Latest / The Personal Finance Club Show / The 0% S&P Return, Borrowing Against Your Investments, and the Student Loan Fiasco | Ep 28
Transcript
- 0:16All right, you ready and close that door because I can hear
- 0:20your kids. The door is closed.
- 0:22Oh, no. All right, we got a pause.
- 0:26So, Mateo, I love you desperately, but I'm doing a
- 0:30recording for the next two hours, OK?
- 0:32Yeah. Charlotte 17.
- 0:35Yeah. Well, you can, but when when the
- 0:38door is closed, that means I'm working, I'm working.
- 0:41I'm basically on TV and I've been recording.
- 0:43All right, we're 10 seconds into the 1st at home podcast
- 0:48recording and it's going great. We we lasted.
- 0:52I literally want to go back and get a count on that.
- 0:55We lasted I think 10 seconds before a four year old burst
- 0:59into my room without knocking. Why are you making him cry?
- 1:04Well, he wanted to watch TV and I said when the doors close,
- 1:08that means I'm recording. And I don't think he was because
- 1:14his mom's also working and he's supposed to be at school and
- 1:17he's sick. And, you know, there's all sorts
- 1:19of compounding issues today, but I think he like caught wind that
- 1:24Osna let him watch TV while we were both working.
- 1:27And that's why he like burst into my room asking.
- 1:30Oh my gosh, you look heartbroken.
- 1:32Truly, I feel bad. Anyway, more with the new
- 1:36studio. This is a home studio.
- 1:40It looks great. It does look like you're in Star
- 1:42Trek. Yeah, so I just posted Instagram
- 1:46about this. The everything you see,
- 1:47including the new haircut cost $440.
- 1:50And what I did was actually really simple.
- 1:52And if you're just listening to this, you're just kind of to
- 1:55take my word for it, but I. Log on to YouTube so we can have
- 1:5761 views. Exactly.
- 1:59I'm sitting. I'm sitting in front of a white
- 2:01wall. I was sitting in front of a
- 2:04white wall, just normal, like residential white wall at a
- 2:08home. And I painted the blue and then
- 2:10I put some like dark brown IKEA floating shelves behind me.
- 2:13And then I put some some LED lights on the shelves, like
- 2:18light up the shelves and then put a few things like some books
- 2:20and a little statue and stuff on the shelves.
- 2:23And you know, each piece individually makes sense like
- 2:27OK, blue axe and a wall because like blue is kind of our color
- 2:31shelves books. But then like in totality
- 2:34definitely feels like Star Trek. Someone D on me was like, you
- 2:38kind of look like a tech bro douchebag now.
- 2:40And I'm like, yeah. You, you look like a real
- 2:42YouTube. OK.
- 2:43I mean, you know, and you said is it always like, you're like,
- 2:47you're sitting in the dark? It's like bright and sunny out
- 2:49right now. I'm looking at a sunny San Diego
- 2:50day with the window wide open. It's just like the, you know,
- 2:53the interplay of like. Whenever you have like, LED
- 2:56lights, it just makes it feel a little magical.
- 2:58So yeah, you know, you're like on your way to being Hank Green,
- 3:01so. Love it.
- 3:03Yeah. I think this was Hank Green,
- 3:04like 10 years ago. Now he's like you.
- 3:07Know he's like in a cave. Yeah, but he's like, he's like,
- 3:10I'm not doing this like cliche stuff like these lighted shells
- 3:13behind me. I'm going to have like a yeah
- 3:15cool science cave or something. I love it you.
- 3:18Don't go do Hank Greenas. Now we do because, well, no,
- 3:22he's the one that I he's one of like 6 that I got right.
- 3:26Oh, OK. Did Hank Green OK?
- 3:28Maybe he. Did Hank Green?
- 3:29Yeah, you did. Yeah.
- 3:31He was one of your people. But I he was the one that I
- 3:32knew. And now I know who all those
- 3:35people are. I know Alex.
- 3:36I knew Ken Jennings. That's really the regret of my
- 3:39life, not getting Ken Jennings. I'm such a that's kind of a
- 3:41tough. Picture I should have should
- 3:43have given you multiple pictures on that one.
- 3:45It's OK, I was too nice to you. OK, so it looks great.
- 3:49I think the consensus is that it looks amazing, but I think on
- 3:53Instagram the comments are going wild.
- 3:56Yeah, I think, I think I think it like looks like it definitely
- 3:58like pops a lot more, but also kind of gives tech pro
- 4:01douchebag. And you know, maybe that's not a
- 4:05miss at all. Maybe that's a hit.
- 4:06So anyway, Speaking of finance now, not tech pro, finance pro.
- 4:10Speaking of finance pro douchebags, what do we?
- 4:12What do we? Let's get into it.
- 4:14We're going to get into our first segment, Hot Topics.
- 4:21What is the hot topic of today? Hot topic today.
- 4:25Super exciting, fun, positive, uplifting stuff.
- 4:28Federal courts are ending the save repayment plan.
- 4:30What does this mean for student loan borrowers?
- 4:34All right, so you know how I love student loan talk, which I
- 4:38don't really, but we'll go through it.
- 4:40First of all, this is not to be confused with the SAVE Act,
- 4:44which is the current legislation being debated in Congress, which
- 4:48is the safeguard American voter eligibility.
- 4:50They make these cute little anagrams for, you know,
- 4:53disenfranchising voters. But basically it's requiring
- 4:56proof of citizenship to vote and it's also called SAVE.
- 5:00And this is fully something different.
- 5:02The SAVE Act, the require citizenship proof positions of
- 5:06citizenship to vote thing has not yet passed, has not yet law,
- 5:11has not been signed and has, you know, many reasons to be
- 5:13concerned about, including it's going to make it really hard for
- 5:16people to vote if they don't have their birth certificate
- 5:18handy or whatever. What we're talking about, this
- 5:23is the SAVE plan, which was implemented a few years ago
- 5:26under the Biden administration. And basically, if you went to
- 5:30college and you borrowed money from the federal government to
- 5:34pay for college, then you have to pay it back over time, like
- 5:37any loan. But there are a bunch of, you
- 5:39know, kind of swirling options of federal repayment options,
- 5:44federal loan options to basically make it easy on you
- 5:47because the government said, OK, well, if we're going to give 17
- 5:50year olds a bunch of money to pay for college, maybe we should
- 5:53also make it easy on them to pay it back.
- 5:56And the save plan was basically a income based repayment plan
- 6:02that looked at your discretionary income and only
- 6:05asked you to pay 5% of your discretionary income for
- 6:08undergrad loans and 10% of your discretionary income for
- 6:12graduate loans, which is actually pretty nice.
- 6:16You know, like obviously 5 to 10% of your, you know,
- 6:21discretionary income is meaningful.
- 6:23You know, it's probably more than you're spending, maybe on
- 6:25travel, maybe on, you know, who knows what food, who knows what
- 6:28else. But also it's like in the realm
- 6:30of doable and there's also a income exception, an income
- 6:38exemption completely for people who made-up to 2 or 25% of the
- 6:43federal poverty line, which is roughly about $33,000 this year.
- 6:46So if you make $33,000 or less, you have to pay 0 per month.
- 6:50That's like your payment per month.
- 6:52And then there's and also another nice thing about the
- 6:54safe plan is that the income can't grow.
- 6:57So a lot of times what happens to this is like a real thing
- 7:00that happens to student loan borrowers is they make payments
- 7:03for like 5-6, seven years. Like let's say they borrowed
- 7:06$80,000, they're paying 500 bucks a month for eight years.
- 7:11And then they check their loan balance and it's $100,000 and
- 7:13they're like, wait, I've just been paying for eight years and
- 7:16I've made negative progress. And it's it's like obviously
- 7:21super discouraging and disheartening because you put
- 7:24all this money back into it and you're worse than when you
- 7:26started. That's because the interest on
- 7:28the loan is growing faster than your payment.
