Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Tesla Slides on Concern Musk’s New Party Will Worsen Slump
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the
- 0:10Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am
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- 0:21Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube.
- 0:23Speaker 2: For now, we want to go from the markets and
- 0:25Speaker 2: shift over to Tesla. Tesla shares have been down there
- 0:28Speaker 2: more than seven percent right now here to tell us
- 0:31Speaker 2: about it more? Why is Craig for Trudell? He's Bloomberg
- 0:34Speaker 2: Global Auditors Editor Craig want to start out and talk
- 0:38Speaker 2: about this our investors. Are they just tired? I guess
- 0:41Speaker 2: this is assuming going according to what Elon Musk has
- 0:43Speaker 2: been saying. Are they just tired of his kind of
- 0:46Speaker 2: talking about this and putting himself out there and talking
- 0:50Speaker 2: about politics when he should be focused on the company.
- 0:54Speaker 3: I think they see all sorts of risks here. You know,
- 0:57Speaker 3: this is a matter of now, you know, just alienate,
- 1:01Speaker 3: alienating Democrats, but but also now going after Republicans and
- 1:06Speaker 3: and you know, really uh, sort of ticking off Donald Trump.
- 1:10Speaker 3: And we've seen that with Trump going from you know,
- 1:13Speaker 3: kind of biting his tongue when Musk was first attacking uh,
- 1:16Speaker 3: you know, the big beautiful Bill to really going after
- 1:19Speaker 3: Musk in a more sort of pitched way. And you know,
- 1:23Speaker 3: so so this is uh, you know, a risk for
- 1:25Speaker 3: him to to sort of make himself in an enemy
- 1:29Speaker 3: and of of both sides of the aisle in Washington,
- 1:33Speaker 3: Washington potentially, but also you know, just a great big
- 1:37Speaker 3: distraction after he's assured everybody, you know, on multiple occasions, look,
- 1:41Speaker 3: I'm going to you know, sort of get back to
- 1:44Speaker 3: business and and uh, you know, tend to to Tesla
- 1:47Speaker 3: more than I have been, you know, since last year.
- 1:51Speaker 4: So I have to ask this question, is there a
- 1:54Speaker 4: board here at this company that can reign Elon Musk?
- 1:57Speaker 3: Here? There is, You wouldn't necessarily know it from the
- 2:02Speaker 3: actions of the board, right, you know, to the extent
- 2:05Speaker 3: that we've heard from the board recently, it's been to say,
- 2:09Speaker 3: you know, Elon's are our guy.
- 2:12Speaker 5: You know.
- 2:12Speaker 3: They they batted down a report in the Wall Street
- 2:16Speaker 3: Journal just in the last few months about you know,
- 2:18Speaker 3: potential succession planning at the company. I think the sort
- 2:23Speaker 3: of read of that, a close read of that story,
- 2:26Speaker 3: it wasn't necessarily the case that what the journal was
- 2:29Speaker 3: saying was that they are you know, were actively looking
- 2:31Speaker 3: to replace Musk. It was potentially more of a matter
- 2:35Speaker 3: of of you know, sort of doing the job that
- 2:37Speaker 3: you would expect a board to do. I should sort of,
- 2:39Speaker 3: you know, give them a credit in that regard that
- 2:42Speaker 3: at least they're preparing for, you know, the potential of
- 2:46Speaker 3: of needing to to look for a next CEO. But
- 2:49Speaker 3: you know, Musk is very much in control of this
- 2:52Speaker 3: company and that was something that you know, the Delaware
- 2:56Speaker 3: Chancery Court judge who throughout his pay package, you know,
- 3:00Speaker 3: really emphasized in her ruling last year when she said,
- 3:03Speaker 3: you know, he's very much in control of this company
- 3:05Speaker 3: and its board, and you know on those grounds, uh,
- 3:09Speaker 3: you know, throughout his compensation package, which has created you know,
- 3:13Speaker 3: another mess and and you know, I think this you know,
- 3:17Speaker 3: political endeavors, you know, only only complicates the board's attempt
- 3:23Speaker 3: to try and get him him compensated in a in
- 3:26Speaker 3: a way that he's going to be happy with now quick.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Not too long ago, we heard Ilama saying, you know what,
- 3:30Speaker 2: I'm going to get back to it. I'm going to
- 3:32Speaker 2: focus on Tessel. This was after the last earnings and
- 3:35Speaker 2: now we're seeing the shift right, he's talking about this
- 3:38Speaker 2: America Party. I mean, is is this something that investors
- 3:41Speaker 2: should be concerned about? He's kind of going back on his.
