Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 304 - 6/23/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 304 - 6/23/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to episode 3 O four of the All Systems Go
• 0:24
  sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy Monday, a new week begins. The weekend is over.
• 0:40
  We got the final week here full first full final week or last
• 0:43
  final week in the month of June. So, so we can finish up strong
• 0:46
  here, guys, but we got to get right back into the world of
• 0:49
  Major League Baseball because we are grinding MLB again.
• 0:54
  I talked to a lot of people, especially in the sports betting
• 0:56
  world. And, you know, you have your
• 0:57
  fair share of sports bettors who say, yeah, I'll take the summer
• 1:01
  off. It's known as kind of gamblers
• 1:02
  vacation. And, you know, wake me up when
• 1:04
  the NFL and college football return.
• 1:06
  But you guys are just like me. I know you are.
• 1:09
  And we love grinding Major League Baseball because it's a
• 1:11
  long season. I'm not going to say it's smooth
• 1:13
  sailing the entire way. We're going to have our fair
• 1:15
  share of blown bullpens, blown saves, you know, teams not
• 1:19
  showing up for us. That happens, but it's a long
• 1:22
  season with so many games each day and I think that really
• 1:24
  benefits us as data-driven betters because when you have 15
• 1:27
  games to choose from, we're just trying to focus on the top three
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  system matches each day and grind out as many two and one
• 1:33
  winning days as we possibly can. When you get a three and O
• 1:36
  sweep, hey, it's even sweeter, which did happen on Saturday.
• 1:40
  If you're able to track the all systems go best bet picks which
• 1:44
  as always available to you exclusively and only through the
• 1:46
  Juice Reel app. If you like this pod and it's
• 1:49
  free and I've hopefully helped you, you know, brought your your
• 1:53
  horse to horse to some water and got some winters.
• 1:55
  I would love for you guys to show some love by signing up to
• 1:58
  get the all systems go best bet picks from Juice Reel that only
• 2:01
  cost you $4.99 a week, basically a cup of coffee.
• 2:05
  And that was a good weekend overall, guys, 5 and 1 + 2.69
• 2:09
  units. I mentioned Saturday.
• 2:11
  Remember, these are sharp report plays that are right for
• 2:13
  visen.com or if you just don't need the analysis, just what you
• 2:16
  just want to get the play in either tail or fade or pick and
• 2:19
  choose whatever. You can always get them on the
• 2:21
  juicer lap. But Saturday 3 and O + 2.15
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  units had the Guardians, the Angels and the Cardinals all
• 2:27
  come through, and then yesterday 2 and 1 + 0.54 units had the
• 2:32
  Phillies. Sunday Night Baseball.
• 2:34
  Keep an eye on this number or this system match.
• 2:37
  Sunday Night Baseball home favorites, they're now 171 or
• 2:40
  sorry 177 and 9964% win rate 8% ROI dating back to 2010.
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  So that's been a good spot. Phil's came through also the
• 2:50
  Angels earlier or sorry the giants earlier in the day.
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  Only loser was the Angels. So A5 and 1 + 2.69 unit weekend
• 2:57
  Hope that was maybe a small part of of your weekend, which
• 3:01
  hopefully treated you guys well. I'll let you know, I had a busy
• 3:05
  weekend because I had my my mom and dad visit us and stay with
• 3:08
  us for about four days. And then yesterday went up to
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  the in laws new house in New Hampshire and I mowed their lawn
• 3:15
  for the first time. And I was actually, it's a
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  different lawn mower. My dad always had a John Deere
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  sit down with the, you know, the circle steer steering wheel.
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  Well, my father-in-law Jerry, he got a Cub Cadet like golf, golf
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  course style one where it's a sit down one, but it's got the
• 3:30
  like handlebars that you move up and it's a zero turn.
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  So I was a little nervous how that would how, how it would go.
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  But I had a successful first time mowing the, the in laws
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  yards. That went well.
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  And I must say it is hot out here.
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  So stay, stay hydrated, stay cool, find some shade.
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  It's like 98° in Boston right now.
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  It's going to be about 100° over the next couple days.
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  We just got to get through today, Monday, Tuesday and
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  Wednesday and then the the temperature drops and we're back
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  in the 70s. So my AC is pumping.
