Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 16 Gambling Picks, Sayonara Chiefs! Ole Pappy Rivers, No One Wants To Win The NFC South
Transcript
- 0:003 for the money is brought to you by the Trend
- 0:02Center app. This is the best tool for sports
- 0:06betting research. The Trend Center app, you can
- 0:09test betting systems from the past 20 years,
- 0:11explore thousands of existing trends and systems
- 0:14from top betting experts, choose from hundreds
- 0:16of filters to test different systems for each
- 0:19sport. Save these trends and get notified when
- 0:21their systems have games. Download the app and
- 0:24use our code TFTM for 15 % off a premium membership.
- 0:28after a two -day free trial. brought to you by
- 0:54the trend center app the greatest tool on the
- 0:56planet for sports betters help me cash my surefire
- 0:59win last week. And it's going to help me cash
- 1:02another one this week. But before we get into
- 1:05that, it is week 16 in the NFL. And the the the
- 1:11end is nigh. And it doesn't not exciting. That's
- 1:17not not an exciting thought to have. But before
- 1:21we get into Week 16. Let's just go over how we
- 1:26went last week. So last week, with the picks
- 1:30I gave out on the show, I went 5 -1 and I won
- 1:33my surefire. So feels real good. Feels really
- 1:38good to get in the win column again by this margin,
- 1:42because it's been a little bit since I've won
- 1:46by this amount. But feels good. I did lose the
- 1:51Monday night football bet. that we that we tweeted
- 1:54out. But but that's okay. And that was just some
- 2:00pick that I got from some guy on the internet.
- 2:02Kind of like us guys on the internet. Anyway,
- 2:06moving on, Chris, how did you do last week? Oh,
- 2:13I mean, not too bad. I think all sudden, all
- 2:18sudden done, I went six and five between Thursday,
- 2:21Sunday and Monday. Lost my surefire. Ruined this.
- 2:31Just had to be competent. That sucked. What's
- 2:35it counting on that? But yeah, about even unit
- 2:40-wise. So, I mean, we'll take it, I guess. But
- 2:42yeah, on to week 16. The end is nigh, but just
- 2:46gotta catch some bets. That'll help numb the
- 2:48pain. Sean, how'd you do? seven and two with
- 2:54four plus money winners, including my surefire
- 2:59pick thanks to our friends at the Trends Center
- 3:02and the New Orleans Saints for winning that game.
- 3:05I had the Broncos money line. I got the Saints
- 3:09my surefire pick at plus 100. And then what was
- 3:16the other one? I don't know. It was, hold on,
- 3:23I can pull it up. Bronco's many lines, Saints
- 3:29plus two and a half. Was it the Ravens? No, I
- 3:35lost that one. That was one of my losers. But
- 3:38it might have been three. But I got last, on
- 3:42Monday night, Steelers minus one and a half first
- 3:45half was also plus 100. So, shout out. Shout
- 3:49out to Steelers. But yeah, I'm on a pretty good
- 3:53winning streak so far in this season, so let's
- 3:56just keep it going, close out the season strong,
- 3:59just with what we have left. Yes, like Limp Bizkit
- 4:03said, let's keep it rolling, rolling, rolling,
- 4:06baby. It's week 16. Okay, I just got to keep
- 4:13going. We have Saturday football this this week
- 4:19for some reason we got two games on Saturday
- 4:22the game We're going to talk about is really
- 4:24that the Saturday night football game Sounds
- 4:27kind of weird when you say it But it's the Packers
- 4:29at the Bears. The Bears are home dogs by a point
- 4:33and a half, and the over -under is 46 and a half
- 4:37currently. Packers beat up on the Bears, not
- 4:41last week but the week before. Now they're playing
- 4:43each other again. Back in Chicago, did the Bears
- 4:50win last week? Who did they beat? Yeah, they
- 4:53beat Cleveland. Oh, well that doesn't count.
- 4:57I mean, it counts because they won, but it's
- 4:59Cleveland. And the Packers, they lost to the
- 5:05Broncos and they lost their their star linebacker,
- 5:10Micah Parsons. I can't remember if that's is
- 5:13he an edge or a linebacker? He's an edge. All
- 5:17right. Whatever. They lost their star defensive
- 5:19player, Micah Parsons. Not good. does not spell
- 5:25good for the Packers but they are one of these
- 5:29teams that just find a way to overcome obstacles
- 5:34whether that be winning a game or injuries it
- 5:36feels like they always just have like like a
- 5:41like a number of number two wide receivers which
- 5:46would be you know pretty good on pretty pretty
- 5:51much every team but All right, I'll get this
- 5:54going Honestly, I like the I like the over here
- 6:00I feel like with the Packers losing the edge
- 6:03on defense And the the Bears, you know, their
- 6:07defense is nothing to write home about But I
- 6:10think they can probably win the game but Who's
- 6:15to say maybe maybe not But I do I do like the
- 6:19points here. The Packers can score pretty much
- 6:22at will uh honestly and and the Bears uh they've
- 6:25just been shown that they're coached pretty well
- 6:28and they have decent players and been able to
- 6:31win some games and put up some points so uh I
- 6:34like the over in this game I think it should
- 6:36be uh could be a fun game could be a fun Saturday
- 6:39night game uh Chris what do you think about this
- 6:41game? Well this team burdened me pretty bad last
- 6:46week but I'm going back to them taking Packers
- 6:48on the money line um yeah Parsons being hurt
- 6:51stinks. I don't know if it's going to be as big
- 6:54a deal as people think. Parsons overall this
- 6:58season has played very well, but he's gone like
- 7:03peaks and valleys this season. A few weeks ago,
- 7:06he had a three game stretch against the Giants,
- 7:09Lions and Vikings where he had seven tackles,
- 7:12six sacks. That's pretty much about half his
- 7:15production of the whole season. He hasn't done
- 7:17much in the last three weeks since then. And
- 7:19last time these two teams played, he had one
- 7:21tackle the entire game. So I just don't think
- 7:24his impact is going to be as sorely missed as
- 7:26people think. I think the Packers are the better
- 7:28team. I think they went out right. They've won
- 7:31six straight in Chicago. They're pretty used
- 7:33to winning there. I think they keep it going.
- 7:36Sean, what do you think? Astute observation,
- 7:40Chris. I did spend a lot of time like second
- 7:44guessing myself on this. But the answer is staring
- 7:46me right in the face is Packers money line We
- 7:50know Parsons obviously we might not have Christian
- 7:53Watson either You looked like got a nasty injury
- 7:58to his chest is what I was seeing but I I think
- 8:03this one's gonna be close, but I think Green
- 8:04Bay can pull out You know a hard -nosed victory
- 8:08to overtake the division We mentioned last week
- 8:11how good Lafleur is in December But after this
- 8:15Broncos lost, he is still 21, five, 21 and five
- 8:19straight up and 14, 11 and one against the spread.
