Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 96 - 8/13/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 96 - 8/13/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 96 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
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Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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guys. And once again, you know what it
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is? It's not quite football season.
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I know we got preseason, but it's another big Major League
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Baseball day. I got a 5 pack of sweats for you
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across the diamond here in MLB, including a bunch of very short,
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short favorites. So hopefully we can go three and
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two again. I think it's so important to
0:57
have realistic expectations when you're betting baseball.
1:00
A lot of new betters. Hey, 5 bets, let's go 5 and O.
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No, no, no, just be realistic. Let's grind out a profit.
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The goal is always to go win a little bit more than you lose,
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overcome the juice, produce something in the green, and just
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grind and stack as many of those days as you possibly can.
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So A5 pack today across Major League Baseball, 1 games on TBS,
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one games on MLB Network. I'm very excited about that.
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That means I can sweat some of these and watch them instead of
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stat tracking them on ESPN Gamecast.
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So A5 pack of sweats here. Let's go three and two, which is
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what we did last night. 3:00 and 2:00 last night, plus 0.25
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units. Don't scoff at a quarter unit.
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We'll take it every single time. We had some huge winners
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yesterday, including the Houston Astros winning six to one.
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Remember, they had that good sharp line move on the road.
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They were as low as like -110 -, 115 closed around -125 -, 130.
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Also had a big win with the Dodgers.
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Clayton Kershaw coming back, that was a bit of a dog to fave
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line move in favor of the Dodgers.
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They got it done 5:00 to 2:00. Then the San Diego Padres had to
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sweat that one two to one game. Joe Musgrove pitched pretty
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well. It was 00 until like the 7th or
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8th. San Diego eked out a 2 to one
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win to give us a winner on that one around -195 now the losers.
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I remember specifically saying this.
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The Cardinals are my bugaboo this year.
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I feel like when I bet on them, they never come through for me.
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When I bet against them, they play well and I always lose
2:26
again. Happened last night.
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I actually got out to 1 nothing lead and then Cincinnati lit up
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Sonny Gray. They lost six to one.
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I actually beat the closing line on that one too, which was a bit
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frustrating. So Cardinals, I continue to hate
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you because again, you just never give me a win when I bet
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on or against you. And then the frustrating one
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last night because you're sitting at 3:00 and 1:00 looking
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for a huge night. And again, I'll take a quarter
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of a unit profit every time. But the San Francisco G man, I'm
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not going to go G man. I'm just going to say G man
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couldn't do anything with the bats.
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Chris Sale absolutely blank San Francisco and was frustrating
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about that. One is Blake Snell was
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fantastic, had a no hitter through the 6th, think he had
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10-11 strikeouts. Basically San Fran just couldn't
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get anything going. Iglesias shut him down, they
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lost one nothing and it felt like every San Fran guy struck
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out every time at bat. So what are you going to do?
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Either way guys though, we produced a profit 3 and 2 + 1/4
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unit. We will take that every time to
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start our week. Now, typically at this point in
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the pod, I race right into the MLB bets.
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We're going to get to that in one second.
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I just wanted to make one quick announcement because I saw a
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tweet today that is very important when it comes to
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people who live in Missouri, but also people who are basically a
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supporter of legalized betting nationwide now, right now,
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remember back in 2018, PASPO was overturned.
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The federal ban on sports betting open the floodgates.
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Legalized betting were up to nearly 40 states, but there's
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still 1011 states that have not yet legalized betting.
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We're waiting on the big ones, California, Texas, Florida.
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Florida's a bit confusing because it feels like sometimes
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you can bet at, what is it, the Seminole Hard Rock, and then
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sometimes you can't. So Florida's kind of a weird
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one. But Texas and of course,
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California, I would argue Utah may never legalize betting.
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So there's probably going to be a couple states that just don't
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do it. But saw a tweet today.
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This is from Ryan Butler, who does a fantastic job covering
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the sports betting market for I gaming.
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You can follow him at Butler Betts.
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But this is what he tweeted out right as I was getting ready to
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start the pod. You said, quote, Missouri has
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the chance to become the 1st and likely only state to legalize
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sports betting this year. A referendum will be on this
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year's ballot that will allow voters to approve mobile and
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retail sports books in the state.
