Latest / Financial Survival Network / Fed Cuts, Markets Dive, AI Dilemma - Anthony Saccaro - #6212
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The market has ebbs and flaws.
- 0:01Speaker 2: I mean, when you look at market history going back
- 0:04Speaker 2: a couple hundred years, there are good decades followed by
- 0:07Speaker 2: bad decades followed by good decades, and this is just
- 0:09Speaker 2: the way the market is gone. You're going to have
- 0:12Speaker 2: a bad decade where for as long as twenty years
- 0:15Speaker 2: there may be ups and downs in the market, but
- 0:17Speaker 2: at the end of that decade or two long.
- 0:20Speaker 1: Period, no growth at all in the market.
- 0:22Speaker 2: And then those decades are going to be followed by
- 0:25Speaker 2: decades where you have double digit returns.
- 0:27Speaker 3: You are listening to Carrie Let's's Financial Survival Network where
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- 0:47Speaker 3: Survival Network now more than ever.
- 0:54Speaker 4: And welcome. You are listening to and watching the Financial
- 0:58Speaker 4: Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Lutz. Will had a
- 1:01Speaker 4: little mini crash yesterday today it's December nineteenth. We had
- 1:06Speaker 4: the FED cutting rates by twenty five bases points, but
- 1:11Speaker 4: saying hold on not so fast. If you could believe
- 1:14Speaker 4: anything they say, and of course the market responded negatively.
- 1:19Speaker 4: The dollar, interestingly enough, was up. Rates went up. The
- 1:24Speaker 4: thirty year went up to roughly four point seven and change,
- 1:29Speaker 4: what is going on here? Let's talk with our good
- 1:31Speaker 4: friend Anthony's carro get the load. Anthony. Great to have
- 1:35Speaker 4: you back. So what what the heck happened yesterday?
- 1:39Speaker 2: Yeah, Kerry, thank you for having me that great to
- 1:41Speaker 2: be here on FSN. Love your show. Yeah, yesterday was interesting.
- 1:47Speaker 2: You know, when I looked at the stock market in
- 1:50Speaker 2: the morning, it was up, you'll up a decent amount,
- 1:52Speaker 2: I think, I remember I was up over a couple
- 1:54Speaker 2: hundred points, and then later in the afternoon, after the
- 1:58Speaker 2: Fed chair spoke, it wound up going down negatively several percent.
- 2:05Speaker 2: The reason, as you noted in your introduction, is really
- 2:08Speaker 2: because of the fact that there was a more of
- 2:10Speaker 2: a hawkish tone set for twenty twenty five as far
- 2:14Speaker 2: as lowering interest rates.
- 2:16Speaker 1: At the beginning of this year.
- 2:17Speaker 2: You might remember that, you know, the Federal Reserve is
- 2:19Speaker 2: going to lower interest rates six or seven times this year,
- 2:22Speaker 2: and that didn't materialize. They've lowered interest rates by you know,
- 2:26Speaker 2: now one hundred brips, including yesterday, and they were widely
- 2:31Speaker 2: expected to go maybe another one hundred BIPs next year,
- 2:34Speaker 2: but the hawkish tone essentially said no, not so fast.
- 2:38Speaker 2: You know, we might not do that, We might not
- 2:40Speaker 2: need to do that, And of course the sock market
- 2:43Speaker 2: doesn't like that. The sock market's been banking on low
- 2:45Speaker 2: rates for decades, quite finkly and really other than the
- 2:51Speaker 2: past couple of years of rates bet up, they've been
- 2:53Speaker 2: banking on rates continuing to go down.
- 2:55Speaker 1: So when Jay.
- 2:56Speaker 2: Powell talks about the fact that, you know, they may
- 2:59Speaker 2: not have to lower them as much next year, that sent,
- 3:02Speaker 2: you know, the stock market in somewhat of a tail spin.
- 3:05Speaker 2: And I think it was the tenth day in a
- 3:07Speaker 2: row that the Dow Jones was down, something that hadn't
- 3:10Speaker 2: happened since. That hasn't happened since like the mid seventies
- 3:14Speaker 2: of them correct, So it all had to do with
- 3:18Speaker 2: that hockage tone. That's primarily what happened with the market yesterday.
