Latest / Science Show KY / 10.22.26
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Welcome to Radio Eye's Diary of Science and Nature. Your
- 0:04Speaker 1: reader is Kelly Taylor. I'll have stories on science and nature,
- 0:07Speaker 1: but first, a reminder, Radio Eye is a reading service
- 0:12Speaker 1: intended for people who are blind or have other disabilities
- 0:16Speaker 1: that make it difficult to read printed material. First up,
- 0:20Speaker 1: we have an article from BBC Wildlife. This is dated
- 0:24Speaker 1: June 18th, 2026, and the headline is, What's the Most
- 0:28Speaker 1: Dangerous Animal in the USA? And just how deadly is
- 0:33Speaker 1: it to humans? Defining most dangerous can be tricky as
- 0:38Speaker 1: it depends on what you mean. If we simply mean
- 0:41Speaker 1: which animals kill the most Americans per year, the answer
- 0:44Speaker 1: would be insects, more specifically stinging insects, such as wasps, bees,
- 0:50Speaker 1: and hornets. This is because many people are allergic to
- 0:53Speaker 1: their stings and die from anaphylaxis. Between 2011 and 2021,
- 0:59Speaker 1: 788 people died as a result of these types of
- 1:03Speaker 1: stings in the USA. However, if we're talking about which
- 1:07Speaker 1: animal is the most likely to kill you in a
- 1:10Speaker 1: single encounter, a top contender would be the North American
- 1:14Speaker 1: brown bear, though the total number of deaths from brown
- 1:17Speaker 1: bear attacks is not high, cited at 82 since 1784.
- 1:22Speaker 1: This is certainly an animal you wouldn't want to get
- 1:25Speaker 1: too close to. It is considered to be one of
- 1:28Speaker 1: the more aggressive bear species, especially when defending its young,
- 1:33Speaker 1: and possesses fearsome claws up to 10 centimeters long. Thankfully,
- 1:38Speaker 1: it tends to avoid contact with humans and only attacks
- 1:41Speaker 1: when it feels threatened. Other top contenders for the USA's
- 1:46Speaker 1: most dangerous animal include venomous snakes. The country is home
- 1:50Speaker 1: to numerous species of potentially deadly snakes, including rattlesnakes, copperheads,
- 1:56Speaker 1: and coral snakes. An estimated 8,000 people are bitten by
- 2:00Speaker 1: venomous snakes every year in the USA. Fatalities are pretty rare, however,
- 2:05Speaker 1: with just five per year. The key factor for survival
- 2:09Speaker 1: is good medical care. Deaths are much more common in
- 2:14Speaker 1: poorer rural regions where easy access to hospitals and anti-venom
- 2:20Speaker 1: treatments might not be available. Though not to be trifled with,
- 2:24Speaker 1: what all these examples show is that despite the ample
- 2:28Speaker 1: wilderness of the USA, wild animals don't pose that much
- 2:32Speaker 1: of a threat. In fact, the vast majority of animal-related
- 2:36Speaker 1: deaths result from encounters with domestic animals, farm animals in particular.
- 2:43Speaker 1: The average United States citizen is much more likely to
- 2:46Speaker 1: be trampled by a cow than mauled by a bear
- 2:50Speaker 1: or kicked by a horse than bitten by a snake.
- 2:55Speaker 1: In terms of the numbers of fatalities attributed to one animal,
- 2:59Speaker 1: the top spot is taken by deer. These animals do
- 3:05Speaker 1: not go on the rampage. The danger associated with them
- 3:09Speaker 1: is their subpar road crossing abilities. Road traffic accident data
- 3:15Speaker 1: reveals that a significant number of collisions have involved people
- 3:19Speaker 1: hitting deer at high speeds. Deer collisions are thought to
- 3:23Speaker 1: be responsible for as many as 440 human deaths per year.
