Latest / Orthodontic Products Podcast / What Do the Findings Say? The 2023 Orthodontic Practice Survey Deep Dive
Transcript
- 0:04Alison Werner: Hello and welcome to the Orthodontic Products
- 0:06podcast. I'm your host Alison Werner. Today we have back with
- 0:09us Dr. Roger Levin at the practice management consulting
- 0:12firm, Levin Group. He's here to help break down the findings of
- 0:15our third annual orthodontic practice survey. Dr. Levin,
- 0:18great to have you back.
- 0:21Dr Roger Levin: Alison, it's wonderful to be back. I love
- 0:23doing the survey with you. I'm glad it's our third year and I'm
- 0:26looking forward to our conversation today.
- 0:29Alison Werner: Great well, as I said, this is now the third year
- 0:32and the survey asked orthodontists to tell us how
- 0:35their practices fared the previous year. So we're gonna be
- 0:37looking at 2023. Before we dive into the details and get into
- 0:41your advice to doctors and staff who are facing some of the
- 0:44challenges reported, what was your overall assessment about
- 0:48how orthodontic practices fared as businesses in 2023?
- 0:52Dr Roger Levin: Yeah, if I had to pick one word, and I like to
- 0:54do that, I would say stability. Things were fairly stable. We
- 0:59had a pandemic, we had a rapid rise in overhead in 2022, the
- 1:05biggest rise in overhead in any single year, in the last 40
- 1:09years. And in 23, it went up a little bit more. But production
- 1:15in practices in 22, and 23 was fairly stable, we're going to
- 1:19see that it's down a little bit. It's not all it's not gloom and
- 1:22doom. But I would say it was a year of stability that this is
- 1:26the first year since 2020, that we are back to a more normal
- 1:30landscape. normal scenario, we don't have any huge problems,
- 1:35even the economic problems are limited, although the fact that
- 1:39people are seeing some issues with their everyday goods like
- 1:43eggs and milk and things like that where we're seeing a little
- 1:47bit of a production drop. But I want to be positive. Any
- 1:51practice that looks like right now can use the year 2023 as a
- 1:55launching pad to do really well. That's great.
- 1:58Alison Werner: Okay, good. Okay, so let's start by going through
- 2:02some of the findings. And let's start by talking about
- 2:04production. How to 2023 stack up against 2022?
- 2:09Dr Roger Levin: So I love data and statistics. And you can make
- 2:12them sound like a lot of different things. The fact is,
- 2:16that production overall dropped in orthodontics in 2023. Now, as
- 2:21I said, it's not gloom and doom, it dropped by about 4.7%. So
- 2:26nobody has to panic, if I start panicking, so I don't panic, but
- 2:31I would panic. When I hear me to practice this down 10% or more,
- 2:35if they're down 10% in a year. Any of you listening to this,
- 2:39that's when you really need action and help and turn around.
- 2:42You don't want that to get worse. I'm not real concerned
- 2:46about the 4.7%. And I'm not not concerned because it's a one
- 2:51year data point. The question as I wrote in the article that
- 2:54you'll be publishing is, is this the beginning of a trend, I've
- 2:59talked a lot about orthodontics, getting a little bit more
- 3:02competitive. I mentioned in the article, one of the biggest DSOs
- 3:07in the country now offers orthodontics through its general
- 3:10dentists at $1,999. They have their own branded aligner. So
- 3:15whenever you see competition, you've got to pay attention to
- 3:17see how you're stacking up. The one comment I make always is
- 3:23your goal is to increase production every year. It
- 3:26doesn't have to be by a lot. But if you can do that, if you can
- 3:29increase production every year, you are going to be somewhere
- 3:32between good and great as a practice.
- 3:35Alison Werner: Okay. And you talked a little bit before about
- 3:38how we're kind of stabilizing in terms of you know, those those,
- 3:42you know, different those unique years of 2021 2022 because of
- 3:48the pandemic and everything. But one of the things that is
- 3:52happening or kind of looks like it's happening in 2023 is that
- 3:55that pent up demand due to the pandemic and all the savings
- 3:58that was built up is kind of disappearing, and we're kind of
- 4:01righting the ship basically,
- 4:03Dr Roger Levin: Right. If I were an economist looking at
- 4:05orthodontics of the last few years, it would be impossible to
- 4:09get a handle on it because the pandemic was so unusual. In 21,
- 4:14the pent up demand many of our client orthodontic practices had
- 4:18record years even though they were shut down for four to six
- 4:21weeks. And they were exhausted by the end of the year. In 2022,
- 4:26overhead skyrocketed and there was still huge pent up demand
- 4:30coming in, people deciding to have ortho. What what happened
- 4:34to some degree was that people weren't spending money. So they
- 4:39were sitting at home saving. They weren't spending it on
- 4:43travel, luxury, entertainment or restaurants. So there was all
- 4:48this extra money. It wasn't the, you know, 12 or $1,400 they got
- 4:52from the government that let them do it though. It was all
- 4:55the savings. But by 23, we know that savings is disappearing
- 5:00right now. How do we know that because credit card debt now is
- 5:03back to an all time high, when nobody, nobody puts interest on
- 5:07their credit cards if they have discretionary income to spend.
- 5:11So we have definitely bumped up against the excess savings that
- 5:16people could use for ortho. And now we're back to doing
- 5:19orthodontics only for people that really want it, not people
- 5:23who in the past wouldn't have gotten it, but they had extra
- 5:25money so they decided to get it. So I think that is a definite
- 5:29contributory factor to the slight drop in production in
- 5:342023.
- 5:35Alison Werner: Okay, so keeping that in mind and kind of some of
- 5:38the other economic headwinds, what strategies can practices
- 5:42employ to continue to grow that production?
- 5:45Dr Roger Levin: Well, here's what's interesting, you know,
- 5:47I'm 39 years into this job. So I'm, I'm almost at halfway in my
- 5:51career at this point. And, and I love I love looking at the
- 5:57numbers over the years because it tells us so much. The average
- 6:00practice in 2023, produced $1,535,000 and change. But we
- 6:09know because I've built these models over and over and over.
