Latest / DarkHorse Podcast / Why Even Try? The 322nd Evolutionary Lens with Bret Weinstein and Heather Heying
Transcript
- 0:00(Music) Hey folks, welcome to the DarkHorse Podcast live stream.
- 0:09It's number 322.
- 0:11You and I are the resident DarkHorses.
- 0:14I am Dr.
- 0:15Bret Weinstein.
- 0:15You are Dr.
- 0:16Heather Heying.
- 0:17It is Saturday.
- 0:17Not our usual spot, but hey, it's kind of traditional around here.
- 0:21It has been traditional and then we moved it.
- 0:24And this is the fourth in a cluster of four live streams and then we're going to be taking most of the rest April to do some other work.
- 0:34But there's going to be some interesting inside rail drops in our absence.
- 0:38And as always, we have our locals watch party going on.
- 0:41We had some great Q&A's on locals in the last couple of weeks.
- 0:45And check us out there.
- 0:46A cluster of DarkHorse podcasts.
- 0:50I'm just thinking some fraction of our audience has been trained such that the word cluster auto completes.
- 0:58I know, but it makes then that makes me wonder and I have known in the past, what are the cluster a personality?
- 1:06Oh, that's not what I was thinking at all.
- 1:08Oh, you think of bombs?
- 1:09Yes, exactly.
- 1:10Yes.
- 1:11Well, not exactly.
- 1:12Some fraction of our audience thinks cluster b personality.
- 1:14No, I think our audience.
- 1:16Yes, some fraction.
- 1:17Yes, there's no way no, no fraction of our audience thinks cluster b.
- 1:21That's what I thought of.
- 1:23Yep.
- 1:24No, I was actually the bombs and you have with your like agro military focus thinking about cluster bombs, but I wasn't.
- 1:32I really wasn't the bombs have been the cluster in cluster bomb has been reappropriated into common parlance to describe an explosively bad situation.
- 1:43And that's what I thought the auto complete was leading.
- 1:46I think of that as more of a cluster.
- 1:50Yes, exactly.
- 1:51That is what I'm imagining happened in the minds of many of our viewers and probably they're recovered by now.
- 1:58But, you know, I mean, I think we got in the way of that recovery with this conversation.
- 2:02Yes, we've promoted it fully to consciousness.
- 2:04And now that's all they're thinking about, which by the way, you're welcome.
- 2:11And I'm sorry.
- 2:12No, but I mean, I do think that we've talked about before, but this the value of not having some things promoted to consciousness so that you are aware of them and can have them promoted, if they need to be, but they aren't taking up valuable sort of interactive day to day space in your life is it's it's an ever more difficult tightrope to walk in the modern era.
- 2:38If you ever spend a time being exposed to things that you weren't explicitly asking for, which is to say online.
- 2:46Actually, you know, that's quite right.
- 2:49You sound surprised.
- 2:50No, I just it's a good thought that one of the maladies that we suffer from in modernity is that we are forced to keep many active threads open simultaneously just for because we have things at stake in them.
- 3:07You can't.
- 3:08Right.
- 3:08But I mean, I think my point is now and has been, you know, this is not a new thing that I'm saying that I've said this many times before that for for many of us, the active decision to say, actually, that's not where I'm going to be aware right now, that it's not going to be where I spend my time.
- 3:24And I'm going to choose to go in sometimes and say, OK, or not.
- 3:28And that isn't inherently an avoidant or evasive or disinterested position.
- 3:34It is a both self preserving position and also one that potentially allows for greater clarity of thought when it comes with episodically, when it is important to go back to or to to go for the first time to some topic that has been active in many people's minds constantly for, you know, days, weeks, months, years, decades.
- 3:56Yep.
- 3:56Each of the threads benefits from being put into a latent phase to be revived later with fresh eyes rather than keeping them all active in the mind because it's like a battlefield with, you know, 20 active threats.
- 4:12And, you know, we don't.
- 4:14Some people think they do, but we basically don't multitask well.
- 4:18Right.
- 4:19So, you know, at what cost at many costs, some of the costs will be quantifiable and noticeable and sort of, you know, you know, on the ground in physical space, what did you what didn't you get done because you were thinking about stuff over here.
- 4:31But I think the much harder to quantify and therefore more likely to be ignored costs have to do with, you know, greater ability to do analysis at various scales at, you know, when when called to do so, as opposed to at a constant level of like, well, I have to know, you know, I need to know what this and that and this and that at the, you know, hourly daily weekly level is.
- 4:57Yeah.
- 4:58I also think it interacts with the Cartesian crisis that in effect, because you're trying to make sense of a bunch of things that don't that aren't straightforward, the back burner fills up.
- 5:10I'm a big fan of the back burner where you can put things and not resolve them prematurely.
- 5:15And then when you discover something that allows you to make progress, you pull it off the back burner.
- 5:20But if the back burner has 40 things on it because nothing is straightforward, then you you're basically you've got a lot of live models rather than, you know, if you were programming a computer, you would want to get an element right so that when you were working on some other element and breaking things in the process of elaborating it, you weren't worried that this thing over here wasn't stable.
- 5:43Right.
- 5:44And that, yeah, it's very counterproductive.
- 5:47Very counterproductive.
- 5:48And there's also I mean, I was thinking, you know, we're doing this all before the ads, which means some portion of the audience will just skip this, never hear this part of the conversation.
- 5:55But I think it's maybe the crux of what we should be talking about today, which is that, you know, part of as you have discussed the Cartesian crisis, which you named a few years back, our inability, our ever-greatening inability, our ever-enhanced, our ever-growing, that's, that's the one inability to discern what is real discern what the truth is, has to do with us not being actual eyewitnesses to things where we think we're eyewitnesses to the fabrication of apparent reality on screens, the interface, the, you know, the delay between what we think that we're sensing, what we are sensing, and when it actually happened, and therefore the ability for contributing forces to get in between the thing that we think we're observing or sensing in some way, and how we're sensing it and to change it.
- 6:51So that's, that's at the empirical level, the pollen continues, spring continues here.
- 6:58And, and then, of course, a lot of what we do here with regard to the evolutionary lens is think at the theoretical level analytically, entirely aside from what is actually true, what would be true if?
- 7:13Let's work in hypotheticals, let's consider, you know, things like the game theory and the evolutionary logic of systems, and then as we actually know things to be true, let's, let's say, oh, I see that, let's use what we understand analytically and figure out what must be true if that is true, and, and use those sorts of skills to assess if what we think we're seeing is true, is actually true, and also to make inference.
- 7:36But when the new cycle is so fast, when the information is demonstrably fraudulent, at least in places, the ability to use any model on things that you have totally varying understanding of whether or not they are true, and also varying capacities, no to what degree they are true, the whole thing becomes such a model that, you know, and, and this, you know, your results will vary, like different people will have different, different brains, which, yes, different capacities too, but different brains that work well in different styles of tasks, that, that, you know, pulling, pulling back and saying, actually, that entire thing is so unknown that no amount of analysis over here is going to allow me to discern what's true, therefore I can't make sense of it.
- 8:27And I'm not saying I don't care, and I'm not saying I'm disinterested, what I'm saying is it's simply not possible now, and there are so many other things that I could be doing with my time in which I could be making sense of the world developing better models, that I'm, you know, maybe I'll come back to it, maybe not, but being constantly reminded of the thing doesn't often for many people actually help resolve anything and just makes us scattered.
- 8:54Well, it does remind me a little bit of the conversation we had many months ago about my couple friends who walked away from social media, first order, that's a very wise thing to do for your sanity and mental health, but when I checked back in on them years later, I found they their mental health was fine, but their level of confusion about what was actually going on in the world struck me as quite high, because unfortunately, we're stuck in a kind of damned if you do and damned if you don't world it's like which failure mode do you prefer?
- 9:31And I'm not arguing that one is better than the other, but I am arguing, I guess I it's failure modes on both sides.
- 9:38There are there is the potential for failure modes on both sides for sure.
- 9:41And they're going to be different ones mostly, but I'm thinking about, you know, you kept both of your friends anonymously, anonymous as you should, but I'm thinking about people who, for instance, are saying I'm not on social media.
- 9:55And when my beloved child comes to me and says that they're a sex that they're not, I believe them, because I believe my child and oh, by the way, what is my news feed?
- 10:07My news feed is the completely captured New York Times and NPR.
- 10:12And so it's not that there's no media diet.
- 10:14It's that there's been a choice for a media diet that is extraordinarily ideological.
- 10:20And this will, you know, the same opposite different, but, you know, similar levels of error will presumably occur on the so-called right side of the spectrum if that's the only media diet you're receiving.
- 10:31So, you know, ideology is ideology.
- 10:34So I don't think that that is fixed by social media.
- 10:38Most people on social media are getting a straight up ideological diet as well.
- 10:42And it's just coming at them way faster.
- 10:43And so it's, you know, it's more toxic because of the speed, but it's no less or more ideological inherently.
- 10:49And some would argue that the algorithms associated with social media make it more, more catalyzing.
- 10:56I think part of what we've been seeing over the last, I don't know what you want to call it, five or 50 years is a catalyzing and a fixing of ideology in the legacy publications and the legacy media, such that it's really hard to actually end up informed and educated by reading or watching any individual legacy media.
- 11:19So social media has the capacity to amalgamate, but it doesn't usually do so.
- 11:24All right.
