Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Best Bets | NFL Week 8

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Best Bets | NFL Week 8 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:10
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: The Crown is yours.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by one of my two faves,
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: the Prime Minister Stucky, along for the ride. Kendra is
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: still somewhere gallivanting around Europe. We did get a voice
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: message that has since disappeared, but we wish her well.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: We'll chat with her on Sunday for the Week eight recap.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Another week in the NFL is upon us. On today's episode,
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: we're gonna submit our official plays for the week. We've
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: got our stat of the week as well our two
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen parlay. Some more public darlings that
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: are out there that you need to be aware of,
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: a couple of which I actually quite like this week.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: Like and subscribe wherever it is you are tuned in.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: Gambling scandals of plenty in the NBA, Stucky, I'm glad
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: that that's not anything we have to deal with over here.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised that that's not something you hear
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: about in in the NFL. It's like we haven't really
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: dealt with that much. It's been very much an NBA
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: driven thing. Terry Rose, You're arrested by the way, if
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: you haven't seen the news.
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's a lot harder to do in
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: the NFL. I mean there's only seventeen games, the only one.
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: You know, you don't have the ball enough unless you're
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: like a quarterback. Quarterbacks make so much money, Like what
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: are you going to just start throwing incomplete passes? Like
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: if you're a basketball player, you feel like you can
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: you can, like if it's like prop driven, you can
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: like impact the prole or you can like impact the game.
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: Like even going back to some of the college scandals,
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: like you could go you could impact the game. It's
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: a point guard to make sure that you don't cover,
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: but you still win. As like a quarterback in the NFL,
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: Like what are you gonna do? Like you just throw
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: away called possessions, like you're gonna lose. So yeah, there's
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: there's It's just it's a whole different ballgame. It'd be
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: so much harder to do in the NFL. In football,
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: the only time it's happened before, like the college ranks
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: with quarterbacks, it's much easier to do in basketball. It
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: doesn't really surprise me. A lot of people are going
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: to point to legalization as a reason for this. I
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: actually have a different take, and it's that part of
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: the reason we're catching some of this stuff. Now, you
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: could say, like the prevalence of props and all that stuff,
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: maybe it is more widespread, But this stuff's been going
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: on forever and it would never get caught, and I
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: think it's now more likely to get caught. So I
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: think it's actually a good thing that these things actually
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: come to the forefront. So yeah, but not something we
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: have to worry about.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: With the NFL a somewhat similar take on this, and
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: I think it makes me feel better as somebody that
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: in the NFL, in the NBA, in college, I tend
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: to lean more towards sides, and I think it is
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: when you had gambling scandals in the past, it would
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: be about game fixing. Now what you're seeing the scandals
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: are all built around props, and I think if you're
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: gonna be careful anywhere, if you live in fear of
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: any sort of fix, that's where the fixing takes place now.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, and the NBA has been more of an
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: issue than the NFL, but it's just so hard to
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: fix a game.
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: Yeah, And I wouldn't live here of props like it's
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: it's not like it's completely widespread. You know, these are
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: one off things, so and then over like if you
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: happen to be on the wrong end of one, like
• 3:23
  Speaker 3: I mean, you would never know, but the chances are
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: they would you would just wash out over time. You
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: might be on the wrong side one or two and
• 3:31
  Speaker 3: the right side of the other. I wouldn't be afraid
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: of betting props because of that.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: And remember, you can only fix an under, Okay, you can't.
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: You can't fix your way to thirty five points in
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: the NBA, So just keep that in mind. Don't be
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: scared to bet an under as well. Well's talk some
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: NFL bye weeks like crazy. This week six teams on buy.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Is your NFL betting card any lighter because of it?
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: I've noticed that I've been.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: It's still have a lot out there, but it's it's
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: like less than it usually is with six teams not available.
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: I don't know, I mean I think this week, yeah,
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: it is. It really depends on the week, just depends
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: on what I like. This week. I think I only
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: have let me pull it up. I only have I
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: haven't even bet anything yet, so as zero bets. I
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: just I'm I know that I'm gonna bet like the Texans,
• 4:23
  Speaker 3: I'm trying to figure out where that number is gonna go,
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: Like with the Nico Collins news, like does it come
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: back a little bit? I'm gonna bet well. I do
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: have the Ravens already. I have them some money line
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: to close out some parlays, but I'm gonna bet them again.
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: It just depends on like is it gonna be with
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: Lamar or is it gonna be when the line comes
• 4:48
  Speaker 3: down with their backup. I am gonna bet the Jets.
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: I'm trying to determine if that's gonna go to seven
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: or not. I'm good about the Saints. Probably just bet
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: that at four and a half, and I'm probably gonna
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: bet the Commanders. That's about it. There's a lot of
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: injuries this week too, on top of the buye, so
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: that's probably why my volume is down a bit. But
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: right now I'm just number watching, like around key numbers
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: and trying to figure out with some of these injury news,
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: where is the market going to go, and trying to
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: time it right.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: We saw that Saints number bounce around a little bit too,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: so keep an eye on that. I've seen that. I've
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: seen three and a half's out there, four and a
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: half on draft Kings right now. So definitely shop around
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: if you are, depending on what side you're on as
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: far as that goes, Okay, we got a lot more
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: to get to, but we cannot dive into a Thursday
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: episode without your bizarre, weird random question of the week.
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: is that is question?
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: In honor of Halloween coming up? What is the most
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: scared you've ever been in your life? Like I was,
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: I was robbed at gun pointing pistol whip once when
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: I was sixteen. The top I wasn't that scared. I
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: wasn't that scared. I think it was like adrenaline and
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: like it was just in the moment scared. I really wasn't.
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: It was crazy, like it was scary, but like my
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: I wasn't like completely petrified. I went into like you know,
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: survival mode.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: It was.
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: It was crazy. I can't really explain it, but I
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: think the most scared ever was I think I told
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: the story on another podcast before. When I was sixteen,
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: my parents were divorced. My mom, my brother, and sister
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: went down to the beach in the summer, and I said,
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: I'm going to stay at my dad's, but I just
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: stayed at my mom's and then I just threw the parties,
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: like just big parties all weekend and they got like
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: completely out of hand. So it was Sunday night and
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: I was just I stayed by myself. My girlfriend the
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: time came over. I think we like watched a movie
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: and she left, and then I was sitting in my
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: family room and I swore that someone was out behind
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: my deck behind just out there, and I'm a night out.
