Latest / Toadstool Sports / NBA + NHL + MLB World Series + NCAAF Best Bets Wednesday 10/29/25

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NBA + NHL + MLB World Series + NCAAF Best Bets Wednesday 10/29/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached into peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: browin tack. Man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: with the Bruins archape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: don't even know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: can possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the Slump series, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: towed back with you better off dead. Wednesday, October twenty ninth.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I can get this done faster than yesterday. I mean,
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: it's not the Frozen Frenzy anymore. Frozen Frenzy went well yesterday.
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: Pretty much nothing else did us. We won with the
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: Anaheim Ducks outright winter. They blew a to nothing lead,
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: went into overtime. I think I might have gone to
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: a shootout, but they won, so we scooped on that one,
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: whereas if they had lost by one would have been
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: a push. I mean, not the end of the world,
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: but we needed some wins. Yesterday, the New York Rangers
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: got to win in the late game. They were basically
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: just winning one to nothing the whole time. I never
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: even looked at the box score, but they scored an
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: empty net at the end to win two to nothing.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: I'll take it. Depending on how you wanted to score
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: the Washington Wizards one, that was either a loss or
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: a push because there were fives like readily available throughout
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: the evening. So unless you locked in that bet early.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't remember if I mentioned, like, well,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: you could wait on this, because I don't really think
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: there's that usually that much of a difference between four
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: and five and basketball. There's not a ton of difference there. Obviously,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: you want to get the best number that you can.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: I thought that the number might go back up because,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: like once it was definitely confirmed that Embiid was coming
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: back in. So whether you chose to wait or not
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: on that kind of dictated it.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: I'll count it.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: As a loss on the show. So we went two
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: and three yesterday. For a loss to one would have
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: been a slight loss as well, because you could have
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: gotten the five to push that one. There was no
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: way that Washington should have been a loser in that game.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: They were winning by like twenty points in the second half,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: so I was like, all right, we got this win.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: I think they're winning by at least sixteen in the
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter. There's absolutely no way when you have a
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: sixteen whatever point lead in the fourth quarter at home,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: you think you're gonna not cover, like as an underdog,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: are you fucking kidding me? And it goes into overtime,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: and even at that point, you're like, well, it's still
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: pretty likely they're gonna cover, although I'm still pissed about
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: it at that point it makes no sense. And then
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: they still wind up landing right on the five right
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: at the end. Absolute bullshit. In that game, Washington dominated
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: the entire game pretty much. I haven't looked at the
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: stats yet, but they just they had a massive lead,
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: Like I just stopped paying attention to it because I
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: wrote it off as a win.
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: I'm like, that's definitely gonna be a winner.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: It looked like we're gonna start the day two and oho,
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: and then Washington, I don't even know what the fuck
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: happened in that game.
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: Absolute bullshit.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: And then the Knicks were winning in the first half,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: and that was looking good for a while. They were
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: winning into the third quarter, I think, and then it
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: went haywire and they wound up losing the game. I
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: think they came back and tied it again late in
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: the game after they fell behind, and then they still
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: fell apart right near the end again and lost the games.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: The Knicks definitely had chances to win that game. Texas State.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you about Texas State.
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: That was they.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: Started turning the ball over constantly. They had like four
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game. They had one when they were
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: trying to get back to within one score in the
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: third quarter. They had one in the red zone and
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: that just completely ended the game. They never scored again.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: That Texas State offense a solid tu and they never
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: scored again. They were they were within a touchdown multiple
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: times in the first half. I think they were still
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: within eight in the third quarter if I'm not mistaken,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: and then they never scored again after that. I mean, yeah,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: they lost the yardage battle. I don't know, man, I mean,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: to me, it seemed like they were in that game.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: I guess it was the wrong call. I told you
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: to wait on that one to get the seven. Definitely,
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: the seven did come up later in the day into
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: the evening, so pretty easy to get a seven on
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: that one. But it was a loss whether you got seven,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: six and a half, whatever. And it got to a
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: point where they were down by eight multiple I think,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: well by eight and then fifteen, so like at that point, well,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: I guess the seven comes back into play if they
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: score again and they go for a two point conversion.
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: But whatever.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: That pissed me off because I thought that handicap was
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: pretty solid on that one. I thought it was a
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: strong situation on that one. Nate, what's up man? Thanks
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: for hanging out the frozen frenzy. Yeah, the Bruins won,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: so I'm happy about that.
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: You got your goal scores.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: So I don't really recommend those anytime goal scorers, but
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: you got those impure what's up man?
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. I mean, I feel like shit
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: right now kind of.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: And I'm supposed to see Herbie Hancocks and so that's
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: not gonna I don't know. I don't know what I'm
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: gonna do about that. Austin Matthews, good luck. I mean again,
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: I don't think you get good enough odds on those
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: anytime goal scorers, So.
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: Thank you for reposting. Sir uh.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: Catherine, I have I have no idea rugby because there
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: are a lot of sheep in New Zealand and whatever.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: All right, today I'm gonna have all my players are
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be in the NBA, and I'm going against the market.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: In two well, definitely one of them, maybe two of them,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: and I just I don't even care talk about that
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: in a minute. We will have this one NHL game
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: today after the frozen frenzy yesterday. I keep wanting to
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: say the Frozen four. I'm like, no, that's college hockey.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: There's one game today, it's Toronto at Columbus. I could
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: tell you the money is indicating on Columbus here as
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: far as this market read here, sixty seven percent of
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: the tickets around Toronto, Columbus up from minus one oh
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: five to minus one of evan on the money line
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: with seventy four percent of the cash. So do with
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: that information what you will. I mean, if you want
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: to do a blind market read on this one, it's
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: saying Columbus. I don't really have a situational angle to
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: really give you on this one. Both teams obviously played yesterday.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: Toronto beat Calgary barely, so not an impressive win by
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: Toronto yesterday.
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: They're starting a two game road trip.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: When you start a road trip, I do tend to
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: think it's a positive spot, usually because you want to
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: try to get off on the right foot. Yes, they're
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: having to travel though with no days off, so maybe
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: that's slightly a concern, but so is Columbus, although their
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: travel spot is a little bit less bad because they're
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: coming back from Buffalo, although technically they are returning on
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: from a road trip, which when I talk about returning
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: on from road trips sometimes that's not a good spot.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: Although they only went on the road for two games,
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: just to Pittsburgh and Buffalo, so they did not go far.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Both games did go into overtime though, and they're coming
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: off that overtime game yesterday. Columbus was side that was
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: getting the money yesterday too, and they wanted an overtime.
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: I don't really have much else to say about this, man.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: I mean I I don't really see a situational angle
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: on this. Like I said, both both teams are kind
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: of coming off of whatever type of win. Columbus did
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: have to play an extra period, but yeah, I mean,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know how early on in overtime that goal
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: was scored. Whatever the money's saying Columbus, I'll leave it
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: at that. I don't have a whole lot else to
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: say about that. Jeffrey, what's up man? Thanks for hanging
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: out all right. NBA is where I'm gonna have all
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: my plays today, and again I'm fading the market and
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: a couple of these and I just think I think
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: it might be it might be worth it to do that.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna talk about three of those games for
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: that reason. Houston at Toronto. I don't know if I'm
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up talking about every one of these games.
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: They're not. Toronto's off to a one and three start.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: They did just have to go to go to a
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: Texas into. They're not doing the Texas Triangle. They went
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: to Dallas and San Antonio lost both games by double digits,
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: and now they're returning home to finish in the Texas
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: Triangle against Houston.
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: Interesting. It's a return home spot.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: It's a decent amount of travel with one day off,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: and I do talk about when you return over from
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: a road trip there's family life to get back to, etc.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Although they were only on the road since Sunday, so
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: it wasn't a really long road trip. How seriously will
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: they take Houston, I don't know, Because a team that
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: only has one win, like Toronto, you don't really overlook
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: anybody necessarily, even though they do have Cleveland up next.