- 3:29Speaker 1: From this, we can conclude that the most dangerous animal
- 3:32Speaker 1: in the USA is the shy and retiring deer. Now
- 3:39Speaker 1: we go to BBC Science Focus magazine. This article is headlined,
- 3:46Speaker 1: Space Diamonds. Diamonds' position as the hardest known material has
- 3:52Speaker 1: been unchallenged for thousands of years, but that could be
- 3:56Speaker 1: about to change. Researchers in China recently synthesized a material
- 4:01Speaker 1: called Lund's Delight, also known as hexagonal diamond, in sizable
- 4:08Speaker 1: amounts for the first time. Lund's Delight was first discovered
- 4:13Speaker 1: in 1967 in fragments of the Canyon Diablo meteorite that
- 4:21Speaker 1: struck modern-day Arizona some 50,000 years ago. Like regular diamond,
- 4:27Speaker 1: it's made up solely of carbon, but with its atoms
- 4:31Speaker 1: arranged in a hexagonal rather than cubic lattice. The specific
- 4:37Speaker 1: conditions of the impact likely transformed carbon in the meteorite
- 4:41Speaker 1: into tiny diamond crystals with this rare hexagonal form. According
- 4:47Speaker 1: to some simulations, Lonsdalite's structure could make it more than
- 4:52Speaker 1: 50% harder than normal diamond. If that can be confirmed
- 4:56Speaker 1: and its manufacture can be scaled up, then hexagonal diamond
- 5:00Speaker 1: could lead to a range of new industrial tools, mining
- 5:03Speaker 1: equipment of unparalleled hardness, ultra wear-resistant machine parts, and unrivaled
- 5:10Speaker 1: cutting tools. Even if you're not a miner or manufacturer,
- 5:15Speaker 1: this would still impact the world around you. Synthetic diamond
- 5:19Speaker 1: has a huge influence on the objects that fill our
- 5:21Speaker 1: everyday lives. Quote, every single one of us will touch
- 5:25Speaker 1: something that's been touched by industrial diamonds many, many times
- 5:29Speaker 1: a day, says Daniel Twitchent, chief technologist at the British
- 5:33Speaker 1: company Element 6, one of the world's biggest developers of
- 5:37Speaker 1: synthetic diamond materials. Own a piece of Ikea furniture? Wood
- 5:42Speaker 1: glue is highly abrasive, so it was likely cut with
- 5:45Speaker 1: a diamond tip saw. Use an iPhone? The cases of
- 5:50Speaker 1: some models were machined using diamond. If you're lucky enough
- 5:54Speaker 1: to have granite floor tiles, those will have been cut
- 5:57Speaker 1: with diamond too. Quote, it's something that's made a big impact.
- 6:01Speaker 1: Pull down the cost of cars. Pull down the cost
- 6:04Speaker 1: of manufacturing, Twitchin says of synthetic diamond. It's estimated in
- 6:09Speaker 1: the U.S. that diamond in some way or another impacts
- 6:12Speaker 1: a trillion dollars worth of industry, end quote. This influence
- 6:17Speaker 1: is about to get a lot bigger. As well as
- 6:20Speaker 1: its hardness, Diamond is an incredible thermal conductor. It can
- 6:24Speaker 1: also be manipulated to conduct electricity. Data centers, cell phone networks,
- 6:29Speaker 1: and satellites could soon exploit these characteristics to push their
- 6:33Speaker 1: capacities further. Diamond can even be modified to have quantum properties.
- 6:40Speaker 1: Some estimates value the synthetic diamond industry at $ 20 billion
- 6:44Speaker 1: and suggest it could more than double in value over
- 6:47Speaker 1: the next decade as the material's versatility and usefulness make
- 6:51Speaker 1: it a staple in next-generation technologies. Our internal catchphrase is,
- 6:57Speaker 1: a diamond's not a girl's best friend, but an engineer's
- 7:01Speaker 1: best friend, Twitchin says. Synthetic diamond was born in the
- 7:05Speaker 1: aftermath of World War II. A lot of things needed rebuilding.
- 7:09Speaker 1: and the world needed hard-wearing tools to do this. Diamond
- 7:14Speaker 1: mines couldn't keep up with demand. Quote, an early strategic
- 7:18Speaker 1: importance for diamond was actually tungsten filament wire, says Twitchin.