- 11:25I think there are three categories.
- 11:27You've got, I embrace the legacy media, you get the equivalent of false signal.
- 11:34It's consistent.
- 11:35It is not true.
- 11:37Social media, if you allow the algorithm to govern you, you get a different false signal.
- 11:42If you attempt to break the false signal on social media, you lose signal in the noise.
- 11:50What you get is a huge amount of noise, most of it not informative.
- 11:53And the question is, can you divine a signal out of that noise that is in fact leans in the direction of some kind of truth?
- 12:02In the social media, you're saying?
- 12:03Right.
- 12:04Because you can follow people who are on different sides of an issue and then you could try to figure out what's actually going on.
- 12:12So anyway.
- 12:13This is what editors are supposed to do.
- 12:16This is what curation is.
- 12:18These concepts that have been grabbed and twisted and either disappeared and then their skin suits are walking around or have been used for totally other things are actually extraordinarily valuable concepts because none of us, especially in the 21st century, can possibly walk into every single system that we might, if we are curious and open human beings, be interested in and become knowledgeable enough to start separating wheat from chaff very quickly.
- 12:48And so it is valuable that the reason that there have been beautiful publications that actually you can say, okay, this is what, if I go there once a week or every day even and just do a quick run of the front page or this section and this section, I will get a kind of read on the world as a match for the kind of read that I have historically been interested in, but all of these things have fallen apart.
- 13:13So curation and editing is partially the answer to this, but we don't have curators or editors who are trustworthy or not ideological anymore.
- 13:21Which I think is the point.
- 13:23A, that tells you something.
- 13:25The fact that we would all sign up for even one, even if it was from an ideology that we didn't, from a proceeding from an ideology that we didn't match, just something to try to tell the truth and held that as its highest value, it'd be a slam dunk business wise.
- 13:41Everybody would sign up.
- 13:43The fact that we don't have one says there's a process that makes sure that this excellent business idea that can't possibly fail will fail every time it will turn into an ideological mess and be targeted.
- 13:54So I do think actually, there is kind of one.
- 13:57And it's the Epic Times, which I find that I am going to more regularly, EPOCH.
- 14:04And you've talked with Jan, I think founding founder, founder and editor.
- 14:10I'm not sure.
- 14:11I'm not sure.
- 14:11In on the ground floor, to be sure.
- 14:13I never remember how to pronounce his last name.
- 14:17Yeah.
- 14:17Yacalik.
- 14:17Yacalik, who's extraordinary.
- 14:19You've had him on Inside Rail.
- 14:22And the Epic Times does a better job than any other media outlet I know of at the moment of doing a really wide array of stories regularly and with biases everyone has, but with bias that is worn clearly when it's there.
- 14:45Well, I think it has a bias that orients its view of the world.
- 14:51I think the concern about the CCP is not the worst bias you can have.
- 14:59So anyway, it does have an awful lot of signal and it reports on a lot of stuff where there is no Chinese dimension.
- 15:05And so anyway, there's a lot of stuff in it, but I still think, I've said it before, but we need a real newspaper with a real newsroom with a budget that can report globally with all of the tools at the disposal of an actual newsroom that responds to the journalistic ethics.
- 15:28And the name for it is obvious.
- 15:30It should be called the Interesting Times.
- 15:34I think there's no question about that.
- 15:37Okay.
- 15:38It's a good name.
- 15:40Yeah, but I mean, was this all in service of that?
- 15:43I just think it's a cherry on top of a very good Sunday, which we have just constructed here.
- 15:50Okay.
- 15:51Maybe.
- 15:54Okay.
- 15:55Let's not not at the top of the hour anymore or the top of the half hour, the bottom of the hour.
- 15:59Is that what I mean?
- 16:00I guess, I guess we start at the bottom of the hour.
- 16:04Yes, this is the, well, if we're starting at the bottom of the hour.
- 16:06We're now closing in on the top of the hour.
- 16:07We're at the top of the bottom of the hour or the bottom of the middle of the hour.
- 16:14You're not actually thinking about the way that analog clocks work.
- 16:18Diagramming it in my head.
- 16:19Oh, clocks.
- 16:20I had not got it.
- 16:22I had a bar graph and it was pretty good.
- 16:25Okay.
- 16:25But I mean, what does the top of the hour mean?
- 16:28It's thinking about an analog clock and that never occurred to me.
- 16:32I think, I don't know.
- 16:34I haven't looked it up, but I haven't, I haven't, I haven't referred to experts on this, but to me, it seems obvious that that's what top of the hour means.
- 16:43In which case we actually start at the bottom of the hour, but we say top of the hour because it's top of the hour.
- 16:47We start at the bottom of the hour, not because Adam, because we're starting at the bottom, which they don't.
- 16:52Typically it's just that we're on the half hour.
- 16:54So yeah, it's all making sense to me now.
- 16:56My whole life is going to need a rethink in light of the fact that I had missed this until now.
- 17:01Yeah.
- 17:02All right.
- 17:03Okay.
- 17:03Let us at what is now the top of the hour, but the bottom of our starting hour, et cetera.
- 17:09It's the top of an hour.
- 17:11Yes, it is.
- 17:13You have the last one, right?
- 17:14Did I write final?
- 17:16Final, but I mean, that could mean anything.
- 17:18Maybe it's the first one and things are going to go very wrong after this.
- 17:22That's too bad.
- 17:22In which case I knew I was pressured enough and yet I still handed it to you and I'm sitting here next to you.
- 17:27There's, there's some reason I want to go out with you.
- 17:29Love port.
- 17:31I knew that years ago, even if it was surprising at the time, but no, I met, I know what you meant.
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- 23:13We should change that script to say"protein forward smoothies." I think it's way cooler.
- 23:19Do you?
- 23:19Yes.
- 23:19You might want to check with your Gen Z children.
- 23:22Well, they will undoubtedly think it's not cooler, if only because that's not how they are.
- 23:27That's not how they are at all.
- 23:29Well, they will think undoubtedly it's uncool because they're Gen Z and speak a foreign language, but...
- 23:33That's also not how they are.
- 23:36I mean, there's foreign jargon, for sure.
- 23:39Oh, there's some jargon.
- 23:41Yeah.
- 23:41Yeah.
- 23:42And they speak a whole different language at the level of emojis and pictures that they send in text.
- 23:48Crazy stuff.
- 23:49Fair enough.
- 23:49The pictures.
- 23:51Yes.
- 23:51Yes.
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- 24:36Are you having a glass?
- 24:37I want you to smell it.
- 24:39It smells great.
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- 24:46Should you have one?
- 24:47Trees don't have one.
- 24:49So anyway, you probably do.
- 24:52You're ad-libbing again, aren't you?
- 24:54Not well, but you know, there's a certain amount.
- 24:58Cinnamon.
- 24:58Should you have one?
- 24:59If you don't have one, you should not engage with any products at all.
- 25:04How about that?
- 25:06If you don't have an immune system.
- 25:07No, a tree could engage with ornaments.
- 25:09There's lots of products for trees.
- 25:10I'm sure.
- 25:11Trees don't have money with which to buy products.
- 25:13You buy them as gifts for the trees as I'm led to understand.
- 25:18That's their, that's their original coffee alternative, but MUD/WTR.
- 25:22MUD/WTR.
- 25:23Yes.
- 25:24Let's just get back to like starting in the middle after talking about tree trees.
- 25:28We're talking about MUD/WTR for people with immune systems who might want to augment them with Chaga and Rishi.
- 25:34See, I'm paying attention.
- 25:35That's their original coffee alternative.
- 25:38They're referring to MUD/WTR, but MUD/WTR also makes a matcha coffee alternative, which is like their original, but has matcha instead of cacao and cinnamon too.
- 25:47Wait.
- 25:48Has matcha instead of cacao and cinnamon too.
- 25:52All right.
- 25:53And MUD/WTR also makes mushroom coffee with their Arabica coffee.
- 25:56Plus all the mushrooms already mentioned, lion's mane and cordyceps, Chaga and Rishi.
- 26:02I think it's Rishi.
- 26:03It's what?
- 26:04I think it's Rishi.
- 26:05Rishi?
- 26:05Rishi.
- 26:06I don't know.
- 26:07Oh, it's Rishi.
- 26:08Sure.
- 26:10Sounds good to me.
- 26:11I mean, you know, protein forward and all.
- 26:14They've got a turmeric.
- 26:16Wow.
- 26:18Next sentence, I swear says they've got a turmeric forward drink that is caffeine free and has the same mushrooms plus ginger, cinnamon and wait for it.
- 26:29Bayobab, really?
- 26:30Yeah.
- 26:31Yeah.
- 26:31So we we haven't actually tried this turmeric one.
- 26:33I went I went on their site, spent some time on their site.
- 26:35We've had we've had a couple of their stuff, a couple of their flavors, their their products, and they're great.
- 26:41But they've got a bunch more now, including the turmeric one.
- 26:44And I just had to mention it.
- 26:45And yes, turmeric forward because literally has Bayobab in it.
- 26:49It must be Bayobab fruits.
- 26:52I actually I can I can look it up.
- 26:53I wish it was Bayobab root because then you could say Bayobab root, which is at the top.
- 27:00Well, it's not, but it's not.
- 27:02But the the thing about Bayobabs is that people describe them as being upside down because they look like they have the roots at the top anyway.