- 7:31And the save plan said, OK, that's too defeating to
- 7:34borrowers. If their payment based on this
- 7:37calculation doesn't cover the interest due, the federal
- 7:41government will basically just pay the rest of the interest to
- 7:43keep their, you know, principal amount flat at the worst.
- 7:48And so for, you know, about 8 million student loan borrowers,
- 7:53this was the payment plan they had opted into, and this is how
- 7:57they were calculating their payments.
- 7:58And this is how they're paying their loans back.
- 8:00A federal court just said this is illegal for whatever reason
- 8:05that federal courts do, political or not.
- 8:07And so it looks like everything, you know, all these eight
- 8:10million former students or maybe, yeah, former students who
- 8:14are paying back the loans this way are going to do something
- 8:17else. What the Department of Education
- 8:20is doing is saying, hey, go to the other income based repayment
- 8:23plan called IBR income based repayment.
- 8:26And, and that under that plan, you pay 10 to 15% of your
- 8:31discretionary income instead of five to 10%.
- 8:35And also, I don't think the interest is or the the growth of
- 8:42the interest is capped. So basically you're, you could
- 8:44get back to that situation where you pay for eight years and look
- 8:47at your balance and realize it's more than you borrowed in the
- 8:491st place. And so, you know, this is
- 8:51obviously bad for people who are using that plan and depending on
- 8:55it. So that's the situation messy.
- 9:01There are a smattering of other current and future options too.
- 9:07But you know, that could be an entire separate podcast on
- 9:11student loans. But that's the situation at a
- 9:13high level. What should you do if you're one
- 9:16of these 8 million who borrowed the money?
- 9:17Well, it looks like you should probably be moving to this IBR,
- 9:20the income based repayment plan for now that's going to be worse
- 9:24for you. But you know the best available
- 9:25option. The even the income based
- 9:29repayment plan has forgiveness after 20 to 25 years.
- 9:33So basically if you make all your payments for 20 to 25
- 9:36years, whatever the remaining balance is gets wiped out.
- 9:39That sounds kind of good despite the 20 to 25 years part.
- 9:44But it sounds like, OK, maybe there is light at the end of the
- 9:46tunnel. If I'm one of these people who
- 9:48can't even keep up with the interest.
- 9:49But like let's say you're, you're balance grows to $150,000
- 9:55and then that's wiped out. When it's wiped out, that is
- 9:58considered taxable income to you that like gift of the, the
- 10:03forgiveness is considered taxable income.
- 10:05And so you're basically getting $150,000 gift of income from the
- 10:10federal government and you have to pay tax on that.
- 10:13So while your balance may go to 0, when your tax bill comes, you
- 10:16have like maybe a $50,000 tax bill if you're in the 33%, you
- 10:20know, margin, you know, 33% marginal tax rate.
- 10:23So I don't actually love forgiveness either.
- 10:26I don't love the idea of having the, you know, boot on your
- 10:30throat for 25 years just to have like a different, you know,
- 10:35existential debt problem at the end of the tunnel, right?
- 10:38So, you know, anytime these days you talk about judges making
- 10:46decisions and, you know, Congress passing laws.
- 10:49I think a lot of people want to take their little litmus test.
- 10:54Did you ever have a in science class?
- 10:56Did you ever do a litmus test where there's a little strip of
- 10:58paper and you dip it in and if it tells you if it's like turns
- 11:01like blue for Democrat and red for Republican, maybe there's
- 11:06acids and bases back then, but I think everyone's like dipped
- 11:09their little litmus paper in there and see if this is like on
- 11:13their team or not. And, you know, I hate that we
- 11:16live in that world. And so I try not to promote that
- 11:21type of litmus test taking and instead look at things in a, you
- 11:24know, more unbiased way, Despite that being the world we live in.
- 11:30But is it fair? I don't know.
- 11:32It depends on your circumstances, right?
- 11:33Like, I think there are people who are like, hey, I worked, you
- 11:37know, I worked as a bartender, you know, 40 hours a week on top
- 11:40of 40 hours of school. I like, scrimped and I saved.
- 11:44I like, ate ramen noodles. I like killed myself to pay my
- 11:47way through college while I watched these, you know, jerks
- 11:50next door buy flat screen TV's with their, you know, their
- 11:54federal loan payment just to now be in the real world.
- 11:58We get the same jobs, the amount of money and my reward is now
- 12:02they're getting their, you know, their loans forgiven while I had
- 12:05like work hard for them. You know, I think there's like
- 12:07credibility to argument. You know, I think the other side
- 12:11of the coin is like, OK, you had such a shitty time, you want to
- 12:15make sure everyone else is a shitty time too.
- 12:17You know, you're like, I was stuck in traffic for three hours
- 12:20going to work and then this guy gets to take a new highway to
- 12:22work. You know, like, you know, I
- 12:25don't know if that is really a great take either.
- 12:28You know, everyone's probably trying to do their best, and I'm
- 12:30sure there's specific examples of specific dudes that bought
- 12:34flaskin TV's who are probably jerks.
- 12:36But I think on the aggregate, I think most people don't want to
- 12:39be buried in debt or try to do their best to get out of debt.
- 12:41Right. So is it fair?
- 12:43Kind of depends on your perspective on these federal
- 12:46programs. I don't know.
- 12:48What do you think, John? Do you think you you are you for
- 12:51student loan forgiveness? Absolutely.
- 12:53I don't. I don't.
- 12:54I don't. Well, I guess I haven't had that
- 12:56many conversations with people who have paid off their loans in
- 13:00full who would feel that they wouldn't want other people to
- 13:04not suffer. I think most people that I know
- 13:06would want, like anybody who had a huge debt that was able to get
- 13:09it forgiven for paying for many, many years would agree with
- 13:13that. I don't know anybody in that
- 13:15boat, but. That's a good point in.
- 13:17Fact, you know, I haven't met anybody face to face has been
- 13:19like, no, you know, it's like it feels like an Internet trope
- 13:22almost as opposed to like a real person that exists.
- 13:25You actually make an incredible point because when I've heard
- 13:27that position, it's talking about a theoretical person out
- 13:31there who, you know, lived on rice and beans and now is
- 13:35offended that everyone else gets a free ride.
- 13:37But like, yeah, when you talk to real humans on Earth.
- 13:40And I was like, hey, like, I might get my student loans
- 13:43forgiven. I've been paying them off for 11
- 13:44years, and I think I might get them forgiven.
- 13:46They don't say, fuck you, man. I worked hard in college.
- 13:49You should. I want you to suffer for 20
- 13:51years. Yeah, 20 years is long enough
- 13:54now that I. Say it become out the woodwork.
- 13:56But I haven't met that person yet.
- 13:57So in my heart, I want to believe that most people would
- 13:59want somebody who's especially because the the stipulations are
- 14:03crazy. Like you do have to be paying
- 14:04for 15 years. So it's not like you did
- 14:05nothing. Well, you know, like the, the,
- 14:08the forgiveness thing isn't any like walk in the park and, you
- 14:12know, and. If you've actually been doing
- 14:13that and you've been able to qualify for income based
- 14:16repayment for that long, it means that you're probably not
- 14:18doing well in other ways that I think that anybody with a heart
- 14:21would say, I'm glad that you're getting these loans forgiven.
- 14:24I yeah, that's a really good point.
- 14:26I mean, I, I think that like when you look at these like
- 14:28broad sweeping, you know, federal legislation, you can
- 14:32probably look at these extreme corner cases and you're like,
- 14:34well, what about the Bitcoin billionaire who just lived on
- 14:38flat screen TV's in college and then became a billionaire?
- 14:41And then technically it's income 0 because it's all on Bitcoin.
- 14:43And then he gets a, forgive me, like, OK, that one theoretical
- 14:46guy that you just made-up like that feels kind of unfair.
- 14:49But like, you know, here on planet Earth where they're just
- 14:52like regular people trying to work regular jobs.
