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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 1/7/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man, with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man,
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: my bruins hat. Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins arch hape. Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you. I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two.
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. The slump, the slump, discontinus,
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point other
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it all. Oh that's right, my mic
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: isn't here. What's up, everybody? It's towed back with you
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Toads Steel Sports, Tuesday, January sixth, yesterday. Horrible day on
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: the show, losing day, unbelievably bad. I don't know what
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: else you want me to tell you. One in four
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: is what it was. I believe started out with Ohio
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: State not getting there. It was, yeah, I mean they
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: were losing most of the game. They took the lead
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: later in the game, and they actually did have the
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: lead by enough points for a little while, still wound
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: up losing. Blew it lost by three. I think the
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: good thing is it was not a money line play,
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: so you lose less money on it by playing the spread.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: So at least there's that hockey we gotta win with Utah.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: Not looked at the box score for that one, but
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: I know they won, so at least we got to
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: win on that. NBA it seriously pisses me off man
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Owen three. And then the one play that I deemed
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: slightly less strong and decided to leave off my card,
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: the Denver Nuggets. They went outright, it's like fourteen to
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: fifteen point dogs. So I had that one right and
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: it wasn't on my card. I'm fucking pissed the I mean,
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not pissed at the Celtics won, but that game,
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: it was just the Celtics were winning by once they
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: got that lead, they were winning by like fourteen to
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: fifteen basically the whole game, and all you needed was
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: like one run from the Bulls at some point. And
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: you know the Celtics they leave the back door open
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: all the time, like they just get complacent when they
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: have leads like that. So the whole time, you're thinking
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: the Bulls are gonna cover this number, like they're just
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: gonna make some run late when the Celtics take their
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: foot off the gas, they're gonna get within the number.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: And it didn't happen, and I think the Celtics still
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: won by I don't know what it was. It wasn't
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: by that much more than the spread fifteen maybe something
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: like that. Sixteen. Uh, Houston didn't get there either. They
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: were losing for a decent.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: Amount of that game.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: The game was just way too close. And then Houston
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: did pull ahead by seven in the middle of the
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter. It looked like momentum time, put this thing away,
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: cover the spread. Nope, they fell back behind again, I think,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up winning the game and not covering.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: So yet another favorite not covering. And then what can
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: you even say about the Jazz game Portland? It was
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: like the hottest shooting night that you'll ever see, Like
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: Portland was not missing. I'm pretty sure that Utah had
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: more field goal attempts in that game and they still
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: lost by like thirty, Like, how is that even possible
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: that you have I think Utah had like more field
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: goal attempts in that game, by like double digits, and
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: they still lost the game by thirty. I think Portland
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: was like fifty six percent from the field, fifty percent
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: from three.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: Like what can you even do?
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: You can't do anything against that, Like a team just
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: gets insanely hot and it's just a massive outlier of
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: a game. Like I'm not saying that I was necessarily right,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: but I think Utah won the rebound battle in the
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: game too. It I have to go back and look
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: at the box score, but that game was not what
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: it looked like on the scoreboard. I'm pissed. All you
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: gotta do is forget about it and move on to
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: the next day. Thanks everybody for hanging out for the
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: Bracketology show last night, the first one of those that
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I did. You can give me feedback on that. I mean,
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: it's really just you get to watch me being as
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: autistic as possible, even more than I am on the
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: normal show here. I don't know, let me know what
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: you think, what I can do to make it better
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: or whatever. I basically just go, here's the spreadsheet, baby,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna explain it. But then once you have
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: that first one done, if I keep doing it, I'm
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: really gonna just be focused on, like, well, what are
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: the changes, what are the moves from this week to
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: the next, and whatever. I don't know. I will be
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: back at some point with an NFL Playoff bracket special.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm thinking maybe tomorrow night something like that,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: and then I believe I will be having Clinton Russell
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: Liberty Lockdown back on for an addition of Bald talking
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: about our NFL playoff predictions.
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: Thursday night, I believe is when that will be.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: I'm shooting for nine pm Eastern, I think on Thursday night,
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: So be on the lookout for that. Mister Pinsey, what's up? Man? Tyson?
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: What's up?
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: Kyle?
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: What's up? Do you guys all like live? You guys
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: all roommates or something? What's going on? You all just
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: come in at the same time. Man, you all come
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: at the same time. It's pretty gay. All right, We're
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: gonna get into today. I've got a lot of opinions
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: in college basketball. I'm gonna have four college basketball plays,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: and I have at least two other opinions that I
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: think are pretty strong, and hopefully I'm picking the right
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: ones to be the strongest year. And I've won NHL
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: that I do like, and then NBA. I almost decided
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: to completely skip it, but I will give out one
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: play in the NBA, and there is one maybe some
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: slight concern about it, and it's actually kind of a
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: similar concern to one that I have in another game
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: that I'm leaving off of my cards. So oh sweet.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Nobody has real jobs, all right? Well, at least you
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: have some sort of job or you're making money. What's
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: that like. I don't know. Hasn't been the case for
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: me for a little while, so I don't know. We'll
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: see if I can even get back into my career
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: or if I even want to. I don't know now
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: at this point, If you guys know anybody looking for
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: software engineers who don't care about me having completely insane
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: politics and being a shit poster being labeled to bigot online, yes, yeah,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: you come at the same time. You're all in the
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: breakroom together. All right, college basketball, man, we have a
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: card that's not that big. I might actually have to
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: do Tomorrow's college basketball card is big, So I might
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: actually do college basketball for tomorrow Tonight. I might be
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: back at midnight. I'm gonna be doing night shows at
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: night four days in a row, kill me. I don't know,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: all right, I don't know. If I want to talk
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: about every single one of these games. I usually talk
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: about these isolated games like this. We have this six
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: pm game. Everybody wants to watch this, right U mass
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: in Ohio. At least this is not football, actually they're
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: al right at basketball. At the very least this is
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: in the MAC. You Mass moved over to the MAC
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: when the football team joined the MAC.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: You Mass left the Atlantic ten for the.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: MAC, which is really a downgrade. U Mass is coming
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: off a big game, man. They had a barn burner
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: of a game that I believe this went into overtime
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: because there's no way a Bowling Green game with their
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: defense hit one hundred points at regulation. Yeah, this was overtime.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: So you Mass, big game, Bowling Green, pretty strong team
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: in the MAC, the best defense in the MAC. At
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: the very least, you Mass almost pulled off that win.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: So I could see them being a little bit hungover
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: coming into this game against Ohio, even though usually Ohio
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: is not really a team you overlook in the MAC,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: but this year they're not great. And Ohio's coming off
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: winning against Eastern Michigan by one point, which is not
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: very impressive.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: It was on the road, and Eastern Michigan.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: Might have even been a small favorite in that game
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: because they were at home. But I think I would
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: probably lean to Ohio in this game if I was
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: gonna do anything with it, which I'm not. But Ohio's
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: already up from a two point favorite to a four
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite though, so already the market
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: is speaking and agreeing with me. But man, dude, these
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: lines just move so fast. It's so difficult to get
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: down and get like a good number in college basketball.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: But this one I don't really have a strong feeling for.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: I'm just talking about it because it's an isolated game,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: not even on TV, though you can find a stream
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: if you really want it. Ninety tickets, ninety five percent
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: of the cash on at UMass in that one. We
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: have some ranked opponent ranked matchups here or matchups evolving
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: ranked teams. We do have some big conference games today,
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: more so than the were last night. Michigan is playing
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: Penn State on the road here Fox Sports one, seven pm. Michigan.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're obviously gonna be a huge favorite of
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: this game. They're more than a twenty point favorite here.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Penn State is not very good Michigan. The only question
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: is do they kind of just show up and go
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: through the motions here? Just get in, get out, because
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: they can easily win this game without putting it a
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: full effort. Michigan is coming off trouncing USC the other day,
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: a game that was more of an isolated game.
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: I think the people were watching.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Now they are going out on the road here, and
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: they've only played twice on the road, and they actually
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: struggled earlier in the season on the road at TCU.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: They did better at Maryland. Maryland not very good though,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: so we still don't know exactly how strong Michigan is
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: as a road team. They do play Wisconsin next, even
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: though Wisconsin is definitely struggling right now, still possible. That's
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: a look ahead because really you don't pay much attention
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: to Penn State, especially when they're own three in conference.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Right now.
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: Penn State is coming off losing by eight to Illinois.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: But I really don't think this game was that close.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: As you can see here, there wasn't really Penn State
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: was not really in this game. So they were down
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: by pretty much double digits throughout the stretch run there
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: and then wound up closing the game app a little
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: bit when it was too late. So I think that
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: probably if you play this game, which I'm not recommending
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: you do obviously, but if you forced me to give
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: an opinion on this, I would probably say take the
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: points with Penn State. I just think at this point
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Michigan is no secret. At this point so you're probably
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: not getting any value laying points with Michigan here, especially
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: in a spot where they can just get in, get
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: out and not really care about the game. Seventy eight
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets seventy seven percent of the cash on Michigan,
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: so they're public with less of the money on them.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: They already dropped from twenty four and a half to
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: twenty one and a half, so again some value already
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: gone there and some movement in that direction. Number six
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Duke at number twenty Louisville on ESPN, one of the
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: biggest games of the night.
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: Now, this game, when you first look at.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: It, you're gonna say, if you think the way that
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: I do, you're gonna be like, oh, well, we have
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: a team that's the lesser ranked team like Louisville here,
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: and they're basically at a pick em price almost at home.
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: So my instant always I'm gonna look at that home.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: Team potentially because the oddsmakers are telling you something different
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: than what the rankings makers are saying. And yes, ken
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: Bum is also telling you this. Ken Bum only has
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Duke four rankings spots higher than Louisville. He has Duke
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: ninth and Louisville thirteenth.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: So there's not a wide gap.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Between these two teams as much as you might think.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: Now there is kind of a contrast of how these
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: teams like to play. Louisville is the faster paced team,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Louisville is the better offense, and Duke is the better defense.
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: Duke does play a little bit faster this year, but
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: still significantly slower than Louisville. So it is kind of
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: that typical matchup where it is basically defense versus offense.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: Duke is the better defense, and usually I do like
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: the better defense. Now, the money on this one is
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: coming in on Louisville. We have fifty percent of the
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: tickets on Duke, sixty eight percent of the cash on Louisville.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Louisville's down from one to a pick him here. But
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: I have a lot of hesitations about this because I
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: don't really know that you necessarily want to fade Duke
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: after they put in two pretty bad performances against Georgia
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Tech and Florida State. I think Duke probably was just
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: going through the motions and those thought they could easily win.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: They might have been looking ahead to Louisville. This is
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: gonna be a bigger game. It's a huge game for
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: both teams, I think. So I can't really get on
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: board with Fadie Duke in this spot match, just because
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna put in a better effort than
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: they did the last two games. They just weren't good
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: in those games, so I could see them being.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: More focused here.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Louisville is coming back from the Pacific Coast as well,
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: which is not gonna be that easy to do. This
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: acc is messed up, man. These teams have to travel.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: They just were out on the Pacific Coast. They went
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: one to one on the Pacific Coast.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: They did lose to Stanford.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: I believe Louisville was a big favorite in that game though,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. Yeah. So on the other hand,
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: there yet Louisville lost is a huge favorite in that
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: last game, so Louisville was probably looking ahead to Duke.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: They didn't play well as a favorite. Usually when a
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: team loses and has a horrible game as a favorite
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: like that, I do want to look towards them in
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: the next game. So both teams are actually in a
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: focused spot here. I mean, if you force me to
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: give you an opinion. I'll go with the market and
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: I'll lean with Louisville there, but I don't love it
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: by any means. So that's a stayaway from me. Next
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: game up, I do have a play on it. This
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: is a wild one where I'm hoping that that we're
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: gonna get this one right and that we don't need
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: the extra value in the in the number here that
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: we're missing out on SEC network number eighteen, floor number eighteen. Georgia,
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: whoops at Florida. We're getting into the best bets. Man,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: let's do it. You probably know where I'm going with this,
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: if you know me. This is a situation where we
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: have an unranked favorite against a ranked underdog, and I
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: know that situation is I believe oh to two to
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: start the basketball season, maybe own three. We were on
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: one of those losers last night. I know. But and
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: the books do know about this. So the books they've
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: been skewing the line, man, because they know that these
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: unranked favorites are strong. But that was the case last
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: year and it still was coming through like a sixty
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: percent clip. So even though you expect that to not
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: be the case this year, like you expect to not
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: be as good. But it is just generally a good
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: spot to play a favorite because basically you're gonna be
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: you pretty much know you're gonna be fading the public.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: You're playing on a team that you know is pretty good.
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: They're favored in that game. That is what we're doing here.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: And look at what this line is. Man, it's Florida
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: minus nine in this game, even though they're the unranked
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: team against a number eighteen ranked Georgia. But I think
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: we're reaching a point where the like the rankings are
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: just completely wrong about these two teams, like Florida is
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: the better team, as the oddsmakers are telling you. The
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: rankings makers again, they just go by what they saw last.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: They don't really they don't have any actual stake in
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: it like the odds makers do. Now, if you look
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: at these two teams on Ken Palm here, Florida's fifteenth
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: in the country. According to him, they're the fourth unluckiest
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: team in the entire country, meaning that they've massively underperformed,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: which is what I've been saying, even though I do
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: worry about the team chemistry with the new pieces that
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: they got this year, But you gotta think that that's
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: gonna improve as they play more games together. Florida's also
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: faced the fourteenth most difficult schedule according to ken Bumps.
