Latest / Foul Territory / Evan Drellich joins Friar Territory with details on the new Padres owner takeover, MLB labor strife
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All right, Marty, Well, let us welcome in Evan jel
- 0:06Speaker 1: Let's senior writer from The Athletic, who is doing a
- 0:09Speaker 1: lot of the heavy lifting early on here when it
- 0:11Speaker 1: comes to some of the collective bargaining agreement talk. I
- 0:14Speaker 1: know we're still months away from any possible work stoppage,
- 0:18Speaker 1: lockout or otherwise, but we do appreciate him taking a
- 0:21Speaker 1: couple of minutes to join us here on Friar Territory. Evan,
- 0:23Speaker 1: thank you very much for taking the time.
- 0:26Speaker 2: Thanks, guys, thanks for having me.
- 0:28Speaker 1: Before we start and dive into some of the CBA stuff.
- 0:30Speaker 1: You know, it's June's twenty second and the Padres were
- 0:34Speaker 1: put up for sale earlier this year and new owners
- 0:38Speaker 1: weren't officially announced kind of sort of maybe with Kwanza
- 0:43Speaker 1: Jones and jose E Feliciano, but they haven't been voted
- 0:46Speaker 1: in by MLB ownership yet. I wonder if you can
- 0:49Speaker 1: give us an update on that situation.
- 0:51Speaker 3: Supposedly it's going to happen later in the summer. It
- 0:55Speaker 3: is not entirely clear at this point why it hasn't
- 0:57Speaker 3: happened yet, except for or there's a lot of things
- 1:01Speaker 3: that need to be lined up including the financing, the paperwork,
- 1:05Speaker 3: you know, for not just Jose and his wife, but
- 1:09Speaker 3: the various other investors. Everything's got to be in position
- 1:12Speaker 3: by that point that they take that vote. And so
- 1:15Speaker 3: it's possible that some piece of that is taking longer
- 1:18Speaker 3: than they would have expected. It's also possible they would
- 1:20Speaker 3: have thought, no, this is about the right amount of
- 1:22Speaker 3: time it would normally take. So I don't think there's
- 1:25Speaker 3: anything to read into it yet. Manfred said at the
- 1:30Speaker 3: June owners meeting in New York publicly to the media
- 1:34Speaker 3: that he expected it sometime during the summer, And so
- 1:38Speaker 3: you know, if we're having the same conversation in August
- 1:41Speaker 3: and we don't know when the vote is, I think
- 1:44Speaker 3: then you can start to raise an eyebrow.
- 1:46Speaker 1: Okay, And do you have any sense of where that
- 1:48Speaker 1: leaves the padres currently? You know, only because as it
- 1:51Speaker 1: applies to the team on the field, there have to
- 1:53Speaker 1: be some decisions made about the trade deadline before too long?
- 1:56Speaker 1: Is still John Seidler, he's the chairman. Is there influence
- 2:01Speaker 1: or input from the incoming ownership group? Do you have
- 2:03Speaker 1: any any sense of how things are operating on a
- 2:06Speaker 1: day to day basis currently?
- 2:08Speaker 3: You know, I haven't asked anybody directly, my instinct would
- 2:10Speaker 3: be this, if you were going to do something notable,
- 2:15Speaker 3: you know, moving a large amount of money one way
- 2:17Speaker 3: or another, somehow, there's a back channel conversation that exists
- 2:22Speaker 3: of you know, how, how would you guys feel about
- 2:25Speaker 3: this if we if we did this, and it's quite
- 2:28Speaker 3: possible that you don't end up with any kind of
- 2:32Speaker 3: notable swing one way or another. I think I think
- 2:34Speaker 3: probably the understanding would be keep things roughly where they are,
- 2:38Speaker 3: but it would be case by case and it would
- 2:42Speaker 3: require asking some more direct questions that probably people wouldn't answer.
- 2:48Speaker 4: Evan, I know you wrote recently about the back and
- 2:51Speaker 4: forth between MLB and MLBPA. Anything that's jumping out at
- 2:54Speaker 4: you about what the league is is proposing when it
- 2:58Speaker 4: comes to the domestic internationals draft.
