Latest / The Real Estate Agent Playbook / Compass + Anywhere = 340K Agents? What This Means for Realtors
Transcript
- 0:00compass just announced that it is buying the anywhere
- 0:02brand of real estate for 1.6 billion
- 0:06on the surface this is a massive headline
- 0:09a deal that could create a 340,000 agent
- 0:12powerhouse in the industry
- 0:14but let's flip the script
- 0:16compass
- 0:16who reported 81.6 million dollars in debt obligations
- 0:20just in quarter two of 2025
- 0:22is taking on anywhere as 2.1 billion
- 0:25plus a 750 million dollar bridge loan to make this work
- 0:28all while being a brokerage with just 25,000 agents
- 0:31acquiring an umbrella of companies
- 0:33of a brokerage already housing 300,000 agents
- 0:36paints a very different picture
- 0:38doesn't it and yes
- 0:39this will affect agents
- 0:41but only the ones who care enough to look
- 0:44beyond the headlines
- 0:45and understand the ramifications that
- 0:49are in front of us we're gonna break all this down
- 0:52and more today on the Real Estate Agent Playbook
- 1:00I wanna first start this off by saying
- 1:03there is going to be some positives
- 1:05there are some positives to compass taking over a brand
- 1:09such as the anywhere brand
- 1:10which houses Sotheby's era
- 1:12Better Homes and Gardens Coldwell Banker
- 1:14among others
- 1:15and the honest truth is there will be positives
- 1:18there will be negatives just as in any acquisition
- 1:21and I'm not here to tell you
- 1:23that this is going to completely destroy the industry
- 1:26or be the greatest thing ever
- 1:28what I'm here to do is break down the differences
- 1:30and
- 1:31talk to you a little bit about options that may occur
- 1:34for you whether you're inside
- 1:36the anywhere brand or maybe outside
- 1:38so first and foremost
- 1:39I really wanna hammer in on these 300
- 1:42and forty thousand agents
- 1:44a decent amount that are national
- 1:47and another
- 1:48hundred and forty thousand that are international
- 1:50that could be affected
- 1:52Compass's brand was not in all 50 states and was
- 1:55for the most part a
- 1:57you know luxury market specific brand Denver
- 2:01you know the southern states Seattle
- 2:03New York and so on and so
- 2:06as we look at this and people are hammering home
- 2:09this 340,000 agents well
- 2:12the truth is is that the anywhere brand housed
- 2:15you know over 300,000 agents alone
- 2:18and so this huge
- 2:20behemoth of a brokerage umbrella has always been there
- 2:24now arming them with some of the tech
- 2:27things that compass offers
- 2:29and so on is
- 2:31you know something that could make that 300,000
- 2:35you know
- 2:36agent brokerage or umbrella a little bit more powerful
- 2:40and I understand that
- 2:41but the fact that it's just because of sheer numbers
- 2:44alone that we're saying
- 2:45this could be a monopoly and all of this stuff
- 2:49well I mean
- 2:50adding 25,000 agents estimated to this
- 2:54from the compass brand
- 2:55doesn't really make a lot of sense to
- 2:58you know that being the
- 2:59the thing that pushed the 300,000 person
- 3:02brokerage over the edge I get it
- 3:04tech is different and you know
- 3:06compass is very tech forward
- 3:08compass does have you know
- 3:10several irons in the fire with
- 3:12you know clear cooperation and Zillow and all
- 3:14of those things and so I understand why
- 3:17you know looking at this and you know
- 3:19the the headlines that there's gonna be this one
- 3:22you know exclusive agency to list with
- 3:25because it's all gonna go exclusive
- 3:27the truth is is that even within compass
- 3:29their exclusive offerings
- 3:31you know are only used by a certain percentage
- 3:35and that's where this kind of breaks down
- 3:37a lot of these you know
- 3:39agencies and 340,000 agents in the anywhere brand yes
- 3:43there is luxury markets obviously
- 3:45Sotheby's a very luxury recognized brand
- 3:48Coldwell Banker has their luxury department and so on
- 3:51but
- 3:52the majority of those agents are not in luxury markets
- 3:55so to speak
- 3:56and so when we're stepping back and looking at this and
- 3:59you know
- 4:00the exclusivity of the exclusive marketing platforms
- 4:03that you know
- 4:04have been in the news I'm not sure that you know
- 4:07that is going to you know
- 4:09articulate to
- 4:11the grand majority of those 340,000 agents
- 4:14not to say that they have to use it
- 4:16the current compass you know
- 4:18set up does not have to go exclusive and there are
- 4:21you know different things that happen for each of those
- 4:23but when you really start to look at this
- 4:26as an international piece
- 4:28the exclusivity of marketing a you know
- 4:32quote unquote luxury listing just isn't you know
- 4:36the best for a lot of these different markets
- 4:39so that's the first thing I want to say yes
- 4:41there may be some you know
- 4:43fear of that and you know
- 4:46let compass and Zillow do their thing
- 4:48the real key here is the MLS disruption
- 4:51and will the 340,000 agents and the agent voices