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: A lot of things that tell you that there's gonna
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: be some value on Florida at some point, and I
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: think that point is now. He's got Georgia actually outside
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: of the top twenty five, at number twenty six in
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: the country. He has Georgia as the better offense but
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: the significantly worse defense forty fifth versus Florida eleventh. Even
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: though Florida likes to play fast, they're actually playing good
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: defense this year. Georgia also plays fat. Georgia plays even
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: faster number two in tempo, which I think that's too fast.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Although yes, it doesn't mean that they're gonna be fine
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: with the pace here, because Florida is gonna also be
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: playing fast and that's what Georgia wants to do. But
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: the good thing about the fact that this is probably
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be too fast paced teams is that you're probably
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: gonna get more points and then it's easier for a
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: favorite to cover and for Georgia. Georgia is higher up
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: in Kenbum's Luck Index one hundred and twenty six, so
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: he's saying they've overperformed event and they face a week schedule.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: According to him, three hundred and twenty third strength of
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: schedule is what Georgia has faced versus Florida facing this
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: absolute gauntlet. So Florida has faced the way more difficult
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: schedule and we haven't even talked about the situation yet.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: Georgia is coming off a game where they held off
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Auburn in triple overtime. So and that was like two
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: three days ago whatever. And yes, I know Florida George
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: is a huge game, but Georgia might run out of
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: steam after that, or no, it wasn't my mistake. I
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: thought it was triple overtime. It's single overtime, my mistake.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: But it was an overtime game. It was still a
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: big game against Auburn, you know. I mean, obviously Florida
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: is a huge game as well. I'm not denying that.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: So that's I guess the one drawback here where sometimes
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to play the game because of that,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: but I think in this case I just have to.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: It's one of these games where the line just looks
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: completely misleading. The public is not going to be on
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: Florida at all in this game, like, why would they?
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, I'm getting a ranked team with one
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: loss getting nine and a half points. It looks so
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: easy to take Georgia. Here. Now for Georgia, looking at
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: their schedule, we can back up what Ken Palm is
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: saying here is look at what george has done, Like,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: what have they done really? Besides that Auburn win, Their
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: next best opponent that they faced was against Clemson and
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: they lost at home. And there are only other wins
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: against Power Conference teams. Are barely beating Georgia tack barely
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: beating Xavier. That's not impressive at all. And then they
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: did beat Florida State in Cincinnati. Those are pretty bad
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: teams as far as Power Conference teams go. So this
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: is a weak schedule the Georgia's face. Whereas for Florida,
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: we know what they've done. Man, they lost close to Arizona,
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: they lost close to TCU.
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: TCU's alright, they lost by single digits.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: They lost really close by one to Duke by Flida Yukon.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: And now look at what Florida's coming off of. Man,
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: they lost some miszoo on the road, And I told
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: you I thought it could be a look ahead for
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: Florida there. I thought they might get caught in that game.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: They hadn't played many road games yet they only played one.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: They did get caught, and they lost to Missouri. Florida
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: is a favorite in that game, and you know, I
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: talk about this, when a team is a favorite and
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: they lose the game, they tend to bounce back with
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: a lot of effort in the next game and be focused.
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: And that's what I think you're gonna get here. So
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: I think the spot does dictate to play in Florida.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: So it is a play where I like the spot
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: and I like the market indicators on it and the
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: fact that it's a really misleading line, and the professional
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: money is also agreeing with this. Georgia sixty three percent
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: of tickets on them, but sixty nine percent of the
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: cash on Florida. I know we didn't get the initial
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: opener at seven and a half, Hopefully it was not
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: gonna be much of a difference nine to nine and
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: a half.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: I think it's still worth playing.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: The total is quite high in the one seventies, so
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: hopefully Florida could just get this thing done by double
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: digits and then we don't have to sweat it. But
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: I like Florida and that one that is a play.
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: All right. Our next game up is another play, Cincinnati
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: at West Virginia, same time, seven pm, ESPN two. That
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: other game is on SEC SEC network. I should say, now,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: these two teams, yeah, I mean, these teams leave something
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: to be desired. But I think Cincinnati is in a
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: bad spot, dude, so we are gonna go with West
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: Virginia here minus the two and a half. I saw
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: some money lines out there that might have been around
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: like minus one forty eight or so, So I don't
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: hate the money line on this either. It's you gotta
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: make the decision. I usually say that if it's minus
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: one and a half minus well, I guess in basketball
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: the rule is minus one, minus one and a half
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: or minus two. It's more advantageous long term to play
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: the money line, just specifically when you have those three spreads,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: but it always depends on what the number actually is
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: that you can get on the money line. Now for Cincinnati,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a big performance against Houston. Man Houston,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: there's still pretty much a jugger not They play really
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: physical deepfense, and this is a back and forth, physical game.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Both teams playing deepfense. Cincinnati was tied with Houston with
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: like three minutes to go, and then Cincinnati never scored
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: again and lost the game. Cincinnati had the lead for
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: more of the game than Houston did, they had the
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: bigger leads in the game. Cincinnati could have beaten Houston
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: man double digit lead in the second half. So coming
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: off of this game, I think it's gonna be a
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: flat spot for Cincinnati. I don't know how they get
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: back up off the mat that easily. From that, they're
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: going to Morgantown to face a West Virginia team has
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: just not been that good, and they do have UCF
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: who's pretty resurgent up next, so it's possible there's a
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. Maybe they're looking ahead to UCF, who's a
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: one loss team right now and in the rankings now. Meanwhile,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: West Virginia they play slow, and Cincinnati does not want
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: to play slow. Even though Cincinnati doesn't score. Cincinnati is
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: one of those teams. I don't know what's up with them.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: They play fast, but they're really good defensively and absolutely
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: pitiful on offense. So Cincinnati they almost play like a
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: slow based team, but they're not a slow based team.
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is. West Virginia is gonna slow it way down,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: which I think that might frustrate Cincinnati because Cincinnati does
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: want to play fast. West Virginia, on the other hand,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: is actually the better offensive team, believe it or not,
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: even though they play slow. West Virginia has been more
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: of a balanced team if you look at Kenbaum, and
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: he doesn't have these teams.
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: Separated by too much here.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: He has West Virginia only four ranking spots lower than Cincinnati,
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: so this number is about accurate considering what the home
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: court advantage might be here. Both teams are better defensively
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: than offensively, but West Virginia at least has a little
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: bit more balance. West Virginia is also extremely unlucky according
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: to Kem Bamba, though both teams actually are, so that
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: kind of gets thrown out the window. And then, yes,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati has played the more difficult schedule, so that is
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: a concern. The West Virginia really has not stepped up
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: in class yet, and when they have they've not done
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: well except for well, the crush pit pit's not that good.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, losing by three to Clemson really isn't bad though,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: And then losing to Xavier at home is a lot worse.
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: But West Virginia they've at least been competitive in some
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: of these games. They lost by nine to Wake Wake
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: is okay. They lost by one to Ohio State. Ohio
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: State might be tournament team.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: And now West.
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: Virginia is coming up their most difficult game of the season,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: and they got crushed at Iowa State. But you can't
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: really blame them for that. Iowa State is elite this year.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: So West Virginia I think they're gonna be in a
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: bounced back spot off of that. Nobody wants to get
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: obliterated eighty to fifty nine, so I think they're gonna
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: show up with focus here. I think West Virginia is
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: in a much more advantageous spot here. So we're gonna
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: go with West Virginia here and either lay the money
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: line or lay the points here. The money looks like
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: it's disagreeing with me on this one. Eighty three percent
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only seventy four percent of the cash on
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: West Virginia, So I don't love that that the market
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: read seems to be opposing me in this one. But
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: I just don't see how to see this game any
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: other way, man, So we will go with West Virginia
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: in that game, especially because you got since Cincinnati coming
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: off that Monster game. Dude, It's just I just don't
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: think they're in a good spot whatsoever.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: We have a Saint A.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Butler on Peacock at seven pm. It's an interesting one
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: because people are gonna look at this game and see
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: Butler has a slightly better record. Yet Saint John's is
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: a road favorite. Well why is that, Well, it's because
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you Saint John's is actually the
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: better team here. Saint John's likely has faced some more
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. According to ken Bum nineteenth strongest schedule for
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: Saint John's, They're very unlucky right now, three out of
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: forty third in the country. I've been pointing out that
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: I think there is value looking towards Saint John's, and
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: I think this is probably a spot where you do
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: want to play Saint John's if you play the game.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: Butler has been somewhat unlucky as well. They face a
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: somewhat strong schedule as well, although Saint John's were of
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: an extreme of that, and ken Bum as Saint John's
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: almost thirty ranking spots higher, so he concurs with the
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: odds makers here that Saint John's should be a favorite
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: despite being on the road. Plus, I think Saint John's
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: is in a good spot because they just lost at home.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Is double digit favorites to Providence. That is an ugly,
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: ugly lost for Saint John's, man, so I think they're
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: gonna bounce back off of that. Might be good to
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: maybe just leave the home area and just focus on
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: basketball here. I think they're in a bounced back spot
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: for Butler. I mean, they're gonna show up as well.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: They just got blown out by Villanova at home, so
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna want to let that stand either.
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: They're staying at home.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: They'll show up as well. But I prefer Saint John's
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: in this game. The money seems to significantly agree with
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: that as well. Saint John's four and a half point favorite,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: down from five and a half, but eighty three percent
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, fifty five percent of the
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: tickets on Butler. So yeah, I agree Saint John's is
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: the side to look at there. We do have Syracuse
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: at Georgia Tech. Man, I feel like I'm gonna talk
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: about a lot of these games today Syracuse just had
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: a close call at home against Clemson. Man that would
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: have been a big win for Syracuse, so they're coming
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: off of a big game, So I think Syracuse is
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: in a disadvantageous spot now having to go to Georgia Tack.
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech just had to go up to BC or
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: know they were at home against BC. Excuse me, even
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: better for them they're staying at home. But I'm still
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: pissed about that loss that we took on BC. BC
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: was winning that game outright in the second half and
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: then somehow didn't even cover. So it was a bad
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: performance for Georgia Attack, even though they did wind up
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: winning and covering. I think the Spot does favorite Georgia
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Tack in that game. That's the way I would lean there.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: Although Syracuse has gone up from a one and a
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: half point favorite to a three point favorite, my opinion
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: would be to take the points with Georgia Tech in
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: that one. Western Michigan at Miami, Ohio and the Mac
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: also at seven pm Miami Ohio. You gotta think.
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: They're gonna letdown Spot here.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: Man. They yet again remained undefeated with another win as
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: an underdog, this time beating Akron huge win man Akron.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: I still believe them to be the best team in
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: the MAC. Miami Ohio beat them by three, massive win.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: It was also revenge for the MAC Championship game last year,
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: which Akron won after Miami Ohio had a huge lead
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: in the game, although Akron was the favorite in that
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: game as well. Miami Ohio. That was just a monster
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: win for them. And they have Toledo up next, so
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: it could be a look ahead Toledo. They're doing alright
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: so far in MAC play, so this looks like a
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: horrible spot pretty much. I'd be looking towards Western Michigan.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: The problem is Western Michigan, as an underdog at Toledo
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: just basically took Toledo to the wire almost in this game.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: So Western Michigan is also coming off a huge effort
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: and now they're playing a second straight road game. Yeah,
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show up, but I just don't think I
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: can get there with the Western Michigan after they put
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: in that type of effort.
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: They're gonna have to do it two games in a row.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: Maybe they can. It's still a really bad spot for
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio. I still lean Western Michigan here. The money
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: seems to agree. Seventy eight percent of the tickets only
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the cash on Miami Ohio through
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: up to a thirteen point favorite here. I would agree
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: with taking the points here, although it is a somewhat
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: high total. Miami Ohio. I mean, yeah, at some point,
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: like I said, the wheels are gonna come off, Man,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: at some point of Miami Ohio, Like they're just not
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: anywhere near as good. Ken Bum has them as one
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: of the luckiest teams in the nation. I think he
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: has them as having faced one of the easiest schedules
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: in the nation. So yeah, at some point it's gonna happen, Man.
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: And Akron is also playing today against Central Michigan. You
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: could also argue Akron's in a bad spot after that
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: huge game against Miami Ohio. They do play bowling Green Necks,
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: which is actually a pretty big game in the MAC
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: at this point, so this does look like kind of
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot for Akron as well, after they lost
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: that huge game against Miami Ohio. Problem with Central Michigan
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: besides the fact that they suck, although that's factoring into
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: the line, Central Michigan also just faced to Leedo in
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: their last game, and they played pretty well. They only
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: lost by three. They played really well against a pretty decent,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: you know team, and they have Kent State in axcell.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be looking ahead to Kent.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: But this run of games, Central Michigan has his brutal
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: facing Acron Kent State in Miami, Ohio. Blene gets Toledo
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: prior to that in Ohio prior to that. That is
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: a difficult run of games, man, So I'm not gonna
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: get there with it. But I agree with Central Michigan.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: And hey, the money agrees with me as well on
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: this one. Isn't it awesome that one of the only
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: games the money disagrees with me on is the West
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: Virginia one.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: Which is one of my plays. Isn't that just great?
