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SERIOUSLY, DON’T TRUST A FORECAST BUILT ON ACTIVITY

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A sales forecast built on activity is not a forecast.

It is a story your CRM is making look like math.

In this episode of Seriously, Don’t Do That, Dan Griffith breaks down why healthy-looking pipeline can collapse under inspection, especially when the forecast is built on default close dates, rep-entered activity, vague stage definitions, and buyer movement nobody has actually verified.

The story starts with a founder preparing for a Series B board meeting.

The CRM showed 41 open opportunities and $4.3M in weighted pipeline.

It looked fine.

Then the close dates told the real…

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