Latest / AST SpaceMobile Podcast / Anpanman - Spectrum Alchemy: Decoding AST SpaceMobile's 10x Performance Patent
Transcript
- 0:06This is the AST Space Mobile podcast and we.
- 0:11Just basically from the phone and be seamless regardless of
- 0:14where you are. We don't want the user even to
- 0:16know that it's connected by satellite, Satellite, listen,
- 0:21the opportunity that we have is very, very, very large.
- 0:27Everyone, thanks for joining. I figured I'd fire up a space
- 0:30and talk about this patent that was filed over last week, which
- 0:36revealed quite a bit on a bell and the company's plans to
- 0:41optimize spectrum. And, you know, I'll first say
- 0:44that I'm not an RF expert. And a lot of this was, you know,
- 0:49due to being informed by various, you know, AI models.
- 0:54But, you know, I think probably Katzy is better equipped to
- 0:58actually go through the nitty gritty.
- 1:00But I think it's important at a high level, which is what I'm
- 1:02going to talk about, to understand what this means.
- 1:05And so, yeah, if for those that didn't see AST filed this
- 1:10patent, which I believe was filed last year, but then it was
- 1:13finally published this year. I don't know if that's due to
- 1:16confidentially confidentiality reasons, but this patent is
- 1:20really big, right? Because I think we've heard a
- 1:23bell for the first time in the fourth quarter earnings call
- 1:27talk about how through various techniques they would be able to
- 1:30get near term 3X the performance.
- 1:34And that's three X presumably off of what they were talking
- 1:38before, which is 120 megahertz megabits per second speeds,
- 1:42which I think the underlying assumption is 40 megahertz of
- 1:45spectrum. So that's about 3 bits per Hertz
- 1:49of efficiency. And just give people a sense for
- 1:53how that compares to terrestrial systems.
- 1:55I think terrestrial towers are somewhere around 7:00 to 9:00
- 1:59bits per Hertz in terms of efficiency and, and traditional
- 2:02satellite performance typically is around 1:00 to 2:00 bits per
- 2:07Hertz. And the reason why that is, is
- 2:09that you get terrestrial systems, you know, you've got
- 2:12buildings, trees, all these different things.
- 2:14And so there's various techniques.
- 2:15For example, terrestrial systems actually use dual, dual
- 2:18polarization, but they do it in a physical sense, like they have
- 2:23two antennas at 45° angles and one's putting out, I guess, you
- 2:28know, vertical waves or vertical frequency and the other one's
- 2:31doing horizontal. Whereas what AST is doing with
- 2:33its very large aperture, which by the way, you can't do this
- 2:36stuff unless you have a very, very large phased array.
- 2:40But what AST is doing is doing that dynamically.
- 2:43So it is able to transmit essentially 2 channels on the
- 2:48same frequency to your phone. And the reason why that's
- 2:51important is that your phone, when you're walking around, it
- 2:55can be oriented in different ways.
- 2:57And so the, the, the direction of the antenna changes.
- 3:00So, but for the large phased array, by doing this on a, for
- 3:07terrestrial systems, they do it constantly for each of the
- 3:10antennas, whereas what ASC is doing, they're going to be
- 3:13sending you signals in a, in a burst manner in both directions,
- 3:16right? And so by doing this, they're
- 3:19effectively able to double the highway lanes that they're able
- 3:22to communicate to the phone, which is pretty extraordinary.
- 3:26It's something that Abell talked about back in 2017, 2018 in one
- 3:33of the articles, he talked about MIMO and other optimization
- 3:37techniques. But now we're actually seeing
- 3:39these things come out. And so it's it's pretty damn
- 3:42impressive. I think with this polarization,
- 3:46transparent switching and better scheduling, I think that's where
- 3:49you're able to make better use of the satellite aperture and
- 3:53spectrum to, you know, unmodified phones.
- 3:57And so that's probably where the 3X claim comes from.
- 3:59And then Whatabelle talked about with the AST 5000 chip and
- 4:05utilizing AI and I'm reading this directly from this this
- 4:10chatbot, but the 10X longer, longer term claim is probably
- 4:14something related to AI allowing you to dynamically optimize
- 4:19polarization beams, time slash frequency resources, power, MCS
- 4:25and interference across constellation.
- 4:28And then with the same megahertz, the, the satellites
- 4:31can carry much more traffic, far more traffic, right.
- 4:35And so I think this is where I remember in one of the
- 4:38conversations talking to the company, they were talking about
- 4:42how, for example, 3 GPP is is inefficient and there's various
- 4:45ways you can optimize it to extract more performance.
- 4:49And so yeah, that's really exciting.
- 4:53I think just looking at, you know, the way to stack this
- 5:00performance, at least this is how AI thinks about it.
- 5:03You know, polar polarization mismatch recovery that could be
- 5:06at 1.5 to three times, you know, improvement, better MCS and
- 5:10higher signal noise ratio 1.5 to three times better user grouping
- 5:15and scheduling, 1.2 to two times more aggressive frequency reused
- 5:182 to 4 times better beam forming in power optimization, 1.2 to
- 5:23two time then ASIC software and ran maturity that can be 1.5 to
- 5:29three times efficiency. So there's a lot to unpack here
- 5:32in terms of unpack meaning improvements over time, right?
- 5:37And so I think it's important for in any of these programs
- 5:41where, for example, you know, let's let's take SpaceX and
- 5:44Falcon 9 when it first launched, you know, they had the first
- 5:49iteration of engines and you know, that things were not fully
- 5:51optimized, but over time, that vehicle became way cheaper and
- 5:56had a higher performance as they made incremental improvements.
- 5:59And so with AST, we're already seeing that happen where the
- 6:03company, you know, Bell talked about this at Bluebird 7 launch
- 6:08in the morning, he for the first time disclosed that they were
- 6:11able to get over 160 megabits per second performance.
- 6:16And so that's a big improvement over 120.
- 6:19And so I think you're going to see these incremental step
- 6:20functions. And why this is important is
- 6:23that as Katzie has discussed in the past, spectrum will always
- 6:27find its way to the most efficient use, right?
- 6:30And so where a lot of a decent amount of spectrum, well, first
- 6:35of all, the, the, the fallow spectrum that's not lit up in
- 6:38dead zones, that's going to find its most efficient, you know,
- 6:42find its way to the most efficient use, which is AST
- 6:44space mobile Bluebirds. And perhaps over time you'll see
- 6:50AT&T and Verizon actually dedicate low band spectrum fully
- 6:55to to satellite service or they, you know, they might allocate
- 7:01more unused spectrum in these bed zones to the service, right.
- 7:05So after they see that it's working and, and you know,
- 7:08consumers are enjoying the experience, might say, OK, well,
- 7:11let's free up more 800 and 700 megahertz in those dead, dead
- 7:14zone areas to AST. Why not, right?