- 6:12And we've worked with over 4700 orthodontist since 1985,
- 6:17worldwide, mainly US but worldwide, we know that any solo
- 6:23orthodontist can produce $2 million a year in four days a
- 6:26week, comfortably. We see we see people, a small number, but we
- 6:30see people that do that in three days a week. You know, ortho has
- 6:33what I call the volume factor. Unlike the rest of dentistry,
- 6:37you can put a lot of volume through. And later probably
- 6:40toward the end, if I'm anticipating your questions, I'm
- 6:44going to talk about how you might be able to double or
- 6:46triple the orthodontic practice without working one more minute.
- 6:50But for now, the main point is there's a big gap a half a
- 6:54million dollars or 25% between where the average practice is
- 6:59and where it can be. The other way to say it is most
- 7:02orthodontic practices could easily increase production by
- 7:07$500,000 if they have the right strategies and referral
- 7:10marketing in place, and that's an enormous, enormous
- 7:14opportunity.
- 7:15Alison Werner: Okay. Okay. So let's go back and talk about
- 7:19practice overhead and what the findings for this survey
- 7:23reported or showed, and I know it said you wrote that overhead
- 7:27was on the rise. So yes, what did what did practices report
- 7:31for this year?
- 7:32Dr Roger Levin: Yeah, well, I'll start with the good news. The
- 7:33good news is that the overhead rise was pretty small in 2023.
- 7:38It went up about eight to 9% in 22. It went up another one to 3%
- 7:45in 23. Not not bad, it's slowing down. You know, based on what I
- 7:51know about production, and my career has been dedicated to
- 7:55identifying systems and strategies to grow production.
- 7:59Based on what I know about that, which is fairly deep, we can
- 8:03make up for a one to 3% overhead increase in production in any
- 8:08given year. But 59% of the orthodontic practices survey did
- 8:13report, they had higher overhead and only a smaller number 13%
- 8:19reported that overhead had actually gone down. So it's not
- 8:23a surprise, you know, the cost of everything is up. And the
- 8:27increased costs from 22 due to supply chain due to staffing
- 8:32heavily, I'll get to staffing in a moment, those costs are not
- 8:35going to come back down. So we must increase production to
- 8:39offset them. What I teach, which is very well proven at this
- 8:43point, is lowering overhead is good, but you can probably only
- 8:48lower it about three to 4%, maybe five or six in rare cases.
- 8:54But you know, if you've got waste, you need to eliminate the
- 8:57waste. The problem is overhead reduction is finite, you can
- 9:01only go so far. And once you've done it, you're done. You can
- 9:03only fire an assistant once can't fire her twice or three
- 9:07times. If you're trying to save money, but production can
- 9:11increase infinitely it can go up two percent 5% 20%. Again, most
- 9:17orthodontists underestimate their real potential, which
- 9:21unfortunately means they're not as protected, that profit goes
- 9:26down. The problem is if overhead goes up, and it's not offset by
- 9:30production, at least equally, profit goes down. So we're
- 9:33seeing a lot of practices that even increased production and
- 9:36profits still down three or 4% a year. So what you want to do is
- 9:41understand that lowering production is a limited gain
- 9:45rate. I'm sorry, lowering overhead is a limited gain.
- 9:49Raising production is an unlimited gain. You can grow at
- 9:5312% in a year or a lot of our clients grow at 18% the first
- 9:57year and the second year 18% each. then that's going to
- 10:01offset any two or 3% increase in production with a 13 or 14 or
- 10:0715% increase in profit. So, overhead's going up, it's going
- 10:12to stay up. Why? Staffing is a crisis. It's a different podcast
- 10:17for us to do someday, Allison. Yes, I get every dentist I talk
- 10:22to every new client that comes in is struggling with staffing.
- 10:27And I could I could list the top 10 negative factors of the
- 10:31staffing situation today. Bottom line, we've got a shortage. It's
- 10:35not going away anytime soon. It, I think it's with us for at
- 10:40least 10 years, and I can't see beyond that. So we need better
- 10:43systems, smoother running practices, more technology to
- 10:48offset labor. But in the meantime, staffing is up about
- 10:5110%. And that means production has to go up at least 10% to
- 10:58offset the staffing increase. It's not going to come back
- 11:01down. So if anybody's waiting for it to reverse, it's going to
- 11:05go up more, it's not going to come down. We have some real
- 11:08challenges in staffing, which are number one, there are people
- 11:12who are afraid to work in medical and dental because of
- 11:16they're still worried about COVID. I know most people are
- 11:18saying, oh, it's over. But there's still people who are
- 11:21worried. Number two, a lot of people now want to work from
- 11:25home at least three days a week, those people are not taking jobs
- 11:29in orthodontic offices. So they're off the table. And
- 11:32number three, we had about six to 7% to 8% of our orthodontic
- 11:37staff retire at all ages, they just decided that they're done.
- 11:42And I guess unless they become financially challenged, they're
- 11:46not coming back. So we have a smaller labor pool. We're hiring
- 11:50less experienced people that need training, and the costs are
- 11:54way up for all of that. And if you look at minimum wage, now
- 11:58there are articles every day now about minimum wage in
- 12:00California. It'll be the rest of the country, $20 an hour for
- 12:04fast food. That's a that's a 25 to 50% increase in labor. We're
- 12:12only a 10% in orthodontics right now.
- 12:15Alison Werner: Okay. Okay. So that it's time to start figuring
- 12:19out other other strategies. Oh, yeah, absolutely.
- 12:21Dr Roger Levin: Again, you want to we can talk about this later,
- 12:23if you want. But you want to keep the staff you have that's
- 12:26the best way to avoid all the other pain?
- 12:30Alison Werner: Yeah, well, I think that the message here is
- 12:32we're going to do a separate episode on just staffing. So
- 12:35look forward to that. Stay tuned.
- 12:37Dr Roger Levin: I've been doing a lot of work in that area,
- 12:39because we have to.
- 12:40Alison Werner: Yeah, yeah, I know. Yeah. Well, let's talk
- 12:43about patient volume and what the survey found, because that
- 12:45does tie in to dealing with, you know, countering overhead, you
- 12:49do need to get that production up. So you need that patient
- 12:52volume to be up. So was it up? Or was it down?
- 12:54Dr Roger Levin: Well, it 72% said it was the same or up?