- 3:43Speaker 3: Word there, Yeah, I mean, I think you know some
- 3:47Speaker 3: of the it's it's not the only way in which
- 3:49Speaker 3: he's he's sort of undermined himself. And and you know,
- 3:53Speaker 3: potentially you made an investors question the things that he's
- 3:58Speaker 3: been telling them because he also, you know, said to
- 4:01Speaker 3: Bloomberg back in May that our sales are turning around, right,
- 4:05Speaker 3: and that was not born out in the deliveries numbers
- 4:08Speaker 3: that the company reported last week. They had a thirteen
- 4:10Speaker 3: percent year over year decline in worldwide vehicle sales. That
- 4:14Speaker 3: was almost bang on what they posted for the first quarter.
- 4:18Speaker 3: So you know, for him to say, you know that
- 4:21Speaker 3: he thinks in terms of political spendings, he's done enough
- 4:25Speaker 3: that he's going to you know, do a lot less
- 4:26Speaker 3: of it in the future. You know, that was what
- 4:29Speaker 3: he said in May, and this is is pretty much
- 4:32Speaker 3: one hundred and eighty degrees different from from what he
- 4:35Speaker 3: was saying.
- 4:35Speaker 5: Then.
- 4:36Speaker 4: All right, Greig, thank you so much. I appreciate your reporting.
- 4:38Speaker 4: Craig Trudel Global Auto's editor for Bloomberg News.
- 4:42Speaker 6: He is in London.
- 4:43Speaker 4: I mean, it just feels like the brand has suffered damage,
- 4:47Speaker 4: the Tesla brand.
- 4:50Speaker 6: I guess the data will prove that out, and.
- 4:52Speaker 2: That's just kind of expected.
- 4:53Speaker 4: I know, I don't know, but but it seems like
- 4:56Speaker 4: if you do a third party, you're kind of upsetting everybody.
- 5:00Speaker 4: It's like both sides of the aisle. I don't know
- 5:01Speaker 4: how that's a good marketing strategy.
- 5:06Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 5:09Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay, and Android
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- 5:16Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 5:20Speaker 2: All right, well, the House past President Trump's latest tax
- 5:24Speaker 2: and spending bill. But what does that mean for the
- 5:26Speaker 2: pharmaceutical industry? Well, we're about to learn more. I introduce
- 5:30Speaker 2: to you Sam Fazzelli. He's Bloomberg with Intelligence, Director of
- 5:33Speaker 2: Research for Global Industry Senior Pharmaceuticals. Sam, I want to
- 5:36Speaker 2: start there. I mean, what does this mean for pharma?
- 5:41Speaker 5: So the one big beautiful bill had in it a
- 5:46Speaker 5: couple of things, many things, obviously, I can't remember how
- 5:49Speaker 5: many pages it was supposed to be. But for the
- 5:51Speaker 5: farmer industry, I'm going to focus on two things right now.
- 5:54Speaker 5: Right one is a good thing. So there is an
- 5:56Speaker 5: orphan drug change and impacts the IRA and actually impacts
- 6:02Speaker 5: some really big drugs. Here. What's an ophan drug. When
- 6:05Speaker 5: you develop a drug for a patient population that less
- 6:07Speaker 5: than two hundred thousand in the US, you called an
- 6:10Speaker 5: orphan drug. You get a special exemption. It really helps
- 6:14Speaker 5: you in terms of your duration of time that it
- 6:17Speaker 5: can be on the market. It's a respective of your
- 6:20Speaker 5: patent expiry. It was all set up to help companies
- 6:24Speaker 5: develop drugs for these underserved markets. Two hundred thousand. Okay,
- 6:28Speaker 5: it's not small. It's not big, but it's not that small.