- 8:23And after a loss in December, he has four and
- 8:26one straight up and three and two against the
- 8:28spread. Um, I honestly think the Packers are
- 8:31just the better team. Even with the injuries,
- 8:33I think they can overcome the pesky bears. Uh,
- 8:37Ben Johnson, great been played, been a good coach
- 8:42so far. Um, but Within his division, I think
- 8:46he's one in three. So he's got to overcome that
- 8:50hump within his division. But outside his division,
- 8:54he's flying high. So yeah, let's just go coach
- 8:59to coach matchup for matchup. Give me Lafleur
- 9:02and Jordan Love on the Green Bay Packers Moneyline
- 9:06Saturday Night Football. Okay, Saturday night
- 9:10football there it is moving on to the Sunday
- 9:14games first game first glance Kind of looks like
- 9:20a stinker. That's because it is but That shit
- 9:26is on the line For this stinker of the game and
- 9:29that's the Bucks Panthers Game the Panthers are
- 9:32home underdogs by three points the over under
- 9:35is 45 and a half I'm going to kick it to Chris
- 9:40first. What do you think about this game, Chris?
- 9:44I hate this game. I can't pick a side. It seems
- 9:47like neither of these teams wants to win this
- 9:50division at all. The Bucs have had three straight
- 9:54games, I think. If they would have just won,
- 9:57they would have clinched the division. They haven't
- 9:59done it yet. And the Panthers, all they had to
- 10:01do last week was beat the shitbag Saints and
- 10:03they can do that. So I don't really trust either
- 10:06team. Well, I do trust his overs in Carolina.
- 10:11Carolina's sneaky been an over factory. Yeah,
- 10:15the Panthers overs are eight and two in the 10
- 10:18home games this season. So if it wasn't for Ford
- 10:22Field, this would be the best over stadium venue,
- 10:26whatever you want to call it in the National
- 10:27Football League. So yeah, over 45 and a half
- 10:30is my play. I don't think either defense is particularly
- 10:34great. We just saw Tampa Bay get torched by Kirk
- 10:38Cousins on Thursday Night Football. And I mean,
- 10:41Carolina, their defense is whatever. So yeah,
- 10:45I like the over. Let's see, I had another step.
- 10:48Where is it? Yes. Oh yes, the over is also hit
- 10:51in four of the last five games between these
- 10:53two teams. So usually fireworks and they meet
- 10:55up. So yeah, over 45 and a half. Will, what do
- 10:59you think? I like that reasoning. I did not know
- 11:04that stat That being said I'm not going against
- 11:08that But I am I'm betting on the Panthers. There's
- 11:12something about the Panthers It at the same time.
- 11:16It does feel like nobody wants to win this division
- 11:19but also like yeah, the bucks are getting healthier,
- 11:23but They're still not really kind of putting
- 11:28it back together Like people are probably playing
- 11:30hurt. It's probably not not really where they
- 11:33want to be and Honestly, the Panthers have kept
- 11:37it close in in a lot of their games this season
- 11:39and three points They've been pretty good at
- 11:42home if I if I remember correctly, so Give me
- 11:46the give me the points. I'll I'll take the points
- 11:49there three points It's not a lot and a divisional
- 11:53matchup, but typically divisional matchup is
- 11:55pretty close So I will take the points here plus
- 11:58three Sean, what do you think? I I spent a lot
- 12:04of my time looking into these two teams playoff
- 12:08scenarios. And man, like that Saints loss really
- 12:13did a number on the on the Panthers. They would
- 12:16have just they would have had the Panthers would
- 12:18have had to lose both of these upcoming games
- 12:21against the Bucks because they played this week
- 12:23and they played in week 18. Which means Panthers
- 12:28had the back against the wall. Gotta win this
- 12:31one. And they're just gonna have to grin and
- 12:34bear it when they host Seattle next week. So
- 12:38this one's gonna be huge. I am going Panthers
- 12:42plus three for that reason, just back against
- 12:45the wall. Also, doesn't this just make sense
- 12:51for this division? Panthers go ahead for the
- 12:55division this week. Panthers lose to Seattle
- 12:58next week. Bucks beat the Dolphins. And then
- 13:04it's a win and in scenario for both teams in
- 13:08week 18. It's just it's just like NFC South like
- 13:12it's just an NFC South conundrum and it just
- 13:15it just makes sense. So I I am going to stick
- 13:19with the spread. Just be safe. Because you know
- 13:23it could be a 2021 game. Like, it could be a
- 13:26very, like, hard nose. I don't know what the...
- 13:29What was the total, Chris? 45 and a half. Okay,
- 13:34so... Let's say it's a 27 -24 game. Love it.
- 13:40Yeah. Like, let's just... That doesn't really
- 13:42work, but we push. So, whatever. That's fine.
- 13:46Yeah, that's fine. But yeah, I'm just gonna stick
- 13:50with the spread, but... This just makes too much
- 13:53sense for the NFL script just for this game to
- 13:56come on week 18 be the be the prime time game
- 14:01and week 18 winning in. So give me the Panthers
- 14:04plus three. Also, I just think a lot more people
- 14:10are just going to bet on the bucks. So. Fading
- 14:13the public anyway, moving on next game, the Jaguars
- 14:20are playing. in denver against the broncos uh
- 14:24broncos favored by three here um over under is
- 14:2845 and a half um the broncos uh they did that
- 14:34thing where they played with their food last
- 14:35week but they i mean they comfortably beat the
- 14:39uh the packers uh it wasn't they comfortably
- 14:43beat him but like the story of the game definitely
- 14:45wasn't that they were down like i think multiple
- 14:47times during that game but it was able to uh
- 14:50to pull that one out The Jags Shit, who did they
- 14:54play last week? Jets. Oh, yeah, they they beat
- 14:58their shit out of the Jets so But yeah, I'm Sean.
- 15:03I'm gonna let you take this one first Alright,
- 15:06I'm going over 45 and a half. I think this matchup
- 15:10just sets real nice for some points And I think
- 15:14this number feels a little light The over is
- 15:18five and two in Jacksonville's last seven and
- 15:20is also hitting Denver's last three. Both these
- 15:24teams are playing confident, efficient football.
- 15:27Neither defense has really shown the ability
- 15:29to consistently shut down opponents. I know Denver
- 15:32has a good defense, but I mean, they're letting
- 15:36people score. So how good could your defense
- 15:39be really? But Jacksonville, they've been riding
- 15:43high. since the bye week. They have yet to be
- 15:46held to under 25 points since their bye week.
- 15:51Denver, like I said, I mean, they're just quietly
- 15:53like springing leaks over the last few weeks
- 15:56in their defense. I think this should allow Jacksonville
- 16:00to just move the ball downfield consistently.
- 16:03And even if they like get to midfield Little's
- 16:07leg anytime the Jags are near midfield, I think
- 16:10points are on the board. So Yeah, also Trevor
- 16:15Lawrence has been playing out of his mind right
- 16:19now. Over the last five games, he's done 13 touchdowns.
- 16:24He's on absolute demon time. And yes, I know
- 16:29last week he played the Jets. Perhaps the worst
- 16:33defense the NFL has ever seen, but he still put
- 16:36up 655 passing touchdowns. One rushing touchdown.
- 16:40That's nothing to you know, just. wave out of
- 16:43the air. But that just shows confidence matters,
- 16:47rhythm matters. There's a reason why the Jags
- 16:50are sitting on top of the division right now.