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So I quickly quote quote tweeted that and I said, hey, Missouri
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Democrats, Republicans, independents and probably a lot
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of you will fit this category. People who just hate politics
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all together. Nothing wrong with that.
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Vote yes on legalized betting this fall, hashtag let us bet.
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And I tagged my buddy Travis, who I used to work with at
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sports insights in bet lab because he lives in Missouri.
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So I'm pretty sure he's excited. But this is very important.
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I think if you're in the sports betting industry, you know, it
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should be legal in all the different states.
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We should use that tax revenue. I'm not going to get into
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politics that can ruin Thanksgiving dinner.
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And you know, I'm not going to, you know, fight for one side or
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the other. I try to stay as neutral as I
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can because it just causes arguments and people hating each
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other. But the whole point being is,
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and you should be legalized in every state.
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If you're going to bet on sports, we should use the
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profits to, again, fix the roads, fix the bridges, help
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schools, whatever you can do. People are going to bet anyway.
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I look at it similar to like legalize cannabis.
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People are going to do it. They're going to drink alcohol.
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So why would you keep it on the black market where it's
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unregulated? Bring it into the light to get
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tax revenue out of it. And Missouri obviously is a big
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state with the Saint Louis Cardinals, of course, the the
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Chiefs as well as the Saint Louis Blues, a lot of big
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colleges there. So this could be the only state
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that legalizes betting this year.
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And it's going to come down to a vote for the citizens of
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Missouri. So if you live in Missouri or if
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you have a family member who lives in Missouri or a Co worker
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or a colleague or somebody you know who you haven't talked to
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in forever, do me a favor. Vote yes this fall because we
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want to support legalize betting in every state.
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I remember when my state of Massachusetts took forever.
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It's been a little bit over a year, almost two years that it's
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been legalized. But I kept watching every other
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state, whether it was, you know, New Hampshire, you know,
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Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, they were all legalizing.
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What about my state? Well, guess what?
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Now Missouri has the chance to join the party.
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So vote yes this fall. Again, if you want to not vote
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for anything else but this, do it.
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Go to the polls. Let's get this passed.
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Let's get Missouri into the party for legalized sports
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betting. So you vote yes, but again, you
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know somebody in Missouri, tell them, guess what, There's
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something to vote for this fall. Vote for legalized bet a
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betting, vote yes in Missouri. So there you go.
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I don't typically talk politics, but I think thought that was
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important because it really has something to do with what we
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love and hold true, which is betting on sports and doing it
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legally. So with that being said, I'm off
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my political high horse. Let's talk MLB for today because
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I have, as I mentioned, A5 pack. All numbers here are pretty
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short, so let's try to go three and two and eke out a profit
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first. But on the board, 6:40 PM
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Eastern Time, first pitch, Chicago Cubs and the Cleveland
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Guardians. Now, yesterday, we saw the
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Guardians post a win 9:00 to 8:00.
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I was kind of a crazy game. They were down, they got a big
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and then they almost blew it. But they won nine to eight as a
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+ 105 home dog. The Guardians are now 70 and 49
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on the year. Cubs, meanwhile, 59 and 61.
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Chicago is going to send ready Javier Vasquez or sorry, Javier
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Assad to the bump here today. He's five and three with a 3.24
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ERA. Meanwhile, the Guardians are
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going to go with the lefty Matthew Boyd.
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More on him in a second. He's making his MLB or his 2024
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debut because he's coming off an injury.
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But you're going to like his stats in AAA when I get to that
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in a second here. So of course, starting off every
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cap, where's the line moving? Line movement is important.
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Can it be caused by injuries, whether other factors?
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Sure, but it's typically caused by smart money coming in moving
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a number. So what do I like about this
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one? I like the fact that the line is
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steaming Bigley toward the Cleveland Guardians.
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I'm on the Guardians here, guys. I got him at -150 So this game
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opened. Cleveland listed as low as a -,
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125 -, 130 home favorite. Now the Guardians are up to -150
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So a 2025 cent steam move in favor of Cleveland tells us the
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big money is siding with the Guardians here.
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Now they're getting around 65% of bets in dollars.
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So basically, Pro and Joe support modest public support.
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Not like they're getting 8090% of bets.
