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Episode 72 - 7/9/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 72 of the All Systems Go sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I am your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:34
Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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guys. Another day where I'm living the
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dream on my San Diego vacation, visiting the fam, the in laws
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which have treated me very, very well.
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We just finished up A2 or kind of two night, three day visit to
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San Onofre Beach. I told you guys about it
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yesterday, but I've been having a great time.
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I tell you what, San Diego with the weather and all the palm
0:57
trees, it's about as good as it gets.
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It's kind of hot here, it's about 95°, but 95 in San Diego
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does not feel like 95 in humid in Boston.
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I will take the San Diego version every single time.
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So today we did pack up our campsite and we actually came
1:13
back to to Lakeside, which is where I'm staying with the in
1:17
laws. But before we left last night,
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had a great dinner. I want, I want to give us some
1:20
shout outs, give you guys some color to my trip in San Diego
1:23
here. But we went to San Clemente,
1:25
which was about, I don't know, 10 minutes from the San Onofre
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beach, little cute downtown. Apparently it's Orange County.
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I guess it's not exactly San Diego or maybe it's on the
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border when I'm walking down the street as we went out to dinner
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at this great place. Avila's El Ranchito Mexican
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restaurant had one of the best Mexican dinners I've ever had.
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I got what was it the I got tacos, The blackened mahi mahi
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tacos with some genuine legit guacamole.
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We went to the South Swell hand dipped ice cream afterwards,
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which is awesome, which is a style of ice cream you don't
1:59
really have in New England. In New England you got to get a
2:01
waffle cone or a sugar cone and then you get how many ever
2:04
scoops of ice cream you want out here.
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A little bit different and I kind of like it out here more
2:08
than New England, but I got ice cream that was dipped in
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chocolate and it kind of hardened and then you kind of
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break it up and eat it with a spoon.
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Delicious, absolutely fantastic. We finished up our our camping
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excursion. I again I'm now back in Lakeside
2:23
and tonight we are going to grill at home some carne asada.
2:26
So my trip is almost over. My last day is tomorrow, then
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I'll be back in Boston. But with that being said guys,
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enough about my San Diego trip. How about another winning day in
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the sports betting arena? 2 and 1 + 0.52 units.
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Yesterday had a couple big hits with the Rangers as the bats
2:42
came alive and they got down a bunch of runs to take out the
2:47
Angels, which was nice as we cashed our money line bet on
2:49
Texas and then nice total. And again, a few people actually
2:53
DM me. Sometimes they say why don't you
2:54
bet more totals to me Totals. I picked my spots.
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I let the totals kind of scream at me to take them versus trying
3:01
to search for a total. But we did get a nice one
3:03
yesterday with the White Sox and the Twins over 9.
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That was a six to six game going into extras.
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I believe it was an 8/6 or 76. But either way, cash the over 9
3:13
member. That was a great bet.
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Split 51% bets, 74% money. Wind was blowing out a little
3:18
bit bad bullpen, some good offenses, some bad pitching.
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So it's nice to see that Minnesota White Sox total fly
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over. The only loser was the Nationals
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and I don't know about the Nats. They just again, they were
3:29
sharp, just couldn't come through.
3:31
Sticks were completely dead. But a 2 and 1 + 0.52 day.
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I will take that every day of the week.
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So good start to our week, guys. Let's see if we can keep it
3:39
rolling for today. Now moving on to today, Big
3:42
Tuesday for episode 72 of the all systems Gopod powered by
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Rhythm. I have a 5 pack of sweats for
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you that we'll talk about, including right back to Major
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League Baseball A4 pack. Kind of some little bit more of
3:54
expensive numbers here, but I do have three money lines and one
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total. Again, a total that screamed out
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to me and it wasn't one that I searched for, but kind of like
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yesterday, found some good juice movement with a good bet split
4:06
and some good weather. So four MLB bets and then back
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to the WNBA. That's right, we're going to see
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we can continue to keep our WNBA hot streak going.
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We've gone three and one, our last four, and I found a total.
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There's only one game today, but I found a total that is
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basically a sharp move across the market and a ton of rhythm
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system matches, both community models and a Rhythm AI model and
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my own model that I created, which I call the Josh AI model.