- 14:55It's not, you know, the the bulk of this.
- 14:59Right, right. An Internet argument that
- 15:01doesn't exist in relative. You got my vote.
- 15:03You got my vote. All right.
- 15:05So anyway, let me boil this down.
- 15:07Yeah, let me boil this down to what I would do.
- 15:10And The thing is, you know, getting into the nitty gritty of
- 15:14like which forgive this program you go for, which repayment
- 15:18program you go for is maybe worth it.
- 15:21But I think it kind of is like missing the forest for the trees
- 15:25or whatever that thing is, right?
- 15:26At the end of the day, you want to pay off your loans, right?
- 15:30I don't love the idea of just jumping through federal hoops
- 15:34for 25 years to hope you get this forgiveness and then just
- 15:38pay 1/3 of it in tax instead of all of it.
- 15:41I would much rather you go nuts and pay off in like 4 years.
- 15:44And have we talked about this, John, do you want to share?
- 15:46Do you did you have any student loans coming out of college?
- 15:49I currently still have student loans but you.
- 15:51Still have student loans. I can disclose how much I don't
- 15:53want people in my pockets like that.
- 15:54Yeah, you knew that. OK.
- 15:57Maybe I forgot. And how many years has it been
- 15:59since you had those student loans?
- 16:002007 from undergrad those are those are done and then graduate
- 16:06was like 2014. OK, so 24, so you're 12 years
- 16:10and that's crazy. Are you willing to say like a
- 16:13number of digits 5? No, I'm not gonna.
- 16:15I don't watch all. Of my is it 7 digits?
- 16:16You owe millions of dollars. Oh my.
- 16:18God, does anybody owe millions of dollars in student loans?
- 16:21Is that possible? No, some people do like doctors.
- 16:25OK, so confirmed Jen doesn't owe $1,000,000 a student loan.
- 16:28OK. But yeah, so this is like.
- 16:30Not a doctor either, just. Not a doctor.
- 16:33Yeah. So yeah, this is this is near
- 16:37and dear to your heart, for sure.
- 16:39And for me, you know, my personal situation is I got
- 16:42through undergrad and grad school with no student loans,
- 16:46but the way I did it was like largely, maybe even primarily
- 16:50thanks to my parents. So I was just lucky, fortunate
- 16:53privilege, whatever you want to call it.
- 16:55My parents saved a saved college fund for me, which basically is
- 16:58enough to cover like an in state undergrad education, which is
- 17:02what I did. Then I worked every summer in
- 17:04most school years. I also come out of high school,
- 17:06got a track scholarship. And then it wasn't a full ride.
- 17:09It was like a partial ride, but it kind of increased throughout
- 17:11the years. And all that stuff combined
- 17:14meant that that like, you know, college savings they've covered
- 17:17for me had a surplus coming out of undergrad, rolled into grad
- 17:21school, and then I started teaching in grad school, which
- 17:23covered my tuition. And so it's like definitely
- 17:27based in privilege and luck. You know, I was just born to a
- 17:32upper middle class uterus in Southeast Michigan, you know,
- 17:37but also. Like say that my friends are in
- 17:39like 2 buckets year bucket where like their parents had a nestic
- 17:43or they had saved for that and have the ability to save for
- 17:45that. Or people who are like me who
- 17:47are still paying it off because I did the same thing.
- 17:48Like I was an RA. So I didn't even have to pay for
- 17:51like any housing for a couple years in college.
- 17:54I had several jobs, like I worked a student job and like I
- 17:57worked at Best Buy, like like I worked since I was 16.
- 18:00But because of my, my parents are first generation American,
- 18:02like they came from Kenya. So like the fact that I was even
- 18:04able to go to like a private school like Berkeley and things
- 18:07like that were just like, I can't even believe I was able to
- 18:10do that. But even doing the same things
- 18:12that you did, like I just wasn't in a situation where I could
- 18:16because my parents didn't. They were like, we'll sign your
- 18:17my parents had good credit. That was like, the one thing
- 18:19they did is like they kept their credit up so they were able to
- 18:22sign this massive loan. But then, you know, life is just
- 18:25life. So here we are.
- 18:26That's a really, I actually really appreciate that contrast
- 18:29because, you know, I, I was kind of making the point that like I
- 18:33wasn't just like a lazy douchebag.
- 18:34I was like working and stuff too, but Jen's like, neither was
- 18:38I, you know, like and and, you know, frankly.
- 18:40And I will say like prep is like there's definitely things
- 18:42looking back, I could have like taken less because like there
- 18:45was the time when you get the loan, you have like a little
- 18:47extra and you're like, OK, I'm going to go buy myself XY and Z.
- 18:49So there were certain things that I could have done in terms
- 18:51of the loan itself and in terms of my money habits in college
- 18:54that I could have done better. But in terms of like working, I
- 18:57like started at a grocery store when I was 16 and have not
- 19:00stopped and like including from college when I had friends that
- 19:03like were out on the weekends because they didn't have to work
- 19:06and they were just able to like do the college thing.
- 19:08But it's just like, even that I feel like I am still in a place
- 19:12of privilege because of like what my like my dad's a
- 19:14professor, my mom worked at a university, you know what I
- 19:16mean? Like, so there's certain things
- 19:18that like, I find myself in the middle of like this poverty
- 19:21line, but also like not that privilege of like a lot of my
- 19:23friends because I was at a private school.
- 19:25So like a lot of my friends, their parents were like, here's
- 19:27your college money once they got there, you know, which impacted
- 19:30their lives in college And now after, because I'm so close
- 19:33friends with so many college people.
- 19:35And like, it's like it changed their whole trajectory in terms
- 19:38of like what they were able to do, like including like
- 19:39internships, Like I can't do an unpaid internship, you know what
- 19:42I mean? Things like that.
- 19:43It's like anything I do, I got to get paid for.
- 19:45So can I ask Berkeley, and this is Berkeley with two ES at the
- 19:49end, not the California one, the East Coast music, music music
- 19:52school Berkeley. But when you went to college, do
- 19:56you have a sense of like the annual total cost of?
- 19:59It was like 40,000 a year and I got a scholarship for 8000.
- 20:03So like even that was like barely put a dent in like what,
- 20:07you know, the current scheme of things, especially back then.
- 20:09So and then I yeah, yeah, go. Ahead.
- 20:12Yeah. So you're saying like, oh, I
- 20:13could have done things better, but but that that kind of brings
- 20:15me back to a point I always make, which is this is nuts that
- 20:18we're like burdening our 17 year olds with this type of decision.
- 20:22It's like, hey, do you want to go into, you know 40,000 * 4 is
- 20:25$160,000 and is that does that include room and board or is
- 20:30that just the? Yeah, that was everything.
- 20:33And then I moved off campus for a year and then moved back to
- 20:35being RA because I was like, I don't want to pay for housing.
- 20:38I know it's like, yeah, so it's like, hey, 17 year old, do you
- 20:41want to, do you want to go into $160,000 of debt to go to this
- 20:44private college and you know, it's a 7 year old like I don't
- 20:47know. I have no, I have no possible
- 20:50like experience, context for knowing whether that's a good
- 20:53idea. And the general sentiment seems
- 20:56to be that college is a good idea.
- 20:58So and private school seems to be a good thing.
- 21:00So I will, you know, and then you know, then you're like, oh,
- 21:0318 year old Jen, you shouldn't have like splurged and bought
- 21:06that $50 iPod or whatever it is. You're like, OK, Like is that,
- 21:10is that really the problem? Or was it the, the $40,000 a
- 21:12year, like, you know, decision you had to make coming out of
- 21:14high school? So yeah, it's all crazy.
- 21:18But anyway, if you have student loans, this is my take, which
- 21:21is, you know, I don't love the idea of stretching out as long
- 21:25as possible and, you know, trying to lower your income to
- 21:31qualify for lower payments. Like, I much prefer the other
- 21:35extreme, which is try to make as much money as possible, try to
- 21:38grow your career as much as possible and go totally ham on
- 21:41these loans, right? You know, even for you, John,
- 21:44like if you're 12 years in, like imagine if that student loan
- 21:46payment goes to zero. That probably would make a
- 21:49meaningful difference to your life, right?
