Latest / The Jake Wimberly Podcast / Lets Get Ready for Week Two of College and Week One of the NFL

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Lets Get Ready for Week Two of College and Week One of the NFL · The Jake Wimberly Podcast

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: Welcome in.
• 0:03
  Speaker 2: It is Wednesday night.
• 0:04
  Speaker 3: It is the Patio Heroscope as we are right in
• 0:08
  Speaker 3: the thick of things. NFL game kicking off tonight between
• 0:11
  Speaker 3: the Seahawks and the Patriots.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: We've got all kinds of college football.
• 0:14
  Speaker 3: We're going to be visiting with Rafael Esparza, who will
• 0:16
  Speaker 3: join us, who will appreciate him joining us weekly.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: Part of MyBookie.ag.
• 0:20
  Speaker 3: Make sure to get into MyBookie and use the promo
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  Speaker 3: code PATIO. You can hit the QR code on the screen.
• 0:26
  Speaker 3: Use the promo code PATIO and play at MyBookie. NFL, college,
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: all the games, the totals. We'll talk a lot of
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: sports gaming tonight and more with Rafael Esparza. Also, Joseph Lissy,
• 0:38
  Speaker 3: Sirius XM Satellite Radio will join us at the bottom
• 0:40
  Speaker 3: of the hour. We'll talk with him as well. We're
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: brought to you by our friends at Dr.
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  Speaker 4: Pepper.
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  Speaker 2: Head over to thezone1059. com. Get in, hit the link. All
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: you got to do is fill out your name and
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: the information.
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  Speaker 3: You'll have a chance to win tickets to the college
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  Speaker 3: football playoff and the national championship game this year, courtesy
• 0:56
  Speaker 3: of our friends at Dr.
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  Speaker 4: Pepper.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: And make sure you get in and play. at MyBookie.
• 1:00
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• 1:02
  Speaker 2: X at Jake Wim. Subscribe on YouTube and, of course,
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  Speaker 2: right here on Facebook as well.
• 1:07
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  Speaker 3: Jake Wimberly and get in and enjoy today.
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: You can leave us a comment.
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: We'll get to it if you leave one in there,
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: of course, so we can do it here on the
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: stream as well. Let's go ahead and welcome in Rafael Esparza,
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: who is a little early. If he doesn't want to
• 1:24
  Speaker 3: be added right now that we said 8.15, I'm glad
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: he's early, though.
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: So we're good.
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: We're going to go ahead and bring in Our good man,
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: Rafael Esparza. Get him on VSL.Sports. Esparza, I hope you
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: had a great Labor Day weekend.
• 1:35
  Speaker 4: Busy?
• 1:35
  Speaker 5: I mean, it's football season, so everyone thinks Labor Day
• 1:38
  Speaker 5: is an extra day off.
• 1:39
  Speaker 4: I got a Monday holiday. Nope, not in my world.
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: I don't have Jake's kind of schedule where he gets
• 1:45
  Speaker 5: to take vacations and gets to go all over the
• 1:48
  Speaker 5: world and travel with his payroll that he gets at
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: the station.
• 1:52
  Speaker 4: Some of us little guys have to, you know, grind
• 1:56
  Speaker 4: every day, 365 days a year.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: No, I agree with you. And you are grinding. You
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: are grinding. Hey, let me ask you this.
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: How much stock do you put into Heisman odds right now?
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: You know, just depending on what you look at. I'm
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: looking at some here. Let me just give you some
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: courtesy of on three. This may differ from what you
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: guys have out there. If you want to play the
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: Heisman right now. But if we were looking at the
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: Heisman odds, it's courtesy of on three. And I don't
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: know which book they're referencing.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: But Malachi Toney at number one, Darian Mensah two, Trinidad Chambliss,
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: Jeremiah Smith, Sam Levitt, Camario Taylor, Mississippi State, Dante Moore,
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: Jaden Mavia. You've got a couple more there as well.
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: How much stock do you put in these lists this
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: time of year?
• 2:37
  Speaker 5: None, because last time I'm looking at this list, there's
• 2:39
  Speaker 5: no Indiana quarterback who had a great game for the
• 2:43
  Speaker 5: Big Ten.
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: So, no, I mean.
• 2:45
  Speaker 5: Miami, they played an extra game than everyone else seems like.
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: They're ahead of the schedule. Sam Levitt really against Clemson.
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: I mean, you could have scored on Clemson's defense. That
• 2:56
  Speaker 5: list means nothing to me whatsoever.
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: How excited are you for the NFL? We've got an
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: NFL game going on right now.
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: I was excited until Sam Donald's limping around, and he's
• 3:07
  Speaker 5: doubtful to come back with a hip injury. So I
• 3:09
  Speaker 5: was there at 0-0 in the second quarter right now.
• 3:13
  Speaker 5: So I thought we were going to see maybe a
• 3:14
  Speaker 5: high-scoring game. Just because I thought Drake May probably still
• 3:19
  Speaker 5: has nightmares. He got sacked six times in the Super Bowl.
• 3:22
  Speaker 5: So I really thought this might have been a little
• 3:24
  Speaker 5: bit of a scoring feast. But, no, so far it's
• 3:26
  Speaker 5: been a bore fest.
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: Well, let's jump into some of these games. Let me
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: pull this up real quickly. First off, let me ask
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: you this. LSU, what's going on? Are you surprised LSU
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: has kind of caved to the Southeastern Conference?
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: No.
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: But, I mean, living here, and you're probably close to it,
• 3:44
  Speaker 5: I mean, the governor runs everything, it seems like, in
• 3:47
  Speaker 5: the state. And I just think people probably were whispering
• 3:49
  Speaker 5: in his ears saying, hey, we can't lose this. Because
• 3:52
  Speaker 5: I heard from my multiple sources, from two reliable sources
• 3:58
  Speaker 5: that I do, There were two easy yeses that they
• 4:01
  Speaker 5: wanted them out of there.
• 4:04
  Speaker 4: So that's just the two people that I talked to.
• 4:06
  Speaker 5: So I thought they could have been a very good
• 4:09
  Speaker 5: chance that they would have gotten more than 11 points.
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: Boats to kick them out of the SEC. Because I've
• 4:14
  Speaker 5: heard multiple times, this is not just about football. Everyone
• 4:17
  Speaker 5: thinks it's all football, football. But LSU does this pretty
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: much in almost all sports.
• 4:21
  Speaker 4: They're the only.
• 4:21
  Speaker 5: School that I know that would do this for every sport. Now,
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: I mean, men's basketball, I still can't believe they have
• 4:28
  Speaker 5: hired Wade back. But, I mean, they're doing it right now.
• 4:30
  Speaker 5: They do it every year for baseball. They've been doing
• 4:33
  Speaker 5: it for gymnastics. They've been doing it for women's basketball.
• 4:35
  Speaker 5: So they're paying so much dead money on other coaches now.
• 4:40
  Speaker 5: I think that had to do, I think this was
• 4:42
  Speaker 5: just the icing on the cake with LSU and maybe
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: the SEC.
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: And I'm sure you saw it today, again, before we
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: get into these games. Let me pull it up real quick,
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: just for those that might have missed it. Of course,
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: the big, big kaboom over the weekend was, you know,
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: the Michigan-Western Michigan game.
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: And then the.
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: Replay, or the overdue, the do-over with one second left.
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: I don't know if you saw this or not. I'll
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: put this up on the screen as well. The Big
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: Ten late this afternoon put out a statement that basically says, hey,
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: beginning Saturday, all football broadcasts from Big Ten venues will
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: include Big Ten replay on the field. Officials will be
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: able to feature live audio between game referee and replay
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: officials during the reviews alongside video of the game footage
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: being viewed during the process. So during Big Ten ballgames
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: or Big Ten officiating crews, they're daylight and a dollar
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: short on this.
