Latest / 1 to 100 / E48: From Service to SaaS with Aaron Schwartz & Daniel Brady
Transcript
- 0:00Jack, why are you the happiest guy in e-commerce?
- 0:03Why am I happy? Oh, life's good, man.
- 0:05Life is so good, isn't it? You an e-commerce.
- 0:09I'm sorry, just. Yes, I'm an e-commerce.
- 0:11Yeah, I have a brand. I got my start in e-commerce
- 0:14with my my first brand. I haven't done anything apart
- 0:17from e-commerce my whole life. I just want to say good to meet
- 0:20you guys. I am aware of who you are and
- 0:23what you do, but I don't think I've ever actually connected.
- 0:25If we have either, I was just how's how's Robin?
- 0:29Robin, Robin, just join you guys.
- 0:32Oh, OK, OK, yes. So you're talking about Lunar
- 0:35Solar Group. Yes, So we are we this is yeah,
- 0:40this interesting context. So no commerce was incubated as
- 0:46part of Lunar Solar Group years and years ago.
- 0:48So we're no longer part of that though.
- 0:49So we sold to tiny and holding company in Canada back in 2022.
- 0:54So separate, but yes, I am aware of Robin joining Lunar Solar
- 0:58Group, which I'm sure is a big one for them.
- 1:00So I do. I do know that team pretty well.
- 1:05Cool. Well it's good to connect man.
- 1:09Rishab, you, you drive. OK, I mean, yeah, dude, I love.
- 1:14I guess one thing I've been really curious about DB just to
- 1:19like really drive dive right in is at least my understanding of
- 1:23the story is like you were sort of already working on Arita and
- 1:28then you brought Aaron in as a Co founder, Is that correct?
- 1:31That's correct. Amazing.
- 1:33Yeah. What what led you to that
- 1:35decision? Like a big part of company
- 1:37building outside of the lanky body and the not as nice hair?
- 1:43Yeah, Yeah. What?
- 1:45What led to? Well, what led to people?
- 1:49People said that first of all, to, you know, Zach and I were
- 1:53too handsome, so we needed to lower the average no though.
- 1:57So what really happened was that like, so Zach and I are both
- 2:01machine learning engineers, you know, and so like we know how to
- 2:04solve problems with data expertise, all that kind of
- 2:06stuff like that. But like in terms of selling and
- 2:10positioning and everything go to market, all that kind of stuff,
- 2:13we have no, we have very little experience.
- 2:16And like this is how bad it was. We would send emails out to when
- 2:20we first got like our first set of pilot customers and things
- 2:22were going really well. They told all their, all their
- 2:24friend brands about us and stuff like that.
- 2:26And we would do this little audit and be like, Hey, this is
- 2:28how we think we read it could help.
- 2:29This is our pricing. Here's a stripe link get
- 2:33started. And our close rate was 93%.
- 2:36And we were like, oh, we, we solve sales.
- 2:40And then what happened was that Matt from enquire like, you
- 2:44know, from fairing put us in touch with Aaron.
- 2:47It was like, you should talk to this guy because he knows a lot
- 2:49about go to market stuff. He can help you out.
- 2:50And he said, you guys are too cheap.
- 2:52Your close rate that high from an engineering, an engineer's
- 2:55mind is like, oh, we've solved this problem.
- 2:57It is 100% solved. It's like, no, you just haven't
- 3:00done price discovered to actually understand the value
- 3:02that you're generating because everyone is just like like
- 3:04immediately saying yes to what we're doing.
- 3:06And that was like a huge, like, light bulb moment for the two of
- 3:10us. We're just like, Oh yeah,
- 3:11there's like expertise in this entire aspect of sales and
- 3:16positioning and partnerships. And like, we don't know anything
- 3:18about it. We just know how to like, help
- 3:20solve problems. And then like, sometimes those
- 3:22people are like, oh, this is cool.
- 3:23Like I'm going to tell my friends about you.
- 3:25And so when we thought about like, how can we actually, like,
- 3:27formalize that and see all that we've, you know, we're
- 3:30introduced, Aaron, just like as an advisor at first.
- 3:32But then we very quickly realized it was like, why are we
- 3:35going to try and learn all this on our own, you know, and build
- 3:38everything and improve the algorithms and do all that kind
- 3:40of stuff. It's just like, and we really
- 3:42enjoyed working with Aaron and like he has so much experience
- 3:44in the space. We mostly enjoyed working with
- 3:47Aaron and he kind of experienced in the space.
- 3:50And so then we just like, it felt like this no brainer.
- 3:52It's like we, we realized that we really did have like this
- 3:55missing part of the team. We didn't even think about that
- 3:57initially. We're just like, Oh, instead of
- 4:00hiring this, we should like have this be a core part of, of who
- 4:02we are. And that should be like another
- 4:04existing member. So it wasn't even like, I don't
- 4:07even think that Zach and I thought for a second like, oh,
- 4:09Aaron to be our first employee, we didn't think about in that
- 4:12context at all. We was like, no, this is so core
- 4:14to like how we want to be. Like he should just be a part of
- 4:16our founding team, even though like, yeah, he joined a little
- 4:19bit later than us. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 4:21And I mean like the joy, it turns out like the join dates
- 4:25don't matter for like these sorts of things.
- 4:28Like what matters is what is the DNA of the company.
- 4:31I want to talk more about that for sure.
- 4:33But I guess like, OK, so let's imagine there's some other like
- 4:38founders out there who are both who are like technical and
- 4:41they're thinking about this question.
- 4:44Did you think having him as an advisor first was helpful in
- 4:49framing the thinking and the company build it?
- 4:51Like, I guess I'm more curious about the insight around company
- 4:55building and the company building trajectory.
- 4:59And then I want to hear it from the other side too, because
- 5:01getting someone like Aaron is not easy.
- 5:04So I don't want like someone listening to this who's just
- 5:06like, you know, 2 engineers being like, Oh yeah, of course
- 5:08we should just like go find totally the CEO of another
- 5:11company to be our CEO. It's like this is just like not
- 5:14how it works so. Yeah, I know.
- 5:16I, I, it's a, it's a great question.
- 5:17And like I, I've definitely, I've, I've got in those emails,
- 5:20I mean like, hey, could you put us in touch with like person
- 5:23preferably they had like 2 successful exits.
- 5:25I'm just like, what are you like, what are you smoking?
- 5:26Like, why are you asking me to like randomly connect you with
- 5:30someone who's made so it's a billionaire that you know that
- 5:32like is willing to, to join us and like, And so it was critical
- 5:37that that there was an advisory relationship first, just because
- 5:41like we, we needed to learn his, the expertise and experience
- 5:47that he had in general, just to even like frame the problem
- 5:50space that we were like entering.
- 5:51And, and then it was like, does he understand what we're doing
- 5:56and our viewpoint? And there's lots of people who
- 5:59say they have lots of data and all this kind of stuff.
- 6:00But like this, you actually kind of believe in, in what we're
- 6:02doing in, in, in our backgrounds.
- 6:04And then do we actually like generally enjoy working
- 6:06together? And as the three of us, you
- 6:09know, finding together, to your point, it's like the DNA of the
- 6:11company, like it's the, it's the all of us together is going to
- 6:15be how we hire, how we are perceived, the messages that
- 6:20we'll be out. And it's, it's like a, it's a
- 6:22very equal thing. And so you can't like casually
- 6:24date to get there, you know what I mean?
- 6:26You have to like really spend the time and the effort.
- 6:29And I think that doing it as an advisory capacity and advisory
- 6:33capacity be like, listen, if this is great, maybe I'll be an
- 6:36even more involved advisor and then maybe even more involved
- 6:40and maybe you'll do some consultant work and we'll pay
- 6:42you out. Like like we were talking about
- 6:44all these sorts of steps and then it just basically collapsed
- 6:46very quickly to be like, no, we've done enough of this stuff.
- 6:49Like, let's actually have the conversations about about being
- 6:53another founding member of the team.
- 6:55So Aaron, just help me understand what made you want to
- 6:58join like a small company like because you were leading loop?
- 7:02Right. I'd actually stepped away a year
- 7:05before that. I was leading a very joyful life
- 7:08where everything was good and I was hanging with my kids and my
- 7:11wife had a very intense job and I was like advising some,
- 7:15consulting some. So I was actually stepping away
- 7:18from that. That was harder.
- 7:20I'll do this pretty briefly, but like Matt Barr from it was, I
- 7:25think Enquirer labs at the time, but from Farah and he's the one
- 7:27who connected us. Amazing tool, amazing founder.
- 7:30I'm I'm actually an advisor to his company and he knew DB and
- 7:33Zach and they almost started something with Kirk and I
- 7:36distinctly remember he's like, Oh, I want you to meet these two
- 7:39guys. And like, sorry for language,
- 7:41but his quote was like, they have no idea how fucking good
- 7:43they are. And I was like, dude, happy to
- 7:45like, you know, I hit a point in my career where I stopped trying
- 7:50to be an advisor and I was like, I'd rather spend three or five
- 7:52hours with the founding team over time and not have any
- 7:56future commitment because I was like, it's as much I, I assume
- 8:00all equity is going to 0, right? I've like had four startups, 2
- 8:04or 01 took a decade and was a 0, right?
