Latest / Financial Survival Network / Buy Now -- Pay Never, What Could Go Wrong -- Carl Gould #5960
Transcript
- 0:00Well, we're seeing people spend equal as much. Now, Remember people have
- 0:04less disposable income than they did last year, So on average, the average
- 0:07family has five to seven thousand dollars less as a family to spend than they
- 0:12did last year. So here's where That's why we're seeing credit card debt go
- 0:16up, and that's why buy now, pay later is going to be a
- 0:22strong trend for this holiday season. You're listening to Carrie Lutz's Financial Survival Network
- 0:28where you get valuable information. You just can't find anywhere else to thrive in
- 0:33today's trying times. You need the Financial Survival Network now more than ever.
- 0:39Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial
- 0:45Survival Network now more than ever, and welcome. You are listening to the
- 0:54Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Lutz. Well, it's a
- 0:58tough Christmas season in looks like the country is heading into a potential recession,
- 1:03could be a deep one. Got a lot of problems out there in the
- 1:07horizon. What are we going to do? Uh? Well, the buy
- 1:12now, the buy now, pay later plan is back in vogue. Everybody
- 1:18seems to be offering it. Carl Gould is with us Now, Carl,
- 1:22it's great to have you back on the show. He you've got a question
- 1:23for Carl and myself. Kl at Kerrie LEDs dot com is the email address,
- 1:30and Carl, you are president business management firm Seven Stage Advisors. So
- 1:38buy now, pay now for some people, it's buy now, payever,
- 1:42right, it could be Look, it's you know, with all that's going
- 1:47on right now, companies have to get more creative as to how to bring
- 1:49in a customer. It's the most expensive thing that they do when it comes
- 1:55to fulfilling. You know, their services and products to their customers is getting
- 1:59them in the first place. And so and it's eight times more expensive to
- 2:04get a new customer than keep an existing one. So they've got to get
- 2:07creative. So they say, all right, well you come and buy now,
- 2:09pay later. It's almost like an in house finance program. And it's
- 2:14a way to attract more customers and get more foot traffic into their locations.
- 2:20Well, you know they've got this zero percent financing. They've got you know,
- 2:23make no payments until January twenty twenty five, like at furniture stores.
- 2:31You know, is this going to make any difference? The people take advantage
- 2:37of it. Oh, it will, it will because we you know,
- 2:39we very much appreciate the impulse buy. We will. We will spend money
- 2:45on things that we that we see or if we run out of budget,
- 2:50but there's still something really important to us that we want to get, especially
- 2:53during the holiday season, We're going to make that purchase. So it's genestly
- 2:57people put more on their credit cards. This is another form of that.
- 3:00So yeah, you'll you'll see an uptick in purchases as a result. Just
- 3:04need to be careful. Mm hmmm. Hey, well, one nice thing
- 3:07is when you do the buy buy now, pay later plan doesn't go on
- 3:12your credit report, does it generally, right? So that is one of
- 3:15those nice things. Now, yeah, you want to check the fine print
- 3:20to make sure that it doesn't because a larger store that already has its own
- 3:25credit department, like a home depot like L's, like a Macy's. In
- 3:31the fine print, it could say that if you miss a payment, it
- 3:35goes on your credit report. So you do want to be careful about that
- 3:38because if you're going to buy one hundred dollars item and you do buy now,
- 3:40pay later, you think you're going to spend one hundred dollars. But
- 3:44maybe there's an admin fee to get onto the program, maybe there's interest,
- 3:47maybe there's a convenience fee. Maybe there's a penalty if you don't pay on
- 3:53time. These are the sorts of things that you want to make sure are
- 3:58not part of the program, or you least know about them before you get
- 4:01into them, right, So, I guess some people will take advantage of
- 4:06it. Huh. What other innovative ways to bring customers into the stores of
- 4:11the websites are you seeing now? Well, they're doing a lot of bundling.
- 4:15You know, when times are tough, it's hard to just charge a
- 4:18retail price for something. So what they might do is they might put a
- 4:21bundle together. Instead of buying that T shirt in that hat, they'll put
- 4:26the two together, They'll put a they'll put a band around it, and
- 4:29they'll and they'll say, hey, two for twenty instead of buying them separately
- 4:32it would be thirty. They're also using clearance racks. If you noticed,
- 4:38did you notice Black Friday started right after Halloween? It didn't start on after
- 4:46the damn Thanksgiving. It started then it went all the way through the weekend.