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: I've been a night on my whole life. This is
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: like two and two, two thirty in the morning, and
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: I swore I kept seeing someone, and I'm like, I'm
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: doing my mind just playing tricks on me. I just
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: kept telling myself that. So then it was like three
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: thirty in the morning and I was like, all right,
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go off to bed, and I was still
• 7:28
  Speaker 3: freaked out enough where like I put the lights on
• 7:32
  Speaker 3: like in front of me. I just remember being freaked out,
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: turned my light off above my bed, lay down, and
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: within ninety seconds my house alarm goes whoo I said,
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: Oh my god. So I was already freaked out, and
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: the house alarm went off. I ran to the stairs,
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: top of the stairs, and I was like trying to
• 7:59
  Speaker 3: see if I could hear anything, but the alarm was
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: so loud. I sprinted down my stairs, out my front door,
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: straight to my neighbor's house. It was my good friends
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: who were my age, were like sixteen seventeen, and their
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: dad has like hundreds and hundred He's like a huge
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: gun collection. I was banging on the door. They came, answered,
• 8:19
  Speaker 3: he got a gun, came out. No one was there.
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: We went back around the basement. The back basement window
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: was broken, so someone was watching me, and I think
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: it was just someone who someone like older, sketchy person
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: who came to the party and then was like, oh,
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: this kid's parents aren't home, so I think they'd planned
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: to rob me the next night. So then that night
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: I slept at my neighbor's house and I just watched
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: over the house because I'm not even supposed to be
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: at the house, and I'm like, oh my god, if
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: I just if the house gets robbed and I'm not
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: even there. So I just sat and stared at the
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: house for hours until daylight and then I went to sleep.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: We got the window fixed, and no one ever knew
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: until I told my parents, Like, I don't know, three
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: four years later. They never found out. The alarm company
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: never came nothing. I don't This is like twenty twenty
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: five years ago, so I don't know how the alarms worked.
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: It was like not connected to a if it was
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: just like a.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: Noise emergency contact. It doesn't sounds like they weren't quite
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: buttoned up yet.
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: No, but they never found out. My mom said she
• 9:30
  Speaker 3: knew that I had I had parties because obviously, like
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: you try to fix everything, yeah you can't, so but
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: she never knew about the house. And I felt so
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: guilty for weeks because I was like, I should tell
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: her because I'm like, what if they come back, right,
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: I'm not saying anything, But I lied about the entire weekend.
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: So yeah, that was the most scout I've ever been
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: because I was at Zebra having before. We were so
• 9:51
  Speaker 3: freaked out and you think something's going on, but you
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: can mention yourself, mine's just playing tricks on you. And
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: then actually no, someone was watching you out back, which
• 9:59
  Speaker 3: is freaky enough, but and to have the alarm go off,
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: and that was that was crazy? How about you?
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: So your questions are always mind benders to me because
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: I'll think of a better answer, like two days from now.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: I think I've done that with every question you've asked,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: But the first one that comes to mind for me.
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: I'm driving up to Orlando.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: I had just moved up here and I went back
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: down to get some stuff from my parents in South Florida.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: I'm on the Turnpike going north and all of a sudden,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: I'm driving a car that it was my first car,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: like everybody else, was a shitty car that would top
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: out at sixty miles per hour.
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: This thing.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: All of a sudden, I look at this sphenometer on
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: the highway. It goes up to ninety and I'm thinking
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: something is wrong. And all of a sudden, I see
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: a tire with an axle attached to it that is
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: flying in front of my car, and I'm like, that's
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: gotta be me, and my car starts wabbling. This all
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: happens in slow mo, but it probably took like five
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: seconds wobbling in a busy highway, and I thought for
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: sure this was the end. I was just going to
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: crash into the side of the of the highway and
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: hit a car. Mike's car stops dead in its tracks
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: and cars start whizzing by me. I didn't get hurt,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: but I had three tires and I had to get towed.
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: Wow, that's an irrational fear of mine. Is a tire
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: coming off like an eighteen it happens.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Yeah, it was very If you've ever seen Final
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: Destination the movie, it kind of felt it felt very
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: much like that, especially with the axle attached too. Not
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: only was I scared for myself, but that could have
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: killed somebody. Yep, all right, trimply unbelievable stat of the leak.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: Let's get to it. Courtesy of the Primer, A weekly
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: guide into all the action from our director of research,
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: who you will hear from in a moment, Evan Abrams.
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: Through seven weeks, the NFC is twenty six and twelve
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: against the spread, and it's thirty eight games against the AFC.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: This season, the NFC is five hundred, sitting at five
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: hundred ats or better in all seven weeks of the year.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, this season a one hundred dollars better, taking
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: every NFC team against the AFC would be up one thousand,
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty eight dollars. That's an ROI of
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: thirty one point three percent. The NFC that much better
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: than the AFC right now. The numbers back it up,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: and it does feel like that's the case. With everything
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: that's going on injury wise, with these quarterbacks in the AFC.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: The Bills have been a little bit shaky lately, it
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: feels like the NFC is a superior conference at the moment.
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think there's probably there's a lot of I mean,
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: it's a sample size of thirty eight games, but I
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: do think the NFC is better. That makes me a
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: little nervous, but maybe it's due to come back. But
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: you'd have the Vikings this week, the Bears, who else
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: the Panthers, the and the Cowboys and the Packers are
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: the NFC teams to take on AFC. I do think
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: the NFC is clearly better top to bottom than the
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: af SEE right now, especially when you factor in all
• 13:03
  Speaker 3: the injuries. But I would imagine that probably evens out
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: over the course of the year. But yeah, the AFC
• 13:10
  Speaker 3: feels like what the NFC was a few years ago.
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: Evan, you were the one that put that stat together.
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: Is that news or noise?
• 13:17
  Speaker 4: It's noise.
• 13:17
  Speaker 5: I think it has a lot to do with injuries,
• 13:19
  Speaker 5: especially injuries at the top of the AFC, like the
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: Baltimore is the Buffalo losing to in a row, Like
• 13:25
  Speaker 5: the best teams with the best quarterbacks that we say
• 13:27
  Speaker 5: always go to the Super Bowl except for you know,
• 13:28
  Speaker 5: the Eagle stuff.
• 13:30
  Speaker 4: They're all hurt, and I think that has a big
• 13:33
  Speaker 4: impact on this.
• 13:34
  Speaker 5: I also think the NFC teams at the top are
• 13:38
  Speaker 5: just more complete this year, like better defenses, like like
• 13:42
  Speaker 5: pretty good offenses.
• 13:43
  Speaker 4: I just think as a whole they're playing well.
• 13:45
  Speaker 5: I'd have to look deeper to see if there's any
• 13:47
  Speaker 5: other reasons why, But at the moment, I think there's
• 13:50
  Speaker 5: eight matchups this week, so you know, I wouldn't be
• 13:53
  Speaker 5: shocked if this is the week it reversed or at
• 13:55
  Speaker 5: least you saw like an even four and four split.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: But interesting nonetheless, another one that I saw that I
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: absolutely love and it does point in a different direction
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: from where I'm headed with one game this weekend. But
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: stats are stats. I can't change them. Since twenty eighteen,
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: teams who are on a four plus game winning streak
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: against the spread and straight up who didn't make the
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: playoffs the year prior are fourteen twenty six and one ats.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: That includes two teams, the Patriots and the Bears. I
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: am not betting the Pats this week. I do have
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: a bet on Chicago at plus six and a half.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: That was one of my favorite plays early in the week,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: just trying to get ahead of some potential Lamar news
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: of him not playing looks like he's going to but
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: even still, I like some value on I see some
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: value in Chicago.