- 3:03Speaker 3: They're proposing to cut a lot of money, which is
- 3:05Speaker 3: the first thing that I think jumps out at.
- 3:07Speaker 2: The union, the.
- 3:11Speaker 3: Reliance on colleges, the way MLB has proposed this so
- 3:15Speaker 3: that they want to do a twelve round international and
- 3:18Speaker 3: twelve round domestic draft.
- 3:20Speaker 2: Right now we only have a domestic draft.
- 3:23Speaker 3: Basically, MLB is saying, look, we don't need to take
- 3:25Speaker 3: on this development effort as much on our own as
- 3:30Speaker 3: we do now, and obviously colleges exist right now, but
- 3:33Speaker 3: they're trying to raise the age at which players can
- 3:36Speaker 3: be drafted, both internationally and in the US.
- 3:39Speaker 2: And internationally they want to bring it up right now, you.
- 3:42Speaker 3: Got to turn seventeen by September first, the year you're drafted.
- 3:46Speaker 2: They want it to be eighteen internationally now.
- 3:49Speaker 3: But the bigger jump is on the domestic side, where
- 3:52Speaker 3: they want it to be twenty. So that's a huge
- 3:55Speaker 3: change the league is asking for. It is one that
- 3:58Speaker 3: the union immediately says, we don't like this, which in
- 4:02Speaker 3: a way, it's all kind of expected at this point
- 4:05Speaker 3: because everybody's kind of making their big ask in their
- 4:08Speaker 3: initial proposals. You know, I don't think the league expects
- 4:13Speaker 3: the players to accept this vision of the world that
- 4:15Speaker 3: they have put forth here, but it is stark. It
- 4:20Speaker 3: is a notable change from what we have today to
- 4:26Speaker 3: try to bring to eliminate high school draft picks, right
- 4:30Speaker 3: it is. It's a major system change, and you know,
- 4:34Speaker 3: it didn't land well with the players, so.
- 4:36Speaker 4: That saw some some I think Paul skin is one
- 4:38Speaker 4: of them. Were notable players to come out with a
- 4:40Speaker 4: statement against the proposals. That would be that would be interesting.
- 4:44Speaker 4: What do you what is what's their biggest sticking point?
- 4:46Speaker 4: I mean you're gonna, I know, this is gonna this
- 4:47Speaker 4: is gonna get ugly a lot uglier as a month
- 4:49Speaker 4: to go by. But what is the biggest sticking point
- 4:52Speaker 4: for the league? At this point?
- 4:54Speaker 3: It's always money. A labor negotiation in any walk of life,
- 4:58Speaker 3: doesn't matter if it's ports or baseball. You're fighting over
- 5:01Speaker 3: the economics. There are other things that are going to
- 5:03Speaker 3: come up, and certainly the league has framed its argument
- 5:06Speaker 3: for a salary cap around competitive balance. You're not willing
- 5:09Speaker 3: to forego, you know, a year of revenue or whatever
- 5:12Speaker 3: it might take to convince the players to relent on
- 5:15Speaker 3: a salary.
- 5:16Speaker 2: Cap just for the sake of competitive balance.
- 5:18Speaker 3: You are willing to forego billions of dollars in revenue
- 5:22Speaker 3: for the reason that you believe at some point it
- 5:24Speaker 3: will also make you billions.
- 5:25Speaker 2: Of dollars more than you have lost.
- 5:29Speaker 3: And so a salary cap certainly thus far has been
- 5:34Speaker 3: the number one issue. It is a huge difference compared to today.
- 5:39Speaker 3: It would make baseball look more similar to the NBA, NFL,
- 5:42Speaker 3: and NHL than it does now, And that's an age
- 5:46Speaker 3: old fight. In baseball, the ninety four to ninety five strike,
- 5:49Speaker 3: which lasted two hundred and thirty two days and canceled
- 5:52Speaker 3: the World Series.
- 5:53Speaker 2: A salary cap was a large part of that.
