Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Saturday, 11/15/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yah, all, system's going clear. We live.
- 0:41Speaker 2: What is happening ship at Nation? It is your boy,
- 0:44Speaker 2: m Bellman nine sixty seven. Here break down another Saturday
- 0:47Speaker 2: NDA slate. This time it is for the fifteenth of November.
- 0:52Speaker 2: Talking about the four gamer on DraftKings. Coming off a
- 0:57Speaker 2: wild slate last night, Cat went for sixty five DK
- 1:01Speaker 2: points plus James Harden went for eighty five plus in
- 1:04Speaker 2: that crazy game doublet against Dallas. So yeah, I'm sure
- 1:11Speaker 2: we'll get some more wonky tests tonight, because when do
- 1:13Speaker 2: we not. And we have some potential major injury news
- 1:17Speaker 2: later in the slate with Jokic, which we'll get to
- 1:20Speaker 2: in a few minutes, but only a four gamer, so should.
- 1:23Speaker 3: Be a pretty quick video.
- 1:27Speaker 2: As always, I'll be around in the discord later for
- 1:29Speaker 2: members if anyone has questions.
- 1:30Speaker 3: Stuff like that.
- 1:31Speaker 2: So let's dive in without further ado.
- 1:36Speaker 3: All right, cool, first.
- 1:37Speaker 2: Game we got Okay, see at Charlotte back to back
- 1:40Speaker 2: for the Hornets here they're fifteen and a half point dogs.
- 1:43Speaker 2: LaMelo came back last night, but I wouldn't be surprised
- 1:46Speaker 2: at all. We haven't projected out, so should be a
- 1:51Speaker 2: game that has, you know, big time potential blowout concerns. Obviously,
- 1:55Speaker 2: you've got the best team in the NBA, and okay,
- 1:57Speaker 2: see who's just rolling to start the year against not
- 2:01Speaker 2: great Charlotte team. Hence the fifteen and a half point
- 2:03Speaker 2: road favorites here. From a DFS perspective, there isn't really
- 2:08Speaker 2: a ton to like from this game overall. Okay, season
- 2:12Speaker 2: the much better spot. All their price tags are fair. However,
- 2:16Speaker 2: lou Dort after missing the past five games is questionable,
- 2:19Speaker 2: so you might add him back.
- 2:20Speaker 3: In the mix.
- 2:21Speaker 2: I mean, Shay is in a great spot. I don't
- 2:24Speaker 2: think he gets a lot of love. So as a
- 2:27Speaker 2: contrarian spend up, spend up option, I get it. Just
- 2:31Speaker 2: not a guy that I'm like prioritizing in one to
- 2:33Speaker 2: three lineups, you know, projecting for forty nine fantasy points
- 2:38Speaker 2: high ceiling, but you're gonna need that at that price tag.
- 2:42Speaker 2: You know, chat at seventy five hundred looks okay, no
- 2:45Speaker 2: problems with it. AJ Mitchell has been really, really good
- 2:48Speaker 2: to start the year, but his price tags up there
- 2:51Speaker 2: just isn't a lot from the OKAC side, despite being
- 2:55Speaker 2: in such a good spot that I want to get to.
- 2:58Speaker 2: So looking at the Charlotte side, even though they're fifteen
- 3:04Speaker 2: and a half point dogs and the much worse team,
- 3:07Speaker 2: they might be a little bit more appealing from a
- 3:08Speaker 2: DFS perspective with LaMelo out. We saw Musa diabate be
- 3:13Speaker 2: the highest owned player on the slate last night and
- 3:15Speaker 2: some in a bunch of big higher dollar contests and
- 3:18Speaker 2: lower dollar contests. So you know, if Kyle Brenner were
- 3:22Speaker 2: to miss again tonight, he would go right back to
- 3:24Speaker 2: diabate presuming kylk Brenner's and I still think diabatea is
- 3:28Speaker 2: too cheap, but wouldn't be a priority, especially after a
- 3:30Speaker 2: double overtime game last night. It's not like I would
- 3:33Speaker 2: expect him to get blowout run considering how much he
- 3:35Speaker 2: played so tough spot for Charlotte against OKC coming off
- 3:39Speaker 2: an overtime game last night in Milwaukee. They were in
- 3:42Speaker 2: that game for much of it, ended up losing by
- 3:45Speaker 2: double digits and overtime.