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So we will be hit getting down on a total in the WNBA with a
4:35
great edge from rhythm for today.
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So that being said, let's get right back into it.
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Guys. Talk about our sweats for today.
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First on the board, let's go to Baltimore, Camden Yards, which
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by the way, if you've never been, you got to get to.
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I have some relatives and Bethesda and Chevy Chase.
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My dad grew up in Maryland, used to go there pretty much every
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summer when I was younger. But Camden Yards is one of my
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favorite stadiums. Got to get the the hard shell
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crabs and some shrimp and some Old Bay sauce.
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So anyway, Chicago Cubs at the Orioles, 6:35 PM Eastern Time.
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First pitch for tonight. Cubs come in 42 and 49.
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Just took two or three against the Angels.
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They won the finale of the series on Sunday 5 nothing as a
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- 155 home favorite. Meanwhile, the OS 57 and 33.
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Just took two or three against the Athletics.
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They won Sunday series finale six to three as a - 180 Rd.
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favorite. So pitching match up for
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tonight's interleague series opener.
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The Cubs are going with Rady Jameson Tion five and four 2.99
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ERA. Meanwhile, the Orioles are going
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to go with fellow ready Dean Kramer, who's four and four with
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a 3.93 ERA. So what do you seen across the
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market? Here, well, looks like the the
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chalk, the sharp move is on the Birds, the Orioles.
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I'm going with the Orioles here, guys.
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The Orioles opened at around a -, 145 home favorite Chicago
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around a + 125 row dog. And wise guys have laid the
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chalk with Baltimore. The Orioles have risen from -145
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all the way up to -170. So let's talk about, you know,
6:02
steam indicators $0.10 or more. Well, this one is a $0.25 move.
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So on the one hand, it's like, hey, could have gotten -145 now
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it's -170 you feel like, hey, and maybe I'm not getting the
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best of the number anymore, which is true.
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But hey, that's the number available to us now.
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And I want to be with the sharp money, not against it.
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So Baltimore with that smart money move -145 to -170 the
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receiving roughly 89% of money line bets in dollars.
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So both a pro and Joe bet split. Publix probably saying, hey,
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Orioles are good, lay it at home.
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Cubs are, you know, seven games below 500.
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But wise guys are saying, hey, there's value here.
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We like the number, at least the opening number and hit that
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line, move toward Baltimore, 'cause that line to really jump
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up in favor of the Birds. Now Baltimore is matching with a
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bunch of systems that I really look toward for betting system
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matches. One would be the interleague
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favorite. Just a very classic system,
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their interleague favorite. Lack of familiarity.
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You don't play the opposing team from the different, different
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league very often. So kind of the cream rises to
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the top. You see basically the lack of
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familiarity benefiting the better team.
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Also interleague favorite off a win.
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So carrying some momentum as the Orioles won their last game
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against Oakland and now they're in an early favorite here for
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tonight. Also system match.
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We love both. Had the day off.
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Take the favorite. Very simple.
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Both teams are off yesterday. Baltimore's the favorite today.
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That system is cashing at roughly a 60% clip this season.
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Now, I'm also going to bank on the Orioles offense.
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They're hitting 256 with 146 home runs and 464 runs scored.
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The Cubs are only hitting 229 this year with 87 homers and 374
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runs scored. Also, both Raties here on the
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bunk for today. Well, guess what?
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Baltimore is hitting 252 against Raties.
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That's the 8th best in baseball. Chicago is only hitting 227
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against Raties. That's 24th and baseball.
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So hopefully the better offense, in particular the splits against
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Raties really scream Baltimore here.
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So hopefully they come to life and put up some runs for us
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tonight. Home Rd. splits also favor the
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Orioles. The Cubs are only 17 and 28 on
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the road. The Orioles are 29 and 17 at
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home. Chicago is -24 and run
8:11
differential Baltimore plus one O 6.
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Also, I've seen the Orioles really clean up on teams that
8:17
missed the playoffs the previous year and teams that have a below
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500 record. I think they're around a 70%
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clip this season against teams against against teams out again
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aren't very good basically. So you add it all up.
