Latest / The Fourcast / President Xi or Trump - who's the UK's biggest threat? | Fourcast
Transcript
- 0:00Hello and welcome to the forecast.
- 0:01I'm Krishnan Guru Murthy. My guests today are going to
- 0:05address the big question of the the brewing trade war between
- 0:09the United States on one side and China on the other, with
- 0:13Britain sort of in the middle trying to work out where it
- 0:15sits. Victor GAO is a Chinese lawyer
- 0:18and academic. He's vice president of the
- 0:20Beijing based Center for China and Globalization, and he's also
- 0:24a professor at SU Chiao University.
- 0:27Baroness Helena Kennedy is a Labour peer and an eminent human
- 0:31rights lawyer. And she's also Co chair of the
- 0:33Inter Parliamentary Alliance on China known as IPAC.
- 0:38Thank you for joining us, Victor.
- 0:42We've had a lot of people talking to us over the last few
- 0:44days warning that trade war can lead to real war.
- 0:48Do you think that's true? Of course, if you look back to
- 0:52the 1920s and 1930s, trade war and tariff war, etcetera,
- 0:59combined together may eventually push the situation in the
- 1:02direction of war or even global war.
- 1:05So I think we all need to do the right thing, and the right thing
- 1:08for today is to protect free trade and don't allow any
- 1:13country, no matter how big it is, how powerful it is to
- 1:17trample upon the rules of free trade and hold a gun at the head
- 1:21of mankind. That's not going to work because
- 1:25it may lead the whole world into a war or a global war.
- 1:29But what does that mean in real terms?
- 1:31Because you, you can't tell Donald Trump what to do.
- 1:34So you know that the world has little impact on him when it
- 1:39comes down to it. So you know, what do you mean?
- 1:43You know, you, you can't let one person hold a gun when he's got
- 1:48his trade policy. That's what he's doing.
- 1:50I would say the United States right now is holding a gun at so
- 1:53many countries head and issuing ultimatum forcing them to do
- 1:59what they may or may not believe is in the best of interest of
- 2:03all. So many countries in the sense
- 2:05this is trampling on free trade and if you really destroy free
- 2:11trade then you will live in a completely different world.
- 2:15Rule of the jungle will prevail and the hegemony, dominance,
- 2:19etcetera will be the rule of the game.
- 2:22So I think for today, all of us need to make a decision and the
- 2:26choice is not between China versus the United States.
- 2:29The choice is whether the United States is doing the right thing
- 2:33or the wrong thing. If the United States is doing
- 2:35the right thing, follow it's leadership.
- 2:38If the United States is doing the wrong thing, do not follow
- 2:41the leadership. It's the same for China.
- 2:43If China's doing the right thing, go with China.
- 2:46If China does the wrong thing, do not go with China.
- 2:49And right now, I think the only litmus test is whether you are
- 2:54protecting or promoting free trade, or whether you are
- 2:58disrupting or destroying free trade.
- 3:00This is a choice for everyone, for mankind as a whole.
- 3:04China's decision is to stand up to the occasion and fiercely
- 3:09defend free trade for itself as well As for the benefit of all
- 3:14the other countries. And that's why China's slapping
- 3:17125% the territory tariff against the United States and
- 3:21China has also declared at such high level of tariff, no US
- 3:27goods exported to China will have any market to
- 3:31marketability. Literally saying we are prepared
- 3:35for a complete breakup between China and the United States as
- 3:38far as trade is concerned. Now for other countries, you may
- 3:42or may not have that courage or wisdom or vision to do what
- 3:46China is doing, but at least in the in your heart, you need to
- 3:51tell yourself which country is doing the right thing and which
- 3:54country is doing the wrong thing.
- 3:56China's position is also very clear.