- 3:46Speaker 3: Tough scene in Charlotte. You know, all these guys.
- 3:49Speaker 2: Are more appealing because LaMelo is out, but there's no
- 3:52Speaker 2: one in particular. I'm like, I need a roster moving
- 3:56Speaker 2: on to probably a better game from a DFS versus,
- 4:00Speaker 2: even though this isn't a great one either. You've got
- 4:02Speaker 2: Toronto who looks to be playing pretty well right now
- 4:04Speaker 2: at Indiana who just continues to get dectimated by more
- 4:07Speaker 2: and more injuries. From the Toronto side, I like them here.
- 4:12Speaker 2: They're in a great spot. Indiana is not good, you know,
- 4:14Speaker 2: coming off their miracle NBA Championship Finals run or NBA
- 4:20Speaker 2: Finals run, excuse me not NBA Championship, NBA Finals run.
- 4:24Speaker 2: They just have not been good to start the season
- 4:25Speaker 2: and they're dealing with a ton of injuries. It started
- 4:27Speaker 2: with Aliburton last year. It's just flowed into the season.
- 4:30Speaker 2: They just cannot stay healthy now. Aaron Nesmith is the
- 4:33Speaker 2: new is the newest pacer that's gonna miss some time.
- 4:36Speaker 2: So I do think there's a lot to like about Toronto.
- 4:39Speaker 2: Their price tags are higher than they've been though, so
- 4:43Speaker 2: not that I think you need to be cautious with them,
- 4:46Speaker 2: because this is a great spot on a smaller slate,
- 4:48Speaker 2: and if Jokic is out, we're gonna have a ton
- 4:52Speaker 2: of value. So I do think you can take a
- 4:53Speaker 2: look at at you know, multiple raptors.
- 4:55Speaker 3: On this slate.
- 4:57Speaker 2: Quickly has been really really good. His tags up to
- 4:59Speaker 2: seven it doesn't project to me amazing, but the minutes
- 5:04Speaker 2: have increased and he's clearly got a ceiling at that
- 5:07Speaker 2: price tag, so I like quickly here. I think Barrett
- 5:11Speaker 2: would probably be my least favorite, knowing that on any
- 5:15Speaker 2: given game, you know, any of these four guys can
- 5:17Speaker 2: be the top dog for the Raptors. I think you'll
- 5:19Speaker 2: see at least amount from Barrett, but he's still a
- 5:22Speaker 2: very good offensive player. Seventy two in this spot could
- 5:27Speaker 2: be a bar at night. I'm always a Brandon Ingram fan.
- 5:30Speaker 2: His price tag is kind of stabilized at seventy eight hundred.
- 5:33Speaker 2: Don't love the ceiling at.
- 5:35Speaker 3: This price tag.
- 5:37Speaker 2: He just hasn't shown it a ton this year. But
- 5:39Speaker 2: I think his floorid is pretty nice. And you know,
- 5:42Speaker 2: on this slate at seventy eight hundred, I think he's
- 5:44Speaker 2: just got like a cog in the machine type. Interesting
- 5:46Speaker 2: that we have Ingram with a higher ceiling than Scottie Barnes,
- 5:51Speaker 2: I'm not sure I agree with that there. We just
- 5:53Speaker 2: saw Barnes as monstrous upside last time out against macalvs.
- 5:56Speaker 2: He's had sixty plus DK points a couple of times
- 5:59Speaker 2: this year. Ingram has for me personally Burns is the
- 6:02Speaker 2: guy with the higher ceiling, but he's also one thousand
- 6:05Speaker 2: dollars more expensive, So I like all four of those guys.