- 8:06One is doing very well in passport shipping, But like,
- 8:10I've seen enough. And so to me, it was like a
- 8:12point of my career where I just want to spend time with very
- 8:15smart people who I like spending time with, building something
- 8:17big. And my framework for choosing an
- 8:20advisee is like, is it somebody who at some point in my career I
- 8:23would have worked for? That's it.
- 8:25Like, they might be 26. And like, I'm not going to go
- 8:27join this random company that I'm not interested in, but I'm
- 8:30like, wow, she's got a spark or she's brilliant or like, my
- 8:33goodness, like I'm so lucky to be in the room with this person.
- 8:36And so ADB, like I remember our first meeting was in Central
- 8:39Park at Star Bryant Park and we talked on the phone or whatever
- 8:44and it was very quick where I was like, OK, Matt's right.
- 8:47These guys are brilliant. I think the part of the story
- 8:50that is interesting to me is like they actually asked, it was
- 8:53like a couple months and hey, do you want to be a Co founder?
- 8:55And it was a shift from the consulting phase of the business
- 8:58to like the software phase, Like they'd already started it.
- 9:01And that was I think like late September and actually worked
- 9:04all of October as if I were a Co founder because I was like, I'd
- 9:07rather commit a month of feeling stress and calling you every day
- 9:13and then not have an obligation beyond it.
- 9:15And like, I'll still be an advisor and like and then opt
- 9:18out. And so I actually, I don't know
- 9:19if DB remembers this, but I was like, I'm trying them out.
- 9:23Being a Co founder is brutal. Starting a company is brutal.
- 9:27You want to find people who are like perfect for you, as defined
- 9:30by you. And within that month of like,
- 9:32OK, this is like absolutely a no brainer.
- 9:35And then I think I was formally a Co founder come November, but
- 9:37in my mind I was already like wearing that hat.
- 9:40Wow, yeah. Wish I'm sorry, The one thing I
- 9:44should say is like I was in a very fortunate part of my life
- 9:48where I could like basically like invest in something for a
- 9:51month without any like guaranteed anything, let alone
- 9:53my salary. It was like, oh, they paid me
- 9:556000 bucks like I was still with just an advisor, but it was like
- 10:00a mutual understanding. We're like, if we mutually opt
- 10:02in, we're going to do this and I was able to take that
- 10:06opportunity. DB how?
- 10:08How were you guys in your journey I go what did it look
- 10:12like in terms of you know your cut base revenue and things like
- 10:15that when you got to the point to?
- 10:18So, so early. So you know, the story for us
- 10:20was that like, so you know, Zach and I, you know, we've, we were
- 10:24at some startups, we're at these things.
- 10:26We decided to go do something on our own and we were consultants
- 10:29for a while. I mean, we had like our own
- 10:30companies and LLC all this kind of stuff like that with the idea
- 10:32of like, Hey, we're just going to help brands help some tools
- 10:36out and like if something is repeatable, then we'll try and
- 10:38make a product out of it. And the, the story, you know,
- 10:42the, and this is like, it's true.
- 10:43What happened is like we were doing all this work, a lot of
- 10:46data engineering, a lot of CDPS, things like, you know, this all
- 10:50back in the day, like early high touch days and stuff like that.
- 10:53So like a lot of these things that are common now weren't that
- 10:55common back then. And we had, we're doing all of
- 10:59this work. And actually, Matt, Matt, Matt's
- 11:01going to come up so much in our funny story.
- 11:02He was like, you're doing all this stuff and he's just like,
- 11:05there's this one part of like these reports that you're
- 11:07generating for these brands that you're helping out.
- 11:08That's about like marketing waste.
- 11:11And he's just like pretend like he's like, why don't you pretend
- 11:13that like this whole big thing that you're giving that all the
- 11:16economics things like that really is helpful for the team
- 11:18that you're like contracted in. But it's like you can't sell
- 11:22this whole giant report like a McKenzie ask report unless
- 11:25you're already in that organization.
- 11:26But just like pretend that like maybe that is just what you do.
- 11:30And so we condense this whole big thing into just like 1
- 11:32number essentially. And we went out to an agency and
- 11:37a friend of ours, I was like, hey, send, send to a handful of
- 11:40your brands that will use machine learning to help them be
- 11:43smarter about the marketing in Clavio.
- 11:45And he sent that out to six brands and five of them booked
- 11:48us meetings within 30 minutes. And the 6th 1 didn't, wasn't on
- 11:52Clavio. And then all of them agreed to
- 11:55become pilot customers. And then, you know, we didn't
- 11:58have results for a month and then we're gonna have the
- 12:00results for a month. It, it turned out that like it
- 12:02was way better than all of our expectations for what we could
- 12:05do to deliver. And then they told all their
- 12:07friends and, and we, we charge them nothing, 50 bucks a month,
- 12:11$2500 a month. It was something like that.
- 12:15But we were actually like controlling a huge part of their
- 12:17list. And I think that's also like it
- 12:18caught errands I was at like, yeah, technically this brand was
- 12:21paying us $100 a month, but we were like telling them to not
- 12:24e-mail like a million people. So if we are wrong, they're on
- 12:27the hook for like $10 million, you know what I mean?
- 12:29And so like the leverage of what we were doing was enormous, even
- 12:32though the price of the price of caption was really small.
- 12:34And so I think by the time that we actually got introduced to
- 12:36Aaron, I think we had like 12 paying customers, basically no
- 12:43revenue. But like something it wasn't
- 12:44weren't free or anything like that.
- 12:46And it was basically the summer before.
- 12:48So like June, we sent out that e-mail.
- 12:51Those six brands, those five brands became our customers.
- 12:53We literally changed our website overnight.
- 12:55We, we're at a conference in Toronto.
- 12:58We went to our website, we said we do this marketing.
- 13:02We don't, we're not, we're not general consultants anymore.
- 13:05This is what we do. We had to cover up the
- 13:08conference like we had like a booth at a conference, like a
- 13:10little tiny start booth thing. We cover it up with post report
- 13:13because they wouldn't let us change the sign.
- 13:14We taped over the sign and this is what we do now.
- 13:18And we're like, this is this is now a Rita.
- 13:21We're now like, this is what we formally do.
- 13:23And then as soon as that first month hit and we shared the
- 13:26results back with our brands. And it was the first one was was
- 13:30Jason from from Dole Ashes, who I don't know if you guys know.
- 13:32He's very great about starting, starting stuff up.
- 13:35He's like, whoa, this is huge. And I was like, yeah.
- 13:37And he's like, I was like, can you help us out here?
- 13:38And he's like, I told every brand I know about you.
- 13:41And then that's then then Caraway came and then like all
- 13:43these like bigger brands started reaching out for the other
- 13:45woodwork. And it was at that point when
- 13:49Matt was like you guys, I think you guys have found something
- 13:53you don't know anything else about how to do anything else
- 13:55here except for making an algorithm that's Mark.
- 13:58So you need to you need to go talk to Aaron right away at that
- 14:00point. So it was like handful of brands
- 14:02paying us a little bit of money, but like the promise was there.
- 14:06That's interesting. Do you think that like if you
- 14:11know, if I'm trying to start up a company that sells to like the
- 14:14Shopify ecosystem, do you do you think that the right way to do
- 14:20it is sort of this way, like get that initial like wave of people
- 14:26to get really excited and hungry?
- 14:28Potentially? Like, I mean, I'm not saying you
- 14:30guys intentionally priced it low, but potentially like
- 14:34actually intentionally price it very low to like give this like
- 14:37ridiculous skew of like value to cost and then inch up over time.
- 14:43Like what, what do you think was like the ingredients to the
- 14:49early belief for Yeah, for, for, for both of you guys.
- 14:54And then and then how do you think about pricing over time?
- 14:57Because I think if you come out of the gates with how you charge
- 15:00today, I don't think the story gets written this way.
- 15:04That's just like, I mean one person's opinion.
- 15:06Like no, I think that's I think that's a great and and Aaron
- 15:08thinks a a lot of about price. We could talk about that.
- 15:11I think the, the signal for us was, was, was the responsibility
- 15:15to, to those emails that were being sent.
- 15:17Like, you know, we've been talking, we've been doing
- 15:19consultant work, like we kind of knew how busy everyone was.
- 15:23And to just like, literally once we got that, we, and this is
- 15:27like the crazy truth about is that like everything that we had
- 15:29was half built, We had half our connection.
- 15:32But like we're, we're, I mean, we've been machine learning
- 15:34engineers for a decade. We were fully confident that
- 15:36like we could integrate into Clavio over the next couple days
- 15:40and build them. That fully works.