- 21:51And you know, I, I talked to some people who literally, I
- 21:54don't think this is you for sure, but I thought talk to some
- 21:56people who, you know, stay in careers that are less, you know,
- 22:02less income because they get a lower student loan payment that
- 22:06way. Or there's even like the public
- 22:07service student loan thing where it's instead of 20 years, it's
- 22:1010 years. But then they spend 10 years
- 22:12working, you know, at like a low profit school or whatever it is.
- 22:16Not that that's not noble work. It is noble work.
- 22:19But if your only reason for doing it is to, you know, live
- 22:23in poverty for 10 years to try to get your loans forgiven and
- 22:25then pay the tax on those loans, I'd much rather you go work at
- 22:28some soulless corporate America job for four years, pay it off,
- 22:32be debt free, and then go work, you know, go do the public
- 22:34service thing for 20 years or whatever in the way that you
- 22:37want. So yeah, go ham, go nuts.
- 22:41Like make huge chunky payments to those loans as fast as
- 22:44possible, get out of debt. And then once you don't have
- 22:47debt, it really opens up your options.
- 22:48I know it's easy to say on a podcast and hard to do and and
- 22:51you might be, you know, on a stuck situation, but that's,
- 22:54that's my thing. That's the way I look at it.
- 22:57I love it all right. This was This is a real student
- 23:00loan convo. That was a real student loan
- 23:04convo. Yeah.
- 23:05Oh, my goodness. OK, great.
- 23:06Let's get into our next segment. Money.
- 23:09Money. Can I ask a dumb one?
- 23:12This is where you ask smart questions to dumb guys.
- 23:16Do we know the name of today's question ask or their location?
- 23:18Do his name is MO MO which is a nickname but he asked for a
- 23:23nickname and not. Oh, and it's OK to refer to him
- 23:26as a he him. I believe so, yes.
- 23:29Knowing the full name would be very surprising if this was a
- 23:32girl. OK, well, you did assume the
- 23:34gender. Got it.
- 23:34I did assume I don't think I asked.
- 23:38I've I've progressed and now my like my responses are like, can
- 23:41I ask you your preferred pronouns?
- 23:43But I, this is back when I'm like back in the archives.
- 23:45I'm trying to get the people who ask questions at 1st and I
- 23:48didn't ask that question back then.
- 23:50So this is kind of a longer one, but I felt like the context was
- 23:53worth it and I appreciate the question.
- 23:55I think it's a great question. So MO says I have a taxable
- 23:59brokerage account and tax advantage retirement accounts
- 24:02all basically in BTSAX. I need to borrow some money
- 24:06about $10,000 for a personal non medical family expense.
- 24:10I would not be able to pay off $10,000 on a credit card within
- 24:13one building cycle. I know touching the retirement
- 24:16accounts is a no no and credit card debt interest rates are
- 24:19insane. So I considered a personal loan
- 24:21versus taking money out of my taxable brokerage.
- 24:24As I researched online though, I read that a line of credit for
- 24:27my taxable brokerage account may be best as there would be no
- 24:30capital gains and I would not lose my investments performance.
- 24:34However, when I looked at the line of credit from my Vanguard
- 24:37account, I saw that the options are to apply for margin trading
- 24:40or option trading, perhaps both. What consideration should I make
- 24:43when choosing which of the two to select or both?
- 24:47I'm not looking to make profits, but to minimize the cost of my
- 24:50loan. All right, MO, So this is, you
- 24:54know, good question. You.
- 24:55You. They.
- 24:56May have been also time sensitive so hopefully this is.
- 24:59Most specifically, you're probably checking this like 3
- 25:02months later. Being like this is no help.
- 25:04But you know, let's be real here.
- 25:06If you're if you're asking a question to a podcast, that's
- 25:08probably not your if we're your if we're your financial advisor,
- 25:12you probably can't expect really quick responses.
- 25:16Try, you know, texting or something next time.
- 25:20Just kidding. Go to hellanectarine.com and get
- 25:22a real financial advisor. But so, yeah, you, you want to
- 25:26take $10,000 you've, you've got, I assume you know, you didn't
- 25:29give numbers, but you've got probably significantly more than
- 25:32that inside of your investment accounts, both tax advantage
- 25:35accounts and your taxable brokerage account.
- 25:37And So what do you do? And you said so you said, hey, I
- 25:40read that instead of just selling some of the shares and
- 25:43taking the money out and spending on what I want, I could
- 25:46take a loan out against with like backed by, you know, my
- 25:51investments. And there's really two you said
- 25:53options trading. That doesn't really make any
- 25:55sense to me. I don't think that would apply
- 25:56in your situation. I think there's really two types
- 25:59of loans you can take out against your investments. 1 is
- 26:01called a margin line, which basically you turn on for your
- 26:04account. And then once you have a margin
- 26:07account, then you can basically spend more than you have
- 26:10available in there and it automatically just counts
- 26:14against your investments. So, so so for example, if you
- 26:17had $100,000 worth of investments, you could buy
- 26:20$100,000 worth of VTSX and then it would go let you buy $20,000
- 26:25more of Apple stock or something.
- 26:28And so you actually own $120,000 worth of stock, but 20,000 that
- 26:32is counted as debt. That sounds pretty cool, right?
- 26:36You're buying $120,000 worth of stuff with only $100,000 worth
- 26:40of original money. But there's a loan balance
- 26:43there. You basically borrowed the
- 26:45$20,000 from the brokerage. And that loan balance is really
- 26:48high right now for Vanguard for a loan up to $20,000, it's 12%
- 26:53per year. And so if you borrow at 12% per
- 26:56year to go buy investments, you're on very thin ice, right?
- 26:59Because if those investments are producing less gain than 12%,
- 27:04you're actually losing money on the deal to interest.
- 27:06And now and doesn't even conclude the risk, which we're
- 27:08going to talk about in a SEC. So that's a, that's a line of,
- 27:11that's a margin account. Basically, it just lets you
- 27:13automatically spend more than you have.
- 27:14And you can even just transfer money out of the margin account.
- 27:16That just puts money on your loan.
- 27:18And so like let's say again, you had $100,000, you could transfer
- 27:22$10,000 to your checking account to spend on this family expense
- 27:26that you mentioned. And then it's a bit basically is
- 27:29debiting you that interest per day until it's paid back.
- 27:34It's very flexible. It can, you know, it's literally
- 27:38a day by day process, but it's also risky.
- 27:40We'll talk about in a SEC. The other type of loan you can
- 27:44take out against your investments is called a security
- 27:48based line of credit or an SBLOC.
- 27:51It's kind of like a what's the mortgage line of credit,
- 27:57something lock. Heloc.
- 27:59Yeah, it's like a HELOC except for it's a spill lock.
- 28:02SP lock HELOC is a home equity line of credit.
- 28:07SP lock is a security based line of credit.
- 28:09Security is just a word that means stocks and bonds like you
- 28:12know, stuffs you investments you trade on the Internet.
- 28:15Basically security based line of credit are are a little bit more
- 28:20like a bank loan than this really, really fluid margin
- 28:23thing where you basically go to your brokerage, say, OK, I'm the
- 28:27pledge this set of investments against a line of credit, I can
- 28:31then draw against it and then there's going to be slightly
- 28:34better rates. And so for example, at Fidelity
- 28:37right now, if you want a margin rate, it's around 12% per year.
- 28:41If you get a security baseline of credit rate, it's around 6 to
- 28:457% per year interest rate. So not like incredible rates,
- 28:48but actually 6 to 7%. This isn't terrible these days.
- 28:50It's kind of pretty similar to a mortgage.
- 28:54And so which one should you do first?
- 28:58Also security based line of credits.
