Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Week 6 London Showdown | Jaguars @ Bears | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:17Speaker 1: What is going on ship at Nation YouTube station. We
- 0:20Speaker 1: are back with another edition of the NFL Showdown slate.
- 0:24Speaker 1: We are going solo tonight. My god Neids had a
- 0:27Speaker 1: family emergency, So thoughts and prayers to my boy Naids
- 0:30Speaker 1: who couldn't make it with us tonight. But we're gonna
- 0:32Speaker 1: talk the London game. It's nine thirty am Eastern Standard
- 0:36Speaker 1: Time on Sunday morning. This is a recorded show, So
- 0:39Speaker 1: make sure you're hitting that like, make sure you're hitting
- 0:41Speaker 1: that subscribe button. We're gonna talk captains, we're gonna talk flex,
- 0:45Speaker 1: we're gonna talk game theory. We're gonna try to get
- 0:46Speaker 1: in and out of here in under fifteen minutes. But
- 0:49Speaker 1: the biggest thing, make sure you hit that like, make
- 0:51Speaker 1: sure you hit that subscribe. Make sure you're putting your
- 0:53Speaker 1: favorite captain there in the chap below. Love coming back
- 0:56Speaker 1: and look at that and saying, hey, if we're aligned,
- 0:58Speaker 1: if we're different, let me know what your thoughts are.
- 1:00Speaker 1: There's one hundred k up top. I think the fifteen dollars,
- 1:03Speaker 1: it's one hundred k up top for this London Showdown game.
- 1:06Speaker 1: We saw one last week. Pretty good game, but let's
- 1:09Speaker 1: get right into it. We got the Chicago Bears taking
- 1:11Speaker 1: on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Should be a pretty good game.
- 1:14Speaker 1: We got a tight spread, we got some notable injuries
- 1:17Speaker 1: to talk about. Let's talk about those injuries because they're
- 1:18Speaker 1: pretty significant in my opinion. You got two starting secondary guys,
- 1:23Speaker 1: Jakwan Brisker, who has already been confirmed out for the Bears,
- 1:27Speaker 1: and Tyreek Stevenson, their corner is listed as doubtful. This
- 1:31Speaker 1: is a recorded show, it's not quite Sunday more than
- 1:33Speaker 1: yet for the enactors. But hey, that's something that I
- 1:36Speaker 1: think we need to take a look at, especially when
- 1:38Speaker 1: we talk about this passing attack of the Jaguars. It's
- 1:41Speaker 1: going to get back Evan Ingram. He was listed as questionable,
- 1:44Speaker 1: so we need to see what he's gonna do. We'll
- 1:46Speaker 1: talk about that then. On the other side, Tyson Campbell
- 1:49Speaker 1: remains out their lockdown corner for the Jaguars. So we
- 1:53Speaker 1: got a lot of corners, a lot of safeties out today.
- 1:55Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be an air and out game,
- 1:58Speaker 1: if you will, And just talking a little bit of
- 2:00Speaker 1: about the game itself, I think the Jaguars coming into
- 2:02Speaker 1: this contest one and four got the first win of
- 2:04Speaker 1: the week last season. I think they go over to London.
- 2:07Speaker 1: I think they get another W today. I think they
- 2:10Speaker 1: beat this Bears team. I think they come back over
- 2:13Speaker 1: to the States two and four. I think Trevor Lawrence
- 2:16Speaker 1: hopefully he gets seven ingram back. I think that passing
- 2:18Speaker 1: attack is going to be a little bit too much
- 2:20Speaker 1: for the Bears that are down. Two guys have in essence,
- 2:24Speaker 1: played you know, one hundred percent of the snaps, both
- 2:26Speaker 1: of them for the entire season. I think that's going
- 2:28Speaker 1: to be two big things. But let's talk about the
- 2:30Speaker 1: captains and all the way up top, We've got DJ
- 2:33Speaker 1: Moore who had a really good game last week. Dj
- 2:35Speaker 1: Moore the highest priced captain, followed by another receiver Brian
- 2:39Speaker 1: Thomas Junior, who had a great game last week, DeAndre
- 2:42Speaker 1: Swift who's been very well. And then then you got
- 2:44Speaker 1: the two quarterbacks fourth and fifth. You know, generally speaking,
- 2:48Speaker 1: they're going to be higher than thirteen thirteen two and
- 2:50Speaker 1: twelve nine in the captain slot. So we'll talk a
- 2:53Speaker 1: little bit about them, and then we'll talk about some
- 2:54Speaker 1: value plays as well. But for me, my favorite captain
- 2:57Speaker 1: in this game is going to be DeAndre Swift. I
- 2:59Speaker 1: talked about it a little bit ago. DeAndre Swift coming
- 3:02Speaker 1: off back to back really good games, had a really
- 3:05Speaker 1: good game last week against the Carolina Panthers, And I
- 3:09Speaker 1: think this Jaguars defense has been getting gashed all season long.