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent of the tickets are on Acron, seventy
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on Central Michigan. Akron a
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: twenty two point favorite in that game. Pretty high total
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: in the one sixties, but yeah, I would take the
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: points if I was gonna play that game. And Bowling
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: Green is at Kent State. Some interesting Mac matchups today, man,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: This one is actually a competitive price on this one
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green coming up. That game against UMass went into overtime.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: It was a tough game for both teams, man, and
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: so Bowling Green they're coming off of that. They had
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: a tough game the game before that too against Miami, Ohio,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: tough run of games.
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: They got Acron up next.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Kent State though, because
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Kent is still in the mix. Is one of the
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: better teams in the MAC. But Bowling Green gonna have
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: to put in another effort for another big game here. Meanwhile,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: Kent State just barely got by a very weak Northern
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: Illinois team. So Kent State, I don't know, Man, it
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: could have been a little bit of a sandwich after
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: they played Purdue Perdue obliterated them, though maybe they were
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to Bowling Green. I think you're gonna get
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: a much better effort out of Kent this time after
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: that horrible performance in the last game, even though they
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: still won the game, which I think is maybe even
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: better because then you have momentum and you realize that
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: you got that you had a bad performance there. So
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: I think Kent State is the side to look at
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: in this game. They're out from one and a half
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: to two and a half right now, sixty seven percent
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: of the tickets seventy one percent of the cash on
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green. But I don't know what to really put
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: into those percentages. I like Kent in that game SEC.
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: We have the two bottom teams from the SEC last
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: year playing each other here, South Carolina and LSU, and
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: it looks like LSU might have shot at making the
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: tournament this year. South Carolina not so much. South Carolina
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: did just lose to Van Deal only lost by twelve.
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's really not much of a not much
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: shame in that. Really. I think they will show up
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: for a game against LSU. Although South Carolina's only played
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: one road game so far and it was at Clemson.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: They only lost by sevens. They didn't actually play that
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: bad in that game. They do have Georgia up next,
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: But for South Carolina, I kind of think they'll show
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: up here. LSU has been looking pretty decent as far
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: as their record is concerned, although LSU's facing an easy schedule. Man,
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: their best win I believe is this one against SMU.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: They have a blowout loss to Texas Tech and they
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: just lost to Texas A and M and it was
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: a close game. Man A and M was a fake
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: at home in that game, I'm certain of it, and
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: LSU almost beat them. Man So they almost pulled off
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: a road up set against Texas A and M, which
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: would have been a pretty big win for them. And
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: now they're coming off of that and they have Vandy next,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: So I actually think this is kind of sandwich you're
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: looking for LSU, to be honest, and that Texas A
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: and M game also ended a win streak that they had,
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: and sometimes I talk about how that will hang you
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: over a bit into the next game. So I think
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: South Carolina plus the points is the way to look
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: in this game. LSUS. Then from nine to eight here
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the tickets, ninety three percent of the
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: cash on them. It looks like the public will be
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: siding with LSU in that one if they're playing it again.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: If you guys want me to talk about any of
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: these other games, I will, but I feel like I'm
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: talking about most of them in all of the interesting games.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: So number nineteen, Iowa was at Minnesota. As we get
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: into the eight pm slate and a big ten network here,
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: the public is probably gonna have a tendency to want
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: to play the ranked team here, and yeah, I was
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: definitely the better team, but laying points with this really
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: slow paced Iowa team not something that I really am
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: that fond of.
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: I would just beat Ucla.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: I know Ucla is not ranked right now, but that's
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: a pretty good win for Iowa. Man. They beat a
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: team that just has all that history like Ucla. Ucla
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: is probably a tournament team this year. Pretty good win
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: for Iowa there, and they have Illinois and then Purdue
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: and then Indiana all upcoming after this, so this definitely
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: you could argue as a sandwich spot as well here,
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: so I'd be leaning towards Minnesota. Minnesota. They also like
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: to play slow, by the way, I'm pretty sure slow
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: and ugly from Minnesota. Minnesota is coming out of a
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: nice road upset of Northwestern Man, so I don't quite
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: want to get there with Minnesota after they did that.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: I just don't tend to shy away from teams that
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: just pulled off an upset, especially if it was one
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: of any decent size. I don't know what Northwestern was
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: favored by in that game, but I'll stay away though. Yet,
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a big game for Minnesota, though
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: the spot us set up better from Minnesota for sure,
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: so Minnesota I think is the side to look at
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: in this game. The money agrees with me on that
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: one too, sixty seven percent of the tickets on Iowa,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash on Minnesota. Iowa's up
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: to a six point favorite with juice on the road.
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: And again, the good thing about fading Iowa is both
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna be playing slow. It's gonna be a slow,
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: ugly game here, man. Slow and low is what the
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: total is gonna be here. Total is at one thirty,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: so it makes more sense to take the points in
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: a game like that. Next up, we have another play.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: Oddly today, I have all favorites today, oddly enough, although
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: only one of them is really that big of a favorite,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: all favorites in college basketball, I should say we're gonna
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: lay it with Oklahoma State, even though I know I've
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: been talking about how Oklahoma State is overrated.
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: Because they have not faced a difficult schedule.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: But I think both of these teams are overrated, and
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: we are technical now talking about a home team that's
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: ranked an unranked favorite against a ranked opponent. Because UCF
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: just cracked the rankings at number twenty five. But when
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: a team cracks the rankings after not being ranked for
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: a long time, which I think is the case with UCF,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: a lot of times, just mentally, they kind of like
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: lapse in focus after that. It's like they get a
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: little bit overconfident. So a lot of times you do
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: want to fade a team that cracks the rankings for
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: the first time because it's almost like they get legitimized
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: in the in the rankings makers' eyes. So I like
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: the idea of fading them for that reason, but there
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: are also other reasons to do this. In this situation,
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: you see F just beat Kansas, man, I mean, this
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: is a classic letdown spot. I would say, going on
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: the road to Oklahoma State here, UCF's only played one
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: other road game. They did win at Texas A and M,
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: so give them credit for that. They had an okay
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: performance at home against Vandy, and then yes, they have
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: the win against Kansas I just mentioned. Other than that,
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: they faced the really weak schedule though, so both these
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: teams are pretty untested. Both teams actually have wins over
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M, although I think Oklahoma States is
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: at home, but these teams have faced very similar strength
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: of schedules, I would say, so there's nothing to really
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: take away from that other than I think both teams
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: are overrated. But it's UCF that's in the major letdown
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: spot here Man, You beat Kansas, that is a massive,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: massive deal. Now a Florida team is having to go
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: play in Stillwater. I think it's gonna be difficult for them,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: even though yes, I know, like I said, Oklahoma State's
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: not as good as their record looks. They have that
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: win over A and M at home, like I said,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: that's a good win. They want at Northwestern. That's a
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: fine win. And then they just lost to Texas Tech.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: So and they lost to Oklahoma, so their a resume
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: is not good, needless to say. And I have them
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: as hopefully I don't get screwed because I have them
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: as the last team in the tournament right now in
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: by bracketology. We talked about that last night, and I
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: have a play on them today. Oh boy, they're coming
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: off a loss though they lost by twenty two at
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech, so I think they're in a decent spot
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: to bounce back. Here Man, catching UCF at a good
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: time at home with UCF off of that game that
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: they just played. We're gonna do it, even though I again,
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: I think both teams are a little bit overrated. Like
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: I said, Oklahoma State ken Bum has in the sixties,
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: so really he's saying they don't belong in the tournament.
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: He does have them lucky, which I worry about forty
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: first in luck. They play really fast, seventh and tent.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: But both of these teams actually I believe play fast.
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: Actually no, wait, let me see, Am I wrong about that? No,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: I'm right. You see F plays fast, but not as
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: fast you SEEF is still high in the Luck Index
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: as well. Like I said, it's sixtieth in Luck, so
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: there's nothing to really glean from that. And yes, I
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: know UCF is the overall better team. Kent Bum has
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: some twenty something ranking spots higher. They're better on both
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: sides of the ball, although both teams are not particularly
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: good defense, so I think we're gonna see scoring in
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: this game. So again, laying points is a bit easier
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: to do when you have a high total like this
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: in the one seventies. I do think it'll be a shootout.
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: Both teams go fast and they don't defend well. Oklahoma State. Unfortunately,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: I know we could have gotten them at one. They're
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: three and a half right now. Maybe you'll find a three.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: If you find a good money line, you could do
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: that too. The money does seem to agree with me
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: on this one. Fifty two percent of the tickets, sixty
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Okay State. That is
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: what we're gonna do in this game, and hopefully the
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: loss of value is not gonna screw us. But again,
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: money line is an option as well, or if you
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: want to, you could, dude, cause these are all favorites.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: You could moneyline. You could moneyline parlay these things again.
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: But again, if we lose one of them takes the
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: whole parlay down. You know, I don't love that as much.
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: So all that to bearn mind. Man, all right, CBS
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: Sports at eight pm as GW and Dayton a battle
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: in the A ten. GW I think again is a
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: little bit overrated. They have a good looking record, but
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: they haven't faced that difficult of a schedule. They are
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: coming up an easy win over LaSalle. Dayton probably the
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: better team here. Well, that's why they're favored, I assume
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: at home, although they're not quite getting home court. Really,
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: Dayton's coming off barely getting by Loyola Chicago, who really
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: hasn't been good this year, although I think loyal in Chicago,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers still continue to give Loyal to Chicago some respect,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: like they're better than the record looks right now. But
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: maybe Dayton is still going to refocus after barely getting
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: by them by two on the road.
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: So I wouldn't really disagree.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: With Dayton in this game, just I didn't have much
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: of a I don't have a strong opinion on this one.
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: You can, hopefully you can tell how strong my opinion
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: is on some of these games versus others. The money
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: is on GW in this game, though, for what it's worth,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: fifty six percent of tickets on Dayton, seventy seven percent
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: of the cash on GW. The number on Dayton is
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: around three to three and a half in that one.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: All right, I mean, do you want me to talk
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: about Georgetown to I really have no opinion on Georgetown,
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: de Paul. I mean, it's on True TV, so people
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: can watch this battle of the Big East dormats here
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: Georgetown coming up losing by twelve to Saint John's. I mean,
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: that's respectable I guess Saint John's is still pretty good. Now.
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: Georgetown's going out on the road. They've been okay on
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: the road, so they do have two road wins against
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: Marquette and Maryland, which are they're not good teams, but
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: neither is De Paul. And they did beat Marquette on
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: the road as well, also not a great team. Wait
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: did I say Marquette? I don't even know or was
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: that a wait? Was that a loss? I don't I'm
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: all messed up right now. Man hold on Georgetown. Yeah,
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: it was a road win against Marquette. I think I
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: said that already. And they had a road lost to
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: North Carolina, but I mean it's North Carolina. North Carolina
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: is solid. De Paul's coming up beating Xavier probably a
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: big win from to Paul, like as a program to
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: beat Xavier or though Xavier is down this year as well,
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: and De Paul does have Connecticut next. Although I don't
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: really see DePaul really overlooking Georgetown though, just because of
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: the history of Georgetown, because To Paul just doesn't really
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: overlook anybody. The money is on To Paul for what
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: it's worth. Fifty six percent of the tickets, eighty three
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. They're two and a
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. It's a game that I really have
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: no real opinion on, so I guess debatably, you could
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: argue that you should go with the money in that one,
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: follow the money and go with to Paul.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: Toledo at Northern Illinois.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: This one. I talked about these teams of what they
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: did in their last games. Toledo had escaped against both
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan and Central Michigan, so they could be.
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: In a refocused spot here.
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: The problem is they face Miami Ohio next and that
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: could be a big look ahead spot in Miami Ohio,
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: then Ohio, than Kent then UMass Green Akron like all
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: of those are bigger games than Northern Illinois. So the
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: worry is they're gonna look past Northern Illinois. But I
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: think because they were really bad in their last game
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: it barely got by Central Michigan Toledo, in my opinion.
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: I think they will show up with focus here.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois is coming up their big game against Kent
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: State where they came to within four on the road
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: at Kent State. Ideally, yeah, sure, they'll want to get
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Toledo as well. But for me,
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: I think it's Toledo or Pass and this one. Toledo
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: is a seven and a half point road favorite, though
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: up from seven, so you gotta lay a number with
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: that one. But I think rightfully so there is a
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: big gap between those two teams. Fox Sports won at
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: nine as a pretty massive game, which I think is
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: the only game between two ranked teams. Tonight number fourteen
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech number seven Houston a Texas battle.
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: This is a big one.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Man. Both these teams kind of play slow as well,
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: so I think points are gonna be in a premium
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: in this game. I think it's gonna be a slowest.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be you know, the de O man True
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Blood and Choseph. That's a very physical I love watching
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: plays like that. I know you like all those bubble
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: screens and three others. That's right. I love to see
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: big bodies.
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: I like doing that because I get to catch my breath.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech is coming up beating Oklahoma State, nothing to
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: really see their easy win. Now they're going to Houston
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. They're a legit team. I mean, they bet
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: they're the only team that's beaten Duke so obviously they're legit.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: Uh they stepped up okay in class. They had a
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: close game at Illinois as their only other road game,
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: but they really have not. They haven't faced a road
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: team that slows you and grinds you down. Illinois is
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: a faster paced team, so maybe.
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: That's a bit of a concern.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: And when Texas Tech played a slower paced team, they
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: that's better than them. They lost to Purdue pretty badly.
