Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | November 4, 2026 | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:06Speaker 2: Clear to lift off. What is going on, everybody? Happy Wednesday.
- 0:39Speaker 2: I'm with the man, the myth, the legend, the million-dollar man,
- 0:42Speaker 2: Hebrew Cheetah. No one in here cares. One word I
- 0:45Speaker 2: got to say, not that you even should in the
- 0:47Speaker 2: NBA streets. So I'm throwing it to Rio right away.
- 0:50Speaker 2: How are you feeling a couple days off of that million?
- 0:53Speaker 2: Thoughts on this NBA slate, 11 games. We got a
- 0:55Speaker 2: big boy.
- 0:56Speaker 1: Yeah, feeling good. Once again, support over the last couple
- 1:00Speaker 1: days still flowing in. So appreciate everybody that has been
- 1:04Speaker 1: reaching out. Got a good NBA slate on tap tonight though.
- 1:09Speaker 1: Everybody's favorite $ 5 tournament is back. So you can throw
- 1:12Speaker 1: in some lottery lineups there and hopefully come away with
- 1:14Speaker 1: a hundred K tonight. Like our girl Nika did, I
- 1:16Speaker 1: believe it was exactly a week ago. So we got
- 1:20Speaker 1: that contest back tonight. I think that you could probably actually,
- 1:22Speaker 1: if you have Saberson, go ahead and look back at
- 1:24Speaker 1: her portfolio. I know she talked a lot about her
- 1:27Speaker 1: process for that one. So I think that is a
- 1:30Speaker 1: lot of that is applicable tonight, but yeah, the slate
- 1:32Speaker 1: looks pretty good. I think these, these, Games will look
- 1:34Speaker 1: better than there was last week for sure. I think
- 1:38Speaker 1: every team but two are on the NBA slate tonight
- 1:41Speaker 1: outside of this main slate. I think there's like two
- 1:44Speaker 1: or three more at the night game. But overall, yeah,
- 1:46Speaker 1: it looks like a pretty solid slate.
- 1:48Speaker 2: Yeah, I definitely agree. FanDuel is only doing eight games.
- 1:52Speaker 2: So every game we talk about on DraftKings is applicable
- 1:55Speaker 2: to FanDuel as well. Matt Bellman has the slate station up.
- 1:59Speaker 2: So definitely check that out. Coors will be up as always.
- 2:03Speaker 2: cash cores draft kings and fan duel you can also
- 2:06Speaker 2: see we have the new usage bump in the slate
- 2:08Speaker 2: station down below if this guy's injured what it does
- 2:11Speaker 2: for others of course the stone the stone 2.0 allows
- 2:14Speaker 2: allows you to virtual hand build let me just share
- 2:18Speaker 2: the ship and nation website right now because you didn't
- 2:19Speaker 2: mention nika and last week on wednesday yeah the exact
- 2:22Speaker 2: day a week from today won the 100k and that
- 2:24Speaker 2: five dollar if you go to see plans and pricing
- 2:27Speaker 2: if you are the starter or have starter or Ultimate Package,
- 2:30Speaker 2: what Rio said, the contest flashback, being able to go
- 2:32Speaker 2: back and see what Nika's player pool was, you do
- 2:35Speaker 2: have that ability with the starter and Ultimate Package, as
- 2:38Speaker 2: well as building 500 teams when you're only able to
- 2:41Speaker 2: build 100 with the core. You also get Sabres' projections
- 2:45Speaker 2: and ownership as well. So I think starter is definitely
- 2:47Speaker 2: the best deal the longer you're with us. The more
- 2:51Speaker 2: savings you get, say 20% with the core and starter
- 2:54Speaker 2: for annual versus monthly, You save 10% with the ultimate.
- 2:57Speaker 2: This gets you contest Sims, ability to build 5,000 teams,
- 3:01Speaker 2: Sim ROIs, what Rio used to win all of the
- 3:05Speaker 2: money and what a lot of people use nowadays. So
- 3:07Speaker 2: if you're playing a couple hundred bucks a day, I
- 3:09Speaker 2: do think that is something you should definitely look into.
- 3:12Speaker 2: We also do have single sport NBA packages as well.
- 3:15Speaker 2: As you can see below with Saber Sim, without Saber Sim, again,
- 3:18Speaker 2: only gets cheaper the longer you're with us. So we'd
- 3:21Speaker 2: love to have you and we love the new website
- 3:23Speaker 2: over here. A lot to look at. Also, Many probably
- 3:26Speaker 2: don't know, but if you go to MoreDFSProcess101, you can
- 3:30Speaker 2: find education videos for NFL, NBA, MMA, MLB, et cetera. NBA, though,
- 3:36Speaker 2: you can check it out. Late swap, injury news, bankroll management.
- 3:39Speaker 2: Two hours, Hoop, Tambo, myself talk some NBA. So definitely
- 3:42Speaker 2: check that out if you have not already and you're
- 3:45Speaker 2: looking to learn a little more about NBA. Hopping back
- 3:48Speaker 2: over to SaberSim, just looking at the times. That's what
- 3:50Speaker 2: I always do. So we got 7 Eastern. And then
- 3:54Speaker 2: we got a couple 7.30 games, a couple 8 o'clock games,
- 3:58Speaker 2: one 8.30 game, and then two 9 o'clock games. So
- 4:01Speaker 2: everything is condensed within two hours, which I think is
- 4:04Speaker 2: pretty solid. But yeah, you're going to have to be
- 4:06Speaker 2: around every 30 minutes for a late swap. Anything for
- 4:10Speaker 2: you as a broad slate overview? And anything about FanDuel, DraftKings,
- 4:16Speaker 2: anything you want to say before we go game by game?
- 4:19Speaker 1: No, I think this is probably one of the better
- 4:20Speaker 1: slates we've had all year, just with the way that
- 4:22Speaker 1: it's spread out, the way you get some backloading and
- 4:25Speaker 1: late swap opportunity. I think that it could be pretty
- 4:27Speaker 1: viable tonight with some injury tags later on the slate
- 4:32Speaker 1: or just some pretty decent game environments later on. Overall,
- 4:35Speaker 1: I think it gives you a lot of flexibility. So
- 4:37Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to that.
- 4:39Speaker 2: I like it. I say we get in right into it.
