:54That's why we have anti conspiracy laws.
- 38:56But but I don't think that there's cover up here.
- 38:59Thank you very much for that, Faye Fantasy production, says
- 39:04Gavin. What do you think the punishment
- 39:05should be for someone who's caught doing this?
- 39:08Oh, I think it should be severe. I I mean, I'm not, I'm not
- 39:11calling for somebody's head or anything.
- 39:16But yeah, I think it should be severe.
- 39:18I think, I think prison time on a first offence.
- 39:23I think prison time, maybe something like 3-4, five years,
- 39:28something like that. For somebody who's caught doing
- 39:30this the first time, do it again.
- 39:33Double it. Do it again.
- 39:34Double that. It it should be.
- 39:37It should be severe. Yeah.
- 39:42Let's see, Archangel. Archangel Morici says.
- 39:45I've been wondering if stalking has been going on in this case.
- 39:48Has Savannah or her mother had a stalker in the past that hasn't
- 39:52been released? Information like that hasn't
- 39:54been released to my knowledge, but it would not surprise me.
- 39:59And the fact that law enforcement was asking for, you
- 40:06know, video and stuff like that from neighbors from certain
- 40:09dates prior to the, I think January.
- 40:15Yeah. Anyway, certain dates prior to
- 40:16her disappearing is an indication that there at least
- 40:20was casing. And make perhaps stalking too.
- 40:25Mooney says Gavin. They get off on others.
- 40:27People pain, other people's pain.
- 40:30Yep. Cabling, says cruel, devious,
- 40:33self-centered. I win, you lose.
- 40:35I don't think she was taken for gain unless it was family.
- 40:38Otherwise it was just it was just right.
- 40:44Gavin. The mustache twirl.
- 40:46Oh, I see. Yeah, it was just the mustache
- 40:48twirl. Could just be evilness.
- 40:52Yes, yes, yes, indeed. OK, great comments guys.
- 40:55Thank you for those. OK, let's transition to now that
- 41:01we kind of have gotten into why somebody might do this.
- 41:05The next question is why target Nancy Guthrie, right, If you're
- 41:12and why target her family? Because we're talking about two
- 41:16different crimes here in my we're talking about the crime of
- 41:19the abduction of Nancy Guthrie. But really we're talking about
- 41:23the crime of torturing her family by sending these what I
- 41:28think are fake messages and what Savannah Guthrie has said she
- 41:32thinks are mostly fake messages. OK, so there is a theory called
- 41:39the routine activity theory. This is from Lawrence E Cohen
- 41:46and Marcus Felsen. This theory explains that crime
- 41:51is not random, but occurs when three elements come together at
- 41:55the same time. A motivated offender, a suitable
- 41:59target, and the absence of a capable guardian.
- 42:03I thought that was interesting. Again, I mean, we're talking
- 42:07about two crimes, but for for this conversation, we're talking
- 42:11about one crime. And that is why are people
- 42:13torturing the Guthrie family? OK, so they're, they've got
- 42:18motivation and we'll we'll get into the motivation.
- 42:21They've got a target that is suitable to them and they
- 42:26they're vulnerable, right? They don't have a they don't
- 42:31have a capable guardian protecting them.
- 42:36OK, so the theory emphasizes that offenders actively select
- 42:41targets based on opportunity rather than impulse.
- 42:45A suitable target is typically someone who is accessible,
- 42:49vulnerable, or valuable in some way.
- 42:53While lack of guardianship means there's no immediate deterrent,
- 42:57such as law enforcement oversight or skepticism, right?
- 43:01A deterrent could be like a big giant muscular man armed with
- 43:05guns. It could also mean that if
- 43:09people. It could also mean skepticism if
- 43:12if I do this, people won't be skeptical, right?
- 43:14There's no guardian. OK, so in this framework these
- 43:20were my notes. Crime is less about the
- 43:22offenders background and more about the situation, meaning
- 43:26that when the right conditions align, the likelihood of
- 43:28victimization increases significantly, right.
- 43:32And this this kind of goes to my theory.
- 43:36There's probably some psychology on this, that there are just
- 43:39some people that are criminally minded and they're open to
- 43:43criminal behavior more so than than others.
- 43:47It's probably a spectrum, It's probably not binary, right?
- 43:50But so the criminal reminder like, hey, wait a minute, wait,
- 43:53wait, wait, wait. I, I've got an opportunity here.
- 43:59I've got a vulnerable person. Nobody's going to protect them
- 44:05from me. I'm in, right.
- 44:10So in this case, the suitable target is a missing person,
- 44:16national attention and a family actively seeking answers in the
- 44:22disappearance of their loved one, right?
- 44:24So in this high engagement environment, are those three
- 44:31elements, I guess, are those three elements, is there a high
- 44:38incentive, right, motivated offender?
- 44:42There's definitely a suitable target here.
- 44:44There's definitely I, I, I think that you could argue that that
- 44:49the FBI is watching out for the Guthrie's, that the Pima County
- 44:53sheriff's are watching out for the Guthrie's.
- 44:55But so far it looks like they haven't made any further
- 44:58arrests. They haven't found out who these
- 45:00people are. So is there a guardian right in
- 45:03this super high engagement, you know, environment?
- 45:09So, yeah, from a criminal standpoint, this is that the
- 45:15Guthrie family is a suitable target, according again to the
- 45:20research by Felson and Cohen. All right.
- 45:23The other thing is, I guess, vulnerability.
- 45:28And there is a criminologist named Cassandra Cross who has
- 45:34done a whole bunch of research on fraud specifically.
- 45:39And so when we were talking just just now about like selecting a
- 45:44target, Cassandra Cross talks about vulnerability targeting.
