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NFL Championship Games Gambling Picks, NFL Rigged, You Can Bet on The WWE? · Three For The Money

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  Okay, okay, okay, we're here, we're back, 3 for the Money, new episodes every Thursday,
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  brought to you by the Trend Center app. The greatest tool on the planet for sports bettors.
• 1:01
  Check it out, link in the bio, 15% off at premium membership. Okay, I ended up going
• 1:08
  2-in-2 and I lost my surefire pick, so I'm down like a unit. Not great, but I guess I'm a float,
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  I don't know, whatever. I'm kind of done with last week, was supposed to be a good week.
• 1:26
  The divisional round is supposed to be the funnest football, was not that fun for me.
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  Felt like a battle every single game. Anyway, Chris, how did you do? I was all right, I went
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  2-in-1, pushed my surefire just brutal, brutal, ended up getting minus nine just
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  way it went with it and I was like, yeah, eight and a half, nine, how often does a football game
• 1:55
  end on a nine point difference? So what's the worst that could happen? It didn't account for
• 2:01
  the Chief Spunner running it out of the back of the end zone in the last play of the game.
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  That sucked, even though it was a push, but it sucked, especially after they blocked that field
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  goal and where I lost my mind, I was like, okay, fuck yeah, like we're cruising, no way this loses
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  now. But it was all right. But 2-in-1, that's plus money, can't complain. I was, but I will complain
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  for a second, just stupid to take that commander's lines under, that was stupid.
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  The cute play was being attempted. You were probably thinking two unstoppable forces meeting
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  each other. Yeah, and I was like 50, so eight touchdowns is a lot to ask for in a playoff game.
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  And I thought it was, it wasn't at all. But once I accepted that, that was cooked,
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  which was pretty early. It was a fun watch, but still positive on the weekend, so I can't
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  complain other than that. Sean, how did you do? Uh-oh. Oh, it looks like he's muted. My bad guys, I was
• 3:32
  coughing before this, so. 3-4-in-1 last week. So I actually pushed on the Eagles spread,
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  and I actually won the chief spread. I got him at minus eight. So, sorry, boys, but.
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  I had the under. That cashed for me, but the Eagles, I got them, I ended up getting them at seven
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  instead of six, so I wanted to shoot myself in the head. Yeah, that sucked. But 2-1-in-1 in the picks,
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  you know, like regular spreads, totals, whatever. And then I gave out props last week. I went 1-3,
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  not good. That's really what did me over. The only one that cashed was Jalen's under passing,
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  which I went ahead and looked this week. The books have gotten wise. Last week was at 2-0-4,
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  this week. I want to guess. Okay, gotcha. 1-84-1.5. Lower. 1-82. 1-64-1.5. Higher. Higher than Chris.
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  1-74-1.5. That is correct. Yes, 1-74-1.5. Damn, that's. So, he went down 30 passing yards in a week.
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  They got wise on us. But yeah, I ended up hopping on Bill's money line and just a little, you know,
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  just raced a 20 plus 100. So, that was fun. So, that did end up putting me over on the week.
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  But the TD Parley that we cooked up, that wasn't even close. I think Derek Henry was the only one
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  that actually scored. I was gonna say, it was Derek Henry the only one. Yeah. It wasn't even close. But
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  three more games, fellas. This is it. Let's make the most of it.
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  Unfortunately, there's only three more games. But these next two games are the most important games
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  of the season so far, one would say. Yes. So far, yes. But I mean, just a quick little recap here.
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  I mean, I guess it didn't really matter to me that much with the Chiefs punter going out. But like,
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  everything with the Chiefs now, like almost everything, all signs point to the league being
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  fucking rigged. Like, I don't know. I mean, we've been saying this for how long now, but with the
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  Chiefs, like, yeah, they get whistles. This isn't new. And like the guy running out of the end zone,
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  like, yeah, there's a reason to do that. But also like, oh, no, that was stradded. Like, that was
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  the smart thing to do. But also like just fucked me. It probably fucked a lot of people. I don't
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  think it did. I think most people got eight and a half. I think I don't know. I think it was pretty
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  much done. I think actually, I think if anything, it fucked Vegas, because I think nine was like
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  the worst possible outcome they could have had. Because as that line never got above nine. So
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  it never like that played and mean anything to them. So if anything, they just pushed on everything,
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  on spread wise, at least. Yeah. I don't know. It's just like, now it's just, it's just clear as day.
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  It's like the announcers are like fucking what the fuck is his name? Troy Aikman. Yes, Troy Aikman.
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  He might have a horse head in his back on it soon. He was talking like openly against some of these
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  whistles. I mean, he's you don't correct. Oh, he is. But you don't go against Roger Godell and his
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  Roger Godell and his golden boy like that. I mean, what my home cash machine, what my homes is doing
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  is like flagrant, like, yeah, let's automatic first down, like, I mean, you don't have to just stop.
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  You don't have to slow down, just run out of bounds. Like, and I get it, your play, it's,
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  it's, I guess you could, well, I don't think you guess you could say you can say that it is strategy
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  to get a first down. You know, it is part of the game. But you know, like, if you're Patrick Mahomes,
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  you are getting that call 10 times out of 10. Yes. Yeah. And I like that. Except they didn't call it.
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  But I mean, yeah, I was gonna say, I'm glad that's like the only thing where I was like,
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  maybe it's not 100% right. If they had called that, I've been like, yeah,
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  100% like, the Chiefs are winning this ball. It's just whatever. But I mean,
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  so what like the, the great teams get the good whistle, that's like what it is in every sport,
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  especially it's like been like that for the Chiefs for years, it was like that with the Patriots for
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  years. This is, it just doesn't stop. So it is. Right. I'm, I'm, I'm pretty devastated about the
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  Lions. If I'm being honest, I'm pretty devastated. I can't believe I was a slam dunk. I, I kind of
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  had this thought that the Lions are, are taking the path that the Tennessee Titans took five years
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  ago, five, six years ago, and it, and it's, it's gonna break my heart. Because you know, they,
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  they made it to the, their championship game the next year. They got the one seed out in the
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  Divisional Round. And now in five years, they'll have the number one pick again. Just watch in
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  2030, the Lions will have the number one pick. I mean, that wouldn't, that wouldn't shock me. I mean,
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  it would shock me as of right now, but I could see that happening, especially now. I mean,
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  their coordinators are both gone. Well, yeah, Johnson's gone, Glenn is all but gone. I just,
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  it's rough. I think he got hired by the Jets today. Yeah. Yeah, he just got hired by the Jets.
