Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA Show | July 27, 2024 | UFC Fight Night DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MMA Show | July 27, 2024 | UFC Fight Night DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: Fall.
• 0:04
  Speaker 2: System's going clear the lift.
• 0:35
  Speaker 3: What's going on?
• 0:35
  Speaker 4: Everybody, different day, different time, same people. This is going
• 0:41
  Speaker 4: to be the norm moving forward, though, Big Marley and
• 0:43
  Speaker 4: I talking fights nine Eastern on Thursdays most days. Obviously
• 0:47
  Speaker 4: like the first first Thursday for football, we will reschedule.
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: We will do it a different day, but.
• 0:52
  Speaker 4: Playing on nine eastern on Thursdays and then up until
• 0:55
  Speaker 4: the NFL season, Big Marley and I will be doing
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: Best Ball Draft right after this show. We'll close the
• 1:01
  Speaker 4: stream down, get on the Best Ball stream and fire
• 1:04
  Speaker 4: up a Drafters draft. So before I even say hi
• 1:06
  Speaker 4: to anybody, that's a perfect segue, shout out to our
• 1:09
  Speaker 4: sponsored Drafters. Head over to drafters dot com. Use that
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  Speaker 4: promo code chip it. They will match twenty dollars two
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  Speaker 4: trying to make it three years in a row for
• 1:27
  Speaker 4: a ship at Nation member again. We'll be going live
• 1:30
  Speaker 4: after this show doing some best Ball. Who do you
• 1:33
  Speaker 4: got in Chad today? Nated's in here? Little mac SIGGI,
• 1:36
  Speaker 4: what's going on? Missus SIGGI? Reds takedown, Big Marley, how
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: are you doing on this fine Thursday afternoon.
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: I'm good man, just finish the gym and the steam room,
• 1:47
  Speaker 5: so I'm fired up man, ready to talk some MMA.
• 1:49
  Speaker 5: Hopefully we got some winners coming to the people. But yeah,
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: looking forward to shipping at this weekend.
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: I hit a double steam as well.
• 1:55
  Speaker 4: I'm not feeling the best right now, so I hit
• 1:56
  Speaker 4: it early and then I write before this too. I
• 1:58
  Speaker 4: got back twenty five minutes ago. Nothing better than the steam.
• 2:02
  Speaker 4: So I love to hear that little next talking a
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: little Olympic hoops in discord. I saw he's on the
• 2:07
  Speaker 4: Summer League Grind as well, Little net absolutely grinder in
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: the MBA discord. So we're talking MLB right now, going
• 2:14
  Speaker 4: on PGA, going on NASCAR, MMA, don't forget about that
• 2:18
  Speaker 4: NBA channel.
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: Also saw the Esports channel.
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: We have esports, we have tennis, we don't pay, like
• 2:23
  Speaker 4: provide the offering. It's a discord channel. It's members run.
• 2:27
  Speaker 4: But a lot of his success in those channels, it's
• 2:30
  Speaker 4: like he's helping me do my job.
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: Look at this, Big Marley, Look at this chart.
• 2:34
  Speaker 4: NFL season coming up, everybody's favorite, just look right, there
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: at the total NFL package, you see how it's broken down.
• 2:40
  Speaker 3: Four competitors. Who has an optimizer, who doesn't?
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: What's the total price two hundred and ninety nine bucks
• 2:46
  Speaker 4: overhead shipping nation for the NFL season, Big Marley, And
• 2:49
  Speaker 4: then you see in the bottom left you not only
• 2:52
  Speaker 4: get that. If you sign up right now, you do
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: get little next picks in discord for Olympic Basketball for
• 2:57
  Speaker 4: a summer league. Do get all of our MMA content, ownership, projection,
• 3:01
  Speaker 4: slate plan, tier rankings, PGA, PGA showdown going on, who Tambo, DJN,
• 3:07
  Speaker 4: nobody better, NASCAR, MLB in full force. So if you
• 3:10
  Speaker 4: sign up for NFL right now two hundred ninety nine bucks,
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: it is three forty nine, NFL fifty drops it down
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: to two ninety nine, you do get the ship deemizer.
• 3:19
  Speaker 4: Only one other site does have an optimizer included three
• 3:22
  Speaker 4: hundred bucks, Big Marley. Your time's at three almost four
• 3:26
  Speaker 4: times at some other spots to get an optimizer and
• 3:29
  Speaker 4: the package. We always say, pay less for content, play
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: more in contest, try and make more money. I think
• 3:35
  Speaker 4: this draft says all you need to see and then
• 3:38
  Speaker 4: and then there's always in then college football content also
• 3:41
  Speaker 4: free a part of this package.
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: August fifth is when the shift demizer and everything will
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: be going live.
• 3:46
  Speaker 4: Get in you get all the sports until NFL season
• 3:49
  Speaker 4: kicks off.
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: No better deal in the industry. Ship a nation dot com.
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: It's right on the banner that two hundred ninety nine
• 3:56
  Speaker 4: click that it'll get you the best deal. If you'd
• 3:58
  Speaker 4: go to the Join the Nation you don't click on
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: the banner, make sure to use that promo code NFL
• 4:02
  Speaker 4: fifty to get fifty dollars off to get it down
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: to two ninety nine. Sorry about these dogs if you're
• 4:09
  Speaker 4: at them barking in the background, there is three in
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: the house right now, Big Marley though fight overview, I
• 4:15
  Speaker 4: mean we have the DFS card fourteen fights, two five rounders. Obviously,
• 4:20
  Speaker 4: if like there were no favorites over three hundred, maybe
• 4:23
  Speaker 4: it'd be a little better. But let's cross our fingers
• 4:26
  Speaker 4: and keep fourteen two five rounders. Man, what a great
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: card London the O two Arena fans always showing out
• 4:32
  Speaker 4: with some awesome fights top to bottom. What's your initial
• 4:35
  Speaker 4: thoughts entertainment wise DFS wise before we go fight by fight?
• 4:40
  Speaker 5: Yeah, good card from a watching slash fan perspective, and
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: great card for DFS. I think that the co main
• 4:49
  Speaker 5: event will be loaded up with ownership, but aside from
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: that fight, I think it could be pretty spread out.
• 4:53
  Speaker 5: So could be a solo shipper this weekend. Hopefully it's
• 4:57
  Speaker 5: one of us or somebody listening.
• 4:59
  Speaker 4: Absolutely, yeah, this is definitely one of the best solo
• 5:02
  Speaker 4: ship or cards if we had to pick. We're getting
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: ready close to We're getting close to the best DFF seasons.
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: Free money Sunday, baby, no other day, no other better
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: day out there. Hope you're doing well, Siggy. All right,
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: let's talk to fights Big Marley fourteen to talk about again.
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: This will be the normal time moving forward, ownership projections,
• 5:21
  Speaker 4: everything will be up tomorrow. We have a rough estimate
• 5:24
  Speaker 4: for ownership though, so on certain fights I will mention
• 5:28
  Speaker 4: it if I think it's important.
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: But again, ownership very important.
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: In DFS, especially at MMA, a duplicate sport with only
• 5:35
  Speaker 4: so many options. Part of the reason head over to
• 5:38
  Speaker 4: the nation get all of our MMA content. First fight
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: of the night, Big Marlee. I wrote this. I followed
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: tepology on Monday. I wrote this order, so it might
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: be a little different, but hang with me, it should
• 5:48
  Speaker 4: be pretty close the grossest fight to.
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: Start it off. I don't even know how it's on
• 5:53
  Speaker 3: this card.
• 5:54
  Speaker 4: Sewn and Bannon taking on elease our deal in Bannon
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: eighty nine hundred, Elise seventy three hundred. Yeah, Bannon at
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: minus one seventy five Ardileen plus one to fifty despite
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: plus one thirty to finish Ardelene, the dog has a
• 6:10
  Speaker 4: better inside the distance profit plus two eighty Bannon plus
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: three hundred. I mean, I don't know how you can
• 6:17
  Speaker 4: get a grocer's fight to start off with Marley, but
• 6:20
  Speaker 4: ownership should be low. Plus one thirty isn't crazy to finish,
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: especially like the dog. If you look at the props,
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: the dog having a better finishing odds than the favorite,
• 6:29
  Speaker 4: seventy three hundred is a good price tag. She's my
• 6:31
  Speaker 4: preferred play, but when you dig into it, I mean
• 6:34
  Speaker 4: she's what a TikTok star an OnlyFans girl like, I
• 6:37
  Speaker 4: don't know this is someone I really want to be
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: putting my money on either, So how do you see
• 6:41
  Speaker 4: this plight?
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: Yeah, at least favorite fight on the card for every purpose,
• 6:47
  Speaker 5: Bannon is gonna be an X out for me. I
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: really have zero interest in Bannon. I think if you're
• 6:51
  Speaker 5: using her, it's just to get different, get somebody who
• 6:54
  Speaker 5: could possibly be single ownerships, single digit ownerships, and then
• 6:59
  Speaker 5: you would probably hope that she wrestles, because she just
• 7:02
  Speaker 5: she doesn't have power. Man, she's sloppy on the feet,
• 7:05
  Speaker 5: she's not throwing volume. So the only way she's gonna
• 7:08
  Speaker 5: be able to get there is if she does wrestle.
• 7:10
  Speaker 5: Land's like three plus takedowns, has eight minutes of top
• 7:12
  Speaker 5: control time, and hopefully she's throwing more strikes on the
• 7:16
  Speaker 5: ground than she does on the feet, because that's the
• 7:17
  Speaker 5: only way she's paying off eighty nine hundred. But not
• 7:19
  Speaker 5: only does she have to pay off eighty nine hundred,
• 7:21
  Speaker 5: she's got to beat a bunch of other favorites too.
• 7:23
  Speaker 5: So I'm just gonna ex her out. Don't care about
• 7:25
  Speaker 5: the ownership play at all. I do have a little
• 7:28
  Speaker 5: bit of interest in Ardeleine. I kind of think that
• 7:31
  Speaker 5: this should be a pick'm fight. I was a little
• 7:33
  Speaker 5: bit more impressed with her on film. I thought her
• 7:36
  Speaker 5: striking was a little bit cleaner. I could maybe see
• 7:38
  Speaker 5: her being higher volume, and then I was most impressed
• 7:41
  Speaker 5: when she hit the mat. She was pretty aggressive with
• 7:44
  Speaker 5: her ground and pound, but she's just never beating anybody good.
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: I think her wins are against a combined nine and
• 7:52
  Speaker 5: fifteen opponents, so band is not any better. So I
• 7:56
  Speaker 5: feel like she could put up a little bit of
• 7:58
  Speaker 5: the same work, but at seventy three D she just
• 8:01
  Speaker 5: has to do a lot less in order to pay
• 8:03
  Speaker 5: that off. I think if she wins, she'll be flirting
• 8:05
  Speaker 5: with ten x possibly more. So I'll keep Artolene in
• 8:08
  Speaker 5: my player pool. I think she's a fine cash game
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: play as well, if you're looking for somebody who has
• 8:13
  Speaker 5: a floor who could also win. But yeah, Bannon is
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: my least favorite play on the card first x OT
• 8:18
  Speaker 5: when I get to the ship Demiser.
• 8:20
  Speaker 4: Yeah, okay, so you like like Arnold Allen. So my
• 8:24
  Speaker 4: thought right now, I've Bannon in the pool. We Ever,
• 8:26
  Speaker 4: I'll say this, we Ever tied for the second lowest
• 8:29
  Speaker 4: owned on the card at ten percent, and by far
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: the lowest owned in the top range. My thought process was,
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: I mean, especially like low level woman's mma. Artilene's also
• 8:40
  Speaker 4: taking this fight on short note, relatively short notice, Like
• 8:43
  Speaker 4: there's just so much variance in it, like both, Like,
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: I just think one girl could put up one hundred
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: plus one girl not even show up and one get
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: like four takedowns nine minutes of control time. Do you
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: think that's in play for Bannon or Artolene or just one.