- 4:42Speaker 2: First game of the night since 11 to talk about
- 4:44Speaker 2: no time to waste. Two and a half point favorites
- 4:46Speaker 2: are the Detroit Pistons over the Philadelphia 76ers. 19 and
- 4:50Speaker 2: a half, or 219 and a half over under. Looking
- 4:53Speaker 2: at the injury report in this one, starting on the
- 4:56Speaker 2: Philly side, no injury news to talk about on the
- 5:00Speaker 2: Philly side, so that is nice to see. And then
- 5:02Speaker 2: on the Detroit side, we have, I mean, Durant's been out,
- 5:08Speaker 2: Isaiah Joe, but no new injuries on either side. I
- 5:11Speaker 2: saw something with Embiid in our Discord. What, is it
- 5:13Speaker 2: just the same old... Embiid's going to be dealing with–
- 5:17Speaker 2: I couldn't even remember exactly what– was it the same
- 5:20Speaker 2: plantar fasciitis or whatever that he had? Or what exactly
- 5:23Speaker 2: was that with Embiid? He is playing tonight, but same
- 5:26Speaker 2: old stuff it seems.
- 5:28Speaker 1: Yeah, I believe it was the plantar fasciitis. I don't
- 5:31Speaker 1: know if they've put up their injury report just yet. So, like,
- 5:34Speaker 1: that was one I would be– I'd be keeping an
- 5:38Speaker 1: eye on. Maybe there's some late news and he gets downgraded.
- 5:41Speaker 1: Definitely within the realm– of possibilities, but the spread of
- 5:45Speaker 1: this game probably indicates that he's playing. I think they'd
- 5:47Speaker 1: be maybe like five point underdogs if he wasn't playing.
- 5:51Speaker 1: I don't know if you have any, any thoughts there
- 5:53Speaker 1: as more of like the betting expert here.
- 5:55Speaker 2: Man, I, first of all, I definitely would consider a
- 5:57Speaker 2: betting expert, but I will say with how good the
- 6:00Speaker 2: 76ers team is now, two and a half points for
- 6:02Speaker 2: just Embiid feels, feels pretty steep maybe last year, but
- 6:06Speaker 2: now that they have more bodies for, I think one
- 6:08Speaker 2: and a half points as good as I could give it.
- 6:11Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, that makes sense. So, yeah, probably would assume
- 6:13Speaker 1: that he's in then. But definitely keep an eye on that.
- 6:16Speaker 2: I think the line is saying that he's in. I
- 6:18Speaker 2: do agree with that.
- 6:20Speaker 1: First game on the slate, so we'll get that news
- 6:21Speaker 1: for sure. But, yeah, something to definitely be ready to
- 6:25Speaker 1: react to if it does happen. But easily one of
- 6:28Speaker 1: the least appealing game environments on the slate. We have
- 6:31Speaker 1: two of the top three defenses in this one. I
- 6:33Speaker 1: believe Philly is number two or three, and then vice
- 6:37Speaker 1: versa for Detroit. But either way, a middling pace, 219.5 total.
- 6:43Speaker 1: Really not super excited about this one as a whole.
- 6:45Speaker 1: Detroit has one of the best pick-and-roll defenses in the league.
- 6:48Speaker 1: Philly doesn't really shoot enough threes either to exploit the
- 6:51Speaker 1: three-point vulnerable defense that Detroit does have. So I'm not
- 6:55Speaker 1: super excited about that one. I'd say on the Detroit side,
- 6:59Speaker 1: Cade Cunningham is somewhat of an exception as a spend-up
- 7:02Speaker 1: contrarian option here if his ownership does stay in the
- 7:05Speaker 1: single digits because we're starting to get him at a
- 7:06Speaker 1: lower price tag than he was earlier in the season.
- 7:09Speaker 1: And he's been playing really well. Had 60 DK points
- 7:12Speaker 1: on Monday against Charlotte, and that was just in three quarters.
- 7:14Speaker 1: I don't think he even played at all in the
- 7:16Speaker 1: fourth quarter. So he was on his way to a
- 7:17Speaker 1: massive game. Still showed up on a lot of winning
- 7:20Speaker 1: lineups in that one. So I do think that he
- 7:21Speaker 1: is a contrarian spend-up option, but not necessarily a priority.
- 7:27Speaker 1: Not going to play Paul Reed against Joel Embiid. Just
- 7:29Speaker 1: too much foul risk there, and he has been fouling
- 7:31Speaker 1: a ton. So I don't like that. But like I said,
- 7:33Speaker 1: if Embiid does get downgraded and ruled out, then that
- 7:37Speaker 1: would impact Paul Reed positively. Sarr, just not playing enough minutes,
- 7:43Speaker 1: and there's pretty solid small forward and power forward options
- 7:48Speaker 1: tonight that I think we can get away from him.
- 7:49Speaker 1: I would say Duncan Robinson does deserve a little bit
- 7:52Speaker 1: of a shout because he's been playing so well, shooting
- 7:55Speaker 1: 45% from three this season, nearly 30 DK points a game.
- 7:58Speaker 1: So if you want to go there, you could, but
- 7:59Speaker 1: expecting there to be much better point-per-dollar values later in
- 8:02Speaker 1: the slate.
- 8:06Speaker 2: Philly side, you already talked about it? Yeah, this one's
- 8:09Speaker 2: a pretty quick one. All right, yeah. I can't. Just
- 8:12Speaker 2: looking at that. If Embiid was ruled out before LeBron,
- 8:15Speaker 2: Maxie birthday narrative people are talking about, I could care
- 8:18Speaker 2: less about a birthday narrative. But if he, for some reason,
- 8:21Speaker 2: was ruled out, then I think the studs you can
- 8:24Speaker 2: get to. But I agree. Not much ownership going into
- 8:27Speaker 2: this game. A little bit on the Detroit side, but
- 8:29Speaker 2: nothing on the Philly side. All right, let's get to
- 8:31Speaker 2: the next game on the slates. Atlanta Hawks and the
- 8:33Speaker 2: Washington Wizards. Three and a half point favorites. are the Hawks, 230.5
- 8:37Speaker 2: total in this one. Jalen Johnson, questionable, obviously very big
- 8:41Speaker 2: news on the Washington side. Kulibale and Sarr is questionable.