- 3:14Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift twenty one carries and two targets to the air,
- 3:19Speaker 1: twenty three opportunities, And honestly, I watched, you know, I
- 3:21Speaker 1: watched that whole game. Last week. He got you know,
- 3:24Speaker 1: they siphoned two touchdowns from him at the goal line,
- 3:27Speaker 1: put up twenty Draft Kings points last week, twenty seven
- 3:30Speaker 1: the week before that, if I'm not mistaken, and actually
- 3:33Speaker 1: thirty twenty nine and a half, almost thirty Draft Kings points.
- 3:36Speaker 1: So back to back, he's thirteen to eight in the
- 3:38Speaker 1: captain spot. You know, they've kind of weeded out Khalil
- 3:42Speaker 1: Herbert and then Rosehawn Johnson kind of operates as the
- 3:46Speaker 1: running back too. Swift getting about sixty five percent of
- 3:49Speaker 1: the carries. Hopefully, if it's a close game they get
- 3:52Speaker 1: him closer to seventy seventy five. Hey, the first couple
- 3:54Speaker 1: of weeks, DeAndre Swift, everybody was wondering why they paid
- 3:57Speaker 1: him all that money. Gave him all those years. Now
- 3:59Speaker 1: we see why they're featured a lot more. Twenty three
- 4:01Speaker 1: opportunities last week and then twenty three the week before that,
- 4:06Speaker 1: So twenty three in the back to back weeks. Really
- 4:08Speaker 1: like that. Next up for me, I'm actually gonna go
- 4:11Speaker 1: to Christian Kirk. I actually like Christian Kirk a little
- 4:13Speaker 1: bit better than Brian Thomas Junior. If you look at
- 4:16Speaker 1: the if you look at the snap percentage, you know,
- 4:18Speaker 1: amongst the running backs and the wide receivers for the
- 4:21Speaker 1: Jaguars last week it was helter skelter. I mean they
- 4:24Speaker 1: it was up and down, left and right. I don't
- 4:26Speaker 1: know if Doug Peterson knew what he was doing, but
- 4:28Speaker 1: to me, Christian Kirk is their best route runner. Brian
- 4:32Speaker 1: Thomas a really good receiver a Christian Kirk have been
- 4:34Speaker 1: doing a little bit longer. I actually like Christian Kirk.
- 4:36Speaker 1: I like that savings at twelve six in the captain
- 4:38Speaker 1: slot a little bit better than Brian Thomas Junior, especially
- 4:43Speaker 1: on DraftKings right where we want to rack up those pprs.
- 4:46Speaker 1: I think Christian Kirk can kind of be Garrett Wilson
- 4:50Speaker 1: esk if you will, like we saw last week, I
- 4:52Speaker 1: don't think I'll get up to twenty two targets. That
- 4:54Speaker 1: was kind of absurd, but I think he's somewhere right
- 4:57Speaker 1: around there to again twelve to fifteen targets in this game.
- 5:00Speaker 1: It really passes against this team because I think passing
- 5:03Speaker 1: is going to be the way to beat this team
- 5:05Speaker 1: for the Jaguars. So give me Christian Kirk a little
- 5:08Speaker 1: bit of head, a little bit ahead of Brian Thomas
- 5:11Speaker 1: Junior in the in the captain spot. Third for me
- 5:14Speaker 1: would be Dj Moore. I really like Dj Moore. He's
- 5:17Speaker 1: the best of the bunch in my opinion, of this
- 5:20Speaker 1: trio of receivers that the Bears have that Cayleb Williams
- 5:23Speaker 1: has to choose from in this revenge spot. Last week,
- 5:26Speaker 1: all he did was put up a thirty burger against
- 5:28Speaker 1: the Panthers. He's seen eight target eight plus targets in
- 5:32Speaker 1: four of the five games. Lowest target total of the
- 5:35Speaker 1: season was six, So I think they're going to feed
- 5:38Speaker 1: him once again. Tyson Campbell is out. I think he's
- 5:41Speaker 1: their best receiver. DJ Moore would be my favorite captain
- 5:44Speaker 1: of that receiver trio. And then then lastly, I do
- 5:47Speaker 1: want to touch on Rome Adunza I think Rome Adonsay
- 5:50Speaker 1: is a sneaky captain play. Obviously, he's the rookie. The
- 5:53Speaker 1: one game that we saw his ceiling, he had up
- 5:55Speaker 1: to twenty six points and at ten eight. I think
- 5:57Speaker 1: that's going to be perfectly fine in the captain's if
- 6:00Speaker 1: you need him. He's playing a lot of snaps. All
- 6:02Speaker 1: three of these guys, him, Alan and Moore playing about
- 6:05Speaker 1: eighty percent of the snap, So he's gonna be out there.