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  All right. I knew that was like, where he was almost definitely going. I just didn't know
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  he was official. Yeah. Saw that today. That's, I mean, that's rough. And Lions fans like,
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  I know they haven't had, like, they're not used to this, like a good coordinator leaving, but I saw
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  like a lot of Ben Johnson, and I guess like going into interdivision, I get it a little bit, but
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  just a lot of Ben Johnson. I was like, he's the reason he all heard this good. Yeah. So, you know,
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  Ben Johnson could have taken the commander's job last year, and now the commanders are in the NFC
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  Championship, and Ben Johnson is not, goes to Chicago. He's just going to coach Caleb Williams
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  to be better just out of spite for not taking that commander's job. Yes. Like that's, that's why,
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  that's why he took the bears. It's like, this is purely spite, like just like, I'm going to make
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  him better than, than this guy. If Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams are both as good as everyone says
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  they are, and like, pretty much everyone thinks they are, the bears might be a fucking wagon.
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  Like they got a lot to work on, but if both of them, if both of them are as good as people say.
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  I'm not expecting, you know, a immediate turnaround. Oh, no. At all. But three years from now. Yeah,
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  they could be, they could be, they could fuck around and, and do something. But, but also,
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  there's the bears. That's what I was about to say. This is the ultimate test of, are the bears just
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  at cursed franchise? Because they are doing it right. Like they have the young quarterback,
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  and they have the young, like golden boy coach. If this doesn't work out, then
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  I don't know what they do. Right. Old. Yeah. Yeah. The, I mean, they just couldn't keep up.
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  The Lions just couldn't keep up. It was. And they also threw like five or four interceptions.
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  Right. Yeah. That was bad showing by Jared Gahn. They, they shot themselves in the foot
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  but many times. So, but also like, they, they couldn't, like their defense was pretty, was
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  pretty much a no show. So they were super banged up on defense. I think I saw something that
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  pretty much all the air, their, their defense from week one starting, like they had no
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  week one starters on defense in this divisional game. And then like the people that came in,
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  some of the like, you know, players that replaced the week one starters also got hurt.
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  So they were literally grabbing guys like off the street to like play defense. Another
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  similarity between them and the whatever 21 Titans. Yeah. Because we were the most
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  injured team in the history of football. Yep. And we got the ones we had Adrian Peterson
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  suited up for a game, maybe two, two games with the one, the one seed.
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  Yep. Yeah. It is wild. I mean, quick recap over the Rams Eagles like
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  well, it started snowing. That was fun. But also Jake Elliott can lick my butthole.
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  Yeah, I guess. I hope he sleeps with one eye open.
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  Because whole will it piece coming for.
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  If not, it's not me. Other other people, he knows what he did.
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  He knows. Jake Elliott, I'd just like to take a moment and thank you personally,
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  because that you're the only reason that bet cash the Rams look God awful. Like I know it was
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  snowing. They couldn't move the football at all. Like that bet had no business cashing.
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  But so shout out, Jake Elliott, heroes. Yeah, whatever. Yeah, I really, I really had no reason
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  to push on that either. Like if not for Jake Elliott, but yeah. Yeah. I don't know the Eagles.
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  I'm a real pretty man. Yeah, they did. They're strong like no fucking Jake Elliott.
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  I don't think I don't think they're strong at all. I think they have say,
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  Juan Barclay and that's it. Yeah, like take away was bitching about playing in the snow.
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  He had two catches for 14 yards and I'm like,
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  he was like, this is the worst game ever played. And I'm like, you need to know it's not
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  statistically last week was worse. Two weeks ago. I think he meant like the conditions
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  like in which he was playing. He said, I don't wish that upon my worst enemy. And I'm like,
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  to play in the snow. It wasn't like that. That was not the most like the worst quote unquote
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  worst snow game of ever like Cleveland Pittsburgh had way more snow. I think I will give him the
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  benefit of the doubt like that it started off raining. That looked like yeah, it was like raining cold.
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  Yeah. And so I'll give him the benefit of the doubt that had to have sucked.
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  But I don't know man, you can't can't say that's like you make your way to
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  you make your way to the NFC championship and you're like, I wish I'd never played that game.
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  You won. So shut the fuck up. Yeah. Guess what? You got to play at home next week too.
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  And guess what? It's going to be cold. It might snow again. It might. I don't know what the
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  forecast is, but it's cold as balls up there. So there's a chance. We'll check. Check real quick.
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  But I have eagles off like take away the two home run runs by say one.
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  And offense was not good. Yeah. I don't know. It seemed like they just needed they just what
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  they needed to get done. They got done. I mean, except for make two extra points.
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  They did like out but they did what they had to do. But what they had to do was
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  very little because other than that, then the Reims first drive and their last one or two,
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  they couldn't move at all. And I know it was snowing, whatever, but do something like adapt.
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  Like you have to have some sort of like just short yardage, like get the ball out fast and
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  see what happens kind of plays and they just can do anything. Right. We'll move into the next game.
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  Quick recap Ravens bills. Barely, barely hit the over right at I got it 51 and a half at a kickoff
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  and it hit a 52. Let's fucking go. Looked like it was cruising in the first quarter. Yeah.
• 17:44
  Yeah. Was had me at the edge of my seat there for a little bit. But I mean, I mean, I'm not mad
• 17:58
  about the bills. When in this game, I wouldn't be mad if the Ravens won this game. I don't know.
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  Well, you know what I mean? Like, yeah, I like picking aside.
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  But like, it's just tough to see a team like the Ravens who were just so good. Just leave,
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  you know, not that I'm a Ravens fan, but you know, just like a good team. Just to,
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  I mean, bigger, bigger, bigger picture here. Make the chiefs go away.
