Latest / Pod Save America / The MAGA Rift Over War in Iran
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- 1:08Speaker 1: Use code CRICKET. Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 1:33Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 1:34Speaker 1: On today's show, we'll talk about Pete Hegseth and Tulsi
- 1:36Speaker 1: Gabbard falling out of favor with Trump, masked federal agents
- 1:40Speaker 1: arresting more Democratic politicians, Senate Republicans making even deeper Medicaid cuts,
- 1:44Speaker 1: and more drama at the DNC. Then later, you'll hear
- 1:48Speaker 1: Tommy's conversation with Democratic Congressman Eric Swalwell, who stopped by
- 1:51Speaker 1: the studio this week. But let's start with the war
- 1:54Speaker 1: between Israel and Iran, which Donald Trump has not yet
- 1:57Speaker 1: decided to join as of this recording late Thursday. The
- 2:00Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal broke the story that Trump has approved
- 2:03Speaker 1: final attack plans that would likely involve a U.S. strike
- 2:06Speaker 1: on Iran's underground nuclear enrichment site, which Israeli weapons can't reach.
- 2:11Speaker 1: But the president still hasn't decided if he'll order the strike.
- 2:14Speaker 1: Axios reports that Trump is pressing his advisers on how
- 2:16Speaker 1: confident they are that American bunker buster bombs could fully
- 2:20Speaker 1: destroy the site at Fordow. Ever the game show host,
- 2:24Speaker 1: Trump seems content to build suspense, keep everyone guessing as
- 2:27Speaker 1: he muses publicly about the decision. The White House did
- 2:30Speaker 1: say on Thursday that he'll make his final decision within
- 2:34Speaker 1: the next two weeks, which is a longer time frame
- 2:37Speaker 1: than reports have suggested. They also suggested that there might
- 2:40Speaker 1: be a possibility for diplomacy. So potentially some good news there.
- 2:44Speaker 1: But here's some of what Trump himself has been saying
- 2:47Speaker 1: about this.
- 2:48Speaker 3: Now, I may do it. I may not do it.
- 2:49Speaker 2: I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do.
- 2:51Speaker 3: I can tell you this, that Iran's got a lot
- 2:54Speaker 3: of trouble.
- 2:56Speaker 1: Just wonderful. Wise, wise words. So we should note that
- 3:00Speaker 1: the Israeli government seems intent on destroying not just Iran's
- 3:05Speaker 1: nuclear program, but the regime itself. The AP reports that
- 3:09Speaker 1: more than 600 people have already been killed in Iran
- 3:11Speaker 1: and more than 2,000 wounded, nearly all of them civilians
- 3:14Speaker 1: who have nothing to do with Iran's nuclear program. The
- 3:17Speaker 1: numbers are going up in Israel, too, where 24 people
- 3:19Speaker 1: have been killed and hundreds more injured. including in an
- 3:22Speaker 1: Israeli hospital that was just hit by an Iranian missile. Dan,
- 3:26Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on where we are and the
- 3:28Speaker 1: prospect of America joining another regime change war in the
- 3:32Speaker 1: Middle East?
- 3:34Speaker 2: The whole experience of this past week has felt so
- 3:37Speaker 2: surreal for people like you and I who are of
- 3:39Speaker 2: an advanced age, and I know I'm of a more
- 3:40Speaker 2: advanced age, blah, blah, blah, who were around in politics
- 3:44Speaker 2: in 2003 when we marched stupidly into a war in
- 3:48Speaker 2: Iraq where we, as a country, decided, to invade the
- 3:51Speaker 2: wrong country after 9-11. And it just feels like a
- 3:55Speaker 2: large portion of Washington and the press and the people
- 3:59Speaker 2: who talk about and work in foreign policy have gotten amnesia.
- 4:03Speaker 2: This just seems so dumb and so poorly thought out.
- 4:08Speaker 2: Let's just say, hypothetically, the US does get involved and
- 4:11Speaker 2: they do launch the bunker buster bomb on this site
- 4:14Speaker 2: and they damage it or destroy it. That does not
- 4:18Speaker 2: end Iran's nuclear ambitions. It just delays them. So a
- 4:22Speaker 2: year from now, two years from now, three years from now,
- 4:24Speaker 2: we're right back in the same place, which is why
- 4:29Speaker 2: there are two choices then. If the goal is to
- 4:32Speaker 2: make sure that Iran is not a nuclear weapon, as
- 4:33Speaker 2: people in both parties have said, but if that's the goal,
- 4:35Speaker 2: your choice is diplomacy, to have a deal with Iran
- 4:39Speaker 2: to allow them to have civilian nuclear power but not
- 4:42Speaker 2: a nuclear weapon, like the deal that President Obama had
- 4:44Speaker 2: with them during his presidency that Trump got out of,
- 4:48Speaker 2: or do what Israel wants, which is to engage in
- 4:51Speaker 2: regime change in Iran, a country that is twice the
- 4:55Speaker 2: size of Iraq. And we know how well that went
- 4:57Speaker 2: in Iraq. And so it seems like that would drag
- 4:59Speaker 2: the United States into a conflict that would be more deadly,
- 5:04Speaker 2: more dangerous, and last longer and be more expensive, most likely,
- 5:08Speaker 2: than what happened in Iraq. And that's where we're headed.
- 5:11Speaker 2: It just seems like none of the people who are
- 5:13Speaker 2: cheerleading this have thought this through beyond excitement they're going
- 5:16Speaker 2: to get when CNN broadcasts the footage of the bunker
- 5:20Speaker 2: buster bomb hitting in Iran.
- 5:23Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the proponents of military action have this
- 5:28Speaker 1: view that, you know, the U.S. conducts a strike, the
- 5:33Speaker 1: nuclear facility is destroyed, and then we're all done. And
- 5:37Speaker 1: then the U.S. is done and we can just walk
- 5:39Speaker 1: away from this. And first of all, there's no guarantee
- 5:42Speaker 1: at all that the strike succeeds. It might not completely
- 5:45Speaker 1: destroy the nuclear site underground at Fordow, which reportedly is
- 5:50Speaker 1: one reason why Donald Trump is going back and forth
- 5:52Speaker 1: on this, because, you know, there's no guarantee that even
- 5:54Speaker 1: if the strike hits the facility, that it will destroy
- 5:57Speaker 1: all of it. it's very possible that the Iranians could
- 6:01Speaker 1: have moved some of the components to different parts of
- 6:03Speaker 1: the country, could have other nuclear sites that we don't
- 6:05Speaker 1: know about. So like, there's just no guarantee there.
- 6:08Speaker 2: It's like, of course they're moving them. We've been promising
- 6:10Speaker 2: to bomb them for days now. And now Trump told
- 6:12Speaker 2: him they got maybe two weeks to do it. Like, obviously.
- 6:16Speaker 1: And then even if for some reason we do that
- 6:18Speaker 1: and then the regime falls, either because of Israel or
- 6:22Speaker 1: because of it just, you know, because of popular uprising
- 6:25Speaker 1: or whatever, there is also... No guarantee. And it doesn't
- 6:29Speaker 1: even seem likely that a new regime would either be
- 6:32Speaker 1: friendly to either of the countries that just tried to
- 6:35Speaker 1: destroy their country and kill a lot of their people,
- 6:38Speaker 1: nor is it likely that the new regime will not
- 6:42Speaker 1: try to get another nuclear weapon. And in fact, if
- 6:44Speaker 1: a new regime or the same regime, even if the
- 6:47Speaker 1: nuclear program is completely destroyed, estimates are that Iran could
- 6:51Speaker 1: reconstitute the nuclear program and get a nuclear weapon within
- 6:55Speaker 1: 10 to 15 years, right? Which was the original timeframe
- 6:58Speaker 1: of the Iran deal back in 2015. So no one
- 7:03Speaker 1: is thinking through the second, third, fourth order consequences of
- 7:07Speaker 1: what happens when you try to launch a US military
- 7:11Speaker 1: strike on a regime to try to get rid of
- 7:14Speaker 1: a nuclear weapon while Israel is launching a full-out war
- 7:17Speaker 1: against this regime. And people making the argument, well, the
- 7:21Speaker 1: Iranian regime is at its weakest right now and their proxies,
- 7:24Speaker 1: Hezbollah and Hamas, are damaged and so they don't have
- 7:27Speaker 1: as much power and Russia's occupied with the war in
- 7:30Speaker 1: Ukraine and so this is the right moment and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
- 7:33Speaker 1: But it's like, it's not a question of whether or
- 7:35Speaker 1: not it's the right moment to launch a military strike.
- 7:38Speaker 1: It's the question of whether the best way to deal
- 7:42Speaker 1: with a regime that wants to acquire a nuclear weapon
- 7:45Speaker 1: is with military force or diplomacy. And You don't pick
- 7:49Speaker 1: diplomacy just because you're like a pacifist who doesn't want war.
- 7:53Speaker 1: You pick diplomacy because that is very likely the more
- 7:57Speaker 1: effective way to prevent Iran from having a nuclear weapon.
- 8:00Speaker 1: So it's fucking insane. And also, you know, all the
- 8:04Speaker 1: polls out so far show that people do not want
- 8:08Speaker 1: this war. They do not want a U.S. military action.
- 8:10Speaker 1: You know, you can... I was talking to Tommy about this.
- 8:13Speaker 1: Some of these polls, you can like word the question
- 8:16Speaker 1: so that it's, you know, do you support... the United
- 8:19Speaker 1: States supporting Israel in trying to prevent them from getting
- 8:23Speaker 1: a nuclear weapon, prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon,
- 8:25Speaker 1: and then you get more support than you do otherwise.
- 8:28Speaker 1: But the closer the question is to, do you actually
- 8:31Speaker 1: support a U.S. military strike in Iran? The more opposition
- 8:35Speaker 1: you get. And it's not just opposition from Democrats. It's
- 8:37Speaker 1: not just opposition from independents. It's the opposition from a
- 8:40Speaker 1: good chunk of the Republican base as well.
- 8:42Speaker 2: It's less than 20% of Trump voters support the idea.
- 8:45Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 8:46Speaker 1: And again, like you can, Because I saw, you know,
- 8:48Speaker 1: Echelon had a poll out where people were more supportive
- 8:51Speaker 1: of supporting Israel on this. But it all depends on
- 8:55Speaker 1: how you were, as you know, right? This all depends
- 8:57Speaker 1: on how you were to question. And especially when you're
- 8:59Speaker 1: dealing with matters of foreign policy and war, like most
- 9:03Speaker 1: voters aren't equipped to know exactly what the context is
- 9:07Speaker 1: and what the situation is and what all the details
- 9:08Speaker 1: are before they're asked to give a judgment. But the
- 9:12Speaker 1: more that you actually lay out what could happen, with
- 9:16Speaker 1: military force, even if it's not sending US troops in
- 9:18Speaker 1: with military strikes, whatever, the more opposed people are.
- 9:22Speaker 2: It's like, I don't even need a poll for that.
- 9:24Speaker 2: That's been the core defining aspect of American politics for
- 9:27Speaker 2: the last 20 years, has been a reaction to the
- 9:31Speaker 2: failed war in Iraq. It explains Barack Obama's candidacy, explains
- 9:34Speaker 2: Donald Trump's candidacy, explains Donald Trump being able to run
- 9:38Speaker 2: and win a Republican primary by trashing the Bush family,
- 9:41Speaker 2: Republican royalty. There's If we have one strike and that's it,
- 9:45Speaker 2: is there going to be this massive rebellion and people
- 9:47Speaker 2: are going to care? Probably not. But people do not
- 9:49Speaker 2: want to be in a war, period, in the Middle East.
- 9:53Speaker 2: That is just as simple. You roar the question however
- 9:55Speaker 2: you want. The reality is that it would be massively
- 9:57Speaker 2: unpopular if all of a sudden US troops are losing
- 10:00Speaker 2: their lives or U.S. tax dollars are being spent in
- 10:04Speaker 2: another regime change war in the Middle East.
- 10:06Speaker 1: Tommy and Ben made this point on Pod Save the World,
- 10:08Speaker 1: which of course everyone should go listen to because they
- 10:10Speaker 1: do a much better job than us talking about.
- 10:13Speaker 3: All the implications here.
- 10:13Speaker 2: Well, let's finish first before we make any judgments.
- 10:16Speaker 1: No, but we attack Iran. We join this war. Um,
- 10:19Speaker 1: They're going to try to retaliate against us. And that
- 10:23Speaker 1: could be a retaliation against U.S. troops in the Middle East.
- 10:26Speaker 1: We have thousands and thousands of troops all over the
- 10:28Speaker 1: Middle East. That could be against American civilians. There's a
- 10:31Speaker 1: possibility that they have, you know, sleeper cell agents that
- 10:35Speaker 1: they could activate potentially in the United States or just
- 10:38Speaker 1: other parts around the world when there are American civilians, tourists,
- 10:42Speaker 1: you know, going around, traveling around the world somewhere. There
- 10:46Speaker 1: could be a terror attack against them.
- 10:47Speaker 3: All right.
- 10:48Speaker 1: And like that doesn't necessarily. And as Tommy and Ben
- 10:50Speaker 1: pointed out, that doesn't necessarily have to happen right after
- 10:54Speaker 1: we launch a strike. It could be a year from now,
- 10:56Speaker 1: two years from now. But once we have joined this action,
- 11:00Speaker 1: then they're going to try as hard as they can
- 11:02Speaker 1: to retaliate against us. And then we force to retaliate again.
- 11:05Speaker 3: Yep, exactly.
- 11:06Speaker 1: And this is what happens. You know, wars are, they're
- 11:09Speaker 1: easier to start than end.
- 11:10Speaker 2: Just one more point on this, just so we hammer it,
- 11:12Speaker 2: is there is no evidence that anyone's provided that shows
- 11:15Speaker 2: that the strikes had to happen now. that Iran was
- 11:19Speaker 2: on the cusp of getting a nuclear weapon. Trump's own,
- 11:21Speaker 2: we'll get to this, intelligence community says that, the world says,
- 11:24Speaker 2: and if Israel had that smoking gun proof, they would
- 11:28Speaker 2: be everywhere with it. And so they just thought now
- 11:30Speaker 2: was the time for a whole host of reasons, and
- 11:32Speaker 2: they went for it, but it is not because there
- 11:34Speaker 2: was an imminent threat from a nuclear weapon to Israel
- 11:37Speaker 2: or the United States.
- 11:38Speaker 1: No, it's because Iran's weaker now than it's been in
- 11:42Speaker 1: any time in recent history. That's it. That's the reason.
- 11:45Speaker 1: So the big political subplot here has been the open
- 11:48Speaker 1: fighting within Trump's MAGA coalition about what he should do.
- 11:51Speaker 1: A lot of administration types have been telling reporters that
- 11:54Speaker 1: Trump is leaning toward greenlighting an attack. But the more
- 11:57Speaker 1: isolationist wing of MAGA, they're making a lot of noise, too.
- 12:00Speaker 1: By now, you've probably seen or heard about the interview
- 12:03Speaker 1: where Tucker Carlson absolutely savages Ted Cruz. But let's roll
- 12:08Speaker 1: it again anyway.
- 12:09Speaker 4: How many people live in Iran, by the way? I
- 12:11Speaker 4: don't know the population. At all?
- 12:13Speaker 5: No, I don't know the population.
- 12:15Speaker 4: You don't know the population of the country you seek
- 12:17Speaker 4: to topple?
- 12:19Speaker 5: How many people live in Iran?
- 12:20Speaker 4: 92 million. Okay. How could you not know that?
- 12:24Speaker 5: I don't sit around memorizing population tables.
- 12:28Speaker 4: Well, it's kind of relevant because you're calling for the
- 12:30Speaker 4: overthrow of the government.
- 12:32Speaker 5: Why is it relevant whether it's 90 million or 80
- 12:34Speaker 5: million or 100 million? Why is that relevant?