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: Head to head for there is Yeah, what do we
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: got go? I'll still sit with it.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: I'm good with six and a half, honestly, Like I
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: can't even get there with Lamar.
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: You gotta send me crab cakes, frozen crab cakes when
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: the Ravens went by seven plus.
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: Oh, I'll take that. On the other side, I love
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: crab cakes.
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: Okay, all right it scrap cake be Are we both
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: from Baltimore?
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: By the way, I'm I'm not.
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: I'm from I'm from like I'm from outside of Philly,
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: between Philly and Baltimore, but uh no, I'm not from Baltimore.
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: I had season tickets for thirteen years, but I uh no,
• 15:25
  Speaker 3: I'm not from Baltimore.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: But unfortunately I was born there in eighty five and
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: I left before the Those are my choice. I was
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: a kid, but I left before the Ravens came around
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: and became a Dolphins fan as the Ravens were coming
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: into existence. So I have love for the Ravens. I
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: am an Orioles fan, but Scott stuck with the shitty Dolphins.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: But as far as that, as far as.
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: They go on getting back to the NC I see
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: thing real quick. Yeah, should you look in the market
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: right now, just market power ratings for the top six
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: teams in the market are in the NF have the
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: Lions Packers. This is just current right now, so it
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: also accounts for injuries. Lions Packers, Rams and Eagles, Bills
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: and Ravens aren't too far behind now that they're getting healthier,
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: but they're still TVD on Lamar Jackson's status. But that
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: for the top six in the NFC, it has not
• 16:19
  Speaker 3: been like that for a while. I mean for the
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: past couple of years it's Chiefs, Ravens and Bills at
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: the top and clearly at the top. So yeah, the
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: top of the NFC is definitely rising.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: So we're going head to head on Ravens Bears.
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: I will obviously feel better about this if there's some
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: late news that Lamar isn't gonna play, or if we
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: see Lamar play but his hamstring is still giving him issues.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: All of those things are factors here, and I think
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: the Bears are legitimately good this year, so even just
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: getting them at plus six plus six and a half,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: I'm good with. I understand that this is very this
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: this is the ultimate get right spot of all the
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: teams this week. You're talking about a Super Bowl contender
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: who right now is battling for a top pick in
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: the NFL Draft, getting star players back, and none bigger
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: than a guy that's worth about seven points to the spread.
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: Totally get that.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: I'm betting against some major get right action here, but
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: I'm good with that. As far as the other game
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: that this applies in terms of the teams that are
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: four to oh ats over the last four weeks that
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: didn't make the playoffs last year, the Patriots are the
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: other one. They're favored by seven against the Browns. I
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: have no action on this game. I'm not sure where
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: you stand on this. This is a really interesting one.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: The Browns haven't won a game away from home yet,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: no surprise, they're bad. The Patriots are tied with the
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Broncos and Bears with a four game winning streak. That's
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: the longest current streak in the NFL. Drake May is
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: the third most sacked quarterback in the NFL. That's a
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: bad matchup going against the Browns defense that can get
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: after the passer. Are we overvaluing the Browns though, because
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: here we go. Power ratings probably have this closer to six,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: and you're paying attacks on how good New England has been.
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: But are we overvaluing Cleveland based on a blowout win
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: against the sinking ship in Miami? Conklin also back on
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: the offensive line, This is a really interesting read. Probably
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: a stay away from me.
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I make it right around seven, So
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: nothing to do here. I mean, I want to see
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: Drake Mays look fantastic, but he hasn't really faced any
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: good defenses. So I mean, if you look at the
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: schedule of defenses they faced, this will be a good test.
• 18:29
  Speaker 3: But the Browns defense isn't the same animal away from home.
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: It's additional. It's just not a great matchup for the Browns,
• 18:37
  Speaker 3: which is why I can't get there or can't look
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: their way. The Browns want to run the ball, obviously
• 18:42
  Speaker 3: with Jyllan Gabriel, and they're receiving mm. It's not a
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: great passing offense, but the Pats run defense is very good.
• 18:49
  Speaker 3: You got to throw to move the ball on them.
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: That's not the Browns strong suit. So yeah, and then
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: in order to both of these defenses are susceptible to
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: explosive passes. Well, guess what, Drake May's been one of
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: the best deep ball throwers, and they do have an
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: explosive passing offense, and the Browns certainly do not. So
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: I do not think it's a good matchup for Cleveland,
• 19:13
  Speaker 3: but I am interested. I'm close to market, and I
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: am interested to see Drake May go up against a
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: much better defense on paper than what he's seen for
• 19:21
  Speaker 3: the most part so far this season. But you can't
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: argue with his numbers, even adjusting for opponent, he's been
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: one of the best quarterbacks in the league.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Still to come to Kings and a Queen the parlay
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: gets nominated this week, But first a word from our
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: first Lady as she chats about DraftKings.
• 19:37
  Speaker 6: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook, where
• 19:41
  Speaker 6: new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
• 19:44
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  Speaker 6: three months of NBA League Pass to get started. Use
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  Speaker 6: promo Code of Favorites when signing up with DraftKings. Again,
• 19:52
  Speaker 6: he used Code Favorites when signing up and bet five
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  Speaker 6: bucks to get three hundred back and bonus bets if
• 19:57
  Speaker 6: your bet wins plus three months of NBA League. So
• 20:00
  Speaker 6: the crown is yours.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: Kendrew's not here to waffle on a pick for her
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: weekly pickle, So I will ask you, among all the
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: games on the board this week, what has been the
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: toughest for you to convince yourself in either direction to
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: get any sort of action on.
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: I mean, if I have to convince myself, I'm staying away.
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: That's how it always is. So like Patriots, I just
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: explained my thinking with Patriots Browns, that's a stay away.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Let me let me ask this in a different way
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: where you have been convinced in your mind on a
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: side and then have also convinced yourself on the other side.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: So not one that you look at and say I
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: have no read on this one where you've had to
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: read and then that read has shifted. I think that's
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: that's the bigger pickle for any better is thinking that
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: they have a good read on a game and then
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: starting to look at it in a completely opposite direction.
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: I mean Cowboys Broncos. I can see the case for
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: both sides. I mean eating bo Nicks to win by
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: margin not great, but the Cowboys offense and look, the
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: Cowboys offense has been incredible. Can Denver actually keep up?
• 21:08
  Speaker 3: Then again, look at some of Dallas's results on the
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: road to get blown out at Chicago, lose that Carolina,
• 21:13
  Speaker 3: This defense is still really bad. So I could see
• 21:18
  Speaker 3: both sides of the coin there. Titans Colts was an
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: easy pass for me, like the Indies should score at Will.
