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AFC South Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by Bett three
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: six five, part of the Action Network. I am chadmill
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: and the Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: are continuing our division previews as we have been doing
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: for the past couple of weeks. Today we are doing
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: the most inconsequential division in all of football, the one
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: division where I say, every single season, does anybody outside
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: of the city or the region care about these teams?
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: But you know what, they're in the NFL. We're gonna
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: bet them. We're gonna make ugly bets on a lot
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: of these teams. You guys know what I'm talking about.
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: We are talking about the AFC South. I am joined
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: as I am in every episode by my bff, my companion,
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: my compadre professional better mister Simon Hunter.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: Hell oh so waymen, Hello Utch, what a weekend look
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: at us starting the season both one and on our.
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: Picks just gi Yeah, so that was that was nice.
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: Then I had I don't know if you saw the
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: whole trade Turner thing in Philadelphia.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah, what's going on there? He's like taking out billboards
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: to apologize or something.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, basically, we gave him three hundred million and then
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: he hit two thirty four US for about the first
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: couple months of the season. So the Phillies fans tried
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: to do the opposite of being our scumback selves. We
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: tried to give him a standing ovation right to motivate him,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: and a little trade turner that could came came in
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: hit an RBI. I think double our single his first day,
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: and the next game you hit a go ahead home run.
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: So I would say this is pretty shocking. Maybe the
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: times are change in Philadelphia. I know we're one of
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: those fan bases where you can win MVP like drawel
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: EMBIID and we'll boo the hell out of you. But
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: if we give you three hundred million you can't hit
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: a ball, we'll cheer for you. That's true. That's trade
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: turner right now. So pretty wild times. I have my
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: good friend Chad here told me he was a little
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: underwhelmed by our NFC West podcast, the subpodcast, in which
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: I gave out three win totals and attend to one underdog.
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: So it's all happening right now, Chad. I'm in mid
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: season form of I'm fighting Chad right now. I'm hating
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: the Phillies and I just love August. It's the best
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: time of year right now, Simon.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: For this podcast, the stakes have never been higher. If
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: we're talking about a division in which it's kind of underwhelming,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it out loud, Okay, I'm not going
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: to be afraid to tell the people what I'm feeling.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: I'm all about the feels like. For example, I feel
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: people should like this video. I feel people should subscribe
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: to the Action Network on YouTube. I feel that we
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: are sponsored, proudly sponsor by BET three sixty five, the
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with promo code Action
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: to get BET three six y fives exclusive sign up offer.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: Bet one dollar on any game and get two hundred
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets. You must be twenty one or older.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: Offer is available in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, and Iowa.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: Gambling problem call or text one eight hundred Gambler. I
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: also feel, Simon, you know what time of year it
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: is right now, in August. This might be why the
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: why the Phillies are doing what they're doing, and why
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: you feel so good about what we're talking about. It's
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: optimism season, all right, dude. I get an alert every
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: day when I you know, as you know, back in
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the day, I was the ed in chief of ESPN
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: the magazine, I was the tern chief of ESPN dot Com,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: and I would set alerts for the teams that I
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: knew my bosses loved, so that way I would get
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: an alert when we had news or a new story
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: or a new video about the team that they loved.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: So I couldn't get in text or an email from
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: them that said, hey, this just happened. Why didn't we
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: get an alert about it? Right? So I had alerts
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: for Stanford and South Carolina and the Patriots and the Cowboys,
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: all these teams that I really don't care about. I
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: still get some Patriots alerts. I forgot to disable it.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: Every day there's an alert Patriots high on this, Patriots
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: high on that. It's always the same thing, like every
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: single person. They just signed Trey Flowers. Trey Flowers is
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: back with the team that he started with and he
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: played for three years and nobody cared. But he's back, right.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: So this week's optimism season best line of the week.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: I read it yesterday. The Panthers are not concerned about
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: all the interceptions that Bryce Young has been throwing because
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: it's part of their plan for the early part of
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: the preseason.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: My favorite I saw was Green Bay had their their
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: first like open practice in their stadium. And this is
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: a true quote by a Beat writer. He said, the
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: Green Bay Packers have the fastest wide receiver tight.