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's really a spot where I necessarily
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: want to fade Toronto here. Houston looks like they're probably
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: in the better spot generally though, because they're starting a
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: road trip and that does tend to be a more
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: focused spot.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: They do have Boston up next. I don't know if
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: you continue to take.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Boston as seriously as you would in the past. So
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: is that a look ahead, I don't know. They probably
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: want to get back to I mean, they probably want
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: to start the road trip off on the right foot generally,
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: I would say. And Houston started the season with two losses,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: although I mean they took Okay.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: Seed to overtime on the road.
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: I mean that's not an embarrassing loss by any means,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: and then they were just in a bad spot coming
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: back off of that when I gave out Detroit on
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: the show in this one, so that was a winner
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: for me.
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: So you can't really blame Houston for those two losses.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: They're better than they look right now, and they're actually
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: laying five and a half I think in this game
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: on the road. Yeah, they're up from three and a
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: half to five and a half, and the money.
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: Is agreeing with Houston.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Fifty two percent of the cash on them, sixty four
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on Toronto, so the public,
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: for whatever reason, grabbing Toronto is the underdog. I'll agree
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: with the market in this one with Houston, with laying
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: the points with Houston, it's not going to be anything
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: that I would want I want to have my money
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: on personally, though, not really much of an injury a
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: situation there, except that Van Vliet is basically never going
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: to come back for Houston, which, by the way, I'm
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: now either eight four and one or eight and five
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: in the NBA, however you want to score it. So
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: we got to get back on track with the NBA
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: and hope that my situational reads here can beat the
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: market reads in this one. Yeah, they do have a
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: baby mama drama to get back to, although a lot
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: of these well, I don't know, because a lot of
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: these guys have probably left their kids right. Orlando at
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: Detroit is actually a pretty good game. Detroit coming off
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: getting blown out by the Cleveland Cavaliers. They're playing a
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, but they're all at home,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: so that isn't a huge issue. They do have to
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: go play in Mexico on Saturday against Dallas. I'm sick
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: of these international bullshit games.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: It seems like the Mexico one always involves a team
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: from Texas. It seems like, if I'm not mistaken, I
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: think San Antonio did that before.
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: I could be wrong about that.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm picturing some other neutral site game, but I
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know that Detroit is gonna overlook
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: Orlando though, because Lando's a pretty solid team as well.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: Detroit coming off a blowout loss. They've had a fairly
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule so far too, so I think this Detroit
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: team is alright, although I think Orlando is probably better
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: than they look as well. They've had an easier schedule
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: so far. They're coming off losing at Philadelphia fairly badly.
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is really only convincing win. Like I mentioned yesterday,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: don't really have a strong read on this one at all.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: Looking at the market here the Magic of Flip from
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: a plus one and a half point dog a one
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: and a half point DODG to a two point favorite,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the tickets, only sixty seven percent
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Magic though, So it looks
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: like the market read is actually saying Pistons here to
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: take the points. With the Pistons, I don't really see
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: what moved that number though, because they aren't really huge
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: injury issues in this game. So I don't really know
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: why Orlando flip to a favorite like that. I mean,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: you have a few guys on Detroit or game time decisions.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: We already knew Ivy was out, so I don't really
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: understand why the live flipped like that or moved like that, which,
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: by the way, I forgot to mention Celtics against the
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Pacer against the Appelicans the other night. Part of the
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: reason the line moved towards the Celtics is because Zion
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: Williamson got ruled out late and didn't play. Fucking NBA man.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, sometimes that happens. You just have no control
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: over it at that point, Like your team's best player
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: gets ruled out prior to the game. So I think
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: that game would have gone a lot differently if Zion
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: was playing. I mean, he's New Orleans' best player, so
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: and I don't even know if he's back yet, which
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: you kind of have to know because New Orleans does
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: play today Atlanta at Brooklyn. Brooklyn off to an own
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: four start. I mean, they're they're asked they're one of
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: the worst teams in the NBA. I don't know what
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: else to say about it. Third game in four days
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: for them, all in different cities, coming back home from
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: doing two legs of the Texas Triangle themselves, doesn't really
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: make it that easy of a spot for them. Atlanta
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: coming in off of a loss to Chicago, I believe. Yeah,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: they had a day off, but they're already on the
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: road just going from Chicago to New York.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess I would argue.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: The spot is worse worse for Brooklyn just because they
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: are returning over Texas off of them, you know, just
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: kind of a difficult It's always difficult to go down
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: to Texas and have to play those couple of Texas teams.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'll lean to the Hawks in this one.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: In the market is agreeing with that, with the Nets
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: being a public underdog, which makes absolutely no sense, maybe
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: just because the public just doesn't want to lay points
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: on the road to the one and three Hawk team.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: But Brooklyn is just terrible, man, which the oddsmakers are
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: telling you. Hawks are up from seven and a half
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: to eight eighty six percent of the tickets only seventy
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on the nets. So I
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: won't disagree with the market on that one either. Hilariously,
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: I'm agreeing with the market on some of my lesser
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: situational reads, and on the other situational reads, I'm gonna
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: just actually fade the market to give up plays. So yeah,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: I've been good with the with the Detroit stuff man,
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: the Piston Whisperer, the Pisperer. You had the under in
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: the Golden State game.
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah, was that a winner? I assume it was.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: I didn't really see it though. Oh yeah, that was
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: way way under. That's crazy.
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: I thought the Clippers would be in a much better
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: spot in that game. I thought the Clippers. My instinct
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: was that the Clippers are gonna be the winner of
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: that game. That's crazy. That was way under though.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Not even close. That was a good call in the under. Okay,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: Sacramento at Chicago, I'm gonna give out a play on that.
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play in Indiana, Dallas as well,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: and Portland and Utah. Do we really want to talk
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: about New Orleans and Denver? I don't know, is Zion hurt.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: I actually don't know. Denver is a huge favorite here,
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: but I mean Denver's a really good team. Zion is
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: a game time decision. Again, who knows. Dejon Dee Murray
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: looks like he's out, but I think he's been out
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: for the whole season so far.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: He's one of the key pieces for New Orleans.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: In New Orleans, dude, this team would be good if
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: they were one hundred percent, and they're never one hundred percent,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: seeming like Denver. I don't know if Denver's gonna totally
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: take this game seriously though, because they did just beat.
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: Minnesota on the road. That's a big win. At least.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: They don't really have anything coming up next necessarily, I
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: mean Portland pretty mediocre. There still might be a spot
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: where Denver just doesn't go all out to try to
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: beat New Orleans, especially if Zion isn't playing. Something to
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: watch to see if Zion is gonna play or not.
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: New Orleans is off to an zero to three start,
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: although if Williamson is playing, I don't think they're as
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: bad as that looks. But Denver is a huge favorite,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: so the game seems to even be lying like like
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Williamson is not playing.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: Nuggets are off from twelve and a half to thirteen.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: Here Pelican's public underdog too, at eighty three percent of
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: the tickets only sixty seven percent of the cash. I
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: don't understand that, Like, I don't see why a team
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: with no wins would be a public side. I mean,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: so I'm guessing that's probably bullshit and they're probably not.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: So I don't get it, But that's what this is saying. Yeah,
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't have much of a read on
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: that game. I don't think I would really want to
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Denver in that spot though. LA
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: at Minnesota we get a what do we want to
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: call this? This is a revenge game for both teams now,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: because of course, Minnesota eliminated the Lakers from the playoffs
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: last year. The Lakers got their revenge in the second
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: game of the season, which was one of my plays
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: on the show. We got a winner on the Lakers
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: in revenge. Now, the revenge kind of flips to the
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Minnesota side because they did just lose at the Lakers.
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: Minnesota now gets to host the Lakers. They are coming
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: off that loss to Denver, but it was a double
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: digit loss.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: They're staying at home.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's actually had a fairly difficult schedule so far. They're
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: still gonna show up for this game. I mean, this
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: is a big game. It's ESPN. Both teams are gonna
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: show up for this. We also know that we're gonna
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: have no Luca. So for the Lakers, Luca, Laker, Laker Luca,
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: he's not gonna be there. And Lebron is still out
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: and I don't even know if Lebron's coming back. Man,
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: he seems he's not even listed like on the on
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: the injury report at this point.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: He's just gone. Look Legne Lagon James, I think I
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: don't know. Is he tied up in this in this
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: like gambling thing. I don't know, man.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Uh So, for that reason, the Tea Wolves are a
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: pretty big favor and up from six and a half
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: to seven eighty nine percent of tickets, only eighty one
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. So the market read
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: is saying, take the extra points of the Lakers.