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Big steam move. Bunch of good system matches,
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interleague favorite, better bats.
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I'm going with the OS hopefully to start our night off with the
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winner. I got Baltimore at -165 keep on
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cruising. 7:10 PM Eastern Eastern Time, first pitch,
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Oakland Athletics against my Boston Red Sox.
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Going into this one, the Athletics, 34 and 58, just
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dropped two or three against the aforementioned Orioles.
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They lost that finale on Sunday, six to three as a + 150 home
8:55
dog. Meanwhile, the Sox and I didn't
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know if I'd have a baseball season this year, but I got a
9:00
baseball season. They're surprising me.
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They're playing great. If you had the over, I think it
9:03
was 77 1/2 win total. You're feeling pretty good right
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now. The Red Sox are 49 and 40.
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They just took two or three against the Yankees.
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They won the Sunday series finale. 3 nothing on Sunday
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Night Baseball as a + 110 row dog.
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So for tonight's series opener, the As are going with righty
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Joey Estes, who's three and three with a 4.39 ERA.
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Meanwhile, the Sox are going with righty Brian Baio, who's
9:27
eight and five with a 5.19 ERA. So have you seen across the
9:30
market here? Well, this game open with the
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Red Sox kind of a hefty favorite -180 Oakland around a + 165 row
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dog. What's notable to me is that
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even though this is kind of a big opening number, sharps are
9:42
not scared off by that expensive chalk.
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They've laid it with Boston. Red Sox have been steamed up
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-180 up to -200 Red Sox are getting around 90% of bets and
9:52
dollars. So both public and sharp
9:55
support. Heavy one way action with really
9:57
no buyback whatsoever on Oakland.
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Also they're getting that big steam moving their favor that 20
10:02
cent adjustment. Now the Red Sox quite a few
10:04
advantages here. One would be a non division
10:06
favorite lack of familiarity benefiting the better team who's
10:09
expected to win. Red Sox also match the both had
10:13
the day off take the favorite system, which is again cashing
10:16
at a roughly 60% clip this season and hopefully the bats
10:20
are a big advantage for Boston because the Red Sox on the year
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are hitting 252 with 414 runs scored.
10:27
The athletics only hitting 2/24 with 347 runs scored.
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Meanwhile, digging in these pictures a little bit closer S
10:35
DS had has an ERA of seven point OO on the road this year versus
10:40
1.91 at home. So he's been good at home, bad
10:42
on the road. He's on the road tonight.
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Oakland, by the way, 12 and 33 on the road this season.
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That's the second worst Rd. record and Major League Baseball
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run differential. Athletics -89 Red Sox plus 36
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and Brian Baio, who Red Sox into a pretty big extension here,
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tried to get a good value play by signing him early.
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He really struggled a bit, but maybe he turned something
11:06
around. I saw he got pushed back an
11:08
extra day and then his first start after not pitching very
11:11
well, he pitched a gem against Miami.
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So hopefully he continues this good turn around here for
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tonight. So, you know, I'm not in Boston,
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I'm in San Diego, but I'm going to root for my Red Sox tonight.
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Good sharp steam in their favor. Shop around.
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If you can find Red Sox, anything a little bit less than
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-200 like if you can find a -, 198.
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I saw one book maybe -197 there are some books that are -200 -,
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2 O 5. But again, have those multiple
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outs. Try to get the lowest number you
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can. I got the Red Sox at -197 Keep
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on cruising. Next bet for you, Texas Rangers
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at the LA Angels 9:38 PM Eastern Time, First pitch.
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Spoiler alert, I'm going right back to the well with the
11:51
Rangers tonight. But to set the stage, the
11:53
Rangers 43 and 48, they won last night's series opener nine to
11:57
four, taking care of business as a -, 155 road favorite.
12:02
In tonight's rematch, the Rangers are going with ready Max
12:05
Scherzer, who's been injured all year.
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I think he's made now three starts at this point.
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He's been pretty good. I know he's 39 years old.
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He can still do it one and two with a 2.7 OERA.
12:15
Meanwhile the angels who are 37 and 53, they're going to go with
12:18
ready rowancy Contreras who is one and one with a four point O
12:22
4 ERA. So.
12:23
What do you see across the market here?