- 15:41But it wasn't like 100% baked in and working out.
- 15:43We were just like confident, like if there's, if there's
- 15:45something there, we can build it.
- 15:47And so as soon as we got that response rate, we're just like,
- 15:49oh, oh man, this is like, this is what we have to do.
- 15:52Like we, I've, we've never, ever reached out and anything pulled
- 15:57us in this world. And we haven't talked about
- 15:59price. We didn't talk about any of
- 16:00that, but it was just like, wow, they're like these people are
- 16:02busy, they're probably getting picked.
- 16:04They probably have 50 cold inbox things in their thing right now.
- 16:07And then all of a sudden the, I mean, it was through an agency
- 16:11friend of theirs, but it was just like they immediately just
- 16:13responded to that when they don't have to.
- 16:15And that was like such a strong sign.
- 16:17But I, yeah, I, I need to think a little bit more about the
- 16:20pricing and I'm really curious about what you think about about
- 16:22that in terms of the pricing aspect about it.
- 16:25I mean, I think there's a couple different factors and Richard
- 16:28View and I've talked enough about the Shopify ecosystem.
- 16:30And so I think there's a question of what is the business
- 16:32you're building? Are you, are you building a
- 16:35business that needs 20,000 brands and you're going to
- 16:37charge 20 bucks a month? And like that could be a really
- 16:39healthy business if you can build that lean.
- 16:41Is that like a Trojan horse or something else?
- 16:43So, so I do think there's a question of like, is your
- 16:45ambition to build a public company, a cash flowing company,
- 16:48something in between, right? So I, I, you know, as a founder,
- 16:52you'd never want to delude yourself about what you're
- 16:53building. I definitely did with my first
- 16:55two companies. I think I'm right on the 3rd and
- 16:584th company, right? The goal is market validation.
- 17:02We should have a customer right now.
- 17:03So we're building our ads product and we have a customer
- 17:06right now that is a beta in the ads product and they're churning
- 17:09from our e-mail product, which is like what Areda is known for
- 17:12today. But like we're going channel to
- 17:13channel. We have SMS now, we do direct
- 17:15mail, we're doing ads and like we will, we will keep going.
- 17:18And it is very self-evident to DB and I that we're just going
- 17:21to keep giving them the ads product for free because we
- 17:23don't actually care about the money, we care about the
- 17:24learning. And so I think you want to get
- 17:27as many at bats to learn and to build a better product and to do
- 17:31customer discovery as needed. I think on a pricing
- 17:34perspective, my thinking has definitely evolved over the
- 17:37years, even evolved in the last six months.
- 17:40Forget like pricing model, right?
- 17:44But like in general for a startup founder, your pricing
- 17:47for your first 10 customers can be different from the pricing
- 17:49for the next 10. So like the first thing that I
- 17:52did with DB and Zach is I think their accounts were like, and I
- 17:55can go back and look and I'll try to do it in real time, but
- 17:57it's like 50 bucks a month for wine, 20 bucks a month for
- 17:59another 100 bucks. And I was like just double your
- 18:01price for your next three pitches.
- 18:03And they immediately had three out of three for 200 bucks a
- 18:05month. I think I think that's right.
- 18:07I can I. Think.
- 18:10That's exactly it. And so like you want to do price
- 18:13discovery. The first thing I did at Loop, I
- 18:17was like a 1099 called Chief Business Officer or whatever my
- 18:21title was, but I ran sales marketing partnerships until we
- 18:23found better people for sales marketing partnerships.
- 18:25This is like after the series BI raised price by like 10 or 15% I
- 18:30think in August of 2021 and then I raised price by like 10 or 15%
- 18:35more in like October. And we had our first quarter in
- 18:39a long time already beat our numbers and then you start doing
- 18:42discovery and it was like, look, we are creating this much.
- 18:44It wasn't Willy nilly. It was like we are creating so
- 18:46much value and the retention rate is so high.
- 18:49What I've definitely been feeling at a Rita is we create
- 18:54an insane amount of value, but we are fighting for a SAS
- 18:57budget. And so if we create Infinity
- 19:00dollars, we are still capped on how much we can charge because
- 19:03retention budgets aren't performance marketing budgets.
- 19:06And some CF OS going to be like, hey, the line item is too big,
- 19:08cut it. And they're like, sorry guys, we
- 19:11have a budget. And my comment is like there are
- 19:13dollars on the ground that we can pick up from your existing
- 19:17list and we will hand you those dollars for way cheaper than
- 19:21what you would spend on Meta to go acquire the net new customer.
- 19:25Like the opportunity cost of not using US is all the spend and
- 19:27performance marketing. And what has happened is we've
- 19:30had a handful of like extremely painful churn where it's like,
- 19:33it is undeniable, even in their like, not us telling you, Hey,
- 19:37we're good, but like they're like, Hey, here's your ROI,
- 19:40here's this, it's 17 X, It's whatever.
- 19:43We just don't have budget. And so the framing that I've
- 19:46been thinking about a lot recently is like when the
- 19:48renewal I, I, I don't know, I heard something podcast,
- 19:51whatever, right? Richard, you and I talked about
- 19:52pricing separately and like, and it's just like, we just need to
- 19:57live with brands long enough for us to become electricity in
- 19:59their system. And when they work with Rita,
- 20:02they get the most out of their list.
- 20:03It could be their e-mail list sooner, SMS list, whatever.
- 20:06And so I think with pricing you, you start well, you learn, you
- 20:09do price discovery, but like at no point like you, you really
- 20:13need to know what your buyers constraints are.
- 20:15And I think we've done a mediocre best job of that.
- 20:18I think we're getting better and I, you know, we, we already have
- 20:21some like boomerangs who are coming back.
- 20:22We're like, Yep, we actually, we want that rough shoe pack that
- 20:25we've given up. Jeremiah, do you, do you think
- 20:28that that's true in the economy ecosystem, out of curiosity?
- 20:32Talking about like the SAS budget versus something else or
- 20:35which part of that? Retention versus acquisition.
- 20:38Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly. I do, I think yeah, I mean we
- 20:43work with. So obviously you guys know
- 20:45Faring well. We're, you know, very similar
- 20:47product with no my estimate, it's hard to see exact numbers,
- 20:52but my estimate is that our customers spends north of 10
- 20:56billion a year on paid ads and we are helping them like for
- 21:00most of them at least the the primary use case is helping them
- 21:02understand the impact of those paid ads and the amount that we
- 21:06generate. It's a very, very, very, very
- 21:08small fraction of that. So I think about that a lot.
- 21:11I think like if if you could actually, because it's looked at
- 21:14it as a SAS product and I think even within that there's even
- 21:18like subcategories and SAS that people have expectations around
- 21:20price. So when you call it survey,
- 21:23there's a upper limit on what somebody's willing to pay for
- 21:26that. And so we think about that a
- 21:28lot. We and I would say like a lot of
- 21:31our, a lot of the things we've been working on over the years
- 21:34has been trying to move out of that.
- 21:36And in some regards in terms of like the framing and how people
- 21:40think about it. But I completely agree.
- 21:41Like if you can actually attach yourself to the acquisition side
- 21:43of things, which like you've, you've been doing that, I think
- 21:48it sounds like or you've at least been thinking that way.
- 21:50I'd be curious about your thoughts on that too.
- 21:52But you can attach yourself to the acquisition side.
- 21:54There's a totally different price that somebody is willing
- 21:58to pay in that context. I wish Austell's guy was here
- 22:02because he would have so many thoughts on this.
- 22:05Obviously at Foreplay, we have over 15,000 paying customers and
- 22:08most of them come to us for opportunity.
- 22:10They're coming to us for the benefit as opposed to
- 22:14opportunity cost. The the cost that they're
- 22:16incurring, there's some amount of people who want to reduce
- 22:19their creative costs because creative production is so high
- 22:22that it's expensive and it's extremely expensive to produce
- 22:25bad ads that don't work, right. So some amount of people are
- 22:28coming, like our creative budget is large and some of it is
- 22:31getting wasted. There's a sort of, you know,
- 22:33the, the larger customers, the more operational customers, but
- 22:38most people come to us for opportunity, they're coming for
- 22:40benefit, right? And we're selling the benefit,
- 22:42right, which is that, well, if you could launch better ads, the
- 22:45opportunity might be better. Yeah, I think our sales guy
- 22:48would have a lot of thoughts on this, but I'm keen to hear what
- 22:51you guys think. I think that maybe part of it is
- 22:54selling opportunity cost, selling pain to somebody who
- 22:57might not actually be experiencing that pain or might
- 22:59not be looking to buy to resolve that pain as opposed to they're
- 23:03looking to buy for opportunity because we already know that
- 23:06they're looking to buy for opportunity and the acquisition
- 23:08side of things, right? Rachel, if I can jump in on this
- 23:12point and then head off on like the performance side of things.