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  Fingers crossed no bad beats in the AC kicks out.
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  We're going to see if we can stay inside, win some bets and
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  stay cool as it is a massive heat wave if you're like me in
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  in New England. But anyway, guys, hope you had a
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  great weekend. We're back at it today.
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  I do have a three pack of sweats for you, MLB as always.
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  And these are all relatively short, modest favorites here.
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  You know, less than -150 all three of them.
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  So if we could find a way to go 2 and 1 eke out a winning day,
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  we have a nice little kickback because of these short prices
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  that were laying. So anyway, without further ado,
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  let's dive right in, see if we can get some winners on the
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  diamond tonight. I want to start off with first
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  game on the board or second game overall, but this is a 7:10 PM
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  Eastern Time first pitch. The Atlanta Braves visiting the
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  aforementioned New York Mets who were able to get a win against
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  last night with the Phills. And I do have a Sunday night
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  baseball fade trend that I want to share with you guys here in a
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  second. But anyway, let's set the stage.
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  7:10 PM Eastern Eastern Time, first pitch we got the Braves
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  visiting the Mets. The Braves, who are 35 and 41 on
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  the year, just dropped two or three against the Marlins.
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  They lost yesterday's series finale 5 to 3 as a -160 Rd.
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  favorite. Meanwhile the Mets, 46 and 2032
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  on the year I should say, just lost two or three though against
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  the Phills. Again, lost 7:00 to 1:00 last
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  night as a + 100 Rd. dog, which was fine with us as as Phillies
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  betters. So series opener here tonight.
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  Big NL E rivalry matchup. We got the Braves going with the
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  righty Spencer Schwellenbach. He's five and four with a 3.26
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  ERA. Mets, meanwhile, going to go
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  with the ready Paul Blackburn. He's on one with a 6.92 ERA.
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  So we'll be seeing across the market here.
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  Well, this game opened Atlanta as low as a -, 120 -, 125 Rd.
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  favorite and that's around a + 100 or +105 home dog.
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  And the public really doesn't know what to do here.
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  So we got a 5050 line move. You guys know what that means.
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  Anytime you have the tickets that are right down the middle
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  5050 or you know, it could be 5240850347, it's just got to be
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  basically down the middle without any, you know, clear
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  indication of which way the public is leaning.
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  So no contrarian value, but anytime you see that 5050 public
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  hasn't made-up their mind, they're saying, hey, you know,
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  Braves have the better pitcher on the bump, but Mets are at
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  home getting plus money. They have a better record, so
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  they don't know what to do. However, even though the tickets
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  at DraftKings are 5050, this line is moving toward Atlanta.
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  The Braves have gotten steamed up -120 -, 125 now up to -135 -,
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  140. Some shops even as high as -145
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  So that tells me that even though the public's undecided,
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  all that big wiseguy money is going with the Braves causing
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  that that 5050 line move in their favor.
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  Now if you look at DraftKings in particular is what I mean about
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  5050, if you want to get super technical, it's 51% of money
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  line bets on the Braves. But the Braves are also taking
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  into account 69% of money line dollars.
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  Then you look at circa 75% of bets, 78% of dollars.
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  So both DraftKings and Circa are showing a low bets higher dollar
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  split in favor of Atlanta. Now the Braves would match the
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  system that I really like here. Rd. favorites off a loss who
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  made the playoffs the previous season.
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  That system is 68 and and 3964% with a 6% ROI this year.
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  It's also kind of a fishy play where Atlanta is 6 games below
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  500 and the Mets are 14 games above 500, but yet the sub 500
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  team opens as a favorite and has become more of a favorite.
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  So I kind of want to embrace that fishy situational spot.
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  Braves have played better recently.
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  Over the last 10 games, they're seven and three.
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  They're hitting 254 as a team and they have a 3.13 team ERA.
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  Meanwhile, the Mets struggling over their last 10, They're two
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  and eight over the last 10, and they're only hitting 220 as a
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  team. They have a team ERA of 5.95.
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  Atlanta, by the way, is 3 and O against the Mets this year.