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: At least they're going to give some transparency.
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: Yeah, you're correct.
• 5:40
  Speaker 5: But I'm a big believer. One play doesn't do the
• 5:43
  Speaker 5: outcome of the game. Now, this one actually does. But
• 5:46
  Speaker 5: how about Western Michigan? How about scoring a touchdown instead
• 5:49
  Speaker 5: of kicking all those field goals? How about doing that?
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: So, yes.
• 5:52
  Speaker 5: One play did kind of screw them, but I'm a
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: big trend guy in anything in life.
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: One incident starts the trend.
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: Well, if you would have scored a touchdown and not
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: kicked a field goal, it would have been a totally
• 6:05
  Speaker 5: different trend. We're not even talking about this subject because
• 6:08
  Speaker 5: Western Michigan would have won. So, yes, Michigan won the
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: extra second. But didn't the conference last year have mics
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: on all the refs and they were talking to the replay?
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: I can't remember what conference that was.
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't either, but I think you're correct. Yes,
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: they've modified this.
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: The big problem is we don't have a governing body
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: like the NFL over all the officials. Each conference basically
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: polices their own, at least my opinion, polices their own
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: officiating crew, so it's all a little different.
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it is, but it's funny.
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: What if we just only had a Power 5 schedule?
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: This would have never happened. But, yeah, we would have
• 6:48
  Speaker 4: big upsets.
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: We'd love to see– these types of close games and
• 6:52
  Speaker 5: upsets and stuff. I mean, I don't think the Pac-12
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: is a Power 5 team, but we would have missed
• 6:58
  Speaker 5: that great matchup of Boise State and Oregon if it
• 7:01
  Speaker 5: was only Power 5 schedule. We would have missed that.
• 7:04
  Speaker 5: So I hope that never comes to it just because
• 7:07
  Speaker 5: I think a lot of these Mac schools, WAC schools,
• 7:11
  Speaker 5: Mountain West schools can put some pressure on some of
• 7:13
  Speaker 5: these Power 5 teams.
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: Hey, before we get to the first game, how bad
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: did the public do this week? I did terrible last week.
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: I'm going to be honest with you. And I saw
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: big names like Clay Travis and others did bad.
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: It seemed like at least the sample size. Vegas cleaned
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: up this week.
• 7:28
  Speaker 5: Yeah, they had a really good week out there. A
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: lot of people who bet over his income in USC.
• 7:32
  Speaker 5: Everyone would pound that one over.
• 7:34
  Speaker 4: It was a 39.
• 7:34
  Speaker 5: Really, they couldn't– Fresno State scored once. Yeah, the public
• 7:40
  Speaker 5: didn't do well, even at the last game. Everyone had
• 7:44
  Speaker 5: Ole Miss, and Louisville hit step back to recover and
• 7:47
  Speaker 5: only loses by three.
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: LSU was very interesting. Money came in on Clemson.
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: I talked about hate money and all that, but then
• 7:57
  Speaker 5: Purple and gold money came in really, really late on Saturday.
• 8:00
  Speaker 5: I think they were probably waiting to see if nine
• 8:03
  Speaker 5: and a half, like I was hoping. I thought if
• 8:05
  Speaker 5: it went to nine and a half, I was going
• 8:06
  Speaker 5: to jump all over LSU.
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: Clemson's garbage. It never went there.
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: All right, let's jump into it. We got a Friday
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: night ball game, Missouri at Kansas. We got an old
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: big 12 throwback. Missouri is a five and a half
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: point favorite on the road to Kansas. That total is
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: at 50. Missouri looked pretty good in their opener. Kansas,
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: they've got a nice club. They put money into their program.
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: Can Missouri cover this game? This is a Friday night.
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: We've talked about it.
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: Friday nights get weird.
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: Yeah, they do get weird.
• 8:35
  Speaker 5: This one moved already a point open up at six
• 8:37
  Speaker 5: and a half. Now five and a half. I'm going
• 8:39
  Speaker 5: to wait to see if it does continue to move
• 8:41
  Speaker 5: lean towards the under. I think Missouri will want to
• 8:44
  Speaker 5: maybe slow this game down, run the ball, just get
• 8:47
  Speaker 5: out of a Friday game before it gets weird.
• 8:50
  Speaker 4: So I'm leaning towards the under. I don't like that.
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: Fifty and a half. I thought I was hoping to
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: get maybe fifty one or fifty two.
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: All right, let's go to Saturday, 11 o'clock ballgame on Fox.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: I believe it's on Fox or the CBS. Oklahoma at
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: Michigan Sooners.
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: Fox, thank you. Oklahoma is a five-and-a-half point favorite. That
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: total is at 43-and-a-half.
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: Recency bias would tell us this, right? People saw Michigan play.
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: They're going to jump all over Oklahoma. Is that the
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: right play?
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Bryce Underwood has not performed well. His coach is a
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: little critical of his play.
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: He said, hey, look, we've got to get some return
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: on investment here before too long. Do you like the
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: homestanding Michigan Wolverines or is Oklahoma just going to wear
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: them out?
• 9:31
  Speaker 5: I love when we have these big NIL players get
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: all this bag and then just don't perform. I mean,
• 9:36
  Speaker 5: I think a lot of universities are going to start
• 9:38
  Speaker 5: looking at if he has another bad game against one
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: of the top defenses in college football in Oklahoma. I
• 9:45
  Speaker 5: understand the money that's coming in, but not that much
• 9:49
  Speaker 5: big money because this number opened up at five and
• 9:52
  Speaker 5: a half and it's still at five. Five and a half.
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: So it's not like everyone jumped all over the Sooners
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: on this one. It's defense and defense. only under which
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: is a big flop and and a lot of schools
• 10:03
  Speaker 5: are going to use this as an example that hey
• 10:06
  Speaker 5: sometimes money doesn't pay.
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: Off Oklahoma State they they really crapped the bed over
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: the weekend got upset Oregon almost did against Boise These
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: two take on each other in Stillwater. This is an
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: 11 o'clock kick as well. Oregon a 23-point favorite. That
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: totals at 57. I would say that Oklahoma State plays better.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: Oregon plays better. That's still a big line.
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: Oklahoma State won't play better.
• 10:28
  Speaker 5: They have a whole new coaching staff, whole new players
• 10:31
  Speaker 5: out there, a lot of transfers in this program.
• 10:35
  Speaker 4: And I'm tired of people bagging on Oregon all day.
• 10:38
  Speaker 5: Boise State is a playoff team. Boise State won the
• 10:41
  Speaker 5: Mountain West last year. Boise State is favored to win
• 10:45
  Speaker 5: the Pac-12. It's not like There's some scrub team. It's
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: not like they're Colorado State or Fresno State or Wyoming.
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: This is Boise. Boise has been there before. I like
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: Oregon in this spot. I'm not sold with Oklahoma State.
• 11:00
  Speaker 5: It's going to be a very, very long season for them.
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: Kenny Dillingham and Arizona State travel to Texas A & M.
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: Aggies looked, obviously, a college football playoff team last year.
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: They got a lot of guys coming back. They got
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: Marcel Reed back in quarterback. Dillingham got Arizona State by
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: virtue of the Big 12 a couple years ago. I
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: remember a couple years ago he said, hey, you know,
• 11:19
  Speaker 3: we're on a path to be a Blue Blood or
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: something like that. They're going to have to show it
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: this weekend. They are a two-touchdown dog. That totals at 50-and-a-half.
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: Who do you like?
• 11:27
  Speaker 5: Lean towards A & M because Arizona State has a
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: lot of new faces and key positions in this one.
• 11:32
  Speaker 5: It's not the same ASU team we saw last year,
• 11:34
  Speaker 5: but I can't lay this number with A & M.
• 11:37
  Speaker 5: A & M does.
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: Not deserve my money to lay a 14 and a half.