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: Duke plays a little bit faster this year, so I
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: don't know what to think about that game. But Houston
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: is definitely gonna be difficult Houston. They're coming into this
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: game off of barely getting by Cincinnati. As I pointed out,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: that game was really close, and Houston wasn't great against
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee the game before that either. I think Houston
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: just completely looked past them, though, So I think Houston
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: is going to show up here after two lackluster performances.
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up with a lot of
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: focus and this one is a huge game. So I
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: lean slightly towards Houston in this one. Where are they
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: at They're up to a six point favor The money
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: seems to agree seventy four percent of tickets eighty five
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, although again the money
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: could change throughout the day.
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: Man, that's a thing you have to be worried about
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: a little bit.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: Here. Houston is up from five and a half to six,
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: so they're you're laying points with Houston, which usually I
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: don't love doing because they play slow. But I do
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: think it's Houston or Pass if you play the game.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: But I also think the under is worth considering here
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: because again, both teams are somewhat slow paced. I mean,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: Houston is a very slow paced team. Texas Tech they
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: are two hundred and ninth in tempo, so both these
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: teams play slow. Texas Tech is actually way worse defensively
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: than offensively, though, which kind of surprises me because they
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: usually kind of profile as more of a defense oriented team. Houston,
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: of course, is way more defense oriented. Their offense has
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: struggled a little bit this year compared to what it
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: was last year. They were really good on both sides.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: But yeah, and of course Houston is one of the
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: absolute slowest pace teams in the country though, so I
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: still think the under is worth the look. You gotta
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: worry about the Texas Tech defense, though. I think that
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: is the difference in the game, is that Houston is
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: good on both sides of the ball. Even though Texas
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: Tech is the better offensive team, Houston is significantly better defensively,
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: which is why they're the favorite. I think that's probably
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: the determining factor there. ESPN two at nine pm we
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: have an SEC battle between Texas and number twenty one Tennessee.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: As I talked to out of my bracketology last time.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: I think Tennessee is a little bit under the radar
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: right now. I think they're a little bit better than
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: that ranking suggests. This is the battle of Rick Barnes
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: facing his former team Texas, although he's been gone for
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: Texas for a long time, so they've faced each other
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: many times since then, so I don't think that really
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: is a factor. But it's just funny. Texas is coming
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: off an ugly home overtime loss to Mississippi State. Mississippi
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: State is not very good this year. Texas was a
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: favorite at home. That was a bad loss. Maybe they
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead, but I think that does mean it's
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot for Texas here after that loss.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: For Tennessee, they're coming off of losing to Arkansas by eleven,
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: which tougher game though to play Arkansas. Playing Arkansas on
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: the road, Arkansas is gonna try to speed you up.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: I think I liked Tennessee in this game, but it
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: was definitely a tougher game for Tennessee. Man. I mean,
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: this is a competitive game pretty much the whole way.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: It was within a few points later in the game,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: so Tennessee is coming off the more difficult game. They
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: do play Florida next. I don't know if they're gonna
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: overlook Texas or not. Texas they're kind of a team
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: that is a little bit under the radar, I think, man,
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: and I believe they they missed the tournament last year, right,
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: so I think, yeah, there are a team that's a
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: bit under the radar. If they do something here, maybe
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: they have a chance to be in the tournament discussion
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: this year. We'll see. But for me, I think the
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: spot does set up a little bit better for taking
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: the points with Texas. Tennessee has ninety percent of the
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: tickets and ninety seven percent of the cash. But I
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be very public here. If the public
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: is gonna come in and look at this game that'll
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: probably the way they'll go is Tennessee. Tennessee is up
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: to ten and a half point favorite. It's a total
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: that's kind of in the middle of the pack at
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: one fifty four. Tennessee is better defensively and they play slow,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: so laying points with Tennessee usually not something that I
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: really love doing, So I think taking the points with
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: Texas does make sense for numerous different reasons in that game.
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: That's what I would do if I was gonna play it.
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: Texas tries to be a little bit faster. One thing
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: is that ken Bomb has Texas is one of the
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: unluckiest teams in the country though so Texas they've underperformed
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: so far. A going to Kent bumb three hundred and
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: fiftieth than luck but he has them very imbalanced, just
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: way better offensively than defensively outside of the top one
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: hundred defensively, which is obviously not great. And obviously Tennessee
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: is the better team, and I've said Tennessee is better
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: than the ranking suggests as well. Ken Bomb has the sixteenth,
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: then yes, Tennessee is the way better defensive team and
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: the more balanced team, even though Texas is better on offense.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is also very low in the luck Index three
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: hundred thirty third, so ken Bum does have both teams
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: being very underperformant so far, so all of that needing
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: to be considered in that game. TCU is at Kansas,
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: number twenty two Kansas. This is an ESPN game at
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: nine PM. Kansas is of course coming up that loss
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: at UCF that did break a win streak, so sometimes
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: when a team loses a win streak, they'll be hungover.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: But I'm kind of leaning more towards Kansas bouncing back
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: from that because I was kind of an ugly loss
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: back at home in Allen Fieldhouse. I think they're gonna
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: bounce back and play better in this game. That would
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: be how I read this. Kansas is also favored against
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: a team that has a better record at the very
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: least with TCU. I don't think they're gonna overlook TCU,
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: and TCU just got a nice win against Baylor in
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: state brother. I don't know which team is the bigger
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: brother at this point. He probably could argue Baylor is
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: like always the bigger brother to TCU because Baylor is
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: they just have a better basketball program history. So it
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: was a good win for TCU against Baylor Man, and
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: they do have Arizona and BYU up next. I'm not
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: gonna say they're gonna overlook Kansas. I mean, nobody really
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: overlooks Kansas, but going out on the road could be
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: a bit difficult. Their only other road game this season
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: was against North Texas, so this will by far be
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: their most difficult road game, very hostile environment against probably
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: a pissed off Kansas team. So I would actually probably
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: lay it with Kansas in this game if I was
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: gonna play it. But TCU is getting the money fifty
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: percent of ticket, sixty three percent of the cash on them.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: Kansas is to ever mate to have to eight total
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: one forty three, so it is a low total. Kansas.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: They slow the game down and play defense, man, that
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: is what they do. But I would probably still lay
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: it if I was gonna play it. We got Mountain
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: West Action at nine PM between New Mexico and Colorado
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: State at Colorado State. Mountain West seems to be one
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: of the conferences that always has one of the better
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: home court advantages. Like I find myself leaning towards a
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: lot of home teams in Mountain West Action. This time
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. I talked about last night how they're in
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: the tournament conversation right now. They're on the bubble right now,
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: I think, still unlikely to make the tournament, though we'll
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: see what happens. They're coming off of a win over a
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: Wyoming team that's actually been not horrible this year, so
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: that was a pretty good win for them, blasting them
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: by twenty. Now they gotta go on on the road
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: here to Colorado State. Not an easy place to play,
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: although I think Colorado State is down this year and
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: not really as good as the record looks. They faced
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: a fairly easy schedule so far, and they have not
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: really done well in Mountain West play so far. They
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: actually lost their only home game in Mountain West play
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: to Nevada. Nevada off to a pretty good start in
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: Mountain West, but I still don't think they're really a
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: great team. Colorado State did bounce back beating conference newcomer
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon on the road a though Grand Canyon looks
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: like they might be a little bit down this year
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: or trying to adjust to being in the new conference.
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: For them the Mountain West, I don't know Colorado.
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: State, they'll still show up for this game against New Mexico,
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: so I think both teams will show up and then
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: it's just kind of a matter of I would probably
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: then just start reading the market because I don't really
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: have an opinion on this game. Otherwise, New Mexico looks
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: like they are taking some of the money. They're up
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: from pickam to minus one sixty percent of ticket sixty
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on them. It is a
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: low total, which is interesting because I'm pretty sure New
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: Mexico is a fast paced team. Yeah, they're like more
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: mid tempo this year, but I just remember them playing
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: ridiculously fast. So though those days are gone, Colorado State
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: plays ridiculously so they're literally the slowest based team in
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: the country. According to Ken Bump, Colorado State is so
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: somebody keep in mind they really really try to play slow,
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: but they actually are horrible defensively, which is very very odd.
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: They're a really weird, imbalanced team. They're actually way better offensively.
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: Colorado State twenty fifth in offense, but outside of the
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: top two hundred on defense. Really strange, strange profile for
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: Colorado State. I don't love that profile. The Osvegers are
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: telling you New Mexico is the better team, so I
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: would go with that in that game when there's nothing
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: else to really read into there. Peacock at nine pm
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: as Ucla at Wisconsin.
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: Still kind of a weird travel.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: Spot, I think for Ucla, I have to go to
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: these Midwest teams. Ucla did just drop the game against
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: Iowa in the prior game. That was a big game.
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Iowa was able to handle them. Kind of surprised that
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: that game was and I will win by as much
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: of a margin as it was.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: I thought it might be a closer game.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: It was fairly low scoring, like I thought, but Iowa
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: got the win by double digits. Ucla lost a win
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: streak with that. But I kind of think Ucla will
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: show up for this game. I mean, you are playing
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: against Wisconsin. They have a good track record. We know
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: this well. They haven't been good recently. Wisconsin's coming up
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: of a big game against Purdue where they lost by
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: double digits. They do have Michigan next. Don't Over're gonna
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: argue that's a look ahead or not, because I don't
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: really think you overlook Ucla. Especially. Wisconsin's got to get
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: some wins, man, because right now they're on the outside
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: looking in they might miss the tournament two years in
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: a row, which is or no, they won't.
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: They were in the tournament last year.
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? I think they missed it the
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: year before that. Maybe, But this Wisconsin team, they've been
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: struggling man as a program. Bad days for Wisconsin sports, football,
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: basketball not doing well here. The money is all signing
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: with Wisconsin here. They're three and a half point favorites,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash on them, fifty percent of
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: the tickets on UCLA juice coming in on that three
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: and a half there. I would go with the market
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: reading that one, just because I don't really have much
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: of an opinion otherwise with Wisconsin, but I don't love
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: it by any means. NC State is at BC. NC
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: State is a double digit road favorite in this one,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: So the oddsmakers are telling you what they really think
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: about these two teams. NC State is actually under the radar,
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: like I think they're actually a top twenty five team,
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: and they're not ranked by the rankings makers. Ken bummesim
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: at thirty second, but he has been pretty unlucky three
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: hundred and eighteenth in the country, So I think NC
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: State is good and under the radar. Right now. Now,
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: are they gonna be that excited to go up to
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: Boston and play Boston College.
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: They're coming up here.
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: It's snowing. It was snowing overnight here, by the way,
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: So NC State really gonna love coming up here. They're
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: coming up a big game against Virginia. I thought NC
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: State was gonna play better in that game. I thought
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: they would win and cover as a favorite, and that
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: did not happen. But that's still a big game for them.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: Now they're going up to BC. They don't really have
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: anything great up next against Florida State, but I just
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: don't know if they're gonna remain focused against BC here. BC.
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was in that game against
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: Georgia Techman, they could have had the win in that
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: game and they completely fall apart late in the game.
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: This BC team, they'll go on scoring droughts. They're ridiculous.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: BC is horrible offensively, though they're actually pretty good defensively.
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: But maybe they'll be able to do it in this game. Man.
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: They're back at home. They got NC State coming in.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: I think BC will show up for a game against
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: an NC State team that has a good history. They've
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: been pretty good recently for NC State. You gotta lay
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: thirteen on the road with them at this point, I
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: think I would take the points if I was gonna
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: play it with BC. Seventy one percent of the ticket,
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash NC State is public
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: with less of the money on them, it's a low
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: total in the low one forties. BC probably gonna try
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: to just ugly this thing up and that might be
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: good enough to get within that huge number. So that's
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that game. That's not
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: an ACC network. Isn't that fun? All right?
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: We have Texas A and M and Auburn. I like
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: this one.
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: This one almost made my card man. Texas A and M.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: They're coming into this game beating LSU. But Texas A
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: and M was a favorite in that game and probably
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: should have won the game more easily than they did,
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: although you could consider that to still be a big
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: win for Texas A and M. And that's one of
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: my concerns with A and M in this game, because
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: I like A and M in this game, plus the points,
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: But I worry about that a little bit that they
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: might consider that win to be a big win because
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: LSU might be a tournament team looks like A and
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: M might not be even though they were favored in
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: that game, So a lot of things to consider about
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: how they respond from that game, how they react Texas.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: A and M has not been particularly good on the
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: road so far, losing to Oklahoma State on the road
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: and beating Pitt who we know is not very good.
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: They're the Pits, so this is gonna be their most
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: difficult road game so far as well, So that worries
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: me a little bit. But with A and M, you
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: are getting a lot of points. Auburn is, of course
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: coming up that monster overtime game against Georgia, huge game
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: where Auburn felt just short. So I think the spot
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: is worse for Auburn coming up that game, and I
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: think it could be a sandwich because they might actually
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: overlook an A and M team that's down this year.
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: And they do have Arkansas next that's a ranked team
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be a big matchup for them. So I
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: think A and M plus the points is the way
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: to look here. But one of the other issues I
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: have with it is I think the public is also
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be on that side. And I'm not saying you
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: should never side with the public, Like if you have
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: a good angle and the public just happens to be
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: on that angle as a broken clock. I still think
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: it's fine to make the play, but I have my
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: resisations about it. And in this one, you're seeing Auburn
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: as a nine to five team laying seven and a
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: half to an eleven and three team. So it just
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: it looks like a weird lineman. It looks misleading, and
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you that Auburn is the better
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: team here. So I do worry about that just by
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: looking at the market, looking at the numbers, like, oh,
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: it's a misleading number here, And I don't love jumping
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: on the side that is the side that is being misled,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense, you know what I mean. So
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: I'm staying off of it. But if I was gonna
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: play it, I would play Texas A and M plus
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: the points. The money does seem to agree with it,
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: cash on A and M. Auburn's a seven point favorite here.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts on that. That one is.