- 4:50It's still going on. Yeah, Black friend is a month long now,
- 4:55yeah, exactly, Friday is a state of mind. I think it.
- 4:58Well, you're right, because it's no longer a day. So even
- 5:01Black Friday even starts on Thanksgiving in some places. So people are you know,
- 5:08companies are using a lot of promotions, they're using a lot of discounts,
- 5:12They're using a lot of very clever tactics to make it appealing. So
- 5:16you think you're getting a good deal and you and you patronize their particular store.
- 5:21Amazon is giving free delivery. There's a lot of different hooks to get
- 5:26somebody to start buying. Hey, so it looked like there were less riots
- 5:30this Black Friday too, Maybe spreading it out as a good thing, you
- 5:35know, it could be, you could be. It's hard. It's hard
- 5:38to know if that's the case. But what we have definitely seen is retailers
- 5:42are upping their security and more importantly, their security presence. So someone's less
- 5:47likely to, you know, to grab and run if they see security right
- 5:53at the door. You know, the stores that were getting hit, you
- 5:57know, look, no one deserves to be robbed, but the store is
- 6:00that we're getting hit. Were the ones that not only were vulnerable, but
- 6:02they looked vulnerable. They looked as though they didn't have a security presence,
- 6:06and so that emboldens somebody who's going to try to snatch stuff from your store.
- 6:12Yeah, well you know they would like be fighting each other off for
- 6:16toaster ovens and stuff. Then remember that guy in Long Island got trampled to
- 6:21death, like takes to go and it's just was out of control. So
- 6:28if you could spread it out and keep them away from the stores, maybe
- 6:30that's not such a bad thing, right right, Well, look, the
- 6:34retail is going to continue to be under pressure. It's it's changing. The
- 6:40retail world has changed since the Amazon effect really accelerated during the pandemic, so
- 6:46that really did change things. Retail still has its place and people still do
- 6:53like to come out and look and touch things and consult this with the sales
- 6:57reps so they make sure that they're buying the right thing. There's still a
- 7:00place for that and there always will be. But the retail shops have to
- 7:03create a compelling experience in order for people to come back. Okay, so
- 7:08an interesting item that popped up here, I just want to run it by
- 7:11you. In Europe, Amazon was hit by multiple strikes because they're not it's
- 7:18mainly working conditions. You know, they do some things over there that might
- 7:25be acceptable here but are not acceptable in Europe, and they're kind of like,
- 7:30I mean, look, two thousand workers struck across six Amazon fulfillment centers
- 7:38in Germany. You know, what are they doing wrong here? KORL.
- 7:43Well, you do need to know your audience, and you do need to
- 7:46know what is acceptable, you know, labor practices in each of these states
- 7:50now in these countries. Now, you know, Amazon is a very is
- 7:58a company that has a lot of accountability in its workplace, and not everybody
- 8:03likes that. And you know, they are very data driven and they're very
- 8:07accountability driven, and you know, you're you're going to have that issue.
- 8:11I don't know that they're doing anything wrong, but how you institute things like
- 8:15that sometimes is the difference. And they just need to make sure that they're
- 8:18communicating the expectations properly and you know, and enforcing what they say and not
- 8:24enforcing what they don't say. Yeah, yeah, well they're still popular though,
- 8:30sure, sure, amazing amazing company. You know, I wonder what
- 8:33modern life would be like without them sometimes, you know, Yeah, I
- 8:39just do it sometimes just because I'm lazy, I don't want to go to
- 8:43the store. It's not so much I don't want to go to the store,
- 8:45but I know that a certain product I'm looking for I have difficulty finding
- 8:50at the local supermarket. That's the point right there, Kerry. Amazon has
- 8:54engendered trust that if they say they have it, they have it, and
- 8:58you can't always rely on your local store or to have what they have historically
- 9:01had on the shelves. And Amazon makes it super easy to find out.
- 9:05You go right on the site, you do a search, they have it,
- 9:07they don't have it. They tell you when you're going to get it,
- 9:09and they just manage your expectations, I think, as much as anything
- 9:13else, that's what they're good at. You know, if I told you
- 9:16something that you really wanted was going to come in three days instead of two,
- 9:18I don't think you would care, but you would want to just you
- 9:22just want to know is it there or not? Right? Am I buying
- 9:24the thing that I'm am I getting the thing that I think that I'm buying.