• 8:58
  Speaker 5: Side expect this to be a striking match. To be
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: honest with you, I didn't go back and rewatch much
• 9:05
  Speaker 5: Bannon film. I watched the fight with her in Brazil.
• 9:09
  Speaker 5: I didn't even know this fight was added until like
• 9:11
  Speaker 5: last night or the night before, so I just got
• 9:13
  Speaker 5: to it and I watched the last like four fights,
• 9:16
  Speaker 5: three or four fights for Ardelene, and I was just
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: way more impressed with Ardelene. I mean, nothing impressive early
• 9:23
  Speaker 5: about her on the feet, which I do expect this
• 9:25
  Speaker 5: to be striking verus striking, and neither one of them
• 9:27
  Speaker 5: doing a whole lot, but something like lights of fire
• 9:31
  Speaker 5: under her when she gets in top control. She's trying
• 9:33
  Speaker 5: to finish the fight right away. So that was what
• 9:35
  Speaker 5: I figured. Gave us the highest ceiling, and at seventy
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: three hundred to eighty nine hundred, I just feel like
• 9:42
  Speaker 5: they should be eighty one hundred apiece. To be honest
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: with you, if I was lining this fight, it would
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: be a pick and fight and I wouldn't even even
• 9:50
  Speaker 5: thought you were crazy for favoring Ardolene here, so I
• 9:52
  Speaker 5: think it's just the late. Notice she's never beaten anybody good,
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: that's why she is the underdog. But god, Bannon was
• 9:59
  Speaker 5: so sloppy, like she's throwing front kicks and then following
• 10:03
  Speaker 5: with a jab before her foot even hits the ground. Like,
• 10:06
  Speaker 5: I just I couldn't do it with Bannon and eighty
• 10:08
  Speaker 5: nine hundred. I like laughed when I saw that price.
• 10:10
  Speaker 5: So there's no chance I'm not gonna see her in
• 10:12
  Speaker 5: my lineups.
• 10:13
  Speaker 4: Yeah, no, that makes sense. We spent enough time on
• 10:15
  Speaker 4: that first fight. We both agree dogg or pass as
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: Morisel to play. We'll see if I even have one
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: or two Bannons in twenty and below, but definitely we'll
• 10:24
  Speaker 4: cap it if I keep her in the pool.
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: Let's get to another fight.
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: I'm not very interested in Mick Parkin Lucas Preski heavyweights
• 10:32
  Speaker 4: on the card.
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: We have Breski the dog he is. Let me say
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: the favorite thing.
• 10:38
  Speaker 4: Hold on minus three forty for Parkin, plus two eighty
• 10:41
  Speaker 4: for Breski, plus one thirty five for this fight to
• 10:43
  Speaker 4: finish Parkin plus one eighty five Breski plus five fifty.
• 10:49
  Speaker 4: So I look at this fight very similar to that
• 10:52
  Speaker 4: Usman Peterson fight a last week heavyweights. Both fights were
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: expected to go the distance, and then one side it
• 10:59
  Speaker 4: looks like is more likely to wrestle. I thought it
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: was Peterson last week. I think it's Parking this week.
• 11:04
  Speaker 4: But I mean we're hoping he does like parkin hashown
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: wrestling prior to the UFC Contender Series, got his first
• 11:11
  Speaker 4: round submission, but he's been fine, just staying on the feet,
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: striking at range with guys. I think he probably can
• 11:17
  Speaker 4: beat Rescy that way. But if he does, this fight
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: is not going to score. I prefer the Parking side
• 11:22
  Speaker 4: because he'll be low owned, and if there is someone
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: to get takedowns, I think it'd be clear as day
• 11:27
  Speaker 4: Reskie been taken down like Carl Williams absolutely put a
• 11:30
  Speaker 4: pace on him. I'll have some parking, like I prefer
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: parking the Bannon who he just talked about. But relative
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: to others in the upper tier, I really don't like
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: parking much. I don't like rescue much. This isn't a
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: fight I'm gonna have a lot of Again, compared to
• 11:44
  Speaker 4: that Usman Peterson fight a lot as of last week,
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: What do you see.
• 11:49
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I do like Parking in the matchup. I think
• 11:52
  Speaker 5: on the feet, maybe it could be close like volume wise,
• 11:55
  Speaker 5: but I'm just more impressed with Parkins overall technique and skill.
• 12:00
  Speaker 5: So I just I don't think he's got a lot
• 12:01
  Speaker 5: of power behind his punches. But they are heavyweights, so
• 12:03
  Speaker 5: it could definitely be a knockout in any round. He
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: doesn't slow down much as the fight moves along either.
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: But I think for Parking to put up a big score,
• 12:12
  Speaker 5: which he could do, I think he's gonna have to
• 12:14
  Speaker 5: wrestle in order to do that. But I think he's
• 12:17
  Speaker 5: in play for a knockout. I think he's in play
• 12:18
  Speaker 5: for some ground and pound finish. I think he's in
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: play for a three round wrestling and grappling clinic too.
• 12:25
  Speaker 5: So I do think Parking can put up a big score.
• 12:28
  Speaker 5: I just don't think it's likely. I think that the
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: fight probably stays on the feet more than we would like,
• 12:34
  Speaker 5: and that is what puts Bresky in play. Bresky could
• 12:37
  Speaker 5: win with okay volume, maybe score around ten x. He's
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: a big boy too, maybe he can get the knockout.
• 12:45
  Speaker 5: But I just think that Parking that low ownership is
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: what really interests me because I think he does have
• 12:50
  Speaker 5: a black belt and for him to look like a
• 12:53
  Speaker 5: minus what's he at now minus spree forty five favorite,
• 12:57
  Speaker 5: like you got to take the fight to the ground,
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: so almost expecting him to do that at some point,
• 13:02
  Speaker 5: And if he does, I could see him finishing the
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: fight or just hanging out in top control for the
• 13:06
  Speaker 5: rest of the round or all three rounds, if that's
• 13:08
  Speaker 5: what he wants to do at the start of the fight.
• 13:11
  Speaker 5: So for the ownership, for the possible upside, I'll play
• 13:14
  Speaker 5: some park in. But if you told me to give
• 13:16
  Speaker 5: an actual projection on what he's gonna score, I would
• 13:19
  Speaker 5: think that he stays on the feet for ten minutes
• 13:21
  Speaker 5: and he probably puts up like seventy six points, and
• 13:25
  Speaker 5: I mean, that's not gonna cut it. So if you
• 13:27
  Speaker 5: want to fade it, I think it's fine. But the
• 13:29
  Speaker 5: ownership is going to talk me into some parkin. Yeah,
• 13:31
  Speaker 5: you and I see at the same Reski as well.
• 13:34
  Speaker 5: I just like other underdogs more on the card. I'm
• 13:36
  Speaker 5: not going to x out Bresky, but I'm also not
• 13:39
  Speaker 5: going to get more than like twenty percent.
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: Right now on exin ol Breski.
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: Maybe all teams at maybe I'll go like x Olt
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: Bannon Gobreski, but regardless, I know parkins my solet's line
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: open minus two to twenty five now minus three forty five.
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: So Moneys came in on parking Tom Asmaholl's training partners.
• 13:57
  Speaker 4: That's not too surprising, but the reason so fourteen fights
• 14:01
  Speaker 4: and two five rounders right away, I'm telling myself, I
• 14:03
  Speaker 4: want one hundred plus from every single fighter. Now I'm
• 14:06
  Speaker 4: fine with like some dogs, it is pretty top heavy,
• 14:09
  Speaker 4: where like if a dog gets eighty for seventy three hundred,
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: I'd be very happy with that. I'd get overweight to that,
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: but at least the favorites I know, I want big scores,
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: even underdogs. I'm thinking at least one or two, probably
• 14:21
  Speaker 4: put up ninety plus. I mean, it is heavyweight, so
• 14:25
  Speaker 4: anything can happen. But plus five fifty is not a
• 14:27
  Speaker 4: good inside the distance prop for Breski. I don't think
• 14:29
  Speaker 4: he has wrestling upside. It feels like a close decision
• 14:33
  Speaker 4: by striking is how he wins, and he's in enemy territory,
• 14:36
  Speaker 4: so it feels tough to even get that. Parking my
• 14:38
  Speaker 4: preferred side, not like Molly mccannon. I prefer Patterson, I
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: prefer aspinall, I prefer Leon like all that, but ownership
• 14:47
  Speaker 4: will also always go to them over parking, and there
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: is some wrestling takedown upside, and I mean plus one
• 14:54
  Speaker 4: seventy five inside the distance really isn't bad, So I
• 14:57
  Speaker 4: will be having some parking as well.
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: Differential eight.
• 15:00
  Speaker 4: Then you can play Aspinall, can play the lah Leon,
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: you can eat more chalk, and you do play someone
• 15:07
  Speaker 4: like Parkin. Let's keep it rolling plenty to talk about
• 15:10
  Speaker 4: Sam Patterson. Keifer Crosby up next, ninety three hundred, Patterson
• 15:14
  Speaker 4: sixty nine hundred is Keifer Crosby. We have Patterson the
• 15:19
  Speaker 4: second biggest favorite, no, the biggest favorite on the card
• 15:22
  Speaker 4: right now, minus four to thirty five Keifer Crosby plus
• 15:26
  Speaker 4: three to thirty five. This fight is the second most
• 15:28
  Speaker 4: likely to finish behind aspinall blades at minus six hundred
• 15:32
  Speaker 4: Patterson minus two to twenty five inside the distance Crosby
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: plus three to twenty five. Round one prop Patterson plus
• 15:41
  Speaker 4: one thirty Crosby plus four fifty. I mean, you just
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: look at those props right now, Big Marley, that seems
• 15:48
  Speaker 4: that's a load up fight. Winners should score well obviously
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: pricing very different ownership. You know, I'll say ownership in
• 15:56
  Speaker 4: this fight right now, we have Patterson thirty six percent,
• 15:59
  Speaker 4: cross be eleven percent. I'll just say, I mean Crosby
• 16:03
  Speaker 4: with all those props and the leverage and all of that.
• 16:05
  Speaker 4: I get he's the biggest dog, but if he wins,
• 16:08
  Speaker 4: he breaks the slate, I'm gonna be playing Crosby, but
• 16:11
  Speaker 4: I will play Patterson too.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: How do you see it?
• 16:13
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think this is one of the best fights
• 16:15
  Speaker 5: on the card to target. If Crosby wins, he's breaking
• 16:19
  Speaker 5: the slate at sixty nine hundred, because I think his
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: real only path to victory would be a first round knockout,
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: possibly a second round knockout, because he does come out aggressive,
• 16:29
  Speaker 5: throwing bombs, and we have seen Patterson flat line before.
• 16:32
  Speaker 5: He's kind of got that tall man defense. So it
• 16:34
  Speaker 5: wouldn't shock me at all to see Crosby just spark him,
• 16:37
  Speaker 5: maybe even a quick quick win bonus and then you're
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: done if you don't have them. But I do think
• 16:42
  Speaker 5: that there's two underdogs on this sleive. You could just
• 16:45
  Speaker 5: absolutely break the slate. You have some of the highest
• 16:47
  Speaker 5: ceilings on the whole card and Crosby is one of them.
• 16:51
  Speaker 5: But if he doesn't get that first that knockout in
• 16:54
  Speaker 5: like the first six to seven minutes, I just think
• 16:56
  Speaker 5: that Patterson is the better striker for the course of
• 16:58
  Speaker 5: fifteen minutes. And if Patterson gets a takedown, I just
• 17:03
  Speaker 5: think that's it's a wrap for Crosby. I just don't
• 17:05
  Speaker 5: think Crosby has anything for Patterson on the ground. Patterson
• 17:09
  Speaker 5: could get a first round submission he had I want
• 17:13
  Speaker 5: to say, ninety eight in his last fight, or he
• 17:15
  Speaker 5: did have a first round submission. I think that's in play.