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: That's probably the first or second one that I'm.
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: Leaving off my card here.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: So I do like Texas A and M pretty significantly
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: in that game. Let's just say so. I it just
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: it was the bubble Boy. I don't I don't have
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: the bubble Boy drop or anything. But and then my
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: other bubble boy is this Fresno San Jose State game.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: I like San Jose State in this one. Fresno, They're
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: coming off two pretty big performances. Man. They were at
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: home against Utah State. They had a I don't know,
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I would say this was a
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: close game. I mean, it wasn't really that close, but
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: they were within six in the final minutes of the game.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: So still, they put in a pretty big effort against
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: Utah State, who was the best team in the Mountain West.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: Then Fresno, remaining at home, took Nevada right to the wires.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: So these are two huge games for Fresno. Coming off
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: those two games, I think they're gonna be flat coming
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: off of that. Man, Just you can't put in a
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: huge effort like this every single game. San Jose State
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: is off to a bad start in the conference, just
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: like Fresno is.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: And Fresno's got San Diego State up next.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: They're always a team that you're gonna be pretty much,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: you're gonna always circle them when you have them on
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: your schedule, like they're one of the better teams at
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: this conference every single year for the most part. So
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: I think this is a sandwich spot that Fresno is in.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: Both teams are looking for their first win. San Jose
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: State is coming off going to Utah State, and this
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: is kind of my hesitation is even though they lost
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: by almost twenty points in this game, if you look
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: at how this game played out, it was close, man.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: For a lot of the game. San Jose State was
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: winning pretty deep into the second half. They were winning
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: by one with ten minutes to go, and they were
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: still within range. There were within four with six minutes left.
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: So the final score does not really tell you what
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: happened in this game. San Jose State played close in
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: this game, which does mean that, yeah, they played better
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: in the game in the final score looks. But my
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: worry about it is that they're themselves coming off a
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: huge game here, so that is my concern. But I
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: like San Jose State in that game. The money agree
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: is eighty percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: cash on them. They're one and a half point favorite
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: flip from a one point dog. Yeah, if you're gonna
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: play it. That's another strong opinion of mine. So the
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: two that I've left off my card that I almost
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: put on Texas A and M and San Jose State.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: I like those two and hopefully hopefully those don't go
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: two to zero. If those go one on one, then
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: I'll be happy enough that I left them off my card.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: So that's that. And then you know what this means then,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: because I told you I have one play left, We're
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: in the Fox Sports Degenerate Special Fox Sports one at
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: eleven pm Eastern, San Diego State at Nevada. We're on
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: this one and we're going Nevada money line in this
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: one and minus one twenty four. If you want to
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: lay the one one and a half, I guess that's fine.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: The money seems to agree with Nevada here seventy eight
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash coming
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: in on them. It is expected to be a close game,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: a grueling game. One forty three is the total. But
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fait San Diego State here, and man, I
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: think San Diego State there. The team that gets the
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: name recognition, even though I know Nevada has better record
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: right now. Overall, both teams are three and zero in
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: the Mountain West so far. But look at what San
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: Diego State's coming off of. Man, this is the triple
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: overtime game that I was thinking of. San Diego State
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: went to triple overtime to beat Boise State. Huge game, Man, Boise,
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: They're one of the better teams in the Mountain West.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: They're in the tournament picture right now. That was a
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: monster win for San Diego State. It was a huge
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: game for both teams. But coming off of that grueling
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: game that was back and forth, I don't know what
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: San Diego State's gonna have left. And now they have
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: to go to Reno. I think it's gonna be difficult, man,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: And this is their first true road game outside of
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: the state of California. Though I know Reno is right
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: at the board or basically so whatever, but still, Reno
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: is not an easy place to play, man, even though I.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: Know, of course they do it every year, so it's
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: easier when.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: That's the case. But still, and Nevada is gonna be
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: up for it, because what did I just say? Nevada
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: just barely got by Fresno State in their last game,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: and I think they might have been in kind of
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: a sandwich there because Nevada had beaten Boise State. So
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: both these teams just beat Boise so common opponent kind
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: of gets thrown out because they both beat them. Then
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: Nevada won at Colorado State. They were the winners of
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: the conference last years. That was still a big deal.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: Then Nevada beat Fresno but only by one. So, like
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: I said, I think that was a sandwich spot there. Man,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: when you had a lackluster performance as the better team
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: like Nevada did, I think they were also looking ahead
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: to San Diego State. I think they're gonna show up
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: with a lot of focus in this one off of
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: that bad performance. I think Nevada wins this game. I
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: like it. We're gonna go with it here, even though
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: I know, oh no, we're playing a small favorite that
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: actually has the better record, and the oddsbecers are actually
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: telling San Diego State is the better team. I know,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: but in this case, I think it's warranted because I
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: like how it sets up for the situation on both sides,
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: and that's what I'm kind of looking for in most cases.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: And I was looking at well like who won, like
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: who knocked who of the tournament? Whatever? Well again Nevada
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: they were. Also that was an even bigger game where
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: they beat Colorado State because Colorado State knocked them out
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: of the Mountain West Tournament last year. So Colorado State
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: my future in that tournament last year. So I nailed
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: that one. They came from out of nowhere and got
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: into the tournament just because they won the Mountain West Tournament.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: So there you go. Colorado State did, but of course
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: you remember who ended your season. So Nevada beat in
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: Colorado State to get that revenge from getting eliminated from
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: the tournament, the Mountain West Tournament last year. That was
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: a huge game for Nevada for that reason too. Also
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: Nevada did lose both games last year to San Diego State,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: so it's a little bit of double revenge here if
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: you care about that at all, which I don't really,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: but it is maybe something. But I think you care
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: more about who ended your season. But I like it.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: So that's that play, all right, an hour for college basketball,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: and now we move on to hockey. A lot of
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: hockey games today as well. Man, I'm gonna try to
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: get through this fast. I only have one hockey play.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: We've got Vancouver at Buffalo.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: Vancouver here.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: Hopefully you guys are still with me. Nothing going on
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: in the chat here. Vancouver. They're coming off multiple losses
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: in a row. They lost both in overtime and shootout
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: though to Seattle and Boston. But they've had multiple days
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: off now, they've been off since Saturday, and they're starting
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: a road trip, so I think it is a positive spot.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: Like when things aren't going well for you at home,
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: one of the better things for you to do is
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: somehow break free of that of the bad vibes, you know,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: So having extra time off to break that losing momentum
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: and starting a road trip both are positive things. So
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up focus. So I think
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: it is a fine spot for Vancouver here Buffalo. I
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: don't really think they're gonna overlook this game either, but well,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: actually maybe they might. Buffalo just lost a huge win streak. Man,
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: they'd won ten games in a row, and we got
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: the win with Columbus in the game that broke their
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: win streak. I know that's an lost so in a
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: way you'd say, well, the team's gonna bounce back when
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: they lose five to one. Yeah, a lot of times
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: you do want to play in a team that lost
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: by four goals. But when a team loses a win
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: streak that's been that long, a lot of times they
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: will be hung over into the next game, and actually
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: they might actually maybe look ahead to the Rangers in
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: the next game. So I think it would be Vancouver
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: or pass in this game, I'm passing on it. But
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: actually interesting setup here where Buffalo looks like a they're
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: a public home favorite here. Man, they're done for minus
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: one eighty to minus one seventy, probably getting a little
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: bit too much respect from the market to this one.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: I'm still not totally sold on this Buffalo team. Eighty
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets, sixty six percent of the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: cash on them, so they're public less of the money
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: on them, so the money is agreeing with me. On
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: the Vancouver side, that is the way that I would
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: go in that game. You get them as a pretty
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: big underdog. Man, you could just go balls to the wall,
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: take the shot on the money line, or do like
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: a split bet, make your own plus one puck line
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: or something of that nature. Colorado at Tampa Bay here
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: Now Colorado is in a difficult spot too, because, just
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: like Buffalo, they just lost a win streak and they
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: hadn't even longer win streakin maybe it was the same
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: ten wins. And they're coming up two big games, winning
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: at Carolina and then losing by one at Florida, which
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: I had that game right too, and I almost put
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: it on my card, and instead I put the Devils
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: on the card. Man, I'm not happy about that, but
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: I was right about Florida. I just didn't add it
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: to my card. So I am the streak buster baby.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: But I think Colorado could be in a pretty bad
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: spot after that. That was a big game, too close game,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: and they lose a win streak all at the same time.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: I think they might be hung over here.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: Now. One concern that I would have about that is,
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: of course they're still gonna try to get up for
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: a game against Tampa though, so I'd like it more
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: if it was a team they were just gonna have
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: a tendency to overlook completely, which Tampa is not a
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: team that you really overlook. Still a bad spot, though,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: and Colorado's playing a third game in four and as
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. Although they did have lot of
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: days off prior to that. For Tampa Bay, they just
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: smashed San Jose. But the problem with Tampa Bay is
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: the returning on from a road trip. So I don't
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: love the spot here for that reason either. Like I
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: started out looking at this like, oh, I'm gonna definitely
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: lean to Tampa Bay here. But they're in a road
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: trip sandwich actually, which is a pretty bad spot that
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: I talk about some ish. They were on the roads.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: It's last Wednesday. They won all three games on the road,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: all out in California. Coming back home from that, yeah,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: they got a couple of days off, but they're on
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: a six to seven game win streak here, seven games.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: I think having a couple of days off when you're
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: on a seven game win streak, I think it's bad
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: because they could disrupt your momentum.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: I think it's even worse when you're coming.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: Back home because being at home is a distraction a
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: lot of times, and you'll get distracted by home life.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: Now they're not gonna overlook Colorado though, so that kind
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: of mitigates the distraction. But they also have to go
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: right back out on the road after this and go
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: to Philadelphia. So when you have one single home game
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: like this, a couple of days off, you kind of
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: get settled back in at home, but you really only
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: have a limited amount of time to do what you
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: need to do at home when you're back home. So
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of things that I don't like
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: at all about the spot for Tampa Bay here. Horrible
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: spot actually for both teams. So you know, as far
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: as the side is concerned, the money is saying Colorado,
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: I guess you could make that argument that the spot
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: is worse for Tampa Colorado down for minus one twenty
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: to minus one twelve seventy two percent of tickets, or
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: the cash excusing on Colorado sixty eight percent of tickets
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: on Tampa, Like is the public really coming in on
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: Tampa after Colorado loses one game? I kind of doubt that,
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: but this is what the market reta is saying right now.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: I kind of think over is a better way to
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: look at this game, with both teams being in bad
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: spots and potentially not having a lot like full focus here,
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: which I think tends to show itself more on the
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: deepfensive side. So I would not hate an over in
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: this game. And it looks like the cash is kind
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: of on the over eighty three percent of the ten.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: It's ninety seven percent of the cash on the over
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: in this move here, six and a half juice to
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: the under. Just six juice to the over is a
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: very minuscule move, even on a hockey total. It's not
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: really it might just be a different book taking over
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: the consensus numbers. That's really not much of a move there.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: So I don't disagree with an over in that one. Jeffrey,
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out, Tyson, what's up man? Yeah,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about Well, I don't know if I
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: have that many other strong opinions here, but those first
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: couple of games, the games that I've talked about so far,
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: Vancouver is the better opinion out of all the ones
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: that I've talked about so far.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: Anaheim at Philadelphia.