- 23:15Jack, the first product that DB and Zach felt was actually a
- 23:18cost savings tool. It was you're sending a million
- 23:20emails. We will with statistical
- 23:23significance prove to you that you could send 600,000 emails,
- 23:27get the same revenue. You're going to save money
- 23:29because every e-mail is maybe a ton of a petty, but 400,000
- 23:32emails twice a week adds up. We're going to take half the
- 23:34savings is kind of the framing. And what we learned literally
- 23:38within the first couple months is like, oh, actually there's
- 23:41this thing called e-mail deliverability and there's a
- 23:44thing called don't annoy Jeremiah.
- 23:45So he doesn't unsubscribe today. So the list is healthier in a
- 23:48month whenever he's ready. And oh, we're actually a growth
- 23:50factor. We are not a cost savings.
- 23:52And so for truly almost two years, we've not talked about
- 23:55cost savings at all. I, I just rolled off another
- 23:57like a podcast with one of our investors who mentioned that we
- 24:00are cost savings tool. And I was like, we're not.
- 24:02And it's so funny because it's like 2 years ago.
- 24:05So we are a growth tool and I've offered so many brands a Rev
- 24:11share on growth. Nobody actually wants to do it.
- 24:15And again, it's like, whoa, whoa, proof performance.
- 24:19But they think about us as a retention budget and retention
- 24:23budget is capped. And so it's like even when we
- 24:26position that way, by the way, This is why we're moving into
- 24:28performance marketing. We do track mail, we do ads.
- 24:31I'd love to figure out a way to break out of that.
- 24:33So open to any and all advice but we we keep finding ourselves
- 24:37being capped because of where the budget is.
- 24:40Yeah. I just wonder if the reason I
- 24:43asked Jeremiah, Yeah. And Jack's input is I just
- 24:48wonder if it's structural to the market as opposed to to the
- 24:51function. Not that I know any better, but
- 24:56I just wonder if you'd see the same thing if you like went to
- 24:58consumer SAS or if you went to like some other market
- 25:03basically? It's, it's interesting though,
- 25:05because, and I guess Aaron, I don't know what this will look
- 25:08like when you get into, you know, the ad side of things.
- 25:12But I know companies out there that operate in that space and
- 25:19are basically taking a cut of the ad spend.
- 25:21And I think that's probably an upper limit on that too.
- 25:23There's a point at which somebody says, no, I'm not going
- 25:26to pay you $1,000,000 a month, but there is like a, there's a,
- 25:30a much, that number is much bigger before somebody starts to
- 25:33say, yeah, I'm not comfortable with that.
- 25:36And because if you can show that the incremental value that
- 25:39you're driving is bigger than whatever the additional cost
- 25:42that you're putting on there, it's just a, it's a totally
- 25:45different way of thinking about it.
- 25:46And so I do think like the whatever you charge for
- 25:49retention, you can probably charge 1020 times as much on the
- 25:52acquisition side for the same effective output.
- 25:55Yeah. I'm not going to name this
- 25:57customer, but I'm going to tell you guys a story because it
- 25:59might be helpful. There was a customer who we
- 26:03worked with, who has, who has since turned, who they they grew
- 26:12from. And I'm also going to purposely
- 26:14obfuscate numbers because otherwise it becomes easy to
- 26:17guess, but everything is in ballpark.
- 26:19OK. So let's just say they grew from
- 26:21a $20 million brand to $100 million brand.
- 26:24So they were spending millions a month and in working with us or
- 26:28CPA was a was like 40% of what it was before they started
- 26:36working with us or in a comparison because like we
- 26:40always do, always on hold outs and things like that.
- 26:43So anyways, it's like a 2 1/2 X difference, OK, between when
- 26:47they were used for mod versus when they didn't.
- 26:49They did all the things that you would expect a DDC brand to do.
- 26:53They tried to like replicate the pages on their own, like all of
- 26:55these things. But like the UI is not what we
- 26:58sell. There's like a bunch of stuff
- 27:00happening under the hood, right? So even like A to them, they
- 27:05were like, we perfectly copied it.
- 27:06Why is it not performing the same?
- 27:07I was like, we've tried to tell you this 100 times, like the UI
- 27:11is only a part of it, but it doesn't matter.
- 27:14And they were, let's just say that they were paying us again,
- 27:17these numbers are not correct, but let's just say they were
- 27:20paying us a quarter, $1,000,000 a year.
- 27:22OK, all in territory. So then they asked to come back
- 27:30because they stopped working with us and their Cpas actually
- 27:33quadrupled, right? Because what ends up happening
- 27:37when you stop using The thing is not just that the comparison
- 27:40difference happens, but then the rest of your systems all get
- 27:42screwed up. And so it actually becomes even
- 27:45worse. And, and it they're like then
- 27:49they asked to come back like roughly 2 months later and we
- 27:53basically said no just to be for like just to cut a Long story
- 27:58short, for a variety of reasons, we were like, hey, here are all
- 28:02the conditions that if you can meet them, then you can come
- 28:05back. But we're like other like it's
- 28:08up to you and pass that. Like we, we just, we just don't
- 28:12care, right? Not, not because we don't care
- 28:14to help brands. Like that is like literally the
- 28:17purpose of the company. But it's because I think that
- 28:22like there is a reality of like at some point there's a reality
- 28:26of opportunity cost for the company or the vendor who is
- 28:30like serving a customer and like the customer type and persona
- 28:35and things like that, where no matter how much value you are
- 28:38giving and no matter what the fair, by the way, like the ROI
- 28:43on this for them was probably like somewhere between 25 and
- 28:4750X. And it was like the difference
- 28:49between their business growing super fast and not.
- 28:53And so I, I think there's like there are deeper, harder
- 28:59structural questions that every company needs to ask about how
- 29:03they think about what, what customer deserve, what audience
- 29:07deserve, how to serve it, Do they want to participate in that
- 29:10market or not? And I think that's just like a
- 29:13reality. Like I, I, on the one hand,
- 29:16there's like a part of me that's like, hey, this rhetoric of
- 29:19like, yes, on the one hand, like I want to do things that are
- 29:23deeply customer centric and the company's deeply customer
- 29:26centric. And at the same time, companies
- 29:29like ours also do have opportunity cost, right?
- 29:32And so who I do that for actually matters a lot.
- 29:35Yeah. In this case, could you have
- 29:38like added a zero and gone? You know what?
- 29:40It's worth it now. So like instead of 250 it was
- 29:43like 2 and a half million. Yeah, yeah, just 10X their bill
- 29:47and said, hey, you know what guys, we'll do it for you, but
- 29:50it's going to cost more. Yeah, like I said, there were,
- 29:53there were a set of criteria that we outlined under which
- 29:56they. Were.
- 29:58Like, hey, and and so like there was a set of things that if were
- 30:03fulfilled, it was like, great, you guys should just use it now.
- 30:06Yeah. I'm following you crazy.
- 30:10We've talked about commerce being a fickle place, right?
- 30:13And like one of the pushes that you've given us, which like
- 30:15we're doing because we are an ML team as we are just moving out
- 30:18market, right? Like the bigger the brand, the
- 30:21better. And it's not like even if we're
- 30:23charging exactly the same for every brand, we will be more
- 30:26performant for larger brands because they have more data for
- 30:29our models to work against. But I think part of what you've
- 30:33heard from us is like commerce's are vertical today, but commerce
- 30:37is not our whole business. When you look at companies in
- 30:41this space, do you do you think that you can still go build a
- 30:46public company in the Shopify ecosystem or is it immediately
- 30:49need to move out? I think there's no chance.
- 30:52Yeah, Yeah. I think it's like not possible,
- 30:56not because I don't think that there are like great brands and
- 30:59great companies to work with in the Shopify ecosystem.
- 31:02I just think that the structure of the Shopify ecosystem is set
- 31:06up to make it extraordinarily difficult for a vendor that
- 31:11operate. You're saying like if you
- 31:13operate only in the Shopify ecosystem, right?
- 31:15Like the specific constraint is like I don't serve sales force,
- 31:18I don't serve. You might you might like HTC
- 31:21over time, but. Yeah, I, I think if the way you
- 31:25set up the question is we only serve this one ecosystem.
- 31:30I think you're setting yourself up for, for like an impossible
- 31:35task. And, and, and the principal
- 31:38reason that that I think that is again, not because there aren't
- 31:41like great brands and like people are highly experimental
- 31:45things like that. I think that one of the
- 31:49structural insights that I had, which I don't know why it took
- 31:52me so long to realize this, is the cost of Shopify is put into
- 31:59their payment processing fee. And this one single thing
- 32:06actually shapes the entire SAS ecosystem that's built around
- 32:09it. And I don't know how it took me
- 32:11so long to like realize this, but the appearance of how much
- 32:16Shopify costs shifts the structure of the rest of the
- 32:20market. At least that's my opinion.
- 32:22And, and I don't know, Jeremiah, you're nodding along.
- 32:27I'd be very curious what your take is.
- 32:29But I do think that that matters a lot.