- 45:51OK, so, you know, we could select these targets because of
- 45:55these three things. Or according to Cassandra, maybe
- 45:58it's just that we've got a vulnerable target.
- 46:00We've got the Guthrie family here.
- 46:01They want they want answers. They're willing to pay.
- 46:04They've shown a willingness to pay, right?
- 46:08This could be fun. Something like that.
- 46:10So OK. Criminologist Cassandra Cross
- 46:14has shown that fraud offenders don't typically choose victims
- 46:18at random, but instead engage in what can be described as
- 46:22vulnerability targeting, selecting individuals based on
- 46:26their likelihood to respond during moments of emotional or
- 46:30situational stress. Right.
- 46:33And of course, for fraudsters, in this case, we're we're moving
- 46:37away from, you know, the dopamine rush of just duping
- 46:40somebody, deceiving somebody that we're talking about, people
- 46:43who want something, they want that Bitcoin, they want that
- 46:46money, right? So in Cassandra Cross, research
- 46:51on fraud victimization, she found that victims are often
- 46:55targeted when they're experiencing some sort of
- 46:58disruption, isolation, heightened emotional need,
- 47:03making them more receptive to unsolicited contact or claims of
- 47:07help. By the way, if you are somebody
- 47:10who is elderly, you are in you. You are part of a vulnerable
- 47:15group of people. Be on the lookout for this kind
- 47:17of stuff, right? So disruption, isolation,
- 47:21heightened emotional need. So Cross emphasizes that victims
- 47:27are not inherently gullible, but are accessible and responsive at
- 47:32a particular moment in time, meaning the success of the scam
- 47:37depends less on the victim's intelligence and more on timing
- 47:42and on context and emotional state.
- 47:45So this reframes the fraud as a process, like as a process of of
- 47:54identifying and exploiting the right person at the right time
- 47:58when they are the most unsuspecting, the most
- 48:01vulnerable, the most easy, the most easy time for them to be
- 48:07tricked. Right now, think about the
- 48:10Guthrie family. Their mom is gone.
- 48:14She's disappeared. They're wondering, is she alive?
- 48:17Is she dead? They're wondering will the
- 48:20police find out this person, they they may the definitely are
- 48:25feeling disruption. They may feel isolation.
- 48:29They probably do. They are they are vulnerable
- 48:35victims, right? So yeah, let me go through my
- 48:38notes here. They're waiting for answers.
- 48:40They're dealing with uncertainty.
- 48:41They're emotionally invested in any new information.
- 48:44So when a message that comes in and says, hey, I know what
- 48:48happened, that is somebody probing or it could be somebody
- 48:56probing. Hey, are they at their most
- 48:59vulnerable right now and that that's enough to really piss you
- 49:05off right PIST is what we become OK, I've got so much here.
- 49:14Hopefully you guys are enjoying this.
- 49:16I, while it made me angry, it also, it also helped me kind of
- 49:25deal through my anger today. All right, moving on.
- 49:29Psychologist Robert B Cialdini, best known for his work on
- 49:34persuasion, found that people often rely on mental shortcuts,
- 49:40also known as heuristics, when making decisions, especially
- 49:44under conditions of uncertainty or emotional stress.
- 49:49So again, we're talking, we're framing this as what would would
- 49:54be criminals, fraudsters, you know, trying to make a quick
- 50:01buck even though they have nothing to do with the abduction
- 50:06of Nancy Guthrie. What?
- 50:09What would these fraudsters rely on?
- 50:14Heuristics, right? People being under conditions of
- 50:18emotional stress. OK, so in his book called
- 50:24Influence the Psychology of Persuasion, Cialdini explains
- 50:27that when we are unsure, we don't look inside ourselves for
- 50:31answers, we look to others. And more broadly, we rely on
- 50:35quick, emotionally driven judgments rather than careful
- 50:38analysis. His research shows that
- 50:41heightened emotional states such as fear, urgency, or hope make
- 50:46individuals more susceptible to influence because they reduce
- 50:49the likelihood of slow critical thinking.
- 50:53Right. Can't think slowly on this.
- 50:55We got to move along. And actually I have to have to
- 50:57rephrase this. I don't know that a book or a
- 51:00paper, but it was called influence the psychology of
- 51:02persuasion. So in these moments, people are
- 51:06more likely to respond automatically to cues like
- 51:09authority, scarcity, perceived insider knowledge, right?
- 51:13Think about these last couple of of notes that TMZ reports on.
- 51:19I saw her with her kidnappers. I know where she is.
- 51:24I know that she is dead. I have this insider knowledge.
- 51:27And that knowledge is why. Well, and that's why emotionally
- 51:34charged situations are especially powerful contexts for
- 51:41manipulation and persuasion. Right now.
- 51:45The claims that are being made here, she's dead.
- 51:47I saw her alive. I know where she is.
- 51:50That's fear and that's hope. That's back and forth, that's
- 51:52emotional swinging. And that could be designed.
- 51:57It's not accidental. It could be designed to keep the
- 52:00Guthrie family engaged, to keep them responding so, so, so wrong
- 52:07all the way around. Let me check in to see what you
- 52:09guys are saying in the live chat.
- 52:11See if there's see if there's anything that you guys want me
- 52:16to see second Beach Gal says. With all due respect to my
- 52:25favorite show, it's gone on too long and the New Hollywood seems
- 52:28to be long drawn out Hollywood personalities and social media
- 52:31like Blake and what's his name, the New Hollywood.
- 52:36OK, yeah, I I have been watching the Baldoni Lively thing.
- 52:42Yeah, mark my words. I'll keep you posted on numbers.