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: I do think that the Teawols.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: Are probably too heavy of a favorite here just because
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: of the injury situation, But you are dealing with a
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: pretty thin roster here for the Lakers. The Lakers, Reeves
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: just basically had to take over as their main dude.
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: They did just get blown out by Portland, so in
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: that in that way, the spot does set up a
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: little bit better for LA.
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: Think that the revenge mode of kind of cancels out. Now.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Maybe it's a little bit of extra revenge from Minnesota,
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: but at LA coming off that really ugly loss which
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: I gave up Portland on the show. In that game,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: that was a second game in the injured player spot
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: for the Lakers, so it was expected they would take
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: a step back from playing really well the first game
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: without Luca, third game without Luca. I don't know, man,
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, maybe you're getting a little bit of value
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: on the Lakers, maybe a bounce back spot. Just good
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: to just get out of home, like leave that blowout
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: loss behind. Still kind of a tough spot though, because
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: they've kind of been zigzagging all over the place, and
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: this is the first time the Lakers are playing outside
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: of the state of California.
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: So I don't really want a.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Part of the Lakers in a spot like that necessarily,
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Like they just haven't done it yet this year with
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: a pretty injured roster. It seems like a little bit
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: difficult of a spot. Third game in four days where
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: they're playing in all different cities as well, So I
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: have my concerns. I mean, I guess a slight leant
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: plus the points, because I do think that's where the
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: value is, but I don't love it.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: By any means.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: Memphis at Phoenix, Memphis coming of a blowout lost to
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: Golden State. Oh and by the way, I guess Minnesota.
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: Before I'm off of Minnesota. You do have to make
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: sure that Edwards is playing because he's been day to day.
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: I think he missed the last game, but I'm guessing
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: he's probably gonna be back.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: Here. Where's the injury report here? I'm wrong, Holy shit,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: I'm wrong. He's out and Minnesota he's out until November fourteenth.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: That's more serious than I thought. I thought he was
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: just out for a couple of games. So a lot
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: of things to keep in mind in this game, man.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: So I mean, I probably wouldn't want.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: To lay the points with the Tawls with Edwards out,
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: even though that's being factoring into the line. That's crazy, dude.
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna be dude, ESPN Like ESPN's carrying a
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Cleveland Boston, and you get Boston without Tatum, and then
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: they're carrying La Minnesota and there's no Lebron, no Luca,
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: no Anthony Edwards.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: So the best three players that were basically its supposed
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: to be in this game are all gone.
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's insane, dude, ESPN, They're fucked Memphis back
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: to Memphis here. They did just lose in Golden State.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: Now they're traveling to Phoenix.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: They do have the Lakers up next. It's still possible
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: they kind of get caught in this spot, man, because
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: they've played bigger opponents surrounding this game.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: Even though I know they're coming off an ugly loss.
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: Phoenix off to an ugly one and three start. Phoenix
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: is returning over for a road trip though, So I
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: don't love the spot there either, where they went to
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: LA and then they went all the way into Elevation,
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: played Denver and Utah. We got the win on Utah thankfully,
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: because Utah was running away with that game and then
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: almost blew it Phoenix with the return home, So they
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: do have revenge against Utah next.
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: Does that mean they're gonna overlook Memphis? Probably not, But
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: I mean Memphis is still a team that you kind
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: of expect to be like in the mix for the
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: playoffs and whatever.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in towards Phoenix. I wouldn't want
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: to do it with this return home spot though. I mean,
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: it hasn't been that long of a road trip, but
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: it's still a road trip into elevation.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: You got to come back home. Stuff to do back
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: in home. Whatever.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: Not the greatest spot the money is saying the Suns.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: After the Grizzlies did move up from a one and
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite to a two point favorite, was
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the tickets on them. Public wants
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: nothing to do with this Sun team right now, and
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: rightly so. I mean, they're not a very good team,
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: but fifty nine percent of the cash coming back on
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: the Suns here. So do with that what you want
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: to do? I guess with that information, but I do not.
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: I don't want to deal with that game. Oh shit,
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: did I I think I skipped Cleveland and Boston? What
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: am I doing? I don't have a play on that
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: one either.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I completely skipped it. My apology is good. Thanks
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: for reminding me, Jeffrey. I always talk about Boston anyway,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: because they're my team, even though they're ass But yeah,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: I'm talking about this. Oh it's this ESPNA. We didn't
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: even talk about it yet. Cleveland and Boston. Cleveland's off
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: to a three and one start, Boston's off to a
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: one in three start. Cleveland's won three in a row.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: The Celtics did just end their three game loss Street.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: With a win.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: So sometimes when a team wins a game and breaks
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: a low Street that can give them momentum moving forward.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta think the Celtics will be focused for this
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: because it's Cleveland. I mean, they're expected to be, if
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: not the top team, one of the top teams in
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: the East again, and I think they are. Cleveland's coming
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: up an easy win over Detroit, so it's not exactly
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: a terrible spot, but it is.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: It's a tough rest spot though.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: It's a fourth game in six days, and it's actually
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: a fifth game in eight days, all in different cities,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: all of them except one being on the road, So
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: the spot actually isn't crazy easy for Cleveland here.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: With all the travel.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: The Celtics are returning home from a road trip though,
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: so the spot's not that good for the Celtics either,
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: and they're playing.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: They've had one fewer game in that stretch.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I think the Cleveland so far, they're playing a third
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: game in.
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: They're playing a fourth game in six days.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: Still excuse me, Yeah, I actually know they're playing a fifth
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: game in eight days as well. What am I saying?
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: So both teams are doing that. Celtics just played three
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: on the road. They've been on the road for five days,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: so they're returning over from a road trip, so technically
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: they do fall into that road trip return spot where
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: you could get distracted. Whatever, are they going to be
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: distracted when their opponent is Cleveland? Though probably not. They'll
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: probably show up and still be focused on this and
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: I think they at least have some positive momentum with
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: that win. Finally, and the Celtics haven't exactly been as bad.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: As their record looks.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: I think there you're probably gonna see the Celtics be
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: a slightly above five hundred team, to be honest, that
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: would be my impression of this Celtic team here. Well,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: I mean it remains to be seen, but I mean
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: they lost on the road to Detroit. Detroit's probably a
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: playoff team again. The Knicks, we know they're one of
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: the top teams in the East, the Sixers, the Celtics
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: had the win and they just blew the game, and
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: that was their only home game. Celtics definitely gonna be
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: better at home.
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: They did win.
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: I think they only went one to one at home
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: against Cleveland last year. I think they split the season series.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: I think two and two, with each home team winning one,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: road team winning one. You can check me if I
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: might be wrong about that. Cleveland is a favorite here because,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: of course the Celtics are not a complete team like
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: that were last year.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: Obviously, Tatum is not playing for the Celtics here.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: The Calves are three and a half point favorite, and
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: they're getting the money. The Celtics public is coming in
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: on the Celtics, man, because they see the Celtics as
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: an underdog. I think they just consider this to be, oh,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a close game. We get points
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: at home, sixty eight percent of the tickets on the Celtics.
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: Still kind of surprises me, though, because the public's got
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: to know Tatum is out. I mean, that's well known information,
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: very well known, and that Cleveland is the team. The
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: team is three and one with the Celtics being one
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: and three, so kind of surprised to be the public
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: could be on the Celtics to that extent, but fifty
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Cleveland, the money is.
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: I ain't Cleveland.
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I would just be hesitantly in
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: agreement with that. I would slightly lean to Cleveland, I guess.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: But it's one it would be one of my weakest
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: opinions out of all of these. I just don't I
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: don't have any strong opinion on that game at all.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: Really, Yeah, nothing to.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Really say about it, unfortunately, because that's one of the
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: games that I'm just Yeah, there's no way that I'm gonna.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: Do anything with that game.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: I don't think either team is in a good spot.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: So when it's a situation like that, it both teams
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: could be tired.