- 12:59Which is interesting, because if production's down, you know,
- 13:03little under 5%, how is volume the same? And the answer is
- 13:09several things. Number one, the volume of referrals does not
- 13:13always reflect the volume of starts. So referrals may have
- 13:18been steady, and we're going to talk about that I know. But the
- 13:21starts may be down we have more shopping, we have more options,
- 13:25we can go to a DSO staffed by general dentists, we can go to
- 13:29general dentists who are doing aligners. And that's really
- 13:33interesting when we get to where referrals are coming from. This
- 13:36was a really interesting finding. But six, it's
- 13:39interesting that 72% said that their volume was about the same.
- 13:45So I found that interesting. But in reality, their volume wasn't
- 13:50rising. And it may be that if you don't have more patients, a
- 13:55higher percentage converting to starts, then you need higher
- 13:58volume to make up that difference. So the fact that we
- 14:01don't have higher volume is the thing to really pay attention to
- 14:05don't get comfortable saying, Oh, I've got the same number of
- 14:08referrals or consults. And by the way, it's not in this
- 14:12survey. In another look, we found that up to 16% of parents
- 14:19or patients that call an orthodontic office, never make
- 14:22an appointment for a consult. Nobody tracks that. So we didn't
- 14:26ask it in the survey because nobody would know. But we did
- 14:28take a hard look at a large number of client offices and new
- 14:32clients so that it was random. And we found that when we start
- 14:36with them, many as they start tracking, have a number of calls
- 14:40coming in that do not schedule for consults. And they're asking
- 14:44questions like well, how much is ortho or how long will it take
- 14:47or do you do this type of procedure? The front desk staff
- 14:50are not well trained to handle those questions. We need
- 14:53scripting for that.
- 14:55Alison Werner: Okay, so that they the inquiry from the from
- 14:58the prospective patient snd our consumer is changing.
- 15:00Dr Roger Levin: Right and the front desk staff and they're
- 15:03very nice people, I have great respect for them. But they are
- 15:07only good right now at the standard basic new patient
- 15:07Alison Werner: Right? It sounds like it, especially as you know,
- 15:10calling and wanting to make an appointment. They're not good at
- 15:14building, it's not something they can learn it, they can
- 15:17easily learn it. Yeah, but they're not good at building
- 15:20value in the mind of a patient that has questions. So every
- 15:24practice should at least write scripts for the top six or seven
- 15:28questions that you get from a new patient call or this is this
- 15:32is now a good idea. In the future, it's going to become critical.
- 15:38consumers now can, to a certain extent can better comparison
- 15:43shop, even just online to get you know, what are the average
- 15:46prices in my region? Or, you know, they do have those ads
- 15:49from those DSOs? Like Aspen. Yeah, it's freely advertising
- 15:53very publicly advertising what they charge. So
- 15:55Dr Roger Levin: we've gone from years ago saying things like,
- 15:57well, we'll tell you that when you come in, and that work back
- 16:00then to focusing on value building, the new patient call
- 16:06is the first step of what Levin Group calls the new patient
- 16:09experience. And if you don't get that, right, you have missed the
- 16:14boat in a big way. And your start rate, they may not come
- 16:17in, they may not show up. And they may not accept treatment
- 16:20all higher, if you don't have a great new patient experience and
- 16:24value building process in that first phone call. So the front
- 16:28desk person has to think of themselves as the first
- 16:30treatment coordinator they meet. And then they come in and they
- 16:33meet the second treatment coordinator. That's how I view
- 16:36it today.
- 16:36Alison Werner: I think, yeah, that actually that actually
- 16:38makes a lot of sense. So. Okay, well, so let's break down the
- 16:43sources of new patients. What were, what did respondants say?
- 16:47Dr Roger Levin: Yeah. So I want to warn everybody, there's a lot
- 16:47Yeah. So what's your overall takeaway from this information
- 16:50of bias out there about referrals from general dentists,
- 16:52about referral sources?
- 16:53we, you know, and I want to warn you, this is data. This is not
- 16:57my opinion. But this year, it was a change as the number one
- 17:01source of referrals. The number one source was from referring
- 17:05doctors. And it's this is really interesting, because what we
- 17:09show in our surveys is that approximately 3.6 billion with a
- 17:12B, $3.6 billion of revenue is referred each year from general
- 17:16practices to orthodontists. Now, may have been more five years
- 17:20ago, we're only in our third year Alison of doing this with
- 17:24you. So we don't really know. But the number one source of you
- 17:28know, 38% of patients were coming from referring doctors.
- 17:31So I, I want to be careful because that's the kind of we do
- 17:35we have a whole program and referral doctor marketing, and I
- 17:39don't want to sound like I'm leaning towards something,
- 17:42because that's what we do. This is complete data completely
- 17:46objective. But I encourage people build your referral
- 17:49marketing also, for referring doctors. Don't say they're doing
- 17:53all the ortho or they don't refer. We find a lot of new
- 17:57clients who tell us that they're not getting referrals from
- 18:01general dentists because the GPs are doing all the ortho. We find
- 18:05two things. One, they're not getting referrals, but the GPs
- 18:08are not doing all the ortho they might do some, they're referring
- 18:12it to other orthodontists. And a year later, were getting lots of
- 18:17referrals from referring doctors, they had just never
- 18:20focused on it. And since it didn't just automatically
- 18:23happen, or it didn't happen after a few strategies, they
- 18:27decided, well, this isn't going to work, and they gave up on it.
- 18:31Well, if you're not doing anything, there's a very good
- 18:34chance you won't get referrals from referring doctors. I'll
- 18:38read you the list, which I have in front of me after after
- 18:42referring doctors, number two was referrals from existing
- 18:45patients. So a lot of dentists think they're just orthodontists
- 18:49rather think they're just so well known in the community. And
- 18:53they may be, but it's really referrals from the parents and
- 18:57patients that are a huge segment. So you don't want to
- 19:00just have, you know, little little contests for the kids.