- 3:23Speaker 4: Well so interestingly enough, if we had this election, as
- 3:27Speaker 4: he said, free call capitalism or whatever you call it,
- 3:31Speaker 4: freedom is good for another four years. Anyways, we had
- 3:36Speaker 4: the failure of the continuing Resolution and pork Leyden spending
- 3:43Speaker 4: in the Congress, and that was only going to take
- 3:46Speaker 4: us for three months. And yet in the rest of
- 3:51Speaker 4: the world, all their governments are crumbling, from Canada to France,
- 3:56Speaker 4: to West Germany to China. Now that Trump's been elected,
- 4:02Speaker 4: don't you think that the international flow of funds is
- 4:06Speaker 4: going to go way, way up to the US. It's
- 4:08Speaker 4: already high because of the relative safety. You know, we're
- 4:11Speaker 4: the best We're the best looking house in Baltimore. But
- 4:15Speaker 4: now the house has got some new drapes and a
- 4:19Speaker 4: paint job, and and the lawn's been trimmed and put
- 4:23Speaker 4: in some sod and we're looking really good. It's going
- 4:27Speaker 4: to be a flood of money here, isn't it.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny that, you know, the cleanest dirty shirt
- 4:33Speaker 2: of the lobby basket, right, you know, And I agree
- 4:36Speaker 2: with that everything is going haywire, you know, internationally and globally,
- 4:42Speaker 2: and America is certainly the you know, the highlight of
- 4:46Speaker 2: world economics. And you're right, that flood of money is
- 4:49Speaker 2: going to come in. It's going to make the dollars stronger,
- 4:52Speaker 2: it's going to make it harder for exporters to come in.
- 4:56Speaker 2: And then if Trump adds the tariffs, which we we
- 5:00Speaker 2: know that he's going to do. They're already there from
- 5:02Speaker 2: his pre era. He's talked about adding them, you know,
- 5:05Speaker 2: additional that's going to make things more expensive as well too.
- 5:08Speaker 2: The concern that I think the fad has and why
- 5:12Speaker 2: they were so hot as yesterday, is because GDP is
- 5:15Speaker 2: doing really well.
- 5:16Speaker 1: That was also shown in the report that came out today.
- 5:18Speaker 2: I think it came out at three three point one
- 5:19Speaker 2: percent if I looked correctly. But the reality is that
- 5:24Speaker 2: GDP is strong, the labor market's strong, inflation is tained,
- 5:29Speaker 2: and everything looks good, and people are feeling good about
- 5:34Speaker 2: going forward.
- 5:35Speaker 1: Now.
- 5:35Speaker 2: That is if you're in the Trump camp. If you're
- 5:37Speaker 2: in the not so Trump camp, then you might not
- 5:39Speaker 2: be feeling so good. But the general sentiment, consumer sentiment
- 5:43Speaker 2: is up a little bit, and people are feeling good.
- 5:46Speaker 1: It's the wealth effect.
- 5:47Speaker 2: The wealth effect is a very simple effect that says,
- 5:51Speaker 2: the better you feel about life, the more you're willing
- 5:53Speaker 2: to spend. And right now everyone is feeling pretty good,
- 5:58Speaker 2: so people are out there willing to spend, and even internationally,
- 6:03Speaker 2: people are feeling good about America. So it's not just nationally,
- 6:07Speaker 2: but it's also internationally and if you're going to be
- 6:09Speaker 2: investing where you can invest one of the countries that
- 6:12Speaker 2: you mentioned, or you know, the country where everyone including
- 6:15Speaker 2: its own citizens, are feeling good about going forward. The
- 6:18Speaker 2: concern that I have, though, is that the market has
- 6:21Speaker 2: ebbs and flows. I mean, when you look at market
- 6:24Speaker 2: history going back a couple hundred years, there are good
- 6:27Speaker 2: decades followed by bad decades followed by good decades, and
- 6:30Speaker 2: this is just the way the market is gone. You're
- 6:32Speaker 2: going to have a bad decade where for as long
- 6:35Speaker 2: as twenty years there may be ups and downs in
- 6:37Speaker 2: the market, but at the end of that, you know,
- 6:40Speaker 2: decade or two long period no growth at all in
- 6:42Speaker 2: the market, and then those decades are going to be
- 6:45Speaker 2: followed by decades where you have double digit returned and
- 6:49Speaker 2: you know, that's just the way history is. If you
- 6:51Speaker 2: go back the last two decades, you go back twenty
- 6:53Speaker 2: five years to the beginning of the century, from two
- 6:56Speaker 2: thousand to twenty thirteen, there was no growth in the market.
- 7:00Speaker 1: Crash of oh one and a recovery.
- 7:01Speaker 2: We had the crash of eight and a recovery, but
- 7:04Speaker 2: no growth over that thirteen year time period. And then
- 7:07Speaker 2: from you know, for the last fourteen years, the market
- 7:10Speaker 2: has gone up well over fifteen percent a year. So
- 7:15Speaker 2: we've followed the trends that we've seen over a couple
- 7:17Speaker 2: hundred years. We had a bad decade and then we
- 7:20Speaker 2: had a good decade. And if history repeats itself, as
- 7:24Speaker 2: we know that cycles do repeat themselves hence the term cycle, uh,
- 7:28Speaker 2: then you know we could be in for not such
- 7:31Speaker 2: a good decade going forward. And all the bad decades
- 7:35Speaker 2: start with the major crash. The crash of the decade
- 7:39Speaker 2: starting from two thousand to twenty thirteen started with that
- 7:43Speaker 2: fifty percent crash in the tech stocks, you.
- 7:46Speaker 1: Know as well.
- 7:47Speaker 2: And by the way, since we're at it, if you
- 7:49Speaker 2: go back and you look a few years before, you
- 7:52Speaker 2: look at nineties ninety seven to ninety nine to even
- 7:56Speaker 2: two thousand.