- 3:58If you want to launch a war, if you want to impose a war on
- 4:01China, whether it is tariff war or trade war or scientific war
- 4:06or chips war or Cold War, proxy war or Total War, China is
- 4:12always prepared to fight to the end, to defend itself and in the
- 4:17case of the trade war and the tariff war, to defend the free
- 4:21trade. Well, let, let me immediately
- 4:23say that I, I, I have a great sympathy with the, with what
- 4:27China's experiencing just now in terms of the, the extraordinary
- 4:32high level of tariffs that are being applied by the United
- 4:36States. I think that that is so much in
- 4:40defiance of, of the, of the sort of World Trade Organization's
- 4:44way of doing business and so on. And I really do not think that
- 4:47economically it makes any, any sense to the United States or to
- 4:50the world. So let me let me make that clear
- 4:53from the start. I, I, I have have my own
- 4:56problems in relation to China because I think that here is
- 5:01this incredible power and I think that it, it doesn't look
- 5:07after its own workers often. Well, I'm concerned about what
- 5:12happens in Xinjiang province and I think there are issues about
- 5:16proper compensation of workers. And I don't like the idea of any
- 5:20kind of forced labour. And I, and I, and it surprises
- 5:23me that a nation like China, which is so concerned with doing
- 5:28justice by its many rather than its few, is doing that to any
- 5:33set of workers. So I have concerns about what
- 5:36happens in factories around China and, and I've made that
- 5:40very clear. And so I'm a critic of China
- 5:44with regard to how it deals with minorities and how it deals with
- 5:46issues of rights and how it deals with the rule of law.
- 5:49But let's go back to the business of trade.
- 5:52I've always felt that we should keep doors open.
- 5:54I'm not a hawk when it comes to relationships with China.
- 5:58I think that Britain should be having discussions about trade.
- 6:02But I think that we've got to be very clear.
- 6:05And Victor, I, I suspect that you're going to agree with me,
- 6:08but there's a difference. Um, but I don't know about
- 6:11whether there's a difference anymore in the United States,
- 6:13but there's a difference in Britain with regard to the
- 6:16commercial world and the, the, the, and the state.
- 6:20And, and the state does not have access into the private matters
- 6:25concerning a company. But you know that your governing
- 6:29body, the Communist Party of China, is able to access at any
- 6:33time because of the Power Wheels.
- 6:35It's able at any time to access any kind of information that
- 6:41companies in China might hold in relation to those with whom it's
- 6:45doing trade. And so I do have concerns about
- 6:50whether I'm doing trade with certain kinds of companies that
- 6:54are in China, whether in fact it is going to be deleterious to
- 6:58the national security of Britain.
- 7:00And, and I know that because of the different cyber invasions
- 7:05that have been at the hands of China.
- 7:08And so I, I, I have concerns about that and I, I, I do.
- 7:12But I do think that the door should be open to have
- 7:14continuing discussions with you around the issue of trade.
- 7:17I do think that it's very important that we continue to
- 7:20have close relations because of climate change and the ways in
- 7:23which there can be collaborations around all of
- 7:25that. And there are many different
- 7:26issues in the world where it's so important that a huge nation
- 7:32like China should be part of the the great conversation of
- 7:37mankind. But I also have deep concerns
- 7:40about the fact that there isn't that separation of interests as
- 7:44between the private sector and the state of China as it's run
- 7:48by the Communist Party of China. Victor.
- 7:51Thank you very much. I listened very carefully to
- 7:53what Helena has to say and I highly respect her as a person.
- 7:59On the other hand, for the several things she mentioned
- 8:02about, for example, foster labour, I hope Helena will
- 8:06really do better homework to realize that forced labour is
- 8:10not being practiced at all by any stretch of the imagination.
- 8:14And the complete transformation of China over the past 46 years
- 8:19is not because of false labour, is not because of the false
- 8:22allegation about IP violations, for example.
- 8:25So I hope people in Britain and elsewhere should really have a
- 8:29very objective look at China and try to understand what are the
- 8:33real driving forces between China's complete transformation.
- 8:38That's number one. Number 2 is that for people like
- 8:42Kalana and all the other distinguished people, I treat
- 8:47all of you with great respect and decency, but we may have
- 8:50difference of opinion. So if you have criticism about
- 8:53China, be very straightforward, but criticism should be for the
- 8:58purpose of trying your best to help China, to improve our
- 9:03situation rather than condemning China, for example, or whole
- 9:06China as the culprit, to humiliate it, because that's not
- 9:11constructive. So in that sense, I think when
- 9:15we talk about the trade war or the tariff war, we need to
- 9:20really make a final decision, whether in your heart or in the
- 9:25public, that is whether you want to protect free trade.
- 9:29I think it's seeing all of us as interest to protect free trade.
- 9:33China is the largest trading partner with about 140 nations
- 9:37in the world. So we have a vested interest in
- 9:41promoting free trade, and we have a vested interest in
- 9:45telling the United States, telling President Trump and his
- 9:48administration, don't mess with China, don't mess with free
- 9:53trade, don't mess with mankind. Don't try to be a hegemon who
- 9:58holds a gun at the head of the other countries and force it
- 10:03into kowtowing to the United States if it is dominant.