- 8:46Speaker 2: So glad this game's at 7 Eastern because big news
- 8:49Speaker 2: on both sides. Just looking at the Hawks, no one's
- 8:52Speaker 2: really getting ownership, but if Jalen Johnson misses, that will
- 8:54Speaker 2: definitely change. Daniel, CJ, Nall, all in the 6K range,
- 8:58Speaker 2: I think would look strong. Okongwu would get a big
- 9:01Speaker 2: bump as well. And then, yeah, on the Wizards side,
- 9:05Speaker 2: I believe Sar missed last game. But yeah, he's questionable
- 9:08Speaker 2: again today. These Wizards are playing good. I got a
- 9:11Speaker 2: buddy I play poker with that's bet the Wizards like
- 9:13Speaker 2: every single game so far this year. And they still
- 9:16Speaker 2: seem under priced in the market. They were what, plus
- 9:20Speaker 2: 130 against a pretty depleted Magic team last time. So
- 9:23Speaker 2: this team's good, man. And it's fun to see AJ
- 9:26Speaker 2: join AD, Trey Young, Keyshawn George. I'm excited for the Wizards.
- 9:30Speaker 2: But yeah, what are you doing for DFS in this one?
- 9:34Speaker 1: I would say that this is one of the more
- 9:35Speaker 1: appealing game environments on the slate. You said 230 and
- 9:39Speaker 1: a half, seeing 231. But either way, it was 232
- 9:42Speaker 1: earlier in the day, getting bet down a little bit.
- 9:44Speaker 1: But I just still think that with the potential injury
- 9:47Speaker 1: news on both sides, you could really start to see
- 9:50Speaker 1: some of the usage condense on these guys. And we
- 9:53Speaker 1: have a pretty strong idea of where that's coming from
- 9:56Speaker 1: on the Hawk side of Jalen Johnson, where to miss, uh,
- 9:58Speaker 1: Nick Alexander Walker and CJ McCollum are two that see
- 10:01Speaker 1: the biggest boost in their, uh, fantasy point per minute production.
- 10:04Speaker 1: Now is up to 1.37 DK points per minute this season,
- 10:08Speaker 1: CJ at 1.32. And then we'd also get Kings and
- 10:11Speaker 1: Flemings in as a potential value play, but those would
- 10:14Speaker 1: be the two that I'm really looking at. Uh, Atlanta
- 10:16Speaker 1: has been kind of underwhelming defensively. They've, were really good
- 10:20Speaker 1: in the second half of last season, but this year
- 10:22Speaker 1: allowing the second highest rim frequency and the fourth highest
- 10:24Speaker 1: field goal percentage at the rim. So overall, I'd probably
- 10:27Speaker 1: say that the combination of those two stats, they got
- 10:29Speaker 1: to be one of, if not the worst rim defenses
- 10:32Speaker 1: in the league. So we're looking at a pretty good
- 10:34Speaker 1: spot for the front court guys, anybody that's going to
- 10:36Speaker 1: be attacking the rim on the wizard side of things.
- 10:38Speaker 1: And then Washington does give up the third most pick
- 10:40Speaker 1: and roll points. So a pretty good spot for the guards.
- 10:43Speaker 1: So I think that would definitely bring CJ and Alexander
- 10:45Speaker 1: Walker into play here in a, in a pretty big way.
- 10:47Speaker 1: So those are the two, I'm keying in on assuming
- 10:50Speaker 1: Jalen Johnson does miss. If Johnson plays, then I would
- 10:53Speaker 1: say it's probably closer to a stay away because these
- 10:55Speaker 1: prices are a little bit tougher with a fully healthy roster.
- 11:00Speaker 1: And it kind of seems like he's going to miss.
- 11:03Speaker 1: I mean, the fact that he had Monday off and
- 11:06Speaker 1: then was still questionable yesterday is a little bit concerning.
- 11:09Speaker 1: So I'm kind of moving forward with the fact that
- 11:11Speaker 1: he's going to miss this one. But either way, first
- 11:14Speaker 1: game of the slate. So we'll definitely have that news beforehand.
- 11:16Speaker 1: On the Washington side, I think that there's a ton
- 11:18Speaker 1: to like here, and it's mainly the four guys from 5,500 up,
- 11:22Speaker 1: so Keyshawn George all the way up to Anthony Davis.
- 11:25Speaker 1: For AD, like I said, with the Atlanta's rim defense
- 11:27Speaker 1: being so bad, it sets up beautifully for him, and
- 11:29Speaker 1: his offensive efficiency is really good playing alongside Trey Young,
- 11:33Speaker 1: so I'm looking to him, and especially if Alex Sarr
- 11:36Speaker 1: were to miss, you get the double-double bonus because he's
- 11:39Speaker 1: probably going to be dominating most of the rebounds, so
- 11:41Speaker 1: I'm looking at AD as a Really solid high upside
- 11:45Speaker 1: option at 8.4K power forward only. Less excited about Trey.
- 11:49Speaker 1: I get it because he's been really solid this season,
- 11:53Speaker 1: but you're just not really getting those huge games from
- 11:55Speaker 1: him when there's so many miles to feed. He's pretty
- 11:58Speaker 1: solid for 17 and 10 damn near every night, but
- 12:02Speaker 1: don't think that gets it done on this big of
- 12:03Speaker 1: a slate. Woods for England, a little bit of him,
- 12:05Speaker 1: but if he's going to be double-digit owned, something I'm
- 12:07Speaker 1: looking to be underweight on. Keyshawn George looks really solid, though. 5.5K,
- 12:12Speaker 1: not nearly priced up high enough even with AJ DeBansa back.
- 12:16Speaker 1: He has been getting talked up a ton by Brian Keefe.