• 18:31
  Type type shit, but I don't know. I mean, this is this was another just classic Ravens
• 18:41
  can't win in the playoff games. Like they they just can't. And I mean, Lamar wasn't,
• 18:50
  he wasn't particularly great, but I don't think he was like the problem.
• 18:54
  I mean, Mark was definitely not the problem. No, Mark Gangers of liability.
• 18:59
  Like he had two drugs and a fumble like that. No, that's how fast do you think he's packed up
• 19:05
  his bags and got the hell out of dodge at Baltimore because he I mean, he better be in Cancun right
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  now. Yeah, he better have not landed in Baltimore. Like if I was him.
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  He was public public enemy number one. Like I've seen a lot of people being like, Oh, well,
• 19:35
  that was just it wasn't a perfect throw by Lamar. So how can you expect him to catch it?
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  I was like, this is like your all pro like, I know he's not, he's older now. He hasn't had
• 19:45
  the best year, but he's still like one of your most reliable past catching options. He's not
• 19:52
  a receiver, obviously. Catch the football. It wasn't like he was at his feet. Like he had to turn
• 19:58
  a little. Yeah, he had it. Yeah, he won't. He's not gonna be on the Ravens next year.
• 20:07
  That wouldn't shock me at all. I think, I think Mark Andrews is going to go to Tampa Bay
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  to reunite with the page. Yeah, from college. That would be kind of funny. Yeah. That's my
• 20:22
  prediction because you got to stick with Isaiah likely. I mean, he gets more looks. He gets
• 20:31
  more receptions. He's better than Mark Andrews is right now. Go revive your career, make up for it
• 20:40
  in Tampa Bay. But that's my prediction. Not cold. Yeah, get the hell out of dodge, dude, because
• 20:50
  you didn't he do this shit in like 2017 too? Like he like, I saw a play that they like ran the
• 20:57
  exact same thing. Yeah, the Steelers game. That was more of a that was more of a bad throw.
• 21:03
  Like it wasn't. Okay. He still could have caught it. But it was more blame on the throw than that.
• 21:09
  Like it was that in front of him. He couldn't really he couldn't really get both hands on it.
• 21:15
  Like you so could have caught it, but it would have been a hell of a catch.
• 21:20
  Yeah. But no, that that was solely on him. Yeah. That I mean, god damn dude, that sucks.
• 21:29
  Okay. Yeah, I am I'm glad to see the bills move on though, because I do still have a future to win
• 21:36
  the AFC. I also I'm happy to see them went to she has I like them more than the ribs. And also,
• 21:43
  if anybody if anybody's going to be the chiefs, it has to be the bills. Yeah. Yeah. It is their destiny.
• 21:53
  Destiny. I think it's any team's destiny, really. But if like, if it is a FC team is going to do it,
• 22:00
  it has to be the bills. It has to be the bills. You know, you're right. Okay. Well,
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  let's get into these games then. Okay, first game, NFC championship game Washington commanders
• 22:14
  at the Eagles. Both TikTok and the Lions were both destroyed by Washington last week.
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  But one came back. But one came back. And it was not the Lions.
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  Anyway, Eagles at home favored by six over under 47 and a half. Chris, what do you think about this game?
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  I hate it because it's not fun. But I'm taking the Eagles. I think they're just I know what I said
• 22:44
  about their offense how it's just not as it's not very good. But say Kwan can run all over these guys.
• 22:51
  I mean, Jameer Gibbs and David Montgomery are both having their way with Washington's
• 22:56
  defense, excuse me, until until like Detroit just kind of had to start throwing it.
• 23:03
  I just think Philadelphia is I think they're I mean, they're a better team because obviously
• 23:09
  they're almost a touchdown favorite. But I just think they kind of bully them. I think
• 23:14
  Philly either wins by two touchdowns or they lose outright. So and I don't think they're
• 23:19
  going to lose. So I'm going to take Philly on the spread. It's not fun. But I don't know, I think
• 23:25
  maybe Washington's Magic kind of run this is far and away the best defense they've played the playoffs.
• 23:30
  So give me Philly to cover. I hate it. But it's just what I I want to take Washington. But I
• 23:38
  I just can't I can't get there with them. So yeah, give me Philly. Sean, what are you taking?
• 23:45
  Yeah, we pushed on Eagles minus six last week. This line feels more justified. It's not fun.
• 23:53
  Like Chris said, but Philadelphia is coming off, you know, a dominant rushing performance.
• 24:01
  Jalen's going to suit up. They they rightfully handed handled the commanders at home earlier
• 24:07
  this season. I think the Eagles losing to the Rams feels like a more plausible upset than
• 24:17
  the commanders beating the Eagles. If that makes sense. But you know, the commanders, they they
• 24:25
  shocked us all. They hung 45 on the on the one seed lines, you know, aiding with turnovers and
• 24:33
  pick sixes. And but I don't think turnovers come as easily this week. You know, this this
• 24:42
  Eagles team is more disciplined. Jalen Hertz has thrown just one interception since week three.
• 24:50
  So yeah, two regular season meetings. Eagles controlled week 11.
• 24:58
  Commanders snuck one out 3633 and week 16 after Hertz went out with a concussion.
• 25:06
  I think I think Philly should be able to dictate and pace this and just grind down Washington's
• 25:11
  defense. They have a pretty bad ranked run defense as well. They're 27th against Seyquan.
• 25:20
  That's that's not good. And that's really the key is Seyquan. He's going to torch him in the two
• 25:27
  games that they've already played. He's rushed 228 yards total. And in their first meeting,
• 25:34
  they allowed 150 yards on him. I think I just don't think the commanders will be able to slow down
• 25:45
  Barkley at all. I think it's going to be a long night for the managers. Now I did find some the
• 25:54
  the the reffing crew was announced and Sean Hockley, Hockley, is that how you say it? Yeah.
• 26:01
  Yeah. Okay. They're in charge of this game. The Eagles are six and oh in games officiated by
• 26:08
  Hockley, including one and oh this season. And the commanders are one and two. Also one and oh
• 26:16
  this season. May not be the sole factor, but that's that's some pretty good numbers right there.