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: End combination in all football. Most irrelevant thing I've ever
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: heard in my entire life.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: Yet that's almost as that's almost as hyperbolic as someone saying, uh,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks have the greatest combination of trio of
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: wide receivers in NFL history.
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: You missed a mite, I said, might that big deal.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: We might have to play it back because I don't
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: remember anyone.
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: I don't remember. Yeah, I don't remember a mite. There's
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: an M in there.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: No no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no no no.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: This is the beauty of podcasting and youtubeing. It. Well,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: I know for a fact there was no might. There
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: was no qualifier, because if there was, I would have
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: been like, Okay, I can live with it. It wouldn't
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: have even registered. But there was nothing. It was just
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: three guys, one of them named Lockett, one of them
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: who's a rookie that we haven't seen play. Yet they
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: might be two thirds of the greatest receiving core in
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: NFL history.
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: You just put them might in there. I definitely put
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: a light in there. Ah.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately I just listened back. He did include the phrase arguably,
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: which makes us a lot less fun. My brain couldn't
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: even say it without including a qualifier exactly.
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: So, I mean, it was five in the morning, all right.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: We're talking about the AFC South. As we've discussed, like,
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: this is a division, it's really hard to care about it,
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: which which makes betting on it all the more important
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: because it's the only reason to really want to watch
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: any of these teams. Obviously, we loved the Jags last year.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: We heavily invested in the Jags in every way and
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: it paid off for us. We also love Mike Vrabel.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: Those coaches that consistently covers as an underdog out coaches people.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: We're huge fans. You loved Anthony Richardson. You thought he
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: was one of the best players in the draft. You
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: were super excited at the Colts drafted him, and then
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: you got the Texans, and then you got the Texans
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: and you know they got C. J. Stroud and uh,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: they're bringing up the rear.
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: So and you got to mention, for the rest of
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: our lives, you have to mention CJ. Strout and Will
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: Anderson together because who knows what they're thinking giving up
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: an extra first round pick for this kid will understand,
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: but they literally need this kid to be Nick Bosa.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I have Will Anderson listed in my UH my
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: defensive notes for the UH for the Houston Texans. Let's
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: start at the stop. Start at the top here. Jags
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: minus one sixty, no, thank you to win the division.
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: I have a lot of opinions on the Jaguars.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: I'm going to try not to be such a homer
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: with these picks just because I think fans of the
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: show last year. No, I have a very special place
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: in my heart for this Daguars team. Not only did
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: they cover this division for US CHAT that came all
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: the way back.
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: They were left for dead.
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: I was losing tons and tons of money on them
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: through the middle of the season and they completely flipped it.
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: They went to and oh covering in the playoffs. They
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: covered their first game against the Chargers, and they covered
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: against the Chiefs, which you can look it up. Doug Peterson,
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: I believe is six and zero now, or maybe it's
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: seven and zero against the spread in the playoffs. It's
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: something crazy like that. It's a team I love, and
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna lie to each other. I'm gonna betting
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: on them to take that next step. Like it's it's
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: all there. The big weakness for them right now is
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: their offensive line. They still have some question on their defense.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: But offensively, they have the running back, they have the
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: wide receivers, and they have the quarterback, and they have
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: that coach. So this is a team that I will
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: be thrown a little bit on them to be the
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: number one record in the NFL, which most books you
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: can get at thirty five to one, thirty one, twenty
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: five to one. I believe they are twenty eight to
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: one for Super Bowl. Don't really love that value. I
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: feel like it should be a little higher, just because
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: we talked about the AFC is just it's it's literally
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: a juggernaut, Like it's the greatest group of quarterbacks we've
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: ever seen on one conference in the history of the NFL.
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: So I was hoping to get a little better odds,
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: but I think the pros bet that down, so it
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: makes sense it's at twenty eight to one right now.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: But it's like Chad nale it there, We're we're not
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: gonna take these guys divisionally like a team coming up.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: Chad knows exactly we're going to take division wise. But
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: right now as we sit here, I've made probably a
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: handful of little bets on the Jaguars to win this division.
• 9:51
  Speaker 3: But it's all these parlays.