- 6:31Speaker 5: So it helped. One of the big drugs that had
- 6:34Speaker 5: this was Cutruder, which is the biggest selling drug at
- 6:37Speaker 5: the minute, and that's for cancer from merk. So when
- 6:40Speaker 5: IRA came along, it said, what we're going to do
- 6:44Speaker 5: is say your drug twenty fourteen approval for Truder under
- 6:48Speaker 5: orphan drug. Great, if you're an ophen drug, you don't
- 6:52Speaker 5: fall into IRA the renegotiation or price and all that.
- 6:55Speaker 5: But as soon as you get another indication then that
- 6:57Speaker 5: clock starts from the original date of approval. So if
- 7:01Speaker 5: you had a drug orphant drug in twenty fourteen and
- 7:03Speaker 5: you get some other indication in twenty twenty two, they
- 7:06Speaker 5: date back to count the clock counting to twenty fourteen.
- 7:09Speaker 5: That was terrible. It really means that nobody would want
- 7:12Speaker 5: to do multi indication tests, et cetera. So that's been changed.
- 7:18Speaker 5: Once an ophn drug is you can keep that drug date.
- 7:21Speaker 5: And so what does that mean for Ktruder from Merk
- 7:24Speaker 5: one extra year before price negotiations by Medicare, and that's
- 7:28Speaker 5: a twenty thirty billion dollar drug selling something like fifty
- 7:33Speaker 5: percent of his revenues in the US. That's a huge
- 7:36Speaker 5: win for the industry.
- 7:37Speaker 4: Sam, I'm looking at some of the bigger names, the
- 7:39Speaker 4: Mark down eighteen percent, and you know some of these
- 7:41Speaker 4: other names, the big farmer companies, Bristol Meyers down seventeen percent.
- 7:45Speaker 4: Is the markets? What's that reflect?
- 7:47Speaker 5: That?
- 7:47Speaker 6: Just uncertainty around trade, around teriffs.
- 7:51Speaker 5: All of it. So on the one hand, we've got
- 7:53Speaker 5: this positive. On the other hand, we have two big
- 7:56Speaker 5: things hanging over the farmer industry in general. One is
- 8:01Speaker 5: the tariffs, sectoral tariffs that are still being discussed. We
- 8:05Speaker 5: don't know yet. This is to try and incentivize companies
- 8:08Speaker 5: to bring their products to a manufacturing into the US
- 8:12Speaker 5: if they want to sell in the US market, et cetera.
- 8:14Speaker 5: If we did hear that perhaps in the trade deal
- 8:17Speaker 5: with the Switzerland they're giving a special dispensation for the
- 8:21Speaker 5: Swiss farmer companies rash and no artists and their shore
- 8:24Speaker 5: prices were up. But we don't know. We haven't seen
- 8:26Speaker 5: this trade deal yet. And then you've got the most
- 8:29Speaker 5: favored nation, which is the one that's particularly draconian, and
- 8:33Speaker 5: that is to say that whatever price do you want
- 8:35Speaker 5: to charge in the US, it's got to be closer
- 8:38Speaker 5: to the lower end of companies with a similar GDP
- 8:43Speaker 5: or something in the West. So that really is where
- 8:47Speaker 5: I think the biggest problem is we haven't heard anything,
- 8:50Speaker 5: but that's still under discussion and under consideration. Might be
- 8:53Speaker 5: another six to nine months before we hear anything.
- 8:55Speaker 4: Sam Another big I guess component of this administration policy
- 9:00Speaker 4: has been cutting funding or maybe threatening the cut funding
- 9:03Speaker 4: for research universities. And I have long experience with Duke University,
- 9:07Speaker 4: which is a huge medical center and research area. Here's
- 9:12Speaker 4: what's your industry saying about those potential cuts.