• 26:22
  You know, we can all talk about Jayden Daniels and his fairy tale like season,
• 26:32
  but rookie quarterbacks are oh and five in conference championship games. And Daniels is
• 26:39
  tasked with also winning his fourth straight road game, which is very unfortunate that this
• 26:48
  schedule came down to that for them. But this almost feels impossible to win against this
• 26:56
  Philly squad. The commanders have been a great story all season long, but I think this is where
• 27:02
  you know the fairy tale ends. Control the clock, pound the rock and punch the tickets to Super Bowl
• 27:09
  Eagles minus six. Will, what you got? I also agree with Eagles minus six here. I was going back and
• 27:18
  forth between the Eagles and the over, but then ultimately it kind of came down to I mean the
• 27:27
  Eagles defense is playing very, very well right now. And Saquon is just going to run all over them.
• 27:36
  So I mean, I have a very less in depth answer than you, Chris, not Chris, Sean. So yeah,
• 27:46
  that's it. Moving on next game. Only other game was up time out. We got props. Oh, I don't have a
• 27:54
  problem. Sure. Yeah, I got two. Okay. All right. First one, I'm gonna take Jayden Daniels over 32
• 28:01
  and a half pass attempts. I think Philly is gonna shut down the run game. So they're gonna have to
• 28:08
  rely on Daniels. And like I said, I think Philly either wins by two touchdowns or loses outright.
• 28:14
  So Philly, we either have a lead and Daniels will have to throw a lot or Washington will win
• 28:20
  because Daniels is throwing one. It's really always, I don't see a game where the commanders are
• 28:26
  not just airing or forced to air it out at least. So yeah, Daniels over 32 and a half pass attempts.
• 28:32
  Also like Dallas Goddard, any time touchdown plus three, three, I had it three 10, I think three,
• 28:41
  three something. commanders aren't very good at defending tight ends. Plus I think once it gets
• 28:46
  down to the red zone, they're they'll sell out against the run. So that'll leave just plenty
• 28:53
  room for Goddard to kind of sneak out be wide open for a touchdown. So I think plus three,
• 28:59
  let me pull it up just so I can get it. It was three something less than my chip.
• 29:07
  Here we go. Dallas Goddard 300, 300 even. So Goddard 310 touchdown.
• 29:15
  Half unit on that. Okay, Sean, do you have any props? I don't have any props.
• 29:21
  Yeah, I'm gonna take Jaden Daniels, 275 passing and rushing yards combined.
• 29:34
  I do feel like this line is it's minus 140. It's a little juiced. But I think it's worth
• 29:41
  throwing a unit down on it. You know, he passed for almost 300 just shy, just one shy of 300
• 29:48
  last week. He's constantly putting up 200 passing yards. And you know, he's he's putting up
• 29:57
  50 36 27 127 81 and it was in his last five games rushing. I think this line is very good. So I don't
• 30:12
  think you can pull it out. But I definitely think that Jane Daniels tries his very, very best this
• 30:17
  week. And he'll he'll get those numbers any way that he can. Moving on to to the next game, the
• 30:24
  bills at the chiefs feels like we've been here before. But it's the chiefs at home favored by
• 30:34
  favored by one and a half. Over under is again, 47 and a half similar, incredibly similar,
• 30:44
  actually the same as the NFC championship game. 47 and a half. What so
• 30:53
  Sean, what do you think? What do you think about this game? Can the bills beat the chiefs? Or are
• 30:59
  you still what's what's the play here? All right. The chiefs are 15 and two in the playoffs over
• 31:10
  the last five years. And every single one of those wins was by more than two points.
• 31:18
  Meanwhile, the bills have dropped three straight to Kansas City, each by at least a point and a
• 31:25
  half. Let's just be real. The chiefs and the playoff chiefs, regular season chiefs, playoff
• 31:33
  chiefs. They are two entirely different animals. For me, betting against my homes in January,
• 31:42
  it's just not gonna betting against my homes. I'm sorry, it's just it's not gonna happen.
• 31:49
  It doesn't make much financial sense. It doesn't make much financial sense.
• 31:52
  For Buffalo, this game is going to be like exercising demons because these are demons to them.
• 32:06
  Like I said, Kansas City has ended the bill season three times in the last four years,
• 32:11
  twice at Arrowhead. Yeah, Buffalo's beaten the chiefs in regular season four years running,
• 32:17
  including three wins at Arrowhead. But at one, when it comes to the postseason,
• 32:23
  they just can't get it done ever. Their last playoff win over the chiefs, it's been 30 years.
• 32:33
  I looked it up. It's been 30 years. Buffalo, I will say by metrics are the better team.
• 32:43
  They should be the better team. But Kansas City is, you know, they're just different in the
• 32:52
  playoffs. This is just it's just more. But again, we're going to go back to who's
• 33:01
  ref in this game. And it is Cleat Blakeman. I think I'm saying that right. It is.
• 33:09
  He is officially in this game. Fantastic name for a referee, by the way. That is a
• 33:14
  all time referee name. Bills are five and two in games that he has called, including one this
• 33:22
  season. The chiefs three and four with no games coached in the 2024 season. It's not a massive
• 33:32
  sample, but it is worth noting. And I think it should give you a little hope if you are a Bills fan
• 33:41
  that maybe you have the refs on your side this time. But the chiefs, they've just about, you know,
• 33:51
  they've been playing smart. They're not super flashy. But this is just a replay of a couple years
• 33:58
  ago. It'll be chiefs Eagles Super Bowl. So I mean, it's chiefs money line for me. I'm not going to
• 34:08
  go with the points. Chiefs money lines like minus 120. I'm just going to go ahead and take the money
• 34:13
  line. I mean, they're just inevitable. They're inevitable. They went 11 and 0 in one score games
• 34:22
  this season. And listen, if you are a Bills fan, I hope I pray that you actually slay this dragon.
• 34:37
  But if I'm wrong about the chiefs and I lose money, it'll be worth every penny to see Buffalo
• 34:44
  finally break through. And until then, my money is on my homes and the chiefs to punch their ticket
• 34:51
  to the Super Bowl. Chris, what you got? Are you going to be fun or are you going to be lame like
• 34:59
  me? I mean, it's very, very hard to argue everything you said because you can't really.
