Latest / Leading Local Insights / Inside the $182B Local Ad Market: Key Trends for 2026
Transcript
- 0:34Tom Buono: Welcome.
- 0:35Tom Buono: And thanks for joining us for the first Leading Local Insights podcast of 2026.
- 0:41Tom Buono: I'm Tom Buono, founder and CEO of BIA Advisory Services, and today I'm joined by members of our analyst team to talk about what's happening in local advertising.
- 0:53Tom Buono: Just before the holidays in December, we released our annual trends report, one of our most popular industry reports.
- 1:02Tom Buono: In that we talked about $182 billion of local advertising as an opportunity for all of those on this call and all serving this marketplace.
- 1:14Tom Buono: It highlights 10 key trends shaping local advertising today.
- 1:19Tom Buono: What we are seeing is that local advertising is moving fast right now.
- 1:33Tom Buono: Audiences are spread across more screens than ever.
- 1:37Tom Buono: New platforms keep popping up, and both national and local advertisers are rethinking where they're where they are spending their money.
- 1:46Tom Buono: At the same time, we're seeing national brands leaning into local.
- 1:53Tom Buono: Connected TV and OTT are changing how video gets planned and bought.
- 1:59Tom Buono: Digital out of home continues to build momentum, and political advertising and major event advertising are tightening inventory in certain markets.
- 2:10Tom Buono: At the same time, AI is starting to influence how campaigns are planned, activated, and optimized.
- 2:19Tom Buono: In a market like this, clarity really matters.
- 2:24Tom Buono: That's what we're hoping to bring to you today in this discussion and with our clients throughout 2026.
- 2:32Tom Buono: With that, let's get started.
- 2:35Tom Buono: So first up is Rick Ducey.
- 2:37Tom Buono: Rick is a managing director with BIA.
- 2:40Tom Buono: He oversees our strategic consulting and works with a lot of clients at the executive level on a whole range of different issues.
- 2:48Tom Buono: And today I'd like you to talk a little bit, Rick, about CTV OTT.
- 2:53Tom Buono: You're really the expert in this space.
- 2:55Tom Buono: Can you talk about what we're seeing for the coming year and the trends driving the growth?
- 3:00Rick Ducey: Sure, Tom.
- 3:01Rick Ducey: Thanks.
- 3:01Rick Ducey: And um welcome everybody.
- 3:02Rick Ducey: It's wonderful to have this chance to get together, share some of our data, some of our insights about what's happening with local, which is a happening place these days.
- 3:10Rick Ducey: And there's a few places in terms of media channels where the activity is particularly, I guess, exciting and possibly even turbulent, you might say.
- 3:19Rick Ducey: And CTV, connected TV, and OTT definitely is one of those areas.
- 3:24Rick Ducey: Just first briefly, we say CTV slash OTT.
- 3:28Rick Ducey: There's different kinds of streaming video, and in this media channel, we're talking about premium video, full-length video.
- 3:36Rick Ducey: For CTV specifically, ad impression inventory that is on a TV set.
- 3:42Rick Ducey: So one of the things we've done is when we look at local and video, we have a couple of different ways of looking at it.
- 3:47Rick Ducey: One is the local TV marketplace for ads targeting local audiences.
- 3:54Rick Ducey: And in that, we include over-the-air broadcast TV stations, uh, MVPT, the cable operators, and now CTV.
- 4:01Rick Ducey: So those are three media channels targeting the TV set as the display device for ad inventory.
- 4:07Rick Ducey: And of course, streaming, you can watch premium content on your TV set.
- 4:11Rick Ducey: You can also watch it on your iPad, your phone, whatever.
- 4:14Rick Ducey: But those are different kinds of ad inventory.
- 4:17Rick Ducey: So mostly when we say TV, Tom, as you know, we're focused on it on the TV set.
- 4:21Rick Ducey: So I'll just pick a couple of uh data points there to highlight what we're seeing.
- 4:26Rick Ducey: First of all, high growth.
- 4:28Rick Ducey: Now, CTV's been coming off a small base.
- 4:30Rick Ducey: So to say high growth on a relative basis, the percentages look good.
