Latest / Sid & Friends In The Morning / John McLaughlin | 06-24-26

Transcript

John McLaughlin | 06-24-26 · Sid & Friends In The Morning

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Are you okay, Lo, I'm just I'm just tired. I
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  Speaker 1: can't sleep all set.
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: I need more money for lunch.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: My book has to change. Look whatever it is, I'm here,
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  Speaker 1: We'll come fine. I'm in trouble. Read between the lines
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  Speaker 1: risk of problem gambling in adulthood. Get support at g
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  Speaker 1: r AI dot i E from the Gambling Regulatory Authority
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: of Ireland.
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: Well, we were just bashing polsters and so that's a
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  Speaker 3: great time for us to get to polster. Extraordinary John McLoughlin, who,
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  Speaker 3: by the way, I had on many of the programs
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  Speaker 3: I used to do for Fox and for CNBC, and
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  Speaker 3: I once met him outside of the Prime Minister's office
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  Speaker 3: in Israel. He looked at me, say, Jake, what are
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  Speaker 3: you doing here? But John, the pollsters, they actually didn't
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  Speaker 3: do all that badly last night. But they got this
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  Speaker 3: election in the Bronx, the spayat versus dars Chevalier, they
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  Speaker 3: got this election wrong. Why do you think they got
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  Speaker 3: it wrong?
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  Speaker 2: Called me, I told you that he was gonna lose.
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  Speaker 3: They got it wrong because they didn't have you in there.
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  Speaker 3: That's right. That's a good Wait wait.
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  Speaker 4: Wait, wait, wait wait, we should have called them before
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  Speaker 4: the election. It can't be a Monday, Monday morning quarterback
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  Speaker 4: you call it.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, well Wednesday morning quarterback today? Yeah?
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  Speaker 4: Yeah. So tell us about polling. Well, do you have
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  Speaker 4: to change the whole philosophy about polling?
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  Speaker 2: Uh No, you don't.
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  Speaker 4: I mean nobody has nobody has a phone at home anymore.
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  Speaker 4: And that was your your, your way of doing it originally.
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  Speaker 2: Right, but we do it mostly on cell phones now,
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  Speaker 2: where it's made a lot more expensive. But also you
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  Speaker 2: still have all these voter databases that you know who
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  Speaker 2: votes in primaries, you know who doesn't vote in primaries,
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  Speaker 2: and you have to pull there not good predictors of turnout.
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  Speaker 2: Plus you have to be a skeptic like I do.
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  Speaker 2: Have an MBA and quantitative methods. I went to Fordham
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  Speaker 2: University for that. And you you have to look at
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  Speaker 2: a poll and say what's wrong with this pole before
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  Speaker 2: you give it to a client, and and see what's
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  Speaker 2: going on. I mean, last night, the good thing for
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  Speaker 2: me was I'm working for Michael Petrie in Long Island
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  Speaker 2: and he won his primary decisively and he'll be facing
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  Speaker 2: off the Tom slazy and Janine Dresscolls a client and
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  Speaker 2: she's going to be facing off against Laura Gallon in
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  Speaker 2: the fourth congressions.
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  Speaker 3: I voted for her last night. I voted for Jeanine
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  Speaker 3: last I was the last guy at my polling place
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  Speaker 3: in in NASA. Kind of they were closing the doors,
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  Speaker 3: but they were happy to see me. I guess they
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  Speaker 3: were lonely. It wasn't turn I voted. It was my
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  Speaker 3: only choice. Yeah, they were waiting.
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  Speaker 2: But you've got like the battles, you know, when you
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  Speaker 2: look at the races that could determine the house again,
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  Speaker 2: New York is going to be front and center because
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  Speaker 2: you got Peter Alberacker up in the ninth and the nineteenth.
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  Speaker 2: Part of me is going to be running against Riley
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  Speaker 2: Congress from Riley's never there and so those are three
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  Speaker 2: seats plus the Derel Pets are coming. Ask to Michaelawler
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  Speaker 2: again and Mike's very tough, and Mike really you talked
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  Speaker 2: about somebody who works really hard. I mean even Donald
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  Speaker 2: Trump pulls and mister Salt because he got the salt
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  Speaker 2: deductor from New York taxpayers. So so New York's gonna
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  Speaker 2: be There's gonna be a lot of advertising on w A.