- 7:23Speaker 1: To make a filament for a light bulb, you extrude
- 7:26Speaker 1: the metal through a hole, he explains. You want that
- 7:29Speaker 1: hole to be very, very rigid and very slow wearing.
- 7:32Speaker 1: This kind of need drove money into synthetic diamond research.
- 7:37Speaker 1: And in 1955, the U.S. company General Electric announced it
- 7:41Speaker 1: had a working method for turning graphite, another form of
- 7:45Speaker 1: pure carbon, into diamond. An industry was born. Transforming graphite
- 7:51Speaker 1: into diamond requires changing how its atoms are arranged. Because
- 7:56Speaker 1: of how many electrons it has, carbon can make up
- 7:59Speaker 1: to four bonds with other atoms. In graphite, it only
- 8:03Speaker 1: makes three. forming flat hexagonal lattices of carbon held together
- 8:08Speaker 1: by weak intermolecular forces, which is what makes graphite so soft.
- 8:14Speaker 1: But in diamond, four strong bonds lock carbon atoms together
- 8:19Speaker 1: in a tight-knit three-dimensional structure. Changing from one arrangement to
- 8:23Speaker 1: another takes energy. This happens naturally in the Earth's mantle,
- 8:29Speaker 1: where high pressures and temperatures compress carbon or carbon-containing fluids
- 8:34Speaker 1: into cubic diamond. Scientists have essentially replicated these conditions in
- 8:40Speaker 1: the lab since the 1950s, using incredibly powerful industrial presses.
- 8:46Speaker 1: It takes a lot of material science and sophistication to
- 8:48Speaker 1: get that right, says Twitchin. You're trying to hold this graphite,
- 8:52Speaker 1: this is something the size of a can of Coke,
- 8:54Speaker 1: at 1300 degrees Celsius, plus or minus a very small temperature,
- 8:59Speaker 1: in the middle of about 6,000 tons of load. The
- 9:03Speaker 1: Chinese teams produced Lonsdaleite by modifying this process. In one experiment,
- 9:09Speaker 1: scientists at Zhengzhou University put a form of graphite with
- 9:14Speaker 1: highly ordered layers into an industrial press, subjected it to
- 9:18Speaker 1: 20 GPA of pressure, roughly 200,000 times that of our atmosphere,
- 9:25Speaker 1: and raised temperatures to 1,900 degrees Celsius, or 3,400 degrees Fahrenheit.
- 9:32Speaker 1: beyond the melting point of steel. High-temperature, high-pressure processes like
- 9:37Speaker 1: this are used to create the majority of synthetic diamonds
- 9:41Speaker 1: used today. But this only produces small diamonds, useful for cutting, grinding,
- 9:45Speaker 1: and drilling tools, but which aren't large enough for electronics.
- 9:49Speaker 1: For that, a newer method is used, chemical vapor deposition.
- 9:55Speaker 1: In the crudest terms, it's fancy microwave oven heating up
- 9:58Speaker 1: methane and hydrogen If you get the chemistry right, you
- 10:01Speaker 1: can end up producing diamond over graphite, says Twitchett. As
- 10:06Speaker 1: well as making purity much easier to control, this creates
- 10:09Speaker 1: diamonds big enough to cut into wafers, thin slices of
- 10:13Speaker 1: material that can be integrated into microchips and other electronic devices.
- 10:17Speaker 1: This has created a whole new technological frontier. Data centers
- 10:23Speaker 1: face a conundrum. To increase the capacity of AI systems
- 10:27Speaker 1: and other technologies that rely on them, they need to
- 10:30Speaker 1: use ever more powerful microchips. Placing chips closer together also
- 10:35Speaker 1: increases their capacity, so much so that engineers are now
- 10:39Speaker 1: moving towards something called 3D integration, putting chips and other
- 10:43Speaker 1: components not just side by side, but in layers on
- 10:47Speaker 1: top of one another. Quote, it makes a smaller footprint,
- 10:50Speaker 1: but also increases the performance, says Martin Kubal, professor of
- 10:55Speaker 1: physics at the University of Bristol. The wires get shorter.
