Latest / Best of Business / Greg Smith: Devon Funds Head of Retail on Allbirds posting a multi-million dollar net loss
Transcript
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- 0:16Speaker 2: Now.
- 0:17Speaker 3: More bad news for former market Darling. All Birds, the
- 0:20Speaker 3: eco friendly shoemaker, which was co founded, obviously by former
- 0:23Speaker 3: all White Tim Brown, has posted a net loss of
- 0:25Speaker 3: nineteen million US dollars for the second quarter this year.
- 0:28Speaker 3: All Birds shares were trading at almost thirty US bucks
- 0:31Speaker 3: each when the company listed on the Nasdaq three years ago.
- 0:34Speaker 3: They're now worth less than a dollar. Greg Smith is
- 0:37Speaker 3: the head of retail at Devin Funds Management and with us.
- 0:39Speaker 2: Hey, Greg, Hi, Heather.
- 0:40Speaker 3: Are they going to be forced to dlist?
- 0:42Speaker 2: Well, that's the sort of the latest sort of risk.
- 0:45Speaker 2: I suppose the NAR's ex issued them a notice since
- 0:48Speaker 2: notice that they've traded below the dollar mark for thirty days,
- 0:51Speaker 2: so they basically got to the end of to September
- 0:54Speaker 2: to get it above a dollar for ten consecutive business datis,
- 0:57Speaker 2: so the clock is ticking. But you know, they could
- 1:00Speaker 2: actually request an extension of up to six months, and
- 1:03Speaker 2: there's actually a way they can engineer it by doing
- 1:05Speaker 2: a reverse stock splits. So but I think they've got
- 1:08Speaker 2: bigger problems than the delisting.
- 1:11Speaker 3: Yeah, what are the bigger problems.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Well, look, when you look at I think it's really
- 1:14Speaker 2: been a victim of its own hype. As you pointed out,
- 1:17Speaker 2: it listed at the peak of the pandemic late twenty
- 1:20Speaker 2: twenty one. Consumer brands are in fashion. You know, had
- 1:23Speaker 2: the eco friendly company footwear story to tell people, love
- 1:26Speaker 2: the love the story. You know Obama he was wearing
- 1:29Speaker 2: will Runners Liano Leonardo DiCaprio. He was an early investor.
- 1:32Speaker 2: Time dubbed at the most comfortable shoe in the world.
- 1:35Speaker 2: It was crazy when you think about it. You know,
- 1:36Speaker 2: the valuation in the company was over four billion US dollars.
- 1:40Speaker 2: The year before they'd made just two hundred million in sales.
- 1:42Speaker 2: You fast forward four years, they're still around about two
- 1:45Speaker 2: hundred million in sales. So the cool fact that dissipated
- 1:48Speaker 2: are they expanded overseas that was expensive Brooks and Watar
- 1:51Speaker 2: stores competitors, and then we've had a cost of living
- 1:54Speaker 2: crisis and the company doesn't discount. So yeah, it's a lot.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Read ink. One hundred and fifty million dollars is what
- 2:00Speaker 2: the company lost twenty twenty three, and as you point out,
- 2:03Speaker 2: the valuation has fallen, and if you can invested the peak,
- 2:05Speaker 2: you'd be down around him at ninety eight percent. But
- 2:08Speaker 2: they have a new CEO and he has a plan.
- 2:10Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 2:11Speaker 3: Now on that new CEO, right, he's one of the
- 2:14Speaker 3: so called traditional executives that they've brought in. They've also
- 2:17Speaker 3: fired a whole bunch of people. They shut a bunch
- 2:19Speaker 3: of shops. Is this showing any signs of working?
- 2:22Speaker 2: It's actually showing some margin im prevment, but it's a
- 2:24Speaker 2: long way back, and you know that that top line
- 2:27Speaker 2: is never going to eventuate how it was imagined, So
- 2:30Speaker 2: all you can do is work with what he's got.
- 2:31Speaker 2: So what they're doing really is closing underperforming stores in
- 2:34Speaker 2: the US, they're closing up to fourteen this year. Offshore
- 2:38Speaker 2: markets are moving to a distributed model, which is less
- 2:41Speaker 2: costly than obviously having their own stores, and they're just
- 2:46Speaker 2: having direct markets in the US, UK and EU. The
- 2:49Speaker 2: shifted their factories. That's a bit cheaper the factories than
- 2:51Speaker 2: Vietnam there as well. They're still not discounting, so yeah,
- 2:55Speaker 2: they could be a bit of a here when we
- 2:56Speaker 2: have got a cost of living crisis, and yeah, consumers
- 2:59Speaker 2: are feeling the pinch and you look at the top
- 3:01Speaker 2: line revenues down twenty seven percent at the last quarter
- 3:05Speaker 2: on a year ago. Listen to the earning call and
- 3:07Speaker 2: managements all talking about telling a story to consumers, which
- 3:11Speaker 2: I thought was somewhat ironic. They've got some new brands coming.
- 3:14Speaker 2: They actually have stopped the pace of the new brands
- 3:17Speaker 2: that are coming, but they have got the tree Glider,
- 3:19Speaker 2: They're doing things of a few new colors as well.
- 3:22Speaker 2: But yet it's a long road back, and you know,
- 3:25Speaker 2: we are not going to get back to that four
- 3:26Speaker 2: billion valuation, probably not in the next sort of fifty
- 3:29Speaker 2: years anyway, Oh.
- 3:31Speaker 3: Great, fifty years.
- 3:32Speaker 2: Okay.
- 3:32Speaker 3: I mean, listen, if what made them so wealthy, so
- 3:35Speaker 3: valuable was the fact that they were an it shoe,
- 3:39Speaker 3: and when they're not in an itshoe, it's not working
- 3:41Speaker 3: for them, does that mean that that is the key
- 3:42Speaker 3: they need to be cool again.
- 3:44Speaker 2: Yeah. And then we were seeing as call You're quite right,
- 3:46Speaker 2: you know, he had all the A listers wearing them.
- 3:49Speaker 2: You know, they were seeing this comfy. Actually, the other
- 3:51Speaker 2: point as well was, you know, I suppose part of
- 3:53Speaker 2: the issue has been the actual feedback from consumers is actually,
- 3:56Speaker 2: don't last that long. Now, they're not the lacking and durability,
- 3:59Speaker 2: which is a bit of a here when particularly when
- 4:01Speaker 2: people are feeling the pinch and they want stuff that's
- 4:03Speaker 2: going to last. So that cool factor, I think, you know,
- 4:07Speaker 2: was you know, engineer a lot of the hype that
- 4:09Speaker 2: you saw, you know, and then the lead up to
- 4:11Speaker 2: the stop stock listing and also there were stock market
- 4:14Speaker 2: conditions which also drove that hype as well. Yeah, so
- 4:17Speaker 2: becoming cool the game would help. I'm not sure if
- 4:20Speaker 2: we're going to see Donald Trump wearing wearing them all
- 4:23Speaker 2: or Kamala Harris, but yeah, it is a long road back,
- 4:27Speaker 2: and you know, brands do sort of have their day
- 4:30Speaker 2: in the sun, but they also do make a comeback.
- 4:32Speaker 2: And who would have thought Crocs would make a revival?
- 4:34Speaker 3: So you nevern know, Well, that's a very good point, Greg,
- 4:36Speaker 3: actually an excellent point. Thank you so much. Made appreciate it.
- 4:38Speaker 3: Greg Smith, head of Retail at Devin Funds Management.
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