Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 07/21/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 07/21/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: All system's going clear. We left up.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: What is going on ship at Nation YouTube station back
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: Tuesday here to break down. I believe it's what a
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: twelve game slate now because that the Yankees game did
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: get waxed twelve or is it thirteen or twelve or
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: thirteen something like that.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: I'm getting a massive slates confused with yesterday and today.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Usually Mondays, we don't have full full slates like we
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: did yesterday, but that's what they all start break we'll
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: do to you looking to dive back in here. We
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: got coors Field back in our lives here g rising
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: in a much better matchup for both teams I think
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: today than yesterday and yesterday. You still yielded some runs,
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: obviously you have the Wrigley game as well, but much
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: different conditions today than yesterday. Got some other good spots
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: across the board, and we don't have very good pitching.
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: We have one guy that kind of stands out above
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: the rest in that same matchup that everyone wanted to
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: play yesterday back in our lives out in Seattle. But
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: we'll do our best to kind of break it all
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: down here. Bring you in man, Happy Tuesday. What's going
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: on brother man.
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: Glad to be back after the week off last week,
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: we you know, with the All Star breaks, So glad
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: to be back at it here. But yeah, we got
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: an interesting slate, big one. We already lost the one,
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: so yeah, it is twelve games, but yeah, interesting one
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: to break down.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Like you said, pitching ain't too good.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: I mean, the guys you want to pay up for
• 1:59
  Speaker 3: burn you know up at the top, Gossman, It's like
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: you just don't want to pay up for those guys.
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: So tough one.
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: I think we're gonna have to maybe make some uncomfortable
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: pitching decisions. Especially we're sitting with a game total thirteen
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: out there in course field, so we know, uh, all
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: the optos, everybody's gonna be pushing toward that game, both
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: sides of the field, so that that one should be interesting.
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: But yeah, interesting slate here. I think, uh, I got
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: a couple pitchers that maybe be a little different than
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: a few that I might jam in, especially on DK.
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: It seems to be a little easier to jam in
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: Burns on FANDO with some course field bats, but not
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: so much on DK.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna have to play some cheaper guys.
• 2:40
  Speaker 3: Looks like, you know, it looks like my tiger out
• 2:43
  Speaker 3: here out in Wriglely or Wrigly might be. Valdaz might
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: be a pretty popular play here today. Castillo might be
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: pretty popular. So we'll have to see if we can
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: do a little make make ourselves a little different here
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: today in the slate. Looks like most of the masses
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: are going one way for the bats, right, Like everybody's
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: gonna have piece of that Corse game, I mean pretty much.
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: So if you're willing to fad it, you're gonna play
• 3:05
  Speaker 3: some high end pitching today. So interesting way to see
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: how we can attack it. So, yeah, let's see what
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: we can do.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, should be fun to break it down.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna say hi to a couple of people here
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: in chat Michael w Sean Selly, Little Nackhart, Gangreen, Ricky Rose,
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: our guy, Marquis sports Babo's I got new EN's fellow
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: Wisconsin in here.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Hey go Jake Swales. Always appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: that like button, hit that subscribe button.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: Helps us out a town here and day two gee
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: rising here. I know you weren't on the show with
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: me yesterday, but Stone two point zero and I had
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: like I said yesterday, right, I had the team add
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: in some of the stats that you and I talk
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: about here on this show all the time, in terms
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: of their pitchers, in terms of the Sierra rankings, their
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: flyball percentage, their ground ball percentage, home run per nine,
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: and goes through really everything we have and has our
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: picture rankings right here. I'm gonna go ahead and we're
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: gonna use this to talk through as much of the
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: slate as we can here and really use it to
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: kind of show it off as one of the premium
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: tools over here. Obviously we have the slate station that
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: we typically showcase here, but I didn't want to bring
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: up the Stone two point zero. Nice part about this, too,
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: Ge Rosen, is you can just start clicking in guys
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: in here and just take a look and then run optimizer,
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: run optimized teams, hit the save, and then go to
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: your save lineups and upload it right to DraftKings like
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: a showcase yesterday. So let's start pitching. We'll go eight
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: K and above, and it's pretty gross top tier. But
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: in terms of down at a K, you got Zach
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Thornton facing off against the UH. I gotta say it
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: the best record in baseball, but all the way from him,
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: all the way up to Chase Burns. Chase Burns eleven
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: to five after signing what the biggest contract in history
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: something like that, he got absolutely just straight paid from
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: the Reds for a good reason. Eleven five though, on
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: this slate, tire, when do you really want to prioritize
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: him over the Coors Field bats? Because you really can't
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: play the Nationals comfortably with an eleven to five pitcher
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: unless you kind of punt the sp two option. And
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: there is some cheaper guys on the slate, like a
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: David Peterson in that win game out there in Wrigley
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: twenty nine hour wins blown in, But really, break down
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: this top tier, how do you see it? Are you
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: getting up to Burns? Are you messing with Kevin Gosman
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: in a pretty tough matchup? Overall, Drew Rasmussen has a
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: least concern and now coming off after the extended break,
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: doesn't really seem super safe up there, even though he
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: is a solid pitcher, and it's just because the Rays
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: right the way Tampa handles their starting pitchers, it's not great.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: And then Cala Bradish at nine K against one of
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: the hottest teams in baseball in the Red Sox feels
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: tough to play, and really that's kind of the summary
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: of this top tier. It feels gross and majority of
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  Speaker 2: my teams probably don't even have one of these guys
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: outside of maybe a spen up to be contrarian Chase Burns,
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: who's probably gonna be super low owned on the slate
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  Speaker 2: despite being the best overall starting pitcher.
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: Talk to me, yeah, I mean it's pretty tough here,
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: especially with the AK.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'll start with Thornton.
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: I'm not interested in Thornton at all Urania either against
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: a Cardinal team. He just doesn't have enough case for me.
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: Just hasn't been very good here recent times. We get
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: the Bradish sitting at nine K from what I'm on,
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: I mean, we're gonna have to watch the weather in
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: that one for sure. I just have a hard time
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: with Bradish. I mean, he's been up and down. He's
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: he's had seven innings here, what almost seven innings with
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: four or three out of his last five starts. He's
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: had a pretty long leash. I think what just worries
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: me is his walk rates have been really high to
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: both sides of the plate. So that does concern me.
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: He's at eleven percent walk rate to the left side,
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: ten to the right side, strikeout right, read about average
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  Speaker 3: twenty two percent to the left side, twenty four and
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: a half percent to the right side. Uh, you got
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: three bats, four bats, Maybe that you can attack over
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  Speaker 3: here on the h on the red hot red sox.
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: Here seemed to be just mowing everybody down. I didn't
• 7:16
  Speaker 3: see they end up winning yesterday Nate's I didn't see
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: if they want I.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: Didn't see if they won. Let me let me look.
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: I know they were tired late. I didn't see if
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: they came back and went I went to bed.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, I'll have to look. But go ahead
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: and keep talking.
• 7:32
  Speaker 3: Well that'd be like fourteen in a row or some
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: bullshit like that. But like you said, with rass Mussen,
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: I can't go with rass Musen. I think he's got
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: some pitch con concerns. Thanks Warren says they won. But yeah,
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: so rass Musin, I'm a lot of concerned with him.
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  Speaker 3: Ninety seven hundred. Now it leaves me the two guys
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: up at the top. I mean, you're gonna sit there
• 7:52
  Speaker 3: and look at Gossman Gossmin's been uh, I mean, he
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: just hasn't been the greatest. I mean he's he's been
• 7:59
  Speaker 3: walking quite a few guys in his last few starts.
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: He's been struggling a little bit against lefties, against seven
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: lefties from Tampa.
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  Speaker 1: I would leave Gossman in my.
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: Pool because I do think pitching is a little bit
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: weak today. I would I don't really have too many
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: guys that I would really concern consider playing. Gossman is one.
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: I just don't like his price at ten K over
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: on FanDuel or over on dKu. Looking at Burns, now,
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: you like everything about Burns' matchup, right like, I mean,
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: we like the park, we like him being out there
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  Speaker 3: in Seattle.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: I mean he's got a twenty eight percent k ray.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: We like that.
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: But you know, I mean you sit and you look
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  Speaker 3: at his game log. I mean, I'm gonna pay eleven
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  Speaker 3: K for a guy who hasn't, you know, seven points
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  Speaker 3: seventeen point nine eighteen twenty two, twenty five seventeen. I mean,
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  Speaker 3: he hasn't had consistent good back to back starts that
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: he's got over twenty some point twenty five points since
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  Speaker 3: like the middle of Mayish I mean it's kind of
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  Speaker 3: concerning for me. So Burns does have a good match.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: I do like the park. Like I said, I leave
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: him in my pool. I do like him on FANDEL
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: it's a little easier to jam him him in over there,
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  Speaker 3: but to pay up to get some of these bats
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  Speaker 3: you're gonna want on DK, I think Burns would be
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: an easier fade for me today, even though I do
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  Speaker 3: like him. But if you do want to fade that
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: corse Field game, I think Burns should be a click
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: that you should probably have in your lineup today, just
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: because he does have the highest strikeout capability here today.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: So but yeah, I think it's interesting.