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  Hope that continues. And Atlanta is 6 and two In
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  Schwellenbach's last eight starts.
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  He's pitched pretty well, knock on wood.
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  And then the other angle here that I love, I kind of hinted at
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  this a little bit earlier, but fading the Sunday Night baseball
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  team. So there's been a system that a
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  lot of wise guys and myself included have really always kind
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  of factored in or tried to take into account.
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  If you play the Sunday Night Baseball game, typically you
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  want to fade that team the following day on Monday.
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  Whole thought process is on Sunday.
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  Most games are day games. It's like Atlanta, yeah, they're
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  in Miami, but that was an earlier game.
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  Mets played a late game, started at 7:00, got over at 10, then
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  they got to turn around, travel back to New York.
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  Not that Philly to New York is a is a huge long flight or
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  anything, but usually you want to fade that team who played
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  Sunday Night baseball just because it's kind of a tough
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  turn around. It's almost like a short week in
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  the NFL. So that wouldn't match here
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  fading the Mets who played last night and in favor of the
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  Braves. A little cherry on top, I popped
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  open Juice Reel and I noticed a 12% sharp mush edge in favor of
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  the Braves. So 12% more of the sharper
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  winning betters who have downloaded Juice Reel are going
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  Braves. And then oh by the way, Robo
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  Jackson, the hardest AI work in bot.
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  Which Robo Jackson if you are not aware, releases the official
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  best bet picks for Juice Reel. There's 2 plays that come out
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  each day at noon and they're model AI driven.
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  So it's a it's a basically a best bet calculator.
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  One of the two best bets tonight is the Atlanta Braves.
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  So we got a 5050 line move, sharp bet split kind of a fishy
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  below 500 team against us above 500 team fade some of that
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  baseball sharp mush edge. I got the Braves guys.
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  I got them at -135 little bit earlier today from Bet MGM
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  again, hint, hint, if you follow these plays on juice real, you'd
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  get that earlier. Hopefully get some CLV, but
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  again, shop around. I think your lowest price now is
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  -140 but some shops inching toward -145 -, 150.
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  But either way, let's go. Braves next one for you, Seattle
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  Mariners visiting the Minnesota Twins now.
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  This is a 7:40 PM Eastern Time. First pitch.
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  We have the Mariners coming in 39 and 37 on the year.
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  They won two or three against the Cubbies.
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  Had a big fourteen to six win yesterday.
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  Cashing as a -130 Rd. favorite. You know the Twinkies, remember
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  then they started really bad. Then they were had some
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  ridiculous win streak. Well, they win like fourteen in
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  a row at one point, whatever it was.
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  But now they're struggling again.
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  They're 37 and 40 on the year, three games below 500.
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  They just got swept by the Brewers.
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  They lost 9 to 8 yesterday as a -140 home favorite.
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  So pitching match up tonight we got the Mariners going to ready
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  Brian Wu. He is 6 and four with a 3.12
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  ERA. Twins, meanwhile, are going to
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  go with the ready Bailey Ober. He's four and four with a 4.54
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  ERA. What are we seeing across the
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  market here? Well, if you like the Atlanta
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  Braves, I think you like Seattle.
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  Very similar Rd. Favorite line move because we
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  open this game, Mariners very short -115 Rd. favorite
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  Minnesota around a -, 1 O 5 home dog.
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  And we've now seen the Seattle Mariners get steamed up -115 up
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  to -130 some shops even now -135 now.
• 11:08
  I jumped on Seattle a little earlier today at -125 that was
• 11:12
  notable to me. Big steam move in their favor
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  tells me smart money is loaded up on the Mariners at Circa.
• 11:18
  You're getting around 2/3 of bets in dollars on Seattle.
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  So out at the Circa, the sharp Vegas book looks like a lot of
• 11:24
  big money pouring in on the Mariners.
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  One system that I really like here that matches on Seattle
• 11:29
  Monday. Teams off a win with line
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  movement in their favor. They're 37 and 20 on the year,
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  65% with a 17% ROI. Seattle does have the more
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  explosive bats they're hitting or they've hit overall 101 home
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  runs. They scored 347 runs.
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  Twins have hit 86 home runs and scored 328 runs.