- 5:54Speaker 3: The players successfully, you know, in their minds warded it
- 5:58Speaker 3: off that did not allow app to come in. Yeah,
- 6:02Speaker 3: the question is will will we get a cap this time?
- 6:05Speaker 3: You know, are the owners willing to say we're going
- 6:08Speaker 3: to try to miss games for this how long if
- 6:11Speaker 3: that's the case, to the players.
- 6:14Speaker 2: Fight them? Do the players say, okay, well we'll sit
- 6:16Speaker 2: out an entire season if you want a salary cap.
- 6:19Speaker 3: So it's hard to point to anything but a salary cap.
- 6:22Speaker 3: But the one thing Marty I would I would say
- 6:24Speaker 3: here is they're talking very different languages on basically everything
- 6:28Speaker 3: at this point. And that's not to be too alarmist.
- 6:32Speaker 3: It is again the start of negotiation. You know, the
- 6:37Speaker 3: current deal is going to expire in December. There's probably
- 6:39Speaker 3: going to be a lockout that started at that point.
- 6:41Speaker 3: It's really not until the spring that I would expect
- 6:44Speaker 3: you start to see material movement and maybe you start
- 6:47Speaker 3: to see things taking shape, but there's a real chance
- 6:50Speaker 3: that come the spring next year, the owners are still
- 6:52Speaker 3: pushing a cap, the players are still saying we don't
- 6:54Speaker 3: want a cap, and we're staring down potentially miss games
- 6:58Speaker 3: in twenty twenty seven.
- 7:00Speaker 4: On everything that you just laid out there, and just
- 7:01Speaker 4: how much money is at stake now, and just the franchise,
- 7:04Speaker 4: the franchise values. You know, the Padres were held as
- 7:07Speaker 4: a poster boy as to what happens when you invest.
- 7:10Speaker 4: Would you expect this to be a lot longer than
- 7:12Speaker 4: the workstoppage in nineteen ninty.
- 7:13Speaker 3: Four, longer than the work stoppage in ninety four ninety five.
- 7:18Speaker 2: I wouldn't. And here's the reason.
- 7:20Speaker 3: I think it's hard for any group the owners, the
- 7:23Speaker 3: thirty lead owners, but they all have investors to answer to.
- 7:27Speaker 3: It's really not just a group of thirty and you know,
- 7:29Speaker 3: the twelve hundred or so players that are in the
- 7:32Speaker 3: union at a given time, thirty team times forty the
- 7:36Speaker 3: forty man rosters. It's very hard to convince any group
- 7:40Speaker 3: to kind of acting unison for a particularly long time.
- 7:45Speaker 3: The money is greater today, there's just more incentive to
- 7:48Speaker 3: play the industry. The last number we have via MLBA
- 7:54Speaker 3: was in twenty twenty four. It was a twelve point
- 7:56Speaker 3: one billion dollar hall.
- 7:59Speaker 2: So that's the total amount of revenue that came in
- 8:01Speaker 2: through Major League.
- 8:02Speaker 3: Baseball in twenty four. We don't know what twenty five is.
- 8:04Speaker 3: It always goes up outside of the pandemic season. So
- 8:08Speaker 3: presumably this year you're around thirteen. You've either cracked thirteen
- 8:13Speaker 3: or you're about to. That's a lot of money for
- 8:15Speaker 3: a lot of people to leave on the table here,
- 8:17Speaker 3: and in a way, it becomes a referendum on well,
- 8:20Speaker 3: are things really so bad that you're willing to forego
- 8:24Speaker 3: billions of dollars in revenue? And I kind of thought
- 8:27Speaker 3: last time, the players have been pushed around for a
- 8:29Speaker 3: decade with service time, manipulation, tanking. It had gotten pretty
- 8:34Speaker 3: ugly with the way front offices were handling players.
- 8:39Speaker 2: They didn't miss a single game.
- 8:41Speaker 3: And so I think there's too much at stake and
- 8:44Speaker 3: there's too many reasons to play.
- 8:45Speaker 2: Now.
