Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 46: Championship Week Betting Preview

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Episode 46: Championship Week Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls. At your favorite time of a week,
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you download the crazy shit. You get you some cold to drinking to
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get ready to talk about some college football with Scott and Mark. I'm Mark,
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and I'm here in the podcasting studio. Otherwise, Notice my backyard and
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my man, Scott, I can tell from his background, is sitting at
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home already. How the hell are you, brother, Man? I am
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already been out on the road back a little bit this week. So it's
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good. I mean last week was a good week. It Uh, even
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the games we missed, Mark, it's weird. I didn't feel like we
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really missed. I felt like Washington was It was the only game I really
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missed all weekend. I mean the upset games. I mean North Carolina State
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obviously wanted drill them, and I mean drill them. Uh. If you
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didn't watch much of that game, South Carolina scoop and score, Oh my
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god, I mean that's the difference to the game. Man, It really
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was. I mean it was a huge deal. And then and then Florida,
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Florida State. Florida's right there, isn't it. Uh until the very
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end, I still thought they had a chance to win and then boom that
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last you know, that last ten nuts, you know was the difference in
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the ball game. But uh, Florida State playoff all that. Man,
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you cannot watch that ball game and think that Florida State's one of the best
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sport teams in the country right now. And I hate it for him.
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It suck because if they go undefeated, they deserve to be in it.
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Somebody ought to have to beat them. But they're gonna go get up,
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They're gonna go get their breaks beat off. I mean, can you imagine
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them trying to play Georgia and you know wherever they want to put And I'm
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not one hundred percent sure Louisville is that good, but I think they can
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get by them. I mean, Louisville led a completely nug last week against
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Kentucky, but they have had They've had breaks all season long. I think
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they're a very good team. They're over under win total was it eight and
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a half? That was a nice cash ticket, uh, and they played
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way above expectations. I think Jeff Brown's a good coach, but I don't
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know how I'm gonna play that game this week. I haven't decided yet.
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Ohio to me, was the biggest letdown of the season in regards to the
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MAC. I thought this team was really loaded and had a good chance to
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make a run through the MAC and just never really could get out of neutral.
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I mean, after that San Diego State game that they choked out early
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on, they never could get it going, and we missed that one as
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well. But let's talk about real quick before we jump, because I know
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it's conference weekend. We'll get into new coaching hires and changes. There's a
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couple we can mention, but the West Coast Man, how bad is USC
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and UCLA's rosters compared to what they're about to step into when they get into
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the Big Ten next year, because they're nowhere close in my opinion, no
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doubt about it. And I don't think people realize. I mean, everybody
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thinks about the Big Three when you talk about the Big Ten being physical,
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but this is the second most physical league in the country and it's not really
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close. The SEC in the Big Ten, they all pound on you,
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even the bad teams for the most part, pound on them. And everybody's
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thinking about the Big Three. But man, you got Iowa, They're gonna
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get after you. Rudgers gets after you physically. I mean there's something.
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Look, Doncan Smith's gonna have things. I'm gonna have a Michigan State getting
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after you physically. I mean there's some things that get after it. Nebraska's
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getting better. I think rule will get that turned around. I do.
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I think this may turn into a problem. Oregon and Washington are by far
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of the two schools of those guys that have gotten that looked to be the
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most ready in Oregon probably the most from a depth standpoint of being more ready
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to jump right into that deal. So I think a lot of I think
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there may be a wake up call. Uh. It's fascinated to see USC
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hires official Azor Difrans coordinator. You know a lot of a lot of names
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bascing around around out there on that. Uh, going back to last week
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the Mississippi State. On this game, most we called it at ten,
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that came got all the way down to eight and a half. I'm sure
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that's probably where most people took it. Uh, So you got to cover.
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Keivin played scared to me, and I know that offensive line was beat
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up, but man, he never tried to push the football down the field.
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And I was shocked by that. They ran the football significantly better than
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I thought they would have, which would have allowed them the opportunity. They
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just looked scared. Bookie Watson blitzing with the with the patchwork offensive line that
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they just didn't want to put them in a put the quarterback in a bad
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position. So whole Mistress is clearly the better football team. Uh that that
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was the bottom line in that game. James Madison came out. You called
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it pound city on coastal. Uh. So a really good week last week.
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I enjoyed the games last week, just watching them, just watching them
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happen. A lot of coaching carousel getting done. We already mentioned Jonathan Smith.
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Uh Levy coming over from Oklahoma going to Mississippi State. I'll be interested
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to see how that works out. I told a friend of mine, I'd
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be shocked if we didn't end up with him as our as our head coach.
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Uh. Two days after we let go of Arnett, and he asked
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me, why so this guy come comes from Oklahoma. People tend to do
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what they know, and boom there it was. I still think Willie Fritz
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is the right hire, not that I don't think Levy may do a good
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job. He's exciting. It makes a lot of good things happen. WILLI
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Fritz is great interested to see what There's a lot of smoke that they had
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that Houston had some interest in Fritz. But now you're seeing you're seeing some
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love pop up for uh, for Texas Tech, the the the old coach
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and Cardinals and attack that might have some interest in the Houston jobs. So
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let me tell you something that I think it'll be two schools. If you've
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got a chance to hire Fritz, you're an idiot if you don't. Prince's
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daughter lives in Houston. Uh, they'd be nuts to not do it.