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: I mean, we got a couple guys that you know,
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: blow a k that I think are going to be
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: pretty popular, as I mentioned the top of the show
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: with Castillo and Valdez, I think are going to be
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: a pretty popular pairing on DK today.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean I think it's interesting in the
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  Speaker 1: fact for Burns.
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: I mean, if if Burns was gonna be really chalky,
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: I think, you know, it'd be an easy fade for me.
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: But just because he's not gonna get the ownership, he
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: does have the highest strikeout percentage up on the slate
• 9:54
  Speaker 3: here today, he does have a good part. So I'm
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: interested in in some Burns and then you're gonna have
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: to make some decisions how much of that course field
• 10:04
  Speaker 3: the game you're gonna want. But yeah, I mean we
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: only got what when you think about it, nas, we've
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: got twelve games. We only got six pitchers on DK
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: that are above eight K, and we only got four
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: above nine K. So you generally don't you generally don't
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: see that. At least it seems like we at least
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: have some kind of pitching options. And normally I always
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: say on a pitching slate, am I concerned about getting
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: bombed out by pitching?
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: That's not the case for me today. So I feel.
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: Comfortable playing lower tier type pitchers that maybe I'm looking
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: for outs or maybe I'm looking for, you know, in
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: a good matchup. So it is kind of easier to
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: fade Burns, you know, just on top of the surface.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: But when you're looking at ownership percentages, for me, I
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: think Burns a pretty good play today.
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: So the thing that worries me with Burns is not
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: only his salary. Does he have the highest ceiling on
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: the slate. Absolutely, the strikeout prop is sitting at seven
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: and a half by far and away the best it is,
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: juice to the under. The thing that worries about me
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: is his outprop is sitting at fifteen and a half. Right,
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: that's a little that's a little worrisome to me. There
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: they're expecting six innings or not even six inning, five innings,
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: really five six innings somewhere in that ballpark. That's that's
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: a little worry some to me when you're paying eleven
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: to five on a slate like this. However, I do
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: think at ownership, I mean, he's gonna be fifteen percent owned,
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: I would think on this kind of slate with the
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: highest ceiling potential of really any of these guys. I mean,
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: maybe can argue a little bit, right, Kevin Gosman and
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: Drew Rasmusson if they let him go, can get there.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: But both of those matchups aren't very good for strikeouts
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: overall in Toronto and Tampa Bay for opposing starting pitchers.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: So you can say Chase Burns probably has the highest
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: ceiling on the slate.
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: Maybe you might argue a guy like Louis Castillo on
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: the other side of that game for much cheaper there
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: outside of him.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: I really don't love this top tier.
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: I really don't really want to mess with Kevin Gosman
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: at ten k against the Tampa bay Rays, who really
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: don't strike out.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: Gosman hasn't looked the best as of late. Yeah, if you.
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: Want to spend up to be contrarian, but he's gonna
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: be similar ownership to Chase Burns. I'd rather just play
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: Chase Burns if picking between the two. So for me
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: up top, it's really Chase Burns and really nobody else.
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: I mean maybe Walbert Urina at eighty six hundred. It's
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: kind of smoking mirrors with his metrics, right, He's kind
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: of getting away with some Babbitt stuff and things like that.
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: But I mean at eighty six hundred at no ownership,
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: I don't love picking on the Cardinals, but if you
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: really wanted to stomach another guy up here, I think that.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: And then Drew Rasmussen ranked really good in our stuff.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: I just I can't trust the Tampa pitching staff, especially
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: after the All Star break and the extended the time
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: off for Rasmussen. I just we saw it with Miz
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: yesterday getting pulled after sixty five pitches. I don't know,
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: all right, I haven't seen any polts. Like there was
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: some manager speak. Pat Murphy talked about Miz yesterday that
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: that we kind of glanced over at least on the show.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: I don't know if there's anything coming out from Rasmussen
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: and Tampa there, but yeah, it's it's really just Chase
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: Burns for me up top. And like I said, majority
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: of my team's probably won't even have anyone above eight k.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: You Arena would be the other guy that kind of
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: just closed your nose or close your eyes to just
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: take a shot on maybe and just hope that he
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: continues to get away with smoking merrors. But let's jump
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: down below eight k and talk about where majority of
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: the people are gonna go.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: The high stone pitcher on the slate is gonna come
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: below eight k. He's gonna be seventy six hundred.
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: On the other side of that, Chase Burns Louis Castillo
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: really hard. We just saw what Brian Wu did yesterday
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: on the opposite side. Now, Castillo at his current state
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: isn't Brian Wu. But I mean Castillo's the safe, the
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: safety and the floor plus the matchup with strikeouts for
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: this Reds team. And the ballpark, it's kind of tough
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: to get away from him. But playing Castillo in the
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: heavy chalk at the current form of his career doesn't
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: feel like the best slate, especially if you want to
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: go and play that Coors Field game like I do.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: From a bat's perspective, I was kind of all in
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: on the game yesterday. I'm going to be going right
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: back to it. Do I really want to pay Castilla
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: with everyone else?
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: Not sure. I Framber is a nice pivot right there.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: I think at two hundred dollars more in that really
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: good win game for pitching in Wrigley, So I think
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: Framber's pretty interesting. Brandon Sproute, if you wanted to take
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: a shot on him, I think he's interesting.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: He's got some upside there. And then really it's.
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: Just kind of punting down, kind of plugging your nose
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: and playing a guy like am I I think at
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: sixty eight hundred against the Fish, I think you could
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: mess with guys like Kumar Rocker and just bet on Hey,
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: maybe he finally figures it out. He's got a pedigree,
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: has it come to fruition more times than not, he's
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: bombed your lineup, and then David Peterson all the way
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: down at fifty five hundred in that team win game there.
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: So talk to me this lord tier where majority of
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: the people's teams are going to be anchored around two
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: of these guys down here in this range.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll start with uh, I'll start with Castillo.
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: Actually, Castillo, as you said, I mean, I feel like
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: the opposite side as I do with Burns, like Castillo's
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: going to be pretty chalky, especially on DK in my opinion.
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: I mean, you're sitting there looking at a guy and
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: what's I mean just looking at his game log and
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: like seven starts, he hasn't had more than five k's.
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: He's got like a five point thirty ERA. At home,
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: he hasn't been very good. He hasn't been very good
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: against lefty so far this season. He's got a two
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: twenty seven IO. Ground Ball percentage is pretty low at
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: thirty four percent. Fly ball percentage is pretty high, almost
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: thirty five percent. He's getting buriled up twelve percent against lefties.
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: He's been pretty good against right He's now he's going
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: to see Blade. We obviously know Elie Cruz friedol Arroyo,
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: so he's going to see you know, he's not going
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: to see as many lefties. Is a lot of teams
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: could throw out there at him here today, But uh,
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: I mean, I still think that for me, I could
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: see as many reasons to pull Coles in it as
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: I could see some reasons that people like it. So
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: for me, I mean just knowing he's going to be
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: pretty popular playing like a tournament type game where I
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: feel like everybody's being steered to certain ways. Like to me,
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: I think I would kind of I would just fade
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: castile to be honest with you and and leave him
• 16:24
  Speaker 3: be like I do. Like Framber, I think Framber is
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: in a pretty good spot. Last time out, Framber was
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: really good. I mean, you know, I'll call him a
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: baby in a bitch again so that you know, maybe
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: he does come out and have a good game. But
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: last two out of four starts he's had nine k's.
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: He had two kids starts in there where he struggled,
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: but he had eight k's before that.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, so, I mean he's looked pretty good.
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: I think, you know, against the Cubbies here, he's gonna
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: see pretty much a bunch of righty's. He does have
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: a fifteen percent h K rate, but we know he's
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: got a bunch of ground balls. I think Framber is
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: a guy that that, like you said, is a pretty
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: good pivot A.
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: Mi's my favorite pitcher on the slate.
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: I don't know if it's just because I'm biased Aids,
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: Like seems like every time we talk about this dude,
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: he comes out for us, Like he comes out and
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: shows out for us, and it seems like I'm gonna
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: put him in, you know, like the category, like you know,
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: like it's like a Steele if he's chalky.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: I don't want to play a guy like his Steele
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: when he's chalky, like you know, like.
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: When a mas chalky, and you know, it's just like
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: I just feel like I'd just rather leave him alone,
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: you know, like I just not He's not being talked
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: about here today. He gets a Miami team that uh uh.
• 17:31
  Speaker 3: I mean he is a favorite minus one twenty five,
• 17:34
  Speaker 3: so we do like that. I mean, he's got stours
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: the top of that lineup, Grick Conines, got some case
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: Hernandez Mac. I mean they do have one, two, three,
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: four bats that are are low K bats. But I
• 17:46
  Speaker 3: mean I think I can get it done if he
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: can get the ball over the place. That's been his problem.
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: He's just been walking too many guys fourteen percent walk
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: right to the left side pretty much a fourteen percent
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: to the right side. So I think Ama is interesting
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: from a tournament perspective. I think he'd be a guy that, uh,
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: I'm definitely interested in. And then you know, if you
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: want to look at somebody like, uh, David Peterson against
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: the Tigers, I'd much rather see you know, a guy
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: like Peterson, uh going up against the Tigers from the
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: left side. I think that would be a play that
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: that I could I could stomach.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: Uh, maybe you.
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: Know, it's just hard. I think Rocker is one of
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: the guys that you could play. But that'd be my
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: whiskey play of the day there. I don't know, man,
• 18:29
  Speaker 3: I think I actually prefer the White Sox, the lefties
• 18:32
  Speaker 3: of the White Sox against Rocker.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: But I still think Rocker could could could get some
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: mouths today.
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: I don't love it, but uh, it's it's there. If
• 18:42
  Speaker 3: you wanted to go with Matthew Liberator against the Angels,
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: you could look that way. I mean, it's just hard
• 18:49
  Speaker 3: to play the Angels with a fly against the Angels
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: with with the flyball type pitcher.
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: Uh, Liberator.
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: I mean, like I said, it's we've got some thin
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: pickings down here.
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: But he does have a D and krate twenty six
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: percent against the left side.
• 19:02
  Speaker 3: He's going to pretty much see al right, he's anyway
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: where he's at a nineteen percent K raid. He's got
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: low ground ball rate, fly ball rate thirty percent. I man,
• 19:13
  Speaker 3: I don't I don't love Libertor, but I mean for
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: the price you're looking, if you want to get a
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: little bit different, I think he's in there. But for me, man,
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: I like a Mayan Valdez down here. Castillo, I'm not
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: so much of a fan of I'm willing to.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Fade Castillo today because I think if you see coursefield type,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: heavy type lineups and ads, you're gonna see a lot
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: of Lewis Castillo on them teams. I can I can
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: almost virtually assure you.
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah, So the dry run spits out seventy five, seventy
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: six percent Louis Castillo with a bunch of Rockies in
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: Washington stacks like, that's every team pretty much in the opto.
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: So that tells you right now what everyone's gonna do
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: in terms of the pitching, in terms of the protections
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: and opto. It's Castillo and am I, then Peterson, then Rocker,
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: then Libertor. So that just shows you major the teams
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: are gonna be too of these spending down guys with
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: course field.
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: So maybe circling back, maybe.
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: You just spend up on some of these guys that
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: feel like they're overpriced, like a leg A burns like
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: a bradish, like a Gosman, something like that to flip
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: the build. But for me, it's definitely Valdez, my favorite
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: guy down here, and then probably Kumar, Rocker, Peterson, m I,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: those kind of guys would be next. I am a
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: little worried on Castillo. I just think everybody's team is
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: gonna have Castillo on it. Now, you could say that's
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: kind of just a blocker piece, but at I mean
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: single entry stuff, sixty seventy percent of lineups are going
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: to have him. That gives you a pretty clear cut
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: to the top. Right if he goes out there and
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: get you, I don't know, fifteen points twelve to fifteen,
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: and one of these other guys matches them or out
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: produces them, well, now you just leap the jump. The
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: whole field in all your competition is a good play
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: on paper. The props back him up. He's got a
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: five and a half k prop juice to the over,
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: so I get the reason why everyone's there. It's just
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know. He feels a little scary to me.
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: I was all in pretty much on wu last night.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: This is a much different spot to me personally. I
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: just think Wu' is a much better pitcher than Castillo
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: is at this current state. So yeah, I mean it's
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: pretty gross. I think Libertore is kind of interesting. Five
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: and a half k prop. It is just the under,
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: but still he's still got a five and a half
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: k prop there. The Angel has just been so bad
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: that lately. I know it's a much different matchup against
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: left handed pitching than it is right hand and pitching,
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: but I just I mean, they've just been terrible. Even
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: with Trout back in there, they still have tons of
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in that lineup. So if you wanted to mess
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: with him, I think he's interesting. But realistically, I think
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: Peterson and Peterson and bald As are kind of the
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: main guys that I'm looking and am I kind of
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: those three main guys that I'm looking down here and
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: feels really gross. I'm gonna kind of put my bats
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: in first, you Rizon, and then see what pitchers. If
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: I have the salary, I'll throw into Chase Burns. If
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: I don't, I'll play to these other guys down here.
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: Is kind of how I'm approaching it. I'm definitely going
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: bats first in terms of my team, and make sure
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: I have the stack that I want and then the
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: mini stack or the secondary guy pieces that I want,
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: and then figure out what pitching start or what kind of.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: Pitching fits from there. Go ahead and give your summary.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: I know it's pretty gross to give your top pitchers
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: on the slates, but we're all dealing with the same
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: deck of cards, and we know everyone's kind of holding
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: the They're not holding pocket aces here, they're holding Louis
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: Castillo in the chamber, so we know that at least
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: going in to talk to me, give your summary.
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Like I said, I mean, pitching's kind of gross.
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: I mean that's why when you after you and you
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: see that price on Burns, you're just like, I ain't
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: playing Burns at that price. But then you start looking
• 23:04
  Speaker 3: at it thinking, wait a minute, you know everybody's gonna
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: get kind of drawn to the same type play here,
• 23:09
  Speaker 3: So you know, I uh, I think I like Burns
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: a little bit more than most do. I mean I
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: haven't played with how much of that course field game
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: I can get. I really do like Valdez more than Castillo.
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: I think Castillo for me is kind of an easy fade,
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: but Amaya is one of my favorite pitchers. Amai and
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: Valdez would probably be my favorite pitching combination. But like
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: you said, you got a few other guys down here,
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: maybe be a little bit.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Uncomfortable, like Libatore.
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: But uh yeah, I think pitching overall is is.
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: It's just it's just.
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: Scary, right, Like there's nothing I really feel that's just
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: gonna just beat you. But uh yeah, I think, you know,
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: I just think here it's a tough slide here. I
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: think somebody here asked about Drake Cole here for Cold
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: Drake or for the d Backs.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, this kid's coming up here.
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: I mean he's basically calling up as an emerged agency
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: the dudes had.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: He starts, He's got like a seven E R.
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: I'm not really interested in a kid, you know, who's
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: coming up in a spots start with with an era
• 24:18
  Speaker 3: like that down you know, down below, I do know
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: the West side, you know of that the Pacific League,
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: I think it's called. You know, that's like where that
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: Sacramento Mental Stadium and all that minor league stadiums are.
• 24:29
  Speaker 3: You know, the run totals are generally a run or
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: too higher than everywhere else. So I a lot of
• 24:34
  Speaker 3: times don't weigh too much into that, just knowing you know,
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: out there in the elevation out there Sacramento and and
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: out there in the in the mountains. So but yeah,
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: I I'm not really a fan of that. I don't
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: there's a lot unknowns there. Not really too interested in
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: playing playing the rookie on a spot start, So uh,
• 24:53
  Speaker 3: not going there, you know anything about that?
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Kid? Nate's no. I mean the PCL, everyone's numbers are
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: are inflated just because the parks are playing in the weather,
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: the temperatures, the stadium, just everything right kind of goes
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: against them there. And the offenses are pretty solid overall
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: in that league anyways.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm still not going there, to be honest,
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: I'd rather take a shot on just spending all the
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: way down at fifty five hundred hours David Peterson personally myself,
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: then mess with a guy like col Drake at sixty
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: three hundred there. I just I don't love it overall,
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: so I'll go ahead and give my summary. I'll put
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: Burns number one just because I think he has the
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: highest ceiling on the slate, even if he only goes
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: five innings or maybe they push him six. There's no
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: really solidified kind of report, but based on what Vegas
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: has a fifteen and a half out prop on him,
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: I'm expecting six innings kind of maximum here four Burns,
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: but I still think he has the capability to go
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: out there and put seven, eight, nine striker. It's up
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: regardless of how long he's gonna go, So I will
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: put him number one. Veldez is gonna be number two
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: for me in my rocker, and then David Peterson is
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: kind of how I'm raking it. Libertore would kind of
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: be the next guy in line, and then it gets
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: really really gross after that, and a lot of those
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: guys are gross anyways, and on a different slate, I
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: probably won't play any of them. But that's just the
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: deck that we're dealing with here. But jump over and
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: talk hitting here. I'm gonna pull our other tab up here,
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: the regular stone that shows the lineups overall.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: First game on.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: The main slate, remember that Yankees game is postponed. There
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: is other weather to worry about as well. So the
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: other main weather game on the main slate now since
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: that first game got postponed, is gonna be the Fenway Park,
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: the Fenway Baltimore Boston game, So when we get there,
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: we can definitely talk about that. But it looks pretty
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: pretty meek or pretty pretty bleak for the outlook there.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: Obviously you're gonna have to pay attention leading up to
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: lock there, but doesn't look great as it stands right now.
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: But this first game on the dock at Ray's Blue Jays,
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: Gosman Drew Rasmussen two good real life pitchers.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: They both rank really good for us. We just have.
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: Issues with their price points and the strikeout matchup for
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: both these guys. But again, after looking at the at
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: the pitching slate in general, I wouldn't be shocked to
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: see two spend up arms kind of be the be
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: what you need if even if course field is like
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: nine to eight or something like that, maybe these pitchers
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: are the way to do it. So for me, no
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: really offensive in these spots, but talk to me any
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: any offense in this game.
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you got two good pitchers, we got twelve games slate.
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: There's all kinds of offense here, it just ain't it
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: in this game, so I will pass. I don't even
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: get enough leverage to play one of the bats against
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: the two pitchers, So for me, it's a pretty easy
• 27:54
  Speaker 3: scrap game.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: I agree there.
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: Next game, Red Sox and the oriole Like I said,
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: this is the weather spot to worry about for the
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: main slate.
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: Roth has it right now is orange yellow.
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: Doesn't look promising, so definitely pay attention leading up to lock.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: But Red Sox, I think what thirteen in a row
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: now something like that. Kyle Bradish pretty solid real life pitchers.
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: He's looked pretty decent.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: Overall.
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: I don't love this game, especially when you add in
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: the weather concerns. You are going to get it super
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: low owned because everybody sees that. I just on a
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: still it's still a thirteen game slate or twelve games slate.
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: I just I don't really want to take an approach
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: that I'm at risk for PPD and have zeros across
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: my lineup. So this is another game I don't love
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: from offense really on either side if you wanted to
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: ride the hot hand in the Red Sox. But it's
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: not like they're they're ripping the cover off the baseball
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: at you rising. They're scoring like five six runs and
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: just winning it that way with their bullpen and their pitching.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: So talk to me here, any any offense for you.
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: No, this one's another one that we can pass. As
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: you mentioned, the weather alone is enough for me. I mean,
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: it's got a seven to ten start, so it's not
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: like we got a later start where we can make
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: some adjustments. It's coming right out the gates. So for me,
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: I'll just pass. If you do choose to play it
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: as we say, make sure you watch that MLB app
• 29:16
  Speaker 3: because it'll tell you if they're warming up on the field.
• 29:18
  Speaker 3: At least you know the players are out in the field.
• 29:20
  Speaker 3: But yeah, for me, I'll pass.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I will pass as well.
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: Takes us to the next game here, Braves and the Padres.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: I definitely have some interest in this Braves team here tonight.
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: Padres bopen is always pretty scary overall, but the back
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: end guys are really the good guys. So if this
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: game isn't really that close, you're not gonna see really
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: the most times, You're not gonna see the Mason.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: Millers of the world here.
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: Walker Bieeler returned, I mean his last start before the
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: All Star Game, what he gave up six home runs
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: something like that. I mean he returned back to the
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: guy that we've been picking on and have continued to
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: talk about picking on on every one.
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: Of these shows.
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: It finally came to fruition from him kind of getting
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: by with smoking Mears.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: I think the Braves are super interesting here.
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: They're gonna kind of fly under the raidar, especially at
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: some of these salaries overall, because you got the course
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: field game. I mean, this Brave's team over the last
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: thirty days against right handed pitching is very, very good.
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: They don't strike out, They hit for a ton of power.
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: Drake Baldwin looks really good. Matt Olsen, Yastremsky's a cheap
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: guy in there. You got some other cheap guys. Alby's
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: coming off a home run again last night. Michael Harris,
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: I like his Brave stack quite a bit here. Talk
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: to me in this one. Yeah, Braids are definitely interesting.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: Bueller was bad, real bad before.
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: The I think what three starts to give up twenty
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: runs so not good. Six homers too, quite a bit
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: of long ball. He was looking at his numbers. He
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: is better against lefties, but man, the brains got the
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: lefties that I'm not generally concerned. Olsen, Baldwin and Harris
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: are all rightfully so pretty good, but I mean he's
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: been giving up quite a bit of power to righties.
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: So maybe you know Dubon Riley, who you know does struggle,
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: has struggled so far.
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: But I mean he's he's been burrowing up righties too.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: He's got eleven percent barrol rates.
• 31:10
  Speaker 3: So I think even Austin Riley is in play today,
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: who actually has the lowest WOLBA on the team against righties.
• 31:15
  Speaker 3: But Olsen's at three eighty eight, Baldwin three seventy. The
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: the the wOBA that Bueller's giving up is three thirty
• 31:26
  Speaker 3: five ground ball rate mid ground ball lean, So I
• 31:29
  Speaker 3: think Buehler is definitely lying to get beat up. As
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: you mentioned that Padre Bullpen's pretty good, So it does
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: concern me a little bit. They're gonna have to get
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: the job done and get it done early against against
• 31:40
  Speaker 3: the Padres. But yeah, I mean we're sitting at a
• 31:43
  Speaker 3: game total of nine as far as any Podres bets,
• 31:47
  Speaker 3: I just I can't do it. They have been a
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: little bit better here in recent times, but I don't
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: have the Padres ranked up there high enough.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: But for me, Braves I think are pretty interesting.
• 31:58
  Speaker 3: I mean, if you're look looking for, you know, other
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: teams that maybe that you could use in, you know,
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: if you want to fade that Corse game, that the
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: Nets and the Rockies. You know, I'd put the Braves
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: in the top three that all for the teams that
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: that I'd be looking at outside of courts Field. So
• 32:16
  Speaker 3: I'd put the Braves in my top five, but you know,
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: top three outside of course.
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they're pretty interesting overall.
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: I did want to call it a couple of guys
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: just on the Padre side, Ty France. I'm seeing way
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: too much Ty France Slaber in the in the chat
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: right now. He is good, or he has been good.
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's good, but he has been good
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: and he's still thirty two hundred. It's just the opportunity
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: cost at first base is pretty tough. When you got
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: I mean you got thet the course field game where
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: you have some good first basements in there.
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: You just have really good first basement.
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, you got two of them that I want
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: to play in the next game that we're going to
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: talk about in Kansas City. So the opportunity cost is there,
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: but he is still thirty two hundred, so if you
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: fall on him, I think he's fine. Gavin Sheets is cheap,
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: Jackson Merrill lefties is really what Lopez is more susceptible to.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: He really just doesn't.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: Give up any power or or or that many fly
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: balls to the right side. So France, I mean, you're
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: kind of got kind of kind of gonna have to
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: get there by like just bab at doubles singles that
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: kind of stuff, and that doesn't really score too well
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: from a DFS perspective. Cronin Worth is a cheap lefty
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: in there in a good lineup spot, and that's, like
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: I said, really what you want to target Lopez with.
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: So it'd be the lefties. The cheap guys. Croninworth, Merrill,
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: Gavin Sheets are kind of the main guys if if
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: you want to look at their full nighting at bats.
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: But the Braise Bullpen's also really good, and the Padres
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: is not a great offense in general, So definitely more
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: interest on the Brave side, and I think that mini
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: stack of Baldwin Albi's Olsen right at the top, even
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: throwing Harris there, I think it's really interesting. I don't
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: love Austin Riley, but he's hitting fourth in that stack
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: at a chief price point, so I get the reasoning there.
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: Next spot here mets Brewers. Brandon Sproune in the mound.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: He can be susceptible if he doesn't have his command,
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: but he's still a decent pitcher. I think overall Zach
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: Thornton don't really know what's up with him, but he
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: is a lefty against the Brewers where they typically struggle.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: Vaughn is locked in right now, you're gonna get Laura
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: in there. Cooper Pratt's Ben red Hot to Jackson Chario.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: I think the Brewers makes some sense on the slate.
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: I kind of put him in that same category as
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: kind of the Braves. As you're fading coors Field, I'm
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: going to an upside stack like that.
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: But this is a game I don't love overall.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: From offense, I think you could play either side In
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: larger field stuff, I'll definitely have my standard overweight approach
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: in my MM set on some of the Brewers stacks,
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: and if I'm playing the Brewers, it's a five stack
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: or nothing. That's just how I play them because they
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: don't hit a lot of home runs, so it's either
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: all in or really nothing. So I kind of make
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: a rule in sabers him if I'm playing any it's
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: really a five man stack or nothing.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: It is how I set it up. But talk to
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: me here Milwaukee and the Mets.
• 35:08
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you got Thornton, as you mentioned a lefty.
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: I mean I'm already on defense mode. Would be with
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: the Brewers against the lefty, you know, just kind of
• 35:16
  Speaker 3: looking though he does have a high he's got a
• 35:18
  Speaker 3: pretty high five balling. I mean he's at thirty six
• 35:21
  Speaker 3: percent to the right side, forty two to the left side,
• 35:24
  Speaker 3: mid ground I mean mid ground balling to the to
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: the left side. But I mean you did mention Laura.
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: I think Laura is interesting. The dude's been hitting the
• 35:32
  Speaker 3: shit out of the ball Vaughn two. I don't overly
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: love it, but uh, I mean i'd leave him in
• 35:38
  Speaker 3: my pool. If I had a deeper I think they'd
• 35:40
  Speaker 3: be more of like a mini stack where I could
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: maybe play Vaughn Sanchez and Laura maybe kind of go
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: four five, you know, four five seven maybe in the
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: lineup if you're looking. I mean, that should be fairly cheap.
• 35:55
  Speaker 3: That does have some power upside against the fly ball pitcher.
• 35:58
  Speaker 3: So I think that's where i'd be at. I see
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: what you're saying. If you were just gonna full stack it,
• 36:02
  Speaker 3: there is a little bit of pinch hit risk there.
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean normally we like the Brewers against
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: you know, flyball pitcher. Anytime I see a ground ball
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: pitcher against the Brewers, it's just something that I generally
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: don't like to explore, especially on a bigger slate like
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: this with twelve games. That does scare me. But I mean, yeah,
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: best team in baseball, the best record. I mean, you
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: got a fly ball pitcher not gonna be owned. So
• 36:27
  Speaker 3: I don't mind it. I just I don't overly love it.
• 36:29
  Speaker 3: As far as any Mets go. I'm not interested in
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: playing any Mets at this point against sprote but yeah,
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: I'll just pass.
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: I think there's other spots that.
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: Will like Yeah, So I mean, here's your flyball guys
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: for the Brewers against left handed pitching at home on
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: the season, so Cherio Contreras, Vaughan Ortiz, I did. I
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: just want to pull this up and just show you
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: how easy it is. The stone two point. All I
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: did was typeing Brewers here, hit height, or let's do
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: show hitter stats here, so you can see right fly
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: ball right right here. You can sort it ground ball rate,
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: so Yelich obviously he always hits the ball on the ground. Mitchell,
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: same thing, Lefty, lefty, So that that shows you right there.
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: But I do think the back half of the Brewers lineup,
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: if I'm stacking it, I think is interesting just because
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: they're super cheap. Even a mini stack, I would I
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: probably would to throw out with the Sanchez de Laros,
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: the Pratts, the Ortiz, the world. Ortiz at a bomb
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: last night. He's twenty seven at third base and shortstop.
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: Shortstops pretty weak position if you're not paying all the
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: way up to the top with guys like C. J. Abrams,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: Bobby Witt.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: So I think that's an interesting just a little little
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: pull pull catcher pull pull spots off here, I think
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: too it maybe you do that in like a gnat stack, right.
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: It feels gross leaving off Abrams, but everybody's gonna have
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: Abrams in their woods there in their gnat stack. Maybe
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: you throwing a joy or teas in Gary Sanchez or
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: a Cooper Pratt and Gary Santez and leave Abrams off,
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: and then you have a different nat stack there and
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: it allows you maybe to get up to another spend
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: up picture instead of eating the castile chalk something like that.
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: I think it's kind of interesting, but yeah, I don't
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: love it compared to some of the other spots on
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: the slate. Next game here Kaufman Stadium, Tyler Maley a
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: villa on the mound.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: I love the giants here tonight. I played him last night.
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: They didn't really get the job done, but I still
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: had a solid night overall. They did enough because they
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: nailed the home runs from Ramouse and a Damas and
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: some of the other guys in there. I'm going back
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: to the well here. I just I like attacking on
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: a slate like this. I like attacking bad bullpens, and
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: Kansas City's bullpen is absolutely atrocious. There is some wind
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: blown in, but it's still gonna be ninety some degrees
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: in Kaufman Stadium. Bad bullpen a guy who I'm just
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: not a believer in a villa. I don't think he's
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: a very good pitcher. And then the Royals, I don't
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: think is the worst play either. On the other side
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: of that game, both teams have terrible bullpens. In this
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: game here solid enough hitting environment overall in retrospect to
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: the other spots on the slate. It's outside of Corurise Field.
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: There's really not great spots across the board for hitting.
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: I like this game here a decent amount more lean
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: on the Giants for me personally, But how do you
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: see this one?
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: I like both sides actually, so Avilia is just horrible
• 39:25
  Speaker 3: to the right side with his control of the dude.
• 39:28
  Speaker 3: In ninety four played appearances so far, It's not like
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: it's a small, really small sample. I mean ninety four
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: you just generally don't see a twenty percent walk rate
• 39:36
  Speaker 3: like that's just that's just terrible. But I mean when
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: you look over at the walk rates so Casey Schmidt,
• 39:42
  Speaker 3: I mean the dude barely walks. He's a righty two
• 39:44
  Speaker 3: point eight percent, and then you're looking at Ramos four
• 39:46
  Speaker 3: point six percent, William domis six percent. So the three
• 39:50
  Speaker 3: righty's he's gonna see they don't walk either, so uh
• 39:54
  Speaker 3: that that's kind of takes that away from him. But yeah,
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: as you mentioned that Kansas City bull Pennis is absolutely terrible.
• 40:02
  Speaker 3: I do like I do like Devers. I think they
• 40:06
  Speaker 3: got some power in that lineup that could be had.
• 40:08
  Speaker 3: As far as Kansas City goes against Malay, I think
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: I think that's interesting too. It's something that we might
• 40:15
  Speaker 3: want to look at. I mean, Malay kind of reverse
• 40:18
  Speaker 3: Splitzy has had a lot of contact to the right side.
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: So I'm not sure if we're gonna get Bobby Witten
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: there today.
• 40:26
  Speaker 4: That might.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: Might damper a few things for the Royals.
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: I don't think we're gonna get Bobby Witz Bobby, Yeah,
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: but like Kaglione, I think would be interesting. Top of
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: that lineup is fairly cheap, so I think I like
• 40:41
  Speaker 3: the Giants more than I like the.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: Royals against Malay.
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: But Malay is just like I said, reverse Splitzy gets
• 40:47
  Speaker 3: burled up by writis at ten. So I wouldn't be
• 40:51
  Speaker 3: afraid to put some writings in your stacks. I don't
• 40:54
  Speaker 3: I have a few teams higher. I wouldn't have these
• 40:56
  Speaker 3: guys in my top five. Maybe the Giants would maybe
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: be like five, you know, outside like with the Brays.
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: I do like the Braise a little bit more than
• 41:04
  Speaker 3: the Giants, but yeah, I think they're in play. They're
• 41:08
  Speaker 3: in the bucket for teams that I think could compete
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: with the course Field game, just because that Royals bullpens
• 41:14
  Speaker 3: has been so bad.
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Royals bullpen's bad. Both of these pitchers rank
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: really bad in our pitcher rankings. The hitters are all
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: gonna be low owned for the most part, so it
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: just sets up to be a pretty good game environ,
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: a pretty good stack. And the nice thing I like
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: about this is you can play spend up pitching with
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: this game and totally flip the bill on its head
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: on what everyone else is gonna do. Everyone else is
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: gonna go to course Field. They're gonna plug in Louis
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: Castillo and figure out what sp two fits, whether it's
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: am I, Libertorre Rocker, any of.
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: These cheaper guys down here.
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: If you go ahead and you throw in the Chase
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: Burns and like fram or Valdez, and your cheapest picture
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: is more expensive than the guys that people are starting
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: their team with. In Louis Castillo at seventy six hundred,
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: I think that's an interesting way to build. And you
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: got a five implied run total here for the Giants,
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: almost a five implied run total from the Royals. You
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: got nine innings of pretty bad pitching overall, Royals bullpens,
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: pretty tacks as well, low ownership on the stacks.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: It just everything makes sense to me with my tournament mind.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: So I will I will definitely be overweight on both sides.
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: But I really like the Giants quite a bit because
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: it gets you a different roster construction than what everyone
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: else is gonna do. Obviously, I like Coors Field just
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: like everyone else, but I'm looking for different areas to attack,
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: to get a little bit different as well. Next spot here,
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: White Sox and the Rangers talked about Kumar Rocker in
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: terms of pitching, just because of how bad the pitching
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: slate is overall. But man, this White Sox team has
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: murdered right handed pitching all year and now they got
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: show heavy back in there, Murrakami.
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: Back in there, which helps a ton.
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he strikes out a lot, but he also can
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: hit two three home runs at any given moment. I
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: love the lefties here. If you're going to them. Rocker
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: gives up a ton of power to the left side.
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Tristan Peters, Murakami, Antonasi, Ben Attendi, Colson Montgomery, the other
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: Montgomery in there, Bryden, I think the White Sox are super,
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: super sneaky here on the slates, I'm seeing like sub
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: ten percent ownership for a five man stack. This might
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: be one of my favorite stacks overall on the slates.
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: Talk to me here, how do you see this in
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: this one? I know the park sucks, but this park
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: had some runs overall.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: How do you see this one?
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I know we used we talked a
• 43:37
  Speaker 3: little bit about Kumar on the pitching side, but as
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: I mentioned then, I think I'd rather have the lefties
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: of the White Sox. So I mean you got Murrakami,
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: as you said coming back Montgomery, Ben Attendee, I mean
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: you don't even have to put Vargas in your stack,
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: which is a pretty high expensive bat, and I still
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: think it has a ton of upside. So for me,
• 43:58
  Speaker 3: I think the White Sox are definitely in play. I
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: think I got him right on par with the Braves
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: as a team that maybe leaving a little bit ahead
• 44:05
  Speaker 3: of the Braves actually, So yeah, I mean Murakami's hitting.
• 44:09
  Speaker 3: I got a four to fourteen wOBA against right handed pitching,
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: so I mean they've just been crushing. I think they
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: could easily get the job done here today. One of
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: the best teams against lefty, So give me all the
• 44:22
  Speaker 3: white socks I can get. I'm not really interested in
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: any of the Rangers against Schultz, so I'll just I'll
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: pass there. If you were interested in any of the Rangers.
• 44:33
  Speaker 3: Josh Jones got a four to zero four wOBA Foscou
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: at the top of that lineup's been pretty good against
• 44:40
  Speaker 3: lefties too, so maybe a couple of one off bets
• 44:43
  Speaker 3: you wanted there, But yeah, I really do like some
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: white sox here tonight.
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, So Rocker gives up a ton of barrels to
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: the left side, So Marikami right here with this twenty
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: percent barrel rate, Montgomery been Attende, Drew Romo is a catcher,
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: switch hitting guy. This is pretty tough sledding here, I
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: think for for Rocker facing facing seven lefties, where he yeah,
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: he has a better k rate there, but he also
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: gives up a ship ton of power. And I mean
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: Rocker can just rock himself right right out of any
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: game right because of his command and he just hasn't.
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: It hasn't come to his pedigree hasn't come.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: To fruition yet.
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: There's been flashes of upside there, but there's been way
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: more downside than there has been upside. And White Socks
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: gonna be on Oland. They've mashed right handed pitching all year.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: It all shakes out to me to be a pretty
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: pretty solid spot overall.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: You're talking about a top ten team in ops over
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: the last month, top six in ops against right handed pitching,
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: and you get a pretty bad righty overall in Kumar Rocker.
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: So I love me some lefties from the White Sox.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: And then don't forget about don't forget about Vargas either.
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: He's been one of the better hitters all all season.
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: That he is expensive does feel gross to pay that,
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: but he's got just as much upside as majority of
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: the people are the hitters on the slate overall. And
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: then yeah, Jock Jams has been a red hot good thing.
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: He's not in the lineup against the lefty there, so
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: Sean sally Ham can live to see another day.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: Takes us to Wrigley here.
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: David Peterson Framberveld has two of my favorite pitchers on
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: the slate just because.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: The hitting environment here are gonna be a complete one eighty.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: We see this all summer long, really pretty much all
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: season long with Wrigley. When the win's blown out, it
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: usually plays above average. I know you hate the win
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: games in Wrigley, but the Tigers got the job done
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: late yesterday.
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: This is going to be super hitter friendly, our pitcher friendly.
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: Excuse me tonight here You've got like twenty something on
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: our win gus blown in, and you got two guys,
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: two ground ball guys overall, any anyways in this game,
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: So I don't love it. I mean you're looking at
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: almost twenty mine our sustained.
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: Wins blown in here. No offense for me.
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: I mean the Cubs are broken slates when it's been
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: thirty five degrees outside. I just I can't go here.
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: I think there's much better spots overall than go to
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: this one. But talk to me here. Any interest in Wrigley.
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: I don't have any interest. I mean I do like
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: both sides of the mound. As I said, Framber would
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: be one of my favorite plays. But Framber has been
• 47:15
  Speaker 3: bad at two of his last four starts, where he
• 47:17
  Speaker 3: just got absolutely shelled so last two out of three.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: Actually, his last start was really good.
• 47:22
  Speaker 3: The Cubbies do have some bats on the right side
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: that you would want to attack Frambur, But then you
• 47:27
  Speaker 3: see that wind blown in as it is, it does
• 47:30
  Speaker 3: worry you. The other thing too, that long game yesterday,
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: Both sides used quite a bit of bullpen arms, so
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: I think they're going to rely on Framber to give
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: them six innings tonight. So that's why I do like Framber.
• 47:39
  Speaker 3: It just seems to be more picture friendly. So yeah,
• 47:42
  Speaker 3: I'll just pass on the bass. But I'll tell if
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: the wind was blown out a little bit more and
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: it wasn't as heavy blown in, I would leave the Cubbies.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: In my pool.
• 47:50
  Speaker 3: Just because of Framber's been so up and down in
• 47:52
  Speaker 3: the fact that he's getting ownership, I would leave the
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: Cubbies in. But just because the wind's blown in, it
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: kind of negates all that for me. But I mean
• 47:59
  Speaker 3: it would be if that win was neutral lists for sure.
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think both of these squads are
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: gonna have to rely as much as they can on
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: both these starting pitchers, obviously more so on the Framber side.
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's why you see his outprops seventeen and
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: a half? Have you juiced to the over? Peterson still
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: has a fifteen and a half olt prop It is.
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: Juice to the under. But I mean you look at
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: the Cubs. They used what six arms? Seven arms yesterday
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: the Tigers used five arms. So yeah, much much better,
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: much different spot here. It's all pitching for me in
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: that one. Next fut on the slate Astros Marlins. Sean
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: Selly said he's loaded up on some of these fish
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: against am I, a pitcher that we both liked. But
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: I mean there's just as much downside as the upside
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: for a guy like him.
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: He can be wild.
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: The Marlins do have some kind of sneaky air bats overall,
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: especially against right handed pitching. Joe Matck hat a bomb
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: from me last night. He was on my main team.
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: He's still cheap. I love him Stours if he's fined
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: me back in there, which would be a huge boots
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: to this lineup CO nine. There is some pinshit risk overall,
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: but Astro's really bad bullpen in general, and all their
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: lefties are in the back half right the Josh Haters
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: of the world, there's kind of set up their end
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: the back end of the bullpen and Houston used four
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: bullpen arms yesterday. You talk about they got to be
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: the most tax bullpen on the slate, twenty nine pitchers
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: from hater in the last three, Okert's at thirty three,
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: AJ's at forty, a Bray's at forty three, Tens at
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: forty six, and Los Santos is at forty seven. Coming
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: off with twenty two pitches yesterday or twenty.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: Eight pitches from a Bray you, I mean, I can
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: see it.
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: If am I doesn't have it, it could be a
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: big night ahead for the Marlins. And you can also
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: make the counter argument maybe they rely on am I
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: more and that's why we had But this is definitely
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: am I is not an ace by any means. I
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: think you can play both sides of it. Marlins are
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: pretty interesting overall in tournaments. Just when you look in
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: the bullpen, this team is fairly solid. It can be
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: solid times, especially against right handed pitching. Talk to me here,
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: how do you see this one?
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean, even though I do like him, I
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: he does struggle.
• 50:07
  Speaker 3: Obviously we mentioned with control, So I mean he's got
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: a fourteen and a half walk rate against lefties, which
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: is concerning is ISOs two to three, Well, but three
• 50:15
  Speaker 3: sixty nine, Uh isn't getting hardly that many ground balls
• 50:19
  Speaker 3: thirty seven percent compared to sixty percent to the right side,
• 50:23
  Speaker 3: So uh yeah, I.
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: Mean left he's been hard. He's been giving up a.
• 50:26
  Speaker 3: Lot of barrels twelve and a half percent. But I
• 50:30
  Speaker 3: just think of my is in a pretty good spot.
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: It's one of those spots to where you could play
• 50:33
  Speaker 3: him or you could play against him.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: I think you could use them either way.
• 50:36
  Speaker 3: And you know, we were struggling for pitching with a
• 50:38
  Speaker 3: little bit offside like a may I mean to the
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: right side, it's either he's either walking you or it
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: seems like he's striking your ass out, Like I mean,
• 50:45
  Speaker 3: that's pretty much half of the batters, like thirty percent
• 50:48
  Speaker 3: k rate, fifteen fourteen percent walk rate, Like I mean,
• 50:51
  Speaker 3: so to me, I think, uh, I think it's an
• 50:54
  Speaker 3: interesting spot. I I don't love it. I think there's
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: just too good of offense. I mean the next game
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: here were going to talk about it's got a stinking
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: total of thirteen. So uh yeah, I mean that one there,
• 51:06
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna see how many how many games of the
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: Marlins last in a role in your back.
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: I don't give a shit if they win or nice
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: need some home runs.
• 51:14
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I could get if you'd ask me the
• 51:17
  Speaker 3: standings in a regular season, I'd be the dumbest dude
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: you could talk to about standings. I do not give
• 51:22
  Speaker 3: one ounce of two ships about standings in DFS baseball.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I was gonna say.
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is this is DFS and in a nutshell,
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: right everyone, it lives in a world of what have
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: you done for me lately?
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: That's that's obvious, right. If if that was it wasn't
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: the case.
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, you would never get a low on team
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: and and be on have a GPP winner before everyone
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: else jumps on. Right, it's the same thing a guy hits,
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: hits a home run yesterday, now everybody jumps on them,
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: and vice versa.
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: There's there's sports or football.
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: Right, the stack, the wide receiver running back stack with
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: with the quarterback went off. So then the opposing stack
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: the next week against that same team as mega chalk
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: falls on their face. Right, It's just I don't care.
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: It's a guy, it's a starting pitcher who's probably projections
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: wise dry run wise. The second high stone pitcher behind
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: Castillo on the slate. Because of that, right, everyone sees that, oh,
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: Marlin's lost a ton the projections love am I because
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: of that.
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: They haven't.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: But I mean the Marlins are also getting another lefty
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: power bat back and Kyle Stowers in I he gives
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: up power, he gives up fly balls, he has command
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: issues to the left side, and you got a tax
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: bullpen which is not good behind him. Right, So can
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: you play in my absolutely against the Marlins. But there's very,
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: very easily. I would not be shocked to see the
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: Marlins beyond some winners. Joe Mack did it for me
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: last night. Liam Hicks hit Obam again last night. I mean,
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: I go right back to Conine Stours. Yeah, so that's
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: kind of kind of my take on that. It's not
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: that I'm backing the Marlins to win this game.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: I care about fantasy points at the end of the day,
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: and I think they can scar fantasy points here tonight
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: against a chalky starting pitcher and at tax bullpen.
• 53:07
  Speaker 3: They had two run homers and they could be on
• 53:11
  Speaker 3: the winner right exactly.
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, nothing else matters besides tonight. Really, it
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: doesn't matter what the game logs day. I mean, you
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: can have the hottest hitter in the world come in
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: and get a goose egg the next night when everybody
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: jumps on him and he's sixty percent or whatever. Right,
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: So make it correlated to any sport you want. It
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: always holds true. Everyone lives in a in a recency.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: What have you done for me lately? World? And that's
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: why you see concentrated ownership in every sport in DFS.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: So next spot, National's Rockies. This is going to be
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: the chalky spot on the slate for a good reason.
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: Both teams. You're gonna see a ton of game sacks
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: of this game because the spend up pitching feels pretty
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: meat bleak overall and outside of maybe a Chase Burns,
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: but Chase Burns is eleven to five on a slate.
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: When you got Louis Castilla projections wise, that is right
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: there with him, and he's seventy six hundred, You're gonna
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: see a ton of this game stacked up with in
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: my and Castillo teams. It's hard to get away from it.
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: National has been the best offense in baseball. Now get
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: a really, really friendly matchup in Lorenzen. You got wind
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: blown out here super hot and humid, and Coors Field
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: gonna play even more home run friendly, which obviously we
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: know this park is not a great home run park
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: in general, but it's gonna play home run friendly again
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: here tonight. Lorenzo's been atrocious to the left side, would Garcia, Abrams,
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: keibert Ruiz, Dalan Lyle, even Nunez. Don't forget about him
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: hitting in the back half. I mean, this team any
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: which way, full nining at bats. They scored what eight
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: runs or something like that yesterday with a couple of
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: home runs. It's hard to argue against the spot. And
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: then you got Miekless on the other side for the Rockies. McCarthy,
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: carrig looks really good. Hunter Goodman's always got a ton
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: of power. He's a spend up to be fairly contrarian
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: up at the top at sixty one hundred castro runfield,
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, this looks like the best spot, and it
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: is the best spot on paper.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: It's really hard to ignore when you kind of put
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: it up against the rest of the slate.
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: Obviously, yesterday we had the win game at Wrigley that
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: pulled a bunch of ownership away from it. Not the
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: case here tonight, Talk to me, how do you see
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: this one? Are you kind of pushing the chips in
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: and gonna get a little different. I know you already
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: said you're kind of under on Castillo myself as well,
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: so that should be majority of a difference maker when
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: you're playing this game, But how do.
• 55:30
  Speaker 3: You see this one unless you're totally different at pitcher
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: and that picture goes off for you that you chose
• 55:36
  Speaker 3: and just you know, smashes everybody by ten or twelve points. Like,
• 55:40
  Speaker 3: you're literally gonna have to be perfect on your choices
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: in this game. Like literally, if you think you're going one, two, three, five,
• 55:46
  Speaker 3: or you know, top of the lineups and pretty you're
• 55:49
  Speaker 3: you're gonna be like everybody else. And then the guy
• 55:51
  Speaker 3: that has the eight hitter that hits you know, has
• 55:54
  Speaker 3: four RBIs tonight is the guy that's gonna win. You
• 55:57
  Speaker 3: literally are gonna have to be perfect if you play
• 55:59
  Speaker 3: this game and it goes off and it ends up
• 56:01
  Speaker 3: being the winner, the winner will have that the all
• 56:04
  Speaker 3: the top bats in that exact game, not even minus well,
• 56:07
  Speaker 3: it will all be them all because you will not
• 56:09
  Speaker 3: be able to fade. It's you're gonna have to be
• 56:12
  Speaker 3: perfect because the ownership's gonna be so high. So for me,
• 56:16
  Speaker 3: you know, like you're gonna have to get tricky with
• 56:18
  Speaker 3: a little bit. Maybe play some rap rounds, maybe this
• 56:20
  Speaker 3: mix up your lineups. Don't play a majority of the
• 56:23
  Speaker 3: same guys in the same lineup. Make some of those
• 56:26
  Speaker 3: Nats lineups without a Wood or an Abrams, or you know,
• 56:30
  Speaker 3: try to mix it up a little bit. So yeah,
• 56:32
  Speaker 3: if if you decide to play this game, just know,
• 56:35
  Speaker 3: in any other chocky circumstance, you're gonna have to be
• 56:38
  Speaker 3: perfect all the way across the board because somebody's gonna
• 56:41
  Speaker 3: have that right combination because this game is being played
• 56:43
  Speaker 3: so heavily. So for me, I mean, the opportunity is
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: there for like a Braves or a Giants, or you know,
• 56:49
  Speaker 3: even like a Royals that we discussed, because if those
• 56:52
  Speaker 3: teams go off, you're only gonna have to be five, eight,
• 56:55
  Speaker 3: ten percent of the field. You're not gonna have to
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: be as perfect. You might only have to have the
• 56:59
  Speaker 3: two big guys in them bat.
• 57:00
  Speaker 5: So yeah, for me, I mean I could see why
• 57:04
  Speaker 5: you would want to fade it, but I mean you
• 57:07
  Speaker 5: eire gonna have to go overboard with it, and you know,
• 57:10
  Speaker 5: if you're playing like twenty teams and you're gonna basically
• 57:14
  Speaker 5: twenty or eighteen teams, you're gonna go that route.
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: I just go full overboard on it and just kind
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: of mix in your lineup.
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: If you're playing one team, my suggestion is the fade
• 57:23
  Speaker 3: Corse play, maybe some higher end.
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: Pitching, and go that route. I think you got a
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: better chance to the top.
• 57:29
  Speaker 3: It seems to be easier for me to see myself
• 57:31
  Speaker 3: getting to the top that way than me have to
• 57:33
  Speaker 3: be exactly perfect with all my bat choices and then
• 57:37
  Speaker 3: for my pitcher to hit. So yeah, I think, uh,
• 57:41
  Speaker 3: I think you gotta make some choices in that game
• 57:44
  Speaker 3: because just no, it's gonna be heavily all. I mean,
• 57:45
  Speaker 3: I think Wooden cj Abrams are gonna be fifty plus.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely single entry stuff, and that's how you can
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: be different. It feels gross leaving off cj Abrams or
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: would right Lorenzo's Patrocia's against left side, but throwing a
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: Curtis to me throwing a Jacob Young, a Dylan Cruz.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: Some of those righties.
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: There are even a Nunyas who's gonna hit eighth or
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: ninth at four k throwing him.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: I mean that back half.
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: You look at Cruz, Young Nunyas, I'd be shocked if
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: those guys are are over much over ten percent, right,
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: whereas the top of the lineup's all gonna be twenty five, thirty,
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: forty percent depending on what contest you're in. Right, So
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: you do are gonna have to be perfect to your
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: point right where I'm back on Darren's side here now,
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: because it's gonna come down to one offs, right, It's
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: gonna come down to the one off. It's gonna come
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: down to the the one two, six, seven eight or something. Right,
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: kind of a really weird gap missed all the middle
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: of the lineup, something like that.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: But it's really hard to get away from.
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: You're gonna see mm me players just shove all the
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: chips in and just hope to hit the right lottery ticket.
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: In this game, it's just really hard to get away from.
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: The Rockies bullpen is pretty rested.
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: It is a slight concern, but the NAT's been so
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: good against both sides of the plate.
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: Are both both handedness. The Knat's bullpen is much more
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: beat up, in my opinion, are much more taxed than
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: what the Rockies is, and it's not a great bullpen either,
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: so you wanted to get a little lower ownership. It's
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: the Rocky side, but projections are actually pushing that side
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: more when when you run the drive, run but go ahead.
• 59:24
  Speaker 3: I was just gonna say, in a situation like we're
• 59:26
  Speaker 3: in here with the Nats, I think actually one of
• 59:29
  Speaker 3: the best players you can do today is take out
• 59:32
  Speaker 3: Wood and put in and put in uh In, put
• 59:34
  Speaker 3: In out and put.
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: In alvaretze and uh Alvarez in there. So that's what
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: I would do.
• 59:40
  Speaker 3: I mean, Alvarez is a fucking beast, Like you could
• 59:42
  Speaker 3: take him out pretty much swap them to out. If
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: if Alvarez beats beats Wood tonight and Wood has a
• 59:48
  Speaker 3: decent night, you're gonna be hit everybody else. Like, maybe
• 59:51
  Speaker 3: look some for some guys worth some high end upside
• 59:54
  Speaker 3: that you could swap out that are gonna be high
• 59:56
  Speaker 3: or like people are gonna look at it and be like,
• 59:58
  Speaker 3: I'm not taking Wood out of my lineup. How many
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: people are gonna put in uh, you know, Valdez over
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 3: over him. So I think that's something that that that
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 3: I you know, yord On, I should say, well, I
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 3: keep I get Framber and ord On mixed up all
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 3: the time. But yeah, so Jordon for me is a
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 3: guy that I would definitely be willing to swap out
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 3: for Wood.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: I think that's a decent play. Yeah, Or Awan Soto
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: at the catcher, leave off c j Abrams playing Ellie
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: day La Cruz, a Gunner Henderson, a Colson Montgomery, something
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: like that, right, little things like that.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 4: Or playing at Stack and leave out Wood and leave
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 4: out both of them? Would Ann Abrams play Cardiss Meet
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 4: played Dalen Lyle play Nunez played Keiber Luiz some of
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 4: these other lefties, and then you have maybe that gets
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 4: you up to a guy like Chase Burns or Kevin Gosman.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: Or something like that instead of a Luis Castile. Right,
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: So there's definitely ways to play this differently than the field.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: You're gonna have to get unique when you do it.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: But it is by far and away the best game
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: on the slate. It's very hard to get away from.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: But I do like the main team. One of my
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: main team's gonna go in on it. One of them
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: is probably not even gonna play anyone from this game.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: And I'm just that's the benefits of a portfolio, and
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: obviously not everyone can do that, but I do think
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: it's very hard to ignore that game on the slate
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: takes us to the next game. Angels, Cardinals, liberatorre Urrena
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: on the mounds. Cardinals I think are kind of interesting.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: Urina kind of smoking mirrors. He's been really good real life,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: but one of these times is going to come back
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: crashing down to earth here. Cardinals have some sneaky upside
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: at times here, But I don't love this game on
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: really either side. Angels, you got some ready power, like
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: a Mike Trout. Who's gonna be unowned on this slate
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: at fifty two hundred netto at shortstop?
