Latest / The 47 Morning Update with Ben Ferguson / GOP Donors Disappeared in Spam Filter Crackdown plus Midterm Issues & What's More Imoprtant to Voters

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GOP Donors Disappeared in Spam Filter Crackdown plus Midterm Issues & What's More Imoprtant to Voters · The 47 Morning Update with Ben Ferguson

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  Speaker 1: People believe you never get tired.
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  Speaker 2: I never get tired.
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  Speaker 1: And, Mr.
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  Speaker 2: President, what will be... If I got tired, it would
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  Speaker 2: be a big story I could tell.
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  Speaker 1: Keisha James is a corrupt person.
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  Speaker 2: She's totally corrupt, and I can't imagine it, and... I
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  Speaker 2: feel badly for whoever she's looking at because they won't
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  Speaker 2: get a fair shake.
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  Speaker 1: You're listening to the 47 Morning Update with Ben Ferguson.
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  Speaker 2: Good Saturday morning. Nice to have you with us on
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  Speaker 2: the 47 Morning Update. And we've got a couple big
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  Speaker 2: stories for you. First up, you may not realize just
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  Speaker 2: how much money big tech is costing Republican candidates in
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  Speaker 2: this primary. Well, now we have whistleblowers are explaining exactly
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  Speaker 2: what's happening. How many emails to solicit donations from conservatives
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  Speaker 2: you're not seeing because they're purposely sending them to your
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  Speaker 2: spam file. We'll break that down for you in just
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  Speaker 2: a moment. Before we get to that, though, I want
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  Speaker 2: to talk to you real quick about the midterms and
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  Speaker 2: the elections they're heating up. Congressional control and President Trump's agenda, man,
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  Speaker 2: Senate seat. Troy Jackson, the Democrat right now, is at 58,
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  Speaker 2: see Kalshi.com slash Regulator. Up next, we also have some
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  Speaker 2: really in-depth polling numbers now about what is the most
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  Speaker 2: important issues for Republicans, Democrats, and independents ahead of the midterms.
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  Speaker 2: So will this change the narrative? Or is what Donald
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  Speaker 2: Trump and other Republicans talking about right now exactly what
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  Speaker 2: the American people want to hear? It's the 47 Morning Update,
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  Speaker 2: and it starts right now.
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  Speaker 1: Story number one.
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  Speaker 2: You may not realize just how hard it is for
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  Speaker 2: Republicans to raise money right now when big tech is involved. Yes,
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  Speaker 2: the deck is stacked against us. In such an unfair way,
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  Speaker 2: it's truly unbelievable. A newly published study now estimates that
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  Speaker 2: Republican fundraisers lost $ 117 million last year after email providers,
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  Speaker 2: chiefly Google, Microsoft, and Yahoo, inappropriately flagged GOP fundraising messages
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  Speaker 2: as spam. while allowing Democratic fundraising emails to go through
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  Speaker 2: directly into your inbox.
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  Speaker 1: The New York.
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  Speaker 2: Post reports that the study, authored by Dr. Cameron Ellis
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  Speaker 2: of the University of Iowa and Dr. Lars Powell of
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  Speaker 2: the University of Alabama, uses itemized Federal Election Commission, FEC,
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  Speaker 2: donation records to separate first-time donors from repeat donors across
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  Speaker 2: the Republican platform when read, and its Democratic counterpart, ActBlue.
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  Speaker 2: Then they tracked how the donations moved during two stretches
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  Speaker 2: of spam filtering last year. The first stretch ran from
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  Speaker 2: June 30th of 2025, when GOP consulting firm Targeted Victory
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  Speaker 2: told Google that WinRed fundraising emails were landing in spam.