- 12:36Speaker 4: Because if you don't know anything about the country— I
- 12:38Speaker 4: didn't say I don't know anything about the country. Okay,
- 12:39Speaker 4: what's the ethnic mix of Iran?
- 12:42Speaker 5: They are Persians and predominantly Shia. Okay, this is cute.
- 12:45Speaker 4: No, it's not even, you don't know anything about Iran.
- 12:48Speaker 5: So actually the country- Okay, I am not the Tucker
- 12:50Speaker 5: Carlson expert on Iran who says- You're a senator who's
- 12:53Speaker 5: calling for the overthrow of the government and you don't
- 12:56Speaker 5: know anything about the country. No, you don't know anything
- 12:58Speaker 5: about the country. I was taught from the Bible, those
- 13:01Speaker 5: who bless Israel will be blessed and those who curse
- 13:03Speaker 5: Israel will be cursed.
- 13:05Speaker 4: So you're quoting a Bible phrase you don't have context
- 13:09Speaker 4: for and you don't know where in the Bible it is,
- 13:10Speaker 4: but that's like your theology? I'm confused. What does that
- 13:13Speaker 4: even mean?
- 13:14Speaker 3: Tucker.
- 13:15Speaker 4: I'm a Christian. I want to know what you're talking about.
- 13:17Speaker 5: In terms of hitmen, their hitmen are not very effective.
- 13:20Speaker 4: I do think— Oh, so they're hitmen, but not the
- 13:22Speaker 4: bad kind, the efficient kind?
- 13:23Speaker 5: No, they're just— What are you saying? They're a weak
- 13:25Speaker 5: country who is on its knees, and I think we
- 13:27Speaker 5: need to.
- 13:27Speaker 4: Then why are we so afraid of them? Why are
- 13:29Speaker 4: they the biggest threat if they're a weak country that's
- 13:30Speaker 4: on its knees?
- 13:31Speaker 5: Because they're trying— I'm trying to keep track. They're trying
- 13:33Speaker 5: to develop— Be a little less snarky.
- 13:38Speaker 4: I know, you're right. That is a problem that I have.
- 13:40Speaker 4: I'm sorry.
- 13:40Speaker 5: Okay.
- 13:43Speaker 1: I'm not suggesting that there should be anything enjoyable about
- 13:46Speaker 1: watching Tucker Carlson and Ted Cruz debate war in the
- 13:49Speaker 1: Middle East, but it's hard not to enjoy that.
- 13:52Speaker 2: Of course there's something enjoyable about it.
- 13:54Speaker 1: It's hard not to enjoy that. And you know, it's
- 13:57Speaker 1: obviously it's Tucker Carlson. We know, we know, but I
- 14:00Speaker 1: don't know. Sure would be nice to hear other journalists
- 14:03Speaker 1: and reporters interview people like Ted Cruz with that level
- 14:09Speaker 1: of skill and expertise. And look, Just to be fair,
- 14:12Speaker 1: part of this is because people like Ted Cruz refuse
- 14:15Speaker 1: to sit down with real journalists anymore. They all just
- 14:18Speaker 1: go on each other's MAGA-aligned podcasts and Fox News, and
- 14:22Speaker 1: that's it. And they rarely sit down with actual journalists.
- 14:25Speaker 1: So I guess that's what we get now. What did
- 14:27Speaker 1: you make of that exchange?
- 14:29Speaker 2: Thoroughly enjoyable. Do I like rooting for Tucker Carlson in
- 14:32Speaker 2: a fight?
- 14:33Speaker 6: No.
- 14:34Speaker 2: Do I think it's totally fair to quiz people on
- 14:36Speaker 2: the exact demographic breakdown of a country? Maybe not. Was
- 14:40Speaker 2: it great to watch? Absolutely.
- 14:43Speaker 3: It was, I mean, there is.
- 14:44Speaker 2: Just something truly pleasurable about watching Ted Cruz get rhetorically
- 14:48Speaker 2: punched in the smug face. I enjoyed it. And I
- 14:51Speaker 2: don't want to have any, and I know it's, I
- 14:53Speaker 2: know it's, it's a serious topic and Tucker Carlson's a
- 14:56Speaker 2: terrible human being, but you know what? We deserve this.
- 15:00Speaker 2: Not like you and me, but everyone listening. It's been
- 15:02Speaker 2: a tough time. Like, I think we're allowed to enjoy
- 15:04Speaker 2: this without any sort of complicated feelings about it. Just
- 15:08Speaker 2: enjoy it. The one serious part here is that Tucker
- 15:12Speaker 2: Carlson does, through his snarky ways, expose something that is
- 15:17Speaker 2: true about Ted Cruz and all the other people who
- 15:19Speaker 2: are cheerleading for a war of which they've given very
- 15:22Speaker 2: little thought about the context, the consequences, what comes next.
- 15:27Speaker 2: And that's mostly Republicans who are cheerleading them. It's not
- 15:29Speaker 2: only Republicans. My take so far has been that too
- 15:33Speaker 2: many Democrats have been too afraid to speak out against
- 15:37Speaker 2: this possible war, to speak up for diplomacy out of
- 15:40Speaker 2: fear of looking weak. And Democrats being afraid of looking
- 15:43Speaker 2: weak on war is how we ended up in Iraq
- 15:45Speaker 2: in the first place. And being against war is not weak.
- 15:50Speaker 2: Swallowing what you truly believe because you're afraid someone's going
- 15:53Speaker 2: to run a negative ad against you if a war
- 15:54Speaker 2: goes well, that's weak.
- 15:57Speaker 1: Also, the penchant to use religion, in this case, the
- 16:02Speaker 1: Jewish religion, to somehow justify every action of the Israeli government,
- 16:07Speaker 1: at which, you know, Tucker nails him on, because he
- 16:09Speaker 1: finally says at one point, he's like, well, it's in
- 16:11Speaker 1: the book of Genesis. And so Tucker's like, so the
- 16:13Speaker 1: first book of Genesis, first book in the Bible, in
- 16:15Speaker 1: the Old Testament, and the message from God was, you
- 16:19Speaker 1: must support Bibi Netanyahu and the government of Israel thousands
- 16:23Speaker 1: of years into the future. Like, what the fuck are
- 16:25Speaker 1: you talking about? It is so, and just this idea that, like, oh,
- 16:30Speaker 1: they are so weak and on their knees now, so
- 16:31Speaker 1: this is the right time to strike. I thought they
- 16:33Speaker 1: were supposed to be big and scary. It's like, uh.
- 16:36Speaker 2: Yeah, there is just inherent contradiction after inherent contradiction in
- 16:39Speaker 2: the arguments for this war.
- 16:42Speaker 1: Let's talk about this rift more broadly within the mega coalition.
- 16:46Speaker 1: You know, Trump himself has downplayed it. He said that
- 16:49Speaker 1: Tucker already apologized to him, which I don't really buy.
- 16:53Speaker 1: On the other hand, you know, you got influential Trump
- 16:56Speaker 1: supporters like Charlie Kirk, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Steve Bannon. all
- 16:59Speaker 1: have been highly critical of going to war. Podcaster slash
- 17:04Speaker 1: comedian Theo Vaughn spoke out on Thursday. And Dave Smith,
- 17:07Speaker 1: a comedian who's on Rogan a lot, went so far
- 17:10Speaker 1: as to apologize for ever supporting Trump and called for
- 17:13Speaker 1: his impeachment. More on Dave Smith later. We have a
- 17:17Speaker 1: little dessert for you at the end of this episode,
- 17:20Speaker 1: if you stick with us. But Dan, how serious Rift
- 17:23Speaker 1: do you think it is? And how much does it matter?
- 17:28Speaker 2: We all, as Democrats, hope that there is this moment
- 17:32Speaker 2: of enlightenment where everyone takes off their MAGA hats, throws
- 17:36Speaker 2: them in the garbage, and either abandons Trump, becomes a
- 17:42Speaker 2: listener to the bulwark, or even, dare I say, a
- 17:45Speaker 2: Democrat in good standing. They see the light for what
- 17:47Speaker 2: we all believe about Trump. That's not a moment that's
- 17:51Speaker 2: ever coming. I'm sure that a lot of these prominent
- 17:54Speaker 2: people whose power and money is tied to being pro-Trump.
- 17:58Speaker 2: We'll find a way to rationalize this if we go
- 18:00Speaker 2: down the war path. But I think for the average voter,
- 18:04Speaker 2: the entirely apocryphal idea that Donald Trump is anti-war was
- 18:08Speaker 2: an important rationale for why you were okay supporting him
- 18:12Speaker 2: despite all of his flaws. And so there are always
- 18:14Speaker 2: consequences of some measure when you do something that violates
- 18:18Speaker 2: what was your core political identity to one of your constituencies.
- 18:22Speaker 2: And this is Politics happens on the margins. And so
- 18:26Speaker 2: if there's some number of people who already feel like
- 18:28Speaker 2: Donald Trump has maybe abandoned them on the economy, on
- 18:31Speaker 2: some of the other things he's promised to do, he
- 18:34Speaker 2: said he was going to lower costs, he's raising costs,
- 18:36Speaker 2: and then you also do this, that has consequences. And
- 18:39Speaker 2: that is going to put more downward pressure on his numbers,
- 18:41Speaker 2: I think.
- 18:42Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 18:43Speaker 1: What we want here, and I'm thinking about the conversation
- 18:46Speaker 1: I had with Erica Chenoweth, is we want defections from
- 18:50Speaker 1: the regime here. And the defections aren't always going to
- 18:53Speaker 1: be on the same issue or from the same set
- 18:55Speaker 1: of people. But that matters less than the fact that
- 18:58Speaker 1: you continue to have people peel away from the Trump regime.
- 19:02Speaker 1: And either they don't have to necessarily leave and then
- 19:05Speaker 1: come out against Trump and join us in the streets.
- 19:09Speaker 1: But they can at least stop participating, right? Like Elon Musk,
- 19:12Speaker 1: not part of the government anymore. We're about to talk
- 19:15Speaker 1: about Tulsi Gabbard, who's in the administration is also doesn't
- 19:19Speaker 1: seem like she's in favor of this war. So and
- 19:21Speaker 1: then of course, you have all these all these voters, right?
- 19:23Speaker 3: You have the Some of.
- 19:24Speaker 1: The podcasters who supported Trump because they thought he was anti-war.
- 19:27Speaker 1: You got some of the people in Silicon Valley who
- 19:30Speaker 1: thought that maybe they wouldn't add more to the deficit.
- 19:33Speaker 1: Whatever the fucking reason is, you just want to peel
- 19:36Speaker 1: more support away from Trump and the regime. And that
- 19:39Speaker 1: is a good thing. And that just weakens him and weakens,
- 19:42Speaker 1: you know, J.D. Vance or whoever else may try to
- 19:45Speaker 1: run and take over for him if he lets that happen.
- 19:48Speaker 2: And dissatisfaction of the base matters a lot in the midterm,
- 19:51Speaker 2: where base turnout is much more tied to the outcome
- 19:54Speaker 2: than in a presidential election with a much larger electorate.
- 19:57Speaker 3: Yes.
- 19:58Speaker 1: So there's also some drama within the Trump administration over
- 20:01Speaker 1: the Iran decision. Washington Post has a story sourced to
- 20:04Speaker 1: current U.S. officials and people close to the White House
- 20:07Speaker 1: that says Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and Defense
- 20:10Speaker 1: Secretary Pete Hegseth are not part of the inner circle
- 20:13Speaker 1: on Iran deliberations. One official said, quote, Nobody is talking
- 20:18Speaker 1: to Hegseth. There is no interface operationally between Hegseth and
- 20:22Speaker 1: the White House at all. That's tough. As for Gabbard,
- 20:25Speaker 1: she testified earlier this year that she didn't think Iran
- 20:28Speaker 1: was close to having a nuclear weapon. Trump was asked
- 20:30Speaker 1: about that testimony on Air Force One this week. Here's
- 20:33Speaker 1: a CNN clip of Tulsi's testimony and Trump's response.
- 20:37Speaker 2: The IC continues to assess that Iran is not building
- 20:39Speaker 2: a nuclear weapon, and Supreme Leader Khamenei has not authorized
- 20:43Speaker 2: the nuclear weapons program that he suspended in 2003.
- 20:45Speaker 3: How close do.
- 20:47Speaker 5: You personally think that they were to getting one?
- 20:50Speaker 3: Because Tulsi Gabbard testified in March that the intelligence community
- 20:54Speaker 3: said Iran wasn't building a nuclear weapon.
- 20:56Speaker 5: I don't care what she said.
- 20:57Speaker 4: I think they were very close to having one.
- 21:00Speaker 1: I don't care what she said. His own director of
- 21:03Speaker 1: national intelligence. So do we think that, why do we
- 21:07Speaker 1: think Tulsi and Pete got kicked off the Iran PC
- 21:11Speaker 1: small group signal chat?
- 21:14Speaker 2: To make room for Jeff Goldberg?
- 21:19Speaker 1: I mean, we should take them separately because I do
- 21:21Speaker 1: think there's different reasons for both of them. Yeah.
- 21:23Speaker 2: I mean, in this case, Tulsi Gabbard's a dissenting voice.
- 21:27Speaker 2: Trump is also reportedly mad at her about a video
- 21:29Speaker 2: that she did.
- 21:31Speaker 1: Have you seen this video?
- 21:32Speaker 2: I have seen the video, yes. It's very strange and disturbing.
- 21:35Speaker 1: Very disturbing. It's a video, by the way, she went
- 21:37Speaker 1: to Hiroshima and she made what seems like an educational
- 21:41Speaker 1: video about what happened in Hiroshima and Nagasaki and what
- 21:47Speaker 1: would happen if there was a nuclear war today and
- 21:50Speaker 1: how nuclear weapons today are much bigger. But it's very disturbing.
- 21:53Speaker 1: There's like a AI graphic representation of San Francisco being nuked.
- 22:00Speaker 1: It's disturbing, disturbing.
- 22:01Speaker 2: Somehow Trump thought this was about him. Not really sure
- 22:06Speaker 2: why it bothered him, but it did bother him, which
- 22:08Speaker 2: is what led him to snap at Tulsa. But he
- 22:10Speaker 2: obviously was not at all familiar with her March testimony.
- 22:13Speaker 2: And then Hegsath is a different case. He just is
- 22:17Speaker 2: in so far- He's an idiot. Yeah, he's an idiot.
- 22:19Speaker 2: He's in so far of her set. Maybe in the
- 22:22Speaker 2: history of government has been more in over their head
- 22:25Speaker 2: than the weekend cable host being in charge of the Pentagon.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Shocking.
- 22:30Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 22:30Speaker 2: Who could have, no one could have seen this coming.
- 22:32Speaker 1: No one could have seen this coming. Just who knew?
- 22:34Speaker 1: And of course the Hegseth people are like pushing back and,
- 22:36Speaker 1: you know, they said he was in a cabinet meeting
- 22:38Speaker 1: and all that, but.
- 22:40Speaker 2: Oh, he made the same meeting as the small business administrator. Congratulations.
- 22:43Speaker 2: Welcome to the inner circle, Pete Hegseth.
- 22:45Speaker 1: Yeah. It's pretty like, and you know how Trump is.
- 22:48Speaker 1: Trump doesn't want to, well, especially Trump in the second term,
- 22:51Speaker 1: He thinks that all the firings in the first term
- 22:54Speaker 1: went poorly for him or sort of hurt his agenda.
- 22:57Speaker 1: He wants loyalty, so he's probably not going to do
- 23:00Speaker 1: anything to Pete. But according to all the reports, he's
- 23:02Speaker 1: going over him right to chairman of the Joint Chiefs,
- 23:05Speaker 1: some generals, and he seems to be out of the loop.