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But it's really that big steam move that tells us smart money
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is in their favor. Now I'm going to bank on the
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bats of Cleveland. They're hitting 241 with 138
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homers, 551 runs scored. Chicago is hitting 237 with 124
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homers and 511 runs scored. You also look at just a classic
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non division favorite system match or interleague favorite
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system match. Lack of familiarity benefiting
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quote UN quote the better team. Let's look into the home Rd.
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splits. That definitely favors the
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Guardians. Guardians are 36 and 20 at home.
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One of the best home teams in baseball.
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Cubs are 27 and 43 on the road. They've really struggled on the
9:16
road. So I want to bet against the
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Cubs on the road. I want to bet on the Guardians
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at home. Cleveland, by the way, did you
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know? 49 and 2269% with a 21% ROI as a
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favorite this year. That is the best chalk record in
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baseball. When they're favored, you know
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they're winning, You know, 7 out of 10 times.
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You also look at the Guardians, they're 32 and 1371% with a 27%
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ROI as a non division favorite. So even better when that lack of
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familiarity comes to play. And then also you look at these
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starting pitchers. Assad has a 4.17 ERA on the
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road, 2.38 at Wrigley. So he's been better at Wrigley
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than on the road. He's on the road tonight.
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I want to fade him. And then Matthew Boyd, if you
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guys remember, he was the lefty for the Tigers for quite a
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while. He had an elbow injury, so he's
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making his first start of the year, but he's actually really
10:04
good in the minors. He posted a 0.83 ERA in 21.1
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innings pitched in his rehab. So we'll get to this in a
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second. I'm going to tell you about
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another bet I have on a rookie starting pitcher.
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But this is important to me because when a guy like Boyd
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comes up and he hasn't pitched all year, you know, what's the
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automatic line move is it's hey, this guy is maybe still injured
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or what got lit up in the minor league.
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So it's bet against him today or is it, Hey, this guy's getting
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called up. We want to we want to play him.
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We want to be on him because maybe he's going to surprise
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Chicago. Maybe he's he's he's recovered
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and healthy again. So whole point being is Boyd's
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pitching. We don't he's kind of an X
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Factor again, first start of the year.
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Yet all the smart money is going in his favor.
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So that's a good sign to me that smart money has chosen Cleveland
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and I always want to be with the sharp action.
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So I'm going Cleveland guys, big sharp line move.
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Let's go Boyd, I got Cleveland at -150 keep on cruising.
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I got an ain't broke don't fix it play for you.
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Let's look at match up here between the Houston Astros and
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the Tampa Bay Rays. Now if you remember last night,
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Astros had a huge win for US, six to one, getting it done for
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the team as a short Rd. favorite.
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They're now 63 and 55 on the year.
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Tampa Bay back to 559 and 59. So pitch a matchup for this one.
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We have the Houston Astros going with you say Kikuchi picked him
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up with the deadline from the Toronto Blue Jays.
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On the year, Kikuchi is five and nine, 4.62 ERA.
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But since he got acquired by Houston, he's pitched very well.
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The Astros are two and O and the two starts he's made since
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joining the team and he has a 3.27 ERA.
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So again, maybe he's motivated and he's got some good offense
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behind him here. He'll be opposed by Shane Baz.
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Baz on the year is O and one with a 4.3 O ERA, but he's made
11:51
two starts in August. The area is nearly six.
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So I want to bet against Baz. I want to bet on Kachuki.
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What have we seen across the market?
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Well, line is going to the Strohs.
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Strohs opened around a -, 120 -, 125 road favorite.
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We've not seen Houston get bet up to -130 -, 135.
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I see one book, maybe even going going to -140 So it's pretty
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clear here this is a wash, rinse, repeat.
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Pros hit Houston yesterday. We cashed on them, hitting them
12:17
again today, causing that line move.
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Now they're matching quite a few systems here, Rd. favorites with
12:22
Steam. That's been a fantastic system
12:24
match historically this year at 64% non division Rd. favorites
12:29
off a win 58%, but that's still a 3 1/2 percent return on
12:33
investment. I want to also in terms of the
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bet splits, 80% of bets on Houston.