- 8:46Speaker 3: If the thirty owners get together and say, you know what,
- 8:49Speaker 3: our franchise values are lagging the NBA the NFL, which
- 8:53Speaker 3: they are, they are not selling for the same revenue
- 8:56Speaker 3: multiple So the padres were kind of a jump up
- 9:00Speaker 3: for baseball that they sold for about six to seven
- 9:03Speaker 3: times their annual revenue.
- 9:05Speaker 2: NBA teams NFL teams might go for twelve times.
- 9:08Speaker 3: So if the baseball owners look around and go, you
- 9:11Speaker 3: know what, we want to get to that point where
- 9:14Speaker 3: we're selling for a lot more, our investments instantly going
- 9:17Speaker 3: to go up.
- 9:19Speaker 2: Screw it, We'll.
- 9:20Speaker 3: Miss a year if that's what it takes. That's the
- 9:23Speaker 3: wild card here. You know, do enough owners You need
- 9:26Speaker 3: twenty three owners to be on the same page to
- 9:30Speaker 3: ratify a CBA. So if you have a group of
- 9:33Speaker 3: eight that's saying no, no, no, twenty three is kind
- 9:36Speaker 3: of the magic number. If those twenty three gets together
- 9:38Speaker 3: and say we're willing to miss a lot of time,
- 9:42Speaker 3: then it could be that doomsday scenario.
- 9:45Speaker 2: But I don't see it yet. Ask me in March.
- 9:48Speaker 5: Hey, sometimes we do a little game on foul territory
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- 9:53Speaker 2: It's not what you think.
- 9:54Speaker 5: We're just picking up our phones and we're talking as
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- 10:50Speaker 2: Evan It's it's interesting.
- 10:51Speaker 1: I'm glad that you brought up because I read what
- 10:53Speaker 1: you wrote about about the revenue and about the franchise
- 10:56Speaker 1: valuation and how it is not pacing as well as
- 10:59Speaker 1: it is in the NBA or the NFL, and I
- 11:01Speaker 1: thought to myself, who cares? Like, why would a fan care?
- 11:03Speaker 1: Not a reflection of your work, my friend, Just so
- 11:05Speaker 1: you know, but it makes me wonder. Just a finger
- 11:09Speaker 1: in the air. Opinion about the court of public opinion?
- 11:12Speaker 1: You know, who do you sense now, how do you
- 11:14Speaker 1: sense that the messaging is coming through to the fans
- 11:17Speaker 1: of this sport? Do you sense that people would care
- 11:19Speaker 1: about that about you know, franchise valuation. The Potters were
- 11:23Speaker 1: an eight hundred million dollar team that just sold for
- 11:26Speaker 1: a valuation of three point nine billion dollars. It feels
- 11:28Speaker 1: like that's a pretty good deal for most people, for
- 11:31Speaker 1: most fans of the sport that just want to watch
- 11:33Speaker 1: baseball games. So how do you sense that the pr
- 11:37Speaker 1: campaign the court of public opinion is going early on,
- 11:40Speaker 1: at least based on some of the stuff that you've
- 11:42Speaker 1: written and the kind of feedback that you get.
- 11:45Speaker 3: I think it depends to some degree on the subset
- 11:47Speaker 3: of topics. So, if the Athletic did a poll recently,
- 11:51Speaker 3: it is not a scientific poll, It should not be
- 11:53Speaker 3: treated as a scientific poll, but it's nonetheless a poll
- 11:55Speaker 3: that fans can fill out and respond to and can
- 11:57Speaker 3: give you a little at least slice of a glimpse
- 11:59Speaker 3: of of how people are thinking. And from memory, the
- 12:04Speaker 3: responses when they were asked do you care? There were
- 12:06Speaker 3: two individual questions I believe about do you care about
- 12:09Speaker 3: how the owners do economically.
- 12:10Speaker 2: To care about how the players do economically.
- 12:13Speaker 3: And the answer for both was no. I think there
- 12:16Speaker 3: was a little bit more caring for the players than
- 12:19Speaker 3: the owners in the responses we got back. Look, you know,
- 12:24Speaker 3: fans look at the NBA, the NFL, and the NHL.