- 23:09Speaker 1: And he's got the true neocons like Marco Rubio and
- 23:12Speaker 1: John Ratcliffe by his side.
- 23:14Speaker 2: And J.D. Vance just with his finger in the wind
- 23:15Speaker 2: trying to figure out which way this thing is going.
- 23:17Speaker 1: Yeah, of course, of course. Just, you know, trying to
- 23:20Speaker 1: bully trans people on Blue Sky while they're having sit-room
- 23:23Speaker 1: meetings on Iran, which is basically what happened on Wednesday.
- 23:27Speaker 1: Just decided to create a Blue Sky account, got suspended
- 23:31Speaker 1: within five minutes because Blue Sky, and then came back on,
- 23:35Speaker 1: wrote about the Supreme Court decision on, you know, upholding
- 23:39Speaker 1: Tennessee's ban on gender-affirming care for kids, for trans kids,
- 23:43Speaker 1: and decided to, like, write a whole diatribe about that
- 23:46Speaker 1: on blue sky literally while the sit room meeting on
- 23:49Speaker 1: around was happening so which.
- 23:50Speaker 2: Does make you wonder about either his true involvement in
- 23:54Speaker 2: the inner circle decision making or his adherence to situation
- 23:57Speaker 2: room protocols about locking your phone in a locker before
- 24:01Speaker 2: you walk in so that foreign governments can't listen to
- 24:04Speaker 2: the meeting.
- 24:05Speaker 1: Yeah well they take operational security very seriously as we
- 24:08Speaker 1: know he's just going back and forth.
- 24:09Speaker 2: Between blue sky and whatsapp the whole time.
- 24:21Speaker 1: This is an ad by BetterHelp. Men today face immense
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- 25:53Speaker 1: at betterhelp.com.psa. That's betterhelp.com.psa. Speaking of Pete Hegseth, our man
- 26:03Speaker 1: at the Pentagon didn't have the easiest go of it
- 26:05Speaker 1: when he testified in front of the Armed Services Committee
- 26:07Speaker 1: on Wednesday and got questioned from Senate Democrats about the
- 26:10Speaker 1: politicization of the military and deploying active troops online. to
- 26:14Speaker 1: American streets. Here's a sampling.
- 26:16Speaker 6: Have you given the order to be able to shoot
- 26:21Speaker 6: at unarmed protesters in any way?
- 26:24Speaker 2: I'm just asking the question.
- 26:25Speaker 3: Don't laugh.
- 26:26Speaker 2: Like, the whole country.
- 26:27Speaker 1: And by the way, my colleagues across the aisle— What
- 26:30Speaker 1: is that based on?
- 26:30Speaker 3: What evidence would you.
- 26:31Speaker 1: Have that an order like that has ever been given?
- 26:32Speaker 1: It is based on Donald Trump.
- 26:33Speaker 5: Giving that order to your predecessor, to a Republican secretary
- 26:38Speaker 5: of defense, who I give a lot of credit to
- 26:40Speaker 5: because he didn't accept the order.
- 26:42Speaker 1: He had more guts and balls than you.
- 26:44Speaker 6: If the court says this deployment of troops into our
- 26:48Speaker 6: cities is not legal, would you follow that court's order?
- 26:53Speaker 3: It's pending in the courts, Senator.
- 26:55Speaker 4: Well, when the court decides, would you follow the court's order, decision?
- 27:00Speaker 3: I don't believe district courts should be determining national security policy.
- 27:03Speaker 5: So you will not be following that? When it goes
- 27:05Speaker 5: to the Supreme.
- 27:06Speaker 1: Court, we'll see. How about Alyssa Slotkin saying you don't
- 27:10Speaker 1: have the balls?
- 27:12Speaker 2: Love it. Good job, Alyssa Slotkin. That's the energy we
- 27:14Speaker 2: need in these hearings.
- 27:15Speaker 1: That is the energy we need. So what do you think?
- 27:17Speaker 1: Right guy for this hearing? right guy for the job
- 27:20Speaker 1: at this moment.
- 27:20Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 27:20Speaker 2: It doesn't seem like it, like, you know, as we said, uh,
- 27:24Speaker 2: anyone could have predicted this would be, this is where
- 27:26Speaker 2: this would end up. It's actually, I would say gone
- 27:28Speaker 2: worse than I thought.
- 27:30Speaker 1: And we're just saying, it's like, you know, we can
- 27:33Speaker 1: laugh at it because he's a bozo. But, um, I
- 27:35Speaker 1: think what, uh, Slotkin and Hirono just demonstrated there is
- 27:40Speaker 1: if he gets an illegal order, if he gets an
- 27:42Speaker 1: order to fire on people, he's going to do it
- 27:44Speaker 1: because he's loyal to Donald Trump above all else. Right.
- 27:47Speaker 2: So, It's just, there is something just, it's noteworthy that
- 27:52Speaker 2: in this administration with this president, now Pete Hex is
- 27:55Speaker 2: not super quick on his feet, so there would have
- 27:56Speaker 2: been a better way to do this, but he felt
- 27:59Speaker 2: like to say he had not been given an order
- 28:03Speaker 2: or would not follow an order to shoot civilians would be,
- 28:07Speaker 2: would somehow be disloyal to Trump or that he would
- 28:11Speaker 2: not send troops into US cities against the court order to,
- 28:16Speaker 2: to suggest that you would follow the court order would
- 28:18Speaker 2: be disloyalty to Trump. And that is a very scary,
- 28:22Speaker 2: scary thing about this administration. And when you have people
- 28:25Speaker 2: like Hegsath who are weak and thirsty now to get
- 28:29Speaker 2: back in the inner circle, do we really think he's
- 28:33Speaker 2: going to make a stand on principle against some of
- 28:36Speaker 2: these things? Of course not.
- 28:38Speaker 3: No, no, he's not.
- 28:40Speaker 1: Just so everyone's aware, the US military is still deployed
- 28:42Speaker 1: here on the streets of Los Angeles. Even though there
- 28:45Speaker 1: haven't been protests or arrests for days, the curfew has
- 28:49Speaker 1: been lifted. But actually another 2,000 National Guard troops have
- 28:54Speaker 1: been deployed to Los Angeles. So we have a total
- 28:56Speaker 1: of 4,800 troops roaming around here. I don't actually even
- 29:00Speaker 1: know what they're doing at this point. I guess, though,
- 29:03Speaker 1: as we saw last week, the point of the deployment
- 29:06Speaker 1: was never just to keep the peace. It was to
- 29:07Speaker 1: help support masked ICE agents as they conduct massive immigration
- 29:11Speaker 1: raids all over the city and the county. which they
- 29:14Speaker 1: are very much still doing. Last episode, we mentioned Trump's
- 29:17Speaker 1: decision to pause immigration raids in the agricultural and hospitality sectors.
- 29:23Speaker 1: He posted about this on Truth Social, and then there
- 29:25Speaker 1: was a report about an actual memo at DHS with
- 29:29Speaker 1: new guidance on this. And this was likely because, you know,
- 29:32Speaker 1: politicians and business leaders in red states complained to Donald
- 29:37Speaker 1: Trump that they depend on these workers. our economy depends
- 29:41Speaker 1: on these workers and Trump's like some of them are
- 29:43Speaker 1: just great people who've been here and we got to
- 29:45Speaker 1: protect them and all that bullshit well that lasted all
- 29:49Speaker 1: of four days the Department of Homeland Security told staff
- 29:52Speaker 1: it was reversing the decision a couple days ago and
- 29:56Speaker 1: that they should continue raids anywhere they want and that
- 29:59Speaker 1: they should arrest anyone they want, even immigrants who are
- 30:02Speaker 1: following the law and may have legal status. So that
- 30:05Speaker 1: is continuing. One of those immigrants was arrested in New
- 30:09Speaker 1: York City this week as he showed up at immigration
- 30:11Speaker 1: court for a routine hearing, just like he was supposed to.
- 30:15Speaker 1: This has been happening a lot, but what made this
- 30:16Speaker 1: situation unique is that the man had been accompanied to
- 30:20Speaker 1: his hearing by New York City controller and Democratic mayoral
- 30:24Speaker 1: candidate Brad Lander, who's been showing up at court a
- 30:28Speaker 1: few times now, to help immigrants navigate the legal system,
- 30:32Speaker 1: to escort them. Volunteers have been doing this as well.
- 30:35Speaker 1: So Brad Lander was acting as one of these volunteers.
- 30:38Speaker 1: Lander had his hand on the man's shoulder, said he
- 30:40Speaker 1: wouldn't let go until the ICE agents produced a warrant.
- 30:44Speaker 1: Instead of producing a warrant or instead of saying to Lander, sir, sorry,
- 30:49Speaker 1: we're taking him away. We have the authority to do this, whatever.
- 30:52Speaker 1: They handcuffed Lander. They handcuffed him and detained him. And
- 30:57Speaker 1: he was thrown against the wall. And he was detained
- 30:59Speaker 1: in the building until New York Governor Kathy Hochul had
- 31:04Speaker 1: to show up and wait for a couple hours to
- 31:07Speaker 1: demand his release. So federal prosecutors say they're investigating what happened,
- 31:11Speaker 1: but haven't said whether they will file charges. And you
- 31:15Speaker 1: can check out Lovett interviewed Lander for YouTube just a
- 31:19Speaker 1: couple days ago. So you can check that out on
- 31:20Speaker 1: the Pod Save America YouTube channel. What do you make
- 31:22Speaker 1: of all this, Dan?
- 31:25Speaker 2: Let's start with the Lander situation, which is... is that
- 31:29Speaker 2: ICE is out of control, right? Trump is given that
- 31:33Speaker 2: Trump and Stephen Miller and Christina have given them the
- 31:34Speaker 2: mandate to do whatever they want. And they are not
- 31:37Speaker 2: in uniform in many cases. They are wearing masks. We
- 31:40Speaker 2: don't know who they are. They are not adhering to
- 31:43Speaker 2: any sort of standard protocol. They are trying to escalate,
- 31:46Speaker 2: not deescalate situations like this. Like in a normal world,
- 31:50Speaker 2: you do not want to arrest the second highest ranking
- 31:54Speaker 2: official in New York City. It's bad business. And so
- 31:59Speaker 2: you find ways not to do that. But they are
- 32:03Speaker 2: now doing the opposite of that because that is the
- 32:05Speaker 2: kind of conduct that is applauded. This is coming from
- 32:07Speaker 2: the top. This is what they have been given. And
- 32:12Speaker 2: impossible to meet quotas from Stephen Miller and Kristi Noem
- 32:15Speaker 2: and Trump. They are doing it. The kind of conduct
- 32:18Speaker 2: that is now celebrated by their bosses is doing things
- 32:21Speaker 2: like detaining an elected official in New York for essentially
- 32:26Speaker 2: no reason. for handcuffing Senator Padilla. And you're seeing this
- 32:31Speaker 2: play out everywhere. Just today, ICE was trying to enter
- 32:34Speaker 2: Dodger Stadium. It had to be stopped by the Dodgers
- 32:36Speaker 2: for reasons no one can really tell why they were
- 32:38Speaker 2: trying to do it other than just to harass people.
- 32:40Speaker 1: The Department of Homeland Security said, well, there were a
- 32:43Speaker 1: couple of ICE vehicles, CBP vehicles, Custom and Border Patrol
- 32:46Speaker 1: vehicles there, but they didn't have to do with any
- 32:49Speaker 1: enforcement operations. And so they were there but they didn't
- 32:52Speaker 1: really try to get in. And then ICE tweeted, we
- 32:54Speaker 1: were never there. This is just a total lie. So
- 32:57Speaker 1: they're all fucking bullshit, lying again, because that's all they
- 32:59Speaker 1: do is lie at DHS, which is great because it's
- 33:01Speaker 1: the Department of Homeland Security. So you really don't need
- 33:04Speaker 1: them to be trusted.
- 33:05Speaker 2: No, not at all.
- 33:06Speaker 1: Not at all. Yeah, you don't need to trust what
- 33:08Speaker 1: they say when something goes wrong. But yeah, so the
- 33:10Speaker 1: Dodgers told them, no, you can't come in. You can't
- 33:12Speaker 1: come into the stadium.
- 33:14Speaker 2: And then, so now let's talk about the rapid flip-flop
- 33:19Speaker 2: on enforcement priorities. I think a couple of things probably
- 33:22Speaker 2: went on here. One, Stephen Miller mostly runs the government.
- 33:26Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 33:26Speaker 2: He is everyone's boss other than maybe Trump's and maybe
- 33:28Speaker 2: even Trump's on some occasions. And Trump, he doesn't know
- 33:33Speaker 2: the issues enough to make an actual well-reasoned decision. So
- 33:39Speaker 2: a bunch of farm work, he talks to the Secretary
- 33:40Speaker 2: of Agriculture, a bunch of business people call, they're complaining
- 33:43Speaker 2: about how this is going to destroy the economy. He
- 33:44Speaker 2: changes the policy. Stephen Miller gets to him, says, by
- 33:48Speaker 2: doing this, you're allowing MS-13 to work in hotels. And
- 33:52Speaker 2: so he changes his policy back. And it's like, this
- 33:55Speaker 2: is a process that makes no sense with a president
- 33:57Speaker 2: who doesn't really know what he's doing. But I think
- 34:00Speaker 2: his natural, and I think it's possible, and I don't,
- 34:02Speaker 2: this is just my guessing here, that he could take,
- 34:06Speaker 2: because the decision to back away from hotels, farms, restaurants,
- 34:11Speaker 2: et cetera, was met by blowback in the MAGA base.
- 34:14Speaker 2: So he could take blowback in the MAGA base on immigration,
- 34:17Speaker 2: or he could take blowback in the MAGA base on Iran,
- 34:20Speaker 2: but he maybe thought he couldn't take blowback on both.
- 34:23Speaker 2: And so he reversed on immigration.
- 34:26Speaker 1: I don't know if you caught, Governor Newsom tweeted the
- 34:30Speaker 1: story about the reversal on the agricultural and hospitality sector raids.
- 34:37Speaker 1: And he has a new acrostic, MAGA, Miller Actually Governs America.
- 34:42Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 34:42Speaker 2: That's pretty good.
- 34:43Speaker 1: Like, not too bad.
- 34:44Speaker 2: That's pretty good.
- 34:45Speaker 1: Not too bad. I do think that's what's going on.
- 34:46Speaker 1: I also think that both of these things, the arrests
- 34:50Speaker 1: or handcuffing Lander and Padilla and other Democratic officials and
- 34:55Speaker 1: the raids, I do think they're connected. And I do
- 34:57Speaker 1: think it's a Stephen Miller thing. He wants the confrontation.
- 35:00Speaker 1: There is a, again, there is a way to do
- 35:03Speaker 1: immigration enforcement, even really tough immigration enforcement that you or
- 35:07Speaker 1: I may not agree with, right? Which is like, you
- 35:10Speaker 1: can You know, you can go after people who either
- 35:13Speaker 1: have criminal records or recent arrivals. And again, you don't
- 35:17Speaker 1: have to get into these confrontations with politicians, with elected officials.
- 35:22Speaker 1: ICE just released new guidance that now says that members
- 35:26Speaker 1: of Congress can't conduct oversight on ICE facilities, even though
- 35:30Speaker 1: that's the federal law. Or they can, but like ICE
- 35:33Speaker 1: can just, you know, basically turn them down or cancel
- 35:36Speaker 1: their visits whenever they'd like for no reason. So they
- 35:39Speaker 1: want the confrontation with local officials. Tom Homan, the immigration czar,
- 35:43Speaker 1: has been saying this. Stephen Miller clearly wants a confrontation
- 35:46Speaker 1: with these officials. Kristi Noem, before the moment where Alex
- 35:50Speaker 1: Padilla was handcuffed, was talking about how DHS was going
- 35:53Speaker 1: to liberate Los Angeles from Karen Bass and Gavin Newsom.