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  And a little dig, you know, deeper dive into the starting
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  pitchers. I want to back Woo.
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  I want to fade Bailey over. Woo was giving up three earned
• 11:57
  runs or less in 10 of his 14 starts this year.
• 12:01
  Meanwhile, Ober has a 8.31 ERA in three June starts.
• 12:05
  He's giving up 16 earned runs in 17.1 in each pitch.
• 12:09
  And oh, by the way, the Twins are O and five.
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  And his last five starts. Recent performance really points
• 12:14
  toward the Mariners here. They're six and four over their
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  last 10. They're hitting 289 as a team,
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  3.58 ERA. Meanwhile, the Twins one and
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  nine over their last ten, only hitting 240 with a 7.97 team
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  ERA. And oh, by the way, pop open
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  Juice Reel, 18% sharp mush edge in favor of Seattle, SoCal,
• 12:36
  Raleigh in Seattle after going nuts at Wrigley, getting some
• 12:39
  good smart money here today as a road favorite with a good sharp
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  line move and a sharp mush edge. I'm going to Seattle Mariners
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  guys, let's go EMS, I got a -, 125 again.
• 12:49
  Shop around. Looks like your best prices
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  around -130 at Bet MGM in FanDuel.
• 12:54
  Last bit of the night, let's look toward an interleague
• 12:57
  matchup on the South Side. 7:40 PM Eastern Time, First pitch, we
• 13:01
  have the Arizona Snakes visiting the Chicago White Sox now.
• 13:05
  The Diamondbacks come in 39 and 38 on the year.
• 13:08
  Just took two or three though against the Rockies.
• 13:10
  Couldn't get the sweep. However, they lost yesterday's
• 13:13
  series finale 4 to 2 as a -175 Rd. favorite.
• 13:17
  You know. On the other hand, the White Sox
• 13:18
  25 and 53. Surprisingly, they just took two
• 13:21
  or three at the Blue Jays 1/4 to 2 yesterday as a + 165 Rd. dog.
• 13:27
  So for tonight's interleague series opener, the Diamondbacks
• 13:30
  are going to go with the lefty Eduardo Rodriguez.
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  Two and four, 5.93 ERA on the year.
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  He'll be opposed by the righty Shane Smith for the White Sox
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  was three and four they 2.85 ERA this year.
• 13:42
  Now, what have we seen across the market?
• 13:44
  Well, if you like Atlanta and you like Seattle, I think you
• 13:47
  like Arizona. Kind of a weird overlap tonight,
• 13:51
  guys. The short Rd. favorites becoming
• 13:52
  more of a favorite. Now we open this game, Arizona
• 13:55
  round a -, 130 Rd. favorite we've now seen and Chicago is
• 13:59
  around plus 110 on the buyback. But we have seen the snakes now
• 14:03
  get steamed up -130 up to -140 and I'm seeing some, some shops
• 14:07
  right now inch toward -150 so pretty good one way movement in
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  favor of Arizona. I really like the bet splits on
• 14:14
  the Diamondbacks. At DraftKings, they're getting
• 14:16
  80% of money line bets, 84% of money line dollars.
• 14:20
  And then over at Circa in the desert, 86% of money line bets,
• 14:25
  99% of money line dollars in favor of Arizona.
• 14:29
  So both books have a nice low bets higher dollar split pro and
• 14:33
  Joe in favor of Arizona. You're probably thinking the
• 14:35
  public's just fading the White Sox because they're bad record.
• 14:38
  Whereas wise guys more seeing value in the number on this
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  opened, you know, as low as minus as -130 you know, they
• 14:45
  said, hey, maybe we have our numbers at -140 -, 150 to begin
• 14:48
  with, which is why they hit Arizona.
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  Remember, pros always bet numbers, not teams.
• 14:53
  Now system matches here, lighting up on Arizona road,
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  favorites off a loss, playing an opponent off a win, kind of that
• 15:00
  buy low sell high play. That's 101 and 6162% with a 7%
• 15:05
  ROI this year. If you're a sweet spot non
• 15:08
  division Rd. favorite between -135 and -160 those teams are 43
• 15:13
  and 2365 percent, 10% ROI. And this one's a little wonky,
• 15:18
  so bear with me, but favorites in the opening game of a new
• 15:21
  series with line movement in their favor in which they made
• 15:24
  the playoffs the previous year and their opponent did not.