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: I'm going over every single game, so hopefully you can
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: kind of gauge how strong I feel about these, which
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: is none of these I feel that strongly about. But
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's on a six game losing streak. They just lost
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: yesterday to Washington, but that doesn't mean they run a
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: back to back. Although horrible game, they lost seven to four,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: so you think they probably will try to show up here.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: They did have a couple of days off prior to that,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: at least, so that mitigates the back to back a
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: little bit. They'll switch goalies again, back to Dostel Dostal docile.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: He's getting two Dowsle in this game, even though they
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: do have Karl Lina X. I don't think they're gonna
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: overlook Philly. When you're losing like this, you don't overlook
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: anybody anyway. For Philly, they're coming into this game having
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: beaten Edmonton in the last game, and they're returning over
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. So yeah, actually this is gonna
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: be a strong opinion. Actually for me on the Anaheim
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: side of Philadelphia was just on the road up. They
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: started their most recent road trip on the twenty eighth.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: They went out to the Pacific Coast Pacific Northwest, and
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: they finished the road trip by beating Edmonton five to two.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: Monster win there for Philadelphia returning home, as I always
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: talk about, distracted spot, you got to get back to
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: home life. I know they have a couple of days off,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: but it's possib when they overlook a west coast of
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: bon here, especially when that's lost a ton of games
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: in a row. I don't know that Philadelphia necessarily will
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to Toronto specifically, but I just think
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: this might be a spot where they just get distracted. Man,
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot they don't show up. Maybe for this.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: For Anaheim, they're already on the East coast and they're
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: only going from Washington to Philly, so the travel spot's
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: a lot better, even though they did play yesterday. I
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: do like Anaheim in this game quite a bit, but
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: the market is totally disagreeing with me on this, and
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: I have no idea why, like I would consider playing
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: this game. To be honest, on Anaheim, I'm almost I'm
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: almost tempted to say fuck you to the market and
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: just bucked this thing. I like Anaheim a lot in
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: this game, Man, Should I do it? Do we add
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: another play? Here? Eighty eight percent of the tickets, sixty
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Anaheim, though the money
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: is completely disagreeing with me. Philadelphia down for minus one
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: fifty to minus one forty here. Oh man, I don't know.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm really tempted to do it. I like it
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: a lot. I don't know I'm gonna I've tended to
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: completely stay away from these teams on back to backs,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: although of course Denver wound up being a winner last night,
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: of course on a back to back, so it's not
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: always a bad thing. Of Course, Philadelphia's got the extra rest,
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: but you gotta think that's gonna be factoring into the line.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: I think it's a negative with the extra rests. In
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: that case, I'll leave it off my card. But yet, Anaheim,
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: I think is a very strong opinion there Dallas at Carolina,
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: and of course Anaheim is gonna win now and my
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: play won't. But yes, Anaheim money line, I think it's
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: that's my second strongest opinion probably in hockey. Dallas shockingly
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: has lost five games in a row. I don't know
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: what's going on with this Dallas team right now. Man,
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: you gotta think they're gonna show up focus and they're
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, so that's gotta be a good
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: thing for them, even though they played Montreal into o
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: overtime last game. Montreal is not bad, but when you're
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: losing at home like this, one of the best things
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: for you is just forget about it, just go on
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: on the road. For a road trip. You're usually your
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: focus on the first game of the road trip. You
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna be focused when they're playing Carolina as well. Carolina,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: they just beat New Jersey in their last game, nice
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: bounce back win to end a lost streak that they
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: had going. They're returning home from that single game trip
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: to New Jersey. We actually had New Jersey in that game,
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: so I thought it was a bad spot for Carolina
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: and they got the win against us. They bounce back.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home from that. They're not gonna
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: overlook Dallas, but I just think you're gonna see a
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: more focused Dallas team here. Man in Dallas has been
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: the team that's just been really looking ugly recently. You're
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: getting Dallas as a dog in this one too. I
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: agree with the market in this one. I would play
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: Dallas if I was gonna play it. It's not as
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: strong as I feel on Anaheim, but the money's at
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: least agreeing with Dallas on this one. Carolina is up
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: to minus one thirty five seventy four percent of tickets
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: on them, eighty nine percent of the cash on Dallas,
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: so it almost looks like it's a pros versus Joe's
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: like when when are you ever getting a situation where
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: the public is not playing Dallas as an underdog? When
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: do you ever get Dallas as a dog like this?
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: I know Carolina is good, but Dallas is still good
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: as well, and I think they're gonna be in a
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: very angry mood. So I do like Dallas in that
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: one New Jersey at the Islanders. A little bit of
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: a geographic rivalry going on in this one. New Jersey
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: just took that loss at home. Like I said to
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: the Islanders, they're playing a third game in four days,
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: but they're only going to Long Island here to face
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: New York going to Queens, so whatever. And they are
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: technically starting a road trip here, so they may be
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: focused as well, just because they get to go out
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: on the road even though they're close to home here still.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: But could be a bounce back to that was a
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: tough game against Carolina, though it was a one goal
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: game later into the game, so it is possible they're
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit hung over from that game. For the Islanders,
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: they're coming off beating Toronto in overtime, not exactly an
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: impressive win. They've had multiple days off, which maybe they
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: don't really need because they won their last game, but
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: they are the more rested team. They are staying at home.
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong feel for this game at all.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: What does the market say on this one?
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: The market is.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: Saying Islanders pretty strongly, at least for now, though again,
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: these percentages could shift throughout the day, especially in hockey
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: where there's not a huge volume right now being tracked,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: A New Jersey's up for mist one twenty to miss
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: one twenty five. So it's interesting that the oddsmakers are
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: telling you New Jersey is the better team. So that's
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: something to keep in mind, where the Islanders actually have
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: the better looking record, but oddsmakers are telling you New
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: Jersey is the better team by favoring them on the road.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: But seventy seven percent of the tickets are on them,
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash on the Islanders, so
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Islanders side. So
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: that's the information for that one. You know, act accordingly,
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: of course. This next game up is my play, which
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know where SOB is right now to predict
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: what my plays are. We'll see if he thought that
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be my player or not. But this
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: is the best bets hockey segment. Let's go of course,
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: we have all those playoffs that can't possibly be being
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: played at the same time. Way to go, chat GPT
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: for making that AI image there. We're gonna be on
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: the Toronto Maple Leafs on the underdog money line. Here,
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fade Florida. So Jeffrey probably is a fan
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: of this. This is a horrible spot for Florida. This
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: is why we're doing this. Florida. They just came off
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: losing the Winter Classic there they stayed at home. Of course,
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: the Winter Classic wasn't actually at their home arena, but
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: they bounced back in a huge way by beating Colorado.
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: That is a monster win.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: Man, anytime you beat Colorado, not many teams can say
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: they've beat in Colorado this year. And they beat Colorado
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: ended their long win streak. That is a huge win
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: for Florida. And now, yes, they're starting a road trip,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: and usually I say a team's gonna be focused when
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: they're starting a road trip, but I just don't see
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: that being the case here coming off such a monumental win.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: And they do have what I think is a bigger
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: game next against Montreal because Montreal has the better record,
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: and Montreal just beat Florida at home a couple of
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: games right. Actually, the game before the Winter Classic, Montreal
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: beat them in overtime in Florida, So I think Florida
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: does have that Montreal game circled because it was a
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: recent loss to them at home, so it's one of
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: those quick turnaround road revenge angles. So I think they
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: could easily overlook this Toronto team. It just hasn't been
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: playing particularly well Toronto. They just lost in overtime to
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: the Islanders, and they had multiple days off to kind
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: of forget about that. They're coming back home, but it
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: was only a single game road trip, so I don't
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: see that as a long road trip return or anything
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: like that. Gonna have focus on the defending champs Florida.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: So I like this for Toronto. They're pretty rested here,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: having a couple of days off. I think they're absolutely
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused on this game. And the other thing
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: I really like about this is even though Toronto's record
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: is bad, they're actually really good at home. I think
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: they've won their last five home games and they're fourteen
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: to five and five at home, so they're actually quite
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: good at home. It's very tough to beat them, at
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: least in regulation at home. Whers, Florida has not been
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: terrific on the road at eight seven and zero. I mean,
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: that's fine for a road record, but it's not dominant
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. And the Maple Liefs have been
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: really good at home, much better at home than on
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: the road. So we are gonna go with Toronto here, Toronto,
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: we are looking at here. The money is agreeing with
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: this one. Yeah, Florida down for minus won twenty five
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: to minus win eighteen. So you know, grab Toronto as
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: the money line dog here. I don't know if they're
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up as a favorite in this game. Probably not.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: They probably shouldn't be. But you're gonna get I think,
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: a decent price on Toronto, regardless, seventy four percent of
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, eighty three percent of the cash on them.
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: I think you'll still wind up getting an underdog price
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: on Toronto whatever happens. And it looks like the money
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: is coming in that waven though. We do see the
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: public ticket percentage on Toronto right now. If the public
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: comes in on this game, they're not gonna be playing Toronto.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: They will be playing the defending champs, So two time
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: defending champs. All right, we have Vegas at Winnipeg. You
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: want to talk about losing streaks, how about this game.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: Vegas has lost five games in a row and they've
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: lost eight of their last nine. Something's got to give
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: vier Man, because this Vegas team is not this bad.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: They just lost in ot to Chicago, not a good loss.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: They're gonna want to try to salvage something out of
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: this three game road trip. I expect them to show
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: up in this game against Winnipeg. Winnipeg's gonna show up
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: as well, because they get to play Vegas, who has
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: been pretty good this year, and Winnipeg is on an
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: even worse losing streak. They have only won one game
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: since Hello Book came back. They won his first game back,
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: and they haven't won since. I don't know what's going
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: on with this Winnipeg team. They've lost whatever. This is
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: nine games in a row. I think absolutely ridiculous. But
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg is returning off from a road trip, which makes
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: this a little bit more of a difficult spot for them.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: They were on the road since last Wednesday, went to
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: Detroit Toronto. Ottawa of course lost all of those games
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: coming back home. As I talk about when a team
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: returns off for a road trip, they can be distracted.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: But I think the couple of things that will mitigate
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: that a little bit are the fact that they're playing Vegas,
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: which should draw their focus, even though they do have
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: Edmonton next, and Edmonton did beat them at home the
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: last time, so I still don't really think they're gonna
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: overlook Vegas though, And they got to get a win. Man.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: They've been losing every game. When you're on a losing
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: streak like this, you're gonna focus on basically every game
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: because you want to get a win against anybody. So
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be distracted. They do have
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: extra time off, which usually I say is bad when
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: the team returns home because they could kind of exacerbate
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: the return home. You get settled in at home, you
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: start getting distracted by the home things. But it could
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: be helpful when they're on a loss streak like this
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: to maybe disrupt that momentum. I don't know, man, I
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: mean both teams, Yeah, I think they're both in somewhat
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: focused spots here. The money is indicating on Winnipeg with
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: Vegas down for minus one fifteen to minus one ten
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: on the money line, eighty five percent of the tickets
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash on them, So they're
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: a public side. Wouldn't really want to be on Vegas here,
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: but because Winnipeg is still in that return home spot
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: and I think both teams should be focused, I think
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: Winnipegg's focus is the one that's a little bit more
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: in question, So I I kind of disagree with the
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: market and leads slightly to Vegas, but I really don't
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: like the game. So there's the hopefully you get to
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: parse all the information that I'm giving you there. But again,
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm you know me, I don't want to
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: force thing like I recommend, like you don't. You don't
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: want to have a play just to have a play,
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, unless you're gonna put a
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: very small amount of money on it and have some
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: fun recreationally. But I'm trying to do this to make
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: money long term here, So that's why I'm being selective
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: and not playing these additional leans that I have and whatever.
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I'm making the cutoff at the right point in
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: these sports. But we'll see. Nashville is that Edmonton. Nashville
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: beat Calgary in their last game, they've had two days
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: off since then, and they're staying in Alberta. It's not
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: a horrible spot for Nashville. Of course, they'll show up
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: for a game against Edmonton. For Edmonton here Edmonton, I
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: expect them to show up as well because they've lost
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: both games on the home stand so far by a
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: combined score of eleven to four. That is bad, So
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up here as well. I
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: expect focus out of both teams. This is the last
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: game of the home stand for Edmonton. Edmonton is the
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: better team. The money is coming in pretty strongly on Nashville,
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: though Edmonton down for minus one eighty to minus one
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: fifty three. That's a pretty substantial move. Seventy four percent
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Edmonton, ninety six percent of the cash
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: on Nashville. I don't see why that line would move,
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: even with like goaltender information, There's no way that line
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: would move that significantly. So I don't know what's happening
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: with the line the money is saying Nashville. I think
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: both teams show up and in a case where that
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: in a game where that tends to be the case.
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: I kind of look towards the better team usually, but
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: maybe some of the money is saying Edmonton just shouldn't
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: be this heavy of a favorite, and that we're undervaluing Nashville.
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, but dude, I've seen this like for the
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: past like year plus. The market keeps indicating on Nashville
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: like over and over again, and they don't get the
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: job done. So I know they've been better recently, but
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I just still don't have a lot
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: of faith in that Nashville team. Columbus at San Jose.
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: This is actually one of my stronger opinions, So Toronto's
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: my best obviously. Then I would say probably Anaheim, and
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: then this one. I do like San Jose. In this game,
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: Columbus just had a tough overtime loss to Pittsburgh. And
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: by the way, there's no way Columbus should have lost
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: this game. Columbus is winning four to one late in
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: the second period, they were still winning four to three
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: in the final seconds of regulation, and they gave up
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: a goal, probably in an empty net situation with the
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: Penguins in the empty net, I mean, and then the
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: Penguins won in overtime, absolutely brutal loss because Pittsburgh's been
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: playing pretty well. Blue Jackets had that game in hand,
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: they had the game completely won pretty much, and blew
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: the game. Unbelievable. When you lose a game like that,
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be hung over in the next game.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: Absolutely ridiculous. And it gets a little bit worse for
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: Columbus because they have a big game after this as well,
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: which is against who is it against Vegas? Yeah, and
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: then Colorado, so they have two bigger games than the San.
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: Jose game up after this.
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: Vegas also beat them at home not that long ago,
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: so maybe a little bit of a recent revenge angle there.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: So this is a pretty horrible spot that Columbus is in.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: And now they are starting a road trip. So I
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: do point out that when a team starts a road
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: trip a lot of times they will be focused. But
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: it's a ten pm Eastern game, first game on the
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: Pacific coast. Can be difficult for these uh, well Columbus,
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: I guess it's a Central time zone team whatever, but
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: or no, the Eastern No, there's still Eastern time right whatever.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. Ohio doesn't even exist, man, I
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: don't know what time's on there in but yeah, it's
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: still gonna be a difficult spot. I think because it's
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: a late night game, it's gonna be late on their
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: biological clock. So I really don't like it for Columbus.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: And now, and now I'm considering adding this to my card.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: Let me see San Jose. They just got smashed by
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay at home, seven to three. Tampa Bay is
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: a good team. Obviously San Jose lost a three game
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: win streak. With that loss. They were in kind of
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: a letdown ish spot because they'd beaten Minnesota the game
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: before that. It was Nadalkovich and net They will have
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: Askedarov back in net here, and he's been there better
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: goalie I think recently. So he's the hotter goal tender,
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: the hotter hand. So that should help San Jose as well.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: Losing it home by four goals and playing another game
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: at home, usually you're in a bounce back spot when
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: that happens, So I do think it's better for them.