- 27:09I mean, extraordinary trees.
- 27:10We've seen them in Madagascar and they're also in East Africa.
- 27:13I feel like buying them a gift.
- 27:14I don't want to or the Bayobabs.
- 27:16Bayobabs ornaments, something to put on the roots.
- 27:20Yes, I don't know what the Bayobab is doing in there, but I'm intrigued.
- 27:24Heather wrote that.
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- 29:38Yep.
- 29:38All right.
- 29:39Back to earth.
- 29:41Yes.
- 29:41Yes.
- 29:42Now at the bottom of the hour again, we are ready to go.
- 29:45I don't think so.
- 29:46All right.
- 29:46Yeah.
- 29:47I mean, we're cruising towards it.
- 29:49I mean, I think, you know, we had fun, but it took time.
- 29:53Yeah.
- 29:54Well, so back to earth, actually, let's, can we talk a little bit about Artemis too?
- 29:59Please.
- 30:00Yeah.
- 30:01I don't have a ton to say about the actual expedition, but I'm excited by it.
- 30:10We were both born early enough in 1969 to have been part of sort of the space age, the American space age, watching from care, give my effect in my case, my father's lap.
- 30:25And in your case, one of your grandfather's.
- 30:27I think it was my grandmother.
- 30:30So, you know, going back to space, it's exciting.
- 30:33It's exciting.
- 30:35And, you know, NASA is one of those agencies that I'm sure there's corruption.
- 30:40I'm sure there's incompetence, but it's just one of those federal agencies that I'm mostly very excited about.
- 30:46And, you know, we didn't share last week that the internet failed midway.
- 30:53And although we were still ethernetted into live stream, my computer stopped connecting.
- 30:57And so I had to do a bunch of stuff.
- 30:59It seems to really not be playing ball with me again, but maybe I already have this Q Dev.
- 31:06Oh, here we go.
- 31:07So hopefully I'm not going to be able to change the size of this.
- 31:09Can you see my screen?
- 31:10Of course you can.
- 31:12There we go.
- 31:15In light of Artemis 2, The Guardian, a few days ago, published this op-ed called Let's Stop Going Into Space.
- 31:23There's Nothing to See and No One to Talk To.
- 31:27I mean, I hate this, but of course it's by woman.
- 31:31Like, I don't think any man would put their name to such.
- 31:33I mean, the headline is never written by the person whose piece it is.
- 31:38But I'm going to read a little bit of this, but just to preempt the insanity, and it's a short piece, and maybe I'll just read the whole thing.
- 31:48Exploration and curiosity and openness and innovation are what we are about.
- 31:55That's what humanity is.
- 31:57The idea that, and frankly, it's like a female coded version of the tech bro, we got it, man, we know exactly what we're going to do.
- 32:07We're going to be data-driven confusion over in that space.
- 32:12It's the same thing.
- 32:14I already know what I'm interested in.
- 32:15I already know what there is to know.
- 32:17There is nothing new under the sun.
- 32:19Who cares?
- 32:21I'm going to drill down with numbers, or I'm going to only look for the things I already know, and I only know what I want to see and who I want to talk to.
- 32:30It's so constricting and enfeebling and sad.
- 32:37It's those things.
- 32:38Here's what she has to say.
- 32:41She says, "I have nothing against astronauts or scientific innovation, but what's the point of Artemis 2?" I'm going to try to make this bigger and...
- 32:51God, it failed me.
- 32:52Let's see if I can get in this way.
- 32:56Yes, good.
- 32:57It is absolutely self-evident to me that space exploration is pointless, and the more urgent the crisis besetting this planet we live on, the more pointless it becomes.
- 33:05I can see why people got excited about it in the 1960s, back when the world was young and we still thought there might be little green people out there.
- 33:12Who wouldn't want to meet them?
- 33:13Most serious opinion, however, has now settled on the "where is everybody" paradox, first framed by the physicist Enrico Fermi in 1950.
- 33:20If there is intelligent life anywhere, why is it not sought to make contact?
- 33:23It's because there isn't.
- 33:25There's nothing out there except planets infinitely less beautiful than this one we live on.
- 33:28That first paragraph is just so full of wrongness and insanity.
- 33:32Maybe it's just worth stopping there.
- 33:36But then she begins the next one with,"All that seems pretty uncontroversial." I almost never mention it, except for when astronauts yet again pointlessly go into space, as with the latest moon mission.
- 33:46Here's what I've noticed.
- 33:47People get really annoyed.
- 33:49Yep, that's me getting really annoyed.
- 33:51"I have loads of opinions," she writes,"way more vexatious than that one, yet none of them attract the same ire.
- 33:57Everyone's annoyed for a different reason.
- 33:59Some of them think I'm deliberately setting out to ruin a festivity." Festivity, chosen there to indicate that this is just frivolous.
- 34:08"Others act as though I'm opposing innovation and modernity, which I absolutely am not." Yes, you are.
- 34:14"They point to all the discoveries that wouldn't have been made without the space-based wanderlust, most of which seem to involve finding better ways to kill each other.
- 34:22And then they mourn the kind of world I want to live in, where nobody can see beyond their own horizon." Some people think, so this is going to be the end of it, yeah.
- 34:32Some people think I dislike the astronauts themselves, which couldn't be more wrong.
- 34:35Who thinks that?
- 34:36Who has that thought?
- 34:38When you start railing against the space program, you don't like the individuals who are going to space.
- 34:42What?
- 34:43Some people think I dislike the astronauts themselves, which couldn't be more wrong.
- 34:47I'm sure they're great.
- 34:48They certainly seem wholesome.
- 34:50Some people think I'm being a Scrooge.
- 34:51You are.
- 34:53"Resenting the financial outlay because my soul has no poetry in it.
- 34:56It's a paradox and not a delicious one that moaning about the waste of energy that is space travel has turned into quite a significant waste of my own energy." Seriously, NASA, could you not just knock it off?
- 35:06Hasn't the US of all nations got bigger things to worry about?
- 35:10And worry again, festivities and worry.
- 35:13Isn't this just a frivolous little, and she doesn't say it.
- 35:17She doesn't, at least she doesn't gender this thing, but she does implicitly.
- 35:21This is like men doing their frivolous manly things when they should be solving the real problems here on earth, which they too caused.
- 35:30Yes?
- 35:31I have thousands to say.
- 35:33I just don't want to interrupt the excellent riff.
- 35:36I will pick it up after you say something.
- 35:39Okay.
- 35:40So first of all, I think we cannot bypass the fact that the men folk are having a very different conversation about this mission, and it will cause you to want to roll your eyes.
- 35:55But the men folk are having a discussion about whether or not the mission happened.
- 35:59So this is not the men folk.
- 36:02This is some group of men folk.
- 36:05No, and this is not as insane as it sounds.
- 36:08I did.
- 36:09I do.
- 36:09You are now combining two reactions.
- 36:13Okay.
- 36:13This is not, I mean, any more than that is the women folk, but there is a gendered thing here.
- 36:19That's the thing.
- 36:20The majority of men folk are not questioning whether or not this happened.
- 36:27Probably if you were to survey people on the street, that's true.
- 36:30But in terms of people who are processing this as something, a large fraction of the men folk are having a discussion.
- 36:38I'm not saying they're all saying it didn't happen.
- 36:40That's not what I'm saying, but I am saying there's a very active discussion about what this actually was.
- 36:46And you know, it was a bunch of things, including a religious experience, weirdly enough.
- 36:50Now I'm not saying, I'm saying that what was presented back to us here on earth had a decidedly religious flavor.
- 37:01And you just repeat it like, Oh, what, what are you talking about actual illusions to a particular version of the deity.
- 37:07There was prayer and all of this stuff.
- 37:10And I am not saying you don't get to take that stuff with you to space, but I am saying NASA is deciding what we down here on earth get to enjoy about this.
- 37:19And there was a time back when the moon mission, either data didn't happen.
- 37:24There was an illusion to this being an accomplishment of humankind, right?
- 37:29There was a universality to it.
- 37:32And this was different from that prayer.
- 37:35I guess I didn't run.
- 37:37I didn't, I don't know what you're talking about.
- 37:38So it's hard for me to, because I haven't seen any of this.
- 37:41There was a lot of illusions to a particular Christian version of, and you know, I ain't against it coming from the astronauts or NASA coded.
- 37:51Well, you know, choice of who went choice of what they were going to do.
- 37:54All of this stuff somehow happens.
- 37:56We don't know.
- 37:57So anyway, again, take your beliefs to space with you.
- 38:02I don't think you shouldn't.
- 38:03I don't think we should be populating space with atheists.
- 38:06I've said plenty of stuff about what are, you know, as a de facto atheist.
- 38:11I've said lots of stuff about the dangers, I think, that come along with abandoning ancient traditions in favor of nothing.
- 38:19But the point is we got a particular thing back.
- 38:22I think there was a huge opportunity missed here.
- 38:26Assuming the, the mission is what it appeared to have been, then a lot of effort should have been put into figuring out how this could be used to get us some sort of resolution on what happened in 1969.
- 38:46Because the problem is that the hypothesis that we did not go actually, there's stuff in it that you wouldn't expect.
- 38:57It's not flat earth, right?
- 38:59Right.
- 39:00But how would, how would this mission, which did not land on the moon, and I don't know enough about where the landings in the 60s or the 70s were versus what exactly was, was, or what, where the orbit was this time.