- 32:32And I think that it is not, I'm not saying that Shopify is being
- 32:35malicious or anything like that in in this design, but I think
- 32:39that there's a massive education component that is like an very
- 32:43difficult and until it gets rectified, makes it impossibly
- 32:47difficult. Yeah.
- 32:49I think there's the that's exactly right because if you're,
- 32:51you know, Shopify Plus is what 2000 a month, I think it may be
- 32:54a little bit higher depending on what is for the software fee,
- 32:58but the bigger stores on Shopify Plus are actually paying 40,000.
- 33:02I think it's. That's the cap, right, I think.
- 33:04The cap, yeah, like that's what you're actually if you're $100
- 33:08million a year brand selling on Shopify, that's what you're
- 33:10actually paying for Shopify, but your subscription fee and that's
- 33:14why that's the payment fees, right.
- 33:16So that doesn't include the, the subscription, but you're
- 33:19actually paying, you know, over half a million a year for that
- 33:22piece of software. But when it, when it, you look
- 33:25at it as $2000 a month, it feels hard to pay more than a few $100
- 33:29for a, an app that plugs into that.
- 33:31I, I completely agree with that. And then if we look at the
- 33:34question of public companies, it's really just Clavio that's
- 33:38been able to start like really gain their foothold in this
- 33:41ecosystem and move out. And if you look at Clavio,
- 33:43they're actually not even that big in the e-mail space.
- 33:46That's not kind of unfair. They're, they're big, but
- 33:48they're not like, like MailChimp is actually twice the size of
- 33:51Clavio when they exited a couple of years ago.
- 33:54So it's just that that mark is so massive that there's enough
- 33:58there that I think you can start there.
- 34:00And I don't know what Clavio's numbers are now, but I would
- 34:02assume that most of their revenues actually not coming
- 34:04from the ecosystem anymore. So yeah, I just don't think
- 34:08it's, I don't think you could actually build a public company
- 34:12off of Shopify. What did?
- 34:14What do you guys think? Yeah, I mean, I think it's
- 34:16fascinating. I think that's, I think that's
- 34:18incredibly insightful. It's that structural argument
- 34:21that you, that you made is very similar to the one that Aaron
- 34:24was making about like just the how at least in this market too,
- 34:29people think about retention, right?
- 34:31Which is like they'll if they'll take a, if something is
- 34:36performance, 20% put in a dollar, you get $1.20, they'll
- 34:40do that in e-mail. You got to put in one penny and
- 34:44get $1000. Otherwise it's like not worth
- 34:47it. Even though it's, it's, it's
- 34:48like same conceptually. And so you know what, what we've
- 34:52always, what we've noticed when we've talked to other, other,
- 34:55other companies because we have like just had conversations
- 34:59because as Aaron mentioned, like our, our goal is like, we
- 35:01started this ecosystem because everything's so connected.
- 35:03So it's really easy to like get the data that's all formatted in
- 35:06a way we don't have to do like unique things for every CDP that
- 35:10we're integrating with because we're now it's Nike this time
- 35:12and now it's lift this time and it's like different data
- 35:15structure. And so that allowed us to make
- 35:17things that were very performant very quickly.
- 35:20But then you run into like the, the conversation gap on like the
- 35:24value prop is, is, is this huge ceiling that that we hid and we
- 35:29are finding ways around and stuff like that.
- 35:30But it's also something that we noticed is like is markedly less
- 35:35apparent when we go talk to other other players in the
- 35:39space, big companies that sell financial services or they, you
- 35:43know, the grocery delivery. It's just like, that's not the
- 35:46their conversation is like, oh, 3% on $1 billion budget.
- 35:50Great. And then here's what you can
- 35:52charge. Fine, it's a multiple of that.
- 35:55That's fine, Go let's do it. Like let's go right away.
- 35:57Even though it is e-mail or even though it is SMS, it's just to
- 36:01your point, it's just like people cannot imagine spending
- 36:06more on the SAS tool that is higher than either Shopify or
- 36:11Clavio. They're like, Nope, that's the
- 36:12top. And it's like, yeah, but yeah,
- 36:15it's really the bottom actually, to take the foundation.
- 36:17Everything else can like drive performance on top of those
- 36:19things that you could pay a lot of money for, yeah.
- 36:21Yeah, my hunch is that there's like, so there's, there's like
- 36:24this one structural thing related to price.
- 36:27I think the other one that is like not spoken about as much is
- 36:29that the E com Tam in the US has been shrinking for the last
- 36:34three years, which is like a really bad thing.
- 36:36And when you're living in a shrinking Tam, like willingness
- 36:41to spend is just really bad, right?
- 36:44So like you should look at E cotton growth rates before the
- 36:50pandemic and after the pandemic. But before the pandemic, it was
- 36:53like double digit growth rates. Ignore the pandemic because it
- 36:56like went straight up like and then it went straight down,
- 36:59right? But since then it's been at 4%.
- 37:03So it's like barely keeping up with inflation.
- 37:05And so, so it's like actually shrinking, like the behavior in
- 37:11in some ways is rational to the macro, right?
- 37:16Like, like I don't say any of this to say to like, like, like
- 37:20none of what I say is intended by, by any stretch of
- 37:23imagination to be like saying like, hey, this person is not
- 37:26acting rationally or this person is, or this person is being
- 37:28malicious. It's just like I think that the
- 37:30structural ramifications of this market are, are very are very
- 37:36different than other markets, right.
- 37:39So it's just something to think about.
- 37:41One more quick thing too, I think the, the thing that you
- 37:44highlighted DB that makes us such a good space to build in
- 37:47initially, the access to data, the cleanliness of it all that
- 37:50kind of stuff is also the thing that makes it so hard because
- 37:53it's so easy and for more competitors to come in, it's
- 37:56easy to switch to something else.
- 37:57Like there's, I've seen, I mean, looking at some of the logos on
- 38:02your site and work with some of those brands and know that they
- 38:05use everything like anything that you could possibly plug in,
- 38:09they're turning it on, they're trying it out.
- 38:10They're trying to see what works, what doesn't work.
- 38:12They're trying something new like that.
- 38:14And that's, I think that makes sense.
- 38:16I'm not saying they shouldn't do that, but it's easy to do that
- 38:19in a way that it's not in other industries.
- 38:21Yeah, liquid market are are liquid, you know.
- 38:24We've had a very interesting period for last month.
- 38:28We're like, we actually think we've an end of 1 product.
- 38:31Like yes, the data is available, but like TB and Zach should not
- 38:35be in e-commerce. They're just idiots who happen
- 38:37to be here. They should be running pricing
- 38:39teams at Uber. You know what I mean?
- 38:40Like they are like exceptional ML engineers and humans,
- 38:44whatever who happen to be in e-commerce, right?
- 38:48And happen to have found a problem and have like been
- 38:50tinkering on that problem for years.
- 38:52And the output of our modeling, which is super duper complex is
- 38:56very simple. And that's why I'm able to sell
- 38:57it, which is like, hey, guys, we're going to give you a list
- 39:00of people who want to hear from you.
- 39:02And our segments will be better and like we'll do a run off
- 39:06against anybody. But there are a lot of companies
- 39:08right now who are saying, ah, we also give segments and here's
- 39:11your top decile. Here's the next.
- 39:13And DB in a delightful way will be like anybody can put like
- 39:19numbers on like profiles, right? And so the problem that we fight
- 39:24with is like there's actually a lot of noise where it's not
- 39:28totally mind your point. It's not like, Oh yeah, this is
- 39:30like a competitor that does the same thing.
- 39:31It's like just people saying they do what we do.
- 39:34And so that is, you know, the natural issue of being in any
- 39:37ecosystem. And so like we are waiting a lot
- 39:41of these guys out and we're like, great.
- 39:42We'll just keep creating a lot of value and then growing.
- 39:46I think in terms of the like rich of the market dynamic, I
- 39:50will just say whatever I believe doesn't matter because we have
- 39:53been told by every VC I'm like old enough and I live in the Bay
- 39:57Area where I know like a lot of like amazing investors and
- 40:01they're like, yeah, I don't do commerce tech.
- 40:03And so like, it doesn't matter what I want to believe.
- 40:05Like they're a handful, right? But it's a reason not like what
- 40:09we're building is actually like very specifically.
- 40:11It is like this is our first vertical and in this vertical.
- 40:14You have an insane amount of divergent strategies.
- 40:17You have brands that send one e-mail a week and 15 emails a
- 40:20week and brands that have done well, Gmail brands that.
- 40:22And so the whole strategy is go build amazing products, build a
- 40:27global model and then port it to your point, consumer SAS or B to
- 40:31B or whatever, which is like higher willingness to pay,
- 40:35actually understands that budgets are fungible and that if
- 40:38I can get more dollars in retention than I can in
- 40:40performance, I will put more dollars in retention.
- 40:43We just need to do the work to live long enough, right, and
- 40:46build better products and better products and better products to
- 40:48get there. The one thing that I think is
- 40:51like really interesting is I suspect that you guys probably
- 40:57have like a lot of growth to be had at like as people catch on
- 41:05to the first wave of AI products that they start to use.