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So anyway, that's that's my opinion on the coaching carousel. How I do
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have one thing to say about A and m el Coast Probably I think where
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most people thought they might land. When you look at coaching supplements, what
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they're paying him, what they're paying Jimbo to go away is big. Their
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budget is they are mark they are going to be just in football coaches salaries
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at between ten and twelve percent athletic budget. Just while they're at athletic budget's
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an excess of two hundred million. That is a lot when you got a
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big number like that, and I just man, they are paying out the
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nose, the deal on stoops and the revolt when you start letting your fan
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base run your deal. You're an idiot. But I do want to say
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I posted this on Twitter, Jimmy Sexton. Baby, he controls college football
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and make no mistake about it, and he works these athletic directors just grinds
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them. I mean there is a I'm led to believe that. Basically,
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he called us, told us when the search started, who here's here's who
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you can get, Here's how much it will cost. And about a weekend,
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was like, these numbers are all going up. So you want to
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talk or do you not? You've completely I don't give a shit about anybodys
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you've talked about. The most interesting hire all week took place in Vietnam when
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they bring Bobby Patrino back to coach there. And I hope that motherfucker rides
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out on his first game on a motorcycle just to get the crowd roped up
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and gets it going. He came out if he came out on a motorcycle,
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And how odd is that the Athletic runs an article about that whole fiasco.
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And I had no idea that he was coaching football of Alito and is
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married. I knew he married that chick. I didn't know that that fiance
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who was the strength coach. I didn't know they got married, but I
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didn't know they lived in Alito. And are you know back you know this
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this close to Vietnam? I guess would be would be what I said,
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Uh yeah, that is wild on Petrino. I can wait see how that
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shakes out. Are they gonna be able to get anybody? I bet they're
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in IL numbers bigger, But I can't believe they're keeping putting the way they
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ended the season. It's really bad. How about Auburn? How do you
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look as shitty as they looked against Mexico State and come out and do that?
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And how about Obama? I mean for people that don't watch Alabama and
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haven't been watching them for three decades or four decades, really five decades,
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because I've been watching them since I can remember that have not sat in stadiums
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and watched Alabama win countless games like that. I don't know what's taken.
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I don't know. It's the only thing to me is is weird stuff happens
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at jord and hair in the Bama game, the Georgia game. Look at
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the Georgia game where it bounces off the kid's head, Well that was a
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Jordan hair too. Well, yeah, that's what I'm saying. It's just
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weird stuff to me happens in Jordan Hair and in that game, nothing is
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ever gonna surprise me. That's the reason I don't like to play it,
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because it's it's such a rivalry that you it's you know, I know they
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say, oh, just throw it all out, but really in that game,
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especially at Jordan Hare, I just don't ever know what's going to go
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on down there, and I just leave it alone and just enjoy the entertainment.
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You know, they run that play. I was listening to read back
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on it. You know, they called it Grave Digger. It's fourth and
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goal, he's from thirty one, hits him there in the corner. I
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was just, how are you rushing to dropping seven with the spy on mill
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Row and you don't have somebody, you know, why are you in man
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coverage at that point? I have no idea. But anyway, nor here
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nor there, we made money last week. Scott and we had one weekend
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left until we get to the Army Davy game. It's championship weekend. I'm
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ready to roll. What's our record as we get ready to go into this
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championship weekend? Uh seventy one, fifteen five and two because I'm counting all
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the most games of push because we call it it ten he can have pushed.
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Did you see ESPN bet launch? Did you how you damage your brand
10:07
that fast? That soon time out? For those of you that don't know,
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so, ESPN has obviously been floundering around. I mean, the CEO
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of Disney came out this week and even said our woke politics have cost the
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company money. I'm not getting into political things, but I'm telling you they
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are looking for ways to grasp it more and and betting is the biggest thing
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in space right now. Well, you know, Pen Gaming had to deal
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with Barstool. ESPN pushed them out. They gave Barstool back to Portnoy.
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We're gonna make ESPN Bet, which is easily could be the biggest brand if
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they wanted to be in a couple of years. It's in everybody's pocket.
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It's in everybody's pocket, right and they've got more money to go after this
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stuff. And within the first three weeks some cat already has a four with
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a five game parlay that lands on a push in the Eagles game and they
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avoid the bet. It's can't you lose and pushes lose, which I've never
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seen that at a house rule of any casino that I've ever been to.
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I mean, I know you've got to check the house rules and there's weird
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stuff, but I've never heard of that, And it was just I'll be
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chevy casino in America rolls into a four game bar, absolutely, I mean
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that's one of them. Of course, dumbest think you cannot kill your brand
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like that, and it's just stupidity, not I mean over over minimal money.