- 39:18I don't even know if they were, I have no idea.
- 39:20I haven't looked into it, presumably knowable, but I, you're, you're asking for, you're asking for this to have been a different, well, a different set of goals.
- 39:29And, you know, I think the goals are a little bit, you know, the goals are in part geopolitical and competitive and chest thumping.
- 39:36Like we're going to get there before China.
- 39:37Yeah.
- 39:37But the goals are also engineering.
- 39:39The goals are let's, let's test a bunch of systems and see if man's space flight and potentially, you know, living on the surface of other planets, satellites, et cetera.
- 39:49Like how, how close are we and what systems work and what systems need tweaking?
- 39:53You know, was, was the stated goal.
- 39:58Right.
- 39:59And look, first of all, let's address this woman's absurd criticisms here just once and for all.
- 40:06The value of going to the moon is, it's a little bit like the value of going to college back when that had a value.
- 40:15You are doing it for the purpose of training yourself.
- 40:21And so the point is going to the moon, especially landing on the moon and returning is an extremely difficult task and it succeeds or fails unambiguously.
- 40:32So the point is if we want to upgrade ourselves, setting a very difficult task like that, one from which you will, yes, get some kind of information that you didn't have before.
- 40:42But the purpose is not to figure out what the moon is made of.
- 40:46Right.
- 40:46We can take a pretty good guess at that even before arriving.
- 40:49But so I think your framing is actually, I think that's interesting because, you know, put aside your claim that many men question whether or not this happened.
- 41:00I think your framing of what the, what the legitimate purpose of a moon mission is, which is firmly within scientific territory and my framing of what the legitimate purpose of a moon mission is, which is, I think, also firmly within scientific territory are actually quite different based on, as it turns out, sex differences.
- 41:22That you just talked about a goal, a mission, a, you know, having the idea in advance and like coming back with data, basically.
- 41:30And my, you know, the way that I framed it and the way that I think about one of the key purposes and of such missions, but such really of a space program more generally, of having a space program, having grown up in the space age, right, is to encourage wonder and awe and openness and curiosity and exploration and discovery, especially when we live on a planet that is full of beauty and unknown things, but other than the oceanic depths, most of the land has been seen.
- 42:06Like we've been there and there are so many new things under the sun yet.
- 42:11And part of what is happening to us as a species is we're just getting flat.
- 42:16We're just getting bored with what is possible because anytime you think, oh, oh, I just heard about a new place or a new thing and you, and you Google it, you AI it, you do whatever it is to figure it out.
- 42:30And you realize that 18 million people have already had thoughts about it or heard about it and added their own little thing.
- 42:36And you know, most of them are wrong, but some of them aren't.
- 42:38And how do you figure it out?
- 42:39And you're just done.
- 42:39Like, I don't know, I'll just go back to TikTok.
- 42:41Right?
- 42:42So I think for sure the, you know, stated explicit on the cover of the brochure purpose, and you know, in this case it was engineering, not science, mostly, were the purposes, but you know, the scientific reasons are to have questions in advance that you go with the appropriate tools to run experiments or do observations that can help you resolve your hypotheses.
- 43:04But the, the more ethereal necessity for science, for humans is to keep open our sense of wonder and awe and curiosity and openness and, and remember that exploration and discovery are just inherent to who we are.
- 43:22I disagree with none of that.
- 43:24And in fact, I thought that your initial defense of it actually included mine.
- 43:30Different emphasis.
- 43:30I mean, I think it, I found your emphasis fast.
- 43:34No, I wasn't defending the engineering.
- 43:36I was saying the stated goals appear to have been mostly engineering rather than scientific.
- 43:41There's like some geopolitical stuff for sure.
- 43:44And there's, there's a lot of engineering stuff and there's not, there's not really that much over in the explicitly scientific territory with regard to justification side of NASA for Artemis too.
- 43:55Right.
- 43:55And I don't think, I don't think there was, I don't think there was much to learn for one thing when it comes to the moon.
- 44:00We've been there, done that maybe.
- 44:03So no, but a NASA tells us, it's a big place, by the way, NASA of space, the moon, the places we haven't been for sure.
- 44:17Yeah.
- 44:18Oh, that's true.
- 44:19Oh, on the moon.
- 44:20Yeah.
- 44:20But it's kind of a, you know, variations on a theme, it being, well, that's what we think having not been many places.
- 44:27All right.
- 44:27But nonetheless, the value of going to the moon itself is mostly an engineering thing.
- 44:35NASA tells us with a straight face that they've lost the technology that got us there the first time.
- 44:41One of the many things that don't quite add up about the story.
- 44:44So the point is, okay, if this is true, we need to bootstrap that capacity again, would be good to have it.
- 44:51It was quite an accomplishment if it was one.
- 44:53Right.
- 44:54But what do you say?
- 44:54Yeah.
- 44:54Would be good to have it.
- 44:56What do you say to women like this Guardian op-ed writer?
- 44:58He's like, what do you mean it'd be good to have it?
- 45:00Don't we need to solve the problems here on earth first?
- 45:01I remember, I actually remember having this argument in eighth grade with a girl, I was going to say woman, but in eighth grade, you're not women, you're girls.
- 45:11A girl I was friends with and we were doing some science project together and I was finding her impossible to deal with because at every turn she came up with, you know, sort of the social justification for why we needed to definitely spend money over there and not over here.
- 45:25Like, what are you talking about?
- 45:26We're talking about science.
- 45:27We're talking about like keeping your mind open and being expansive.
- 45:31And she specifically went after the space program.
- 45:33Right.
- 45:33And this would have been in, you know, whatever the early eighties.
- 45:36Right.
- 45:36But first of all, you and I have covered this topic thoroughly under a different banner.
- 45:41This is basic and it's not basic science, it's basic engineering.
- 45:45But the point is it's engineering without a specific purpose.
- 45:49But I would point out many of us have traveled on an airplane and gone to see important things or accomplished things in remote locations by using one.
- 45:58When the airplane was invented, nobody knew what it was for.
- 46:01And in fact, for many years after nobody knew what it was for, the army couldn't figure out what to do with it.
- 46:05I'm going to keep pushing back though.
- 46:07Like, yes, absolutely.
- 46:09The value of basic research is in part that you have no idea what it's going to open up with regard to actual things that are useful to humans.
- 46:18But the actual value to humans is the inquiry and the openness and the exploration.
- 46:25So I'm just like, yes, that's true.
- 46:27But every time that gets trotted out, that's the thing that gets remembered.
- 46:31And then people could start dismantling that because it seems finite and you can count it and be like, yes, but you know, all of this research hasn't resolved into anything useful.
- 46:40Therefore, let's cut that branch.
- 46:42Like, you know, that is creating an opportunity to cut opportunities for inquiry on the basis that we haven't yet seen utility.
- 46:54Look, I couldn't possibly be more on your same page.
- 46:58I would point out that I studied tent making bats and that was either because I misunderstood the potential opportunities that would be opened by our understanding why these bats make these structures and in what way, or it was because I actually believe that it's worth answering difficult questions.
- 47:16So do you want to get into a fight as to how unimportant with regard to human success on the planet, each of our dissertation, the field based disputes, because some of your your your theoretical work turns out to have been I think the theoretical work has lots of but important practical implications.
- 47:35But with if we are competing to see whose dissertation was more basic and had less potential for human utility, I'm going to win this.
- 47:43Really?
- 47:44Yeah.
- 47:44With regard to the field work only.
- 47:46Yeah.
- 47:46Yeah.
- 47:47Because your frogs are the custodians of an extremely powerful and still mysterious chemical process that creates a compound that interacts in a profound way with mammalian physiology.
- 48:03Yes, but I wasn't studying the toxin.
- 48:07I know.
- 48:07The lipophilic alkaloids on the surface of their skin that they create through their diet of ants and mites.
- 48:15I can say those words, but that has nothing to do with the questions I was asking.
- 48:18Yeah.
- 48:19Like, I do think that, you know, we can both put together stories that I think are actually valid about, you know, coming to understand the nature in the case of my research of sex and sexual selection and territoriality and the evolution of paternal care and the conditions under which predation and competition between within species end up superseding one another and also in the evolution of changes of habit like going from nocturnal to diurnal.
- 48:48Like the all of these are actually relevant to questions of humanity as well.
- 48:53But oh, in frogs, therefore not relevant.
- 48:55Oh, do you think evolution didn't happen in which one that humans are frogs?
- 48:59And, you know, we could certainly make arguments that, you know, the modification of habitat to create to create domicile is is I ran out.
- 49:12Yeah, you were more about my own work.
- 49:14Yeah.
- 49:16You did admirably well.
- 49:18It just kind of petered off at the end.
- 49:19But OK.
- 49:21So the wonder part, super important.
- 49:24And as you know, I have argued that actually our light pollution problem accidentally is creating a profound philosophical problem.
- 49:35Yes.
- 49:35We write this into the book that the inability and it, you know, it's ironic because when you look into the night sky where it isn't light polluted, most of what you're seeing are near neighbors.
- 49:45But the grandeur of even just that set of near neighbor stars is so great that it does cause you probably to be less solipsistic and, you know, obsessed with your own local environment.
- 49:57By the way, there's a very good song by Cage, the Elephant, the premise of which is that he is, you know, sort of puttering around his house and then he looks up at the sky and he's thinking about an alien on a different planet puttering around his house in an analogous way.