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  Speaker 2: Through September 15th, 2025, when Google dropped a spam blacklist
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  Speaker 2: called Serbal, that the researchers say had been improperly flagging
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  Speaker 2: the messages. During that window, spam filtering cut first-time WinRed,
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  Speaker 2: that would be the Republican donations, by 75%. Across Gmail, Outlook,
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  Speaker 2: and Yahoo. The second stretch affected only Outlook ran from
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  Speaker 2: February through April of last year and saw first-time WinRed, again,
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  Speaker 2: Republican donations, drop 83%. Now, together, the two periods cost
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  Speaker 2: Republicans 172,126 expected first-time donors, which the researchers converted into
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  Speaker 2: 117 million using the on-record FEC data. Quote, it's a
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  Speaker 2: pretty big number, is what Powell told the Post. He
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  Speaker 2: said the loss doubled as a gift to the other side.
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  Speaker 2: You can really think of that as an in-kind donation
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  Speaker 2: to ActBlue recipients. And they're right. If you lose out
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  Speaker 2: on $ 117 million and the other side gets their money
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  Speaker 2: they're raising, it literally is an in-kind donation. It's doubling
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  Speaker 2: the impact. Now, Allison Powell also wrote that a, quote,
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  Speaker 2: narrow linked level placement decision would by a small number
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  Speaker 2: of mailbox providers, produced a measurable and economically meaningful drop
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  Speaker 2: in political fundraising for Republicans, and that the mechanism was
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  Speaker 2: observed only because private paired test evidence actually leaked into
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  Speaker 2: public reporting. Powell was upfront about the limits of studying
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  Speaker 2: a system companies keep, well, making sure that you don't
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  Speaker 2: know how it actually works, saying, quote, we can't read
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  Speaker 2: their minds. he said, but pointed to other evidence pinned
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  Speaker 2: down to the cause, saying inbox placement data and paired
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  Speaker 2: email tests show when the filtering happened and supported the
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  Speaker 2: WinRed links were the trigger. And that is the reason
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  Speaker 2: why big tech is clearly in the bag for liberal Democrats. Now,
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  Speaker 2: email placement for the GOP, the researchers found, normalized once
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  Speaker 2: Google stopped using it on September the 15th. So this
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  Speaker 2: was done by design. Now, for scale, just so you know,
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  Speaker 2: the RNC, the NRCC, and the NRSC fundraising totaled $ 377
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  Speaker 2: million combined in 2025. Gmail, just so you know, has
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  Speaker 2: more than 3 billion users. Google, by the way, pushed
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  Speaker 2: back hard. A spokesman said that the study relies on
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  Speaker 2: deeply flawed methodology that fundamentally misunderstands how Gmail works. and
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  Speaker 2: called the $ 117 million figure a theoretical estimate rather than
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  Speaker 2: a real-world number, saying quarter-span protections apply equally to everyone,
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  Speaker 2: regardless of political affiliation, and we encourage bulk senders to
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  Speaker 2: follow the best practices to reach inboxes. The spokesman said,
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  Speaker 2: adding that people are in full control of their inboxes,
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  Speaker 2: with the power to mark messages as spam, block senders,
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  Speaker 2: and unsubscribe at any time. Microsoft, they even just straight
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  Speaker 2: up declined to comment, and Yahoo did not respond to
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  Speaker 2: requests for comment about the story either. Now, this also
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  Speaker 2: comes after there was previous reporting that GOP consulting firm
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  Speaker 2: Targeted Victory revealed in 2025 that Google was flagging conservative
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  Speaker 2: fundraising emails as actually dangerous. Let me say that again.
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  Speaker 2: Google was flagging conservative fundraising emails as, quote, dangerous. The
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  Speaker 2: New York Post reports that a recent memo from the
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  Speaker 2: consulting firm Targeted Victory not only revealed that Google's Gmail
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  Speaker 2: service has been flagging Republican fundraising emails as spam, but
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  Speaker 2: often sending them directly to users' spam folders. The memo,
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  Speaker 2: obtained exclusively by the Post, suggests that this issue has
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  Speaker 2: been ongoing throughout the summer months of June and July.
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  Speaker 2: Targeted Victory, whose clients include prominent Republican figures such as
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  Speaker 2: Representative Steve Scalise, Senator Marsha Blackburn, as well as National
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  Speaker 2: Republican Central Committee. They conducted tests to investigate the issue.
