Latest / The SPY Trader / The Belly of the Beast: Big Tech and the Fed
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to the Spy Trader podcast .
- 0:03I am your host , ProfitPocket Pete , and it is 5 am on Sunday , January 25th , 2026 , in the beautiful Pacific Time zone .
- 0:13Grab your coffee and let's get into what is shaping up to be the wildest week of the year .
- 0:17We are coming off a recordbreaking Friday where the S&P 500 hit a massive six thousand nine hundred sixteen points .
- 0:26But do not get too comfortable , because we are heading into the belly of the beast with the Federal Reserve and the big tech giants all taking center stage .
- 0:35Looking back at last week , things were a bit of a mixed bag despite those record highs .
- 0:40While Microsoft and Nvidia showed some serious muscle , the Dow Jones struggled .
- 0:46We saw a massive seventeen percent plunge in Intel after they gave a weak outlook , and Goldman Sachs showed some weakness in the financial sector as well .
- 0:56This tells us that the market is starting to get a bit picky about who it rewards .
- 1:00Looking ahead to this week , we expect things to be pretty volatile .
- 1:04Most investors will likely wait and see what happens when the Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday .
- 1:10While everyone expects them to hold interest rates steady at four point five percent , all eyes are on Chairman Powell to see if he hints at a rate cut in March .
- 1:21We also have some huge economic data coming out , like the preliminary fourthquarter GDP on Thursday and the PCE price index on Friday .
- 1:30If those numbers come in too hot , it might give the Fed a reason to keep rates higher for longer , which could take some wind out of the market's sails .
- 1:39Now , let's talk about the main event : MegaCap Earnings .
- 1:42This is the week where the giants speak .
- 1:45On Wednesday , we have Tesla reporting .
- 1:49Everyone is focused on their vehicle margins and their energy unit , which just hit a record fourteen point two gigawatthours .
- 1:56Also on Wednesday , Microsoft will tell us if those billions they are spending on AI are actually paying off .
- 2:03Then on Thursday , we get Apple .
- 2:06They just had a record holiday quarter with over one hundred twentyfour billion dollars in revenue , and now we want to see how they plan to expand Apple Intelligence globally .
- 2:17Amazon will also be reporting , with a big focus on their cloud growth .
- 2:22For your trading strategy this week , I suggest sticking with the big winners but staying cautious .
- 2:27If you want broad exposure to this recordhigh market , holding the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , ticker VOO , or the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF , ticker IVV , is your safest bet .
- 2:41This balances the tech strength we are seeing against the current weakness in financials .
- 2:46In the tech world , things are split .
- 2:49Since Intel is struggling while Nvidia is rising , it might be smarter to use the Invesco QQQ Trust , ticker QQQ , for diversified tech exposure rather than betting on individual chip stocks .
- 3:02However , keep an eye on AMD as a potential catchup play if Microsoft gives a strong report .
- 3:09If you are worried about the Fed or inflation , consider a small position in the iShares twentyplus year Treasury Bond ETF , ticker TLT .
- 3:19If the Fed sounds like they might cut rates soon , bonds could see a nice price pop .
- 3:24Finally , don't forget about gold .
- 3:26The SPDR Gold Shares , ticker GLD , is a great hold right now .
- 3:31Gold recently hit record highs near two thousand seven hundred seventyeight dollars an ounce and acts as a great insurance policy against inflation and global uncertainty .
- 3:41It is going to be a fastmoving week , so keep your eyes on the charts and your emotions in check .
- 3:47Thanks for listening to Spy Trader .
- 3:50I will be back in a few hours with more updates .
- 3:53Happy trading !