- 6:08Speaker 1: They for you know, Caleb Williams, their rookies, they talked
- 6:11Speaker 1: about it. You know, they like to get him the ball.
- 6:12Speaker 1: I'd like roam with Duneesay a little bit as well.
- 6:14Speaker 1: And then the quarterbacks. I know we didn't touch on
- 6:16Speaker 1: either one of those. You guys know me. I do
- 6:18Speaker 1: not think Caleb Williams is long term a good NFL
- 6:22Speaker 1: quarterback DFS purposes. I think he can run it more
- 6:25Speaker 1: than he has than he's shown. I think he's got
- 6:28Speaker 1: a little bit more ability. He did rush for thirty
- 6:30Speaker 1: four yards last week. He has done forty four in
- 6:32Speaker 1: another game. I think he can do that. I would
- 6:34Speaker 1: make him very viable. He's gonna have to get passing touchdowns.
- 6:38Speaker 1: And for me, you know, Tambo talked about it, you know,
- 6:41Speaker 1: two or three weeks ago, and I feel like we
- 6:42Speaker 1: talked about it on all these shows right when he
- 6:45Speaker 1: he's a guy that can spread it around, and he
- 6:47Speaker 1: got three really good receivers, has a tight end, has
- 6:49Speaker 1: DeAndre swid that can take it to the house if
- 6:52Speaker 1: he catches the screen. So if you if you think
- 6:53Speaker 1: Kayla Williams is going to do that, if he's gonna
- 6:55Speaker 1: spread it around, be my guest. I'm just not going
- 6:58Speaker 1: to go there. I don't think he's gonna make it
- 7:00Speaker 1: long term in the National Football League. And then Trevor Lawrence,
- 7:03Speaker 1: same thing on the other side. Just not very good.
- 7:06Speaker 1: I meanunless there's just no other way around it. Last
- 7:08Speaker 1: week was an up and down game. He had a
- 7:10Speaker 1: what an eighty eight eighty nine ninety yard touchdown pass
- 7:13Speaker 1: to Brian Thomas Junior kind of elevated those numbers and
- 7:16Speaker 1: he still only got twenty five Draft Kings points. I
- 7:19Speaker 1: am out on Trevor Lawrence. Not a fan of either
- 7:22Speaker 1: quarterback in this matchup. Once again, just to give you summary,
- 7:26Speaker 1: favorite captain for me is going to be DeAndre Swift,
- 7:30Speaker 1: followed by Christian Kirk, DJ Moore and then lastly, my
- 7:36Speaker 1: sneaky one, if you will, would be Roma Doonseay. I'm
- 7:39Speaker 1: not going to put any of these backs from Jacksonville
- 7:42Speaker 1: in the captain spot once again. Like I said, they
- 7:44Speaker 1: have three running backs, none of them played more than
- 7:46Speaker 1: forty percent last week of the snaps. I'm just not
- 7:49Speaker 1: going there. Make sure you're putting your favorite captain into
- 7:52Speaker 1: the chap below. I'd love to come back interact with
- 7:54Speaker 1: you on here. Make sure you're hitting that like, make
- 7:56Speaker 1: sure you're hitting that subscribe button. We certainly appreciate all
- 7:59Speaker 1: the engagement. Get over there. Let's move over to the
- 8:02Speaker 1: flex plays and obviously, if you got the guys and captain,
- 8:05Speaker 1: you're always gonna like them in the flex I'm gonna
- 8:06Speaker 1: start like Nad's and I always do. At kickers in defense.
- 8:09Speaker 1: We've seen it time and time again. Those kickers we'sland
- 8:12Speaker 1: their way into into the optimal lineup. We saw it
- 8:17Speaker 1: on Thursday night with San Francisco with right getting into
- 8:21Speaker 1: the optum. Well, let's talk about these two kickers as well.