- 7:57Speaker 1: The market went straight up.
- 7:59Speaker 2: And if you take a look at what's happened in
- 8:00Speaker 2: the last couple of years, market's been up over twenty
- 8:03Speaker 2: percent for two years in a row. Now it's what
- 8:07Speaker 2: if it closes above this level, it looks like it's
- 8:09Speaker 2: going to and that's something that's happened only four times
- 8:12Speaker 2: in the last hundred years. And after that, the story
- 8:15Speaker 2: is mixed, but the reality is that that that signals
- 8:19Speaker 2: just from an economic standpoint, it signals the fact that
- 8:22Speaker 2: we could have problems ahead. And my biggest fear carriers
- 8:25Speaker 2: that people that are in their sixties a little bit
- 8:27Speaker 2: behind in retirement, getting that FOMO caught up in this.
- 8:31Speaker 2: I'm gonna take all my retirement money and throw it
- 8:33Speaker 2: in in video or go it in you know, the
- 8:35Speaker 2: the QQQ.
- 8:37Speaker 1: Right, go it in NASDAC.
- 8:38Speaker 2: And now all of a sudden, right before they want
- 8:41Speaker 2: to retire in the next you know, one to five years,
- 8:44Speaker 2: the market crashes.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Now they can't even retire.
- 8:46Speaker 2: And that's the biggest fear that I have for the
- 8:47Speaker 2: baby boomers, the biggest generation you know at this point
- 8:51Speaker 2: that's that's ever retired. So a lot going on, a.
- 8:55Speaker 4: Lot going on. So where do you think AI fits
- 9:00Speaker 4: into all this, Anthony? I think, Look, I'm a broad
- 9:05Speaker 4: test owner, not because I think I'm saying the world.
- 9:09Speaker 4: I'm probably doing more harm to it than anyone driving
- 9:13Speaker 4: their big Mercedes. Maybe not, who knows. I don't really
- 9:19Speaker 4: care about it. I love the experience, but I'll tell
- 9:21Speaker 4: you what. The latest update for full self driving, as
- 9:26Speaker 4: they call it, supervised FSD is I'd say ninety eight
- 9:32Speaker 4: percent of the way there. When I first started with
- 9:35Speaker 4: the FSD, which was two and a half years ago,
- 9:38Speaker 4: after they released it to the general public, that thing
- 9:42Speaker 4: was scary in certain instances. You had to watch it
- 9:44Speaker 4: like a hawk. Now the thing could drive in New
- 9:48Speaker 4: York City and avoid New York City taxis. It's a
- 9:53Speaker 4: freaking amazing thing here. But what is really amazing is
- 9:59Speaker 4: six months ago I said, and maybe six months a
- 10:03Speaker 4: year a guy I said, Oh, it'll be five to
- 10:05Speaker 4: ten years before they work this out. Now I'm thinking
- 10:08Speaker 4: six months to a year. And that's the thing. The AI.
- 10:12Speaker 4: It's not just the AI is growing by leaps and bounds,
- 10:17Speaker 4: it's the rate at which it's advancing is like nothing
- 10:22Speaker 4: we've ever seen before in life. Here, Anthony, nothing, and
- 10:26Speaker 4: that goes for coding. I'm looking at my iPhone, just
- 10:30Speaker 4: got the update, and you know, I know that the
- 10:34Speaker 4: new iOS system, a lot of it was written by AI.
- 10:38Speaker 4: There's no way they could have added all these features
- 10:41Speaker 4: this quickly without AI. I don't know where we're heading,
- 10:45Speaker 4: but we're hitting there really quickly. Anthony, Yeah, one hundred percent.
- 10:49Speaker 4: It is amazing. I don't quite understand it. I've heard
- 10:54Speaker 4: the CEO of Nvidia talking about it. And when you
- 10:58Speaker 4: listen to someone who actually knows what they're doing and
- 11:00Speaker 4: really in the forefront of it, and video is certainly
- 11:02Speaker 4: on the forefront of that. You know, it is amazing
- 11:06Speaker 4: exactly what it can do. A couple of things about AI.
- 11:11Speaker 2: It certainly is going to be a massive disruptor to
- 11:15Speaker 2: your business as we know it making everyone more efficient.
- 11:19Speaker 1: Uh and it's it's coming at the speed of light.
- 11:21Speaker 2: As you suggested, The reality is that we get questions
- 11:25Speaker 2: from investors fairly frequently, you.
- 11:27Speaker 1: Know, wanting to know how do we invest in this?
- 11:30Speaker 1: And it reminds me of.
