Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / LIVE From NYC! Super Bowl Analysis, Tons of Prop Bets, and a Couple of Special Guests!

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LIVE From NYC! Super Bowl Analysis, Tons of Prop Bets, and a Couple of Special Guests! · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. The stars of the Favorites Chad Millman,
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: black Jack Butcher, Paula Duca, and Jeff Schwitz let him
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: hearing water. Welcome to the Favorites. We're live. We're live
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: at Folly's Bar on thirty third Street in Manhattan, across
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: the street from the Empire State Building. As you guys know,
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: I was incredibly nervous about filling this room, so I
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: appreciate everybody coming out. I appreciate that. I'm fairly certain
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: we beat the over in the number of women in
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: the audience, so let's give it up for that. I think, uh,
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: black Jack, why don't we set that at three a half?
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: Three and a half. And I believe we knew one
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: was coming. We're at four non action network related verma,
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: so we are super excited about that. This is amazing.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: This is our first live podcast. I'm gonna be standing
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: the whole time because I'm standing next to Jeff. But
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: we appreciate everybody coming out. We appreciate Folies for giving
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: us to space, and we appreciate everybody for ordering stuff
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: so we could have the space at Folies. Um, this
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: is a great crowd. We're super excited black Jack, good
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: to see your brother. What are you thinking? You're too, sweetie?
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: How are you? I'm just glad you got here early
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: on time, when we were able to have a few
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: drinks first. Get you nice and loose. Everyone who listens
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: knows chat is best when he's a little lubricated. So
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: I'm glad I was here early. I rehearsed, I'm ready,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: ready to go. I'm glad you're here. To polly into
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: the mic. I can't see you all right, and I refused.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: I stand. He's a big human being. He gets bigger
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: every time I see him. He really does. He's a mountain.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: Oh you want to you want to talk about your wife?
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. Alright, alright, Wow, Jeff's wife might
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: have a thing for me. I don't know. It's unconfirmed,
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: but sus let's let's we got a lot to cover
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: in the podcast today. All right. Obviously Blackjack is water roll.
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: He's brought all his best lines. We're all going to
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: endure and we're going to get through it. I like
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: this table here, I think the most because every I'm
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: looking at you guy right here, yeah, right, all right?
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Because they all raised their hands when they said they
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: were listeners of like every iteration of this podcast going
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: back in history. But it doesn't mean I don't love Chad.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: Everyone's great turning out. I love this guy right here
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: who showed up two hours early. Jordan's that's why he
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: got the fur coat. He got a fur coat. And
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: by the way, I don't know if you guys know this,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell mentioned it. I've written seven books. He asked
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: me to sign one of them, so right now he's
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: winning the podcast. All right, let's should we do the show? Yeah?
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: I think we're gonna do it right now. Let's do
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: it and through the Blatherer. Uh, there's a lot that's
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: gonna happen tonight. We're gonna break down the game. Jesus,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: let me do my thing. I gonna be on my
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: phone for a while. We're gonna break down the game.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: We're gonna break down the props. There's gonna be a
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: lot of stuff you can actually activate on during or
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: after the podcast. Okay, we're going to be betting each other.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: Everyone knows. Black Jack and I have already bet each
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: other on the game, but if there are other bets
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: that go on, we're going to bet each other, and
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: we're doing it in a fantasy style draft. Alright, so
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: what does that mean? That means we're gonna go and
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: sort of black Jest's gonna choose, Paul, he's gonna choose,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: Jeff's gonna choose. We're gonna go this way instead. It's
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be great. I think we're already to talk about
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: the game. I think we are. Do you think we
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: should do it? Yeah? All right, here we go the
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: New England PA. Nope, nope, nope, nope, nope. You do
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: this every goddamn week. Georgina reads the lines, not you,
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: and Georgina is here to read the line. Hi, everybody,
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: are you ready for me to read the line? A
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: quick question here? How do people actually thought Georgina was
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: not real? You? Are you kidding me? I walked his
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: office yesterday and I said that I thought Matt producer
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: was going to bring a speaker on stage with time
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: for you to talk. And I got laughed at, but
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: obviously half agree with me. She is very intelligence of
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: the The lovely Georgina is here. Georgina, what is the
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: line for this game? Okay? The line for this game
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: is Los Angeles Rams versus New England Patriots, Patriots by
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Thank you, Georgina, thank you. Uh.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz is not the only person and you are
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: not the only people who didn't realize Georgina was real
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: just saying that. All right? So the lines two and
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: a half, the lines two and a half a half,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: black chack, You want to start your thoughts here? What
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: do you think that New England by a million? Those
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts. I don't know why you would you
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: say New England by a million, except the last two weeks.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: He didn't though, And I was going back to you
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: know what, it's the squarest play you can possibly make.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: You can say that all you want, with your little
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: analytics and all your bullshit. At the end of the day,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: you're talking about a team is going to their ninth
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl in seventeen years. They're winners of five of them. Okay,
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: you're talking at the greatest quarterback to ever step foot
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: on a football field, paired with the greatest coach to
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: ever put a hoodie on his head, against a thirty
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: two year old head coach. I get, He's the wonder kidd.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: Everyone loves him and Jared Goff and this my friends
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: is where I'm gonna get hot, because Jared Goff in
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: this universe does not beat Tom Brady in a super Bowl,
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: No way, no how, New England game over, Jeff Paul.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Let me just say one thing first, all right, If
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: I look in the Action Network gap, which is it's free,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Chad goes download everybody at Everyone Network AP. If you
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: were looking in the app right now like I am,
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: you would see that of the money is on New England.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: You would see that the tickets are on New England.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: You would know that the line opened at Rams minus one.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: If you were reading Action Network content, you would know
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: that the Rams are power raided at minus one. You
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: would know of the line has moved to minus two
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: and a half, and you would know that the square
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: side is the Patriots. Polly, how many bets have you
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: made on the Rams in the past twenty seconds? I
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: have not played the Rams. Bind going to here's the
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: problem with black jack. The Patriots are like an ex
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: girlfriend or girlfriend chase for like the last seven weeks