- 35:58Speaker 1: Liberate us from our elected leaders who we elected. So
- 36:01Speaker 1: they want these confrontations with officials.
- 36:03Speaker 2: It's insane.
- 36:03Speaker 1: And just so people will know what's happening in the
- 36:06Speaker 1: immigration court. So- You get a notice to appear in
- 36:09Speaker 1: immigration court if you are here with legal status or
- 36:12Speaker 1: without legal status, but you're appealing it, right? So maybe
- 36:14Speaker 1: you're waiting for your asylum hearing. Maybe you lost your
- 36:18Speaker 1: legal status and you overstayed your visa, but you're appealing.
- 36:21Speaker 1: And so you go to immigration court and usually your
- 36:24Speaker 1: case gets adjudicated and then either you get deported or
- 36:27Speaker 1: you are allowed legal status and that's that. What they're
- 36:29Speaker 1: doing now is they're having the prosecutors who work for
- 36:32Speaker 1: the government go to these hearings and say, actually, we're
- 36:35Speaker 1: dismissing all the charges. which sounds good at first, but
- 36:38Speaker 1: what really is happening there is you lose all legal
- 36:41Speaker 1: protections once the charges are dismissed. And then as they
- 36:44Speaker 1: walk out of court, they have the masked, often masked
- 36:48Speaker 1: plainclothes federal agents there to haul you away and get
- 36:51Speaker 1: you into expedited removal, which means you get deported quickly.
- 36:54Speaker 1: So immigration activists have been sending volunteers to these courts
- 36:59Speaker 1: to help escort people out of the building. And they've said,
- 37:03Speaker 1: as they train these volunteers, do not engage or impede
- 37:06Speaker 1: the work of these officers if they do grab someone.
- 37:09Speaker 1: But sometimes if you're walking out with people, if you're
- 37:11Speaker 1: escorting a family, then they don't get taken or they,
- 37:15Speaker 1: you know, they just go out of the other elevator, right?
- 37:17Speaker 1: Or they get to go live their lives and have
- 37:19Speaker 1: their case heard, which is what usually happens. So Brad
- 37:21Speaker 1: Lander has been doing that. And then, you know, people
- 37:23Speaker 1: are saying, oh, it's a stunt. It was a stunt.
- 37:25Speaker 1: It was a stunt. Well, I think it was like,
- 37:26Speaker 1: I think he said it to love it. It was
- 37:28Speaker 1: the seventh time he's done this. And he's usually been
- 37:31Speaker 1: doing it very quietly. It didn't get a lot of coverage.
- 37:33Speaker 1: So he's just been doing this as a volunteer because
- 37:35Speaker 1: he's a good person who does this. And as he
- 37:38Speaker 1: was escorting someone out, this is what happened. And again,
- 37:41Speaker 1: there's a million ways they could have dealt with this
- 37:43Speaker 1: that did not end in Brad Lander getting arrested. Same
- 37:45Speaker 1: thing with telling Padilla, please don't interrupt the secretary. You
- 37:50Speaker 1: can talk to her afterwards. They could have done that
- 37:51Speaker 1: with Padilla. They just they don't want to de-escalate because
- 37:54Speaker 1: they want the confrontations with cops. And Stephen Miller wants
- 37:57Speaker 1: ICE agents to be arresting anyone they want, even without
- 38:00Speaker 1: a warrant, even if the person has legal status. Like
- 38:03Speaker 1: that is the situation we're in right now.
- 38:04Speaker 2: Brad Lander is running for mayor. He's a politician, right?
- 38:08Speaker 2: Obviously there is some measure of politics in this, but
- 38:10Speaker 2: I've seen politicians try to do stunts and that's not
- 38:13Speaker 2: what he did there. He could have for, he was
- 38:15Speaker 2: not trying to have a confrontation with ICE. He could
- 38:18Speaker 2: have pushed it in a way it's like, if his
- 38:20Speaker 2: goal was to get arrested, he would have done something
- 38:23Speaker 2: very different than what he actually did.
- 38:25Speaker 8: Yep.
- 38:26Speaker 1: Also people are making this point this week, like the
- 38:29Speaker 1: masks thing. And, you know, and they're like, oh, well,
- 38:32Speaker 1: attacks and harassment on ICE officers are up 500 percent.
- 38:35Speaker 1: And then, you know, you ask DHS about it and
- 38:38Speaker 1: they don't provide any evidence for that whatsoever. But so
- 38:41Speaker 1: you have plainclothes agents with masks, with guns, sometimes in
- 38:46Speaker 1: unmarked vehicles. What are people supposed to do? Like when
- 38:50Speaker 1: someone just grabs you now or grab someone that you're with,
- 38:53Speaker 1: you're not supposed to demand a warrant. You're not supposed
- 38:55Speaker 1: to try to stop it. What if it's just some
- 38:57Speaker 1: bad guy What if it's just some criminal who's just
- 39:01Speaker 1: going to say that they're from ICE and grab you? Now,
- 39:04Speaker 1: that's the country we're living in now, where anyone can
- 39:06Speaker 1: just be rounded up and grabbed off the street, and
- 39:08Speaker 1: now you're not supposed to say anything and not supposed
- 39:10Speaker 1: to resist and not supposed to ask for a fucking
- 39:12Speaker 1: warrant because it's ICE? I mean, it's absurd.
- 39:15Speaker 2: It's out of control. Out of control.
- 39:18Speaker 1: Out of control. Okay, there's been lots of economic news
- 39:20Speaker 1: this week. Not all of it was great. The Fed's
- 39:23Speaker 1: latest forecast predicts slower economic growth and higher inflation, which
- 39:26Speaker 1: is why they decided to hold interest rates steady again.
- 39:29Speaker 1: and white drugs. responded to the announcement by calling Jerome
- 39:32Speaker 1: Powell not a smart person and someone who, quote, hates him.
- 39:36Speaker 1: Housing starts also hit a five-year low, and according to Bloomberg,
- 39:39Speaker 1: Trump's tariffs are set to raise new car prices by
- 39:42Speaker 1: nearly $ 2, 000. That's what people voted for. Higher car prices,
- 39:47Speaker 1: fewer homes. Higher interest rates. That's what we want. But
- 39:51Speaker 1: fear not, Dan. The president and Republicans in Congress are
- 39:54Speaker 1: coming to the rescue with a bill that will deliver
- 39:56Speaker 1: trillions in relief to the nation's millionaires while taking food
- 40:00Speaker 1: and health care away from working and middle class families.
- 40:03Speaker 1: Congress's own independent scorekeeper, the CBO, says Trump's. See, you know,
- 40:09Speaker 1: I love it. They say that Trump's We're All Gonna
- 40:12Speaker 1: Die Act. That's Joni Ernst. Thank you, Joni Ernst, for
- 40:15Speaker 1: the name for the bill. will make the bottom 30%
- 40:18Speaker 1: of American households poorer while exploding the deficit by almost
- 40:22Speaker 1: $ 3 trillion over the next decade. And yet somehow, the
- 40:27Speaker 1: Senate is making the House bill even worse by making
- 40:30Speaker 1: deeper cuts to Medicaid. Dan, what is going on here?
- 40:34Speaker 1: What happened to the Medicaid moderates? I thought the Senate
- 40:36Speaker 1: was supposed to maybe make the bill a little bit better.
- 40:37Speaker 1: They're making it worse. You know, I know that Josh
- 40:40Speaker 1: Hawley and Susan Collins are trying to work something out
- 40:42Speaker 1: to help rural hospitals because rural hospitals... could now start
- 40:45Speaker 1: closing down under the new Medicaid cuts. And so now
- 40:48Speaker 1: they're trying to like develop a fund to help the
- 40:51Speaker 1: rural hospitals who were hurt because of their legislation to
- 40:55Speaker 1: cut the funding to rural hospitals. What the fuck? It is.
- 40:58Speaker 2: I mean, it's... I would say I am surprised. My
- 41:01Speaker 2: assumption was that the House bill would be terrible. The
- 41:05Speaker 2: Senate bill would be slightly less terrible, but still terrible.
- 41:08Speaker 2: And the Medicaid cuts would be less onerous. And they
- 41:11Speaker 2: would meet somewhere in the middle. So you would get a...
- 41:13Speaker 2: terrible bill that was somewhat less terrible than the Senate bill,
- 41:16Speaker 2: somewhat more terrible than the House bill, and that's where
- 41:18Speaker 2: it would be if they were to get a.
- 41:18Speaker 3: Bill at all.
- 41:20Speaker 2: But the Senate instead decided to do something to cut
- 41:23Speaker 2: the Medicaid provider tax, which is going to not just
- 41:27Speaker 2: bankrupt rural hospitals, but will cost states over the course
- 41:30Speaker 2: of the next several years hundreds of billions of dollars
- 41:33Speaker 2: in funding, which means that these states, which states are
- 41:37Speaker 2: required to balance their budget, And so if you have
- 41:40Speaker 2: a significant budget shortfall because of this tax, this cut
- 41:43Speaker 2: in the tax that states can levy on hospitals that
- 41:45Speaker 2: provide health care services to Medicaid patients, it means that
- 41:49Speaker 2: these states are going to have two choices. They can
- 41:50Speaker 2: either cut services or raise taxes. What do we think
- 41:54Speaker 2: is actually going to happen there? And what makes this
- 41:55Speaker 2: even more devious is they specifically made this worse for
- 41:58Speaker 2: the states that expanded Medicaid to include the Affordable Care Act.
- 42:03Speaker 2: And so this is a– it's not just– like people
- 42:06Speaker 2: are going to lose– rural hospitals will close. And if
- 42:09Speaker 2: they come up with some sort of bailout fund for
- 42:10Speaker 2: rural hospitals, that will help keep the hospitals open, which
- 42:13Speaker 2: would be a good thing. But it's not going to
- 42:15Speaker 2: solve the problem of states being forced to cut health
- 42:20Speaker 2: care services for Medicaid patients.
- 42:23Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 42:24Speaker 1: So naturally, Republicans want this monstrosity to become law as
- 42:27Speaker 1: fast as possible. White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles
- 42:30Speaker 1: is doubling down on Trump's July 4th deadline. Mike Johnson
- 42:33Speaker 1: says he's prepared to cancel the House recess to get
- 42:35Speaker 1: the job done, which means... The rest of us don't
- 42:39Speaker 1: have much time to stop this thing. And that is
- 42:41Speaker 1: surely by design, since voters who've heard about the bill
- 42:45Speaker 1: mostly don't like it, according to just about every poll
- 42:47Speaker 1: out there. But a lot of these polls also show
- 42:50Speaker 1: that most voters haven't heard about the bill, or at
- 42:53Speaker 1: least a good chunk of voters haven't yet heard about
- 42:55Speaker 1: the bill, or they don't know enough about the bill.
- 42:57Speaker 1: That's led some liberal commentators to complain that Democrats aren't
- 43:00Speaker 1: talking about the bill enough, that we're getting distracted by
- 43:04Speaker 1: issues like deportations in Iran and everything else Trump throws
- 43:07Speaker 1: at us. I have plenty of thoughts on this, but
- 43:10Speaker 1: I'll let you start.
- 43:11Speaker 2: Okay, let me start. I was going to let you start,
- 43:13Speaker 2: but I know you've been chomping at the bit for
- 43:16Speaker 2: this for a very long time.
- 43:17Speaker 1: You're going to say something more reasonable about this, which
- 43:20Speaker 1: is going to help me be more reasonable. I don't
- 43:21Speaker 1: think so. I don't think so.
- 43:23Speaker 3: It might.
- 43:23Speaker 2: It might. I'm going to try to be more explanatory,
- 43:25Speaker 2: and you can be more angry. What we're getting at
- 43:30Speaker 2: here is the fundamental paradox of American politics that's been
- 43:34Speaker 2: bedeviling Democrats for a while now. which is that all
- 43:37Speaker 2: of the polling shows that our best issue, the one
- 43:40Speaker 2: that voters care most about, is the economy, specifically inflation,
- 43:46Speaker 2: cost of living, the tariffs, tax cuts for billionaires, cuts
- 43:49Speaker 2: to Medicaid, those sorts of things. But at the same time,
- 43:54Speaker 2: those issues in this media environment are like a tree
- 43:57Speaker 2: falling in the forest. They do not drive attention. They
- 44:00Speaker 2: do not drive the conversation. I've had stuck in my
- 44:04Speaker 2: head for months now this report from one of the
- 44:07Speaker 2: super PACs that tests how effective messages are and also
- 44:11Speaker 2: tracks content online to see what's resonating. And they basically
- 44:15Speaker 2: wrote essentially that a message about cutting Medicaid to pay
- 44:20Speaker 2: for tax cuts for the wealthy is one of the
- 44:22Speaker 2: most effective messages we've ever tested. It's in like the 99.9th
- 44:26Speaker 2: percentile of persuasiveness. But only 5% of all of the
- 44:31Speaker 2: political content online was about Medicaid tax cuts in the budget.
- 44:37Speaker 2: And so we have this problem that the thing that
- 44:39Speaker 2: helps us the most does not drive attention, does not
- 44:43Speaker 2: get coverage. And I don't mean coverage like it's going
- 44:45Speaker 2: to be on CNN or the New York Times, because
- 44:46Speaker 2: you're going to be able to find plenty of CNN
- 44:48Speaker 2: and New York Times stories that are about this. There
- 44:51Speaker 2: are people who cover this every day. It just doesn't
- 44:54Speaker 2: break through. And so Democrats in that world have two choices.
- 44:58Speaker 2: We can either find a way to talk about this
- 45:02Speaker 2: bill and the economy and the tariffs in a way
- 45:05Speaker 2: that breaks through to the people who only pay a
- 45:08Speaker 2: little bit of attention to the news and politics. Or
- 45:11Speaker 2: we can find a way to win on the issues
- 45:13Speaker 2: that do get attention, that do drive conversation. And those issues,
- 45:17Speaker 2: unfortunately for us, are the ones that have historically been
- 45:19Speaker 2: less good for us. They are issues around culture and identity.
- 45:23Speaker 2: It is immigration. It is LGBTQ plus rights. It is democracy, crime,
- 45:29Speaker 2: those sorts of things. And so the reason why we
- 45:35Speaker 2: have to make that choice there is what Democrats are
- 45:36Speaker 2: doing right now, too many, not all of them, but
- 45:39Speaker 2: many of them are doing is we're ignoring the thing
- 45:41Speaker 2: that's getting all the attention to say things that get
- 45:44Speaker 2: no attention. So what we appear to most people, it's
- 45:47Speaker 2: not like people focus on the economy. We're just silent
- 45:50Speaker 2: because they're not hearing what we're saying because we have
- 45:51Speaker 2: not figured out a way to get people to hear
- 45:54Speaker 2: our message on the economy on this budget bill.
- 45:57Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think it's, It's even trickier, right? Like
- 46:01Speaker 1: you have to start with what is the goal here, right?
- 46:03Speaker 1: If the goal is to make the bill so unpopular
- 46:05Speaker 1: that Republicans in competitive districts and purple states in the
- 46:09Speaker 1: Senate feel pressure to vote against it, guess what? It
- 46:13Speaker 1: is unpopular, right? And either they feel the pressure or
- 46:16Speaker 1: they don't, we don't know yet. If the goal is
- 46:18Speaker 1: to make it even more unpopular than that by reaching
- 46:21Speaker 1: people who are unaware of the bill, a big reason
- 46:25Speaker 1: that's difficult is everything you just said is true. But additionally,
- 46:29Speaker 1: You mentioned this, like the very people we're trying to
- 46:32Speaker 1: reach are the people who don't pay much attention to
- 46:35Speaker 1: the news. They don't follow the news closely. They are
- 46:38Speaker 1: not on Blue Sky. They are not on Twitter. So
- 46:42Speaker 1: more tweets from us don't matter. They're not watching cable news.