- 4:34Rick Ducey: But as the absolute number of dollars spent in local CTV gets bigger, uh the percentages start to drop because the denominator gets bigger, obviously.
- 4:43Rick Ducey: But still we're seeing some really exciting movement uh compared to some of the other channels that are either aren't moving or are going backwards.
- 4:49Rick Ducey: So in 2005, we figured CTV targeting local audiences closed out at about $3.3 billion, excluding political spending, which didn't matter that much for 25.
- 5:00Rick Ducey: Now we're in 26 midterm year, um, and we're expecting CTV spending, not including political spending, which will be substantial, um, to go up about 10% to $3.6 billion.
- 5:11Rick Ducey: And if we look at this in a context, if we look at that calculation of local TV and TV being sort of broadly defined here as broadcast stations, uh MVPDs, and CTV uh targeting that TV set, um, the share of that spending from CTV has increased from about just under 14% in 2024 to almost 19%.
- 5:35Rick Ducey: Uh so pretty huge growth we're expecting in in 2026.
- 5:39Rick Ducey: Again, um if we look at how the dollars are spent, broadcast TV stations still get the lion share, but the fast riser, and we expect to continue to rise fast, is going to be CTV.
- 5:50Rick Ducey: So there's a couple of quick stats and a little bit of context, Tom.
- 5:54Tom Buono: Yeah, thanks, Rick.
- 5:55Tom Buono: You know, it always comes down to selling.
- 5:57Tom Buono: So can you give us uh one key opportunity for local sellers packaging OTA with CTV and digital video?
- 6:07Rick Ducey: Sure.
- 6:07Rick Ducey: I mean, if you look at the ecosystem and then CTV, you mentioned Tom, it it's fragmented generally, um, you know, media.
- 6:15Rick Ducey: We track, I think we have been tracking 16 different media uh channels, and we're increasing that number just because of how things are breaking out in the market.
- 6:23Rick Ducey: Um, we we need to have more targets that we're that we're tracking.
- 6:27Rick Ducey: And that may be hard from an analyst perspective, uh, but it's also, of course, hard from a brand perspective.
- 6:32Rick Ducey: The marketers are kind of going a little bit crazy.
- 6:35Rick Ducey: How do we find our you know, target groups and across all these different media channels?
- 6:39Rick Ducey: And how can we orchestrate our brand messaging from a brand level?
- 6:43Rick Ducey: And then as we get into smaller regional businesses, they're more performance-oriented.
- 6:47Rick Ducey: You know, how do we reach our target consumer bases geographically?
- 6:52Rick Ducey: And a lot of times the lift is very impressive when you geo-target uh campaigns for various uh reasons.
- 6:59Rick Ducey: You're finding people where they live, you're able to do geographically relevant content when you're doing dynamic ad insertion, things like that.
- 7:08Rick Ducey: So now these three uh video media um targeting a TV set, what brands want to do, agencies want to do, uh, is to go cross-platform.
- 7:19Rick Ducey: We want to get video impressions in front of our target group in whatever screen they're looking at.
- 7:25Rick Ducey: And if we can do that in a relevant way in our journey to purchase and use each of those media differently, I mean you can use the paradigm of the funnel, top of the funnel branding, maybe that's broadcast TV.
- 7:35Rick Ducey: And then you get into CTV, which is a lot more targeting.
- 7:38Rick Ducey: You can layer on a lot of signals to get that message to the target audience you want to get to.
- 7:43Rick Ducey: And you can see some performance, you have different optimization capabilities, and even into other forms of digital like social video, uh, where you can really get some engagement, uh, get some brand halo effect uh from some of the things happening there.
- 7:56Rick Ducey: And again, drive down to very um concrete KPIs like uh retail foot traffic, uh, web form fills, things like that.
- 8:05Rick Ducey: So uh for a selling strategy, there's a lot of things that media sellers can bring to the market that is in demand.
- 8:13Rick Ducey: And the challenge is to do that in a way that's orchestrated, it makes sense, and all the different parts and pieces fit together, and you can see that with the metrics and data you're you're getting.
- 8:23Rick Ducey: So you can optimize and steward that campaign and drive it to the outcomes that the clients want.
- 8:27Rick Ducey: And those are a big set of challenges, but the industry has been working hard on it and getting some good solutions.