- 7:16We're going to, we're going to leverage that spectrum and, and
- 7:21put it to, to use because otherwise it's not being used.
- 7:23But then, you know, the next logical set would be perhaps we
- 7:27should just free up an entire band globally, widen that out,
- 7:31maybe 5 by 510 by or not globally, sorry, within the
- 7:34region. So 5 by 510 by 10 and that could
- 7:38serve as an additional capacity layer, right?
- 7:43And so that could be in the cards too for low band spectrum.
- 7:46However, moving over to mid band spectrum for Legato, this makes
- 7:51that spectrum way more valuable, which is obviously the spectrum
- 7:55that the company owns, right it for the next 80 years.
- 7:59And so if they're able to extract additional performance
- 8:02out of that spectrum, how much is it worth?
- 8:04Like if you were valuing it at 15 to $20 billion today?
- 8:10And that's value, meaning, you know, it's, it's, it's going to
- 8:13be properly deployed, which by the way, like we talked about
- 8:16this idea of spectrum alchemy. For the longest time that L band
- 8:21spectrum was contested because GPS, the military, they did not
- 8:25want it used for terrestrial purposes, meaning back in the
- 8:29daylight squared was going to put up a bunch of terrestrial
- 8:31towers, run it at pretty high power and then provide fixed
- 8:38wireless service. That was the original intent.
- 8:39So they were going to some under what Clearwire.
- 8:43Clearwire was trying to do in the 2.4 or sorry, two dots yeah
- 8:462.42 dot six gigahertz spectrum which Clearwire you know that
- 8:51was a big high cap X project that Intel and a bunch of other
- 8:56tech companies backed because they were going to change
- 8:59wireless Internet and provide fixed wireless to your home.
- 9:02That failed and then ultimately it was bought by Sprint and then
- 9:05Sprint was rolled into T-Mobile. But light squirt had a similar
- 9:10vision right. Over many years they tried to
- 9:12rule out terrestrial service and they got a massive push back
- 9:17from the GPS alliance Wi-Fi, you know Department of Defense.
- 9:23But then they they ultimately did get FCC approval for
- 9:26terrestrial use. However, they just couldn't get
- 9:29there in terms of funding and, and you know, getting a proper
- 9:33business plan in place, but that that was also that potential,
- 9:37you know, interference concern was always there and was a big,
- 9:42a big shadow over the project. Whereas now under AST's control,
- 9:47given that we have these large aperture satellites that can,
- 9:51you know, beam down the very specific, you know, service
- 9:57without interfering in adjacent spectrum, we've unlocked the
- 10:02value of this spectrum and we're using for its original intent,
- 10:05which is from satellite to user device, not terrestrial towers
- 10:09to user devices, right. And so we've, you know, it's
- 10:14funny enough because like there's, there's detractors like
- 10:17from Biosad and obviously Biosad after this deal happening
- 10:21between Legato and AST and Biosad agreeing, Hey, we'll help
- 10:23you out. And then they, they realizing
- 10:26strategic mistake they did, they made, you know, they've tried to
- 10:30put a wrench into things and then they've got slapped down by
- 10:33the judge. But but it's funny because
- 10:36there's only one player that can actually utilize the spectrum
- 10:38properly. It's AST.
- 10:39It's not, it's not ViaSat, it's not Starlink, it's not any
- 10:43number of players because they just don't have the technology
- 10:46right. For example, you know, Katzie
- 10:48pointed out astutely that Starlink uses circular
- 10:52circularization, circular polarization, which is not the
- 10:56same as what we're doing. And so they can't derive the
- 10:58same efficiency benefits. But also, you know, they have
- 11:02smaller phased arrays. They don't have the same
- 11:04technology that we do. They're trying to get there for
- 11:06B2, but they don't have the ability to put down very precise
- 11:12cell beams. They don't have beam forming.
- 11:14They don't have, you know, that's a regenerative
- 11:16architecture. And so until they are able to
- 11:20get to the next satellite, they're not going to have the
- 11:22same mobile performance. On top of that, for Starlink to
- 11:26truly work, they need a contiguous band of spectrum.
- 11:29They can't actually put down specific cells like like we can,
- 11:33right? And so that's why T-Mobile had
- 11:36to give them an entire block of of PCSG block spectrum 5 by 5 in
- 11:42order for the surface to work. And even then, as, as we've
- 11:44heard from Starlink's the former head of growth, the project, the
- 11:50product is shitty, right? And so you've got to wait for
- 11:53the next generation and will they get there?
- 11:55Who knows, right? But what was interesting in my
- 11:58research over the weekend is that what we're doing
- 12:01specifically is enabled by having a very massive phased
- 12:04array. Because in order to efficiently
- 12:07try to pull this off you, you actually need very, you need
- 12:11many antenna elements in a large phased array in order to provide
- 12:15this, this level of efficiency. And what we learned by the way,
- 12:19over the weekend or sorry, not over the weekend, but at launch,
- 12:22this wasn't one of my direct conversations, but it was a
- 12:25conversation that someone else had sitting next to one of the
- 12:29folks at AST Space Mobile. And I unfortunately in the bus
- 12:33ride there bus ride back, I did not get to sit next to anyone
- 12:37from AST, but I heard a number of Nuggets from people who did.
- 12:41But I mean, no surprise like there there is a plan to even
- 12:45make A to make a larger phased array.
- 12:47So if you guys were recalled, the original plan was to do a
- 12:5130m by 30m phased array. And then of course the block 1
- 12:56Bluebirds were was it 88 by 8 meters and then this the block 2
- 13:03Bluebirds are 15 by 15 meters. But eventually you probably
- 13:07going to see that get to 20 to 25, right?
- 13:10Because you gain performance and efficiency by putting a larger
- 13:15phased array out there. And so while competitors are
- 13:18trying to get to, you know, for Starling V2, they're trying to
- 13:21go from 2.5 to 2.5 by 2.5 meters, which is the current V1.
- 13:26They're going to try to get to 5 by 5 for our V2, whereas we're
- 13:31at 15 by 15. And the, the party doesn't stop
- 13:35there like we're, we're probably going to go to 20 by 20 or 25 by
- 13:3925. And so the, the design of, you
- 13:44know, block three, well, it's probably not going to be block
- 13:463. Block 3 will probably utilize
- 13:48the same parameters in terms of size, but I'm sure block 4 is
- 13:53going to be bigger and that that's, that's the plan.
- 13:56Or perhaps there could be some designs where they start
- 14:01grouping satellites where they actually, you know, orbit them
- 14:04as a group and utilize a grouped phase array to do more
- 14:09efficient, you know, beamforming and, and data transmit.
