Latest / She's On The Money / Investing In A High Inflation Market
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hello.
- 0:01Speaker 2: My name's Santasha Nabananga Bamblet. I'm a proud yr the
- 0:05Speaker 2: Order Kerni Whoalbury and a waddery woman. And before we
- 0:08Speaker 2: get started on She's on the Money podcast, I would
- 0:11Speaker 2: like to acknowledge the traditional custodians of the land of
- 0:14Speaker 2: which this podcast is recorded on a wondery country, acknowledging
- 0:18Speaker 2: the elders, the ancestors and the next generation coming through
- 0:23Speaker 2: as this podcast is about connecting, empowering, knowledge sharing and
- 0:27Speaker 2: the storytelling of you to make a difference for today
- 0:31Speaker 2: and lasting impact for tomorrow.
- 0:33Speaker 1: Let's get into it. She's on the Money.
- 0:36Speaker 3: She's on the Money.
- 0:57Speaker 4: Hello, and welcome to She's on the Money podcast for
- 1:00Speaker 4: millennials who want financial freedom.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Hello v Hello, are you ready to talk about investment?
- 1:07Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm very ready. I'm very um. Would you say interested?
- 1:10Speaker 1: Is your interest inflated? Its inflated?
- 1:14Speaker 3: Believe it or not.
- 1:15Speaker 1: People didn't come here for good jokes, Beck, No, which
- 1:18Speaker 1: is good because we don't have any that turns out Yeah, no, terrible.
- 1:22Speaker 1: We actually might get onto the finance content. Yes see,
- 1:25Speaker 1: if that works out better, let's try it.
- 1:27Speaker 3: Let's try it.
- 1:27Speaker 4: Yeah, we're talking about investing? Am I getting this right?
- 1:31Speaker 4: How to invest in a high inflation environment?
- 1:35Speaker 1: Strap yourself in? Today's Gonna Get Wild. We are back
- 1:39Speaker 1: with another investing episode. As you can tell, I'm trying
- 1:43Speaker 1: my hardest to come up with as many topics related
- 1:45Speaker 1: to investment as possible. Let me ask you a question.
- 1:49Speaker 1: Do you think it is possible to invest in a
- 1:51Speaker 1: high inflation environment? Beck?
- 1:53Speaker 4: Okay, So I'm going to have to break this one
- 1:55Speaker 4: down real quick because I did not know what high
- 1:57Speaker 4: inflation actually meant? But it is it true that high
- 2:01Speaker 4: inflation is the rising cost.
- 2:04Speaker 1: Of living in jer Yeah? Amazing, that's right, Okay, amazing. Yeah.
- 2:08Speaker 1: So I mean if you're not really affected by it,
- 2:11Speaker 1: if you're making enough money to not really see a
- 2:15Speaker 1: change or that much of a shift in your like
- 2:18Speaker 1: how much you have to spend or how much you
- 2:19Speaker 1: have left over at the end of the pay cycle.
- 2:22Speaker 4: Then I don't think that there would be a big problem.
- 2:26Speaker 1: Yeah. I'm getting on this topic. I hope early enough
- 2:29Speaker 1: so that you guys continue to invest during this period,
- 2:33Speaker 1: because I've seen some stuff online that says it's not
- 2:36Speaker 1: worth it, and I couldn't tell you harder, harder? Can
- 2:40Speaker 1: I tell? You harder. I don't know if that's the
- 2:41Speaker 1: right terminology, but you can. You can do it back, right, Okay,
- 2:45Speaker 1: stress highly enough that it is fine to invest during
- 2:48Speaker 1: a high inflation environment. So obviously there's a lot of
- 2:52Speaker 1: privilege in that because during the time of peak inflation,
- 2:56Speaker 1: other people are struggling. And if this episode for some
- 3:00Speaker 1: reason is triggering you into feeling like other people have
- 3:03Speaker 1: things that you currently don't, maybe it's not the episode
- 3:06Speaker 1: for you. Honestly, I think that mindset is going to
- 3:09Speaker 1: derail your confidence and make you feel worse off. And
- 3:12Speaker 1: I think that the best thing we can, I guess
- 3:14Speaker 1: see for our community is that quote that I use
- 3:17Speaker 1: all the time, arising hidlifts soulships. Even if you're not
- 3:21Speaker 1: in the best position of your life right now, that
- 3:23Speaker 1: doesn't mean that somebody else needs to downplay their circumstances.
- 3:27Speaker 1: You know, obviously we don't exactly want it rubbed in
- 3:29Speaker 1: our faces, but someone else should thrive because by some
- 3:33Speaker 1: other female or some other human being in our community thriving,
- 3:38Speaker 1: that opens up even more opportunity for you and I
- 3:40Speaker 1: to be successful, Beck, And I think that is so beautiful.
- 3:43Speaker 1: Yeahhaslutely so for anyone who has been listening to Chese
- 3:46Speaker 1: on the Money, I think you guys knew I was
- 3:48Speaker 1: gonna say it was always a good time to invest,
- 3:51Speaker 1: And today we're going to be giving you some tips
- 3:53Speaker 1: and tricks on how to invest in a high inflation environment.
- 3:56Speaker 1: We're going to start off with a little bit of
- 3:57Speaker 1: a recap of why inflation currently sits where it is.
- 4:01Speaker 1: We'll look at the sorts of investments that are a
- 4:03Speaker 1: little bit more sexy in this landscape, and we're going
- 4:05Speaker 1: to be doing a little bit of an investment mindset
- 4:07Speaker 1: check in too, So strap yourselves in.
- 4:09Speaker 4: Oh my god, I'm kind of excited. But also if
- 4:11Speaker 4: you do think that you are not in the place
- 4:13Speaker 4: to be listening to episode, just know that I'm on
- 4:16Speaker 4: this journey with you because I also have zero dollars
- 4:19Speaker 4: all the time, So.
- 4:21Speaker 1: We're getting better at it and getting better at it.
- 4:23Speaker 3: I am, I am, I am.
- 4:24Speaker 1: Can I get to sit down very soon and do
- 4:26Speaker 1: her budget in cashlow And I cannot wait.
- 4:28Speaker 3: I'm so excited.
- 4:29Speaker 1: We're going to bring them budget cashlow masterclass to life
- 4:32Speaker 1: like you're going to get it in real life.
- 4:34Speaker 3: I am.
- 4:36Speaker 1: She doesn't even know, I don't know what I guess
- 4:39Speaker 1: I'm explained. Do you want to talk about in place
- 4:40Speaker 1: I want to do? I want to you do? I do?
- 4:42Speaker 1: All right? So first things first, I want to start
- 4:44Speaker 1: off by saying that we are in a super stressful
- 4:47Speaker 1: economic situation right now, but where possible, I kind of
- 4:51Speaker 1: want you to try and zoom out and remember that
- 4:53Speaker 1: the economy is like an ecosystem, or even like the
- 4:55Speaker 1: seasons during a year. It is never stagnant and things
- 4:59Speaker 1: are always che What we're in right now is the
- 5:02Speaker 1: balancing out period of what was uncharacteristically low interest rates.
- 5:07Speaker 1: They were actually never going to be low forever. And
- 5:09Speaker 1: I feel like we heard that a lot. People would
- 5:11Speaker 1: say things like, oh, Beck, that money's never going to
- 5:14Speaker 1: be as cheap as it is today. Maybe I heard
- 5:16Speaker 1: that a lot more because I worked in money, but
- 5:19Speaker 1: people would always say, oh, money is cheap right now,
- 5:21Speaker 1: it's great time to invest or. Money's cheap right now.