- 8:34Tom Buono: Good.
- 8:35Tom Buono: All right, Rick, thanks for that.
- 8:36Tom Buono: Uh, we're gonna turn to Steve Passwaiter.
- 8:39Tom Buono: Steve is an advisor to BIA and has worked with us for many, many years and a lot of other media companies over time.
- 8:46Tom Buono: Steve, let's talk a little bit about out of home.
- 8:50Tom Buono: It seems to be having a real moment now, especially with digital screens and programmatic buying.
- 8:55Tom Buono: Uh, can you just share a little bit on the growth of out of home and the vertical advertisers leaning into out of home this coming year?
- 9:04Steve Passwaiter: Sure, Tom.
- 9:05Steve Passwaiter: Uh, you know, 2025 was really the year of legal.
- 9:10Steve Passwaiter: Uh legal firms and uh the out-of-home industry got a lot closer to one another during uh 2025.
- 9:18Steve Passwaiter: Now that will likely continue unabated into 2026, but it'll be joined by restaurants and amusement parks and real estate.
- 9:30Steve Passwaiter: Uh these are categories that uh the BIA forecast uh has uh putting more money towards outdoor, and there are plenty of reasons for that.
- 9:41Steve Passwaiter: Uh Senan, I thought uh uh you might have some uh thoughts on exactly why those categories, uh what's special about them and how they uh you know how how outdoor fits uh what they're trying to do.
- 9:58Senan Mele: Yes, Steve.
- 10:00Senan Mele: Um what we are seeing is that amusement park, restaurants, and real estate development, as well as uh legal services, as you've mentioned, they all depend on being top of mind at the moment uh someone is nearby.
- 10:16Senan Mele: So out of home tend to excel at capturing attention uh close to the point of decision, whether it's choosing where to eat, which attraction to visit, and which firm to call.
- 10:30Senan Mele: So, as you've mentioned, um as food traffic rebounds and stabilizes, uh, advertisers will naturally put dollars behind media that influence physical movement.
- 10:44Senan Mele: What we are also seeing is that in categories like QSA, full service restaurants, and um legal services, digital channels can become saturated and increasingly expensive.
- 10:58Senan Mele: So, out of home offers a great way to um to get high risk at cost efficiency and at scale, especially in dense urban and commuter markets.
- 11:13Senan Mele: Uh the other thing I will add here is that as customer acquisition costs rise online, brands are reallocating budget to channels that deliver broad awareness and incremental reach.
- 11:26Senan Mele: And out-of-home plays a big role in that.
- 11:32Steve Passwaiter: Thanks.
- 11:32Steve Passwaiter: Thanks, Senan.
- 11:33Steve Passwaiter: Yeah, I appreciate your uh your thoughts on that.
- 11:35Steve Passwaiter: I think all that's incredibly true.
- 11:40Tom Buono: Steve, can you uh expand a little bit about the opportunity for out-of-home to use data and digital capabilities to compete more directly with channels like CTV and and social?
- 11:55Steve Passwaiter: Sure, Tom.
- 11:55Steve Passwaiter: I'd actually reframe that maybe just a little bit into thinking of out-of-door as more of an amplification media that actually uh you know uh plays well with others, uh, like we all used to get graded with uh when we were in school.
- 12:12Steve Passwaiter: Um that's really it, because outdoor is really an amplification media, sort of some of what uh Senan was uh was adding before.
- 12:22Steve Passwaiter: It does have reach, and that reach can be very broad, but at the same time, it also has geographical constraints that can be put around it.
- 12:33Steve Passwaiter: Now, this is really great stuff for, you know, I think the folks in retail media have figured out that uh, you know, outdoor is uh a really interesting place to get the message out of the store and and add reinforcement.
- 12:48Steve Passwaiter: And out of home does really add frequency, but does so in a non-obtrusive way.
- 12:56Steve Passwaiter: It is a it's a it's a non-skippable media, which you gotta love in this uh day and age, but it really limits, you know, I think both CTV and social have a bit of a burnout problem.
- 13:10Steve Passwaiter: Uh, you know, there's too much frequency, you see too much of the same thing.
- 13:15Steve Passwaiter: Outdoor really doesn't do that.