- 50:17Anyway, it's kind of the way you should be thinking about this.
- 50:21But there does not need to be a reason to go to the moon.
- 50:28The capability to go to the moon, the fact that the capability to go to the moon is just out of range or very out of range is reason enough.
- 50:36And it's, you know, you don't want to do arbitrary at it, losing capacity for such things.
- 50:41It's crazy.
- 50:41Right.
- 50:41And if we didn't do it the first time, doing it for the first time is paramount.
- 50:46These things are really important.
- 50:48And it's a shame that this mission did not focus on bringing us compelling photographic evidence of the landing sites.
- 50:58Well, again, I'm going to push back on that because you presumably also don't know if their orbit, which was, you know, limited by the various astronomical bodies, was anywhere close to where the original landing sites were.
- 51:10Right.
- 51:10I know.
- 51:11And I will say I believe the Chinese and Russians have both given us some of this evidence.
- 51:18But the unimpressive evidence that we were given of this flight that appears, you know, static photos where you could have had video, where you could have had persistent video that would have allowed you to track this mission in a way that would have, you know, assuming the mission is real, which I do, the ability to understand, you know, as the context of the spaceship changes what that does to the size of the Earth and watching the Earth, you know, look, the initial space program that we all grew up thinking was the greatest achievement of humanity thus far, or at least on a small list of such things.
- 52:02One of the things that did come back from it, which, you know, arguably is evidence for its having happened, is the overview effect, which these astronauts kind of alluded to.
- 52:12But the overview effect was a psychological transition in astronauts, if not universal, near universal among them, from the odd experience of looking back at your home planet on which all of history has happened and understanding how tiny it is.
- 52:34So it's a version of Carl Sagan's Pale Blue Dot, which is, you know, not a great photograph based on the actual content, but maybe one of the most important photographs of all time based on its implication and Carl Sagan's narration of it, which is gorgeous and timeless.
- 52:55But anyway, yes, you go because of the upgrade in yourself for demonstrating the capacity and understanding what it is that you need to understand in order to accomplish all of the difficult things that are required.
- 53:09You go because it causes wonder in children who then are tracked into some kind of meaning because they know that amazing things are possible.
- 53:19Possibly reawakens wonder in adults.
- 53:21Sure.
- 53:21Lasted.
- 53:22Well, and we frankly had it poisoned.
- 53:25We've had so much stuff portrayed as other than it was that it has made people cynical.
- 53:30And the fact is, if this was just purely the mission that it appeared to be, it's a shame that you have a huge fraction of the population looking at it for signs that it was a fake and unfortunately not finding overwhelming evidence that it was true.
- 53:48So anyway, I think this is this is the story of a human tragedy.
- 53:51You've got a mission mired in a controversy about the most basic facts of what's true of our technological history.
- 54:03And this mission does very little to alter the status of that discussion.
- 54:07It basically plays to the New York Times reading crowd, some of whom are having absurd reactions like, why are we wasting money on this?
- 54:16Which is the guardian, but close enough.
- 54:18Well, you know, I think the thing is you're peering into this is one of these soliloquies that you can imagine exactly the cocktail party at which that sounds sophisticated.
- 54:32Right.
- 54:32The place that you can go that you can say that.
- 54:35And the response is, I know.
- 54:37Why?
- 54:38Why do they do this?
- 54:39Have you seen what's happening on our streets?
- 54:41Right.
- 54:41Don't we have better ways to spend our money?
- 54:43Yeah.
- 54:44And you guys aren't doing a good job of it at all.
- 54:46Right.
- 54:46And you guys are also not paying attention to the fact that, you know, we have these gigantic leaks of our tax dollars into frauds in various parts of the country.
- 54:59You know, I was referring to the both the frauds and the explicit programs that are batshit crazy.
- 55:04You got explicit programs that are batshit crazy.
- 55:07You've got frauds that are crazy.
- 55:10You've got, you know, wars that, you know, destroy a huge amount of treasure and cost lives.
- 55:19The number of places at which society is misinvesting is spectacular.
- 55:25And, you know, the idea that you're going to take something that's meaningful to many of us and challenge it because you can't find out how, you know, it has a practical benefit to the particular things that you're caring about.
- 55:39It's just it's a total failure of imagination, which might be one of the many symptoms of the Cartesian crisis and the era of fraud.
- 55:48Yeah.
- 55:48A total failure of imagination is right.
- 55:51And again, the headline of that of that crazy op-ed piece in The Guardian is no, that's not The Guardian at all.
- 55:59Let's stop going into space.
- 56:00There's nothing to see and no one to talk to.
- 56:04And, you know, I think maybe hopefully she did write that headline because that line doesn't actually show up in the piece.
- 56:09So that's quite it's quite an extrapolation by the editors if that's not from this author.
- 56:14But there's nothing to see.
- 56:15There's nothing to see.
- 56:16I'm sorry.
- 56:17There's everything to see, including, as you point out, you know, the greatest existential experience possible for humanity to see all of humanity all at once, at least those who are living now, and no one to talk to.
- 56:30So that's you, the author, betraying what you think has value.
- 56:37It's just about chit chat.
- 56:39And, you know, that's a denigration that maybe wasn't kind, but, you know, there's all sorts of high level talk.
- 56:44But talking to people is the only reason to do things.
- 56:48It's the only reason to go places.
- 56:51It makes me wonder why you would ever encourage anyone to go anywhere ever.
- 56:59You know, not just to say Vietnam to explore, but how about your local park?
- 57:04Like why go anywhere ever?
- 57:06If your position is if there's nothing to see, what is there to see?
- 57:10I don't know.
- 57:11If you don't think there's anything to see in space by looking back at the earth, I have no idea what you're talking about.
- 57:17There's no one to talk to.
- 57:19So what?
- 57:21Like, A, there were people to talk to, but B, there's a lot of things to be done in the world that don't involve conversation and don't involve explicit words and don't involve language.
- 57:30That is surely a human value, but it's not the only one.
- 57:36And for many of us, it's not the top one.
- 57:38There's also a profound misunderstanding of what up there means.
- 57:44I mean, what's up there?
- 57:45Yeah.
- 57:46A hundred percent of everything to a thousand decimal places is up there and not down here.
- 57:51Right.
- 57:52The fraction of what there is that is down here is so close.
- 57:56But I mean, you're now responding to a fiction.
- 57:59She didn't say there's nothing up there.
- 58:00She said, there's nothing to see.
- 58:02Well, but I think it's the same thing.
- 58:04The point is, it's not.
- 58:05The idea is what can you sense?
- 58:08This is a very limited, like I'm a human being trying to experience things.
- 58:13And I think it misunderstands the fact is that they were mostly testing engineering systems rather than asking scientific questions.
- 58:22And the scientific questions would be more about like, what can humans perceive versus what can our instruments perceive?
- 58:28And what use can we put our instruments to to answer scientific questions?
- 58:35But that's, that's not like I don't think what she's well, but even so, I mean, the reason to do this mission was not because of this mission.
- 58:45This is a step towards gaining capacity towards what towards seeing things that haven't been seen towards potential travel to places we haven't gone.
- 58:56So, you know, it's a non-argument.
- 58:59Right.
- 59:00It's like this, this was a prototype.
- 59:02It's a prototype mission.
- 59:04What's the purpose of this prototype mission?
- 59:06Well, it may have had purposes, but the purpose of the prototype is so that you can get good enough that you can do the thing that you haven't done yet.
- 59:13And so that I mean, that is sort of come full circle.
- 59:17That is, you know, over in the sort of more masculine coded part of the legitimate scientific justifications for such a mission.
- 59:24That is exactly the error of imagine the basic science that you can't already in advance of doing it.
- 59:31Imagine what the human applicability will be dismissing it and only going for applied science, which is to say, usually engineering.
- 59:39Well, I don't think so.
- 59:41I mean, I think as much as you think I was trying to, I was trying to sum up what we had both been saying.
- 59:47It seems to me that even if the purpose is to bootstrap the capacity for somebody to walk on Mars, I mean, I've given the idea of a colony on Mars a hard time because I've specifically ironically leveled the accusation that there's nothing to see up there because it's all rocks of the same kind.
- 1:00:07And my point is I don't want to go on that mission.
- 1:00:09I don't think most people would because, you know, you'd have to have a particular bent for that to be an upgrade.
- 1:00:16But it doesn't mean that getting human beings to Mars wouldn't have tremendous benefit, both in terms of what could scientifically be done, which can, you know, be done by robots and things.
- 1:00:29And we've done a lot of that, but also, you know, human beings never walked on another planet.
- 1:00:36That's an accomplishment to do it.
- 1:00:38What happens when you've walked on another planet?
- 1:00:40Do you come back and say something that actually causes us to reconceptualize the Earth yet again?
- 1:00:46Or, you know, our own systems.
- 1:00:48I mean, even just even just at the level of how does how are all of the ways that our physiology, that our anatomy, yes, but especially our physiology, are taking in the cues from our earthly environment and enacting clocks at the seasonal and the circadian level.
- 1:01:09We have tidal effects.
- 1:01:11We have electromagnetic effects.
- 1:01:14We have, you know, there's evidence of some, I think it was plants being able to maintain some of its circadian effects deep underground.
- 1:01:25It turns out to have been due to some, gosh, I think it was like radioactive decay of particles that it was picking up on.