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: because he's bet against them seven weeks in a row. Okay, yes,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: and then they've gone out with seven different guys. Now
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: they're actually giving you attention, and you're falling for it immediately,
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: and now you're all over the Patriots. Bet against the
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: Patriots the last seven times you try to take this
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: check out and then she denied you. Now she's giving
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: you the go on Sunday and you're ready, all in,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: all in, and you're not going to tell you something
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: doing the walk of shame and Walker schaf get me
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: home early, No, brother, I gotta ring in my pocket.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: I'm ready to go. Jeff provide some actual analysts. Provides
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: some actual NFL analyst perfection here. You know, we we
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: keep saying every week, right in the playoffs, the Patriots
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: aren't good enough, right, the Chargers are the better team.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: The Chiefs are the better team. They keep winning the game.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: The Rams are their team. I really think it's really odd.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: This whole underdog thing the Patriots are doing is working
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: like they're finding a way to make this their thing.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: And I am not. I'm like, I'm a black check.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I'm not betting. I've been in the Patriots secretly last
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: week because my brothers on the Chiefs, Like I publicly
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: put Chiefs minus three on the app, but I secretly
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: actually bet the Patriots. Um, so yeah, Yeah. He texted
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: me during the game and he's like, I would never
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: put this on the app, but I bet New England. Yeah, um,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: and uh I bet him against the Chargers. Uh, I
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: have a New England future at plus five five. I
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: took them right after they lost the Dolphins, I want
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: to say, and I was like, look, they're gonna be
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: back where they are. They won the division again, They're
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: gonna be back. So I'm gonna bet. I'm gonna bet
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: the Rams most likely to try the middle somehow, But
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: I like the Patriots to win this game. I mean,
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: if you look at what they've done through the playoffs,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: they're peaking now obviously, but just the experience I think
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: fort Patriots have playing this game. And I don't think
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: much more than one or two Rams have ever played
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: this game, and I think that matters. I think that
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: Matt five of any starters have played this game for
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: the Rams. I can't have any of of any Atlibe
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: was one of them. Well, Brandon cooks and cooks last year. Yeah,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: so there's two. I mean that's like not a lot.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: And I think that you have a situation. C J.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: Anderson was three probably. Um. I also think Todd Gurley
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: is injured, and I think the patreotill try to take
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: away CJ. Anderson. I think the Patriots win this game.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: I'm not surprised if the Rams were. I'm doing it,
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: but I'm I'm taking the Patriots on the money line.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: This makes no sense to me. None of it makes
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: any sense. That's why the Patriots are gonna win. They
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: keep doing this. Give you some other stats. Don't look
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: at me like that. I'm looking at you because I'm
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: I'm waiting go ahead. The Patriots have played in seven
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: Super Bowls since they were fourteen point underdogs. In five
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: of those Super Bowls they did not cover. In two
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: of the super Bowls they did cover. It was a
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: outcome Butler miracle interception and it was over time in
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: a miracle comes. Why I'm betting them on the money,
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: all right, So here's my point. Every game they have
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: played in the Super Bowl has been of one score
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: or this is a close game in which you bet
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: the two and a half. But do you know what
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: the money line means. I'm not even listening to you.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Do you do you remember the show we recorded last
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: week when you said, and I quote, the Patriots most
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: likely will win this game. That's what a money line.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: That means is that when we bet the Rams and
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: the Patriots, sure is. And I even felt confident enough
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: to give you two points. You did give me two points?
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: I did. All right, that's not on my script, so
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure I can talk about it that way. Okay,
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: it's time to start our draft. All right, Why are
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: you laughing? What's so funny about that? Autos looks amazing?
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: By the way, there can you come? Alright? So to recap,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: PAULI and I are on the Rams, black Jack and
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Jeff are going to be on the Patriots. Yes, yes,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: the money line, although I think there's a fair chance
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Paul middles this somehow I can't happen. Well, you will
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: like bet this game? No I won't, So you out
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: of here second half? That bet second half that you've
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: been better squirrel against a cat, but I won't. You're tonight.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: You're betting Alabama State and something. Don't do it not yet,
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: get down. It's called M B I L I N G.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: So that, by the way, is incredible. So my mom
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: listens to the podcast and she texted me the other
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: day and it was like Wednesday and Paul has not
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: seen this yet, so it's just what my mom texts me.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: She goes paula Duke on Monday was hilarious about having
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: a penis. I said, I said, he also spelled gambling wrong,
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: and she said I was taking a walk and couldn't
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: stop laughing from the time he started to spell vagina.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: It's called g A M A treasure. All right, can
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: we get this thing back on? We got four rounds
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: of this thing. Jeff, you're gonna make our first pick.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: You get to make the first choice in our fantasy
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: draft here. Um, I would have loved to take I'm
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: gonna take the total first. I would have loved to
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: take the under fifty nine when it came out, but
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: it's dropped too low now and too much money's on
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: the under. I love betting unders, but if you look
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: at this game, I gotta take the over for a
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: couple of reasons. One and it's very specific. Uh. The
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Rams are number one in the NFL and play action
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: past attempts. The Patriots are number two, and both defenses
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: are god offul against play action. The Rams have the
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: biggest differential between like defense like qbr ish basically against
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: regular passing and then against um play action. Bess they're
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: the worst differential. Jared Goff is really good against man coverage,
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: where the Patriots do. They run a ton of man average.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: What's gonna happen, in my opinion, picture on a double
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: Cooks all game and I'll get you in a little bit.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: And they're gonna have Robert Woods running over the middle
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: all the time to throw the ball to. I think C. J.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: Anderson eats up that run defense. They're really the Patriots
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: are bad against eleven Uh, they're back against twelve personnel runs,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: which was J. Anderson does well. And then on the
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: flip side, yeah, the rams, the rams and rush defense.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: We're talking about Aaron Donald. But I just I think
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: this game is gonna go over in two weeks to
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: prepare for both these minds, I just can't. I can't
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: put under this number. Anyone have any thoughts on that?