- 13:17Steve Passwaiter: And I think there's a, you know, where data's concerned, there's all kinds of studies about the effectiveness of out of home and how out of home really makes the dollars that are invested in CTV and social work that much harder and really adds a real boost to what they're you know, what they're what they're what they're trying to do.
- 13:42Steve Passwaiter: And then lastly, you know, I think where social is concerned, out of home, and we see advertisers putting various social elements into their outdoor ads, uh, really allows an expansion of those campaigns into social and gets more references, but at no additional cost.
- 14:03Steve Passwaiter: And that's a beautiful thing about it.
- 14:04Steve Passwaiter: So these are, you know, I think some of the things that out of home has, uh, you know, these unique attributes about it that are giving it that moment uh that everybody in the ad world is talking about at the moment.
- 14:19Tom Buono: Yeah, for sure.
- 14:20Tom Buono: And certainly on the digital side.
- 14:22Tom Buono: Uh let's go to Celine.
- 14:24Tom Buono: Celine Matthiessen is a vice president with BIA, works closely with a number of clients uh related to competitive intelligence.
- 14:33Tom Buono: Celine, can you talk a little bit about national brands going local in 2026 from your perspective?
- 14:40Tom Buono: Uh what's actually changing on the ground?
- 14:44Celine Matthiessen: Oh, sure, Tom.
- 14:45Celine Matthiessen: I mean, you know, national brands and brands have been in local for a long time.
- 14:49Celine Matthiessen: However, you know, they always kind of view it as a tactical add-on.
- 14:52Celine Matthiessen: Um, but you know, for 2026, um, it's shaping up to be a highly competitive year for national brands and local, um, where advertisers are leaning in harder into channels that deliver measurable market level performance.
- 15:06Celine Matthiessen: And it's like Rick said, especially with uh CTV OTT with that level of targeting and all the data, they're really leaning into that in the local market space.
- 15:16Celine Matthiessen: Um, one of the big areas that's driving that growth are all the sporting events coming up in 2026, the winter Olympics, and then the FIFA World Cup.
- 15:25Celine Matthiessen: I'm down in Houston.
- 15:26Celine Matthiessen: And so, you know, we hear all about that.
- 15:28Celine Matthiessen: Um, those are primarily uh primarily being monetized, that inventory is being monetized in local.
- 15:36Tom Buono: Yeah, it'll be an exciting year for all of that.
- 15:39Tom Buono: Um you help clients uh craft local sales strategies, Celine.
- 15:44Tom Buono: Uh, you know, what's the biggest opportunity to add value?
- 15:49Celine Matthiessen: Um it's definitely bundling CTV OTT with digital inventory and then localizing creative, which is getting so much easier now with all the new tools that are out there, uh, to align with the national campaign and you know, brand messaging.
- 16:03Celine Matthiessen: Uh local sellers can move from being viewed as a tactical add-on by these brands to a strategic growth partner.
- 16:11Tom Buono: Yep, for sure.
- 16:12Tom Buono: All right, let's go to Mark Dugan.
- 16:14Tom Buono: Mark is a senior director with the firm.
- 16:17Tom Buono: He works on the forecasting side and and really uh a lot of clients uh with briefings and helping them with their concerns.
- 16:25Tom Buono: Mark, let's talk about you know what's happening uh with the different business verticals and spending from our trends analysis.
- 16:33Tom Buono: What are we seeing there and where's the momentum?
- 16:37Mark Dugan: Uh sure, Tom.
- 16:38Mark Dugan: Uh some that Steve has already mentioned, but for um 2026, three categories are really um jumping up the page uh real estate, leisure and recreation, and restaurants.
- 16:49Mark Dugan: Uh real estate's out in front, uh, with followed by leisure and recreation, then uh restaurants.
- 16:56Mark Dugan: And uh the local sellers should be very, these should be the first verticals that they're really looking at and building their prospecting plans around with a noticeably more digital and performance targeted strategy than in years past.
- 17:12Mark Dugan: Uh, we'll start with real estate, and the local land spend uh in real estate is expected to climb about 5.8% in 2026, fueled by uh the easing interest rates and the buyer's journey that's much more online and uh research heavy uh than it has been in the past.