• 15:27
  I know it's a, it's a kind of a mouth load there a lot of a lot
• 15:30
  of, you know, variables. But anyway, that system match is
• 15:33
  46 and 2268% with a 4% ROI. Now, I'm going to bank on the
• 15:39
  Arizona bats hopefully showing up tonight.
• 15:41
  They have a big edge at the plate.
• 15:42
  They're hitting 255 on the year, 110 homers, 396 runs scored.
• 15:47
  White Sox, meanwhile, only hitting 221 as a team, Sixty
• 15:51
  home runs and 272 runs scored. If you dig a little deeper into
• 15:55
  the situational spot, home Rd. And then you know left right
• 15:58
  splits match up in terms of batting, hopefully an edge to
• 16:02
  Arizona cuz they're hitting 251 on the road, 7th best in
• 16:05
  baseball and they're hitting 258 against righties.
• 16:08
  That's the 4th best in baseball. Meanwhile, the South siders
• 16:11
  hitting 2/24 at home. That ranks 27th and they're
• 16:14
  hitting 233 against lefties. That ranks 17th.
• 16:17
  Diamondbacks, by the way, six and four over their last ten,
• 16:21
  hitting 260. White Sox two and eight over the
• 16:23
  last 10, hitting 212. And Eduardo Rodriguez, even
• 16:27
  though his numbers aren't great overall, two and four. 5.93 ERA.
• 16:31
  He has pitched better as of late, and he goes on the injured
• 16:35
  list for a while, but in the month of June, he's made three
• 16:38
  starts. 2.81 ERA. He's only given up five runs in
• 16:42
  16 innings pitched. So, Long story short, we have a
• 16:45
  road favorite becoming more of a favorite.
• 16:48
  Good bet splits of both DraftKings and Circa, a bunch of
• 16:50
  system matches, better offense, and then hopefully, fingers
• 16:53
  crossed E Rod can pitch a gym for us tonight.
• 16:57
  Long story short, I'm going with Arizona.
• 16:59
  The Snakes, baby. Got them at -135 again.
• 17:03
  Some shops now as high as -145 S, the Braves, the Mariners, the
• 17:09
  Arizona Diamondbacks. If we can find a way to get two
• 17:11
  out of three, that'll be a nice start to the week.
• 17:15
  So that about does it for episode 3 O four of the all
• 17:17
  systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 17:21
  As always, guys, this is the part of the pod where we wrap
• 17:23
  things up and I start first by saying thank you.
• 17:26
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 17:28
  busy lives. I know you guys got a lot going
• 17:30
  on with the fact that you spend 30 minutes or so hanging out
• 17:34
  with me, breaking down sharp line moves.
• 17:36
  It really does mean a lot and really makes me proud of kind of
• 17:39
  the community we've created, not betting based on gut instinct or
• 17:42
  bias, but based upon what the market is telling us.
• 17:45
  If you do enjoy the pod and you want to help me out, please
• 17:48
  would you consider giving it a five star review on the App
• 17:51
  Store or sorry, on iTunes or Spotify?
• 17:54
  If you want to leave a nice comment under the review section
• 17:57
  or if you want to click that follow button.
• 17:59
  That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
• 18:01
  Or if you just want to, you know, recommend the pod to a
• 18:03
  friend, word of mouth, that would all be fantastic.
• 18:06
  You know, it would mean a lot to me.
• 18:08
  Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, notice we're
• 18:11
  not talking about oh, I think this lap and oh, take this team
• 18:14
  because they're due. No, that's bias betting.
• 18:18
  You know you're biased. We all have them.
• 18:19
  We try to limit them, but that means we're pretty much making
• 18:23
  bad plays based out of what we think or want or hope will
• 18:26
  happen. No, no, no.
• 18:27
  We want to bet games based on what the market is telling us.
• 18:29
  Will the market win every game? No, but we can figure out games
• 18:33
  that have sharp action, have some good system matches, maybe
• 18:37
  have a contrarian approach, then hey, those are the bets that
• 18:40
  overtime have proven to be the smarter bets.