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: I do. I agree with him. I'm with him on that.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: What are your thoughts hand betting overs? Oh, I'm totally
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: better the over in this game. I think you have
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: to like three overs. That means you guy should pay
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: the under looking Patriots Super Bowls. Patriots Super Bowls tend
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: to feature a lot of points. I mean, I can
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: look at except when they lose what's not going to
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: I can look at in the Action Network app right now,
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: and I can tell you that fifty seven percent of
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: the money is on No. Fifty YEA of the bets
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: and fifty seven percent of the money are on the
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: under in this game right now, which to me, says
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Betty over Contrarian, You're getting the best of the number
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: right now that agree with. They're gonna go back up
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: at some point. It's if gonna have the under, wait
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: till Sunday. Yeah, that thing is going back up on Sunday, Paul,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: My first pick is minus two Hinter. I thought this
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: was actually a pretty good line for minus twinner. I
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: don't like to lay money, but they're going to mention
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Jim Nansen and Tony Roman will mention the age gap
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: between Bill Belichick and McVeigh. That's immortal luck. I literally
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: want to try. I've actually tried to ask a couple
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: of people if I could lay a lot of money,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: but I can't find it anywhere, because I really think
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: that's an absolute luck. They're double the age. They're going
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: to mention it at sometime during the game. So to me,
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: that first pick minus two, if you can find that,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: send it in. It's a great pick. How many units
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: are you willing to put on that? Picks units? Can
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: I get another beer on here? We get Yeah, you
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: can't really argue with that one. It's so it's like
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: the narrative of the game. I will tell you, as
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: everybody knows, we do to get your prop up in
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: Vegas contest, I said we were gonna announce the winner
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: tonight on the podcast, and then uh Scooch and I
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: decided we were gonna announce it on the podcast. You
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: know are going to do later this week. Also we
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: had a hard time choosing the winner. But the theme
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: for all of the entries. For a lot of the
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: entries was the age differential between Jared Goff and Tom
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: Brady and Bill Belichick and Sean McVeigh. So guarantee that
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: is going to be a narrative to talk about joining
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: the game. I'm with black Chack, tell me what you're thinking,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: keeping this real simple first round pick. Patriots money line,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: Bennett cash it game over. Patriots aren't losing this game,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: New England. Yeah, you've got two people who believe in
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: your We're in New York. What do you spent? Would
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: you to show up in Boston? It will be different
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: to people believe you're not losing this game. Chad, you
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: said it yourself. Everyone here has said it. Even this
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: guy who bet the Rams thinks New England will win
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: the game. Just because you bet a lot, it doesn't
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: make you a professional, makes me better than you? Not
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: sure about that? Yeah, well, we'll see app. We'll see
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: you on Sunday. How many people follow you in the app? Oh,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be about that. How many? I'm not a
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: Colonel Barker dressing like I'm clown. If I want to
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: do that, I could get where people following. Do what works, Buddy,
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: do what works? Is it my turn? And everybody thinks
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: I'm crazy? Is it my turn? It's your turn? All right?
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: I am gonna go in the script here. I'm not
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: sure what I'm supposed to do, but I'm gonna go
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: with Goskowski the opening. His first kickoff is going to
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: be a plus. It's a plus one eighty. That will
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: be a touchback. I'm going with. Yes, I got a
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: fan right here shaking his head. Yes, I like that
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: here's the reason I'm going with this Gaskowski. A high
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: number of kickoffs that hit that that our touchbacks during
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: the year, and the Mercedes bens Dome kickoffs tend to
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: be touchbacks at a much higher rate than they are
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: anywhere else. Also, Jonathan Bales of The Action Network wrote
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: about this on the Action Network. You can get it
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: in the app, and I thought it was really good logic.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: So that's why I'm going with Stephen Gatskowski plus one
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: eighty for his first kickoff to be a touchback. Of course,
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: you would choose the most boring prop ever, leaf you
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: know what A I didn't expect that from you. Be
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: This is the difference between like black Jack and you
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: and Laduca and me. I'm looking for things that will
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: actually make me money. I'm not looking to be a hero.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: I'm not looking to get famous. I just want to
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: make I mean, I'm a hero for betting the over
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: of the game. Nice job plus e v right there?
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: All right, Well, I don't know. I mean, this is
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: like a football, but I don't know if I could
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: do this now. I want to take I want to
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: take whimsical bets. Um give me, give me, give me
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: a Cook's Brandon Cooks under seventy five point five yards
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: over Tyrek Hill had forty two yards and the chief
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: scored thirty one points. What's your point? Just what's your point?