- 17:31Mark Dugan: The uh real estate marketers are already thinking digital first, uh search listings platforms, social, CTV video, plus uh local targeting to stay in front of the uh in-market buyers.
- 17:45Mark Dugan: Uh following uh leisure and recreation uh with the local spend projected to grow about 4.3% in 2026.
- 17:54Mark Dugan: And a lot of that momentum is coming from online gambling, uh the shifting travel behaviors, and a rising demand from uh consumers for experiences instead of just stuff.
- 18:08Mark Dugan: Um the categories becoming increasingly sophisticated, um, precision targeting and performance media, they're going after highly defined behavior and interest groups, the betters, the frequent travelers, the event goers.
- 18:23Mark Dugan: Um and then there are restaurants, which are set to boost local ad spend by about 3.7% in 2026.
- 18:32Mark Dugan: Uh the consumers are really, you know, they're now value-seeking diners and have a weakening brand loyalty and are um pushing the restaurant marketers to really turn up the volume and get sharper at the local level, uh, moving more local.
- 18:50Mark Dugan: The competitive pressure and promotion-driven consumers are really moving more dollars into digital, social, CTV, and also have tight geographic and audience targeting um to try to win that next visit.
- 19:05Tom Buono: Yeah, really a changing business.
- 19:07Tom Buono: Uh thanks, Mark.
- 19:08Tom Buono: Let's go to Saint An.
- 19:10Tom Buono: Uh Saint On is uh uh uh data scientist.
- 19:13Tom Buono: Uh he is our vice president for forecasting, and he's been with us about a year and is really doing a great job of taking a lot more inputs and really making our modeling more sophisticated for forecasting.
- 19:25Tom Buono: So, Senan, let's talk a little bit about political.
- 19:29Tom Buono: It's gonna be an intense midterm cycle coming up.
- 19:33Tom Buono: Uh, what are we seeing?
- 19:34Tom Buono: What is our forecast saying about political advertising?
- 19:39Senan Mele: Yeah, absolutely.
- 19:40Senan Mele: And um, thank you, Tom.
- 19:42Senan Mele: So there are a few very important points to make when it comes to political um advertising in 2026.
- 19:51Senan Mele: And the first point I will focus on here is that 2026 will be intense in terms of political advertising, but it will also be unevenly distributed.
- 20:05Senan Mele: And what we mean here is that uh political spend will be highly concentrated in competitive markets rather than spread evenly across the country.
- 20:19Senan Mele: And this is being driven primarily by all of the Senate, House, gubernatorial, and ballot races happening across the country, meaning buyers should expect pressure to be located.
- 20:33Senan Mele: Localized rather than uniform.
- 20:36Senan Mele: The second point is that political advertising remains video-led, with TV OTA as the anchor.
- 20:45Senan Mele: And in that light, BI is forecasting roughly 3.9 billion in political TV OTA spend, making it the single largest political medium by a wide margin.
- 21:01Senan Mele: It's also important to note that this number is focusing on our 2026 only forecast, where we are looking into where dollars are expected to land in that year, not the full multi-year cycle.
- 21:20Senan Mele: So while BIA's uh OTA estimate is modestly below the 2022 midterm peak, that does not signal um a weaker video demand, especially in a midterm year where voters tend to skew older.
- 21:38Senan Mele: And of course, that aligns closely with uh broadcast TV viewership.
- 21:44Senan Mele: Now, the third important point uh I'll want to make here is that um the it is really the changes in how video is executed because campaigns are no longer relying on linear alone.
- 22:01Senan Mele: They are increasingly planning TV OTA alongside CTV and YouTube as a part of a single video strategy.
- 22:10Senan Mele: So the way it will work is that OTA will deliver skill, trust, and rapid reach, while CTV and YouTube will provide incremental reach, frequency management, and precision, particularly among um code light and harder to reach voters.
- 22:30Senan Mele: So the main takeaway and the answer to your question, Tom, is that political uh advertising in 2026 has not weakened.
- 22:41Senan Mele: It has broadened across screens.
- 22:45Senan Mele: OTA will, of course, remain the foundation, especially in competitive markets, while CTV and YouTube are now core layers that are used to extend and optimize that wish.