- 16:53And this offense is peaking. So also I got a
- 16:57little stat here. The total has gone over in
- 17:02seven of Jacksonville's last eight road games
- 17:04in Denver. So give me Jacksonville Jaguars, Denver
- 17:08Broncos over 45 and a half. Will, what do you
- 17:11got? Am on the same thing the over 45 and a half
- 17:17I do have one stat but that is for later Oh Yes,
- 17:27little teaser. Yes. It's a little teaser. It
- 17:29is a very short stat. So Don't get don't get
- 17:33don't get too hard over there. But uh, but yes
- 17:36every for everything that you said Sean like
- 17:40Like Jags have been scoring Tremendously, I mean
- 17:44they scored over 25 points in the last five weeks
- 17:46They're on a five game heater and the Broncos
- 17:50Like like we've we've coined on this show. They
- 17:52play with their food. They you know, they could
- 17:54win this game, but I mean if anything I see this
- 17:58kind of like the the Packers game from last week
- 18:00like It was 28 to 36 something like that. Yeah,
- 18:05and so that's that's that's well over So I am
- 18:08I'm going over 45 and a half Chris What do you
- 18:10think? All right. The Denver Broncos, I bet against
- 18:15them last week didn't work out for me. You think
- 18:18I learned my lesson, but I'm fading them again.
- 18:21This time in the first half, Jacksonville Jaguars
- 18:23first half plus one and a half. Pretty much kind
- 18:26of to piggyback off both y 'all's points. The
- 18:30Broncos have played with their food all season.
- 18:34I think this is just going to be another scenario.
- 18:36They kind of play a little rope a dope, maybe.
- 18:39They trail going into the second half. Maybe
- 18:41they tie it. Who knows? But they always just
- 18:45kind of like, all right, let's get a feel for
- 18:47our offense. Let's get a feel for what they want
- 18:49to do in the first half. Then second half, Bo
- 18:50Nix goes, he plays hero ball and they win by
- 18:5310 or whatever. At least that's what happened
- 18:55last week because that was brutal. But the Jags
- 18:59are pretty much the exact opposite. They come
- 19:01out swinging and then they choke in the second
- 19:03half. They are, let's see, they are 10 and 4.
- 19:07straight up in the first half of the season pretty
- 19:11damn good so um yeah i think give me a little
- 19:14point half insurance i'll take that so yes jags
- 19:17first half plus one and a half okay that's uh
- 19:22what an eye what an eye there um excellent i
- 19:26really i really wanted to take the like i had
- 19:29the jags written down and then i was like well
- 19:32no because what's gonna happen is they're gonna
- 19:34be ahead in the first half that they're gonna
- 19:36lose by ten. I was like, well, wait a minute.
- 19:39Just take them first half. Duh. Bob can figure
- 19:45it out. Okay. Wait, wait. It's so simple. Just
- 19:50take them into the first half. Why am I doing
- 19:53this the entire year? I'd be a millionaire. Perfect.
- 19:59All right. Next game, Steelers at the Lions in
- 20:04Detroit. Lions are favored by seven over under
- 20:07is 51 and a half I Don't really have anything
- 20:12to back this up, but I will start us off I'm
- 20:15taking the Lions minus seven here It feels like
- 20:19they really need to beat the shit out of someone
- 20:22Honestly, if they if they want even a prayer
- 20:25of making the playoffs Because right now it does
- 20:29not seem like that is the likely outcome they
- 20:35may loot may not make the playoffs this year,
- 20:37which is crazy. But I think this is a let's beat
- 20:44the shit out of the old ass Steelers type of
- 20:47game. And let's let's get this train back on
- 20:51track. Chris, what do you think? Every time I
- 20:57bet on the Lions, they lose. So I'm finally going
- 21:02to stop doing that. So let's just go back to
- 21:04old reliable Steelers Lions over 51 and a half.
- 21:09Steelers defense actually showed some life last
- 21:11week against the shitbag dolphins. I think Detroit
- 21:16torches them. The Steelers defense is not good.
- 21:20It's just not. I know they look good against,
- 21:23again, the shitbag dolphins. I think the Lions,
- 21:26pretty much like you said, well, they need a
- 21:28big win. They need to kind of flex against someone.
- 21:30I think they, I do think they do adhere, but
- 21:32sevens a lot, especially for late in the season.
- 21:35So yeah, over 51 and a half play it safe. And
- 21:38then, I mean, Steelers offense is competent.
- 21:41I think they can score a couple touchdowns at
- 21:44least. So yeah, I like it. Over 51 and a half,
- 21:48yes. Sean, what do you think? I'm going with
- 21:53the Detroit football Lions. And to your point,
- 21:57Chris, Whenever you bet on the Lions, they lose.
- 22:02Well, this is a perfect bounce back spot for
- 22:05Detroit because they need it bad. And that urgency
- 22:10has mattered all season. When the Lions stumble,
- 22:15they don't spiral. They respond. Over the last
- 22:1910 games, Detroit has literally alternated wins
- 22:22and losses starting in week five against Cincinnati.
- 22:27and ending with last week's loss to the Rams.
- 22:30It's been win -loss, win -loss, win -loss, win
- 22:34-loss, win -loss. And in those five wins, they
- 22:38have gone four and one against the spread, just
- 22:41constantly handling business, just getting bounced
- 22:46back, cycled going. That only loss was versus
- 22:50the Giants when they were 13 and a half point
- 22:53favorites and the Giants back door covered on.
- 22:57So it's a lot of points a lot of points, but
- 23:00they had it but then Back to recover. What can
- 23:04you do? But this is also where the job golf Campbell
- 23:09combo comes in together They've been elite after
- 23:13losses as a duo. They are 23 and 9 against the
- 23:17spread following a straight -up loss They fix
- 23:20mistakes, they clean things up, they come out
- 23:22aggressive. Zoom in even more, this trend gets
- 23:26stronger. In Dan Campbell's head coaching career,
- 23:30when the team has blown a lead of seven points
- 23:33or more in the previous game, the Lions are an
- 23:36absurd 11 and three against the spread in the
- 23:38following matchup. Even better, they've won and
- 23:42covered six straight entering this week in this
- 23:45exact situation. So yeah. Give me the Detroit
- 23:50Lions to come out swinging, beat the shit out
- 23:52of the Steelers and Perk Rogers. Dude, Aaron
- 23:56Rodgers was flying on Monday night after that
- 24:00win. That dude was so hopped up. I mean, I get
- 24:04it. You have a broken wrist and you're playing
- 24:07on prime time. It's past your bedtime. I get
- 24:09it. But like, man, that dude was flying. I don't
- 24:13know if y 'all could tell, but. That dude was
- 24:15flying. I did not see what you were talking about.
- 24:19I went to bed early. So I missed it. But I'll
- 24:23have to look that up on X. See what that's about.