- 19:04You want to have, you know, eight, nine, 10 different
- 19:07strategies. We have offices right now giving out the new
- 19:11Apple virtual reality glasses. Now they're $3,500. So you don't
- 19:15buy 10 of them. What you do if you buy one, and you make it a
- 19:19six month contest, where people can enter the win, and then it's
- 19:23$3,500 over six months. So for some practices, that's a great
- 19:27idea. Third, was referrals from existing adult patients. Now
- 19:30that's going up regularly. You know, in the past, adults were
- 19:34not the big referral sources, because we didn't have aligners.
- 19:38They didn't want to do bracket and wire. And honestly a lot of
- 19:42orthodontists don't like treating adults because you
- 19:45know, they've got an opinion they are not as easy as the
- 19:49kids. They don't come in with their air pods and never have to
- 19:53talk to you to talk to. So the adult, I've said for years the
- 19:57adult market was the greatest unexplored frontier and I'm
- 20:00predicting that this adult referrals are going to grow as a
- 20:04percentage of practice referrals every single year from here on
- 20:08for a long time. Third was social media. But it's not
- 20:11growing. It's interesting. Social media is so hot, with
- 20:15orthodontists. And I like it, and you should have it, don't
- 20:18misunderstand me. But number one, it's hit or miss. I, we get
- 20:22new clients who are doing well with social media and we get new
- 20:26clients who are not doing well with social media from the same
- 20:30social media companies that they work with. So nobody has, you
- 20:34know, every social media company I talked to, because we get
- 20:38called a lot would you recommend us to your clients, and they
- 20:42always kind of come at it from because we're, we have this
- 20:45secret way of doing things that gets results, everybody thinks
- 20:49they have the secret sauce. And the truth is, there's no secret
- 20:53sauce, or we would all know it because everybody be reading
- 20:57about it or publishing it online, or Google would tell us
- 21:01or whatever. But social media is important. But it's not growing
- 21:05as a referral source. It's flat, which is fine. And it's a little
- 21:09bit up from 22. It went from 12% and 21, to 9% and 22, back to
- 21:1312%. So if you only look at last year, and the 22 and 23, you
- 21:17might say it's up 3%. That's a true statement. But it's only
- 21:20back to where it was in 21. And again, I spent a lot of time
- 21:24looking at this data to try to understand it. And finally, the
- 21:28thing that dropped off, interestingly, was community
- 21:31activity. Yeah, right. Now, I have different theories. And I
- 21:35don't know which ones right because I don't have any data
- 21:39yet. Okay. orthodontists spending less on community
- 21:42activities, because of the pandemic or ortho which is over
- 21:46mostly, or orthodontists spending less because things are
- 21:49more expensive. Or, or is it just less effective, and people
- 21:53are relying on other sources for their referrals going forward? I
- 21:57don't know yet. But I'm gonna be really interested. I made a note
- 22:01next year, the first thing to look at is referrals from
- 22:05community because if it's flat or down, then that's a new trend
- 22:09that we're looking at. It could have just been an off year. I
- 22:13don't know.
- 22:28effort, we meet people that only focus on the patients, we meet
- 22:32people that only focus on social media. And that's great until it
- 22:35runs out. And usually, they don't realize it's running out
- 22:39till about three years late. orthodontists have what I call a
- 22:42three year mentality, we don't wake up and pop up with a sign
- 22:46that says, Oh, I have a problem till about three years in, and
- 22:50then and that, then it takes longer to reverse. So number
- 22:54one, I would diversify between referring doctors, patients and
- 22:59parents and include a subset of adult patients, the community
- 23:05and social media. But I would not do it evenly 25% 25, 25, 25.
- 23:12Based on this data, I would put more investment into referring
- 23:16doctors, I would put the next most investment into patients,
- 23:20the third investment into social media, and then the fourth
- 23:23investment into community, I would stay with the community,
- 23:27but I would back that down quite a bit based on what I see here.
- 23:30Now, having said that, you have to monitor your referrals, you
- 23:34got to understand referral marketing, you need a minimum
- 23:37quantity. The big secret here is not just to have quality, you
- 23:41know, a good social media campaign of high quality doesn't
- 23:45do it. You got to have quantity. How many times do you have to
- 23:48touch referring doctors? How many times do you have to touch
- 23:52parents, patients and adult patients? How many impressions
- 23:56do you need with social media? You know, back in the old days,
- 24:00when we only had print advertising, the you may
- 24:03remember this, they said it took 17 times see an ad for the ad to
- 24:07be effective. Well, social media, it could be 78. For all
- 24:11we know, you'll we just don't know. So based on this, I would
- 24:15definitely stay diversify, but I reallocate where I'm
- 24:18emphasizing. And if I were a new orthodontist, I would go out of
- 24:22my way to build my general dental referrals, even if
- 24:26they're doing ortho, most of them are definitely not doing
- 24:28all the ortho by any means.
- 24:31Alison Werner: Yeah, right. Okay. Okay. So now let's switch
- 24:35to challenges and we've touched on a few of these already, but
- 24:39we asked orthodontists to identify their top challenges
- 24:42for 2023.
- 24:43Dr Roger Levin: Here you go.
- 24:46Alison Werner: Yeah,
- 24:47Dr Roger Levin: This comment first. I am a huge believer in
- 24:51the economic law of supply and demand and in almost every
- 24:55survey I'm ever involved in and we're involved in others and the
- 24:59rest of it industry. We do surveys for William Blair, the
- 25:02largest Wall Street analysis firm to analyze public
- 25:07companies. So they want all the data, they engage us for
- 25:10proprietary surveys. I always start before I interpret by
- 25:14asking, does the law of supply and demand apply here? So what
- 25:19does that mean? For many years and back when I was in practice,
- 25:22as a general dentist, everybody did well. And we all thought we
- 25:26were brilliant and good at it and great practice builders. But
- 25:30to a large degree, we were fortunate that the supply of
- 25:34dentists and orthodontists was low, relative to the demand for
- 25:39services. So it's not a matter of being lucky. But the fact is,
- 25:43we always we all look brilliant, when the supply is low, and the
- 25:47demand is high. Well, that's shifting now. And it's shift,
- 25:50it's past the neutral point, it's starting to shift where,
- 25:55and I've talked about this with you before 25% of practices are
- 25:58going to have better careers than ever in history. And the
- 26:03next 25 are going to have good careers. The next 25 are going
- 26:07to have much tougher careers and the bottom 25 may not even make
- 26:11it they may end up selling and working for someone else. We are
- 26:14seeing that fragmentation. So we have challenges today. And the
- 26:19biggest challenge is not enough patient starts. Well, sure
- 26:22because if I have enough patient starts, then nothing else
- 26:26matters. I've got I've said forever, the only two things
- 26:29that really mattered and building a world class ortho
- 26:31practice, are the number of referrals and the number of
- 26:34starts, everything else is just operations. Yeah, every
- 26:37orthodontist can do most of the cases really well. You have to
- 26:41have patients. So yes, patient starts was right. And these are
- 26:44not my rankings. These are ranked, we have eight, I'm gonna
- 26:47read all eight. We have eight challenges that were ranked by
- 26:51the orthodontist in our study, and this is what they reported.