- 5:23Speaker 1: It's a great time to buy property, because you know
- 5:27Speaker 1: that makes sense. But in the same way, this season
- 5:29Speaker 1: is also going to pass, and we are going to
- 5:32Speaker 1: find a new status and a new update and a
- 5:35Speaker 1: new I guess normal you could say, so it's compening
- 5:39Speaker 1: it's comforting to know, but it's also just one of
- 5:41Speaker 1: those things where I think, in every circumstance, and you know,
- 5:44Speaker 1: my business partner Kate in Zella Money, because we run
- 5:47Speaker 1: a mortgage broken company together. Kate and I talk about
- 5:50Speaker 1: this all the time, and it's just this idea that
- 5:52Speaker 1: there was this concept of money so cheap, and we
- 5:55Speaker 1: would talk to people who'd be like, oh, but it's
- 5:57Speaker 1: only two percent to borrow, you know, half of the
- 6:00Speaker 1: million dollars, Maybe I should just got up to seven
- 6:01Speaker 1: hundred thousand. And a good mortgage broker would have talked
- 6:05Speaker 1: to you about your personal circumstances and whether you can
- 6:08Speaker 1: go up to that or whether you shouldn't, or what
- 6:10Speaker 1: that looks like, and takes your entire picture into consideration,
- 6:15Speaker 1: Whereas I think a lot of people had a few
- 6:18Speaker 1: cheeky mortgage brokers who were like, oh, yeah, Beck, if
- 6:20Speaker 1: you want to take more, take more, money's cheap. Whereas
- 6:25Speaker 1: you're broker, if they are a good broker, or even
- 6:28Speaker 1: anyone dealing with you in a money situation, really shouldn't
- 6:31Speaker 1: be pushing you to take more when it's unnecessary, or
- 6:34Speaker 1: more when it maybe isn't the best financial decision because
- 6:37Speaker 1: anyone who works in the money space knew we and
- 6:41Speaker 1: equivocally knew that two percent wouldn't last. And I mean,
- 6:44Speaker 1: I'm in that position where I have a mortgage it
- 6:47Speaker 1: has now gone up. I think my mortgage interest rate
- 6:50Speaker 1: made me nearly be sick the other day. Grateful that
- 6:53Speaker 1: I'm in a position where we can still afford. That
- 6:56Speaker 1: things have shifted, that is fine, But we're like five
- 6:59Speaker 1: and a half percent now.
- 7:00Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 7:01Speaker 1: When we first got our mortgage back, it was at
- 7:04Speaker 1: two percent. Okay, side mortgage repayments have more than doubled.
- 7:07Speaker 1: Oh I see, I say that is absolutely not a complaint.
- 7:10Speaker 1: I'm not complaining about that at all. It's just that's
- 7:13Speaker 1: the way of the world, right, And I'm grateful to
- 7:16Speaker 1: have been in a position where when my husband Steve
- 7:19Speaker 1: and I took on that mortgage, we went, all right,
- 7:21Speaker 1: how much can we afford? And Kate, who obviously you know,
- 7:24Speaker 1: helped us out loss. Yeah, I'm going to abuse that
- 7:27Speaker 1: relationship to it till the day I died. But Kate said, oh,
- 7:31Speaker 1: you can borrow up to X. No, No, no, no,
- 7:35Speaker 1: I don't want X. How about I've done my budget
- 7:38Speaker 1: and cash flow. I think this is going to be
- 7:41Speaker 1: more obtainable because if things go awry, then I can
- 7:45Speaker 1: afford it. But then on the flip side, I'm just
- 7:47Speaker 1: gonna have more free cash flow, more free cash flow sexy.
- 7:50Speaker 1: I can go on holidays, i can still enjoy my life.
- 7:53Speaker 1: I can still do heaps of things that I want
- 7:54Speaker 1: to do. But I'm not in a situation where I
- 7:57Speaker 1: am kind of like a slave to my mortgage. Yes,
- 8:00Speaker 1: a lot of people got in the position where they're like,
- 8:02Speaker 1: oh my god, two percent. I could afford that two percent,
- 8:05Speaker 1: but hadn't conceptualized what if it doubles, What if it
- 8:07Speaker 1: goes up to four percent, what if it gets up
- 8:09Speaker 1: to nearly six percent? What if we actually are in
- 8:12Speaker 1: a situation where our mortgage interest of payments double, Can
- 8:15Speaker 1: we actually afford that or with that significantly compromise our lives?
- 8:18Speaker 1: And a lot of people are in that circumstance right now.
- 8:21Speaker 1: So it's important to zoom out when we're making any decision,
- 8:24Speaker 1: but especially when we're talking about investment, because when in doubt,
- 8:28Speaker 1: zoom out. That's a good phrase. But also, if you
- 8:31Speaker 1: look at the Australian share market over any thirty year
- 8:34Speaker 1: period of time. No one has ever lost if they
- 8:37Speaker 1: stayed invested right thirty years though it is a long time. Yeah,
- 8:41Speaker 1: I can find you heaps of examples of people that
- 8:44Speaker 1: put their money in four years later they're like, oh,
- 8:46Speaker 1: I've been investing for ages and have made no money
- 8:48Speaker 1: and took it out and made a loss. That would
- 8:50Speaker 1: absolutely happen. Stay in there, if you stay in the market,
- 8:54Speaker 1: that is what The most important thing is, getting exposure
- 8:58Speaker 1: to the peaks and troughs. They might feel really painful
- 9:01Speaker 1: when the market's off and you're like, I'm not getting
- 9:03Speaker 1: as much banged from my buck right now, And when
- 9:06Speaker 1: the market's really on, you're like, oh, making hay while
- 9:08Speaker 1: the sun is shining. It all averages out to be
- 9:11Speaker 1: a good return, okay, But if you're exiting the market
- 9:14Speaker 1: because that trough is really scaring you, that could actually
- 9:17Speaker 1: mean a lot of financial harm to you. So it's
- 9:19Speaker 1: actually all about and we'll talk about it later mindset,
- 9:21Speaker 1: but it's actually all about really conceptualizing and understanding these things.
- 9:26Speaker 1: And there's been a lot of conversation in our Facebook
- 9:29Speaker 1: group on Instagram in my dms of victoria or inflation
- 9:32Speaker 1: is so high, should I still be investing. I see
- 9:36Speaker 1: if it works for you, my friend. Yes, if it
- 9:38Speaker 1: works for you, if you can afford it, and everyone can.
- 9:40Speaker 1: I suppose if you have like a couple bucks, Yes, spare.
- 9:43Speaker 1: I could talk about this forever, Beck, but let's get
- 9:45Speaker 1: into the nuts and bolts of it. You asked me
- 9:47Speaker 1: about inflation.
- 9:48Speaker 3: Yes.
- 9:48Speaker 1: Inflation is the general rising prices in an economy over
- 9:51Speaker 1: a specified period of time. The RBA, or the Reserve
- 9:55Speaker 1: Bank of Australia, typically targets a low and stable rate
- 9:58Speaker 1: of inflation of between two and three percent each year,
- 10:02Speaker 1: which can signify a growing economy. So slow and steady
- 10:05Speaker 1: wins the race. According to the RBA, inflation, though it
- 10:10Speaker 1: can creep into the double digits and come as an
- 10:13Speaker 1: economic shock. Really, Australians annual interest rate, Beck, you're not
- 10:17Speaker 1: going to be surprised seven point eight percent, okay at
- 10:21Speaker 1: this point in time, right right right, And it's still
- 10:23Speaker 1: fluctuating and it's going up and down. So the RBA
- 10:26Speaker 1: is the bank to the other banks. Sure, so Combank, NAB,
- 10:31Speaker 1: the big four. They don't just automatically have money. The
- 10:35Speaker 1: RBA is like the big dog government.
- 10:37Speaker 3: Bank, Mama.
- 10:38Speaker 1: They set the rules. They're the big dogs. The RBA
- 10:41Speaker 1: says our interest rates two percent. But if one of
- 10:44Speaker 1: the big four banks then says, all right, well I'm
- 10:46Speaker 1: still going to be providing mortgages to our clients. Well,
- 10:50Speaker 1: then they're borrowing money from the RBA two percent and
- 10:53Speaker 1: they actually have to pass along that interest rate, and
- 10:57Speaker 1: that's what dictates our interest rates here in Australia. The
- 11:00Speaker 1: big banks, Yeah, they might have heaps and heaps and
- 11:02Speaker 1: heaps of money, but they actually do borrow from the RBA.
- 11:06Speaker 1: So if the RBA's cash rate, when that gets said,
- 11:09Speaker 1: I think sometimes people like, oh, that's a bit confusing.
- 11:12Speaker 1: That's the amount of money it costs our big banks
- 11:15Speaker 1: to borrow from the RBA.
- 11:17Speaker 3: Right.
- 11:17Speaker 1: So by the RBA increasing their cash rate and saying, look,
- 11:21Speaker 1: we're going to make borrowing money more expensive, do you
- 11:24Speaker 1: know what they're doing in that circumstance.
- 11:27Speaker 3: I don't.