- 24:27Okay, well, let's let's move on to Sunday night
- 24:31football. The New England Patriots are playing
- 24:34the Ravens. The Ravens are home favorites by
- 24:38three. Huh? the ravens uh the over under is 48
- 24:43and a half um shawn you start this one off i
- 24:51don't want to do all right okay i'm going under
- 24:53under 48 and a half uh i feel like this total
- 24:57is way too high uh i think i i did look this
- 25:02up the last six meetings between these two teams
- 25:06um the over is hit in five of those games These
- 25:11matchups are averaging 45 points, but I think
- 25:16this trend attracts a lot of over -betters, and
- 25:19I'm going to step in and make the contrarian
- 25:21play here. I think this matchup itself, it's
- 25:27for a slower game script. These offenses rank
- 25:30in the top seven in rushing defenses this season,
- 25:33and that's kind of what both of these teams do,
- 25:37is just kind of run the ball. Baltimore's defense
- 25:40hasn't been explosive. Really, I know they won
- 25:4531 nothing, but last week, or was it 24 nothing,
- 25:50sorry. But man, at this run heavy approach that
- 25:56both these teams have, I think Derek Henry is
- 26:00just gonna dominate touches for Baltimore. But
- 26:04he's going up against VRAIDs, dude. He knows
- 26:10how to stop he knows how to stop Derek Henry
- 26:12but You good yeah, I'm fine go ahead okay On
- 26:22the other side of the ball we got Trayvon Henderson
- 26:25Baltimore's rush defense pretty damn good Finally,
- 26:31I'm going to turn to our friends at the trim
- 26:33center that fits this pop spot perfectly and
- 26:36it's called AFC North prime time small home favorites
- 26:40unders since 2019 When the spread is between
- 26:45minus one and minus three and a half. It is an
- 26:47absurd at fifteen oh and one this system was
- 26:51actually active on the dolphin Steelers game
- 26:54and That's where that pesky one comes in because
- 26:57it pushed So I I Don't I don't really like this
- 27:05line. So I'm giving it to me on primetime. I'm
- 27:08gonna take the under here under 48 and a half
- 27:11Well, I assume you're on the opposite I'm not
- 27:14on the opposite but When you said that Vrabes
- 27:19knows how to stop Henry That is the opposite
- 27:23of what I want to happen I am making a contrarian
- 27:30Pick here not with you Sean, but with with where
- 27:33I think the money is going I think I think everyone
- 27:36is going to look at the Pats plus three and think
- 27:39oh This is the New England Patriots plus three
- 27:42points here against the shitbag Ravens I'm going
- 27:47to take this and so I think the public is going
- 27:50to be heavy heavy heavy on the Pats In an attempt
- 27:53to have a 3d level chess move. I am taking the
- 27:56Ravens minus three Ravens got to start piecing
- 28:01together some of these wins here and Do I think
- 28:05the Ravens are a good team? I Don't know who's
- 28:09to say Do I think the Pats have played a lot
- 28:11of good teams? No So this could be a Glimpse
- 28:18into hey the Ravens have been a pretty good team
- 28:22in the past like five years Let's see how the
- 28:26New England Patriots actually stack up against
- 28:29them. A team that they don't really play up all
- 28:32too often. You know, because they play the bills
- 28:36every year. And the bills have been good for
- 28:37a while but divisional matchups as different
- 28:40as a different different animal but but yeah,
- 28:43I'm going to the Ravens minus three for no other
- 28:45reason than I think this is a rat line. Chris,
- 28:48what do you think? I agree. It's a rat line.
- 28:52So I'm staying away from the sides. I have over
- 28:5647 and a half written down but Sean made some
- 28:58very excellent points. I wasn't extremely confident
- 29:01in it to begin with. So I'm switching to under.
- 29:05Is it 48 and a half or 47 and a half? It was
- 29:0747. 48. Wherever. OK, cool. Under 48 and a half.
- 29:12I'm switching. Yeah, I didn't really have anything
- 29:16strong to back it up other than just like. Patrons
- 29:21haven't really played anyone that good. They
- 29:22have a shitty red zone defense. But, um, I think
- 29:25Sean made great points. I think they're going
- 29:26to run the football and it's prime time game.
- 29:29And usually these games are, especially this
- 29:31season, kind of stink. So yeah, under 48 and
- 29:33a half. Okay. Awesome. Uh, will real quick, uh,
- 29:38would you like to know Lamar Jackson stat for
- 29:42the right? Yeah. Yeah. Okay. And weeks 15 to
- 29:4618 Lamar Jackson. is 16 -0 straight up in his
- 29:51career. Hey. Isn't that crazy? This is week 16.
- 29:57It is. There you go. We're right in the middle
- 29:58of this week. Yeah. Book it. Fantastic. He wins
- 30:04when it matters, which it should always matter,
- 30:09but. It doesn't matter, baby. Kaboom. Yeah. Moving
- 30:15on. Last game we're gonna really go into here
- 30:20for this week is Monday night football the 49ers
- 30:23at the Colts Colts home dogs by six points here
- 30:28over under is 46 and a half Let's see, did I
- 30:33start this one off? No, Chris is gonna start
- 30:36this one off Chris What are your thoughts about
- 30:43this game? I think the Niners are gonna mollywock
- 30:48him. It's four Niners, mine's six and a half.
- 30:52I know Philip Rivers looked competent last, I
- 30:56assume he's gonna start again. I haven't heard
- 30:58anything otherwise. He looked competent last
- 31:00week. But the story of that game was very much
- 31:03the Indy defense just forcing Seattle to punt
- 31:07from deep in their own territory and Indy just
- 31:09kicking field goals the entire game. I don't
- 31:13think they're gonna be able to do that against
- 31:14San Francisco. San Francisco has better quarterback
- 31:17than Seattle, better skill position than Seattle,
- 31:19and better coach than Seattle. So I think they're
- 31:22gonna be able to move the football. I don't know
- 31:23about at -will, but they're not gonna be pinned
- 31:26at their own 20 every fucking possession. Yeah.
- 31:32And San Francisco's defense, it's definitely
- 31:35not better than Seattle's, but I'd say they're
- 31:40better at getting after the quarterback. We saw
- 31:43Philip Rivers just can't move at all back there.
- 31:45So, um, yeah, I I think this is gonna be brutal
- 31:48I think he had his little feel -good story. He
- 31:50came back looked fine. I think he's he's gonna
- 31:54be in hell this week. So Nine years my six and
- 31:57a half of the bullet honestly, so Sean, what
- 32:00do you think? Give me the Colts Pop -pop reference
- 32:06He wasn't great last week through a touchdown,
- 32:13you know, and the game losing interception. But
- 32:17going in into Seattle, putting up 16 points with
- 32:21one of the best defenses in the league is not
- 32:24an easy ask. You know, that performance wasn't
- 32:29pretty, but at least it was like someone somewhat
- 32:33competitive for someone who hasn't played in
- 32:35like five years. Just for fun. Let's talk history
- 32:40a little bit. I found some Philip River stats
- 32:42from the last time he's played the 49ers. He
- 32:45played him four times in his career. He went
- 32:484 -0, scoring 29 points or more in all four.