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: I did like some of the things Tennessee did with
• 21:30
  Speaker 3: simplifying their offense last week. But Jeffrey Simmons Sneid probably
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: going to be out. I don't know how they get stops,
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: but I laying I don't want to lay fourteen and
• 21:38
  Speaker 3: a half in the NFL. Like the Colts could be
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: up twenty one, that's a complete blowout in the NFL,
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: and Tennessee could score a garbage some touchdown and cover
• 21:46
  Speaker 3: like there's it's not college football, there's no incentive to
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: blow teams out, and so like, I don't think I would.
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: I don't think I've ever laid over two touchdowns in
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: the NFL. So that was an easy, easy crossout out.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: What about team total over that was one that I
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: was looking at if you want to bet the.
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: Game script dependent though, like because Tennessee can't score and
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: then like it's what's what's their team total?
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: Thirty and a half?
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so like if it's like twenty eight three and
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: then it just dies and or like there's a couple
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: of fields. I don't know. Team totals aren't my specialty.
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: I mean I would think that Indian doors against that
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: defense without I mean, with thatou Jeffrey Simmons, you can
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: do whatever you want. That's snead. They traded brownly. That
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: defense is a shell you and Tennessee actually and does
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: go fast. They use tempo, so that helps your case
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: as well. But no, I would only look over in
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: that case. Dolphins Falcons is a like I'm not betting
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: the Dolphins, but I'm not probably not laying seven and
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: a half of the Atlanta and Bill's Panthers is one
• 22:54
  Speaker 3: where I think it's completely dependent on what the Bills
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: op to do out of the buy. Do they come
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: out and say we're gonna throw And if they do
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: and just let Josh Allen cook, then I think they're
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: gonna move the ball. It will and I think they're
• 23:09
  Speaker 3: gonna cover, and I think the game probably goes over.
• 23:11
  Speaker 3: But if they try to run it, Carolina is at
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: a top three run defense this year. The run defense
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: has been tremendous, so if they try to run it,
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: then all of a sudden, Carolina is getting stops. Carolina
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: can keep running it. The Bill's run defense has been bad,
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: the Carolina run offense has been good. They can keep
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: running it, keep the ball away from Allen, stay in
• 23:29
  Speaker 3: the game. But if Bills come out and throw it,
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: get a lead for Sandy Dalton to have to throw,
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: That's where I think Carolina get in trouble. So I
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: think it really comes down to the Bills approach and
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: how they call plays in this game and their run
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: pass split. Because they've been very run heavy. I think
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: this is a game where you want to be very
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: pass heavy. Do I trust them or know either way
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: I don't, so that's an easy pass.
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, we are.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: We're in lockstep with some of these games that are
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: giving us fits. Cowboys Broncos. Has me I've gone early
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: in the week, I was convinced I was going to
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: bet the Broncos. I've gone completely in the other direction,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: and then I end up going I don't want to
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: go against how strongly I felt earlier in the week.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: Think about some of the factors here, how this points
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: in both directions. The Broncos are unbeaten at home, but
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: they're also one in two ats at home, so they're winning.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: But they're a little overvalued. I think people perhaps overvaluing
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: that home field advantage. We viewed Denver as one of
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: the top home field advantages in the NFL, but perhaps
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: that's getting baked in a little bit too much. You
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: also had Denver with this epic comeback last week. Evan
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: pointed this out in the article Teams that make the
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: sort of comeback that the Broncos made last week against
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: the Giants cover at a rate of forty three percent
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: next the very next week over the last ten years.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: No surprise there, because it's so unlikely to do that,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: and it probably means that you're not really that good
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: in the first place. So that leads you the way
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: of the Cowboys. The public has been getting absolutely crushed
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: this year. Eighty three percent of the bets, ninety two
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: percent of the money on the Cowboys. Only San Francisco
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: is receiving more action this week. That points me in
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: the direction of the Broncos is fading the public.
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: Also, if you want to throw another one, no, but
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: they do last week they were like ten and oh,
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: so you never know. I don't want to base too
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: much off that. I would say that that.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: Has been my most tried and true method this year,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: is getting back to the well on fade public sentiment.
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that that abs and foods. I mean
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: you look, books can do that because they have they're
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: getting well, they're getting plus one ten. You have to
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: have minus one then, and you got to you gotta
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: do it on every single bet. So I mean with
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: the Cowboys, yeah, I mean, look, the Broncos of one,
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: like you mentioned the comeback, the Broncs had that crazy
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: comeback as the Eagles lay an egg the next week
• 25:41
  Speaker 3: against the Jets. I mean their wins this year have
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: come by four two one. They lost by one, They
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: lost by three. They only beat the Titans by eight.
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: You know, their one blaw win came over the Bengals
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: with Jake Browning basically just vomiting on himself. Like, this
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: is a team that's just gonna play close games, like
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: not really cable of building margin. And the Cowboys can
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: keep up with pretty much anybody, and the certain haven't
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: certained he isn't as valuable against a team like the
• 26:06
  Speaker 3: Cowboys because they have two stug receivers. Right, a lot
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: of times he's eliminating one of them. But yeah, I
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: could I could see that going either way. But if
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: I had to at three and a half, it'd be
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: Dallas or nothing. The other game, yeah, the last one
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: is Eagles Giants. I kind of like the Eagles, but
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: I hate laying seven and a half with them, So
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: everything's number depended as seven. I like the Eagles, but
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: even at I don't like laying seven with Eagles. Like,
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: this is a team that get their offense goes into
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: just long lulls. Once they have a lead, they kind
• 26:38
  Speaker 3: of sit on it. This is not a team that
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: you really want to light points with, but it's a
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: really good spot. The Giants also have some potential injuries
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: on defense that I'm monitoring, but and that's really what
• 26:48
  Speaker 3: cost in the game against Denver. They lost two guys
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: in the secondary and Denver ended up coming back. But
• 26:54
  Speaker 3: the Eagles, they just played the Giants a couple of
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: weeks ago. The Giants have been dominating in first quarters.
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: They've been the second best team in the first quarter
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: EPA wise since Dart took over. Only team better is
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: the Chiefs. And what is that? So like their script
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: and everything early with this unique Dart offense has been
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: very good and that enables them to play how they
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: need to keep playing because they have a lead. The
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: problem is they just played the Eagles two weeks ago.
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: The Eagles kind of know what this Giants offense look
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: looks like, so and it's a tough spot for the Giants.
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: How do they bounce back from that meltdown? I don't know.
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: But if the Eagles are prepared and they get ahead
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: of the Giants, I don't think the Giants are built
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: to come from behind. The Giants run defense is really bad.
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: I think, you know, the Eagles might have found something
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: on offense last week, going under center more actually throwing
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: it downfield. So yeah, you know the Eagles, this is good.