- 11:27Speaker 1: You're like, nah, you've lost me already. So when the
- 11:31Speaker 1: RBA increases their rates, what that means is things are
- 11:35Speaker 1: going to be more expensive for people, like the trickle
- 11:37Speaker 1: down effect means that me, as a customer of one
- 11:40Speaker 1: of the banks, because I have a mortgage, my life's
- 11:43Speaker 1: going to get more expensive. My mortgage rates are going
- 11:46Speaker 1: to increase. I'm going to have less disposable income, which
- 11:49Speaker 1: means there's less disposable income going around in the economy,
- 11:53Speaker 1: which means inflation can't creep up as fast. So the
- 11:57Speaker 1: RBA are increasing their cash rates and saying, look, we're
- 11:59Speaker 1: going to borrow money out at a higher rate because
- 12:02Speaker 1: we don't want inflation to go wild. And after COVID,
- 12:06Speaker 1: I feel like COVID put a little bit of a
- 12:08Speaker 1: hold on inflation for a while there, and then everything
- 12:12Speaker 1: went back to let's call it business as usual or
- 12:15Speaker 1: our new normal or whatever everyone's calling it. Everyone was like, okay, cool,
- 12:18Speaker 1: we are going to have to start pushing some of
- 12:20Speaker 1: these you know, increases in price onto our consumers. And
- 12:24Speaker 1: everything went like this, like travel has gone wild. Travel
- 12:27Speaker 1: can't happen in my family as easily if I'm paying
- 12:30Speaker 1: more on my mortgage. They're trying to keep our economy
- 12:34Speaker 1: a little bit slower. We're trying to slow the growth
- 12:36Speaker 1: of our economy. Does that make sense that I have
- 12:39Speaker 1: or if you had less money to spend on things
- 12:41Speaker 1: that were important to you and you really had to prioritize,
- 12:44Speaker 1: maybe just the basics for a little while. Yep, the
- 12:46Speaker 1: rest of the economy and the businesses around that they
- 12:49Speaker 1: aren't growing as much because you're not funding them. Right,
- 12:52Speaker 1: So if those businesses aren't being funded, the economy growth
- 12:55Speaker 1: starts to slow. And if economy growth starts to slow,
- 12:58Speaker 1: it gets back to that two and three percent that
- 13:00Speaker 1: the RBA is trying to target to mean that we
- 13:03Speaker 1: have slow and steady growth instead of such rapid growth
- 13:06Speaker 1: that we can't afford things. Rental crisises happen, things that
- 13:10Speaker 1: were previously affordable and not affordable anymore, and it gets
- 13:13Speaker 1: out of control. So the RBA, as much as a
- 13:16Speaker 1: lot of people online are like a, a'd awful, They've
- 13:18Speaker 1: increased the cash rate again, it's the worst. That's them
- 13:21Speaker 1: trying to do their best. Okay, it's them trying to
- 13:24Speaker 1: do their best to make sure that our economy gets
- 13:27Speaker 1: back to a more stable environment.
- 13:30Speaker 4: Okay, that's good to know. I was going to ask
- 13:33Speaker 4: why does inflation matter? But I guess you did kind
- 13:35Speaker 4: of answer it in that it's inflation matters.
- 13:38Speaker 1: It's an invocator of a growing environment and a growing economy,
- 13:41Speaker 1: Like it can be a really sexy thing, right, Like
- 13:43Speaker 1: looking at She's on the money. The rate of inflation
- 13:46Speaker 1: in She's on the Money has been really beautiful four
- 13:49Speaker 1: years ago the podcast started and it's kind of gone
- 13:51Speaker 1: up and up and up from there. But what if
- 13:53Speaker 1: absolutely every business in the entire economy did that. Where's
- 13:58Speaker 1: the money coming from to fund that type of growth
- 14:01Speaker 1: in every single business in Australia? Ah okay, I see,
- 14:05Speaker 1: we just don't have the cash to support that. And
- 14:08Speaker 1: when you do, it comes from other places. And when
- 14:11Speaker 1: you have an environment where inflation keeps increasing, people kind
- 14:15Speaker 1: of get greedy in a way, right, I see, And
- 14:19Speaker 1: it's just it's not a nice environment to be in.
- 14:21Speaker 1: So inflation matters because essentially it takes your dollar and
- 14:25Speaker 1: makes it worthless. Let's talk about I recently gave someone
- 14:28Speaker 1: in our team pay rise, right, and the way that
- 14:31Speaker 1: I calculate pay rise is you know, I'm really proud
- 14:33Speaker 1: of it because the way that I calculate it, I
- 14:36Speaker 1: think is the way everyone should calculate it. And I said,
- 14:39Speaker 1: all right, what's the rate of inflation? Seven point eight percent? Great,
- 14:42Speaker 1: we'll start there. You get a seven point eight percent
- 14:45Speaker 1: increase in your pay this year.
- 14:47Speaker 3: That's very nice.
- 14:48Speaker 1: It's not nice from my perspective, that for me is
- 14:51Speaker 1: the bare minimum sure, because if inflation has increased by
- 14:55Speaker 1: seven point eight percent, my team member is having her
- 15:00Speaker 1: expenses increased by that. So today, if I had not
- 15:04Speaker 1: given her a pay rise, she wouldn't be able to
- 15:07Speaker 1: afford the same groceries that she was able to afford
- 15:09Speaker 1: last year. Is that fair?
- 15:12Speaker 3: Doesn't feel like it.
- 15:13Speaker 1: No, I don't think it's fair either. So above and
- 15:16Speaker 1: beyond that, we can then talk about what pay rice
- 15:18Speaker 1: she deserved. But I thought, as an employer, I needed
- 15:21Speaker 1: to go, Okay, well, if this individual can not afford
- 15:25Speaker 1: to buy the same groceries and put the same roof
- 15:29Speaker 1: over her head this year as she could last year, Like,
- 15:32Speaker 1: let's pretend bread went up. It absolutely has. But let's
- 15:35Speaker 1: pretend last year a loaf of bread was four dollars.
- 15:38Speaker 1: This year it might be six dollars. That's two dollars
- 15:41Speaker 1: less you have in your account for something else. Right,
- 15:44Speaker 1: life is just more expensive today than it was last year.
- 15:48Speaker 1: And that's essentially what inflation does. Inflation kind of erodes
- 15:53Speaker 1: your purchasing power over time, and as it kind of
- 15:56Speaker 1: takes hold, a dollar is going to buy fewer things
- 16:00Speaker 1: then you could purchase previously.
- 16:02Speaker 3: I see.
- 16:02Speaker 4: Okay, well, I have so many questions right now, and
- 16:05Speaker 4: I don't even know where to start. But if I'm
- 16:07Speaker 4: just curious, this is silly. But if the inflation rate
- 16:10Speaker 4: goes back down and the cost of living kind of
- 16:14Speaker 4: like steadies out again, we take that money back from
- 16:18Speaker 4: your employee?
- 16:19Speaker 1: Yeah, of course, no, I will not, absolutely not, because
- 16:24Speaker 1: it doesn't go backwards. That's scary. It might go backwards, right, okay,
- 16:28Speaker 1: But like if you look at a graph over time
- 16:31Speaker 1: and we started tracking it, it might go back down,
- 16:34Speaker 1: but that's not going back down as in hey beck,
- 16:37Speaker 1: stuff's actually just whole heap cheaper. Now the rate of
- 16:41Speaker 1: growth of things increasing has just slowed. So that loaf
- 16:45Speaker 1: of bread it's now six dollars. That's the base rate,
- 16:47Speaker 1: but it's not going to creep up to seven dollars
- 16:50Speaker 1: as quickly as it was the year before. Right, does
- 16:52Speaker 1: that make sense?
- 16:53Speaker 3: That doesn't make sense.
- 16:54Speaker 1: It's not that. Okay, Well, now it's back down to
- 16:57Speaker 1: two percent. No, no, no, that's seven point eight percent.
- 17:00Speaker 1: Was a line in the sand. Now we're moving along
- 17:02Speaker 1: and it's just going to take less time, and it's
- 17:05Speaker 1: just going to mean that growth happens a little bit
- 17:08Speaker 1: more slowly, so the RBA going back to them setting
- 17:11Speaker 1: the cash rate. They want between two and three percent
- 17:13Speaker 1: every year. Right now, things are growing way more than that.
- 17:18Speaker 1: They're trying to drag us back down so that growth
- 17:20Speaker 1: doesn't happen. I see so hearing this, Yes, I'm thinking
- 17:24Speaker 1: this is awful, terrible, very scary. But are there any God, Yeah,
- 17:29Speaker 1: I'm kind of like Okay. As I said before, inflation
- 17:31Speaker 1: is actually a good thing. There's a reason the RBA
- 17:34Speaker 1: actually has a target of inflation, not keeping things the same,
- 17:37Speaker 1: because that is a good predictor of a strong and
- 17:41Speaker 1: good and stable and reliable economy. We want to grow.