- 32:53And yes, the last one came back in 2018, but
- 32:58this is fun and it's funny and it doesn't hurt
- 33:01anything. It's just math and numbers and we got
- 33:04to talk about it. this is kind of why I'm going
- 33:09to take the Niners the Niners they have taken
- 33:16advantage of extended prep time but winning and
- 33:22covering against the Panthers and the Titans
- 33:24isn't exactly like all that you know successful
- 33:29but difficult it's not difficult yeah But that
- 33:35success really hasn't traveled on the road with
- 33:38them. On the road or at neutral sites, San Francisco
- 33:41has lost four straight against the spread in
- 33:44games with extended rest, including one in three
- 33:47straight up. Also, this trend follows Brock Purdy
- 33:53specifically. In his career, Purdy is just two
- 33:56in five against the spread on the road with extended
- 33:59prep time. Since entering since entering the
- 34:02league only Jordan love is worse been worse in
- 34:06this exact situation but I did find this thing
- 34:12where If you were so I was on smash things earlier
- 34:19and on Smash things you can look up it shows
- 34:24you what percentage like betters are betting
- 34:29Correct? 72 % of the betters are back in the
- 34:3249er spread so far. And I want to say that has
- 34:37been a losing approach all season is just following
- 34:41the public, especially on teams that are receiving
- 34:4560 % of the ticket or more. Through 15 weeks,
- 34:51if a team has 60 % of the spread or more, they
- 34:55are 54 and 90 against the spread. That's 38 %
- 35:00a hundred dollar better Blindly following the
- 35:03public would be down four thousand and sixty
- 35:06six dollars That's terrible. This has been one
- 35:11of the most Profitable seasons we've seen to
- 35:15fade the public. So that's exactly what I'm do.
- 35:17I'm just gonna fade the public Let's just get
- 35:20pop pop Rivers out there. Let's get his kids
- 35:22these health and his health insurance And you
- 35:25know what? Let's have fun. Let's get him to the
- 35:28playoffs. This would be hilarious. Let's just
- 35:36see what happens. It's Monday night. Nothing
- 35:38else is going on. Everybody's going to tune in
- 35:40to watch Brock Purdy, the once golden child,
- 35:46I guess, versus Old Man Rivers. Yeah, I'm just
- 35:53I'm going to take the Colts plus six and a half
- 35:55because I just want to have a little fun and
- 35:58If they're not covering by halftime, I can go
- 36:00to bed early So will what are you taking I'm
- 36:07on the Niners I think I think this is one of
- 36:13the times where Yes, the public is right and
- 36:16sometimes it is that easy It feels like a lot
- 36:20of the times when these like quarterbacks that
- 36:22are older like Joe Flacco And Philip Rivers like
- 36:27when they come back From being away from the
- 36:29game or just being a backup for for a long time
- 36:33They have like that that they're they're starting
- 36:35game where they come back and it's like hey magic
- 36:38still there, baby it doesn't matter baby kaboom
- 36:42and And yeah it feels like they could still sling
- 36:48it but they very quickly come down to earth and
- 36:51And honestly if if this bet loses I'll be alright
- 36:58It'll be okay. I I don't feel bad like I mean,
- 37:03I'll be like, oh man really wish I really wish
- 37:05I won that bet but also like I chose correctly.
- 37:10I Didn't try to outsmart anyone with this Not
- 37:14like not like my Ravens pick That was me trying
- 37:17to outsmart people. I'm not outsmarting anyone
- 37:19with this And that's all I got Okay moving on
- 37:27To everyone's favorite segment of the week the
- 37:31surefire double unit guaranteed not to lose plays
- 37:34of the week Brought to you by the trend center
- 37:37app. I will go first last week The trend center
- 37:41was very good to me with the chiefs chargers
- 37:44under shout out Gardner Menchu, the the playoff
- 37:52stopping interception when they didn't even have
- 37:55to throw the ball. You're you're a real one.
- 38:01So he said watch daddy sling it. Yes, he said
- 38:05watch daddy sling it. And he slung it to the
- 38:09other team. But My, uh, my pick I alluded to
- 38:14earlier in this show, uh, it's the Jags Broncos
- 38:18over, uh, 45 and a half. And, uh, got a little,
- 38:23little tasty stat. Uh, Jags overs after a win
- 38:26since 2005, 77, 51 and two. Not bad. Pretty good,
- 38:33even more than 60%. Anyway, uh, that is my, uh,
- 38:38that is my pick. I mean, the Jags are pretty
- 38:41much scoring at will. these days. And the Broncos
- 38:44keep winning games, but letting other teams score
- 38:47points. So they have a good defense, but they
- 38:51also don't. I think this game has the potential
- 38:55to absolutely rock. Let's have some fun. Let's
- 39:00go over 45 and a half. Chris, what do you what's
- 39:03your surefire this week? All right. The Chargers
- 39:07and the Cowboys. Am I missing something here?
- 39:12What why are the Cowboys? You're not going fair.
- 39:16I know they're at home, but I mean Come on They
- 39:21just got their shit pushed in by JJ McCarthy
- 39:23I Don't know you mean nine. Excuse you nine.
- 39:29Oh, excuse me. Yes, that was nine. Yes I don't
- 39:32know if this is a trap or not, but I might just
- 39:34be falling into it. I'm taking charges plus two
- 39:36and a half the Cowboys are done like It's over.
- 39:41Like, I don't know if it's mathematically over.
- 39:44It's over. Their defense is back to just being
- 39:47a pile of stinking horse shit. Quinn and Williams
- 39:50is in concussion protocol. If he can't play,
- 39:53who's going to rush the quarterback? Like, I
- 39:55know the Chargers offensive line is beat to hell.
- 39:58But if they don't have, if Williams doesn't play,
- 40:00I think that's a pretty even matchup. And I mean,
- 40:04they're secondary god awful. I just, I just don't
- 40:08get it. I don't get why they're... I saw this
- 40:12and I was like, did Herbert get hurt again? Did
- 40:15I miss something? Yeah. Chargers plus two and
- 40:20a half. Also a stat from our friends at the Truant
- 40:22Center. Dak Prescott is 16 and 37 against the
- 40:26spread, versus winning teams when the total is
- 40:29more than 40 and a half. So he shifts the bed
- 40:33against good teams. That's kind of been his MO
- 40:35his whole career. So yeah, charges plus two and
- 40:38a half guaranteed not to lose play of the week.
- 40:40Gotta get back on track. I let the boys down
- 40:42last week. Gotta get back with a winner this
- 40:44week. So yeah, who hasn't gone yet? Sean, what
- 40:47do you got? Real quick, I want to go back to
- 40:52the Vikings Cowboys just for a sec. My dad texted
- 40:56me as a Cowboys fan. He texted me, take every
- 40:59Justin Jefferson over you can find. So I parlayed
- 41:02his over. Yards his over receiving yards his
- 41:06longest Reception and a touchdown Justin Jefferson
- 41:12ended the game with one reception in 22 yards
- 41:16Thanks, we're looking fucking terrible fucking
- 41:19terrible Yeah, how do you like that one Rick?
- 41:23It is scared of you scared now The Justin Jefferson
- 41:29sleep with JJ McCarthy's wife or something I
- 41:32don't know Yeah, he hates him. Like in the past,
- 41:36it's like, oh, it's not just he doesn't throw
- 41:38to Justin Jefferson. He's just terrible. But
- 41:40it's like the last two weeks, he's played very
- 41:42well and still hasn't done anything. No, he sucks.