• 11:43
  Speaker 5: Not a 14, not a 13 and a half, but.
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: A two touchdown and a half. I want nothing to
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: do with A & M.
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: Busy with Rafael Esparza going through the lines over the weekend.
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: Of course, get him at VSL Doc Sports. We'll get
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: into some NFL here momentarily. When you kind of comb
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: through the weekend, you know, there's some games in there.
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: Of course, feel free to throw one or two in
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: there that we won't discuss. Alabama opens SEC play at Kentucky.
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: Kentucky feels like they've got a quarterback in Kenny Minchie
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: that can play. Came over from Ohio State. Alabama, a 10.5-point
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: favorite on the road. That totals at 49. I'm really
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: still skeptical Alabama. Their quarterback was the leading rusher over
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: the weekend against East Carolina. Will we look up Saturday
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: and then be in a buzzsaw in Lexington?
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: No.
• 12:29
  Speaker 4: I think Alabama's defense. I thought they played really well.
• 12:32
  Speaker 5: I thought the offensive line held well, even though you
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: said it, the quarterback led the team in rushing. But
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: I think the offensive line will give them some protection.
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: I like Alabama in this one. They've always had good
• 12:44
  Speaker 5: games in Lexington. Let's face it, Lexington's only known for
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: one thing, bourbon and horse racing.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: That's absolutely true. And basketball in some years.
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: Not lately.
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: Not lately. You're absolutely correct. Big one out in the
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: Big 12.
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: Arizona taking on BYU. Bear Bachmeier, one of the best
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: names in college football. That's a 230 kick. The Cougars
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: of BYU are 7.5 point favorite.
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: That totals at 48. Boy, BYU was really good last year.
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: They're expected to be really good this year.
• 13:12
  Speaker 5: Yeah, this total has been dropping, opened up at 51.
• 13:14
  Speaker 5: So I think defense is going to be the key here.
• 13:17
  Speaker 5: And it's defense of BYU, not defense of Arizona.
• 13:20
  Speaker 4: Here's another one.
• 13:21
  Speaker 5: I love BYU, but that evil half a point on
• 13:24
  Speaker 5: week two or week three.
• 13:25
  Speaker 4: I forgot week zero week three. I just can't pull
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: the trigger.
• 13:29
  Speaker 5: If this was maybe week five, week six and BYU
• 13:32
  Speaker 5: has been cruising, I would maybe take that seven and
• 13:35
  Speaker 5: a half. But I want to sit back and see
• 13:37
  Speaker 5: if that number comes off. I think BYU wins this game.
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: Hey, we got a roll tide from Patch on Facebook,
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: and then we also got Matt, who's a big Florida fan.
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: Says, Jaden Ball for Heisman, the big running back. What
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: do you think? Is that a future bet?
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: Maybe next year's future bet.
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: Not this year. Not this year.
• 13:56
  Speaker 4: Not this year.
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: Hey, Mississippi State travels to Minnesota, 230 kick. This game
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: was a one to one and a half. It looks
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: like it's moved down to a pick'em game. Totals at
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: 55 and a half. Bulldogs with a lot to prove here. Boy,
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: it's kind of a break or make ball game for
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: them with South Carolina, Missouri, and getting an SEC play
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: next week.
• 14:15
  Speaker 5: Yeah, that's why I'm kind of staying away from this
• 14:17
  Speaker 5: game because if you're Mississippi State, let's win one before
• 14:19
  Speaker 5: league play goes. But Minnesota is thinking the same thing. Hey,
• 14:23
  Speaker 5: let's win one before we start playing conference play.
• 14:26
  Speaker 4: That's a coin flip.
• 14:28
  Speaker 5: I lean towards the home team on this one, but
• 14:31
  Speaker 5: I'm just going to stay away.
• 14:32
  Speaker 4: I do like the under.
• 14:33
  Speaker 5: I think Minnesota is going to want to run the
• 14:34
  Speaker 5: ball and make the clock tick away.
• 14:38
  Speaker 3: All right, a couple more here in the college world.
• 14:42
  Speaker 3: Of course, we've got the big one we've got to
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: get to. Tennessee at Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech whiffed last
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: Thursday night against Colorado. Tennessee looked pretty impressive in their opener.
• 14:50
  Speaker 3: They're starting a freshman quarterback. Tennessee's a 12.5-point favorite, total
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: at 55.5.
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: Volunteers, are they an upset alert?
• 14:58
  Speaker 5: Yeah, maybe Georgia Tech needs to go back to the
• 15:00
  Speaker 5: I formation because I was not sold with them on Colorado.
• 15:04
  Speaker 5: So I like what I saw in Tennessee. I'm leaning
• 15:06
  Speaker 5: towards Tennessee again.
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: And the big one, Matthew McConaughey in all his glory
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: down in Austin, Texas. Texas, a one-point favorite in this
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: game against Ohio State. That total is a 49.5.
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: It was a defensive ballgame last year.
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: Was it 14-7 in the horseshoe?
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: Are we going to see the same kind of game?
• 15:27
  Speaker 5: No, I think we're going to see a totally opposite.
• 15:29
  Speaker 5: That's why this total opened up at 47.5. Now you
• 15:30
  Speaker 5: called it 49, 49.5. Folks are telling me that we
• 15:32
  Speaker 5: could see a 50. uh on this total because why
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: it's an evening game so what do people like to
• 15:41
  Speaker 5: bet on the evening game favorite it over favorite it
• 15:43
  Speaker 5: over favorite it over so i can see a 50
• 15:46
  Speaker 5: and i think we see a high scoring game i
• 15:47
  Speaker 5: can this one screams like a 27 25 uh type
• 15:51
  Speaker 5: of game i don't know who wins this one i
• 15:55
  Speaker 5: actually probably rooting for ohio state just because i love
• 15:59
  Speaker 5: to see a big 10 school beat an sec team
• 16:02
  Speaker 5: but i can see manning uh having a big game
• 16:04
  Speaker 5: and say hey you know what last year was a fluke.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: Hey, one more college game.
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: Of course, feel free to throw one here if you
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: want to. Arkansas is at Utah. That's a 9-15 kick
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: on Saturday night.
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: The Hogs are a 12.5-point underdog to the Utes.
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: I think Utah just scored against Idaho State while we're
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: talking right now.
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: They looked impressive.
• 16:28
  Speaker 5: They look like, yes, we have a new head coach,
• 16:30
  Speaker 5: but don't forget our new head coach was our defensive coordinator.
• 16:34
  Speaker 5: So it's not like a lot of new things are happening.
• 16:37
  Speaker 5: This Utah team can be very, very scary. As long
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: as their quarterback can stay healthy. Every year Utah can
• 16:43
  Speaker 5: be up there, and what happens? Their quarterback gets hurt.
• 16:45
  Speaker 5: So they just need their quarterback to stay healthy.
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: Patriots on top, 7-0 over the Seahawks. We'll get more
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: into that tomorrow with you on the radio show. 49ers
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: at the Rams tomorrow night across the pond. Rams are
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: a three and a half point favorite. That totals at
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: 48 and a half. Big rivalry game, big division game
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: right out the gate for both teams.
• 17:07
  Speaker 4: I think it's going to be an under type game.
• 17:09
  Speaker 5: I hate picking a side on this game because I
• 17:11
  Speaker 5: remember watching the Brazil game and everyone was slipping, broken ankles.
• 17:16
  Speaker 5: The field was a mess. I don't know what I'm
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: going to see in this field in Australia. Is this
• 17:21
  Speaker 5: game tomorrow? Is this game on Friday?
• 17:23
  Speaker 4: Is it set?
• 17:24
  Speaker 5: I don't even know what time this game is actually
• 17:26
  Speaker 5: being set on. This game reminds me of a dead
• 17:30
  Speaker 5: under type of game. Maybe both teams just, you know,
• 17:32
  Speaker 5: run the ball, get out, not get hurt type of game.