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: I'm just wondering, gambleing. Um, So here's what the picture
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: A L I N G. Cooks under five and a
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: half receptions. By way, it's minus one fifty. It's a
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: lot of juice there. So this one I think is
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: about minus one twenty right now. Uh, they're gonna do
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: what I said they're gonna do. They're gonna double Cooks.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: He's an explosive guy in this offense. We saw him
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: do with Tyreek hillbout four target it's only one catch.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Keena Allen six targets, two catches, he's seventy hat the
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: long touchdown, I mean the long ball over the middle. Um,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: I think there's gonna there's gonna double him and make
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: life rough the entire game for him. In Fort Woods,
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: I like Woods over sevent and a half. I know
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: I'm giving its two bets there, but I think that's
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: the way it's gonna go. If you look at last
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: week to Sammy Watkins hundred fourteen yards and the number
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: two option. Look at Mike Williams in the in the
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Chargers game at over hundred yards is number two option.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: The Patriots are not gonna let Cooks beat them in
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: this game. If you remember back to the Saints game,
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: what got him back in that game was that long
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: past the Cooks down the sidelines right before the end
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: of the first half. The Patriots aren't going to let
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: that happen. They're gonna put mccordy over top the entire game. Um,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: and I just think this is it's an awesome bet.
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: I love this bet, thank you. And I love two things.
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: I loved it before you said that. I really liked
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: the attitude Jeff Brock toonite it's it's been great. It's
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: a little unusual. No, it's not. And I like this bet.
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: I like two things about this one. I like that
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: one too. I like the Robert woodsbet as well. I
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: think it's great. I know what I'm doing sometimes black jack. Polly,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: you have any comments on this bet. I think it's
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: a great bet. The Patriots tend to take away your
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: number one options, so yeah, I'm with him, all right, Polly,
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: you can go. I like the bet. It's okay, this
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: like it's okay, all right. My my next one is
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: is something that is I'm mortal lock again. Gladys night
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: to wear a dress or a skirt when she sings
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: the national anthem for a lot of people that you
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: do not watch National TV. She's the bumblebee in the
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: mass singer. Okay, she will win the Mass singer. Mark
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: my words. You'll all will be remembering this. She's not wrong.
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: She just got plastic surgery done and she's gonna be
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: wearing that dress and she's gonna show off that new body. Okay,
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: so minus to ten, it's immortal lock. I was going
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: to think about maybe going under one fifty, but I
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: end up going on the internet and found out she
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: did do a national anthem that was over one, so
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: I got a little scared. But when I saw her
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: new body, Wow, she's looking better than the pips. The
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: only reason why you come to this podcast is to
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: hear this hum. I'm just being honest with the bumblebee
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: from the Masked Singer. Believe me. So you have two
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: mortar locks in your first two picks. Yes, there's nothing
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: to say. There's nothing to say. Check. Yeah, we're gonna
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: move on. There's nothing to say to that, um my
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: next pick is gonna be Todd Gurley under a hundred
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: and twenty three and a half rushing and receiving yards.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: Goes back to what we talked about before. First, Gurley's
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: obviously hurt. I mean, there's no explanation for him literally
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: going multiple drives without seeing the field in New Orleans.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: I don't care how well C. J. Anderson's playing, There's
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: no way you don't put the guy who led the
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: league in touchdowns on the field for that long unless
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: there's something wrong with him. You see him on the sideline.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: Pauli makes a good point. He's always stretching, he's always
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: kind of moving around. There's something not right with him.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: And also, again it goes back to the Patriots in
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: Belichick right in Super Bowls, they take your main weapons
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: away and they're gonna make you beat them with something else.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: This is a big enough number to begin with when
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: you factor those two things in. I love under one
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: and a half. I actually love this play. And we're
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: talking about this last night because Jeff and I have
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: had so many darn injuries. I really feel that he's
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: trying to shake something out and there might be some
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: cartilage in his knee or something going on, because he's
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: always on the sideline trying to shake something out, and
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: I'm started with black chack. I don't know if he's
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: healthy or not, so maybe that will have something to do.
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: So I actually do like this play. I think what's
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: odd about Todd droe situation and what makes it even
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: more likely he's hurt is no one has information on
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: it at all. I mean, I've talked to people, I've
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: tried to pry rams people, I've tried to figure out
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: I've talked to people, and no one has any idea
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: that makes me believe he really is hurt. Otherwise, you
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: know something would leak out. Right, He's fine to coach Devision,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: But if no one's talking at all, that means he
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: probably had a secret procedure done of some sort, or
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: he's just not at practice and no one knows what's
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: wrong with him. No one's talking. Uh, it's very odd.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: That's why I think he's hurt. It is so hard
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: to keep a secret about an injury in the NFL.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: It's easier than you think. Asked this guy right here,
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: it is. I mean I was able to hide a
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: tournament I truly think he's got listen to me. People
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: do it all the time, and I said it on
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: the podcast before. When I was a Met, I was
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: trying to become a met and stay a Met, and
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: I did not want them to know that I had
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: a tourna meniscus. Okay, meniscus is the least you can
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: have surgery in the knee and you can come back
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: in three or four weeks and be able to play.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: I didn't want the teams to know that because I
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: was in free agency. So it does happen, and I
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: think there's something is going on with Girly. There's something
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: in that knee or something going on, because he's in
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: the sign line in some major moments and he keeps
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: shaking that knee. Something going it's a quad. Something's going
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: on there. So it can it's hidden more than you
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: think because if you've got a good enough trainer, they'll
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: keep it quiet enough. Jeffy, anything to someone offed um,
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: you know, even going back to the playoffs the Saints,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: the Saints left guard Under Speed had surgery in the
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: bye week and no one knew about until after the game.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: You can hide. And when I was in college, Dennis Dixon.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: I like the Organ stirt too. Up there, Dennis Dixon
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: tours a c L and no one on the team knew.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, you can hide injuries enough to where no
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: one really does or no one's gonna tell me. If
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: you're a RAMS player, Uh, it's gonna get if you
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: tell someone about it, it could obviously hurt your chances
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: to win the game. No one's gonna say anything. Alright,
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: it's my turn. Everyone is liking that. Todd Gurley under
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: a hundred and twenty three and a half combined receptions,
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: receiving and rushing yards. Yes, all right for my Are
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: we in the second round right now? First? Yes, but
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: you skipped your first round pick. What do you mean?