12:25
Well, very similar to last night.
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Texas opens as a you know, Rd. favorite.
12:29
They become more of a favorite. Texas open this game PR for
12:32
tonight as a -. 160 Rd. favorite.
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LA around a + 145 home dog. We've seen this money move in
12:38
favor of the Rangers. Rangers -160 now up to -170 so
12:44
that $0.10 indicator, a big sharp movement in favor of
12:47
Texas. With that adjustment in their
12:49
direction, now the Rangers are getting 86% of money line bets,
12:53
but 88% of money line dollars. So a big heavy wave of both
12:58
public and wiseguy support in addition to that 10 cent steam
13:01
move in their favor once again, kind of similar to last night.
13:04
I'm going to bank on the Rangers offense, which did come through
13:06
last night, putting up nine runs.
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They're hitting on the year 243 with 398 runs scored.
13:13
Angels are hitting 235 with 360, three runs scored.
13:17
Texas has a good betting system match here as a road favorite
13:20
with a line move in their direction.
13:22
So Rd. favorite with $0.10 of steam or more.
13:24
That's cashing at roughly a 62% clip this year.
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Also betting system, two bad teams take the favorite.
13:30
So two teams that are both below 500 take the favorite.
13:34
Again, roughly 60% this year would match with the Rangers.
13:37
And then recent performance, Rangers again won the World
13:40
Series, struggled a bit, maybe they're starting to get hot.
13:42
They're six and four over their last ten games, they're hitting
13:45
288. By the way, I mentioned Wyatt
13:47
Lankford yesterday. He went, I think he had another
13:50
Homer last night. I want to say he's now plus 165
13:53
favorite. That's when the American League
13:55
rookie of the year. So if you're if you're holding a
13:57
ticket on Lankford, you're feeling good.
13:59
You may even want to play him now with some plus money because
14:01
he's looking like he's maybe going to run away with this
14:04
thing. But anyway, hitting 288 with a
14:06
2.86 ERA. The Rangers are their last ten
14:10
that the Halos are only three and seven in their last 10 games
14:13
are hitting 223 with a 4.81 ERA. And then also mentioned a second
14:19
ago, you know how Baltimore's, you know, good at home.
14:22
Well, in this one, this is a spot where the the Angels are
14:25
bad at home. The Angels on the year are just
14:28
18 and 27 at home. That's the third worst home
14:31
record in baseball. The Rangers, by the way, plus 13
14:34
and run differential Angels minus 83.
14:37
So you add it all up here, guys. Rangers had a win for us last
14:39
night. They're in the pretty much
14:41
carbon copy. Same spot tonight.
14:43
Rd. favorite with a line move. I'm going right back to the
14:45
well. I'm going to back Max Scherzer
14:47
tonight. Let's go Rangers.
14:49
I got the Rangers at -170 keep on cruising.
14:53
One more bat for you. And just so happens to be a game
14:56
at Petco Park, which I went to on Saturday and saw some
14:59
fireworks. Even though the the Padres lost,
15:01
it was a great time. But anyway, let's look at a
15:04
matchup tonight, 9:40 PM Eastern Time, Seattle Mariners visiting
15:08
the San Diego Padres. Now going into this one, the
15:11
Mariners are 49 and 43. They are 19 and 25 on the road.
15:18
The the Mariners just lost two or three against Toronto couple
15:23
five to four games they lost at home.
15:24
Now they're opening up a road trip.
15:26
Meanwhile, the Padres 49 and 45, they're 25 and 24 at home.
15:31
They just lost two or three at home against the D backs.
15:34
So we're looking at the line here.
15:36
You know, Seattle is -135 I want to say Seattle open like -150
15:40
and that line's come down a bit. So Padres maybe with some plus
15:43
money could be could be a spot that I lean here.
15:46
But I'm not going to excuse me. I'm not going to play the side.
15:49
I'm looking at the total here. It's my one total bet here for
15:52
tonight. So one thing I noticed with the
15:54
total, we got the hiccups. Now, first, let's focus on the
15:57
pitching matchup. Let me just mention this.
15:59
Logan Gilbert is on the bump for the Mariners.