- 10:07Well, you know, when you hear the the concerns of somebody
- 10:10like Helena Kennedy. So do you see that in order to
- 10:13build more global alliance in this trade war, in this rivalry
- 10:18with America, China may have to address some of those concerns?
- 10:24Allow me to emphasize for the record, that is for all these
- 10:30decades, especially ever since 1978, and I have full knowledge
- 10:35of what China's doing for all these years.
- 10:39Everyday China is improving itself.
- 10:42Everyday China is learning from its experiences, trying to
- 10:46understand why it failed, how we can move forward better.
- 10:50And whereas the United States is worried that they don't have
- 10:54enough enemies in the world, we are always worried that we do
- 10:57not have enough friends in the world.
- 10:59So what we call criticism and self criticism is treated as a
- 11:05virtue in China. We always criticize ourselves
- 11:08and we welcome positive constructive criticism for
- 11:12anyone in the world. What we don't like is false
- 11:15accusation, is accusation without doing the homework is
- 11:19confounding black and white, for example, and try to accuse China
- 11:25as the culprit, whereas the realities on the ground are
- 11:28completely different. So I think if Hananah is really
- 11:31very constructively minded and the goal is to help China to
- 11:36improve, I don't know. You will be my heroine and I
- 11:39think we will treat you with highest respect and decency.
- 11:42And I hope you will tell everyone you know that China
- 11:45welcomes positive constructive criticism, but absolutely will
- 11:51fight against any false accusation and ungrounded
- 11:55condemnation. Victor, I, you know that I'm a
- 12:01lawyer, but I'm a lawyer who's very much engaged with human
- 12:04rights issues. And, and I, I'm afraid I don't
- 12:10have very much truck with the idea that there are no human
- 12:14rights abuses being conducted against the Uyghur people in
- 12:17Xinjiang province. Because I've seen too much of
- 12:20the evidence and I've heard too often from people who, who have
- 12:25been at the receiving end of, of persecution and have had to flee
- 12:32that persecution. And so I, and it's very
- 12:36interesting, Michelle Bachelet, who I think is a very highly
- 12:39respected politician. She was the president of Chile.
- 12:43She's ended up being the head of the Human Rights Commission at
- 12:46the United Nations. And just before she stepped down
- 12:49from that role, in fact, the day before, umm, I think she was
- 12:53rather anxious not to do it before that because having China
- 12:57involved in international, umm, uh, institutions is so
- 13:02important. But she published her report.
- 13:04She had gone to we to, uh, to see the Uyghur to visit Xinjiang
- 13:09province. She went to China with a
- 13:10delegation of, of, uh, independent minded people and
- 13:15they wrote a report saying that there were serious human rights
- 13:18abuse. They didn't accept the concept
- 13:21of genocide, but they said that there were serious crimes
- 13:25against humanity taking place against the, the Uyghur people.
- 13:29Now, this is not some biased outfit.
- 13:32This is not somebody who's working within the Trump
- 13:35administration who for whatever reasons have their own problems
- 13:40with China. This was, this was an
- 13:42independent group of people who went there.
- 13:45And so I don't have any doubt about the fact that there are
- 13:47serious human rights uses there. Now, if China wanted to have
- 13:50conversations about how, you know, are they dealing with
- 13:54terrorism? Do you, do you have collective
- 13:57punishments? Do you punish all of the people
- 14:01there in the ways that I think they are being punished?
- 14:05I'm happy to have those conversations with leading
- 14:07figures in China. But those things do alarm the
- 14:10West. Certainly the European WI don't
- 14:14know whether they're causing great concern to either Russia
- 14:18or to the United States at the moment.
- 14:20But but people in, in, in, in those countries also care about
- 14:24these issues. And so it seems to me that
- 14:27there's so many things that China could do.
- 14:30It could very easily say we were trying to deal with, we felt
- 14:35with terrorism and it may be that we came down too heavily
- 14:39and we're going to seek to address all of that and we would
- 14:41like assistance in doing so. If China, for example, in
- 14:46relation to the Russia Ukraine war and which was was started
- 14:50undoubtedly by by Russia. If China took a position
- 14:54alongside Europe in supporting an end to that war that did
- 14:58justice for the Ukrainian people, then I think that that
- 15:02you would be creating a very different kind of perception of
- 15:06the journey that China is on in trying to address some of these
- 15:09issues. But there's no sign that that
- 15:12President Xi is interested in doing any of that.
- 15:15Allow me to respond. I listened to you very
- 15:19carefully. Helena.