• 17:18
  Speaker 5: But I also think he has a higher ceiling by
• 17:20
  Speaker 5: racking up a couple more takedowns, spending more time in
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: top control. Maybe he gets the submission in the fourth
• 17:25
  Speaker 5: minute of the first round, puts up one hundred and
• 17:27
  Speaker 5: ten one hundred and fifteen points. So I definitely prefer
• 17:31
  Speaker 5: Patterson because that's the more likely outcome. But yeah, man
• 17:36
  Speaker 5: sixty nine hundred for somebody who can break the slate,
• 17:38
  Speaker 5: I gotta sign up for Crosby. I'll be fine doubling
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: the field on Crosby, and then Patterson's somebody who would
• 17:44
  Speaker 5: be closer to like a core player or something who
• 17:46
  Speaker 5: I want in forty percent or more in my lineups.
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: I'm with you.
• 17:49
  Speaker 4: I think Patterson my first round submission on the feeded scarier.
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: Like what you were talking about with Siggy's talking about
• 17:56
  Speaker 4: Ashton was comes up absolutely flatlines them in London.
• 18:00
  Speaker 3: So maybe he's having some nightmares back there.
• 18:03
  Speaker 4: But that was at one fifty five six ' three,
• 18:05
  Speaker 4: like he was huge coming up to one seventy. Still
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: got to work on the striking defense, but man, volume's there.
• 18:11
  Speaker 4: He's skilled, Like I think he's better than Crosby wherever
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: the fight goes. But if it's a firefight, it's on
• 18:16
  Speaker 4: the feet. Patterson's chin, Crosby can hit. That's the scary part.
• 18:20
  Speaker 4: But yeah, the longer the fight goes, it's Patterson. Like
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: I think Patterson probably puts up one oh five, one
• 18:26
  Speaker 4: ten here and I'll have a lot. But Crosby at
• 18:29
  Speaker 4: eleven percent, just the props and the leverage, like I
• 18:32
  Speaker 4: think he gets dusted and scores ten. But we talk
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: about a lot on this show. It's not necessarily what
• 18:36
  Speaker 4: we think. We play ownership, We play numbers. Check out
• 18:39
  Speaker 4: the education video we have. MMA education video was released
• 18:43
  Speaker 4: two days ago. Definitely checked it out. You hear more
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: than some of the difference is Big Marley and myself.
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: I look at numbers ownership a little more than that.
• 18:51
  Speaker 4: Big Marley goes with I know ball his field. He
• 18:54
  Speaker 4: looks at that a little bit as well. But definitely
• 18:56
  Speaker 4: check out that video. I'll have a lot of this
• 18:59
  Speaker 4: fight Sam Patterson first round sub for me.
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: Let's keep it going.
• 19:04
  Speaker 4: Next fight absolute banger. And when I say banger, I
• 19:08
  Speaker 4: don't know if it's the most entertaining it could be,
• 19:10
  Speaker 4: but just name value. Mohammed makayav Manel Cop bad Blood
• 19:14
  Speaker 4: in this one a field, it looks like should be
• 19:16
  Speaker 4: fun eighty four hundred Makaya of seventy eight hundred is
• 19:20
  Speaker 4: COP minus would be got one fifty nine for Makayab
• 19:24
  Speaker 4: plus one thirty nine for Cop, So it's plus one
• 19:27
  Speaker 4: forty to finish the underdog and COP better inside the
• 19:31
  Speaker 4: distance prop at plus two eighty five Makayah plus thirty twenty.
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: So I'm gonna say this ownership Big Marley because I
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: was surprised. Makaya twenty five percent COP nineteen. If you're
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: telling me Makaia's only twenty five percent, like I have
• 19:47
  Speaker 4: to play it. He's six of his seven wins he
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: scored over five or six wins he scored over ninety
• 19:55
  Speaker 4: nine or higher. The last one against Alex Perez, he
• 19:58
  Speaker 4: did only score seventy four, and it was the biggest
• 20:00
  Speaker 4: step up in competition. I do think this matchup is
• 20:03
  Speaker 4: more similar to the Perez one seventy seven percent takedown
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: defense for Cop good wrestler himself. But I mean, Mkaya's
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: gonna have to wrestle every second of this fight. He
• 20:13
  Speaker 4: doesn't want to stand. He averages what five point seventy
• 20:17
  Speaker 4: five takedowns like, he chains them control time. He's a
• 20:21
  Speaker 4: DFS monster twenty five percent. If that's true, I definitely
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: need to get overweights. And then I thought it was
• 20:27
  Speaker 4: gonna be something like thirty six percent to like sixteen
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: percent mkaye of Cop. And in that case, and I
• 20:35
  Speaker 4: had some interesting Cop, but I still didn't love Cop
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: because a third round knockout might might be dust. Like
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: he's gonna fight out takedowns constantly. He can knock him
• 20:44
  Speaker 4: out at any time. But this fight's favored to go
• 20:47
  Speaker 4: over its favor to go the distance. I mean, Kle's
• 20:49
  Speaker 4: not getting there, I don't think in the decision, So yeah,
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: I guess talk a little bit about your thoughts on
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: that ownership, because if so, like Mkai of in the
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: high twenties, I'm in, I.
• 21:02
  Speaker 5: Did start both of them a little bit higher, but
• 21:05
  Speaker 5: with fourteen fights, I ended up having to go down
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: on a lot of these fighters ownership, and this was
• 21:11
  Speaker 5: just one of them. But from what I've listened to
• 21:14
  Speaker 5: this week, it just feels like everybody can't wait to
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: fade Makayev. It's like everyone on Twitter's picking Cop, but
• 21:21
  Speaker 5: the line is going the other way. And that's always
• 21:24
  Speaker 5: when I like to lean with the line, to be
• 21:26
  Speaker 5: honest with you. So I do like Makaiav in this
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: one because he should not be looking to strike at
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: all in this whole matchup. He should be looking for
• 21:34
  Speaker 5: double legs in the first twenty seconds of this fight,
• 21:37
  Speaker 5: and if he fails, he needs to shoot for another
• 21:39
  Speaker 5: one because if this fight's on the feet, it's gonna
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: be one way traffic for Cop, and I think that
• 21:45
  Speaker 5: the knockout is live really in any round for Cop.
• 21:49
  Speaker 5: Some books even have him having a better inside the
• 21:51
  Speaker 5: distance line, and that just wouldn't shock me to see
• 21:55
  Speaker 5: him either pick apart Makaiev on the feet or pick
• 21:58
  Speaker 5: him apart in the route to an knockout, which he
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: could put up one hundred plus points. But I just
• 22:04
  Speaker 5: like to take those grapplers who can wrestle hard for
• 22:07
  Speaker 5: fifteen full minutes and he could shoot for twenty takedowns
• 22:10
  Speaker 5: in this matchup. And if he is shooting for twenty takedowns,
• 22:13
  Speaker 5: I feel good about him getting about five of them
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: at least. So yeah, makaiav is my preferred play in
• 22:18
  Speaker 5: this In this fight, I will get cop exposure. I
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: don't want to be too far under the field. Let's
• 22:25
  Speaker 5: say he's gonna be twenty percent. I don't want to
• 22:27
  Speaker 5: be ten or less. I probably want to be closer
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: to like fifteen if I'm gonna be underweight, But I'd
• 22:31
  Speaker 5: also be fine going up to twenty five or something
• 22:34
  Speaker 5: like that on him, because Makaiah is somebody who I
• 22:37
  Speaker 5: do plan on having leverage on. In his first five
• 22:41
  Speaker 5: wins that you mentioned, he averaged one hundred and fourteen
• 22:44
  Speaker 5: DraftKings points in those wins. Like that's somebody who I
• 22:47
  Speaker 5: like to target at all times, and this is somebody
• 22:49
  Speaker 5: who needs to be wrestling in this matchup, and if
• 22:52
  Speaker 5: he does it, he's gonna score well in a win.
• 22:54
  Speaker 5: So give me MAKAIV. I think he'll do that, and
• 22:56
  Speaker 5: I think he'll win possibly all three rounds. But if not,
• 23:00
  Speaker 5: give me him winning two rounds and he might still
• 23:02
  Speaker 5: be able to get there.
• 23:04
  Speaker 3: Yeah, you and I see it the same way.
• 23:05
  Speaker 4: It really comes down to, like if he was thirty
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: five percent, I mean, I'm still playing. I'm regardless of
• 23:10
  Speaker 4: what the ownership is because nobody in that price range
• 23:14
  Speaker 4: really has the upside he has, Like he has the
• 23:17
  Speaker 4: most you can argue, the most upside on the slate. Now,
• 23:20
  Speaker 4: the matchup is definitely more difficult for him to get,
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: like the one hundred and thirty plus or whatever. But
• 23:26
  Speaker 4: his style, like we keep talking about, so so good
• 23:29
  Speaker 4: for DFS decision submission, Like, I mean plus three twenty
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: five isn't that bad inside the distance either, So mkaia
• 23:36
  Speaker 4: in my preferred play, your preferred play wouldn't be surprised
• 23:39
  Speaker 4: if ownership was a little more spread out or was
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: a little more wide than that. But I think I
• 23:45
  Speaker 4: think it should be rightfully so, I think twenty five
• 23:48
  Speaker 4: nineteen mkaya is the clear play there. Keep it rolling,
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: next fight again, appreciate everyone hanging out live. Someone asks,
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: is this live. Yes, it is new time Todds in here.
• 23:57
  Speaker 4: What's going on? Eric Carci appreciate the words, Ge Kiteer,
• 24:01
  Speaker 4: Hope you're doing well.
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: Next fight should also be a pretty good one here.
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: Preston Parsons obon Elliott's.
• 24:07
  Speaker 4: We have Parsons at eighty six hundred, Elliott seventy six
• 24:12
  Speaker 4: hundred minus one forty five for Parsons plus one twenty
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: five for Elliott. This fight's minus one fifteen to finish.
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: Parsons plus one eighty Elliott plus three twenty five. One
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: thing I'll mention before I throw it to you, this
• 24:26
  Speaker 4: fight's inside the distance. Prop opened plus one twenty got
• 24:30
  Speaker 4: all the way down to minus one twenty five this morning,
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: and then some money has came back in on the
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: over now minus one fifteen. Take this fight away. I
• 24:39
  Speaker 4: think a pretty good one to target. We'll top lay
• 24:42
  Speaker 4: the house. I hope you're doing well.
• 24:43
  Speaker 5: What's happening?
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah?
• 24:45
  Speaker 5: I agree. I like this fight, but I am going
• 24:48
  Speaker 5: to be more so on the Parsons side, especially for DraftKings,
• 24:52
  Speaker 5: because he is somebody who's looking to wrestle. Quite often
• 24:56
  Speaker 5: he will go out there and strike, but he landed
• 24:58
  Speaker 5: seven takedowns in his left matchup, and that was against Siemlsberger,
• 25:01
  Speaker 5: who's not a scrub. And then his win before that
• 25:04
  Speaker 5: was against Evan Elder, who I think just broke the
• 25:07
  Speaker 5: slate recently. He had one hundred and eight DraftKings points
• 25:10
  Speaker 5: against Elder. He landed four takedowns in that matchup. He
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: even landed three takedowns against Giles and a loss. I
• 25:16
  Speaker 5: just think that that's gonna be his style moving forward,
• 25:19
  Speaker 5: and if he wins fights, he's gonna score eighty to
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty like every single time. And I
• 25:25
  Speaker 5: think this is kind of similar. I mean, I would
• 25:28
  Speaker 5: give Elliott the overall striking edge, but I don't I
• 25:33
  Speaker 5: don't know that he has the greatest chin. I don't
• 25:35
  Speaker 5: know that he would destroy Parsons. I think Parsons could
• 25:38
  Speaker 5: hang in there on the feet. But Elliott was taken
• 25:41
  Speaker 5: down twice by Val Woodburn and he was reversed once
• 25:44
  Speaker 5: Pye Woodburn as well, somebody who has nothing off of
• 25:46
  Speaker 5: his back. So I just think that the style of
• 25:49
  Speaker 5: Parsons is gonna give him troubles. And Parsons has one
• 25:53
  Speaker 5: of the highest ceilings on the slate with his takedown
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: ability because he could get eight takedowns in this fight,
• 25:59
  Speaker 5: spent ten minutes in top control, and he's pretty active
• 26:02
  Speaker 5: along the way as well. So I like Parsons. I
• 26:04
  Speaker 5: expect him to pay off the eighty six hundred dollars
• 26:07
  Speaker 5: if he does win, and I probably go overweight to Parsons.