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  Speaker 2: The tests involved sending identical emails through Gmail, with the
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  Speaker 2: only difference being the inclusion of either a WinRed donation link,
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  Speaker 2: a Republican fundraising link, or an ActBlue link, a Democratic
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  Speaker 2: fundraising platform link. The results showed the emails contained WinRed
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  Speaker 2: links were constantly flagged, yeah, consistently flagged as suspicious or dangerous,
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  Speaker 2: while those with ActBlue links were discovered that, well, they
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  Speaker 2: were delivered without any issues. So this is another example.
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  Speaker 2: of just what we're up against going into the midterms.
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  Speaker 2: This idea of lying, stealing, and cheating to win an
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  Speaker 2: election is alive and well and part of the strategy
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  Speaker 2: of the Democratic Party. So get ready, my friends. This
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  Speaker 2: is another example of just how hard it's going to
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  Speaker 2: be Come November, if Republicans don't get out and vote.
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  Speaker 1: Next, story number two.
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  Speaker 2: I want to also just get something else on your
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  Speaker 2: radar screen real quick that is also, I think, a really,
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  Speaker 2: really important story. And it deals with what we're talking
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  Speaker 2: about with socialism. But there's also something else that's come
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  Speaker 2: out that is definitely driving the issues during the midterms.
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  Speaker 2: The most pressing midterm issues for rural voters. what they
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  Speaker 2: want the candidates to address. There was a survey of
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  Speaker 2: 2,241 registered voters living in rural areas. Here is what
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  Speaker 2: they said. Cost of living is number one at extremely
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  Speaker 2: important 69%, very important 25%, and somewhat important 5%. And
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  Speaker 2: then there's like not that important. I think it's 1
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  Speaker 2: or 2%. Cost of health care. 56% of rural voters
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  Speaker 2: said they want a candidate to address this issue. Now,
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  Speaker 2: by the way, I thought that was already addressed. We
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  Speaker 2: had Obamacare. It was just fixed all right. It wouldn't
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  Speaker 2: just cost you anything. It was just be fine. If
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  Speaker 2: you liked your doctor, you're going to keep your doctor.
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  Speaker 2: You like your plan, you got to keep your plan right. Oh, wait,
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  Speaker 2: that didn't happen. Okay, so they're still angry about that.
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  Speaker 2: On the issue of health care, it's at 56% is
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  Speaker 2: extremely important. 34% was somewhat important. 9% are, excuse me, 9%
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  Speaker 2: somewhat important. 34% very important. And then about 1% it
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  Speaker 2: not that important. So that's massive. What's also interesting is
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  Speaker 2: what came in third to rural voters. Fraud in government programs,
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  Speaker 2: extremely important. More than 54% of respondents said that's extremely important. 29%
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  Speaker 2: said very important. And 12% said somewhat important. You look
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  Speaker 2: at immigration. Now, this number has dropped significantly because people
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  Speaker 2: feel like immigration is very much under control right now
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  Speaker 2: because Donald Trump is the president. So immigration is still
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  Speaker 2: the fourth most important issue to roll voters. 45% say
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  Speaker 2: it's extremely important. 30% say very important. 21% say somewhat important.
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  Speaker 2: Then at number five is an interesting one. The conflict
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  Speaker 2: with Iran. Extremely important, 42%. 35% very important. 19% somewhat important.
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  Speaker 2: The rest, not important. Agriculture and farm policy for farmers, 35%.
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  Speaker 2: And again, this is rural voters. 35% say extremely important. 42%
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  Speaker 2: say very important. 27% also said somewhat important. And then
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  Speaker 2: you had 17% said not important to them. That's significant.
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  Speaker 2: After that, you have abortion at 28% very, or extremely, 27%
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  Speaker 2: very important. And then 27% somewhat important. Gun policy, 26%,
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  Speaker 2: extremely important. 27% very important. And 28%, it's somewhat important. Now,
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  Speaker 2: I give you those numbers just so you kind of
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  Speaker 2: understand the bigger picture here of what this actually means.