- 41:47Okay. But anyways, we're gonna get back to my
- 41:50surefire pick. I kind of got a stinky one. I'm
- 41:54taking the Cincinnati Bengals minus two and a
- 41:56half versus the Miami Dolphins. And I think it
- 42:01checks every box. for a Cincinnati bounce back.
- 42:06And let's just start off with Joe Burrow. He
- 42:09has only faced Miami once in his career, but
- 42:13he handled business with a 27 to 15 win in 2022
- 42:17covering at home. It's a small sample, sure,
- 42:22but it's relevant when paired with how since
- 42:26he typically responds after getting embarrassed.
- 42:29That embarrassment came last week when the Bengals
- 42:32were shut out at home by Baltimore. The first
- 42:37shutout in the borough era, first shutout at
- 42:40home for the franchise since 2017, also happened
- 42:45to be against the Ravens. Since 2015, teams coming
- 42:51off shutouts are 35 -17 -3 against the spread,
- 42:55including 5 -0 against the spread just this season.
- 42:59Putting up goose eggs tends to refocus teams
- 43:02real fast. Even late in the season, I'm not really
- 43:05worried about it. I know both these teams are
- 43:07eliminated. It doesn't matter. Situationally,
- 43:11I think this this spot favors since he's strong.
- 43:16Miami is on a short rest. They've been a disaster
- 43:20under Michael Daniel in his career. The Dolphins
- 43:22are just three and 10 straight up on short rest.
- 43:25They're often losing by eight points or more
- 43:28per game. They've seen seven straight outright
- 43:32losses in this spot. And it gets worse when Miami
- 43:38is an underdog on short rest. They're just one
- 43:41in seven straight up with those losses coming
- 43:44by 14 points or more per game. Now, let's, sorry,
- 43:53lost my place. Fantastic. Sorry. Since 2022,
- 44:03burrow in the Bengals have been excellent in
- 44:05games following matchups against divisional opponents
- 44:08like the Steelers and Ravens. I like them in
- 44:13these bounce back spots after losing to those
- 44:16teams. They are eight and three straight up at
- 44:18seven and three and one against the spread. And
- 44:21every one of those games have been decided by
- 44:24seven points or more. This just fits in perfectly
- 44:27for what this what this spread is So give me
- 44:30the Bengals minus two and a half against the
- 44:32Miami Dolphins. There's a very bad spot for Miami
- 44:35This is an elite bounce back spot for burrow.
- 44:38There's just too many trends pointing in the
- 44:40same direction. So Give me the Bengals There
- 44:45they are there's the bungles and that's our That's
- 44:50our double unit surefire plays of the week guaranteed
- 44:53not to lose Let's hit another parlay this week.
- 44:59Let's just do it. Who's to say we can't? Nobody.
- 45:03That's right. Let's hit two of these things this
- 45:06year. Yes. No, we've already hit two. Let's hit
- 45:10three of these things. Yeah. Who's to say? Anyway,
- 45:15we were so close last week. Yes. We're so close.
- 45:20Last week was sweaty. Yeah, I think for a kind
- 45:24of all of us. So yeah, my surefire literally
- 45:29came down to a two minute drill. That was awesome.
- 45:33It was fun. Oh, the sites. Yeah, I was like,
- 45:37yeah, it literally it literally came down like
- 45:39the last. Yeah, that game rocked you. Yeah, that
- 45:42game like we had with the lions rams on and then
- 45:47like The we had old man rivers slinging it and
- 45:50we had denver and packers and then I was just
- 45:53like Locked in I was locked in on panther saints
- 45:58Like a true degenerate should be yeah, and the
- 46:03titans game was going on at the same time Yeah
- 46:07cares, yeah Yeah, um, I mean if gardener meant
- 46:14you didn't throw that interception then It would
- 46:17have been The smart decision to just kick the
- 46:19field goal and go overtime at 16 16 and then.
- 46:26Fuck shit could have happened where the game
- 46:28went over, but it did not. It went under. OK,
- 46:35well, I mean. Outside of that. This is the first
- 46:41time in like. Fucking like 10 years that the
- 46:44Chiefs have been eliminated from the playoffs.
- 46:46It's been 2014. That's crazy. Hate to see it.
- 46:51Yep, hate to see it. Real shame. But like, who,
- 46:58whose call was it to like throw the ball when
- 47:01they were in field goal range with Gardner Menchu?
- 47:06Like that had to, like he could have, he had
- 47:10to have been like, no, I'm going to throw it.
- 47:13I'm going to get us closer. It's like dude, we
- 47:16have the woman hater here who kicks 55 yard bombs.
- 47:19Like what are we doing? Even like if that was
- 47:24if that was the playboy hater He hates women,
- 47:28I don't know I didn't even if I that was the
- 47:32play call. They're like, hey, we're gonna run
- 47:33this play like You don't have to throw it to
- 47:36him if he's not open Yeah, do anything other
- 47:42than that. So yeah, the play call is very stupid,
- 47:44but it's also like, okay, he's not open at all.
- 47:48Don't throw it to him. Hate to see it. So I'm
- 47:55not exactly mad that it happened. No, I don't
- 47:58think really many people are upset that, you
- 48:02know, the Chiefs are eliminated from playoffs.
- 48:04I went to work the next day. and I was talking
- 48:10with this guy who's a Raiders fan and he was
- 48:16like Yeah, it sucks. I'd like hate to see it,
- 48:21you know being a typical, you know division rival
- 48:23and he was like ever since they got rid of Tyree
- 48:26kill I just don't think they've been the same
- 48:28and I was like They've won two Super Bowls since
- 48:32they got rid of Tyree kill and he was like Oh,
- 48:37yeah, I guess they have and I was like, what
- 48:39are you talking? You don't even know ball. Like
- 48:42you what are you talking about? It's like he
- 48:45was like they haven't been the same and I was
- 48:47like they've won back -to -back Super Bowls.
- 48:50We could argue they were better. They were better.
- 48:53Yeah They haven't been the same. They've been
- 48:56better. Yeah Damn that's funny. I just I had
- 49:01to share that with the boys because I was like
- 49:03there's no way this man just said this to my
- 49:06face as a like, as a Raiders fan, you know, like,
- 49:12I know you have like no hope when you're in that
- 49:15division with, you know, Patrick Mahomes and,
- 49:18but like, dude, how do you not know that like,
- 49:25yeah, like, well, maybe he's kind of stupid.
- 49:29He is kind of stupid. He works for Kroger. He's
- 49:33kind of stupid. Anyway, that was me. Sorry. Shout
- 49:39out. Great deals. I mean, other than that, I
- 49:47have other things we could talk about outside
- 49:49of football. What are they? So I mean, we could
- 49:55talk about Sean being in the hot dog bowl. We
- 49:59could talk about John Cena's retirement. And
- 50:02we can also talk about the news today about Nick
- 50:04Saban becoming a minority owner of the Predators.
- 50:08I did see that. He's lived here for a long time.
- 50:13Has he owns it? Yeah, and he owns a Mercedes
- 50:16dealership in Nashville. I'm not surprised, but
- 50:20I was a little shocked. Maybe we'll play better.
- 50:25Maybe you get that Saban mentality. Yeah, just.