• 17:35
  Speaker 5: This game reminds me of a week, preseason week four
• 17:39
  Speaker 5: type of game.
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: Ugly.
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: Tell me if I'm wrong here.
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: Why do the Ravens minus three and a half at
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: the Colts feel like a slam dunk for the Baltimore Ravens?
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: That totals at 48. Or am I missing something in
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: this game?
• 17:49
  Speaker 5: You're not missing anything because I think Baltimore is overrated
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: this year. I got the Bengals. I got the Bengals
• 17:54
  Speaker 5: to win the division. I think Pittsburgh this week, I
• 17:58
  Speaker 5: think they get the W against Atlanta and Tua at quarterback.
• 18:03
  Speaker 5: I think they can be a surprising team, but I'm
• 18:05
  Speaker 5: not sold on Baltimore. Lamar Jackson, if he really, really
• 18:09
  Speaker 5: wanted to stay there, he's his own agent. If he
• 18:12
  Speaker 5: really wanted to say that he would have signed a
• 18:14
  Speaker 5: contract by now or something or do something, I don't.
• 18:17
  Speaker 5: And then you got King Henry. Last time I checked,
• 18:19
  Speaker 5: you get older when you wake up, not younger. So
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: he's an older back. I'm not sold on Baltimore.
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: I like the Colts.
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: Are you surprised Buffalo is only a one-point favorite at Houston?
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: Total 44 and a half.
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: No, here's another guy.
• 18:32
  Speaker 5: I'm not– I am Buffalo. Their Super Bowl aspirations are done.
• 18:36
  Speaker 5: I'm sorry, Mafia, Bulls Mafia, but they're done. I mean,
• 18:40
  Speaker 5: you had– you had last year. You didn't have Patrick Mahomes.
• 18:43
  Speaker 5: That was your year. And you– sorry, part of my friends,
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: you shit the bed. So, no, I think they're done
• 18:49
  Speaker 5: as well. You have a new stadium. Okay, good luck
• 18:53
  Speaker 5: in a new stadium. You're not going anywhere.
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: Let's look down through here. Saints, can they cover that?
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: Seven-point dog, one of the biggest lines of the weekend.
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: The other biggest line is Cleveland is an eight-and-a-half-point dog
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: at Jacksonville.
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: Can the Saints cover this line at Detroit? Totals at 50.
• 19:07
  Speaker 5: I think they can. Detroit, a lot of new faces
• 19:10
  Speaker 5: on offense. They're missing their one-two punch in the backfield
• 19:14
  Speaker 5: with the trade that happened over the summer. I think
• 19:17
  Speaker 5: the Saints can keep it close. I have the Lions
• 19:19
  Speaker 5: winning by four, like a 24-20 type of game.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield on a new contract. They're a three-and-a-half-point underdog
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: at Cincinnati, minus three-and-a-half. Total's at 50 and a half.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: You said you like Cincinnati this year.
• 19:32
  Speaker 5: I do, as long as they stay healthy. I think
• 19:34
  Speaker 5: if Burrow can stay healthy, they win the division. Now,
• 19:37
  Speaker 5: if it's like last year and the year before where
• 19:39
  Speaker 5: he can't stay healthy, then I think it's wide open
• 19:42
  Speaker 5: for Pittsburgh and Baltimore. But if they're healthy, I think
• 19:46
  Speaker 5: their defense is going to be, I'm not saying much improved.
• 19:48
  Speaker 4: I think underperformed.
• 19:50
  Speaker 5: Little improved then I think they can stick around I
• 19:54
  Speaker 5: kind of like Cincinnati I want to see Tampa yes
• 19:56
  Speaker 5: their offense has some weapons now Baker I got his contract,
• 20:01
  Speaker 5: but I really wanted to see a chip Baker. I
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: wanted to see a chip on his shoulder play. Now
• 20:05
  Speaker 5: he's got his bag. So how is he going to
• 20:07
  Speaker 5: play now? I was really hoping he didn't get that contract.
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: I thought he'd be a really good quarterback this year,
• 20:12
  Speaker 5: showing something he had improved.
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: Maybe the game of the weekend, maybe Packers Vikings in Minnesota,
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: JJ McCarthy, the greatest producer in the world. Beaver was
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: giving me all kinds of flack about this McCarthy going
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: to third string. Cause I was sold on JJ McCarthy
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: when he came out of Michigan. I showed him a clip.
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: He threw an awesome pass at a hotel lobby.
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: I was like, look at that. That's an NFL quarterback.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: He's third string.
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: But nonetheless, the Packers are one and a half point
• 20:37
  Speaker 3: dog at the Vikings this weekend.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Total 46.
• 20:39
  Speaker 5: Maybe Lane Kiffin should call him and see if he
• 20:42
  Speaker 5: has any eligibility.
• 20:44
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I agree.
• 20:45
  Speaker 5: I was a little bit shocked that he's third string.
• 20:47
  Speaker 5: But at the same time, you know who I have
• 20:49
  Speaker 5: winning the division? Tennessee North. I got the Vikings winning it.
• 20:51
  Speaker 5: I think Kyler Murray is the Sam Donald Wolf. a
• 20:55
  Speaker 5: healthier hip than Sam Donald if you're watching the game
• 20:59
  Speaker 5: right now. I like the Vikings, and I like the
• 21:00
  Speaker 5: Vikings in the spot. I'm not sold on Green Bay.
• 21:03
  Speaker 3: Philly, a five-point favorite against the Washington Commanders, a total
• 21:08
  Speaker 3: of 44.5.
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: What kind of Philly team are we going to see
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: this year? What kind of Washington team will we see?
• 21:12
  Speaker 5: Both teams have massive question marks. Philly has question marks.
• 21:15
  Speaker 5: If they lose all of a sudden, do they fire
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: their head coach? I mean, they didn't really do anything
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: on their offensive side of the ball. Washington, they didn't
• 21:24
  Speaker 5: do anything on the defensive side of the ball. So
• 21:27
  Speaker 5: it is huge question marks.
• 21:28
  Speaker 4: I like the Eagles. They're at home.
• 21:30
  Speaker 5: You're laying a soft number. Shop around four and a
• 21:33
  Speaker 5: half are out there. So make sure you get a
• 21:35
  Speaker 5: better number than five and a half. But I like
• 21:38
  Speaker 5: the Eagles at this spot.
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: Patch on Facebook says Cowboys to the Super Bowl.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: How about that?
• 21:44
  Speaker 3: Cowboys minus three at the New York Giants. Totals at 48.
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: How serious are we taking the Cowboys to the Super Bowl?
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: You should be very serious.
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: They win a division. They have one of the best offenses.
• 21:56
  Speaker 5: I love them this week on the road against the
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: Giants because every time I blink my eye, the Giants
• 22:03
  Speaker 5: quarterback or running backs in the blue tent. So they
• 22:05
  Speaker 5: can't stay healthy. I like Dallas. I think they win
• 22:08
  Speaker 5: a division. I'm not sold on giving them the Super Bowl.
• 22:12
  Speaker 5: I think they have a very good shot of getting there.
• 22:16
  Speaker 5: I have them just winning the division. I think that's
• 22:18
  Speaker 5: a good shot just in general. But if they're going
• 22:22
  Speaker 5: to make some noise, this is it. And I think
• 22:24
  Speaker 5: they're going to make a big trade this season to
• 22:26
  Speaker 5: improve that defense.
• 22:28
  Speaker 4: Raiders.
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: Hey, we'll get one more in here and get you
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: on your way.
• 22:32
  Speaker 3: Denver at Kansas City, the return of Patrick Mahomes, KC
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: minus 2.5. Totals at 43.5. Mahomes is back. Kelsey one
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: more time. Can they recreate magic?