- 10:59Speaker 1: How you switch devices gets better, end quote. But packing
- 11:04Speaker 1: all this processing power into such small spaces creates heat.
- 11:08Speaker 1: As chips get hotter, their performance declines. If they overheat,
- 11:12Speaker 1: they must be switched off altogether. This presents a cost,
- 11:16Speaker 1: as does keeping them cool. If you can drop the
- 11:19Speaker 1: temperature by one degree, you save a data center in
- 11:21Speaker 1: the region of 1.8% of its operating cost, says Twitchit.
- 11:28Speaker 1: At some future time, we'll also reach a point where
- 11:30Speaker 1: building more powerful chips hits the wall, says Kubal. Heat
- 11:34Speaker 1: management will become even more important, as it will be
- 11:37Speaker 1: the limiting factor when trying to increase data center power.
- 11:41Speaker 1: This is where Diamond can help. Diamond is the best
- 11:45Speaker 1: thermal conductor currently known, which makes it an excellent heat
- 11:49Speaker 1: spreader for electronic setups. Companies such as California's Akash Systems
- 11:55Speaker 1: and Element 6 are designing systems where chips can be
- 11:59Speaker 1: mounted on pieces of diamond to whisk heat away. These
- 12:03Speaker 1: are beginning to be rolled out. At the system level,
- 12:07Speaker 1: you gain a lot of benefit, which easily pays back
- 12:10Speaker 1: the increased costs, says Kubal. But a difficulty is that
- 12:15Speaker 1: a semiconductor mounted on a diamond heats and cools. It
- 12:19Speaker 1: expands and contracts much more than the material it's sitting on. Quote,
- 12:24Speaker 1: if the chip is very large, which a processor is,
- 12:27Speaker 1: the challenge is how to prevent that delaminating, says Kubal.
- 12:31Speaker 1: A key piece of research right now is how to
- 12:33Speaker 1: create better interfaces for connecting electrical components to diamond wafers.
- 12:39Speaker 1: Buying a piece of diamond is easy. Attaching it, I
- 12:42Speaker 1: would say, is the difficult part, says Kubal. Nevertheless, this
- 12:46Speaker 1: is the direction electronics is heading in. Quote, there are
- 12:50Speaker 1: some chips and especially lasers that are already integrated with
- 12:53Speaker 1: diamond heat spreaders, says Mark Newman, or Newton, professor in
- 12:58Speaker 1: experimental physics at the University of Warwick. It's tip of
- 13:01Speaker 1: the iceberg time, but because these new wafers are coming,
- 13:05Speaker 1: this is going to be transformational. In Newton's view, Diamond
- 13:10Speaker 1: cooling will become the standard within advanced electronics in the
- 13:14Speaker 1: next five years. It is the solution to a rate-limiting problem.
- 13:19Speaker 1: Data centers aren't the only place where diamond cooling can help.
- 13:23Speaker 1: Radio frequency communications between a signal tower and your cell
- 13:26Speaker 1: phone or between a ground station and a satellite is
- 13:29Speaker 1: another area where high-powered electrical components are struggling with heat. Radar, too.
- 13:36Speaker 1: Communications devices are all about power, says Kubal. How much
- 13:40Speaker 1: energy they can produce and how fast they can pulse
- 13:43Speaker 1: it dictates the strength of a signal and how much
- 13:46Speaker 1: information it can carry. Silicon is not powerful enough for
- 13:50Speaker 1: many modern applications, so developers have moved over to another
- 13:54Speaker 1: semiconductor material that can handle greater voltages, such as gallium nitride.