- 26:56Yeah, so challenge number one, not enough patient starts. Well,
- 27:00what that really means is not enough new patients. And it
- 27:04wasn't reflected heavily in the data, but they may be feeling
- 27:07something. And I've always said when orthodontists feel
- 27:10something's wrong, they're usually right. People will call
- 27:14me and say, I just feel like we're slowing down and their
- 27:17practice is still stable. But when you feel it, you're just
- 27:20ahead of the curve. In most cases, you're right. So if
- 27:23you're feeling something, you're probably right. So number one,
- 27:26not enough new patients starts that was reported by 71% of the
- 27:31respondents. Number two, rising overhead, well, that's a vestige
- 27:36of 2022. If we stay stable from here on, then a couple years,
- 27:42the fact that it's higher than in 2022, everybody will forget
- 27:45that and just say, Yeah, we're
- 27:47Alison Werner: Kind of flatline.
- 27:48Dr Roger Levin: Flatline, that's, that's a great word. And
- 27:48Yeah, that's a good point. And so maybe that's something we
- 27:51you don't want to do that. And Alison you summed up the whole
- 27:55thing beautifully, better than I could. Number three, ability to
- 28:00and it's interesting ability to retain and hire clinical staff.
- 28:04Now, why is that so interesting? Because in the general practice
- 28:09survey we do separately from this, it's published in a
- 28:13general practice publication, this was number one, staffing
- 28:17was number 1 in 2020, number one in 2021. Number two in 2022.
- 28:22Overhead took the number one spot, but back in 23, back to
- 28:23have to look at in the future surveys is that,
- 28:26staffing being number one. So I was kind of surprised to see
- 28:31this as third, but 48% said they staffing is a huge challenge.
- 28:35But we also know that 64% of orthodontic practices are
- 28:39currently looking for one or more team members to add either
- 28:43as replacement or additive. Number four competitive threat
- 28:48for GPS, 38% said that, that is more subjective. I my theory I
- 28:52could be wrong. My theory is they're more focused on it
- 28:56because they're annoyed about it. They don't like GPS doing
- 29:01ortho. It means they're not referring to the orthodontist.
- 29:05They don't feel the GPS necessarily have the skill set,
- 29:09which is kind of true in that a lot of GPS do aligners because
- 29:13the AI is in the trays artificial intelligence. But not
- 29:17because the GPS like me have any additional ortho training. So I
- 29:22think there's a bias there. But either way, as I've said to many
- 29:27orthodontists get over it and deal with it because it isn't
- 29:31going away. Number six, declining insurance
- 29:34reimbursements, always a challenge. Seven, competitive
- 29:38threat from DSOs. That one's going to move up that one's
- 29:42going to get bigger, because DSOs like ortho and they're just
- 29:43Well, there's a company out there, I know, we're gonna get
- 29:47starting to add more and more of it. And some of the big GP DSOs
- 29:52are starting to add specialists as well. And number eight,
- 29:56competitive threat from direct to consumer. Well interesting,
- 30:00that that was number 8 all the way down at a lowly 6% because
- 30:05it's basically gone. Will it come back? Who knows? Yes, not
- 30:09here now, I would worry more about AI and aligners allowing
- 30:13GPS to be, you know, just distributors for aligners to
- 30:17their patients. That's a reality that I talked about in my lectures.
- 30:31to this, so I want to do it now. But they've got like, 126 data
- 30:35points now. Not not for aligners, but under, but for
- 30:39monitoring. And I'm studying monitoring really deeply because
- 30:43it's going to be a huge factor. And a lot of orthodontists are
- 30:47still in the denial stage. And I'm not an orthodontist. I don't
- 30:50tell people how to practice. I look at market forces. And in my
- 30:54career, I've been very fortunate and looking at market forces and
- 30:59saying, Okay, this is something that's going to explode with
- 31:01growth once it hits the inflection point. But again, my
- 31:04point was not that it's AI driven. AI is going to play a
- 31:08bigger and bigger role in the whole world plus orthodontics.
- 31:14Alison Werner: Yeah, absolutely. Absolutely. Well, one of the
- 31:16things you break out in the article is you do go a little
- 31:20more in depth on dealing with the staffing challenges, which,
- 31:23you know, in this year survey did start it came in at number
- 31:26three. So you identified three, sorry, four opportunities, or
- 31:35no, actually, I've got four for the top answers for Yep. Okay.
- 31:39Dr Roger Levin: So, here's what's really important.
- 31:44Staffing is not a shortage, it is a crisis. And even if your
- 31:49production is not dropping because of it, which does
- 31:52happen, the rest of your staff is exhausted. So if we had six
- 31:55or 12 hours, I can talk about staffing from every dimension
- 31:59plus burnout. I've read four textbooks now on burnout, just
- 32:04to understand the difference between fatigue, frustration and
- 32:08burnout. And again, that's not for today. My main message is
- 32:13you want to focus on staff longevity, you want to measure
- 32:16that every year. And I can give you many, many, many things to
- 32:19do. But let's go through the four. What four things did
- 32:23orthodontists say. This isn't, today's podcast is not about
- 32:26what Roger thinks. If, if you think Alison, it's very
- 32:30important if I think it today it's not. It's it's about what
- 32:34did our respondents say. And they came up with four key
- 32:38things that they're doing to try to retain their staff. Number
- 32:42one, increasing base compensation. Okay, that's a no
- 32:45brainer, because you're not people aren't gonna take jobs if
- 32:48you don't pay them enough. And everybody knows, with full
- 32:51transparency, what everybody's making. And if any of you have
- 32:54an illusion, that your staff is not sharing their compensation
- 32:59every day at lunch, then you are living in the Dark Ages. They
- 33:04they know exactly what everyone's making. There's,
- 33:07there are new laws. Now in many states where you have to publish
- 33:11the compensation in your ad by law, and it's going to go
- 33:15national, it's going to be everywhere. Yeah. Remember, it
- 33:18is a labor market, everything happening is in favor of labor.