• 26:12
  Speaker 5: But on the other end, I do want Elliott exposure
• 26:14
  Speaker 5: to more of a hedge, but I'll probably be a
• 26:17
  Speaker 5: round field weight on him just so I don't get burned.
• 26:19
  Speaker 5: But since I'm picking him to lose, I don't want
• 26:21
  Speaker 5: to get too much leverage on him because I do
• 26:23
  Speaker 5: still like other underdogs more on the card. But Elliott
• 26:26
  Speaker 5: can mix in wrestling. He can get a knockout, he
• 26:28
  Speaker 5: can be pretty active on the feet. He scored well
• 26:30
  Speaker 5: against Woodburn. He had he had one hundred and two points.
• 26:34
  Speaker 5: I don't really see him having one hundred plus upside
• 26:36
  Speaker 5: in this fight, but at seventy six hundred, I don't
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: know that we needed. I think he could put up
• 26:40
  Speaker 5: eighty five plus and that probably could get the job done.
• 26:43
  Speaker 5: So I'll get some exposure to him. But give me
• 26:46
  Speaker 5: those high paced wrestlers and that's Parsons.
• 26:49
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I couldn't agree to anymore. Four point three takedowns
• 26:52
  Speaker 4: per fifteen minutes for Parsons. Both UFC wins scored over
• 26:56
  Speaker 4: one hundred. I mean Oban Elliott, he looked so that
• 26:59
  Speaker 4: was the card California, Rio and I were right there.
• 27:02
  Speaker 4: Elliott was like one of the biggest favorites on the card.
• 27:06
  Speaker 4: Man it was like, keep it looked good. That was
• 27:08
  Speaker 4: so tired. It was literally it seemed like two minutes
• 27:11
  Speaker 4: into the fight. Took it on short notice. I mean,
• 27:14
  Speaker 4: Oban made that sweaty, way too sweaty. He had cracked early.
• 27:18
  Speaker 4: He relied on his control time against the fence takedowns,
• 27:21
  Speaker 4: but I wasn't very impressed. However, USC debut twenty six
• 27:25
  Speaker 4: years old, I'm expecting improvement, so I totally agree with you.
• 27:30
  Speaker 4: I'm on Parsons side, prefer him in dfs, putting him upside,
• 27:34
  Speaker 4: but seventy six hundred fights expected to finish. He has
• 27:38
  Speaker 4: some wrestling, some striking as well. It's mma Parsons could
• 27:43
  Speaker 4: have an off day, not feel good. Oban great training,
• 27:46
  Speaker 4: k I'm still young, getting better goes in these sparks
• 27:49
  Speaker 4: up I wouldn't be surprised, but Parsons my preferred side
• 27:53
  Speaker 4: as well. We'll keep it going as you could probably
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: see the voice and the stuffiness not doing too well
• 27:59
  Speaker 4: right now. Next fight on the card very easy for me.
• 28:02
  Speaker 4: Madessa's Bucaucus and Marcine Praknew Bukaukis. We have at minus
• 28:10
  Speaker 4: and they're moving this order around minus one forty six
• 28:14
  Speaker 4: practew plus one twenty six. This fight's plus one twenty
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: to finish Bukalucus plus two forty pract me ow plus
• 28:21
  Speaker 4: three twenty five. I'm faded in this fight in twenty
• 28:24
  Speaker 4: and below plus two to plus one twenty to finish
• 28:27
  Speaker 4: isn't crazy, like is solid? I guess both individual inside
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: the distance props solid, but they need a first or
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: second round knockout out thing for someone to be optimal.
• 28:38
  Speaker 4: Neither has wrestling upside pract no out solid volume, but
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: he just plays pitter patter on the outside. I think
• 28:45
  Speaker 4: Bukalkis will fade right into that game plan. Fifteen minutes
• 28:49
  Speaker 4: patty cake, back and forth, winner, score seventy, Move on,
• 28:53
  Speaker 4: enjoy the day. So yeah, I got nothing for this
• 28:55
  Speaker 4: one in twenty below.
• 28:57
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm fine with that. I think this is my
• 29:00
  Speaker 5: that can't least favorite fight on the card to target
• 29:03
  Speaker 5: who's gout? I mean they're both in play for a knockout.
• 29:06
  Speaker 5: They both of them have been TKO four times in
• 29:09
  Speaker 5: their careers, and they both are big boys. They have
• 29:12
  Speaker 5: a little bit of power. So I don't know that
• 29:14
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna completely fade this fight just because they should
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: be low owned and they do have one hundred point upside,
• 29:20
  Speaker 5: but I would prefer to get like ten percent or
• 29:23
  Speaker 5: so if I'm gonna use either side, but especially Bukowskis.
• 29:27
  Speaker 5: He's my more likely fade because the only way he
• 29:31
  Speaker 5: hits one hundred points is a first round knockout. If
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: he's not getting a first round knockout, he's not getting
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: one hundred points, and he's probably still not even getting
• 29:38
  Speaker 5: ten x if he gets a second round knockout. I
• 29:40
  Speaker 5: mean maybe with the knockdown he could get there. But
• 29:43
  Speaker 5: this is a guy who scored fifty six and fifty
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: two in his last wins. I mean that's just the
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: style he has. He's not gonna be get landing any takedowns.
• 29:52
  Speaker 5: He's not high volume, and if he's not testing Pratchgo's
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: weak chin, he's not gonna score well. He's more in
• 29:58
  Speaker 5: play for fifty six than he is for eighty five.
• 30:02
  Speaker 5: In a decision, and then on the other end, I
• 30:05
  Speaker 5: do like Pratchney out as an underdog. I think that
• 30:09
  Speaker 5: this is another fight that could be a pick and fight,
• 30:11
  Speaker 5: and if they're gonna just sit on the outside and
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: throw jabs at each other, the judges aren't gonna have
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: any idea who's gonna win that fight, and it's gonna
• 30:18
  Speaker 5: be easier for pratchne how to pay off a seventy
• 30:20
  Speaker 5: seven hundred dollars price tag. I also don't think he's
• 30:24
  Speaker 5: hitting ten x either, so I don't love him, but
• 30:26
  Speaker 5: he is an underdog that I'm gonna pick to win,
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: so I'll get more exposure to the Prachee outside. But if,
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: like for some reason, ownership climbs on him, then I'll
• 30:35
  Speaker 5: just I'll go less. So like the lower ownership stays.
• 30:37
  Speaker 5: That keeps me interested, But if the field's gonna like
• 30:41
  Speaker 5: him too, then then I'm off of it. I just
• 30:43
  Speaker 5: don't really care about this fight either. I think most
• 30:45
  Speaker 5: likely the winner's gonna score sixty points, and we don't
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: care who it is because that's not gonna be on
• 30:50
  Speaker 5: the optimal lineup. But give me Prochneeu to pull off
• 30:53
  Speaker 5: the split decision.
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: Win sixty points.
• 30:56
  Speaker 4: That's what I'm chure for nothing for me at twenty
• 30:58
  Speaker 4: and below pract now would be my preferred side with
• 31:01
  Speaker 4: you as well, though, keep it rolling. Fourteen to talk
• 31:04
  Speaker 4: about plenty left Colin lawfer and taking on Jay Cadley.
• 31:07
  Speaker 4: Minus two ten is law Fern, plus one eighty is Hadley.
• 31:11
  Speaker 4: This fight is expected to go the distance plus one
• 31:14
  Speaker 4: seventy to finish. Law Fern plus two seventy five inside
• 31:19
  Speaker 4: the distance Hadley plus four fifty.
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: Throw it right to you in this one. What do
• 31:23
  Speaker 3: you see?
• 31:24
  Speaker 5: Yeah? Hadley took this fight on short notice up a
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: weight class, I.
• 31:29
  Speaker 3: Believe, correct you?
• 31:30
  Speaker 5: And uh was he finishing?
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: Now?
• 31:33
  Speaker 5: He wasn't finished? Okay?
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: Uh?
• 31:35
  Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean he's coming off a loss, two
• 31:37
  Speaker 5: losses in a row now on short notice up a
• 31:41
  Speaker 5: weight class. I just haven't seen enough from him to
• 31:45
  Speaker 5: really have any faith in him. I think the only
• 31:47
  Speaker 5: edge he has in this fight would be grappling. But
• 31:50
  Speaker 5: he just doesn't have the wrestling to dictate where this
• 31:53
  Speaker 5: fight's gonna take place. And I feel like law Fern's
• 31:55
  Speaker 5: the better wrestler overall. He's gonna be the bigger, stronger guy.
• 31:58
  Speaker 5: So if he wants to keep the on the feet.
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: I feel like Hadley's gonna accept that and just strike
• 32:03
  Speaker 5: with this guy. And I don't think Hadley's gonna win
• 32:06
  Speaker 5: a striking match. I don't think he has any real
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: ceiling on the feet. I doubt he's knocking out law Fren.
• 32:11
  Speaker 5: And if there is a knockout in this fight, I
• 32:13
  Speaker 5: think it's law Fren knocking out Hadley. Lawfern does have power,
• 32:16
  Speaker 5: he is a high volume striker. He can mix in takedowns.
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: So I don't want to get too much exposure to Hadlee.
• 32:22
  Speaker 5: I don't know that I'm gonna x him out, but
• 32:24
  Speaker 5: I'm thinking about it. And then on the other end,
• 32:27
  Speaker 5: law Fren, I don't think he'll get too owned on
• 32:29
  Speaker 5: this card. I do think he has one hundred point ceiling,
• 32:32
  Speaker 5: so I'll keep him in the player pool. But the
• 32:35
  Speaker 5: way I have it, I just I don't know that
• 32:37
  Speaker 5: I want to get too much leverage over my projected
• 32:40
  Speaker 5: ownership because I feel like it's already up there high enough.
• 32:42
  Speaker 5: I could see me just match in the field something
• 32:44
  Speaker 5: like that around him, because I do prefer a guy
• 32:47
  Speaker 5: like Makayev who doesn't need a knockout to score one
• 32:51
  Speaker 5: hundred and twenty points, so I'll get exposure to him,
• 32:54
  Speaker 5: but probably twenty twenty percent range.
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: You think.
• 33:00
  Speaker 4: Like four plus takedowns control time are in play in
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: this one. I mean he's definitely the much more physical fighter,
• 33:06
  Speaker 4: Like I think he can like drag him against the fence,
• 33:09
  Speaker 4: control them if he's on top, probably control them there.
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: But do you think he mainly keeps it on the feed?
• 33:15
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it's in play if he wanted it
• 33:17
  Speaker 5: to be in play. But if he's having a clear
• 33:19
  Speaker 5: striking edge on the feet, like why even go to
• 33:22
  Speaker 5: the ground against somebody who wants to be on the ground,
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: I think he'll probably want to keep it on the feet.
• 33:28
  Speaker 5: The crowd's gonna be hyped in this one, so I
• 33:29
  Speaker 5: feel like he's gonna be shooting for the knockout, trying
• 33:31
  Speaker 5: to get a performance bonus.