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: I had gascow it's your second pas this this first round,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: that's a second round, right, I can't be holding to
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: the script. I'm one. I love this tonight. Okay, I'm
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: on my second pick? Right? Really nice? Yeah, you're I
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: can pick yes, Sony Michelle over seventy two and a
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: half rushing yards. Here's why I like this. The Patriots
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: have clearly decided they are looking to dominate the running
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: game in the first half. The Rams rushing game is
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: twenty eight against d v O A. In d v
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: O A against the rush, d v O A, what
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: I mean high level math? He means it's fancy for
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: stopping the run. Yeah, okay, okay, good, good job, you
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: know explaining that. I could go to football Outsiders and
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: click on the link, but I'll just say it's fancy
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: for stopping the run. So what's gonna happen is as
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: they have been doing. And I don't think there's any
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: secret here. I don't think they're trying to change it.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna change up their game plan.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Sony Michelle gets the lion's share of the carries in
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: the first half and then in the second half you
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: see like a changeup. But he will get that seventy
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: two and a half rushing yards, possibly in the first half.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: So you think that the coach of the team, who
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: has been like the most unpredictable and tries to throw
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: you the most curveballs, is just gonna go with no
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: secret and just keep running the guy he's been running.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: Here's why I think that's gonna happen. The Rams rush
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: defense is not good enough to stop it. I actually
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: agree with Chad here it's actually my next My next
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: pick is Michelle over seventeen and a half carries um
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why. To your point, and it's
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: very valid, but New England has continually showed that there
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: that they have a big tenancy, and they just don't
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: They just don't care. They're gonna Michelle is gonna be
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: there there rushing back. They're gonna bring in their fullback,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Devlin Gronk's gonna block and they're gonna run right at
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: your assets. He had sixteen first half carries against the Chargers,
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: nineteen against the Chiefs, and they're gonna use James hit
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: on the backfield to do both. Burke has gonna be
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: a swat guy and that's what they're gonna do. And
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: I don't really think to your point, it's working. They're
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: not gonna change it. They change up so much because
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: they never really had a back. I think they can
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: do what he can, so they just and he and
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: they have a dual throw. He can't catch the ball obviously,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna use them in this way. I think,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: to your point, again, they're just gonna run the ball.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: This is their their formulas. This is gonna attack they're
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: gonna attack Aaron Donald with a full backup bunch of
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: my opinion, they're gonna wham them, whack them, do all
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: that stuff to him, and they're gonna run the ball
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: a ton of this game. They don't have a deep threat.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: Then we attempted. I mean, offhand, what three or four
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: passes over ten yards against the Chiefs, So they have
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: to run the ball, run the ball, run the ball,
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: play action pass. So I like that bet and the
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: one I'm taking just over seventeen a half. Kimes and Jeff,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: those were great points, really well articulated. Thank you. I
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: appreciate it. Jeff, I believe also started the third round
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: just now, Yes I did. Yes, I am a professional
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: radio and podcasting appreciate that. I'm gonna go to the
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: rams on the money line. And the reason why it's
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: because all you guys keep on hearing. I was actually
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: out of the Pegass World Cup, which is the richest
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: horse race, and I did a survey talk to fifty
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: people picked the Patriots. When did you do this? I
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: said it together? Do you even know me? We were
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: there the whole time. I literally took a survey fifty people,
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: forty nine people picked the Patriots. I was around town
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: today twenty three out of twenty five, so now we're
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: at seventy two. I was like, it's like, see you
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: just walk up to people one like accosted you. I
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: am telling you what I am hearing. This is how
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: I'm playing this game. I have no opinion. Here's the thing.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: And the whole world thinks Tom Brady is God, and
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: he is. But what they set the line at two
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: and a half and they didn't set this line at
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: three is not moved to three, um, and the whole
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: world is on the Patriots. I haven't heard one person
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: that has given me all kinds of rams, So I'm
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: just gonna play the rams. Because of that, I am
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: doing the old I forget. If you guys seen let
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: it ride? Who does your cousin like in in in
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: Ohio call him up. I'm scratching that horse out too,
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: because that's what it is. So many people love the
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: New England Patriots and freaking stick the way he's not joking.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: That is how he bet it's Paul's first of all time. Well,
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: paulse contraried and that he'll find certain people to fade
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: and just fade them automatically, so that's what he'll do.
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: So it's contraining in a way, but yeah, that's how
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: he bets wild to see in person, getting the notifications
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: on from the app. When Paul bets you got to
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: turn shuts my phone, I had to cut. The problem
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: is you guys don't think it's real. No, I do
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: think it's really. You may laughing mode. You may want
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: to put my THEA through your face. You made you
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: made fifty bets the other night before your halftime bets,
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: and I was just I don't know how you. I
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: was trying to go through college basketball and I got
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: you like three games and I just can't do this anymore.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: And percentage back real gambles A M B, I L
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: I N G. By the way, I graduated at Arizona
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: State with that spelling. So if you need a kid
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: that does not very smart needs adication, good Arizona State. Wow,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: great endorsement on my association has promped about that one. Wow. Hey,
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: just telling the truths uh listen. By the way, I
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: just want to remind people that at the end of
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: the show, we are going to do Q and A
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: from the audience. So I just want people to be
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: aware of that and be thinking of questions. Uh, black jack,
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: it's a third pick. Yeah, for my third pick. I'm
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: gonna look at something, as Jeff would say, a little
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: more whimsical. Uh, and take a look at every year
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: after the super Bowl in USA today, they have an
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: ad meter with the most popular ad. I'm gonna go
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: with some odds here and take plus nine hundred. It's
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: a bumble. At the fuck is this guy doing? What
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: is happening? What is going on? Oh no, who is this?