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  Speaker 2: What we're seeing right now in all the data points
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  Speaker 2: that we have is that the big story of this
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  Speaker 2: election for a lot of citizens is still... What I
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  Speaker 2: mentioned earlier, fraud, waste and abuse like that is still
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  Speaker 2: very important to many people. And I think that's that's
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  Speaker 2: very interesting to see that there are that many people
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  Speaker 2: that say, hey, this still matters. Immigration still extremely important
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  Speaker 2: to people, even though we're winning on the issue. So, again,
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  Speaker 2: another example here. of where that is that is something
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  Speaker 2: that they say look is very very very very important
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  Speaker 2: now i i look at this data and and one
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  Speaker 2: of the things that i see from this data is
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  Speaker 2: not only do you have just people that are concerned
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  Speaker 2: and and it does come down i do think to
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  Speaker 2: the economy um i think it's very much comes down
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  Speaker 2: to the economy and it is all about the gas
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  Speaker 2: prices and people are upset they're frustrated and And I
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  Speaker 2: get it. And by the way, I understand why. Because
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  Speaker 2: if you're paying four, five, six dollars a gallon, you're
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  Speaker 2: not happy. So the big picture and the big takeaway
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  Speaker 2: here from rural voters is that it's about pocketbook. Then immigration.
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  Speaker 2: Then the conflict with Iran. Then other domestic policies. But 69%
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  Speaker 2: of rural voters says it's extremely important for candidates to
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  Speaker 2: talk about cost of living. Then health care costs. then
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  Speaker 2: fraud in government programs they want you to protect their
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  Speaker 2: tax dollars they want you to protect them they want
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  Speaker 2: you to get they want to have better health care
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  Speaker 2: and lower costs on that health care as well now
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  Speaker 2: you would think that trump rx would be paying off
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  Speaker 2: big then for the president right now unfortunately the polling
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  Speaker 2: numbers do not seem to be making that connection yet
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  Speaker 2: i don't know why but if you zoom in even
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  Speaker 2: more into these polling data affordability concerns ascended across a
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  Speaker 2: wide range of everyday expenses that is a concerning number
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  Speaker 2: if you're a politician All right. Fifty seven percent of
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  Speaker 2: rural voters cited an economic concern, including rising costs, jobs, wages,
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  Speaker 2: house affordability. When asked about the biggest issue facing their
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  Speaker 2: local community, 67 percent said they were at least somewhat
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  Speaker 2: worried about affording gas or transportation. That is the number
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  Speaker 2: that is the nail in the coffin for many elected officials.
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  Speaker 2: If you have 67% of rural voters saying they're at
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  Speaker 2: least somewhat worried about affording gas or transportation, that is
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  Speaker 2: higher than, by the way, it was 66% that said
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  Speaker 2: the same about health care and 60% that said about
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  Speaker 2: food and groceries. So it is all about gas and
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  Speaker 2: transportation and the pain at the pump. Now, if three
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  Speaker 2: quarters rate the cost of living in their area as
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  Speaker 2: either fair or poor, that is up 25 percentage points
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  Speaker 2: from the last time we got these big numbers in 2017.
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  Speaker 2: So the biggest affordability worries for rural voters, gas transportation, 67%, healthcare, 66,
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  Speaker 2: food and gas, 60, monthly utilities, 59, and rent or
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  Speaker 2: mortgage at 46%. Rural voters' unhappiness with costs doesn't, by
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  Speaker 2: the way, necessarily translate into support for Democrats either. That's
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  Speaker 2: also what's interesting here. According to this polling data, 40%
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  Speaker 2: say they trust Republicans more to handle the cost of
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  Speaker 2: living compared with 25% who say they trust the Democrats
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  Speaker 2: and 27% who trust neither party. That would be a
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  Speaker 2: lot of your independent undecided voters. Rural voters surveyed leaned Republican, 54%.