- 9:16Speaker 5: Yeah, the industry itself is relatively quiet, Paul, because what
- 9:19Speaker 5: they don't want to do is is, I don't know
- 9:22Speaker 5: whether the right phrases here, shake the target, tiger's cage
- 9:24Speaker 5: or whatever, you know, rattle the whole set here. But
- 9:29Speaker 5: in reality, there is a I think what I heard
- 9:32Speaker 5: the last number was a twelve percent increase in applications
- 9:36Speaker 5: to some of the top universities in Europe versus what
- 9:39Speaker 5: they were last year from the US. So that's folks
- 9:43Speaker 5: that would have gone to or wanted to go to Harvard,
- 9:46Speaker 5: they're now looking at Oxford, Cambridge, Siance, Pool, et cetera,
- 9:50Speaker 5: these very brilliant universities across Europe. So there's that issue.
- 9:53Speaker 5: But remember in the OBBB there's also another area where
- 9:57Speaker 5: there is a cup to mediciate spending. That's a million
- 10:00Speaker 5: Medicaid covered folks that lose it. That will also have
- 10:04Speaker 5: repercussions for pharma companies, healthcare in general. And of course
- 10:08Speaker 5: you go to a hospital you don't have insurance, they're
- 10:11Speaker 5: going to treat you. Who's going to pay for that?
- 10:13Speaker 5: It's going to go on your premium. There's a tax
- 10:16Speaker 5: on you, you know, let's see how this all pans out.
- 10:19Speaker 5: But not good there either.
- 10:21Speaker 2: All right, Sam, I want to talk about the Medicaid cuts.
- 10:24Speaker 2: I'm going to kind of put you on the spot there,
- 10:25Speaker 2: but it's going to affect insurers who focus on Medicaid.
- 10:29Speaker 2: They might lose customers. So what does this mean for like,
- 10:32Speaker 2: let's say Elevant's Health, United Health companies that do deal
- 10:35Speaker 2: with this.
- 10:37Speaker 5: Yeah, so they are clearly under pressure and there's a
- 10:39Speaker 5: risk for them. And one of the issues is exactly
- 10:43Speaker 5: what you just said. You know, this is completely upsetting
- 10:47Speaker 5: the card here for the insurance in general. The point is,
- 10:51Speaker 5: I'm not convinced that they will necessarily lose out. I mean,
- 10:55Speaker 5: we have dedicated expert analysts who cover the sector, et cetera.
- 10:58Speaker 5: But usually what's going to happen is that if they're
- 11:01Speaker 5: not making money elsewhere, they're going to try and raise
- 11:03Speaker 5: premium somewhere else, which is what I said to start with,
- 11:06Speaker 5: that there will be a way that they'll get through this.
- 11:10Speaker 5: But clearly uncertainty in the new time.
- 11:13Speaker 6: There's that word again, uncertainty.
- 11:14Speaker 4: We heard her so many times the day across so
- 11:17Speaker 4: many different industries. Sam Fazelli, thanks so much for your time.
- 11:19Speaker 4: Always appreciate checking in with you. Sam Fazzelli. He's a
- 11:22Speaker 4: director of Research for Global Industries, Senior Pharmaceuticals and Senior
- 11:26Speaker 4: Wine analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence.
- 11:28Speaker 6: Based over there in London.
- 11:32Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 11:36Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay and Android
- 11:39Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 11:43Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 11:46Speaker 2: All right, we're going to shift gears now. I want
- 11:48Speaker 2: to take us to honorad Rona. He is Bloomberg Intelligence
- 11:50Speaker 2: Technology analyst corwe That is the big headline buying Core Scientific.
- 11:56Speaker 2: It's an all stock transaction, an rog. I want to
- 11:59Speaker 2: bring you in and talk about this for core Weve.
- 12:01Speaker 2: What is the benefit from this? What do they gain
- 12:03Speaker 2: from this?
- 12:05Speaker 7: Mean, think about it that they have capacity to process
- 12:08Speaker 7: ex summer of transactions or the backlock that they have
- 12:11Speaker 7: with this particular deal, they are expanding their infrastructure.
- 12:14Speaker 5: I mean it's a very simple deal.
- 12:15Speaker 7: As if you know, they're just buying more factories to
- 12:18Speaker 7: produce what they do. So is you know, it's it's
- 12:21Speaker 7: as simple as that.
- 12:22Speaker 6: All right, So this.
- 12:23Speaker 4: I'm not a tech person, so, but I know, tell
- 12:27Speaker 4: us what Core We've is, what do they do and
- 12:30Speaker 4: why are they shouting out nine billion dollars to get bigger?