16:02
He's five and five with a 2.91 ERA.
16:05
He'll be opposed by Adam Mazur, who's one and two with a 7.52
16:09
ERA. But in terms of focusing on the
16:11
total, I noticed some good liability movement, juice
16:15
movement, even some line movement on the over.
16:17
That's right, the OVA. I'm going over in this one,
16:20
guys. But what's important is he got
16:22
to get the 7 1/2 because this total open at 7 1/2 and every
16:27
book across the market is either 7 1/2 / -, 120 or it's actually
16:32
moved up to 8. So we mentioned this yesterday.
16:34
You know, it didn't matter, you know, luckily, because whether
16:37
you played over nine or nine and a half, the Twins White Sox game
16:40
sailed over. But I think you just want to get
16:42
in the mindset of always trying to get the triggering number,
16:44
the number that the wise guys get.
16:46
So especially with totals, you know, over 7 1/2 is important
16:50
tonight because if this is a, you know, a five to three-game,
16:53
it lands on 8. You want to win your over 7 1/2.
16:56
You don't want to push your over 8.
16:58
So again, shop around, have multiple outs.
17:00
That's something we always stress on the pod, so you can
17:02
get the best number available. But I did notice 2 pretty big
17:05
books here are available at 7 1/2 over.
17:08
So I got 7 1/2 over at -120. Now not only has this total been
17:13
juiced up and even ticked up, seven after eight tells me all
17:16
liabilities over, but a pretty good bet split as well.
17:19
At DraftKings, only 55% of bets are on the over, but it accounts
17:22
for nearly 75% of the money. So again, that tells me public
17:27
is relatively split with the total, but the big sharper
17:29
wagers are leaning over now digging into these pitching,
17:32
pitching, you know, stats here a little bit.
17:35
You know, Gilbert's been good pretty much all year.
17:38
His last start out, he gave up four runs and 5.1 innings
17:43
pitched, 4 one loss to Baltimore.
17:45
But I'm going to focus on hopefully Seattle's bats really
17:48
getting to this guy Missouri for tonight.
17:50
Because if you look at this picture here, Adam Missouri,
17:54
he's what is he? He's a kind of a journeyman guy.
17:58
He was born in 2021. So what does that make him?
18:01
23 years old, young pitcher. He may even be an opener here.
18:04
But anyway, I was looking at his stats.
18:06
He's made in his last three starts, basically in his last
18:10
three starts, the over is 3 and O.
18:12
So if you kind of look at the the box scores of when this guy
18:15
pitches last three starts, six to four, nine to seven, seven to
18:19
six, and he's given up basically 3-4 earned runs every single
18:22
start. And at home, he has an ERA of
18:24
10.66 on the road, 4.61. And if you look at the the
18:29
numbers here for Seattle, they're they're not a great
18:32
hitting team. Like their batting average is,
18:34
is pretty low, which is kind of surprising because they're, you
18:37
know, six games above 500. They're only hitting 217 on the
18:40
year. San Diego's been a really good
18:41
offense. They're hitting 263.
18:43
But I was looking at a couple things here in terms of kind of
18:47
the trend situation. San Diego is 51 and 42 to the
18:51
over. The Padres are the 4th best over
18:54
team in baseball. They're 30 and 17 to the over at
18:57
home, so they're cashing 64% of the time to the over when they
19:01
play at Petco Park. And even though Seattle is
19:04
somewhat of a light hitting team, again, facing a guy like
19:06
Mazur, hopefully they can get some runs across the board.
19:09
But they're also 22 and 19 to the over on the road.
19:12
So they have been a profitable team to the over when they're
19:15
the visitor. And then I don't need to tell
19:17
you about the weather in San Diego if you don't know it's
19:19
it's beautiful here. It's always beautiful 75° maybe
19:23
maybe closer to 80° for tonight, 5 to 10 mile per hour, winds
19:26
blowing a little bit left to right, a little bit out.
19:29
So good weather. We have a kind of this is more
19:32
of a day to play really in terms of seeing that juice on that 7
19:36
1/2 over really rising and hinted at a movements again.