- 14:12So, but yeah, this I, I think it's important to point this out
- 14:16because like when thinking about spectrum and its use, you've got
- 14:21a number of legacy players who say, hey, we're going to provide
- 14:23directed device service. We're going to go to our
- 14:26favorite prime contractor and do by purchase order, try to get a
- 14:31satellite consolation up, which it's fine.
- 14:34Like you can put something up that is maybe narrow band, you
- 14:38know, something IoT based. But in order to do full
- 14:40broadband, you're going to have to innovate yourself, right?
- 14:44And you have to bring that in house.
- 14:45And so I think like I have, I have confidence in Starlink
- 14:49eventually getting to something that's pretty decent, but that's
- 14:52going to take time. And likewise for Amazon, who,
- 14:55you know, they're just getting into the game and they're
- 14:58leveraging. So for the next 4 years, they're
- 15:02going to use Global Star's current constellation with 17
- 15:07more, you know, replenish satellites.
- 15:09And then they're eventually going to move on to MDA Space,
- 15:12which has been building the Aurora satellite.
- 15:15And you know, that they're trying to launch, I think fifty
- 15:18of those within the next few years.
- 15:21And then eventually they're going to come out with their own
- 15:23satellite, right? And so maybe that's like
- 15:2520302031, but but yeah, that will be their first iteration
- 15:31and then we will have been on our, I don't know like 4th
- 15:35generation by then. And so I think at that point if,
- 15:40if AST is able to lock up a vast majority of the 50 M and OS it's
- 15:46working with and it's delivering service.
- 15:47And as we've discussed in the past, our service is fully
- 15:53integrated with the network core, which is, which is great
- 15:56in terms of M and OS being able to offer various, you know,
- 16:01options of, of user level and service, which is great for
- 16:06them. But also on flip side locks us
- 16:08in, you know, makes us a, an integral part of the service
- 16:14offering. So it's really hard to, I guess,
- 16:16RIP and replace. And so you have this like mutual
- 16:19dependence on one another. That's going to be a really
- 16:22tough nut to crack, right. And so when thinking about this
- 16:27service level 2, it's like, OK, well, if Amazon is able to build
- 16:32a phase array that's, I don't know, 5 by 5.
- 16:35And they, they take a cue from some of the things we're doing,
- 16:39which by the way, like if they want to fully upgrade that
- 16:41consolation, at some point, they're going to have to just
- 16:44turn off global star, the old, the old existing consolation and
- 16:49also Aurora. Because like, if you're going to
- 16:50start with a clean sheet, you're going to have to kind of throw
- 16:53everything out that was done before, right?
- 16:55And so maybe they'll just deorbit all the satellites, but
- 16:58that's going to take time and and there's going to be trial
- 17:01and error just like we are seeing first hand in terms of
- 17:05production, which Amazon Leo, the the fixed wireless satellite
- 17:08consolation. I mean that that was many years
- 17:10in the making. And now they're, they're, they
- 17:12have finally got through to a point where they're they're
- 17:15launching or they're, you know, getting up to production cadence
- 17:19to launch more regularly. And so they'll have to go
- 17:21through the same, you know, pain processes, right.
- 17:24But obviously they've got experience in building
- 17:27satellites and that's going to help them to degree.
- 17:28But you can look at Starlink as a prime example of, you know, a
- 17:33provider that has a tremendous amount of experience building a
- 17:37fixed wireless system. You know, a system that is
- 17:40beaming down high speed data to fix dishes that are sit atop
- 17:45your house or, you know, maybe on top of your RV.
- 17:47That's a very different proposition than beaming down
- 17:50broadband to importantly for us, the unmodified phone.
- 17:54But in, in Starlink's case, a phone that is modified that
- 17:58requires certain type of chip in order to receive that service,
- 18:01right? Because there's there's some
- 18:02optimization techniques that they require with on the phone
- 18:05side in order to see the Starlink satellites and predict
- 18:09where they're going to be in order to provide better service,
- 18:13which again, is, is Starlink. Former employees have said is is
- 18:17just is at a shitty level right now.
- 18:19So, but you know, one of the important things about going
- 18:23back to this whole idea of, of implementing additional
- 18:27performance from the spectrum that you have is that that's
- 18:31going to give you an accelerating technology mode,
- 18:35right? Meaning if, if indeed, and, and
- 18:39this is what Starling said that it said, hey, we're going to try
- 18:41to target 150 megabits per second for V2, where will we be?
- 18:45Where will, yeah, where will we be at that time if we're able to
- 18:48get a 3X performance? And we have MIMO where there's
- 18:51multiple satellites that are serving the same cell.
- 18:55You know, previously eval talked about like 750 megabits per
- 18:57second. This is like many years ago.
- 18:59But you know, does that get to 1 Gigabit when you know, 1 gig or
- 19:02does it go to 1.5 gigs? And this is, you know, everyone
- 19:06in within a, a cell sharing the same performance.
- 19:10But but obviously, once you start getting to those numbers,
- 19:13then you can have a lot of simultaneous users.
- 19:15Now, obviously, like as most people know from mobile phones,
- 19:20it's not as if you're streaming something constantly on your
- 19:23phone, even when you're in urban environments or, you know, maybe
- 19:25you're watching a game or something.
- 19:27But even then, like that's not high definition.
- 19:30That's typically standard definition to your phone.
- 19:33But in areas where there's not as many people using it, you
- 19:37know, it's not as if someone's downloading a large application.
- 19:41You're typically using, you know, for browsing, uploading
- 19:45photos from time, downloading photos, looking at some videos,
- 19:47but you know, it's really to like stay connected with loved
- 19:51ones. And so just like your regular,
- 19:54you know, for, for cell phone usage.
- 19:57I think sometimes people have this idea that everybody's going
- 20:00to be watching Netflix at the same time.
- 20:01But if you look at terrestrial towers, like you probably are
- 20:05serving, you know, hundreds or thousands of customers and at
- 20:09only at any given time, maybe a small fraction of those
- 20:11customers are actually accessing network because people are, for
- 20:15example, leveraging Wi-Fi, right?
- 20:16I mean like. When, when talking about usage
- 20:21for your own wireless service, you pay, I mean, I pay like $100
- 20:27a month for, for each my wife and, and my phone 'cause we, we
- 20:31have unlimited plans, but we probably only use them like 5 to
- 20:3510% of the time outside. Most of the time we're, we're
- 20:38connected to Wi-Fi. And so people are, you know,
- 20:42when, when thinking about pricing, it's like, and you
- 20:45know, you have pushback of people saying, well, this
- 20:47service, the pricing is too high.
- 20:49We actually already pay really high prices for what is
- 20:53essentially insurance, right, which is the, the time that
- 20:56you're out, they are not connected to Wi-Fi.