- 15:20You know, China is a nation with 56 different nationalities.
- 15:25Wiggle is one of the 56 different nationalities.
- 15:28So to start with, you need to ask a question why first of all,
- 15:33all the other 55 nationalities are very happy and very quiet,
- 15:38very law abiding and prospering together with the transformation
- 15:42in China. And why the Wiggle nationality
- 15:47has some problem now? Then you also need to ask what
- 15:51is the real problem involving some of the people in the Wiggle
- 15:57nationality. The reason is very simple.
- 16:00Xinjiang borders with Afghanistan.
- 16:02Just imagine if London borders with Afghanistan, then you will
- 16:07know immediately your risk profile will be completely
- 16:10different. And the 20 year war in
- 16:14Afghanistan launched by the United States and participated
- 16:17by NATO is a real thing. Afghanistan is still suffering
- 16:21from the aftermath of the 20 year old war.
- 16:25And in in Xinjiang, do you know among the wiggles there are
- 16:30people who call for jihad? Jihad against whom?
- 16:35Against China? No.
- 16:36Against the Chinese Communist Party?
- 16:38No. Against the Chinese people?
- 16:40No. Against the people like the hard
- 16:42nationality like me? No.
- 16:44They are calling for jihad against American troops
- 16:48occupying Afghanistan. They are calling for jihad
- 16:52against the NATO soldiers fighting in Afghanistan,
- 16:55including British soldiers. They were on the battleground.
- 17:00They killed the NATO soldiers, American soldiers.
- 17:03Some of them were arrested, some of them were put into prison in
- 17:06Guantanamo Bay. All this is real.
- 17:10Don't pretend that you do not know.
- 17:12And as a result. I do know.
- 17:14I do know. Over.
- 17:15Allow me, allow me to finish. I listen to you very carefully
- 17:18just now without any interruption.
- 17:20Therefore, the spillover of terrorism, radicalization and
- 17:23extremism from Afghanistan, from those people who want to launch
- 17:28jihad against America, against NATO, against British soldiers,
- 17:31for example, into Xinjiang is real.
- 17:34It's not pretended, it's not fabricated.
- 17:37If you say no, China is immune from all these radicalization
- 17:42from Afghanistan into Xinjiang, then you do not know what you
- 17:46are talking about. So that's number one.
- 17:48Now, the second thing is very interesting.
- 17:51While terrorism, extremism, radicalization are what we
- 17:55consider evil forces, do you know what their real ultimate
- 18:00goal is? Their ultimate goal is to split
- 18:03Xinjiang into a separate, independent country.
- 18:06They want to take away Xinjiang from China, and do you think the
- 18:111.4 billion people in China will ever tolerate such a prospect?
- 18:15Someone using whatever means they have at disposal, sometimes
- 18:20being fanned by some Western countries behind them, try to
- 18:23take away Xinjiang, 1/6 of the landmass of China.
- 18:27Now, when you talk about human rights problems, tell me whether
- 18:31you see any country in the world which has a perfect record of
- 18:36human rights. Every country has some problems,
- 18:39different in nature, different in degree, in state, etcetera.
- 18:43When you say in China you have human rights problems, I agree
- 18:46with you. I want to work with you to see
- 18:49whether these human rights problems can be addressed.
- 18:52But when you say wow, there are atrocities, there are crimes
- 18:56against humanity, there are other things.
- 18:59For example, you have mass detention of legal people.
- 19:02No, Heather, you do not know what you are talking about.
- 19:06I actually met with the head of the World We Go Congress and I
- 19:13met with the former chairman of the United States Congressional
- 19:18International Religion Committee, for example.
- 19:22Both of them were we goes, we chatted, we can talk, we can
- 19:27exchange views. They know my view is completely
- 19:30different from them. They know they are getting the
- 19:33support. And both of them actually very
- 19:35interesting. They are U.S. citizens, they
- 19:37carry US passport. But their goal is to really
- 19:42create a situation where ultimately, according to their
- 19:46version of the truth, that the Wiggles will have their own
- 19:49homeland, Wiggles will have their own Republic, or Riggles
- 19:53will have their Caliphate. Now from Chinese perspective,
- 19:57this mission will never be possible.
- 20:00We will never allow that to be accomplished.
- 20:02So when you say, I support about.
- 20:04The points about Ukraine. Ukraine is very simple.
- 20:07From day one, China has been calling for ceasefire, immediate
- 20:11ceasefire. China called Russia to ceasefire
- 20:15to China called on Ukraine to do the ceasefire.