- 12:33Speaker 6: I guess yeah.
- 12:35Speaker 7: So in the purest of pure forms, they are just
- 12:38Speaker 7: renting computing resources to anybody that wants to run an
- 12:41Speaker 7: AI infrastructure.
- 12:42Speaker 5: They are a very big Invidia shop.
- 12:44Speaker 7: They basically buy GPUs from Invidia, They create a network
- 12:48Speaker 7: or an infrastructure, and they give it to people to
- 12:50Speaker 7: go out and experiment or do whatever they need to
- 12:53Speaker 7: do on that infrastructure. It's no different than what AWS does,
- 12:57Speaker 7: but very heavy focus on GPUs rather than the CPO.
- 13:00Speaker 7: So that's really the big difference between a pure play
- 13:03Speaker 7: provider like Core Weve versus Amazon Web Services.
- 13:06Speaker 2: Now, if you can dig into some of the background,
- 13:09Speaker 2: what kind of challenges has has Core We've had in
- 13:12Speaker 2: the past. I mean, didn't they have a pretty dismal IPO.
- 13:15Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 13:15Speaker 7: I think that's really the most important thing is, you know,
- 13:18Speaker 7: they everybody thought when they're going to come out as
- 13:20Speaker 7: the first pure play you know AI infrastructure IPO, it's
- 13:24Speaker 7: going to be extremely popular, but it didn't happen. And
- 13:27Speaker 7: the reason for that is because they need a large
- 13:30Speaker 7: amount of upfront capital to build these data centers, and
- 13:33Speaker 7: then the workload comes in over the.
- 13:35Speaker 5: Next several years.
- 13:36Speaker 7: So there's a lot of questions about whether there's going
- 13:39Speaker 7: to be sustainability of this GPU demand going forward several
- 13:43Speaker 7: years out. So that's why you were right. The IPO
- 13:45Speaker 7: came at forty. In a few days, it was down
- 13:47Speaker 7: to thirty five. But now we're seeing you know, the
- 13:50Speaker 7: stock closer won sixty before this deal was announced, so
- 13:53Speaker 7: I you know, we have talked about it before that.
- 13:55Speaker 7: You know, why aren't they doing a secondary when it's
- 13:57Speaker 7: like one hundred and sixty blucks stocks of what they
- 13:59Speaker 7: did instead? It is they use their stock to go
- 14:02Speaker 7: out and buy another competitor I should say competitor, but
- 14:05Speaker 7: you know, another company in that space, so that it
- 14:08Speaker 7: expands their capacity, and you know, I think they're doing
- 14:10Speaker 7: the right thing by using stock at this point.
- 14:13Speaker 4: Are there more core weaves out there on a round
- 14:16Speaker 4: kind of more pure play AI stories, maybe the kind
- 14:20Speaker 4: of the sausage of AI if you will, the guts
- 14:24Speaker 4: that somebody could take public.
- 14:27Speaker 7: There are multiples of them there, but they are much
- 14:29Speaker 7: smaller size in korby they I would say there would
- 14:32Speaker 7: be hundreds of them at this point, because you know,
- 14:35Speaker 7: you go out, you buy the GPU, you go out
- 14:37Speaker 7: and start renting it out in the in you know,
- 14:40Speaker 7: in a long time ago, this high powered computing was
- 14:42Speaker 7: used for bitcoin mining, and then you know, when that's
- 14:45Speaker 7: not in favor, these guys are renting out their infrastructure
- 14:48Speaker 7: for other reasons. So there are other plays out there,
- 14:51Speaker 7: but almost all of them are much smaller than core
- 14:54Speaker 7: Viv from a you know, pure play point of view.
- 14:57Speaker 2: Now we digged into corewey, what about Core Scientific, what's
- 15:00Speaker 2: the attraction to them?