- 12:19Speaker 1: They're talking about wanting to get him on ball a
- 12:20Speaker 1: little bit more, just the way that he can open
- 12:22Speaker 1: up offense for his teammates. Coming off of a huge
- 12:25Speaker 1: game last time out, 22-4-5 in 37 minutes. So if
- 12:28Speaker 1: Bilal Kula Bali were to miss, those guys, DeBansa, Keyshawn George,
- 12:32Speaker 1: are going to have to play a lot more. And
- 12:34Speaker 1: then moving over to DeBansa, the minutes are trending up
- 12:36Speaker 1: as well. He's been on a minutes limit for the
- 12:39Speaker 1: first two games, got ticked up a little bit but
- 12:41Speaker 1: they still they still said that he was someone on
- 12:43Speaker 1: a minutes limit that night and he played 33 so
- 12:46Speaker 1: if he's off the minutes restriction is he gonna be
- 12:48Speaker 1: playing 36 minutes a night potentially and he looks good
- 12:51Speaker 1: i mean they've talked about how good he is as
- 12:54Speaker 1: like a one-man fast break guy when he gets the
- 12:56Speaker 1: the rebound just pushing the pace i think that he's
- 12:58Speaker 1: a really solid option all these guys look really good
- 13:00Speaker 1: but i would rank it ad george debansa then trey
- 13:04Speaker 1: young and then if star were to miss you can
- 13:06Speaker 1: start to get into the deandre aidens of the world
- 13:09Speaker 1: um I don't really know if I want to go
- 13:11Speaker 1: anywhere else. I don't think that there's enough on guys
- 13:13Speaker 1: like Trey Johnson above Carrington, maybe Trey, if Kula Bali
- 13:17Speaker 1: were to miss, but I guess Aiden would have to
- 13:19Speaker 1: make a player pool because he'd only be 3.3 K.
- 13:20Speaker 2: Definitely agree with that. I, yeah, I mean, these, like
- 13:25Speaker 2: these wizards are getting ownership. I don't, wouldn't even be
- 13:27Speaker 2: surprised if AD was like 30%, 35, something regardless. I
- 13:31Speaker 2: think he's, there's solid plays. Would you be fine because
- 13:34Speaker 2: of their price tags playing all three of George, AJ and,
- 13:37Speaker 2: and AD?
- 13:38Speaker 1: I don't think so. Uh, I think there are routes
- 13:41Speaker 1: where they all can get there, but on an 11-game slate,
- 13:44Speaker 1: especially if you're playing in that big tournament, you need
- 13:46Speaker 1: to be close to perfect. And I would say that
- 13:48Speaker 1: there's a more likelihood that some other combination beats that.
- 13:53Speaker 2: Makes sense. I'd probably rank probably an ownership AJ. Again,
- 13:59Speaker 2: I think AJ might be, yeah, 25, 20, and then
- 14:02Speaker 2: AD might be 35. It would be one of these two.
- 14:04Speaker 2: And then Keyshawn is number three for me. But all
- 14:07Speaker 2: look like strong plays, all going to carry AJ. some ownership,
- 14:10Speaker 2: and I definitely would not make a rule to have
- 14:12Speaker 2: one Hawk, assuming that Jalen Johnson isn't. And I didn't
- 14:16Speaker 2: say hi to everyone in chat, so let me do
- 14:18Speaker 2: that first. A lot of people still saying hi to
- 14:21Speaker 2: the Million Dollar Man. There's Go Collect, Jordan, Coach Sav,
- 14:24Speaker 2: Jim Parrish, Billy Phantom, Jay Pert, Scooter, what's going on, Neighbors, Brock,
- 14:31Speaker 2: Big Ed, Winsalot, Ryan Shepard, Parabye, Gang Green, Avery, I
- 14:38Speaker 2: think that's everyone flip-flopping. Great to see everybody in here.
- 14:40Speaker 2: Hope everyone's doing well. All we ask is the like
- 14:42Speaker 2: button and the subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. Hey,
- 14:45Speaker 2: Rio deserves it. He wins a million dollars a couple
- 14:47Speaker 2: days ago and is back grinding for everyone. So just
- 14:50Speaker 2: for that reason alone, like button. Helps us out a
- 14:53Speaker 2: ton and it costs nothing. Two hits. All right, let's
- 14:56Speaker 2: go to, I mean, usually these Nets games are games
- 14:59Speaker 2: I do not care about. Low total in this one. Charlotte,
- 15:02Speaker 2: three net point favorites. 212.5 total. Charlotte side, no Grant Williams.
- 15:06Speaker 2: Nets side, no Igor Demin, so pretty much two healthy teams. Yeah,
- 15:11Speaker 2: I mean, Julius Randle, Michael Porter Jr. I will say
- 15:14Speaker 2: this Mikel Brown dude is fun to watch. I definitely,
- 15:18Speaker 2: the Celtics game, he helped us out or almost helped
- 15:20Speaker 2: us out being a donkey going for that layup. But
- 15:23Speaker 2: he's a hooper and he has no fear. Not sure
- 15:26Speaker 2: tonight's the slate for it, but I'm not really playing.
- 15:29Speaker 2: I guess you can always play Brandon Miller. Price is
- 15:32Speaker 2: getting up there. The slower pace concerns me a bit,
- 15:34Speaker 2: but he can get there in any matchup. So it's Miller, Randall, MPJ, Brown.
- 15:39Speaker 2: Still not really sure how much I'm going to get
- 15:41Speaker 2: exposure to this game, but it's at least looking low-owned
- 15:43Speaker 2: if you do want to get different.
- 15:45Speaker 1: Yeah, that's pretty much the only positive thing I could
- 15:47Speaker 1: say about this one is that it's going to be low-owned.
- 15:49Speaker 1: It's just not a lot to like here. 212.5 total,
- 15:52Speaker 1: which is the lowest on the slate. Charlotte getting Kobe
- 15:56Speaker 1: White and Conk and Nipple back tonight. You got to
- 15:58Speaker 1: wonder how that eats into Brandon Miller's usage, who was
- 16:00Speaker 1: just dominating the ball in every game prior to this one,
- 16:03Speaker 1: and now he's priced up to 8.4K. So I think
- 16:06Speaker 1: that's a really tough price to justify. Fine, honestly, X-ing
- 16:10Speaker 1: out Charlotte tonight. Brooklyn, it's a max one, and it's
- 16:14Speaker 1: probably just Julius Randle and MPJ. I do agree with
- 16:16Speaker 1: you on Michael Brown Jr. He looks good. Definitely part
- 16:19Speaker 1: of their long-term future plans. But, yeah, just not tonight.
- 16:23Speaker 1: I'm not really seeing a lot to like in this game.
- 16:24Speaker 1: Too defensive. Well, really not defensive-minded, but just slower pace
- 16:27Speaker 1: and not great offenses.
- 16:30Speaker 2: Can't argue with that at all. That's what the field's
- 16:32Speaker 2: looking at in this game as well. So let's get
- 16:35Speaker 2: to the next game, which, I mean, big favorites are
- 16:38Speaker 2: the Celtics taking out my Bucs at 11.5, 221.5 total.