- 20:18Now people accuse China of siding with Russia and providing
- 20:22support to Russia. Allow me to mention one thing.
- 20:25If China provided weapons to Russia, the war would have been
- 20:30over already. Because if you know that China
- 20:35is the biggest producer of all these weapons of all kinds, et
- 20:40cetera, if China provides all these things to Russia, it will
- 20:43be 1 sided in addition to all the advantages and the
- 20:47superiorities that Russia are. You denying that any any
- 20:50Russian, any Chinese weapons have gone to Russia?
- 20:53No, there has been no Chinese weapon at all by any stretch of
- 20:59the imagination provided by China to Russia, because
- 21:02otherwise Russia would have won the war already.
- 21:05So we need to be very careful. China has been calling for
- 21:08ceasefire from day one. Second point, China has never
- 21:12provided any weapon to Russia. Thirdly, China has been treating
- 21:16Russia and Ukraine on the same footing, meaning we want to
- 21:21create a situation where both of them will need to sit down at
- 21:24the negotiation table. I will not be surprised.
- 21:27Eventually, Beijing may be chosen as the venue for the most
- 21:31important Russian Ukraine. Dialogue may be participated by
- 21:36Russia by the United States at the same time.
- 21:38Let me just ask Helen. I mean, you're part of the, oh,
- 21:40you're the Co chair of the Inter Parliamentary Alliance on China,
- 21:43which, you know, the members of that group often talk about the,
- 21:46the threats that China represents.
- 21:49Can you explain what you actually think the, the fear is
- 21:54that what China's ambitions globally might be and what the
- 21:58threat to Britain is? Because that's what's leading to
- 22:00these conversations about Chinese involvement in British
- 22:03steel or nuclear plants and the question of whether they should
- 22:06be stopped. I am not someone who thinks that
- 22:10umm, umm, China is the devil Incarnate.
- 22:13I don't, I don't believe that, Umm, I, I know many Chinese
- 22:17people, umm, and I've been to China a number of times and I,
- 22:21and I, and I know as, as Victor would say, many, many people,
- 22:25umm, are people of goodwill and, uh, and so on.
- 22:29When, when Victor talked, my criticisms are different from
- 22:32those of, for example, some of the others who are on part of
- 22:36the alliance. My, my concerns are, are first
- 22:39of all, about human rights. And I don't accept Victor's
- 22:42picture, which is that why, why, why, why they're Uyghur.
- 22:46And, and I think, I mean, it's a bit like people would say, why
- 22:48the Irish as if somehow, you know, there are some people who
- 22:52are more inclined towards terrorism.
- 22:54It's, it's just not true. The problem in, in Xinjiang
- 22:58province is that, yes, I'm sure that there are jihadists and I'm
- 23:01sure that there are people, um, who, uh, um, want to live in a
- 23:05caliphate and, and are extremists and have been
- 23:08affected by the sort of Talibanization of, of, um,
- 23:12creating a sort of political Islam.
- 23:14But but those people are few and I think the majority of people
- 23:19are absolutely wanting to live a peaceful life in in Xinjiang
- 23:23province. They're not unhappy about being
- 23:26part of China if China respects them and respects their rights.
- 23:30And that's been my experience in my meeting with many of the
- 23:33Uyghur people. And so I I don't accept this.
- 23:35The business is that terrorism and the, and when the United
- 23:39States created this notion of a war on terrorism after 9-11,
- 23:44unfortunately, it gave excuses to other countries to go after
- 23:48the small numbers of people who might have those sort of
- 23:50jihadist views to actually exact a much greater, if you like
- 23:54punishment on the whole community in order to, to to, to
- 23:58prevent the rise of it. I think that there are people
- 24:02who want inside China, who want to be respected and to live as
- 24:06Muslims to, to follow their religion and not to, uh, feel
- 24:10that they have to become like the Han.
- 24:11It's that sort of homogenization which seems to be part of
- 24:15president She's, um, plan for, for China.
- 24:19Now, when, when Victor says, and he's a very smart man, so he
- 24:23knows that I will say this to him when he says that the
- 24:26people, all the other provinces and all the other, many, many
- 24:30peoples of minorities who are not Han Chinese, they all accept
- 24:35all of this and that they're, they're, they're happy.
- 24:38They're not many of them just get on with life quietly,
- 24:41knowing that because of the authoritarian nature of the
- 24:44regime, they couldn't possibly speak out and they couldn't
- 24:47possibly insist on practice using their own religion or
- 24:50their own culture and so forth. And so it's about the fear and,
- 24:55uh, and that is what I'm afraid creates that, uh, culture of
- 25:00basically, uh, that chilling effect, which means that people
- 25:03just live their daily life and get on with it.