- 9:28So if I were, if I need a gift and last year they
- 9:31had it at that store, but I'm not really sure, and Amazon,
- 9:35I know, has it. You know, do I want to invest an
- 9:37hour of my life to go find out when I could do it at the
- 9:41click of a button and if the prices are reasonably close, Amazon's going to
- 9:43win. Yeah, so true. I mean, hey, something like Terryoki
- 9:48sauce. I can never find it where I think it should be in the
- 9:52supermarket. So I just gave up and I said, you know, I'll
- 9:56just order it from Amazon. They'll have it to me in two days,
- 10:00need it right this minute. And that's what I've taken it doing with a
- 10:03whole host of items that I just trun't be bothered going out to the to
- 10:07the local stores for it. You know, if I buy it from Amazon
- 10:11or I buy it from the cvs, who cares, right right, Yeah,
- 10:16exactly exactly. And that's and that's where you know, Amazon has always
- 10:20wanted to be a customer centric person company, and they wanted to be one
- 10:24of the most customer centric businesses on the planet. And that's they've placed their
- 10:28focus there. And it's it's clear that they have. You know, Target
- 10:31has done a really good job and Walmart, for that matter, where the
- 10:35same day pick up and curbside pickup. Again, that's been a very very
- 10:41customer centric move. Target and Walmart are doing actually have the advantage over Amazon
- 10:46because they have stores in your local market, whereas Amazon does it. So
- 10:52Target and Walmart actually have an advantage there over Amazon. And that's something that's
- 10:56very valuable to people. They say, I need to so on my way
- 11:01home from work, I'm happy to just stop by and pick it up if
- 11:03you could just have it ready and we can do a curbside delivery. That
- 11:07has proven to be a tremendous value added service for customers, and they really
- 11:13like it is curbside delivery. I had them delivery a package to me Walmart
- 11:18in like it was like in less than a day, like two hours after
- 11:22I it was dropped off at my door. It was amazing, you know,
- 11:26and Mazon had never done that before. So I think I got to
- 11:31look more closely at Walmart, you know, right right, well, the
- 11:37convenience now you can look on the website, you can look on the app,
- 11:41you could see if they have it, and you know, they're all
- 11:45three of these companies were talking about. Their logistics are so sophisticated that if
- 11:48they say they've got it, you could trust that they have it and they'll
- 11:52get it to you. Yeah, it's pretty it's pretty cool. Definitely pretty
- 11:56amazing. So what other trends we're seeing here for Chris miss in terms of
- 12:01what people are buying, how much they're spending, anything that's raising alarms with
- 12:05you. Well, we're seeing people spend equal as much. Now, remember,
- 12:11people have less disposable income than they did last year. So on average,
- 12:13the average family has five to seven thousand dollars less as a family to
- 12:18spend than they did last year. So here's where that's why we're seeing credit
- 12:22card debt go up, and that's why buy now, pay later is going
- 12:26to be a strong trend for this holiday season. You know, it's funny
- 12:33because when we were kids growing up, buy now, pay later, that
- 12:37was like, you know a lot of people did it. It was like
- 12:41the Christmas Club, right, yep, that's right, Yeah, no doubt
- 12:46these so people they're reviving some of these older products and services, but just
- 12:52under a new knee. So every old is new again, right, exactly.