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: Get off my front? Lord? You say, don't come into
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: your territory, don't come into mine. People on Twitter, you've
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: never even said USA today ad meter together ever? Okay, haven't.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: You've never made a bet. I've made some really a
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: hundred and thirty six unit back. Okay, okay, hey listen,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: Bumble brings people together. It's gonna be It's gonna be
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: Anheuser Busch to me, and it's a bush. You got
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: Stella Artois, you have bud Light, you have bud Wiser,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: you have nicelob Ultra that spreads around your exposure. That's
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: who's gonna win us. All right, you made your pick.
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: Get the funk off my stage now, it's bumble. I'll
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: get you back. Bumble brings together. Who the funk was
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: that guy? That was Darren Rivella. He doesn't even follow
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: me on Twitter. Dick uh black Jack? Yeah, you gonna
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: make a pick Bumble. It's bumble bumbles plus nine. It
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: brings people together, creates love. Uh, you know something we
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: need in the world right now. It's not gonna be
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: a goddamn beer ad. Alright, So it's my third pick.
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: I've been researching all weekend long, a lot of YouTube study. Well,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: Gladys Night use a mic stand right now? It is
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: a plus one. The answer no, The answer is no.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: She has never used a mic stand. The closest she
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: came to using a mic stand was at the Kennedy
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Center Honors, in which she had shed and using mic
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: stand on singer Either Yeah, there you go, buddy, and
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: she had half a mic stand and she ripped the
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: mic out. I'm telling you right now, I don't care
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: what the super Bowl has set up. Gladys Night gets
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: out there and she's like, I'm a professional, I don't
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: need a mic stand. I hold the mic and I
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: own it, and then when it's over she drops it.
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: All right, But that's not what they're asking or asking
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: whether there will be a mics mike stand or not.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: So you gotta say, you gotta understand if there is
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: a mic stand, she can take it. She's gonna take
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: it out a mic stand. She is not going to
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: use a mic stand. She's just gonna bring I think
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: she walks up, pulls out the mic she might come with.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: There will be no mic stand to pick an ambiguous
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: There will be no real clear winner here. This couldn't
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: be more ambiguous. There's no mic stand. Her new plastic
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: surgery has made it. Where's the microphone? She's holding the
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: mic when she fasts out, she is holding the microphone
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: and chat alright, black check. I don't think it's plus money,
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: so you can't argue exactly. That's Paul's gambling philosophy. It's
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: plus money. You can't argue. It's called G A M
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: B I L I N G. Jeff, you're up, buddy,
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: all right, last pick for me, fourth hick. We're gonna
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: talk all gatorade color. We did this last year, and um,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: I think it was right on the my gatorade color.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: And the way I based it on last year was
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: in college Oregon. Again, there's this shirt. Um, it's based
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: off the jersey you're wearing, right, So if you're wearing
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: a light colored jersey, you're not gonna use red gatorade
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: or orange gatorade because you're gonna you'll want to spill
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: and and get all over you. That's what I thought
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: it was, and I think that still has part of this. However,
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: I talked to a trainer buddy am I'm and he
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: gave me a little insight here. So I'm gonna change
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit of what I'm gonna do. I'm gonna
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: take orange and yellow both at plus four hundred. He
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: said that the orange and yellow come already ready to go,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: and the blues a powder, and the trainers are too
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: lazy to stir the powder, so they just go with
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: the orange and the yellow as the default. They are
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: I think the favorites. But I think clear is actually
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: the favorite water. But I can't remember. I don't remember
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: the guys dumping water very often on coaches, mostly gatorade.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: So give me, give me the Ora and the yellow
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: gatorade for the wind here plus four no stainage there
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: with the orange or yellow at all. Well, you see
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: That's why I thought that I can't when I wear
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: white jerseys, I don't. I don't never drink Gatorade. We
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: did a lot of purple when I was with the Giants.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Remember that purple gatorad. I don't drink gator It's not
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: good for you. It's actually terrible for you. Gatorade. Our
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: CEO of Patrick Keen is here, and we can just
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: cross that one off the list of people were going
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: to call for sponsorship. Uh okay, so real quick. Here
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: for the people that just showed up, I'm gonna give
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: you a basketball game tonight starts in forty five minutes.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: And here's the thing. For the people that aren't with
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: the Action Network. I like Coppin State tonight plus two
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: and half at home against Bethune Cookman, who is OH
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: for eleven on the road. Whoever can tell me the
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: Coppin State head coach, I will mill you as signed
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: jersey of me of the New York Mets. Right now,
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Can anyone wow? His name is a winner. We gotta
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: get his address so I can mail in New Jersey.