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: Right If I think them and the Bills are going
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: to both win their division, I won't just bet them
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: straight up. I'll probably throw a little parlay at them
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: to get That's how I like to do it with
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: these these these teams are favorite to win their divisions.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: But for me, my biggest Cheguars better now is them
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: to be the number one seed and have the best
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: record of football. I just think that's where the value
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: is when you're.
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: In a division.
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: There's two rookie quarterbacks and a team in Tennessee that
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: just a month ago we thought they were rebuilding, and
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: then they went out and got Hopkins and they haven't
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: traded at Tannehill and it seems like, Okay, they're gonna
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: try and make another run with this this core group
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: they have in Tennessee. You know that that makes me
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: one of adjustings, but not so much that I still
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: don't think they could be the one seed. Just when
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: we look at all these other divisions, Chad, there is
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: a clear drop off in this division compared to the
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: other ones. So to me, the Jaguars, if they can't
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: run away this division, if they can't hit this over, right, think,
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: what is a nine and a half win?
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Told the nine and a half minus one?
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: That's I think that's one of the most bet overs
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: right now all the sports books.
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna take it.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: I got them at ten point seven, so it means
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: I'm an over ten and a half wins, So I'll
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: take the over of nine and a half.
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: It's just there's not crazy value there. Everyone.
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: The secret's out right, Chad. Everyone knows about this Jaguars team.
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: Everyone's been talking about Calvin Ridley. So we'll take our
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: scraps here. We'll take what we can. But yeah, I
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: think you nailed off the top saying we're not betting
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: these guys on this divisions.
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: Just there's no value there.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: Well, look, when it comes to Trevor Lawrence, I was
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: talking about Bill Barnwell had this story EDDIESPN on ESPN
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: dot Com today ranking players he thinks can make the
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: leap from pro bowler to superstar from you know, startered
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: a pro bowler, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. He's
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: got three players in that highest level. One of them
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: is Trevor Lawrence, and so we all expect big things
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: out of Trevor Lawrence. We thought, we thought it would
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: happen last year's remember, well, we also bet. I think
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: we bet Trevor Lawrence to lead the league in touchdown passes,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: and at least I did. And the one thing that
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: he needed you tighten up was his accuracy in the
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: red zone. He missed so many open receivers, made so
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: many bad throws on easy, easy touchdowns early in the year.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: So I would expect that is something that since he
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: did get better at that over the course of the year,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: he will be locked in on that you already mentioned. Tennessee,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: that's the next one up. By the way, the Jacks
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: have the Cordner Sean Kerner the ninth easy schedule in
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: the NFL. Obviously, it's correlated to the fact that you
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: know in their division are the Titans, the Colts, and
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: the Texans. Trevor Lawrence is in Kerner's number three tier
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: for quarterbacks.
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: There.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: And what's interesting is their OLINE ranking and their D
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: line ranking according to Pro Football Focus relatively low, like
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: their O line ranking is twenty six. They washed Jawan
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: Taylor to Kansas City and he was their best offensive
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: lineman last year, and look like they have three rushers
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: in PFF's top fifty, but only Josh Allen comes back,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: and so there's a lot of question marks about where
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: they're going to get a pass rush. So when we're
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: thinking about them at nine and a half over and
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: over nine and a half, we're really playing against the
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: schedule and the fact that they have so little competition
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: in their division. Tennessee gets interesting to me. Tennessee is
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: at seven and a half to minus one ten over
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: and under plus three twenty. Nobody wants to bet on Tennessee.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: Everyone thinks Ryan Tannehill not the guy. I think Tennessee.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: It's a team. Like if we're talking about the division
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: bet that we want to make, I'm betting on Mike
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: Rabel in the Tennessee Titans.
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: Yep, it's the only bet. There's no other bet to make.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: And it's one of those where the only reason I'm
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: not loading up and firing away on it is my
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: fear of them. Do they do trade Tannehill. That's my
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: biggest fear right now is that they are going to
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: move him at some point because you can't not look
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: at the draft equity they've put out in the quarterback position.