• 27:42
  Speaker 3: They're gonna be They're gonna be ready for this game
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: because the Giants basically embarrassed them on national TV. We're
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: talking all kinds of shit. So I think it's a
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: really good spot for the Eagles. But it's not a
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: team I love needing to win by a ten plus,
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: so that one is has been a little bit of
• 27:56
  Speaker 3: a pickle as well.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: I think it's important to talk this stuff through because
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: this is what every better goes through, is these sort
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: of back and forth.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: There's a lot of games that are on the card.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: We have our picks with full conviction coming up in
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: a moment, Evan, before we move off of the waffling
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: the pickling, is there one that you're looking at or
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: a couple where you say, I just don't even know
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: what to do with that.
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: I'll just say this off the bat.
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: Eight games on the card this week of thirteen games
• 28:21
  Speaker 5: with the spread of six or more, which is just
• 28:25
  Speaker 5: unbelievable this time of year. Has to do with injuries
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: a lot of different factors. But if you look at
• 28:30
  Speaker 5: like seven of those eight teams that are those big
• 28:34
  Speaker 5: of a favorites, there is like something inherently odd and
• 28:38
  Speaker 5: not something we're used to about those teams, which is
• 28:41
  Speaker 5: why I think it's difficult to lay points. So one
• 28:44
  Speaker 5: by one quickly, it's Flacco and Cincinnati. It's the Ravens
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: getting back all of their roster, something we haven't seen.
• 28:51
  Speaker 5: It's like Pennix in Atlanta. I don't know if you
• 28:53
  Speaker 5: can do that. Philly doesn't cover in any situation really easily.
• 28:57
  Speaker 5: New England's really new at this Daniel Jones is laying
• 29:00
  Speaker 5: fourteen points, like each situation is something that I don't
• 29:04
  Speaker 5: think anyone is like comfortable with. I mean, I think
• 29:06
  Speaker 5: numbers tell you to do one thing, but there's also
• 29:09
  Speaker 5: a gut feeling about a bet.
• 29:10
  Speaker 4: In what you've seen, and all of those favorites make
• 29:13
  Speaker 4: me nervous.
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm on the flip side. It's like, oh,
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: but then you got a bet the Titans. Oh then
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: you got a bet Gaber on the road, right.
• 29:19
  Speaker 5: So very difficult spread week, yeah, right, or the difficult
• 29:22
  Speaker 5: spread week, or the.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: Or the disaster that is the Miami Dolphins. And you
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: know the thing is, I want to make sure that
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: I lay You're in the right context with that, because
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: they bottomed out against the Browns. The Dolphins have been competitive,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: and if you listen to the narrative from the talking
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: heads this week, it is as if this team has
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: quit on Mike McDaniel for a month. That's not true.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: It's been one bad week and it was one bad
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: week in weather, and Tua has never played well in
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: those situations. So I do think that if you're if
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: you're just taking the number and talking about that game specifically,
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins are probably the right side. I do have
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: the Falcons teas down to one, so I'm gonna I'm
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: gonna off of that.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: Let's talk luck for a moment.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: Nick Giffen does phenomenal work with his weekly luck rankings,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: and we've got some deltas that are out there. Jets
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: at Bengals A grade on the New York Jets. Giants
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: at Eagles A grade on the New York Giants, even
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: though they beat the Eagles pretty soundly just a couple
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: of weeks ago. I was surprised, not surprised in the
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: first one. The Bengals obviously feel like they have a
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: rabbit's foot and the Jets have the opposite. But the
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: Giants an unlucky team. I know last week they lost
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: to Denver in sort of a weird way, but the.
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: Unluckiest loss of the year besides Tennessee. And they also
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: were unlucky against the Cowboys.
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: But they've been playing great usually.
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: What I'm saying, they put all that's looking at is
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: how many wins you should have versus how many wins
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: you do, so like the Eagles should have. I mean,
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: Eagles deserve to lose by like a touchdown. Last week
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: against Minnesota, they were out success rate by like twelve percent.
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: They had to pick. The Vikings had one touchdown in
• 31:02
  Speaker 3: six red zone trips. Uh you know there was a
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: drop touchdown, a tall touch up. Everything went wrong. The
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: Eagles did face all their damage on like fourth down bombs,
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: so that should have been a loss. The Rams game
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: obviously should have been a loss. They went on a
• 31:16
  Speaker 3: blocked fuel goal after they were down by twenty. So yeah,
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: the Eagles should have like a couple of fewer losses
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: and like easily could have two fewer losses.
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: And you sound like somebody that's lost money betting on
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: the Eagles.
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: Mon I did. I lost the Rams and the Vikings game,
• 31:32
  Speaker 3: which were graded like clear winners.
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: Which you can hear that, you can hear the salt
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: in the vinegar, but what are.
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: You gonna do? Also, I had the Giants against the
• 31:40
  Speaker 3: Cowboys to close out a round robin. I just needed
• 31:42
  Speaker 3: them to win and then they somehow outed down on
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: the loss in overtime. No joy. But uh yeah, so
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: that's all that's looking at. So that doesn't surprise me.
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: Like the Giants have been on I mean, last week
• 31:51
  Speaker 3: they had like a ninety win probably only one point,
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: stunning that the Broncos sixty to one live on the
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: money line at one point. So yeah, the Eagles definitely
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: have been lucky. Their schedules tough. It's they're gonna get
• 32:08
  Speaker 3: their medicine. I'm just not sure it's this week with
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: the Giants because I think I just think it's a
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: tough spot and the Eagles will be ready here and
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: I don't think it's a great matchup for the Giants
• 32:16
  Speaker 3: unless they jump ahead. But I'm not sure that they're
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: gonna be able to hear with their script after just
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: playing the Eagles a couple of weeks ago. So the
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: Jets would be the one of those two that I like.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: And I believe we're going to talk about that within
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: our parlay discussion. Here's one last interesting one. Nick Giffan
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: also does work on luck totals. I full disclosure, I
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: do bet NBA and Major League Baseball totals quite frequently.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: I could be the world's worst NFL totals better. I
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: just I just don't view the league that way.
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: I don't.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: I don't have a lens for it. But Broncos Cowboys
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: under fifty and a half is that has to be
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: If we were ranking contrarian plays across the board this week,
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: that would be in the top three because those two
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: teams can score. So I'm and I'm thinking and betting
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: any any under where the Cowboys are involved. But that
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: is a luck under right there? Would you be willing
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: to place a bet on that stucky?
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: Maybe a fifty one or better? Which is a key
• 33:15
  Speaker 3: in the NFL? I mean, did the Broncos defense is
• 33:19
  Speaker 3: very good? The Cowboys offense isn't the same away from
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: home and bow Knicks is bon NICKX like that bo
• 33:25
  Speaker 3: Knicks will bonicks the offense into oblivion for like multiple quarters.