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: Juan Dixon, who in the national championship for Maryland. But
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: get on Coppin State plus two and a half tonight,
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: baby coppin State three and nineteen Eagles having a rough
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: year here. It don't matter. One's got him turning around
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: to night. Mind you, we all kind of poke fun
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: at PAULI and how many bets he makes and everything.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: As soon as he made that bet, like four of
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: us made it with him, like we all jumped on it.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Are you gonna second half bet? Dad too? It depends
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: if they're down or not. Is that is? By the way,
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: is that your fourth round pick? And I am sending
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: that manag Jersey co Blackjack, you're up, und I love
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: my fourth round pick. I think it's beautiful. It is
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: both teams to make a field goal of thirty three
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: yards or more. You've got two kickers here, reliable. You've
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: got Gaskowski and Zerline, even with his little footspring they
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: reported today. I don't care. Guy made a kick last
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: week that would have been good from eight two great kickers.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: I think that thirty three it's not asking a hell
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: of a lot. I mean over thirty three for both
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: of these teams. I think it's a great bet, all O.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree. For a long time in Vegas, the
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: that line was set at thirty seven, and it wasn't.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: It was an underbet every single time, and they have
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: consistently changed the number and lowered it because the wise
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: guys were killing him on the under thirty seven. So
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: I love what you're saying right there in black jack. Um.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: I have a fourth round pick. Here we go, and
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Jeff alluded to it earlier. Robert Woods over sixty nine
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: and a half receiving yards. Obviously, we all think that
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks is gonna get stopped and he's going to
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: be the focus of the defense for the Patriots this
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: They had eighteen games this year. The rams of at
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: eighteen games, uh five times Robert Woods is landed between
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: seventy yards and eighty yards in receptions. His average is
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: seventy two point five. I think they set this number
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: a little bit too low, So I'm taking Robert Woods
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: over sixty nine and a half yards. I'm getting a
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: lot of people on the panel shaking their heads in agreement,
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: which I appreciate. Unfortunately, I agree with you. I think
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: you're right. Yeah, all right, here we go. We're gonna
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: recap our picks. Can everybody remember their picks? They're written
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: down in front of us. Yours are out of order. Yeah,
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: I don't remember, and you skipped, and you skipped your
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: first one, Jeff, Jeff, you go first, Alright, I like
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: over fifty six and a half. I like Brandon Cooks
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: under seventy five point five yards, Sony Michelle over seventeen
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: a half. I think this is at fourteen a half.
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: Earn the week it rose way up the seventeen and
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: a half now. And then the Gatorade color orange and
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: yellow both plus four hundreds, so obviously if you you
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: hit one of them, it could be both of them.
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: Actually that you went a lot of money. Okay, I'm
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: Belichick and McVeigh. They're gonna mention the age gap minus two.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: Hun Gladys Knight wears the dress and skirt with her
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: new body minus two ten rams, money line plus one
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: twenty and then cop and state defining one. Dixon's right
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: now and about forty minutes plus two and a half
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: plus two and app now, well, yeah I have plus two.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: App We'll go with two. And I took him on
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: the money line. Okay, alright, I've got the Patriots money line.
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: Easiest bet on the board. Don't suck it up. Girly
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: under add twenty three and a half combined yards. Bumble
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: to the USA Today's most popular ads. Suck at Darren
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: uh and both teams to make a thirty three yard
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: or longer field goal. Alright, I have Stephen Gaskowski. His
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: opening kickoff will be a touchback. Plus one eight. I
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: have Sony Michelle over seventy two and a half rushing yards.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: I have Gladys Night without Mike stand At. Plus I
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: have Robert Woods over sixty nine and a half receiving yards.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: We went with three Gladys Night props, which is stunning because, like,
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: I wasn't even that excited when they said she was
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: singing the national anthem. Paul I was when I knew
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: she was the bumblebee. I was pumped. What are we
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: talking about? The singer? Where you please watch it? Do
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: you watch TV? Schwartz? All right, here, we got room.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Uh we have we have a Q and A from
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: the audience. So Matt Mitchell take us away. Man, start
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: by saying your name and where you're from. What's up? Guys?
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: Nick from a story? And this is for Pauli and
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: for Jeff as former athletes. Was there a lot of
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: talk of sports betting in the locker room, because you
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: always hear about athletes coming out in uh postgame news
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: conference that's saying, oh, we were the underdog and no
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: one doubted us. Everyone doubted us. So was there common
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: talk of sports betting in the locker rooms? You know
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: in the NFL? And the underdog thing is just generated
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: from your coach right just tells you like you're the
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: underdog this week, or the media says, hey, you know
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: Tom Brady is coming in here. You know, how do
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: you guys feel about that? That's generated from the media
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: or from the coach. There was never talking. Only that
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: we ever did was you know, we would look at
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: like we do a college football pool and like offensive
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: line room, wherever the equipment room that was in. We
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: didn't talk about it ever. You there signs all over
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: the locker room about not gambling things like that. It
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: wasn't touched by Never to coach mentioned it. You know,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: they might say that, you know, you're weren't underdog this week,
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: no one believes in us. I don't think that's actually
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: based on what the line was. I just think our
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: coach said that, so we would practice harder during the week.
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: I mean in cards, everyone played cards. Yeah, every cards
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: is giant, and I think in every sport in the
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: back of the plane, like gambling though, like but for
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: us it's fantasy football is giant. Uh for baseball players, Um,
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: so they checked that. And then March Madness because to
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: be honest with you, it's the one time you're away
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: from your wives in spring training and you're allowed to
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: play March Madness. So like a lot of guys gamble
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: on college basketball and March Madness and then more fantasy
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: because like you just really can't concentrate on the stuff
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: like and be able to. I was more of a
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: horse player, so I played the horses and TiVo him
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: when TiVo was actually Tibo and I would watch him later.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: But more fantasy football in in baseball club offs, it's
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: more than anything. Yeah, thank you guys, good question. Yeah,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: let's class. I'm Mike from Darien, Connecticut. This quick shout
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: out to whoever here from Folies can control the TVs.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: Paul got me all riled up about me at conference place.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: So I got Howard minus twelve and a half seven
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: thirty on ESPN. You if we can get it on
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: the TV, that is that is the most action that's
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: ever been Actually gonna punch Howard Now C J Cole
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: future NBA player, ride with me on the bison. All right,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: this question for Blackjack. I just had a son, and
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: my upbringing it was that my father and I bonded
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: over gambling. But it was a little bit of listed.
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: It was in the shadows, and now everybody can do it.