- 52:48OK. All right, let's see.
- 52:52Hey, Ron. Thanks so much.
- 52:54Glad that you that you stopped by.
- 52:57It's always good to see you here.
- 52:59A big fan. Sherry says duty.
- 53:02Ron. Good to know you support Gavin.
- 53:04I just found him. It's hard to know who to follow.
- 53:06I felt loved and received a gift membership on the second video I
- 53:09turned on. Well, that was probably Mooney.
- 53:12It could have been others. You guys are so generous with
- 53:14one another, Mabel says. Also mental health of both
- 53:18victim and suspect. Indeed.
- 53:20Indeed. Yeah.
- 53:22Mooney. It was good to see Ron.
- 53:24I love Ron's channel. Love, love, love Ron's channel.
- 53:29Okie, dokie. All right, The next thing.
- 53:33Language analysis. Criminologists Michael Levi and
- 53:37Russell G Smith have shown that the language used in fraud is
- 53:41carefully constructed to create credibility and compliance.
- 53:45In their research on deception and financial crime, they note
- 53:49that offenders often present themselves as having access to
- 53:52privileged or insider information, which we already
- 53:56talked about a little bit in order to establish authority and
- 53:59lower skepticism. As they explain, fraudsters seek
- 54:02to gain the trust of victims by presenting information in a
- 54:06manner that appears credible, authoritative, and urgent, often
- 54:10using confident, definitive statements rather than tentative
- 54:14or uncertain language. This kind of wording, statements
- 54:21that sound absolute, exclusive or time sensitive is designed to
- 54:26override doubt prompt action. It's designed, guys.
- 54:29It's designed and practice phrases that imply certainty or
- 54:33unique knowledge aren't as just aren't just descriptive.
- 54:36They're strategic, functioning as tools of persuasion meant to
- 54:40make the recipient feel that they're being given access to
- 54:43something important that others don't have.
- 54:45So when someone writes, I know where her body is, I know who
- 54:49her kidnappers are or her kidnapper is, that is not just
- 54:55casual wording, that is authoritative language.
- 54:59And it's designed to it's designed to defraud the the
- 55:08victim here. Right.
- 55:11OK. And then not the last thing,
- 55:14maybe the last. Well, there's a couple more
- 55:16things I did some, I did some research on contradictions,
- 55:21Right. OK, So in the last two letters,
- 55:27you know, she's she's dead in one, she's alive in another.
- 55:32And there's a psychologist, his name was Leon Festinger.
- 55:38He developed what's known as cognitive dissonance Dissonance
- 55:43theory, right? He found that when people are
- 55:48confronted with conflicting information, they don't always
- 55:51reject it. Instead, they often try to
- 55:54resolve that inconsistency internally, he wrote.
- 55:58Festinger wrote that the existence of dissonance leads to
- 56:02efforts to reduce the dissonance, meaning people are
- 56:05actually motivated to make sense of the contradictions rather
- 56:08than walk away from them. In emotionally charged
- 56:11situations, this effect can be even stronger.
- 56:14Rather than dismissing conflicting claims such as one
- 56:17message saying a person is alive and another saying they're dead,
- 56:20individuals may become more engaged trying to determine
- 56:24which version is true. This process can deepen
- 56:27involvement rather than reduce it, because the mind seeks
- 56:30resolution. We talked about dissonance in
- 56:36music a lot. You guys know that I, I love
- 56:39music and I love the, the construction of music.
- 56:45We, we talk about dissonance a lot in music when we're
- 56:48constructing chord progressions, for example, right there, there
- 56:54are chords that are called suspended chords, and these
- 56:57chords use mathematically connected notes to the
- 57:02fundamental note. They're still mathematically
- 57:05corrected, but they're they're not as they're not as resolving,
- 57:11they don't feel resolved. So it leaves you in a state of
- 57:15suspense. That's why they call them
- 57:18suspended courts, right? And it requires that that you
- 57:23like, if you go into a suspended cord, it requires that you go
- 57:28back to if you're in a major scale, let's say the major
- 57:32fundamental cord. And what that does is it gives
- 57:36the listener a sense of resolution that just feels good.
- 57:42And when I read this, this cognitive dissonance theory by
- 57:47Festinger, that's kind of what I went to.
- 57:49I was like, oh, you know, they're they're offering
- 57:53dissonance to their victims, in this case, the Guthrie's, who
- 58:00then go through the process of finding the resolution for
- 58:04themselves. It's like going from that, that
- 58:07chord that just leaves you suspended to finally back to,
- 58:10oh, I feel OK, feel OK now. Right.
- 58:13This is actually one of the reasons that I love The Beatles
- 58:15so much, by the way, Rock'n'roll music is actually built very
- 58:20easily. And I know there's a bit of a
- 58:21tangent. It's it's built very simply.
- 58:25But man, The Beatles did a good job of using those suspended
- 58:29chords to just, I don't know, to just bring us back.
- 58:33And it just feels like you're embraced in a warm blanket,
- 58:36Right. And I think that's what what
- 58:39some fraudsters could be counting on with the Guthrie's.
- 58:44Right. OK, so enough of that.
- 58:51The the last thing I, yeah, this is kind of getting into my
- 58:55conclusion from what I from what I kind of prepared.
- 58:58It's talking about the real world harm.
- 59:02OK, so there's a criminologist, name's Mark Button.
- 59:06He has studied real world impacts of fraud extensively and
- 59:15the harm that goes well beyond the financial loss.
- 59:20Say the Guthrie's paid a Bitcoin, then they're out 71
- 59:26grand or whatever Bitcoin is worth right now, right?