• 18:42
  But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting, you
• 18:44
  enjoy the style of betting, you want to let me know you
• 18:47
  appreciate the pot. Or maybe you have a friend or
• 18:49
  colleague or family member who wants to bet and doesn't know
• 18:52
  how to begin or does bet and loses a lot and just bets based
• 18:55
  on favoritism. I would love for you guys to go
• 18:58
  to Amazon.com and then type in the Everything Guide to Sports
• 19:02
  Betting. That's the first book I ever
• 19:04
  wrote. I'm very proud of it, but it's
• 19:05
  got everything I've learned in the industry.
• 19:07
  How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
• 19:10
  movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
• 19:13
  person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
• 19:16
  a bankroll management plan. It's all included in the
• 19:18
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 19:21
  So while you're picking up the Everything Guide, stay on Amazon
• 19:24
  and then type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 19:26
  It's my new book. It comes out August 12th.
• 19:29
  Cannot wait. So really only about 5 weeks
• 19:31
  away or so. Six weeks maybe kind of crazy,
• 19:34
  but can't wait for it to drop. If you want to make my publisher
• 19:38
  triumph books happy and you want to get a leg up and get the one
• 19:41
  of the first copies that Jeff Bezos will drop on your door
• 19:45
  with a drone from Amazon. I would love for you guys to
• 19:47
  pre-order a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
• 19:51
  It would mean a lot to me and I also found out recently there
• 19:55
  will be an audio book because people have been asking about
• 19:57
  that. And yes, there will be an audio
• 19:59
  book available as well, but grab the everything guide. pre-order
• 20:03
  the NFL sharp betting playbook. Bring them to the sports book.
• 20:05
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you beer or ginger ale
• 20:08
  or we'll just we'll just pound ice water because it's too hot
• 20:10
  right now. But anyway, guys, couple other
• 20:13
  things just to finish up. If you haven't done it yet, go
• 20:16
  download rhythm and juice reel, my two favorite sports betting
• 20:19
  apps. Rhythm Fantastic for their AI
• 20:21
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 20:25
  We will you know, NBA is over now so OK C the the Champs, but
• 20:30
  we will bet some WNBA or 1:00 and all right now in the WNBA.
• 20:34
  But now with our options limited here just pretty much baseball
• 20:38
  until football returns. WNBA system matches are
• 20:41
  available on the rhythm app and then also make sure you download
• 20:45
  Juice reel. Juice Reel has so many great
• 20:47
  features. First off, if you want to
• 20:49
  support the pod, sign up to get the $4.99 a week best bet pics
• 20:53
  from Juice Reel. You can just click that link
• 20:55
  that I tweet out at Josh under score insights late afternoon
• 20:59
  directing you to the all systems go best best bet picks with the
• 21:03
  profile link to the ASG pod profile.
• 21:07
  Or you can just again, download Juice Reel, click buy sell
• 21:10
  bottom right corner and then search sellers and just search
• 21:14
  ASG under score podcast. But also you will get the robo
• 21:17
  Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
• 21:20
  arbitrage plays. Shop for the best line futures.
• 21:23
  Sync up your sports books, get a running report card of your
• 21:26
  action and get real dollar and bet breakdowns for every game.
• 21:30
  Spread money line in total from everyone who has synced up their
• 21:33
  sports book. So it's a great app as well as
• 21:36
  of course, rhythm. But go download rhythm, download
• 21:38
  juice reel. Give them a five star review
• 21:40
  while you're at it. Next, do you have a live odds
• 21:43
  page? You need a live odds page.
• 21:46
  It is so important if you're betting sports on a daily basis
• 21:48
  because you got to know one. What games can I bet on today?
• 21:52
  What are the start times? You know, how is the line moved?
• 21:55
  You get your opening column all to the right.
• 21:57
  You'll have the current prices so you can immediately see, oh,
• 22:00
  hey, Atlanta went from -125 to -140 I first thing to know,
• 22:04
  there is boom. Maybe that's a play because it
• 22:06
  got a sharp line move. We got to know which direction
• 22:09
  the line move. You got to pull up the line
• 22:10
  history. You got to be able to shop for
• 22:12
  the best line. You got to identify steam.