- 13:59Speaker 1: It's only by using such materials that even faster communications technologies,
- 14:04Speaker 1: like 6G mobile, will become possible. But with these two,
- 14:08Speaker 1: developers are increasingly having to look for cooling solutions to
- 14:12Speaker 1: prevent overheating and performance drop-offs. Quote, they're basically sticking diamond
- 14:17Speaker 1: to the galley of nitride because it helps suck the
- 14:20Speaker 1: heat out, says David Moran, professor of advanced semiconductors at
- 14:24Speaker 1: the University of Glasgow. Quote, people have shown that you
- 14:28Speaker 1: can get three times the performance just by doing that,
- 14:32Speaker 1: end quote. Yet in Moran's eyes, this is an imperfect solution.
- 14:36Speaker 1: At some point, it just becomes diminishing returns because the
- 14:39Speaker 1: cooling system becomes larger than the actual system itself. Moran
- 14:44Speaker 1: believes there could be another way. What if you actually
- 14:47Speaker 1: made the whole system, the whole device from diamond? The
- 14:51Speaker 1: reason materials like gallium nitride are favored over silicon is
- 14:54Speaker 1: because of the size of their band gap, an inherent
- 14:57Speaker 1: property of materials that's determined by their electron arrangement. Gallium
- 15:02Speaker 1: nitride has a larger band gap than silicon, so can
- 15:05Speaker 1: handle more voltage. Diamond's band gap is larger still. If
- 15:10Speaker 1: you introduce impurities into diamond, known as doping, you can
- 15:15Speaker 1: turn it from an insulator into a semiconductor. Then, thanks
- 15:19Speaker 1: to its wide band gap, it can handle very large voltages,
- 15:23Speaker 1: with the bonus of being much better at getting rid
- 15:25Speaker 1: of heat. This would also get around global shortages of
- 15:29Speaker 1: materials like gallium, which is almost entirely produced by China
- 15:33Speaker 1: and has been subject to export controls. Diamond electronics could
- 15:39Speaker 1: be incredibly useful in places where high performance is needed,
- 15:43Speaker 1: but space for cooling is severely limited, such as on satellites.
- 15:48Speaker 1: A further bonus is that diamond is also less susceptible
- 15:51Speaker 1: to disruption by radiation in space, which can cause heat
- 15:54Speaker 1: spikes or even break semiconductors entirely, thanks to its larger
- 15:59Speaker 1: band gap. Broadly speaking, the higher that number, the more
- 16:03Speaker 1: transparent the material is to radiation, Moran says. Yet, while
- 16:07Speaker 1: there's clear promise, it's proving tough to get this technology
- 16:10Speaker 1: to work. Manipulating Diamond for electronics is an engineering nightmare,
- 16:15Speaker 1: Moran says. The larger the band gap, the harder it
- 16:18Speaker 1: is to do, Kubal says of doping. For this reason,
- 16:21Speaker 1: he believes Diamond's greatest potential lies in cooling. Now we
- 16:28Speaker 1: have an article from New Scientist magazine. Why the Worst
- 16:33Speaker 1: El Nino Killed Millions and How We Can Avoid a Repeat.
- 16:38Speaker 1: This is from October 12th. To read of the great
- 16:42Speaker 1: famine that swept the globe in the 1870s is to
- 16:46Speaker 1: read of a hellscape worse than your imagination could conjure.
- 16:51Speaker 1: In China, India, Brazil, and beyond, after years of drought
- 16:55Speaker 1: and failed harvests, millions died of starvation. People rioted, begged, stole,
- 17:03Speaker 1: murdered for food. They knowingly ate diseased animals, tree roots, mud, pets,
- 17:11Speaker 1: and strips of leather in desperate bids to stay alive.
- 17:15Speaker 1: By many contemporary accounts, cannibalism was rife. Children were sold
- 17:20Speaker 1: or sacrificed for a meal. Corpses were bricked into their
- 17:25Speaker 1: homes by family members to stop them being pillaged and
- 17:29Speaker 1: eaten by hungry neighbors. Bodies littered the roadsides. The chaos
- 17:36Speaker 1: didn't stop at just hunger. Those who had fled famine
- 17:40Speaker 1: took shelter in filthy camps and shanty towns, which were
- 17:44Speaker 1: then struck by deadly outbreaks of cholera, smallpox, and other diseases.