- 29:00That's kind of like more of an underwriting thing.
- 29:02It's not like an automatic thing.
- 29:03And so with margin accounts that lets you do it for like 10
- 29:05grand. But the SP lock Fidelity has a
- 29:09$500,000 minimum. And so you, you know, I don't
- 29:13know, but if you're talking about a $10,000 thing that you
- 29:16can't pay off on your credit card, you probably don't have
- 29:19the half million dollars. I, I, I would guess, but maybe
- 29:21you do, I don't know, but that's kind of like the trap there.
- 29:25So let's do the math. Let's say you take.
- 29:29The listener knows Jeremy has some charts going in our
- 29:32document right now. It's very intimidating.
- 29:34This is the segment of the podcast where I scream numbers
- 29:38into a microphone and everyone. But they don't have to look at
- 29:40this daunting chart. Yeah.
- 29:43Well, we, we, we, we recently did a study and it showed that
- 29:4712% of listeners to the personal finance club show who are
- 29:51driving the highway veer off the highway and have a fiery wreck.
- 29:55But luckily for us, we have so few listeners that that mount
- 29:58sound to 0 we're. Not in that number.
- 30:01Wait are you? Can we share this concealed with
- 30:03this in the thing so people can see what I'm looking at?
- 30:05Is that OK cuz? It's sure.
- 30:07OK, Yeah. Yeah, put these images in there.
- 30:09It's not. It's a.
- 30:09It's a simple spreadsheet whipped up in 10 seconds.
- 30:12Normally you're just like chatting in there.
- 30:14And so I saw a chart and I was like, whoa, he went to work.
- 30:18I work on all these anyway. So let's say you borrowed the
- 30:22$10,000 from Vanguard and you get that 12% rate that you
- 30:26suggested. And then then let's say you can
- 30:28pay $1000 back a month. It's going to take you into the
- 30:3111th month to pay it back. And then at the end of the
- 30:34entire and at the end of 11th month, you'll have spent $104.00
- 30:41more on the interest than the gain on your investments.
- 30:44So basically because you did this borrowing this, this HELOC
- 30:49or this S or this margin thing, this borrowing thing, you're
- 30:53actually have less money than just doing the thing you're
- 30:57trying to avoid, which is sell the shares.
- 30:59So for example, the other option is you just sell $10,000 worth
- 31:02of shares. You spend the money, whatever,
- 31:04whatever you want, and then $1000 a month for the next, you
- 31:07know, 10 or 11 months, you put it back into your investment
- 31:10account and that money grows. If you did the sell your
- 31:14investments thing and just pay yourself back, kind of like be
- 31:17your own bank. I'm using quotes here because
- 31:19that's the line that's often misused by insurance salesman.
- 31:23But if you just treat it as a, as a bank, you take out the
- 31:25money, you spend it, and then you pay yourself back over 10 to
- 31:2811 months, then you'd have $104.00 more.
- 31:31And that's because you are, and this is assuming, by the way, a
- 31:3610% gain in the stock market that's been a historical average
- 31:39and a 12% cost to the loan. And so if you're borrowing money
- 31:44at a higher rate than you're earning, you're worse off by
- 31:47borrowing. And that's frankly kind of like
- 31:50a best case number. I guess the best case scenario
- 31:52is you get just a lucky period of time where you're more than
- 31:5512%, you actually do end up a little bit better, but still
- 31:57it's really, really marginal. The worst case scenario is let's
- 32:01say you have $20,000 worth of investments and you you borrow
- 32:07$10,000 and then this Iran thing really goes crazy and then the
- 32:12stock market drops by half and you're 20,000 drops to 10,000.
- 32:16And what what happens is Vanguard gets nervous and they
- 32:19say, oh, he has $10,000 of debt and now his investments are only
- 32:24worth $10,000. This is our last chance to get
- 32:28our money back before the market drops even more.
- 32:31We're going to sell all this shares and pay ourselves back,
- 32:36which they can do in a margin account.
- 32:38They will automatically sell your shares to pay themselves
- 32:40back as your, you know, as your investments are tanking, that
- 32:43leaves you with 0 invested and that money spent, right?
- 32:46So that's like much worse when you would have still had $10,000
- 32:49invested if you just, or you would have had the, you know,
- 32:52you would have had the half your shares invested if you just sold
- 32:55your shares. So margin borrowing is very,
- 33:00very expensive and very risky because if you borrow and the
- 33:05market goes down, they sell your shares at a loss to make
- 33:08themselves whole and you're left with paying all the interest and
- 33:11having nothing left in the shares, right?
- 33:13So I wouldn't do that. Let's say for example, you do
- 33:15have the 500,000 and said the 12% rate, you get the 7% rate.
- 33:20Now you're like, OK, wait, now I'm making 10%.
- 33:22I'm only borrowing at 7%. That's like a 3% arbitrage
- 33:27opportunity. Arbitrage is a fancy word to say
- 33:29like, you know, move some money here from over there.
- 33:31It'll make money on the difference.
- 33:33And in that case, after 11 months when you're when your
- 33:36debt is paid back, you would actually be ahead by 151 bucks.
- 33:40And so over 11 months of kind of doing this arbitrage of this
- 33:43$10,000, you would be ahead by 150 bucks.
- 33:46But you know, is that a lot? Is that really like move the
- 33:52needle kind of money for you for doing this like risky loan thing
- 33:57where you're paying interest and that and that only works again
- 33:59if you get your 10% rate. So for me, my bottom line is I
- 34:04would not do any of these things for that $10,000 MO.
- 34:08Bro, I don't know if this has already happened for you, but
- 34:10all you other MO's out there listening and hopefully not
- 34:12crashing to the median on the highway because you fell asleep
- 34:15when I was shouting numbers on the microphone.
- 34:17Don't borrow money against your, you know, investment portfolio
- 34:20just to try to pay it back quickly.
- 34:22Just sell a few shares and you know, in Vanguard you can go
- 34:25sell the shares that have the least appreciation.
- 34:27So you pay little to no tax on those and then pay it back over
- 34:30a few months. No risk your you know, you use
- 34:33your investments the way they're designed to spend money on
- 34:35things that you want. You know, and I think people get
- 34:38so fixated on this like clever financial footwork.
- 34:41We're like, oh, I'm going to, I don't want to interrupt the
- 34:43compound growth. And I want to, you know, you
- 34:46know, use this tax free loan to build.
- 34:49It's like all this clever stuff. But then you put the numbers in
- 34:51this fancy spreadsheet that makes Jen very concerned and
- 34:56like it's, it's a few bucks. It's like a lot of risk for
- 34:59maybe a few bucks. And you know, frankly, in your
- 35:02case, MO, you'd end up worse borrowing because you'd probably
- 35:04be borrowing at a higher rate than the the market is likely to
- 35:07return. And you know, the market
- 35:09returns. I'm putting a little air quotes
- 35:10here at 10%. But this year today, I think
- 35:13we're actually down a little bit because, you know, we started
- 35:16the war unexpectedly and now the market is down so far halfway to
- 35:21March this year. And so if you were banking on
- 35:24your 10% for three months, you haven't gotten 10%, you've got a
- 35:27negative a couple percent or whatever it is today.
- 35:29And so I would rarely really just that said, I've done this
- 35:34once this one time when I bought the house, you know, you're
- 35:38sitting behind me now I'm sitting in my house.
- 35:41We had this really kind of common situation, which is we're
- 35:45trying to sell our house, use the proceeds from the house to
- 35:48buy a new house. But you always have this timing
- 35:50issue, which is OK. I want to make sure I buy my new
- 35:53house so I can move the stuff and then sell the old, old house
- 35:56after I move. How do you, you know, bridge the
- 35:59gap And there is a bunch of different options.
- 36:01There are literally bridge loans for this reason.