- 16:43Speaker 2: Bucs side, no injuries to talk about. Boston, no Tatum,
- 16:46Speaker 2: and Peyton Pritchard is questionable. So you do at least
- 16:50Speaker 2: get some on the Boston side. You get PG at 7,200.
- 16:53Speaker 2: If Peyton Pritchard plays 6,200, it's too cheap. Are these–
- 17:00Speaker 2: I feel like these ownerships definitely cannot be updated. There's
- 17:02Speaker 2: no way Derek White's going to be 4.5%. Even like Shireman, 3,800. Hauser, 42.
- 17:09Speaker 2: There's no way no one's going to play any of them.
- 17:13Speaker 1: Do you see it the same, right? Yeah, I don't
- 17:15Speaker 1: think that they even have the minutes updated yet. It's
- 17:18Speaker 1: looking really, really low across the board.
- 17:20Speaker 2: Oh, yeah, Tatum. Saber Sim.
- 17:22Speaker 1: Yeah, they still have Tatum projected for minutes.
- 17:25Speaker 2: Minutes, but no points. Yeah, all right. Yeah, talk about
- 17:28Speaker 2: Bucs side. Bucs side, that Barry's is getting... some ownership
- 17:32Speaker 2: because he started last game and he's 3,900. So I'm
- 17:34Speaker 2: curious to hear what you're going to say about that.
- 17:36Speaker 2: But Boston side, I want you to start with with
- 17:38Speaker 2: no Tatum.
- 17:40Speaker 1: Yeah, so I mean, Paul George and Peyton Pritchard are
- 17:41Speaker 1: the two guys that see the biggest bump in usage
- 17:43Speaker 1: with Tatum out this season. And we've kind of seen
- 17:46Speaker 1: that year after year with Peyton Pritchard. So I think
- 17:48Speaker 1: that we can feel pretty confident about him. Assuming he plays,
- 17:51Speaker 1: he did pick up an injury and has not been
- 17:53Speaker 1: listed in just yet. It was a shoulder contusion. There
- 17:56Speaker 1: were some of the beats saying he wouldn't be surprised
- 17:58Speaker 1: if both missed tonight. So you've got to start to wonder,
- 18:01Speaker 1: is 11.5 a little bit too aggressive on the line
- 18:03Speaker 1: that Peyton Pritchard's going to be out to? I know
- 18:05Speaker 1: the Bucs are bad, but they've played a little bit better,
- 18:07Speaker 1: and I think that they look a little bit better
- 18:09Speaker 1: with Burries in the starting lineup and Ryan Rollins off
- 18:12Speaker 1: the bench, just to kind of give them a different look.
- 18:14Speaker 1: But yeah, Pritchard and Paul George are the two that
- 18:16Speaker 1: I'm looking to here. I think Paul George, even at
- 18:20Speaker 1: the price tag being up at 7.2K, feels pretty safe
- 18:24Speaker 1: and good point-per-dollar floor-ceiling type of option. White is a
- 18:29Speaker 1: little bit tougher to get to just because he's been,
- 18:31Speaker 1: I mean, it's been like a two-year stretch where he's struggled.
- 18:33Speaker 1: He's still not shooting the ball great. Still not really
- 18:36Speaker 1: seeing a huge uptick in usage or permanent numbers with
- 18:40Speaker 1: Tatum off the court this season. And he's not cheap either.
- 18:43Speaker 1: So you kind of have everything going against him where
- 18:46Speaker 1: I expect him to probably see a little bit of
- 18:48Speaker 1: a bigger ownership bump than what we're showing right now.
- 18:51Speaker 1: It is a good matchup. The Bucs have been one
- 18:53Speaker 1: of the worst teams at defending the pick and roll.
- 18:56Speaker 1: And maybe this is a spot where he can kind
- 18:57Speaker 1: of get more steals and blocks against a potentially turnover
- 19:01Speaker 1: prone team with a rookie in the starting lineup and
- 19:04Speaker 1: kind of two, like no true point guard on the team.
- 19:08Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know if Pritchard's in, I'm just
- 19:10Speaker 1: going down to him at 6.2 K with the shooting
- 19:13Speaker 1: guard eligibility, then paying up for wide. And I'm just
- 19:15Speaker 1: going up 500 more for Paul George with shooting guard,
- 19:18Speaker 1: small forward eligibility. He's kind of clear in a way,
- 19:21Speaker 1: the worst option of those three.
- 19:23Speaker 2: How much does he get bumped if Pritchard's out? He
- 19:28Speaker 2: just has to handle the ball so much more. Yeah,
- 19:31Speaker 2: like if Pritchard's out, it'd be tough.
- 19:33Speaker 1: I would take back a lot of what I said
- 19:34Speaker 1: just because he's going to have such a dominant role.
- 19:36Speaker 1: I expect him to get like near 10 minutes of
- 19:39Speaker 1: touch time in that instance.
- 19:42Speaker 2: But he'd also be one of the most popular plays
- 19:44Speaker 2: on the slate. Like I think Paul George is the
- 19:46Speaker 2: most popular play right now with the slate lock. So
- 19:49Speaker 2: wait for these numbers. to update. But yeah, these definitely
- 19:52Speaker 2: not what we're showing right now. Yeah.
- 19:54Speaker 1: And as far as the back end of the rotation goes,
- 19:56Speaker 1: we'll see where they start. I think they started Shireman.
- 19:58Speaker 1: What was it? Sunday or Monday? I forget when he
- 20:01Speaker 1: started the you just don't really know what, what Missoula
- 20:05Speaker 1: is going to do with these guys. I mean, even
- 20:07Speaker 1: we've seen Jordan Walsh start and play like 12 minutes
- 20:10Speaker 1: and that be it. I think we've seen Hugo Gonzalez
- 20:12Speaker 1: get up to like 24 randomly. So I would probably
- 20:14Speaker 1: just mix and match a little bit of each of
- 20:16Speaker 1: these guys from Shireman, Hugo and Walsh. And then for
- 20:20Speaker 1: sure it'd be a max one. Cause I don't think
- 20:22Speaker 1: that two of these guys are getting there. If White
- 20:24Speaker 1: or Pritchard does miss, then I'd probably loosen it up
- 20:26Speaker 1: a little bit, but yeah, you're really just looking to
- 20:28Speaker 1: PG and Pritchard in this game. on the Celtics side.