• 22:14
  When the team gets their odds get lit up in red, you know
• 22:17
  they're getting hit. As well as having all the
• 22:20
  different great sports books available to you, not just the
• 22:22
  major ones, but the market setters and the ones that you
• 22:25
  bet at. And there are a lot of live odds
• 22:27
  pages out there, but the best one around, best value and
• 22:30
  cleanest interface is odds logic.
• 22:33
  So if you're looking to give a new live odds page a shot or you
• 22:37
  have never used the live odds page, you really need one.
• 22:39
  It's also called the screen or the board.
• 22:41
  Some people call it that. But anyway, I have a promo code
• 22:44
  for you or a link to go to, to give you a 7 day free trial.
• 22:48
  And then 50% off your first month, just go to
• 22:50
  oddslogic.com/josh 123. Again, that's odds
• 22:56
  logic.com/josh 123. So that about dozen guys on a
• 23:01
  hot, as you know what, Monday, if you're like me in New
• 23:03
  England, although I got some people in the in the desert and
• 23:07
  Vegas who are like, yeah, 95°. Well, it's 110 out here.
• 23:10
  I got to tell you though, it's like humid.
• 23:12
  It's muggy if it's a different heat out here as the New
• 23:15
  Englanders like me like to say. But anyway, last couple things
• 23:20
  that I will always leave with you.
• 23:22
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 23:25
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 23:27
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 23:30
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park casino R.E.M.
• 23:32
  Gem Springfield or the Nash and my neck of the woods and and
• 23:35
  kind of the outskirts of Boston by the New Hampshire border.
• 23:39
  Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
• 23:41
  Or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest juice
• 23:43
  possible is found at the South Point.
• 23:45
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 23:47
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 23:49
  Circa, you're going to show me a nice five in one weekend.
• 23:53
  Show me from Saturday. Guardians, Angels, Cardinals,
• 23:56
  Show me from yesterday, the Phillies, Sunday baseball home
• 23:58
  favorite with a line move, and the Giants.
• 24:01
  Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
• 24:02
  you. Then I'll post about the books
• 24:04
  about sharp contrarian plays all night long.
• 24:07
  So wish you the best luck, everybody, as always.
• 24:09
  A5 in one weekend, A1 in five weekend, A6 in O weekend an O in
• 24:13
  six, weekend three and two, 2:00 and 3:00.
• 24:16
  Somewhere in the middle. Whether we're hot, whether we're
• 24:18
  cold, when we're hot, we're never as good as we think.
• 24:21
  When we're cold, we're never as bad as we think.
• 24:23
  We're always somewhere in the middle.
• 24:24
  But the name of the game is to never get too high or too low
• 24:26
  and just keep grinding that system match and that system for
• 24:30
  us guys, you can, it's a bit, it's kind of complex, but you
• 24:33
  can boil it down to this. Against the public with the
• 24:36
  house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing
• 24:40
  line value. If we can do that long term and
• 24:42
  stick to that model and just bet down.
• 24:44
  Get down on the games that fit those, those, those check off
• 24:47
  those boxes and avoid the ones that don't.
• 24:49
  I'm pretty confident we're going to be successful sports betters.
• 24:52
  So have a great Monday everybody stay cool.
• 24:55
  If you're like me, cuz again, I don't do well in heat.
• 24:58
  Let me ask you this, would you rather have 100° or a 30° day?
• 25:03
  I'll take the 30° day in, in winter time.
• 25:06
  I, I don't do well with the heat.
• 25:08
  I just, I really don't. And my wife is from San Diego.
• 25:11
  She loves the heat. It does not faze her at all.
• 25:13
  She's in the sun 98° and she's loving it.
• 25:16
  Not me. But anyway, guys, stay cool out
• 25:19
  there. Hope you have a fantastic
• 25:21
  Monday. Be right back at it tomorrow.
• 25:23
  That'll be episode 3 O 5 on a big Tuesday of the all systems
• 25:27
  go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 25:30
  Good luck everybody, and let's get 2 out of three on the
• 25:32
  diamond tonight.