- 50:33Because the guy who has like a five percent Stakeholding
- 50:38the company was the greatest culture ball crunch
- 50:40of all time. Yeah It could happen just just something
- 50:45to hold on to Chris we're looking for anything
- 50:48right? I know that's a kind of press are kind
- 50:50of red hot right now at the one seven of the
- 50:52last ten so They're not bad. They're not doing
- 50:55bad. They're only six points out of the wild
- 50:58card spot and it's December so Really? Yeah,
- 51:02the last time I looked they were the worst team
- 51:04in the league Well, I was about to say they were
- 51:07dead last like a month ago. Maybe not Yeah, but
- 51:09they were they were dead last by like eight points
- 51:13That's what it was it was like they were down
- 51:18four games that's not a lot It's six points,
- 51:23but it's It's like eight spots Yeah, I know that's
- 51:29how close it is like you just got to keep you
- 51:32know grinding away when baby Yeah, just keep
- 51:35getting these hot streaks going If they take
- 51:38another slide then it's a different story But
- 51:40if they kind of keep the same momentum that they've
- 51:42had then it's like all right we could We make
- 51:46some noise a little bit make the postseason dammer
- 51:50tied the franchise record for goals in the game
- 51:52Whenever that was yeah My dad went to that game.
- 52:00I preds legend Eric nice room for goals and others
- 52:05but everyone remembers. Oh, yeah. I think those
- 52:13were like his only four goals he scored that
- 52:15year or something. Or like he only scored like
- 52:18two others. That's true. It's entirely possible.
- 52:30But But yeah, shout out Nick Saban Maybe you
- 52:34just like go to the locker room talk to the boys
- 52:36and then like that's it, you know I mean, that's
- 52:39all he really could do honestly Just yell at
- 52:42him a little bit run around again Some Surprising
- 52:54news Yeah, so I was like, oh, okay. Whatever.
- 53:01The minority stakeholder is like, okay, cool.
- 53:06Yeah, he's just cashing a check. Yeah. It's like
- 53:10Derek Henry. Derek Henry owns like a part of
- 53:13the Nashville SC soccer team as well. Yeah. So
- 53:18yeah. Cool, though. It is cool. I guess. All
- 53:23right. Do we want to talk about the hot dog bowl?
- 53:24Or do we want to talk about John Cena? Because
- 53:28outside of that I got nothing Okay Well, I'll
- 53:39make a confession with you guys about the hot
- 53:43dog bowl. Oh no, I Don't like that Who I'm playing
- 53:50in the hot dog bowl has not changed their lineup
- 53:52in four weeks. I don't like it. No, I don't either
- 53:57So I texted him today to change his lineup. What
- 54:02did he say? He changed his lineup. I can respect
- 54:06that. I want. This is the first year that our
- 54:14league is doing punishments. I think it sets
- 54:19a good example for the league. For the loser
- 54:23to lose. Yes, so I didn't want to just coast
- 54:32on by With an easy dub when this dude is starting
- 54:38Daniel Jones in his lineup for the last four
- 54:40weeks I Can't I can't I can't morally like have
- 54:47that hanging over me Yeah, I would be fine with
- 54:51it, but I know like I know that I know that most
- 54:56people would be. I don't want to eat 71 hot dogs
- 55:01but I would rather set a good example for the
- 55:07future of this league for someone to lose by
- 55:13actually losing and not having like just a basic
- 55:19bye week but someone who didn't set a lineup.
- 55:25I was. First of all, as the commissioner, I respect
- 55:29that. If Thursday rolled around and he still
- 55:32hadn't said it, I was going to text him. For
- 55:37the same reason. That right there, though, that
- 55:40would have pissed me off. If I hadn't texted
- 55:43him first, that would have pissed me off. I was
- 55:44like, I really don't want to do that. But also,
- 55:50I know he hasn't set his lineup in four weeks
- 55:53or whatever. You almost won last week. I was
- 55:57ahead for most of Sunday. I was like, I texted
- 56:02him. I was like, dude, if you would have just
- 56:06set your line up last week, you would have won.
- 56:08And I wouldn't have to be sending this text.
- 56:10But now I got to talk to you, like, for real.
- 56:13You have to sit like I don't want to eat 71 hot
- 56:17dogs. But I also want. To set a good example
- 56:22for this league that like someone is going to
- 56:24do this punishment and like someone is going
- 56:27to lose respectively Yes, and it has to be if
- 56:32it has to be me. It has to be me If it's you
- 56:34it's you and if you're not going to do it, then
- 56:37you're you're gone. I told him that I was like
- 56:40you're done like in and he was like i'll set
- 56:43my lineup and I was like good Good. Yeah, because
- 56:46I I don't want to have to do that, especially
- 56:50Guy's gonna be in my wedding couple months. I
- 56:53don't want to kick him out of the fantasy. Yeah
- 56:57Hot dogs are wedding choose. I honestly was like
- 57:01at the wedding if it overlaps It's not it's not
- 57:04gonna overlap But yeah, this was something I've
- 57:12kind of been sitting on for like since pretty
- 57:15much like Sunday like I was like Do I do I tell
- 57:21him do I just straight -up tell him to change
- 57:23his lineup just so that like There is a clear
- 57:28winner a loser and I was like dude honestly if
- 57:31you set your lineup You probably could have played
- 57:34made the playoffs and it like if like his team
- 57:37isn't bad No, it's just like he just didn't set
- 57:42his lineup. He's had guys on IR and his lineup
- 57:44for like three or four weeks And I'm like, dude,
- 57:50he was like, yeah, my, my whole team, like, it's
- 57:53like, I had three guys on IR by week five. And
- 57:55I was like, dude, I've had, I've had doctor's
- 57:58notes from guys like since like week four, like,
- 58:03I get it. Like, that's why I'm in this spot right
- 58:05now. Like we're the same, but like, you could
- 58:08have overcome this because your record is so
- 58:11much lower than me. I'm seven and seven, you're
- 58:13three and 10. You have priority on the waiver
- 58:15rider. You could have made this. You could have
- 58:18made this happen. You could have made the playoffs
- 58:20if you tried. So we're going to see this week.
- 58:29If I lose, I will not be eating hot dogs until
- 58:32the start of the new year. Fair enough. But yeah.
- 58:38I mean, you could just do it whenever you want.
- 58:40I'm going to do it like as soon as possible,
- 58:43but I can't decide it. Yeah. I can't have it
- 58:46be done over the holidays. That would be so fucking
- 58:49funny. You could get it done before Christmas.
- 58:59You'd have to eat 70 hot dogs in like three days,
- 59:01but you can get it done before Christmas. No,
- 59:03no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. That's
- 59:08not happening. A honey glazed hot dog for Christmas.