- 36:03You could do like a, a, a sale deal where they can't move in
- 36:07until, you know, rent back from the owners of the new places,
- 36:10like a bunch of different options that basically based on
- 36:12the timing of our deals, what we landed on, what were we was, we
- 36:15needed about 1,000,000 bucks for like 6 weeks.
- 36:18And so I went to my Fidelity brokerage account and I wrote
- 36:22$1,000,000 check to the mortgage company or you know, the, the
- 36:27seller, whoever. And then for six weeks I sat
- 36:30there like biting my nails hoping there wasn't some crazy
- 36:32movement in the market until my old house sold.
- 36:36And when, when, when my old house sold, I took that
- 36:371,000,000 bucks and put it right back into that line of credit.
- 36:40So I was whole again. And it worked out fine.
- 36:43You know, I paid, I think I paid like a couple $1000 in interest
- 36:48over that time because there's a lot of money.
- 36:50But you know, a couple 1000 bucks to 1,000,000 isn't that
- 36:52bad. And it worked for me.
- 36:55And I, you know, understood the risk.
- 36:57But for me, that was like a very, very temporary thing where
- 37:01just selling $1,000,000 all at once and realizing all the tax
- 37:05implications and buying it back wouldn't have made as much sense
- 37:07for me, I don't think. But for most situations, and
- 37:11normally what I do in like 99% of the other situations is I
- 37:14need money. I don't monkey with these lines
- 37:16of credit. That's the only time I've done
- 37:17it in my entire life. In fact, when I was looking at
- 37:20those very, very short term temporary thing where I knew an
- 37:24asset was selling and it was going to pay it back
- 37:25immediately, that's why I did it.
- 37:27For normal things, I'm like, oh, if I need a car, I just go sell
- 37:30enough shares, take the money, go buy the car.
- 37:33And for sure for a $10,000 expense, that's what I do there
- 37:36too. So yeah.
- 37:38All right, sometimes these things don't click until I'm
- 37:42like reviewing the episode. I feel like this is one of them
- 37:44where I'm going to listen back. I'm like OK, cuz I'm like, you
- 37:47know, kind of I'm trying to do some producing back.
- 37:49I'm taking screenshots and making notes so you know I I
- 37:52want to listen to what you said, no?
- 37:54Admittedly, this is but I mean, I, I think what you're saying,
- 37:56John, is a great point because if you like are saying they'd be
- 37:59like, I can't even wrap my brain around this margin line of
- 38:02credit thing. You write that check, you pay
- 38:04like that's when you start talking like that.
- 38:07So if you're so much more likely to be going down a path that's
- 38:11not right, you know, simpler usually means you make more
- 38:15money and introducing complexity usually means you end up with
- 38:19less money. And So what MO is talking about
- 38:22is some really tricky complex thing to borrow money against
- 38:25his shares without actually selling his shares.
- 38:27Don't do that. If you've got $30,000 in VTSX,
- 38:31go sell 10,000. Now you have $20,000 in VTSX and
- 38:35$10,000 cash. Go spend the cash in the family
- 38:38expense that you mentioned. And then with your income as
- 38:41you're going to pay back the loan you're planning to pay
- 38:43back, just pay back yourself and buy more shares and you're back
- 38:45up to 30,000. And in that case, you're praying
- 38:48for the market to crash because then you can buy back the shares
- 38:50at a cheaper price and you'd actually be ahead, right,
- 38:52without the loan, right? So the loan just introduce
- 38:55introduces risk and the time frame and everything is so short
- 38:58that what's going to actually be better off depends on future
- 39:02knowledge of the market, which none of us have.
- 39:04OK, I'm going to. I'm going to interject here
- 39:06because this reminded me of a question we got from Jody who
- 39:11hopefully be able to answer her full question, but it reminds me
- 39:14that she said I missed. She said PS I missed a segment.
- 39:17Explain it like I'm five since my goal now is teaching my young
- 39:19adult and teen children about things such as IRA, 401K,
- 39:23stocks, ETF expense ratio, has taxes and such.
- 39:25I appreciate your clever and creative ways to help explain
- 39:27these principles simply to my children who are just learning
- 39:30for the first time. Maybe a segment called Exploit
- 39:33it to a young teen adult. So like I think we're kind of
- 39:36there with like the rest of our segments where like young teens
- 39:39could wrap their heads around young teens and Jen.
- 39:42Yeah, Anyway, that's. Jody.
- 39:44Well, thanks, Jody. That's really nice.
- 39:45I mean, you know, we got a lot. More complaints than?
- 39:48I know like. For that one.
- 39:51But I think everyone, I think everyone's right.
- 39:52I think Joy's right. I think, I think if executed
- 39:54well, that would have been a good segment.
- 39:55I think that, you know, we've got to make better content and
- 39:58we're trying. We're getting better every week.
- 40:00And there's so many of you who say they look forward to the
- 40:02Thursday episodes. I mean, I say so many, we joke
- 40:04about the low listenership, but it's not bad.
- 40:05It's like thousands. It's definitely the thousands.
- 40:07That's if, if I was like sitting in front of the audience of
- 40:10thousands right now, I would be like freaked the fuck out.
- 40:12And so the fact that I'm sitting here like, you know.
- 40:16Being self deprecating about how few people it is.
- 40:18Like, I think it's amazing and I love all you Thursday listeners
- 40:21out there. Woop woop.
- 40:23OK, let's move on to scroll patrol.
- 40:30Scroll Patrol. Let's get into it.
- 40:32I found a video on the Internet. Jeremy's gonna watch it and
- 40:35react in real time. You know the drill.
- 40:37So we're going to open this together and let me know when
- 40:41you're ready to watch. If you want to get rich, don't
- 40:44buy the S&P. Buy a Ferrari.
- 40:46Let me explain. Every time a supercar drives by,
- 40:49there is a cranky buy and hold investor saying if they only
- 40:52took that money and put in the S&P 500 for 10 years, it would
- 40:55be worth millions. This investor, while he thinks
- 40:58he sounds smart, is using the internet's most favorite piece
- 41:01of fake data, the 12% annualized return in the S&P 500.
- 41:05The problem with this? And even if we cherry picked,
- 41:07the real return is more like 7%, and that is backward looking
- 41:11into an environment that looks nothing like the one we're in
- 41:13right now. Right now, multiples are trading
- 41:15around 21 X. At high multiples, the forward
- 41:18return is more like 2 to 3%. In real terms, that's 0 percent
- 41:23or even negative. That means that the biggest myth
- 41:26of getting rich from buy and hold is officially dead.
- 41:28And you might as well just buy a Ferrari because the 458
- 41:31speciality returned 14% last year alone, according to
- 41:34Haggerty. In this scenario, at least you'd
- 41:36have something cool to brag about.
- 41:38All right, I have to admit something.
- 41:39Am I really telling you to buy a Ferrari and assuming that the
- 41:41Ferrari price will appreciate into Infinity?
- 41:43Of course not. But what I am telling you is if
- 41:45you expect to get rich from lazy buy and hold investing in an
- 41:49environment with high multiples and enormous chaos in the
- 41:52market, you are going to be sorely disappointed.
- 41:55You will never have Ferrari money.
- 41:57And I dare you, go ask the guy in the Ferrari how he got rich.
- 41:59I can assure you he's not going to say buy and hold investing.
- 42:02Gembi Ferrari. I was rolling my eyes a lot
- 42:05during that. I didn't like a lot of that.
- 42:11You know, he kind of does some very dishonest math.
- 42:17And so, you know, it's like a lot of straw man arguments,
- 42:22straw man arguments like a fake argument that's easily
- 42:24disapprovable when no one's saying that.
- 42:25So he's saying, first of all, he's saying the 12% S&P.
- 42:29You know, I've heard that a couple times.
- 42:30Most people, if you look at the numbers going back 100 years,
- 42:34the annualized nominal return is about 10%.
- 42:38Nominal means the actual amount of dollars you get.
- 42:40So if you put in $10,000, you get a 10% return, you'll have
- 42:44$11,000 because 11,000 is 10% more than 10,000.