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  Speaker 3: We're speaking with the We're speaking of John McLoughlin, the
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  Speaker 3: Polster extraordinaiy. He's a frequent guest on a number of
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  Speaker 3: WABC programs, very often on The Cudlow Show. But John,
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  Speaker 3: there's another aspect to these victories. Obviously, the breaking news
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  Speaker 3: this morning, we can't bury it. And Fernando rightfully congratulated
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  Speaker 3: zarm'm Donnie for his effectiveness. I don't like anything he
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  Speaker 3: stands for, but you can't deny the guys out there
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  Speaker 3: and working. These socialist candidates that he endorsed, all one,
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  Speaker 3: including the Chevalier up in the Bronx, Beeding Sbayat, Claire
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  Speaker 3: Valdez wins, Brad Lander wins. But but but John, Uh,
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  Speaker 3: you know, if you're a Republican, maybe you're looking at
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  Speaker 3: this nationally and thinking this isn't the worst result because
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  Speaker 3: now in swing states like penn Sylvania, Wisconsin. Uh, maybe
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  Speaker 3: in Virginia you can point to these results and say
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  Speaker 3: you can't vote for someone who's in the same team
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  Speaker 3: as these crazy people, right, I mean this is that
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  Speaker 3: you gotta you got a campaign off of these results,
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  Speaker 3: don't you.
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  Speaker 2: I think the big winner was Bruce Blateman. I mean
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  Speaker 2: full disclosure. I mean I worked for Bruce. I've always
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  Speaker 2: worked for Bruce. And and uh, the key factor here
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  Speaker 2: is you got Kathy Hockel endorsed these other candidates, and
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  Speaker 2: they got run over by Zora Mundanie who she endorsed.
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  Speaker 2: She helped create this guy and his policies. You know,
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  Speaker 2: when you look at the big when you look at
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  Speaker 2: the bigger picture of a New York state politics or
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  Speaker 2: national politics, what you've got is you've got, Uh. The
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  Speaker 2: Republican Party is now the party of the working class.
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  Speaker 2: Donald Trump has totally transformed it.
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  Speaker 3: That was saying yes has moved.
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  Speaker 2: Into yes, has moved into the Republican Party. In in
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  Speaker 2: first reactions to that, the elite kind of socialist, big
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  Speaker 2: government socialist elites have moved into the Democrat Party and
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  Speaker 2: they are the tail wagging in the door. I mean, John,
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  Speaker 2: he used to be friends. Are very harder in the
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  Speaker 2: Liberal Party in New York. They don't exist anymore.
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  Speaker 4: I mean, I was friends with everybody because I believe
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  Speaker 4: in the word communications. But I mean it's but it's
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  Speaker 4: getting harder because you know, it's getting I guess extremism.
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  Speaker 4: You know, I used to say extremism in Indian direction,
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  Speaker 4: extremism on the right or extremism on the left is
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  Speaker 4: wrong and people should have communications. And it's getting harder
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  Speaker 4: and harder. By the way, we have a new arrival
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  Speaker 4: in the studio right now. We have Judge Richard Weinberg,
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  Speaker 4: a common sense Democrat. You've been a Democrat for how
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  Speaker 4: many years? Seventy eight years?
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  Speaker 5: Nothing like?
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  Speaker 3: That's it. You just threw it his whole dating profile seven.
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  Speaker 5: Well, I'm in competition out with Jake for the eighty
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  Speaker 5: year old ladies.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, good, Yeah, listen, the eighty year old ladies
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  Speaker 3: have loved me since I was a kid, and rightfully,
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  Speaker 3: and now you're going for them.
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  Speaker 2: Now.
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  Speaker 3: I'm not going for them, but but I relate to them.
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  Speaker 5: So let me John McLachlan, let me ask you this question.
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  Speaker 5: So I'm a I'm a Democrat. The last of the
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  Speaker 5: common sense Democrats are David Patterson and me. I guess
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  Speaker 5: in this state, what do we do about the future
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  Speaker 5: of the Democratic Party or the time for people like
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  Speaker 5: me and David to beall out of this party because
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  Speaker 5: it's destroying this kind of.
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  Speaker 2: Well I did it.
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  Speaker 4: What are you waiting for?
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  Speaker 2: You're gonna have to You're gonna have to do You're
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  Speaker 2: gonna have to You're gonna have to post some Republicans.
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  Speaker 4: By the way.
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  Speaker 5: That's that's easy, that's.