- 41:08And then what happens after that for, for, for two reasons. 1 is
- 41:15like AI product usage adoption rates are ridiculously high.
- 41:20And, and the second reason is that every one of those
- 41:24products, the rate at which they change in order to like retain
- 41:27their customers and or expand within them is also ridiculously
- 41:30high. And so I think like, you know,
- 41:34while consumer products is like a great vertical and was a great
- 41:38vertical and always will be for getting good data.
- 41:42I just think we happen to be in an era where there may be
- 41:44another vertical out there that is equally rich, equally
- 41:49interesting because, yeah, because like the, the, the like
- 41:53allure and the seductiveness of e-commerce is like the data is
- 41:57really good. I'm curious too for for you guys
- 42:01like what are what are your ambitions from here?
- 42:03I know we haven't really touched on that yet, but Aaron, you're
- 42:07talking about investors and stuff, so and I have no idea how
- 42:10you're capitalized all that. But I try to take over the world
- 42:14DVI think before we get into that.
- 42:16I you have a pretty good just in terms of the velocity of AI and
- 42:20Jeremiah will tell you where we're going and brazing and
- 42:22everything. But DV maybe like the thought
- 42:24are on the way back machine and like how companies are just like
- 42:27changing so quickly. Yeah, I mean, there's definitely
- 42:31a lot of companies that whose websites have changed very
- 42:35quickly and who now do a lot of agentic stuff.
- 42:41And I think there's lots of teams that are have built very
- 42:45successful looking rappers for LLMS and things like that.
- 42:49And so you know what, what I what I feel, what I feel is
- 42:55tough is if you, if you do something right now that
- 42:59delivers some value, but you could quad code it, vibe code it
- 43:04and get something that's like decent enough and it doesn't
- 43:06need to be accurate enough that it, that it matters.
- 43:08Then that's, that's, that's tough.
- 43:12But there's, you know, and so like, I think if I would think
- 43:14about this in like terms like the medical field, the medical
- 43:16space, it's like, I think it's hard right now to be like a
- 43:19nurse practitioner or AGP or something like that, like
- 43:22someone you is important to see. But like, there's lots of that.
- 43:25I don't think there is a fear of like AI replacing neurosurgeons
- 43:30and so and it. Isn't it?
- 43:33It already is. Most neurosurgery doesn't happen
- 43:35by hand, it happens from machine learning machines.
- 43:39There are surgical OK, I actually know we talked about.
- 43:43I don't know much about it. I'm the I'm the one out of the
- 43:46depth booga booga monkey brain Jack.
- 43:48But. So DVDV has a yeah.
- 43:50So yeah, DV has a PhD guys, just to.
- 43:53Like. As a point out.
- 43:55The the Yeah from medical school in the neurobiology department.
- 43:59The, the, and so the thing too is that like, I think that, that
- 44:05what we don't know about a lot of AI tooling and like 5 counts
- 44:08like that. It's like, what is the total
- 44:09cost to serve? I think that's something that's
- 44:10like not spoken about, which is like, if you now Claude cuts
- 44:13something in house, like you now are responsible for that thing.
- 44:16So what will really matter is like where do things need to
- 44:19have like reliability, scalability, you know,
- 44:21predictability? I think it's like really, really
- 44:23critical in theory. It's never been easier for our
- 44:26engineering team to have all the infrastructure around us to
- 44:31build our stuff. But we still use GCP, right?
- 44:34Because of scalability, reliability.
- 44:36And so I think there's like a lot of software aspects around
- 44:39those components that are like really, really critical.
- 44:41And I do think that a lot of like the the AI tools and AI
- 44:44inject tools, like it's like, what are they actually being
- 44:46used for? If they're like ways to bounce
- 44:48an idea off of something really quick and that required like a
- 44:51whole business intelligence dashboard thing and now you can
- 44:54kind of like make that on your own.
- 44:55I think that yeah, that stuff can be replaced.
- 44:57But like were things where huge amounts of expertise, huge
- 45:00amounts of strategy, huge amounts of all this sort of
- 45:02stuff that I really specialize. I think like that's actually
- 45:06what is what will kind of win out from this.
- 45:10And I'm going to take a real academic thing.
- 45:12There was a paper published in Science about Agenta coding
- 45:15tools from from developers a few weeks ago.
- 45:18And what they showed was that like, the adoption is huge
- 45:21amongst all these developers that are like looking at GitHub
- 45:23commits and stuff like that. And what they learned from the
- 45:26paper was that everyone's using it a lot more.
- 45:29It's only making senior devs more productive.
- 45:32Yes, that is for. Sure.
- 45:34So like it's it's, it's like junior devs are using it, the
- 45:37commits that have stuff with their clearly agenda stuff same,
- 45:41but like their output is not different.
- 45:44The output of the senior devs are like 2X of what it was
- 45:48before. And so to me that what I think
- 45:50about this whole space is like where where are the spaces where
- 45:53that specialty is key? Where are the neurosurgeons?
- 45:56Because the neurosurgeons will be two X Those are twice as
- 45:58many. They'll do 2 brains at the same
- 46:00time. You know what I mean?
- 46:00Like that's that's like the kind of world where it's going.
- 46:03And then where are the things where it's like, yeah, this is
- 46:05pretty good. Like I need to know this
- 46:06generally. Like I can probably vibe code
- 46:08this on my own and get itself because I don't need accurate
- 46:11enough a reliable scalable if that I can like just this.
- 46:13I can look at this once a month and it's good enough that I
- 46:15think is the place where like those things will be
- 46:18commoditized very quickly or replaced in house by their own
- 46:21teams. Yeah, DB, one thing I'm curious
- 46:26what your take on it is, is I think that that's correct.
- 46:29I also think that these adoption cycles are going to happen in
- 46:32very different time horizons by industry and by department,
- 46:36100%. So like one thing that I've been
- 46:40trying to tell my team without instilling the fear of God in
- 46:44them is like, because we're in cohort 1 and we're like adopting
- 46:48these very fast. And like in like this first
- 46:51cohort of companies, our company is going to change the fastest.
- 46:55But then I was in New York last week talking to a bunch of our
- 46:58customers and partners, things like that.
- 47:00They haven't even downloaded Clod.
- 47:02OK, So not that they won't, but the speed is like very
- 47:08different. And then within a given company
- 47:11across departments, the speed is very.
- 47:13Different. Like even within my own company,
- 47:18different departments are adopting at very different
- 47:19rates, right? I, I think that has to be
- 47:23somehow because like ultimately, like we are participating in
- 47:26capitalism, right? And so it's like, like the
- 47:29pragmatic thing here is like, we can all say like, hey, in the
- 47:33long term horizon, like everything is going to be done
- 47:36by anthropic, but it kind of doesn't matter because in the
- 47:38long term we're all dead anyway, right?
- 47:41So like that's like a not useful thing to say.
- 47:47And so I, I just wonder, given what you're describing, you
- 47:51marry like this idea of where do you need the depth of expertise
- 47:54with the fact that it's sort of like kinetics versus
- 47:58thermodynamics, right? It's like there's a
- 48:01thermodynamic problem, which is like, hey, this is like the
- 48:03state, but then the rate at which it happens is very is
- 48:05variable. Like how do you think about that
- 48:08for, for, for where we where you guys want to go to market?
- 48:12Yeah, I mean, it's, it's, it's really great insight.
- 48:15And and I think that this, so, you know, Aaron mentioned that
- 48:20like we're thinking about, we are marching more and more
- 48:22upmarket and naively we thought about that purely from like a
- 48:26data perspective. And like he says like, oh, they
- 48:28have lots of data. From my perspective of machine
- 48:31learning engineer, it's, it's, it's because there's more
- 48:33variance in their customer base and because there's more
- 48:35variance in their customer base and how those customers are,
- 48:37they need to have a variety of outreach strategies and this
- 48:39that, you know, they have someone who signed up 10 seconds
- 48:41ago, someone signed up 10 years ago.
- 48:43But dynamics are very different versus if a company started one
- 48:46month ago, Everyone's basically the same.
- 48:49But to, to your point too, is that like when you have go up
- 48:53that scale, not only is there more variance in the data and
- 48:56stuff like that, but then like all the stakes are a lot higher.
- 48:59And to your point, which I'd like the, the penetration is
- 49:01going to be a lot slower. Like shop brands are very
- 49:04willing to connect data and to share it and to put AI tooling
- 49:08on it And have Claude read half of that stuff like Nike's not
- 49:12going to do that, let alone like a bank, let alone, you know, a
- 49:17government entity, right? And so like, like, I think that
- 49:20as you being in the two point, that cohort, one of like where
- 49:24we can adopt it, where we can find that sort of leverage.