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I don't love that it's public, but 90% of the money is on
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Houston. So it's not just a public play,
12:43
but a pro and Joe Bet split low bets, higher dollars with that
12:47
line move in favor of Houston. Now, I'm going to bank on the
12:49
offense of Houston. They're really, I saw him at
12:52
Fenway over the weekend and they've just ripped the cover
12:54
off the ball against the Red Sox, Did it again last night.
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When you can put out Alvarez, Altuve and Bregman, you know, I
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guess in order would be Altuve, Bregman, Alvarez.
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That's one hell of a top three there.
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And Bregman hit another Homer last night.
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But on the year, they're hitting 262.
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The Astros are with 139 homers, 548 runs scored, Tampa Bay
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hitting two 33110 homers, 461 runs scored.
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And then also you look at recent performance, last 10.
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Tampa Bay is four and six, only hitting 221 ERA of 3.52.
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Houston is 7 and three, their last ten hitting 269 with a 2.79
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ERA. And also like the fact that, you
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know, if you look toward last night, I'm just double check
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this one. There's no way hater pitched.
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I'm pretty sure he did not Yeah, so hater your your stud closer
13:45
who I think's converted like 25 straight.
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He is fresh and ready to go if it comes to a, you know, one run
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game late. So Long story short, we played
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Houston last night. A lot of the same variables are
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at play. Short Rd. favorite with a line
13:57
move non division favorite. You also have a favorite low
14:00
total here Total, this one is 7 1/2.
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So a fair amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
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from quote UN quote, that better team.
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So I'm riding the Stroh's once again today.
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I got Houston at -135 keep on cruising Kansas City Royals and
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the Minnesota Twinkies. I'm actually kicking myself a
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little bit for not playing Minnesota yesterday because they
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did move a little bit -145 up to like -155 but tonight I'm
14:27
hopefully not going to let them pass me by.
14:29
I'm going with the Minnesota tonight and we're going to have
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an interesting convo about who Minnesota is pitching today.
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So Twins 66 and 5218 to three yesterday as a -, 160 home
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favorite -155 -, 160. Tonight's rematch, the Royals,
14:45
who are 65 and 54. They're going to go with Ray
14:48
Seth Lugo, 13 and six, 2.72 ERA, and the Twins are going to go
14:53
with Zebby Matthews. What a great name.
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He's making his Major League Baseball debut.
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I'm going to give you more insight into him in a second.
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What do we see across the market?
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Well, good dog to fave line move or kind of a pick them to fave
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line move in favor of Minnesota. This game opened around a very
15:10
short -110 you know, pick them play or Minnesota very short
15:14
-110 home favorite. And now we've seen Minnesota get
15:17
bet up to -125 -, 130. So that's notable because if
15:22
you'll get the bet splits Publix actually going with Bobby Witt
15:24
junior in Kansas City. Currently 60% of bets are going
15:28
Kansas City, yet this line is moving further toward Minnesota.
15:32
It's also important because this line is moving toward Matthews
15:35
and Matthews is the 6th ranked Twins prospect and in the minors
15:39
this year he's gone six and three with a 2.6 O ERA.
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So mentioned a second ago with with Boyd, but Matthews is a
15:47
wild card making his debut. Where's the first move?
15:50
Are we going to fade this kid because he's in over his head,
15:52
He's going to get lit up or we going to bet on him because he's
15:54
got the, you know, lack of familiarity Kansas City's never
15:58
faced and maybe he surprises them.
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Also, Lugo's had got great stats 13 and six 2.72 ERA.
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Yet the lines moving away from him and he's a dog.
16:07
This looks like a trendy dog with Kansas City getting nearly
16:09
2/3 of bets that I want to bet against.
16:11
So I'm on Minnesota here, guys. I got the Twins at -130 Now
16:16
Minnesota would match some good systems here.
16:20
They are actually in the bet splits.
16:21
Really interesting here. I think they're only getting 40%
16:25
of bets, but nearly 60% of money.
16:28
So that is a good split in their favor.
16:30
But also they're 55 and 3065% with a nine percent ROI as a
16:34
favorite. That's the second best chalk
16:36
team in baseball. Only the Indians or the
16:38
Guardians we just talked about, excuse me, are better.
16:42
Royals are 27 and 29 on the road, Twins 35 and 23 at home,
16:47
Minnesota six and two against KC this year.