- 46:45Speaker 1: So the random Democrats doing a press conference is not
- 46:49Speaker 1: going to matter. They might be watching local news, reading
- 46:52Speaker 1: local newspapers if they still have them where they live.
- 46:56Speaker 1: So yeah, like you could do events at a rural
- 46:58Speaker 1: hospital or you do local events and maybe get some
- 47:01Speaker 1: coverage there to the extent there is coverage. But trying
- 47:05Speaker 1: to shape the national political debate is trying to shape
- 47:08Speaker 1: a debate that's being followed by people who've overwhelmingly made
- 47:11Speaker 1: up their minds. And this is like a real challenge
- 47:15Speaker 1: because there's all these people like, oh, it's not getting
- 47:17Speaker 1: enough coverage. But like the coverage, the political coverage that
- 47:20Speaker 1: exists is political coverage for people who are mostly partisans
- 47:25Speaker 1: who've made up their minds, right? Like we, this is
- 47:27Speaker 1: what we, this is, this is the problem we had
- 47:29Speaker 1: in the last election where Kamala Harris won by a
- 47:32Speaker 1: large margin, all the people who follow the news closely
- 47:36Speaker 1: and Donald Trump won by a little bit among people
- 47:39Speaker 1: who get their news mostly from social media. And then
- 47:41Speaker 1: he won by a lot more among people who don't
- 47:43Speaker 1: follow the news at all. So like, it's, it's a
- 47:46Speaker 1: bigger problem. I guess why I got frustrated about it
- 47:48Speaker 1: is there is this belief among people who are very
- 47:52Speaker 1: in the data and, you know, it's democratic pollsters and
- 47:55Speaker 1: strategists and, and, and all those folks, many of them
- 47:58Speaker 1: are friends. And they're like, you know, everyone's talking about
- 48:01Speaker 1: the immigration stuff or Trump or this. And what we
- 48:03Speaker 1: got to do is just talk more about Medicaid, but
- 48:05Speaker 1: us talking more about Medicaid. We talk about in this podcast,
- 48:07Speaker 1: we talk about everywhere. We're just talking to each other.
- 48:10Speaker 1: We're all talking to each other. And like the larger
- 48:13Speaker 1: challenge for us is to break out of the bubble
- 48:15Speaker 1: and of all of us who pay close attention to
- 48:18Speaker 1: the news and reach people that way. And again, there's
- 48:21Speaker 1: two goals here. There's one trying to stop the bill
- 48:24Speaker 1: or at least make the bill better before it passes.
- 48:27Speaker 1: And then there's another goal we can talk about, which
- 48:29Speaker 1: is if it does pass because Republicans are like, whatever,
- 48:31Speaker 1: I don't care that it's unpopular. I'm just going to
- 48:33Speaker 1: do it anyway because Donald Trump told me to. Then
- 48:35Speaker 1: it's a question of, can we hang this law around
- 48:38Speaker 1: their necks in the midterms, right? And a very, very
- 48:41Speaker 1: unpopular bill that then they have to run on and
- 48:43Speaker 1: we can make the midterms about it. And that is
- 48:45Speaker 1: a different story because then You get more people paying attention.
- 48:48Speaker 1: There's a whole campaign that we can run about this
- 48:51Speaker 1: law that they voted for. So that's a whole different story.
- 48:54Speaker 1: And I think that maybe is a little bit easier
- 48:56Speaker 1: to get people to care about. But right now, I
- 48:59Speaker 1: just don't know what else... I don't know what creative
- 49:01Speaker 1: ways to talk about this bill are going to break
- 49:03Speaker 1: through to people who don't really follow the news anyway.
- 49:06Speaker 2: I don't have the right answer. I don't think anyone does.
- 49:08Speaker 2: Because if there are a lot of smart people thinking
- 49:09Speaker 2: about it, if they did, we would do that. A
- 49:13Speaker 2: couple of points where I... just differ a little bit,
- 49:16Speaker 2: I think, which is it starts as a conversation amongst ourselves.
- 49:21Speaker 2: It always does. But things can reach escape velocity where
- 49:24Speaker 2: they break out of the political news bubble to reach
- 49:27Speaker 2: everyone else. That happened with tariffs around Liberation Day. All
- 49:31Speaker 2: the polling shows that that's why Donald Trump's numbers dipped then.
- 49:34Speaker 2: Some of the immigration stuff has broken out of the bubble.
- 49:37Speaker 2: And breaking out of the bubble means that it becomes
- 49:40Speaker 2: conversation online in a way that are not just on
- 49:43Speaker 2: news sites, right? That people are talking about on TikTok,
- 49:46Speaker 2: on Instagram. It's showing up in your family group chats
- 49:48Speaker 2: where you're going places where people normally talk about politics
- 49:50Speaker 2: and they're bringing this up. There were moments during the
- 49:52Speaker 2: campaign where that happened a lot, you know, with Trump's assassination,
- 49:57Speaker 2: they're eating the cats and the dogs. You know, there
- 49:59Speaker 2: were moments that would break out. And so the goal
- 50:01Speaker 2: is like, how do you get those moments to break
- 50:03Speaker 2: out on issues that you care about? The danger here is,
- 50:09Speaker 2: If people don't care about it when it passes, if
- 50:11Speaker 2: there's not drama on it when it passes, and it
- 50:14Speaker 2: doesn't get people, then there's no context for when we're
- 50:16Speaker 2: making the argument to these people next year. One of
- 50:19Speaker 2: the reasons why Republican efforts to repeal the Affordable Care
- 50:23Speaker 2: Act were so damaging to Republicans in 2018 was at
- 50:25Speaker 2: the moment of John McCain putting his thumb down was
- 50:28Speaker 2: a moment that broke through. Now, very different media environment,
- 50:30Speaker 2: much easier to break out that many years ago, but
- 50:32Speaker 2: that was a moment that broke through. So everyone knew
- 50:34Speaker 2: Republicans tried to do that. When you go to people
- 50:37Speaker 2: and they don't trust politicians, they don't trust political ads,
- 50:39Speaker 2: they don't trust the media, and you tell them that
- 50:41Speaker 2: Republicans did this terrible thing of which they are not
- 50:43Speaker 2: feeling the impact of yet, they're less likely to believe
- 50:46Speaker 2: you if they weren't paying attention when it happened. And
- 50:49Speaker 2: so that is why people are trying so hard to
- 50:50Speaker 2: get people to pay attention. There's not an easy answer
- 50:52Speaker 2: to do that.
- 50:54Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 50:54Speaker 1: No, I agree with all of that. I think it
- 50:57Speaker 1: also sort of proves my point because John McCain, getting
- 51:02Speaker 1: all that attention for what he did, That did not
- 51:05Speaker 1: necessarily happen because Democrats figured out a way to break
- 51:08Speaker 1: through with the message on the Affordable Care Act. Now,
- 51:12Speaker 1: one thing that did break through was Adi Barkan being
- 51:15Speaker 1: on that plane with Jeff Flake. And, you know, this
- 51:20Speaker 1: was the tax bill. But, like, there was a movement
- 51:24Speaker 1: where people were, you know, conducting sit-ins in Congress. And
- 51:27Speaker 1: there was a big groundswell. It was not getting a
- 51:29Speaker 1: ton of coverage. But did it? eventually impact John McCain's vote? Yeah, possibly.
- 51:35Speaker 1: But you need a moment, right? Which is why I
- 51:37Speaker 1: think like the reason that immigration gets covered, the reason
- 51:40Speaker 1: that Liberation Day got covered is because there was a
- 51:42Speaker 1: moment it was announced and the stock market crashed, right?
- 51:45Speaker 1: And so that's something that's going to break through. The
- 51:47Speaker 1: reason some of the ICE stuff and the immigration stuff
- 51:49Speaker 1: has break through is because there's these moments that are
- 51:51Speaker 1: caught on video, right? As Congress is debating this bill,
- 51:54Speaker 1: there's not these big moments, like a CBO fucking score
- 51:57Speaker 1: is not going to break through, right? Now, You're right
- 52:00Speaker 1: that as we get closer to the vote, then I
- 52:02Speaker 1: think there's much more potential for a big moment to
- 52:06Speaker 1: galvanize people around. It's just really hard to do right
- 52:09Speaker 1: now while Congress is just in the sausage-making process.
- 52:12Speaker 2: You also just need... You build up to the moment, right?
- 52:15Speaker 2: You don't know what the moment's going to be. So
- 52:16Speaker 2: you can't just sit around and try to come up
- 52:19Speaker 2: with what your slot machine pull is that's going to work.
- 52:22Speaker 3: Yeah, that's true.
- 52:23Speaker 2: What led up to the moment with Adi Barkin was...
- 52:27Speaker 2: a ton of protests, sit-ins, people blocked the office, the
- 52:31Speaker 2: congressional office shutting down. There was a demonstration of real
- 52:36Speaker 2: public opposition to getting rid of the Affordable Care Act.
- 52:38Speaker 3: Yep.
- 52:40Speaker 2: There was real demonstration to opposition to Doge, right, with
- 52:45Speaker 2: the hands-off rallies in April. I went to a No
- 52:48Speaker 2: Kings protest. I took my kids. It was an incredible experience.
- 52:52Speaker 2: I felt like as inspired as I felt in a
- 52:54Speaker 2: very long time. If those protests had been about Medicaid,
- 52:59Speaker 2: or taking people off their healthcare, or taking food out
- 53:01Speaker 2: of people's mouths, that would have created... You don't have
- 53:04Speaker 2: to raise awareness to a certain point where you can
- 53:06Speaker 2: then have that moment. And so what we have to
- 53:08Speaker 2: be doing right now is trying... How do you start
- 53:09Speaker 2: to create some context for it to do it?
- 53:12Speaker 1: But it's timing too, right? I think if those protests
- 53:16Speaker 1: were about Medicaid cuts, and then we're stuck with another two, three,
- 53:20Speaker 1: four weeks until the bill passes, then I don't think
- 53:22Speaker 1: it matters as much. Like, I do think there should
- 53:25Speaker 1: maybe be protests like the weekend before they're going to vote, right? Now,
- 53:27Speaker 1: it's harder to schedule these things, like you said, around
- 53:30Speaker 1: congressional calendars because they just sort of control the floor
- 53:34Speaker 1: and they can do whatever last minute. But I do
- 53:37Speaker 1: think there's a timing element, too. Pod Save America. is
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- 55:16Speaker 7: All right.
- 55:16Speaker 1: Last thing before we get to Tommy's conversation with Eric Swalwell.
- 55:20Speaker 1: We talked the other day about how the infighting at
- 55:22Speaker 1: the DNC had spilled into the open with that leaked
- 55:26Speaker 1: audio of chairman, DNC chairman Ken Martin, saying that Vice
- 55:29Speaker 1: Chairman David Hogg's initiative to primary sitting Democrats was making
- 55:33Speaker 1: Martin's job impossible. David Hogg has since left the DNC
- 55:37Speaker 1: and now knives are out for Martin himself. Here's the
- 55:40Speaker 1: New York Times headline. The DNC is in chaos and
- 55:43Speaker 1: desperate for cash. And here's Politico. Weak, whiny, and invisible
- 55:47Speaker 1: critics of DNC chair Ken Martin savage his tenure. Yeesh.
- 55:52Speaker 1: The pieces detail how the committee is facing a serious
- 55:54Speaker 1: cash shortfall and that big donors are pissed that they
- 55:57Speaker 1: haven't heard more from Martin. A couple questions for you.
- 56:01Speaker 1: How normal or not normal is this level of dysfunction
- 56:04Speaker 1: and how much does it matter?
- 56:07Speaker 2: It is definitely not normal, right? There is always a
- 56:11Speaker 2: race for the DNC chair. Usually that race has some
- 56:13Speaker 2: level of division in it. It's often... an establishment insider
- 56:18Speaker 2: against usually a more progressive outsider. Everyone comes together at
- 56:21Speaker 2: the end. I remember Keith Ellison then took a role
- 56:24Speaker 2: with the DNC after Tom Perez won in 2017. This
- 56:29Speaker 2: was an interesting, a unique race in the sense that
- 56:32Speaker 2: it was two insiders in a nasty battle against each other.
- 56:38Speaker 2: Ken Martin ran a pretty tough race. He accused our
- 56:40Speaker 2: friend Ben Wickler of being in the pocket of billionaires
- 56:43Speaker 2: like Alex Soros and Reid Hoffman, two people who are,
- 56:46Speaker 2: I imagine, huge financial supporters of the DNC. And it's
- 56:50Speaker 2: not usual for you to have a– you have to
- 56:53Speaker 2: have repeated vice chair elections. It's not usual for two
- 56:57Speaker 2: really like longstanding, powerful, prominent Democrats like union leaders Randy
- 57:01Speaker 2: Weingarten and Lee Saunders to resign from the DNC and protest.
- 57:04Speaker 9: Oh.
- 57:05Speaker 1: I forgot to mention that part. Yeah, that's a big one.
- 57:07Speaker 2: So that is like, it is very unusual. The DNC
- 57:10Speaker 2: is having trouble raising money. Their off year is never great,
- 57:13Speaker 2: but you would imagine there would be some desire to
- 57:17Speaker 2: defeat Trump, right? People are coming in and do that.
- 57:19Speaker 2: And that has not happened. The fact that these senators
- 57:22Speaker 2: have not heard from Ken Martin is very concerning. So
- 57:25Speaker 2: this is all not great, is what I'd say.
- 57:29Speaker 1: Few things. People, I think, expect too much of the DNC.
- 57:33Speaker 2: Oh yes, 100%.
- 57:34Speaker 1: And that's just natural, right? You think of like the
- 57:36Speaker 1: Democratic Party and you think of the DNC. DNC raises
- 57:39Speaker 1: a bunch of money, comes up with the primary calendar
- 57:42Speaker 1: and puts on the convention, right? And people think that
- 57:44Speaker 1: it like sort of controls the universe and it really doesn't.
- 57:47Speaker 1: So you got to keep expectations low in the first instance.
- 57:51Speaker 1: But we just suffered a horrific loss against Donald fucking Trump.
- 57:57Speaker 1: And so obviously, views of the party are going to
- 58:00Speaker 1: be like at their lowest right now. And one of
- 58:03Speaker 1: the reasons, and again, we, you know, we interviewed Ken
- 58:06Speaker 1: Martin and Ben Wickler's our friend, obviously. And I was
- 58:10Speaker 1: impressed with Ken Martin. I think by all accounts, even
- 58:13Speaker 1: in these stories, people say he's like a very hard worker.
- 58:16Speaker 1: He's very good at internal politics or, you know, sort
- 58:20Speaker 1: of like the nuts and bolts operational stuff. He's really
- 58:22Speaker 1: good because he's been doing this in Minnesota forever. And
- 58:25Speaker 1: so that's all great. One of the reasons, aside from
- 58:28Speaker 1: the fact that just we've known him forever, but one
- 58:30Speaker 1: of the reasons I've always been so impressed with Ben
- 58:31Speaker 1: Wickler is he is a very effective, creative communicator. And
- 58:38Speaker 1: this is not to just pick on Ken Martin, but
- 58:40Speaker 1: I think the party writ large is just in need
- 58:44Speaker 1: of better communicators. And I think like, yes, there's a
- 58:47Speaker 1: whole bunch of duties of the DNC chair and probably
- 58:51Speaker 1: going out on TV and being an effective communicator. hasn't
- 58:55Speaker 1: traditionally been the most important task. I think in this
- 58:58Speaker 1: information age, in this media age, being an excellent communicator
- 59:03Speaker 1: who can break through is the task of every Democratic official.