- 17:49Speaker 1: In China, when winter came and there was no money
- 17:52Speaker 1: for fuel, people burned their own houses. The desperate then
- 17:57Speaker 1: crowded together in underground pits for warmth. society all but
- 18:01Speaker 1: fell apart. Once the poor had died in a region,
- 18:05Speaker 1: the wealthy succumbed. When the rains finally returned, there was
- 18:09Speaker 1: barely anyone left to sow the crops. The total death
- 18:13Speaker 1: toll across India, China, and Brazil between 1876 and 1879
- 18:19Speaker 1: is estimated at 20 million to 30 million. Globally, there
- 18:24Speaker 1: may have been 50 million deaths. As historian Mike Davis
- 18:29Speaker 1: writes in the book late Victorian holocausts. This was a
- 18:33Speaker 1: disaster of truly planetary magnitude. The root cause of this catastrophe?
- 18:39Speaker 1: A supersized El Niño event, which released vast amounts of
- 18:44Speaker 1: heat from the ocean into the atmosphere, triggering severe disruption
- 18:49Speaker 1: to global weather patterns. Of course, scientists in 1877 weren't
- 18:55Speaker 1: aware of the El Niño, southern oscillation cycle, There was
- 18:59Speaker 1: rudimentary meteorological data collection underway. Sea surface temperatures were collated.
- 19:06Speaker 1: Rain gauges were monitored. Barometric pressure was observed. Scientists knew
- 19:12Speaker 1: something strange was happening to global weather patterns, but the
- 19:14Speaker 1: cause was far from clear. In the immediate aftermath of
- 19:19Speaker 1: the 1877-78 El Nino, many researchers were convinced sunspots were
- 19:25Speaker 1: to blame. Quote, As a scientific topic, this was the
- 19:29Speaker 1: Stone Ages for El Nino. No one in the scientific
- 19:32Speaker 1: community knew about this problem. The only ones who probably
- 19:36Speaker 1: knew about it were Peruvian fishermen, says Michael McFadden at
- 19:40Speaker 1: the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It wasn't until
- 19:46Speaker 1: the 1920s that physicist Gilbert Walker first identified the seesaw
- 19:51Speaker 1: of atmospheric pressure across the tropics known as the Southern Oscillation.
- 19:57Speaker 1: Then in 1969, meteorologist Jacob Berkness connected changing sea surface
- 20:04Speaker 1: temperatures in the Pacific to the southern oscillation and mapped
- 20:08Speaker 1: out the global dynamics of an El Nino. That was
- 20:11Speaker 1: the big bang for El Nino research, says McFadden, ushering
- 20:16Speaker 1: in the idea that with the right data and equipment,
- 20:19Speaker 1: El Ninos could be identified in real time and even
- 20:21Speaker 1: predicted in advance. Of course, El Ninos had occurred before 1877.
- 20:29Speaker 1: Authorities in China and India held grain reserves for when
- 20:33Speaker 1: monsoon rains failed, But the 1877-78 El Nino was stronger
- 20:38Speaker 1: than anything that had come before. Boyan Wong, also at NOAA,
- 20:43Speaker 1: and his colleagues have used modern data analysis methods to
- 20:47Speaker 1: estimate just how strong it was. The analysis uses sea
- 20:51Speaker 1: surface data from ships, buoys, and modern floats organized to
- 20:55Speaker 1: reconstruct a temperature record stretching back to 1850. Quote, from
- 21:00Speaker 1: our data reconstruction, we did find the El Nino signature
- 21:04Speaker 1: and it is a very strong El Nino, he says.