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: It doesn't mean maybe the over is potentially worth looking at.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: You have sixty eight percent of the ticket seventy nine
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Which is good.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: The total is up from two thirty three to two
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: thirty three and a half, even though you think, well,
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: Cavs Celtic's probably a public over anyway. It is slightly
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: but it looks like more of the money is actually
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: coming in on the over, so I might prefer the
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: over to actually playing the side in this one. But
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: I don't really do much with totals, so I'm even
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: that game alone completely. I mean, there's a reason why
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: that game does not make my card best bets.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: Let's do it because they're all.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: In basketball, and I don't know what the market is
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: doing on a couple of these, man. The first one
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: is in alignment with the market. I like the Chicago
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: Bulls minus the four and a half. This number, I
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: think you get four and a half. Still, it looks
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: like it's at five, but this is five.
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: With the reduced juice.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: It did go up a little bit from three and
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: a half. You're looking at the Bulls against the Kings here,
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: and the Kings look like a public underdog right now,
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: even though they're a one win team right now and
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: the Bulls are three and oh. So I don't understand
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: why the Kings look like they're public right now. But
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: I just like the spot for the Bulls, or I
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot for the Kings. Seventy three percent
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only seventy percent of the cash on the
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Kings the public.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Even though the Bulls are off to this three and
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: oh start, it seems like the public is at least
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: still not like the public is just still undervalue and
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: like the public's not gonna be able to name like
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: anybody on this Bulls team, except I think they have
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Josh Giddy right, Uh, Sacramento. The reason why I want
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: to fade Sacramento here. They're coming off a tough game dude, yesterday. Nonetheless,
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third game in four days, all in
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: different cities. The first game was at home against La
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, and that was a close ish game as well.
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: They only lost that game by seven, So they were
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: in that game against the Lakers. Then they went and
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: they had to go on the road to play Oklahoma City.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: And in this game, it was a close game, dude.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Sacramento led for most of the game, and they were
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: leading all the.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: Way into the fourth quarter.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: They were up seven with like a few minutes that
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: was six and a half minutes left, and they went
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: on a complete like they stalled completely at that point
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: and Oklahoma City went on a fourteen to oh run
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: to take the lead and then beat the Kings. Brutal
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: loss for the Kings. Man, you go into the house
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: of the defending champs and you have you basically have
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: them on the ropes and then you lose it in
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: the end. That is a brutal loss for the Kings.
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City didn't shoot particularly well in this game. Neither
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: team did, which helped Sacramento stay in this game. Yeah,
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: now Sacramento has another road game. They have to go
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: to Chicago. I think they're gonna be like, really in
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot after that. And they do have Milwaukee
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: up next to which I think is probably a little
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: bit of a bigger game too, and then Denver, Golden City,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City again, Minnesota, and Denver again. So the least
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: of their opponents coming up on the schedule really is Chicago.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: Even though they're undefeated right now, I think they're still
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: being overlooked. I think the spot is terrible and given
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: that that was yesterday that they did that to Oklahoma City,
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: this is a terrible spot for Sacramento.
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is a spot where they might just
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: get completely run out of the building.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: To be honest, I don't want to jinx it, but
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: this is I think the strongest of my plays today.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: The Bulls I think people won't really totally give them
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: credit yet for being in Detroit, Orlando, Atlanta winning two
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: out of the three at home. But I mean this
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: Bulls team, again, they are pretty competitive, They're pretty good
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: at defending the three. They're not a bad team, pretty
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: solid defensively. And yeah, I mean those teams are not bad. Detroit, Orlando, Atlanta.
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: I mean they're all like teams that are in.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: The playoff mixed the last couple of years. Now they
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: get to stay at home and they get Sacramento here
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: coming off a win over Atlanta on Monday that was
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: a whatever type of win. Really, they just won by
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: five at home. Yeah, they got the Knicks up next.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: When they look ahead to that, there is the potential
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: of that. That's the only.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: Worry I think here at all.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: Really, the spot is just horrendous for Sacramento, and the
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Bulls do have that day of rest adding.
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: To that spot as well. There.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: Although obviously the line is gonna move a little bit
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: higher on the Bulls because the spot is that good
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: for the Bulls, but I still think it's not being
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: totally taken into account here, So yeah, we'll go.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: I think the.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: Kings are actually a pretty bad team, to be honest.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: I know they've been like playoff CUSP team. They traded
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: Fox away though he was one of their best offensive players.
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Their offense is not that good right now. So yeah,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Bulls are the play in that one, and that is
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: not bull.
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: The Bulls win by form is two free throws.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: I would probably jump off a bridge if that happened.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: Next up, we're gonna go with now, this line was
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: only available at Fan Duel I think this morning in Massachusetts,
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: so you might not be able to get this number,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna take the points with the Pacers plus seven.
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: You might only be able to get six and a
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: half on this. I know seven is a key number
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: in basketball because it's when teams stop intentionally fouling. I
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: guess you could wait and see if it happens. Hey,
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: the market is agreeing with this one. Now there you go.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: The MAVs are down for a seven and half point
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: favorite to a six point favorite. If you could find
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: a stray book.
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: This is why I.
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: Preach you want to have as many books available as possible.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: We have like six or seven in Massachusetts. Fan Duel
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: usually is not the one that was lagging behind, but
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it was the one where the set
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: it was just for some reason, they were at seven
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: minus one ten and all the other books are at
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: six and.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: Six and a half. I don't know why.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: I would still probably take the six and a half
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: with the Pacers here, even though we're looking at a
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: very thin roster Pacers team. I just think the spot's
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: not good for the MAVs. Fifty five percent of tickets
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: are on the MAVs, fifty four percent of the cash
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: coming back in on the Pacers.
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: Though the Pacers are.
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: Gonna try to speed this game up, I mean, the
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: MAVs don't really want to play as fast. The MAVs
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: also don't have a point guard right now, which is
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: a concern, and we don't know if if Anthony Davis
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: is totally healthy either.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: I think he's listed as day to day.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: He'll probably play, I guess, but when we see the
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: spot here, you'll see why I'm doing this.
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: I know, Indiana's without a lot of their guys right now, Memhart, Mathern,
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: who else. There are a couple, There are a bunch
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: of guys out for We know Haliburton obviously is out.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: He's probably out for like the season. Oh yeah, top
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: And is also out, but he's.
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: Been out anyway.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: I think so, Yeah, we got a little bit of
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: a thin roster. Siakam's gonna have to uh take some
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: of the load here Dallas. I mean they have a
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: bunch of guys listed as game time decisions Lively, Gaffern,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: and Davis. So if some combination of those guys wind
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: up being out for this game, that's not that good
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: for Dallas. It'll hurt them on the interior a little bit.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: But Indiana they can do a lot of like mid
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: range damage with their game.
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: Like they don't have a ton of size.
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: They are kind of more of a fast paced like
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: they like to get out in transitions and they like
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: to shoot like a lot of you know, kind of
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: mid range shit.
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: I believe so Dallas.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: The fact that they have like decent defense on the interior,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think that that is that helpful in a
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: matchup like this against Indiana with the way that Indiana plays,
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: And I think the spot is really bad for Dallas.
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: I mean they're only one win team right now, And yes,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna better at some point. They're gonna improve,
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: but they've been shaky so far, and they're coming off
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: really the only good opponent that they faced so far
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: besides I guess San Antonio is not that bad. But
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: they just hosted Oklahoma City and they came to within
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: seven of Oklahoma City, and not only did they do that,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: but they were getting blown out of this game.
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: Dude.
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City was up almost twenty in the fourth quarter
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: and Dallas came all the way back and tied the game.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Or no, they got to it within one point in
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: the final minute. Just a furious comeback from Dallas. And yeah,
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: maybe Oklahoma City just thought it was over and took
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: their foot off the gas. But Dallas put in a
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: full effort here and they actually came close to pulling
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: off the opposeet over the returning champ Oka See. So
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: you see a trend here, right, and Oka See was
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: terrible in this game. They shot twenty percent from three.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: They completely dominated the boards in this game though, despite
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: the fact that Dallas should be a decent rebounding team
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: with the guys that they have, you know in the
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: interior there with ad and whatever. Nope, Dallas also was
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: very good in the turnover department in that game.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: Maybe too good.