- 25:06Umm, and, and so I don't agree with it with him about the, the
- 25:10everybody else is happy. Umm, I do think that China has
- 25:13made the most incredible, incredible strides.
- 25:17Umm, it was an, A poor, poorly, many people struggling and the
- 25:21whole business of, of that advance over the, the, the, the
- 25:25decades, um, since the, the, since 1950 really has been
- 25:30incredible. However, to, to, to, to achieve
- 25:34that, there has been a great deal of repression, A cultural
- 25:38revolution which was absolutely hellish for many, many families
- 25:42and people. And so the, yes, now China has
- 25:46embraced the market. China is now wanting to play in
- 25:49the global market and to to embrace large parts of
- 25:53capitalism. However, however, those things
- 25:56that that I think make democracies work should be also
- 26:01making whatever China is running works, which is more rights for
- 26:06people, more participation, listening to their voices and I
- 26:09believe elections. But Victor would say that's not
- 26:12possible in China. But I do they feel very strongly
- 26:15that people who live on borders everywhere have this problem,
- 26:20which is that lines are drawn, which state creates created
- 26:23nation states. And so there are there are often
- 26:25problems of this kind on borders where people feel I'm culturally
- 26:30more like the folk on the other side of that border.
- 26:33And we're dealing with it in relation to Russian speaking
- 26:35people in Ukraine and so forth. But you there are ways of
- 26:39dealing with that. And one of the ways of dealing
- 26:41with it is not by repression, but by actually listening and
- 26:45allowing people to be as much of you know, what it is they want
- 26:48to be without doing it the way that I think is happening
- 26:52currently in China. But when to go back could?
- 26:54You also just explain, you know, Helena, I mean, you know, this
- 26:57question of sort of what the perceived threat from China is.
- 27:00As China becomes economically and militarily very strong,
- 27:03there is this sense of sort of, well, you know, they are not the
- 27:07entirely innocent, just simply trading nation and that they do
- 27:12pose a threat. So what is that perceived
- 27:14threat? Well, first of all, we all, we
- 27:17know that because of the huge numbers of people that there are
- 27:20inside the, the continent or the nation of China, they can very
- 27:25easily, they have a, a workforce that will work very cheaply and
- 27:29that they can therefore undercut what's happening in other parts
- 27:31of the world. So, so that there's that that
- 27:34whole competition. It's not an equality of arms.
- 27:37They can produce things much more cheaply.
- 27:40And therefore it has is created for the United States and
- 27:44certainly for Western countries and for Britain and ways in
- 27:47which products can be produced in a way that could never be
- 27:50produced for the cost that if they were made here.
- 27:53So that that, that, that let's face that reality.
- 27:55The other thing is that the Chinese people are incredibly
- 27:57clever, very smart. They're very good at sort of
- 28:00seeing what other people are doing, adapting it and adopting
- 28:02it. And some would say stealing the
- 28:04intellectual property of of others who have invented things.
- 28:09And so, but that has gone on, not just with China, but China's
- 28:14very good at it. The other thing is that China in
- 28:17its, in its, if you like, its Belt and Road.
- 28:20Some policies have gone into Africa full of poor places,
- 28:27places that need infrastructure and so on.
- 28:29And it has been mopping up the, the friendship of nations that
- 28:35helps them both at the United Nations to, to, to flatten
- 28:38criticism, but it also helps them in relation to securing
- 28:42some of the rare earth minerals that are very important in the
- 28:45creation of technology. And so let's be very clear.
- 28:48This is a strategy that China has adopted.
- 28:51And we have to be very wary of what it would mean for us,
- 28:54because if China is buying up companies here in Britain, we
- 28:57have to do we have to, I mean, the business recently of the
- 29:01downturn of, of steel has concerned me because it, for us,
- 29:07that's very important because it's taking jobs away from, from
- 29:09huge numbers of people. And if we don't have a capacity
- 29:11for making steel, it puts us at the mercies of buying steel from
- 29:15El elsewhere. So we too have to be strategic.
- 29:18And so in being strategic, I think that we should be, and I
- 29:21advocated this publicly. I think that we should be doing
- 29:24a review of all of the companies that we do business with or that
- 29:27we might be like thinking of doing business with to look at
- 29:30and examine the potential that for interfering with our own
- 29:34national security or our own national prosperity, actually.