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: You know, the juice is kind of not quite what
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: it used to be. How can I quickly explain to
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: him what it was like to be betting in the shadows,
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: to have that adrenaline rush. What's like the quickest way
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: I can get him up to speed when he's of
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: gambling age six or seven years old? Thank you. It's
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: a great question, uh, and a tough one. I would
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: advise you, first, not in a direct answer to your question,
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: take your your son to a race track, because that's
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: I think how most of us got our starting gambling.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: I know, me and him, did. I mean, my grandfather
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: would take me like five years old to Belmont and Aqueduct,
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: and like that's how I learned what gambling was. So
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think that's I think it's a cool
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: thing to do with kids to be honest. You see
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: kids at race tracks all the time. My father, my father,
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: my father book for twenty five years and I read
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: the lines when I was eight. Back in those days,
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: you had it called two different lines, and I was
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: the kid in the line, you know, U and l
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: V minus six whatever. I mean that it's a different era.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: But um, as far as explaining what it's like in
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: the shadows, maybe just like showing someone like smoking crack
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: and be like that's what that's what it used to
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: be for us making bets like you get that rush,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: but you gotta go right back in the shadow. No
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: problem from Mike. Hey guys, Yvonne from Philadelphia, go Berts. Uh,
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: my question is for you, Chad. You see a house
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: on fire. Inside is Paul Blackjack and Dan your wife
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: and needed the two Redheads are coming out which order
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: one to four? All right, Well, let me just say this,
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: as you all know, uh, I don't get a lot
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: of love in my house. So on Thursday night, my
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: wife and I were in the city together and we
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: went out after seeing the show. We went to see
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: a show I went to see to Kill It's fabulous,
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: and then we were out for drinks. Short and she
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: was talking to me about podcasts, and I'm like, you know,
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: you know I have a podcast, and she, honest, honest
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: to god, she looked at me and she goes, what's
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: it called again? Uh, but I'd still probably have to
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: start with Polly Um just because he will keep me
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: entertained with stories forever. Second second would probably be Stacy
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: because she is the mother of my children. And uh,
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: did I have a three and a four? Did you
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: say Andy Dalton? Then I would take Matt Mitchell. I'm
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: somewhere very far down the road to be black. Chad's
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: taking like a vase out before he takes me out.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: But you put your wife second in that scenario? Do
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: you plan on ever getting laid again? I can promise
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: you she's never listening to this podcast. You want to
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: do that? Transitions? So, well, Hey, I'm Joey Gartner from
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: New York City right here. Yeah, you guys are great. Yeah,
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: we're in New York City. Come on, you guys are
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: great for this. One's for chat all right. As a
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: fellow sports gambling enthusiasts with two asshole kids, have you
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: ever been so confident in a bet that you were
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: willing to wager one of their college funds on it.
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: If so, what wasn't don't lie? That's a good question.
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: That a great question. You would never do it. You're
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: too response yet that is a great question. Uh tonight
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: saying come on coppin State, m R Howard or Howard,
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: I might parlay coppin State and Howard tonight for the
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: I was so so confident in the Saints minus three
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: that I definitely went incredibly higher with my units that
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: I normally would. And again I think I told the story,
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: but after it happened, I walked into the kitchen and
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: told my wife the whole thing, and she goes, that
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: is so exciting for the rams kicker. So I'm glad
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: I didn't take and roll it into that our wives talent.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: The same person just no clue whatsoever about sports and
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: doesn't give two ships about gambling for us, for us,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: like generally speaking, like I told him coming to New
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: York for works, like all right, i'll see you in
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: a couple of days. Are you getting paid? It was
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: always a question, thank you? He starting for him? All right?
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: Oh snap? So this question is for blackjack um. We
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: all we all know Chad and Jeff and Paul have
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: been famous for a long time. Now, how does it
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: finally feel Blackjack to have so many fans? Oh my god,
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: this is the worst question ever. Shut your mouth. That
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: are all dudes. Oh you know, it's awesome and you're
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: incorrect because Paul and I were at the race track
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: this very weekend and there were two lovely sixty something
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: your old women with smokers, and everybody called out to me.
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: So everybody has a genre. Well, Danny, I wish my
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: horse racing. Uh, you know, fans skewed a little younger.
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: I'll take it. So it's fantastic. And you know what,
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: at the end of the day, I'm not Chad Millman,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: so it's just fine. A couple of them could have
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: been on the Golden Girls. I mean, you know, it
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: was more like from Always Sunny, like Mac and Charlie's moms,
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: like it was those It was those women, That's what
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: it was. That's actually very accurate. It is. I think
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: the truth of the conversation is Gladys night better watch out.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: That's basically this guy, PAULI is literally dropping them. Let
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: me tell you something. I was at a race track
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: with him where he tried to pick up Bow Derek, Hey, listen,
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: she threw me a vibe. This has been our podcast.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Before we get into the music and the thank is,
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: I do want to say thank you to Matt Mitchell
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: for women at the track time. Uh. We do have
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: to thank folies. They did an amazing job. They just
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: absolutely killed it. We appreciate them giving this space and
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: being so hospitable and welcoming to us and to you guys.
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: Real quick. They moved my baseball next to Taylor Swift.
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: I'm really pumped he did that for me, so I
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: can thank them. Thank you for that. Uh, let's give
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: let's give a shout out to our producers Matt Ford
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: and Tonio Enriquez. Uh, Alex, I'm I'm getting there. Matt
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Heavier from Katus, their team who's helping us produce the
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: pot all year. Alex Hyacinth gave Goodwin the whole crew.
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: They've been doing a great job all year long making
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: this a fun, enjoyable podcast. Um. Thank you to black
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: Jack Fletcher, thank you, Thank you to Paul Duca. Thank
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: you Jeff Schwartz. This has been a Favorites podcast. You
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: can listen to us every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. Download
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: the podcast a, Apple Podcasts at radio dot com, Slash,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: the Action Network, and all your favorite podcast apps and products.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: Don't screw me man, don't screw it up. Thank you
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: very much for coming out. We appreciate it. M