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: So there are some outliers here, but we do see
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: it was an outlier on both sides. As far as
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: the shooting, Dallas shot very poorly in the game, thirty
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: seven point nine percent from the field. But Dallas isn't
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: that great of an offensive team right now, man, And again,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: they don't have a point guard, so they don't have
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: anybody really running the offense. So I like the fact
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: that Dallas isn't that good of an offensive team because
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: that also is a team that you don't really want
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: to lay points. Whether we're gonna take points against them here,
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean, this is just a weird game, man.
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: But overall, Dallas, they played really well in that game, man,
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: and they fell short. So that's the trend here. I'm
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: fading both teams that just did that. And coming up next,
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: as I mentioned with Detroit on Saturday, they gotta go
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: to Mexico City, So I don't know when they're gonna
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: start traveling out, but they might already be looking ahead
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: to that game because it's one of those weird international
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: games and it's a big thing, a big show. So Dallas,
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: even though they're a one win team, they might actually
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: overlook a zero win Indiana team here and Indiana, they've
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: been multiple days off at the very least. I know
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third straight road game, but this is
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: the last game on the road trip with multiple days off.
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: So the multiple days off can help, Like, that's helpful
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: when you have a thin roster like Indiana does right now,
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: the days off should help you. And it's gonna help
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: maybe break that losing momentum a little bit. And I mean,
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: you can see why Indiana doesn't have a win yet.
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: They're not as bad as their record looks. Really, even
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: though I know they're massively injured. But they played really
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: competitively against OKC, which was one of my wins in
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: a revenge spot, and they wound up losing that game.
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: No shame in losing that, and then they got blown
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: out by Memphis. It was a really difficult spot to
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: come off that OKAC game.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: Ding ding ding. We're fading every team when they play
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City close. How about that?
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: Because as you remember, I did that with Indiana there
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: as well, and we got an easy win on Memphis there.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Then they had a back to back after that, and
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: they actually played surprisingly competitively against Minnesota on the back
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: to back, so this Indiana team, I mean, they're not
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: as bad.
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: As the record looks, that's for sure. We'll go with it.
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: We'll go with Indiana plus the points, and this one
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: the market seems to be agreeing with it.
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: You might have to take the six and a half.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think I would probably still do it,
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: maybe put a little bit less money on it. I
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: know I have it at seven here because I legitimately
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: did find it at FanDuel Massachusetts. But yeah, I mean
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: that's uh, that's how it is. Yeah, bowlls minus four
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: and a half. That's basically what it is. Everywhere Indiana
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: correlated with an over, possibly because they're gonna try to
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: push the pace. Here, the money is slightly coming in
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: on the over. It looks like even though the total
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: dropped a half point to two twenty seven and a half,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: that's not a very significant move. Tough to read the
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: total here, sixty percent of the tickets, sixty two percent
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over. But yeah, I think
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: generally the pacers they run, I mean that's what they do.
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: They play really fast, so.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: That's yeah, if it's a sped up game that does
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: favor Indiana, I don't think Indiana looks.
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: Too easy at all?
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: Like who wants to play Indiana when half their team
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: isn't even there. I don't think it. I don't think
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: it looks too easy whatsoever. Like to the public's mind,
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: no way. Uh, Like they basically they know that Haliburton's
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: not there. They know that Indiana doesn't have a win yet.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: Like the public is not going to touch Indiana in
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: this game. Plus the MAVs or the hype team with
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: the you know, the guys that they got over the
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: offseason and late late last season or whatever, especially the
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: Cooper Flag hype because he was the number one overall
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: draft pick.
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: I don't think the public wants anything to do with
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: Indiana in this game.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: If it looked too easy, I would not I would
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: definitely not be recommending it.
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: What's up, dirty sock, what's going on? Man?
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: And then my last play, I'm fading the market reading
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: this one. I don't fucking care. Ute plus three and
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: a half, this is you against Portland. I've had a
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: decent read on both of these teams so far. I
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: know the Blazers are up from a two point favorite
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: to a three and a half point favorite. Eighty two
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets around the Jazz. Do you really
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: buy that the Jazz are a public side.
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: In this game? Though? I don't.
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: I don't see why they would, especially after what the
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: Blazers just did in their last game, which was one
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: of my wins on the show, by the way, So
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about that in a second. Sixty nine percent
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on the Blazers. Hopefully the
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: markets starts shifting around, because I don't see it. I
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: don't understand why the public would want. I mean, yeah,
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: the Jazz are two and one, but is that really
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: gonna garner that much respect from the public. I don't
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: think so, especially when the Jazz wins are I mean,
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: a good win against the Clippers for sure, and then
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: an overtime win against Phoenix. Nobody's gonna give a shit
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: about that. But the Jazz have been competitive. I mean,
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: they've won both of their home games outright, and they
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: haven't lost by more than one point. So that's part
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: of this handicap here. Although yeah they're not. It's not
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: gonna stay that way. This Jazz team is not really
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: that good. But market In is a very good player, man.
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: I kind of want to get a market In jersey.
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: I like. I like the Jazz, like I like their logo.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: They're branding whatever, and maybe I'll try to find a
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: Jazz jersey. I'm surprised I don't have one right now.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: I used to like the Jazz when they had you know,
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: John Stockton and whatever. Although unfortunately Carl Malone of course
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: wound up being a pedophile, so that's great. But I
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: was kind of a fan of the Jazz during that,
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: uh that era there anyway, Yeah, the Jazz are coming
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: up of an overtime win, but they're staying at home.
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: They should have won that game way more easily against Phoenix.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, they had a huge lead repeatedly in that game.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: I was pissed that they almost blew it because of
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: course I had the Jazz in that game Portland, if
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: you remember, I've had Portland twice already. I had them
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: when they beat Golden State that was a win for us.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: I actually I'm two and one in their games. I'm
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: playing four Portland games in a row. I faded them
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: at LA at the Clippers. I know that one fell
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: short one point, kind of unfortunate there, and then I
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: was back on Portland the day after that against La
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: the Lakers. But now Portland's coming up blowing out the Lakers.
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: I know it was the Lakers without Lebron and without Luca.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: Portland was actually the favorite in that game on the road.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: But come on, man, you just beat.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: The Lakers in LA. That's a huge win.
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: And now you have to play a third straight road
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: game in four days in Elevation. I know they didn't
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: have to travel between the two LA games because they
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: were just in LA, but this is gonna be the
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: first game where they have to travel out of the
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: Pacific times on this year. They have to go to Elevation.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: It's still a third game in four days, and they
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: got Denver up next back at home, and then the
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: Lakers again and then Oklahoma City. So if they're gonna
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: overlook any of these teams, it's gonna be Utah. So
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: I think this is a sandwich spot, man. So I
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot at all for Portland here. And
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: as far as the injuries are concerned, Like, why is
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: Portland favored by that much?
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, Utah, Callinger and.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: Niang, we're already out, like they haven't played a game yet,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: so that doesn't change the line. Lillard has already been out,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: like he's not playing this season anyway, so that's not
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: factoring in as far as like what would move the
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: line between you know, yesterday and today or whatever. Portland
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: is still without Robert Williams, by the way, which I
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: think might be a concern because Utah has been a
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: really good rebounding team so far and Portland doesn't have
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: their big man Williams. That's gonna kind of be an
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: issue as well. No real other injuries though, except yet Nurkic. Yeah,
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, Utah is gonna want him. He factors into
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: their rebounding as well. He's game time decision. We'll see
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: if he plays. Even if he doesn't, I still think
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: it's worth taking the points with Utah and this one.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is pretty bad for Portland. Don't
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: understand the market reading that one. Will take Utah plus
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: the points in that one, so three NBA plays there
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: in that one.