19:39
Some books are even up to 8. But yeah, all up guys, again we
19:42
got San Diego is the 4th best over team in baseball.
19:44
We got a juiced up over. I'm going to take a shot on the
19:47
seven and a half over. I got over 7 1/2 at -120 so San
19:52
Diego, Seattle, over 7 1/2, Rangers, Red Sox, and Orioles.
19:56
Can we get three out of four? That'll be nice.
19:59
Now over to the WNBA, because I've been missing some WNBA
20:04
didn't have any yesterday. And we've, I believe we're three
20:06
and one our last four. So let's even keep this going
20:08
here. And the reason I really get
20:10
excited about the match up here for tonight, which by the way,
20:14
is going to be the Minnesota Lynx against the LA Sparks.
20:17
It's the only WNBA game of the night.
20:20
But I'll kind of walk you through my thought process a
20:21
little bit when I look at WNBA. So the first thing I do is I
20:25
look at the line movement and the betting percentages.
20:28
And then I go to the rhythm and see if rhythm is kind of, you
20:31
know, providing maybe an angle on One Direction, maybe the side
20:34
that I was leaning, or maybe it's got a move or a system
20:38
match on the other direction, which will kind of make me take
20:40
a step back. But this is a perfect game for
20:42
tonight. Again, doesn't mean you bet
20:44
1,000,000 units on it. This is one unit like any other
20:46
bet, but I'm excited about this system match.
20:48
So let me break this one down for you.
20:50
This is a 10:00 Eastern Time. First almost said first pitch,
20:54
but tip off. The links come in 15 and six.
20:57
One of the best teams in the WNBA.
20:59
Sparks are bad. They're five and 16.
21:02
I'm going to focus on the total here though.
21:04
As I mentioned now, if you look at the spread, the links are
21:06
about a 3 1/2 or 4 point Rd. favorite.
21:09
But the total to me is really screaming, screaming over.
21:13
So this total open at 156 1/2. It's now been bet up to 158 1/2.
21:18
So right off the bat, seeing in a small market like the WNBA,
21:21
kind of a niche market, the fact that this total has ticked up
21:24
two points tells me that smart money is taking the over.
21:27
Now we dig a little deeper. Let's look at the betting
21:29
percentages. Only 52% of bets, but 59% of the
21:33
money is going over here. So basically public is split.
21:37
And if you even don't even factor in the money here, you
21:40
know, 5050 line or 5050 bets, but a line really shouldn't move
21:43
at all yet we're seeing this total tick up.
21:45
So we have a low bets higher dollar or a 5050 over line move.
21:50
Also some factors that I looked at before we get to rhythm short
21:53
spread like the Lynx are only favored by 4, even though they
21:56
have a much better record. So I always like going over in a
21:59
short spread game because theoretically it's going to be a
22:02
little bit more competitive back and forth, maybe get overtime
22:06
versus if you want an under, you really want to look at a big
22:08
spread A-Team that's by 15 or more, 10 or more than you get up
22:12
big, take your foot off the gas, and you just want to just want
22:15
to gas the clock and end the game.
22:17
But anyway, the Sparks are allowing 86 points per game.
22:21
That's the third most or third worst defense in all of the
22:24
WNBA. And the Lynx are really good
22:27
offense. They're averaging 82 points a
22:28
game, their fifth in the WNBA. And offensive rating, they are
22:32
#3 in field goal percentage, they're shooting roughly 45%
22:36
from the field. And they're really good 3 point
22:38
shooting, which again, if you're playing it over, you want to,
22:41
you want, you want a team that can knock down some threes, but
22:44
they are shooting 39% from three.
22:46
That is the number one best free or best 3 point shooting team in
22:51
the WNBA. Now to put the cherry on top
22:55
here. So we're building the case.
22:56
That's how I look at sports betting.
22:57
You're building a case and once you feel like you've created as
23:00
like a maybe maybe you feel like you're Better Call Saul or maybe
23:04
you're you know, I don't know, you're my cousin Vinny.
23:06
But if you can build a strong enough case where you feel like
23:09
you can convince a jury, which would be you as the better then
23:12
you fire. So we're building the case.
23:13
Total went up. Good bet split short spread over
23:16
good offense, bad defense. Here's where it gets good.