16:50
And also the Twins have the better bullpen, 3.94 ERA versus
16:53
4.27. So Matthews is a wild card.
16:56
Let's hope this kid pitches well tonight.
16:58
But the lines going in his favor.
16:59
We got some good sharp reverse line movement.
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I'm going Twinkies shop round. I got Minnesota at -130 another
17:07
ain't broke, don't fix a play. Dodgers came through for us last
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night at a short Rd. Price, chalk price.
17:12
Let's see if they can do it again.
17:13
Let's go Dodgers. This is the game.
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Second game of three-game set. Dodgers who are 70 and 49, one
17:20
for us, 5:00 to 2:00 last night as around a -, 115 road
17:23
favorite. Tonight's rematch, the Dodgers
17:25
are going to go with the ready Gavin Stone.
17:27
He's nine and five with a 3.71 ERA.
17:29
The Brew Crew, who are 67 and 51, they're going to go with
17:33
fellow ready Colin Ray, who's 10 and three with a 3.38 ERA.
17:37
What have we seen across the market here?
17:39
A little bit of movement toward the Dodgers.
17:42
Dodgers open as a very short -110 -, 115 road favorite.
17:46
Some shops are up to around -120 I did see it, got up to like
17:49
-125 came back down a little bit.
17:52
But off the opener, the line is still moved in the Dodgers
17:55
favor. And what I like about this
17:57
Dodger spot, they're only getting around 60% of bets.
17:59
It's not like they're getting 80%.
18:01
But also just mentioned Mookie Betts being back.
18:04
Dodgers getting that mojo again when you're throwing out Otani,
18:08
Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and T Oscar Hernandez top four.
18:11
I mean, this is good news if you want to bet the Dodgers, but I
18:14
really like the Dodgers. Not just a non division
18:16
favorite, but they're non division favorite off a win.
18:20
Those teams are 138 and 9958% with a 3% ROI.
18:24
They're also a sweet spot Short Rd. favorite -130 or less.
18:28
Those teams are 178 and one 4256% with a 4% ROI.
18:33
But here is the the play for the Dodgers, it's a value bet
18:36
because the Dodgers, you mentioned it yesterday, very
18:38
rarely do you get them sub -150, sub -130.
18:43
I mean, typically they're getting 90% of bets, you know,
18:45
laying -200 -, 250. So in that situation, the value
18:50
spot for the Dodgers, a good team at a really cheap price if
18:53
you're only laying -120 tonight, it fits the system when the
18:57
Dodgers are a value play of -150 or less.
19:00
So they're favored by -150 or less.
19:03
They're 22 and 13 this year, 63 percent, 12% ROI.
19:07
So this is a value play for me. Not just the line move, good
19:10
system matches as well, but LA also more explosive offense. 158
19:15
homers, 587 runs scored. Milwaukee, 127 homers, 572 runs
19:21
scored. And the Dodgers are three and
19:23
one against Milwaukee this year. So if you're giving me a little
19:26
bit of line movement, good value bet here on the Dodgers who got
19:30
their, you know, top four mookies back.
19:32
I'm going to make this bet every time.
19:33
Give me the Dodgers. I got LA at -115 again.
19:38
Now you're looking at around -120 last bed of the night.
19:43
I'm looking for some revenge again.
19:45
I stayed up late and thought we might eke out a San Fran win
19:48
last night. Didn't happen, but hopefully it
19:50
happens tonight. So 9:45 PM Eastern Time.
19:53
By the way, that Dodgers game is on TBS.
19:56
This one is on MLB Network, Atlanta and San Francisco.
19:59
So we saw obviously of of course.
20:01
One nothing loss, which was frustrating in extra innings for
20:05
the G men as the Braves took the opener.
20:07
However, for tonight, some good signs to back the G men, the
20:11
hopefully the G men, not the G men.
20:14
Anyway. Braves are 62 and 56.
20:17
San Fran is now 61 and 60. What have we seen across the
20:20
market here? Well, let's start with the
20:21
pitching matchup. We have Charlie Morton going on
20:24
the bump for the Braves. He's six and seven with a 4.47
20:28
ERA. Kyle Harrison, the lefty is
20:30
going for the G men. He's six and five with a four
20:34
point O 8 ERA. But to me guys is all about a
20:37
sharp reverse line move on the G men.