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: Jazz feels solid. They're a solid home team because.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: The elevation is a bit of a fact or teams
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: that don't play in elevation having to go there. You know,
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: that's just it just adds to their home advantage. Slightly,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: whereas the Jazz obviously they're used to playing there because
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: that's where they play. The other teams come in and
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: they can't breathe. Seven is a lot of points for Yeah,
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Indiana team was good last year. Yeah, but Indiana doesn't
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: have Halliburton right now. They don't have Nemhart, they don't
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: have Top, and they don't have Mathering. So this is
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: not the This is not that team. And they're a
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: zero win team and the public is very fit coal
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: So no, like I disagree, there's no way that the
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: Pacers are a public side or that they look too
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: easy here. And the MAVs, I mean, the MAVs are
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: a good team, they just haven't become what I think
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: they could be this year yet, like growing pains are
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: only in the season, Utah's crowd gets into it. Yeah,
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: well they don't have much else. Whether they do have
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: now it's all the Mormons there. But yet, I mean,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: the Jazz have been their only professional sports team for
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: a long time. College football, we have two games that
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: are pretty ugly here. We're getting Conference USA bullshit here.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with these games. So
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: we do have Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee. First game
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: up at seven thirty pm Eastern on ESPN two. Jacksonville State.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: They lost rich Rod after last season. He went to
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: West Virginia, but some of his guys are still here.
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: And Jacksonville State's been fairly decent. I mean, they're above
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: five hundred. It looks like they're probably gonna become Bowl
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: eligible again here. They'll probably be able to get two
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: more wins somewhere, especially if they get a win here
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: against a very bad Middle Tennessee team.
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville State.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: They run the football, which does I mean, that's the
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: type of profile I like, even though I know I
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: faded James Madison last night and they run the football
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: But Jacksonville State, that's what they do.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: They're a very good rushing team, good enough that the
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: fact that they lost their quarterback didn't even really matter
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: because they just continue to run the football. They did
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: of a bye last week, so they haven't played since
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: two Wednesdays ago, the fifteenth, which was a home game
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: on a Wednesday. They had an isolated primetime game and
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: they beat Delaware, who is new to FBS but not
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: a bad team. And the fact that Jacksonville State went
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: into a bye on two straight wins Sam Houston. Not
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: really an important win there, I mean, not an impressive
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: win Sam Houston's not good, but beating Delaware a pretty
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: solid win, and then they went to a bye on
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: those on a two game win streak. I think that
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: buy is not helpful going into a buy and a
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: two game win streak like that of a nice primetime
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: win at home. Yeah, I think they're not going to
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: really be able to use that buye to their advantage.
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: And they have a pretty bad opponent here in Middle
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: Tennessee who might be pumped up to be hosted in
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: one of these primetime games, even though I know they've
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: done it before too. But the spot doesn't look great
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: for Jacksonville State, even though they are obviously the better
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: team here. Middle Tennessee is quite bad. Their only win
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: is against Nevada as a road underdog. I don't know
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: how they even won that game because Middle Tennessee lost
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: their only FCS game two.
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: This is a bad team, man.
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: Even though they brought back on their quarterback Vatiado, they
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: still haven't been good. For whatever reason is Middle Tennessee
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: team is not good. They also just lost to Delaware
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: on a Wednesday, but it was only by three on
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: the road, so Middle Tennessee actually covered that game and
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: they played competitively in that game. They actually have been
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: competitive in their last three games. Seems like maybe the
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Wednesday spotlight is helping them out a little bit, as
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: they only lost by two to Missouri State or the
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: Missouri State's fairly mediocre, and then three at Delaware, and
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: they had only lost by eight at Kennesaw the game
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: prior to that.
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: They're not coming out of a bye.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: But I think the buye is gonna be a negative
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: for Jacksonville State, So I don't think that's that bad
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: for Middle Tennessee. The spot would be better for Middle
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Tennessee if they did go into a buye on a
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: bad note, but I still think the spot is worse
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: for Jacksonville State Middle Tennessee.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: People are also gonna see.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: The Jacksonville State just beat Delaware by double digits, and
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: Delaware beat Middle Tennessee as well, So people are gonna
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: do that transitive thing and look and see that the
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: line is only four here on Jacksonville State, down from five.
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: I think the public will look at that and if
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: they want to get involved in football tonight I think
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: that's the way they're gonna go. They're gonna lay the
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: points with this four and three team that beat Delaware,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: who beat Middle Tennessee State and Middle Tennessee State with
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: one with only one win. I think the public, if
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: they want to play football tonight, they're probably gonna be
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: looking to lay the points of Jacksonville State. So I
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: would lean towards fading that I would take the points
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: from Middle Tennessee.
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: But I definitely don't love it.
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: And if Jacksonville State's winning, they can continue to run
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: the football, which is what they do best. So that's
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern as far as Middle Tennessee,
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe trying to backdoor this thing or get
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: back into the game. That's I think part of what
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: helped JMU last night is that they run the football
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: so well, and once they built a lead, they could
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: just lean into that even more. Fifty one percent of
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: the tickets on Jacksonville State, seventy three percent of the
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: cash on Middle Tennessee, and first, Middle Tennessee can't throw
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: the football as well as Texas State ken but of
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: course Jacksonville State's nowhere near as good as James Madison either,
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: but the money's coming into Middle Tennessee.
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that. The money's also coming into
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: the under.
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: Total went up to fifty four, but seventy one percent
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the over seventy two percent of the
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: cash on the under. So a fairly strong read on
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: the under in this one as well. I mean, you
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: do have a run based offense with Jacksonville State in
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: a pretty bad offense with Middle Tennessee, so that might
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: be why the under is getting the traction there. Man,
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: I'm not going to disagree with it, but I probably
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: prefer the Middle Tennessee side.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: And that one Texas State crossed seven to go to
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: seven and a half.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: No, no, why would you Why would you want to
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: lay seven and a half when you could have laid
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: like six and a half, Like you're just losing value
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: with that. And I thought Texas State was was a
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: great side last night, like the spot was.
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: Was really really good.
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: I thought for that one, like the game just completely unraveled,
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: like it was an eight point game in the third
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: quarter with and Texas State was they fell back down
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: fifteen and then they were about to cut it back
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: to eight again or seven perhaps, and they turned the
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: ball over again.
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: They had four turnovers I think in the game.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: But no, I mean, like if the line moves up
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: to seven and a half like that was because of
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: public action, Like that was one of the only that
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: was the only football or no, one of the only
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: two football games last night, and that was the one
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: that was getting more of the public eye because the
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: other game was so ugly. So I'm pretty sure that
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: most of that line move was actually mostly because the
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: public was on that side. Nope, I don't agree with that.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: I think I think that was a I think that
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: was a public move. The late move like that, usually
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: that's public betting on that one, which is why that's
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: why I said, wait and you can get like at
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: least seven on Texas State. I'm going, dude, I've been
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: doing this for like almost twenty years, and this is
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: what this is what I do. It was just it
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: was a bad result. But I don't agree with that
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: read on that late market move. There's no way that
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: I would jump in late and take the worst of
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: a number, Absolutely, not especially a key number like that.
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: FIU at Missouri State on CBS Sports is the last
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: game and at eight pm Eastern Missouri State. The's actually
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: been okay in their first FBS season here.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: They got Clark back.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: They're a quarterback who missed the Middle Tennessee game, which
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: was part of the reason why they why they weren't
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: that good against Middle Tennessee. But maybe they overlooked them too.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: They played last Wednesday. They're coming off an overtime win
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: at New Mexico State. Now they're back home and this
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: is gonna be Missouri State's first isolated primetime home game
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: like this man, so they might get at et pumped
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: for this because they haven't done this before, and they're
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: playing a pretty weak FIU team. Missouri State not a
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: great team by any means. They could throw the football
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: a little bit, they don't run the ball as well.
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: They play okay, they play okay defense. They've been okay
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: at playing the teams in their own conference here.
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: Not a whole lot else to say about them.
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: FIU is definitely the lesser of the two TEAMSU. They
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: actually can run the football better this year. Last year
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: they were more of a passing offense with Jenkins. He
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that good, but they've been leaning into running
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: the football more, which does help as an underdog, but
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: FIU has been fairly bad.
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: They do have an extra day off though.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: In their last game they got pretty much blown out
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: by Kennisaw, but I think a lot of turnovers factored
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: into that if I remember correctly.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: Oh no, I'm wrong about that.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: But FYU did outgain Kennasaw in this game, so I
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: don't know how they lost the game by almost twenty points.