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: They use a third round pick and a second round
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: pick the last two years on two different quarterbacks. And
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: you know, I know for a fact they tried moving
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: Tannehill during the draft during this offseason. It didn't work out,
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: And on paper it looks like they're supporting him bringing
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: in Hopkins. Isn't that also something you would do with
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: a young quarterback, you'd bring in a veteran receiver like Hopkins.
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: So it is tough to read this whole scenario because
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: the number is weird. Plus three twenty chat, it feels
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: like that's a gift, Like why is this plus two hundred?
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: Like if you look at the odds from last.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: Year, it was Tennessee and the Colts were both I
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: think minus won ten to win this division and the
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: Jags were eight to one. Now, Jack just gave you
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: what's going on the Jaguars. They lost their best offensive Lineman.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: They did gain a Calvin Ridley, right, and they and
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: some experience, they should be better. But is Tennessee that
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: much worse than they were last year?
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: Not at all.
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: So that's what really pops out to me is we're
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: getting a really good value right now on Tennessee. My
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: worry is, you know, again going back to this Falcons thing,
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: this kid riddler plays the preseason, he can't connect anything.
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: I just would be shocked if they didn't make a
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: move for a Tannehill type. If a quarterback goes down
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: on some team, Tannhill is available, someone might trade for
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: him just because he is still good, Like I think
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Chack talked about, he's still like a quarterback. Where is
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: he ever gonna be top ten? No, that ship is
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: totally sailed on this guy's career. But can he be
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: a top twenty, top fifteen when everything's going right and
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: he has weapons around him? Yeah, we've seen that from
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: Tannhill before. So this is one of those where I
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: wish I'd come in here and chat and be like,
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: bet this division right now, bet them win total over
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: right now. I think you can wait. I honestly think
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: you can wait a little bit here and see what
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: goes on in this preseason. So this is one of
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: those bets where I know I'm going to make I know,
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: I mean, are going to be on them week one
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: as well if they're plus three plus three and a
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: half against the Saints. But as we sit here right now, chat,
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: I just I don't want to put my money on
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: a team. I just don't know what their future is
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: going to happen the next couple weeks.
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: There's so many factors with this team that are interesting,
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: right because we have Mike Vrabel, who is one of
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: those coaches we've talked about this. You could say Vrabel, Belichick, Harbaugh,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: Sean Payton being back, Mike Tomlin, who you are going
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: to automatically give that team a little bit extra credit,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: And I don't think that gets accounted for by bookmakers,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: you know, in any significant way. Right, They're not giving
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Mike Rabel coach teams and extra half a point because
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: he's such a good decision maker and he's so good
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: at coaching up his team. So you if you are
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: thinking about Vrabel, you always get a little bit of
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: an advantage because he is so much better than other coaches,
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: especially when he's an underdog. Think about Tannehill when he
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: had aj Brown, when he had Derek Henry at full strength,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: very serviceable quarterback. It's when you were putting the ball
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: in his hand. And you saw that in the playoffs
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: a couple of years ago when the Titans had had
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: the best record in the in the AFC, but they
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: couldn't advance to the Plauffs because the ball was in
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: Tannehill's hands to win a game. He can't do. That
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: doesn't mean he's not a good quarterback. To your point,
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: their defense is underrated, like they've got a top ten defense,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: and so to me, it's what you just said. And
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: there's one other factor worst worst number thirty two offensive
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: line in the NFL per Pro Football Focus. So that's fair,
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: you know, that's I think that's one of the bigger issues.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: And you and I both liked a grade. That's why
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: I'm including these offensive line of defensive line grades when
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: we're talking about these teams, because their offense line is terrible.
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: Obviously didn't improve from last year. Couldn't have been much worse,
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: So yeah, they didn't. They didn't get much worse. But
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: the things that are bad are things that are concerning, but.
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: Once again, they can get away with that in this division,
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: like the best, the best defensive player right now this
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: division might be a rookie and Will Anderson like that
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: might be the best the end they face this season.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: And inside their own division where the Colts, yeah, the
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: Colts have players and you know the Tennessee team chat,
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: I think you nailed it where I didn't mention it enough,
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: where you know their their D line is good, their
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: defense is going to be much better than people realized
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: from last year. And they have Birks on the outside,
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: Hopkins on the outside, and they have Derek Hennery in
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: the backfield. Like that's a really good offensive unit right there.