- 11:34Speaker 2: You know, investing in tech stocks back in you know,
- 11:37Speaker 2: two three, as we started to come out of the
- 11:39Speaker 2: tech crash, people were just wanting to do that. Uh men,
- 11:43Speaker 2: even even back in the late nineties, tech stocks were
- 11:46Speaker 2: even more so in the late nineties, I would say,
- 11:48Speaker 2: you know, tech stocks were the thing that people were
- 11:50Speaker 2: asking about. It then also reminds me of people asking
- 11:53Speaker 2: us years ago about cannabis. You know, it's like, what's
- 11:56Speaker 2: that one stock that's going to take us to the
- 11:58Speaker 2: next level? And what you know, what you have to
- 12:00Speaker 2: remember is you have to remember that for every Apple,
- 12:03Speaker 2: there were probably ten thousand Apple want to bees that went.
- 12:06Speaker 1: By the wayside that you know, you would have lost
- 12:08Speaker 1: a lot of money in.
- 12:09Speaker 2: And there are people now that are looking for, you know,
- 12:13Speaker 2: for what is the next Apple in the AI space?
- 12:16Speaker 2: And I don't think you want to be looking for
- 12:18Speaker 2: the one stock to take your money and just put
- 12:20Speaker 2: it into one company.
- 12:22Speaker 1: Not a wise thing.
- 12:23Speaker 2: To do, you know, if you're going to focus on
- 12:26Speaker 2: the AHI, or if that's the direction you want to go,
- 12:28Speaker 2: I think what you really be better off doing is
- 12:30Speaker 2: focus in on companies that are utilizing AI to some degree,
- 12:33Speaker 2: regardless of what platform that they're using. But AI itself
- 12:38Speaker 2: is very in some ways scary. I mean, if you're
- 12:43Speaker 2: not excited out of your mind or scared out of
- 12:46Speaker 2: your mind by AI, I think you just don't understand it.
- 12:48Speaker 2: It's it's going to be one or the other. And
- 12:50Speaker 2: quite frankly, I'm a little bit of both, you know.
- 12:54Speaker 2: I you know, on a very simplistic level, I almost
- 12:57Speaker 2: don't write an email anymore. Without AI. I can tell
- 13:01Speaker 2: chat GPT what I want the email to say, and
- 13:03Speaker 2: it spits it out A professional email in about ten
- 13:06Speaker 2: seconds that what might take me fifteen twenty minutes to write,
- 13:10Speaker 2: even if it's a simple email and it's a copy
- 13:12Speaker 2: and paste. You know, that's very simplistic using AI for
- 13:17Speaker 2: our business. I've got all of my team members using
- 13:20Speaker 2: AI when it comes to things like putting job advertisements.
- 13:24Speaker 2: You know, AI, when it comes to more advanced AI
- 13:28Speaker 2: in the pharmaceutical world, can analyze you and analyze the
- 13:31Speaker 2: results of a test in a mathematical way that you
- 13:34Speaker 2: and I or any human being could just never do.
- 13:37Speaker 2: And it's going to accelerate. It's going to accelerate some
- 13:40Speaker 2: of the cures that we potentially have by being able
- 13:42Speaker 2: to take massive amount of data and analyze them and
- 13:45Speaker 2: then give you and I, you know, the results. So
- 13:48Speaker 2: you know, so the reality is is is there's tons
- 13:50Speaker 2: of positive and all of that excites me. What doesn't
- 13:53Speaker 2: excite me is the fact that you now can be
- 13:56Speaker 2: someone that you're not so and there's a lot of
- 13:59Speaker 2: ways to do that. You know, we you know, on
- 14:01Speaker 2: a very simplistic form. You know, we're hiring people. I
- 14:04Speaker 2: just hired three new people that are all starting within
- 14:06Speaker 2: the next two weeks. And the reality is when they
- 14:09Speaker 2: submit their resume. I really now have no idea whether
- 14:12Speaker 2: it's their resume or AI.
- 14:14Speaker 1: So you don't really I mean, you don't really know
- 14:16Speaker 1: whether it's them.
- 14:17Speaker 2: You know, before if I would see a resume, you know,
- 14:20Speaker 2: going back twenty years, I want to hire someone. If
- 14:22Speaker 2: there's a spelling error or something, I know that they're
- 14:24Speaker 2: not attention to detail, and it's something that I keep
- 14:27Speaker 2: in my mind. Maybe I don't hire them because of that.
- 14:29Speaker 2: Maybe I do, but I know that it's their resume.
- 14:30Speaker 2: I can see their writing style, I can see how
- 14:32Speaker 2: they think. I can see if they run all their
- 14:34Speaker 2: paragraphs together. I can see whether they're spelling errors or
- 14:36Speaker 2: grammatical errors, or whether they have a flow. Nowadays, you
- 14:40Speaker 2: take whatever you are put it in the AI. You
- 14:42Speaker 2: could just give them a couple of sentences and it's
- 14:44Speaker 2: going to make you look like anything you want to
- 14:46Speaker 2: look for.
- 14:47Speaker 4: A congenius, like a genius either it'll really know anymore.
- 14:50Speaker 2: Oh yeah, And that's that's on a simplistic level, but
- 14:54Speaker 2: on a more advanced level. I was watching a video
- 14:57Speaker 2: the other day of one of my buddies who created
- 14:59Speaker 2: a presentation, and at the end of the presentation was
- 15:02Speaker 2: about a fifteen minute presentation. We were watching great presentation.