- 20:32Speaker 1: And then Milwaukee side, I think it's just buries or bust. 3.9K
- 20:36Speaker 1: is really cheap for a guy that's going to be starting,
- 20:38Speaker 1: probably playing close to 30 minutes now that he's in
- 20:40Speaker 1: the starting lineup. And even though he shot poorly, I mean,
- 20:44Speaker 1: he left a lot of meat in the bones, 9.9
- 20:46Speaker 1: rebounds in his first start, but only went 4.15 from
- 20:50Speaker 1: the field. The usage was very promising, though, 24.5% usage rate.
- 20:53Speaker 1: So much better role for a guy price in the,
- 20:57Speaker 1: the 3k range. So I'm looking forward to seeing him
- 20:59Speaker 1: get better as the season moves along. And hopefully that
- 21:01Speaker 1: starts tonight. I guess if you want to mix in
- 21:05Speaker 1: hero and Hawkins, I don't blame you, but not really
- 21:07Speaker 1: for me tonight. Yeah.
- 21:10Speaker 2: You need it to be a close game for sure.
- 21:11Speaker 2: If you're going to go hero Hawkins, Burry's a, I mean,
- 21:14Speaker 2: he has no fear. I definitely like the move for
- 21:17Speaker 2: the box starting. I'm like, let's, let's get your first
- 21:20Speaker 2: round pick out there and, and start seeing what you got.
- 21:24Speaker 2: So you said 30 minutes. Sabre has him for 25
- 21:27Speaker 2: right now. He played 25 last game. I believe that
- 21:29Speaker 2: was a blowout, though. Granted, Bucs can't blow out any game,
- 21:33Speaker 2: especially this one. But you'd have him projected at 30 minutes?
- 21:37Speaker 1: Maybe like 27 and a half, 28. Okay.
- 21:38Speaker 2: Yeah, still high.
- 21:40Speaker 1: I'm going to actually look and see what that last
- 21:43Speaker 1: game looked like.
- 21:45Speaker 2: I want to say they were– it feels like every
- 21:47Speaker 2: game the Bucs are blowing out, but– Monday, I don't
- 21:53Speaker 2: even know if I was– I was playing poker, so
- 21:56Speaker 2: I wasn't paying attention.
- 21:58Speaker 1: Yeah, they lost by 12. He just didn't close. They
- 22:00Speaker 1: had A.J. Green and Yaka Shonas closing.
- 22:06Speaker 2: They do like– yeah, they do like Kaspers a little bit.
- 22:09Speaker 2: It feels like it's kind of going to be random
- 22:12Speaker 2: with Jenkins as well. But, I mean, to start and
- 22:14Speaker 2: be 3,900. With that said, like he's coming with ownership.
- 22:17Speaker 2: This is going to be Paul George– Burries is going
- 22:20Speaker 2: to be probably the chalkiest pairing on the slate when
- 22:23Speaker 2: it comes down to, yeah, probably anyone. I think you
- 22:26Speaker 2: can throw Cat in there. He's going to be very
- 22:28Speaker 2: chalky too. But Burries is not getting past anyone. Paul
- 22:31Speaker 2: George definitely not getting past anyone. If Shireman starts, though,
- 22:35Speaker 2: and just say he's like 25%, would that make you
- 22:39Speaker 2: a little nervous?
- 22:41Speaker 1: Not really. I would still like that. Yeah, I think
- 22:44Speaker 1: that when he starts, it's a little bit different because
- 22:46Speaker 1: they do feel pretty comfortable with him playing two of
- 22:49Speaker 1: the same rotations in the first and second half. So
- 22:51Speaker 1: I'd feel more comfortable with Shireman than I would like
- 22:54Speaker 1: a Wallace or Hugo, Hugo Gonzalez.
- 22:56Speaker 2: Sounds good. Yeah. These first games, I mean, important injury news,
- 23:00Speaker 2: Jalen Johnson, uh, and beats that on the injury report
- 23:02Speaker 2: right now, but if he were to miss and then
- 23:04Speaker 2: Peyton Pritchard is very big news as well. All right. Uh,
- 23:08Speaker 2: next game on the slates, we got the Chicago bulls
- 23:11Speaker 2: and the New York Knicks, uh, Knicks favored by 12
- 23:14Speaker 2: and a half to 33 and a half total in
- 23:16Speaker 2: this one. On the injury report for Chicago, Claxton's questionable.
- 23:21Speaker 2: For the Knicks, no Josh Hart. You can see up
- 23:24Speaker 2: there the Knicks have tied for 123 points, which is
- 23:27Speaker 2: the most on the slate. And I talked about Carl
- 23:30Speaker 2: Anthony Towns. So, yeah, they're showing 30%, maybe in the $ 5.
- 23:34Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised if it's a little higher. And
- 23:36Speaker 2: I think single entry stuff, it only gets to the 40,
- 23:39Speaker 2: maybe even 50 range. 8,300 is just too cheap. And
- 23:42Speaker 2: he does get a rebounding boost with no Josh Hart.
- 23:45Speaker 2: With that being said, I think Ananobi and Jalen Brunson,
- 23:48Speaker 2: also strong plays. Caleb Wilson probably stays the same, and
- 23:52Speaker 2: I think he is the most appealing on the Chicago side.
- 23:55Speaker 2: But by no means do you need a bull. Do
- 23:57Speaker 2: you see it the same way?
- 23:58Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't say that you need one, but I
- 24:01Speaker 1: would say that there is some correlated upside in going
- 24:04Speaker 1: to a Caleb Wilson. It's pretty much just him. If
- 24:08Speaker 1: you are playing heavily into the Cat and Brunson's of
- 24:11Speaker 1: the world in this game, Because they... I mean, if
- 24:15Speaker 1: this team's keeping games close, it's because of Caleb Wilson.
- 24:17Speaker 1: He's much more mature for a rookie than we've probably
- 24:20Speaker 1: ever seen, and he's definitely willing to take on a
- 24:23Speaker 1: really big workload and a big responsibility. So that'd be
- 24:26Speaker 1: the guy that I'd be potentially looking to correlate, like
- 24:28Speaker 1: if Caleb Wilson, then one of Cat, OG, or Brunson,
- 24:33Speaker 1: something like that. But overall, I do expect the Knicks
- 24:36Speaker 1: to roll here, even with Josh Hart out. They have
- 24:39Speaker 1: a really, really good implied team total tonight, like you said, and.