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: Weapons So every point you just said is very fair.
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: But that offensive line thing is definitely a glaring issue
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: where if they're behind, you need Tannehill to drop back
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: and pass, and playing against a team that just has
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: two good pass rushers, it's over, they're not going to
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: be coming.
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: So yeah, definitely a team that needs a lead to
• 19:02
  Speaker 3: win games.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: It's actually interesting because that whole division, there's no O
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: line that is good graded out very high, and there's
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: no D line other than THEIRS that is grading out
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: very high, so fascinating, fascinating division of mediocrity and irrelevance.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: As I've been saying, oh forever about any team in
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: the AFC South. That brings us to the Indianapolis Colts,
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: who are plus six hundred to win the division. They
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: are at six and a half wins, minus one twenty
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: five to the over. Your favorite player in the NFL,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson. You think he will end up being the
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: best player out of this draft class. You're enamored by
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: his athleticism. I will tell you that Sean Kerner already
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: has Anthony Richardson. We're talking about fantasy tears in tier five,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: he says, Sean Crooner, and you can read this at
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: Action network dot com. He has top ten upside as
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: soon as he becomes a starter, yep, which kind of
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: goes with what you've been saying.
• 20:15
  Speaker 3: And if you listen to it.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: We had on Chris and Sean, well was it a
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: couple a month ago talking fantasy. He was being drafted
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: at QB fifteen at that time Anthony Richardson and I
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: said I would take him well above that just because
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: his upside was so high. Now, if you look most
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: drafts he's going top.
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: Ten, So yep.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: This this past offseason was the first time ever did
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: consulting work for an NFL team. Chad knows this, and
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: I basically when I went in there in January and
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: I said this was my guy, my number one QB
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: to draft, I basically could hear a pin drop. Chad
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: not laughed out of the room. It was more like,
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: who the hell is this guy? Why are we paying him?
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: And why is he telling us to draft this kid
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: who most teams had a second round great on him,
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: So that this is one of these moments where I
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: really enjoyed doing consulting work, Like working for these NFL
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: teams was cool as shit. So I'm hoping this kid
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: pans out because I really am tied to him now.
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: Like if he is good and the team I worked
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: for the QBA drafted is not good, that's really good
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: for me because I was so big on this kid
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: and no one else there was like, literally, these people
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: look at mick Il was crazy when I mentioned his name.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna be biased about Anthony Richardson. I can
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: already tell everything he's done in this preseason. Chad is
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: what I envisioned a big body, big strong arm, great athlete.
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: Everything about him just remind me of a smarter, faster
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: version of Cam Newton. And it's looking that way right now.
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: So if you remember Cam Newton's rookie year, it was historical.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: Now do I think he's gonna do that? Most likely not.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: We've never seen anything like that. I think Cam through
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: for four thousand yards. The big reason was came at
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: Steve Smith, Like, if you're going to bring in a
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: rookie quarterback and have a Hall of Famer wide receiver
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: with him, Steve Smith was the guy to do it with.
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: Right that that was a perfect one to two for
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: Cam Newton. Anthony Richardson, Man, I am beyond hyped about
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: this kid. Like I think someone put up his numbers
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: the other day. He's six ' four and he wants
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: to play at two fifty. Six ' four playing at
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: two fifty and he can run a sub four four forty.
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: It's it's crazy. I can't believe he wasn't the first
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: or second quarterback drafted.
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: But it's irrelevant now. It's the deed is done.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: He's on the Colts, and you know the Colts head
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: coach he did wonders with Jalen Hurts and now he's
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: getting Anthony Richardson, an even bigger, better athlete. Now it's
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: a to me, it's a three year playing Anthony Richardson.
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: Do I think he's a come out this year? And
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: I major make major mistakes? Of course, this kid is
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: just raw. He is a raw ball of town. So
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: I've been on them to win the division. I won't
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: waste money there. Me and chat Alreid talked about it's
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: gonna either be Tennessee or nothing for me in this division.