- 20:59You're paying a really huge premium to have that
- 21:01connectivity. And so what's what, what is an
- 21:04additional 5% on your bill or 10% of your bill to have 100%
- 21:08connectivity all the time. But going back to the original
- 21:12point, which, which is the fact that you're able to extract more
- 21:16performance per megahertz of spectrum, you know, go again
- 21:21like space, space applications, satellites typically get like
- 21:24one to two bits per Hertz. We're currently at 3 to 4 bits.
- 21:28The most efficient terrestrial systems are somewhere between
- 21:307:00 to 9:00 Hertz, bits per Hertz.
- 21:33Yeah, if we start pushing that, then then you start getting into
- 21:36this realm of like offering almost if you have enough
- 21:40satellites up offering a comparable level of services
- 21:43terrestrial. And and that's, that becomes
- 21:47really interesting when you're looking at big band spectrum
- 21:49because then AST has, you know, nationwide coverage 45 megahertz
- 21:55in the US and Canada. And so that's really powerful,
- 21:59right? Because then then the carriers
- 22:01can start doing offload, offload traffic to you and pay you for
- 22:05that. Like there's additional money
- 22:06there. It's not just about per
- 22:08subscriber usage, but it's also like, I'm going to pay you,
- 22:12you're going to become a a wholesale capacity provider and
- 22:16I'm going to offload traffic to you.
- 22:18Like that's super powerful, right?
- 22:19And that's not built into the model that people are talking
- 22:21about. The other thing is, is you know,
- 22:25what is, how does that spectrum's value improve, right?
- 22:28Because there's, there's two values for spectrum.
- 22:30One is if you actually buy it and you know, if you, if you buy
- 22:35it in an auction or you buy acquire company, there's,
- 22:38there's a base value that you pay for spectrum, which could
- 22:40be, you know, 70 cents, 8090 cents sometimes for high premium
- 22:45spectrum, it could be $2.00, what we call per megahertz pop.
- 22:49And so that the math there is, if you assume in the US, like
- 22:54340 million users in the US and then you multiply that by the
- 22:59spectrum, that's, that's how you get to.
- 23:01And then you do, you know, that's how you get to this, this
- 23:04value of per megahertz pop. So when people talk about like
- 23:08$0.10 per megahertz pop, you know, that equates to if, if, if
- 23:12you were looking at 100 megahertz of spectrum, that
- 23:14would be $3.4 billion, right? And so in the instance where,
- 23:19and I, I went through this math yesterday just to as an example,
- 23:23right? Like, so if AST is able to
- 23:25extract an additional, I don't know, like, and this is
- 23:30conservative, right? Like if they are able to take 50
- 23:33and I, I use 50 because it's a round Number.
- 23:35But if they're able to take 50 megahertz of spectrum and make
- 23:39it into effectively for satellite use like 150 megahertz
- 23:43of spectrum. So an additional uplift of 100
- 23:45megahertz of capacity right through these efficiency
- 23:48improvements. And this is a 3X, we're not
- 23:50talking about 10X, but 3X if you apply like let's say $0.40 to
- 23:54that across just the US market, like that is worth $13.6
- 23:58billion, right? And so we talked about this idea
- 24:00of legato spectrum value being part of, you know, your, some of
- 24:05the parts analysis where, you know, depending on what your
- 24:08assumptions are, it could be worth 15 billion, it could be
- 24:11worth 20 billion. And then with these efficiency
- 24:14improvements over time at 3X, let's just say 3X and $0.40 per
- 24:18pop, that's like 13.6 billion of additional value, right?
- 24:23Because people need to understand, like spectrum is the
- 24:25lifeblood of the wireless industry.
- 24:27It's finite. There's only so much of it,
- 24:29which is why the FCC is like trying to go back to legacy
- 24:33applications. And we did this with terrestrial
- 24:36TV, by the way. Like we cleared out all these
- 24:38old TV stations to free up, I think it was like 600 megahertz
- 24:41spectrum. And then then, yeah, the FCC
- 24:44went up and auctioned that spectrum, which T-Mobile bought
- 24:46a decent amount because T-Mobile Once Upon a time had no low band
- 24:50spectrum. So their, their service offering
- 24:52was really crappy. It was shitty for anyone who
- 24:55used T-Mobile back in the 90s, like you couldn't, you couldn't
- 24:59go into a building and get service because it was all mid
- 25:02band spectrum. They had no low band spectrum.
- 25:04And so if you were in a building, you lost service.
- 25:08If you like started walking down into the subway, you lost
- 25:10service. It was, it was horrendous.
- 25:12Like even in rural areas, the service is bad because they only
- 25:15had mid band spectrum. And for them, they had T-Mobile
- 25:18had to build out a ton of towers in order to provide coverage.
- 25:22And, and that was an impossible thing to do because it was very
- 25:25expensive. However, because you know, after
- 25:28they merged with Sprint and they had more money, they were able
- 25:31to go buy 600 megahertz spectrum in auction and that really
- 25:35improved their network. And This is why AST space mobile
- 25:39shareholders keep harping on the fact that all of these, these
- 25:42MSS solutions or mid band spectrum solutions like what
- 25:47Starlink is a case point example where they're running on 1.9
- 25:50gigahertz or global stars at 2.4 gigahertz.
- 25:54Like the, you know, they, they don't, they don't have that much
- 25:59spectrum to begin with. They're also utilizing very
- 26:02small aperture satellites. And so those, those services are
- 26:05crappy, right? Like they don't, they don't
- 26:07have, first of all, they will never have good coverage or
- 26:10propagation. And then on top of that, the
- 26:12data, the data that they're delivering, the speeds are, are
- 26:15very slow and there's packet losses.
- 26:16I mean, there's like a whole host of of issues, right?
- 26:18But, but if you're able to build like this layered cake where you
- 26:23have access to low band spectrum and you utilize it, which is the
- 26:26fundamental part of ASD service is having, you know, making sure
- 26:31that you are connected at all times in dead zones, in areas
- 26:35that are on the edge between threshold, the threshold network
- 26:39and in the dead zone, you're going to have coverage, right?
- 26:42And and that's that's why Verizon and AT&T for the longest
- 26:46time took a majority of subscribers in the US market
- 26:49because they had a lock on low band spectrum, which is why
- 26:53Verizon, you know, can you hear me now?