- 59:09Speaker 1: And I think that like it's just it's not good
- 59:12Speaker 1: enough anymore to be good at one thing or the
- 59:14Speaker 1: other thing like everyone needs to be able to carry
- 59:17Speaker 1: the message in a way that breaks through to voters
- 59:20Speaker 1: and I think that one of the reasons that Ken
- 59:22Speaker 1: Martin is having a tough time is because he is
- 59:25Speaker 1: not naturally skilled at that you know and that's not
- 59:28Speaker 1: part of his skill set.
- 59:29Speaker 2: I I think that that is a fair critique of
- 59:32Speaker 2: Ken Martin, that he's not a great communicator, and he
- 59:34Speaker 2: is not.
- 59:35Speaker 1: I don't think he's a bad communicator.
- 59:39Speaker 2: He did fine in that interview you did.
- 59:40Speaker 3: I thought he was good.
- 59:41Speaker 1: Totally fine.
- 59:42Speaker 2: I don't think I've seen him do any communicating as
- 59:46Speaker 2: a DNC chair, but that's not what these problems are.
- 59:48Speaker 2: These problems are different than that. You could have a
- 59:49Speaker 2: very well-run DNC that's raising money and talking to donors,
- 59:53Speaker 2: and the chair is not a great communicator.
- 59:56Speaker 1: You can. You can. But I think in this environment,
- 59:59Speaker 1: in this political context, after that election, you know.
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: We should have picked that person. But the problems in
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: the DNC are much, much bigger than whether Ken Martin
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: is going.
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: To take them. That is true.
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: That is true. I think that's the big point here. Now,
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: your second question is, is how much does this matter?
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: And it's not great. Like, I'm going to say that.
- 1:00:17Speaker 2: But as you point out, everyone thinks the DNC is
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: massively powerful. How many people have told us, like, how
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: can the DNC not get the Democrats on message? Call
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: the DNC. That's not what the DNC does. And in
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: the midterms, the DNC plays a very small role in
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: terms of the Senate and the House. The midterms are
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: largely about the Senate and House Democratic campaign committees. That's
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: where most of it happens. But the DNC should be
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: building for 2028. The DNC is going to have to
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: manage what I expect to be a quite large primary
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: with a calendar that is still TBD. There's a lot
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: of big decisions that have to be made by the DNC.
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: And if it's not run well and not funded well,
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: and if the The new nominee who will not be
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: an incumbent president comes in and the DNC is in
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: debt and doesn't have money. That is a problem because
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: the DNC is a very important part of a presidential campaign.
- 1:01:06Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: It's just, you know, what's going to get donors to give?
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: Well, I mean, this is a problem bigger than the DNC.
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: You talk to anyone in the progressive space right now,
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: it's very hard to raise money from big donors. They
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: feel burned by what happened in 2020. They're mad at Biden.
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: They think the Harris campaign or Future Forward, whoever else
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: did not spend their money correctly, a lot of their
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: assumptions about how you spend money, like do you give
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: it to super PACs to run TV ads? Does organizing
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: still work? They still have these questions and they're holding back.
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: And that's fine for now, but we are missing opportunities.
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: And time is the only non-renewable resource in politics. So
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: some of these groups we're going to pin on in
- 1:01:46Speaker 2: 2026 are losing time because they don't have money right now.
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: Yeah, no, that's true.
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: Okay, we promised you some fun before we get to
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: Tommy's interview with Eric Swalwell. So we want to bring
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: in the anti-war MAGA isolationist, newest bestie on the left,
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: Tommy Vitor himself. Hey. So earlier in the show, we
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: talked about Dave Smith, who's a comedian who was for
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: Trump and then on Rogan a lot. And then recently
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: this week, he has said not only is he opposing
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: Trump's rush to war in Iran, but that Trump should
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: be impeached. Then Dave Smith was talking about this on
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: his show and played an incredible clip from Ben Shapiro's
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: show where Ben Shapiro attacks us and especially you.
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: Let's listen.
- 1:02:35Speaker 7: The boys over at Pod Save America are siding with
- 1:02:38Speaker 7: Tucker Carlson and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
- 1:02:40Speaker 5: I have a general rule.
- 1:02:41Speaker 7: If the people at Pod Save America are agreeing with
- 1:02:43Speaker 7: you on a major foreign policy issue, The designers of
- 1:02:47Speaker 7: the JCPOA, you are doing it wrong. Here's Tommy Veeder,
- 1:02:50Speaker 7: a former van driver for Barack Obama. Tommy Veeder is
- 1:02:53Speaker 7: the biggest idiot in foreign policy. That dude worked with
- 1:02:56Speaker 7: Ben Rhodes on the JCPOA to set up an Iranian-dominant
- 1:03:00Speaker 7: Middle East that ended with October 7th and wild expansion
- 1:03:04Speaker 7: of terror groups all over the region.
- 1:03:07Speaker 5: That guy.
- 1:03:08Speaker 3: This guy.
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: You fucking idiot. Idiot van driver.
- 1:03:13Speaker 3: Man. You know, I bet there's some people who don't
- 1:03:16Speaker 3: know what it means when these guys call me a
- 1:03:18Speaker 3: van driver. It's such a deep cut. In the 2004
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: Obama Senate campaign, I was the deputy press secretary. One
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: of the things I did was when we went downstate,
- 1:03:26Speaker 3: I would drive the press van. And then I worked
- 1:03:28Speaker 3: my way up to the NSC spokesman at the White House.
- 1:03:30Speaker 3: And they think that's like an insult rather than like
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: a cool thing.
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: Thing that happened to me look when I first met
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: you in 2005 you were introduced to me as a
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: van driver so don't try to I still call you
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: a van driver polish up your resume now.
- 1:03:44Speaker 3: This is my van guy.
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: So weird so Dave Smith plays this clip of Ben
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: Shapiro attacking you mainly and then and then he defended
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: you know you and us and called Ben Shapiro a
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: big idiot.
- 1:04:00Speaker 3: Yeah he called him a moron I have a few
- 1:04:01Speaker 3: thoughts on this that I'd like to share First, you
- 1:04:03Speaker 3: can tell Ben is very worried that Trump is listening
- 1:04:06Speaker 3: to the anti-war parts of the MAGA coalition, right? Because
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: I watched the rest of that episode. He spends a
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: lot of it attacking Tucker Carlson. And I think the
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: loser doth protest too much here. Yes. Second, Ben's argument
- 1:04:19Speaker 3: basically boils down to I'm for mindless partisanship, right? We're
- 1:04:26Speaker 3: sitting here saying like people we normally profoundly disagree with
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: on politics, in fact, find offensive at often. are making
- 1:04:32Speaker 3: good points on the merits. We're thinking for ourselves. We're
- 1:04:35Speaker 3: using our brains. Ben is like, Obama bad, parts of
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: America bad. He's just like a sad little warmonger NPC.
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: I thought he was the philosopher king. What do they
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: call him?
- 1:04:46Speaker 3: Fax stealing something.
- 1:04:48Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: I thought he was supposed to be like this big
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: intellectual force in the Republican Party. And that's all he
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: can muster for an argument about why we should go
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: to war in Iran is because Donald Trump says so.
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: And Pod Save America's against it? Is that what we
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: got now?
- 1:05:01Speaker 3: If you're taking public policy advice from us on war,
- 1:05:04Speaker 3: matters of war and peace, you should look elsewhere no
- 1:05:06Speaker 3: matter what, right? And then finally, I was not at
- 1:05:10Speaker 3: the White House when the Iran nuclear deal got done,
- 1:05:11Speaker 3: but I wish I had been because it was a
- 1:05:13Speaker 3: historic achievement and it worked. Iran shipped 97% of its
- 1:05:16Speaker 3: enriched uranium out of the country. They agreed to a
- 1:05:19Speaker 3: bunch of additional restrictions on the nuclear program, stringent inspections
- 1:05:24Speaker 3: by the IAEA to the point where In 2017, Jim Mattis,
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: who was the Secretary of Defense for Donald Trump at
- 1:05:30Speaker 3: the time, testified before Congress that Iran was in compliance
- 1:05:33Speaker 3: with the deal and that it was in our national
- 1:05:35Speaker 3: security interest to stay in the JCPOA. But Donald Trump
- 1:05:38Speaker 3: hates Obama more than he cares about solving things in Iran.
- 1:05:42Speaker 3: So he pulled out, sanctioned Iran. They assassinated Qasem Soleimani,
- 1:05:45Speaker 3: the head of the IRGC, in 2020. And then Iran
- 1:05:49Speaker 3: drastically ramped up its nuclear activities in support of proxy groups.
- 1:05:52Speaker 3: And that brought us to the brink of war. Like
- 1:05:54Speaker 3: the art of the deal guy... was too stupid to
- 1:05:57Speaker 3: stay in the deal, keep the restrictions on Iran in
- 1:06:00Speaker 3: place that prevented them from getting a nuclear weapon, but
- 1:06:02Speaker 3: that renegotiate the parts you don't like and then call
- 1:06:04Speaker 3: it the Trump nuclear deal.
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: I was just going to say, if Barack Obama in
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: that fateful meeting with Donald Trump in the Oval before
- 1:06:13Speaker 1: he left office and Donald Trump took office, if he
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: had just said, hey, let's call the deal the Obama-Trump deal,
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: we can call it the Trump-Obama, the Trump-Obama Iran nuclear deal.
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: What do you think? I bet we would have been.
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: So it was still been in the deal.
- 1:06:26Speaker 3: I think he would have had to say, Hey, I
- 1:06:27Speaker 3: hate that JCPOA.
- 1:06:28Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: Maybe you get rid of it.
- 1:06:30Speaker 3: And then Trump would have stayed in, but like, that's
- 1:06:31Speaker 3: why we're on the brink of war. And by the way,
- 1:06:32Speaker 3: this is what Netanyahu always wanted. And these Hawks always wanted,
- 1:06:35Speaker 3: they wanted regime change. They wanted the war.
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: Well, thanks. Thanks Dave Smith for, uh.
- 1:06:42Speaker 3: Can I reach you guys one thing?
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: Yeah, sure.
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: Just, uh, regarding Ben's attack on me personally. I take
- 1:06:47Speaker 3: no offense. Judge me by the people.
- 1:06:49Speaker 2: Do you write a personal statement about this?
- 1:06:51Speaker 3: No, I want to read you a passage from a
- 1:06:54Speaker 3: column Ben Shapiro wrote in August of 2005. So this
- 1:06:58Speaker 3: was years after the U.S. invaded Iraq and we found
- 1:07:01Speaker 3: no WMD. The headline is, Why War in Iraq is
- 1:07:04Speaker 3: Right for America, 2005. This is why impatient isolationism serves
- 1:07:09Speaker 3: us ill in Iraq. Did Iraq pose an immediate threat
- 1:07:12Speaker 3: to our nation? Perhaps not. But toppling Saddam Hussein and
- 1:07:16Speaker 3: democratizing Iraq prevent his future ascendance and end his material
- 1:07:20Speaker 3: support for future threats globally. The same principle holds true
- 1:07:23Speaker 3: for Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Egypt, Pakistan, and others. Preemption
- 1:07:28Speaker 3: is the chief weapon of a global empire. No one
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: said empire was easy, but it's right and good, both
- 1:07:34Speaker 3: for Americans and for the world. Yes, Ben. empire project
- 1:07:38Speaker 3: in the Middle East is going great.
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: Yeah. No thanks. No thanks to that foreign policy right there. Thanks, buddy.
- 1:07:43Speaker 5: All right.
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: We're going to take a quick break, but before we do,
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: in the latest episode of Polar Coaster, Dan, you dove
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: into why Trump's disapproval numbers are ticking back up and
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: what polls really tell us about immigration. What else did
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: you guys cover?
- 1:07:54Speaker 2: We went deep into the polling around the war in Iraq. Sorry,
- 1:07:59Speaker 2: around the war in Iran. That's a Freudian slip. And
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: looked at why voters, including Trump voters, are very opposed
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: to this. And Elijah and I did something fun, and
- 1:08:08Speaker 2: we talked a little bit about the NBA Finals.
- 1:08:11Speaker 3: Oh, nice.
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: Well, if you want access to Polar Coaster, which you
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: should get, you've got to be a Friends of the
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: Pod subscriber. You'll also get access to our Discord community,
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: where you can submit questions for Dan and Caroline. Ad-free shows,
- 1:08:22Speaker 1: ad-free Pod Save America, ad-free Pod Save the World, ad-free offline,
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: ad-free love or leave it. Check it out, and a
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: whole lot more. Sign up at cricket.com slash friends or
- 1:08:29Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts. When we come back, you'll hear Tommy's
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: conversation with Eric Swalwell.
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- 1:10:09Speaker 3: Joining me in studio today is Congressman Eric Swalwell of
- 1:10:11Speaker 3: California's 14th District. Great to see you. Yeah, thanks for
- 1:10:14Speaker 3: having me back. Are you in town for the Antifa
- 1:10:17Speaker 3: guerrilla campaign we're launching tomorrow against ICE? Is that what
- 1:10:20Speaker 3: brings you here? That's right. Orientation, right? Yeah. Starts this afternoon. Yeah,
- 1:10:25Speaker 3: your stick, your night stick maybe?
- 1:10:27Speaker 5: All in.
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: Good.
- 1:10:29Speaker 6: Actually, tomorrow night I'm doing a town hall in Mission
- 1:10:32Speaker 6: Viejo in the 40th Congressional District. That's Young Kim's district.
- 1:10:37Speaker 6: That's one of the closest congressional races. If we're going
- 1:10:40Speaker 6: to be in the majority next November, if Hakeem Jeffries
- 1:10:43Speaker 6: is a speaker, we have to win there. And so
- 1:10:46Speaker 6: she won't host a town hall just like most of
- 1:10:49Speaker 6: the Republicans. So I've been on this crusade trying to
- 1:10:52Speaker 6: do two a month in Republican districts. And it's not
- 1:10:54Speaker 6: just that you go and put downward pressure on them,
- 1:10:58Speaker 6: especially as the reconciliation bill awaits final passage in the House.
- 1:11:02Speaker 6: It's an organizing tool. And it's also a recruiting tool
- 1:11:04Speaker 6: because– you know, potential candidates, you know, come to these events.
- 1:11:07Speaker 6: They see that there's like a support network around them.
- 1:11:10Speaker 6: It helps the locals like collect information about like who
- 1:11:13Speaker 6: wants to volunteer, who wants to be involved. And we've
- 1:11:15Speaker 6: been getting actually a lot of Republicans showing up to
- 1:11:18Speaker 6: these events as well.
- 1:11:19Speaker 3: That's great. I went to the one Ro Khanna did
- 1:11:22Speaker 3: like an hour from here a few months back. Are
- 1:11:24Speaker 3: you guys still getting good attendance and energy?
- 1:11:27Speaker 6: We're getting about a thousand people each time that we
- 1:11:29Speaker 6: do this. I went to Anna Paulina Luna's district in Tampa,
- 1:11:32Speaker 6: had about a thousand people. I was in Folsom in
- 1:11:34Speaker 6: Kevin Kiley's district up in the Sacramento suburbs, same thing.
- 1:11:38Speaker 6: And we try and create like immediately a permissive environment
- 1:11:41Speaker 6: for Republicans because I don't want people who are Republicans
- 1:11:44Speaker 6: to feel like if they ask a question and say
- 1:11:46Speaker 6: they're a Republican, yeah, that they're going.
- 1:11:48Speaker 3: To get jeered.
- 1:11:49Speaker 6: And then you start to see the permissive environment allows
- 1:11:52Speaker 6: them to, in their questions, say, I'm a Republican and
- 1:11:55Speaker 6: I don't like this. And so we've learned a lot
- 1:11:58Speaker 6: about like what is drawing them out, what's causing them concerns.
- 1:12:01Speaker 6: And this is what you'd imagine. It's threats to healthcare,
- 1:12:04Speaker 6: social security, a lot of veterans who.
- 1:12:06Speaker 3: Are getting fucked over.