- 17:45Speaker 1: As we said before, slow and steady wins the race,
- 17:47Speaker 1: so we actually want it to be between two and
- 17:49Speaker 1: three percent. Sometimes it goes backwards, sometimes like right now,
- 17:53Speaker 1: it is higher. Low and stable inflation is a good indicator,
- 17:57Speaker 1: or can be a good indicator to be a little
- 17:59Speaker 1: bit more economically correct of a growing economy. It benefits
- 18:03Speaker 1: holders of fixed rate debts like mortgages. So a lot
- 18:06Speaker 1: of people have been messaging me recently, like about to
- 18:09Speaker 1: come off my fixed rate, and I don't know what
- 18:10Speaker 1: to do. Talk to mortgage broken, my friend asap. It
- 18:14Speaker 1: encourages consumption today rather than later, so we're not like
- 18:18Speaker 1: saving up for things as we were before. So like
- 18:21Speaker 1: the holidays and stuff, they kind of come to a
- 18:23Speaker 1: grinding holt because we can't afford them. But then there
- 18:26Speaker 1: are obviously a few cons As you said, it does
- 18:28Speaker 1: feel a little bit negative. Inflation reduces your purchasing power
- 18:32Speaker 1: since essentially every dollar that you have purchases less stuff,
- 18:36Speaker 1: higher prices throughout the economy ends up hurting retail consumers.
- 18:41Speaker 1: It's very tough on retirees that are living on fixed incomes.
- 18:45Speaker 1: If you've predicted that you're going to have X amount
- 18:48Speaker 1: every single year, obviously when things absolutely spike, that's unforeseen
- 18:53Speaker 1: and you just have a fixed income, and then it
- 18:55Speaker 1: does prompt action by the RBA. So the RBA is
- 18:58Speaker 1: the Reserve Bank of Australia that we've been talking about.
- 19:01Speaker 4: Yes, absolutely, So back to the idea of seasons, every
- 19:05Speaker 4: season has its possibility. Then what are the possibilities of
- 19:07Speaker 4: this high inflation environment.
- 19:09Speaker 1: Well, inflation is a great season I think to kind
- 19:13Speaker 1: of re examine your portfolio and what your strategy is doing.
- 19:16Speaker 1: I think any economic pressure is good for you as
- 19:20Speaker 1: an individual to kind of like re prompt how you
- 19:23Speaker 1: feel about things, because when we start our investment journeys,
- 19:28Speaker 1: often we're really gung ho and we're so excited about it.
- 19:31Speaker 1: And I get it because I am too. Like I
- 19:32Speaker 1: remember starting investing out, I'm like, I'm going to be rich.
- 19:35Speaker 1: I am setting myself up for a very secure financial future,
- 19:38Speaker 1: and I cannot wait. But then, like the economy starts
- 19:41Speaker 1: to take hold and you kind of see the effects
- 19:43Speaker 1: of had in your portfolio, and you feel a little
- 19:46Speaker 1: bit uncertain, or you feel a little bit unsure, and
- 19:48Speaker 1: things get rocky and you're not sure if you should
- 19:50Speaker 1: exit the market or stay, or do I put some
- 19:53Speaker 1: more in. But we really shouldn't be burying our heads
- 19:55Speaker 1: in the sand at this point. We need to re
- 19:57Speaker 1: examine our portfolio to make sure it's actually a lot
- 20:00Speaker 1: to our values and our goals and what we're trying
- 20:02Speaker 1: to achieve. One of the best strategies in a time
- 20:05Speaker 1: like this is actually to ensure that you're properly diversified
- 20:09Speaker 1: and fully invested. Money invested into shares tends to outpace
- 20:13Speaker 1: inflation in the long run, so you might be looking
- 20:16Speaker 1: at your portfolio today am the I don't know what
- 20:18Speaker 1: you're talking about. My portfolio has returned five percent and
- 20:21Speaker 1: you just said inflation is seven point eight percent. I
- 20:24Speaker 1: think I'm going backwards. But when we look at the
- 20:26Speaker 1: numbers and we actually look at the data, yes, for
- 20:29Speaker 1: a point in time, that might be absolutely true, and
- 20:32Speaker 1: I will not argue with you on that. But again,
- 20:35Speaker 1: when in doubt, zoom out and look at the bigger picture,
- 20:37Speaker 1: and usually it ends up or most of the time,
- 20:40Speaker 1: it ends up outperforming what inflation was because this rate
- 20:43Speaker 1: of inflation will not exist for as long as the
- 20:47Speaker 1: rate of growth in your investment portfolio. So we know
- 20:51Speaker 1: that over the last twenty years, the average rate of
- 20:55Speaker 1: return of the Australian share markets about eleven percent, right, Okay,
- 20:59Speaker 1: So obviously that's just the Australian shair market. There's lots
- 21:01Speaker 1: of different share markets and that's not a promise that
- 21:04Speaker 1: your portfolio will return that. It's just that's the fact
- 21:08Speaker 1: of the matter when it comes down to the data.
- 21:10Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's very pretty So now's the
- 21:13Speaker 1: time to maybe have a think about some additional things
- 21:16Speaker 1: that you could add to your portfolio that might make
- 21:19Speaker 1: sense if you only have shares, and if you've got
- 21:21Speaker 1: some cash, maybe you would consider things like maybe some
- 21:23Speaker 1: investments in real estate. You can invest in real estate
- 21:26Speaker 1: via shares if you want to do that. You don't
- 21:29Speaker 1: have to go out and buy a family home or
- 21:31Speaker 1: an apartment to do that. Commodities or even Treasury indexed bonds,
- 21:35Speaker 1: they often serve as a further diversification support for your portfolio.
- 21:40Speaker 1: Cash on the sidelines is essentially guaranteed to lose money.
- 21:46Speaker 1: Not that sexy. So right now, if you've got ten
- 21:49Speaker 1: thousand dollars in a cash account just sitting there, absolutely
- 21:52Speaker 1: no interest rate on their bank account, it's working at
- 21:56Speaker 1: negative seven point eight percent, like having a desk. It's
- 22:00Speaker 1: costing you seven point eight percent per anm right now
- 22:03Speaker 1: to not have that money working for you. But people
- 22:06Speaker 1: don't see it that way, no, Because right now I
- 22:10Speaker 1: can see ten thousand dollars in that account, and let's
- 22:13Speaker 1: pretend I have absolutely no fees on that account, and
- 22:15Speaker 1: I just let it sit dormant for the next twelve months.
- 22:18Speaker 1: I'll go back in twelve months that account will have
- 22:21Speaker 1: ten thousand dollars exactly in that account. It's not going
- 22:23Speaker 1: to have seven point eight percent less but that ten
- 22:26Speaker 1: thousand dollars will buy you seven point eight percent less
- 22:29Speaker 1: of stuff than it was able to today when you
- 22:31Speaker 1: had the opportunity to invest it and you didn't.
- 22:34Speaker 3: That is a.
- 22:35Speaker 1: Really, really good I'm realated, dramatic. Thanks for coming.
- 22:38Speaker 4: Oh I love this because I was going to say
- 22:40Speaker 4: I should not be doing this, but I started putting
- 22:44Speaker 4: money in a piggybank thinking that that was a.
- 22:46Speaker 3: Good It's a good start. I'm going to not do that.
- 22:49Speaker 1: No, but looking at your financial circumstances, that works. Does
- 22:54Speaker 1: it mean that I'm not sitting on some cash. Absolutely not.
- 22:57Speaker 1: I absolutely have a savings account. You're not going to
- 23:00Speaker 1: touch that. I'm not going to invest that. I have
- 23:02Speaker 1: an emergency fund. I will not be investing that because
- 23:05Speaker 1: the entire purpose of an emergency fund is to have
- 23:08Speaker 1: access to quick cash and capital, and that's that money's job.
- 23:12Speaker 1: I don't want you to take from this that every
- 23:14Speaker 1: single dollar you have needs to be invested and you
- 23:17Speaker 1: need to be getting a return otherwise it's not worth it.
- 23:19Speaker 1: That's not what we're saying. But I think we need
- 23:22Speaker 1: to drive home this. If you've been thinking about investing,
- 23:25Speaker 1: then yeah, like it's a good time to have a chat.