- 49:26And then it's like figure out what are the pockets even in a,
- 49:29in a quote, UN quote faster moving space, which is like
- 49:31first, like a lot of these tech companies and stuff like that,
- 49:33smaller brands and it's like larger brands, even larger
- 49:36organizations, even different markets.
- 49:39We eventually want to help serve communication across channels
- 49:42for all sorts of companies. The last to move will probably
- 49:45be the medical system, as I because I've experienced in that
- 49:48space. It's just like super cake for
- 49:51lots and lots of excellent reasons.
- 49:53And so they're adopting of like intelligence for communication
- 49:56is going to be the last frontier.
- 49:58And so The thing is like, how can we position ourselves with?
- 50:01And it's not just because of like it's a slow moving thing.
- 50:04They need them. They need that they have the
- 50:05highest level security trust. The stakes are so high.
- 50:08So you have to build up that case, which isn't just like
- 50:11performance, it's also like it's also the reputation.
- 50:14It's also the stability. Like all of that has to proceed,
- 50:17you know, to get a contract with Mount Sinai, you, you can't just
- 50:20be like, yeah, we did this for this brand, all right, Mount
- 50:24Sinai, like hop on board. And it's like, no, they're going
- 50:26to be like Nike. Then it was Bank of America.
- 50:28Then it was like, and then all of a sudden, like the hospital
- 50:30like, OK, that's interesting. You're serving all these sorts
- 50:32of things. So that's another way that I
- 50:33think about it too. Richard, from a much less smart
- 50:38perspective, I feel like at the end of the day, like what is the
- 50:41job to be done that you're building your company around?
- 50:43And if our products are around, sometimes we're building
- 50:45products that should disappear in in a month or in a year,
- 50:48right? It's like, I just heard a great
- 50:49podcast with Brett Taylor from Sierra, and I think it was Jack
- 50:53Altman's and it was like, Hey, how do you get a team to be
- 50:55motivated knowing that in two years everything they're
- 50:58building is going to disappear, right?
- 51:00And so we will build stuff to make it easier for our customers
- 51:03today, brands to drive a ton of value.
- 51:07But what is the durable thing we're building?
- 51:10And at the end of the day, it's like, are we building?
- 51:12Are we the best in the world at helping you stack, rank your
- 51:15audience in a channel? And if we are good things will
- 51:18happen. And what tools we use and what
- 51:20pace people adopt it over time, we will continue to win because
- 51:23it is like a very, very hard problem to solve.
- 51:26And it is like the only problem we are solving.
- 51:30And then like, we'll turn people, but we should just
- 51:33continue to be ticking up and growing.
- 51:34I was. Just going to say, I think it's
- 51:35really interesting. If you look at like just how
- 51:37fast Anthropic is shipping, they're solving a new problem
- 51:41all the time and sort of like the small startups kind of need
- 51:45to too. Whether it's because Gorgeous
- 51:47Anthropic just shipped something that does what you do natively,
- 51:51or it's just being adaptive to what the market's actually
- 51:55asking for what the job to be done is, right?
- 51:58I remember with my first brand, I used to I hated this when I
- 52:02was running my first brand, this was like the bane of of my
- 52:05existence. It was.
- 52:06Horrible our products. Could be illegally downloaded.
- 52:09So as soon as we had like 500 to 1000 customers on anyone
- 52:12product, it was super abundant and it was available for free
- 52:16online and we had to make something else right.
- 52:19And I think that that was kind of good because it forced us to
- 52:23adapt all the time. We had to be doing something
- 52:25new. I have an e-commerce brand now,
- 52:27our best selling product. We have a little bit of
- 52:29distribution, but you know, we have a hair product like
- 52:32everyone else has been our best selling product for over a year,
- 52:35right. I don't really want too many
- 52:38people to know about it because it's not particularly special or
- 52:40unique. But you know, that's a luxury,
- 52:44right? To have a problem that you're
- 52:45solving for your customers that you can continue to solve and
- 52:49not have to update or that. But yeah, I wonder if that's
- 52:53sort of the the muscle here that that needs to be worked, being
- 52:58adaptive and solving the problem that's in front of you, getting
- 53:00the job done as opposed to building something that's going
- 53:05to last, what, three years, five years?
- 53:07And you're going to have some incredible foresight, a crystal
- 53:10ball to figure out what that problem is, right?
- 53:13Yeah, I think Sierra is taking the position that we're not, we
- 53:17don't, we don't need to know because we have a team of
- 53:19forward deployed people and they'll just keep asking.
- 53:25That's like one way to do that, right?
- 53:29But yeah, I, I, yeah, the market's evolving in like a, in
- 53:32like a very, in like a very special way right now.
- 53:35So wait, hold on, There was someone asked like Jeremiah, did
- 53:40you ask about the capitalization plans over time?
- 53:42Yeah, just look at what the yeah, what you guys are aiming
- 53:44towards. I mean is it the bootstrap to
- 53:48you know, 10 million a year profit?
- 53:50Is it going public? What is it?
- 53:51Yeah, I'll give you the TLDR's like, and this is dumb, but we
- 53:55want to go public and it's not because like how cool to be on a
- 53:58magazine or make more money. It's like we should think we are
- 54:00solving an extraordinarily important problem that is very
- 54:03hard. And so like if you're not aiming
- 54:06that way, it's like we can do a hackneyed B plus version that
- 54:10will like make some cash. But so like we've raised from
- 54:13awesome investors who got Sugar Capital, Javelin Venture
- 54:16Partner, Super Angel, like we, we've got B partners, like a
- 54:19bunch of good investors. We are raising more like we need
- 54:23to. We're like, we've actually cut
- 54:24into our burn very meaningfully. And like we're building.
- 54:26We, we, we basically invested a bunch to find the machine.
- 54:29And we're not like officially throwing gas on the fire, but
- 54:33like we're pretty close right now.
- 54:34And so now it's like really time to scale, scale channels, right?
- 54:39And then over time scaling the different verticals.
- 54:42So the, the ambition is there. Yeah, like pretty excited about
- 54:48this journey. Guys, I'm dying to ask because
- 54:52this is somewhat consistent across all of the conversations
- 54:55we have. No one, no one is bullish on
- 54:58ECOM. And I get it like there, ECOM is
- 55:01suffering. If you think about the numbers
- 55:02that Rashad was talking about, it makes sense.
- 55:05But what are your thoughts on why we're all building here
- 55:09apart from just, it's easy, right?
- 55:12Because like, don't get me wrong, it being easy, it being
- 55:15like somewhere where there are early adopters is, is definitely
- 55:18a good reason to build here. But I don't know, I feel like
- 55:21I'm just seeing different news to you guys sometimes.
- 55:24I just saw this recently. Quince is a superstar, unique
- 55:29business that's been out for a while.
- 55:32And then as they load her with all their brands, yeah.
- 55:36I just wonder. Why we do it?
- 55:38I ran a brand for a decade, so I'm not pathetic to how painful
- 55:41is to run a brand. And I'm just like now an old
- 55:43person in e-commerce. Like I don't know anything else.
- 55:46Once we move outside of e-commerce, Stevie and Zach are
- 55:48going to fire me and I'm going to be happy again.
- 55:51I don't know if it's cool. It's like there is such joy in
- 55:54like actually that like interaction with the consumer.
- 55:57That's candidly it for me. Like the BDB side.
- 56:00I could take her leave. I've missed the like brand side.
- 56:02It is so much fun to run a brand.
- 56:04It's exhausting. It's all the things like
- 56:06actually getting in touch with people and building something
- 56:09that somebody wants. It's like, it's pretty awesome.
- 56:12Yeah, I think, I think to me, you know, there there was the
- 56:15ease of, of integration, the ease of, of getting the data,
- 56:20all that kind of stuff. But you know, as a machine
- 56:24learning company, ultimately Rishab, you're going to
- 56:28understand because this is some nerdy reinforce of learning
- 56:30talk. It's like what we're doing is
- 56:31we're like really understanding and evaluating tons of
- 56:34strategies, collecting policies for reinforcement learning.
- 56:37What are the policies of brands are doing for a marketing
- 56:39perspective? As Aaron said, like that's like
- 56:42I e-mail once a week, I e-mail 10 times a week.
- 56:44It's like the diversity of strategies in the space for
- 56:48communication is enormous. It's much, there's much more
- 56:53variance there than in any other market.
- 56:57And that allows you to vary not quickly.
- 57:02It's, it's not quick and it's not easy.
- 57:03It allows you to understand the bit like people's behaviors on
- 57:08these channels much faster. And so like, imagine if we did
- 57:12this from a a very sticky, I'll do the medical thing.
- 57:15If if we're handling hospital communications, it's like how
- 57:19they don't have variants in this.
- 57:21They've done this thing. And it's because some IT person
- 57:23said that this is the way to do it.
- 57:24Like you've learned so slowly in that case, I mean, you could
- 57:27build a great business and you could have every hospital in the
- 57:29country using your stuff like that.