• 22:45
  Speaker 5: Everyone knows I do a show called coaching company with
• 22:48
  Speaker 5: Jonathan Coachman used to work for WWE sports center and
• 22:51
  Speaker 5: all that. He's a huge Kansas city fan. And I
• 22:53
  Speaker 5: have to do the Monday night grind. We do a
• 22:56
  Speaker 5: show right before Monday night football kicks off. And so
• 22:58
  Speaker 5: I'm going to have to hear him all show long at.
• 23:01
  Speaker 4: The Casey's bag. Patrick Mahomes is back. No, he's not.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: They're old.
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: I mean, I don't like anything that they did offseason.
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: They did nothing, especially on that D side. Bo Nix
• 23:13
  Speaker 5: is healthy. Denver Broncos defense is really, really good. Travis
• 23:16
  Speaker 5: Kelsey just got married to one of the richest white
• 23:19
  Speaker 5: ladies you'll ever see and hear. What is his motivation
• 23:23
  Speaker 5: going to be like? I don't care if he's like, oh,
• 23:25
  Speaker 5: it's my last year. I want to go and I'm
• 23:26
  Speaker 5: on top. You're already on top. You married Taylor Swift.
• 23:29
  Speaker 5: It doesn't matter what you do in football. He can,
• 23:33
  Speaker 5: he can be the quarterback throw for 300 yards, catch
• 23:36
  Speaker 5: for 200 yards and rush for two touchdowns. And he
• 23:39
  Speaker 5: still won't be famous, more famous than his wife.
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: Very good.
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: Hey, as far as I tell everybody where they can
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: find you.
• 23:44
  Speaker 5: You can find me on exit besides exports. You can
• 23:48
  Speaker 5: find me on Instagram at Raphael Esparza, and you can
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: find me on your show tomorrow.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow.
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: We'll talk to you more, brother. Appreciate it.
• 23:55
  Speaker 4: Take it easy.
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: Thanks so much. Bradley Esparza on.
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: Your screen tonight. We appreciate him jumping in here as
• 24:02
  Speaker 3: we move along. We're going to get Joseph Lissy in
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: here in just a bit. We're going to remind you
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: that use the.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: Promo code patio and hit the promo code at the top.
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: And let's go ahead and bring in Joseph Lissy right
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: now as he's kind enough to give us some time
• 24:18
  Speaker 3: on a very busy schedule.
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: Joe, what's up, brother?
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: How you doing? Getting ready, Jake. This is it.
• 24:23
  Speaker 6: The calm before the storm midweek. We got week two
• 24:25
  Speaker 6: on the horizon and separation Saturday outside the Ohio State-Texas game.
• 24:31
  Speaker 6: A lot of good action at 12 o'clock. We have
• 24:34
  Speaker 6: the Oklahoma-Michigan game. We have Arizona State-A&M. I'm curious to
• 24:38
  Speaker 6: see how those games play out on Saturday afternoon.
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the LSU helmet in the background. Let's
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: talk about them first. Last week, you know, outside of
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: everything with the SEC, we've already gone down that road.
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: LSU, are they as good as we saw or is
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Clemson just that bad?
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of both.
• 24:56
  Speaker 6: I think offensively it's a significant upgrade where Lane Kiffin
• 25:00
  Speaker 6: has this offense with Sam Leavitt. And you look at
• 25:03
  Speaker 6: last year, I mean, Garrett Nussmeier, whether he was hurt, Jake,
• 25:07
  Speaker 6: or not, again, we have mixed reviews on what the
• 25:11
  Speaker 6: real situation was. you know, when he came out, you know,
• 25:14
  Speaker 6: in fall camp and played that week one game against Clemson,
• 25:17
  Speaker 6: but the rushing attack with Caden Dorman, Holland Brary and
• 25:21
  Speaker 6: Caleb Jackson last year was inconsistent. You look at Jones,
• 25:24
  Speaker 6: you look at the offensive line, you look at Levitt's
• 25:27
  Speaker 6: ability to put pressure on opposing defenses. And in that game,
• 25:31
  Speaker 6: I mean, if they put up 644 yards of total
• 25:34
  Speaker 6: offense each and every week in the SEC, they're going
• 25:37
  Speaker 6: to be very difficult. I told you this big picture.
• 25:40
  Speaker 6: I'm worried about mobile quarterbacks. I've seen Blake Baker's defense over-pursue.
• 25:45
  Speaker 6: They get burned by Diego Pavia, Marcel Reed, Jalen Milrow, Chambers.
• 25:50
  Speaker 6: I mean, Lenora Sellers in one game. So I would
• 25:53
  Speaker 6: say pump the brakes. Offensively, good. Much, much improved defensively.
• 25:58
  Speaker 6: But defensively, we'll see how good they are September 19th
• 26:02
  Speaker 6: in Oxford when they face the best quarterback, I believe,
• 26:06
  Speaker 6: in the conference in Trinidad-Chambers.
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: All right, let's get your thoughts. Stay with the college game.
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: Let me go back over here and look at some
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: of these games. And, of course, feel free to, if
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: you want to throw some betting advice, you can do that.
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: I know you're big into that like I am. But
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: when you look at Friday night, Missouri is at Kansas.
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: We've got an old Big 12 throwback. Missouri's slight favorite, 5.5,
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: is what I'm.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: Looking at, pin gaming. That totals at 53. You know,
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: I thought Austin Simmons played well in his first game. Kansas,
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: they put a lot of money into their program. It
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: hasn't materialized yet. Who do you like in this old
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Big 12 matchup?
• 26:37
  Speaker 6: I mean, I lean to Missouri. They've won four straight
• 26:40
  Speaker 6: in the series. They won last year, I believe, by 11.
• 26:42
  Speaker 6: What was it, 51 to 41 or 53-41? They put
• 26:46
  Speaker 6: up a 50 spot. It was probably one of the
• 26:49
  Speaker 6: better games of Bo Pribula in that offense last year.
• 26:52
  Speaker 6: rolling against Kansas. But Austin Simmons, I think, could be
• 26:57
  Speaker 6: the guy. Meaning, like, he's an under-the-radar guy. I keep
• 27:00
  Speaker 6: telling everybody, last year they thought with Lane Kiffin, he
• 27:03
  Speaker 6: was going to be Heisman Trophy winner.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: He gets banged up against Arkansas.
• 27:08
  Speaker 6: And then it goes Trinidad-Chambers, you know, right to basically
• 27:12
  Speaker 6: the college football semifinal. But outside of last year's game,
• 27:16
  Speaker 6: they haven't played each and every year, as you know.
• 27:19
  Speaker 6: So it's a rivalry game that always scares me. I
• 27:22
  Speaker 6: would lean to the speed of Missouri, and I like
• 27:24
  Speaker 6: Austin Simmons, but it's not one of my better picks.
• 27:27
  Speaker 6: I mean, I lean Missouri. I like Drinkowitz. I like
• 27:30
  Speaker 6: the team overall. I like the defense. And if they
• 27:33
  Speaker 6: get that rushing attack going, it's going to be very difficult.
• 27:36
  Speaker 6: But again, rivalry games with five and a half, they
• 27:39
  Speaker 6: always scare me with that number.
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: All right, let's move to Saturday. Look, you wake up
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: with coffee right after game day. You're going to get
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: Oklahoma at Michigan. You know, we could talk a little
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: bit if you want to expand on, you know, the
• 27:50
  Speaker 3: whole clock fiasco. But the big thing is Bryce Underwood
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: did not look good, and he has not looked good.
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: And his coach came out today and said– or this
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: week and said, hey, look– and I'm paraphrasing. At some
• 28:00
  Speaker 3: point we've got to have, you know, diminishing returns. We've
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: got to have a return on investment.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: And he was asked about it. He's like, I didn't
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: know anything about it. That's cool.