• 33:29
  Speaker 3: The had zero points against the Giants for three quarters
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: and then they had to go into comeback mode against
• 33:33
  Speaker 3: pre de defense with multiple second or injuries. So you
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: think that this but that this is a Broncos scene
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: that just scored thirteen points against the Jets. They scored
• 33:42
  Speaker 3: you know, they they were getting shut out against the
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: Eagles for three quarters. They were going to shut out
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: against the Giants for three quarters. So yeah, there's a
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: pat like to get over fifty one. You need, you
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: need a lot. You can't have a lot go wrong.
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: You need you can't be set on for field goals,
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: have red zone turnovers, and can tailspin a offense for
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: a couple of quarters. And to Broncos defense is very
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: talented and so I can see the path at fifty
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: one or better, but obviously won't be enjoyable betting a
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: Cowboys under I can see it.
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: Four o'clock window, Cowboys under not things. It's time for
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: the reason you all came here today. Two Kings and
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: a Queen Parlay. We took another team l last week,
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: but all we can do is get back on the horse.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Here are two Kings and a Queen parlay, presented by
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: draft Kings of the Crown is yours. We'll start with
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: the person who isn't here. Kendra has submitted her plays.
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: I thought for sure we were gonna get some sort
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: of a anytime touchdown from a tight end. It is
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: tight ends Day on Sunday, by the way, the fourth Sunday.
• 34:50
  Speaker 3: Here, Scott Hansen say that fifty million times.
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: Is your buddy raybaon on any of the tight end
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: props this week for the cash The tight end stuff
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: went well, it went so wild last year. I was
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: talking with David Payton, our producer, before we popped on today.
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: It's bound to just tilt in the other direction because
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: people are gonna go wild on Sunday for these touchdown
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: tight end props.
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: At least Kelsey's not playing on National tight Ends Stack
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: because that's when Scott Anson.
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: Really yeah right, Well, she doesn't have one of those Jets.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Giants are her too, so she is going East Rutherford
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: action here. Giants plus seven and a half against the Eagles,
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: Jets plus six and a half against the Cincinnati Bengals.
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: I was going to tee up the Jets.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: Once I saw that on our little Google doc, I
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: decided to take it off so my voute would be
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: on the Jets here. This Bengals team is not real
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: and if you look at every single direction of how
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: to bet a game in the NFL, it would point
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: you in the way of the New York Jets. Aaron
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: Glenn hasn't committed to a quarterback yet. I think at
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: this point we all hope it's to Rod Taylor. Under
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: Zach Taylor. The Bengals are two and six ATS when
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: playing at home off of a night game, two and
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: five ATS with extra time to prepare. In a non
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: borrow quarterbacked game, They're at home one in prime time
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: black all looks amazing.
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: I'm not buying any of it.
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: And the Jets, I mean you talk about do I
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: mean this team is overdue for a win, so perhaps
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: even a sprinkle on the money line. But I love
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: the Jets this week. That's my favorite bets, so that
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: would be my vote. I do like the Giants. I
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: just I'm afraid to buy high on the Aura, as
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: Kendro would put it, of Jackson Dart and Cam Skataboo.
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: It just feels like it almost feels like the they're like.
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: The cute new team. I just I'm not fully buying
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: it yet.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: The Eagles, as much as they are a slog to watch,
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: it's still they're still a superpower in the NFL.
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: So that one I'm a little bit slower to get
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: to the window on. But I love the Jets.
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: No Giants. We're going with the Jets. Hopefully Garret Wilson
• 36:56
  Speaker 3: maybe plays. I don't know there's a buye, but I mean,
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: do the Jets really care about it?
• 37:00
  Speaker 5: Buye?
• 37:00
  Speaker 3: I don't know. Sauce Corners in a covert protocol, but
• 37:03
  Speaker 3: Michael Carter's back in the secondary. You got a couple
• 37:06
  Speaker 3: other guys and that's going to be one of the
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: big questions against their receivers. But this is a Jets team.
• 37:10
  Speaker 3: You mentioned, They've been extremely unlucky. I mean they have
• 37:13
  Speaker 3: covered a bunch of games, Like in this price range
• 37:15
  Speaker 3: they covered. They were like plus seven at Tampa and covered,
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: had a chance to win. They covered. They were this
• 37:20
  Speaker 3: around this price on a neutral against the Broncos a
• 37:25
  Speaker 3: couple of weeks back. So like now we're the Bengals
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: are laying six and a half because Joe Flacco had
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: his one explosion game. This is still one of the worst.
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: The Bengals have one of the worst defenses in the NFL,
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL. They
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: have been able to run the ball all year. The
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: Jets defense is top seven in rush and pass success rate.
• 37:44
  Speaker 3: The Bengals are bottom five in both. Like, the Jets
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: should be able to run the ball year even with
• 37:48
  Speaker 3: that is no Garret Wilson, I'm assuming it's tyrot or Trod,
• 37:52
  Speaker 3: my guy. I call him ty God. He's thirty four
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: to twenty one and four against the spread in his career.
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: Covers will call whatever he wants, just to call.
• 37:59
  Speaker 3: Him sixty two sixty five percent against the spread. As
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: a dog, he's nine three and one against his privan
• 38:04
  Speaker 3: catching six or more. The Jets of a minus nine
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: turnover differential. They forced one turnover all year. They're so
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: overdue for turnovers. Flacco will give you the ball. So yeah,
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: and the Blengals don't blitz. They don't bring pressure if
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: that's really what's killed all the all the Jets quarterbacks.
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: But I think actually Tad is better than than fields
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: right now. So there are some concerning injuries for the Jets.
• 38:26
  Speaker 3: The Bengals have some extra rest, but like, this team
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: should not be laying six and a half here. So yeah,
• 38:29
  Speaker 3: we're going with the New York Football Jets.
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: What about you.
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna my two choices are the Ravens, but I
• 38:36
  Speaker 3: know you're not going to pick that, so we're gonna
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: and I don't blame you with the Lamar uncertainty, so
• 38:41
  Speaker 3: we're gonna go with the Commanders plus twelve and a half.
• 38:44
  Speaker 3: Like this is assuming, Like I don't think that the
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: drop off between Daniels and Mariota is this big right now.
• 38:50
  Speaker 3: Like Daniels is not playing well this year, there's been
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: no chemistry with the offense. We've seen Mariota come in
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: and be very competent run this offense the Chiefs are
• 38:59
  Speaker 3: doing with offensive line injuries. It looks like McLaurin and
• 39:02
  Speaker 3: Deebo are going to be back. You should get a
• 39:05
  Speaker 3: focused effort here from the Commanders after they got blown
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: out against Dallas. Everyone is so high in the cheeks.
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: I get it. I love their offense too, but some
• 39:14
  Speaker 3: offensive line injuries you can run on them, which Washington
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: certainly can do. Mariota can run this off This is
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: a big number. This is a number that you get
• 39:23
  Speaker 3: against like a completely Yeah, they were just laying this
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: number to the Raiders without Bowers and without Colton Miller
• 39:32
  Speaker 3: and rate this completely broken Raiders team. Like this is
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: still a functional Washington offense that even if you're blowing
• 39:38
  Speaker 3: them out by like seventeen, you can still get in
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: the back door too many points. We're gonna go with
• 39:43
  Speaker 3: the Commanders Monday Night, catching twelve and a half, little
• 39:47
  Speaker 3: Bilos cell high spot there.