- 59:30But the harm, at least according to Button and according to like
- 59:36my own common sense, goes way beyond that.
- 59:40So Button, in his research on fraud victimization, found that
- 59:45many victims experience significant emotional and
- 59:48psychological consequences, noting that the impact of fraud
- 59:52can be as severe as that experienced by victims of more
- 59:55conventional crimes. Victims frequently report
- 59:59anxiety, depression, loss of confidence, a diminished ability
- 1:00:05to trust others, effects that can persist long after the
- 1:00:10incident itself. In some cases, the emotional
- 1:00:13toll is compounded by feelings of shame or self blame, which
- 1:00:18can discourage victims from speaking out or seeking help.
- 1:00:23Buttons. Work, it highlights that fraud
- 1:00:26is not a victimless crime, right?
- 1:00:31Again, remember in the beginning we were talking about that moral
- 1:00:36disengagement, right? Moral disengagement.
- 1:00:42You know, you're, you're just disengaged from any, any
- 1:00:46morality, any moral compass, any line of ethics.
- 1:00:51You, a person may convince themselves, oh, there's no real
- 1:00:56victim here. They're rich.
- 1:00:58I can just get a little money out of them now.
- 1:01:01And, and there's no harm, no foul, right?
- 1:01:06But that's not what Button said, right?
- 1:01:08Fraud is not a victimless, victimless crime.
- 1:01:11It produces real and lasting harm, particularly when it
- 1:01:14targets individuals who are already vulnerable or in
- 1:01:18distress. It's not just annoying, it's not
- 1:01:22just misleading. It reopens wounds.
- 1:01:24It creates confusion. It prolongs uncertainty for a
- 1:01:29family that's already dealing with deep and lasting trauma.
- 1:01:34So I guess when we look at everything that we just went
- 1:01:37through my my rabbit hole of reading papers and and trying to
- 1:01:45find resolution to the feelings that I was feeling, the feelings
- 1:01:48of angers that I was feeling today.
- 1:01:52Here are a couple things that I that I came to 1st.
- 1:01:56The messages that are being sent are not random.
- 1:01:58They are designed. They fit exactly into what we
- 1:02:05know of criminology and psychology that they are, that
- 1:02:12there is someone out there or, or multiple people out there
- 1:02:15willing to manipulate. They're they're able to justify
- 1:02:20the harm that they're making. They might enjoy what it is that
- 1:02:26they're doing. That deception right.
- 1:02:28The the duping, you know, what was it called?
- 1:02:33The duping, duping delight, right?
- 1:02:41Getting, getting that delight out of duping somebody.
- 1:02:46You know, they're able to identify a high emotion, high
- 1:02:50visibility case and insert themselves into it.
- 1:02:53And I guess that's why this is so infuriating even to those of
- 1:02:59us who are spectators along the periphery who care about this
- 1:03:03woman. We have never met her, but she
- 1:03:06is a victim and we care about her and we care about her
- 1:03:09children and her grandchildren and her neighbors, the people
- 1:03:13that go to church with her, her friends.
- 1:03:16People have known her for fifty, 60-70 years, right?
- 1:03:20It it hits US hard. It hits US hard because not only
- 1:03:26do we recognize that they're being scammed and that's just
- 1:03:31oh, it's enough to make you pist.
- 1:03:33We also know this is a real family in real crisis and
- 1:03:37somebody's using that as leverage and it is infuriating.
- 1:03:42Infuriating. That was a long kind of a
- 1:03:48tantrum for me. But let's see what you guys are
- 1:03:52saying over in the in the live chat before we move on.
- 1:04:00Cabling frauds are frauds, Youtubers, not you Gavin.
- 1:04:04But some like TMZ make me ponder their credibility.
- 1:04:07And I try really hard to not be just a gossip site, right?
- 1:04:12We want, we want to learn from this stuff and we want to help
- 1:04:16when we can. You know, when I started on
- 1:04:17YouTube, on YouTube, it was with my friend Rick, and our channel
- 1:04:22was called Solve Crimes with Rick and Gavin.
- 1:04:24We wanted, we came into this wanting to help solve crimes and
- 1:04:28in this case, by keeping this case alive, keeping her picture
- 1:04:32out there, hopefully somebody will see this and we'll say I
- 1:04:36can't, I can't participate in this anymore and we'll do the
- 1:04:39right thing. So I'm hoping that we're
- 1:04:43learning something. I'm hoping that we're helping
- 1:04:45somehow. Let's see Phoenix rising saying
- 1:04:56good to see you Phoenix. I've gotten to the thought that
- 1:04:58the notes to TMZ claiming to have information could also be
- 1:05:01to make the Guthrie's look bad. They have money, but they won't
- 1:05:04risk half of Bitcoin with the for the info that.
- 1:05:08Yeah, that's an interesting take.
- 1:05:12Hope G says my dad was a victim of fraud this weekend.
- 1:05:16Oh, I'm sorry to hear that. Some guys said they're from the
- 1:05:19city and had just paved the highway.
- 1:05:21They offered to use their leftover tar to pave his
- 1:05:23driveway for a big discount. They charged 10 times the
- 1:05:27amount. Wow.
- 1:05:30Cabling. There's no moral conviction
- 1:05:32anymore. And some people there just
- 1:05:33isn't. Yeah.
- 1:05:36They're just isn't okey dokey. There is an article that I want
- 1:05:44to bring it to you guys to just kind of close out this
- 1:05:50conversation about Nancy Guthrie before we move on.
- 1:05:52OK, this from page 6 written by Teresa Roca.