• 35:06
  Everything you said was factual. That being said, I went with my head on the last pick. I'm going
• 35:11
  with my heart on this one as Bills plus two. I'm taking the points because if the chiefs win on
• 35:18
  a walkoff field one by one, I'm going to hate myself if I take the money line. So Kimmy plus two.
• 35:24
  If the Bills don't do it now, I don't know when they're going to do it.
• 35:30
  This, I feel like I probably said that last year, honestly. And I might say it again next year,
• 35:38
  but if they don't do it now, when are they going to do it? It just feels like, I don't know, it
• 35:45
  feels like almost destiny to sound cliche. Just to be able to stop a three P against your biggest
• 35:53
  playoff rival. I can't really say much because the chiefs are the smart side because they're the
• 36:05
  chiefs in the playoffs, but I'm taking the Bills plus two just going with my heart. It's probably
• 36:10
  not going to go well, but I can't root for two teams that I don't want to see win in both games.
• 36:20
  So taking the Bills plus two. And you know what? Don't do it. Don't take it over. Oh, okay. I thought
• 36:29
  you were going to, you were like, you know what? Money line. No, I was going to say, I do like the
• 36:34
  over. Okay. Over 47 and a half to just just for fun. Yeah. So yeah, that was a double dip.
• 36:45
  Let's have some fun. I'll do that too. I'll take the all right. Let's go. Double dip.
• 36:50
  Will, what are you taking? So I'm, I'm double dipping. Not because y'all said y'all are double
• 37:01
  dipping, but that was my pick from the beginning. I'm double dipping chiefs money line and the over.
• 37:09
  Like, like I interjected and in Sean's spiel, betting against my homes in January doesn't make
• 37:18
  much financial sense. And I understand people who also bet on the bills. But listen, I'm double
• 37:29
  dipping and I think either way, I'm going to win some money on this game. Whether I go one and one
• 37:37
  on this game or, or two and two and oh, I don't see how this out how one of these doesn't hit.
• 37:50
  What is it, Chris? What do you laugh at? Just the way he phrase it, whether I go one and one or
• 37:55
  or, or, or something. What else?
• 38:02
  It was just funny. I said, you're like, do you want to know that?
• 38:06
  Do you want to know? You got it. There's a winner in one of these picks, at least at the very least.
• 38:18
  What's the weather going to be like in Kansas City? Probably cold.
• 38:22
  Because if it's another fucking snowstorm, I don't know if I'm betting over.
• 38:26
  I don't think it's going to snow, but I mean, I'll pull it up real quick.
• 38:31
  It's probably going to be like four degrees.
• 38:33
  It'll probably be cold as shit. Yeah, but both teams are going to run.
• 38:36
  It's 31 degrees at kickoff. It's going to get down to 28.
• 38:47
  A balmy 31. Okay. Yeah.
• 38:49
  Yeah. It's really not that bad. That's not bad at all.
• 38:54
  It's not bad for the arrowhead in January.
• 39:00
  Yup. When they played the dolphins, they had beer freezing in the stands.
• 39:03
  Yeah, it was like negative 10 degrees or something.
• 39:05
  Yeah. Oh, yeah. I forgot about that game. The beers were freezing.
• 39:12
  That. Yeah. Cold. It has to be for alcohol to freeze.
• 39:16
  Cold. Cold. Cold. Very cold.
• 39:20
  I don't think like I could have done it.
• 39:24
  No, fuck no.
• 39:27
  You could have given me like front row, front row 50 yard line.
• 39:32
  I'm staying home.
• 39:37
  No, no, no, no. That's a barb.
• 39:39
  That's a business decision.
• 39:41
  But Will, do you have anything to add?
• 39:45
  I mean, not really.
• 39:49
  I will say whoever wins this game is one of the Super Bowl.
• 39:56
  That's what I got. Because if the chiefs win this game, they're going to the Super Bowl,
• 40:05
  obviously. And there's just enough flaws on both of the NFC teams that you have to play
• 40:16
  a perfect game against the chiefs to beat them. That is a fact. And there's so many more flaws
• 40:28
  on the NFC teams sides that they're not going to win. And then at the bills when this game,
• 40:38
  the bills are it's going to be a Washington capitals situation when after they beat the
• 40:47
  Pittsburgh Penguins, they were like, Oh, it's like they're one in the no one can. Yeah.
• 40:53
  No one can stop us. We're one in the cup.
• 40:55
  That was that was the roadblock. Yeah. The roadblock isn't the Super Bowl. It's the road to the
• 41:02
  Super Bowl. So whoever wins this game is is is going for the big one. So you bet you bet chiefs,
• 41:11
  right? Yes, sir. Okay. Would you I think the smart thing to do would also be to take them to
• 41:16
  win the Super Bowl right now. Because I agree whoever wins this game is going to win the Super
• 41:20
  Bowl. So in that logic, I should probably take the bills, but chiefs are right now are plus two
• 41:25
  10. And they will be minus whatever this time next week. So they'll be favorite.
• 41:35
  Well, are you are you also kind of hedging joy or hedging emotion? Like, like me? Like,
• 41:48
  would you would you give up your bet to have the chiefs lose?
• 41:54
  Um, yeah, I guess I would. Like, would you be okay with your bet losing if the chiefs lost,
• 42:03
  you know, like, either way, you lost, but you'd be okay with it, like, more. Yeah. Like,
• 42:10
  you know, I would miss the the one unit that I lost, but at the same time, it's like,
• 42:20
  probably just lost on something else. Yeah.
• 42:24
  That's why I was like that unit would be gone regardless.
• 42:34
  Yeah.
• 42:34
  Yeah. Fuck. That's like the truest thing I've ever heard.
• 42:42
  I don't think I've ever looked at it like that. Yeah. I've always just looked at it's like,
• 42:48
  fuck, I'm an idiot. I can't believe I lost this. I can't believe I bet that.