- 59:14Yeah, so Christmas dinner Yeah, it was a it was
- 59:22a I I kind of struggled with like Talking to
- 59:27him. I was like do I do this and I was like I
- 59:31Wouldn't feel right winning by like default pretty
- 59:36much like At that point like edit If you're playing
- 59:44in a league that has punishments and like someone
- 59:46just isn't setting their lineup. There's no point
- 59:49in having a punishment because obviously like
- 59:53people don't care and At least at this point
- 59:57Even if he beats me there's at least half a person
- 1:00:02who cares about the punishment Yes, I'll take
- 1:00:08that bullet but Yeah I mean, I would have done
- 1:00:14it if I if I lost the league this year. I would
- 1:00:17have also done it like Yeah, but you wouldn't
- 1:00:20have texted the opponent who hadn't set their
- 1:00:22lineup in four weeks. Very true And like there's
- 1:00:29nothing I could there's there's absolutely nothing
- 1:00:31wrong with that as well, but like Morally, I
- 1:00:35don't like to cheat. I don't like to like and
- 1:00:39no it's not cheating but I like to at least win
- 1:00:43or lose honorably. And if you don't set your
- 1:00:48lineup in the regular season, I get it. Stuff
- 1:00:50gets in the way. But we're kind of getting in.
- 1:00:54We are in the nitty gritty of it. And this punishment
- 1:00:58is for you to still care after you are eliminated
- 1:01:03from the playoffs. You are still forced to play
- 1:01:08fantasy football. this is unacceptable that you
- 1:01:14cannot set your line up and like, just lose and
- 1:01:22be like, oh, well, it's like, no, you have to
- 1:01:25eat 71 hot dogs. This isn't an this isn't an
- 1:01:29oh, well, like, oh, well, I guess it's just fantasy
- 1:01:36football anymore. Honestly, I don't want that
- 1:01:39either. Like, I like my bi weeks versus him in
- 1:01:44the regular season. So trying to kind of conserve
- 1:01:47like that part of it as well. So I get it. Like
- 1:01:53I get, I get people who are like, Oh, I wouldn't
- 1:01:58have texted him. It was like, yeah, you are absolutely
- 1:02:02correct. But I would have been, I would have
- 1:02:06been livid if I didn't text him. And Chris texted
- 1:02:10him. I would have been upset. I don't know if,
- 1:02:13I mean, I think I would have just because I don't
- 1:02:17want to have to kick him out of the league, but
- 1:02:18also I would have been in a moral quandary. Just
- 1:02:24like, do I kick out one of my best friends from
- 1:02:27fantasy football or overset my bounds as commissioner?
- 1:02:33I don't know. I've been tossing and turning.
- 1:02:35I'll tell you that. I would understand as a commissioner
- 1:02:39if you were like hey set your line up you know
- 1:02:44like yeah you run this shit like you want you
- 1:02:48want it to right be fun but you I see if you
- 1:02:56were doing that all season long it would have
- 1:03:01been fine But like if you were like in the last
- 1:03:04seat last week at the seat in the hot dog bowl
- 1:03:07Like the first text he gets about fantasy football.
- 1:03:10It's like hey set your lineup That's where I'm
- 1:03:13like a that's and I didn't text him like myself
- 1:03:19Yeah, that's where we'd have a problem. I'm just
- 1:03:23gonna say but well, I'm glad I'm glad I guess
- 1:03:26I'm glad you did All right, yeah hot dog perfect.
- 1:03:33I'm very excited for that. I'm probably pay more
- 1:03:36attention to that than my Yes, I'm I'm already
- 1:03:41projected to lose Hey, yeah, I have a 40 I have
- 1:03:47a 46 % chance of winning a lot of all left ball
- 1:03:51has even started a quarterback at least he didn't
- 1:03:54pick up anybody at Brock Purdy in his bench all
- 1:03:57season long He had Daniel Jones in his slot for
- 1:04:01three weeks. That pisses me off. Okay, I guess
- 1:04:04Rock Party has been hurt like all season, but
- 1:04:06still. You both have to eat 70 hot dogs. Or split
- 1:04:16the difference, 35. That'd be cool with splitting
- 1:04:19the difference, but... No, no, no. It's losers,
- 1:04:23losers. Losers lose, winners win. It's what it
- 1:04:29is. I get it. And you know what doggers hot dog.
- 1:04:35If I start out, if I started out six and one,
- 1:04:39and then I fell to seven and seven into the very
- 1:04:44last spot into the hot dog bowl, I kind of deserve
- 1:04:48this too. Is that what happened? That is what
- 1:04:52happened. You started six and one? Yeah. Yeah
- 1:04:58in like week seven I had like a 98 % chance to
- 1:05:01make the playoffs Damn and then my entire team
- 1:05:06fell to shit. I literally had like six guys on
- 1:05:10IR And I couldn't pick up anybody because I didn't
- 1:05:16want to lose the guys that I had Yeah, and I
- 1:05:21won the league last year isn't that crazy Will
- 1:05:26we're playing each other, aren't we? Oh, I don't
- 1:05:29know. I think so. I did win last week. Yeah.
- 1:05:33Top like two, two, three, four and five seeds
- 1:05:38all lost. Excellent. Well, Chris, I'm glad to
- 1:05:45know that. What? I'm glad to know that. Swallowing
- 1:05:5471 wieners isn't on the line for our game. So
- 1:05:58I'm I'm cool with either way this goes honestly,
- 1:06:04but also fuck you Because you told me fuck you
- 1:06:10I thought that's what you were gonna say No,
- 1:06:14I didn't know you're gonna be respectful No,
- 1:06:18I'm just I'm just thankful that I I don't have
- 1:06:20to worry about All them hot dogs, yes Although
- 1:06:26yeah and Can I just vent for a second about the
- 1:06:31ESPN fantasy app? I said last week that Okay,
- 1:06:35last week. I said that if you're not using the
- 1:06:37ESPN fantasy app, what the fuck are you doing?
- 1:06:40ESP fantasy app told me last week at 10 o 'clock
- 1:06:44that Roma doon say was good to go By 1205 after
- 1:06:49the game it started They were like, hey, Roma
- 1:06:52do Zay's out. And I'm like, what? I'm at work.
- 1:06:57Like, what am I supposed to do? So Roma do Zay
- 1:07:01load a big fat egg for me. Um, I probably would
- 1:07:05have lost anyways, but I DJ more on my bench
- 1:07:08who put up 25 points, which I would have won
- 1:07:11if I had proper notice, but that is bullshit.
- 1:07:17That is bullshit. It was like a shitty situation
- 1:07:20because I think he had every attention to play
- 1:07:22but it came out in warm -ups and re - whatever
- 1:07:25it is he re aggravated it. He was fine. He was
- 1:07:28fine. He could have played it. Played through
- 1:07:31it. We'll wrap this up. Let's go home. Okay.
- 1:07:36Thank you so much for listening and watching.
- 1:07:38We really appreciate it. Please like, comment,
- 1:07:40subscribe. Any interaction with this really helps
- 1:07:43us out, really helps our reach. Check out the
- 1:07:45Trends Center app. Link in the description. 15
- 1:07:48% off a premium membership when you use the code
- 1:07:51TFTM at checkout. It's the greatest tool on the
- 1:07:54planet for sports bettors. We're using it all
- 1:07:56season to bet on all these sports. Follow us
- 1:08:01on X for all the posts. We know that Chris has
- 1:08:05always been on college basketball and Sean here
- 1:08:08and there and me sometimes when I remember to
- 1:08:10do it or feeling frisky. There you go. But yes,
- 1:08:17we'll be using that for Anyway, we'll see you
- 1:08:26next week. There's three of us