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: But with the Colts six and a half over over underwins,
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: I like the value towards the over. To me, this
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: is a team that could easily get the seven to
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: eight wins this upcoming season, just because we talked about
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: this division has a lot of holes in it, and
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: Chad knows we bet the Jaguars last year.
• 23:11
  Speaker 3: The Jaguars have not performed well on the road.
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: That's just not something they did well these last couple
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: of years. They start the season on the road against
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: the Colts. That is a huge deal in a division
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: like this, where if the Colts can just steal that
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: one that first game, Chad, I love their odds to shift.
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: For them to go on the over to this win total.
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: So when it first opened, I thought six and a
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: half was really high. The more I looked into it,
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: the more Even Chad just talked about this this division,
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: all the weaknesses these different teams have, I could easily
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: see the Colts squeaking out seven wins. So to me,
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: if my favorite win total bet right now is this
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: one for this division, just because there's so much upside
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: in a team that last year was just a down year.
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: And I know people are worried about what's going on
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: right now with the running back and tailor. As you
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: can be back, you would be shocked to know this
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: the team actually performs better without Taylor on the field.
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: Who knows if that would be different this year now
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: with another running quarterback. But I think Athey Richard is
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: going to make up for a lot of weaknesses they
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: had last year on this offense. So yeah, you can
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: tell chat I'm excited about this kid. So if you
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: want to bet Rookie of the Year with him with
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: me offensive Rookie the Year, I also love that bet
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: as well. I just think this kid has the highest
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: upside of any of these other quarterbacks. But as you
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: say here right now, I just I can't bet them divisionalize.
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: I just the gap between them Tennessee and the Jaguars
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: is still pretty big. So I still think those two
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: are much much higher up. If they gave any ten
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: to one, I would think about it. But yeah, at
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: the current six to one odds for them to win
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: this division, that's not fair. Give give us better odds, sportsbooks.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: I want to quickly remind people that you've heard us
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: talk a lot about game Time all off season long.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: It's the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: I love game Time, honestly, I use it all the time.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: And if you're looking to get out to a pro
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: college game this week or even in a concert, game
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: Time has amazing. I emphasize amazing last minute deals on
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: tickets to all of these. I'm actually opening the game
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: Time app right now from my house. And why do
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I emphasize amazing Because you can go see Pete Alonso
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: and the amazing New York Mets for six dollars tonight,
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: get in price six dollars, come on Pete Alonso jacket Homers.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: No matter where you live, download the game Time app,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: get out and have some fun this week. You deserve
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: it and you can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: off your first purchase. Terms apply again. Just download the
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: app and hear your code favorites for twenty dollars off.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Download Game Time Today, last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed,
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: no joke. You guys know how much I love Game Time.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: I have two more things to say about the Indianapolis cults.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Number One, you hit the nail on the head about
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: Week one. How many years we've been doing this together?
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Three four years? Every year do we not identify the
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Week one value bet that makes everyone sick to their
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: stomach that nobody wants to bet because you are taking
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: You are fading the over hyped team for the team
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: that you're afraid might not win any games. Normally, that
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: game is the Jags as huge underdogs against the Colts.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: This year it could be the Colts as underdogs against
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: the Jacks. And then you know what will immediately do.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: We will immediately see how divisional lodge change or anything
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: else changes for the Jacksonville Jaguars and see if we
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: can get any value right, because they will have lost
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: a game. And that's what you start to do. You
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: start to plan ahead, you think about the investment opportunity,
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: you got to be considering that.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: That's what thinks though, is the books have gotten smarter,
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: where just four or five years ago this line would
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: have been seven seven and a half. Like the books
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: would have happily put up this seven to seven and
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: a half. The public has still been all over the Jaguars.
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: They would have the.
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: Jaguars and all their teasers, but they're just smart now,
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: I mean three and a half.
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: Three, Yeah, Chad just nailed it.
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: Everyone in their grandma's be betting on the Jaguars, and
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: me and Chad are gonna hold our nose and just
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: take the Colts. And I hate taking a rookie head
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: coach on a rookie QB in Week one, but this
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: is just prime example of you just gotta hold your
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: nose and take this team divisional home dog week one.