- 1:05:57And this came out yesterday. Again, you know, we, we just
- 1:06:02don't know what's going on. But the headline reads why walls
- 1:06:05are closing in on Nancy Guthrie's kidnapper after
- 1:06:08Savannah's today return. OK, the walls are closing in on
- 1:06:12Nancy Guthrie's kidnapper after Savannah Guthrie's return to
- 1:06:15today, as her national platform will help keep all eyes on the
- 1:06:19case, according to an FBI expert.
- 1:06:20I hope that's true, Quote. Every day that passes, the
- 1:06:24pressure builds. Keeping a secret like this is
- 1:06:26exhausting, and that gets harder with every morning that Savannah
- 1:06:30Guthrie sits behind that anchor desk, former FBI agent Jason
- 1:06:34Pack exclusively told Page 6, continuing the quote, Most
- 1:06:38criminals in cases like this count on the media moving on.
- 1:06:42They count on the family fading from public view.
- 1:06:44They count on people forgetting. This case is different.
- 1:06:47Savannah has a national platform and she shows up on it every
- 1:06:51single day. Every time a viewer sees her
- 1:06:54face, they think about her mother.
- 1:06:56Close quote Pack believes the more attention the case
- 1:06:59receives, the more pressure on the people responsible goes up.
- 1:07:04After reading this, that is why I decided to just go ahead with
- 1:07:08my diatribe today. Quote, add a reward of more than
- 1:07:11$1 million in the full weight of FBI resources and you have a
- 1:07:14situation where the walls are not just closing, but they are
- 1:07:17closing from every direction at once, he said.
- 1:07:21Pack went on to urge Nancy's neighbors to check their cameras
- 1:07:24and contact authorities with any information on her
- 1:07:26disappearance. Quote, at some point someone is
- 1:07:29going to have the courage to make that call.
- 1:07:31He said one phone call from someone who decides the reward
- 1:07:35money matters more than their silence is all it takes to bring
- 1:07:38law enforcement directly to their front door.
- 1:07:41And it goes on. And there's a link to the
- 1:07:44article in the description below.
- 1:07:46You can check that out. So that is why guys, I'm staying
- 1:07:49on the Nancy Guthrie case, will continue to stay on the Nancy
- 1:07:52Guthrie case until until there's resolution to this case.
- 1:07:57And I hope that you guys will join me in that quest as well.
- 1:08:02With that, let's move on to three questions, shall we?
- 1:08:06It's three questions with Gavin Fish, Okie Dokie.
- 1:08:15In this segment, guys, I answer three of your questions.
- 1:08:20I answer them in the order that I feel like I should answer, and
- 1:08:25two of the three that that I'm answering today came in like
- 1:08:28yesterday. So I just thought they were
- 1:08:31great questions. But I solemnly promise that I
- 1:08:33will do my best to answer every question that comes in.
- 1:08:36I will do so completely without dodging anything and will do it
- 1:08:42to the best of my ability. All you have to do is send them
- 1:08:45to three questions at gavinfish.com.
- 1:08:47It's spelled out THREE questions at gavinfish.com.
- 1:08:50You can send multiple questions at once or you can send them one
- 1:08:54at a time, whatever you want to do.
- 1:08:58Question #1 Tonight comes from Diane G Diane asks, Hey, Gavin,
- 1:09:06since you fly airplanes, how would you weigh a plane without
- 1:09:09scales? That is a terrific question.
- 1:09:12Let me tell you how it works. OK?
- 1:09:15Every plane has has things that you know about it because of its
- 1:09:22certification, including what it weighs, what its useful load is,
- 1:09:27what its payload is, and things like that.
- 1:09:31You know, because it is a constant weight, how much fuel
- 1:09:36weighs, you know how much fuel you have in the tanks because
- 1:09:41you measure those things. And you should know your own
- 1:09:46weight, your passenger weight, and anything that you're taking
- 1:09:50along all of those things. And you need to make sure that
- 1:09:53it stays under a threshold, which is published for every
- 1:09:56certified plane. And you know, I actually got up
- 1:10:02to a point where I could not take say like 3 of my kids in a
- 1:10:07plane at one time because I was too fat, right?
- 1:10:12So I didn't have scales, but I for the plane itself, but I knew
- 1:10:17the weight of the plane. I knew what it was capable of
- 1:10:20doing. I knew my how much fuel I was
- 1:10:22putting into the tanks. I knew what was leftover for
- 1:10:27passengers and luggage. That's how that works.
- 1:10:31Same thing happens on a commercial plane, by the way.
- 1:10:34They don't have scales on on the ground weighing the plane.
- 1:10:38What they do is they know what the plane weighs.
- 1:10:42They know well what really happens on a commercial flight
- 1:10:47is the the useful load for a plane is well beyond anything
- 1:10:52that you can pack into it. Not so much, not as much with
- 1:10:58cargo planes. They have to be way more careful
- 1:11:00that way, as I understand it. But yeah, that's how that works.
- 1:11:04And I guess layman's terms. Great question.
- 1:11:08And I do love to fly planes. OK, Mel.
- 1:11:12Mel sent in several questions and I chose 1 today.
- 1:11:19But we need to know, just for context, that Mel is chiming in
- 1:11:25from beautiful New Zealand. She asks, are you familiar with
- 1:11:31our beautiful culture? She's talking about her Maori
- 1:11:34culture. And have you had the privilege
- 1:11:37of watching an All Blacks game or a Haka Mel?
- 1:11:43I love this question. First of all, I am surface level
- 1:11:50familiar with the Maori culture. Not not deeply right, but you
- 1:11:58mentioned in your e-mail that you are married to a Tonga man
- 1:12:02from Tonga. My baby sister, we're not babies
- 1:12:08anymore. We're all old people.