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You just can't do it. I mean just you can't do it because
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there are too many people getting into the space. Speaking of gambling, how
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about the sneaky crazy move that nobody's watching, the Adelson family buying the Mavericks
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for two. Well, they're not buying all of it, they're just controlling
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interests. But they have control. But they have bought the gym as well,
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so they are gonna have literal the ability because look, gaming's coming to
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Texas. It's just a matter of time. Shocking at the Appleson family again,
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not to get into politics here, one of the few Republican families in
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that space, and then boom, they land this deal in Texas. How
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long is it before they've got a gigantic gambling deal down there at American Airlines
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as to be the base of the business. This could be the biggest move
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at companies ever made that is completely opposite of what people are looking at that's
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ever taken place, because people are like, oh, they want to own
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a sports team. No, they want gambling, and that's what they want.
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And now they got a seat at the table to go lobby all those
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guys and do all of that in state and have an interest and Wow,
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of all the things I was expecting, that was not one of them.
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I guarantee you gambling is legal in Texas the next twenty for thirty six months,
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I hope. So that being said, Scottie, let's get this thing
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rolling. We're gonna do the podcast a little bit different this week. We're
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gonna go into it and we're gonna conquer this thing game by game. Scotty
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and I have not broken down games prior to We may have our own bets.
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If we match up on a bet, we'll call it a best bet
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that we've got for that situation. Scottie, we are starting with the first
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game that I've got. We're gonna go with the Liberty New Mexico State Conference
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championship for CUSA. Baby. You know how long it's been since New Mexico
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State has been to a conference championship. No, I have no idea,
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but this'll be good. Dwight Eisenhower was in the White House the last time
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New Mexico State won a conference championship in college football. He put the interstate
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system together, and they need it in Conference USA because you got to drive
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all over the fucking place if you want to go see all these teams.
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Uh, this is an interesting matchup. This is a rematch from earlier on
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this season. These teams have already played. This line right now is floating
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around a Liberty minus eleven. New Mexico State. We've been on a lot
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the last couple of weeks. Kind of a dog. I faded him out
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last week thinking they wouldn't get something against Jackson State. Going back and looking
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at game one, Salter the quarterback for Liberty, played about as good as
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he could play, and you know, there was a lot of folks that
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were really concerned could he handle Jamie Chadwell's offense. What was gonna go on
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there? He lit it up in that game. And on the flip side,
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Diego Pavia for New Mexico State, We've talked about him, Dude,
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he's a dog. He couldn't get it done. He was probably one of
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the worst games he's played all season. Had a couple of turnovers in there.
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I think he only threw for like a buck eighty somewhere in that spot.
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I'm taking the points and I'm going to New Mexico State. I'm gonna
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take the eleven. New Mexico State against Liberty getting it done Friday night.
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I think they're gonna stay within the number, but I do think Liberty wins
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the game. I like the defense from New Mexico State. I think Jerry
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Kill may try to play a little bit of a keepaway game with New Mexico
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State offense, and I think that they've improved as the season's gone on,
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so I think they can pull this off. So I'm gonna take the points.
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I'm gonna take New Mexico State in this one. Wow, you like
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New Mexico State hunter empty. They lost early in the season at Liberty thirty
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three seventeen, so when they were up there, so a fifty point total
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coming out over under in this is fifty six and a half. I think
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some of that is cause Liberty has been playing better. I can't believe these
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teams have twenty two wins between them. That really is wild to me,
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So it should be instring. I do think it's gonna be a low scoring
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ball game, and I think that's the way I'm gonna go. I think
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I like under fifty six and a half. Here is the is the play
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that I like is under fifty six and a half. If I took it,
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I probably would go now Mexico State. It's hard to beat the team
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twice, even though they're both on the road, and Liberty clearly is the
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better football team. I think there is more motivation for the team having that's
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already lost this ball game to come in. They got a little more GrITT
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in their teeth. The other guys like that are already beat these guys in
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Mexico State again. You know, here we go. So I think I
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probably would agree with you and that I would take in Mexico State plus the
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points. But my favorite play of this is the under fifty six and a
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half. So we're correlated, but we don't have a best bet on that
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one. The next game Scotty Allegiance Stadium Saturday and Friday night, Oregon Washington
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over under here is sixty six. Washington's getting nine and a half points.
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Why is that interesting because they were favored by three three and a half early
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in the season when they hosted Oregon that came in there. Washington's still undefeated.
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They're twelve to zero. Oregon obviously eleven and one, with their only
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loss being the Washington game early on the season. Oregon's also nine to two
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and one against the number was Washington's five and six. You could argue that
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these teams after that game have kind of gone in a different direction a little
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bit. Whereas Oregon's getting a lot of hype around probably being one of the
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better teams in the country, Washington's schedule was not easy. There was Organs,
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but I mean they muddled their way through it, and here they are.