- 33:22And I don't take sides I have to deal with what's happening. A
- 33:26lot is gonna be a lot of regulations going toward labor.
- 33:30For, here's an example, we have a client in California, that had
- 33:35to pay a fortune to a 20 year employee who quit because they
- 33:39never gave her 10 minute breaks on the regulation cycle and she
- 33:44came back and sued and a lot of money. It was not small money
- 33:48there. There are laws on when you get breaks how long lunch
- 33:51has to be in different states, every state is different. But
- 33:54pay attention. Yes, the number one increasing space
- 33:57compensation. Number two, providing more bonuses and
- 34:01bonus, the word bonus, you have to be careful, has a lot of
- 34:05different meanings. I've written a book on bonuses. And it's it's
- 34:10one type of bonus. But there are many there bonuses on
- 34:12compensation, their bonuses on number of conversions, there are
- 34:17bonuses on completing cases on time, and overdue debonds, there
- 34:21are bonuses on collections. You tailor the bonus to what you
- 34:25need to focus on in your practice. Right now, if you put
- 34:29if you put a gun to my head and say, Well, what is the best
- 34:32bonus? Now that I've said, well, there isn't just one, it would
- 34:36be a production based bonus for the team where everybody shares
- 34:40equally over a certain amount. So a bonus is not a giveaway,
- 34:44and the Christmas bonus is not a bonus. Nobody cares. Nobody
- 34:47thanks you. It's the 27th paycheck. If you're if you give
- 34:51Christmas bonuses, it's just expected. Number three adding
- 34:56technology for productivity enhancement. This is going to be
- 34:59big and technology. It's early. It's very early despite all the
- 35:03workflow technology, I am now studying workflow technology,
- 35:09and how it can increase production and efficiency and
- 35:12even replace certain labor and certain functions. And the
- 35:16reality is that technology is going to be essential. Simplest
- 35:21example, you walk into a McDonald's, there are no
- 35:24cashiers, you order at a kiosk, and then you pick up your order.
- 35:28Why? Why is that happening? Well, originally, it started to
- 35:32save money in the testing phase. But now because they can't get
- 35:35people to work there, and higher minimum wage is getting very
- 35:39painful. And finally, number four, offering more and better
- 35:43employee benefits, there are people to health care is a
- 35:46fortune. There are people that want health care, they want to a
- 35:49lot of orthodontists do not give dental benefits, which is kind
- 35:53of ironic.
- 35:54Alison Werner: Yeah, I've heard that. I've heard that.
- 35:58Dr Roger Levin: You know, general dentists can give it
- 35:59because they can do most of that stuff. You know, it's there's a
- 36:03cavity or whatever. But a lot of orthodontists don't get dental
- 36:07benefits. Vacation time is going to become more important. You
- 36:11can't give this benefit, but working from home is a benefit
- 36:14that a lot of employers are giving in the business world or
- 36:16working from home part time, or paying part of a gas allowance
- 36:20or things like that. So there are a lot of different benefits
- 36:23and you need to tune into what matters to your orthodontic
- 36:27team, because that's how you keep them. What matters to your
- 36:30team is very important. So those are four items that are being
- 36:34reported by our respondents. I agree with all of them. If as a
- 36:39as the CEO of a consulting firm, these are all great ideas.
- 36:45Alison Werner: Okay, all right. It's good to know that they're
- 36:46on track there. Okay, so let's talk about starts and
- 36:50orthodontic fees. So the average number of total starts per
- 36:54orthodontists for, let's say bracket and wires we reported
- 36:59204 is the average number of starts per orthodontist; average
- 37:03fee for complete treatment for brackets and wires was 6,287.
- 37:08And then clear aligners, we had 83 average annual starts per
- 37:12orthodontist and an average fee for complete treatment $6,467.
- 37:18Dr Roger Levin: Well, first thing is what's happening with
- 37:20aligners. Again, anything I do an ortho, what's the aligner
- 37:24effect, I call it I look at that intensely. It was fairly flat
- 37:28and growth last year in orthodontic practices. There is
- 37:31going to be an explosion; I'm still predicting five years from
- 37:34now, it might be as high as 70%. Everything's getting better the
- 37:39AI is getting better. The biggest companies done 22
- 37:42million plus cases if I'm in the ballpark anyway. We know so much
- 37:48more. We can do it for teens, we can do it for younger kids, now.
- 37:52It's, again, market forces, it started with adults. Then
- 37:56aligners went to teens, and it went to younger and eventually
- 37:59we'll be doing them in utero. So probably the next few years, but
- 38:06the point. So it's very interesting aligners have not
- 38:09grown as much in ortho. Obviously, they're 95% plus in
- 38:14general dentistry, because that's all they can do. But
- 38:17having said that, I think aligners in the next few years
- 38:21I'll be shocked if these numbers don't explode, as because
- 38:24they're more and more parents and patients that are just not
- 38:26going to tolerate anything else. They want aligners, and there'll
- 38:29be practices that are more than happy to do that for them, if
- 38:32your practice doesn't. What's really interesting are the fees.