- 21:07Speaker 1: The strength of an El Nino is usually measured by
- 21:09Speaker 1: how far sea surface temperatures in a specific region of
- 21:13Speaker 1: the tropical Pacific have deviated from normal. In 1877-78, after
- 21:19Speaker 1: accounting for the background ocean warming trend observed since then,
- 21:22Speaker 1: temperatures in the index were 2.88 degrees Celsius above average,
- 21:29Speaker 1: Wong's research indicates. This suggests it was among the strongest,
- 21:33Speaker 1: if not the strongest, event in modern history. The 1877-78
- 21:37Speaker 1: El Nino resulted in droughts around the world. The situation
- 21:41Speaker 1: was most acute in northern China, which suffered its worst
- 21:44Speaker 1: drought in 300 years. In northeastern Brazil, India, South Africa,
- 21:49Speaker 1: and northern Africa. In some of these locations, drought had
- 21:54Speaker 1: begun even before El Nino hit, triggered in part by
- 21:58Speaker 1: unusually cool conditions in the tropical Pacific area. immediately before
- 22:02Speaker 1: the arrival of El Niño. The result was three or
- 22:05Speaker 1: more years of very little rain and repeated crop failures.
- 22:10Speaker 1: But the impact of the droughts was made far worse
- 22:12Speaker 1: by the ineptitude of government's official response. In India, colonial
- 22:17Speaker 1: rulers continued to collect taxes, hoard grain, and enforce food
- 22:22Speaker 1: exports to England, despite widespread starvation among local populations. In China,
- 22:29Speaker 1: corrupt officials raided grain supplies, and poor transport links made
- 22:34Speaker 1: it difficult to get food to those who needed it.
- 22:37Speaker 1: Water levels on the Grand Canal, a vital transport link
- 22:40Speaker 1: into the hardest-hit Shaanxi province, dropped so low that it
- 22:45Speaker 1: was unnavigable. There were no railways, and the mountain roads
- 22:49Speaker 1: into Shaanxi thronged with bandits who killed the livestock being
- 22:53Speaker 1: used to transport grain before they could reach the starving.
- 22:58Speaker 1: Because of the workings of the imperial economy at that time,
- 23:01Speaker 1: those droughts translated into colossal famines with millions of dead
- 23:06Speaker 1: in India and China, says Richard Seeger at Columbia University
- 23:10Speaker 1: in New York. For more than a century, the 1877-78
- 23:15Speaker 1: El Nino has stood as the strongest in history. But
- 23:19Speaker 1: this year, a super El Nino has once again erupted
- 23:23Speaker 1: in the tropical Pacific, And on current forecasts, it looks
- 23:26Speaker 1: set to outstrip even 1877-78 in its intensity. Current predictions
- 23:33Speaker 1: forecast sea surface temperatures in the El Nino region of
- 23:38Speaker 1: the Pacific peaking at 4 degrees Celsius above normal in November.
- 23:44Speaker 1: The big difference this time is that we already know
- 23:47Speaker 1: the event is occurring. Scientists have been able to forecast
- 23:50Speaker 1: El Nino events months in advance since the 1990s. That
- 23:54Speaker 1: affords governments, emergency services, farmers, and citizens vital time to
- 23:59Speaker 1: prepare by increasing water storage, sowing drought-resistant crops, improving warnings.
- 24:07Speaker 1: If you know something is coming and it can have
- 24:09Speaker 1: really damaging impacts, you have some choices to make, says McFadden.
- 24:15Speaker 1: Models began to hint at a coming El Nino in
- 24:17Speaker 1: February 2026, and by April there were clear signs that
- 24:21Speaker 1: a strong event was looming. That gave governments a three-month
- 24:25Speaker 1: head start before the El Nino even began and at
- 24:29Speaker 1: least six months of warning before impacts would be felt.
- 24:32Speaker 1: Improvements in El Nino forecasting with the help of AI
- 24:36Speaker 1: mean it could soon be possible to predict a coming
- 24:39Speaker 1: El Nino two years in advance, says McFadden. The longer
- 24:43Speaker 1: you have to prepare, the more options you have and
- 24:45Speaker 1: the better off you may be in the end, he says.
- 24:48Speaker 1: But although there are prospects to improve El Nino forecasts
- 24:51Speaker 1: even further, it comes at a time when U.S. federal
- 24:54Speaker 1: funding for climate research and global aid has been severely curtailed.