- 1:01:33I'm confusing as I was reading a lot about various ways that we keep track of time in ways that we have no idea of consciously, most of us.
- 1:01:44And of course, our scientists don't know most of it yet.
- 1:01:47So, move us off of this planet in which we have only and entirely evolved.
- 1:01:52For some amount of time, we know that being in space messes with you, right?
- 1:01:56What would actually the effect of being on a different planet with a different mass, a different distance from the sun, a different day length, a different year length, you know, presumably like you're going to be living in a space with an atmosphere like earth, but all of the other effects, you know, a different core, different, like all these different things, what will we start to see that will change?
- 1:02:15I'm fascinated.
- 1:02:16I'm so curious to know what the answers to those questions will be.
- 1:02:19Yeah, I think those are all good questions.
- 1:02:22I also think there's something here we're wrestling to phrase that there's something about humans that figures out what can't be done and then tries to figure out how to do it.
- 1:02:36And that that is so fundamental to who we are and what we are.
- 1:02:40And I saw a video the other day, of course, had the same reaction.
- 1:02:45Is it real?
- 1:02:46You know, somebody built a little car that can drive up a wall, drive around on the wall.
- 1:02:53A car with a person in it?
- 1:02:55No.
- 1:02:55Okay.
- 1:02:56Just a little vehicle.
- 1:02:58And it works with fans.
- 1:02:59The fans basically create a force that pushes the car onto the wall, allowing all the regular car stuff to fans that are pushing it down onto its surface.
- 1:03:07I think the fans are pushing out.
- 1:03:09So it pushes the car down, but it's possible that they're sucking towards the wall.
- 1:03:13It wasn't clear from the video, which it was.
- 1:03:15But, you know, by adjusting the fans, I think can actually drive and then go up the wall and drive around.
- 1:03:21And the point is, oh, why do that?
- 1:03:23Well, I can come up with use cases, but the reason to do it is because that's so cool to be able to overcome that thing through logic, your way through it, prototyping your way to being able to even start and then improving the thing.
- 1:03:44You know, some of the benefit was it was that those of us who hadn't had the thought saw this thing, that that's productive of who we are.
- 1:03:52The technological problems that you will have solved to do it, that creates a knowledge base in the people who did it.
- 1:04:00Those people are hyper competent people.
- 1:04:02They're exactly who you want.
- 1:04:04And, you know, so anyway, well, this exists across all domains, too.
- 1:04:09Right.
- 1:04:10The theme music for DarkHorse is the creation of a man who made is making music with wooden marbles, elaborate design of wood and marbles.
- 1:04:24Winter Catan, is that?
- 1:04:26Yes.
- 1:04:26Yeah.
- 1:04:27Martin Mullen.
- 1:04:28Yeah.
- 1:04:29And, you know, improv and innovation are probably accepted or embraced by such, you know, space exploration naysayers if it happens in the place of music, if it happens over in comedy space, maybe.
- 1:04:45But, you know, if it's entirely linguistic, then everyone's into it.
- 1:04:48Oh, of course, we innovate all the time.
- 1:04:49We're creative.
- 1:04:50That's who we are.
- 1:04:51But the idea that over in actual functional physical understanding of an engagement with the universe space, that that's where the curiosity and creativity have to stop.
- 1:05:01My God, that's exactly where we need it most.
- 1:05:04And, you know, it's fantastic that we have it in art that doesn't have a, you know, an art and also craft, but like art that doesn't have an obvious practical use.
- 1:05:14But it's frankly, amazing there.
- 1:05:18And if we have to prioritize, it's more important.
- 1:05:21The creativity and the openness is more important in science than in art.
- 1:05:26And it is a amazing misapprehension of what science is to imagine that it doesn't involve creativity and discovery.
- 1:05:36I think at one level, if something causes, you know, there are obviously people with low standards or whatever, or people with perverse desires.
- 1:05:46But if something causes your average person to go, wow, that's really cool.
- 1:05:51It's probably worth doing whatever it is, whatever realm it is.
- 1:05:55Right.
- 1:05:55Yeah.
- 1:05:55If it's creating optical illusions, if it's some kind of acrobatic feat that you wouldn't have thought possible, parkour, parkour, engineering, any of these things.
- 1:06:05Right.
- 1:06:05So, you know, why?
- 1:06:08Yeah.
- 1:06:08I mean, sport in general.
- 1:06:09Yeah.
- 1:06:10Right.
- 1:06:10And in fact, you know, one of the, it's a horrifying age in many ways, but one of the benefits of this age is that you can look out across disciplines and you can watch human beings do things you would not think possible, right?
- 1:06:26Manage their center of gravity in a way that doesn't seem possible.
- 1:06:31Play ping pong at a speed with dexterity you wouldn't imagine could happen.
- 1:06:37You know, whatever they, these things are, what you're actually discovering is what the limits of that organism are.
- 1:06:45And the limits of that organism are amazing precisely because we're not specialized on anything.
- 1:06:50So, you know, discovering what we can do.
- 1:06:53As a species, we're not specialized on anything.
- 1:06:54Right.
- 1:06:55We've, we've, we've talked about this a lot, but we, we, we tend to be a species that is a generalist where each individual has various specializations.
- 1:07:02Right.
- 1:07:03And you know, but we can expand them throughout life.
- 1:07:06And knowing once you've seen somebody accomplish something incredible, you actually have a sense of what the possibility space is.
- 1:07:14So it's valid in that regard too.
- 1:07:17Right.
- 1:07:17Oh, I didn't realize a human being can do that, but now I do.
- 1:07:20And so the question is, well, okay, what else hasn't been done?
- 1:07:23And you know, all right, guys, we are stuck down here on the pale blue dot.
- 1:07:28We are, it's beautiful.
- 1:07:29It's lovely.
- 1:07:31It's tragic.
- 1:07:32But if there's one thing we probably ought to figure out, it's what the limits of what we're capable are.
- 1:07:38I mean, yeah, why wouldn't you?
- 1:07:41What better investment, all of the stuff we're investing in, how many things actually rise to that level?
- 1:07:45Not that many figuring out what the human animal is capable of.
- 1:07:49That is a worthy investment.
- 1:07:51And that doesn't matter whether we're talking about, you know, a huge organizational effort to get people to the moon or whether we're talking about an individual, you know, discovering something with a guitar.
- 1:08:02It's worth knowing what the limits are and where we haven't found them yet.
- 1:08:07And exposing your discovery to the bright eyed, bushy tailed agree of others and seeing what they think.
- 1:08:17Right.
- 1:08:18And, you know, at the smaller, often not scientific, individual scale of creating a new riff on the guitar or, you know, an example with which I'm quite familiar is work in clay.
- 1:08:31And, I mean, you know that we live with a whole bunch of apparently mismatched pottery in our cabinets because when I find a bowl that is appealing to me in heft and in form and in glaze, and I tend to buy it and put it in the cabinet, and we eat from it.
- 1:08:53Because these things aren't precious.
- 1:08:54You know, there are certainly, you know, things that we have that we don't eat from.
- 1:08:57But in general, you know, like we've just got, you know, a certain amount of objects that have been handmade with different clay bodies, fired at different temperatures, with different clases fired in either an oxidation or reduction environment with different amounts of underglaze or slip or carving or, you know, any number of things.
- 1:09:15And every time I hold one of these objects, I mean, you see be doing it all the time, I'm just appreciating the artistry and trying to figure out what they did.
- 1:09:23And sometimes I don't, I can't know.
- 1:09:25Sometimes I think I know and I if I have opportunity to talk to the artist, which sometimes I do, I'm surprised by what they say.
- 1:09:33And all of that is just opportunity for learning and to create new things that may branch off of that.
- 1:09:40Or sometimes you'll see something and say, Oh, that's, that's nothing that I want to do.
- 1:09:45I don't want that in my life.
- 1:09:46But I'm super impressed by the capacity to have done that.
- 1:09:51And I want to know what all went into that thing.
- 1:09:54And sometimes it's mimicry.
- 1:09:55And actually, we have, we have a mug that I particularly like, I think I got for you, but I like it, I like it more.
- 1:10:03That looks like it's made of pipes, right?
- 1:10:06And it's and it's not, it's, it's entirely made of clay, but it looks and it has the heft of it looks like it's made from, from plumbing fittings, the handle and just it feels great in the hand.
- 1:10:16But I did talk to the artist in that case, I was I was out of Portland, Oregon, and just, you know, the capacity to have looked at a real functional thing and said, Okay, I think that would make an interesting form on a mug.
- 1:10:31I'm going to make this metal thing into clay, I'm going to make a clay thing that exactly mimics that metal thing to such a degree that anyone picking it up actually has to question what it is.
- 1:10:43That is, again, it's in the realm of optical illusion.
- 1:10:46It's in the realm of yes, creativity, of mimicry, of just, you know, expanding your capacity to the edges of what is possible and, you know, and then going further.
- 1:10:57Yeah, pushing pushing the limit is inherently valid.
- 1:11:00And that's probably why all of us are fascinated by it.
- 1:11:04Right?
- 1:11:05Yeah.
- 1:11:06Really?
- 1:11:06Who do you know who isn't looking at these things documented and thinking that one's really cool.
- 1:11:14That one doesn't impress me.
- 1:11:15Oh, this one does.