- 12:27Speaker 3: They see salary caps everywhere, and I think there is
- 12:31Speaker 3: a baseline if you were to draw up the most
- 12:35Speaker 3: fair way to do things, everybody would have the same
- 12:37Speaker 3: salary figure. You'd give each team x million and say
- 12:41Speaker 3: this is everybody starting on the same platform, but that
- 12:45Speaker 3: the negotiation is not about what is most fair or
- 12:48Speaker 3: what is best for fans. If it was the best,
- 12:50Speaker 3: if the league was at every point trying to do
- 12:52Speaker 3: what is best for fans, beer prices would be three dollars.
- 12:56Speaker 2: That's not how this works, right.
- 12:58Speaker 3: This is ultimately about on both sides, and both sides
- 13:04Speaker 3: will have to deal with some amount of angry fans,
- 13:07Speaker 3: a very large amount of angry fans if there are
- 13:08Speaker 3: miss games.
- 13:10Speaker 2: You know where does that swing on balance? Do you?
- 13:14Speaker 3: Is it sixty percent angry at players or sixty percent
- 13:17Speaker 3: angry at owners?
- 13:19Speaker 2: Kind of to be seen.
- 13:20Speaker 3: You know, we haven't had I think Marty referenced Paul
- 13:24Speaker 3: Skins making a comment we've seen some players talk at
- 13:28Speaker 3: this point. In my experience, when players speak up, there's
- 13:33Speaker 3: more an emotional attachment that fans have for what players
- 13:36Speaker 3: think and believe in anything else. And so, you know,
- 13:39Speaker 3: if you got to the point of April or May
- 13:41Speaker 3: and you have star players across the league ripping the owners,
- 13:46Speaker 3: which side are the fans going to be on? Are
- 13:48Speaker 3: they going to side with their they're the guy who's
- 13:51Speaker 3: jersey they own. Are they going to side with the
- 13:53Speaker 3: guy who owns the team?
- 13:55Speaker 2: I don't know. I think.
- 13:58Speaker 3: The bottom line for me, there will be so much
- 14:01Speaker 3: animosity in public, the rights holders, the sponsors, the season
- 14:06Speaker 3: ticket holders, which are fans, the casual fan who just
- 14:08Speaker 3: watches the watch.
- 14:10Speaker 2: There's gonna be so much energy directed toward.
- 14:13Speaker 3: Getting baseball back on the field, including potentially from the
- 14:16Speaker 3: White House, that you know, the.
- 14:19Speaker 2: Question of who's getting more pressure, I.
- 14:20Speaker 3: Don't know that it's gonna matter. I think they're both
- 14:23Speaker 3: gonna feel a ton of pressure if they miss games.
- 14:26Speaker 1: Marty referenced to the potteris a little bit earlier in
- 14:28Speaker 1: the sale, the valuation, etc. We've also seen the pottery
- 14:31Speaker 1: is held up by the MLB Players Association as an
- 14:34Speaker 1: example of what can be done in some of these markets. Right,
- 14:37Speaker 1: For a lot of people, it's I don't believe that
- 14:41Speaker 1: some teams cannot compete.
- 14:42Speaker 2: I believe that they choose not to compete. Right.
- 14:44Speaker 1: There's been no team that has been more impacted by
- 14:47Speaker 1: the LA Dodgers than the Potters, not one. There's no
- 14:50Speaker 1: team that's played the Dodgers more. The Potteris have finished
- 14:53Speaker 1: behind the Dodgers every single season since twenty eleven, and
- 14:57Speaker 1: yet they still are getting three million people through the
- 14:59Speaker 1: turnstile every year. So, you know, I don't believe this
- 15:03Speaker 1: stuff that Manford puts out there when he talks about
- 15:05Speaker 1: competitive balance and he talks about parody, and he said
- 15:09Speaker 1: it's been good in baseball, but then he's worried about
- 15:12Speaker 1: how you sell tickets in the off season. But the
- 15:13Speaker 1: Pottery should be held up as an example for somebody here, Evan,
- 15:17Speaker 1: I don't know who exactly, but I feel like we're
- 15:19Speaker 1: sort of the bandana in the middle of this tug
- 15:21Speaker 1: of war when it comes to baseball. How do you
- 15:23Speaker 1: think that the podres whether it's the sale, whether it's
- 15:26Speaker 1: their attendance, their success their payroll. I just feel like
- 15:29Speaker 1: we're going to hear a lot about the potterys, like
- 15:31Speaker 1: when these guys are all negotiating, right.
