Shows / The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Capital Economics, a world-leading provider of macroeconomic insight, presents The Weekly Briefing – the show with all you need to know about what's happening in the global economy and markets. From the Fed's next decision to China's slowdown to moves in equities, bonds and FX, each week, our team of economists take apart the big economic and market stories and highlight those issues that investors should be paying more attention to.
Episodes
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Midterm upset, rate cycles split
There was an extraordinary swing to the Democrats in the US midterm elections, setting the scene for the final two years of the Trump presidency. Will it mean…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Two elections and a Budget
UK Chancellor John Healey delivered his first Budget this week, giving some relief to households worried about their energy bills and managing to maintain…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Fed, ECB and UK Budget: A Big Week for the Global Economy
Next week could be a pivotal one for the global economy, with interest-rate decisions from the Fed and ECB alongside a challenging UK Budget. In this episode…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
China's future: Deflation, Trade Tensions and Alternative Scenarios
China's economy is slowing, but not collapsing. Domestic demand remains weak, the property downturn continues to weigh on growth, and deflationary pressures…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Bond Market Turbulence, France's Fiscal Reckoning and Europe's China Dilemma
This week, Neil Shearing is joined by James Reilly and Jack Allen-Reynolds to unpack the latest bond market sell-off, the forces driving higher global yields…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Energy shock, China shock and the global economy
The global economy is facing another energy shock, yet growth has remained remarkably resilient. In this week's Capital Economics Weekly Briefing, Neil…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Xi meets Trump: What next for China?
What did President Xi Jinping’s summit with Donald Trump tell us about the future of US-China relations? Has the latest trade truce brought the two sides any…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
The Fed, the World, and China Shock 2.0
Neil Shearing and Jennifer McKeown unpack a pivotal week for the world's major central banks. They discuss the Federal Reserve's latest rate hike and what it…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Neil Shearing on China Shock 2.0
The stunning surge in Chinese exports bears comparison with what happened during the first China shock of the early 2000s. But this time is different: the…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
That hot jobs report and the Fed's September meeting
That was a much hotter payrolls report than the market had expected, but how will it influence this month’s Fed decision? With inflation risks still prevalent…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
AI earnings and equities, gauging Bessent’s success and Iran’s economic squeeze
Can another set of blow-out AI earnings reignite the rally that has powered equities for so long but recently seems to have run out of puff? Chief Markets…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
The great global bond sell-off – causes, consequences and what comes next
This special episode of The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics features an exclusive extract from our client briefing on the global bond sell-off, its…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
A polarised US rate debate, China's lost reform and the £25bn question
Have a couple of softer US inflation prints taken a post-Summer Fed rate hike off the table? Did that CPI and PPI data vindicate Kevin Warsh’s divisive…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Is a September Fed hike off the table? The yen rescue. EM risks.
A jam-packed episode begins with Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing joining David Wilder to discuss what a surprisingly weak US employment report means for…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Kevin Warsh's failure to communicate. Plus: Europe's wildfires
Kevin Warsh sent financial markets into turmoil with a press conference that muddied, rather than clarified, the Fed's message. But was the confusion all part…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Trade wars, shooting wars and the AI investment boom
Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing unpacks another turbulent week for the global economy. He talks to David Wilder about the latest escalation in the US trade…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
The next oil shock? And China's economy after the GDP miss
The collapse of the US-Iran ceasefire has triggered another spike in oil prices and put markets back on edge. Neil Shearing joins David Wilder to discuss…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Jennifer McKeown on where next for the advanced economies
It's far too soon to be worrying about another spike in inflation from renewed fighting in the Middle East. That's one of the key messages from Capital…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
From boom to bust: the AI equity rally in its final phase
For the past three years, our Markets team has been more optimistic than most about the AI-driven rally in global equities. That view has been borne out by…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
AI's macro boost, a hawkish Fed and Burnham's balancing act
Our flagship Global Economic Outlook is just around the corner, and in this latest episode of The Weekly Briefing, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing previews…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Tough economic choices in a fragile peace
A peace deal that's already showing signs of strain. Central bankers still wrestling with inflation. A new Fed chair seeking reform. And a UK local election…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Fed preview: The case for raising rates | Oil's turning point?
Relatively strong US growth, sticky inflation and a resilient labour market have strengthened the case for further Fed tightening. In this week's episode of…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Fed hikes, inflation risks and AI stocks
Are we moving towards Fed rate hikes? Even before the release of a strong May US employment report, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing joined The Weekly…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
A deal at last? What a Hormuz reopening would mean for oil and inflation
This could prove another false dawn, or the US and Iran could finally reach an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to oil and gas shipments. But even if…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
This bond market wobble won't be the last
This latest wobble in the bond market almost certainly won’t be the last. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing and Chief Markets Economist Jonas Goltermann join…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
UK Labour party meltdown, gilt yields and why the bond market always wins
Westminster is gripped by the game of thrones around Labour's slow-mo leadership drama, which could deliver the UK's seventh prime minister in ten years. But…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
The Trump-Xi meeting and the limits of a reset | Germany’s overdone pessimism
Donald Trump travels to Beijing next week for a long-awaited summit with Xi Jinping that carries huge geopolitical significance, but one where investors should…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
A tough macro backdrop gets tougher. Will equities care?
A day after Brent crude surged above $120 per barrel, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing and Deputy Chief Emerging Markets Economist Jason Tuvey discuss how…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
What if the energy shock gets worse? And what to expect from a Warsh-led Fed?
The Iran conflict is approaching its third month, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and oil is back above $100 per barrel. How safe is the assumption that…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Global imbalances, all over again | Gulf economies in crisis
Global imbalances are back. But how serious is the threat this time, and could they trigger the next phase of global economic instability? Group Chief…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
A fragile ceasefire: What next for economies and markets?