- 24:59Speaker 1: In January 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump issued an executive
- 25:04Speaker 1: order shutting down a U.S.-funded famine early warning system. Six
- 25:09Speaker 1: months later, it was reinstated, but data reporting since then
- 25:12Speaker 1: has been patchy. The U.S. has also severely cut funding
- 25:16Speaker 1: to the World Food Program, which provides emergency food relief.
- 25:20Speaker 1: Other high-income countries, including the U.K., have also scaled back
- 25:24Speaker 1: their overseas aid budgets in recent years. Meanwhile, the U.S.
- 25:29Speaker 1: war with Iran and blockade in the Strait of Hormuz
- 25:32Speaker 1: has pushed up fuel and fertilizer prices, while Russia's war
- 25:36Speaker 1: in Ukraine has curtailed the global wheat trade. This El
- 25:40Speaker 1: Nino is happening at a very bad time, says Seager. Nevertheless,
- 25:45Speaker 1: early preparation, coupled with a more comprehensive global trading network,
- 25:49Speaker 1: Better transport links and modern agricultural methods means the world
- 25:53Speaker 1: is much, much better prepared to deal with a monster
- 25:56Speaker 1: El Nino than it was 150 years ago. Quote, we
- 25:59Speaker 1: have much better public health systems, says McFadden. We have
- 26:03Speaker 1: much better understanding of disease and disease controls, and we
- 26:06Speaker 1: have humanitarian organizations, and we have social safety nets that
- 26:10Speaker 1: will not let 50 million people die like happened in 1877-78,
- 26:13Speaker 1: end quote. We have an article now from Fox Weather.
- 26:21Speaker 1: Monarch butterflies head to Mexico as scientists unlock new way
- 26:25Speaker 1: to track their journey, dated October 19th. Monarch butterflies are
- 26:30Speaker 1: nearing the end of their annual fall migration to Mexico,
- 26:33Speaker 1: with the journey continuing through late October. Each fall, millions
- 26:38Speaker 1: of monarchs from Canada and the United States travel thousands
- 26:41Speaker 1: of miles to reach their winter home in the mountain
- 26:44Speaker 1: forests of central Mexico. Their migration begins in regions across
- 26:48Speaker 1: North America, including Minnesota, California, Indiana, and Iowa. The journey
- 26:54Speaker 1: typically begins in late summer and early fall when a
- 26:56Speaker 1: special generation of monarchs emerges from its pupae, or chrysalids.
- 27:02Speaker 1: According to Monarch Watch, these butterflies are biologically and behaviorally
- 27:06Speaker 1: different from those that emerge in the summer, allowing them
- 27:09Speaker 1: to survive the long journey south. As they migrate, monarchs
- 27:13Speaker 1: stop to feed on nectar, and actually gain weight along
- 27:17Speaker 1: the way. Some researchers believe that butterflies conserve energy during
- 27:22Speaker 1: flight by gliding on air currents as they travel south.
- 27:26Speaker 1: Experts consider the migration one of the most remarkable journeys
- 27:29Speaker 1: in the insect world, with some monarchs traveling as far
- 27:33Speaker 1: as 3,000 miles. But this year's migration comes with a
- 27:36Speaker 1: new tool that could offer scientists an unprecedented look at
- 27:40Speaker 1: the butterfly's movements. According to Monarch Joint Venture, Lightweight solar-powered
- 27:46Speaker 1: tracking devices have allowed scientists to follow individual monarchs in
- 27:50Speaker 1: near real time for the first time. The tiny transmitters
- 27:56Speaker 1: use solar power and can be detected by smartphones and
- 28:00Speaker 1: other receivers as the butterflies travel. The resulting data helps
- 28:04Speaker 1: researchers map individual migration routes and better understand how monarchs
- 28:09Speaker 1: navigate their long journey south. Well, that's all for today's
- 28:13Speaker 1: Diary of Science and Nature. Your reader was Kelly Taylor.
- 28:16Speaker 1: Now stay tuned for further programming on Radio Eye.