- 15:33Speaker 2: No, that's right. You reference.
- 15:35Speaker 3: They did this long story on franchise values recently, and
- 15:39Speaker 3: the Padres sale more or less spurs that story because
- 15:44Speaker 3: they do sell at a higher revenue multiple. Why do
- 15:46Speaker 3: they sell at a higher revenue multiple than the other
- 15:49Speaker 3: baseball teams before them? And the answer is because they've
- 15:51Speaker 3: done such a good job getting people into the stadium.
- 15:54Speaker 3: Will have they done such a good job getting people
- 15:56Speaker 3: into the stadium? They've spent a lot of money. Now
- 16:00Speaker 3: the owners can look say, okay, the Padres went for
- 16:03Speaker 3: seven X rather than six X. Good better, it's not
- 16:09Speaker 3: twelve x. It's not the NBA, it's not the NFL.
- 16:12Speaker 2: They can take that position where you end up.
- 16:15Speaker 3: Isn't kind of a large existential philosophical discussion about should
- 16:21Speaker 3: a baseball team be bought to be an investment?
- 16:24Speaker 2: The reality is they are, you know, kind of whether
- 16:26Speaker 2: or not they should be.
- 16:28Speaker 3: The owners certainly treat them that way, and they have
- 16:31Speaker 3: big money riding on maximizing the value of these things.
- 16:36Speaker 2: And surely they want to do that. As cheaply as possible.
- 16:39Speaker 3: And so you have other owners who look at the
- 16:42Speaker 3: pot what the Padres did and go, I can't do that.
- 16:44Speaker 2: I can't pour this much money into it.
- 16:46Speaker 3: I can't on an operating basis year to year lose
- 16:50Speaker 3: x millions of dollars. You know, whether they could or
- 16:53Speaker 3: could not is ultimately their decision. We don't see their books.
- 16:57Speaker 3: The union does get quarterly find angel information. The union
- 17:01Speaker 3: has a pretty good picture of how these teams are doing,
- 17:04Speaker 3: but they can't disclose it publicly, and the league certainly
- 17:06Speaker 3: doesn't volunteer this stuff publicly. So sometimes I hear people say, well,
- 17:11Speaker 3: the books aren't open. That's not really true. They're open
- 17:13Speaker 3: to the union. They're not open to to three of us,
- 17:16Speaker 3: which which is.
- 17:17Speaker 2: Too bad here. But yeah, at its core, this fight
- 17:21Speaker 2: is over.
- 17:21Speaker 3: Okay, you have teams, some teams that have much lower
- 17:25Speaker 3: revenues than others.
- 17:26Speaker 2: What's the way to fix that? The league is saying,
- 17:29Speaker 2: the way to fix.
- 17:30Speaker 3: That is to put a salary cap in, you know,
- 17:32Speaker 3: cut off the head, you know, eliminate these seven hundred
- 17:36Speaker 3: million dollars types of contracts.
- 17:38Speaker 2: The players are saying, you don't have to do that.
- 17:40Speaker 3: There are other things we can do with with revenue sharing,
- 17:43Speaker 3: things to incentivize teams to behave like the padres, get
- 17:47Speaker 3: them to spend more if they're, you know, kind of
- 17:49Speaker 3: bottom feeding teams. You know, which which, which way will prevail?
- 17:55Speaker 3: Is what we're grabbing our popcorn here and trying to
- 17:58Speaker 3: find out.
- 18:01Speaker 2: When my puppy Bella has something wrong. I'm not going
- 18:04Speaker 2: to go around googling what to do, Yeah, Kratz, Let's
- 18:07Speaker 2: have a better plan.