23:20
I pop open my Rhythm app, which has been totally redesigned and
23:24
is fantastic. Great data, same great data, but
23:27
a better layout and a better, better way to view it and kind
23:30
of a user experience. But anyway, I go to this game
23:32
for tonight. I look at a couple things.
23:35
First, I look at the Rhythm AI backed model.
23:37
What is the AI backed model predict for this game?
23:40
Well, the prediction here for a combined total is 166.4, so
23:47
166.4. We're going over 158 1/2.
23:50
So not only is that an edge to the over, but it's moving or
23:53
it's basically the line is moved up, which is in the direction of
23:57
where this Rhythm AI back model is predicting.
24:00
Then I also have a model, my Josh AI model, which I created
24:03
in the beauty of rhythm is you can either just follow the
24:05
Rhythm AI model that they give to you, or you can create your
24:07
own based on a specific set of criteria.
24:10
But my Josh AI model has a predicted final total of 167.
24:16
So 166.4 is the rhythm prediction 167 is my prediction
24:20
and then also the feature that is not yet available, but it
24:24
will be as a premium feature, the community model edge.
24:27
So you always hear me talk about this guys.
24:29
I don't want to be a you know, you know, beat a dead horse with
24:32
this one, but I think it's important because you are
24:34
basically looking at everyone in the app who has a model that has
24:38
a system match on this game. You know where where do these
24:41
models lie? Well all these models are
24:43
leaning over the community rhythm model edge is 96.9% to
24:48
the over. So that means of everyone who
24:50
has a model on the total for this game, nearly 97% of them
24:54
are going over. So I always want to preface it
24:56
by saying hey, as a contrarian better, I don't want to be with
24:58
97%. Never.
25:00
I want to bet against the public, but the public doesn't
25:03
really account for rhythm because people who have an
25:06
account of rhythm, they're pretty smart.
25:07
They're not dumb public betters at the at the bar.
25:09
Betting 20 bucks a game or not. I don't mean to demean that.
25:12
Not 20 bucks a game, but betting based off gut instinct and bias.
25:15
So you add it all up here, guys, I think we got an over
25:18
opportunity links sparks over. I got over 158 1/2 again, totals
25:23
ticked up to great rhythm system matches great community model.
25:28
I'm rooting for some points links sparks over 158 1/2.
25:32
So that about does it for episode 72 of the all systems go
25:36
sports betting podcast powered by rhythm, aforementioned
25:39
rhythm. If you haven't done it yet, you
25:40
better go sign up for a 7 day free trial so you can get all
25:44
these WNBA system matches, get access to the community model as
25:48
well as obviously right now it's just WNBA, but golf is huge.
25:52
We got another big golf tournament coming up here.
25:55
The AI caddy is great. So if you bet golf or bet WNBA,
25:59
go give Rhythm a shot. You can get the AI backed models
26:02
or create your own and it gives you a leg up.
26:04
It gives you more data to lean on and hopefully helps you cash
26:07
some tickets. You can click that custom link
26:09
listed in the bio description of the podcast right in Spotify or
26:12
iTunes to get a Rhythm 7 day free trial.
26:15
Also, I want to mention Juice Reel.
26:17
Juice Reel does a great job of powering this podcast and what I
26:21
love about Juice Reel is a couple things.
26:23
One, you can sync up your sports books to Juice Reel.
26:26
So when you place a bet at your book, it goes right to Juice
26:28
Reel and then it tracks your performance.
26:30
You can learn more about yourself as a better if you get
26:32
good, you can even sell your plays.
26:34
You can get a week of your plays.
26:36
You can put up whatever money you want for 5 bucks for 100
26:38
bucks up to you. But also you get the juice reel
26:41
AI backed picks each day, two per day that come out at noon.