- 12:56It's not vegan, it's plant based. You know, you're not on
- 13:01a diet. You have a meal playing, right, you're not. It's
- 13:03not in house financing. It's buy now, pay later, right, all
- 13:07right, But it all amounts to the same thing as the same idea,
- 13:11you're going to buy more than you can afford, right in some cases,
- 13:13yes, in some cases, Look, if you managed the if you manage
- 13:16the program properly, you'll be fine. But you just want to be aware
- 13:22of what the fine print is for one of these programs so you're not caught
- 13:26off guard, right, Yes, OHI it's the devil is in the details,
- 13:31right, Yeah, sure is it? Sure is you you know,
- 13:35because you're If you manage the program right and you set up your payments and
- 13:41make sure you're not getting hit with fees and interest, then this program could
- 13:45work really well. But if you're playing if you're using the program to play
- 13:48catch up. You know, some people either are getting a bonus at the
- 13:52end of the year or they know they're getting a tax refund, and they
- 13:54say, you know what, I'm going to pay this off when I get
- 13:56my bonus or I get my tax refund, and they've already planned that out,
- 13:58so I'll take advantage of the buy now, pay later, And that's
- 14:01cool. That works fine. But if you're saying I have no idea,
- 14:05how I want to pay this and I really want to get this gift,
- 14:07and your payment schedule extends, that's when it's going to be a little bit
- 14:11more painful. I just find it fascinating that, you know, the creativity,
- 14:18the brain power that goes into these companies to get you to buy more,
- 14:24and it's it's all scientific, you know. It's like things that they
- 14:28do in the casino to get you to gamble, like getting rid of the
- 14:30clock correct, all those things are all geared at how do you make people
- 14:37spend more money than they plan to write? Yeah, it's true. Look,
- 14:41it's the hardest thing to do in business. Marketing and sales is the
- 14:45hardest thing to do in business, and so that's why so much time and
- 14:48effort and energy is placed on it. Because it's expensive, it's hard,
- 14:52it's ever changing, it's ever evolving, and you need to stay. If
- 14:58you miss a you know, consumer purchasing trend, it could be catastrophic for
- 15:03your business. I mean, these companies make up to forty percent of their
- 15:07revenue in the holiday season. They can't afford to have this miss right forty
- 15:13percent. How did they become so dependent on one season? Really, literally
- 15:18let's call it two months, but really it's like forty five days. Isn't
- 15:22that a mistake? Well? I think it's just you just have three major
- 15:28holidays within sixty days of each other. You have Halloween, which does billions
- 15:33and billions in circles, believe, Yeah, Thanksgiving and Christmas. If you
- 15:39think about it, it's within just under sixty days. Those three holidays.
- 15:43They are the biggest consumer holidays. There are other big ones Mother's Day and
- 15:48Easter and New Year's right, but nothing compares to those three. Those are
- 15:52the big three. They're within sixty days of each other, and we have
- 15:54built our social, family and business calendars are on those those three holidays.
- 16:02So it's not a tremendous surprise that they have become as big as they habit.
- 16:07But you know, like I always, you know, would like to
- 16:11buy things off season, like Christmas decorations, buy this sure the day after
- 16:17Christmas? Right, and you know, breeding cards, things like that,
- 16:22things you can buy. So with a little strategic planning, a consumer really
- 16:26can save way more than they would save on Black Friday or any other designated
- 16:33sales holiday just by buying off season. Yep, that's right, and that's
- 16:37why Boxing Day internationally or December twenty sixth is so important because these retailers have
- 16:45now you know, have looked at what didn't sell and they realized that it
- 16:48is better for them to deeply discount it and get it off their shelves rather
- 16:53than carry it into the new year where the trend might not be as as
- 16:57strong, or people might not want it or might go out of style.
- 17:02So it's better for them to sell it right there on the spot then have
- 17:06the carrying costs of it sitting on their shelves. Right. So that's why,
- 17:10that's why December twenty sixth through say January fifteenth is so it's such a
- 17:15good time because this is when these companies have to clear, literally clear their
- 17:19shelves. So buy your Santa suits on the December twenty sixth. It's right,
- 17:26it's coming. God, it might have a little black marks on it
- 17:29from the going down the chimney, but you'll still get a much better deal,
- 17:33right, much better deal. So, hey, Carl, tell us
- 17:37where we find you, how we connect with you on the web, and
- 17:41what you can do for us. So for anyone that wants to reach me,
- 17:45you can find me at Carlgould dot com or Carl three sixties CURL three
- 17:51six zero dot com. All right, and the link is in the show
- 17:53notes and yeah, Carl, appreciate as always you coming on. We'll talk
- 18:00to you again real soon. Happy holidays. Don't get caught up on too
- 18:03many buy now, pay later programs. That's that we're watching. To be
- 18:07solvent for the coming year. Absolutely, you got it. Talk to you
- 18:11soon, Happy holidays. Thanks for listening to carry Lenz's Financial Survival Network,
- 18:17your solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to Financial Survivalnetwork
- 18:22dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever,