Latest / Investor Exchange / Riding the Waves of China's EV Sector: A Deep Dive into Nikko AM Straits ETF
Transcript
- 0:02Time for another Investor Exchange podcast. Here are your hosts, Matt and Sally.
- 0:07Hey, everyone. Welcome back for another Deep Dive. We know you're here because
- 0:11you want to get the inside scoop on what's really moving the needle in finance.
- 0:15And today, we're zeroing in on a pretty interesting one.
- 0:19We're talking about the NICO-M Straits Trading MSCI China Electric Vehicles
- 0:26and Future Mobility ETF. Yeah, it's a mouthful. I know. It is. It is.
- 0:30But their audited financial statement, you know, for the year ending December
- 0:3531st, 2024, that just dropped. And we're going to break it all down.
- 0:39Absolutely. Yeah. We've got all the important stuff right here in front of us.
- 0:42The announcement about, well, skipping the annual general meeting and,
- 0:45of course, the full annual report, the whole thing. The whole shebang. Exactly.
- 0:48And, you know, we want to do more than just, you know, read off numbers and figures, right?
- 0:52We're going to really dig into what these documents are actually telling us,
- 0:56how the fund do, you know, what factors are driving that performance and looking
- 1:00ahead, you know, what's the outlook? Yeah. Painting a picture for everyone, you know.
- 1:04All right. So let's get right to it. Let's talk performance.
- 1:07How did this NICO M straight trading MSCI, China Electric Vehicles and Future
- 1:11Mobility ETS, specifically the SGD share class, how did it actually perform as of the end of 2024?
- 1:17And I guess we're looking at a few different time frames here, right? We are, yeah.
- 1:20So if we just look at the last three months of 2024, the fund saw a little bit
- 1:24of a dip down 2.80%. But if we zoom out a bit, look at the six-month mark,
- 1:29things are looking a lot brighter.
- 1:31We're talking a big jump of 24.44%. Wow. Yeah.
- 1:35And for the full year, a more modest gain of 0.82%. And then going all the way
- 1:41back to when this fund started, January 2022, the return since inception is
- 1:44sitting at negative 2.35%.
- 1:46Okay, so definitely some ups and downs there. That six-month figure,
- 1:50though, that's pretty eye-catching.
- 1:51But, you know, we need to keep things in perspective, right?
- 1:54We got to look at the benchmark here. That's the MSCI China All Shares IMI Future Mobility Top 50 Index.
- 1:59How did that perform over the same timeframes? Yeah, good point.
- 2:03So for the benchmark over those same three months, we're looking at when it
- 2:07gets 2.47% return, but for the six months, even stronger, 25.51%. Yeah.
- 2:14And then for the whole year, a gain of 2.29%. And since inception, negative 21.38%. Okay.
- 2:21So when we put them side by side, it seems like the ETF and the index,
- 2:24they're moving kind of in the same direction. For the shorter periods,
- 2:28you know, the three months and the one year, the ETF lagged a bit behind the benchmark.
- 2:33And the same goes for that big six-month surge.
- 2:36The index just edged ahead. But it's interesting, since inception,
- 2:39their overall performance is really close. What's that tight correlation telling us?
- 2:43Yeah, well, it's a pretty strong indicator that the fund's strategy,
- 2:45which is basically to try and mirror the index, you know, that's actually working pretty well.
- 2:48The stated goal, their investment objective, it's all about achieving long-term
- 2:52capital growth, you know, by basically replicating the returns of this specific
- 2:55MSCI China All Shares IMI Future Mobility Top 50 Index.
- 2:59And this index, you know, it zeroes in on companies that are expected to be
- 3:02big players in the future of, well, how we get around in China.
- 3:06We're talking about electric vehicles, energy storage, you know,
- 3:10even things like self-driving cars and all sorts of new transportation technologies.
- 3:14Yeah, the future of mobility, you know, the whole package. Exactly. So.
- 3:17How does the fund actually go about replicating this index?
- 3:22You know, it's not just about buying every single stock in the exact same proportion,
- 3:26right? It's got to be a bit more complicated than that.
- 3:29Yeah, it can be. The main approach they use is what they call full replication.
- 3:34That means they try to hold pretty much all the same stocks that are in the
- 3:37index, you know, in roughly the same proportions.
- 3:40But the report also mentions, you know, they have the option to use something
- 3:43called representative sampling.
- 3:45So think about, you know, choosing a smaller basket of stocks that when you
- 3:50put them all together, they act very similar to the whole index.
- 3:53You know, they mimic the overall performance and characteristics.
- 3:56And they might also invest in similar types of securities that aren't technically
- 4:01part of the index itself.
- 4:02Okay. So kind of like taking a shortcut, but still aiming for the same destination in a way.
- 4:08Yeah, that's a good way to put it. And that probably makes things a lot easier,
- 4:10especially when you consider, you know, how to actually access some of those
- 4:14Chinese markets. The report mentions the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect
- 4:19programs and also maybe using something called the QFI framework.
- 4:22Now, for folks listening, these are basically like, you know,
- 4:25special pathways that let international investors get into mainland China's stock markets.
- 4:31Yeah, it's like having different routes you can take to reach the same place. Exactly, exactly.
- 4:35And in terms of costs, you know, it's pretty clear there are no upfront fees,
- 4:40no subscription fees or those preliminary charges for this ETF.
- 4:45So that's a that's a nice little savings for investors right away.
- 4:48Yes, right off the bat. All right. So now let's let's dig a little deeper.
- 4:51You know, let's talk about why we're seeing these specific performance numbers.
- 4:55I know the report doesn't give us a, you know, a blow by blow account of every
- 4:58single thing that happened in the market. But just thinking about the types
- 5:02of companies in the index, that gives us some clues, right?
- 5:05We're talking about electric vehicles and future mobility in China.
- 5:08That's a sector that's been...
- 5:10Pretty dynamic, to say the least. Oh, yeah, absolutely. It's been a wild ride.
- 5:15And you're right. Just looking at the index itself gives us some hints.
- 5:18That huge 24% jump over six months, that probably tells us that investors were
- 5:24feeling pretty bullish about Chinese EV and the whole future mobility scene during that time.
- 5:31There could be a bunch of reasons for that. Maybe some positive policy announcements
- 5:35from the government in Beijing.
- 5:36Maybe some big tech breakthroughs from Chinese companies. or maybe just a general
- 5:41increase in, you know, global investors looking for growth stocks,
- 5:44especially ones tied to, you know, green tech and things like that.
- 5:48Yeah, it's all connected. It is, yeah.
- 5:50And on the flip side, you know, that little dip we saw in the last three months
- 5:54of 2024, that could be a sign of things cooling down a bit,
- 5:58maybe some profit taking, or maybe just some renewed worries about the overall
- 6:02economy or some specific regulations within China, you know.
- 6:05Right. Those headwinds can pop up.
- 6:07I can. And the fact that the ETS performance is sticking so close to the benchmark,
- 6:11that suggests it's capturing those bigger trends happening in that specific
- 6:16part of the Chinese market, right?
- 6:18Exactly. So when investors are feeling good about Chinese EV and future mobility.
- 6:23The ETF tends to go up. And when there's doubt, well, the ETF reflects that, too.
- 6:27It's like a sensitive instrument picking up all the vibes from the market.
- 6:30I like that analogy. Yeah. It's like a seismograph for investor sentiment.
- 6:34Yeah, there you go. And any little differences in performance,
- 6:36I guess those could be because of, you know, little details about how often
- 6:39the fund actually adjusts its holdings to stay in sync with the index,
- 6:43or maybe some small trading costs associated with those dot connect things we talked about.
- 6:48Right, exactly. But overall, the correlation is very strong.
- 6:52You know, it shows that the replication strategy is doing what it's supposed to be doing.
- 6:56OK, so let's let's look ahead now. This announcement about not holding future
- 7:00annual general meetings. That's interesting.
- 7:03Instead, they're going to rely on just releasing the audited financial statements.
- 7:07What do you think is going on there? Well, this move away from AGMs,
- 7:11it probably means they're focusing on efficiency and, you know,
- 7:14making sure investors get information directly by putting those audited reports
- 7:18out there for everyone to see.
- 7:20They're giving investors the key data without the need for a big formal meeting. Right.
- 7:25Cutting to the chase. Yeah, it can save time and money. But,
- 7:28you know, for everyone listening, it's worth thinking about this.
- 7:31While it's efficient, it might also mean less opportunity to,
- 7:35you know, actually interact with the fund managers and ask them questions directly,
- 7:39you know, in a public setting. Yeah, that back and forth can be valuable.
- 7:43It can be. And there's also a big change coming up.
- 7:45A change in the fund's name and manager starting September 1st, 2025.
- 7:51NICO AM Asia Limited VCC is going to become AMOVA Asia Limited VCC.
- 7:57And NICO Asset Management Asia Limited will be replaced by AMOVA Asset Management Asia Limited.
- 8:03Right, a whole new look. Yeah, a pretty big shift.
- 8:05Now, these reports don't really spell out the reasons, but a change in management,
- 8:09a new name, that usually means some kind of strategic change is happening with
- 8:13the fund, right? Yeah, absolutely.
- 8:14It could be part of a bigger reorganization, maybe a shift in their focus,
- 8:17or maybe just a new team coming in to take charge.
- 8:20Definitely something to watch as we get closer to September 2025. For sure.
- 8:24Now, despite all these changes, the main objective of the fund,
- 8:27that's staying the same.
- 8:28Long-term capital growth, tracking that MSCI, China All Shares,
- 8:32IMI, Future Mobility Top 50 Index.
- 8:34So even with a new name and manager, the core goal is still tied to the potential
- 8:38of this, you know, future mobility sector in China, it seems like they're still
- 8:42betting on long-term growth in that area, even though we've seen those ups and
- 8:46downs in the performance figures, you know, in the short term.
- 8:49Yeah, that's the key takeaway. They're looking at the long game.
- 8:52You know, got to remind everyone listening, the standard disclaimer,
- 8:56past performance is never a guarantee of future results.
- 8:59Investments go up and down and you could end up with less than you put in.
- 9:02Always got to keep that in mind. And it's also important to understand that
- 9:05the price of the ETF units, you know, how they trade on the Singapore exchange,
- 9:09that might not always match up perfectly with the underlying net asset value per share.
- 9:15The forces of supply and demand can create little differences here and there.
- 9:19Yep, that's the market doing its thing. Exactly.
- 9:22This isn't likely to happen, especially for a well-established ETF.
- 9:25But the annual report does mention the possibility of the ETF being suspended
- 9:30or delisted from the exchange.
- 9:32Standard cautionary stuff, just highlighting the inherent risks that come with
- 9:36any listed investment. Right.
- 9:37Got to cover all the bases. And for anyone thinking about investing.
- 9:41You know, keep in mind that creating or redeeming shares in this ETF directly
- 9:46with the fund, that usually happens in big chunks, big blocks of shares.
- 9:50And it's usually done by those authorized participating dealers.
- 9:54Regular investors, they buy and sell their units on the exchange.
- 9:57Yeah, that's the typical route.
- 9:58Okay. And last but not least, and this is crucial, everything we've talked about
- 10:02today, it's for information only. It's not financial advice.
- 10:06If you're thinking about investing, you got to talk to a qualified financial advisor.
- 10:10They can give you personalized guidance based on your own situation and your own goals.
- 10:14Couldn't have said it better myself. Right. So let's do a quick recap of our deep dive.
- 10:18We looked at the performance of the Nico Amstreet trading MSCI China Electric
- 10:23Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF for 2024.
- 10:26Saw a little dip lately, but a big six-month recovery, a modest gain for the
- 10:30year, and overall a negative return since it started, all of it pretty much
- 10:34matching its benchmark.
- 10:35And we also talked about those upcoming changes to the fund's name and management
- 10:39coming in September 2025. Right. Big changes on the horizon. Big changes.
- 10:44And we emphasize that the fund's main goal, that's still all about capturing
- 10:50those long-term growth opportunities in the Chinese future mobility sector,
- 10:54even with the ups and downs the market throws at us in the short term.
- 10:57Absolutely. The long view is key. And that brings us to our final thought for everyone listening.
- 11:02Thinking about those performance patterns we've seen and the fact that the electric
- 11:07vehicle and future mobility industries in China, they're constantly evolving.
- 11:11What specific long-term economic and technological shifts do you think are going
- 11:16to have the biggest impact on how funds like this one perform in the years to come?
- 11:20You know, think about things like government incentives, battery tech,
- 11:23how quickly self-driving cars are adopted, all that stuff. Lots to think about.
- 11:27Yeah, definitely. And if you want to dig even deeper, you know,
- 11:30get all the nitty gritty details, the full annual report and prospectus.
- 11:33Those are all available on the NICO AM website, www.nicoham.com.sg.
- 11:38All the info you could ever need. Yeah. Thanks for joining us on this.
- 11:42Music.