• 42:54
  I mean, that's what I think. But whenever I'm like trying to like, you said like hedging joy
• 43:00
  or something like that, that unit is probably going to be gone anyway. That's not the one that's
• 43:05
  going to turn this whole thing around. That's, yeah, it's fucking true. Well, like, like I said,
• 43:13
  I do have a future for the bills to win the AFC. So I should probably bet the bill, I should
• 43:20
  probably hedge on the bills or the chiefs to win the Super Bowl right now. I mean,
• 43:26
  if you're hedging, you would take the chiefs. Right. Right. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
• 43:33
  You take the most, you'd be doubling down pretty much. I think there's hedging calculatives
• 43:39
  on the internet. I mean, I'm sure there is. Where it's like, all right, what was your question,
• 43:47
  Chris? What did you say? I said, if you're hedging, wouldn't you be taking the chiefs to win the Super
• 43:54
  Bowl or right? Yeah. Yeah, I would. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Right. Because you said bills or chiefs.
• 44:02
  So I was like, well, if you're hedging, you'd be the chiefs. Well, I have the bills to win the AFC.
• 44:08
  That's what I'm saying. Like, if you're hedging that bet, right. Okay. Yeah. Give it your second.
• 44:14
  But yeah, so I should either like, if I had the bills to win the AFC, should I bet the bills to
• 44:22
  also win the Super Bowl? I mean, if you're betting on the chiefs to win this game,
• 44:28
  then I would just go ahead and bet on the chiefs to win the Super Bowl because I feel like we're
• 44:31
  all in the consensus that whoever wins this game is winning the Super Bowl. So if you think the
• 44:35
  chiefs will win, then it'd be because like, you're not getting 210 on come Monday, if they win.
• 44:45
  No. I mean, the bills to win the AFC was plus 225. Yeah. So I think or you could put like, you could
• 44:55
  look up this fancy schmatch, the hedging calculator and put whatever it sees fit on the
• 45:01
  chiefs just to win this game. I don't know if that would be, I'm not smart. So I don't know if that
• 45:06
  would be the way to go or really even as fun. But yeah, I think that's what you're doing. I don't
• 45:13
  think I've ever hedged really before. I've hedged bushes. I've never hedged a bet. Yeah, I've had
• 45:18
  bushes and you know, well that's shit. All right. Props. About on the chiefs. Do you want to zoom in?
• 45:25
  Props. Yeah, props. I got one. Let me pull it up. James Cook over 56 and a half rushing yards.
• 45:36
  He has gone over this number in the last five games in which he has had 10 carries.
• 45:40
  And I looked it up. 11 plus carries is minus like 320. So Vegas thinks he's going to get the rock a lot.
• 45:48
  Kinsley's defense while strong, not really great against the run gave up 88 last week to mix in.
• 45:55
  Two weeks ago against the Steelers gave up 74 to Najee Harris and 71 to Jalen Warren. Three weeks
• 46:00
  ago when they played the Texans again, 57 yards to mix in and week before that 84 yards to Jerome
• 46:07
  Ford when they play Cleveland. So I think James Cook, I think they're going to run the ball
• 46:13
  with Allen and Cook. I think they just kind of want to keep it out of my home's hands as much
• 46:17
  possible. So yeah, James Cook over 56 and a half rushing. Honestly, I like that more than the Bill
• 46:24
  Spick. Anyone else got a prop? I don't know. All right. What you got, Sean? Mine is Patrick Mahomes,
• 46:34
  longest pass completion for over 34 and a half yards. Given the obvious of, you know, there's,
• 46:44
  oh, there's 13 seconds left in the game. What's going to happen? Oh, Mahomes is just going to
• 46:51
  chuck it downfield and Travis Kelsey will be there. But besides that obvious, Buffalo ranks 29th
• 47:01
  in dropback EPA and over that span, the Bills have allowed the fourth most passing yards on
• 47:10
  and third most pass third most yards per attempt on 20 plus yard throws. I'm sorry.
• 47:18
  Say that one again. Yeah, I know. Sorry.
• 47:20
  Sorry. The Bills have allowed the fourth most passing yards and third most yards per attempt
• 47:32
  on 20 plus yard throws. So last week, Lamar torched Buffalo downfield. Rashad Bateman and
• 47:41
  Isaiah likely both hauled in receptions for over 35 yards. I can, I really, this is more of a play
• 47:50
  like the Chiefs are down. You know, they got to get in field goal range. And they're at the 25.
• 47:58
  They just got the kickoff like AFC championship a couple of years ago. Yeah. This is just,
• 48:03
  it's I think this game is going to perfectly mirror itself. History will repeat itself. Yeah,
• 48:12
  just that's mainly I was like, yep. I was literally looking on draft Kings and I was like,
• 48:20
  what is that? What is that line? And it's lower than and it's lower than Alan's too. Alan is at
• 48:26
  a 37 and a half. Huh. That's interesting. Yeah. So that's mine. But
• 48:37
  okay. Well, I mean, that's that's kind of it. There's only two games. So we don't really have a
• 48:42
  surefire. No, I'm not sure fires this week. No, I'm not going to do it. Fuck that.
• 48:49
  That's next week. There's no football. Well, there's a pro ball. That doesn't count.
• 48:57
  That doesn't count anymore. Yeah. It hasn't counted in a long time. It used to mean something.
• 49:06
  It did a long time ago.
• 49:07
  Yeah. Yeah. I was they've been airing the pro ball commercials and the pro ball games,
• 49:20
  commercials, whatever. And they they've done this the last couple years and I don't watch the flag
• 49:26
  football thing because I don't care. And there's this clip they keep showing and it's of I don't
• 49:33
  know who like what's going on. It's like a half second clip. Someone is like about to score.
• 49:41
  And they pitch it behind like a half yard behind them to someone just running right behind them.
• 49:46
  And he scores, but in the process gets laid the fuck out. And they keep showing that like,
• 49:53
  is it this so fun? I'm like, that's awesome. I'm like, yes, that is objectively cool.
• 49:58
  But also, where we pitch that fuck that guy. That's a dick move. I remember that happening.
• 50:05
  I think it was it was I think it was a white guy that pitched it back. I have no idea. I'll
• 50:10
  probably see the commercial about 50 times this week. So typical.