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: I know they lost a win streak, but I think
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: this might help, Like they still might show up for
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: a game like this. Man, it was only a three
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: game win streak. Having this time off might actually help them.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: Having time off after a home loss like that a
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: lot of times you'll like refocus and whatever. So I
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: like San Jose in this one. The money is strongly
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: indicating on San Jose fifty four percent tickets on Columbus,
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on San Jose. Columbus
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: up for minus one twenty two to minus one twenty three.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: You know what, I think we're gonna add this one.
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: It's instead of the instead of the Anaheim one. I
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: like San Jose, man, So let's do it. Here's your
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: extra you want some extra hockey action. Here you go.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we're gonna get these wins today, man, because I'll
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be a little bit concerned about it. We're
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: gonna have a big car today. But yeah, let's do it.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: We can get San Jose's We have two home dogs today.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: How about that? Uh, plus one oh six looks like
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: it's the number on this Here we go, SJ. The
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: SJ is not the b Jays. Here you go San
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: Jose money line plus one oh six. There you go,
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: all right? And then, yeah, dude, I just don't know
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: what's going on with this Anaheim market. Read man, because
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: I do like Anaheim as well, but of course my
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: actual plays are Toronto and San Jose here and then
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: I don't have much of a feel for my Boston
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: Bruins on the road at Seattle. The Bruins on a
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: little two game win streak here. They're away from that
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: horrible loss streak, all right. They haven't played for a
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: few days now, or a couple of days, so they're
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: on a little bit of a rest here, staying out
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: in the Pacific northwest, Vancouver to Seattle, and not a
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: horrible travel spot or anything like that. Don't know if
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: that rest is gonna disrupt that winning moment him there,
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: I'd be a little bit concerned about that. Seattle's really
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: not a great team, though, which is why the Bruins
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: are a road favorite. Here. Oddsmaker's telling you, Seattle's not great.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: Seattle's coming into this game off of crushing Calgary yesterday
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: on the road, and they're technically returning over from a
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: road trip, but it was only to Vancouver and Calgary,
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: which actually start Yeah, it started on Friday, so they
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: haven't been they haven't been away for that long. But
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: they won both those games. Being in Calgary five to one,
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a satisfying win. They're gonna have Decord, a
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: net who I believe is a Yeah, he's a Boston dude,
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: Joey Decord his name, his last name means agreement. So
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: isn't that just great? What are we gonna agree with
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: in this game? Well, the Bruins obviously have a rest
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: advantage of it. I know that's being factored into the line,
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: but I don't know, man, it could be a spot
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: where maybe Seattle is gonna be looking ahead to Minnesota
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: and then Carolina. Uh, those somewhat bigger games than this
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: one against Boston. I know, beating Calgary is not a
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: big deal, but it's pretty satisfying to crush a team
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: five to one. I would probably have to slightly lean
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: towards the Bruins in this one. It's really hard to
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: read what's going on in the market here. Though. It
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: was like the money's disagreeing with it. The Bruins down
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: for minus one twenty to minus one thirteen. The well,
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: now we actually see the money flipping. Like I said,
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: these things flip all over the place. Man. Seventy seven
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Boston now and eighty one
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on Seattle money completely flipping. I
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: don't know why that happens. If like it might just
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: be that like books that the pregame is tracking, just
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: weren't even being tracked at all, and all of a sudden,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: all the information from a single book floods in.
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: Then it'll be interesting.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: You know which book was that?
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: So we'll see. But yeah, the market read on that
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: Anheim Philadelphia one is still what it was doing before.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: Now the money's going against Toronto. What the fuck? No,
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: no way, I don't even know. Man shouldn't read too
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: much into some of these percentages. We got NBA before
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: I get out here. I do have one NBA playing,
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: hopefully it'll come through, because you know, I don't know
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: if it's I don't know how much I really love it.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: I was gonna skip all of NBA, but this one
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: is I think good enough to make a play on it.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: But we'll see. It's not. This first game, which is
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: Cleveland at Indiana. Now Indiana eliminated Cleveland, I believe from
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: the playoffs last year, right playoffs, So I think that
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: is that right? Am?
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: I do I have that wrong?
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: Let me see but I think they already Yeah, that is,
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: that is the case. But they already played this year.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: Cleveland already got their revenge on Indiana. They played them twice,
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: and they beat them in January. I think they beat
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: them again, actually more recently, if I remember correctly. Uh wait, no,
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at last Wait, I'm looking at last year's
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: regal season. What I'm I even saying? My apologies, but
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: Cleveland did beat them this year at some point. Yeah,
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: there it is. This is what I was thinking of.
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: They beat them in dece Well, we're we're barely into January.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: What am I saying?
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: I'm really out of it right now?
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: What day is it?
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: I'm really out of it.
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: Yes, they beat Indiana in December pretty handily, so they
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: have gotten there. They actually beat them twice already this year,
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: so they've gotten their revenge. So I think the revenge
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: aspect of a guy to be thrown out. Cleveland's off
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: of a crazy run of games where they won at
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: San Antonio, beat Phoenix back at home, beat Denver back
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: at home, which I think was still with Jokic at
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: the time. Or no, no, that was the second game
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: without Jokich. My mistake. Yeah, Jokic was out at that point,
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: and then Cleveland lost a close game to Detroit last
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: time out Big game. I think they might overlook Indiana here,
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: even though I know it's the start of a road trip.
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: I do talk about our team's focus to start a
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: road trip, and they do have Minnesota up next. There
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: are some aspects of this look kind of like a
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. And now it might be Indiana that might
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of a revenge mode of here
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: because they've lost the last couple of games to Cleveland.
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: Indiana's not gonna overlook anybody because Indiana has not won
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: since December eighth, so they've gone almost a month without winning.
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: Absolutely brutal. Although Indiana's coming off a tough game man
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: where they played pretty close at Orlando, so that's what
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: they're coming off of. So they're gonna have to put
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: in an effort another game in a row here. It
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: will be difficult. I think if I was gonna look
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: at this game play, it probably into the Pacers here.
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: But there are some issues. But and there is another
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: issue I forgot about. There's a reason why Cleveland dropped
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: form eight and a half point favorite to a five
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite here. It's not just market
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: movement on this one, or not just the money that's
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: driving you know what I mean, it's not just bets
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: driving that that move seventy one percent of tickets, eighty
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the calves. Now, the reason
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: why the Caves did drop in price is because Donovan
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: Mitchell is gonna miss this game. They're actually resting him
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: though he's not really hurt, so it's a scheduled it's
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: basically a scheduled rest game for him. So that's a
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: little bit of an issue. So does that mean it's
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: gonna be an injured player theory spot where Cleveland knows
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: they have to play harder without him, or because it's
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: not really an injury though, so it's rest. So when
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: it's more of a an expected thing, like if it's
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: an injury, it's unexpected, so the team usually rallies around that.
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: But when it's expected, it's almost kind of like, yeah,
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: we're just telling you we're not focused that much on
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: this game. So I think that's more of the vibe
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: that I get out of Cleveland in this game. So
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: probably would take the points of Indiana or pass, but
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: I don't love it by any means Orlando is that Washington.
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: Orlando is coming off that game where they didn't play
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: particularly well against Indiana, they did get the win regardless.
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: Now they're going to Washington starting a road trip here.
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: They don't really have anything upcoming. They got Brooklyn next
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: to who cares, So I actually think Orlando might show
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: up focus in this game. Now we're still dealing with
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: a thin Orlando roster as Wagner has still not come back,
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: and Suggs actually came back in the Chicago game and
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: I guess debatably that made it.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: Kind of a reverse injured player theory spot there.
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: But he got hurt again because he missed the Indiana game,
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: and it seems like he's not gonna play in this
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: game tonight.
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what's going on.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: So things to look at regarding Orlando here, like make
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: sure that he is whether he is in or out
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: of the lineup. I guess Washington, I guess, might be
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: in a bit of a better spot maybe though, because
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: they did get totally embarrassed by Minnesota at home in
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: their last game. I know Minnesota is a solid team,
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: but nobody wants to lose one forty one to one
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: fifteen to anybody. So that's what's going on in this game.
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: The money is somewhat indicating on Orlando though, they dropped
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: from nine to seven, but I don't know if that's
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: because of the injury situation where maybe we thought Suggs
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: was gonna play and now he's not. I don't know
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: if that would drive that move or not. Seventy six
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash on
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: the Magic though, so money kind of indicating on the Magic.
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: You know, it's it's a tough, very very tough read
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: in that game. I really don't have much of an
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: opinion at all on it, So I don't even know
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: if I want to give out an opinion on that one.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, I was probably gonna slightly lean towards taking
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: it with Washington, expecting that at least maybe you'll be
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: getting live value by doing that. But I really hate
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: that game. This game I do have an opinion on
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: this game. Spurs Grizzlies, and there is one factor that's
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: gonna determine a lot in this game, which we probably
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: know what it is.
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: San Antonium.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: They're coming off an ugly loss to Portland at home. Man,
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna be focused. They have two
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: days off. But one thing you do have to worry
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: about is they got an ESPN game against the Lakers
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: tomorrow back at home, so that is a concern. It
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: could be a bit of a look ahead, and they
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: play Boston, Minnesota, Oklahoma City all upcoming. So the worry
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: is they may still overlook Memphis even though they are
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: coming off an ugly performance and they've had a couple
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: of days to maybe bounce back here. Now, I do
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: think Memphis is in the worst spot. Memphis is coming
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: back from LA. They played the Lakers twice and they
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: actually played competitively in both games. They had a chance
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: to be the Lakers in both games, they lost both,
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: and now they're returning home from that. It's gonna be
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: a difficult situation from Memphis coming off of that mental though.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: I don't think Memphis is gonna overlook a team like
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: the Spurs.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: But we will see because I think that's difficult, man.
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: And again, it's technically a return home spot, although they've
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: only been away since Friday, so not a long road trip,
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: but still coming back from the Pacific Coast, you're gonna
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: have some home stuff maybe to do that gets in
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: the way, a little bit of your focus, a lot
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: of things to consider. And then the main thing that
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: I was referring to is that the injury situation for
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: San Antonio is in flux because we don't know if
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: wem Bin Yama is coming back in this game or not.
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: Wemby has been injured again for a couple of games,
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: and he might come back, and if he comes back,
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: you know the line's gonna go up on the Spurs,
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: and you don't want that to be the case if
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: you want, if you want to play the Spurs in
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: this game, you don't want that line to go up, obviously,
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: So if you want the Spurs, I would probably play
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: it now ish because even even if it's announced that
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: he's out, I think the line might drop a little bit,
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: but not that much. I think the it's there's more
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: of a risk in waiting because I think it might
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: be likely that he is gonna come back here let
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: me see. He's questionable, So I think if he's gonna
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: be able to play, he probably will play, but we
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: will see, although again they might just there is the
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: possibility they don't play him though, because they're looking ahead
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: of maybe that game against the Lakers and whatever. So
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: there is still that concern that maybe they'll just not
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: play him in this game. Not care about this game
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: as much. A lot of things to consider in this one.
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: But if wem Beat does play in this game, the
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: number is gonna go up and it becomes a reverse
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: injured player spot like I always talk about with the Spurs.
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: You know, any team that has their star player coming back,
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: they got to adjust him coming back.
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: He has to adjust to being back.
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: You're gonna get line value usually fading them because the
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: market overreacts and the team might have a little bit
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: less focus when the guy comes back because they think, oh,
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: our star is back, we don't have to focus as hard.
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: It's just kind of an innate thing. It's not tanking.
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: A lot of things to consider in this game. The
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: money is indicating on the Spurs right now. They're up
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: to a six point favorite. My opinion was on the
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: Spurs in this game, but now that I dig into
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: a bit more, I'm kind of not liking it that much. Man.
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, I wasn't gonna give
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: it out as a player or anything anyway, but I
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: think you gotta just let this game go. Seventy nine
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the cash on
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: the Spurs. I mean, I man, it's even tough to
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: say that. I lean to laying the points of the
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: Spurs because I don't even know. Yeah, I mean, it's
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: a tough spot for both teams. Gotta stay away from it, man.
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: The next game up is going to be my play,
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: dirty sock. What's up man? Thanks for hanging out. Final
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: best bet of the day. Here we go. Let's do
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: it this one. We're gonna be on the Miami Heat
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: plus the points plus seven here, and there is a
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: potential injured player spot that we have to worry about
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: here as well. This line is going on up on
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: the tee Wolves from six to seven, but the tea
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: Wolves the heater. Looking like the real money is coming
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: out on the Heat. Let's just say that fifty six
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty percent of the cash theyo
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: on the Heat, and I like the Heat in this one.
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: The Heat. They beat New Orleans in their last game.