- 23:27Speaker 1: But if you have an emergency fund that's doing its job,
- 23:31Speaker 1: it's not meant to be there. Yeah, And I know
- 23:34Speaker 1: you're in the circumstance because we talked about it openly
- 23:36Speaker 1: before where you're like, I just need to start saving.
- 23:38Speaker 1: That's a bloody great start.
- 23:40Speaker 3: Cool, Okay.
- 23:41Speaker 1: I don't want you to think that me having this
- 23:44Speaker 1: conversation about it now is a good time to invest. Like, yes,
- 23:47Speaker 1: if you're in the financial position to invest, it's gonna
- 23:51Speaker 1: cost you a lot more long term if you invest
- 23:54Speaker 1: at a time that you can't afford, because what happens
- 23:57Speaker 1: twelve months from now you have to pull that money
- 23:59Speaker 1: out to afford something else, and you lose money because
- 24:02Speaker 1: the sheer market might not have recovered yet. That's a
- 24:05Speaker 1: really bad outcome, right, So I think it's really important
- 24:08Speaker 1: to make sure that you're making decisions that are based
- 24:10Speaker 1: on you, not the way that that example came across.
- 24:13Speaker 1: So that example, I still stand by it. It's a
- 24:15Speaker 1: great example because the purchasing power of ten thousand dollars
- 24:18Speaker 1: today is going to be less if you don't do
- 24:21Speaker 1: anything with it in twelve months. And if that motivated
- 24:24Speaker 1: you to go and invest, that's sexy. Yes, But if
- 24:28Speaker 1: you were like, yeah, but the that ten thousand dollars
- 24:30Speaker 1: is my emergency fund, I'll go get it quin leave
- 24:33Speaker 1: it there. That makes absolute sense. But what we want
- 24:36Speaker 1: is the education to know that every dollar in your
- 24:40Speaker 1: account has been thought about and has been allocated a job.
- 24:43Speaker 1: If that money's job is to make you money, then
- 24:46Speaker 1: go get it. But if that money's job is to
- 24:48Speaker 1: keep you feeling safe, leave it there. Yeah, does that
- 24:51Speaker 1: make sense?
- 24:52Speaker 3: That makes so much sense.
- 24:52Speaker 1: I love that.
- 24:53Speaker 4: Okay, thank you so much for that. I think it's
- 24:55Speaker 4: a really good place to leave it for Now. Let's
- 24:57Speaker 4: stick have a little break and come back and talk.
- 25:01Speaker 1: More about it.
- 25:06Speaker 3: Okay, we're back, and welcome back to you.
- 25:08Speaker 1: I always get so fired up on these episodes.
- 25:10Speaker 4: I'm like, let's talk about investments, and then I know
- 25:15Speaker 4: it's time for you to have a little tea, a
- 25:16Speaker 4: little breather.
- 25:17Speaker 1: We all know that was a fake break. Again. Back,
- 25:21Speaker 1: I've got to pay you. No one on this team
- 25:24Speaker 1: doesn't get paid.
- 25:25Speaker 3: That's true, that's true. It was a fake break. Okay,
- 25:27Speaker 3: it was a fake break.
- 25:28Speaker 1: It was a fake break to get to talk about
- 25:30Speaker 1: Chairsya's and like I do feel like Chazy's are a
- 25:32Speaker 1: part of our team, like ten out of ten, very
- 25:36Speaker 1: good team, very good people. Do you know what they
- 25:38Speaker 1: love my dog? Oh yeah, well.
- 25:40Speaker 3: There's a place at our table for them.
- 25:43Speaker 1: Exactly.
- 25:44Speaker 3: Let's get back.
- 25:45Speaker 4: To the investment chat. Exciting, exciting, fun investment chat.
- 25:50Speaker 1: All right, let's make this conversation a little bit more confusing. Okay,
- 25:56Speaker 1: have you heard of like hedging an investment hedging? Yes? Yeah,
- 26:00Speaker 1: like hear it on like the show's like suits. Yes,
- 26:03Speaker 1: where you.
- 26:03Speaker 4: Like plot your session in several different areas and some
- 26:09Speaker 4: that are competing, like say, for example, I can't actually
- 26:12Speaker 4: I'm really doing probably.
- 26:13Speaker 3: A bad job.
- 26:14Speaker 1: No studies study? Is that?
- 26:17Speaker 3: Just forget everything I see?
- 26:18Speaker 1: No, I really liked where you were going with that.
- 26:20Speaker 1: Let's maybe talk about inflation hedges in the case. So,
- 26:25Speaker 1: a hedge in finance means to take an offsetting position.
- 26:28Speaker 1: Who are absolutely correct? You kind of like you know
- 26:31Speaker 1: hedge a bet? You might go, oh, well, what if
- 26:33Speaker 1: it doesn't work out? So in real estate, single family
- 26:37Speaker 1: homes financed with low fixed rate mortgages tend to perform
- 26:40Speaker 1: well during periods of inflation. Do you know why we
- 26:43Speaker 1: know that because TikTok's going wild about how much they
- 26:46Speaker 1: are costing to lease out at the moment. A right like,
- 26:49Speaker 1: I always talk about TikTok because I basically live on TikTok.
- 26:52Speaker 1: Am I creating enough content on there? Hell? No, am
- 26:55Speaker 1: I just consuming the content mindlessly scrolling my life away.
- 27:00Speaker 1: Hell yes, that's what I'm doing. As inflation climbs, your
- 27:03Speaker 1: property is likely to appreciate in value while the monthly
- 27:07Speaker 1: service cost of your mortgage either stays the same or
- 27:09Speaker 1: slightly increases. This is at the core of home equity,
- 27:13Speaker 1: which can rapidly increase your net worth very very sexy.
- 27:17Speaker 1: By purchasing real estate, you'll also they call it insulating.
- 27:20Speaker 1: You're also insulating yourself from rising rents, as they are
- 27:23Speaker 1: likely to rise during inflation surges. We do need to
- 27:26Speaker 1: take into consideration. They're obviously the rising costs of mortgage repayments,
- 27:30Speaker 1: because as I said before, might have more than doubled.
- 27:33Speaker 1: And that makes me feel quite sick because I know
- 27:37Speaker 1: that it's not just me that's happening too. Again, super
- 27:40Speaker 1: grateful to be in a position where that is not
- 27:43Speaker 1: putting significant stress on our lives. We just had to
- 27:46Speaker 1: reshuffle a few things maybe push a few goals off
- 27:49Speaker 1: a little bit, and I feel grateful that we're in
- 27:52Speaker 1: that position. But for some people, mortgages right now are
- 27:55Speaker 1: absolutely destroying them. Let's just be honest about that. The
- 27:59Speaker 1: second thing we want to talk about is what's called
- 28:01Speaker 1: a value share or a value stock if you're a
- 28:04Speaker 1: little bit more American. Some research has shown that value
- 28:07Speaker 1: shares tend to do better than growth stocks during periods
- 28:11Speaker 1: of inflation, which I think is interesting because we have
- 28:14Speaker 1: done a whole series on what a value share is,
- 28:17Speaker 1: what a growth share is, how all of these things work.
- 28:20Speaker 1: So if you haven't listened to that, please go back
- 28:21Speaker 1: and have a listen, because I feel like there was
- 28:23Speaker 1: so much information in that that people said was really
- 28:26Speaker 1: powerful and really helpful. But value shares are companies that
- 28:29Speaker 1: have strong earnings relative to their current share price. They're
- 28:33Speaker 1: also known to have like really good cash flows, which
- 28:36Speaker 1: investors typically value when prices are rising. When prices a
- 28:40Speaker 1: rising and things are getting more expensive, you know what's
- 28:42Speaker 1: really sexy knowing that the company you're investing in has
- 28:45Speaker 1: lots of money coming in the door. That makes me
- 28:48Speaker 1: feel really good. Probably not if you're poor. To Davis
- 28:51Speaker 1: Holmes like, that's not going to work out. I heard
- 28:54Speaker 1: about that. Yeah, not great. But do you know what
- 28:55Speaker 1: it is great about that? And I said to you guys,
- 28:58Speaker 1: this would happen is that all of those Porter Davis
- 29:01Speaker 1: contracts have been bought or transferred over to another company
- 29:04Speaker 1: to finish. So people aren't going to be left in
- 29:06Speaker 1: the loach. What is I treat hold on, hold on,
- 29:10Speaker 1: It's going to be okay. Someone is going to want
- 29:12Speaker 1: those contracts to finish your houses. It is okay. But
- 29:15Speaker 1: a company like Porter Davis as a good example of that,
- 29:18Speaker 1: because I feel like it's been all over the media
- 29:20Speaker 1: and we've all heard about it had terrible cash flow
- 29:22Speaker 1: and could not keep up with the rising cost of prices.