- 15:05Speaker 2: At the end of the presentation, he got up on
- 15:07Speaker 2: stage and said, that wasn't me. You know, we were like, well,
- 15:12Speaker 2: what do you mean that wasn't you. The reality is
- 15:13Speaker 2: it was all Ai generated. It was him talking, but
- 15:16Speaker 2: it was typed in the script talking. And you now
- 15:19Speaker 2: can go hijack any other person and essentially get them
- 15:24Speaker 2: to say things that looks like it's coming out of
- 15:26Speaker 2: their mouth, but it's not really them. And that's the
- 15:29Speaker 2: scary side of things there right now, not right?
- 15:32Speaker 1: Yeah, it is writing.
- 15:33Speaker 4: Well, I just wrote a book. I took a compilation
- 15:36Speaker 4: of all my interviews with noted economist Martin Armstrong, been
- 15:42Speaker 4: interviewing him for fourteen years. I had to transcripted, I
- 15:46Speaker 4: had to clean up the transcript, and then I would
- 15:50Speaker 4: write things down to create summaries and key takeaways. But
- 15:54Speaker 4: it formatted it and it's almost perfect, and they're just
- 15:57Speaker 4: waiting for the go ahead, and it's going to go
- 16:00Speaker 4: press and I think it's a valuable book. He was
- 16:04Speaker 4: when I first started interviewing him in twenty eleven. Stock
- 16:08Speaker 4: market the Dow Jones was at just under twelve thousand.
- 16:12Speaker 4: He assured me it was going to thirty five and
- 16:14Speaker 4: then forty five. In twenty eighteen, he said it would
- 16:19Speaker 4: hit forty five thousand somewhere between twenty two and twenty four.
- 16:23Speaker 4: You spot on point is, you know, I think the
- 16:27Speaker 4: world needs to know about this, and I wouldn't be
- 16:31Speaker 4: able to publish it without the AI. It would have
- 16:33Speaker 4: cost me tens of thousands of dollars. I would have
- 16:36Speaker 4: had to have the thing transcribed and then edited and
- 16:40Speaker 4: then cleaned up. I would have paid an editor probably
- 16:44Speaker 4: twenty five to fifty thousand dollars to get this book
- 16:48Speaker 4: to the point where it is now. So it's a
- 16:50Speaker 4: force multiplier if you use it right. But at some
- 16:54Speaker 4: point it's like, what does it need us.
- 16:56Speaker 1: For at all? That's right? Yeah, You're a hundrederent it right.
- 17:01Speaker 2: And I'm going to be coming out with my second
- 17:02Speaker 2: edition here, and I'm going to I'm going to do
- 17:04Speaker 2: some rewrites on it probably over the course of the
- 17:06Speaker 2: next twelve months. And the first time I wrote the book,
- 17:08Speaker 2: we didn't have AI, and it was all you know, handwritten,
- 17:12Speaker 2: you know, and all my thoughts and everything else. But
- 17:14Speaker 2: there's some things I want to change, and I know
- 17:16Speaker 2: that I'll be able to go in copy a paragraph
- 17:18Speaker 2: that's currently there, plug it into AI, and tell it
- 17:21Speaker 2: this is what I want to change about it. Change
- 17:23Speaker 2: this number to this, change this number to this, bring
- 17:25Speaker 2: the current you know, the current statistic up to this,
- 17:28Speaker 2: and it will just do it automatically. And it's just
- 17:32Speaker 2: it's scary, amazing. But it's also very efficient as well too.
- 17:36Speaker 2: And you know, and I think the efficiency of it
- 17:38Speaker 2: as we start to learn how to use this, companies
- 17:40Speaker 2: start to learn how to use it. I think it
- 17:42Speaker 2: is going to go directly to the bottom line of companies.
- 17:45Speaker 2: And I think that it's something that should be exciting,
- 17:48Speaker 2: something that people, you know, will be excited about. And
- 17:51Speaker 2: there are people that are worried about it's going to
- 17:53Speaker 2: take jobs. I think as many jobs as it may take,
- 17:56Speaker 2: I think it will also replace because of the fact
- 17:59Speaker 2: that there are still has to be human beings, you know,
- 18:01Speaker 2: behind the scenes.
- 18:02Speaker 1: At least.
- 18:03Speaker 2: I don't believe it's ever going to run by itself.
- 18:05Speaker 2: You know, some people say that AI is going to
- 18:07Speaker 2: take over the world and you know, collapse the world.
- 18:09Speaker 2: That to me, that's garbage. I just don't see that happening.