- 26:55That whole, that whole campaign was so effective because Verizon
- 27:01had the best coverage. And yeah, it from in certain
- 27:05areas, it didn't have the best speed, but it didn't matter,
- 27:07right? Like coverage is always going to
- 27:09trump speed. Like in the in, in an area where
- 27:13there's no connectivity, no one cares about speed because like
- 27:17if you, if you're not connected, then what's what's the point of
- 27:19view and worry about speed? You have to have the ability to
- 27:23connect to a network and call someone or send messages or, you
- 27:26know, send images Or if you're, you know, for me, someone who's
- 27:31always closely monitoring the market and if I'm out on
- 27:34vacation, like I need connectivity, like if I'm, if
- 27:37I'm on the beach or I'm camping or skiing, you know, my wife
- 27:43bought these like two way radios for us so we could stay
- 27:46connected to the kids. And it's been the godsend
- 27:47because we now the kids are at their age where they can like go
- 27:51off on their own with their friends.
- 27:53But if I had mobile coverage, then we wouldn't need these
- 27:56walkie talkies, right? Like, and, and we could talk to
- 27:59them on their, their watches, But that's not the case.
- 28:02And imagine like all these ski resorts who have invested in, in
- 28:08connectivity like Wi-Fi or whatever, like you don't need
- 28:10that anymore. It's people are just going to be
- 28:11covered by their, their cell, you know, the cell plans.
- 28:14And so the key thing for AST is like the, the entire service is
- 28:20built upon low band spectrum, right?
- 28:22And so that is a fundamental differentiator that no one else
- 28:26has and no one will have, right? I mean, unless Starlink comes
- 28:31out tomorrow and says, hey, you know, these AST guys who
- 28:34invented the market, they were right again.
- 28:36We first of all, previously are small phased arrays.
- 28:40They're too small. We need to go big and and also
- 28:44we need to go even bigger because we, you know, in order
- 28:47to address low band spectrum, we need to build a much bigger
- 28:50satellite. And in the future, because
- 28:53Starlink has played its hand and made it known that eventually
- 28:56they want to compete with M and OS.
- 28:57Like no one's going to give them that low band spectrum.
- 29:00Like who, who in their right mind would do that?
- 29:02Who is going to enable your biggest direct threat by saying,
- 29:06Oh yeah, here you can lease some of our low band spectrum or
- 29:09we'll enter a partnership with you that that would be
- 29:13strategically, you know, suicidal like a pretty dumb
- 29:16mistake. But you know, you have some
- 29:20bears that say, well, AST they they made a tactical mistake by
- 29:24partnering with the Amanos. That makes like absolutely no
- 29:26sense because the Amanos own the customer.
- 29:28They already have it now they own all the low band spectrum.
- 29:31They're not, they're not ever going to give that up.
- 29:32And if instead of having antagonistic and competitive
- 29:36relationship, like we're going to work with them, right, we're
- 29:39going to make their service better and we're going to share
- 29:42in the UPS with them. And So what better model is
- 29:44there? They, they, they invested in
- 29:47that spectrum, which is worth multiples what they ever paid.
- 29:51And there's no way like we, we would ever be able to buy that
- 29:55spectrum, nor would Starlink. If Starlink, by the way, wanted
- 29:58to get into the carrier business, they would actually
- 30:01have to go out and buy T-Mobile, which I guess when they go
- 30:03public, that's possible. But once they do that, then
- 30:08other carriers around the world be like, oh, these guys are
- 30:10they're, they're coming to eat our lunch.
- 30:12And so I'm not going to let them get a foothold in, in Europe or
- 30:15wherever it is, right. And well, the day that SpaceX
- 30:18buys T-Mobile, that's where Verizon, AT&T are like, OK, I
- 30:21guess, I guess, you know, we're going to fully, more fully
- 30:24integrate with AST. They become an even more
- 30:26critical partner. And then everybody else do like
- 30:29Google, Amazon, everybody is like, OK, we need to work with
- 30:33AST because this, these guys are vertically integrated and, and
- 30:38we've become much bigger competitive and existential
- 30:41threat. Excuse me.
- 30:43But going back to this whole spectrum alchemy thing, again, I
- 30:49think it's important that because of our enabling
- 30:51technology, not only do we are we the only partner that makes
- 30:56Legato possible to get through these interference concerns, But
- 30:59then globally, if you think about, you know, I think ViaSat
- 31:02has has talked about wanting to deploy the XUSL band spectrum
- 31:08for a directed device service And they're going to capitalize
- 31:10it with two other partners for $1 billion.
- 31:12Like as we all know that that's not nearly enough money.
- 31:16And if you're going to do that through a prime contractor, good
- 31:20luck. Like that's going to, there's
- 31:21going to be a lot of inefficiency and and heartache
- 31:24to actually get a consolation up.
- 31:27But AST is the best equipped to do that.
- 31:29And so in my mind, because we have the most profitable part of
- 31:33L band, which is North America and it's going to be hard for
- 31:37them to put up an economic consolation.
- 31:39Eventually, I think Biasat will work something out with AST
- 31:43where we get the rest of L band globally, which I think like,
- 31:49well, first of all, if you look at the contracts that the two
- 31:51company that ASD entered into Obogato, which which Biasat
- 31:56supposedly had supported and then they backed away.
- 31:59We have an ability to go pursue Aliban globally like they can't
- 32:02hinder us. And and that's been part of the
- 32:04legal dispute for quite some time, which funny enough, when
- 32:09Biasat found, well, let me take a step back.
- 32:12So when we entered into this deal with Legato, we paid Legato
- 32:16money and Legato is also, they own some portion of the Laliban
- 32:20and then they're also leasing part of the L band to make it
- 32:23contiguous and, and more robust from ViaSat.
- 32:26And so they owed ViaSat a lot of money.
- 32:28And because they were in bankruptcy, there was, you know,
- 32:31ViaSat was hoping they were like rubbing their hands together.
- 32:33I hope these guys go bankrupt and then were able to buy their
- 32:36spectrum out of, of bankruptcy. But then ASD came in and said,
- 32:39Hey, we've got, we want to enter this long term agreement.
- 32:42We're going to give you a percentage of the revenues from
- 32:45the ongoing business and then for for the US and then we will
- 32:50pay you $420 million, right, which is just enough to pay
- 32:54ViaSat what they were owed. And so for those that are that
- 32:58don't know, like ViaSat was trading at 10 bucks and because
- 33:01AST came in and got them their money, you know, ViaSat was over
- 33:06leveraged and people were like, what are they going to do is
- 33:08business because ViaSat by the way, their core business of
- 33:12providing high speed Internet to airlines is getting the luncheon
- 33:16by Starlink, right? And so now ViaSat, oh, is it,
- 33:20you know, they, they, it's funny 'cause they're, if it wasn't for
- 33:23AST's existence of creating this market and paying them money
- 33:28directly, ViaSat would probably be bankrupt or heading to
- 33:31bankruptcy. However, the stock is completely
- 33:33re rated because people are like, oh, there there's this
- 33:36like new direct to device market.
- 33:37And the speculation is that ViaSat is worth more dead than
- 33:41live like their spectrum, the spectrum rights that they have
- 33:43globally for LBAN are worth a lot, right?