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: I believe it hits at over six percent rate historically,
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: So again, we'll have more trends as to be closer
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: a Week one, but this is just one of those
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: plays we don't have a choice, Like me and Chad
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: will make bets all season where there's no we had
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: no other option to take set said side.
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: This is one of them.
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: You're getting a Colts team at the lowest value point
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: of the season, Jaguars team at the peak value of
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: the season, even though the season just started.
• 27:54
  Speaker 3: This is like literally peak value of the Jaguars team.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: Betting means doing ugly things ever too early to remind
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: people of that they're going to be doing with us
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: all season long. The other thing I'll say about the Colts,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: so their online according to PFF, is tenth best in
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: the NFL, and Quentin Nilson is still considered their best
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: offensive lineman, but he was dominant for three years and
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: has been subpar for the past two years. I want
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: to make it. I want to make I want to
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: I want to say one thing. I want to say
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: one thing. I want to make sure that we don't
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: start to think of Quentin Nilson as Jeremy Shockey. Remember
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Shocky and he came into the league and in those
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: preseason games he had a couple of beatdowns of players
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: where he just steamrolled them, and because it happened, and
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: you know, for the time went what we consider to
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: be viral, and so he became a player that everyone
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: thought was going to be the next great tight end.
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: Are Quentin Nelson's expectations so much higher because he had
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: those videos for the first two or three years of
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: his career and he's since been injured, and now the
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: expectation is he's not as good as he was, or
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: he maybe he was never as good as he portrayed
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: as he was portrayed because of the combination of how
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: well he was playing early on and those videos.
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: I just rememberhen he first came in the league. I'm
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: almost spoused of his rookie year. The Eagles played against
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: him and he blocked up Fletcher Cox one on one
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: and I was like, holy shit, who is this rookie
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: right now for this Colts team? But I love your
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: shocky point. I feel like the Shaki thing is a classic.
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: If you're a white guy with tattoos and long hair
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: and you had a great name, you're.
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: Going to be successful.
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: In the early two thousands, people are going to be
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: about it. And you know, he put it the U
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: and he just had a great name. Shocky was literally
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: the best name. I don't know why it doesn't even
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: sound that cool now that keeps saying it, But at
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: the time, I remember thinking, this guy is cool as shit, shocky,
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: he was cool.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: We put him on the cover of ESPN the magazine,
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: and when it was over, when it was over, I'm like,
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: I think we just put a guy in the cover
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: for having a good preseason game. Yeah, you know, yeah,
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: that was basically it. All right, onto the Houston Texans
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: and you make a good point there plus eight hundred.
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: Their season win total is five and a half, which
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: good for the Texans. It's actually higher than it's been
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: in the past couple of years, and we were still
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: betting the under four and a half.
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: C J.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: Stroud, like, I was a huge c J. Stroud fan.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: I think I think it's very possible he will end
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: up grading out as a better NFL player than Bryce Young.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: I just like his body type and I like his
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: game better. I think there's more opportunity for him to
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: last longer. Here's what's really interesting to me about the
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Houston Texans. They may have the best lineman in the
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: NFL in Laramie Tunsel. And if you had said to
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: me on draft night of whatever year Army Tonsil was drafted, yeah,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: that he was going to grade out as one of
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: the best linemen in the NFL, and get massive deals
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: and be a guy that people are thinking about trading
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: for giving up first round picks for I would have
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: lost that bet.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, those are the days when when people are scared
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: of football players smoking weed.
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: Those are those are the days, Chad.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: Well, they were scared of football players smoking weed in
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: what looked like a combination of alien bain masks. It
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: wasn't the weed so much as it was like the
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: full on mask effect that I think really got people anxious.
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: You never did the gas mask yet, no.
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: Signon I didn't do the fucking gas mask.
• 31:43
  Speaker 3: Uh. Yeah.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: It was definitely one of those where that was like
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: just a hilarious thing to do. The fact that he
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: took a video of himself, sent it to people and
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: then was shocked. That's when we released it on the
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: night he got was about supposed to get drafted. Not
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: at all, but yeah, I'll do I'll go quick on Houston.