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- 19:00Speaker 1: Yeah, and just to be real quick, because you wrote
- 19:03Speaker 1: this and you quoted the commissioner and he's talking about
- 19:05Speaker 1: I'm just get to read this quote from the athletic.
- 19:08Speaker 1: When we think about it from a laborer perspective, we're
- 19:10Speaker 1: focused on an entirely different part of the calendar, that
- 19:13Speaker 1: is the off season when you're trying to sell season tickets.
- 19:15Speaker 1: And the perception among our fans that's really strong is
- 19:18Speaker 1: we have a lack of competitiveness. And again, I just
- 19:21Speaker 1: go back to what the potteries are doing. They're going
- 19:23Speaker 1: to break three million again, and this is a team
- 19:25Speaker 1: that has finished second of the Dodgers for well over
- 19:28Speaker 1: a decade. Like, I just don't I don't understand that, Like,
- 19:31Speaker 1: it just doesn't gel for me. It just doesn't jive
- 19:33Speaker 1: what he's talking about. If they're having trouble selling tickets
- 19:36Speaker 1: in the off season. Why don't they look at the
- 19:38Speaker 1: potteries and say, well, how are you guys doing it?
- 19:40Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a very interesting reliance on fans sentiment that
- 19:45Speaker 3: the league is using to shape its arguments here.
- 19:47Speaker 2: You know, we're trying to serve fans, and they're almost in.
- 19:52Speaker 3: A way removing themselves from from kind of the culpability
- 19:58Speaker 3: or kind of the accountability to the act actions that
- 20:00Speaker 3: might spur fan sentiment. It's there'd be a whole interesting
- 20:05Speaker 3: discussion of the pr that the sides are employing here,
- 20:09Speaker 3: I think particularly the league, because the league often frames
- 20:13Speaker 3: it as a perception, it's a fan.
- 20:15Speaker 2: Perception that the team can't compete.
- 20:17Speaker 3: Well, then you get into a whole other discussion about
- 20:20Speaker 3: does the math show that teams cannot compete?
- 20:23Speaker 2: What do we mean by compete? Does it mean make
- 20:26Speaker 2: a playoff? Does it mean when a World Series?
- 20:29Speaker 3: We've long known that Baseball's playoff system is relatively random.
- 20:33Speaker 3: One thing on the question, on the quote you just
- 20:35Speaker 3: read back to me. That was his response to a
- 20:38Speaker 3: question I had asked. The question I had asked paraphrasing
- 20:42Speaker 3: was basically, you guys say this is kind of harming
- 20:47Speaker 3: the way fans view the sport. Do you have any
- 20:50Speaker 3: specifics you can point to as to where that harm
- 20:54Speaker 3: shows up?
- 20:55Speaker 2: Is it in ticket sales? And you know, I don't
- 20:58Speaker 2: expect them.
- 20:59Speaker 3: To necessarily area around a list of statistics to rattle
- 21:02Speaker 3: off at every moment. He didn't rattle off a number
- 21:05Speaker 3: that says, you know, here's where we're seeing this clear
- 21:08Speaker 3: decline because of this perception that exists. And so what
- 21:12Speaker 3: I'm what I'm trying to say is there's so much
- 21:15Speaker 3: loaded into every argument here, including what is the state
- 21:19Speaker 3: of parity in baseball? What a salary cap fix it?
- 21:22Speaker 3: You know, what is the state of it compared to
- 21:23Speaker 3: the other sports? It's it's it's stuff that takes hours
- 21:28Speaker 3: to in a discussion to really unpack.
- 21:30Speaker 4: Two quick things for me, Evan, because you mentioned that
- 21:32Speaker 4: the White House could get involved, that there's if there's
- 21:34Speaker 4: a stellmate, I do believe that the White House has
- 21:37Speaker 4: already come out in favor of a salary cap, so
- 21:40Speaker 4: I'm sure the MLBPA is going to love that one.
- 21:43Speaker 4: And a quick thing on the padre is just what
- 21:45Speaker 4: what have you gotten any indication what sort of owners
- 21:48Speaker 4: financial owners you expect? Kwanza Jones and jose E Pelissiano TB.