- 4:56you know stand for you know
- 4:58trying to you know depopulate the MLS
- 5:01I don't think that's you know
- 5:03where we're going
- 5:04I don't think that that's in its nature
- 5:06and if you want my honest opinion
- 5:08the MLS system has needed a a rejuvenation or a re
- 5:12you know restructure for a long time right
- 5:15there's doesn't make any sense to have you know
- 5:17neighboring counties on different MLS's
- 5:19and things like that
- 5:20but that's neither here nor there as we see
- 5:23let's focus on this MLS disruption right
- 5:26worry less about you know
- 5:28if all these listings are going on this side
- 5:31or that side or whatever
- 5:32but when the MLS starts to break down
- 5:34that's when we'll really see real industry change
- 5:37in my opinion so on a global scale
- 5:40does it make sense for you know
- 5:42the house and wherever
- 5:45in a farm town in the middle of Iowa
- 5:47does it make sense for that one to only be seen by
- 5:50you know
- 5:51people that are housed and have access to you know
- 5:54this brokerage's network I I mean
- 5:56I don't think that makes a lot of sense
- 5:58from the consumer and
- 5:59and honestly I don't think that
- 6:01that agent from the compass brand
- 6:03or the anywhere brand or even my brand would
- 6:07would suggest like
- 6:08we should go exclusive with this
- 6:09because in those smaller populated areas
- 6:12there's less buyers so
- 6:13we need to make sure we're getting in as
- 6:14front of as many eyes as possible
- 6:17and so I think that there's a rush to conclusions here
- 6:20of why they're doing this
- 6:21and that and I think when we step back and look at it
- 6:24and look at the population
- 6:26and the breakdown
- 6:27and the densities of different markets that
- 6:30you know this isn't just gonna be a one size
- 6:32fits all acquisition I think a lot of the
- 6:37you know
- 6:39information that is out there
- 6:40is really focused on this 340,000 agent piece
- 6:44but I really
- 6:45also want to talk about how this was performed right
- 6:48a 1.6 billion dollar purchase
- 6:51this is an all stock purchase
- 6:52so it's not like you know
- 6:54there was there was other you know
- 6:56they're incurring more debt
- 6:58obviously
- 6:59they're taking on the 2.1 from anywhere within the deal
- 7:03but when we're talking about stock purchases
- 7:07and purchasing with debt
- 7:09or purchasing debt and creating that piece
- 7:12we have to really step back and say okay
- 7:14how is this going to affect the players that are inside
- 7:18the the
- 7:19you know stock portfolio
- 7:21the players that are outside
- 7:22and the truth is that the you know
- 7:25same old names are kind of dialed in there
- 7:28and I think that that's you know
- 7:30the vanguards the Fidelity's
- 7:32the this that they owned all the companies they owned
- 7:35some of my companies they owned
- 7:37you know both of these brands and you know
- 7:39certain stock portfolios and so
- 7:42this is something that
- 7:43we have to kind of step back and look at
- 7:46the real you know
- 7:48thing that comes up here
- 7:50that I'm looking at is the institutional ownership
- 7:53right where for instance
- 7:56you know
- 7:56the institutional ownership of compass is around 75%
- 8:00where the institutional ownership of anywhere is
- 8:03around 96% and then you have companies like EXP
- 8:07that are cloud based that
- 8:09you know the institutional ownership is
- 8:11you know
- 8:1340% and
- 8:15and we start to kind of look at the insider ownership
- 8:18and how this this looks
- 8:20and you know the truth is is that
- 8:24when we step back and look at this
- 8:26and there's something called float in this process
- 8:30which is essentially the
- 8:32you know ability
- 8:33for an individual to actually purchase this stock right
- 8:37making it more
- 8:39you know market based and not as you know
- 8:42institutionalized the truth is
- 8:44is that anywhere has an
- 8:45institutional float rate over 100%
- 8:48meaning it's very hard for an individual to
- 8:52you know make a ton of changes within this
- 8:54it's just kind of what it is
- 8:56meaning that it's really controlled
- 8:58mostly by Wall Street and you know
- 9:01as we kind of step back and we talk about you know
- 9:04some of the other cloud based brokerages
- 9:06I'll use mine just because
- 9:08you know we have insider ownership
- 9:11where the founder of the company and you know
- 9:13his family owns you know
- 9:14approximately 40 some percent of
- 9:17you know the
- 9:19the stock
- 9:20and then you have some institutional ownership
- 9:22in this case about you know
- 9:2430 or 40% uh
- 9:26and so the institutions don't have quite as much power
- 9:30so ultimately
- 9:31at compass and anywhere Wall Street type like now
- 9:35especially kind of are are making the plays
- 9:38they're the major players in the ownership group
- 9:41whereas at you know
- 9:43EXP an agent can own this and they own the company
- 9:46as well as some of the insiders
- 9:48which happen to be the founder and so on
