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افزایش قیمت بنزین با جیب ما چه می‌کند؟ · اکو ایران | روند

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: How much is the actual cost of gasoline that they
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: say we should reduce the cost of gasoline for it?
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: How much is the family's cost of gasoline? In general,
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: how much do Iranians spend on gasoline? In the past
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: 40 years, how many years have we had the lowest
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: cost of gasoline? These may be questions that have aroused
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: your mind in the last few weeks. To answer these questions,
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: stay tuned to this part of the program. The price
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: of gasoline has fallen again after a few months, and
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: we took this opportunity to sell gasoline to economic figures
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: and figures. First of all, we have to deal with
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: gasoline like other goods, and to calculate its value, we
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: have to go to the price and demand. Our goal
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: is to answer this question that how much do Iranian
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: families spend on gasoline and how many percent of their expenses?
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: According to the family budget data, which has been available
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: since 1403, Iranian families from the year 95 to 1403,
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: on average, spent 1.7 percent of their expenses on their
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: own consumption. Now, this fuel can include gasoline, gasoline and gas.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: This has been decreasing in recent years due to the
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: fact that the price of fuel has been fixed compared
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: to other costs in recent years. In general, the average
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: cost that the Iranian family has paid for gasoline consumption
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: in this period is about 1,160,000 tomans. Of course, the
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: consumption ratio differs from the financial level of the people.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: In fact, they consume more fuel, because of course they
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: have more means of transportation than the lower levels. I
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: would like to point out again that because the price
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: of gasoline is more expensive for everyone, it means more consumption. Now,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: when we look at the consumption of gasoline in the
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: whole country, we come to an interesting point. The three
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: states of Sistan and Baluchistan, Kerman and Boushehr have the
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: highest cost of gasoline, while the total number of gas
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: stations in these three states is less than the number
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: of gas stations in each of the states of Tehran
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: and Khorasan-Razavi. This can also be due to the issue
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: of fuel consumption, which is more common in these countries
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: Of course, we should also consider that not all Iranian
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: families consume gasoline and about 60% consume gasoline According to
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: a report published by the program and budget organization, in
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: the year 401, the annual consumption of gasoline in all
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: Iranian families was between 10 to 15 million meters. For example,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: a family with a personal car consumes approximately 850 liters
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: of gasoline annually, which is higher than the annual consumption
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: of 720 liters, and in fact, it has to spend
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: some of its gasoline at a free price. Now, this report,
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: using the monthly consumption of gasoline of Iranian families, has
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: estimated the total price of gasoline For example, in the
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: year 403, the cost of fuel was 1,500 liters and 3,000
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: liters of free gasoline. Using the average annual consumption of
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: Iranian families, the cost of gasoline in this period was 2,160 liters.
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: That is, families consumed 60 liters of fuel a month
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: and then repaired some of their consumption with free gasoline.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: You can see on the sample that the price of
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: gasoline from 1987 to 403 has only increased a few times,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: which is the largest in 1998 Now we have adjusted
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: these prices for us with the current rate This shows
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: us that for example in 1967 the price of gasoline
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: was more than 11,000 tons by the end of the
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: year 1405 The largest oil price crash occurred in 1989,
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: which is now about 25,000 tomans per litre According to
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: the latest family budget data, that is, in 1403, the
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: real oil price reached about 5,000 tomans by the end
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: of the year 1405 The article we are talking about
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: has been published on several scenarios of increasing the price
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: of gasoline and has said how much it will add
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: to the family's cost in the course of each one
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: Let's review each of these scenarios The first scenario is
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: the increase in the price of free gasoline to 5,000 tomans,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: which happened in November last year, and this is a
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: mild scenario of increasing the price of gasoline In these
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: different scenarios, the prices increase by a lot and in
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: the sixth scenario, the price of free gasoline will reach 15,000
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: tomans with a rapid reform. Now, if the Iranian family
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: wants to keep its health stable, how much should it
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: add to its costs for each scenario? Even if we
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: consider the most moderate reform of the price, the Iranian
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: family must save at least 8 million and 280 thousand
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: tomans a year for fuel. In the private sector, the
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: increase in the price of free gasoline to 15 thousand
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: tomans is more than 30 million tomans. A member calls
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: this the right living cost. In other words, he says
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: that families add a few percent to their annual expenses
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: to keep their level of health. For the first to
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: sixth scenario, this amount is between 3.4% to about 12.5%
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: Now we have reached the point of gasoline demands and
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: we said how much gasoline do Iranian families consume? One
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: of the reasons for the increase in the price of
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: gasoline from the consumer side is the reduction of gasoline
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: in the country. Exactly how much is the amount of
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: gasoline produced in the country that does not cover our expenses?
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: According to the latest data, in 1403, ten of the
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: country's main factories produced more than 101 million liters of
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: gasoline every day, more than 38% of which was for
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: the purpose of the Star Factory of the Persian Gulf.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: In the next phase, and with a lot of differences,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: Imam Khomeini Shazan's gas station is at a 13.7% share
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: According to the report of the National Gas and Oil Company,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: the average consumption of the country's gasoline in 1403 was
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: more than 124 million liters a day, which has reached 22.7
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: million liters of gasoline per day during this period Of course,
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: we must say that this gas station is usually insured
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: with gas and gasoline from the gas station According to
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: the conversations of the head of the Organization for the
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: Construction of Energy Management and Management, Ismail Saqqab Esfahani, the
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: current gas consumption is daily between 15 to 20 million
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: liters per day. The increase in gas prices is one
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: of the most sensitive issues in the economy, an issue
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: that remains like a fire under the dust and may
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: have a serious impact on the people. The increase in
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: the price of gasoline is inevitable. The important thing is
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: how the policy of increasing the price of gasoline is
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: going to happen. Because this can change the entire economy
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: of the country from an attack to the price of
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: the end of goods and services. Another important point is
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: that the global price of gasoline in the countries around
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: Iran is 200,000 to even 350,000 tomans. That is, even
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: if the price of gasoline in Iran increases by 100,000
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: tomans per liter, it still remains a misguided incentive, and
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: it is likely that the reduction of consumption will only
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: occur in the direction of the internal consumer. Therefore, for
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: the solution of the problem of gasoline, a comprehensive decision
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: must be made. Thank you.