- 33:45And so the idea if you're a vice that shoulder is that you're
- 33:49hoping that this management does not spend money to put up a
- 33:52directive device consolation that they enter into a leasing
- 33:55agreement where they share with some upside with AST or they
- 33:59they sell spectrum to AST or the the dreamers are like, maybe AST
- 34:03will buy them or merge with them, which I think is a silly
- 34:06idea. I don't think it's going to
- 34:07happen, but but it's funny because you have some of these
- 34:11detractors like this guy, this satellite consultant, Stuart
- 34:15Taylor, who by the way, like just for those that don't know,
- 34:19this guy's like an independent consultant.
- 34:21And I put that in quotes because he had been working with Biosat,
- 34:24I think 3 years ago and thought that Biosat was going to, you
- 34:28know, Biosat was going to create this, this unbelievable directed
- 34:32device service, which, you know, it's a legacy satellite company
- 34:36like they have. No, they, they were Pooh poohing
- 34:39this idea for many years. And then, and then all of a
- 34:41sudden they were going to pivot and become a big player in this.
- 34:43And then of course, you know, the stock went from like, I
- 34:45think it was the 30s or 40s down to 10.
- 34:48And then once AST entered into that transaction and highlighted
- 34:52the value of L band spectrum, that's when ViaSat took off and
- 34:55re rated. But this guy, he started, he
- 34:59owns ViaSat chairs. He was down big.
- 35:00And then once, once Biasat became litigious with AST and
- 35:05tried to get out of the deal, that's when he started posting
- 35:08all this fun. So that that's his background.
- 35:10Like he, he, I guess on LinkedIn, some people found
- 35:13these messages. I mean, these posts from three
- 35:16years ago where he talks about how, you know, he's invested in
- 35:19Biosat and he knows Mark Stenberg personally.
- 35:22So clearly he's, you know, this has stopped before he he could
- 35:26make posts that he was an independent, unbiased consultant
- 35:30and he was just commenting with all this fight about AST,
- 35:32whereas, oh, it's clear he's a he's a Biasat shoulder.
- 35:35He knows Mark Dangberg closely. He's done work with Guppy
- 35:37before. So, so and then he became vocal
- 35:40about how negative he was on ASD and that he wanted people to
- 35:44like, I guess he didn't want people to lose their money.
- 35:47It was like back last fall and it happened to coincide with the
- 35:51timing that Biasat became litigious.
- 35:53So anyway that that's that guy's background.
- 35:55So if if he posts stuff, just know the where where he's coming
- 35:59from this worse. But but yeah, for, for, for Asti
- 36:05think well, first of all, going back to the the contract, we, we
- 36:08have the ability to go pursue L band globally.
- 36:11What we have to do though is if we are able to get L band in
- 36:15certain jurisdictions, then we have to make sure that we
- 36:18coordinate with Bisat so we're not interfering with them.
- 36:21But beyond that, we're free to do that.
- 36:23And and so that, that's very valuable because I think when
- 36:27you go to regulators or potential partners, if you're
- 36:32able to whip out like, hey, we can deliver, you know, a
- 36:37spectral efficiency OF567 bits per Hertz for our system and
- 36:43deliver true high speed broadband.
- 36:45And then you've got, you know, some other player that is going
- 36:50to develop a consolation in few years time and hopefully get it
- 36:54deployed and be competitive with AST and Starlink.
- 36:58That's not a very good alternative, right?
- 37:00And so it's going to help the company win additional spectrum
- 37:05globally. And so that's L band.
- 37:07There's also 20 by 20 megahertz of S band that's up for grabs,
- 37:12which was not part of the FCC order being able to go to
- 37:17regulators globally. Like we're going to be able to
- 37:18go to Europe and say, hey, for satellite connect Europe, we are
- 37:23getting spectral efficiency where we're going to be able to
- 37:25deliver, I don't know, within the cell like 200 megabits per
- 37:28second, 250 megabits per second. That's a game changer.
- 37:32And let you know, put Europe aside.
- 37:35Like I think Europe's an attractive market, but I've,
- 37:38I've become more, I guess focused on the Middle Eastern
- 37:43market where we have a very significant partnership the most
- 37:48in terms of financial commitment.
- 37:49I think it's probably the biggest partnership with Saudi
- 37:52Telecom and Saudi Telecom operates in a number of Gulf
- 37:56states. But if you can think about like,
- 37:59like Europe is pretty, you know, it's a pretty compared to the US
- 38:02or, or the Middle East, like it, it's more dense of a population,
- 38:05it's easier to cover terrestrially.
- 38:07But outside of that, of course, if you're, if you're laying on
- 38:10MSS spectrum and providing broadband, it doesn't matter
- 38:13about, you know, terrestrial tower coverage, because this is
- 38:16going to be not only dead zone and and of course, you know,
- 38:20emergency services first responder network, But you can
- 38:23do what I was saying before. You can actually do offloading,
- 38:26like bringing additional capacity to M and OS in times of
- 38:30peak usage where the terrestrial network has too much traffic.
- 38:33Or you can offload some of that satellite, because again, it's
- 38:36like if you get 10 by 10 megahertz is completely separate
- 38:39network that sits on top of terrestrial network.
- 38:42But in the Middle East here you have very large swaths of land
- 38:48and the population centers are very dense.
- 38:51But outside there's a ton of, there's a ton of arid land,
- 38:55right? And, and so connectivity issues
- 38:57are much bigger in the Middle East.
- 38:58And of course, as we know, like the per capita of users in the
- 39:03Middle East is really high, right?
- 39:05Like imagine who are the target customers in Saudi Arabia for
- 39:08Saudi Telecom, 15 dollars, $20.00 a month is probably it's
- 39:14not even, it's not even crumbs under a couch.
- 39:16Like it's, it's, it's not even a, a thing that you think about.
- 39:19Like the for most of the populous, connectivity is
- 39:23important and having a high end plan where they can be connected
- 39:28on their yacht, you know, out in the Gulf, probably not in the
- 39:32Strait of Hormuz, but you know, somewhere else in the Gulf.
- 39:34Or if they're out in the, you know, I, I candidly, I've never
- 39:39been to the least, but I can imagine the, the topography and
- 39:43like where the urban centers are and then the distance between
- 39:46those. But coverage is probably super
- 39:48important, right? And so I think the Middle East
- 39:52quite candidly is, is it could be a much more lucrative market,
- 39:56especially relative to how many users are served there and how
- 40:00much, how little capacity you actually have to allocate to the
- 40:04Middle East versus what the dollars that it brings in.