- 9:51so it's a little bit more
- 9:53you know fluid
- 9:54it's a little bit more you know
- 9:56accessible to the general public or the individual
- 10:00instead of the institutional
- 10:02you know Wall Street big dogs
- 10:05so let's talk about that the EXP difference right
- 10:08ownership having a little bit of power
- 10:11every different thing that's happened in within EXP and
- 10:16you know as it pertains to agent life and
- 10:19and so on is taken back to the
- 10:21to the agents themselves
- 10:23through the different leadership groups
- 10:24through whatever
- 10:25not every single 90,000 not 90,000 of us
- 10:28but um there are groups that
- 10:31you know
- 10:31they're running ideas by when co sponsorship came
- 10:34that was something that was
- 10:36you know
- 10:36put together in large part as a group effort by
- 10:39you know the
- 10:40the corporate leadership team as well as
- 10:43you know the top leaders in the company
- 10:45this is something that
- 10:46shows that the agents have a little bit more power
- 10:49they have a little bit more say against something like
- 10:52you know a
- 10:54a Wall Street investor
- 10:56heavily owned and influence operation
- 10:59the next piece is the revenue share model right
- 11:02at EXP we're not going out and acquiring brokerages
- 11:05for high dollar amounts and anything like that
- 11:08you've never seen
- 11:09EXP acquires anything for any amount of money
- 11:12and so
- 11:12that's something that we have to take into account
- 11:16and understand what that looks like right
- 11:18in any acquisition or any
- 11:21you know compensation agreement for going to
- 11:25you know
- 11:25a different brokerage or bringing a brokerage over
- 11:28whatever that looks like there is winners and losers
- 11:31right if
- 11:33if you're an agent who is compensated with stock
- 11:37or whatever or an agency that is compensated
- 11:40and that money doesn't trickle down to the agents
- 11:43that you bring over well
- 11:45then there's always that back and forth that's like oh
- 11:47you know that person got paid to go there and you know
- 11:50that incentive is great for them
- 11:52but what's in it for the little guy
- 11:53and within the EXP brokerage model
- 11:56there is none of that
- 11:57there's not a lot of that back and forth
- 11:59for the most part every agent is on the same split
- 12:01right yes
- 12:02there are team you know
- 12:04split cap models that are a little bit different
- 12:06that have a whole different set of
- 12:08you know rules and that kind of stuff
- 12:10but there's no there's no favors being handed out
- 12:12so everyone is truly on a level playing field
- 12:15but then they have the opportunity to bring agents in
- 12:19right and yes
- 12:20I understand that there's
- 12:21you know different
- 12:23incentives at different brokerages to bring agents in
- 12:27just nothing like the cloud based brokerage that
- 12:29you know EXP kind of
- 12:31you know shepherded into our industry
- 12:34and that's why we have the largest
- 12:36you know cloud based brokerage
- 12:37it has a revenue share model to this day
- 12:39and so as we're continuing to talk about this
- 12:42the agents just have a little bit more control
- 12:45the agents control the growth
- 12:46the agents get compensated when those agents come in
- 12:49you know close deals
- 12:51and as those agents bring agents on
- 12:53they're able to be in this revenue share model
- 12:55and there's just more control
- 12:57and some people look at it as like oh
- 12:59you know I don't want to be a recruiter
- 13:01I don't want to do that however
- 13:03they're paying for it right
- 13:04these companies have recruiters
- 13:07if you were a part of owner of one of the stocks that
- 13:11you know was involved in this huge acquisition
- 13:13on one side anywhere went up a little bit
- 13:15on the other side compass went down
- 13:17but ultimately they dissolve the stock 28% right
- 13:23because now with the merger
- 13:25the 28% of the stock that's offered to compass
- 13:30you know
- 13:30to the anywhere people that come over is a huge deal
- 13:34and it's a huge you know
- 13:35shot to dissolution of the stock
- 13:38which is fine and overall
- 13:40they have a plan to get rid of the debt
- 13:41and who knows which way the stock will go
- 13:44but within EXP
- 13:46if there's not this excess money going out
- 13:48and this merger and combining of stocks
- 13:51the agents are in more control
- 13:54and that's that's where it is
- 13:56that's why it's an agent centered brokerage
- 13:58that's why you know
- 13:59that model stands as an agent at E X P
- 14:02if I close a certain amount of transactions
- 14:04I get awarded stock
- 14:05I get awarded stock for closing one transaction
- 14:08my in my first you know
- 14:10my first transaction of my cap reset
- 14:12I get you know compensated in an award every time I cap
- 14:16and so as we're kind of breaking this down like okay
- 14:20how's this work
- 14:21and why is there zero debt with this company and
- 14:26you know