- 29:38So the, the, I, I think that, that we need to know that.
- 29:41Now what we, what is different is that in Britain, certainly,
- 29:46and when it comes to things like, um, cybersecurity
- 29:50companies operate separately, there is no, the, the state is
- 29:54not interfering. And I am confident of that in
- 29:57that, but I'm not confident of it in relation to China.
- 30:00I think that China, for example, if it, if it wanted to, could
- 30:04walk into any company and say, we want to see you're, you're
- 30:08doing stuff for health commodities in Britain, We'd
- 30:11like to see the, the, the data. Data has become one of the most
- 30:16valuable commodities in the world.
- 30:17More, much, much more valuable than gold or oil.
- 30:20Data is the future and I'm afraid that China has long term
- 30:24prospects in relation to acquiring our data because of
- 30:28how valuable it would be to them.
- 30:29OK, Victor, you know, address some of that, but can you also
- 30:32just address the basic suspicion in Britain at the moment around
- 30:36British steel, which is that it was clearly not in China's
- 30:40interest to make British steel flourish and that you were in a
- 30:45position as a country to effectively sabotage a British
- 30:48industry? I understand that the Chinese
- 30:51company running this bridge steel faces a dilemma because
- 30:55the British Steel is losing money, tons of money on a daily
- 30:59basis, so commercially you cannot support it.
- 31:03So the company either need to be nationalized by the British
- 31:05government or some other willing buyer need to take it over from
- 31:09the Chinese company. Now there are many reasons why
- 31:12the company British Steel is losing money, but if you run the
- 31:16company, you will know that if you are faced with a situation
- 31:20where you keep pumping money in but still cannot revive it, then
- 31:26you need to reach a point of cut and run away from it.
- 31:29Is that right? So I don't think the situation
- 31:31involving British Steel has any geopolitical motivation behind
- 31:36it. It's purely an investment which
- 31:38doesn't work and becomes a liability, total liability.
- 31:43So I hope Britain actually will make sure that the furnaces will
- 31:47never be closed. You still have some iron or
- 31:50steel making capabilities, just just in case or any existences
- 31:55for example. But to imagine that China as a
- 31:58country has a secret agenda of moving into British steel and
- 32:03shutter furnace and create a situation where Britain will
- 32:07have no steel making capacity, That's too much of A Hollywood
- 32:11movie. That's too much of exhaust on
- 32:13your imagination. I would say.
- 32:15So my personal view is let British steel be saved and let
- 32:19Britain still keep whatever amount of steel making
- 32:23capacities. But the financial failure of
- 32:26this British steel has nothing to do with the Chinese
- 32:29government, has nothing to do with whether China wishes
- 32:33Britain good or bad. Now allow me to use the other
- 32:37one, he Clay nuclear power station.
- 32:39China was very much involved and China was very happy to work
- 32:43with the French company to get this nuclear power station down.
- 32:46Britain suffered all the hysteria, eventually created a
- 32:50situation where the Chinese company was forced out.
- 32:53But eventually you end up with a situation where the French
- 32:56company can no longer support it because it's too much of A
- 32:59burden, financial burden. So Britain is hit with the
- 33:04failure of King Claire and I think it will suffer a shortage
- 33:09of power in the coming years. At a time when the Americans
- 33:13keep telling you power, power, power is the key in the AIH, you
- 33:18need to have at least a double the current power capacity to
- 33:22support a meaningful AI industry.
- 33:25So eventually Britain suffers all the consequences.
- 33:29You no longer have enough power to support your current use and
- 33:32you will have a big short shortage of power if you really
- 33:38want to commit yourself to an AI revolution.
- 33:41Now very briefly, I do not have enough time to address all the
- 33:44points. However, I mentioned oppression.
- 33:47Let me tell you, if you talk about China with billions, 1.4
- 33:52billion people in oppression without being able to express
- 33:56their views, why is it the case that China produces more data
- 34:01than anyone else? Chinese language data is
- 34:06probably 1 of the largest pool of data in the world of today.
- 34:09How do you explain that China's mobile phone and laptop and
- 34:15computer penetration are among the highest in the world of
- 34:19people to chat freely without any concerns about each other.
- 34:23But if you say whether in China there is a red button issue that
- 34:27you cannot talk about, which are considered political taboo, Of
- 34:30course, every country has a red button issue.
- 34:33In China, what is on the red button issue list?
- 34:37Tibetan independence, Xinjiang independence, Hong Kong
- 34:40independence, Taiwan independence.