- 29:26Speaker 1: And that's not a reflection on them having terrible work
- 29:31Speaker 1: or being a bad company or any of those things.
- 29:34Speaker 1: But if you don't have money coming in the door,
- 29:36Speaker 1: you can't pay your contractors, you can't pay your stuff.
- 29:39Speaker 1: The business has to end. Like that's just a matter
- 29:42Speaker 1: of fact. I suppose, on the other hand, something like
- 29:45Speaker 1: a growth share it tends to be a little bit
- 29:47Speaker 1: more sensitive to change in interest Over the past decade,
- 29:51Speaker 1: when inflation has been conspicuously absent. Growth stocks have enjoyed
- 29:56Speaker 1: a pretty good period, but lately value shares have been
- 30:00Speaker 1: I guess staged for a comeback. The current environment makes
- 30:04Speaker 1: their continuing success likely, though, So would you say what
- 30:08Speaker 1: is better? I mean, I think that's a question that
- 30:11Speaker 1: might pop up. B Is a value share better than
- 30:14Speaker 1: a growth share? The answer is no, nothing's better. Like
- 30:17Speaker 1: different things perform well in different economies and different periods
- 30:21Speaker 1: of economic change, it does not mean one should be
- 30:25Speaker 1: preferenced over the other. That's why we promote having a
- 30:28Speaker 1: really well diversified portfolio. It's why we talk about, you know,
- 30:32Speaker 1: having some here, having some there, making sure that you
- 30:35Speaker 1: don't have all your eggs in one basket. Because if
- 30:37Speaker 1: you've got some growth stocks that are good companies, maybe
- 30:40Speaker 1: they're not performing as well as they could during this period.
- 30:43Speaker 1: They're just chugging along doing their best. Your value stocks, though,
- 30:47Speaker 1: they're the ones like pulling away. They're the ones putting
- 30:49Speaker 1: in the hard yards during this period of time, so
- 30:52Speaker 1: that you know, if the value stocks or the value
- 30:55Speaker 1: shares are doing really well up here and there, your
- 30:57Speaker 1: growth shares they just trying their best. They're just trying
- 30:59Speaker 1: to get in this economy. Over time, the average of
- 31:03Speaker 1: your overall return is going to be a good average.
- 31:07Speaker 1: You're not going to get the highs of the highs,
- 31:09Speaker 1: You're not going to get the lows of the lows.
- 31:10Speaker 1: Everything will kind of balance out, and that is what
- 31:13Speaker 1: we want from investment. We just want to be safe.
- 31:16Speaker 1: I don't want to just have one thing that does
- 31:18Speaker 1: really well in only one economy. So like playing board games,
- 31:22Speaker 1: you just want a little bit of everything. In your
- 31:24Speaker 1: next role, you don't know what you're going to get,
- 31:25Speaker 1: but you're probably going to have a good.
- 31:27Speaker 4: Shot exactly, Exactly, like Monopoly, you've got to buy the
- 31:30Speaker 4: light blues and the dark blues exactly.
- 31:34Speaker 1: I've recently got into a board game called this is
- 31:37Speaker 1: just showing how nerdy I am. It shows how nerdy
- 31:40Speaker 1: I am. Like, take us to the next level. Okay,
- 31:43Speaker 1: I've paid for and download an app on my phone
- 31:46Speaker 1: so that I can play the board game all my
- 31:48Speaker 1: floes katan.
- 31:49Speaker 4: Oh my god, same v serious the eight dollars one?
- 31:56Speaker 3: Can we play?
- 31:56Speaker 1: Can we play Togain? I did not know you were.
- 31:58Speaker 4: Into katan okay O Tess, But it's like that.
- 32:01Speaker 1: Right, like you don't know what's going to happen next,
- 32:03Speaker 1: Like you don't know if you're going to need to
- 32:04Speaker 1: build a road or you're going to be able to
- 32:06Speaker 1: buy a car, Like you don't know if you're going
- 32:08Speaker 1: to be able to build a city, because like on
- 32:10Speaker 1: the next roll, you could be given a whole heap
- 32:12Speaker 1: of different resources. But like it's good to just have
- 32:15Speaker 1: like one in the bank freach because like or if
- 32:17Speaker 1: you can't really do much, well I just build a road, you.
- 32:19Speaker 4: Know, exactly, don't exact all your eggs in the brick bus.
- 32:22Speaker 1: Exactly, you don't want to. And if you do have
- 32:25Speaker 1: six bricks, do you know what you do? You go
- 32:27Speaker 1: into the trade and you trade four bricks for one straw.
- 32:31Speaker 3: Anyway, we can definitely talk exactly excited.
- 32:35Speaker 1: Alright, alright, you can come over. We can have a
- 32:37Speaker 1: wine night where we play Katan real life.
- 32:41Speaker 3: Ktar real life.
- 32:42Speaker 1: I have the board game. I bought it online. Okay, cool,
- 32:44Speaker 1: let's go to the easter. One of our friends brought
- 32:46Speaker 1: it down and I was like so skeptical, right, No,
- 32:49Speaker 1: I was skeptical. Oh yeah, I don't know about this game.
- 32:52Speaker 1: Was one of Steve's mates. So I just thought it
- 32:54Speaker 1: was like.
- 32:55Speaker 3: You know, dumb boygo, dumb boygo.
- 32:57Speaker 1: I am the dumb boy for it.
- 33:01Speaker 3: Unfortunately we are the dumb boys now, all right.
- 33:02Speaker 1: Well, you know what dumb boys like to do. They
- 33:05Speaker 1: also like to use complicated words like commodities. Yeah, that
- 33:09Speaker 1: is the next thing I want to talk about, So
- 33:11Speaker 1: to commodities, complicated word for what is essentially things like
- 33:16Speaker 1: gold and other precious metals, Like can you just say
- 33:20Speaker 1: you're invested in gold? Yeah, Like it'd be a lot
- 33:24Speaker 1: easier than gold and other precious metals, as well as
- 33:27Speaker 1: things like raw materials and various natural resources, which are
- 33:30Speaker 1: critical to production. As demand increases, prices rising the economy,
- 33:35Speaker 1: and the cost of production to meet that demand typically
- 33:38Speaker 1: rises accordingly. So I can tell you this is true
- 33:41Speaker 1: because the steel in my house is double what it
- 33:45Speaker 1: was when I got quoted to pay for it last year,
- 33:49Speaker 1: and now I have no other choice but to pay
- 33:51Speaker 1: double for the renovation we're doing. And that's okay, again,
- 33:54Speaker 1: very privileged position to be. But man, I'm feeling it.
- 33:58Speaker 1: I'm a little bit salty about it.
- 34:00Speaker 3: Yeah, but can you go no steal or you have?
- 34:03Speaker 1: You?
- 34:03Speaker 3: Is it?
- 34:05Speaker 1: You? You got to you got to get the steal.
- 34:07Speaker 1: You gotta get the steal, I feel you. Even though
- 34:09Speaker 1: commodities don't pay dividends or represent any underlying business, they
- 34:14Speaker 1: are disconnected to the traditional asset classes like shares and bonds,
- 34:18Speaker 1: and they actually tend to move in an unrelated direction.
- 34:21Speaker 1: So they're a good way of diversifying. Treasury indexed bonds.
- 34:25Speaker 3: Yes, good.
- 34:26Speaker 4: I was going to ask you about this one.
- 34:27Speaker 1: Bonds are sexy. I think they're really hot. They're really underrated. Actually,
- 34:31Speaker 1: I feel like a bond is like a happy medium
- 34:35Speaker 1: between if you're not willing to take on as much
- 34:38Speaker 1: risk as a share, but you also don't want your
- 34:41Speaker 1: money just sitting in cash. There's something that if that's
- 34:44Speaker 1: your circumstance, you might consider. So Treasury indexed bonds, very specific,
- 34:50Speaker 1: are medium to long term securities where the capital value
- 34:53Speaker 1: of the security is adjusted for movements in the CPI,
- 34:57Speaker 1: So in the Consumer Price Index, just paid quarterly hot
- 35:01Speaker 1: at a fixed rate on the adjusted capital value at maturity.
- 35:06Speaker 1: So maturity just means at the end of the time
- 35:08Speaker 1: that you agreed to invest for mm.