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: We're in a weird space that we may see a
• 28:11
  Speaker 3: coach have to bench– and I'm not pulling for this–
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: have to bench a $ 3 million quarterback. you know, propped
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: up by Portnoy and Barstool money and all of this.
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: He's going up against a defense that's really, really good
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: on Saturday.
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: Who do you like?
• 28:25
  Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I lean Oklahoma. Again, I don't love it.
• 28:28
  Speaker 6: This line was two and a half all offseason in
• 28:32
  Speaker 6: favor of Michigan. Then he comes out and they basically
• 28:35
  Speaker 6: lose that game to Western Michigan. Terrible call. They get
• 28:38
  Speaker 6: the Hail Mary. That's all well and good. But they
• 28:41
  Speaker 6: only threw for 170 yards in that matchup. And if
• 28:44
  Speaker 6: you look at last year's performances... As a freshman, every
• 28:48
  Speaker 6: time they didn't run the football, Jake, they lost games.
• 28:51
  Speaker 6: Their four losses last year, Michigan rushed for 132.9 points
• 28:57
  Speaker 6: per game. They basically lost those games by double digits.
• 29:00
  Speaker 6: They got blown out by USC and other teams when
• 29:03
  Speaker 6: they couldn't pound the rock. And what's the strength of Oklahoma?
• 29:06
  Speaker 6: They're going to force Underwood to potentially throw over the top,
• 29:09
  Speaker 6: stack the box. you know, guard the edges and see
• 29:13
  Speaker 6: if he can go downfield. And I talked about it
• 29:16
  Speaker 6: with Coach Bowden today. I said, you know, could they really,
• 29:20
  Speaker 6: like in third down situations, is Michigan going to roll
• 29:24
  Speaker 6: out the pocket?
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: What if it's third and eight?
• 29:25
  Speaker 6: You can't allow him to stand back there and be
• 29:28
  Speaker 6: blitzed because he's not polished with the reads and progressions.
• 29:32
  Speaker 6: And Coach said he'd be more aggressive on first and
• 29:35
  Speaker 6: second down. I think that's the case. But, you know,
• 29:37
  Speaker 6: the problem is winning him in these situations He's a
• 29:30
  Speaker 6: very conservative coach. He's not aggressive as you would think.
• 29:48
  Speaker 6: It's a tough matchup because, again, you go to the stats.
• 29:51
  Speaker 6: 8-0 Michigan was every time they rushed for over 200 yards, right?
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: And they were dominant.
• 29:57
  Speaker 6: They won by basically 15, 16.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Points per game.
• 30:01
  Speaker 6: They ain't getting 200 on Oklahoma. And so that leads
• 30:05
  Speaker 6: to the factor of what do they need to score?
• 30:08
  Speaker 6: They lost that game in Norman last year, 24-13. And
• 30:12
  Speaker 6: so we'll chalk it up, first road start, non-conference game,
• 30:18
  Speaker 6: But they're going to bring it. And if we're talking
• 30:20
  Speaker 6: Mateer and we're talking Underwood, which guy can handle the pressure?
• 30:26
  Speaker 6: It's Mateer to me. And Mateer went into Knoxville. Mateer
• 30:29
  Speaker 6: went into Tuscaloosa. And this team pulled out two late
• 30:32
  Speaker 6: victories at the end of the year. Again, I like Oklahoma.
• 30:36
  Speaker 6: I don't love it, though. The line does scare me.
• 30:38
  Speaker 6: We've had such an overreaction of seven points that, to me,
• 30:42
  Speaker 6: it's Oklahoma and I lean to the under. But, again,
• 30:45
  Speaker 6: not one of my better picks for the weekend.
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: Oregon should win.
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: They're a big favorite against Oklahoma State, 23 points. That
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: totaled 57.
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: Were you surprised?
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: I was not.
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: Boise played them well. I mean, they scared the daylights
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: out of them again, and they've done that before.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: They have.
• 30:59
  Speaker 6: And, again, I was shocked by how close that game
• 31:02
  Speaker 6: was and Madsen having success early. And from a physicality perspective,
• 31:07
  Speaker 6: we saw interior line play for Boise go toe-to-toe, even
• 31:11
  Speaker 6: though they were undermanned. Again, I didn't expect that. I
• 31:15
  Speaker 6: did expect Tulsa to knock off Oak State. And I
• 31:18
  Speaker 6: said all offseason that that line would be if Tulsa
• 31:22
  Speaker 6: knocked off Oak State, Oregon in the offseason was 17
• 31:26
  Speaker 6: and a half point favorites.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: I thought Oregon would blow out Boise.
• 31:30
  Speaker 6: Tulsa would knock off Oak State and we would get
• 31:32
  Speaker 6: to 22 and a half. Well, Oregon got pushed to
• 31:35
  Speaker 6: the limit. It didn't matter because the overreaction on Oak
• 31:38
  Speaker 6: State is that they stink. And that might be the case.
• 31:41
  Speaker 6: But I still like Oak State with the points. I
• 31:44
  Speaker 6: do like them. Again, you look at Oregon's secondary, three
• 31:47
  Speaker 6: sophomores back there. Mestemaker looked terrible. That offense looked terrible.
• 31:53
  Speaker 6: But now at home, against a team that they got
• 31:55
  Speaker 6: abused with last year in Eugene, I think there's a
• 31:59
  Speaker 6: bounce-back spot. They don't have to win it. Just keep
• 32:01
  Speaker 6: it within three touchdowns. I think they can do that.
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: Texas A & M is a 14-point favorite of Arizona State.
• 32:08
  Speaker 3: Kenny Dillingham brings his team in. I still think they're
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: one of the better teams in the Big 12. Can
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: they keep this into the fourth quarter?
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: I think they could win it. How about that?
• 32:18
  Speaker 6: I really like Arizona State this weekend, and maybe I'm crazy.
• 32:22
  Speaker 6: I picked Arizona State as a sleeper. in the Big 12,
• 32:25
  Speaker 6: I think, you know, two things. Cutter Boley comes on.
• 32:28
  Speaker 6: I mean, they really played him late into that game, 387,
• 32:33
  Speaker 6: six touchdowns. I think they needed that to go on
• 32:36
  Speaker 6: this road game. You want a quarterback that's confident, even
• 32:39
  Speaker 6: though obviously it's an FCS opponent. You wanted to build
• 32:43
  Speaker 6: that confidence going into Kyle Field up against one of
• 32:46
  Speaker 6: the best third-down defenses, the best last year in.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: Texas A & M. Here's the thing.
• 32:52
  Speaker 6: I think it's just a complete overreaction. SEC, Big 12,
• 32:56
  Speaker 6: and so we see the 14.5 point number. Now, if
• 32:59
  Speaker 6: you look at the dominance by A & M, last
• 33:02
  Speaker 6: year they were 7-1. They won the FBS games by
• 33:06
  Speaker 6: like 14.5 points per game. So we're right on the
• 33:09
  Speaker 6: number of what they did against FBS guys. I take
• 33:15
  Speaker 6: the non-conference games out because it skews the stats. We're
• 33:18
  Speaker 6: right on the number. I'll take I think Arizona State's
• 33:22
  Speaker 6: a lot better than people think. And from a physicality perspective,
• 33:26
  Speaker 6: they are built more like an SEC team than they
• 33:28
  Speaker 6: are a Big 12 team. They're physical. I think they
• 33:31
  Speaker 6: can make it a four-quarter game. And as long as
• 33:34
  Speaker 6: Boley's clean with the football, it wouldn't shock me if
• 33:37
  Speaker 6: we go into this fourth quarter, eight minutes left, we're
• 33:39
  Speaker 6: tied or we're a field goal or a touchdown away.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: Hey, Alabama, they looked good. Still need a run game.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Good quarterback.
• 33:48
  Speaker 3: They go to Kentucky. Kenny Minchie threw four touchdowns over
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: the weekend. Can Kentucky press them into the fourth quarter?