- 57:30But like you're not going to understand that that space, that
- 57:33policy space at all. And that that to me is, is, is
- 57:36what it is. It's now what's challenging is
- 57:38that you have investors who are like, we don't invest in that
- 57:40space and all this kind of stuff like smart tech and but I'm just
- 57:43like, yeah, but like you, you can understand the state of this
- 57:46system so much faster here, so much faster than in any other
- 57:50possible 1. And so I think from our
- 57:53perspective, it's just like to do that to serve to make a
- 57:56difference, to help our brands, but like to always know that
- 57:58like that all of that learning is going to is going to help
- 58:03transfer, right? It's just like, imagine if
- 58:05you're building a big foundation model, it's like, where do you
- 58:08start? Where do you first start sucking
- 58:10up data from? Probably Wikipedia or something
- 58:12like that, right? And it, and they're just like,
- 58:13that's the place that you first start to then go, knowing that
- 58:16eventually you're going to have to like scrape redhead and
- 58:19scrape all these other places. But it's just like, might as
- 58:21well start at this place that is like centralized human knowledge
- 58:24and then build out from there to get all the hard corners.
- 58:27And like, this is kind of one of those places, at least in like
- 58:29where we play, where this is, there's like there's so much
- 58:32information. Yeah, and Jack, I want to be
- 58:34very clear about this because I don't want to be
- 58:36mischaracterized. I'm not negative on econ, OK?
- 58:39I want to be like super duper clear about this because I
- 58:42actually, I, I love ads. I love like there are very few
- 58:46things that like literally run the economy of the world, right?
- 58:50It's like compute ads, payments, OK and commerce has all of
- 58:55those. So and then everything else is
- 58:57like a derivative of that, right?
- 58:59And so the, the I want to be very clear, the problem is not
- 59:04the problem is it is hard to make A to build a big B2B
- 59:09company serving ecom purchase, which is not the same thing as
- 59:14being negative on ecom. Those are not the same thing.
- 59:17And and it's not for anyone's. And the single most important
- 59:20thing I want to emphasize is not anyone's fault.
- 59:22It's not be any malicious intent, none of that.
- 59:25It is just like there are structural things, the way they
- 59:27are set up that leads to that outcome, which is why investors
- 59:31don't like it, right? Because an investor's job is not
- 59:33to say they like or don't like ECOM.
- 59:35An investor's job is to return capital on the capital they give
- 59:39you, which means you've got to accrue an incredible amount of
- 59:43revenue. And so like I, I want to be
- 59:47careful about the language because I get in trouble anyway.
- 59:52And and like this is like a great way to get in trouble, but
- 59:54it like, I would never say that I'm negative on ECOM.
- 59:58Now I do think and I don't I don't want to over share
- 1:00:01anything, but I think like given it is hard to make money selling
- 1:00:05to merchants, I think that one of the principal questions that
- 1:00:08it begets the great founder is what business models are there
- 1:00:13that don't require that in order to make a lot of money while
- 1:00:16still serving all of the different types of people who
- 1:00:19you want to serve? Right.
- 1:00:21And that is actually. The job of a founder is to
- 1:00:24figure that out. Just to be clear.
- 1:00:27So it is not the merge, like it is not the E Comm merchants
- 1:00:29problem that we need to solve that problem, right?
- 1:00:33Like that is actually our problem as as like as like
- 1:00:36founders in the B2B space. So like, yeah, I just want to be
- 1:00:40clear about the fact that I'm not negative on E Comm.
- 1:00:43Where should we? We had a call this morning where
- 1:00:46the investor was a dream because her immediate reaction was like,
- 1:00:49oh, you guys should just lower your prices, serve more brands
- 1:00:53and then cover more service area more like yeah, the problem is
- 1:00:57you need to have enough capital to be able to do that versus
- 1:01:01getting to a self funding motion.
- 1:01:03And so it is, I think whether you're and you're not down on E
- 1:01:06com, it still goes back to like you can go build an awesome cash
- 1:01:11flowing business in this ecosystem.
- 1:01:14The trick is figuring out a venture scalable business.
- 1:01:16And one's not better or worse, but it's like you got to be very
- 1:01:20careful before you go down that path without having thought
- 1:01:22through the next step and the next step and the next step.
- 1:01:25Yeah. And I, I think I've said this, I
- 1:01:27know I've said this before. I, I have no plans of getting
- 1:01:30out of the space at all. I love it.
- 1:01:32I'm also not trying to build a venture scale business.
- 1:01:34So I I think it's a different. You seem very happy.
- 1:01:38To. I mean, I love what I do.
- 1:01:41I love who I work with, but I yeah, I'm not trying to.
- 1:01:45If I was trying to go build a billion dollar company, I would.
- 1:01:48I'd be thinking of it very differently.
- 1:01:50How do you guys see these public companies that are acquiring a
- 1:01:53bunch of, I think we just saw another one, Alia get snatched
- 1:01:57up for 30 to 60 million or something.
- 1:02:00How do you guys like what's the Strat here?
- 1:02:03Why are they? Why are these acquisitions
- 1:02:05happening? My my sense from Alia is what
- 1:02:08amazing team like truly building in public.
- 1:02:10So you think about like the 15 year old like lines, not dots
- 1:02:14posts from Mark Suster about investing is like you could
- 1:02:17literally see every you could see the line of Alea So great
- 1:02:20team building a private people like you talk to any customer or
- 1:02:23any agency who work with them and they're like, Oh yeah.
- 1:02:25What I love about these guys is they just go the extra mile.
- 1:02:29So like, I think that's as much about like getting an amazing
- 1:02:32group would be. My guess is like the product is
- 1:02:35good. I'm sure the cash flow, I'm sure
- 1:02:36you can make a good business case for AY Alia.
- 1:02:39What we're hearing more just Aqua hires left and right.
- 1:02:43Like we've had companies approach us and like not with
- 1:02:46anything super firm, but like really, really good businesses
- 1:02:49and our answers like look, we're not looking for a job, we're not
- 1:02:51looking to be Aqua hire. We we're going to keep building
- 1:02:53and we'll do that. I think it's like with very, I
- 1:02:57think it's a buyer's market if you want to go get like tools
- 1:02:59and talent, but it's a buyer's market because everybody's
- 1:03:01afraid that even in all that I could get disrupted immediately
- 1:03:04by some, what if somebody put a wrapper on, right?
- 1:03:07Like isn't it just easy to do that?
- 1:03:08And so I think the like hard part for an entrepreneur for
- 1:03:12like a not the entrepreneur, but like for the team of the
- 1:03:15business is to go build something that's actually
- 1:03:17durable, that is not a wrapper on, that is not easily
- 1:03:22replaceable, right? And like that has some level of
- 1:03:26network effects or some level differentiated, just you have to
- 1:03:30build something that's more durable.
- 1:03:31I think, and this is like, I honestly view it as as my
- 1:03:36primary job at the company is, is, you know, helping, you know,
- 1:03:41besides leading with Aaron, it's like helping serve vision and
- 1:03:44then knowing like my expertise in machine learning, stuff like
- 1:03:46that of like knowing very quickly what can become
- 1:03:49commoditized and what can't, because I think the assumption
- 1:03:51right now is that everything can be commoditized.
- 1:03:53And that's not true, but a large part of it is.
- 1:03:55And we don't know which parts of it are.
- 1:03:57And I think that's the big thing that makes all this big scary
- 1:04:01thing like, and I think that what you have to do as a
- 1:04:06founders like really understand given the space where it is.
- 1:04:09And like that's honestly what I think a lot like we've I've
- 1:04:11actively said, no, we're not building these features even
- 1:04:14though I know that we would have near universal adoption amongst
- 1:04:17your customers because I am convinced they'll be fully
- 1:04:19commoditized within three to six months.
- 1:04:22You know, those brands build it, clayberry releases it like
- 1:04:23whatever and they're like they're really shiny and maybe
- 1:04:26they do deliver some value. But I'm just like, we're not
- 1:04:28going to spend all of our engineering effort on these like
- 1:04:31commoditized things when our brands suffer big problems that
- 1:04:34need big help on that are really, really, really hard to
- 1:04:36do that requires and ML expertise and domain expertise.
- 1:04:40And I'm just like, yeah, this sucks.
- 1:04:42They're yelling at us, they're churning, but like we're slowly
- 1:04:45cracking, you know, building the foundations over here, even
- 1:04:50though like, yeah, people are signing up for this and they're
- 1:04:52like doing that. But I'm like, it's all going to
- 1:04:53happen. There's going to be 500 hundred
- 1:04:56dollar a month options for that, those feature sets like we can't
- 1:04:58build over there. And there's a great business for
- 1:05:01somebody to go out there and build those commoditized things,
- 1:05:04make some money. 100%. And do well.
- 1:05:07And then just rinse and repeat. Yeah, awesome guys.
- 1:05:11All right, I gotta run. Actually.
- 1:05:13This was amazing. Thank you guys for joining.
- 1:05:15Great. Thank you guys for fun.
- 1:05:17Yeah.