• 33:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that makes sense.
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: Yeah, the thing is like Lafferin right there, one hundred
• 33:37
  Speaker 4: below Leon Parsons two hundred below, Makaya's right there.
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: You could definitely build it.
• 33:42
  Speaker 4: We'll get to the main event and stuff, but definitely
• 33:44
  Speaker 4: build teams plugging Leon and then take Leon out, leave
• 33:48
  Speaker 4: a little bit of salary with those guys and not
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: play Bawall or Leon Hope for Leon main or a
• 33:54
  Speaker 4: decision win or whatever. Parsons can definitely outscore him. Loffer
• 33:57
  Speaker 4: can definitely outscore him. So little things like that I
• 34:00
  Speaker 4: will be looking to do. And then you can play aspinall.
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: You can play whatever you want after that as well.
• 34:05
  Speaker 4: So I'll be looking to use Lawford in those. I
• 34:08
  Speaker 4: think he can't outscore Leon, but I do prefer Parsons,
• 34:11
  Speaker 4: like you tell me, they both win Parsons wrestling really
• 34:14
  Speaker 4: like he will wrestle.
• 34:16
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I actually prefer law fer In more than Leon
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: spoiler alert, But uh, I do like Parsons and makay
• 34:22
  Speaker 5: Of more than him, and they're both cheaper. So that's
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: why I feel like I'm kind of capped on how
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: much law Fern I can get. But shit, if I
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: get thirty five percent on the ship to miser, if
• 34:31
  Speaker 5: it lets me get to forty percent, I'm fine with that.
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: Yeah, makes a lot of sense to me. Keep it rolling,
• 34:37
  Speaker 4: Woman's Man, this crowd will be going crazy for this.
• 34:39
  Speaker 3: Well.
• 34:40
  Speaker 4: Meatball Mally McCann taking on brun Up Brazil. Mally McCann
• 34:44
  Speaker 4: a big favorite ninety two hundred Brazil seven K McCann
• 34:48
  Speaker 4: minus three thirty five Brazil plus two seventy five. This
• 34:52
  Speaker 4: fight's plus one oh five to finish most of the
• 34:54
  Speaker 4: finishing equity. Excuse me on the McCann side, plus one
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: fifty Brazil plus five point fifty. I mean it just
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: feels like the UFC wants Molly to win at home.
• 35:05
  Speaker 4: Really doesn't make a doesn't feel like a rocket scientist
• 35:09
  Speaker 4: needs to figure that one out. Now my question you
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: big Barley, I mean she can do it. She just
• 35:14
  Speaker 4: saw me pass to the optimal. Like the thing is
• 35:16
  Speaker 4: good luck picking the upper tier. Who's gonna be on
• 35:19
  Speaker 4: the optimal aspinall Patterson, Molly, McCann, Nathaniel would, And you
• 35:25
  Speaker 4: can still consider like Parsons law for in Leon if
• 35:28
  Speaker 4: you want to as well. I think that's where the
• 35:31
  Speaker 4: cards won or loss, Like one hundred might not be
• 35:34
  Speaker 4: enough for Molly, but she has plenty of ways to
• 35:36
  Speaker 4: get there, good volume. I think takedowns could be free
• 35:40
  Speaker 4: here submission on the table as well. Yeah, I like
• 35:43
  Speaker 4: Molly a lot, and you can definitely, like Nathaniel would
• 35:46
  Speaker 4: at ninety five hundred, leave three hundred, take him out,
• 35:49
  Speaker 4: go Molly. I mean, very very similar plays in my opinion, Brazil.
• 35:54
  Speaker 4: I'm keeping in the pool because I mean it's woman's mma, Like,
• 35:57
  Speaker 4: how many times do you just see like random shit
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: it happened, Like that's really my only logic to keep
• 36:02
  Speaker 4: her there, and Molly will push a high pace where
• 36:05
  Speaker 4: if she somehow does win, I think she scores okay,
• 36:08
  Speaker 4: but I don't know. Man tall task, especially getting a
• 36:11
  Speaker 4: decision which feels like your best chance against Molly and
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: ademy territory, that would be pretty pretty dominant decision I think.
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: So. Yeah, Molly definitely my preferred side.
• 36:21
  Speaker 5: I like her absolutely. I like Molly quite a bit.
• 36:24
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna x out Priscilla in this one. The only
• 36:28
  Speaker 5: way Prisill wins this fight is that this this fight
• 36:31
  Speaker 5: stays at range and they're both low volume strikers in Brazil.
• 36:36
  Speaker 3: Even then, I don't think she how does she get it? Yeah?
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: Yeah in England. Yeah, it's just not gonna happen. So
• 36:42
  Speaker 5: I'm exing her out mainly because I like Ardelene in
• 36:45
  Speaker 5: that first matchup. I think she's in play, but I
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: mean maybe a headkick for Prasil, but Molly's not out
• 36:51
  Speaker 5: there getting knocked out. She's out there getting out grappled
• 36:54
  Speaker 5: and I don't think that's in play for Brasil here.
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: I think if there is a grappler in this fight,
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: it's Molly. If there is a higham striker in this fight,
• 37:01
  Speaker 5: it's Molly. If there's somebody who's pushing a pace, it's
• 37:04
  Speaker 5: all Molly. So yeah, I think ninety two hundred is
• 37:07
  Speaker 5: vary in play. Actually, in her wins, she averages one
• 37:12
  Speaker 5: hundred and three DraftKings points in her wins, and she
• 37:15
  Speaker 5: has one hundred and twenty point upside here if she
• 37:18
  Speaker 5: wants to mix in takedowns. The way I'm picking her
• 37:20
  Speaker 5: to win is by TKO, whether it be on the
• 37:22
  Speaker 5: feet or a ground to pound stoppage. Yeah, I think
• 37:25
  Speaker 5: she's gonna be fired up from this crowd, and she's
• 37:28
  Speaker 5: gonna be pushing the pace from the opening bell. So
• 37:31
  Speaker 5: I like Molly quite a bit. I think even if
• 37:34
  Speaker 5: it does go to a decision, she can win all
• 37:36
  Speaker 5: three rounds still put up one hundred plus points. So
• 37:39
  Speaker 5: I'll be getting a good amount of exposure to Molly.
• 37:41
  Speaker 5: But you mentioned all those other people in the top range.
• 37:44
  Speaker 5: I want exposure to all of them, so I don't
• 37:45
  Speaker 5: know how much Molly I can get, but I feel
• 37:49
  Speaker 5: like since I like her a lot. That's another reason
• 37:50
  Speaker 5: I'm kind of capped on my law for and exposure.
• 37:52
  Speaker 5: But it's a good MMM card because I just want
• 37:56
  Speaker 5: to let the ship to miser decide for him to
• 37:57
  Speaker 5: get These are the people I like much can I
• 38:00
  Speaker 5: get of them?
• 38:01
  Speaker 4: The more fights there are, the better MME card it
• 38:04
  Speaker 4: is because ownership is more spread out.
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: Fourteen fights, I mean, pre COVID Big Marley. You remember,
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: you're still.
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: In the streets back in the day like Iowa was,
• 38:12
  Speaker 4: It was like fourteen fifteen every week.
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: There was no such thing as weight misses and stuff.
• 38:17
  Speaker 4: People pulling out a whole different world since then, and
• 38:20
  Speaker 4: now twelve is the norm, which is sad because this
• 38:23
  Speaker 4: used to be the norm. But adding the two to
• 38:25
  Speaker 4: five round fights as well, and a case to be
• 38:28
  Speaker 4: made that you could fade one of them and one
• 38:30
  Speaker 4: of them is getting all the ownership. I mean, it's
• 38:32
  Speaker 4: a nut DFS card for sure, and we'll get to
• 38:35
  Speaker 4: like Aspinall, but Aspinall can score one oh five and
• 38:39
  Speaker 4: that not could be enough because of Molly Patterson. Would
• 38:42
  Speaker 4: we're going to talk about. So this is really really
• 38:45
  Speaker 4: a good MMME card for sure. I'm always Emmy over
• 38:47
  Speaker 4: seeing entry personally have a goal. We talk about it
• 38:51
  Speaker 4: in education video. A lot can't find a better mme
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: card this one eighty thousand people in that three dollars contest,
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: Big boy prize pools out there, keep it rolling. I
• 39:01
  Speaker 4: mentioned Nathaniel would in a big favor, no better segue.
• 39:04
  Speaker 4: Nathaniel would the highest priced fighter on the card at
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: ninety five hundred. Thinking on Daniel, Pineda would minus four hundred.
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: Pineda plus three hundred, minus two hundred for this fight
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: to finish would minus one fifteen Pineda plus four hundred.
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: So Wood will be lower owned. And we have it
• 39:23
  Speaker 3: this way of Molly Patterson.
• 39:27
  Speaker 4: Leon aspinall because he's the highest priced and not even
• 39:31
  Speaker 4: the biggest favorite anymore. And everyone will go aspinall or
• 39:35
  Speaker 4: save a little bit, which makes me like Wood.
• 39:37
  Speaker 3: And then you dig into it more.
• 39:39
  Speaker 4: I mean, what's a great DFS guy five point nine
• 39:42
  Speaker 4: to one significant strikes per minute, one point seven four
• 39:45
  Speaker 4: to eight downs per fifteen, Then you dig deeper. Pineda
• 39:48
  Speaker 4: is kind of like a round one or bus type
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: of guy. At this point in his career. All of
• 39:52
  Speaker 4: his finishes are by all of his wins are by finish,
• 39:55
  Speaker 4: which is absolutely insane. He's been around the block for
• 39:58
  Speaker 4: a while. Man, Panita's live and round one, so I'll
• 40:02
  Speaker 4: play some and Wood is hit able. Longer the fight
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: goes though, Wood can pour it on him and there
• 40:06
  Speaker 4: could be volume for days. Takedowns for days. Points can
• 40:10
  Speaker 4: add up in bunches here, especially Paneda gases. I'll be
• 40:13
  Speaker 4: playing Wood, no doubt about that, and I like where
• 40:15
  Speaker 4: the ownership's at.
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: Yeah. I mentioned earlier that there's two cheap underdogs on
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: this card who could just break the slate. I forgot
• 40:23
  Speaker 5: about Panta. He's actually one of them. So there's three
• 40:26
  Speaker 5: because Pineda averages one hundred and eleven DraftKings points in
• 40:30
  Speaker 5: his wins. He's going out there, he's gonna look to
• 40:32
  Speaker 5: wrestle and he's gonna look to get a submission early
• 40:35
  Speaker 5: in the fight. And if he does have any edge
• 40:37
  Speaker 5: in this fight, it's gonna be his wrestling and grappling.
• 40:40
  Speaker 5: In round one, he should just be the bigger fighter.
• 40:43
  Speaker 5: He's pretty aggressive early, but he's gonna slow down if
• 40:46
  Speaker 5: that's his game plan and it doesn't work out for him,
• 40:49
  Speaker 5: and he's not gonna be able to strike with Wood.
• 40:51
  Speaker 5: Wood is just too good on the feet. Maybe he
• 40:53
  Speaker 5: could land a big shot. Wood's been chinned a few times,
• 40:57
  Speaker 5: but he fights through it, and I just feel Likeneda
• 41:00
  Speaker 5: is not gonna knock him out on the feet. If
• 41:02
  Speaker 5: this fight is on the feet, it's Wood all day long.
• 41:04
  Speaker 5: And Wood can put up volume, Wood can mix in takedowns.
• 41:08
  Speaker 5: I think after the first round, Wood is now the
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: better wrestler, But I don't really see him submitting Pineda
• 41:14
  Speaker 5: unless Pineda gases and then Wood gets him down in
• 41:17
  Speaker 5: the second or third round, finishes him on the ground then.