- 35:10Speaker 3: Hmm, Well, what's it?
- 35:11Speaker 1: All these confusing more ridiculous? Isn't it? Like I get
- 35:15Speaker 1: it that you get it? Now, but the fact that
- 35:17Speaker 1: I have to explain something that shouldn't need explaining, Like
- 35:20Speaker 1: why can't we just be like, yeah, okay, at the
- 35:22Speaker 1: end of the term that you agreed to invest, so
- 35:25Speaker 1: at the maturity of the loan or at the maturity
- 35:28Speaker 1: of the investment. In this circumstance, investors receive the adjusted
- 35:33Speaker 1: capital value of the security. So do you know what
- 35:36Speaker 1: that means? Means you get your cash back, oh, initial
- 35:39Speaker 1: investment back, but it will be adjusted based on CPI.
- 35:44Speaker 1: So that's okay, We're all right with that. The value
- 35:46Speaker 1: adjusted for movement in the CPI is done over the
- 35:49Speaker 1: lifetime of the bond, not just like what it is today.
- 35:53Speaker 1: So if you were pulling it out today, like let's
- 35:55Speaker 1: say that your bond matured today, it wouldn't be at
- 35:59Speaker 1: seven point eight percent. It would be you know, if
- 36:01Speaker 1: you were in a ten year bond, it would be
- 36:03Speaker 1: averaged out over those ten years. So it's a little
- 36:05Speaker 1: bit more palatable than that seven point eight So it's
- 36:09Speaker 1: not as scary as you think it is.
- 36:10Speaker 3: But yeah, gotcha, gotcha, gotcha.
- 36:12Speaker 1: Okay.
- 36:13Speaker 4: The podcast before, Yeah, you know what we have spoken
- 36:16Speaker 4: about and you haven't mentioned yet, and I'm.
- 36:18Speaker 3: Kind of getting concerned. You usually talk about Warren Buffett.
- 36:22Speaker 1: Yeah, because he's real hot.
- 36:24Speaker 3: I haven't seen him. Can you show you a picture
- 36:25Speaker 3: after this?
- 36:26Speaker 1: I'll show you a picture now so I can get
- 36:27Speaker 1: your response.
- 36:28Speaker 3: Okay, let's do it.
- 36:29Speaker 4: Oh No, honestly, I thought he's kind of cute.
- 36:35Speaker 3: I mean, I.
- 36:36Speaker 1: Mean, Beck, he's like the type of guy that he
- 36:40Speaker 1: just looks like he would line up behind you at
- 36:43Speaker 1: the supermarket and you'd let him cut in line. I
- 36:45Speaker 1: wouldn't let a single soul. Yeah, okay cut in line.
- 36:51Speaker 1: You know what that's because you're not very nice. But
- 36:52Speaker 1: I reckon, he's pay you bill if he was behind
- 36:54Speaker 1: your supermarket. He know what he's worth. What do you
- 36:58Speaker 1: want to guess what that man? Look at it.
- 37:00Speaker 3: He's sound familiar.
- 37:01Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, he's going to say yeah because he's
- 37:04Speaker 1: see it. Oh. He's the most famous investor in the
- 37:08Speaker 1: entire world.
- 37:09Speaker 3: Eleven billion no oh.
- 37:11Speaker 1: You read that role That was one hundred and thirteen
- 37:15Speaker 1: point eight billion dollars is what he's currently valued. He's
- 37:20Speaker 1: ninety two years old for those of you playing along
- 37:22Speaker 1: at home, and is basically an American businessman and investor
- 37:27Speaker 1: who has a very, very big following. And he is
- 37:31Speaker 1: very rich because of his investment decisions, not because he
- 37:35Speaker 1: has built super good businesses or came from family wealth.
- 37:38Speaker 1: He's essentially made all of his money by relying on
- 37:41Speaker 1: time tested rules of value investing if you are interested.
- 37:44Speaker 1: And I just think that's really really sexy. Like I mean,
- 37:48Speaker 1: he's one of the most frugal people in the entire world.
- 37:51Speaker 1: He still drives his original car, original car.
- 37:54Speaker 3: That's cute.
- 37:55Speaker 1: So he Yeah, he still drives his original car. And
- 37:57Speaker 1: I'm just getting up a picture for Beck which you
- 37:59Speaker 1: guys can google and I might even put it on
- 38:01Speaker 1: my Instagram stories today. But that's his house. It's all
- 38:05Speaker 1: he needs. Cute, little modest I do wonder sometimes, like
- 38:10Speaker 1: he does have a very modest family home in America,
- 38:13Speaker 1: and that's very exciting. But what kind of security do
- 38:16Speaker 1: you reckon he needs on that given who he is
- 38:19Speaker 1: and what's going on?
- 38:20Speaker 3: Oh true, I just.
- 38:22Speaker 1: Go hold up, hold up. If you're worth one hundred
- 38:24Speaker 1: and thirteen point eight billion dollars, like you don't just
- 38:27Speaker 1: get to walk home without any type of risk kind
- 38:30Speaker 1: of overarching that circumstance. Well, he's a dude, so yeah,
- 38:33Speaker 1: you're right, And I need two year old guy who
- 38:35Speaker 1: he can defend himself to defend himself. No, he probably
- 38:39Speaker 1: needs some help. But that's a very good question. Actually, yeah,
- 38:41Speaker 1: so google it. We both agree that we'ren Buffett. Oh
- 38:44Speaker 1: sexy smash.
- 38:46Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, smash for sure.
- 38:49Speaker 1: You're right. I'm going to do a TikTok of all
- 38:51Speaker 1: the famous investors and it'll be just like one of
- 38:54Speaker 1: those Smash or past serieses.
- 38:55Speaker 3: Yeah, let's do it.
- 38:56Speaker 1: Yeah done.
- 38:57Speaker 3: Okay.
- 38:57Speaker 1: So, so since we're talking about Warren Buffett, Yeah, it's a
- 38:59Speaker 1: real yeah, real hottie. What does it usually say in
- 39:03Speaker 1: trying times like this? So he has so many good
- 39:05Speaker 1: quotes and if you've ever heard me say, oh my gosh, yeah, look,
- 39:10Speaker 1: I've just stolen a lot of things that he said.
- 39:12Speaker 3: Can't you.
- 39:13Speaker 1: Yeah, he's inspirational. Yeah, he says, all right, So the
- 39:16Speaker 1: first best thing you can do to protect against inflation
- 39:18Speaker 1: is to invest in yourself and your skills. He says,
- 39:21Speaker 1: if you're the best teacher, if you're the best surgeon,
- 39:24Speaker 1: if you're the best lawyer, you will get your share
- 39:26Speaker 1: of the national economic pie, regardless of the value of
- 39:30Speaker 1: whatever the currency may be. Isn't that interesting?
- 39:33Speaker 2: Hmmm?
- 39:34Speaker 1: I feel like it's just like you've just been like,
- 39:36Speaker 1: I don't get what he means.
- 39:38Speaker 3: It was too fast for me.