- 22:59Senan Mele: And together they will define what political video will look like in 2026.
- 23:04Senan Mele: But um one thing uh I I want to also say is actually given uh the concentration that we've just discussed, I have a quick question for Steve.
- 23:18Senan Mele: Um, which is in which markets uh he thinks buyers should expect to face the most pressure, especially when it comes to higher cost and tighter availability.
- 23:31Steve Passwaiter: Gosh, I thought you'd never ask.
- 23:33Steve Passwaiter: Um thanks.
- 23:35Steve Passwaiter: Uh yeah, okay.
- 23:36Steve Passwaiter: So yeah, maybe I have a little bit of a background here with this, but um there are uh I think your point about uh unevenly distributed is uh is a is a crucial one because that's gonna be the case.
- 23:51Steve Passwaiter: There are gonna be some places where you're just gonna struggle to get out of the way, uh, and there are other places where you're you're really not gonna see much.
- 23:59Steve Passwaiter: And I'll I won't focus on all of them, but just a few of them that I think are are are kind of interesting.
- 24:05Steve Passwaiter: You know, I look at North Carolina where there is an uh open Senate seat.
- 24:11Steve Passwaiter: The Democratic candidate is the former governor of the state, probably the strongest Democrat that uh they've put up against a Republican in in some time.
- 24:22Steve Passwaiter: And anybody who knows anything about North Carolina Senate seats knows that they're a fist fight and they're expensive fist fights.
- 24:30Steve Passwaiter: Uh, I don't think there's any question that race is headed for the half billion dollar mark, might even might even go higher than that, just based on past spending.
- 24:39Steve Passwaiter: So certainly anything that you try to buy in North Carolina, any market, but particularly, you know, Raleigh Durham and Charlotte particularly are going to be really heavy.
- 24:51Steve Passwaiter: Uh Raleigh will also get a lot of money from uh North Carolina One on the House side, where the uh state legislature redrew the district to draw more Republicans in.
- 25:03Steve Passwaiter: That has been a swing state, uh pardon me, swing seat for quite some time in a swing state.
- 25:09Steve Passwaiter: But um that's gonna make this one the Democrats will want to defend uh Congressman Davis, and the Republicans will do everything they can to get rid of him.
- 25:19Steve Passwaiter: Um I also look at places like Michigan, uh, where there's both an open governor's seat and an open Senate seat, and a few House races that always turn out to be kind of interesting.
- 25:31Steve Passwaiter: They're on the fringes of Detroit.
- 25:33Steve Passwaiter: Um about $200 million got spent on a Senate seat a couple of years ago.
- 25:38Steve Passwaiter: The one that uh Elissa Slotkin, Senator Slotkin, now occupies uh the governor's race uh will will also be uh an expensive fist fight through Michigan, and Michigan is a very narrow state in both directions.
- 25:54Steve Passwaiter: I would expect that Detroit uh is going to be incredibly difficult to buy at multiple times during this year.
- 26:02Steve Passwaiter: Uh look at Texas with a redraw of the congressional districts, and uh what will likely be a very nasty primary fight on the Republican side between uh Senator Cornyn and Attorney General Paxton and Congressman Hunt uh from the Houston area.
- 26:22Steve Passwaiter: Those three are going to duke it out.
- 26:24Steve Passwaiter: That's gonna get loud, noisy, and expensive.
- 26:27Steve Passwaiter: Uh, and then we've got a Senate seat.
- 26:29Steve Passwaiter: There's also a primary on the Democratic side uh between uh Tel Rico and uh Congresswoman uh Jasmine Crockett, who is a bit of a lightning rod to uh say the least.
- 26:41Steve Passwaiter: And uh so should should be kind of fun.
- 26:44Steve Passwaiter: Celine, you know if you're gonna get to see a lot of it uh this year where you're sitting, and um it'll it'll be kind of tough, uh it'll be interesting.
- 26:52Steve Passwaiter: And and of course, Georgia.
- 26:54Steve Passwaiter: Uh Georgia has become open governor's seat uh with Governor Kemp uh bowing out after two terms and uh Senator Osoff uh fighting for his first re-elect.
- 27:05Steve Passwaiter: So uh again, Atlanta, um you know, good luck.