• 50:17
  But yeah, every time I see that commercial, I'm like, why would he do that? Like he just
• 50:22
  got his buddy killed or maybe it was fun. He's a strategy. He got laid the hell out. That's not
• 50:30
  fun. Well, a flag football game, nonetheless. Well, if I'm if I'm not correct, correct me, but
• 50:40
  aren't the teams the divisions? Yeah, but he pitched into a guy on his team. It's yeah. Yeah.
• 50:48
  Yeah. Someone in his division, he was trying to get someone in his division laid out. I don't
• 50:56
  know. Might be a big brain chess. Yeah. I mean, maybe just provol is a funny place to do it.
• 51:02
  Yeah. Correct me if I'm wrong, you know, but I'm pretty sure that's how it works.
• 51:10
  But I mean, I'm not 100% sure. Again, I have I don't know when this occurred. It had to be within
• 51:17
  the last few years because it was the flag football thing. But yeah, every time I see it, I'm just
• 51:22
  like, that was like, how would he do that? Have you guys ever known someone to go to the provol?
• 51:32
  No, like to like a 10 personally? Yeah, to like a 10. Oh, like an athlete. No.
• 51:39
  We don't know any athletes. I was like, do you? I was like, oh, yeah, once I'm a shirt,
• 51:48
  like someone's hand. But no, I'm not my cousin with the probable.
• 51:57
  My cousin Peyton Manning.
• 51:58
  No, I don't think if they have gone, they haven't said anything.
• 52:09
  When when I was in high school, this girl I went to church with her family, her dad,
• 52:17
  won tickets to the Pro Bowl in Hawaii through like a Campbell's soup, like campaign.
• 52:25
  Okay. Yeah, so like her and like her whole family went to Hawaii on like
• 52:34
  Campbell's or the NFL's dime. Like, yeah. That's pretty cool. That's pretty bad ass.
• 52:41
  I always wanted to win one of those. Back when it was in Hawaii, it was like a
• 52:46
  destination kind of thing. Yeah. Now it's isn't like in Orlando. It's in fucking Orlando.
• 52:52
  Like it's not even like a I mean, no, she's going to catch a straight. It's not even like
• 52:58
  a very nice city in Florida. And you know what? I think Orlando knows that like they
• 53:06
  that's not even catching a stray. They know that they're not really great.
• 53:10
  Which they have Disney World and you see that over there. That's the Epcot ball. You see that?
• 53:17
  Pretend like you're somewhere cool. Hey, you're in China. I don't think so. You're in China.
• 53:30
  We're in Orlando.
• 53:36
  I went to Orlando in middle school. We went to Wet and Wild and I got really bad summer.
• 53:41
  What does it feel like that happens to you a lot? Yeah.
• 53:50
  I feel like you underestimate the sun pretty frequently. What is it?
• 53:55
  The sun has a it's like a big water park thing with like the big is that the only place you went to?
• 54:01
  Oh, we went to Universal too. But okay. I like Wet and Wild more if I'm being honest.
• 54:06
  Okay. I don't like roller coasters. Never hurt. That makes sense. I know you. That makes
• 54:11
  sense. You didn't ride the Hulk ride? No. It's a fun ride. That's very that's something very much I
• 54:19
  can see Chris not doing. No, I don't like roller coaster. I've never liked them. So I was like,
• 54:24
  give me on a water slide all day. But no, I'm good on the sun. I just picture. Yeah, we went to
• 54:29
  put me upside down in the air. We went to we went to Orlando and then we went to Wet and Wild.
• 54:34
  He's like, you go anywhere else? No. No. McDonald's. That's like the family guy. Is this our
• 54:43
  vacation? Yeah. Are we trash? Kind of. Kind of. Oh. Oh. But yeah.
• 54:57
  So yeah, the Pro Bowl. Pro Bowl. Yeah, the Pro Bowl kind of sucks.
• 55:02
  That was Pro Bowl talk. Yeah.
• 55:08
  The stories about Orlando was more interesting than the Pro Bowl is going to be.
• 55:12
  I was I was talking to Chris yesterday, Sean. And I told him something that he didn't know. And I
• 55:20
  and I want to share it with you. And you're going to think it's ridiculous.
• 55:24
  Chris loved it when I told him yesterday. Can you can you share it in a way where I can maybe
• 55:29
  guess what it is in case I do know it? Yes. You can bet on a thing on mybookie.com.
• 55:42
  I think you can bet on a lot of things on mybookie.com.
• 55:45
  All right, you can bet doesn't really help me. A
• 55:52
  somewhat called professional sport.
• 55:53
  Oh, you can bet on the WWE in the yeah.
• 56:02
  Yeah, not a sponsor. Not a sponsor. I was listening to another podcast, a wrestling podcast.
• 56:08
  And they were like, dude, you can bet on mybookie.com on who's going to be the first one to come out of
• 56:13
  the Royal Rumble to walk out into the ring. And I'm like, yo, that sounds fun. You know,
• 56:22
  betting on like, you know, who wins certain matches. You know, that's what this show is
• 56:26
  going to be after football is over is wrestling. It is Chris is going through mybookie.com to
• 56:34
  give out WWE props. I haven't had the chance to to look into it, but apparently you can.
• 56:44
  Well, those WWE props I do. We're gonna we're really hitting the niche markets.
• 56:54
  We're really hitting the corner of everything degenerates degeneracy.
• 57:04
  Oh, God.
• 57:06
  Is that has that been a thought in your head to just like to do it? No. No.
• 57:12
  No. I recently found this out that it was an option. I do think it would be kind of fun
• 57:21
  to, you know, do something like that for the Rumble.
• 57:28
  Because, you know, it's just fucking it. It's like the same as like sports, like any time
• 57:32
  touchdown, you know, or like first touchdown, you know, who who goes out to the ring first?
• 57:37
  I don't know. Here's a list of who it might be. Yeah. And betting odds. Just saying.
• 57:51
  I will tell me that. And I was like, I might have to check that out.
• 57:58
  I probably won't. I probably won't. But I'll give it a look.
• 58:01
  I think it would be incredibly entertaining to look. But I probably won't do it.