26:45
The sharp mush opportunities as well as arbitrage opportunities,
26:48
which are basically just grinding out, you know, 5 units
26:51
or $5 here, $3 there. It's a it's a good opportunity
26:55
to help you cash some tickets and and hopefully make some more
26:59
money on the side. But anyway, just like rhythm go
27:02
set up for juice reel with that 7 day free trial listed in the
27:04
bio description of this podcast. Also, if you like this podcast,
27:08
if you've learned a thing or two, if you've come to lean on
27:11
the pod you enjoy when it comes out each day to to kind of sit
27:14
back and pull up a chair to the virtual bar, talk sharp sports
27:17
betting. And maybe you want to see, hey,
27:20
here are the games I'm looking at.
27:21
Am I overlapping with Josh? Or maybe I have a game that you
27:24
didn't consider? Or maybe maybe I'm on opposite
27:27
sides as you are. But either way, hopefully you
27:30
come to rely and value the data and the breakdowns.
27:33
And if you enjoy the pod and you want to make my day, let me know
27:35
you appreciate the hard work that I put in each day putting
27:38
out the pod, then do me a favor. Can you please give this podcast
27:42
a 5 star review? All you got to do if you're on
27:44
Spotify or iTunes, click the five stars.
27:47
If you want to give a good nice review, that would be great as
27:49
well. But it really helps us to rise
27:51
up the rankings and create more steam, pun intended, little more
27:54
steam on the pod. So thank you so much for
27:57
listening and thank you if you could give that a 5 star review.
28:00
Of course, if you enjoy the breakdowns, you want to learn
28:02
more about data-driven, sharp contrarian sports betting, Guess
28:06
what? I wrote a book, it's called the
28:08
everything Guide to Sports Betting.
28:09
So pick one up for you or a friend, just go to Amazon.com,
28:13
type in the everything guide to sports betting.
28:15
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
28:17
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
28:20
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
28:22
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
28:25
a bankroll management plan, all included in the everything guide
28:29
to Sports Betting. So how about does it guys?
28:31
Another pod here in the books. My parting words as always, stay
28:35
before I get to that part. Whether I see you at the Borgata
28:39
in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
28:41
Hampshire, Foxwoods are Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
28:44
Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
28:48
The my neck of the woods in Massachusetts or closer to where
28:51
I am now in the desert. I don't know if you can call San
28:54
Diego desert, but we're not too far from from Arizona and of
28:57
course from Las Vegas. Whether you are in Vegas at
29:01
where the true wise guys get down, where Billy Walter sends
29:04
his number runners, where the lowest use possible is found at
29:06
the South Point, or of course, jumping in the stadium swim pool
29:10
if you go to Circa, which is pretty much the gambler's
29:13
paradise there, which I'm think I'm due for a visit.
29:17
My last one was the Super Bowl. But either way, wherever I see
29:21
you at the book, you're going to walk up to me and you're going
29:23
to show me some winning tickets from yesterday.
29:25
A nice 2IN1 grind out 1/2 unit night.
29:28
We'll take it every time. Show me a Rangers ticket show me
29:30
a White Sox twins over 9 ticket Guess what first one's on me
29:34
next one's on you. We're going to post about the
29:36
book sweat sharp contrarian plays all night long.
29:39
So I wish the best of luck everyone have a great Tuesday we
29:43
we will be back at it tomorrow for episode 73 of the all
29:46
systems go sports betting pod powered by rhythm.
29:49
But of course, my parting words, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet
29:52
against the public, place yourself on the side of the
29:54
house. Always be with the smart money,
29:56
never against it. Will smart money won every time?
29:59
Of course not. Hope you guys know by now, which
30:01
I think you do. Betting is hard.
30:03
It's not easy. It gives you perspective when
30:06
you're winning, it gives you confidence when you're losing.
30:08
It lets you know, hey, this is not this is not an easy business
30:11
run. There's always a daily
30:11
challenge. But if we can continue to make
30:14
bets based on our head and not our heart, based on what the
30:16
market is telling us against the public, with the house, with the
30:20
pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get some CLV.
30:23
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
30:26
So enjoy the sweats tonight, guys. 5 pack.
30:28
Let's see when we get three or more.
30:29
We got some baseball, we got some WNBA.
30:31
See if we can cash some tickets on a big Tuesday night.
30:34
I'll see you guys tomorrow for episode 73 of the All Systems Go
30:38
Sports Betting pod powered by Rhythm.
30:40
Have a great Tuesday night everybody.
30:42
Good luck.