- 8:24Speaker 1: Cairo Santos five thousand, Cam Little, who hit the game
- 8:29Speaker 1: winner last week for Jacksonville would be forty one hundred
- 8:33Speaker 1: and Hey, listen, I think these offenses. I think this
- 8:35Speaker 1: game goes over the post post to total. I think
- 8:38Speaker 1: the offenses moved the ball up and down the field
- 8:40Speaker 1: on these defenses, and then I think, you know they're
- 8:43Speaker 1: going to stall out like they have time and time again.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Cairo Santos the thing about him, you know, he does
- 8:50Speaker 1: have that ability to kick it. You know, fifty plus yards,
- 8:53Speaker 1: got three fifty plus yard field goals on this season.
- 8:55Speaker 1: So I would side with Cairo Santos a little bit
- 8:58Speaker 1: more than I would Cam Little, but hey, I think
- 9:00Speaker 1: both of them are certainly in play today. As for
- 9:04Speaker 1: the defenses, you know, defenses are tough. It's tough too
- 9:07Speaker 1: in a game that I think there's gonna be lots
- 9:09Speaker 1: of scoring. Does that mean the defenses can be optimal? No,
- 9:12Speaker 1: they can, but I don't think I'm going there. As
- 9:14Speaker 1: I lose to earlier. Bears are down a lot of
- 9:16Speaker 1: guys in the secondary. I think for the Jaguars in
- 9:19Speaker 1: order to win this game, are going to have to
- 9:21Speaker 1: pass the ball. That would lead to more sack opportunities interceptions.
- 9:25Speaker 1: I just don't think they have the guys on the
- 9:27Speaker 1: back end this week to get done. So no, bears
- 9:29Speaker 1: for me, especially in the captain just depending on the team.
- 9:33Speaker 1: I haven't built teams yet. I don't think I'll get
- 9:35Speaker 1: to them in the flex. I would like to get
- 9:36Speaker 1: to other players, especially if Ingram doesn't make it. And
- 9:40Speaker 1: the same thing with the Jags. This defense has just
- 9:43Speaker 1: been getting gashed. You know, gave up over three hundred
- 9:46Speaker 1: and fifty yards last week to Joe Flacco. I know
- 9:49Speaker 1: a couple of those were bombs to Alec Pierce, but
- 9:52Speaker 1: no thank you on this Jaguars defense, especially missing who
- 9:55Speaker 1: I consider to be their best defensive player in Tyson Campbell.
- 10:00Speaker 1: Some of the guys that I didn't touch on in
- 10:02Speaker 1: the captain spot that I want to touch on here,
- 10:05Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior. Certainly he's in play. If you think
- 10:08Speaker 1: the Jaguars are gonna win and you just happen to
- 10:11Speaker 1: have Lawrence in the captain spot, He's gonna need some
- 10:13Speaker 1: pass catchers to go with him, So he's certainly fine
- 10:16Speaker 1: if you want to go there. Keenan Allen, you know,
- 10:18Speaker 1: not the same Keenan of old, right, I mean, obviously
- 10:20Speaker 1: getting a little bit older, different role than we've seen
- 10:23Speaker 1: in the San Diego days. He's not getting Pepper with
- 10:26Speaker 1: the eleven, twelve, thirteen targets that he's accustomed to. He's
- 10:31Speaker 1: just a little bit too pricey in my opinion to
- 10:33Speaker 1: get there. You know, once again, if you're building a
- 10:36Speaker 1: team and you think that they're going to have to
- 10:37Speaker 1: feed him the ball, then yeah, all means go ahead.
- 10:40Speaker 1: Seventy six hundred in the flex spot. I won't be
- 10:42Speaker 1: going there. No running backs for me, No running backs
- 10:45Speaker 1: for me on the Jaguar side, No thank you. There
- 10:48Speaker 1: no tight end cole comet Evan Ingram, even if he
- 10:54Speaker 1: is back at fifty eight hundred, I want to be
- 10:57Speaker 1: more of a wait and see approach on that, just
- 10:59Speaker 1: because hamstrings are tricky. He's missed what three or four games.
- 11:03Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go there. The one tight end that
- 11:04Speaker 1: I do have a little bit of interest in, especially
- 11:07Speaker 1: this would only be if if if Ingram did sit,
- 11:09Speaker 1: would be Brenton Strange thirty two hundred dollars. I think
- 11:12Speaker 1: that's a very fair price. Got in the box the
- 11:15Speaker 1: last two of the last three weeks. You know, obviously
- 11:18Speaker 1: we want his target target share to be higher, but hey,
- 11:21Speaker 1: he's gotten into the box to the last three weeks
- 11:22Speaker 1: at thirty two hundred dollars. I'll take my chances on that.