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: I think they can. Here's the thing.
• 33:57
  Speaker 6: So the stats are skewed totally. I mean, since Saban
• 34:01
  Speaker 6: was there, right, they had won eight straight against Kentucky.
• 34:05
  Speaker 6: They had won the last four up until 2023 when
• 34:08
  Speaker 6: the last time they played, Jake, by 39.2 points per game.
• 34:12
  Speaker 6: I mean, it wasn't even close. And that was with
• 34:14
  Speaker 6: better teams. You know, they had some good teams at Kentucky.
• 34:18
  Speaker 6: Remember when Terry Wilson and all those Kentucky teams, you know,
• 34:23
  Speaker 6: when they knocked off Florida in the swamp, they had
• 34:25
  Speaker 6: some good talent and they still got blown out by
• 34:27
  Speaker 6: Nick Saban in Alabama. Here's the problem. I believe, look,
• 34:32
  Speaker 6: they rushed for 201 last week. Kentucky did on Youngstown State.
• 34:37
  Speaker 6: They're going to need a similar type of effectiveness on
• 34:41
  Speaker 6: the ground. But Boley looked clean with the foot, not Boley,
• 34:44
  Speaker 6: excuse me. Mincy looked clean with the football. And here's
• 34:47
  Speaker 6: the other thing. When you look at Bama's road performances
• 34:50
  Speaker 6: under Kalen DeBoer, straight up, they're 7-7 in his two
• 34:54
  Speaker 6: years there. And if you look at, like, last year's games,
• 34:57
  Speaker 6: lose to Florida State on the road, right, 13.5 points.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Favorite. They lose.
• 35:02
  Speaker 6: They beat Georgia. That was their claim to fame because
• 35:04
  Speaker 6: they were dogs in that matchup and knocked off Georgia
• 35:08
  Speaker 6: with the 33-game home winning streak. Push against Missouri. They
• 35:12
  Speaker 6: win that game by three. They get pushed to the
• 35:14
  Speaker 6: limit by both Auburn And South Carolina, they covered against
• 35:19
  Speaker 6: Auburn by a point and a half. They didn't cover
• 35:21
  Speaker 6: against South Carolina with 15 and a half, 16-point favorites.
• 35:24
  Speaker 6: They won it by seven points. The body of work
• 35:28
  Speaker 6: is like their margin of victory on the road under
• 35:30
  Speaker 6: Kalen DeBoer in true road performances last year.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: They were 5-1. They won by six points per game.
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: It's a conference game with Kalen Russell.
• 35:39
  Speaker 6: Look, again, I don't love this game, but if you're
• 35:42
  Speaker 6: asking me, Joe, I would take the points with Kentucky.
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: I agree with you. I agree with you.
• 35:46
  Speaker 3: And that's great, great insight on Kellen DeBoer on the
• 35:49
  Speaker 3: road in the SEC. Got a big one in the
• 35:51
  Speaker 3: Big 12. Arizona at BYU. They're the 15th best team
• 35:54
  Speaker 3: in the country. BYU minus 7.5. Totals at 48. Two
• 35:58
  Speaker 3: really good quarterbacks led by Bear Buckmeyer, one of the
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: best names in college football.
• 36:05
  Speaker 4: It is.
• 36:06
  Speaker 6: I just think BYU is too physical for them at home.
• 36:09
  Speaker 6: I think they dominate this game.
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: I really do. I think the 7, 7.5.
• 36:14
  Speaker 6: You're going to have a lot of people taking Noah
• 36:15
  Speaker 6: Fafita in Arizona. Last year, Brett Brennan did a fantastic job.
• 36:22
  Speaker 6: They were a 9-5 football team. I think they're outmanned
• 36:26
  Speaker 6: in Pro Bowl. I really do. I think L.J. Morton,
• 36:29
  Speaker 6: the rushing attack, get going. I think they dominate. I
• 36:31
  Speaker 6: think BYU wins this game by 14 or more, and
• 36:34
  Speaker 6: it's not even close.
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: Kamario Taylor showed out against an inferior opponent. They go
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: to Minnesota. It's a zero line. It's a push right now.
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: Who do you like?
• 36:43
  Speaker 3: Well, both teams really need this game before they head
• 36:46
  Speaker 3: into conference play.
• 36:47
  Speaker 6: Yeah, again, which team runs the football better? Is it
• 36:50
  Speaker 6: Miss State or is it Minnesota? I like Darius Taylor.
• 36:53
  Speaker 6: I think Minnesota, to me, Jake, and we talked about this,
• 36:57
  Speaker 6: is much more physical. They're more blue-collar than Miss State,
• 37:01
  Speaker 6: and that's not a knock on the Bulldogs. It's just
• 37:04
  Speaker 6: statistically they lost 8-9 down the stretch, right? They lost
• 37:08
  Speaker 6: those games by 14.2 points per game yesterday. Now, last
• 37:12
  Speaker 6: year they allowed 188 yards on the ground. A lot
• 37:15
  Speaker 6: of that was in conference play, but Minnesota has a
• 37:18
  Speaker 6: heavy offensive line. I think Drake Lindsey is one of
• 37:21
  Speaker 6: the up-and-comers in the Big Ten. You'll hear about him
• 37:24
  Speaker 6: more as the season progresses. And Fleck versus Jeff Lebby,
• 37:30
  Speaker 6: I think Fleck's the more consistent coach playing at home.
• 37:33
  Speaker 6: Pick him, I think Minnesota wins it by a field
• 37:37
  Speaker 6: goal or more.
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: Let's grab a couple more here, and then I've got
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: a couple more things I'm going to ask you about.
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: I appreciate you joining us tonight. Tennessee at Georgia Tech.
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: Georgia Tech, of course, whiffed last week against Colorado. Big
• 37:49
  Speaker 3: win for Deion Sanders. Tennessee's a 12-and-a-half-point favorite on the
• 37:52
  Speaker 3: road in Atlanta.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: One of my better picks. I like G-Tech. Now, here's
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: the thing.
• 37:56
  Speaker 6: Faze and Brandon on the road, and Bobby Dodd, okay,
• 38:00
  Speaker 6: maybe not the toughest environments, maybe not even comparable to
• 38:04
  Speaker 6: anything you've seen in the SEC or will see. But
• 38:07
  Speaker 6: it's still a tough place to play. I know that
• 38:10
  Speaker 6: they got abused by Colorado, a smaller, quicker type of team.
• 38:15
  Speaker 6: And typically that's what Heupel might run with this offensive attack.
• 38:18
  Speaker 6: Faison was 226-3 and nothing clean with the football against Furman.
• 38:23
  Speaker 6: But here's the thing. When you look at Brent Key
• 38:26
  Speaker 6: and his career, ATS, as an underdog, he's 18-7. So, again,
• 38:32
  Speaker 6: as an underdog, he steps up in his career at
• 38:35
  Speaker 6: home in Bobby Dodd. against the number, as a dog,
• 38:39
  Speaker 6: he's 6-1. I think this is a huge bounce-back spot
• 38:42
  Speaker 6: for G-Tech. They got abused in a national primetime game.
• 38:46
  Speaker 6: They wore down. The defense wasn't physical. And I think
• 38:49
  Speaker 6: Alberto Mendoza, to me, played fantastic. I mean, you know,
• 38:53
  Speaker 6: he's not the same runner, obviously, as Haynes King, but
• 38:57
  Speaker 6: he has zip on the football. I think they're going
• 38:59
  Speaker 6: to be in this game. Again, Jake, don't be shocked
• 39:02
  Speaker 6: if they win it outright.
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: And, of course, the big one, Texas hosting Ohio State
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: this weekend. Texas a one-point favorite in Austin. Matthew McConaughey,
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: all the glam and glitz. Feels like there's more pressure
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: on Steve Sarkeesian than it would be Ryan Day in
• 39:17
  Speaker 3: this game. 14-7 ballgame last year at the shoot. Will
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: we see a similar game, or is it going to
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: be totally flipped?