- 1:11:16But we are in some sense, it's galvanizing that we're all obsessed with seeing things that, Oh, I've never seen anybody do that before.
- 1:11:23That's pretty amazing.
- 1:11:25That obsession is there for a reason.
- 1:11:27And we should, we should not overthink it the way this woman at the Guardian was clearly overthinking it.
- 1:11:33And I think we can also say that the Artemis 2 mission, if it was a mission was successful.
- 1:11:40And if it was a SIAP, it's not quite as successful, but still impressive.
- 1:11:45You can say that.
- 1:11:46Okay.
- 1:11:47I did say that.
- 1:11:49Yeah.
- 1:11:49It was perhaps clumsy.
- 1:11:51I think a human could do better, but I remain to see it done.
- 1:11:56I think I actually want to hold off on the other things.
- 1:11:59I enjoyed talking about, I mean, I think you might have something you want to talk about, but I had a couple of other stories that just are so much more downers and sociopolitical and, you know, about what is happening right here on earth at a very uncreative and an open level that they'll save, unfortunately, because the, you know, the corruption will continue.
- 1:12:29All right.
- 1:12:30Well, I do have one other thing.
- 1:12:32I hope you'll give me a little leash for this.
- 1:12:34It's not, I think you'll see why it's worth talking about once we, once we look at it.
- 1:12:39You realize you're not wearing a collar.
- 1:12:42Metaphorical entirely.
- 1:12:43Yeah.
- 1:12:43Yeah.
- 1:12:44If I was, it'd be spiked for sure.
- 1:12:46But that doesn't preclude a leash, I think.
- 1:12:49I don't know.
- 1:12:49I've never had a spiked collar, but Jen, do you have the tweet and video you want to show that video?
- 1:12:56It's just me.
- 1:12:57There's anyone else slightly concerned what professors can see when you upload your paper for them to grade it?
- 1:13:03Because I am grading a student's paper and I'm a TA and this professor is having me do something that he's never had me do before when it comes to creating a college students paper.
- 1:13:13And I want to show you guys what this is and like what you guys should look out for if you're currently making essays in college.
- 1:13:20Okay.
- 1:13:21So this is a student's paper that I pulled up in Google docs as a real students paper.
- 1:13:26And when I come over here to this black dot from GPT zero, what it does is it pulls up basically an AI detector.
- 1:13:34Okay.
- 1:13:36But the real thing is we can obviously see this is a human paper.
- 1:13:40Okay.
- 1:13:40The student didn't use AI or chat GPT to write the paper, but the way that we're proving it now, that my professors never had us do until now is this button right here called the typing analysis.
- 1:13:51Guys, what this does is it pulls up a video in real time showing you exactly how a student typed the paper.
- 1:13:59So it shows all of the front spaces and like all the back spaces, all the keystrokes a student made when writing out the essay, then it shows all the pastes and all the edits the student made.
- 1:14:10And if you come over here, you can see the timestamp when the student upload the paper into Google docs, how many words are in the paper, how many edits and pastes are, how long it took the student to write the paper.
- 1:14:20Then it shows the editors of the paper.
- 1:14:22So the student and the professor who both made edits to this paper, and then this typing analysis, where it says if it's natural or unnatural sounding, and this paper is 100% natural sounding because of the pauses, errors, and changes in speed and rhythm.
- 1:14:38Wow.
- 1:14:40Yeah.
- 1:14:40Wow.
- 1:14:41Now I do have to say a few things before we get to discussing the implications here of which there are many.
- 1:14:46There is something weird about this in the sense that you couldn't do that analysis, I believe, with something that you wrote in Word or I use LibreOffice, the free version.
- 1:15:01Why don't you think it could work in Word?
- 1:15:04Because I don't think Word records the data about what you did.
- 1:15:10This was a Google doc?
- 1:15:11Google doc, exactly.
- 1:15:13Okay.
- 1:15:13Now I'm not saying the information doesn't exist somewhere, but I don't think it exists in a readily readable way in the file that you upload.
- 1:15:21There's obviously also a danger here.
- 1:15:23Let's suppose that your professor, in order to be able to use this tool...
- 1:15:26Sorry, but no wonder file sizes have gotten so huge.
- 1:15:29What?
- 1:15:29There's so much data in there.
- 1:15:30Well, there's a lot of data in there.
- 1:15:33But what about the student who does write it in LibreOffice and then cuts and pastes it?
- 1:15:46Right.
- 1:15:46Right.
- 1:15:47So it's possible that the professor required students to write in in Google docs in order to be able to do such an analysis.
- 1:15:56Even if that's the case though, it is obviously also the case that we are 30 seconds from somebody generating a program that will take a pre-existing document and typing it like a human.
- 1:16:12Right.
- 1:16:12So the point is arms race.
- 1:16:15That's where we are.
- 1:16:17But...
- 1:16:18And this TA's job, this TA's time is now being spent assessing reality of whether or not a human wrote the paper rather than actually assessing the content.
- 1:16:29Right.
- 1:16:29Now I did want to make two points as a former professor about the interesting fact of this post AI moment.
- 1:16:40One of them is I think that we just need a rethink on the relationship between three objects, the work, whatever it is, the professor and the student.
- 1:16:57And the point is at this moment, professor and student have both been rendered novice at something fundamental.
- 1:17:08And that's not necessarily bad.
- 1:17:11And I would point out when you and I take students into a tropical forest, we have the benefit, although we know more than they do about it, of knowing that nobody knows all that much.
- 1:17:25So the point is everybody's in student mode and that's good.
- 1:17:28It's wonderful.
- 1:17:29It's ideal really from the point of view of teaching.
- 1:17:32It's part of the reason to go.
- 1:17:33Right.
- 1:17:34So I would argue that college needs a rethink and that part of the rethink is not how are the experts going to keep the students from cheating and pretending to be more expert than they are.
- 1:17:44That's not the job anymore.
- 1:17:46AI isn't going anywhere.
- 1:17:48So in some sense, you are.
- 1:17:49It never should have been the main job.
- 1:17:50Right.
- 1:17:51No.
- 1:17:52Policing the cheaters.
- 1:17:53That's not the highest and best use of an excellent professor.
- 1:17:56No.
- 1:17:57And I would point out that the, I know people will hear this as hyperbole.
- 1:18:02I mean it perfectly literally.
- 1:18:04The academy was essentially a fraud before the AI era.
- 1:18:09Right.
- 1:18:10You had a huge number of people pretending to be expert in something.
- 1:18:14They themselves often did not know, probably almost all of them didn't know that they were frauds.
- 1:18:19But you can tell if you look at their performance on sex and gender, if you look at their performance on COVID, if you look at their performance on string theory, there's no shortage of evidence that the academy is full of people who aren't in a position to tell anybody anything because of the most basic tests they fail.
- 1:18:37My favorite example, which will be immediately obvious to everyone and it's short, is when I was teaching with a medical anthropologist who declared that malaria had never killed anyone.
- 1:18:51And when called out on this obvious that he must have misspoke and no student raised their hand, it was early in the quarter of it was scared.
- 1:18:58And so I was like, I'm sorry, that's not true.
- 1:19:01Oh yes, it's definitely true.
- 1:19:02Malaria is not actually deadly.
- 1:19:04Yep.
- 1:19:07So now it has never actually murdered anyone.
- 1:19:11This is true.
- 1:19:12I mean, that, you know, that's a defensible, if pedantic claim.
- 1:19:16But, okay, so what should college professors be doing?
- 1:19:21I think one thing that is perfectly clear is this.
- 1:19:25Your students are going to go into a world that we cannot foresee, but in which AI is going to be a dominant feature in the same way that computers are now a dominant feature in the same way that search is a dominant feature.
- 1:19:39So the point is you're training them for that world.
- 1:19:42The best thing you can do for them, all the money they're paying to go to hear you, the best thing you can do is figure out how to train them to leverage that thing rather than use it to supplant their own capacity.
- 1:19:59You want to use it to make them smarter.
- 1:20:03That is your job.
- 1:20:05To make them smarter, that's your job.
- 1:20:07They're not trying, they should not be of the mindset of they're producing valuable work.
- 1:20:10They don't do that in college typically.
- 1:20:12Bring it in as a tool like you bring in books as tools.
- 1:20:16Right.
- 1:20:16And not, you can't bring it in the same way that you bring in books, but use it as a tool.
- 1:20:21You already use tools.
- 1:20:22You already use technology.
- 1:20:24A book is technology.
- 1:20:26Computers are technology.
- 1:20:27So here it is.
- 1:20:28Here's the newest.
- 1:20:30And because, you know, if I had to guess, you and the students don't understand AI and how it might be leveraged.
- 1:20:41But if anybody understands it, they probably understand it better than you do just given the age and exposure.
- 1:20:47So I don't know that that's necessarily true.
- 1:20:50I've said this before, but for an accident of timing, we were teaching exactly millennials.
- 1:20:58I mean, a lot of older students too, but they're just the years in which we were professors were the years in which age typical millennials were in college.
- 1:21:08And that was supposedly the first generation of digital natives.
- 1:21:12And almost always I found that I had far greater technological capacity and understanding of what was actually going on.
- 1:21:19Now, you know, my dad was a computer scientist, but I don't think that's what it was.
- 1:21:22I think it was that they had been handed so many systems that were prefab that they just, when they needed to solve a problem, they're like, well, what?
- 1:21:29I just, where's the app?