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: I thought it was turnovers because I remember that they
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: outgained them. But yeah, they're coming off kind of a
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: misleading loss, so there is so if you like Missouri
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: State a little bit maybe of an issue there because
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: FYU does have one extra day of rest and they're
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: coming off a misleading loss and maybe a loss they're
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be pissed about, so kind of some conflicting factors here.
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: The money is, say, Missouri State, they're kind of just
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: sitting at a three and a half number here fifty
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash and then fifty six percent
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Florida International. I guess I'll slightly
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: lean with the money to Missouri State, just being really
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: pumped about this game, because I just don't think they're
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook FU. But FU, I think it's being a
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: little bit maybe overlooked. They they're not good, but after
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: what they did last week in another primetime game, I
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: think they might be just slightly overlooked. Money's also coming
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: in in the under in this one. It looks like
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent of tickets on the over, fifty five
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over. Excuse me, fifty
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: and a half is the number on the total there
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: not too uh. These both these offenses are not very prolific,
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: and FU runs the football more so. I think that's
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: also part of the reason for that. Maybe some more
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: potential under action in that game.
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess my favorite lean out of those
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: two games is Middle Tennessee plus the points. It's the
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: ugliest possible way to go in either of those games.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: But I certainly don't love it. I do not, all right,
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: And then we do have Major League Baseball the World Series.
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Normally I would say the public cannot influence the line
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: like that, But in that game last night, yes, it was.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: It was like the only football game that was getting
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: action last night.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: And that's why because it was a Wednesday night and
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: the public doesn't really pay that much attention to hockey.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: So they're gonna be betting the World Series and they're
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: gonna be betting football and maybe a little bit of NBA.
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: But there wasn't that much NBA last night, So yeah,
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: I think it was probably because of public. It was
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: like eighty percent of the tickets on James Madison in
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: that game, and it seemed like the easiest like public
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: game to play, especially the books. The fact that the
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: books did not put the number out at seven, they
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: put it out at six and a half. That was
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: like the books asking you to lay the points with
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: James Madison in that one. It looked way too easy
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: to lay them under a touchdown. And then the books
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: the reason why they moved the line is because they're
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: trying to split the action, so they just got too
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: much action on James Madison. I think a lot of
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: it was public and they had to shift it a
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: little bit. So yeah, I think that's why they moved
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: the line. A lot of college only two games, Major
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: League Baseball, World Series. You know what I'm gonna say. Yeah,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: I did not agree with that, and that was really close.
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: It was two to one.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: Otani does not blow he outpitched Shane Bieber in the game.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: In my opinion, Otani lasted longer, he had fewer walks
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: in the game, he got unlucky, he gave up like
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: a Grand Slam or something. Then it was like if
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: they left him in like one bat or too long basically,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: and it was after, you know, just a long game.
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: Prior to that, Bieber just got away with it.
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: Bieber had like three walks and three strikeouts. He was
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: not good in the game, and he got away with it. Otani,
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: I think, had like six strikeouts and six innings and
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: only had one walk. If I'm not mistaken, Otani was
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: the better of the two pitchers. I'm sorry, Uh just
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: they left him in too long. They left him into
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: the seventh inning or whatever, and he gave up a
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: home run, and like all the runs came on that
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: one home run pretty much other than the first two.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: If that didn't happen, it was two to one and
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers probably would have won the game. Besides that,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: But no, I think Otani outpitched. I don't care about
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: the the runs.
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: That he gave up. Oh, he outpitched Bieber.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: Like if you look at the like the stats, just
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: all the other stats.
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: Tonight we have a trey Is Savage against Blake Snell.
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: In this one.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Dodgers sixty four percent took its ninety one percent of
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: the cash on the dodge. I'm gonna agree with it again.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers are gonna win this game. I'm
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: actually surprised that Toronto showed up with as much fight
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: as they did last night, although again I think Bieber
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: somewhat escaped. He could have allowed a lot more damage
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: with the amount of walks that he had and he
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: didn't last that long. Otani pitched deeper into the game
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: and then again he just gave up that late home
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: run and that's that was the deciding factor in the
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: game that won at bat pretty much, so kind of
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: a misleading result there. I think the Dodgers are gonna
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: win this game. I still think they're gonna win the series.
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: As well. As far as the total here, it's up
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: to eight.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: We've had a high total in these games because the
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: bullpens aren't that good. The starting pitching has been a
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: little bit shaky, and including Snell, but I think he's
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: gonna bounce back, and both teams are good offensively. Seventy
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets. Only sixty percent of the
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: cash on the over, though, so the money is kind
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: of saying under, even though a lot of these games
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: have gone over. I mean, the argument for that, I
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: would say, is mostly the starting pitching matchup, though, is
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: where the under is mostly gonna happen here. So if
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: you like the under, probably you'd have to do it
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings, and I think you could
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: probably at least get an under four on that if
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: you do it. Dodgers down for minus one ninety five
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: to minus one ninety three ound the money line. But
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: like I said, sixty four percent of tickets ninety one
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, so the money is
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: strongly indicating on the Dodgers. Again, I agree with it.
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: Neither team used any of their high leverage relief arms
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: because the game was a little bit out of reach.
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: Both teams used three relief pitchers yesterday. They both use
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: a similar amount of They use their bullpens for a
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: similar amount of pitches, I should say, so there's not
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: really a huge advantage or disadvantage one way or the
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: other one of the bullpens coming into this game.
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: Trey is savage.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: It's pitching for Toronto, and there is gonna be an
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: experience factor here. Man, you savage, and this is his
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: first time pitching on the road in a World Series. Man,
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: he was not good on the road this year. He
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: had a five r on the road this year. He's
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: still young, man. And since his really nice start against
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: the Yankees in the playoffs, he's been awful in the playoffs.
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: Since then, He's he hasn't made it through. He hasn't
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: made it past four innings in two of the three games,
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: including one against the Dodgers. He's walked nine guys in
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: thirteen to two thirds innings and allowed nine earned runs
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: as well. On top of that, So he has not
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: been good in the last three starts that he's made
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. He does have still a decent strikeout
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: rate with sixteen strikeouts.
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: But nine walks.
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's been all over the place. He's been wild,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: he's been allowing too many runs. I just don't think
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: I could trust him. Man, four point twenty six ERA
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: overall in the playoffs, including that good start against the Yankees.
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: Twenty seven to ten strikeout walk ratio that's also not
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: very good. Again, it's too many walks, hasn't been good
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: on the road, and this is gonna be his first
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: time pitching on the roads et scepteen Chember twenty first
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: when he wasn't good at Kansas City, and Kansas City
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: is a bad offense, and that was a pitcher friendly park,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: so that's not a good sign. And he also walked
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: five guys in nine innings in his two road starts
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: as well, and gave up five earned runs in those
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: two starts along with eleven strikeouts, so he's still striking
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: guys out. But a lot of this does not inspire
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: confidence in me, in you Savage in this one. His
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: numbers are okay against the Dodgers, but now the Dodgers
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: have seen him. Was that was the first time the
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: Dodgers had ever seen him, And when you get a
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: picture the first time seeing him, the pitcher usually has
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: the edge.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: And he wasn't great.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: He went four innings, allowed three walks, four hits, somehow
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: held them to only two in runs, and did have
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: five strikeouts, but he could have allowed more damage there
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: because of the amount of base runners he allowed. He
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: allowed almost two base runners an inning in that one.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: That can't you can't keep doing that, so again, the
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: Dodgers didn't have great numbers against him in fifteen at
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: bats to sixty seven average, six fifty six ops. But
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think, Yeah, I don't think he's gonna do
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: as well here Man again worse on the road, hasn't
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: pitched it on the road for a long time. The
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: Dodgers have now seen him once, so that should give
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers hitting it adg year still had a five
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: to three strike a walk ratio on that one. I
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: don't trust him in this game. I'm sorry. I trust
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: Snell a lot more. Snell is the way more experienced pitcher. Yeah,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: and Snell had a one point one to seventy ra
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: at home this year. I know he wasn't good in
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: his first game in this series. He went five innings,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: He gave up five and runs on eight hits, four strikeouts,
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: three walks. He was pitching fairly well in that game
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: and it completely unraveled in either the fifth of the
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: sixth inning. So kind of like Otani last night, it
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: was just everything just kind of went to hell in
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: that game. Yeah, he'd only given up two runs into
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: the sixth inning and they actually took him out. Snell
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: loaded the bases and they took him out, and the
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: bullpen actually caused all of the runs to come home.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: So even though the last three got charged to Snell
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: because he put them on, as possible that he would
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: have been able to battle out of that anything better
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: than the bullpen did, so I think they actually may
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: have taken him out too early. Yes, Snell throw over
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: one hundred pitches in the last two games.