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: Very much self. I am game for that.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: I like the Commanders play, don't love Mariota, but I'm
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: willing to stomach that now, Evan, just for the sake
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: of content. If you to break the tie between the
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: Commanders of plus twelve and a half or the Ravens
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: at minus six and a half, where would you have
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: placed your vote?
• 40:10
  Speaker 5: I want nothing to do with Chicago and Baltimore. I
• 40:12
  Speaker 5: just way too many question marks for me. I think
• 40:15
  Speaker 5: Washington's the better play. I agree with Stuck. Jayden's fantastic.
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: We saw what he can do, but this year the
• 40:22
  Speaker 5: drop off hasn't been that drastic. And if you look
• 40:25
  Speaker 5: at it like this, which I know it's a little
• 40:27
  Speaker 5: bit of a different way of looking at it, but
• 40:29
  Speaker 5: the look ahead, like what we assumed Washington would be
• 40:33
  Speaker 5: is casey minus three and a half. That's just way
• 40:37
  Speaker 5: too drastic of a difference in that type of game,
• 40:40
  Speaker 5: and Kansas City's looked way too good that I would
• 40:43
  Speaker 5: be looking in the other direction. Like, do I expect
• 40:45
  Speaker 5: them to win? I do, but I think seven, eight, ten,
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: Like there's just eleven. There's a lot of different options
• 40:51
  Speaker 5: here for that number, and listen.
• 40:54
  Speaker 3: And the Chiefs just sit on it when they get
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: leads too.
• 40:56
  Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I think Washington's the right side.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Washington is going to have to score some points though.
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: The Chiefs offense is averaging thirty one and a half
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: points per game, four hundred and twelve yards of total
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: offense over their last four games, So the Commanders are
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: going to have to move the ball otherwise we're going
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: to be in trouble with that number. But it's still
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: a great buying opportunity for the Commanders.
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: Did it also worth bet you? I'll reiterate. Chiefs said three.
• 41:22
  Speaker 3: Josh Simmons is away from the team. They're left tackle.
• 41:25
  Speaker 3: I hope everything's okay with them. I didn't see an update.
• 41:28
  Speaker 3: I hope it's nothing serious, but he's dealing with a
• 41:30
  Speaker 3: personal issue. Tray Smith and Jawan Taylor. Tray Smith's one
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: of your better off its linean and your right tackle
• 41:36
  Speaker 3: got hurt last week, So like that could throw a
• 41:38
  Speaker 3: little wrench into this. But Washington, especially with McLaurin and
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: Debo back, but they can run the ball, and the
• 41:45
  Speaker 3: Chiefs run defense has not been good. They lost another
• 41:48
  Speaker 3: defensive lineman last week. And who's now an I are
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: And so Washington, I think should be able to run it.
• 41:53
  Speaker 3: And what does that mean? Keep Mahomes on the sideline?
• 41:56
  Speaker 3: So I think they can put up their fair share
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: of points. I think they can get to seventeen to
• 42:01
  Speaker 3: twenty points in this and you know that I think
• 42:05
  Speaker 3: the Chiefs probably get to like twenty eight to thirty one.
• 42:11
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I think, But just numbers wise, this is
• 42:14
  Speaker 3: too much like this is Daniels has not been great
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: this year, and the timing of the receiver has been off.
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: It's just and we've seen Mariota run this offense confidently.
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: This is not like this is a bottom feeder line
• 42:24
  Speaker 3: like the Raiders is one of the worst teams gonna
• 42:26
  Speaker 3: felt the moment without their best players. And this is
• 42:28
  Speaker 3: what the number was last week. Too much inflation. So yeah,
• 42:32
  Speaker 3: we're rolling with and Avid real quick. Who would you
• 42:34
  Speaker 3: went with Giants or Jets as the New York guy.
• 42:37
  Speaker 4: I probably wouldn't go with the Giants.
• 42:39
  Speaker 5: I just think that a game is the extra yeah,
• 42:42
  Speaker 5: and you it's the ultimate you got to see it
• 42:44
  Speaker 5: to prove it type of game. Like every single week,
• 42:46
  Speaker 5: the Giants look better than we think they are, and
• 42:49
  Speaker 5: it just yeah, on paper, the Eagles obviously look better,
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: but when you get on the field, there's just something
• 42:54
  Speaker 5: a little different.
• 42:55
  Speaker 3: I don't know, they fade and then they miraculously find
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: ways to cover.
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Sure, yeah, they are definitely I love fading the Eagles,
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: and I don't know if I've lost as much as
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: Stucky on that endeavor. But betting of the Broncos the
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: week that they were able to come back against Philly,
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: that was one of my better wins on the year.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: But betting the Giants is just simply more fun than
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: betting the Jets. But we're not in this for fun.
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: We're in this for wins.
• 43:19
  Speaker 3: You might not say that when Deontay Banks as the player.
• 43:22
  Speaker 3: I don't even know who they're going to start at
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: the DeVos out But anyway, all right, what are your
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: two that you're going with?
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: By the way, public flogging on Monday night, sixty six
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the bets right now on the Kansas City Chiefs.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: No surprise there as part of the reason why we
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: like the Commanders. Saints plus four against the Tampa Bay Bucks,
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Texans minus one against the San Francisco forty nine Ers.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: I'll go into cell.
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: Mode for these and then I'll let you pick between
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: the two. The injuries are catching up to Tampa short
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: week now they go on the road in division. Baker
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: has struggled in these spots four and five in those
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: positions at ATS. As a favorite against the NFC South,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: I eliminate everything involved with Cleveland when I do anything
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: Baker related stat wise, So thank you for putting that
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: in the primer.
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: Evan, this is a luck ranking game.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: On top of it, Rattler through three picks last week,
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: he hadn't thrown an interception since Week three. If he
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: can just play it safe, simple style of quarterback play,
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: I think they can move on Tampa. Chris Alave has
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: been playing some really good football. I can't quit the Saints.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: I've bet this team a lot this year two and
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: five ATS, so it doesn't exactly paid off, but I'm
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: gonna go back to the well here and fade the Bucks.
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: As far as the other play, everything points to Houston here.
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: San Francisco's a cell high, Houston's a by low. They
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: are a disgusting football team. One offensive touchdown last week
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: in primetime. They have been awful in these primetime games.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Just think back to that game against the Tampa Bay Bucks.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: The sharp side was the Texans, just like it was
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: against the Seahawks.
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: They have not been coming through.
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: But when you look at what the P rating is
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: going to tell you is that the Texans should be favored.
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: I think most people that look at this game are
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: going to.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: Say, well, how in the world are the San Francisco
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers not favored?