- 6:09Speaker 3: I think Yaka Purtle might be the guy.
- 6:10Speaker 2: That's easiest to get to fifty six hundred starting to
- 6:14Speaker 2: play more minutes, has been playing well recently, projects well
- 6:17Speaker 2: at this price point, has a high ceiling, so yeah,
- 6:21Speaker 2: I could dig on some Yaka Pertle. I don't think
- 6:25Speaker 2: he's like an auto lock, especially depending on the value
- 6:28Speaker 2: that we get later. You know, Java would would be
- 6:30Speaker 2: a much stronger play, but you can play two centers,
- 6:32Speaker 2: So yeah, I like the Toronto side a lot here.
- 6:35Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, what's not to like against this depleted
- 6:38Speaker 2: Indiana team. From the Indiana side, there is not a
- 6:42Speaker 2: lot to like here. It's a good matchup. Not scare
- 6:44Speaker 2: of the Toronto defense at all. Nemhar Tags is up
- 6:47Speaker 2: a little bit. Sixty eight hundred doesn't project well at
- 6:50Speaker 2: that price point. Siakam projects off what ninety seven hundred.
- 6:55Speaker 2: I think Jiri Robinson Earl would be the guy that
- 6:57Speaker 2: I'd be most likely to get to, at least as
- 6:59Speaker 2: a right now. Forty three hundred though like far from
- 7:04Speaker 2: a lock. Yeah, Isaiah Jackson at forty five hundred, I
- 7:10Speaker 2: could dig it against center spot, though a lot of
- 7:12Speaker 2: opportunity costs. Jaris Walker has not been good, So yeah,
- 7:18Speaker 2: all in all, I like this game more than the
- 7:21Speaker 2: first one from a DFS perspective, But I think the
- 7:22Speaker 2: players you really want are from the Toronto side, and
- 7:25Speaker 2: it makes sense they have one hundred and twenty pointeen total.
- 7:28Speaker 2: They're seven and a half point favorites here. So yeah,
- 7:31Speaker 2: lots of light from the raps tonight. Alrighty, moving on,
- 7:38Speaker 2: we have the best game of the night from a
- 7:40Speaker 2: DFS perspective, or not from a DFS perspective. From a
- 7:43Speaker 2: real life perspective, should be a good one for DFS players. Also,
- 7:48Speaker 2: the last two games are much better than the first
- 7:49Speaker 2: two games just from a watching an entertainment standpoint. Both
- 7:54Speaker 2: the Lakers and Bucks off of wins last night, so
- 7:57Speaker 2: second half of back to backs for both teams. Bucks
- 7:59Speaker 2: played over time, so certainly could get some weirdness in
- 8:04Speaker 2: this game. You know, as of now, we have it
- 8:06Speaker 2: projected where mostly everyone is in, so that's how I'm
- 8:09Speaker 2: going to talk about it right now. But certainly things
- 8:11Speaker 2: will change a lot if one of the studs misses
- 8:15Speaker 2: or as you know, how MBA goes. Even if a
- 8:17Speaker 2: guy like Marcus Smart, you know DeAndre Ayton, if guys
- 8:21Speaker 2: like that suddenly end up on the injury report, you're
- 8:23Speaker 2: gonna see value open up from the Lakers and vice versa.
- 8:27Speaker 2: You could see the same thing from the Milwaukee side.
- 8:28Speaker 2: But as it stands, I think everyone's good to go tonight.
- 8:31Speaker 2: So that's how i'man to talk about it, and that's
- 8:34Speaker 2: how I think it plays out. It's the NBA's awareness
- 8:36Speaker 2: always happens. But as of now, I think this game is,
- 8:39Speaker 2: you know, a really good game between the Lakers and Bucks.