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  Speaker 2: Easy to see. And then and because it's the bad
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  Speaker 2: part is these democrats, the socialist and the big government socialists,
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  Speaker 2: they don't want to just tell you what to do.
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  Speaker 2: They want to John, they want to take over your
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  Speaker 2: food stores and run it. They want to take your
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  Speaker 2: real estate. I mean, think about how many homeowners there
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  Speaker 2: are property owners in New York City as they're threatening
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  Speaker 2: that they might take their property. And once you start
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  Speaker 2: taking people's property in the United States, then we're not
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  Speaker 2: a capitalist society anymore. Most the American dream is still
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  Speaker 2: to get a house and a home. And Donald Trump
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  Speaker 2: today is signing a bipartisan bill that passed the Congress
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  Speaker 2: yesterday to increase housing and make it more affordable to
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  Speaker 2: buy housing in the United States. And ultimately, you know,
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  Speaker 2: when you think about the.
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  Speaker 4: Well, the average age, so people know, the average age
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  Speaker 4: of buying houses is one. Yeah, it used to be
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  Speaker 4: like twenty nine. And part of it is because the
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  Speaker 4: interest rates, which we're going to go down now that
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  Speaker 4: we got your power is gone now. In addition, I
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  Speaker 4: was with Secretary Besson last night. The other statistic was
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  Speaker 4: that we used to have six million new homes being
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  Speaker 4: sold right now it's only four million. I mean, that
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  Speaker 4: is horrible. But before you know, we got about six
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  Speaker 4: more minutes or on the air before we have to
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  Speaker 4: take a break. And John, the most important thing is
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  Speaker 4: give us the national perspective of what you know, what happened.
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  Speaker 4: I saw President Trump's truths or tweets or whatever you
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  Speaker 4: want to call them, and there was a lot of
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  Speaker 4: big victories around around the nation. So let's not be
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  Speaker 4: depressed a by what's happening in New York City. We
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  Speaker 4: are depressed, but tell us about what happened in the country.
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  Speaker 2: No, but he's his endorsements for sixteen and oh yesterday
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  Speaker 2: we did a Paul. We'll put out a Paul in
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  Speaker 2: South Carolina saying that Attorney General Allen Wilson would win
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  Speaker 2: South Carolina and we had it was we had him
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  Speaker 2: with sixty nine percent. He got sixty eight percent. So
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  Speaker 2: I have a better history in South Carolina there, you like.
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  Speaker 4: But when I was running for mayor, you never told
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  Speaker 4: me I was losing Manhattan.
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  Speaker 2: Oh, we told her, You told you told Ron Ryan,
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  Speaker 2: my manager, you was done twenty points at the end
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  Speaker 2: and you cut it to ten. But you know what
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  Speaker 2: seven you Mayor Giuliani endorsed your opponent.
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  Speaker 4: Yeah, I lost to Giuliani. Joe Loader was a decent person.
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  Speaker 4: I like Joe Loader. We will like sharl Looader.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah. So the mayor was very popular in the city
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  Speaker 2: at the time. So, but you know that was historic.
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  Speaker 2: If he'd endorsed you the city, we wouldn't have these socialists.
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  Speaker 4: It's Rudy, I told you, Rudy's for Yeah, but he
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  Speaker 4: was so tell us about the national elections. What happened
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  Speaker 4: in South Carolina?
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  Speaker 3: What happened in uh What was Utah?
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  Speaker 4: Utah?
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  Speaker 2: Yeah? Well, Alan Wilson won for the runoff for governor
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  Speaker 2: in South Carolina. He wanted sixty nine to thirty one
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  Speaker 2: the attorney general, and Dave Stumbol won fifty six to
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  Speaker 2: forty four. By the way Trump went, he endorsed both
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  Speaker 2: those candidates. So he was two and oho and that,
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  Speaker 2: and then you had in Utah, which you know he
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  Speaker 2: went to Brino and four and oh and then and
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  Speaker 2: that where the Republicans were holding their seats and because
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  Speaker 2: Trump's based is solid. And the other part is you
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  Speaker 2: know these stories about his base not being that strong,
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: and frankly it is very strong. In Maryland he was
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  Speaker 2: one and oh with his endorsements. Dan Cox is going
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: to be the nominee running against Wes Moore for the
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Dan will be the Republican candidates. That's always an uptil climbing.