- 24:44Speaker 1: Two clear spots to attack with no Josh Hart. Cat
- 24:46Speaker 1: put up 46 DK points in just 28 minutes against
- 24:49Speaker 1: them last time out. And then Brunson had 38 real
- 24:53Speaker 1: points in that one. Most he's had this season. Just
- 24:55Speaker 1: the main risk is a blowout, cutting down both these guys.
- 24:59Speaker 1: And definitely do have concerns there because Chicago looks like
- 25:01Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in the league. Yeah, so
- 25:04Speaker 1: you're really just hoping for them to keep it close enough.
- 25:06Speaker 1: Maybe they get there. I expect Cat to be kind
- 25:08Speaker 1: of insulated from that. You don't need a close game
- 25:11Speaker 1: for him to get there just because he's so good
- 25:12Speaker 1: point per minute. Brunson you kind of do because he
- 25:15Speaker 1: can really take over late games when you need him
- 25:16Speaker 1: to really turn it on in the clutch. But, yeah,
- 25:19Speaker 1: then we have a little bit of value opening up
- 25:21Speaker 1: here in Landry Shamit and Miles McBride with no Josh
- 25:26Speaker 1: Hart here. I want to see whether they're projected to start.
- 25:28Speaker 1: I would imagine it's Landry. Yeah, Landry Shamit projected to
- 25:32Speaker 1: start and see around 30 minutes. So that feels pretty good.
- 25:35Speaker 1: He's been really solid this season. The Bulls aren't really
- 25:37Speaker 1: giving up a ton of catch and shoot stuff, so
- 25:39Speaker 1: not the best stylistic matchup for him.
- 25:43Speaker 2: How does he compare to Burry's? How does he compare
- 25:45Speaker 2: to Shireman if you were to start similar pricing?
- 25:48Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I was going to say. There's kind
- 25:50Speaker 1: of a lot of value tonight, especially in the shooting
- 25:52Speaker 1: guard small forward range. If Pritchard is out, I would
- 25:57Speaker 1: put Shireman ahead of everybody. But yeah, I'd probably have
- 26:02Speaker 1: Burry's ahead of Shaman as well, just because the usage
- 26:04Speaker 1: role for Burry's look pretty good. And if that carries over.
- 26:06Speaker 2: I'm going to throw two more out there since the
- 26:09Speaker 2: similar pricing and we'll get there. Malik Thomas, Mario Hazonia.
- 26:14Speaker 1: Probably taking those guys i probably take hazonia ahead of
- 26:18Speaker 1: shambit maybe maybe not malik.
- 26:22Speaker 2: Okay yeah we'll get there later but yeah i mean
- 26:24Speaker 2: that just shows there's so much value on the slate
- 26:27Speaker 2: in the 3k range and there really isn't like a
- 26:29Speaker 2: ton of spends on the slate i mean there's yokich
- 26:32Speaker 2: there's there's shea but like only two players above 10k
- 26:35Speaker 2: and then if jail john johnson misses it goes all
- 26:37Speaker 2: the way down to 9.3k so you can really spend
- 26:41Speaker 2: that's why towns pg like it it's really easy to
- 26:44Speaker 2: have an all-star build or at least feel like you
- 26:46Speaker 2: have an all-star build today. I think you're, you might
- 26:48Speaker 2: need 400 to win the $ 5 today or something crazy. Yeah.
- 26:53Speaker 1: Yeah. It feels like a slate that probably loading up
- 26:55Speaker 1: more so in like the mid upper tier Mexican, a
- 26:58Speaker 1: couple of these value plays. Cause I don't think that
- 27:00Speaker 1: you need to get up to your bitch, which obviously
- 27:02Speaker 1: we'll get there. I don't think you need to get
- 27:03Speaker 1: up to Shay at all.
- 27:04Speaker 2: So I think it almost going to be not contrarian,
- 27:07Speaker 2: but more contrarian on a slate where we have a
- 27:09Speaker 2: ton of good value than you'd think, because people are
- 27:11Speaker 2: going to hammer the mid, I mean, this Knicks game
- 27:14Speaker 2: right here, like, yeah, Kat's too cheap. Brunson's too cheap.
- 27:17Speaker 2: OG's too cheap. Paul George's too cheap. So, yeah, keep
- 27:20Speaker 2: it rolling.
- 27:21Speaker 1: Yeah, not really much else to add. I do think
- 27:23Speaker 1: Kat is the best play in this game by a
- 27:25Speaker 1: pretty wide margin. Field agrees with that one. Seen high ownership. Fine.
- 27:30Speaker 1: I played a good amount of Brunson in the last game.
- 27:32Speaker 1: I actually think he won me a $ 1, 500 ticket that night.
- 27:35Speaker 1: Went off. So I'm fine with him as well. The
- 27:37Speaker 1: Bulls are giving up a ton of points to point
- 27:39Speaker 1: guards this season.
- 27:40Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 27:42Speaker 1: OG is kind of the one where I'm like iffy
- 27:44Speaker 1: on him if he does get higher on. What does
- 27:47Speaker 1: Saberson have him at tonight? 22%.
- 27:49Speaker 2: Okay.
- 27:52Speaker 1: It might end up being higher. It might end up
- 27:53Speaker 1: being lower. I'm not sure. But I don't know if
- 27:55Speaker 1: he's like a must-have at his price. And especially at
- 27:58Speaker 1: the position, there's a lot of pretty solid power forward
- 28:01Speaker 1: options tonight. I don't think you need anything on the Bulls, though.
- 28:04Speaker 1: If you want to play somebody, it's Caleb Wilson.
- 28:07Speaker 2: I definitely am a big OG guy, but it just
- 28:09Speaker 2: seems like he's coasting. Not even coasting, just Brunson and
- 28:12Speaker 2: Catt are dominating so much of the usage. OG's just
- 28:16Speaker 2: filling that role. And with the blow at risk, you
- 28:19Speaker 2: almost feel like you need this game to stay close.
- 28:21Speaker 2: So he gets his upper 30s minutes. And even then,
- 28:24Speaker 2: he had 38 minutes last game, but 18% usage, 15%
- 28:28Speaker 2: usage a game before. I like him, but 11 games
- 28:31Speaker 2: late when you feel like you need the nuts, not
- 28:33Speaker 2: my favorite play there. So yeah, Brunson, Catt. You're good
- 28:36Speaker 2: playing both of them, right? Or if you do, you're
- 28:38Speaker 2: for sure playing Caleb Wilson? Probably would do that.