- 42:49And he's saying it's actually 7%, which is actually true
- 42:51because when you look at the real return after calling for
- 42:54inflation, then in real terms, you have about 7% more buying
- 42:59power every year. So while the number of dollars
- 43:01are going up, things are getting more expensive too.
- 43:04And so you take your 10% return, you take 3% of inflation away,
- 43:07you get about 7% over the last 100 years or so.
- 43:10And you know, that part is mostly true.
- 43:13He doesn't, he doesn't mention the inflation thing, but he kind
- 43:18of uses it dishonestly shortly thereafter.
- 43:21Then he goes in the part I really don't like, which is by
- 43:23the way, I've never seen this before so I'm just going from
- 43:26memory. But he goes in the part saying
- 43:28OK, in this environment with the chaos in the market and the blah
- 43:31blah blah, He says the forward-looking returns are two
- 43:33to 3% thousand. Like my eyes roll through my
- 43:36brains because no one knows the forward-looking returns, and
- 43:39especially not this guy. And.
- 43:43Why are you saying especially not this guy's?
- 43:45Because his shirt. Because he's making this odd
- 43:46videos with like a very tight shirt that's got like.
- 43:50So tight. Four buns on buns.
- 43:53I actually kind of nervously saw that my, my collar.
- 43:56This was before I saw us. Like my, I'm wearing a little
- 43:58button bun down. I added a bun to it earlier in
- 44:01the episode when I was like, I was like, I think that's showing
- 44:03too much chest. And I had a button and this
- 44:05guy's like four or five buns down.
- 44:10Yeah. And so he's saying the
- 44:12forward-looking is 2 to 3% and then he's like, then he said
- 44:16after inflation, that's more like 0%.
- 44:18I was like, whoa, OK, you just took out inflation twice.
- 44:20You took us from 12% to 7% because of inflation, Then you
- 44:22took us from 2% to 3% because of inflation.
- 44:25You can't keep deducting inflation every single time.
- 44:27I think 2 to 3% is the real out forward-looking outlook.
- 44:31That's accounting for inflation. So you can't take it, take it
- 44:34twice. That said, if you go back five
- 44:37years, you know what they said the forward-looking projection
- 44:39was, they said it was like 2 to 3%.
- 44:40And you go back 10 years, 2 to 3%, you go like 22 to 3.
- 44:43Like they're always saying the forward-looking is 2 to 3%.
- 44:46And maybe you know, every once in a while it is.
- 44:49But again, over 100 years it is 10%, you know, and 7% after
- 44:55inflation. And so you know, his whole thing
- 44:58saying, OK, I know more than you do about what's going to happen
- 45:01in the future and you're only going to get around 0% of real
- 45:04growth. I'm like, no, that's, that's
- 45:06absolute, absolute nonsense. Because you know, I know if you
- 45:11own the companies of the world, if you own Walmart and FedEx and
- 45:15Google and NVIDIA and Tesla and Microsoft and Amazon and you own
- 45:20those for a long time, you're going to get a lot of wealth
- 45:22from the dividends those companies payout and the
- 45:26increase in share prices. Those companies grow and
- 45:27innovate. Just assuming that all those
- 45:29companies going to be worth 0 going forward is so silly.
- 45:33That said, you know, if you ask someone in a Ferrari how they
- 45:38bought the Ferrari, I kind of agree with them.
- 45:40They're very unlikely to say buying old investing, You know,
- 45:43they might say I'm in crippling debt and I can't afford this.
- 45:45I think that's probably true for a lot of them.
- 45:47You know, a lot of them might say I was a hugely successful
- 45:49business or real estate investor.
- 45:51Totally like I'm in favor of that too.
- 45:53But I bet you, you know, most of those Ferrari drivers will say,
- 45:57and you know, I do with much of my money now.
- 45:59I buy and hold invest. I buy and hold in real estate.
- 46:02I buy and hold the stock market. Of course, I didn't just get
- 46:05there by putting 50 bucks a month in.
- 46:07I like worked just like Jenna I did in college, just like we're
- 46:10doing now. I worked and I was successful
- 46:11and I made a lot of high income. And now with my wealth, it sits
- 46:15there and index funds or mutual funds or whatever it is.
- 46:18And so it's a combination of those things.
- 46:20You know, I don't really know what he's suggesting.
- 46:22Like, you know, I assume he's sells some business course or
- 46:26something and maybe part it's fine.
- 46:27But yeah, I found a lot, a lot of that to be very dishonest
- 46:30because it's it's basically like this big straw man being like,
- 46:33look, I took it from 12% down to 0%.
- 46:35So this whole thing is worthless.
- 46:37Do this other thing. Like I was like, whoa, whoa,
- 46:38that was not real math. That's not what's going on.
- 46:42And that that's not a fair assessment of like the argument
- 46:44for buying hold investing. So yeah, I give, I've seen some
- 46:48other videos about this guy makes he's kind of makes he's
- 46:50like rich versus very rich videos that are funny.
- 46:53But I haven't seen anything credible from him in terms of
- 46:56like actual financial advice. Yeah.
- 46:59So I give it AD. You know, it's not an F It's not
- 47:01like, you know, I think there's some credibility to some of this
- 47:04stuff like you need to have high income and stuff too.
- 47:06But I give it AD. OK, All right.
- 47:10D not, not totally failing. I'm mostly concerned about the
- 47:14shirt. The shirt I give, I don't want
- 47:19to pick on his appearance because like he looks pretty
- 47:21jacked and he's got like a nice white collar shirt on like it's
- 47:25just. To go one size I.
- 47:26Want a different? Different.
- 47:27Yeah, I want to. Yeah.
- 47:28Maybe it was size up, maybe a couple buttons up.
- 47:30He'd look really sharp. But you know, who am I to say
- 47:32I'm not? This isn't personal.
- 47:36Fashion Club. Yeah, Fashion Club, that's the
- 47:38worst thing. You still.
- 47:39Keep it Pfc. Yeah, maybe we should start Pfc
- 47:43Personal Fashion Club. Absolutely not.
- 47:45OK. All right, let's move on to
- 47:48money. Money.
- 47:51Jeremy had time today. I had time today.
- 47:54If you have time, I am in the TikTok archives.
- 47:57You posted a video of like 2021 about how much cash you should
- 48:02keep at short. So we'll we'll play it now.
- 48:04This is how much cash you should keep in each of these different
- 48:07types of accounts. Anything above these reasonable
- 48:09amounts should go towards investing, preferably in index
- 48:12funds. That way you're not bearing too
- 48:14much risk and you have some cash in case of emergency, and you're
- 48:16also not bearing too little risk and you're putting your money to
- 48:19work for you. Remember, you can build wealth
- 48:21by following the 2 rules of Personal Finance Club.
- 48:24Live below your means and invest early and often.
- 48:27And this commenter says, but then how am I buying a house if
- 48:31I invest all of it? Cool.
- 48:34So just to just to recap, I like go over three different types of
- 48:38accounts checking which is cash savings, which is cash and then
- 48:42the rest invested. And the general message here is,
- 48:45you know, you don't want too little cash such that if you
- 48:49have, you know, rent comes due or you have some sort of
- 48:51emergency, you are, you know, stuck in in fact, going back to
- 48:55MO. I'm kind of curious, like, does
- 48:57he have a cash emergency fund? You know, $10,000 is a small,
- 49:01it's obviously a very big amount of money, but small enough that,
- 49:04you know, I think most, you know, employed people should be
- 49:08aiming to have at least that much in the emergency fund.
- 49:10And that would be the first place to go before you even need
- 49:12to go to your investments. And if, you know, if MO was
- 49:14following this advice in that video, he would have three to
- 49:17six months of his expenses in a, in a savings account, and that
- 49:20would be enough to cover a $10,000 unexpected expense.
- 49:23Then he doesn't need to borrow anything against his
- 49:25investments. He can just pay it back, right?