The latest Weekly Briefing covers the global outlook, financial markets and energy. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explains what the ceasefire in the…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
AI and economies: from capex boom to productivity payoff
The AI hype cycle shows no sign of slowing. But how much are the hundreds of billions in investment actually boosting economies, and when will that spending…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Global Economic Outlook: Forecasting in the fog of war
Our updated macro and market forecasts assess the impact on growth and inflation – and the likely central bank response – under both baseline and adverse…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Policy in a time of conflict: Central banks and the growth-inflation trade-off
Pity the poor central banker. As energy prices surge, they are grappling with the trade-off between growth and inflation, while trying to communicate this all…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Oil, war and economies – Three scenarios for the Middle East conflict
News of a record release of emergency oil reserves has quickly been overshadowed by images of tankers on fire in the Strait of Hormuz. Thirteen days into the…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Middle East conflict, oil prices and that US jobs drop
Conflict in the Middle East, a surge in oil and gas prices, and a surprise drop in US payrolls – it’s been a turbulent week for the global economy. In the…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Special Episode: Conflict in the Middle East – The key macro and market questions
Amid widening conflict in the Middle East, our economist team held an online briefing first thing Monday to tackle some of the key questions that clients have…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Can China finally fix its economic model?
Is China’s latest Five-Year Plan about to reset its economic model and tackle the imbalances weighing on both the domestic and global economy? Speculation…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Supreme Court special: What the Trump tariffs ruling means for macro and markets
The Supreme Court has finally ruled on Donald Trump's tariffs with an opinion that the president has no right to impose tariffs under the International…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Brown on the US outlook, Gregory on UK politics
From the lows of December retail sales to the highs of January payrolls, recent US data has sent mixed signals. But the economy remains in relatively good…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Tech sell-off, AI winners and losers, and reasons to be optimistic about productivity
In this week’s episode, Neil Shearing talks to Vicky Redwood and John Higgins about a tumultuous week in equity markets, how AI is creating winners and losers…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Inflation nation – Japan’s turning point and a critical election
This weekend’s Japanese election is shaping up to be one of the most consequential in years. As Sanae Takaichi, newly installed leader of the ruling Liberal…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Special Episode: What Kevin Warsh would mean for the Fed
Kevin Warsh has been named Donald Trump’s pick to succeed Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing, Deputy Chief…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
A new world order? | Why Russia’s economy won’t stop the war
Was this the week that shattered the western alliance? Not so fast, says Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing. Despite the strains of a Trump presidency, deep…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Neil Shearing on China’s trillion dollar surplus; Leah Fahy on China's AI race
Can you pitch yourself as a responsible global stakeholder at the same time as running a $1.2 trillion trade surplus? That’s China’s big global macro play, and…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Maduro’s capture | Is the AI productivity boom here?
The first trading week of 2026 has been a whirlwind of geopolitical shocks and big economic developments. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing is back on The…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Special: Global CRE outlook – Where to find returns in a uniquely weak recovery
This recovery in commercial real estate is unique. Across the US, Europe, and Asia, it has been defined by persistent weakness in both investment and prices…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Dodgy data, all flavour of rate move and a bubble that will keep inflating (for now)
The final major week of the year in macro is in the books. Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing joins The Weekly Briefing to explain why the latest US inflation…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Special episode: The World in 2026 – Key drivers, key risks in global macro
In this special episode of The Weekly Briefing podcast, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing and Chief Global Economist Jennifer McKeown outline Capital…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Can Europe compete in a fractured world?
The year began amid optimism that Europe was finally prepared to meet its economic potential. But as the end of 2025 approaches, how much has actually changed…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
UK Budget: The Missing Growth Story | China: The Investment Mystery
After all the kite-flying, the doom-laden briefings and the policy U-turns, the UK Budget landed well with the markets. But did gilts rally simply because the…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
More AI bubble fears, the UK Budget countdown and Saudi Arabia’s global pivot
Is the bubble bursting? Despite a big earnings beat from Nvidia, concerns about overheated AI valuations are mounting. Jonas Goltermann weighs the risks that…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Is AI killing jobs, and when does the growth payoff arrive?
Where is the big macro payoff from the surge in artificial intelligence investment? And is AI wiping out entry-level jobs? The latest episode of The Weekly…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
The Rachel Reeves tax threat, the Supreme Court tariffs test and the fate of the AI boom
Who was Rachel Reeves really speaking to when she hinted at higher taxes this week? How much of a threat is the Supreme Court to Treasury tariff revenues? And…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Driving in fog, standing on ice: The Fed and the fragile trade truce
The Fed is trying to calibrate policy in the midst of a government shutdown that’s effectively cut off the flow of data. Jerome Powell says that when you’re…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Trump and Xi, CPI and the Fed, oil and sanctions
Out of the darkness of a shuttered US government comes a rare data release – and it’s a CPI report that’s given markets some relief as the week draws to a…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
US–China trade war – What’s driving the latest escalation
In just a few days, US–China relations have taken a troubling turn. How did we go from the goodwill of the London and Madrid bilaterals to the current war of…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
The AI frenzy, Japan’s market shock and France’s political storm
How reliant is the US economy on the AI investment boom? It’s a question Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing keeps getting in client meetings. On this episode…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Global Outlook: US leads, Europe lags | China’s equities boom
Our new Global Economic Outlook has just been published – and it makes for a striking contrast. In the US, the drag from Trump’s policy agenda looks set to be…
- The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics
Tariffs, rates… and an Argentina rescue
Tariffs are back in the headlines after Donald Trump’s latest announcements – but how much of a threat do these new levies really pose? Could they fuel…