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I'm gonna let you put your pick down first in this one. I'm
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gonna take them. I'm gonna take the points. I just don't think there's
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this much difference between these football teams. Oregon's electric, they split spread everybody
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out. They've been out athleting a lot of guys. And we talked about
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this last week about the Heisman, Nick said, and throwing the football down
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the field, I mean, these are short throws. I think there's gonna
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be a lot of coming up making plays and from I think we're gonna get
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a very similar game to what we got last time. I do think Oregon's
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gonna win the football game because I think they're playing better. But at the
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end of the day, Washington's been a really good football team. It just
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think nine and a half too many. But I do think Oregon's gonna win
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the football game. I have got a Washington ticket at plus three sixty for
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them to win the Pac twelve Championship in pocket. I cannot hedge it at
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this point without putting a lot of money down on Oregon because the numbers so
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out of hand. So I will be playing if I play Washington plus nine
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and a half. I'm kind of hoping the public even comes in and we
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can get that over at ten. I'm almost tempted to tease a couple of
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these games, like you might do an NFL spot, but haven't quite gotten
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there yet because there's not really a key number I can jump through. It'll
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get me over fourteen, but I I'm gonna go with Washington the points.
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We'll pair up on that one. Washington plus nine and a half in Allegiance
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Stadium, Sat. Friday Night. I'm excited for this one. Next one,
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Scott a big twelve Oklahoma State and Texas. Oklahoma State over unders fifty
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five. Texas is laying fifteen and a half. This line's been like a
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runaway train since it came out, opened at thirteen and a half, all
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the way up to fifteen and a half. Texas is eleven and one straight
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up, with their only loss being to Oklahoma. Earlier in the season,
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Oklahoma State lost to what was it North oul Us out Alabama. They lost
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to Alabama. Yeah, they lost another couple of battleens. You lost to
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UCF that they've got in there, But the win that got him in this
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game was beating Oklahoma and what we think might could be the last Bedlam series
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that we're gonna see. I like this game. At thirteen and a half,
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I don't know. At fifteen and a half, I might pass.
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Oklahoma State has looked like shit the last several weeks. They should have lost
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to BYU. I didn't think they were gonna pull that one off Texas at
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the same time as playing for some style points. So I would lean Texas
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in this spot that there's not a whole lot I can do with this number,
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And at fifteen and a half, I'm gonna pass. Yeah, you're
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you're talking about talking to teasing. This might be a This might be a
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good number for your teas. Bump Washington up and bump Texas down. I
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think you got to play Texas here if you don't play it. Oklahoma State
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has looked terrible handedly last three weeks, but Texas looked a bat a couple
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of times too. But Texas was battling the injury bug when they you know,
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when they came to this game. You look at their common opponents and
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it does not look like this line ought to be fifteen and a half.
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But Oklahoma State has just not been very good. I expect a pretty even
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crowd. Actually, the ticket prices of the tickets really shot up when Oklahoma
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State qualified, so that means they bought some tickets this game. They came
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pretty full board when they played Baylor a couple of years ago. But what
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they do. They went down there and gagged it at Baylor a couple of
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years ago, so you know, there's nothing to say that they're going to
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play well. I think I think Texas is your opportunity. But if we're
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looking for a tease, baby, bring us down to nine and a half,
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and I think you may have you. You may have you something there.
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We'll see. Key numbers in college football are completely different than the NFL.
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If you're talking about teasers. If you don't know what a teaser is,
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so you combine two games together, either the totals, the score,
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you could do same game. Wouldn't recommend that, but you seehim pretty commonly
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NFNL. You're typically paying minus one ten to minus one twenty and you're able
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to move a line six points in either direction. So that's what he's talking
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about if you've never bet a teaser before. Like I said, I just
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don't like what Bowman's been doing from Oklahoma State. He's not impressed me.
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And I think this Texas defense is good I really do, and I think
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that's where the difference is gonna be. Is I think they're gonna Bowman's gonna
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struggle to rip the top off of Texas defense, and I just think they're
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gonna be able to box up Ali Gordon back there. And so we'll see,
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but I don't have any play on it as of yet. Scotty.
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Nextlin's all to you, brother. We're gonna be at Ford Field, Mike
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Championship, Miami of Ohio and Toledo. I'll set this one up for you.
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Over under here is forty four. Toledo's laying eight as we record.
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This is an interesting game to Miami Ohio since they lost their quarterback a couple
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of weeks ago, has not really been the same offensively. They've gone to
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more of a grounded pound, but they've got a strong defense that's got him
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to a ten to two straight up number and a nine to three against the
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spread. Toledo, on the other hand, is eleven and one straight up
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with an early loss in the season, and they're six and six against the
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number in this one is daykue Finn and the boys gonna be able to get
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it done at Toledo and get the squad moving to cover this number against Miami
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Ohio. Are we looking for a grinded out, tough, punch you in
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the face game with Miami of Ohio's defense trying to keep them in this one.
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I like Toledo to get it done, mainly because Miami of Ohio has
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been one dimensional since that quarterback change. They have to run the football.
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I think Toledo gets this done. A little surprise this number is as short
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as it is. I think some of that's got to do with Crandall being
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on some lists for potential coaching jobs, things like that, and I know
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they've had a few injuries, but I still don't think this. I don't
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think this line is big enough. I like Toledo minus the eighth. They're
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the best team in the MAC, and I really don't think it's that close.
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They have dominated this league over the years and I think it continues.