- 49:29And so the whole point is you don't want too little cash where
- 49:31you're kind of getting pinched, but you don't want too much cash
- 49:34either. Because if you have, let's say
- 49:35your net worth is $200,000 and $180,000 of in cash, you're
- 49:40missing a huge opportunity to grow because you're not getting
- 49:43the great returns of the market. You're getting the, you know,
- 49:46non existent returns of a savings account.
- 49:49And this commentary very, you know, very fairly says, hey, but
- 49:52if I'm buying a house, how do I buy a house if I invest all of
- 49:56it? So if all my money, you know, if
- 49:57my checking account has my monthly expenses, my savings
- 50:01account has my emergency fund and everything else is invested,
- 50:04where does my down payment go? And that's a really good point.
- 50:07You know, honestly, that video, if it was more complete, it
- 50:11probably should have said there's a third bucket here for
- 50:14things called sinking funds. A sinking fund is basically
- 50:18saving for a specific thing. So for example, it could be an
- 50:20annual expense. So maybe Christmas presents.
- 50:23Let's say you spend $600 a year on Christmas presents.
- 50:26Instead of having that be an emergency every December, you
- 50:29could put 50 bucks into your Christmas, you know, 50 bucks a
- 50:32month into your Christmas sinking fund.
- 50:35Then when Christmas comes around, you put in the last 50
- 50:38bucks and you've got 60 bucks or 600 bucks.
- 50:40And you don't need to like, you know, figure out where that
- 50:42money's coming from. And you could have a bigger
- 50:45sinking fund for like a home down payment.
- 50:47And so for example, if you're trying to save up $30,000 for a
- 50:50home payment and you put away $1000 a month, 30 months later,
- 50:54you'll get there. And that wouldn't be in your
- 50:56checking account. I mean, it could physically be
- 50:58in there, but it wouldn't be, you know, what I was talking
- 51:00about there. And it could physically be in
- 51:01your savings account, but it wouldn't be part of your
- 51:04emergency fund. It'd be this other additional
- 51:05cash. And I really do believe that
- 51:09money you plan to spend in the short term future, which is
- 51:12within a few years, that's all short term, should be saved in
- 51:16cash, you know, So for sure you could just like I suggested, MO
- 51:21go back and sell some of your investments and buy a home.
- 51:23That'd be perfectly reasonable depending on your on your
- 51:26situation. But if you're in like the saving
- 51:29for a down payment mode, I would be putting into cash in a third
- 51:33bucket. And so I think this commenter is
- 51:35right to point that out. You know, by the way, it's very
- 51:38hard to make a what was this 32nd TikTok and, you know, fully
- 51:43explain all personal finance. And so there's always, you know,
- 51:47what abouts that you can critique and this come to made a
- 51:50good one. But yeah, I would say, hey, put
- 51:52that in a cash in the savings savings account or go to your
- 51:56brokerage account because you can always sell those shares and
- 52:00use them to buy a house if you want.
- 52:02Nice, I'll have to say your videos have gotten a lot better,
- 52:05but I did like the song. Yeah, no, it's very cringe
- 52:08looking at my 2020 era. You look so little in the bottom
- 52:11of the video and then the music's like the 70s music so.
- 52:15Cute. I will say I hustled back then.
- 52:16I was, I was like TikTok was like this brand new thing or so
- 52:20like nothing else to me. I was like stop.
- 52:21Going back there. Yeah, I was like, oh, I'm doing
- 52:23like it was actually me and Vivi back then.
- 52:25We were like, all right, I'm doing 4A day.
- 52:27So I was like, I would just film like 30 in a day and have her
- 52:30edit them. And we were like, cranking out
- 52:31like, you know, once a week we'd film 30 videos as kind of
- 52:34intense. Well I thought I assumed when I
- 52:37scrolled back that far that it would be everything would be
- 52:39from like 2023 to 2024 and you just like uploaded old videos.
- 52:43But I was like, wow, he was posting in 2021.
- 52:46No, I I that was that was when I was like trying on TikTok.
- 52:49Now I just, yeah, I'm so bad at social media.
- 52:52We don't. Give yourself a break.
- 52:54I think other people with our kind of follower comments are
- 52:57like so much more on the ball and I just kind of, I'm very
- 53:00haphazard about it these days at least.
- 53:03It's all right. You're doing great.
- 53:06We deliver a podcast every Thursday, don't we?
- 53:08We do can I read? I know this is a long episode
- 53:11but can I read 1? Nice comment that we got as
- 53:13well. Yes, and if you want your
- 53:15comment read or you want your review read, go leave us
- 53:18comments and reviews and maybe we'll have enough people where
- 53:21some of them will statistically die in a fiery car crash
- 53:24listening to our podcast. I mean, I don't want that to
- 53:27happen, but you know, eventually it's going to happen if like.
- 53:29Physically, that would be a good thing for us because.
- 53:31Well, it would be a bad thing for everyone involved, but I'm
- 53:33just saying if every single person in the US was listening
- 53:35to our podcast and then there's a car crash, right?
- 53:38We can't stop car crashes. That's those have been going on
- 53:41since all of cars so. Bleak.
- 53:43So I'm going to flip this narrative a little bit.
- 53:45This is from Claudia, who says hi, Jen and you're in
- 53:48parentheses and Jeremy. So I'm actually the main event
- 53:52here. Thank you.
- 53:52It's probably because I'm in the inbox.
- 53:55I've been meaning to send this message.
- 53:56I've been an avid listener of the show, truly enjoy the
- 53:58content, the banter, the jokes and side talk, period.
- 54:02Shout out to me. I hope you guys do earn an award
- 54:06next year lol. You both deserve it.
- 54:08So many more positive things to say but I'll keep it short and
- 54:10sweet. Look forward to many more
- 54:12episodes this year. I thought that was really.
- 54:13That's crazy. That's so nice.
- 54:15Who? Who said that was?
- 54:16Claudia. Claudia, thank you.
- 54:18Claudia. That's really nice.
- 54:19That warms my heart. I actually listen to our show
- 54:21and like every once in a while there's a moment I'm like, OK,
- 54:24that was kind of good. And there's lots of moments.
- 54:27I'm like, my God, we need to get better.
- 54:29But we're trying. We're trying to do except keep
- 54:32plowing episodes. But yeah, that's super nice.
- 54:34That's really nice that you. Thanks, Claudia.
- 54:36I mean, I think it's to like write to a podcast and like just
- 54:40voluntarily give nice feedback is like so incredibly nice.
- 54:43I mean, how easy just to like go through your day without doing
- 54:47that like I do right to my podcast.
- 54:50I have one favorite podcast that I will call in cuz they do
- 54:53weekly feedback episodes. So I'll call in, yeah.
- 54:56Nice. Cuz I just love them so much.
- 54:58So I get it. We'll give us the rules so we
- 55:00can get out of here. Yeah, I know that was a lot.
- 55:04That's a long one. But if you want to build wealth,
- 55:06all you got to do is follow the 2 rules of Personal Finance
- 55:08Club. Rule #1 live below your means
- 55:11and rule #2 invest early and often.
- 55:14See you next week. The personal finance club show
- 55:16is produced by Jeremy Schneider and Jen Wendia, music by Essa
- 55:19Balu and Homie. Send your questions to podcast
- 55:22at personalfinanceclub.com. The Personal Finance Club show
- 55:25is Co hosted by Jeremy Schneider who is a co-owner of Nectarine
- 55:29and SEC Registered Investment Advisor.
- 55:31The views expressed on this show are those of the hosts and
- 55:34guests and do not necessarily reflect the views of Nectarine.
- 55:37Please refer to hellonectarine.com for all
- 55:40relevant disclosures. This podcast is for
- 55:42informational and educational purposes only and should not be
- 55:45construed as personalized investment advice or a
- 55:48solicitation to buy or sell any security.
- 55:51The listeners should consult their own financial, legal or
- 55:53tax professionals for advice