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  Speaker 3: For government lately governor right.
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  Speaker 2: The governor, And so you got and in New York's
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  Speaker 2: he was ten and oh his endorsements.
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: John McLoughlin from the Polster Exploriner speaking with us, John,
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  Speaker 3: what about President Trump? I saw that President Trump got
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  Speaker 3: a spike higher in his approval ratings. And for all
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  Speaker 3: the talk that people don't like the Iran deal, I mean,
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: we're seeing gas prices coming down thirty two days in
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  Speaker 3: a row. It ended well, we're three ninety two the
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  Speaker 3: national average. Today was the first morning in thirty three
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  Speaker 3: days where we didn't have a decline. It kind of
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  Speaker 3: stayed the same, but we're at seventy one dollars a barrow.
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  Speaker 3: It seems like that's helping the national The Republican chan.
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  Speaker 4: One dollars barrows pretty good. Yeah, yeah, John, John, you
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  Speaker 4: predicted sixty eight, sixty five, sixty five.
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  Speaker 3: Okay, but John McLoughlin, is this something that could actually
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  Speaker 3: help the Republican's chances in the midterms.
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  Speaker 2: It's helpful, But the whole of the wild card is
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  Speaker 2: I ran. I mean, if they start getting revenue again
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: because from they're allowed to in the straights over moves,
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: they'll be selling some oil too with that open. But
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: you're right, most Americans support the ceasefire overwhelmingly. They would
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: love to have a negotiated peace. But the whole thing
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: from President Trump is he said they're never going to
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: have nuclear weapons and they're going to have to stop
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: the terrorism, particularly against Israel. And so if that happens,
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: Donald Trump's numbers they never bounced, they sort of climb up,
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: and this jail Partners they had them pretty negative numbers
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  Speaker 2: on him, and now they're climbing back into a range
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: where last month in May we had in our monthly
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: national poll, we had President trumpet a forty eight jiut
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  Speaker 2: of approval, forty seven among likely voters. But his peak
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: was election day in twenty twenty four, where we had
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: a fifty seven job approval, which he carried through to
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: the inauguration, and the Republicans were heading the generic ballot
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: for Congress all through twenty twenty five, but this year
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: they fell below it. And Trump's not on the ballot,
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: and we've got to get Trump voters back out. And
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  Speaker 2: this you know, you had the midterm elections, you'll only
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  Speaker 2: have one hundred and fifty teen, one hundred and twenty
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: million voters total come out. Trump got seventy seven million
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: voters out of one hundred and fifty five million in
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  Speaker 2: New Jersey and Virginia. They lost because the Trump voters
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: stayed home in this congressional election. You know, the Democrats
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: are fired up and the socialists, the Democrats socialists here
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: in New York and not just here but like a
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: main Grand Platner and Calla Rico and Texas and Lsayed
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: and Michigan. I mean, they're fired up to come out
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: if we if our people are complacent and don't come
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: out because Trump is meeting with the centers sick, they
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: won't pass to Save America Act, which gives a you know,
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: voter ID and proof of citizenship. That's a big mistake
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: because we.
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  Speaker 4: Got to take a break. In thirty seconds. One last question,
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  Speaker 4: real fast The fact is in New York, only five
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  Speaker 4: percent of the people that are eligible to vote a
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  Speaker 4: voting or something. I got. I mean, well, what can
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: we do? Saw that?
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  Speaker 2: Well, that's so it'll be higher in November. But we
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: have to But I mean, the trick is it's issues.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: People go out to vote for themselves to make their
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: lives better. We have to tell them Republicans are going
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: to cut taxes and grow the economy like our friend
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: Larry Cudlow wants them to do. Uh, we're gonna We're
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: going to make sure that elections are honest with voter ID.
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: We're gonna we're going to make sure America is safe
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: and secure and we continue to deport the legal criminals,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: et cetera. But we have to win on the issues.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: Issues is what gets voters out, not just these endorsements.
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: So the less the socialists are coming for our property,
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: our homes, our money. We got to make sure that
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: we tell the voters are the choice and the Republicans
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: are there to defend you know, cut taxes.
• 14:51
  Speaker 3: Well, John McLaughlin, the sponsors are coming for us now.
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: Thanks to Thank you for sorry I woke you up,
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: Thank you.
• 15:00
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• 15:06
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• 15:08
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• 15:33
  Speaker 4: What the heck is going on here