20:39
This game opened at basically a pick em Price or actually you
20:44
had the Braves slightly favored. So like Braves were -110 -, 115
20:48
on the road and the public is saying, hey, let's go Braves,
20:51
you know better record, you know more star players.
20:55
So currently, you're getting nearly 55%, almost 60% of bets
20:59
on the Braves. But the lines going to San Fran.
21:02
So San Fran, again, open as a short dog, you know -105 + 105.
21:07
Now they're like -110 I see one book at -115 San Fran.
21:11
So why is line going to San Fran if the public's on Atlanta?
21:15
San Fran only getting around 45% of bets, but they're getting 79%
21:19
of money. So really good low bets, higher
21:22
dollars bet split. Also, you look at Charlie
21:24
Morton, I want to bet against him.
21:26
This guy has had a great career. He's made a lot of money, but I
21:29
think he's nearly 40 years old. Yeah, he's 40, and he's been
21:32
getting lit up here recently. Hopefully that the bats of San
21:35
Fran wake up tonight. But Morton has an 8.31 ERA and
21:39
two August starts versus Kyle Harrison, who's been really good
21:42
at home, 3.47 ERA at home versus nearly 4 1/2 on the road.
21:47
Then also Morton's been worse on the road 5.14 ERA 3.97 at home
21:53
have the the non division favorite value for San Fran as
21:56
they're technically now the favorite that you also have the
21:59
correlative betting favorite low total told this one is 8.
22:02
Although some shops are juiced up toward 8 1/2 home Rd.
22:05
Atlanta's 30 and 30 on the road, but San Fran's pretty good at
22:08
home 35 and 25. And also I'm going to bank on
22:12
the pitching hopefully of San Francisco because last 10 games
22:15
the G men are six and four team ERA of 3.7, Atlanta's three and
22:20
seven, their last ten team area of nearly seven.
22:23
So you add it all up here, guys. I think this is one of the kind
22:26
of tough things about baseball. Like you bet A-Team last night
22:29
and they they don't win for you. And then the next day you're
22:31
like, oh, they're sharp, but they let me down last night.
22:34
How can I risk my money on them again tonight?
22:36
Well, I think you just got to say, hey, if they're a match and
22:39
they have a bunch of different boxes being checked off, sharp
22:42
data-driven contrarian bet fire. So let's fire on this one.
22:46
Let's go San Fran shop round. I got the G men at -110 so A5
22:50
pack overall. Can we get three or more and eke
22:53
out another winning night? Cleveland guardians, Houston
22:55
Astros, Minnesota Twins, LA Dodgers and the San Francisco
22:59
hopefully G men. So that about does it for
23:03
episode 96 of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered
23:08
by rhythm. But this is the part of the pod
23:09
where I asked something of you. Can you do me a favor?
23:12
Can you make me happy? First off, thank you for
23:14
listening to the pod. It's all because of you guys
23:17
tuning in that we're watching this pod grow in front of our
23:19
eyes, which makes me very proud and very happy.
23:22
But can you do me a favor? Help me grow this pod by
23:24
continuing to listen, but also by giving it a 5 star review.
23:29
So if you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, the option
23:32
there to rate the pod five stars would really make my day.
23:34
It would help us to grow the pod, gain more respect, more
23:37
credibility, continue to rise up the charts.
23:40
Also, if there's an option to follow the pod, I'd love it if
23:42
you guys could hit the follow button.
23:44
That way you get alerted as soon as it drops.
23:47
Also, if you want to follow on Twitter, you can follow me at
23:51
Josh under score insights, but you can also follow the all
23:54
systems go pod Twitter. It's at under score ASG under
23:58
score podcast, so it would really mean a lot guys, five
24:02
star review. Please, please make my day do
24:04
it. Secondly, if you enjoy this
24:07
style of betting, the data-driven approach, looking at
24:10
the market, looking at numbers, looking how how you know betting
24:13
percentages and and splits and line moves and system matches
24:17
and flat bedding and not parlaying.