- 8:41Speaker 2: So starting from the Lakers side, you know you've got
- 8:45Speaker 2: Luca versus Giannis. Luca is a little bit cheaper projects
- 8:49Speaker 2: or a little bit more expensive excuse me, projects a
- 8:51Speaker 2: little bit better. I like both here. If I had
- 8:56Speaker 2: to choose one, and we also have Jokic on this slate,
- 8:59Speaker 2: so he might he's questionable, we might not have Yokic,
- 9:03Speaker 2: but as of now, we do have Jokic. I see
- 9:05Speaker 2: Luca and Giannis projected to be similarly owned.
- 9:09Speaker 3: I like both here.
- 9:09Speaker 2: I mean, there's a lot to like about both. If
- 9:11Speaker 2: Jokic is out. I think playing both is more than viable.
- 9:16Speaker 2: I mean it's viable even if Yokic is in. But
- 9:18Speaker 2: if Yokic is out, you have all that Denver value
- 9:21Speaker 2: to make it very possible. So yeah, I like Luca
- 9:24Speaker 2: a lot here. Reeves was a core piece for.
- 9:27Speaker 3: Me last night.
- 9:28Speaker 2: Ended up having a monster second half. Didn't have enough
- 9:31Speaker 2: around him, so didn't have a great night cast. I
- 9:33Speaker 2: think one of four lineups, so pretty mediocre there, but
- 9:36Speaker 2: Reeves was good, ended up with close to fifty fantasy
- 9:39Speaker 2: points monster second half. I like going right back to
- 9:42Speaker 2: Reeves here, especially if I'm not playing Luca. But even
- 9:45Speaker 2: with Luca on a four game slate and what should
- 9:48Speaker 2: be a tight competitive game, I like Reeves a lot.
- 9:51Speaker 3: Ayton was Montros last night.
- 9:53Speaker 2: I know our boy Rio Hebrew Cheedah was all over
- 9:55Speaker 2: that call, so props to him for the eight and
- 9:57Speaker 2: shout out monster performance in New Ork for him. I'm
- 10:01Speaker 2: a little bit hesitant to go here on a back
- 10:03Speaker 2: to back in just a much tougher spot, but we
- 10:06Speaker 2: know he has upsided sixty eight hundred Rue I think
- 10:09Speaker 2: is fine. Fifty five hundred, you know, not an exciting play.
- 10:14Speaker 2: Not a guy I'm building around at all, but a
- 10:17Speaker 2: guy I certainly think you can play at.
- 10:19Speaker 3: Fifty five hundred.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Marcus Smart, Yeah, I think he's an even better play
- 10:26Speaker 2: than Rui at forty nine hundred. His play has gotten
- 10:29Speaker 2: better recently. I like what I have seen from Smart
- 10:33Speaker 2: and no issue going back to him and what should
- 10:35Speaker 2: be a competitive game.
- 10:36Speaker 4: Give me one second so I can calm my dog down.
- 10:48Speaker 4: Give me one second.
- 10:49Speaker 2: Guys all right from the Milwaukee side talked about a
- 11:00Speaker 2: little bit. I mean, he looks great here, projects for
- 11:05Speaker 2: like I said, slightly under what Luca does, but he's
- 11:08Speaker 2: a little bit less expensive. So a lot to like
- 11:11Speaker 2: about Giannis in this spot. Again, I think playing those
- 11:13Speaker 2: guys both together makes a lot of sense, And if
- 11:18Speaker 2: Jokis is out, that's likely what I would want to
- 11:20Speaker 2: do if I were playing one lineup. Miles Turner sixty
- 11:23Speaker 2: two hundred, I think he's fine. I viewed him kind
- 11:25Speaker 2: of like eight and were like, I know those guys
- 11:27Speaker 2: a ceilings, but I'm not excited to play them on
- 11:30Speaker 2: this slate. In the mid range, Kuzma was absolutely monstrous
- 11:34Speaker 2: last night. Sixty Fantasy points NBA DFS legend Masua took
- 11:40Speaker 2: down all the money in every tournament last night and
- 11:42Speaker 2: Kuzma under one percent was a huge reason why revents
- 11:46Speaker 2: spot for Kuzma. So, like, I get it, fine with
- 11:50Speaker 2: going back to him, but like, I think you're chasing
- 11:53Speaker 2: a little bit. On the other hand, he's only fifty
- 11:56Speaker 2: four hundred and projects for thirty close to thirty one
- 11:58Speaker 2: fantasy points. So from that stand point, I think there's
- 12:01Speaker 2: a lot to like about Kuzma in this spot. Again,
- 12:04Speaker 2: what have to wait and see for the injury reports
- 12:07Speaker 2: in these teams to come out. Both of them played
- 12:09Speaker 2: last night, both of them won. The Lakers won much
- 12:12Speaker 2: more handedly so the Bucks I think a little bit
- 12:15Speaker 2: more likely to pull some Shenanigans, but we will have.