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I will ride with you in Toledo at minus eight. I don't think offensively,
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if Toledo can get it rolling at all, I don't think Miami can
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keep up. And Toledo's defenses it's a good unit as well. It's not
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like it's a walk over us. Two. They had a great offense and
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they couldn't stop anybody. This is a much better defensive unit. I'll ride
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with you on Toledo. So we got two bets. Now at the point
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Toledo minus eight. Next one, I got baby Boise State UNLV. This
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will be the second championship game that's played at Allegian State in Las Vegas.
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No one would be expecting either one of these teams to be there. Boise
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State came in as kind of the favorite to run this bit. Midway through
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the season, they fire their coach. They look like shit. Andy Avalos
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is gone. They've got players jumping in the portal weeks ago. Team ended
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up finishing up seven and five six, four and two against the number UNLV
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nine. Therefore, fast weekends a little bit boy. UNLV is nine and
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three again straight up in ten and two against the number. A lot of
23:56
people from UNLV never bought back in after Brumfield got hurt early on in the
24:02
season. They were count on him to do it. The backup quarterbacks come
24:04
in and played fantastic. U Boise State will be back with Tylan Wallace.
24:08
I think this Tyland Green uh this weekend, I think their quarterback got hurt
24:12
as well. But I don't know who's gonna throw the ball to. I
24:15
mean, if you go look at their top three wide receivers, they're not
24:18
on the roster or they're hurt. Their number one receiver still is not on
24:22
the roster. He jumped in the portal after week eight, and so I
24:26
don't know how they're going to blow the top off of this. I think
24:30
UNLV fans are going to show up, and so I think it's gonna be
24:33
a great home field advantage. I think the wrong team's favored. Give me
24:37
the go go offense in the Rebel Roller plus two and a half and I'll
24:41
take the money line. Yeah, I want, I want the Rebel Roller.
24:44
I think I think you got this deal. I agree with the old
24:47
money line too. I think UNLV is the play So it should be should
24:52
be a lot of fun out in because this game is actually again boys,
24:56
he correct, No, no, no, this is a this is an
25:00
Allegiance baby, this is the Mountain West Championship. Yeah, they do not
25:04
do home and home anymore. They do. They moved it to Allegiance Stadium
25:07
in Las Vegas, so this will be a game played on UNLV's home turf.
25:12
I love it. Let's go UNLV, baby, let's get it,
25:15
let's get it done. I am hoping we get some big UNLV celebrity graduates
25:19
out there that show up for the game. Get a little guy Fieri,
25:22
Get you a little flow righter. Bet you didn't know flow Rder went to
25:26
UNLV, did you? I had no idea that floor rider went through UNOV.
25:32
But there's not a whole lot of I mean, can we talk about
25:34
them loose? I mean, let's talk about Boollionaire UNOV alumni. There we
25:38
go, brother, I mean, I'm hoping it's a big turn up.
25:41
I'm excited about this game. Let's go running rebels plus two and a half.
25:45
Get that one done. Next one we got here the American This is
25:48
an interesting one SMU and two lane. This game will be played in New
25:52
Orleans. This one is at the home field of the two lane Green Wave
25:55
over under. Here is at forty seven two lanes, laying three and a
25:59
half. If you were tell me that you were going to bet an SMU
26:02
two lane game last year with a total of forty seven, I would have
26:04
told you you're crazy. SMU comes in here ten and two straight up seven
26:08
and five against the number. Two lane comes in eleven and one straight up
26:11
five and seven against the number A couple of injuries that you want to talk
26:15
about. Preston Stone, the quarterback at SMU, that's been great. He's
26:18
out injured, not playing in this Now. Was he in that game?
26:22
Mark? I have no idea, Thanks Cannon them and I have no idea
26:29
why he's in there playing it all over the yard and then he gets hurt.
26:33
Yeah. Uh, but he's out this week. And two lane on
26:37
the flip side, they really haven't gotten their offense going. You kind of
26:41
kept thinking it was gonna go with Michael Pratt as in the quarterback that started
26:45
for him last year coming into this one, and he just hasn't been able
26:48
to do it. Uh. They've still a solid unit with Willie Fritz.
26:52
It's hard not to back two lane. Their one loss came against Old Miss
26:57
at home, but they started a backup quarter back in that game. If
27:00
you don't remember where I'm going with this one, Scotty, I'm going under
27:03
the total at forty seven. Uh. And I think this one's gonna be
27:07
a big defensive slug fest SMUs defense. It'll give up some yards in the
27:12
run, but you can't. They do not give up explosive plays. And
27:15
two Lane hasn't proven. Yeah, lanees the defensive football team. I'm going
27:23
under forty seven in the total in this one. I like this. I
27:27
can kind of get on board with with with the under. I had not
27:32
thought of that, with your one hundred percent right in two Lane's games as
27:34
a whole have not really been I mean you look out there. They're two
27:41
and ten to the over to the under. I mean they're ten and two
27:47
to the under. They're on the over. Yeah, so I hop on
27:51
board with that, no doubt about it. Give me, give me the
27:52
under forty seven. All right? We got three bets next SEC Championship.
27:59
This one will be in the A. This want to be in Atlanta.