- 1:12:07Speaker 6: I mean, no president has fired more veterans than Donald Trump.
- 1:12:11Speaker 6: And a lot of these guys are showing up with
- 1:12:13Speaker 6: their service hats on to like kind of like proudly
- 1:12:15Speaker 6: like show that they served and now their benefits are
- 1:12:19Speaker 6: at risk.
- 1:12:19Speaker 3: That's great. I'm so glad you guys are doing that.
- 1:12:21Speaker 3: I think it's really important. Also, I screwed something up
- 1:12:24Speaker 3: on a recent mailbag episode that left the country, and
- 1:12:27Speaker 3: you actually corrected me. I said that Democrats had a
- 1:12:30Speaker 3: six-year term limit on committee chairs. Turns out that was Republicans.
- 1:12:34Speaker 3: Huge error. I wish we did. Yeah. So you'd be
- 1:12:38Speaker 3: in favor of a reform like that? 100%. Something to
- 1:12:39Speaker 3: get younger members into leadership positions?
- 1:12:41Speaker 6: Yeah. We have so much talent in our Democratic caucus,
- 1:12:46Speaker 6: but the way our rules are set up, I mean,
- 1:12:48Speaker 6: it's very seniority bias. Because of that, a lot of
- 1:12:53Speaker 6: people have either left the private sector or they've run
- 1:12:56Speaker 6: for other offices because they don't see a pathway to leadership.
- 1:13:00Speaker 3: I want to get to some issues of the day.
- 1:13:02Speaker 3: Politico reported today that we're talking on Wednesday, June 18th,
- 1:13:07Speaker 3: that a federal appeals court appears poised to allow Trump
- 1:13:10Speaker 3: to continue to deploy the National Guard to Los Angeles.
- 1:13:13Speaker 3: If that happens, how worried are you about Trump just
- 1:13:17Speaker 3: like having troops in the streets of Los Angeles or
- 1:13:20Speaker 3: other liberal cities in California or anywhere just in perpetuity. Yeah.
- 1:13:25Speaker 3: That's the plan, right?
- 1:13:26Speaker 6: And he's, I see it as it's kind of like
- 1:13:28Speaker 6: a reverse Uno of January 6th, right? So January 6th,
- 1:13:32Speaker 6: we needed the troops and that would have meant the
- 1:13:35Speaker 6: troops going in against his supporters who were violently attacking
- 1:13:38Speaker 6: the Capitol. And so he didn't call them. The reverse
- 1:13:41Speaker 6: Uno here is that He wants to put the troops
- 1:13:44Speaker 6: there to draw the foul so that his political opponents
- 1:13:47Speaker 6: attack the troops and bring violence and then give him
- 1:13:49Speaker 6: justification to assert more power. And so, of course, we
- 1:13:54Speaker 6: have to keep fighting this in the courts. But I
- 1:13:56Speaker 6: think we have to tell the story of, one, like
- 1:13:58Speaker 6: the shitty conditions that he's having our troops, you know,
- 1:14:01Speaker 6: live in.
- 1:14:01Speaker 3: Like they're sleeping on the ground.
- 1:14:02Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:14:03Speaker 6: And they're sleeping in squalor. It's not like Afghanistan or Iraq.
- 1:14:06Speaker 6: I mean, this is, you know, these are big American cities.
- 1:14:10Speaker 6: But the cost as well, $ 134 million for this exercise
- 1:14:14Speaker 6: in Los Angeles, $ 40 million for what he did at
- 1:14:17Speaker 6: the Capitol last week. And then contrast that with that
- 1:14:21Speaker 6: money could have gone to taking care of the troops
- 1:14:24Speaker 6: in their healthcare, like veterans healthcare, their veterans injury claims
- 1:14:28Speaker 6: that are not being paid out at the rate they
- 1:14:30Speaker 6: need to be paid out. And of course, just like
- 1:14:32Speaker 6: taking care of the people in our community who count
- 1:14:35Speaker 6: on government. So I think the price tag is eye-popping
- 1:14:39Speaker 6: for a lot of people, and we have to keep
- 1:14:42Speaker 6: raising the alarm on that.
- 1:14:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree. I mean, that could be a down
- 1:14:44Speaker 3: payment on taking Greenland. You know what I mean? That's right.
- 1:14:47Speaker 3: Come on, let's get creative here. California is proposing a
- 1:14:50Speaker 3: bill to ban face coverings for officers during official duties
- 1:14:54Speaker 3: unless they're SWAT or disaster response. DHS called the bill despicable.
- 1:14:59Speaker 3: What's your take? It's weird to me to watch. I mean,
- 1:15:03Speaker 3: I just put myself in the shoes of anybody on
- 1:15:05Speaker 3: the streets of Los Angeles who All of a sudden
- 1:15:07Speaker 3: you're a bunch of guys in plain clothes run up
- 1:15:09Speaker 3: on you with masks on and then detain you and
- 1:15:12Speaker 3: throw you in an unmarked van. Like that feels like
- 1:15:14Speaker 3: a kidnapping.
- 1:15:14Speaker 6: It's un-American, frankly. If you're standing on the law and
- 1:15:19Speaker 6: justice is on your side, you should have nothing to hide.
- 1:15:22Speaker 6: And I say that as a former prosecutor, a son
- 1:15:24Speaker 6: of a cop and a brother to two police officers.
- 1:15:27Speaker 6: And there's no other law enforcement agency in America that
- 1:15:30Speaker 6: routinely is out in the streets with their faces covered.
- 1:15:34Speaker 6: But one thing that we can do as a caucus,
- 1:15:36Speaker 6: and many of my Democratic colleagues have talked about this,
- 1:15:38Speaker 6: is when we're in the majority and we make reforms
- 1:15:42Speaker 6: to the immigration system and we fund DHS, one of
- 1:15:46Speaker 6: the first things we're going to demand is that they
- 1:15:48Speaker 6: show their faces. It's also a public safety issue, especially
- 1:15:51Speaker 6: for women. You have some unmasked guy coming up to you,
- 1:15:55Speaker 6: you're going to run, go for the mace or the
- 1:15:59Speaker 6: pepper spray. I mean, this is your worst nightmare. And
- 1:16:02Speaker 6: also it's potentially could put the ICE agent at risk
- 1:16:05Speaker 6: if you're in an open carry state like Texas and
- 1:16:07Speaker 6: you go up like some, you know, 1800s bank robber
- 1:16:12Speaker 6: to someone who's carrying it. It's just, it's not who
- 1:16:14Speaker 6: we are. And it really, it offends a lot of people.
- 1:16:17Speaker 6: I'm surprised how many people who don't follow politics really
- 1:16:21Speaker 6: get uncomfortable when they see these images of masked agents.
- 1:16:25Speaker 3: Yeah, it's very scary. We're all sitting here anxiously awaiting
- 1:16:29Speaker 3: to see whether President Trump is going to drag the
- 1:16:33Speaker 3: offensive military action against Iran. In the House, you have
- 1:16:36Speaker 3: Thomas Massey, a Republican, Ro Khanna, your colleague in the
- 1:16:39Speaker 3: California delegation, who have put forward a war powers resolution
- 1:16:43Speaker 3: that would prohibit the U.S. from entering into the war
- 1:16:45Speaker 3: unless it's authorized by Congress. Do you support that effort?
- 1:16:48Speaker 3: You think it's a good idea? It is our duty
- 1:16:52Speaker 3: to declare war. And we need to know the time,
- 1:16:55Speaker 3: like the length of time as to what the commitment
- 1:16:57Speaker 3: would be. We need to know the number of troops
- 1:17:00Speaker 3: that would be committed. and the terrain covered. So that's
- 1:17:04Speaker 3: the three Ts. Maybe a goal. Yeah.
- 1:17:06Speaker 6: Maybe like what's the overall mission here. There's no question
- 1:17:11Speaker 6: that Iran is a malicious actor that funds terrorism all
- 1:17:15Speaker 6: over the globe. And in their founding documents, it is
- 1:17:20Speaker 6: a death to America, death to Israel agenda. And we rightfully,
- 1:17:25Speaker 6: I think, are defending Israel's skies. But for us to
- 1:17:29Speaker 6: go in militarily against Iran. I mean, we know how
- 1:17:32Speaker 6: this ends. Tell me the success story in our lifetime
- 1:17:35Speaker 6: where we went into the Middle East and a positive
- 1:17:39Speaker 6: outcome was achieved. And I also look at these bases
- 1:17:43Speaker 6: that are at risk right now because of what's happening
- 1:17:47Speaker 6: over there. And it just reminds me, why do we
- 1:17:49Speaker 6: still have that kind of presence in the Middle East?
- 1:17:51Speaker 3: 40,000 troops in the Middle East.
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:17:54Speaker 6: And the guy who said no more wars, he's actually
- 1:17:57Speaker 6: adding wars to the globe, which is failed leadership on
- 1:18:01Speaker 6: his part.
- 1:18:01Speaker 3: Completely failed to end the war in Ukraine. In fact,
- 1:18:05Speaker 3: many would argue it's worse. Things in Gaza are worse,
- 1:18:07Speaker 3: and now we're at a war with Iran.
- 1:18:09Speaker 6: And why wouldn't China right now, as they see us
- 1:18:12Speaker 6: distracted and unable to bring peace where we promised peace,
- 1:18:17Speaker 6: why wouldn't they move on Taiwan at this point? If
- 1:18:20Speaker 6: I was China, I would see the United States and
- 1:18:24Speaker 6: its influence quite weakened, especially you know, if Netanyahu is
- 1:18:29Speaker 6: able to launch these strikes while we were negotiating with Iran,
- 1:18:33Speaker 6: making a president who said he's going to end wars
- 1:18:36Speaker 6: look weak, like why wouldn't China want to do that
- 1:18:39Speaker 6: if the U.S.
- 1:18:39Speaker 3: President looks weak?
- 1:18:41Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:18:41Speaker 3: I mean, every president, including Barack Obama, who I worked for,
- 1:18:44Speaker 3: has said they wanted to pivot from the Middle East
- 1:18:47Speaker 3: to Asia. And yet once again, Trump has taken aircraft
- 1:18:51Speaker 3: carriers out of the Pacific, sending them the Middle East,
- 1:18:54Speaker 3: you know, drawn back in again. I want to play
- 1:18:56Speaker 3: a clip for you. This is a guy named Dave Smith.
- 1:18:58Speaker 3: He's a comedian and podcaster and frequent guest on Joe
- 1:19:01Speaker 3: Rogan show and others like so-called manosphere shows. I want
- 1:19:04Speaker 3: you to hear in the audience to hear how he
- 1:19:07Speaker 3: is talking about the war with Iran and Trump's involvement.
- 1:19:12Speaker 9: I supported him this last year. I apologize for doing so.
- 1:19:15Speaker 9: It was a bad calculation. At the time, it seemed
- 1:19:17Speaker 9: like the right one. But he should be impeached and
- 1:19:20Speaker 9: removed for this one. And not on some ridiculous Nancy Pelosi.
- 1:19:25Speaker 9: Of course, the Congress will never do it because they're
- 1:19:27Speaker 9: all a bunch of corrupt hacks.
- 1:19:29Speaker 4: This is the one thing they support. This is like the, yeah.
- 1:19:32Speaker 9: Donald Trump should be impeached and removed for this. All
- 1:19:35Speaker 9: of his supporters should turn on him. It's the absolute
- 1:19:37Speaker 9: betrayal of everything that he ran and campaigned on and
- 1:19:40Speaker 9: everything that he stood for.
- 1:19:41Speaker 3: OK, so he lost me on the all of Congress's
- 1:19:43Speaker 3: corrupt thing. But I'm wondering, like, the sentiment is good, right?
- 1:19:46Speaker 3: It's great to hear these guys kind of seeing the
- 1:19:48Speaker 3: reality of who Trump is and what his policies are.
- 1:19:51Speaker 3: How do you think we speak to people like Dave
- 1:19:53Speaker 3: Smith and show him that we as a party are
- 1:19:56Speaker 3: listening and we want to get back to being anti-war,
- 1:19:59Speaker 3: anti-forever war party. That's right.
- 1:20:01Speaker 6: And this is not what you were promised, right? That
- 1:20:05Speaker 6: you were promised that we would reduce the amount of
- 1:20:07Speaker 6: conflicts in the world, not increase them. And you were
- 1:20:10Speaker 6: right if that's why you supported him. And he's wrong
- 1:20:13Speaker 6: for betraying you. It's the US foreign policy goal across
- 1:20:17Speaker 6: administrations that we cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon
- 1:20:21Speaker 6: I thought we were best off when President Obama negotiated
- 1:20:25Speaker 6: an agreement and we had the best eyes and insight
- 1:20:27Speaker 6: into Iran as to whether they did. And we saw
- 1:20:30Speaker 6: them going the other direction than where they are today.
- 1:20:34Speaker 6: And so that, to me, is a case for why
- 1:20:37Speaker 6: our engagement in the world matters. And when we can
- 1:20:40Speaker 6: bring people to the table, especially our enemies, and negotiate
- 1:20:44Speaker 6: to get that result, that matters. That's American leadership.
- 1:20:48Speaker 3: I agree. I totally agree. You're a member of the
- 1:20:50Speaker 3: Homeland Security Committee. Are you guys getting briefed on any
- 1:20:52Speaker 3: increased threats from Iran or Iranian proxies because of this war?
- 1:20:55Speaker 3: Is there concern there?
- 1:20:57Speaker 6: We've been told that we're going to get that on
- 1:20:59Speaker 6: Monday when we're back. Obviously, you know, being, and again,
- 1:21:05Speaker 6: Donald Trump sends out one tweet, we have nothing to
- 1:21:07Speaker 6: do with this, and then is saying essentially everyone evacuate Tehran.
- 1:21:12Speaker 8: Yeah.
- 1:21:13Speaker 3: Also, I could smoke the Supreme Leader if I wanted to.
- 1:21:16Speaker 6: Yeah, I know where he's staying right now. So that
- 1:21:19Speaker 6: certainly brings more threats to the homeland, and I look
- 1:21:23Speaker 6: forward to that brief to see what we can.
- 1:21:25Speaker 3: Do to reduce that.
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: Again, we were told fewer wars, safer.
- 1:21:29Speaker 6: On day one, and people have never been more anxious
- 1:21:32Speaker 6: about their security here or our friends even in Israel.
- 1:21:35Speaker 6: I mean, they are now incredibly anxious about this.
- 1:21:38Speaker 3: Ballistic missiles raining down on Tel Aviv. This is crazy stuff.
- 1:21:42Speaker 3: speaking of the security situation over the weekend, there was
- 1:21:45Speaker 3: this horrific politically motivated assassination in Minnesota. We have since
- 1:21:49Speaker 3: learned that this killer had a list of Democrats in
- 1:21:52Speaker 3: his car, including some of your colleagues. I was talking
- 1:21:55Speaker 3: to Greg Lansman, another Democrat in Congress yesterday. He's a
- 1:21:59Speaker 3: friend of mine. It just like sounds just beyond terrifying.
- 1:22:02Speaker 3: Have you guys gotten a briefing on what this guy's
- 1:22:05Speaker 3: deal was or other, you know, the general kind of
- 1:22:09Speaker 3: threat for members of Congress generally?
- 1:22:12Speaker 6: We had a briefing, a security briefing yesterday. I learned
- 1:22:16Speaker 6: actually it was just today that I was in the writings,
- 1:22:20Speaker 6: which was separate, I think, from like the list.
- 1:22:23Speaker 3: We are very, I would.
- 1:22:25Speaker 6: Say, on edge as a caucus right now.
- 1:22:27Speaker 3: I bet.