- 27:10Steve Passwaiter: You may need it trying to buy Atlanta if you're not a political advertiser.
- 27:14Steve Passwaiter: And and I'll kind of throw this one in here at the end, but look at Maine.
- 27:19Steve Passwaiter: Um, even a market like you know, like markets like Portland and Bangor, um, there's an open governor's seat, and Susan Collins is running for re-election.
- 27:29Steve Passwaiter: That is always a difficult and expensive proposition.
- 27:33Steve Passwaiter: I mean, she spent $150 million back in uh 2020, back in 2020, the last time she ran.
- 27:42Steve Passwaiter: So nine figures in Maine where there's less than a million registered voters.
- 27:46Steve Passwaiter: So do some math on that.
- 27:47Steve Passwaiter: That's pretty expensive.
- 27:49Steve Passwaiter: Um, there's also an open seat in the banker market, which is Maine 2, which has been represented by Jared Golden for the last few years.
- 27:58Steve Passwaiter: That's a district that Trump has won.
- 28:00Steve Passwaiter: All three times he's won, but they've elected a uh moderately conservative uh Democratic congressperson.
- 28:08Steve Passwaiter: He is not running.
- 28:09Steve Passwaiter: So that puts more pressure, even in you know, a mid-sized and uh smaller market like that.
- 28:16Steve Passwaiter: And we could talk about you know, Ohio Senate, Ohio Gov, we could talk about California where you know uh the districts are being redrawn.
- 28:24Steve Passwaiter: Bottom line is you better keep track of what is going on politically in these markets if you've got to buy anything uh this year between an accelerated primary schedule and a record midterm.
- 28:39Steve Passwaiter: It is going to um, you know, this isn't anything new, but the scale of the political advertising just refuses to go away.
- 28:48Steve Passwaiter: And this uh has been going on since Citizens United.
- 28:53Steve Passwaiter: It kind of opened the floodgates for all this money to come flowing into the system.
- 28:57Steve Passwaiter: And we keep some of us kind of keep wondering when that upward movement is going to go away, and the answer seems to be not anytime soon.
- 29:10Steve Passwaiter: So we probably will be having the same conversation in 2028.
- 29:15Tom Buono: Well, uh I think we're gonna have this conversation later in the year on one of our other podcasts because there's a lot to cover related to political advertising.
- 29:24Tom Buono: So thank you, Steve, on that.
- 29:26Tom Buono: Uh I think overall, you know, this has been pretty informative.
- 29:29Tom Buono: Uh and before we close out, uh, I'd like to have Mark tell people where they can get our trends report.
- 29:37Mark Dugan: Sure, Tom.
- 29:38Mark Dugan: Um for any of our Advantage clients, uh the report can be accessed and downloaded from the uh guides and insights section in Advantage, or anyone that's not a client uh can access the full report at www.bia.com/2026trends.
- 29:58Mark Dugan: And you can find the full report there um for your own use.
- 30:02Mark Dugan: Great.
- 30:03Tom Buono: Thank you, Mark.
- 30:04Tom Buono: Well, thank you all.
- 30:05Tom Buono: I mean, uh that's all the time we have for today.
- 30:08Tom Buono: Uh I want to thank the analysts for the work they do every day uh to bring clarity to a more complex local advertising marketplace as we've just talked about.
- 30:18Tom Buono: Uh, and their insights is what make these conversations possible.
- 30:22Tom Buono: If you're a BIA client and you want to go deeper into the data behind today's discussion, uh you can tune to our databases, either BIA Advantage or BIA Media Access Pro.
- 30:35Tom Buono: Uh if you're not a client, uh we'd love to have you as a client.
- 30:38Tom Buono: So you can reach out to us, email us at advantage at BIA.com.
- 30:44Tom Buono: We appreciate uh you joining us today and hope that you'll tune in again soon.
- 30:50Tom Buono: We do have a robust schedule of podcast planned for this year, and our next one is going to dive even deeper into vertical.
- 30:58Tom Buono: So stay tuned.
- 31:00Tom Buono: We appreciate you being with us and look forward to continuing the conversation we started here today throughout the year.
- 31:08Tom Buono: Thanks very much.