• 41:20
  Speaker 5: But my worry with Wood at ninety five hundred is
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: that he does drop the first round. Then it's really
• 41:25
  Speaker 5: gonna be hard to pay off that ninety five hundred
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: dollars price and beat every one of these other big
• 41:29
  Speaker 5: favorites that we like on the card. So I kind
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: of think ownership looks about right to me. The other
• 41:35
  Speaker 5: ones I do think have more likely high ceilings. But man,
• 41:40
  Speaker 5: I'm a big fan of Nathaniel Wood. I love this
• 41:42
  Speaker 5: kid's game, so all for sure, beginning exposure to him,
• 41:45
  Speaker 5: I just don't know how much leverage I can get
• 41:47
  Speaker 5: because I would prefer to drop three hundred dollars to
• 41:50
  Speaker 5: Molly McCann because I feel like in a decision, Molly's
• 41:54
  Speaker 5: putting up one hundred plus. I don't know that Wood's
• 41:57
  Speaker 5: gonna get there in one hundred plus because I think
• 41:59
  Speaker 5: he probably wants to keep the fight on the feet
• 42:01
  Speaker 5: and if he's not getting the knockout or takedowns along
• 42:04
  Speaker 5: the way, I don't think volume will be high enough
• 42:05
  Speaker 5: to pay that off. So I'll probably get it in
• 42:08
  Speaker 5: twenty the twenty range or so on Wood, but that's
• 42:11
  Speaker 5: where I think the field's gonna be as well.
• 42:13
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I think takedowns are more in play,
• 42:15
  Speaker 4: like second third round if Pineda's just gas and like
• 42:19
  Speaker 4: there's no threat for a submission on bottom and grownd
• 42:21
  Speaker 4: and pound there. And I'm hoping round one Panaeda solve.
• 42:25
  Speaker 4: I'm hoping he does push the pace where if he
• 42:27
  Speaker 4: does drop, it would still land in twenty significant strikes
• 42:31
  Speaker 4: started taking over later in that round and stuff like that.
• 42:34
  Speaker 4: I'm just hoping Paneda starts hot, he breaks the slate,
• 42:38
  Speaker 4: I'll definitely have some Otherwise, Wood puts on volume and
• 42:41
  Speaker 4: pace for days and again, like you don't play Aspinal
• 42:44
  Speaker 4: if you play Wood like you're gonna be different. Assume
• 42:48
  Speaker 4: you don't play Blades or Aspinall. You hope Aspinall wins.
• 42:51
  Speaker 4: The story you're telling is Wood outscorts Aspinall. You're gonna
• 42:55
  Speaker 4: that's a chance of solo ship instead of split with
• 42:58
  Speaker 4: fifteen twenty people or whatever. And I think that's very
• 43:01
  Speaker 4: much in play. A lot of these upper tier guys
• 43:04
  Speaker 4: keep saying that have plenty, plenty upside, and I think
• 43:06
  Speaker 4: that is what the slate comes down to at the.
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: End of the day.
• 43:10
  Speaker 4: Which high priced guys one hundred might not be enough,
• 43:13
  Speaker 4: Which ones score one hundred and twenty plus. And I
• 43:15
  Speaker 4: do think Wood has that potential. I don't think I
• 43:19
  Speaker 4: say that. I don't even know if I'm going to
• 43:21
  Speaker 4: lead like that. So let me just refresh now. The
• 43:24
  Speaker 4: next fight on the card, Arnold Allen yegat Jakadz nine k.
• 43:28
  Speaker 4: Allen seventy two hundred is giga Alan minus two to
• 43:33
  Speaker 4: twenty Giga plus one eighty five. This fight's plus one
• 43:36
  Speaker 4: sixty to finish Allen plus two sixty Giga plus four fifty.
• 43:41
  Speaker 4: So you probably knew where I was going to go
• 43:43
  Speaker 4: with that. I don't have interest in this fight. I'm
• 43:45
  Speaker 4: faving it in twenty and below. But I definitely don't
• 43:49
  Speaker 4: want to jinx myself saying the words I was about
• 43:51
  Speaker 4: to say, saying that this one doesn't have the upside
• 43:54
  Speaker 4: like the last one. But unless you tell me right
• 43:57
  Speaker 4: now you think Arnold Allen's gonna put on the wrestling
• 43:59
  Speaker 4: shoes for fifteen minutes and possibly finish down there, like,
• 44:04
  Speaker 4: I think that's what he needs and very well could.
• 44:06
  Speaker 4: Like Giga, everyone knows a great striker, the Giga kick,
• 44:10
  Speaker 4: Arnold Allen well rounded. Both guys relatively low volume, though
• 44:14
  Speaker 4: we haven't seen Allen just go out and purely put
• 44:16
  Speaker 4: on the wrestling shoes the range he's in, like Man
• 44:20
  Speaker 4: ninety one hundred. I much prefer Malli and everyone our
• 44:23
  Speaker 4: nine case, excuse me, much prefer Malli and all them above.
• 44:26
  Speaker 4: I prefer Parsons, Makaya of law, Fern Leon, I don't know,
• 44:31
  Speaker 4: talk to me unless you think he puts on the
• 44:32
  Speaker 4: wrestling shoes.
• 44:33
  Speaker 3: I don't like this foight.
• 44:35
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, if I was his coach, that's what
• 44:37
  Speaker 5: I'd be telling him to do. Just from the opening bell,
• 44:39
  Speaker 5: go out there, start layding takedowns, keep Giga wondering what's next,
• 44:44
  Speaker 5: and also just take that early power away from Giga. Yeah,
• 44:49
  Speaker 5: I mean, he just doesn't do it enough. He just
• 44:51
  Speaker 5: also probably wouldn't strike enough on the ground either. It'd
• 44:55
  Speaker 5: be more look into advanced position, maybe find a submission
• 44:58
  Speaker 5: along the way. So he absolutely has to get either
• 45:02
  Speaker 5: a first round knockout or wrestle all three rounds for
• 45:05
  Speaker 5: him to pay off that price tag. I don't really
• 45:07
  Speaker 5: like him, but I do like that the field doesn't
• 45:10
  Speaker 5: like him either, So he's like an ownership type of
• 45:12
  Speaker 5: play for me. Him and Mick Parkin are my pay
• 45:16
  Speaker 5: ups to get different on this card, but it's the
• 45:19
  Speaker 5: same thing for as the Parking fight. I think his
• 45:23
  Speaker 5: most likely outcome is that he's gonna win and score
• 45:26
  Speaker 5: in the seventies, which isn't gonna cut it, but everyone
• 45:30
  Speaker 5: else is going aspinall McCann, Patterson, Edwards. I'll mix in
• 45:35
  Speaker 5: some Allen to get a little bit different from those
• 45:38
  Speaker 5: from those types of lineups, because I do think he
• 45:41
  Speaker 5: could put up ninety plus and if he's smart man,
• 45:43
  Speaker 5: he should go out there wrestle every round. And if
• 45:45
  Speaker 5: that's the case, I think nineties in play I'm gonna
• 45:49
  Speaker 5: be definitely capped on my ownership, because of his price,
• 45:52
  Speaker 5: because of all the people I like around him. But
• 45:54
  Speaker 5: he's somebody I could see me being around field weight On.
• 45:58
  Speaker 4: Yeah, you made it easy for me when you was
• 46:01
  Speaker 4: chirping Banon early saying you had no interest there.
• 46:04
  Speaker 3: I know I don't like Arnold Allen.
• 46:06
  Speaker 4: Here I'm making the top rang geezy fade in the
• 46:09
  Speaker 4: faving Allen and twenty below faving Bannon capping Parkins ownership,
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: but he will be the one I used to get different.
• 46:16
  Speaker 4: Then I'll roll everyone else above there, make it match
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: because there's still plenty, plenty fighters. That's like still seven
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: or eight fighters I'm playing above eighty six hundred, so
• 46:24
  Speaker 4: it's not like I'm making crazy stands. But at least
• 46:26
  Speaker 4: two fades in Captain Parking, I think is where I
• 46:29
  Speaker 4: want to go.
• 46:30
  Speaker 3: Just feels clear where the clear. It feels clear.
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: Where the one hundred and ten plus point upside fights are.
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: But it is MMA. Crazy stuff happens.
• 46:39
  Speaker 4: Random stuff happens, so do know that and embracing lower
• 46:43
  Speaker 4: owned fights can get you all the cheese up top.
• 46:46
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I got a crazier fraid later, So that's get.
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: A little loud. It's gonna be leon I think, but
• 46:52
  Speaker 3: let's keep it going. A couple fights left.
• 46:54
  Speaker 4: Christian Leroy Dunkin Gregory Rodriguez eighty three hundred, Leroy Duncan
• 47:00
  Speaker 4: greg Rodriguez seventy nine hundred. We have minus one thirty
• 47:03
  Speaker 4: five for CLD, plus one fifteen for Rodriguez, minus two
• 47:07
  Speaker 4: sixty for this fight. To finish CELD plus one twenty
• 47:11
  Speaker 4: five Rodriguez plus one eighty five. I have Leroy Duncan
• 47:16
  Speaker 4: by either KO or decision. I just don't think you
• 47:19
  Speaker 4: can trust Rodriguez to put on the wrestling shoes for
• 47:22
  Speaker 4: fifteen minutes, or really for five minutes nowadays. And CLD
• 47:27
  Speaker 4: looks like solid take town defense. He's athletic at least
• 47:30
  Speaker 4: a good get up game, and on the feed, I
• 47:32
  Speaker 4: just think he has more tools. The feints are better,
• 47:34
  Speaker 4: more technical. I think will chip away at that leg.
• 47:39
  Speaker 4: But I mean, don't get it twisted. I'm gonna play
• 47:41
  Speaker 4: Gregory Rodriguez too. He has so much power, so tough,
• 47:45
  Speaker 4: and you can always build a lineup. Go Leroy Duncan
• 47:48
  Speaker 4: take Leroy Duncan out go Rodriguez.
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: He naturally just.
• 47:51
  Speaker 4: Left over four four hundred or more way to get
• 47:54
  Speaker 4: different there. But I'm on CLD to keep it on
• 47:57
  Speaker 4: the feeds. How do you see it?
• 48:00
  Speaker 5: I'm on the other side, But I do love this fight.
• 48:02
  Speaker 5: I think Duncan is super in play for a first
• 48:06
  Speaker 5: round knockout. My biggest issue with Rodriguez is his chin,
• 48:10
  Speaker 5: and I think that Duncan could definitely expose that he's
• 48:14
  Speaker 5: got big time power. He's probably the better overall striker.
• 48:18
  Speaker 5: But if you told me that Rodriguez was not gonna
• 48:21
  Speaker 5: get knocked out, I'm not so sure that Rodriguez couldn't
• 48:24
  Speaker 5: win a striking match and over the course of three rounds.
• 48:26
  Speaker 5: And Rodriguez is also in play for a knockout of
• 48:30
  Speaker 5: his own. He's got a ton of power on the feet,
• 48:33
  Speaker 5: but this fight just looks like an IQ test for Rodriguez.
• 48:35
  Speaker 5: Don't go out there and strike with the guy with
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: huge power when you got a questionable chin, you are
• 48:41
  Speaker 5: a great wrestler, grappler. Go out there and wrestle with
• 48:43
  Speaker 5: this guy. And I feel like he can definitely win
• 48:46
  Speaker 5: the first two rounds by just hanging out in top
• 48:50
  Speaker 5: control doing whatever he wants to do in the first
• 48:52
  Speaker 5: round on the ground. But if he does come in
• 48:54
  Speaker 5: with a wrestling heavy game, plan he doesn't finish. I
• 48:57
  Speaker 5: do expect him to slow down and then maybe the
• 48:59
  Speaker 5: third round gets a little bit sweaty, But I mean
• 49:03
  Speaker 5: seventy nine hundred, I just don't think that there's any
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: way Rodriguez wins and doesn't pay that off. So I'm
• 49:08
  Speaker 5: gonna be heavy on Rodriguez and just hope that he
• 49:11
  Speaker 5: doesn't get sparked early. But if he does get sparked early,
• 49:13
  Speaker 5: I'm still gonna be matching the field on Duncan. I
• 49:16
  Speaker 5: think Duncan has one hundred and ten point upside and
• 49:19
  Speaker 5: at eighty three one hundred, if he gets a first
• 49:22
  Speaker 5: round knockout, he's on the optimal lineup. So I'm gonna
• 49:24
  Speaker 5: be loading up on this fight. I think I'll have
• 49:28
  Speaker 5: I would guess three quarters of my lineups have this
• 49:30
  Speaker 5: fight in it. So this is my I wanna say,
• 49:33
  Speaker 5: second or third favorite fight on the card to target.