- 38:36You know, we first started with aligners, partly because of that
- 38:39$1,800 lab fee that was out there, everybody put a much
- 38:44higher aligner fee than a bracket wire fee. They also
- 38:47didn't have the competition was between orthodontic practices,
- 38:51not all these other service delivery models. Well, now that
- 38:54that's changed, I'm not surprised that the bracket and
- 38:57wire fee and the aligner fee are pretty close to within a couple
- 39:01$100 of each other. And that's the big takeaway: Watch your
- 39:05fees because you are competing. You could you don't have to have
- 39:09the highest fees, you have to have higher volume, which means
- 39:12more systems, better staff training, more scripting, better
- 39:15run practice, more efficiency. You can be very profitable that
- 39:19way, but if you raise your fees too high, you're gonna lose a
- 39:22lot of cases and the tolerance, where I still predict we're
- 39:25gonna see orthodontic practices with two tiered fees where the
- 39:30sixty 62 and 6,400 is the high end. Listen, I know there
- 39:34$10,000 cases out there, and maybe half of that might be the
- 39:38lower end and I think we're gonna see both. Again, market
- 39:42forces otherwise, what practices will start doing it when they
- 39:45don't have enough starts. We're not there yet. I hope we never
- 39:48get there. But unfortunately, I think we're going to get there.
- 39:51Alison Werner: Yeah. Okay, so now let's look at the changes in
- 39:58patient visit intervals. So the time in between checks. So for
- 40:02let's see, treatment for bracket and wire for in person visits
- 40:06we've got seven weeks is the average time between visits; for
- 40:10for remote monitoring visits for bracket and wire, we've got
- 40:12eight weeks, and then clear aligners, we've got 10.1 weeks
- 40:15for in person visits and 14.7 for remote monitoring visits. So
- 40:19what's the takeaway here?
- 40:21Dr Roger Levin: Well, there's several takeaways. First of all,
- 40:24it's up a little bit. And you know, bracket and wire, seven
- 40:29weeks, remote monitoring, eight weeks, I want to tell everyone,
- 40:32before I make any more comments, I'm not speaking clinically. We
- 40:35have never told an orthodontist how to practice. That's not what
- 40:38we do. But we can tell them what's happening out there. And
- 40:42it's very interesting with aligners, 10.1 weeks, and remote
- 40:46monitoring, 14.7. So let me tie some thoughts together, remote
- 40:50monitoring is going to grow very, very quickly. It will
- 40:55become part of every ortho practice in the country, or 90%
- 41:00of them, and in within five years. It's just there. Now,
- 41:04anybody listening that doesn't like remote monitoring—and
- 41:06that's a lot of you, I understand that today. But
- 41:09remember, we didn't like aligners when they first came
- 41:12out either way, if we don't like a lot of things when they first
- 41:15happened. Yeah, I'm gonna predict that this is going to be
- 41:18huge. The market forces are there. I'm studying it, it's
- 41:21getting, it's getting better monthly. A lot of practices have
- 41:25no idea how to manage it. They don't know how to put in place a
- 41:28remote monitoring staff member; they don't know how to make it
- 41:31work. But it's going to come. And we're, it's so important.
- 41:35We're starting to incorporate how to manage it into our
- 41:37consulting because we're there; but you know, again, I don't I
- 41:40don't want to be behind for people. And if somebody doesn't
- 41:43need it fine. But we're putting in our program how to deal with
- 41:46it, because we're there. So, but here's, here's what I'm going to
- 41:50say and this is my opinion. Now. It's a mistake. These intervals
- 41:54are way too short. I think we're going to find I have clients
- 41:59very fine orthodontists very dedicated, very smart, where
- 42:04it's with aligners, it's 18 weeks between intervals, but
- 42:09with remote monitoring, it's 24 to 28 weeks, we even have
- 42:12somebody at 32 weeks, and as far as I know they're highly
- 42:16dedicated. They're not we know they're not getting negative
- 42:19feedback because we survey patients in our program. And
- 42:22again, ultimately, they want a beautiful smile. I always
- 42:25explain to orthodontists and TCS, forget everything else,
- 42:29gear everything toward one thing, the beautiful smile. But
- 42:33these intervals are going to grow. And I encourage
- 42:37orthodontists take a hard look at making them longer. You don't
- 42:40you know, I'm not telling you had a practice, if you don't
- 42:43believe in it, that's fine. But otherwise, you're only at this
- 42:46cycle because of basic habits and your comfort zone. But with
- 42:51remote monitoring, everything's going to change. We have a
- 42:55company in Europe, also for dental, dental and ortho
- 42:58consulting, and in Europe, there are orthodontists that see the
- 43:02patient for the start and everything else is remote
- 43:05monitoring. Now, I'm not promoting that. That's not my
- 43:08role. I'm not a clinician, but Europe's way ahead of us in
- 43:12terms of the intervals, and they're comfortable with it. Now
- 43:15somebody might say, well, they're not as high quality as
- 43:17we are. I'm gonna challenge that we won't know for a little
- 43:21while, but I think they're just more open to this particular
- 43:25methodology of interval setting.
- 43:29Alison Werner: Okay, well, you we also ask the question of how
- 43:32what type of appointments doctors are conducting remotely.
- 43:36So the number one type of appointment was the orthodontic
- 43:40check. Then we did new patient consults, retainer checks,
- 43:43emergencies and then new patient exam. What kind of was your
- 43:47takeaway from that?
- 43:48Dr Roger Levin: Oh, it makes perfect sense. I think
- 43:49orthodontists often view the check as of minor importance.
- 43:55Now if you've got to change a wire or something, that's fine.
- 43:58But the orthodontic check is just that it's a check. And
- 44:01it's, that's an orthodontist do most of the afternoon. Check,
- 44:04check check. Frankly, a lot of staff members can do it pretty
- 44:07well. So 72% are using some type of monitoring or teledentistry
- 44:14for checks and ortho is the only part of dentistry really using
- 44:18teledentistry, it's under 3% in general practice. It's not going
- 44:21anywhere. You know, during the pandemic, everybody was
- 44:24predicting where it was going to go and wanted to invest in the
- 44:27companies. And these aren't microchips. Now teledentistry is
- 44:30going to have a very minor role in general practice, oral
- 44:34surgery, endo, perio, pedo. But for ortho, it's fantastic. You
- 44:39can save so much time. I love it for checks. I would do as many
- 44:43checks as you can remotely. In terms of the new patient consult
- 44:48Alison Werner: What about that?