- 1:12:10She is married to a man from Tonga and they have beautiful
- 1:12:13Tongan children, one of which is a is the team captain of AD 1
- 1:12:24rugby team who has some real talent and is on a very, very,
- 1:12:31very good team. And so I have gotten to know
- 1:12:36rugby through his rugby pursuits.
- 1:12:40Now my brother-in-law has been playing rugby since since long
- 1:12:43before I've known him. I just never went and watched
- 1:12:45him. And then when it comes to haka,
- 1:12:52my sister and brother in law's kids all played football in
- 1:12:56Northern California before, you know, before they grew up and
- 1:12:59graduated and stuff like that. And they would lead their teams
- 1:13:03in hakas before the game. It was beautiful how the teams
- 1:13:10embraced that beautiful heritage.
- 1:13:16It was awesome. I have never watched a complete
- 1:13:22All Blacks game, but I've seen so many hakas, so many clips and
- 1:13:28it I I only didn't watch the games because I didn't
- 1:13:31understand the game. It's just such, but sitting on
- 1:13:34the sidelines watching my nephew's team play and sitting
- 1:13:38next to my sister and my other nephews and my niece and them
- 1:13:42and my brother-in-law telling me what's going on.
- 1:13:45It's actually not that complicated of a game to
- 1:13:49understand as a as a spectator and is fun to watch.
- 1:13:53So, yeah. And I could talk about them all
- 1:13:57night long because I love them so much.
- 1:13:59They are, they are a terrific family that that embrace that
- 1:14:05their Tongan culture. It is beautiful.
- 1:14:09And my brother-in-law has stories, man, so great, so
- 1:14:15great. OK, was that question.
- 1:14:18That was question #2 question #3 this is probably a good question
- 1:14:23for you all to answer in the live chat.
- 1:14:25What is your favorite footwear? Are you a loafers, sneakers,
- 1:14:29sandals or flip flops kind of guy?
- 1:14:31Patty, I am neither a sandals nor a flip flops kind of guy.
- 1:14:36I think flip flops are my least favorite footwear for me
- 1:14:40personally to wear. I got ugly feet and I don't like
- 1:14:44the flap flap, flap flap and the feeling of having to like keep
- 1:14:48shoes on on my feet. Why do I have to have effort to
- 1:14:52keep shoes on my feet? So dumb.
- 1:14:55So no, I don't like flip flops. I don't like sandals just
- 1:14:58because I like humanity. I don't want to expose them to
- 1:15:01my disgusting feet. I mostly wear sneakers now.
- 1:15:06When it comes to formal footwear, I'm a fan of the
- 1:15:09humble Oxford. I just, I just love the Oxford.
- 1:15:13I've got a couple pairs of plain toe black oxfords.
- 1:15:18I've got a cap toe pair of brown oxfords.
- 1:15:21I've got a black pair of wingtip brogued oxfords.
- 1:15:26I love those. For sneakers, I always stick
- 1:15:30with the same brand. I always keep a couple pair.
- 1:15:32I'm an ASICS guy. I've never once owned a pair of
- 1:15:36loafers, but I am kind of starting to get drawn to the
- 1:15:41idea of maybe having a classic pair of horse bit loafers.
- 1:15:46And my son tells me that if I am to add a pair or two of loafers,
- 1:15:53like a penny loafer, horse bit loafer, something like that to
- 1:15:57my shoe collection, then my metamorphosis into my father
- 1:16:02will be complete. My dad's all about the loafer.
- 1:16:04He is all about the loafer. We've been having that
- 1:16:08conversation in our home so thanks for bringing that U.
- 1:16:11I'd love to hear your thoughts. Is this controversial?
- 1:16:15Are my thoughts on the flip flop and the sandal a controversial
- 1:16:20take? We'll take your calls.
- 1:16:23No, we won't take your calls, but we will take your comments.
- 1:16:25Definitely leave those. That would be fun for me to
- 1:16:29read. Guys.
- 1:16:30Those are your three questions. Remember to send your questions
- 1:16:32to three questions at gavinfish.com.
- 1:16:35And now, while you are telling me your thoughts on my answers
- 1:16:39to three questions and your answers to the same questions,
- 1:16:43let's get into some headlines. True crime headlines.
- 1:16:53Okie Dokie friends Oh Mine first headline is just a reminder that
- 1:17:00Amy Hilliard is still missing. OK, there's a link down in the
- 1:17:03description below to a website called Bring Amy Home that that
- 1:17:09the family and friends are using to update us.
- 1:17:12But as of right before we started the show, Amy Hilliard
- 1:17:16is still missing. She is considered at risk due to
- 1:17:20a medical condition. We don't know what that medical
- 1:17:23condition is, but she was last seen on March 25th near her home
- 1:17:28on the 500 block of Radnor Rd. in Oakland.
- 1:17:31She was wearing a white short sleeved shirt, light jeans,
- 1:17:35white sneakers with black stripes.
- 1:17:37She is 52 years old. She is five foot 4 inches tall,
- 1:17:40120 lbs, blonde hair, Hazel eyes, and if you have seen her,
- 1:17:47please call Oakland PD at 510-238-3641 or call
- 1:17:54510-591-4857. Let's bring Amy home.
- 1:18:01OK, Next headline is from the Ivy Times.
- 1:18:10I, I found this to be an interesting article.
- 1:18:13There's no real update on the case, but I think it's an
- 1:18:17interesting article from a couple days ago written by Nobel
- 1:18:21Barines. At least I think that's how you
- 1:18:24pronounce the name. How David's cooperative facade
- 1:18:27crumbled under the weight of a California grand jury.