- 18:14Speaker 4: Yeah, Well, it's it's so interesting because you know, if
- 18:19Speaker 4: you really know how to program the AI, you can
- 18:22Speaker 4: program it to like automatically scan your emails consistently, shoot
- 18:27Speaker 4: out a summary every time one comes in tell you
- 18:31Speaker 4: which is garbage. You know, you can do things with it,
- 18:36Speaker 4: updating calendars, writing stuff. I mean, you can basically automate
- 18:41Speaker 4: eighty percent of your workflow. So it's going to be interesting,
- 18:46Speaker 4: that's for sure. In the meantime, before AI takes over,
- 18:50Speaker 4: humans are going to be running the show. Do we
- 18:53Speaker 4: expect more of the same from Trump? Or is this
- 18:56Speaker 4: really this administration going to be different? You and I
- 18:59Speaker 4: were really close in age. We've seen a lot of
- 19:03Speaker 4: administrations come and go, making promises, most of them never fulfilled.
- 19:08Speaker 4: The only times I ever saw an administration that really
- 19:13Speaker 4: wanted to change things like this where JFK, which I
- 19:16Speaker 4: was kind of young, he won the nineteen sixty election
- 19:21Speaker 4: and Reagan and then Reagan he was talking about the
- 19:24Speaker 4: Federal Reserve and all of that. Then there was the
- 19:26Speaker 4: assassination at times on him, and then it just became
- 19:30Speaker 4: more of the same, right, the corruption which led to
- 19:33Speaker 4: the Bush corruption, the CIA I ran contra. Are we
- 19:38Speaker 4: going to see something different this time?
- 19:40Speaker 2: So, you know, the first thing about Trump, I know,
- 19:42Speaker 2: you know, people love him where people hate him. I
- 19:45Speaker 2: don't necessarily love the antics and the criticisms, and you
- 19:49Speaker 2: know how he deals with things. But we're not hiring
- 19:52Speaker 2: you know, we didn't hire an emotional therapist. We hired
- 19:56Speaker 2: someone to run the country. And you have to have
- 19:58Speaker 2: a backbone to run the country. And if Trump had anything,
- 20:00Speaker 2: it's a backbone that you know, most people couldn't handle
- 20:02Speaker 2: anything that or any any any of the things that
- 20:05Speaker 2: he's gone through and then still come out. You know,
- 20:09Speaker 2: in the first four years, he did what he said
- 20:11Speaker 2: he was going to do, and you know, putting tariffs.
- 20:15Speaker 1: There were no wars in that four year time period.
- 20:18Speaker 2: I strongly believe that, you know, if someone with the
- 20:21Speaker 2: backbone had been in the office for the last four years,
- 20:24Speaker 2: I don't think a lot of these wars would have occurred.
- 20:25Speaker 2: I think he would have kept them from occurring. And
- 20:27Speaker 2: I think that a lot of them will end. Uh,
- 20:30Speaker 2: you know, because he gets back into office, So I
- 20:33Speaker 2: think it's going to be I think it's going to
- 20:36Speaker 2: be more of the same, which was good because he
- 20:38Speaker 2: actually did what he said he was going to do.
- 20:41Speaker 2: Unlight most politicians, he got tax cuts through with tax
- 20:47Speaker 2: cuts and Jobs Act, and that you know, helped increase
- 20:50Speaker 2: profitability for for for companies. And a lot of people
- 20:55Speaker 2: don't understand that, you know, if you're on the left
- 20:57Speaker 2: or you want to tax the rich, the reality is
- 20:59Speaker 2: it's the rich that give everybody else jobs. You know,
- 21:03Speaker 2: this year, we're just finally finalizing up with our taxes.
- 21:06Speaker 2: And I paid over a million dollars in taxes this year.
- 21:08Speaker 2: And I was talking to my staff, one of my
- 21:10Speaker 2: staff members the other day, and I said, you realize that,
- 21:12Speaker 2: you know, if I'd paid half that amount, I could
- 21:14Speaker 2: hire ten more people. And that means that you have
- 21:17Speaker 2: ten more people that are actually out there productive, buying stuff,
- 21:21Speaker 2: paying sales tax, paying income tax, and and and it's
- 21:26Speaker 2: not because they you know, it's it's because of the
- 21:28Speaker 2: fact that that it's pro growth and Trump is pro
- 21:31Speaker 2: growth and all of his policies are pro growth. And
- 21:34Speaker 2: I and I think because of that, the next you know,
- 21:36Speaker 2: at least nine months or a year, I think are
- 21:38Speaker 2: going to be good. It goes back to the cycles
- 21:40Speaker 2: we talked about carry that at some point in time,
- 21:42Speaker 2: it doesn't matter whose president's cycles are going to happen,
- 21:45Speaker 2: and anything geopolitical could happen to cause us to you know,
- 21:49Speaker 2: to turn around.
- 21:51Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's going to be more of
- 21:52Speaker 1: the same, which is good.
- 21:54Speaker 2: But the one concern that I could have, and it's
- 21:57Speaker 2: it's not a major concern by any means, is that
- 22:00Speaker 2: this is his last term and because he doesn't have
- 22:03Speaker 2: anything at this point to lose, you know, the question.
- 22:06Speaker 1: Is does he go overboard a little bit? He is
- 22:09Speaker 1: zealous for this country. I believe that.