- 21:52Speaker 4: We know that Peter Seidler was beloved by San Diegans
- 21:56Speaker 4: for how he spent He was asked about how sustainable
- 21:59Speaker 4: it was to go and held out these contracts. What
- 22:01Speaker 4: are you expecting from this from these from the new group?
- 22:04Speaker 2: Right?
- 22:04Speaker 3: So, so President Trump was asked, I believe it's a
- 22:07Speaker 3: board air force one by you know, some of the
- 22:10Speaker 3: White White House Press Corps. Someone in that group asked,
- 22:14Speaker 3: do you support a salary cap or not? And his response,
- 22:17Speaker 3: I think his initial response was, uh, don't they already
- 22:22Speaker 3: have one, which which is a reference to I guess
- 22:24Speaker 3: to the luxury tax I'm assuming, But when it was
- 22:27Speaker 3: clarified for him that no, they do not, then his
- 22:30Speaker 3: answer is yes.
- 22:31Speaker 2: So he's already you know, lightly jumped in.
- 22:34Speaker 3: He was asked a question about it. It's not like
- 22:37Speaker 3: he just issued a statement kind of on a random Tuesday.
- 22:40Speaker 3: But if if the if there is a if if
- 22:43Speaker 3: this does drag on, if there is a lockout that
- 22:46Speaker 3: is threatening games. You know, the President has at so
- 22:49Speaker 3: many points involved himself with with professional and amateur sports.
- 22:55Speaker 2: It's it would be.
- 22:57Speaker 3: Surprising if he didn't try to move the in some direction,
- 23:01Speaker 3: try to be the one to mediate a deal. Any
- 23:04Speaker 3: and all the above, you'd expect some involvement from him
- 23:08Speaker 3: in his office, and it might not only be his office.
- 23:10Speaker 2: You could see uh.
- 23:12Speaker 3: Perhaps senators other politicians getting involved. So we'll see. On
- 23:16Speaker 3: the Padres ownership question, it's i'd be I'd only be speculating,
- 23:21Speaker 3: you know, the the.
- 23:22Speaker 2: Amount of money. My my instinct, my instinct here.
- 23:25Speaker 3: Is that what Peter Seidler did was pretty unique and
- 23:32Speaker 3: special for fans, and the history shows us that most
- 23:36Speaker 3: owners aren't going to behave that way. And so I
- 23:40Speaker 3: don't know if you can expect someone walking in to
- 23:42Speaker 3: any ownership group to to do what he was doing,
- 23:45Speaker 3: which is you can argue too bad. But but I
- 23:50Speaker 3: just think if you look at the body of evidence
- 23:52Speaker 3: that exists, how do most owners behave How is somebody
- 23:55Speaker 3: with a you know, the background that Feliciano has coming
- 23:59Speaker 3: from private equity, Most of those guys kind of are
- 24:04Speaker 3: pretty disciplined, and you know, Peter, you can argue, was
- 24:08Speaker 3: not disciplined to great results or often great results.
- 24:13Speaker 2: So I don't know, is.
- 24:15Speaker 3: What I'm saying, But I think just look at the
- 24:18Speaker 3: evidence of how most owners operate.
- 24:20Speaker 2: Most of them don't operate like Peter.
- 24:23Speaker 1: And Evan's also written really good stuff about the future
- 24:25Speaker 1: of private equity, which we're not ready for yet when
- 24:28Speaker 1: it comes to this ownership group, but maybe somewhere down
- 24:30Speaker 1: the road. Evan, I mean this, a lot of the
- 24:33Speaker 1: stuff that you've written has been super informative for people.
- 24:37Speaker 1: I realize we got a long way to go in
- 24:38Speaker 1: this journey when it comes to the Collective Marketing Agreement,
- 24:41Speaker 1: but it has been really, really great reporting from you,
- 24:44Speaker 1: and we do appreciate your time here on Friar Territory.
- 24:46Speaker 2: Thanks so much for taking it. Thanks Marty, Thanks Darren,