- 1:21:30Or, you know, where's, where's, where's the button?
- 1:21:32Yep.
- 1:21:32As opposed to, you're actually going to have to solve some of your problems here.
- 1:21:36Yeah.
- 1:21:36So I think that part of that is going to happen with AI too.
- 1:21:40The people who are coming of age into AI are adopting it in a way that, that they aren't pushing it.
- 1:21:47On the other hand, it's changing super fast.
- 1:21:50So.
- 1:21:50Well, I don't disagree with what happened with computers, right?
- 1:21:53The slicker computers got the easier it was to become an expert user without knowing anything about how to actually do anything yourself, because there was a solution packaged for you.
- 1:22:02Yeah.
- 1:22:03That's not where we are with AI yet.
- 1:22:05It's changing so quickly.
- 1:22:07And I do think that figuring out how to get this beast to do your bidding is a skill.
- 1:22:18And I think if I had to guess, the folks in the Academy, the faculty are liable to be late to the party in this regard.
- 1:22:30Yeah.
- 1:22:31Anyway, either way, I do think.
- 1:22:34And that, of course they will be, because in general, it's a slow moving population.
- 1:22:40They're slow to react to change.
- 1:22:42Yes.
- 1:22:42And if you just model this in your mind for a second, imagine the faculty party in which faculty are discussing AI and imagine the eye rolling that will be done and the effective applause that will follow from it over, well, here's how I'm excluding it from my classroom.
- 1:23:03Right?
- 1:23:03The idea being, look, we know how academic work is done and it doesn't involve AI.
- 1:23:09Now, that's true at one level.
- 1:23:10You don't want students faking their success in your field.
- 1:23:15On the other hand, I think in fact, although you haven't said it, you're arguing for two modes that are opposite of one another.
- 1:23:25And almost all of what's being done is in this intermediate muddled mode.
- 1:23:29Yeah.
- 1:23:29We used to wish for when we were on campus teaching, as opposed to in the field, the ability to turn off the wifi and cellular in the classrooms that we were in.
- 1:23:39So to keep people so they weren't distracted.
- 1:23:41And I've said this before, but when it came time to ask for rooms for the quarter, I always asked for rooms with a big window out onto something nice, so that when people become distracted in the middle of class, which will happen, they had something of nature to consider instead of being drawn to their phones or whatever else it might be.
- 1:24:06The argument here isn't we need to get rid of distraction.
- 1:24:11People are too distracted, people are too distracted, but people will always be distracted.
- 1:24:15People will always have a tendency to no matter how much they're excited about the topic at hand, if you're asking them to sit with their butts in seats for an hour and a half straight, my God, it's too much.
- 1:24:23And yet we do it.
- 1:24:25So having space to learn, which is utterly free of influence, except from the nature and the people with whom you are with.
- 1:24:34And then on the other end of the spectrum, engaging and facilitating use of all the tools that are at our disposal and figuring out how we can become better with them, as opposed to be fighting their encroachment.
- 1:24:48Yep.
- 1:24:49I would also point out you and I did something pretty unique in the classroom.
- 1:24:55We did it differently, but you and I did it differently.
- 1:24:58Yeah.
- 1:24:59The you and I used to create exams that were sufficiently.
- 1:25:07I don't want to say difficult, but sufficiently novel.
- 1:25:10They were difficult, but sufficiently novel that you and I could also take those exams.
- 1:25:15Yeah.
- 1:25:16That it wasn't like I know the answer to this question, and it's a really hard one.
- 1:25:19Let's see if you do, too.
- 1:25:20Well, they were elaborate evolutionary hypotheticals with narratives that we had either said, OK, the year is now 2100 and here's what else has happened and here's population of ex organisms.
- 1:25:35I'm going to tell you three things about them now.
- 1:25:37I want you to predict their social system, their mating system, their any number of things here.
- 1:25:43Here's a number of planets.
- 1:25:46Yeah.
- 1:25:46One of mine was, you know, imagine a ring of planets equally distant from a sun in which migration between them is possible.
- 1:25:58So basically, I set a species in motion on a planet and predict changes as it migrates around this circle.
- 1:26:07The equator, I think it was.
- 1:26:08Or you had it.
- 1:26:09There were different ones.
- 1:26:10There's also one in which predict the pattern of species diversity based on a cube like planet that, you know, so it would specify the parameters.
- 1:26:20Let me just say one more.
- 1:26:21So I was very vague about the one that I mentioned of mine, but another one that I was very proud of had a quantitative part for which the math was the math and then a social evolution part for which there were multiple possible answers, some far better than others.
- 1:26:38And the analogy, you know, what you could what I could see as a professor reading and talking with the students about about what they wrote was how good is their how good is their evolutionary thinking?
- 1:26:48Not did they arrive at the same answer I did.
- 1:26:50And this was what I called the fraternidae, the the imaginary, the fictitious family of beetles that unlike the Hymenoptera, which is the real clade of insects, that includes the ants, bees and wasps, which have this very unusual genetic system in which females are diploid just like we are.
- 1:27:10All of their somatic cells have two copies of each of their chromosomes and males are haploid, which creates really interesting relationships where, you know, full sisters of bees and ants and wasps are three quarters related to one another.
- 1:27:23And male bees don't have dads and you know, a lot that you know, that's reality.
- 1:27:28That's that's science fact, and it's amazing.
- 1:27:30And so in my fraternidae, I had the who was haploid and who was diploid reversed said now do the math and it's not just you get to swap out what is going on in the Hymenoptera, you have to actually, you know, follow the math through and do the genetics on it.
- 1:27:43But then, now that you've got the relationships, tell me about the social system, tell me who's gonna who's gonna be more aligned with whom based on relatedness and who's going to end up in, in, you know, in more competition than you would expect if you were dealing with a fully diploid species.
- 1:27:57And at least at that time, you know, these we were typically giving these as take home exams, right, you know, you're gonna have a few days and then you and then you, you know, upload your your document.
- 1:28:08There was really no cheating unless you happened to be working with someone who had taken a program from us before, in which case, go for it, like talk to them.
- 1:28:17This is about learning how to think evolutionarily.
- 1:28:20Right.
- 1:28:20So the question is, could you adapt such things such that professor and student, both of whom are students of the AI tool and how to leverage it, could you arrange things in such a way that there's no cheating because in effect what you're doing, you know, if you fed these questions to AI, I think different ones would work differently.
- 1:28:45Well, but my guess is the AI would reliably fail.
- 1:28:48And so an assignment in which the point is, give me your answer, run it through AI, see if the AI differs, critique its answer, right?
- 1:29:00Wow, is that educational, not only at the level, you know, typically our classes worked at multiple levels in the sense that, you know, we're going to teach you how to do a kind of analysis and then we're going to teach you how to think about a particular system.
- 1:29:16And then the point is you're going to walk away with a tool and some insight and you're going to learn how to think actively about things that are said to you, things that you read, whether or not they're coming out of a peer reviewed paper or Wikipedia or your professor or your peer, all of which can be wrong, all of which could be correct.
- 1:29:35But don't mistake tone for accuracy.
- 1:29:38Right.
- 1:29:39So to sum this up, we're somewhere in an arms race.
- 1:29:44This is a moment that's not going to last, but the overall picture is pretty clear for the foreseeable future.
- 1:29:50You've got a phony academy now in charge of a job that none of the people in it trained to do.
- 1:29:56And the smart ones, you know, the ones who aren't a fraud, who are functioning in this environment are going to have to do something innovative in order to manage the problem that the rest of the academy is about to fail at, which is you can't possibly prevent people from cheating because the how do you cheat tools are as powerful as the how do you detect cheating tools?
- 1:30:16And so, you know, it's become theater, right?
- 1:30:18The students are producing phony stuff so they don't have to work and the professors are using the same stuff to detect whether they cheated.
- 1:30:25And it's like, okay, you know, what are you teaching them to do exactly?
- 1:30:29What, what, what job is that?
- 1:30:31And maybe there is one, but it's not like we can employ the entire population to spot cheaters amongst the entire population, spotting cheaters.
- 1:30:39I mean, it's bullshit jobs to point out.
- 1:30:41It's, it's like exponential bullshit jobs.
- 1:30:46Yeah.
- 1:30:47Yeah.
- 1:30:49All right.
- 1:30:50Well, that was good.
- 1:30:51Yeah.
- 1:30:52All right.
- 1:30:53We are going to be back in two and a half weeks.
- 1:30:57And I think it's the, it's the 29th of April.
- 1:31:01In the interim, our older son is going to have a birthday.
- 1:31:04I'm also going to have a birthday, but it's less exciting for me at my age, but he's going to become a palindrome once again.
- 1:31:11Wow.
- 1:31:11That's thought.
- 1:31:12That's good news for him.
- 1:31:14That's right.
- 1:31:14Yeah.
- 1:31:15Yeah.
- 1:31:15Doesn't have to change anything.
- 1:31:16I'm going to go on.
- 1:31:17Yeah, exactly.
- 1:31:19Exactly.
- 1:31:21And yeah, until, until you, and there are going to be a couple of inside rails coming out in the interim, but check us out in locals.
- 1:31:28You'll find all the, all the previous Q and A's where we get into all sorts of conversations that you don't normally hear us talk about here.
- 1:31:35And until you see us next time, be good to the ones you love, eat good food, and get outside.
- 1:31:40Be well, everyone.