- 22:11Speaker 2: I believe that as a businessman, he sees the debt
- 22:14Speaker 2: we're in. You know, you can look at any company
- 22:17Speaker 2: and realize there's waste in the company. You could look
- 22:19Speaker 2: at the government, Oh my gosh, how many billions of dollars.
- 22:23Speaker 1: Of waste are there.
- 22:24Speaker 2: The fact is that he's got doze started or you know,
- 22:27Speaker 2: going to go that jaction with Musk. There there is
- 22:31Speaker 2: so much waste and you know, so I think all
- 22:34Speaker 2: that's good. But does he go a little bit overboard
- 22:37Speaker 2: because he doesn't have anything to lose? That's the one
- 22:40Speaker 2: concern that I you know, that that I could have,
- 22:42Speaker 2: although I don't, I'm not terribly concerned about it.
- 22:45Speaker 4: Well that's a plus and a minus, right, And what
- 22:48Speaker 4: is overboard when the country's got, you know, facing upwards
- 22:52Speaker 4: of forty trillion dollars in debt by the end of
- 22:55Speaker 4: next year, can you go too far overboard?
- 22:59Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a great point.
- 23:01Speaker 2: And you know, if they go in, it's scary to
- 23:04Speaker 2: me to think how much waste they can actually cut out.
- 23:07Speaker 1: It's just going to be hard to do.
- 23:08Speaker 2: What you have is you have government agencies that were
- 23:11Speaker 2: started for some reason and had a mandate and then
- 23:14Speaker 2: started moving into other things that they were never even
- 23:16Speaker 2: supposed to do moving and then no one ever checks up.
- 23:18Speaker 2: There's no guardrails on any of that stuff. And now
- 23:22Speaker 2: you've got tons of agencies that are overlapping each other,
- 23:25Speaker 2: and you go in and clean that up. The hundreds
- 23:28Speaker 2: of billions of dollars is just you know that they
- 23:31Speaker 2: could save and no one would notice. You know, I
- 23:34Speaker 2: guarantee you no one would notice with all these you know,
- 23:36Speaker 2: all this space that is going on, which is.
- 23:39Speaker 4: Great because you know, we have five hundred somewhat agencies.
- 23:44Speaker 4: They said, I remember it's four hundred or five hundred.
- 23:47Speaker 4: Musk wants to cut it down to one hundred. Do
- 23:50Speaker 4: you think most the average person's going to notice other
- 23:53Speaker 4: than the consultants and the people living off the fat,
- 23:56Speaker 4: the grifters. Will anyone notice it? To Anthony, No, that's
- 24:01Speaker 4: the thing is, they're not even gonna notice.
- 24:02Speaker 2: There's so many different you know, bureaucracies going on right now.
- 24:06Speaker 2: And that's one of the things with you know, last time,
- 24:10Speaker 2: you know, where he deregulated a lot of things. Look,
- 24:13Speaker 2: I'm for regulation. I think regulation needs to be there.
- 24:17Speaker 2: You can't just let the banking system run willy nilly
- 24:21Speaker 2: without any type of guardrails or without any kind of oversight.
- 24:24Speaker 2: Regulation is a big deal. But you can have too
- 24:27Speaker 2: much regulation. You have to give corporations the ability to
- 24:31Speaker 2: you know, in the freedom to be able to operate
- 24:33Speaker 2: within a structure. And the more regulation you put on them,
- 24:36Speaker 2: the less choices we have, and the more winds up
- 24:40Speaker 2: costing just for compliance purposes, and the less effective.
- 24:44Speaker 1: Where you know, we're going to be.
- 24:45Speaker 2: As capitalists and as owners of these corporations. And so
- 24:49Speaker 2: when you deregulate, it doesn't mean deregulate to where you allow.
- 24:53Speaker 1: Everyone to be irresponsible.
- 24:54Speaker 2: It just means let them do their business within certain confines,
- 24:59Speaker 2: and that is good for business. So that's another reason
- 25:02Speaker 2: why I think the next four years is possibly.
- 25:05Speaker 1: Going to be good. But the reality is is these
- 25:08Speaker 1: cycles still are concerning.
- 25:11Speaker 4: Yeah, the cycles, the debt cycle. You know, just getting
- 25:16Speaker 4: rid of a few wars has got to be a
- 25:18Speaker 4: big plus for the world.
- 25:20Speaker 2: Huh, yeah, that's right, one hundred percent. And I you know, again,
- 25:24Speaker 2: I don't think that the wars would have started if
- 25:27Speaker 2: in fact Trump had been in office. And I do
- 25:31Speaker 2: think that they've they've got the ability to come to
- 25:33Speaker 2: a resolution. He just has the backbone to do it.
- 25:35Speaker 2: And you almost feel like Putin knows that he'll do
- 25:40Speaker 2: what he says he's going to do. You know, he's
- 25:42Speaker 2: done it before. China is a concern, you know, Shiji Ping,
- 25:47Speaker 2: you know over there, that's one of the bigger concerns
- 25:50Speaker 2: to me.
- 25:51Speaker 1: And the potential technological warfare.