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: They're the better team.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Houston's defense is allowing fourteen point seven points per game.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: Shanahan's teams the last nine times they've faced the defense
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: allowing seventeen points per game or less one to eight
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: against the spread. I mean, the Texans might be bad,
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: but all signs point to them in this particular game.
• 45:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I like both. I like both of these. Good
• 45:30
  Speaker 3: job by Kendra. You and maybe I'm rubbing off on
• 45:34
  Speaker 3: you guys because I used to not like all your
• 45:36
  Speaker 3: plays in the beginning of the year. Now this week
• 45:38
  Speaker 3: I like all of your plays. So good work. Here,
• 45:40
  Speaker 3: I'm going to beat bet both of these. I like
• 45:42
  Speaker 3: the Texans. I mean, look the forty nine ers, they
• 45:44
  Speaker 3: had an all out effort against Atlanta. But I mean
• 45:46
  Speaker 3: Penix is just off. That defense is really bad. It's
• 45:49
  Speaker 3: a bottom five defense on paper right now because they
• 45:51
  Speaker 3: don't have Warner and they don't have both. They just
• 45:53
  Speaker 3: lost off, they have other injuries, Green, their corner got hurt,
• 45:56
  Speaker 3: and they don't get pressure. They're dead last and pressure
• 45:58
  Speaker 3: rate by a wide margin out boss on the field.
• 46:01
  Speaker 3: What does that mean? That means like Stroud's actually gonna
• 46:04
  Speaker 3: have time to operate and even if Nico Collins doesn't play,
• 46:07
  Speaker 3: they're going to be able to throw the ball. He's
• 46:10
  Speaker 3: look at the Ravens games. Stroud looked great. The Titans
• 46:13
  Speaker 3: game teams that weren't able to get pressure when he
• 46:16
  Speaker 3: was playing, like the Rams, the Seahawks, He's elite defensive linset.
• 46:18
  Speaker 3: They will just they just crumble the awful the Houston
• 46:22
  Speaker 3: offensive line and they can't do anything. So this is
• 46:25
  Speaker 3: a game where indoors against a bad defense, even if
• 46:29
  Speaker 3: Nico Collins doesn't play, even if Christian Kirk doesn't play.
• 46:32
  Speaker 3: I think with the Iowa State receiving core that he
• 46:35
  Speaker 3: might have. They're gonna be able to move the ball.
• 46:36
  Speaker 3: And then you have the best unit on the field
• 46:38
  Speaker 3: in the Houston defense, still one of the best defenses
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: in the NFL. And look, Matt Jones has been great
• 46:46
  Speaker 3: as a backup, but I mean look that, but he's
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: had one touchdown, four interceptions in his last three or
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: four games. And who is he played. I mean he's
• 46:53
  Speaker 3: played the Falcons defense, the Bucks defense with all their injuries,
• 46:59
  Speaker 3: you know, the Jags, the Rams, the Saints, like this
• 47:03
  Speaker 3: is a big step up in class for mac Jones
• 47:06
  Speaker 3: and this defense at home desperation spot, they're gonna be ready.
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: And look the forty nine ers Yester five and two.
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: They should have lost to the Cardinals. Cardinals have a
• 47:15
  Speaker 3: wide open they drop it literally wide open and drop.
• 47:18
  Speaker 3: They win that game. They won by one. The Saints
• 47:20
  Speaker 3: had the ball with a chance to win. They win
• 47:22
  Speaker 3: by five. The Seahawks had a chance to win, it
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: was a fumble late. They won by four. They beat
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: the Rams in overtime. They then they you know, they
• 47:30
  Speaker 3: beat the Falcons last week by ten. That's that they
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: have four. There are four wins by one possession. They
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: could have all went the other way. This team usually
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: could have two or three wins. Credit the Channa for
• 47:39
  Speaker 3: when he's done with all the injuries, but I think
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: Houston gets it done. I also like your other pick, which.
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: Was who it was the Saints four The Saints.
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with everything he said. The Bucks injuries
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: before the bye week, they're going to be more cautious
• 47:52
  Speaker 3: with who they hold out. Baker kind of came back
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: down to earth last week. Maybe some of the injuries
• 47:58
  Speaker 3: on the offensive line widerc I mean, he was a
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: Bucks team that was Baker was playing at a god
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: level and they were barely winning games, like last minute
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: drives every week. Last week against a bunch of backups,
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: he wasn't playing at God level and they get blown out.
• 48:11
  Speaker 3: So yeah, he might be coming back down to earth
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: a bit. And the injuries around him aren't helping. Bucky
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: Irving not being in it doesn't help, and this Bucks
• 48:18
  Speaker 3: defense is still gettable. Worry about the center injury against
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: Videvea for the Saints. I'll see how they mix it up.
• 48:24
  Speaker 3: But I like both of these. My vote would be
• 48:27
  Speaker 3: We're gonna go with the Texans. That's what I have
• 48:29
  Speaker 3: the most conviction on, but I'm okay going with either. Ivan,
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: do you have a preference?
• 48:33
  Speaker 5: I love both of these sides. I've been sitting here
• 48:35
  Speaker 5: trying to figure it out. I think New Orleans is
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: the right side based off a number of factors. Something
• 48:39
  Speaker 5: looked wrong with Baker overall in that game, Like I
• 48:42
  Speaker 5: don't even necessarily know if it was the injuries or anything.
• 48:45
  Speaker 5: He just looked off the entire.
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: Night in mis step, wide open touchdown.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: He's not comfortable with his receivers. So who are we
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: going with here? Texans or Saints?
• 48:54
  Speaker 5: I Mean, my only question was going to be this
• 48:57
  Speaker 5: when Nico Collins gets officially announced out, which we soon.
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: That's what I'm trying to figure out.
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: You think it'll come down a little bit because I'm
• 49:04
  Speaker 5: just I'm a little worried going against San Francisco with
• 49:07
  Speaker 5: all that they do, and I keep doing that every
• 49:09
  Speaker 5: week and I keep losing.
• 49:10
  Speaker 4: But I think the Texans are the right side here.
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 49:12
  Speaker 3: But because of that and at DraftKings right now, the
• 49:15
  Speaker 3: Saints are the best price of market. So let's go
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: up the Saints plus four and a half.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: All right, deal, Saints plus four and a half is
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: my play. In the Two Kings and a Queen parlay
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings, Kendra has the Jets plus six and
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: a half against the Bengals and stuck. You'll have to
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: wait till Monday night for that one. Commanders plus twelve
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: and a half against the Chiefs. That will do it
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: for today's episode special thanks to our producers Gifford Gold
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: and David Paine. The Favorites will return on Sunday night.
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: All the week eight recap for you. Catch it right
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: here on the Action Network YouTube page. Thanks so much
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: for tuning in. We'll see you next time here on
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: the Favorites presented by DraftKings.
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: Let's cash these tickets I go. Action Network reminds you
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four to
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: seven at one eight hundred Gambler