- 12:18Speaker 3: To wait and see.
- 12:20Speaker 2: Last, but not least, we've got Denver and Minnesota two
- 12:26Speaker 2: and a half point spread here two thirty four and
- 12:29Speaker 2: a half total Denver. Now, both those could change. Jokic
- 12:34Speaker 2: is questionable here. I think it's his first time being
- 12:37Speaker 2: questionable all year. As it stands, if he's in from
- 12:43Speaker 2: a raw points perspective, he looks like the best spend
- 12:45Speaker 2: up option because he's pretty much always going to be that.
- 12:48Speaker 2: He's more expensive than Luca, though considerably he's twelve eight
- 12:51Speaker 2: on DK, which is quite a tag coming off a
- 12:54Speaker 2: montrous game last time out projects for sixty three fantasy
- 12:59Speaker 2: points point ceiling. So yeah, anytime you can get to
- 13:01Speaker 2: Jokic it's viable. But on the chance he's out, it
- 13:07Speaker 2: just opens up so much for Denver. Here before I
- 13:10Speaker 2: get to that, worth shouting out that Christian Brown is
- 13:13Speaker 2: out now, he's gonna be out multiple weeks, So that
- 13:16Speaker 2: in itself opens up a ton for Denver. Whether it's
- 13:19Speaker 2: Tim Hardaway, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, I think all those
- 13:24Speaker 2: guys are wild, wildly in play at sheep tags. You know,
- 13:27Speaker 2: Hardaway under four K would probably be my favorite. You know,
- 13:31Speaker 2: we've seen Watson in the past. He can certainly contribute,
- 13:33Speaker 2: and then Bruce Brown under four K. So those three
- 13:36Speaker 2: guys already looked great. They'll look obviously better if Jokic
- 13:40Speaker 2: is out because everyone on Denver will look better. And
- 13:42Speaker 2: Brown is a guy I think they could run some
- 13:44Speaker 2: offense through, so or run the offense with. I should
- 13:48Speaker 2: say Aaron Gordon would be another guy like a lot
- 13:51Speaker 2: more if Yokic were out, But really the main guy
- 13:53Speaker 2: we'd be looking at is Jave out thirty five hundred.
- 13:56Speaker 3: I don't even hate Jvel right now.
- 13:57Speaker 2: If Yokic is in on this slate, I think there's
- 13:59Speaker 2: a lot of opportunity of the center, but we know
- 14:01Speaker 2: his upside.
- 14:02Speaker 3: On a slate where Yokic is questionable, what if Jokic.
- 14:05Speaker 2: Plays, but he just doesn't play as much as he's
- 14:07Speaker 2: played recently, maybe javaal picks up a couple extra minutes. Again,
- 14:11Speaker 2: I don't expect that to happen, but I think there's
- 14:13Speaker 2: a reason that Jokic is questionable to night, So even
- 14:16Speaker 2: if he plays, I wouldn't be shocked to see him
- 14:18Speaker 2: not play, you know, quite as much as he's been playing.
- 14:22Speaker 2: That said, Java would be a smash play if Yokic
- 14:24Speaker 2: were out going to the timber Wolf side they played
- 14:28Speaker 2: last night, they be uh Sacramento and what was probably
- 14:36Speaker 2: more a more competitive game than you would have thought.