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: It's at night. Could we see a shootout?
• 39:25
  Speaker 6: I think we get over the total. I think this
• 39:27
  Speaker 6: could be where Sayen and Arch E. a little, but
• 39:31
  Speaker 6: I don't, again, I don't see arch in Texas coming out. Now,
• 39:34
  Speaker 6: Cam Coleman and Ryan Wingo broke out. I was on Texas.
• 39:38
  Speaker 6: They late 29 and a half, again, very inexperienced in
• 39:42
  Speaker 6: the secondary. The Texas state had two players from Liberty
• 39:45
  Speaker 6: that transferred in. Difficult matchup when you're going up against
• 39:49
  Speaker 6: those cats, right, that could just fly in Wingo and Coleman. But,
• 39:53
  Speaker 6: you know, what do you have to do on the road?
• 39:55
  Speaker 6: You have to run the football and win the turnover battle,
• 39:57
  Speaker 6: and that's where I give the edge to Ohio State.
• 40:00
  Speaker 6: I like Bo Jackson. I like the offensive line. And
• 40:03
  Speaker 6: in these games, and you and I have talked about them,
• 40:05
  Speaker 6: with Texas in a step-up spot, they get manhandled in
• 40:09
  Speaker 6: the interior. They can never run the football consistently. In
• 40:12
  Speaker 6: three games against the Bulldogs, right, SEC Championship, Two years ago,
• 40:17
  Speaker 6: Trevor Etienne is still running. And then obviously last year
• 40:20
  Speaker 6: in Athens, I worry about that. And again, I'm not
• 40:24
  Speaker 6: buying into the hype. I'm looking at the X's and O's.
• 40:26
  Speaker 6: Which is the more physical team in the interior? I
• 40:28
  Speaker 6: still think it's Ohio State. You still have the best player, potentially.
• 40:32
  Speaker 6: You want to give the edge, Coleman and Jeremiah Smith.
• 40:35
  Speaker 6: Body of work, Jeremiah Smith over Coleman.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: And you know what?
• 40:39
  Speaker 6: Let everybody talk about Arch because I think there's more
• 40:41
  Speaker 6: pressure on Arch. And Sainz still completed 73% of his passes.
• 40:46
  Speaker 6: I will just say this. If Texas is going to win,
• 40:49
  Speaker 6: imperative that they run the football. I mean, Ohio State
• 40:53
  Speaker 6: held Ball State under 100 yards. They held 10 opponents
• 40:56
  Speaker 6: last year under 100. Nine FPS wins by 28.4 points
• 40:59
  Speaker 6: per game. The games that Ohio State struggled in or
• 41:05
  Speaker 6: where they lost, they got beat up by Miami, they
• 41:07
  Speaker 6: got beat up by Indiana, and there was success on
• 41:10
  Speaker 6: the ground. If you can't run it against Ohio State,
• 41:13
  Speaker 6: third and long, you're going to get killed by Patricia's defense.
• 41:17
  Speaker 6: I like Ohio State. Again, seven points. I think they
• 41:20
  Speaker 6: win it by a good game, but I like the Buckeyes.
• 41:23
  Speaker 6: I can't go against them in this spot.
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: Let's finish it up with this. Mike Norvell loses again
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: on Monday night.
• 41:29
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: How big of a hole is he in?
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: A big one.
• 41:34
  Speaker 6: And, you know, you see Danny Connell and tweet now,
• 41:36
  Speaker 6: this is great. And I told Coach, you know, what
• 41:39
  Speaker 6: is Norvell doing? Look, I understand you want to run
• 41:42
  Speaker 6: the football. I get that. But when you look at
• 41:45
  Speaker 6: the weakness of SMU last year, they allowed 283 passing
• 41:50
  Speaker 6: yards per game.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: In their four losses, Jake, they.
• 41:53
  Speaker 6: Allowed 341 through the air and allowed 14 touchdowns, two interceptions.
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: You got a couple of good runs.
• 42:00
  Speaker 6: The times that you allowed Ashton Daniels to cook down
• 42:03
  Speaker 6: the field, you had success.
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: Why he was playing it, it's so....
• 42:10
  Speaker 6: It's the identity of a coach that has got alligator arms.
• 42:13
  Speaker 6: He's afraid to take risks. He wants to play it
• 42:16
  Speaker 6: close to the vest. And instead of winning that game,
• 42:19
  Speaker 6: let's say 40-20, he loses it 27-24 because he wanted
• 42:23
  Speaker 6: to run the football, play for field goals and not touchdowns.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: And again.
• 42:28
  Speaker 6: You can't win in today's college football without an aggressive offense.
• 42:32
  Speaker 6: The only way you could do that is if you
• 42:34
  Speaker 6: have a top five defense and number one in turnover margin,
• 42:38
  Speaker 6: like Indiana was last year. And they had the best
• 42:41
  Speaker 6: third down conversion rate from an offensive perspective.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: They didn't convert. What are they? Three of 13 on
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: third down conversions. You're not going to win. You're not
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: going to win in today's game like that.
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: No, you're not.
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: Make sure to get him a go for the two
• 42:54
  Speaker 3: on X. Check him out on Sirius XM. Also other
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: great shows as well. Joseph, appreciate you, brother, as always.
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: Look, enjoy this week. Let's do it again next week.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely. Love the show, Jake. Great luck. Wish you
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: the best, and love talking ball week. Absolutely.
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: Thank you so much. Joseph Lissy on your screen.
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: Real quickly, let's go through some of the biggest matchups
• 43:13
  Speaker 3: in high school football coming up this weekend. Brookhaven is
• 43:15
  Speaker 3: at Madison Central. Boy, what a game this is going
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: to be. Brookhaven's 2-0, Madison Central 1-1. Madison Central, they've
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: got to really get the ball moving on the run game.
• 43:25
  Speaker 3: Look for them to possibly get a short win here,
• 43:28
  Speaker 3: short meaning 28-27, 30-27. Warren Central at Germantown should be
• 43:33
  Speaker 3: a shootout this weekend. I edge Warren Central for this one.
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: Hattiesburg at Oak Grove, both teams at 1-1. I like
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: Oak Grove to win this game by a touchdown. Columbia
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: at Petal this weekend. Petal's off to a 2-0 start.
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: Columbia 1-1. I like Petal to get to 3-0. Petal
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: with a big win this weekend.
• 43:50
  Speaker 3: Knoxville County, 2-0 at West Point, 0-2. But I like
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: West Point to bounce back this week. I like West
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: Point to win this weekend by a touchdown. Laurel, 1-1,
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: goes down to Gulfport, 1-0. Give me Gulfport as the
• 44:04
  Speaker 3: Admirals continue to roll under Blake Pinnock. I think they
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: win big, 35-20. Brandon Schills does as well. Clarksdale at Charleston,
• 44:13
  Speaker 3: that's 1-1 at 2-0. I like Clarksdale to win. You've
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: got PCS at Pass Christiane. Both teams are 2-0 down
• 44:19
  Speaker 3: on the south side of the state. I like Pass
• 44:22
  Speaker 3: Christiane to win this ballgame by a couple of scores.
• 44:24
  Speaker 3: South Delta at LaFleur, small-time football, 1A football. South Delta
• 44:29
  Speaker 3: and LaFleur both 2-0. Give me LaFleur County to win
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: this ballgame. Jackson Prep 3-0 at Tri-County, 2-0. I think
• 44:36
  Speaker 3: there's just too much firepower at Jackson Prep. They move
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: to 4-0. Give me Prep winning the ballgame. We appreciate
• 44:43
  Speaker 3: Joseph Lissy jumping in. We appreciate you guys watching tonight.
• 44:46
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• 44:49
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