- 1:22:28Speaker 6: And in the call that we had yesterday, I mean,
- 1:22:30Speaker 6: there was just a lot of emotion first about not
- 1:22:33Speaker 6: feeling like we have enough resources. And personally, I feel
- 1:22:37Speaker 6: like it's inevitable that we're going to lose a member
- 1:22:40Speaker 6: or someone in a member's family. because of the high
- 1:22:42Speaker 6: volume of threats and the low amount of resources devoted
- 1:22:45Speaker 6: to this. And that is entirely at the foot of
- 1:22:52Speaker 6: the Republican Party. They will not fund the security that
- 1:22:56Speaker 6: we need to protect members of Congress. And they won't
- 1:22:57Speaker 6: even fund the judges. And in fact, the judges who
- 1:23:00Speaker 6: are also receiving an incredible number of threats, they came
- 1:23:05Speaker 6: to the Judiciary Committee, which I'm also on, and asked
- 1:23:07Speaker 6: for an increase in funding And Jim Jordan and Chip
- 1:23:11Speaker 6: Roy both publicly said like that's not going to happen.
- 1:23:14Speaker 6: And Chip Roy went as far as to say like
- 1:23:16Speaker 6: they are bringing this on themselves with some of their rulings.
- 1:23:19Speaker 6: So it's almost like blaming the victim. And so the
- 1:23:23Speaker 6: anxiety among my colleagues is that like the threats, what
- 1:23:28Speaker 6: they do is we all have to spend out of
- 1:23:30Speaker 6: our own campaign accounts to protect ourselves and our staff
- 1:23:33Speaker 6: and our family because we don't have the resources from Congress.
- 1:23:36Speaker 6: And the aim is to make you do fewer town
- 1:23:39Speaker 6: halls so you're not as representative to your constituents. Spend
- 1:23:42Speaker 6: more money out of your campaign so you're more vulnerable
- 1:23:45Speaker 6: in your own re-election. And then you have these assholes
- 1:23:49Speaker 6: on the right, like Mike Lee, who take a tragedy
- 1:23:54Speaker 6: like this and blame the Democrats. Yeah, he mocks it
- 1:23:59Speaker 6: and suggests that it was leftists who did it. And
- 1:24:02Speaker 6: it's very frustrating right now.
- 1:24:04Speaker 3: Greg told me he's sitting in his house. terrified, you know,
- 1:24:07Speaker 3: waiting for them to catch this Minnesota killer who had
- 1:24:10Speaker 3: his name on a list and he could not get
- 1:24:14Speaker 3: out of his head the image of that man in
- 1:24:16Speaker 3: that terrifying mask. And the reason he had seen that
- 1:24:19Speaker 3: image is because someone sent Greg fucking Mike Lee's tweet.
- 1:24:23Speaker 3: You know what I mean? Like that guy literally was
- 1:24:25Speaker 3: terrifying someone who thought he might be a victim in
- 1:24:27Speaker 3: real time. Just awful. Just to dig into this a
- 1:24:29Speaker 3: little bit, can you help listeners understand like what kind
- 1:24:32Speaker 3: of resources Yeah. Are currently available to members of Congress
- 1:24:36Speaker 3: when it comes to security and what things you might
- 1:24:38Speaker 3: like to add?
- 1:24:39Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 1:24:39Speaker 6: So almost zero. I mean, when you're on the campus
- 1:24:43Speaker 6: of the Capitol, thank God the Capitol Police are there.
- 1:24:46Speaker 6: But unless you're in leadership, they get around the clock,
- 1:24:51Speaker 6: like personal details. Nobody else gets that. anything like that
- 1:24:55Speaker 6: at all. And so you're really on your own. And
- 1:24:58Speaker 6: so you're, if you're personally wealthy, you can, I guess,
- 1:25:00Speaker 6: pay for like personal security.
- 1:25:02Speaker 3: Romney talking about like how unbelievably expensive it was for
- 1:25:05Speaker 3: him to protect himself and his family as part of
- 1:25:07Speaker 3: why he retired. Yeah.
- 1:25:09Speaker 6: If you have $ 80, 000 left in student loan debt, like me,
- 1:25:12Speaker 6: it's really hard to like, uh, you know, dip into
- 1:25:15Speaker 6: your personal funds for security. And so you, you know,
- 1:25:17Speaker 6: try and manage it with, uh, your campaign. And so
- 1:25:20Speaker 6: there's not many resources right now at all. And that's
- 1:25:23Speaker 6: a large part of the frustration. But there's also a
- 1:25:25Speaker 6: sense that the antidote to this is a bipartisan condemnation
- 1:25:31Speaker 6: of violence. And we often feel like it's a one-sided
- 1:25:36Speaker 6: condemnation and we don't get it from the other side.
- 1:25:39Speaker 6: And Mike Johnson, by the way, what did he say
- 1:25:41Speaker 6: last week about Gavin Newsom? That he should be tarred
- 1:25:44Speaker 6: and feathered, right? Like just one of the most horrible,
- 1:25:47Speaker 6: cruel acts from like a horrible era. of American history.
- 1:25:51Speaker 6: And so that's the direction these guys are going. And
- 1:25:54Speaker 6: it's another reason for us to be in the majority. And, and, uh,
- 1:25:58Speaker 6: Hakeem Jeffries has said this to many members who face
- 1:26:00Speaker 6: a lot of threats that like when we're in the majority,
- 1:26:03Speaker 6: like we will get this right. But I'm afraid before
- 1:26:05Speaker 6: we get there, uh, we're probably going to see an
- 1:26:08Speaker 6: increase in threats and potentially like a loss of a member.
- 1:26:12Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean, I, I'm sure speaker Johnson thought he
- 1:26:15Speaker 3: was being funny, but tar and feathering someone is like the,
- 1:26:19Speaker 3: the first and example I'd think of when it comes
- 1:26:22Speaker 3: to vigilante justice, things we shouldn't be for in this country.
- 1:26:26Speaker 3: But I agree with you. I mean, part of the
- 1:26:27Speaker 3: problem with this is we understandably, I think, default to
- 1:26:31Speaker 3: a conversation about security and protecting members and elected officials generally.
- 1:26:37Speaker 3: We should, of course, do that. But there isn't this
- 1:26:39Speaker 3: conversation about just ratcheting down the tension. And look, more
- 1:26:43Speaker 3: security comes with a cost, right? I mean, I saw
- 1:26:45Speaker 3: this when I was on the Obama campaign and we
- 1:26:47Speaker 3: went from uh, no secret service, the secret service, like
- 1:26:52Speaker 3: you're suddenly held at more of a distance from the
- 1:26:54Speaker 3: people you represent. Like they, they can't get close to you.
- 1:26:56Speaker 3: They can't talk to you. There's no like serendipity on
- 1:26:59Speaker 3: a rope line anymore or something, you know? And it's, um, it's,
- 1:27:03Speaker 3: it's harmful, I think, to like the political process generally.
- 1:27:06Speaker 6: And you can see the direct line of like when
- 1:27:09Speaker 6: the threats started to go up and it was 2015
- 1:27:12Speaker 6: when a certain person entered the presidential race.
- 1:27:16Speaker 3: Ted Cruz.
- 1:27:17Speaker 6: And yeah, that's right. And created this environment where people
- 1:27:24Speaker 6: felt like, well, if he can tell security to go
- 1:27:27Speaker 6: rough up that journalist, or if he can say a
- 1:27:29Speaker 6: police officer should bang a suspect's head, you know, on
- 1:27:32Speaker 6: the doors, he's put him in the car. If he
- 1:27:34Speaker 6: can suggest, you know, the press or the enemy of
- 1:27:36Speaker 6: the people, then it's okay for me to talk that way.
- 1:27:40Speaker 3: Pardon January 6th, guys. Yeah.
- 1:27:41Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 1:27:41Speaker 6: And it's, yeah, it's not just, it's not just who
- 1:27:44Speaker 6: he is locking up right now and the way he's
- 1:27:47Speaker 6: doing it, you know, with his ICE masked agents, it's
- 1:27:50Speaker 6: who he put into our community. And also the signal
- 1:27:53Speaker 6: that sends to those folks that, why wouldn't I go
- 1:27:56Speaker 6: out and commit more violence in his name?
- 1:27:58Speaker 3: He's got my back. Right.
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: Right.
- 1:27:59Speaker 3: And he'll pay my lawyer fees. He'll pardon me. I'll
- 1:28:01Speaker 3: do whatever it takes about the kind of congressional business
- 1:28:04Speaker 3: that's happening. So the house passed Trump's tax cut for
- 1:28:08Speaker 3: billionaires bill by one vote. Sounds like the Senate's making
- 1:28:11Speaker 3: a bunch of changes to it. There are reportedly changes
- 1:28:14Speaker 3: to the state and local tax deductions that helped get
- 1:28:16Speaker 3: a lot of moderate Republicans on board. There's changes to
- 1:28:19Speaker 3: the deductions businesses can make that I think will make
- 1:28:22Speaker 3: the bill way more expensive, and they're not paying for
- 1:28:24Speaker 3: that necessarily. It makes the child tax credit less generous.
- 1:28:29Speaker 3: There are deeper cuts to Medicaid. I think the debt
- 1:28:31Speaker 3: ceiling increase is bigger. Given what you're seeing, do you
- 1:28:35Speaker 3: think there's a chance that Speaker Johnson won't be able
- 1:28:37Speaker 3: to get that revised version through the House?
- 1:28:40Speaker 6: I do. And by the way, your staff generously offered
- 1:28:44Speaker 6: me a LaCroix when I came in to pay for
- 1:28:48Speaker 6: this bill. One of the deductions they took away from
- 1:28:51Speaker 6: small and medium-sized businesses is to provide food and snacks to.
- 1:28:55Speaker 3: To more employees.
- 1:28:56Speaker 6: So that was something you could deduct, I think, up
- 1:28:58Speaker 6: to like 50%. And they got rid of that so
- 1:29:01Speaker 6: that the billionaires can have a bigger tax cut. So
- 1:29:06Speaker 6: I guess next time I'll have to come in with
- 1:29:07Speaker 6: my own water. I'm going to get you a water bottle.
- 1:29:09Speaker 1: But if you.
- 1:29:11Speaker 6: Believe the salt crew, and I know your colleagues, because
- 1:29:15Speaker 6: I listen to the show, they eye roll you when
- 1:29:18Speaker 6: you really want to go into the salt weeds here.
- 1:29:21Speaker 6: But if you listen to the salt New York Republicans,
- 1:29:23Speaker 6: and I talk to them, They say that if the
- 1:29:28Speaker 6: Senate touches salt, they're gone. So that's about four votes.
- 1:29:32Speaker 6: And again, they passed it by one last time. So
- 1:29:34Speaker 6: they can't lose those four New Yorkers. Now, do the
- 1:29:37Speaker 6: moderates always get rolled?
- 1:29:39Speaker 3: Yes.
- 1:29:40Speaker 6: But those New Yorkers just watched in the last election
- 1:29:43Speaker 6: three of the Republican colleagues get beaten. So they know
- 1:29:47Speaker 6: that we are going for more seats in New York.
- 1:29:49Speaker 6: And we can't be in the majority unless we win
- 1:29:51Speaker 6: more seats. in New York and the same thing in
- 1:29:53Speaker 6: California who also has the salt issue is, is a
- 1:29:55Speaker 6: big issue. And there's still Republicans like young Kim who
- 1:29:59Speaker 6: will be thinking about that. So if the salt folks
- 1:30:01Speaker 6: stick together, uh, they can kill, uh, the bill.
- 1:30:05Speaker 3: Final question for you. So a lot of Democrats feel
- 1:30:07Speaker 3: a little, a little demoralized these days. Um, I think
- 1:30:10Speaker 3: it knows no King's protests were an incredibly powerful shot
- 1:30:14Speaker 3: in the arm for anybody who went, but now we're
- 1:30:16Speaker 3: back to like the war, a new war in Iran,
- 1:30:19Speaker 3: ice raids, like God knows what else. What's your advice
- 1:30:22Speaker 3: to Democrats listening who are trying to figure out how
- 1:30:25Speaker 3: to do something to make the country a better place,
- 1:30:27Speaker 3: even though we're a long ways away from the next
- 1:30:29Speaker 3: federal election?
- 1:30:30Speaker 6: Small victories will bring big victories. We saw that in Wisconsin.
- 1:30:33Speaker 6: And I know Vote Save America engaged there. And a
- 1:30:37Speaker 6: lot of us, through contributions or text messaging, phone banking,
- 1:30:41Speaker 6: engaged there. I certainly did. And we beat Elon's $ 30 million.
- 1:30:44Speaker 6: And hopefully that's a deterrent to Elon spending a lot
- 1:30:48Speaker 6: of money in the midterms.
- 1:30:50Speaker 3: New Jersey, Virginia.
- 1:30:51Speaker 6: At the end of this year, if we can win
- 1:30:53Speaker 6: there with Abigail Spanberger and Mikey Sherrill, get two Democratic governors,
- 1:30:57Speaker 6: that will make sure that we have equal access to
- 1:30:59Speaker 6: the ballot box in the midterms because we need to
- 1:31:01Speaker 6: pick up seats in both Virginia and New Jersey for
- 1:31:04Speaker 6: the midterms. But it also gives us momentum, right? I
- 1:31:07Speaker 6: think sports is just like politics, like momentum begets momentum.
- 1:31:11Speaker 3: I totally agree.
- 1:31:11Speaker 6: So we end the year with wins in Wisconsin, Virginia,
- 1:31:14Speaker 6: New Jersey. We start to get our confidence back. We
- 1:31:18Speaker 6: are able to recruit good candidates because these wins help
- 1:31:21Speaker 6: high caliber candidates make the decision as to whether they
- 1:31:24Speaker 6: want to run or not, right? So in all of
- 1:31:25Speaker 6: these congressional districts that are toss-ups and all the Senate
- 1:31:28Speaker 6: seats that are toss-ups, if you're seeing us collect wins
- 1:31:31Speaker 6: at the ballot box and you're seeing people go to
- 1:31:33Speaker 6: the town squares, like we saw over the weekend at
- 1:31:35Speaker 6: the No Kings rallies, you're going to feel like if
- 1:31:38Speaker 6: I get in this, there's a chance for me to win.
- 1:31:41Speaker 6: And the inverse of that is Brian Kemp, right? High
- 1:31:45Speaker 6: caliber candidates on the Republican side, like Brian Kemp, who
- 1:31:47Speaker 6: was going to run against John Ossoff in Georgia, He's
- 1:31:50Speaker 6: going to take a walk this election. And then I
- 1:31:52Speaker 6: would just say to your viewers, what I'm doing in
- 1:31:55Speaker 6: my own household, whatever you did in the last election cycle,
- 1:31:59Speaker 6: go one rung higher. So just think about what you
- 1:32:02Speaker 6: did and go one rung higher. So if you've never
- 1:32:04Speaker 6: gone to a protest, go to your first protest. If
- 1:32:06Speaker 6: you've never volunteered on a congressional campaign, volunteer on your
- 1:32:09Speaker 6: first congressional campaign. If you've never gone to city hall
- 1:32:11Speaker 6: to speak on a council agenda, go and speak and
- 1:32:15Speaker 6: just find your own agency and fulfillment in doing that.
- 1:32:18Speaker 6: We'll probably have to go a lot rungs higher by
- 1:32:20Speaker 6: the time we get to the midterms. But for now,
- 1:32:22Speaker 6: just go one rung higher and see how that makes
- 1:32:25Speaker 6: you feel.
- 1:32:25Speaker 3: That's great advice. Congressman Swalwell, thank you so much for
- 1:32:28Speaker 3: coming in. My pleasure. Thanks, Tommy.
- 1:32:34Speaker 1: That's our show for today. Thanks to Eric Swalwell for joining.
- 1:32:37Speaker 3: Love it.
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: Tommy and I will be back on Tuesday with a
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: new show. Everybody have a great weekend.
- 1:32:41Speaker 3: Bye, everyone.
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