• 49:35
  Speaker 5: Gonna be getting both sides, but give me the underdog
• 49:37
  Speaker 5: to pull it off, and Rodriguez can win by any
• 49:40
  Speaker 5: method where I don't think a submission is then played
• 49:43
  Speaker 5: for Duncan. Duncan has to keep the fight on the field.
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: Yeah, no great breakdown, Yeah, you feel more confident he's
• 49:50
  Speaker 4: gonna wrestle. I think he should wrestle, and then yeah,
• 49:53
  Speaker 4: clear clear path to a lot of points.
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: That's seventy nine hundred.
• 49:57
  Speaker 4: Like it's when you playing guys like Makayev and Rogez,
• 50:01
  Speaker 4: even though the price is it way up there in
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: parsons like you feel better leaving more money on the table,
• 50:06
  Speaker 4: pined at Crosby because in wins they have one hundred
• 50:09
  Speaker 4: plus point upside regardless of what their price, money line
• 50:13
  Speaker 4: anything says.
• 50:14
  Speaker 3: So fighters like that.
• 50:15
  Speaker 4: I'm willing to leave more if I'm playing like a
• 50:18
  Speaker 4: Seawan and Bannon or stuff like that, than those lineups,
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: I'm probably gonna leave a lot less because you can
• 50:24
  Speaker 4: upgrade the fighters that I think probably outscore them. So
• 50:28
  Speaker 4: little tidbit right there that I think of almost Sarah
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: Big Marley getting there. Three fights left, three awesome, awesome fights.
• 50:36
  Speaker 4: This one should be fun. The roof is getting torn
• 50:38
  Speaker 4: off the building. It's not Bobby Green anymore. It's King
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: at Green, King Green, Bobby Green taking on Patty the
• 50:46
  Speaker 4: Baddy PIMBLET eighty two hundred green eight k for Patty
• 50:50
  Speaker 4: can't get any closer. Actually, Bobby's taking a little money
• 50:53
  Speaker 4: minus won nineteen for Bobby Green, minus one one for
• 50:57
  Speaker 4: Patty plus one oh five for this fight. To finish
• 51:00
  Speaker 4: the underdog, Patty better inside the distance propit plus one
• 51:03
  Speaker 4: sixty five versus Bobby plus four seventy. Excuse me, Obviously
• 51:09
  Speaker 4: we always know what's going on, Nickel. I hope you're
• 51:12
  Speaker 4: doing well. Obviously we know Patty clearly has all the
• 51:18
  Speaker 4: like plenty of upside. He's another one you can throw
• 51:20
  Speaker 4: in that. Gregor Rodriguez, Makaya of whatever. His clear advantage
• 51:24
  Speaker 4: is wrestling grappling plus one sixty five inside the distance
• 51:28
  Speaker 4: is really good. I don't have to waste much time
• 51:32
  Speaker 4: on him. I'm more wondering Bobby Green. He's got there
• 51:35
  Speaker 4: and he's scored over one hundred twice in decisions. He
• 51:38
  Speaker 4: lands over six significant strikes. Let's say Bobby Green wins
• 51:42
  Speaker 4: a decision, what are the odds you put at him
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: on the optimal Let's say the odds that he scores
• 51:47
  Speaker 4: ninety five plus and then break down your fight.
• 51:50
  Speaker 3: But that's the main question I got in this one.
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: If if he wins, wish yeah, I would say like
• 52:02
  Speaker 5: over forty percent, maybe between forty and like fifty five percent.
• 52:07
  Speaker 5: So I get that.
• 52:07
  Speaker 3: It makes me feel good.
• 52:09
  Speaker 5: Uh yeah, I like this fight a good amount right
• 52:11
  Speaker 5: there in the mid range. Green has crazy volume and
• 52:16
  Speaker 5: he can put it up for three rounds, no problem.
• 52:19
  Speaker 5: He could even mix in a couple of takedowns if
• 52:21
  Speaker 5: he wants, but that wouldn't be too smart in this matchup.
• 52:24
  Speaker 5: That is where I like Pimblet. If Pimblet is gonna
• 52:26
  Speaker 5: win this fight convincingly, I think it has to come
• 52:29
  Speaker 5: on the ground, and I do think he could mix
• 52:31
  Speaker 5: in multiple takedowns along the way. He's not a very
• 52:33
  Speaker 5: good wrestler, but he's a great grappler, and I think
• 52:36
  Speaker 5: he could control the fight quite a bit on the ground,
• 52:39
  Speaker 5: or get a submission, or get a ground and pound stoppage,
• 52:44
  Speaker 5: especially man, especially over there in England. Even if it's
• 52:47
  Speaker 5: an early stoppage, it would not shock me at all,
• 52:50
  Speaker 5: Like he's just he's landing shots, the crowd's going crazy,
• 52:53
  Speaker 5: the ref just steps in. Bobby stands up, like what
• 52:56
  Speaker 5: are you doing? I could definitely see that happening here.
• 52:59
  Speaker 5: But I just think that their price is put this
• 53:02
  Speaker 5: fight super in play. I'm gonna be loading up on
• 53:04
  Speaker 5: both sides. There's another one where I'm gonna take the underdog.
• 53:09
  Speaker 5: I would rather take a grappler over a striker when
• 53:12
  Speaker 5: I'm especially when we're talking about DraftKings. So I prefer
• 53:15
  Speaker 5: Pimblet in this fight. But man, it wouldn't shock me
• 53:20
  Speaker 5: at all to see him not be able to get
• 53:22
  Speaker 5: a takedown and Green just pick him apart all three
• 53:24
  Speaker 5: rounds put up one hundred and ten points in a decision,
• 53:27
  Speaker 5: So I like both sides. I probably want leverage on
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: both sides. I want to hang out in this mid
• 53:33
  Speaker 5: range quite a bit on this card, So give me
• 53:35
  Speaker 5: a lot of this fight, but I'll take Pimblets pull off.
• 53:38
  Speaker 5: I guess if you want to call it an upset
• 53:40
  Speaker 5: in his hometown home coming.
• 53:42
  Speaker 4: I went back and forth. I ended up deciding on
• 53:45
  Speaker 4: Bobby Green. Stuff in takedown, probably win a decision. Like
• 53:48
  Speaker 4: his movement on the feed, his hands so low help
• 53:51
  Speaker 4: some stuff takedown. See the takedowns better and man like
• 53:55
  Speaker 4: the punch has just come from everywhere. Like I think
• 53:57
  Speaker 4: Patty's face at the end of this could be beat
• 53:59
  Speaker 4: up bad. But you tell me Patty wins right now.
• 54:05
  Speaker 4: I think he has a better chance at the optimal
• 54:07
  Speaker 4: than Bobby. But it's yeah, like you said, it's close.
• 54:10
  Speaker 4: Bobby over six significant strikes plus four seventy inside of
• 54:14
  Speaker 4: distance isn't even bad for him, Like he's death by
• 54:16
  Speaker 4: a thousand cuts kind of guy. But second late second round,
• 54:20
  Speaker 4: third round knockout. If Patty Kat can takedowns, not like
• 54:23
  Speaker 4: he's drawing dead. He has power in his hands. He
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: can strike two, but he ain't gonna be the minute winner.
• 54:29
  Speaker 4: And yeah, I mean he's gonna be eating a lot
• 54:31
  Speaker 4: of jabs and stuff from the hip, I think. But
• 54:33
  Speaker 4: Patty could go out there and get a quick takeown
• 54:35
  Speaker 4: takedown and then just go from back to mount to
• 54:39
  Speaker 4: whatever and then sew them at the end of the day.
• 54:41
  Speaker 3: And you just got one hundred plus right there.
• 54:42
  Speaker 4: So this is one where if I had fifty percent
• 54:45
  Speaker 4: Patty thirty green, I'm good, vice versa, I'm good, thirty twenty,
• 54:50
  Speaker 4: I'm good. I'm not really worried about this fight and
• 54:52
  Speaker 4: who side up higher on. I just know I do
• 54:55
  Speaker 4: want both sides of this fight. Two fights left, first
• 55:00
  Speaker 4: five round fight of the night the interim heavyweight title,
• 55:03
  Speaker 4: which is Bogus tom Aspinal deserves the real shot, but
• 55:07
  Speaker 4: tom aspinall Curtis Blades a rematch. If you even want
• 55:10
  Speaker 4: to call that of twenty twenty two. Unfortunately tom blew
• 55:14
  Speaker 4: out his knee fifteen seconds in the fight.
• 55:17
  Speaker 3: But big big.
• 55:18
  Speaker 4: Favor minus four to eight for aspinall plus three oh
• 55:21
  Speaker 4: eight for Blades, minus one thousand for this fight to
• 55:25
  Speaker 4: finish aspinall minus three point fifty Blades plus three eighty five.
• 55:31
  Speaker 4: My quick thoughts, So I'll say it. We have forty
• 55:33
  Speaker 4: eight percent aspinall twenty four percent Blades. Maybe it's a
• 55:37
  Speaker 4: hot take by me, but I'm thinking we're somewhere in
• 55:39
  Speaker 4: the ballpark of sixty percent aspinall twenty percent Blades. And
• 55:44
  Speaker 4: if that's the case, I just don't see how Blades
• 55:47
  Speaker 4: is at the game theory the correct play in any
• 55:50
  Speaker 4: win for Blades, I don't see how he's not optimal.
• 55:53
  Speaker 3: So you get that right there, aspinall. I don't think
• 55:56
  Speaker 3: the same could be said. I think he can go
• 55:58
  Speaker 3: out there and.
• 55:58
  Speaker 4: Score oneh eight one, and we mentioned it, Patterson, Molly
• 56:03
  Speaker 4: would whatever just scores more and he's priced out. So
• 56:08
  Speaker 4: I'm not making a rule to have one hundred percent
• 56:10
  Speaker 4: of this fight, even though if I didn't make a rule,
• 56:12
  Speaker 4: it would clearly be this one. But man, I like
• 56:15
  Speaker 4: there's way more of a chance to get a unique
• 56:17
  Speaker 4: shipper Blades wins than Aspenall wins. I love Aspinall. I'll
• 56:21
  Speaker 4: be playing him in plenty of lineups. But if I
• 56:24
  Speaker 4: think he's gonna be like sixty percent and Blades twenty,
• 56:28
  Speaker 4: I gotta be on the Blade side, and I will be.
• 56:30
  Speaker 4: If you do think it's forty eight twenty four like
• 56:32
  Speaker 4: Big Marley has, I think it's the Aspenall side. So
• 56:35
  Speaker 4: that's when the ownership really really matters. We're talking twelve percent.
• 56:40
  Speaker 4: That's a lot for DFS for MMA. So yeah, I
• 56:43
  Speaker 4: just gave I guess the game theory wise, gun to
• 56:45
  Speaker 4: my head, I'm picking Aspenall by KO. But thankfully there's
• 56:48
  Speaker 4: not a gun to my head. I wrote that in
• 56:50
  Speaker 4: the Slave Plan too, so take it away.
• 56:53
  Speaker 5: Yeah. I think Aspinall is the baddest man on the planet.