- 25:53Speaker 2: You know, their military is built up a lot more
- 25:56Speaker 2: than ours there if they've surpassed us at a military standpoint.
- 25:58Speaker 1: Over the last four years.
- 26:00Speaker 2: So we've got to get back in and you know,
- 26:02Speaker 2: we don't necessarily need to get to a point.
- 26:04Speaker 1: Where we're we're better than they are.
- 26:07Speaker 2: We need to get to a point where we can
- 26:09Speaker 2: just defend ourselves if they attack us and make it
- 26:12Speaker 2: so that they can't attack us, or if they do
- 26:14Speaker 2: attack us from a you know, the standpoint of technology, that.
- 26:19Speaker 1: It's going to be too expensive for them.
- 26:21Speaker 2: So I feel like we're behind and that a we
- 26:23Speaker 2: in and I feel like that if there's one area
- 26:25Speaker 2: that they could get us, it is that technological killing
- 26:29Speaker 2: the Internet.
- 26:29Speaker 1: What would happen if the Internet got killed?
- 26:31Speaker 4: Oh man, that would be a massive instantaneous depression.
- 26:36Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, think about banks not being able to
- 26:38Speaker 2: access your money anymore. We're so reliant on the Internet,
- 26:42Speaker 2: and that takes us back to AI. Carry I believe
- 26:44Speaker 2: that in the next two to five years we're going
- 26:47Speaker 2: to be just as reliant on AI everybody as as
- 26:50Speaker 2: we are now on the Internet. And that's kind of
- 26:52Speaker 2: what you were alluding to at the beginning of the show,
- 26:55Speaker 2: is that that's where it's going. You know as well too,
- 26:58Speaker 2: is we're going to be reliant on that more so
- 27:01Speaker 2: than the Internet. Imagine not having to go to uh
- 27:04Speaker 2: to Google. Imagine just being able to type in whatever
- 27:08Speaker 2: you want to Google an intent of having a whole
- 27:10Speaker 2: bunch of you know, Google basically says you type in
- 27:12Speaker 2: something you go, hey, I have a question about this
- 27:14Speaker 2: Google basically says I don't really know, but here's all
- 27:16Speaker 2: these people to go look at. Now, what's going to
- 27:18Speaker 2: happen is AI is gonna You're gonna type in a
- 27:21Speaker 2: question and you can already do this. We you know,
- 27:23Speaker 2: you type in a question about anything, and now it
- 27:25Speaker 2: knows and it takes all that information, assimilates it just
- 27:28Speaker 2: like that and gives you whatever you want. It'll give
- 27:30Speaker 2: you a college page report or if it'll give you
- 27:33Speaker 2: a one paragraph sorry, depending on what you tell it.
- 27:35Speaker 4: Yeah, well, imagine when uh, one day when you say, what,
- 27:40Speaker 4: what's Google?
- 27:42Speaker 1: That's right, that's exactly because.
- 27:43Speaker 4: You're not gonna need Google anymore, basically, right, it's gonna
- 27:47Speaker 4: be right, We're gonna not anymore.
- 27:50Speaker 2: Yeah, you're not. Yeah, you're not gonna need it. It's
- 27:52Speaker 2: it's going to be outdated or you know. And and
- 27:54Speaker 2: they're they're keeping up with it. So if they're smart,
- 27:58Speaker 2: they'll keep up with the AI great, and you'll still
- 28:00Speaker 2: need them, but it won't be to the degree that.
- 28:03Speaker 1: We're using them right now.
- 28:04Speaker 4: Yeah, all right, Well, a lot of interesting things come
- 28:07Speaker 4: and Anthony, tell us where do we find you? How
- 28:10Speaker 4: do we connect with you on the web?
- 28:12Speaker 2: Yeah, thank you, so, Anthony, scar dot com is a
- 28:15Speaker 2: great place to go, and More Life than moneybook dot
- 28:21Speaker 2: com is a great place to go as well too
- 28:23Speaker 2: if you want to read about the ten most common
- 28:26Speaker 2: mistakes that retirees make in retirement and how to avoid them.
- 28:30Speaker 2: So Anthony Sicaro dot com or More Life than Money.
- 28:35Speaker 4: All right, excellent. Hey, there's a link in the show
- 28:38Speaker 4: notes of this interview on Financial Survival Network dot com.
- 28:42Speaker 4: Please sign up for your free newsletter when you go there,
- 28:44Speaker 4: like sixty thousand other FSN members have. And I've got
- 28:49Speaker 4: a question for Anthony or myself or AI. Tell us
- 28:52Speaker 4: your experiences with AI, how it's helped you, how it's
- 28:56Speaker 4: hurt you. Kl at Carrie lets dot com is the
- 28:59Speaker 4: email address, Anthony. Appreciate your stopping by. We'll talk to
- 29:02Speaker 4: you again soon.
- 29:03Speaker 1: Gary, thanks for having me.
- 29:04Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your
- 29:08Speaker 3: solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to
- 29:12Speaker 3: Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than
- 29:18Speaker 3: ever