- 40:07But, but the, the use cases are going to be huge and we have the
- 40:10most key player there, right? And so I think when, when taking
- 40:16account our spectral efficiency like this, there's a big case to
- 40:20be made where you won't need terrestrial towers and, and
- 40:25building out those towers in much of the Middle East because
- 40:27you're just going to lay down satellite coverage, right?
- 40:30And it's going to be way more efficient, especially for that
- 40:32use case. And this this goes also to
- 40:36whether it's like Africa, some of these other areas where you
- 40:41have a large landmass and the population centers are very
- 40:43dense. But to get the incremental
- 40:45coverage for a majority of, you know, the geography, it's just
- 40:50way too expensive terrestrially. So, you know, Latin America,
- 40:53parts of of Asia, you know, it's going to be much more efficient,
- 40:58right? And so I think, yeah, this going
- 41:03back to spectral efficiency and, and this patent and this is just
- 41:07one patent out of, you know, 3800 patents and patent pending
- 41:12claims. Now, obviously some of those are
- 41:13overlapping, but I'm curious to see like, what else is there so
- 41:18we can just get these like little Nuggets of what the
- 41:22company's doing. And in conversations with
- 41:24management or earnings calls, you get like little hints of
- 41:28you. You'd see like the edges in the
- 41:30corners of what's going on, but you don't really get to see the
- 41:32full picture. And so, you know, when, when a
- 41:36bell made the claim of getting additional efficiency where
- 41:39capacity could be increased from near term three times to longer
- 41:43term 10 times. Yeah, that's, that's a very
- 41:47staggering statement. It's, it's something that I
- 41:52think shows the competitive, you know, lead that the company has
- 41:58where we've been thinking about these issues for many years
- 42:00within the context of three GPP and and broadband mobile
- 42:05devices. Whereas all these competitors
- 42:08are now deciding, oh, we want it, we want to get into the
- 42:11business and they don't have, they don't have the experience
- 42:14or, or the development cycles that we have had, right.
- 42:17And so ASD for, for its existence has not been
- 42:21litigious. Ultimately, how those 3800
- 42:26patents are used from a business perspective is to be seen, you
- 42:30know, there there's, there's there's no multiple ways that
- 42:33could be used. One would be if you wanted to
- 42:35use it as an offensive weapon and stop people from innovating
- 42:39around utilizing your, your technology or something similar
- 42:42and innovating to compete against you.
- 42:45You could do that or you could do things cooperatively.
- 42:49You could actually go out and just like a lot of memory
- 42:52companies, for example, you could go license the technology
- 42:55and help enable at least some of the the fundamental patents to
- 43:01let let some of your competitors or I don't know, partners
- 43:05utilize those and then you collect royalties or licensing
- 43:09fees. And so I think, you know, that
- 43:14there's this idea when you talk to some institutional investors
- 43:19that AST has, but they're building this large patent
- 43:23business where, for example, you know, we've discussed AI data
- 43:26centers, but microns, the heat dissipation technology, the
- 43:31ability to put up a large solar array and run power and offset,
- 43:38you know, release that power into space.
- 43:41Those patents are really valuable, right?
- 43:43And so for all these companies that are pursuing whether, you
- 43:46know, I just read over the weekend that Star Cloud this
- 43:49like a, a data center company that raised a billion dollar
- 43:52evaluation, maybe it's like a month or two ago due to the
- 43:56hype. Now they're raising at a $2
- 43:58billion evaluation. Like all these companies that
- 44:01are, you know, pursuing this, this area, they're going to run
- 44:05into some of our patents. And so I again, I'm not sure how
- 44:08the company plans to monetize those.
- 44:10Like if and if they're playing monetize them, you know, they
- 44:13may pursue them. They may utilize them as
- 44:15roadblocks, right, or antique damages and do whatever or they
- 44:19might for folks who are not competing directly with us, they
- 44:22might enter into partnerships and and drive some financial
- 44:26benefit through again, royalties or licensing extremes.
- 44:29So but yeah, I think, I think this past week, you know, as,
- 44:36as, as a stock languishes and the space sector opened weekly
- 44:40in in a week fashion. And I guess things are
- 44:42rebounding to a degree. We're going to learn quite a
- 44:45bit. And I know folks have put
- 44:47together some good questions for management, but I think one
- 44:51important question is to ask about this particular patent
- 44:54and, and perhaps additional patents like how, how do you,
- 44:58about, how do you plan on getting 3X efficiency up and
- 45:01then getting up to 10X efficiency like that?
- 45:04That to me is an absolute game changer.
- 45:06It's something that you can, we can all hem and Haw about the,
- 45:12the, the, the architecture of the satellite and the phase
- 45:17array and the microns and the processors, but the secret
- 45:21sauces is getting extracting these levels of improvement
- 45:25where you're going to leave guys like Starlink and eventually
- 45:30Amazon global Star, which, you know, maybe I should dedicate a
- 45:33whole podcast talking about the issues that they've got to get
- 45:37through to provide at least narrow band data.
- 45:40But they're going to, by the time they get to a point where
- 45:44they're, they're hitting performance levels of block 1
- 45:47satellites, we're going to be on block 4 or Block 5, right?
- 45:50And so, and as, as Cook mentioned over the weekend, like
- 45:54if you look at how Elan is compensated for the SpaceX IPO,
- 45:59it's going to be to get to deport a million people on Mars.
- 46:04And it's going to be for a, a data centers.
- 46:06This is not going to be, this is going to be an important focus,
- 46:09but it's it's not going to be at the end of the day, like if, if
- 46:13dollars have to be allocated, your smartest engineers have to
- 46:15be put towards certain projects. This is not going to be it, I
- 46:19don't think. But that said, that said, like
- 46:22it's because in order to sustain a two $2 trillion valuation,
- 46:27like you need to, you need the biggest fish to fry and you need
- 46:31the biggest dream for people, right?
- 46:33But as, as Cook mentioned, you know, even Amazon, the earnings
- 46:37call this past week was like, this is the market that we need
- 46:39to serve. We need to provide 100%
- 46:41connectivity to our customers. And so that's why we bought
- 46:44Global Star because, and this is what they said, by the way, it's
- 46:47because their spectrum is really valuable.
- 46:49But they didn't say anything about the satellites because
- 46:51they don't have a satellite yet. They didn't say anything about
- 46:54how they're going to deploy the service.
- 46:56But they, they've, they've done an important step, which is to
- 46:58buy spectrum. It's not, it's not a lot of
- 47:00spectrum, but it is spectrum and all spectrum is valuable, right?
- 47:04And so I think some people have speculated that perhaps AST and
- 47:09Amazon could work together in the future.