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  Speaker 2: They identify as GOP voters or Republican leaning are independent. Well,
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  Speaker 2: in rural America, you had 32% identified as Democrats or
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  Speaker 2: Democratic leaning Democrats. independence. I give you that number to
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  Speaker 2: tell you this. If more than 50% of your respondents
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  Speaker 2: are Republican, okay, are leaning Republican, and the numbers are
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  Speaker 2: this bad on gas and transportation that 67% are telling
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  Speaker 2: you they're worried about it, and 66% are saying they're
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  Speaker 2: telling you they're worried about healthcare, and 60% are telling
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  Speaker 2: you they're worried about food and groceries, and 59% are
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: saying they're worried about monthly utilities, and 46% are saying
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  Speaker 2: they're worried about rent or mortgage, and they're Republicans, that
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  Speaker 2: is a problem going into a midterm. And then it
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  Speaker 2: comes back to the question of, all right, well, what
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  Speaker 2: are they watching? 27% of rural Republican voters disapprove of
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  Speaker 2: Trump's handling of the economy per this poll. Among them, 59%
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  Speaker 2: say they're absolutely certain to vote in the midterm elections.
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  Speaker 2: So you have 27% of rural Republican voters, they disapprove
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  Speaker 2: of Trump's handling of the economy. Are they going to
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  Speaker 2: go to a socialist candidate? I don't know, right? Because
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  Speaker 2: let me go back to this data point. 98%. of
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  Speaker 2: rural Republicans say they're more likely to vote for a
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  Speaker 2: Republican than a Democrat. So they may be unhappy, but
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  Speaker 2: they're not dumb enough to vote for socialism, which they
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: know is 10 times worse. Now that's great news if
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: you are looking, okay, keyword, if you are looking at
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  Speaker 2: election day and rural voters are still going to come
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  Speaker 2: out for Republicans overwhelming. That is great news. The problem, okay,
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  Speaker 2: and this is still a very big problem. is if
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: that's the number in a majority Republican, the majority of
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  Speaker 2: people are rural voters that are registered Republicans, that are conservatives,
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  Speaker 2: and these are the numbers you're getting, and this is
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: the data that you're getting. Let me just tell you
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: right now, you've got a big problem when it comes
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: to going into cities. You have a big problem, okay?
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: Not only when you go into cities, but you have
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  Speaker 2: a big, big, big problem. You have a massive problem
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: come election day in major cities. where there are a
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: lot of independent voters and there's a lot of Republican
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: voters and a lot of Democratic voters. That is where
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: you can lose big time. So you put all this together,
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  Speaker 2: and I'm telling you right now, pay attention. Because, and
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: this is, it goes back to that basic saying, it's
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: the economy's stupid. I'll say it over and over and
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: over and over and over again. It's the economy's stupid.
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: It's the economy's stupid. It's the economy's stupid. It is
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  Speaker 2: clear it is the economy day in and day out.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: People care about their economic conditions. They care about how
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: they feel when they go shopping. They care about paying
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: at the pump. They care about it. They feel like
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: the administration is listening to them, is working on these issues. Now,
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: a lot of this comes down. Notice that Iran wasn't
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  Speaker 2: really up there. Why? Because most people feel like it's
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  Speaker 2: on the other side of the world, which, by the way,
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  Speaker 2: it is. There's a lot of people that are frustrated, okay?
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  Speaker 2: A lot of people that are really frustrated with the war.
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  Speaker 2: And they're frustrated because they feel like they're now having to,
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  Speaker 2: they're feeling the pain and the uncertainty and the instability
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  Speaker 2: on the issue for good reason. They're like, why did
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  Speaker 2: we do this? Why was it worth it? What was
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  Speaker 2: he thinking?
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  Speaker 1: Why?
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  Speaker 2: This is going to be the ballgame, folks. This is
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  Speaker 2: going to be the election. And we've got less than
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  Speaker 2: five weeks to turn it around. It's going to be
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  Speaker 2: hard to do. But these data points I'm telling you
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: are extremely important.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: Thank you for listening to the 47 Morning Update with
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: Ben Ferguson. Please make sure you hit subscribe wherever you're
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: listening to this podcast right now. And for more in-depth news,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: Also subscribe to the Ben Ferguson podcast, and we will
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: see you back here on Monday morning.