- 44:48Dr Roger Levin: Well, here's the thing, be careful. The
- 44:51technology is fine. But we don't know what happens when you don't
- 44:56have a live meeting and room consult and relationship. I am
- 45:00very concerned about practices is trying to do their new
- 45:03patient exams and consults remotely, I think that I don't
- 45:09think that's going to be good. You need to get that parent and
- 45:11patient in to select you. Third retainer checks. I have said for
- 45:1730 years again, my opinion, do twp, and they and by the way,
- 45:21they won't show up for the second one anyway. So 50% on
- 45:28retainer checks don't come in on average. Think about that. 50%
- 45:32though. So they're just a waste of time, they eat up chair time
- 45:35you're never getting back. You're losing it permanently. So
- 45:39I love it for retainer checks. I think I think remote monitoring
- 45:42for retainers will be over 70% within five years easily.
- 45:47Emergencies, fantastic. Because what you're really determining
- 45:51is, do they need to come in? That's all and how quick. Yeah,
- 45:54is it emergency? Yeah, stop blowing up your schedule and do
- 45:58a remote exam. And finally, the new patient exam. Again, be
- 46:03careful. Right now, I would advise clients get new patients
- 46:07into your office so you can control the incredible new
- 46:11patient experience. And they start with you. So but ortho
- 46:15checks that's only going to rise and rise rise. That's the easy
- 46:18one. And that's almost double the next closest remote
- 46:23monitoring.
- 46:25Alison Werner: Okay, so another issue that came out of the
- 46:30survey findings was we found that almost one quarter, 22% of
- 46:34orthodontic practices do not have a full time treatment
- 46:37coordinator. What's the takeaway from...
- 46:40Dr Roger Levin: It's the first time we've asked that, and I was
- 46:43shocked. I was absolutely shocked the way we asked it. If
- 46:48you don't have a TC, get one. Number one, they will save the
- 46:53orthodontist so much time you know, even though ortho goes
- 46:56chair to chair to chair, you still have to look at it from a
- 46:59doctor production standpoint. Every time a doctor is at a
- 47:02chair that's production. Every time a doctor is at a consult
- 47:05that's not production. So excuse me kind of sneeze there. So we
- 47:11want orthodontists in the main clinical area with parents,
- 47:16patients and adult patients as much as possible. We the
- 47:20throughput, the volume we can put through is much bigger in
- 47:23most ortho practices. Remember, let's cycle back to the
- 47:26beginning. They're mostly running $500,000 a year,
- 47:30production below potential. So you want to get a TC. Number
- 47:35two, the TC is going to spend more time. These are hour
- 47:38consults, you build relationships, you learn about
- 47:41the parent, the patient, you learn why they're there, you
- 47:44build commonality. And what we teach, and we teach it minute by
- 47:49minute, step by step, build a relationship. It's not just a
- 47:53sales job, it is building a relationship to build trust to
- 47:57get a start. That's what you really want. You want mom going
- 48:00home and 80% of the time it's mom saying to her husband, we
- 48:05this is where we need to go, this is the right place, we're
- 48:08not going to another place for $400 less, because the husband
- 48:12wasn't there. It's typically the husband, when mom comes home and
- 48:15says oh, we went to the orthodontist today this is get
- 48:17another opinion. So you know, because even in our equal world,
- 48:23husbands do a lot more of the daily checking account, they're
- 48:26watching some of the money and and men are often more likely to
- 48:30bid it out. Especially if they didn't hear the presentation. So
- 48:35you need a TC that's trained exactly what to do. And the TC's
- 48:40today are not the TCs of even five years ago. They need to
- 48:44understand there's competition out there you need to be
- 48:48building your scripting to incorporate why come here before
- 48:53anybody asks you or doesn't bother to ask you. So the TC
- 48:57today has to build value, not just explain orthodontics, you
- 49:01can't take a former assistant and stick them in that role with
- 49:05no training and expect them to do well. This is a professional
- 49:09sales position to build relationships engender trust,
- 49:14and create starts and then measure them and measure them
- 49:17and measure them.
- 49:18Alison Werner: Okay, so what's your overall message to our
- 49:26listeners and our readers?
- 49:27Dr Roger Levin: Well, I started by saying the word from this
- 49:30survey is stability. And that's a good thing stable is good, but
- 49:34stable doesn't stay stable. And when I look at the trends
- 49:39between an economy where some basic goods and staples are
- 49:43costing more money, and that's what people look at, in an in a
- 49:49competitive landscape where we have DSOs and general dentists
- 49:54doing more with aligners. We have ortho only DSOs but we've
- 49:58got the big boys and orals as I call them starting to bring in
- 50:02more ortho because it's lucrative. We've got staffing
- 50:06challenges, and which even we put aside the frustration, and
- 50:11headaches, we've got higher overhead that needs to be offset
- 50:15by higher production. So my message is, if there was ever a
- 50:19time to organize your practice, streamline it was systems, get
- 50:25everything in place as if you were declining, even if you're
- 50:29not, this is that time, because right now we're stable. So
- 50:33you've got time to get it right. But if we happen to go into some
- 50:38decline, as I think a lot of practices will in the next few
- 50:42years, not, I'm not gloom and doom, not tomorrow. But the best
- 50:46time to build is before you have a problem. And it's also easier
- 50:49and faster. But I'll end where I started. Any practice can do
- 50:53well, if it applies the right methodologies and systems and
- 50:57practice management. But you can't just rely on that economic
- 51:00law of supply and demand anymore. It's not as much in our
- 51:04favor as it used to be.
- 51:06Alison Werner: Yeah, absolutely. Well, Dr. Levin, thank you so
- 51:09much for taking the time to break this all down for our
- 51:12readers and
- 51:13Dr Roger Levin: our listeners. Thank you, Alison, is always a
- 51:15pleasure to be with you.
- 51:17Alison Werner: Great well, and to those of you who want to
- 51:19learn more about the survey, it will be in our upcoming
- 51:22April/May issue, which will if you don't get it in the mail,
- 51:26then you can also find it at the AAO at our booth. And you can
- 51:30also find the article online and we'll have a link to the full
- 51:34article with this podcast. If you go visit our website. So
- 51:37thank you for joining us. And thank you again, Dr. Levin. As
- 51:40always, thank you for joining us. Be sure to subscribe to the
- 51:43Orthodontic Products podcast to keep up with the latest
- 51:45episodes. And be sure to check out orthodontic products online
- 51:48dot com to keep up with the latest industry news. Until next
- 51:50time, take care.