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: They gave up their next year's first round pick to
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: take a d end. Not good, not a good smart move. Now,
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: when you're saying if he works out right, if he
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: is Nick Bosa, okay, maybe we will forgive them down
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: the road. But as you say here right now, it
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: just it just won't make sense to me that they
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: gave up that for a d end like you got
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: your franchise quarterback.
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: I know for a fact that Gym was.
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: Pissed off and made that move because he goes, fine,
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: if I'm making this move for the owner, I want
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: to make my own move and make my own stamp
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: on this team. So yeah, CJ, we were in lockstep
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: with that chat. I think you had him measure number
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: one quarterback in this draft. Only first round grades I
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: had graded out was on him and Anthony Richardson. I
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: had a second round grade on you know, Will Levis.
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: Say what you want about him. He did go in
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: the second round. I think Tennessee said they would have
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: traded up and Bryce Young. I'm on an island there. Clearly,
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: most most guys, most scouts I talked to about a
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: first round grade on him, I just couldn't get past
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: his height and his weight. To me, that's just not
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: It's not built for longevity in this league. So if
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: Houston wants to Crosses five and a half, they need
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: CJ to have a really, really good first year there.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: And I just don't think they have the pieces around
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: them right now, Like his best weapon of offense. Is
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: why receiver Widse might be a kid named Tank who
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: they took and I think the third or fourth round
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: that's not really great for.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: A think is not a name. Tank is what you do.
• 33:25
  Speaker 3: Tank tn T A NK.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: Get it. Tank is what you do.
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: I was like, yeah, had me there for a second.
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I just one hundred and seventy five to one
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: for them. Do win the super Bowl is all you
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: need to know about this team. So won't be touching
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: any of the super Bowl Futures Division odds. Again, they're
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: only eight to one. That's the same odds we had
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: in late August on that Jaguars team last year. I
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: don't get why this is in fifteen to one, sixteen
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: to one. It's just it's a weird, weird number of
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: the books hanging here with this this team. So no
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: value there either, just value on the under. This This
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: is a team that I just don't see them getting
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: to four or five wins. They feel like another three
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: win season for them, and I think next year's a
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: year they'll make the jump.
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: Right.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: They have a lot of young talent on this team.
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: They have a new rookie head coach. Next year is
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: the year Houston. So this is another low total. I'm
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: gonna be taking the underwrun.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I love Demiko Ryans. I'm a huge fan. I
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: feel like he's gonna do great things with this team.
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: I want Will Anderson to do so well. I have
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: so much enthusiasm and I like everybody, I'm rooting for him. Yeah,
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet him. I'm gonna bet him every week
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: because every week they're gonna be big, big underdogs. And
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: last year they you know, they did the right thing.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: They tried to win, They did the right thing. The
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Bear's got the number one overall pick. Good for them.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: Reappreciate it. Crazy, Yeah, I know, I know totally. As
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: a reminder, the Favorites Podcast is proudly presented by Bet
• 35:06
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• 35:30
  Speaker 1: All right, let's recap here for a second. So in
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: the AFC South, we like the Titans at plus three twenty.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: We like the Jags over nine and a half wins,
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: but no value in terms of the pricing because the
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: over is right now minus one forty. Again, all these
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: numbers are from BET three six five, and we probably
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: like Houston under five and a half wins. Also a
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: lot of juice at minus one sixty.
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so I would say my favorite, my favorite bet
• 36:02
  Speaker 3: right now is the Cults over win total. But right,
• 36:08
  Speaker 3: I also love Anthony Richardson Rookie of the Year.
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: I just I just think if he can flash and
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: he can really show out, he is the best best
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: chance of really just taking the world by storm.
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: Like people, we love the athletic fun to watch quarterback.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: I mean Justin Field's rough top of the head is
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: that kind of guy, Like I can't stop watching Justin
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: field highlights thinking about the same effect here with Anthony Richardson.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: This has been the AFC South Divisional preview from the
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Favorites podcast presented by BET three six five. We are
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: part of the Action Network. I am Chad Millman. He
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: is Simon Hunter. Download the podcast from Apple Podcasts from Spotify,
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• 36:50
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