- 15:03Speaker 7: I mean, it's just they're expanding the number of you know,
- 15:05Speaker 7: the capacity that they have to process the transactions. In
- 15:08Speaker 7: a sense that Corvieve is a massive backlock right now
- 15:11Speaker 7: they have people wanting to use their services, and then
- 15:14Speaker 7: these guys have to go out and lease it from
- 15:16Speaker 7: you know, other companies like our Scientific In this case,
- 15:19Speaker 7: they said, you know, they have an agreement with them
- 15:21Speaker 7: to lease their facilities. They just said, you know, we'll
- 15:25Speaker 7: buy it out and expand their size. And I think
- 15:27Speaker 7: that's as simple as that.
- 15:28Speaker 4: And I think I have to point out Lisa core
- 15:31Speaker 4: Weave based in Livingston, New New Jersey.
- 15:34Speaker 6: Yes, so it just goes to my folks.
- 15:36Speaker 4: A little history lesson. Before there was Silicon Valley, there
- 15:40Speaker 4: was New Jersey. There was Central Jersey, the Institute for
- 15:43Speaker 4: Advanced Study, Princeton University, Menlo Park, New Jersey. Before there's
- 15:48Speaker 4: a Menlo Park, California, Menlo. Before there's a sand Hill
- 15:50Speaker 4: road in Silicon Valley, there's a sand Hill.
- 15:53Speaker 6: Road in Jersey. So it all, there's all these Jersey
- 15:56Speaker 6: guys went on New Jersey is back in New Jersey.
- 15:59Speaker 6: All right, an, thank you so much. We appreciate it.
- 16:00Speaker 4: On a rock ron Eastern technologyannels for Bloomberg Intelligence. He's
- 16:04Speaker 4: in at Chicago. You're trying to establish Chicago as a
- 16:07Speaker 4: technology hub.
- 16:08Speaker 6: Here.
- 16:10Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 16:14Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 16:17Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 16:20Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 16:24Speaker 2: We want to move on now to the latest TikTok news.
- 16:27Speaker 2: We're going to bring a man deep saying Bloomberg Intelligence
- 16:29Speaker 2: senior tech industry analysts. Okay, so Mandy, President Trump getting
- 16:32Speaker 2: ready to begin talks with China. About a possible TikTok
- 16:35Speaker 2: deal to sell the app. Want to ask you, where
- 16:37Speaker 2: do we stand in this right now?
- 16:39Speaker 6: What is the latest?
- 16:40Speaker 8: I mean, from what we know, President Trump is pretty
- 16:43Speaker 8: confident that there is a buyer. In fact, there could
- 16:46Speaker 8: be private equity buyers at Consortium who may be interested
- 16:51Speaker 8: in buying TikTok us. And at this point, you know,
- 16:55Speaker 8: they want to make sure that it goes through in
- 16:58Speaker 8: terms of getting the approval from China. But in the
- 17:01Speaker 8: process they've launched a new app, TikTok Has, and that
- 17:06Speaker 8: sort of suggests they want to decouple the algorithm from
- 17:09Speaker 8: the core TikTok usage. So that was also a point
- 17:14Speaker 8: of contention in terms of getting the approval. So I
- 17:18Speaker 8: think the two go hand in hand, that one there
- 17:21Speaker 8: is a buyer available and the other the app is
- 17:23Speaker 8: getting a changeover in terms of decoupling the algorithm.
- 17:26Speaker 4: All right, So am I going to have effectively two
- 17:30Speaker 4: tiktoks out there? The TikTok app we all know and love,
- 17:34Speaker 4: and then something that they are doubling internally is M two.
- 17:38Speaker 4: So now there's gonna be two effective TikTok apps out
- 17:42Speaker 4: there for all these people.
- 17:44Speaker 8: Yes, and look with apps, there's always like a date
- 17:49Speaker 8: when the first app will obviously be phased out and
- 17:54Speaker 8: folks won't have access to it. I mean, remember what
- 17:57Speaker 8: happened during the band you know that wasn't even available.
- 18:01Speaker 8: So in this case, the plan is if and when
- 18:04Speaker 8: the deal gets announced and the new TikTok owner which
- 18:08Speaker 8: we don't know who will be ye, will get access
- 18:11Speaker 8: to the new app, and then the first one gets
- 18:13Speaker 8: paced down.