28:02
I was there last year for the Georgia. Do you know what's weird?
28:03
When Georgia plays in the SEC Championship, they don't serve drinks as an alcohol
28:11
in the stadium. You have to be seated in the area where you can
28:15
get underneath the stands because apparently UGA does not sell booze at their home games,
28:19
so they don't sell booze at the game either. Which that sucks by
28:22
the way. Anyway, Georgia and BAMA will be playing matched up in this
28:29
one. Over under here is fifty four and a half. Bama's getting five
28:33
and a half points. Georgia comes in twelve and oh straight up four and
28:37
seven against the number they didn't cover a lot of games early on. Bama
28:41
comes into this game eleven and one with their only lost being to the University
28:45
of Texas, and they're eight and four straight up with a huge win that
28:48
they just came off of in the Iron Bowl. How you playing this one?
28:52
I'm taking Georgia, and I won't tell you why. Just right here.
28:56
When they're playing somebody good cover Ole, miss cover Tennessee, cover Florida,
29:04
rival cover, you keep going, and I'm almost to how many games
29:10
that they've covered. Really, Missouri is the only really good football team they've
29:14
played that they didn't cover. And I thought that was the best game Missouri's
29:18
played all year. Now, when you start looking a who they didn't cover
29:21
against, George Tech, Vanderbilt, a bad Auburn team, and Auburn is
29:26
a rival, So that is the one thing that goes to UA B Now,
29:30
that was a forty point line South Carolina. They just don't get fired
29:36
up for these average teams. I mean that is they pushed against ball State.
29:40
I mean, but when they play somebody that matters, it matters,
29:45
and they play well. They are a better football team than Alabama. That's
29:49
the bottom line. I think they win this game. I think they win
29:52
it by ten. I think george is undefeated. I think they're playing for
29:56
a national championship. I agree with you early with Georgia at minus six didn't
30:03
get the best of it. I'm actually thinking I'm gonna tease, actually do
30:06
have this game and a teaser that I tease it down to zero tied to
30:10
a pro game from last week that I'm sitting on an open ticket from and
30:12
I made lace a few more in here. Georgia is as good a program
30:18
as Bama has been over there. The dynasty that Nick Saban's created, and
30:22
I don't say that very lightly. He's he's done a fantastic job recruiting players
30:27
get him to buy in. Quarterback play has actually been really good, and
30:33
if you haven't had a chance to watch back play, he's had done a
30:37
hell of a job this season. And they still have a roster that causes
30:41
mismatches all over the place. I think this Bama team has gotten so much
30:45
better than when they started the season, and I attribute that to Saban after
30:49
the South Florida game, getting the coaches and getting the players in. It's
30:52
like, look, guys, we can win this thing, but y'all need
30:56
to get on board and we're going in this direction because since that South Florida
30:59
game, this Sbama team has played much better. I know last week with
31:02
the Auburn game was a slip up, but it was a huge rivalry.
31:06
Talked about it in Jordan hare he it's another great Saban coaching job. Now.
31:11
Granted, if they lose this game, don't win the SEC and whatever
31:14
pick you know, New Year's Day sixth game they play in, I will
31:18
bet all I've got against them because they won't give a shit when they show
31:22
up for that game, and they've done it time and time again. But
31:25
we'll wait till we get there. I'm taking Georgia. The other thing I
31:27
will take Georgia at I would tall you to go look now, is you
31:30
can still get Georgia plus two thirty five to plus two fifty five and some
31:34
books to win the National Championship. I've got two units I put down on
31:40
that. I just can't see Georgia getting into the tournament with who we've got
31:44
in this thing and losing this game. When you look, I just they
31:48
outmatch everybody thus far. I like what they're doing. There's no there's no
31:52
chatter around this team. It's just let's go win football games and let's keep
31:56
on moving. There's a lot of players. There's a lot of players on
31:59
this team that are going to be in the NFL that people can't name.
32:01
I mean, this is the bigger no name team that they had over the
32:05
last two championship runs that they've made. So give me Ugga lay it five
32:08
and a half points. Scotty, I want to tell you before we get
32:12
off of this game, I actually think there may be I think there may
32:15
be some points in this game. I agree with this number is pretty short
32:20
at fifty four and a half. You know, the Mississippi State game went
32:23
over that Old Miss did not, but I think Old Miss played very well
32:29
at all. Tennessee went right at this number. They went to fifty four.
32:35
Obviously LSU sailed over it, so Alabama Auburn was very close to it.
32:39
None of those teams are as good on offense as George is. I
32:43
don't think they're gonna be able to hold them down. Georgia can be run
32:45
on. They can be run on, and so it's gonna be interesting to
32:50
see. I think over it's not a bad play in this game too.
32:53
I'm not scared of that at all. You're looking for prinks to bet on.