- 11:27Speaker 1: One of my favorite, one of my favorite flex plays.
- 11:30Speaker 1: If if what's his name, I've drawn a blank on
- 11:36Speaker 1: his name. If the Ingram, if Ingram sits, If Ingram sits,
- 11:39Speaker 1: definitely have a lot of love for Brenton Strange. Outside
- 11:43Speaker 1: of that, there's not much value in my opinion. I mean,
- 11:46Speaker 1: these bears, uh, those three receivers. Like I said, I
- 11:48Speaker 1: played eighty plus percent of the staffs. There's not a
- 11:50Speaker 1: lot around, not a lot to go around to the
- 11:53Speaker 1: other receivers. No Gerald ever for me, No DeAndre Carter,
- 11:57Speaker 1: no thank you. There. It's gonna be. You know it's
- 11:59Speaker 1: gonna be. You know you're gonna have to have what
- 12:00Speaker 1: we talked about on Thursday Night Show. You know, mid
- 12:03Speaker 1: range Captain, Uh, mid Range Captain JAM. All the studs
- 12:06Speaker 1: in JAM, the guys in that we think are gonna
- 12:08Speaker 1: get the most opportunities. Certainly don't hate that. The good
- 12:11Speaker 1: thing about this game, in my opinion, is on the
- 12:13Speaker 1: receiver side, we know where the ball is gonna go to.
- 12:15Speaker 1: They have about three players on both sides where Trevor
- 12:18Speaker 1: Lawns and Caleb Williams are gonna throw it, you know,
- 12:20Speaker 1: build the great, build the game script, how you think
- 12:23Speaker 1: it's gonna go. What team's gonna get down in there?
- 12:25Speaker 1: Stall out, kick those field goals. Find that kicker for me.
- 12:28Speaker 1: But I certainly, uh, you know, certainly love this passing
- 12:31Speaker 1: attack for the Jaguars. That's gonna be the route that
- 12:34Speaker 1: I start with. Certainly don't mind some of these receivers
- 12:37Speaker 1: for the Bears, just depending on how you do that.
- 12:39Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift will be the only running back that I have.
- 12:42Speaker 1: I just can't play a forty percent, uh you know,
- 12:45Speaker 1: snapshare running back, Tank Bigsby, Travis etn Dearnest Johnson. I mean,
- 12:51Speaker 1: you know, you just never know who you're gonna get.
- 12:53Speaker 1: I mean, Tank Bisby was super efficient last week. I
- 12:56Speaker 1: think it was, you know, thirty two. I think it
- 12:58Speaker 1: was thirty two. It might have been, you know, close
- 13:00Speaker 1: for thirty five snap percent and got one hundred yards
- 13:02Speaker 1: two touchdown. We just can't we just can't bank on that,
- 13:05Speaker 1: in my opinion. So it's not gonna be any running
- 13:07Speaker 1: backs for me. Big news is gonna be Evan Ingram.
- 13:11Speaker 1: Big news is gonna be v Ingram that I think
- 13:12Speaker 1: strange is certainly employe there. Also big news would be
- 13:15Speaker 1: Tyreek Stevenson listed as doubtful as of this recording. We'll
- 13:19Speaker 1: see what he's doing if he's If he's out, and
- 13:21Speaker 1: Brisker is already being confirmed out, it's bombs away in
- 13:24Speaker 1: my opinion for Trevor Lawrence. I really love those receivers
- 13:26Speaker 1: for the Jags. If that's the case, that'll do it
- 13:30Speaker 1: for me. Your boy Ham over here talking the Londay
- 13:32Speaker 1: London game. A big shout out to my guy ad.
- 13:35Speaker 1: Hope everything gets better, Maids than I are slated to
- 13:38Speaker 1: be back with you Sunday morning to do the Sunday
- 13:41Speaker 1: Night Show Sunday afternoon to do the Sunday Night Show.
- 13:43Speaker 1: Got a good game Sunday night in the Meadowlands. But
- 13:47Speaker 1: for me, make sure you hit that like, make sure
- 13:49Speaker 1: you hit that scribe. Make sure you put your favorite
- 13:51Speaker 1: captain in their mine is DeAndre Swift. We'll see you
- 13:54Speaker 1: over there at ship at Nation. We'll see at the
- 13:56Speaker 1: top of the leaderboards for your boy Ham led ship.
- 13:59Speaker 1: It