- 18:14Speaker 2: All right, So my kids want to know, asking, okay,
- 18:18Speaker 2: is there any chance of none of this going through,
- 18:21Speaker 2: like just TikTok disappearing from the US in general, they'd
- 18:25Speaker 2: be devastated, Mandy.
- 18:27Speaker 8: Look, it happened for two days, the app went dark,
- 18:30Speaker 8: and at that time Instagram got a very nice pop
- 18:33Speaker 8: in terms of engagement. So from that perspective, this will
- 18:38Speaker 8: be all positive news for a meta snapchat or you know,
- 18:42Speaker 8: even if dual lingo was mentioned as a beneficiary of
- 18:46Speaker 8: app and dark. Yeah, I know, it's all very intuitive,
- 18:49Speaker 8: but it did happen. In the data you could see
- 18:51Speaker 8: for those two days, duel Lingo did get a pop
- 18:54Speaker 8: in the engagement time.
- 18:56Speaker 6: All right.
- 18:56Speaker 4: I mean, you gotta spend your time somehow, go forbid
- 18:58Speaker 4: reading a book says the father. You know, Okay, so China.
- 19:04Speaker 4: If I'm China, what's my incentive to approve a sale
- 19:07Speaker 4: to say, a group maybe including some like an Oracle,
- 19:11Speaker 4: what's my incentive?
- 19:13Speaker 8: The incentive is it's the President of the United States
- 19:16Speaker 8: who is negotiating the deal, you know. And this is
- 19:20Speaker 8: part of a much bigger conversation when it comes to
- 19:24Speaker 8: China tariffs and everything that they are negotiating. So TikTok
- 19:29Speaker 8: deal to me, is part of that bigger negotiation now,
- 19:33Speaker 8: and President Trump is obviously keen to have a deal
- 19:36Speaker 8: for TikTok Us. He doesn't want the app to be banned,
- 19:39Speaker 8: and as part of that, he wants some concessions on
- 19:42Speaker 8: the tariff front. So to me, this is part of
- 19:45Speaker 8: a much bigger negotiation.
- 19:46Speaker 2: Now you mentioned Oracle, it's Oracle, the only name being
- 19:49Speaker 2: thrown around.
- 19:50Speaker 8: They are the trusted one when it comes to Washington.
- 19:53Speaker 8: They are among all the hyperscalers. I think they get
- 19:56Speaker 8: the trust of the President in terms of moving.
- 19:59Speaker 2: Ahead with what's the drug? Why Oracle?
- 20:01Speaker 8: Well, Oracle clearly hosts all the back end infrastructure for TikTok,
- 20:07Speaker 8: So this has been going on a while and they
- 20:09Speaker 8: have moved all the back end infrastructure to Oracles platform,
- 20:14Speaker 8: and they clearly have some sort of synergy when it
- 20:17Speaker 8: comes to hosting that making sure nothing gets saved in
- 20:21Speaker 8: Chinese data centers and none of the data gets transferred there.
- 20:25Speaker 8: So I think they're in the best position to do.
- 20:27Speaker 4: That thirty seconds. Any sense of timing when this could happen.
- 20:31Speaker 8: It sounded like President Trump is confident about this happening
- 20:35Speaker 8: over the course of the next ninety days, because remember
- 20:38Speaker 8: he extended the band by another ninety days, so to
- 20:40Speaker 8: do that, that would be my guest.
- 20:41Speaker 4: All right, Man Deep, thank you so much.
- 20:43Speaker 6: Appreciate that.
- 20:43Speaker 4: Man Deep, seeing senior tech industry anust, I can't imagine
- 20:47Speaker 4: he's on TikTok, but you never know Bloomberg Intelligence learnings
- 20:50Speaker 4: here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio at Lisa.
- 20:52Speaker 6: Are you a TikToker?
- 20:54Speaker 2: I am not, but I will Actually I take that back,
- 20:56Speaker 2: I am because I have to follow my kids to
- 20:58Speaker 2: make sure to spy on them, you know, so I
- 21:01Speaker 2: have to join in.
- 21:02Speaker 4: All right, all right, I don't know, and it's it's
- 21:04Speaker 4: big for one hundred and seventy million US users.
- 21:08Speaker 6: I know, I know exactly. He's all over that stuff.
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