32:57
I would tell you you talk about teasing, going, going, and
33:00
give you a teaser to Washington up to fifteen and a half and Georgia up
33:07
to eleven and a half. I think you get it. I think he
33:08
got your winner. Yeah, you be teasing Georgia down to Zero's what you'd
33:12
be teasing there. Uh, I'm a I'm a dama's got a shot in
33:22
this game. I don't think so. I think Georgia walks them. I
33:24
think I think they walk the dog on this one. Put into bed next
33:28
one, Scottie. The next game, we got Sun Belt Championship. Ten
33:31
out of the twelve teams in the Sunbelt have qualified to go bowling, including
33:36
James Madison. It looks like they'll get a Bowl bid. Good for the
33:39
NCAA for getting something right. You got Appy State and Troy. This game
33:44
will be played at Troy h Appy State eight and four straight up, six
33:49
five and one against the Number Troy, ten and two against straight up and
33:52
seven to five against the Number. I got nothing on this game, to
33:55
be honest with you, I would think if I'm going on anywhere, I'd
34:00
go under in this game. I think Troy's defense can step up and play,
34:04
and I just don't know if they're going to be able to exploit Apple
34:07
State's defense enough here, and I would go under. But that's just a
34:12
lean for me. I don't have a true play on this one. Abby
34:15
has played really well, really well the last four weeks. I mean they
34:21
have played really well. This team kind of floundered around a little bit a
34:25
little earlier in the season, but man, they have come a live the
34:31
last four weeks. Obviously, beat James Madison gave them their only loss on
34:37
the road hosting game Day. They pounded Georgia Southern last week, pounded Georgia
34:43
State on the road, pounded Marshall the week before that. So I actually
34:47
think this is just the same way is too many points. It feels like
34:52
this game may be closer than that, you know, I think Troy is
34:58
probably the better football team, and obviously having home the home game gives you
35:02
an advantage. They are playing better as well, But I think this is
35:07
just a few too many points. I would take happy in the points.
35:12
There you go, ACC Championship. This one will be played in Charlotte Saturday
35:16
night. Louisville comes into this one. They'll be playing a beat up Florida
35:20
State team. Florida State's laying two and a half. Louisville ten and two
35:23
straight up six and six against the number, Florida State twelve and ozho straight
35:27
up seven and five against the number. I don't have a play, but
35:30
I will probably end up playing Florida State minus two and a half. I
35:34
like Norvel's team. I like the coaching that he's gotten done here. I
35:37
think this defense can stand up and get it done against the Louisville team that
35:40
I think is flawed, and even with a backup quarterback, I think this
35:44
team can get it done. And I if they get a chance to run
35:46
it up, they're gonna go too, because they've got to show something of
35:49
a little bit of a you know, a little bit of a sexy contest
35:52
to see if they got a chance to get in the championship tournament. So
35:55
I would lay Florida State minus two and a half in this one. I'm
36:00
gonna gets to hear. I would say take Louisville at the quarterback just scared
36:04
me. Man, they may be playing thirteen quarterback this week. You know,
36:07
we got rattled around and we had the thirteen guy had to play a
36:10
little bit of a series. So it'll be interested to see because I think
36:15
that was concussion protocol that they had him in at the end of that ball
36:19
game. So something to watch there to find out is it second or thirteen
36:23
quarterback. But the end of the day, it's just think Florida State's very,
36:27
very flawed without a great quarterback. And it sucks because Jordan Travis is
36:32
such a fun player to watch and watching him and candidly watching Florida State be
36:39
back. Florida State is fun funny, and they were such a great team.
36:45
We got people that are listening to this that don't remember from nineteen eighty
36:49
six to two thousand and three when their ass missed the top five about three
36:55
times and one a couple of natties and if it hadn't have been from Miami
37:00
win in a bunch of Natties. They'd have won the Natty every year because
37:02
that was the only team they lost it, and most of the time it
37:06
was because they missed the field goal at the last second. So it was
37:09
a crazy good team with Bobby Bowden. It is fun to watch them back.
37:15
And this is not a shot on Florida State at all, because I
37:20
think they gassed him these guys. Jordan Travis is out there. I just
37:22
think it's really hard in college football to lose a player like that and go
37:27
beat good football teams on the neutral fields. And I think Louis was a
37:30
good football team. I don't think they're a great football team, but I
37:32
think they're a good football team. I think they're well coached. I will
37:37
say I think it's better for college football because without Travis, I don't think
37:40
they're one of the best four teams in the country. They win this ball
37:44
game, they're gonna make the playoffs, as they should, because I don't
37:50
know how you put a one lost team over them, even without Travis,
37:52
even though they're not without him, one of the US four teams. And
37:55
I know they can, but boy, you talk about a lot of mess.
37:59
There's gonna be hot Man matt En that the ACC has been a good
38:04
lead. Uh. It's got a winning record against the Southeastern Conference, I
38:07
think by a couple of games. So I mean there's they certainly have proven
38:12
that they're that they're a good enough league. If an undefeated champion comes out
38:15
that they all be have a shot to play for the Natty. I've always
38:19
said there's somebody ought to have to beat them to lose. I still think
38:22
that's the case, even though I don't think without Jordan, Drafts are one
38:24
of the best sport teams in the country. I think Georgia or Michigan kills
38:28
them. But I'm gonna cheerful little. I'm gonna pick Louisville. I'm not
38:32
going to bet on this game. I will tell you I'm not betting,
38:36
but if I did, I will be laying it with Florida State and this
38:39
one once I get confirmation the backup quarterback is gonna play. Last Games got
38:45
a Big ten championship. Another game settled in Detroit over under Here's thirty five.