• 58:13
  Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Like, I know that. I don't really have anything.
• 58:19
  Well said. Yeah. Yeah. Sorry. I'm really not in that that that space as much as
• 58:26
  the two of you might be. Yeah. Yeah, that's fine. I know that they were taking bets on
• 58:36
  who was going to come out first for the raw debut on Netflix. And John Cena was the favorite.
• 58:44
  It was not John Cena that came out first. It was the Rock. So some people who bet on
• 58:51
  professional wrestling lost money. I feel like that sentence is hilarious.
• 59:00
  I mean, I'm sure they have some sort of regulations on that. But that's got to be rigged, though.
• 59:08
  Like it's scripted. Well, I know. But like the whole on paper. I know the betting odds have to
• 59:15
  be rigged. Like that that can't be that can't be cool to like, yeah, that's not like those
• 59:23
  aren't Vegas odds. Yeah, that's just some guy. It's like, there are there's a whole room of people
• 59:32
  that know everything that is going to happen. So it's it is. Yeah, they like it's very
• 59:42
  it's a choreographed sport. Like everybody, lots of people know what's going to happen.
• 59:49
  So that was like the only thing was like, maybe not the smartest thing to put
• 59:54
  harder and US currency on this. But it's it's worth taking a gander.
• 1:00:00
  I bet it'd be pretty fun to explore that.
• 1:00:05
  I don't know. Yeah, I mean, I thought that would be funny. You you you do you.
• 1:00:09
  You. I kind of encourage it. I think it'd be fun if you did this.
• 1:00:16
  If you did not me if you not me, not me, but if you did it, you know more. Well,
• 1:00:21
  I only say that because you know more about it than I do.
• 1:00:24
  We'll be sitting here watching the rumble and will sweat and like, I've got Chris Jericho to come back.
• 1:00:30
  I got Ric Flair plus 5,000 to be to be the first one out at the rumble. It's like,
• 1:00:43
  look, I know he's retired, but he's out of money again. He's got to come back and
• 1:00:50
  he had a lot of fun. It's five thousand. You have to put at least something on that.
• 1:00:57
  It's left in the office where Kevin's like if John Cougar Mellon can't ever win an Oscar,
• 1:01:03
  I'll be a very rich man. Ric Flair comes up first at the rumble.
• 1:01:10
  That's hilarious. Listen, I mean, if if anyone gives you
• 1:01:16
  5,000 to one, 10,000 to one, you take it. You take it. You take it. It's as simple as that.
• 1:01:21
  I'll probably I'll make picks for fun. I won't I won't put money on them.
• 1:01:31
  That's just I might as well light it on fire.
• 1:01:36
  All right. That money might as well not. I don't really understand the difference.
• 1:01:43
  If I if I just like write down if you if you give out if you give out a pick,
• 1:01:49
  I'm not giving them out. I mean, I'll let people know. I think that's different than giving them
• 1:01:53
  out giving them out. Well, if you're letting them know, yeah, I'm going to say, hey, this is what
• 1:02:00
  I'm this is what I wrote down in my notebook. I'm not putting money on it.
• 1:02:08
  Okay, because it's not real. Someone made some poor sap is going to tail you and you're not going
• 1:02:14
  to and you're not going to tail them and you're not going to follow through on what you're giving out.
• 1:02:22
  Well, that guy's an idiot.
• 1:02:25
  If there's a way to do like an exact order,
• 1:02:30
  like one through 30 plus like a billion. Well, if you do that, just $1. Yeah,
• 1:02:39
  yeah, $1 can change everything. $1 to change your life. If you can do that in my book,
• 1:02:47
  he lets you deposit one similar dollar. I might do it.
• 1:02:55
  Well, I mean, that's kind of what we're going to do after we were done recording this podcast.
• 1:02:59
  We're actually going to look at it because I don't know. I got nothing else better to do on a Wednesday.
• 1:03:06
  I gotta go to sleep. I'm not going to do that.
• 1:03:17
  I look forward to next week when we can go over this.
• 1:03:22
  Yeah, because we're going to I mean, we'll go over games from this week, but
• 1:03:28
  there won't be much. We can go over what you won't be taking.
• 1:03:32
  Yeah, but what you like. So yeah, do not put money on this.
• 1:03:42
  But I like here's what I'm putting.
• 1:03:46
  Here's if I had unlimited money, how I would bet.
• 1:03:53
  But I don't. I have bills.
• 1:03:57
  All right, fellas, I'm going to end this podcast if that's okay with you.
• 1:04:04
  Yeah, that's cool.
• 1:04:06
  All right. I don't know if you have anything to add.
• 1:04:07
  I think we're running on fumes right now for being honest.
• 1:04:10
  Yeah, we've never talked about the WWE before. I don't think.
• 1:04:15
  Well, there have been little Easter eggs in some of the things we say, but not the things that you
• 1:04:21
  say. But me and Chris sometimes very, and I really if that's true, I don't pick up on them.
• 1:04:28
  Yeah, I know. Anyway, thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. Really appreciate it.
• 1:04:35
  Please interact with this.
• 1:04:37
  Any way that any way that you see fit like comment, subscribe, it really helps our reach.
• 1:04:44
  Check out the Trend Center app link in the bio 15% off a premium membership.
• 1:04:49
  It's the greatest tool on the planet for sports betters.
• 1:04:55
  Yeah, it's January.
• 1:04:59
  You know, with football going away, it's going to be pretty handy.
• 1:05:02
  But in the NBA, so definitely check that out.
• 1:05:06
  Oh, yes, in college basketball.
• 1:05:11
  Let's go. Yes, check that shit out.
• 1:05:14
  Follow us and everything. Bandit won't have a pick. I think he's done making picks this year
• 1:05:21
  and did seven and five, I believe on his Thursday picks.
• 1:05:27
  So not too bad. Not too bad.
• 1:05:31
  I think this is like first winning season.
• 1:05:34
  I also think so as well. I think one year he went 500.
• 1:05:39
  But yeah, shit. Okay. Yeah, that's all I got.
• 1:05:45
  All right. Thanks, guys. There's three of us. Now let's make some money.