• 56:56
  Speaker 5: I think he knocks out Blades in the first round.
• 56:59
  Speaker 5: But the only way Aspinal scores one hundred and twenty
• 57:03
  Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty five points is if he knocks
• 57:05
  Speaker 5: him out in the first minute of this fight. But
• 57:08
  Speaker 5: I think we're more likely looking at one hundred and
• 57:10
  Speaker 5: five hundred and ten points from Aspinall in a win,
• 57:13
  Speaker 5: I think he's the most likely fighter on the card
• 57:16
  Speaker 5: to score one hundred to one hundred and ten points,
• 57:20
  Speaker 5: But Blades has the highest ceiling on the entire card.
• 57:23
  Speaker 5: Blades could score one hundred and sixty points in a
• 57:25
  Speaker 5: win if he can, if his chin can survive, or
• 57:28
  Speaker 5: not even if his chin can survive, if he can
• 57:29
  Speaker 5: go out there and wrestle in the first round. Who know,
• 57:33
  Speaker 5: we don't know what Aspinall is going to look like
• 57:34
  Speaker 5: if this fight gets extended, but.
• 57:36
  Speaker 3: It's slowed down. He was slowed down against Karlovsky a
• 57:39
  Speaker 3: little bit.
• 57:39
  Speaker 4: Like that was the one fight he got extended a bit,
• 57:42
  Speaker 4: and I mean he finally got to a point where
• 57:45
  Speaker 4: he described his neck and did it, But he slowed
• 57:47
  Speaker 4: down a little bit in that fight.
• 57:49
  Speaker 5: Yeah, And I feel like if Aspinal doesn't get a
• 57:51
  Speaker 5: first or second round knockout, I mean, Blade's probably gonna
• 57:55
  Speaker 5: win the fight. You just go out there and wrestle
• 57:57
  Speaker 5: this guy. But he could wrestle all five rounds and
• 58:00
  Speaker 5: score one hundred and eighty points, where one hundred and
• 58:04
  Speaker 5: eighty points isn't even in play, I don't think for
• 58:05
  Speaker 5: anybody else on the entire card, but Blades as lost me.
• 58:11
  Speaker 3: I guess yeah.
• 58:12
  Speaker 5: I mean.
• 58:14
  Speaker 3: In the best scenario five, yeah, probably, But.
• 58:19
  Speaker 5: Yeah, Blades has just cost me so much relying on
• 58:22
  Speaker 5: him to go out there and be smart and go
• 58:25
  Speaker 5: wrestle somebody who you shouldn't be striking against. And I
• 58:29
  Speaker 5: just can't trust him to go out there and do
• 58:31
  Speaker 5: that anymore, especially against the scariest heavyweight out there. And
• 58:35
  Speaker 5: I feel like in the first round Aspinall can stuff
• 58:38
  Speaker 5: takedowns and just really light Blades up on the feet.
• 58:41
  Speaker 5: It's after the first round that I would be worried
• 58:44
  Speaker 5: about Aspinall. But I mean I have to get a
• 58:48
  Speaker 5: lot of Blades because of that high ceiling. But Aspinall
• 58:51
  Speaker 5: is somebody who I want like fifty Aspenall maybe more.
• 58:54
  Speaker 5: He's my favorite click on the card. But I also
• 58:59
  Speaker 5: think you can get different, Like he can go out
• 59:01
  Speaker 5: there score one hundred and five points, but then you
• 59:03
  Speaker 5: get Patterson to score one hundred and ten, Molly to
• 59:06
  Speaker 5: score one hundred and fifteen, Parsons to score one hundred
• 59:09
  Speaker 5: and ten, Makai have to score one hundred and ten.
• 59:12
  Speaker 5: I just think that you can avoid this fight and
• 59:15
  Speaker 5: hope Aspinall scores one hundred and five points and just
• 59:17
  Speaker 5: doesn't make it on there. So that's I'll definitely have
• 59:21
  Speaker 5: lineups like that too. Off the top of my head,
• 59:23
  Speaker 5: I would say that I'm right around ownership fifty percent
• 59:27
  Speaker 5: asspen All twenty five percent, Blades twenty five percent Fades
• 59:32
  Speaker 5: something like that. Haven't built lineup shit, But that's kind
• 59:35
  Speaker 5: of how I see it going for me. Yeah, I
• 59:37
  Speaker 5: like Aspinal to kock him out in the first round.
• 59:40
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel pretty confident that I'll probably be more
• 59:43
  Speaker 4: overweight Blades than ass at All. And if I think
• 59:47
  Speaker 4: it's sixty twenty, it might even be higher. It might
• 59:50
  Speaker 4: be like sixty sixty twenty five something like that.
• 59:54
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 59:55
  Speaker 4: Maybe I'm overweight on the fight Fades, I'm probably overweight Blades.
• 59:58
  Speaker 4: I'm probably underweight Aspinall. If you tell me right now
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 4: forty eight percent Aspinall, I probably still wouldn't lock them.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 4: But I think it's a lot easier to get over.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 4: Like forty eight compared to sixty is night and day.
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 4: Difference is kind of where I'm I'm what I'm trying
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 4: to say, I think you guys should make your your
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 4: guests on ownership and from there decide what you're gonna do.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 4: But I'm definitely not fading Aspenall by any means. I
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 4: just think the ownership gap will be too wide. And
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 4: last time that he's too fought, Blades closes a slight favorite.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 4: Absolutely crazy to think now. Yes, since then Blades hasn't
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 4: looked the best. Aspinall's looks like a world killer, but
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 4: I do think the line is a little inflated with
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 4: just how goodies looked.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 3: So fun fight, no doubt about that. The most likely
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 3: to finish on the card.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 4: Last fight of the night, main event time, and Big
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 4: Marley has not told us who his fate is yet,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 4: So maybe Ball, maybe Leon, Leon Edwards Baal Muhammet. Another
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 4: rematch from I Believe twenty twenty one is apex I
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 4: poke by Leon in the second round, Ball couldn't continue.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 3: It was a bad eye poke.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 4: The fight was pretty boring, but Leon was kicking his
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 4: I mean he outstruck him nineteen to eight. Leon was
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 4: doing whatever he wanted. It was on pace to be
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 4: a pretty boring, low scoring DFS fight, But yeah, lots
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 4: has happened since then Ballall, and he hasn't lost in
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 4: like nine wins in a row. Training with Habib and
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 4: the guys. You know he wants to wrestle, But I'm
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 4: jumping all over the place minus fit two fifty, Leon
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 4: plus two to ten plus one forty for this fight
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 4: to finish, Leon plus two hundred ballall plus five fifteen,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 4: And I guess I'll start right to you, which one,
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 4: Which one is the fade? Which one are you playing?
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 5: Leon is the fade? But I'm picking him to win
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 5: the fight. I just don't think that he's paying off
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 5: his salary. I don't even think he's gonna ten x
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 5: his salary, but I think you're gonna need more than
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 5: ten x eighty eight hundred with the ownership that he's
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 5: gonna have too. So I'm just gonna x him out
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 5: and hope that he doesn't hit one hundred points, which
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 5: I don't. I know he has a quick win bonus,
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 5: so I'm throwing that out. He's not knocking Balal out
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 5: in the first minute. Aside from that, one hundred and
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 5: three is his highest score and that's the only time
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 5: he's hit one hundred points. So I just feel like,
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 5: even in his best performance, he's not making the optimal
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 5: lineup over aspinall and McCann and all these other people
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 5: I just named off in that last fight. So I'm
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: gonna x him out and I'm gonna plan on him
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 5: winning this fight and scoring seventy five Draftings points. But
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 5: Balal on the other end, if Balal wins the fight,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 5: which I do, think the line is a bit wide.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: And I think it's wide because the fight's in England. Now,
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 5: if this fight was in America, Edwards is probably like
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 5: minus one sixty minus one seventy five something like that.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 5: So I feel like that's our true line. I don't
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 5: think that blow cares where the fight is. He's gonna
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 5: go out there and fight heavy pressure hope to get
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 5: some takedowns. But I did bet Blal in their last matchup,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 5: and I was regretting it right away. Uh so, like
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 5: I got I lucked out by him getting poked in
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 5: the eye. But I was like, wait, I hope he's
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: not blind. Oh man, it's not airy watching that fight.
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 5: Uh But yeah, I just think that if Blal is
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 5: gonna win the fight, he is gonna score more than
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 5: ten x and I think he gets one hundred plus
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 5: more often than Edwards does if they both win a
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 5: hundred times. So I'm more interested in playing Blal, even
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 5: though I'm picking him to lose. If I'm gonna go overweight, well,
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 5: obviously to either one, it would be bal because I'm
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 5: gonna fade Edwards. I just don't know that I want
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 5: to get too much Balal either, because he's gonna be
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 5: near forty percent on. So maybe my move is just
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 5: to get away from this fight. I definitely want Balal exposure,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 5: but I can see me having like twenty five to
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 5: forty five percent Balal anywhere in that range and then
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 5: just kind of loading up on those cheap underdogs who
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 5: can absolutely break the slate, some of the underdogs I'm
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 5: picking to win, just these lower owned underdogs overall, because
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 5: Blash would be the highest owned underdog on the card,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 5: I think, so I'll be a round field or less
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 5: on him, and then just planning on exiting out Edwards
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 5: and loading up on the other top range people that
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 5: I like instead. But give me Edwards to win forty
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 5: eight forty seven in his home country, just not score enough.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and that all makes sense to be Ballall's my
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 4: preferred play too. For a lot like it feels very
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 4: hard to thick a scenarios where Ballall wins and is
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 4: an optimal at his price. Were the same campy side
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 4: about Leons, so I'm going to hope at least one
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 4: of the main event dogs the five rounders, Blades or
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 4: Ballall wins.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 3: More than likely unless.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 4: I have Leon, and like I'm not full fading, I
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 4: don't have the stones like Big Marley to fullfade Leon
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 4: in a plenty line. So unless I have an aspenau
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 4: Leon team that could be the nuts, I more than
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 4: likely probably want one on the Wall or Blades. Awesome stuff,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 4: Big Marley. That's an hour five minutes talking fourteen fights
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 4: in London, USC three four gonna be an awesome card.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 3: And we appreciate everyone hanging out with us.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 4: Still a lot of familiar faces at the New time
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 4: appreciate it plenty watch on Playbat still appreciates y'all as well. Again,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 4: this nine pm Eastern on Thursdays will be the norm
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 4: going forward, unless we let you know in the discord
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 4: prior thumbs up like button always helps us out a ton,
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 4: And of course Graff says all you need to say,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 4: ship a nation dot com, no better spot to be,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 4: no better price content in the industry. Two hundred ninety
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 4: nine dollars for our NFL package. Sign up now, the
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• 1:06:02
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• 1:06:06
  Speaker 4: of course, shout out our partner, Drafters. Head over to
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 4: drafters dot com with Big Marley and I go in
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 4: live in a couple minutes. Right after this show, head
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 4: over to Drafters, head over to our show.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 3: We're going to X out of this one.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 4: We're gonna go to the ship the Nation one or
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 4: the Ship a Nation YouTube, the Best Ball stream. We're
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 4: going to click on that fire up a live draft,
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 4: so use that promo code ship it. They will match
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 4: one hundred percent up to one hundred bucks and we
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 4: will see you in a live draft. Shortly final thoughts,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 4: Big Marley.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 5: Now man looking forward to this card. Hopefully it's a banger.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 5: Hopefully we get a solo shipper. Good luck to you title,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 5: good luck to everybody listening.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 3: Let's ship it, Thank you, LSU Life. Have a good
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: night everybody, and we'll see you in the draft streets
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 3: for Big Marley on titled town good luck this week
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 3: and stay safe peace.
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: Half bs mother and mothers, and most mother was half
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: banst the Master and the misty. Mother had hany ms,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: and then the mother had ns mostly and ends mothers
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: with ty mons.