38:49
I was getting twenty two points Michigan twelve and oho straight up six and
38:52
five against the number. I was ten and two straight up six and five
38:57
against the number. I'm gonna bet a derive line in this one, and
39:00
I am gonna take Iowa under seven points for a team total. I don't
39:07
see any way that their offense is going to be able to move the ball
39:12
against this Michigan defense. I think Michigan getting the win last week, it's
39:15
got a lot of momentum. This is something they know what they're gonna get
39:20
themselves into. It'll be a physical game, but Iowa couldn't handle it when
39:24
they ran up against the best team they played all season, and that would
39:28
be Penn State, and Penn State was able to get it done against them.
39:31
I don't think they're gonna be able to slow anything down Michigan can do
39:35
here. I would lay it with Michigan frankly, but I'm gonna bet the
39:37
team total in Iowa. I think they get shut out. Yeah that's just
39:44
I watched. I picked our and we took it on the podcast, and
39:47
I'm not want to talk us into it because I thought, man, this
39:50
defense is good enough. You know that they were off they couldn't do anything
39:54
on offense, and now they got a backup quarterback trying to do it.
40:00
And I just don't know how in the world they're going to do it and
40:01
owe their best offenders out. Yeah, you know, I'm out. I
40:07
don't know I'm taking. I'm taking Michigan. It's a lot of points,
40:12
but I'll take the wol Raine they get Jimmy Harball back. I do want
40:15
to say one thing before we get off of this bunch for on boards.
40:17
Anybody ever given a better job interview as an interim than that guy's done.
40:22
He's been extremely eloquent when he's spoken postgame in the interviews. I thought he
40:29
did a tremendous job calling plays, taking some risks, doing some things because
40:34
that was a good football team. That guy's gonna be a head coaching the
40:37
next eighteen twenty four months if Barball goes on. I don't know if he's
40:40
not the guy they pick, but that guy's going to get a head coaching
40:45
job. I'd agree. Let's lay it under. Let's lay it with Michigan.
40:47
Take the Iowa team total under. It's gross, but you can get
40:52
down on it. You can actually bet the yes no in a couple of
40:54
sports books, and the no the yes for Iowa to touchdown is paying plus
41:00
one fifty. So if you think they can score. It might have to
41:05
be a defense or special teams touchdown. Then you should be able. Todn't
41:07
take it, but Scotty. All that being said, what are your favorite
41:10
plays this weekend? I have two. I'll give you mine first. I'm
41:15
going to Georgia half. You like what? Say that again? I'm sorry.
41:19
I'm going to Georgia minus five and a half my top play of the
41:22
week. Yep, that is my favorite play of the week. I would
41:24
agree with that. And I will tell you I like Toledo. I think
41:28
I'm on the turf that offense is going to get it done. I don't
41:31
think Miami can keep up. I like Toledo too. I think lay in
41:35
eight is a pretty good number. But I feel good about Michigan too.
41:39
I like Michigan. So anyway, that's the three games that I will be
41:43
playing. We'll see how it goes. I will play Washington too, I
41:46
will tell you, just because I have liked that team all year, I'm
41:51
going to continue to ride them because Oregon doesn't stretch the field before we get
41:55
off one last time. Not that there's anybody listing, but I will tell
42:00
you I know three or four people that vote for the Heisman, and if
42:04
a couple of those dumbasses can get a vote, then we need one.
42:07
If you're not more for Daden Daniels, you're an idiot because that guy blings
42:10
that he's gotten more touchdowns of over twenty yards and he added some Saturday and
42:16
got one called back for a bogus holding call. But that's a whole another
42:21
story. Then Bo Nicks has got twenty yard completions on the year. Watch
42:25
damn football. If you're voting on the Housman, I love bo Nicks.
42:30
He's a great kid, it's a great story. Couldn't be happier for him.
42:32
He doesn't deserve the Heisman. Bottom line, if Fellas use defenses average,
42:37
they're undefeatedble I would agree with you no other player. I got the
42:40
Rebel roller plus two and a half and on the money line, and I'm
42:44
gonna throw a few shekels down on Jayden Daniels at plus money uh to win
42:49
the Heisman, with hopes being that Pennix comes out and somehow gets the win.
42:52
Here, maybe Nicks through, Maybe we get some road bow Knicks from
42:55
back in the SEC days, and Jalen Daniels sneaks the heis of it out,
43:00
so those will be my place for this weekend. We'll put all these
43:02
out on Twitter. Folks, give us some reviews, give us some love.
43:06
We're gonna try to do something for the Bowl competition. I haven't figured
43:08
it quite out yet, so we're gonna put some things together. But we
43:12
look forward to your feedback. We always enjoy that. It is such a
43:15
gift. We've gotten some nice notes, comments, everything else. We enjoy
43:19
everything we do. We hope you've been a few bucks and enjoyed college football.
43:22
That being said, we'll talk to you next week.