- 34:43You cannot challenge the one party state.
- 34:46More or less. China is a democracy in its own
- 34:47way. We in addition to the Communist
- 34:49Party of China, we have eight other democratic parties which
- 34:53started their existence before 1949.
- 34:58And then if you talk about people, Canada, come to Beijing,
- 35:03come to any part of China, you see free movement of people back
- 35:07and forth now people from the West to the east, from the South
- 35:10to the north and vice versa on the high speed railway.
- 35:14And I never see any such convenience of public
- 35:18transformation, movement of goods, services and ideas across
- 35:23multiple applications. That's why TikTok in the United
- 35:26States is so popular. That's why so many applications
- 35:30are very popular in the United United States, in Western
- 35:32countries, in the global S Why? Because they started in China.
- 35:36They have proven their middle in China.
- 35:39Therefore they went to the rest of the world.
- 35:42If you think China is a country of oppression, do you think you
- 35:47can really come up with the app like a TikTok?
- 35:50Do you think Russia can produce 1?
- 35:52Do you think people's the the DPRK can produce?
- 35:56Right now you are thinking about things completely out of touch.
- 36:01So if you want to criticize China for the purpose of helping
- 36:05China improve, you'll be welcome.
- 36:07If you want to use all these stereotypes and labels which
- 36:11completely are not applicable to China, then my advice is Helena,
- 36:17maybe next time when I'm in London, we can have a cup of tea
- 36:20to help you to really being reoriented to the realities in
- 36:26China. China is the megatrend in the
- 36:28world. Victor, can I just tell you I'm,
- 36:31I'm just going, I'm just going to tell you that I, I, I, I take
- 36:35my hat off to the, the sheer ingenuity of the Chinese people
- 36:39that you know, the, the, the, the cleverness and the
- 36:41inventiveness is, is, is, is to be greatly admired.
- 36:46But I do want you to know that I can't come and visit you in
- 36:49Beijing as you're inviting me to do and you're saying I'd be very
- 36:52welcome. You might put the welcome that
- 36:55out for me, but I'm afraid I've been sanctioned by the Chinese.
- 36:58The Chinese. Guys, then you need to ask why?
- 37:01Why should China sanction you? And let me Kevin.
- 37:04I tell why I know. I know perfectly well why they
- 37:07sanctioned me. They sanctioned me because as a
- 37:09parliamentarian along with Lord Alton in the House of Lords, he
- 37:14and I were both highly critical of what was happening to the
- 37:19Uyghur people in Xinjiang province.
- 37:22And I was also very critical of what was happening to the rule
- 37:25of law in, uh, Hong Kong. And, uh, but five members of the
- 37:30House of Commons were also sanctioned.
- 37:33And it was about freedom of speech, you see, and I think
- 37:35freedom of speech isn't operative in China.
- 37:38And, uh, and so when, uh, people in Britain, even
- 37:41parliamentarians who are protected with what they say in
- 37:45Parliament, when we were talking about what was going on there,
- 37:50that was, that was, that made us alien to the, the regime in
- 37:56China. And I'm afraid I've been
- 37:57sanctioned. So I can't visit my, my friends
- 38:00in China. I can't visit and see the
- 38:03wonderful art. I can't go out and see the
- 38:06beauties of China because I'm banned from China.
- 38:09And so I just want you to know that it's a source of serious
- 38:12sadness to me, but I'm not going to be able to take up your very
- 38:16kind. Helena, allow me to make a
- 38:20point. You mentioned the freedom of
- 38:21speech. I am, as a Chinese national,
- 38:25sitting in my home in Beijing, talking with you.
- 38:29Now, do you think I can do this in a great Cultural Revolution
- 38:32between 1966 to 1976? No.
- 38:35I might be imprisoned at that time.
- 38:38Is that right? But now.
- 38:39But are you shocked that Helena is banned?
- 38:41I hope eventually sanctions against you will be removed and
- 38:45you will be welcome to China. But there is a precondition I
- 38:49would say, that is really deal with China as it is without
- 38:53blowing things out of proportion, and deal with China
- 38:56as it is, deal with the Chinese people as it is, deal with the
- 39:00person like Victor GAO as I am. We, we must wrap it up, I'm
- 39:04afraid. But thank you very much indeed,
- 39:06both of you. Thank you, Baroness.
- 39:08Thank you for. The Victor GAO, thank you both
- 39:10very much indeed. Thank you very much.
- 39:11Thank you. That's the forecast.
- 39:13Bye bye.