- 39:39Speaker 1: So essentially, he says, if you're the best in your field,
- 39:43Speaker 1: you're always going to be valued and be able to
- 39:46Speaker 1: generate a good income, regardless of what the economics at
- 39:49Speaker 1: the time are doing. Right. So, like, if you prove
- 39:52Speaker 1: your value and you invest in yourself and you invest
- 39:55Speaker 1: in your skills to become the best of the best,
- 39:58Speaker 1: that is not going to betray you because you're in
- 40:00Speaker 1: trying times. We see, you know, we've got the tech
- 40:02Speaker 1: redundancies going on right now. They're not going to lose
- 40:05Speaker 1: the people that are integral to their companies, are they
- 40:08Speaker 1: very true? They're going to try and cut the people
- 40:11Speaker 1: that they go Okay, cool, we could get another XYZX
- 40:14Speaker 1: at some point in the future. Yeah. The second best
- 40:17Speaker 1: protection is a wonderful business, which means a company in
- 40:20Speaker 1: which the products are in demand even if the company
- 40:23Speaker 1: does have to raise their prices. Companies that tend to
- 40:27Speaker 1: withstand an inflationary environment quote must have two characteristics. The
- 40:32Speaker 1: first is an ability to increase prices rather easily even
- 40:36Speaker 1: when the product demand is flat and capacity is not
- 40:39Speaker 1: fully utilized without fear of significant loss of either market
- 40:42Speaker 1: share or unit volume. And the second is an ability
- 40:46Speaker 1: to accommodate large dollar volume increases in business often produced
- 40:51Speaker 1: more by inflation rather than by real growth, with only
- 40:54Speaker 1: minor additional investment of capital. So those two things are
- 40:58Speaker 1: really good. So rather than trying to pick individual stocks,
- 41:01Speaker 1: whether we're in an inflationary period or not, you should
- 41:04Speaker 1: go with this tried and true method, the index fund
- 41:08Speaker 1: to have and to hold. Ah Warren Buffett also talks
- 41:12Speaker 1: a lot about it's time in the market, not timing
- 41:15Speaker 1: the market. He has been known for identifying companies that
- 41:20Speaker 1: are on his watch list, which is public. By the way,
- 41:23Speaker 1: it becomes a public thing. If he's looking into a company,
- 41:26Speaker 1: he talks about it and shits that. But he has
- 41:29Speaker 1: been known to watch a company for ten twenty thirty
- 41:33Speaker 1: years before investing in them. The patients are patience, ain't
- 41:37Speaker 1: and people being like you're missing out on these things,
- 41:39Speaker 1: like you're not getting in and he's like, yep, no worries,
- 41:42Speaker 1: but I'm going to make sure that I'm making the
- 41:43Speaker 1: right decision for me. And then he does and it
- 41:46Speaker 1: always works out. No, don't know how he knows what
- 41:48Speaker 1: he's doing. Everyone's given to it. He's a billionaire. And
- 41:52Speaker 1: is this something that you say it or does Warren
- 41:54Speaker 1: Buffet say this? From Little Things, Big Things Grow? No,
- 41:58Speaker 1: I believe that was the very regal Paul Kelly, Ah,
- 42:02Speaker 1: Paul Kelly, Yeah, yep, yep, yeah, yeah. I believe that
- 42:05Speaker 1: was his very very well versed song.
- 42:08Speaker 3: Yeah, sounds familiar to me.
- 42:11Speaker 1: So little Things Things gross, it's beautiful, that's gonna be
- 42:14Speaker 1: stuck in my head or study stunning.
- 42:16Speaker 4: I really recommend people go back to listen to our
- 42:18Speaker 4: recent Investing Small Amounts episode That works.
- 42:23Speaker 1: Oh, that was wildly popular, Like I didn't expect it
- 42:27Speaker 1: to be as popular as it was, but the amount
- 42:29Speaker 1: of beautiful messages you guys sent me, and let's be honest,
- 42:32Speaker 1: the spike in download, so that was pretty good. So
- 42:35Speaker 1: I feel like it was a good EP though, where
- 42:37Speaker 1: he had good vibes to throughout the.
- 42:39Speaker 3: Good vibes is a really really nice day.
- 42:40Speaker 1: That was on the fifth of April, So April go
- 42:43Speaker 1: and have a listen to that. But there are also
- 42:45Speaker 1: a few things that I want to leave you guys
- 42:47Speaker 1: with today. One is from Little Things being skill growth.
- 42:51Speaker 1: The next year is the average investor will experience. Get this,
- 42:55Speaker 1: beec approximately seven market corrections during their lifetime, and the
- 43:00Speaker 1: last was the GFC. Ah, do you know what a
- 43:02Speaker 1: market correction is? No, it's where it absolutely crashes. You're
- 43:06Speaker 1: going to experience your portfolio look like trash seven times.
- 43:10Speaker 1: I'm so sorry.
- 43:11Speaker 4: Oh man, that's a really pretty name for something that's
- 43:14Speaker 4: so diffictating.
- 43:15Speaker 1: Yeah, but it's not devastating if you understand and your
- 43:19Speaker 1: mindset is good, and you're in a position where you're like, okay, cool,
- 43:23Speaker 1: the market is off, My portfolio doesn't look the best,
- 43:25Speaker 1: but if I hold on to this roller coaster, it
- 43:28Speaker 1: will go back up right. And we know that after
- 43:32Speaker 1: the GFC, which was a global financial crisis which happened
- 43:35Speaker 1: in two thousand and eight two thousand and nine, we
- 43:37Speaker 1: know that some of the best investment returns have come
- 43:40Speaker 1: after that, Like our market and our economy has more
- 43:44Speaker 1: than recovered since the GFC, and people talk about that
- 43:47Speaker 1: as the worst thing in history. And if you go
- 43:50Speaker 1: on my favorite website is the Vanguard website at the moment,
- 43:54Speaker 1: I mean, there's a lot of favorite websites I have.
- 43:55Speaker 1: Isn't there too anyway, TikTok, TikTok's and app's TikTok is
- 44:01Speaker 1: currently being overtaken by Katan though oh god, yeah, yeah,
- 44:05Speaker 1: Like I'm I'm gonna lose my pop culture references and
- 44:08Speaker 1: I'm just going to be starting to talk about how
- 44:10Speaker 1: many bricks and shape you'll trade me for a piece
- 44:12Speaker 1: of awe. Honestly, I won't complain, You'll get it all right.
- 44:15Speaker 1: So I think it's really important to understand that if
- 44:18Speaker 1: you go onto the Vanguard website and have a look
- 44:21Speaker 1: at their interactive Investor chart, you can actually slide around
- 44:25Speaker 1: and have a look at the different asset classes and
- 44:27Speaker 1: how they've provided. But that graph is my favorite graph
- 44:30Speaker 1: for showing people how the GFC at the time, if
- 44:34Speaker 1: you cut back, the chart looks like the scariest drop
- 44:37Speaker 1: in the entire world. And then if you add all
- 44:41Speaker 1: the way up to twenty twenty three, it becomes this
- 44:43Speaker 1: little blip ah in the roller coaster and you go,
- 44:47Speaker 1: what's that? It's a GFC when in doubt, zoom ow
- 44:51Speaker 1: exactly fair. You are learning. And the second thing I
- 44:55Speaker 1: want to leave you with today is my favorite thing
- 44:57Speaker 1: to harp on about. Have your emergency fund pump it up.
- 45:02Speaker 1: Make sure financially you are in an okay position right
- 45:05Speaker 1: now is uncertain for so many people, and so many
- 45:08Speaker 1: people think, oh, something won't happen to me. It's fine
- 45:11Speaker 1: if you have some extra cash pumping up your emergency
- 45:14Speaker 1: fund is never going to go astray. Pay your bills
- 45:16Speaker 1: on time, hopefully, stay on top of your mortgage. And
- 45:19Speaker 1: if you don't feel like you're on top of your mortgage,
- 45:21Speaker 1: please sign into the Xella Money Instagram DMS or email
- 45:25Speaker 1: them or shoot me a message or you know, get
- 45:27Speaker 1: in contact because they can review it and make sure
- 45:30Speaker 1: that you're in the best possible position moving forward, and
- 45:32Speaker 1: make sure you're getting paid well for your job. I
- 45:36Speaker 1: know that that can be a very hard one, and
- 45:38Speaker 1: we are going to be creating, in hopefully the near future,
- 45:41Speaker 1: a lot more career episodes because I feel like I
- 45:44Speaker 1: can tell you to invest until the cows come home,
- 45:46Speaker 1: but you know what, you can't do invest if you
- 45:49Speaker 1: don't have a good income. So we're going to be
- 45:51Speaker 1: building up on the career kind of vibe to be like,
- 45:53Speaker 1: okay cool. I just feel like there are so many
- 45:55Speaker 1: people in our community who I want to shake and
- 45:58Speaker 1: be like, babe, do you know your worth. You are
- 46:00Speaker 1: worth so much more, and his how to achieve that
- 46:03Speaker 1: or here's how you can create a pathway to that
- 46:06Speaker 1: without feeling awful about it. So I just I'm really
- 46:09Speaker 1: excited for that stuff. But we're done here today. I
- 46:11Speaker 1: love that we're going to talk about Katan. Yes, and
- 46:14Speaker 1: we'll see you guys on Friday.
- 46:15Speaker 3: See you guys then.
- 46:22Speaker 1: The advice shared on She's on the Money is general
- 46:24Speaker 1: in nature and does not consider your individual circumstances. She's
- 46:28Speaker 1: on the Money exists purely for educational purposes and should
- 46:32Speaker 1: not be relied upon to make an investment or financial decision.
- 46:35Speaker 1: If you do choose to buy a financial product, read
- 46:38Speaker 1: the PDS TMD and obtain appropriate financial advice tailored towards
- 46:42Speaker 1: your needs. Victoria Divine and She's on the Money are
- 46:45Speaker 1: authorized representatives of Money SHERPA pty Ltd ABN three two
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