24:19
If this style of betting appeals to you, looking at the numbers
24:23
how they move and betting based on sharp contrarian system
24:26
matches, then guess what? I wrote a book exactly on how to
24:30
be a sharp data-driven contrarian better.
24:32
So if you want to buy a copy for yourself or for a friend that
24:35
buddy of yours that parlays everything, then guess what?
24:38
You can go buy my book and support the team and learn more
24:41
about data-driven betting. All you got to do is go to
24:42
Amazon.com, type in the Everything Guide to Sports
24:46
Betting. It's my baby.
24:48
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
24:49
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
24:52
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
24:55
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
24:58
a bankroll management plan, all included in the Everything Guide
25:01
to Sports Betting. So pick up a copy, bring it to
25:03
the book, bring my book to the book.
25:06
I'll sign the book for you at the book.
25:08
We just cashed over 3 1/2 book references and guess what?
25:11
I'll buy you a beer as well or a ginger ale, but that about does
25:15
it guys, couple last things to leave you with number one, have
25:19
you signed up for a juice reel or a rhythm 7 day free trial
25:22
yet? Well, juice reel is fantastic
25:24
for syncing up your sports books to the app, learning about
25:27
yourself and your performance, and getting a daily report card.
25:30
The sharp mush bets, which I love, basically are the top pro
25:33
versus Joe bet splits by based on people who have an account in
25:36
the app. If the best bettors are on team
25:39
A and the worst are on team B, we're going to go team A.
25:41
And Juice Reel lets you know that each day you also get the
25:44
Robo Jackson best bet picks, the arbitrage plays.
25:47
I love Juice Reel and I hope you will enjoy it too.
25:50
And then of course, rhythm. Rhythm powers this pod.
25:53
Rhythm I absolutely love because they're all data-driven people
25:56
who want to win at sports betting based on the numbers and
26:00
the AI models. Not your opinion, but with
26:03
Rhythm, they're fantastic for game predictions, game models.
26:06
You can either follow the AI models that Rhythm gives you or
26:09
you can create your own, but for game bats or as well as prop
26:13
bets. Also, we have golf right now in
26:15
Rhythm. Football is about to come back,
26:17
but did you know WNBA is almost back?
26:20
I know my guy Gary Garrison's ready for it, but WNBA comes
26:23
back on Thursday. So we'll start to get Rhythm
26:26
system matches for WNBA, which I'm very much looking forward
26:29
to. But if you haven't done it yet,
26:30
give Rhythm and Juice Reel a shot.
26:32
Just sign up in this specific way.
26:34
Click the custom link in the bio description of this podcast
26:38
located in the pod. And that way Rhythm and Juice
26:41
Reel will know that I sent you in their direction, which is
26:43
important. And then you'll be able to test
26:45
it out and get ready for a big football season and have it
26:48
under your belt, help you cash some tickets.
26:50
So that about does it everybody, my parting words, as always,
26:53
stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public.
26:56
Place yourself on the side of the house.
26:57
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
27:00
Will smart money when every time?
27:01
Of course not. But if we can find that model,
27:04
those system matches stay stay true to the model against the
27:07
public with the house, with the pros flat bet avoid parlays, get
27:10
some CLV. If we can do that, we're going
27:12
to be successful sports betters. And of course I got to mention
27:15
this, whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin
27:18
River in Rhode Island, the brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
27:21
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain
27:24
Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
27:26
In my neck of the woods out in the desert where the true
27:29
grinders get down or Billy Walter sends his number runners
27:32
with lowest juice possible is found the South point or sweat
27:35
and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
27:37
pool. When you cash a big ticket at
27:38
Circo, wherever it may be, you going to show me some winning
27:41
tickets from last night? Show me an Astros ticket.
27:44
Show me a Dodgers ticket. Show me a Padres ticket.
27:46
Dad came through last night and guess what?
27:48
First one's on me, next one's on you.
27:50
We're going to post about the book sweatshop contrarian plays
27:53
all night long. So wish the best of luck
27:55
everybody. Let's continue to grind in
27:57
baseball tonight. 5 bets overall.
27:59
Let's try to get three, eek out another winning day, and then
28:01
we'll do it again tomorrow, which will be episode 97 of the
28:07
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
28:10
Have a great Tuesday night, everybody.
28:12
Good luck.