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: That's a little bit of a concern, but he's dude,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: He's a really good pitcher and he's way more experienced.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: So I think he's gonna bounce back. That was his
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: only bad outing in the playoffs.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: So far.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: He has a two point four to two ERA in
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, thirty two to eight strike at walk ratio,
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: only fourteen hits the lout in twenty six innings.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: His numbers are way better than you savages in the playoffs.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: He's he's got the home road split's going for him,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: and his numbers against Toronto in one hundred career at
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: bats are still fine. And it's way bigger of a
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: sample size to look at here. Two fifty batting average,
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: six 't eighty two ops, twenty eight to fourteen strike
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: a walk, ratio is not good. That's too many walks.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: But Snell, I mean that's kind of what he's known for.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: He's known for a little bit of wildness. Other than that,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: I think he absolutely bounces back here. And the other
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: thing I forgot to mention last night because George Springer
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: had the best numbers against Otani.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: Springer is out.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: He's hurt, so I don't think he's playing, uh so
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: one of Toronto, another one in Toronto's best hitters.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: Well, Toronto did get Bischett back.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: By the way, Bishett has been playing since I think
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: maybe towards the end.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: Of last series. But Springer is probably still out. Man.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know if he's coming back in this years.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: And he's one of the guys that does the most
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: damage in this Toronto lineup against Snell.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: So Springer is gonna be out. That's not good either.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: I believe Snell is a lefty right so you want
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: these right handed hitters in your lineup. That's a problem
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: for Toronto as well. It's gonna catch up to them.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Like, I know you're Jeffrey, I know you're biased,
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: and I don't like the Dodgers either, but I'm sorry like,
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers have a huge.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: Advantage in this game. Once again. I think that these
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: losses that they're having are outliers.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win the game, and I think
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: it might not even really be that close this time.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: I would not fade Snell in this one. I'm I'm
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: I'm just telling you. I'm warning against it, even though
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: I know I warned against it last night too.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: But I'm still gonna do it.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: Smolt's saying greatest ever, I don't know. He's certainly not
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: the greatest ever commentator. Old Tony thought he could fool
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: of Lad Ladd's one of their best hitters. Man, it
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: was just that one at bat decided the entire game
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: Like that.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: That makes that.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: Result last night an outlier, Like if that hadn't happened,
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: it could have been a two to one game going
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: into the late innings and the Dodgers probably would have
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: tied it and then won the game. Snow relies on
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: Umpire's a good game to extend the series. The series
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: is going to be extended anyway. It's a two to
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: two series, So what are you talking about? The series
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: is going to be extended regard like we're guaranteed to
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: go another game of the series regardless.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: And I think if you if you want the series
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: to be.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: Extended, I think you want to, uh, you want the
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: home team to win this one.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: If you want the series to go seven, you want
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: the home team to win this And and by the way,
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: only seven of the last twenty six World series have
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: gone seven games, so it's not likely that the series
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: does go seven games, although it's obviously more likely.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: That this one does.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: Now, I honestly thought the Dodgers were gonna win the
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: series in a sweep or for to one, which is
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: not gonna happen now.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean the Dodgers.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: You know, the Dodgers are also gonna be in a
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: zigzag spot here because of the way they lost yesterday.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: They're gonna show with a lot more fight this time.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get a lot more offense out
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: of them this time. So if you want to go
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: Dodger over their team total, I think that's a fine
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: way to go as well in this game. Other than
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: that would probably lay the Dodgers run line in this one.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: If I was actually gonna play it, I think they win.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: I think they actually win this game more easily this time.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean, I forget what.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: Well.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers also know this is their last home game
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: of the series, too, so they really gotta show up
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: with effort in this one because if they lose this game,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: they're actually gonna lose the series if they. I think
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: whoever wins this game is gonna win the series.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: So this is a huge.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: Game, and the Dodgers are the better team, so that's
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: the way I'm gonna lean and they're at home in
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: this one. And again I disagree with you on this
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup completely. I think Snell is in a complete
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: bounce back situation. You Savage has been the way worse
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: pitcher in the playoffs out of the two.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: He's inexperienced, He's been seen now once.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: By the Dodgers, which should help them, and Snell has
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: the home road splits majorly in his favor. And you
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: know what, Hold on a second, I'm gonna add a
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: play on this, But I hold on, I want to
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: just I gotta figure.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: Out how I want to play this. Let me say.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: I might go first five innings on this. Let me see,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do something with this game. I'm gonna add
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: a play on the fly.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: Here first five.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: What do we have to lay though on the Dodgers
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: for the first five Let me see, I'm looking at
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: the run line here. You gotta lay minus one, no,
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty five? I see it, No, I see yeah,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty five at ESPN bet on the half
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: run on the run line, man, I don't want to
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: lay that much on a half run run line in
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: the first five innings though, Man, run line full game?
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: What's it at? Let me see? You can lay the
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: minus one run line full game at plus one oh
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: two and the Dodgers, I know they haven't covered that
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: in either home game so far in the series. Hmm.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: It's tempting. It's tempting to do it, man. Yeah, I'm
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: gonna do it.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: Fuck it, We're gonna go run line full game, even
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: though I know they're a home team.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: They might not bat in the ninth inning. Thank you, sir, Chipotle.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: I haven't been a Chipotle in a long time. Just
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: make sure that you get chipotele way.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: So you don't destroy your underwear. But yeah, I'm gonna
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: do it.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Dodgers on the run line here, that's
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: what I'm gonna do at plus one oh two.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: I think this is a mismatch. I'm sorry. I think
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers win this game.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: I think they win it by multiple runs in this one,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go with it, and that's gonna be
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: the way that I do it. That's gonna be the
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: final play of the day. Chipotle, they're open for Yeah,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: it is lunch time now, right, I gotta get I
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: gotta eat some lunch soon. And unfortunately I have to
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: go into bossing and because I want to see a
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: jazz show tonight, so I gotta go into the fucking
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: city again, which I don't like. That's gonna do it
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: once again in the place today. NBA bowls minus four
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: and a half, which is probably my favorite of them,
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: pacers plus seven, although I know the seven isn't predominantly
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: out there at all, so six and a half I
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: would probably still do it or six, but maybe for
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: less money at that number. And you top plus three
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: and a half and then Dodgers run line minus one
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: and a half. That's gonna do it. Learn its town
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: on on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram. I apologize
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: for being a stubborn asshole, because dude, you're you're pushing
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: me over the edge. Man, You're you're making me put
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: my money where my mouth is. And the last time
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: I did that, it worked out. I gave out the
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: Dodgers in Game two or whatever and that was a winner.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: We'll do it again here. My baseball playoffs are six
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: one and one, so on my actual plays. So that's
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: what I'm going with in this one. Yeah, learn it
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: town on Instagram, you can check it out again. I
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: apologize for me in a dick, which is what I
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: always am. I just have super strong opinions. I get crazy.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: People hate me in my group chat on Twitter.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: It is what it is. Yeah, like and subscribe to
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: the channel here. Hopefully I'm not pushing people away.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: You guys keep coming back though, so I appreciate it, man,
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: I do so thank you.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: Uh you put up with my assholeishness. Yeah. Also, I'm
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: on the audio platforms.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: Give me a good review over there on Spotify, Apple
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: and Yeah, listening over there helps me as well.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: We got covered in.
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: You because my YU channel on YouTube and page round
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: dot com, slash learn to toe and you can get
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: bonus Yuke content, a Yuke feed and.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: Requests. That's gonna do it for now. Peace out for now, guys.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: H