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: It's a fine win. I think it'll just be kind
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: of a momentum continuing win into this game. They're starting
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: a road trip now with momentum, I think, and you
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: know I talk about when teams start a road trip
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: they usually started with focus. I think they will be
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: focused on a Minnesota team, especially because Minnesota just beat
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: them at home by double digits on Saturday. So it's
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: a bit of a quick road revenge angle against the
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: last team to beat them. So could be a game
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: where Miami makes the adjustments. Minnesota knows that whatever they
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: did worked in that game, so they don't have any
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: adjustments to make, so Miami has an advantage there. They
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: could throw some new things at Minnesota. Miami actually was
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: playing well surrounding that game. They've actually won five of
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: their last six games, including beating Denver with Jokic still there,
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, and winning at Detroit. So this Miami
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: team's been playing well. So usually, like a lot of times,
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: they like to fade teams when they're playing well because
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: you don't get value on them. But I don't think
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: that's the case in this game. I think Minnesota they're
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: a good enough team that commands enough respect from the
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: market that this Minnesota team is going to be the
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: overvalued team in the market I think, and Minnesota they're
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: not in a good spot. They're returning over from a
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: road trip that they've been on since Monday, December twenty ninth,
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: where they had kind of sporadic games during it. But
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: still they've been on a road trip for a while.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: It's been they've been on the road trip for a week.
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: They went to Chicago, Atlanta, Miami, Washington. I know it's
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: not really traveled that far. I mean, the furthest thing
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: went was Miami. But they beat Miami, like I said,
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: so now they might overlook Miami. This time they crushed
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: Washington to finish the road trip. Now they're returning over
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: from the road trip. So again, I will say when
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: a team returns over from a road trip, they can
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: be distracted by having to get back to home life.
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: Especially they especially might overlook a team. God, I hate this, dude.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: You can see it on my TV or the whatever
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: it's called the emergency broadcast test. I hate that shit,
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: like get away from Me. But Minnesota, they might overlook
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: Miami for all those reasons, the distractions that come into
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: play when you're back home, when stuff is piled up
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: to do, when you've been on the road. They already
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: beat Miami back on Saturday, might not really pay attention
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: to Miami and actually do have Cleveland twice and then
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: San Antonio, and I think Cleveland still commands a lot
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: of attention. I think because they're Cleveland and there's still
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: even though the record's not great, they're still known as
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the Eastern Conference. So
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: I like Miami in this one for a lot of reasons. Now,
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: the one concern maybe is we might have a little
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: bit of a reverse injured player theory going on with Miami,
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: depending on what happens with Tyler Hero. I don't know
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: how he's been out this long with a toe injury, Like,
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: how does a toe keep you out for that long?
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Now he hasn't played since December ninth,
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: so that would be a bit of a jarring change
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: if he comes back, especially because I believe he's their
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: point guard. So if he comes back, yeah, it's gonna
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: be a big change. They have to adapt to their
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: roles with him coming back. He's got to get out
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: there and get used to playing again. So I worry
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: about that a little bit if he is gonna come
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: back in this game. But I just like the spot man,
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: and of course if he comes back, you're gonna get
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: less value on Miami. Well, now the money looks like
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: it's on the Tea Wolves. But of course I don't
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: agree with this. But if Hero comes back, you're probably
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: gonna see this line drop and you'll get less value.
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: It'll drop off of this key number of seven key
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: in basketball because teams stop intentionally fouling after the three
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: score threshold. So yeah, I like the Heat. We're still
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. If Hero comes back, you'll and you
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: play it now, you'll at least have some value on
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: the number, you'll have a better number than where it lands,
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: and you'll at least have one of the Heat's best
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: players back in the line up, at the least with ticket.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're doing the rest of the games here.
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: Only two more games. LA is at New Orleans. The Lakers,
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: excuse me, are at New Orleans. The Lakers still dealing
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: with that thin roster they have without Reeves. The Lakers
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: did just beat Memphis twice and didn't really play that
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: well against against the team in either game. Now they're
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip off of some lackluster games. Where
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: I usually say you're gonna be focused just start the
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: road trip, but I don't know because they have to
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: turn around and play that ESPN game against the Spurs tomorrow,
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: which likely will involve Wemby being back at that point.
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: So this is pretty much a look ahead spot here
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: for the Lakers. So I don't love it for the Pelicans.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: They're on a long losing streak again, losing seven games
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: in a row.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: They just lost at Miami.
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: They're coming back home from that, only returning home from
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: a single game road trip. You know they're gonna be
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: focused on the Lakers. So I think it is Pelicans
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: are passing this one. You're gonna be getting a lot
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: of points at home with them. Lakers are up well
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: six and a half. It doesn't even seem that big.
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: It looks pretty easy really to lay it with the
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: Lakers here. That's not what I would do, but I
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: don't love the game by any means. Seventy one percent
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and cash on the Lakers, but I'd
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: probably take the points. But it's a it's a tough one.
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: And then we have Dallas at the Sacramento Kings. Dallas,
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: I would say they're in a bad spot. I mean,
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: they just beat Houston, That is a huge win beating
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: your Texas rival. In these two Texas teams, besides, Dallas
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: are both way better than Dallas right now, so beating
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: either one of them is a big deal for Dallas.
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: They got that win, big win, but it did break
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: a losing streak for them, So maybe that will actually
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: give them momentum that will carry going out on the road.
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: Even though they have had two days off. They're starting
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: a road trip where I usually say, when you start
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: a road trip, you usually focus. I don't know if
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be totally focused on Sacramento though, coming up
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: beating Houston, you think it would be a letdown spot.
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: But they don't have great teams on this road trip.
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: They face Utah in Chicago, and Sacramento actually just beat
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: them the last time they were here, which I think
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: might have been Sacramento's last win. So there is a
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: little bit of maybe a zigzag component here where Dallas
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: will remember that and adjust some things and maybe actually
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: focused because of that and want to win this game.
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: So I have some hesitations with wanting to say, oh,
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: we should fade Dallas in a letdown spot here. Sacramento's
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: lost five games in a row though, you know you're
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: gonna get focused out of them. Most likely, it's just
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: they're just a bad team with a lot of injuries
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: right now. Man. Still, I think without Levine and Savonas,
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: so we'll see. I do think they'll focus though on
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: Dallas like they did last time. Mean they caught Dallas
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: and I think a letdown spot last time. Dallas is
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: also in a letdown spot again here, and I think
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: if you remember that game, I think Dallas was less
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: of a favorite in that game than they are in
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: this game. I think Dallas is up to a five
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite this time, and I think
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: in that other game there were only three or four.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: So I think there is maybe some line value on
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: the Kings here seventy nine percent tickets, seventy eight percent
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Dallas. They are still a public
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: road favorite. I probably would still lean to the Kings,
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: but man, this King team is ugly and really not
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: being able to get a whole lot done for their
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: gambling backers here. So I'm staying away from that game obviously,
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: but i'd still probably slightly in that way. We see
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: the market shifting all over the place. Man, That's what
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: happens during the morning, but hopefully we're gonna get done.
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: Hopefully it's a bounce back day for us today. Thanks
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: everybody for hanging out one more time the place today.
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: College basketball, we have a big board and I left
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: two off my board. We have Florida minus the points,
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: nine boy West Virginia minus the points, or if you
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: want to go money line, I think you could do
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: that too, Oklahoma State minus the points, Nevada on the
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: money line, because you do get a small money line
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: price there. I'm not gonna knock you too hard if
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: you lay one one and a half on that or
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: one and a half, I guess, but whatever. In NHL
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: we got Toronto and San Jose's home dogs on the
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: money line, both of them, and then Miami Heat plus
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: the points in the NBA, and then my other opinions.
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: I did like the Ducks still, and then in college basketball,
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: I liked Texas A and m plus the points and
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: San Jose State, which I think I forget what the
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: line was on San Jose State, but those are the
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: other ones that I think.
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: They're a small favorite, but those are the.
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: Other ones that I like. That's gonna do it. Thanks
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: for hanging out everybody. I did not talk about that
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: at all. The Avs cat Landeskoga Landeskag is injured. I
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: don't factor in injured player the injured player they're in hockey
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: at all. I don't think it has that much of
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: a I don't think a factor was in a ton
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: because like hockey, just the individual player in hockey doesn't
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: have as much of an impact on the game as
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: they do in like basketball, or like a quarterback in football.
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: I treated it more like like a wide receiver being
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: injured in football, So it like doesn't have like even
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: like your your star wide receiver like DK Metcalf or
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: something like, doesn't doesn't really influence the line. So that's
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: how I treat it. Doesn't mean the Avs are gonna show.
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: It might mean they'll show up a little bit more
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: focus because they know that they're missing him, so they
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: might show up with a little bit more focus for
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: that reason. What did I say about that Avs game?
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. Uh, you can go back and
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: watch my segment. I just talked about the situational spot.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: The money is all on Colorado and that game looks
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: like right now. But I somewhat lean towards Tampa Bay
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: in that game, and I don't know if I would
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 1: change my opinion just based off of that, but I
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: don't have a strong opinion on the game either way.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: Thank you, sir, Thank you. Yeah. I'll be back well tonight.
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: I have a lot to do because Loser cast is
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be tonight, so well. Follow me on Twitter, learn
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: to toad. I'm blowing up on Twitter, man. Megan Kelly
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: just followed me. I had some tweets blow up of
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: gained another like almost thousand followers probably Yeah, yeah, I
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: think about a thousand followers over the last like day
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: or two. Let's keep pumping that shit up. Subscribe to
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: me on Twitter. I gotta get more Yuke stuff going.
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: I haven't done a Yuke thing in a while. Gotta
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: get it going. But I've been really busy with all
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: this other stuff, man, and coming out of the hall.
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: It is obviously follow me on Instagram as well. Learned
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: to toad, but obviously like subscribe, listen uh give me
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: a good replies and comments here on YouTube Toadstool Sports.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: Listen on audio, give me good reviews on audio, Spotify
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: and Apple Covered in Yuke is my yuke channel on YouTube.
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 1: You can check that out Patreon dot com slash and
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: learn it toad. Even though I had a bad day yesterday,
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: I had a bad day. I gotta get that. Get
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: Daniel Powder as a drop here. I think fair use
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: are allowed to use like ten seconds probably of his
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: song if we do that. And my voice is dead
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: right now. But Patreon dot com slash learned toad, you
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: get bonus yuke content there. I can't even sing right now,
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: so I can't do YU stuff right now. And yeah,
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: Loser Cast will be on tonight as usual, so we'll
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: see if my any of my four or so losers
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: that I nominated last week on the two shows win. Uh.
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: We'll see if it was a Stefan Diggs, I nominated
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: Stefan Diggs, Vivak.
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: And who well, I forget. I had two other ones.
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: I think one was Rowdy Rhymes, the that really autistic
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: dude who was putting out with the handicapping videos where
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: he'd be like he'd be like like, hey, guys, like
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: the play tonight is and then he'd give out the
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: play and then he's like, let's get that money and
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: he wouldn't even explain his pick, but he was like
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: really really hot. Uh. It turns out that guy is
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: in like the adult diaper community, and whatever betting outlet
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: had him fired him for it. They let him go
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: because like the the diaper community is like strongly associated
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 1: with like pedophilia. And he came back. He was gone
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: for a month, no explanation at all, and then he
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: he just came back. And this is why I nominated
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: him as a loser. You can watch us talk about
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: an on Loser cast. He just came back and he
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: was like he did this video where he looked like
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: he was out in the woods in the middle of nowhere,
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: like hiding like a fugitive, and he and he didn't
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: even explain what he was talking about. He was just like,
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: this is my apology video. I just want to say
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: I was never involved in anything illegal. Uh. I left
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: the community a long time ago. And he didn't even
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: say what he was talking about, Like what is he
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: talking about? So then I had to look it up.
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: And then he started doing betting videos again, like nothing happened,
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: Like he put on another video all right, guys tonight
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: and I'm on the underham, like what what has happened?
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: He really what? Oh my god, So I nominated him,
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: and then I nominated Oh, I nominated Ken Johnson, the uh,
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: the guy.
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 2: That has a black bear living in his house and is.
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: Not not taking any initiative to get rid of it,
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: even though yeah, the government's screwing him, but still we'll see.
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: So those were all my votes. But yes, Loser Cast tonight,
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: the new comedy panel podcast, will renominate Losers. Oh yeah,
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: that's true. I could use dude. Yeah, you're allowed to
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: do covers. Covers are covers are fair use? Like I
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: have a cover channel on YouTube here, so yeah, like
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: my covers are fine. Like they'll put like a copyright
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: like notice on it, but it doesn't like get rid
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: of the video like covers, I'm pretty sure are fair use.
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: And you just like all you have to do is
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 1: like list like who the artist is and whatever, and
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it's fine.
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys, And yes, I guess I will have to
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: be back after Loser Casts tonight because college basketball the
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 1: slate tomorrow is just too big, So I think I
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: have to do that tonight, split split it up, have
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: an easier show in the morning, and then tomorrow night.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna be on the If by Whiskey
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: Show tomorrow night. I will be uh, I believe having
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: cl back on this channel for Bald NFL Playoff Predictions edition,
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: and then I will also have to fill out my
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: bracket and do that at some point. I don't know
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: when that show is gonna be, but we got to
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: figure that out. It might be late night tomorrow night. Dude,
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: I have so much stuff to do, it's crazy. We'll
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: see what happens. I have way too much stuff to do,
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: but I appreciate everybody. I have no time for anything else.
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: I should just dude, I need to free up my
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: money against that I can actually be betting these things again.
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: You know how much money I've left on the table
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: with all these wins I've given out over the last
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: like three months. Oh man, Let's get back to a
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: win tonight. Let's at least have a slight win tonight.
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: That's the goal. Let's do it. Peace for now, everybody,