- 1:18:32And I'm just going to I'm not going to read the whole thing
- 1:18:34but a little bit. The investigation into the death
- 1:18:37of Celeste Rivas Hernandez. Let me find there we are.
- 1:18:45Let's find picture of Celeste has increasingly centered on the
- 1:18:49work of a California grand jury as prosecutors pursue a complex
- 1:18:53and highly secretive legal strategy in the case involving
- 1:18:57musician David. What began as a missing persons
- 1:19:02report has evolved into a closely watched criminal probe
- 1:19:08now unfolding largely out of sight, but with potential career
- 1:19:12ending and life altering consequences for those involved.
- 1:19:16Authorities convened a Los Angeles County grand jury in
- 1:19:19late 2025, marking a significant turning point in the probe.
- 1:19:24Unlike a traditional public court process, the grand jury
- 1:19:27operates behind closed doors, allowing prosecutors to present
- 1:19:31evidence, question witnesses and determine whether there's enough
- 1:19:35probable cause to file criminal charges.
- 1:19:38Then of course, it gives a, you know, case drew national
- 1:19:42attention because of summarizes the case from the outset,
- 1:19:46prosecutors opted to use a grand jury rather than immediately
- 1:19:49filing charges, a move often reserved for complex or high
- 1:19:53profile cases. Legal experts say this approach
- 1:19:55allows investigators to gather testimony discreetly while
- 1:19:59protecting sensitive evidence. In this case, the proceedings
- 1:20:03have been described as unusually secretive.
- 1:20:05I don't know if that's fair. With authorities keeping the
- 1:20:08case close to the vest as they build their argument.
- 1:20:13Court filings later revealed that David, whose legal name is
- 1:20:15David Anthony Burke, had been formally identified as a target
- 1:20:18of the grand jury investigation. This designation indicates the
- 1:20:22prosecutors believe there is substantial evidence linking him
- 1:20:25to potential criminal activity, though it does not equate to a
- 1:20:28charge. So yeah, then it goes into who
- 1:20:33has, who has been witnessed, who have been witnesses to the grand
- 1:20:38jury, including friends of his. Yeah.
- 1:20:45So there's a link to the rest of this, but I'm hoping that Oh
- 1:20:52yeah, does it really get into his crumbling?
- 1:20:58It doesn't. The article really doesn't.
- 1:21:01But yeah, his facade of being cooperative crumbled right from
- 1:21:05the beginning, I think. All right, from the Daily Mail,
- 1:21:09this about Rex Heuermann. And this is a long article.
- 1:21:14I'm, I just highlighted a bit of it because we talked about his
- 1:21:18guilty plea yesterday. This is written by Rachel Sharp,
- 1:21:21Ruth Mushinsky, and the dailymail.co.uk headline reads
- 1:21:26every chilling moment inside the Gilgo Beach serial killer
- 1:21:29hearing with Justice finally served, our front row account of
- 1:21:32his cold courtroom confession, the family's raw emotion in the
- 1:21:36world, and the word that stunned the room.
- 1:21:38I just want to Scroll down and again, there's a link in the
- 1:21:41description below. Let me read this.
- 1:21:45I'm going to start above where I highlighted at one point.
- 1:21:48The corners of his mouth curled up in what appeared to be a
- 1:21:51faint flicker of a smirk as he uttered the words Guilty.
- 1:21:55Even after working on countless shocking criminal cases, nothing
- 1:21:58could prepare us for how disturbing that expression felt.
- 1:22:02Then came a moment that sent chills, chills through the room
- 1:22:04as we learned for the very first time how each of the women died.
- 1:22:081 by 1. Huberman answered in a calm,
- 1:22:10matter of fact tone. Strangulation, strangulation,
- 1:22:14strangulation, strangulation, strangulation, strangulation,
- 1:22:16strangulation, strangulation. Ringing heavy in the room, he
- 1:22:21reduced the lives of these young women, mothers, sisters,
- 1:22:24daughters to 1. Callous word.
- 1:22:27Inside the courtroom, what struck us was there was no
- 1:22:30glimmer of remorse, the answers uttered with no more emotion
- 1:22:33than if he was ordering a coffee.
- 1:22:36It was sickening to see, though perhaps we shouldn't have been
- 1:22:39surprised, the cutting words later used by law enforcement
- 1:22:42members to describe him. Monster, soulless, callous and
- 1:22:46sadistic. Sadistic didn't seem powerful
- 1:22:49enough. All around the room, the
- 1:22:51victim's loved ones silently sobbed, dabbed tissues to their
- 1:22:54eyes and clutched each other for comfort, while others, so
- 1:22:58overcome with pain and grief, were unable to even look at the
- 1:23:01man and murderer in front of them.
- 1:23:04At the very back of the courtroom, humans family looked
- 1:23:07destroyed. And I'm not going to get into
- 1:23:10the family there. But an interesting article
- 1:23:13indeed. I invite you to read that now,
- 1:23:16guys, we're trying this on for a second time.
- 1:23:19Let's do some positive news, OK? It has nothing to do with crime.
- 1:23:23We've been, we've been kind of talking about heavy, weighty,
- 1:23:28ponderous stuff for the last almost hour and a half.
- 1:23:33How about some good news? How about some really, really
- 1:23:35good news? This from a website called
- 1:23:38Positive News Bright Idea shines hope on struggling pollinators.
- 1:23:45Written by Robin Evely, Red light therapy can help bee
- 1:23:51colonies to live longer and pollinate more effectively,
- 1:23:54studies claim. Hmm, tell me more because I've
- 1:23:59kind of, I've kind of thought that red light therapy is kind
- 1:24:02of a fad, but OK. Red light therapy has long been
- 1:24:06used by humans to improve skin health, slow signs of aging, and
- 1:24:10soothe sore muscles. Now the treatment is giving a
- 1:24:12glow up to one of our most vital pollinators, the bees.