- 47:11Absolutely, they could Amazon, you know, if there was, if there
- 47:16was a world where the carriers became comfortable with Amazon
- 47:20and said, hey, let's let's light up their spectrum with AST and
- 47:24that will be part of the the package to provide great
- 47:28broadband to our customers, then there could be something there,
- 47:30right? But I don't think that's going
- 47:33to happen unless, you know, without the approval of them a
- 47:36nose, right, because in the day, like they're our ultimate
- 47:39customer and they are all our our ultimate enabling partner,
- 47:44which, you know, the guys who don't understand this market
- 47:48will say that that's the Achilles heel of the company,
- 47:50but it's actually the biggest strength, right?
- 47:53And, and Kathy's talked about this before, which is being a, a
- 47:58cooperative and additive partner versus being antagonistic, which
- 48:01is what Starlink is. I mean, there's a reason why
- 48:06Deutsche Telekom CEO is physically says, like, we know
- 48:09who Elan is, We know Starlink, you know, we, they're, they know
- 48:12that they're dancing with the tiger and they're not going to
- 48:15make strategic mistakes, which arguably they already made a
- 48:18strategic mistake, but I guess they're not going to let that
- 48:22mistake compound over time. But you know, they've already
- 48:27seeded the idea and they've, they've blown Starlink mobile
- 48:31into existence, right? By, by partner, by T-Mobile
- 48:34partnering with, with Starlink and getting the service off the
- 48:37ground. They can't put the genie back in
- 48:39the bottle like it's, it's, it's out, it's out now.
- 48:42And so from a strategic perspective, that's something
- 48:46that they're going to have to deal with, right?
- 48:47Like Starlink now knows where their customers are, where their
- 48:51pain points are 'cause when their customers roam on the
- 48:53Starlink network and they know exactly where all the traffic is
- 48:57and, and what areas. And so it's like, hey, let's go
- 48:59sell Starlink fixed wireless to these people and let's go when
- 49:04we try to develop some type of competing service without low
- 49:07band spectrum, but we're going to go target these areas 1st.
- 49:11And so you've with this whole T satellite powered by Starlink,
- 49:15you've breathed them into existence.
- 49:17This idea that that for T-Mobile user and for anybody, oh,
- 49:23Starlink is a competitor and, and maybe I can just get my
- 49:26mobile service from Starlink, which is, it's pretty funny,
- 49:30right? Like it's, it's going to be a
- 49:32Harvard Business case study, I think where they're going to
- 49:35show the do's and don'ts and, and Starlink mobile T-Mobile
- 49:39breathing it into existence is going to be one of the biggest
- 49:42strategic errors that Harvard is going to teach Business School
- 49:46students where these guys who are short sighted, who wanted to
- 49:50get like a lot of marketing hype and, and spin for a short term,
- 49:56you know, or maybe a few quarters they gave away, they,
- 50:02they breathed a, a competitor into existence and, and it
- 50:06became dependent on it and they got hollowed out.
- 50:08You know, who knows ultimately where that will be, but there is
- 50:11a, there is a potential avenue, of course, you know, I've talked
- 50:14about where T-Mobile does end up joining with AST Space Mobile
- 50:17and AT&T and Verizon. And that would be if, if they
- 50:22decide to point the gun to their own head and say, Hey, if you
- 50:25guys don't let me in, I'm going to enable Starlink mobile by
- 50:28letting them become an MVNO. And if I was, if I was T-Mobile
- 50:31and desperate, that's that's what I would do, right?
- 50:33Like if, if AST Space mobile service, once I see it taking
- 50:36off and I'm suffering in terms of customer turn, then I would
- 50:41point the gun to my head and say I'm going to blow my brains out
- 50:43and I'm going to take you guys with me unless you let me in.
- 50:46And so I'll end this space there with that beautiful thought.
- 50:50But but yeah, I think I'm sure perhaps maybe in the future, I
- 50:55see cats out there, maybe what we'll get them on and we'll talk
- 50:58more about some of the technical details.
- 50:59But but yeah, this is this is a cool look into what AST is
- 51:05doing. And I think this is what really
- 51:09separates the company from the the competitors, which is the
- 51:13ability to have a large phased array.
- 51:16Doing this on first principles where you build an initial
- 51:19service with low end spectrum, you layer mid band spectrum on
- 51:23top of it and you extract additional capacity gains over
- 51:27time. And so that that service
- 51:30improves and the user experience improves.
- 51:32And yeah, it's it's going to be hard for anyone to catch that,
- 51:35especially working with large M and OS who own the customer
- 51:38ready, who will be paying for marketing support, service, all
- 51:43that stuff while we focus on the technology and delivering the
- 51:46service. So I'll end it there.
- 51:48Thanks everyone for joining as well.
- 51:50Before I end it, you know, we have the quarterly update next
- 51:54week based off of Space Mop due diligence, I think.
- 51:59Yeah, there could be some rumblings around shipping at
- 52:02some point in the next week or two.
- 52:05Seems like things are going OK or going well actually.
- 52:08And I did hint at this before, but there is some speculation
- 52:11that Blue Origin New Glen is going to get off the ground.
- 52:14New Glen 4 is going to launch sooner than we all expect.
- 52:17And so, so yeah, exciting times. And then of course, as we all
- 52:21know, the first 3 batches of Block 2 Bluebirds are going to
- 52:26be on Falcon 9. And so, you know, probably
- 52:28looking at sometime at the earliest of June launch, June,
- 52:32July and August over the at that time period.
- 52:35So I'm going to try to keep my calendar pretty flexible.
- 52:38I'm hoping to get down there again because I want to see our
- 52:41our babies go up and looking forward to seeing people again.
- 52:45But but yeah, let's run it back like we're going to this June,
- 52:52May launch, the batch launch in June, bat shipment and then June
- 52:57launch. I really think you know, the
- 52:59coil has been has been winding and we are we've been
- 53:03consolidating for a really long period here.
- 53:05I think we're going to be hitting new all time highs in
- 53:08the coming weeks and months. So on to there.
- 53:11Thanks everyone for joining and we'll talk again soon.
- 53:14Take care. Thanks for listening to the AST
- 53:18Space Mover podcast. If you enjoyed this episode and
- 53:21you'd like to help support the podcast, please share it with
- 53:24others, post about it on social media, or leave a rating and
- 53:27review. To catch all the latest news
- 53:30about AST Space Mobile, make sure to subscribe.
- 53:33Thanks again and I'll see you next time.
- 53:39We're doing something very, very big, an activity technology.
- 53:42We can really affect billion lives.
- 53:44AFT Space Mobile is the only company that had food technology
- 53:49to deliver cellular robot connectivity directly from space
- 53:53to the everyday smartphone. People will just basically turn
- 53:56their phone be seamless, regardless of where you are.
- 54:00We don't want the user even to know that it's connected by
- 54:02satellite. Our role is to bring this into
- 54:06reality, always in partnership with the MMO Listen.
- 54:22Waffles.