- 14:26excess amount of debt now with this massive company
- 14:30well the cloud based brokerage model eliminates
- 14:32the breaking order eliminates a lot of that stuff
- 14:34and that's where it steps in and the agent may
- 14:38you know be compensated um
- 14:41a little bit more fairly or not
- 14:43just depends on what you're looking at
- 14:45what you're trying to do with your business
- 14:46and how you operate in addition to growing debt free
- 14:50EXP also is international
- 14:52and this is something that we dive deep into with
- 14:56Natalie Salas who will be on the show on Friday
- 15:00so stay tuned for that one
- 15:01but being an international growth organization
- 15:05and understanding how you know
- 15:08through the trials and tribulations
- 15:10of international growth
- 15:12EXP has built a model to not bring just influencers
- 15:17to run countries and start countries
- 15:20but actual producing agents and brokers
- 15:23which has been an absolute game changer
- 15:25when it comes to EXP's success
- 15:27growing on the global markets
- 15:29and so as you know compass has acquired
- 15:34you know a large international um organization
- 15:38now this is something that again
- 15:41it's you know corporate growth versus you know
- 15:44organic growth through agents
- 15:46and it's going to be a very interesting ride
- 15:50and you know a lot of people are saying
- 15:52this is terrible for the industry
- 15:53this is terrible for the consumer
- 15:55let's just wait and see how it plays out
- 15:57because I think a lot of people are
- 16:01sitting back and saying well
- 16:02it's gonna be one way well
- 16:04I think that you know the anywhere
- 16:07brand operated very separately of each other
- 16:09there's franchise models in there
- 16:11there's all different kinds of models in that umbrella
- 16:14and those brands are very separate
- 16:17if you didn't you know
- 16:18know that they were owned by the same parent company
- 16:21you wouldn't know right
- 16:22there's nothing boots on the ground
- 16:23and the consumer probably will not
- 16:25so until the compass brand comes in
- 16:28and completely changes the game
- 16:30which I don't think they would do
- 16:31I don't think that's you know
- 16:33acquisitions 1 0 1 is not come in and just
- 16:36you know overtake everything now you know
- 16:38the
- 16:39infusion of some tech may be good for the industry
- 16:42as a whole may be good for the consumer as a whole um
- 16:45but I also wouldn't just jump to conclusion and say
- 16:49they're gonna come in and it's gonna be this brand
- 16:52this way across the board
- 16:54because that model doesn't fit the franchise models
- 16:57compared to you know
- 16:58the brokerage models that they have so ultimately
- 17:01mostly brick and mortar there um
- 17:04and that's
- 17:05you know kind of the difference right now is
- 17:07you know where where the industry is going uh
- 17:10it very well could be half and half
- 17:12I don't think that um
- 17:14the mom and pops are completely out of the
- 17:17the mix as far as the small brokerage shops
- 17:20or the independent brokers
- 17:21I don't think that you know
- 17:23it's gonna make any difference
- 17:24because let's remember that the Anywhere Corporation
- 17:28umbrella of Real Estate Group
- 17:29had over 300,000 agents already
- 17:33and so by just adding the 25,000 and
- 17:38you know some tech
- 17:38I don't think it's just gonna overnight push it out
- 17:41I think the real differences will come with
- 17:44you know
- 17:44the different settlements with NAR and you know
- 17:47Zillow and all of those things
- 17:49I think
- 17:49that's where we really need to watch and pay attention
- 17:52and I think the first you know kind of sign of okay
- 17:56maybe you know
- 17:57we're seeing an
- 17:58a real change will be if the MLS's start to
- 18:02you know get affected and you know
- 18:04this inclusive listing stuff does kind of take shape
- 18:08so we'll keep an eye on it
- 18:10like I said change is good not a lot of people like it
- 18:14but for the industry
- 18:15it's absolutely something to consider
- 18:18if you're part of it if you're inside of it
- 18:21outside of it want to have a conversation
- 18:23and you're able to have a conversation
- 18:25please reach out to me directly
- 18:27we can have those conversations
- 18:28and just see what's a better fit
- 18:31because ultimately as an independent contractor
- 18:34you have the ultimate choice and you know
- 18:37as for for now
- 18:39there's all kinds of different options for you
- 18:42and I think there will be going forward
- 18:44but
- 18:45I'm looking to partner with the most amazing agents
- 18:47that want to build business
- 18:48like I have built it and no matter where you're at
- 18:52we can have a conversation so uh
- 18:54please book a call below please like comment subscribe
- 18:58we'll stay up to date on this situation
- 19:01but typically
- 19:01we talk about growing your business organically
- 19:04and absolutely crushing real estate
- 19:06so we'll see you next time bye