- 1:24:19It works by stimulating the mitochondria, the powerhouses of
- 1:24:22living cells, boosting efficiency and catalyzing tissue
- 1:24:25regeneration. The brains behind Bee Futures,
- 1:24:29an Agrotech outfit based in France and Norway, claims
- 1:24:33studies show bees enjoy the same benefits when exposed to red and
- 1:24:37near infrared light. Colonies given the red light
- 1:24:41treatment were better able to cope with stressors like heat,
- 1:24:45extreme weather and pesticides than those without, living
- 1:24:48longer and pollinating more effectively, the company said.
- 1:24:52The company has since launched Onebi Light, a world first in
- 1:24:57hive therapy light for bees, developed in partnership with
- 1:25:00the University College London. OK man, so it's a sales pitch.
- 1:25:04Dang it, oh Dang it, I got duped, I got duped, maybe I
- 1:25:10didn't, maybe it's true, blah blah blah blah blah.
- 1:25:14Trials by UCL showed the colonies exposed to pesticides
- 1:25:17or transport stress got back to being busy bees within days when
- 1:25:21supported by the red light gadget.
- 1:25:24OK, OK, well, you know, I, I do feel a little duped there, but
- 1:25:30but maybe it's true, could be true.
- 1:25:33Maybe I need to stop being so skeptical or cynical and just be
- 1:25:36happy that our world's pollinators might be responding
- 1:25:41to something awesome. Now, before we go, I would like
- 1:25:45to know what you guys are saying over in the live chat.
- 1:25:52Kay Bling says thank you, Gavin, you are the real deal.
- 1:25:57Thank you very much. That makes me feel good.
- 1:25:59Sherry Nevada. Gavin, are you a pilot?
- 1:26:01That is awesome. Yes.
- 1:26:02And I, I forget sometimes that I've got new viewers.
- 1:26:05Yeah, I I am a private pilot. I'm not a commercial pilot.
- 1:26:10I am a private pilot. And I've been flying for about
- 1:26:1326 years now, I think. I think I was first certificated
- 1:26:17in 2000. It may have been 2001, though.
- 1:26:22I think it's 2000, so 2526 years.
- 1:26:28Christine Gavin, is there anything you can't do?
- 1:26:32I don't want you to be fooled by my superficial knowledge of a,
- 1:26:36of a wide area or, you know, wide amount of topics.
- 1:26:44OK, There are a few things that I'm good at.
- 1:26:48OK, a few things that I'm very good at.
- 1:26:51And then many, many things that interest me that I have very
- 1:26:55superficial knowledge of and and it it puts out this impression
- 1:27:03that I'm just like this overachieving guy that can do
- 1:27:05anything. And I nothing could be further
- 1:27:08from the truth. I'm a normal person who just has
- 1:27:11lots of different interests and likes to read and gets to know
- 1:27:15different things. Let's see.
- 1:27:18Thank you. But thank you, that did help my
- 1:27:21ego. MRG is GF for girlfriend?
- 1:27:24No, it is neither for girlfriend nor gluten free.
- 1:27:29It is for Gavin Fish. That's funny.
- 1:27:34Sherry says. I love the three questions.
- 1:27:36You know what my my thing gets gets stuck sometimes my live
- 1:27:43chat overlay gets stuck sometimes and I can't get it to
- 1:27:49change. But Sherry does like the the
- 1:27:53three questions and now now it is completely not working at
- 1:27:59all. Autumn, I saw that you have a
- 1:28:03little is it an anniversary for being a member?
- 1:28:07But now I can't see it because because my system went Le Pew.
- 1:28:14But thank you for your continued awesomeness.
- 1:28:18Autumn is my lead moderator guys.
- 1:28:22And if I could just encourage you please to head over to my
- 1:28:27website, gavinfish.com. I love you guys.
- 1:28:31At State of the End, go to gavinfish.com, click on the
- 1:28:33Support me tab and when it finally loads, yes, I do need to
- 1:28:37address the load speed of my website when it finally loads.
- 1:28:43Maybe my problem is that I'm having Internet connectivity
- 1:28:45issues. Maybe that is it.
- 1:28:49Please, hopefully, let's see if this works.
- 1:28:57No, it doesn't. Anyway, there is a button on the
- 1:29:03website where you can buy Autumn a coffee, and I'm sure the
- 1:29:08autumn has shared it in the live chat as well.
- 1:29:12And then if you click on this little fishy icon, that will
- 1:29:14take you over to the fish tank where we hang out on Facebook.
- 1:29:17You're always, always, always invited though.
- 1:29:19Never any pressure. If it's your thing, come join us
- 1:29:24in the tank on Facebook there. There's a link in the
- 1:29:27description too. All right, thank you all for
- 1:29:31your kind. Support your super chats today.
- 1:29:34Thank you to my patrons, to my members, thank you to those who
- 1:29:38are listening on Spotify. That helps the channel a whole
- 1:29:41bunch and thank you for watching for liking, for commenting and
- 1:29:47sharing. You guys are the best.
- 1:29:49I will be back tomorrow, 6:00 PM Eastern Time right here in this
- 1:29:53very same place to talk live on YouTube, then uploading it to
- 1:29:58Spotify afterwards and until then, well, I hope to see you
- 1:30:02there and until then, I bid you. I do thank you very much for
- 1:30:06being here catch you on the next one.
- 1:30:08Bye bye. Thank you very much for watching
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