- 14:38Speaker 3: But again it's the NBA.
- 14:39Speaker 2: That stuff happens all the time from the t Wolves. Yeah,
- 14:45Speaker 2: I mean this game should be really competitive. Stevencenzo fifty
- 14:49Speaker 2: eight hundred projected for twenty eight plus Fantasy points. I'm
- 14:53Speaker 2: good with that there and at eighty eight hundred, and
- 14:55Speaker 2: it's interesting to me on this slate right now projected
- 14:59Speaker 2: to get a good amount of ownership, and I get it.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Like he's eighty eight hundred, he's got a big ceiling,
- 15:05Speaker 2: which would be a competitive game for me as of
- 15:07Speaker 2: right now, I would want to be playing Giannis and Luca.
- 15:10Speaker 2: But you know, I think Ant is like a very
- 15:14Speaker 2: nice consolation prize in that spot. And I don't even
- 15:17Speaker 2: know if it's possible to play all three. I guess
- 15:20Speaker 2: maybe on this slate because we have so much cheap value,
- 15:23Speaker 2: but that's probably not a route I'm gonna go. But
- 15:26Speaker 2: if I'm not paying up for two studs, I think
- 15:29Speaker 2: Ant is a logical next choice at eighty eight hundred.
- 15:31Speaker 2: He's too cheap for his ceiling, as we know. You
- 15:34Speaker 2: know he can, he can be the leading scorer in
- 15:36Speaker 2: any slate he's on. You know, he's not likely to
- 15:38Speaker 2: do it when you've got a slate with Giannis and Luca,
- 15:40Speaker 2: but he's talented enough where he can do it even
- 15:42Speaker 2: on those slates. So always in play. Tonight's no exception.
- 15:46Speaker 2: Julius Randall looks really good here, even cheaper than Ant
- 15:50Speaker 2: projects similarly similar ceiling. Yeah, I like I like Randall here.
- 15:55Speaker 2: I've always been a fan of Randall. He's playing well
- 15:57Speaker 2: for Minnesota now, love to see it.
- 16:00Speaker 3: Totally cool playing Randall here.
- 16:01Speaker 2: Jaden McDaniels more of a GPP play, doesn't project well,
- 16:05Speaker 2: but we know his ceiling should play a ton of minutes.
- 16:08Speaker 2: And then Rudy Gobert wasn't great last night, but again
- 16:11Speaker 2: no issue going back to him here in what could
- 16:14Speaker 2: potentially be a much easier spot against jokicch list Nuggets.
- 16:17Speaker 2: So yeah, his price tag's right six K, falling fine
- 16:22Speaker 2: with him here. I think the priorities for me in
- 16:24Speaker 2: this spot would be Aunt and Randall, but obviously those
- 16:27Speaker 2: guys are the most expensive. Other than that, that is
- 16:33Speaker 2: all I got for you, guys, so I hope you
- 16:34Speaker 2: enjoyed it. I apologize for my dog, apologize that my
- 16:41Speaker 2: wife and daughters got home, so my dog was freaking
- 16:44Speaker 2: out there for a second, but we got her taken
- 16:45Speaker 2: care of.
- 16:46Speaker 3: We're good to go.
- 16:47Speaker 2: As always with these Saturday videos, a lot of news
- 16:50Speaker 2: can change, a lot of news will change throughout the day.
- 16:52Speaker 2: But I want to get on here and just get
- 16:54Speaker 2: some out for you guys. If you are a member,
- 16:56Speaker 2: I'll be in the discord. If you have any questions
- 16:58Speaker 2: or anything like that, holler at me. If you're not
- 17:00Speaker 2: a member, why not come and sign up. Appreciate you guys.
- 17:04Speaker 2: Feedback is always appreciated and with that, I will see
- 17:08Speaker 2: y'all next week.
- 17:09Speaker 5: Thanks as always, stept aspect
- 18:14Speaker 1: The Delta of Spik