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: Who's gonna be unowned?
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: Because guys like Wood and Abrams, like we talked about,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: even even the Rockies guys right, the Moniacs, the McCarthy's
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: of the world, the even Tobar, things like that are
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: gonna get much more ownership.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: So you can make that case.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: But I don't love this game overall from a DFS
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: stacking perspective.
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: But how do you see it?
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't love it either. Urina does walk a
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 3: ton of dudes to the left side. The Cardinals are
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 3: pretty patient from the left side, but we're not looking
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 3: for walks, We're looking for homers. Urina just gives up
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 3: a ton of ground ball. So i'd i'd be out
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 3: on that Liberator, like we said we liked on the
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 3: other side. Uh So, i'd I'd just rather play Liberator
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 3: than than for me to go after these Angels. I mean,
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 3: Libertore has been getting bailed up a little bit, but uh, yeah,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 3: I think I'd just.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: Rather rather play him.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 3: I mean, he's got ground ball lean to the left side,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 3: hasn't been giving up too many ground balls to the
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 3: right side, but uh, I mean it's just the Angels
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 3: have been tough. I don't think I have the Angels
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 3: ranked up high enough here tonight to fool with.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: Them on this late.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so Colson Montgommer got scratched, but they put it
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: in a Kuna. Another shortstop who's I think he's probably
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: what two k He doesn't have a lot of power,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: but he has stolen base. I mean, he's got a
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: ton of speed, so that maybe gets you up to
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: guys Chase Burns differently. There definitely hurts the White Sox
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: stack overall, but I don't think it's a end all
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: be all. I still like some of those lefties for
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: sure from Chicago. Didn't want to circle back and hit
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: on that. Two games left to talk about last one
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: or the next one. Athletics Dbacks Cole Drake making his
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: start kind of out of urgency here.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: You could go to some of these a's.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: Guy like Shay lang Leers is gonna be ONU owned
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: at fifty four hundred at catcher. He's always got a
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: ton of power, especially against left handed pitching. Kolbe Thomas,
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: I don't love it overall. Dbacks are even getting a
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: lot of ownership on this slate, and I just I
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: don't I don't see it. I mean, they could get there,
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: they could do their thing.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: Kettl.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: Marte is still too cheap. I think Perdomo is still
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: too cheap. You got Cormyn Carroll if he's back in there.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: I think those three guys are playable or just about
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: any time they're on the slate. But I don't love
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: I don't love the Dbacks a ton here. I know
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: the age bullpen's not great. Jack Perkins hasn't been good,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: but I do think he's still got some pedal. He's
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: still got some strike up potential in there, really good
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: KP for nine number.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: Talk to me, how do you see this one?
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 3: As far as k's goes, Perkins ain't bad thirty two
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 3: percent of the left side, twenty two to the right.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 3: He is getting buriled up on the right side a
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 3: little reverse splitsing nine percent is woba's three point fifty five.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 3: Ground Ball rates are not there. Fly ball rates pretty
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 3: high to the right side forty. So I could see why,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 3: I mean the lefties. For me, the d Backs, I
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 3: don't have them like ranked up there with the White
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 3: Sox and the Braves and all that, but I could
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 3: I could see an argument to uh to go against
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 3: Perkins in that bullpen of the A.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: So I don't mind it.
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 3: I just you know, the the d Backs just haven't
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 3: been a team I've really latched onto all that much.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: We got a game total sitting at nine and a half.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Corbyn Carrol, if he's in there, that
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 3: definitely makes that line up a lot better, obviously, and
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 3: maybe that bumps it up for me. I'd have to
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 3: see that and see Corbyn Carroll in that lineup, But yeah,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 3: I think uh, I think it's doable.
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: I just don't love it.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually think the righty power guys, but there's
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: just not a lot of them either right from from them.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: I mean Arenado, I guess if you wanted to go
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: there Moreno, I think those righty's Perkins's reverse fuzzy lower
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: strikeouts a lot more power to the right side. So
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: you're looking at that, But I mean, yeah, you got
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: some cheap guys like a wald Schmid who's dirt cheap, Arnatto,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: like I said, Towel, who's cheap. So if those guys
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: fit and you kind of flip the build and then
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: get up to some of those spend up cores bats
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: and afford some of the spend up spin up pitching.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: But it's just a lot of teams are going to
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: be like that.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: At least from running the drive run and taking a
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: look at teams, a lot of these Arizona pieces of
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: guys two and three man stacks are gonna be fillers
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: around that Coors Field, whether you're five sacking the Rockies
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: five stacking the Gnats, there's just gonna be a lot
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: of similar builds like that. So that does have me
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: a little concerned with a lineup that I just don't
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: think is that great overall at its current state. Last
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: game of the slate, two of our payer to the
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: best starting pitcher and plays on the slate gonna have
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: all the leverage in the world. I think in Ellie
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: Day La Cruz is super interesting. I know, the park
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: sucks or JJ Blude, I mean Baday has been really
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: really good all year and he's forty one hundred going
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: up to the highest on pitcher on the slate. Yeah,
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: the park sucks, like I said, but Blade has a
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: ton of power. It doesn't matter what field he's on.
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: Ellie Day La Cruz has a ton of upside alleys
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: and they're gonna be I mean, Ellie's a direct pivot
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: right off of CJ Abrams. Yeah, does it field girls
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: playing Ellie de la Cruz against Louis Castile over C.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: J Abrams against Michael Lorenzen. Yes, but all he has
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: to do is outscore him on one night, one given day.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's the worst play, but this is
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: not a game that I love for offense outside of
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: just to close your eyes and.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: Play the leverage against Castillo.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: If I had to pick a side, it'd be much
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: more on the red side of things than the Mariners.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: But Chase Burns props.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: Wise would suggest he's going five maybe six innings maximum
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: and then you got a bad Bread's bullpen behind them.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: But it's more Reds just with the leverage you get
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: off of Castille if anything. And really those Blade and
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: Ellie up at the top. Yeah, that'd be about it.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: Maybe I just play some one offs. We don't like
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: the park, so it's not really a slate.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 3: I want to get too cute with offense, just because
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 3: we got such a powerful game total sitting thirteen, we
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 3: got a bunch of nines up there on the board,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 3: So I'm not gonna get too fancy here and try
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 3: to jam some stuff in in a park that we
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 3: very rarely would play.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna go there.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 3: But I mean guys like that in that situation, like
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 3: in Ellie who can steal a bag kind of helps
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 3: my you know, helps too. So yeah, I don't mind
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 3: that if you're looking for like a one off type play,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 3: maybe to get a little different from from Abrams or
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 3: something like that, if you want to do something like that.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean this one here just it just
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 3: not getting it for me for offense.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree takes in the show your favorite pitching combination,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: Top three stacks and then a home run coffee album.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, I like frambur and AMAI on on DK.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 3: I really I think Chase Burns would be in play too,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 3: just because he got trying to flip some builds. If
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 3: you're not gonna look at that course stacks, obviously, the
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 3: two core stacks would be up there, but I think
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 3: the White Sox are definitely interesting for me today. I
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 3: think the Giants are interesting. Astros Braves I think would
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 3: be interesting. Those would be up there. In my top
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 3: four home run call, I'm going to Murakami. I think
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 3: I think Murakami hits a Homer. It seems kind of easy,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 3: but I mean that's where I'm going. I think he
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 3: hits one.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that.
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Framber Valdez and then I'm gonna go
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: My other picture is gonna probably be I'm just gonna
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: pair them both up.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go David Peterson. I feels gross. Uh. Top
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: three stacks.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: NAT's number one, obviously, as everyone would would say, Rockies
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: are up there too. But outside of the that, I'm
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: looking at the Giants. I like the Giants quite a
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: bit here and then the White Sox. I'm I'm with
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: you on the White Sox. I like that my home
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: run call. I'm gonna ride the hot hand. I'm gonna
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: go to a guy who's gonna be unowned and is
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: cheap Joey Ortiz. I'm gonna think, uh, he gets another
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: one here. I think the roof is open again in
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee as well. Pretty decent weather. Uh and uh, you
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: got a starting pitcher who has some uh has some
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: ability to give up some home runs, so kind of
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: off the wall Joey Ortiz.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: But I'll ride the hot hand with with some Joey
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: Orties against the left the brewers. Oh wouldn't I guess? No, no, no, no,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: but yeah no, that's gonna do it. Appreciate everyone tuning in.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: Hit that like button, hit that subscribe button if you're
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: not a memory at ship nineteen. As the code as
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: you see up there on the screen, all the content
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: is live, will being the discord, answering any questions, leaning
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• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: night ahead and uh for g rising, I'm nades good
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: luck tonight in those contexts, hope to see those ship
• 1:10:06
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• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: We're out of here. A peace m