- 28:43Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm– I'm kind of a bigger
- 28:45Speaker 1: proponent of not playing both of them in the same lineup.
- 28:47Speaker 1: But if you did play both of them the other
- 28:50Speaker 1: night these teams played, you'd be feeling pretty good about
- 28:51Speaker 1: what you got from them.
- 28:53Speaker 2: I just feel like they're still both like 1K2 cheat
- 28:56Speaker 2: maybe and in the nut spot. But it is 11 games,
- 28:59Speaker 2: so we keep talking about it. But you really, really
- 29:01Speaker 2: need– 5X isn't just going to cut it. You probably
- 29:04Speaker 2: need 6X or more for both of them. All right,
- 29:08Speaker 2: keep it rolling. Next game on the slate, Rio's Utah
- 29:10Speaker 2: Jazz taking on the New Orleans Pelicans. Pelicans, four and
- 29:14Speaker 2: a half point favorites, 231 and a half total in
- 29:16Speaker 2: this one. Mo Bamba's questionable for Utah, but no important
- 29:20Speaker 2: injury news on that side. As far as the Pelicans,
- 29:23Speaker 2: no messy. And then Trey Murphy is questionable. So another
- 29:27Speaker 2: important cue tag with Trey Murphy looking at it's No
- 29:31Speaker 2: one's really getting any ownership in this game, sorting three
- 29:34Speaker 2: players in double digits, and after that, nobody else. And
- 29:38Speaker 2: one of them is Mo Bamba. at 3,400. Is he
- 29:41Speaker 2: really going to be 18% if he plays? I don't
- 29:45Speaker 2: know about that one.
- 29:47Speaker 1: I'd be surprised, but it does kind of seem like
- 29:49Speaker 1: he was getting ownership earlier in the day just because
- 29:51Speaker 1: he's always been a really good permitted producer, and he's
- 29:54Speaker 1: had a decently solid role behind Jackson Hayes. Yeah, normally
- 29:59Speaker 1: if we saw these teams facing off last year, I
- 30:00Speaker 1: think this would be kind of the premier matchup of
- 30:02Speaker 1: the night, but things have shifted a little bit for
- 30:04Speaker 1: both these squads. I'm also hoping, I don't know if
- 30:07Speaker 1: you can hear the gardeners behind me, but I'm trying to, okay,
- 30:10Speaker 1: thank God. Yeah, they're like right outside my garage door
- 30:14Speaker 1: right now, but hopefully it's not too loud. But yeah,
- 30:16Speaker 1: normally we'd be firing away at players in this game.
- 30:20Speaker 1: Just things have kind of changed for both squads. They're
- 30:22Speaker 1: a little bit better defensively. Jazz, you know, still giving
- 30:25Speaker 1: up some big lines. But it's mainly against pick and
- 30:28Speaker 1: roll heavy teams and transition scoring teams. New Orleans hasn't
- 30:32Speaker 1: been that great of a rim defense. There's kind of
- 30:33Speaker 1: two spots to attack. But overall, Jazz playing much, much
- 30:36Speaker 1: slower than last year, not giving up as many three-pointers.
- 30:40Speaker 1: I will say, though, that high-usage guys against the Jazz
- 30:42Speaker 1: are going to be a spot you want to attack
- 30:44Speaker 1: all year long. The issue is there's not really that
- 30:46Speaker 1: type of player here on the Pelicans. It's pretty spread
- 30:49Speaker 1: out when you have all these guys healthy. Maybe with
- 30:52Speaker 1: Murphy out, we see a little bit more from DeJounte
- 30:54Speaker 1: Murray or Zion. You got to be able to hear that.
- 30:58Speaker 2: Yeah, I can hear that a little bit, but it's
- 31:00Speaker 2: not as loud as you would think.
- 31:01Speaker 1: All right. Hopefully he's gone soon, but yeah, it's just
- 31:05Speaker 1: more so a stay away. I'd say max two on
- 31:07Speaker 1: the Pelican side. I do like the spot for DeJounte,
- 31:10Speaker 1: but the price is up there and still splitting handling
- 31:13Speaker 1: with Zion and Jeremiah fears. As for the jazz, it's
- 31:17Speaker 1: Peterson up to Keontae. I think you're in play, not
- 31:20Speaker 1: really looking to get to Mo Bamba, even at the
- 31:23Speaker 1: positive value score. I think, Now is probably the time
- 31:26Speaker 1: to jump on Darren Peterson and start to see a
- 31:28Speaker 1: little bit more of an increased ball handling role. And
- 31:32Speaker 1: that's probably– I think we're starting to get a little
- 31:34Speaker 1: bit up there on Keontae. I like his over in
- 31:36Speaker 1: points tonight at 20.5 because I do think it's a
- 31:38Speaker 1: pretty good scoring matchup for him. But as far as
- 31:41Speaker 1: the full-on role goes for him, splitting it a lot
- 31:44Speaker 1: with Darren Peterson is kind of tough for me to
- 31:46Speaker 1: get to at this price.
- 31:49Speaker 2: So if Trey Murphy's out, I know you mentioned DeJounte's
- 31:52Speaker 2: name and there's Zion. They still feel– I guess they'd
- 31:56Speaker 2: then be appropriately priced, it would feel. Do you agree
- 31:58Speaker 2: with that statement? If Murphy's out? Yeah. Yeah. They're not
- 32:05Speaker 2: still going to scream, like, great value. I mean, we
- 32:07Speaker 2: just talked about Brunson and Cat, 81-83 right there. Paul George, 72.
- 32:12Speaker 2: It'd make it more intriguing for me since I don't
- 32:14Speaker 2: think their ownership really gets there. And, I mean, in
- 32:17Speaker 2: the $ 5 tournament, you looked at Nika's lineup, less than
- 32:20Speaker 2: 1% Aaron Gordon, 4.5% Brunson. If you're playing that, you
- 32:24Speaker 2: need low-owned plays. And I still think they'd be relatively
- 32:26Speaker 2: low on, but I would, I would max one, but you,
- 32:30Speaker 2: you would, you'd be fine with them. If Trey Murphy
- 32:32Speaker 2: was out, you still wouldn't love them.
- 32:33Speaker 1: Right. I would be pretty excited about DeJounte. Just looking
- 32:37Speaker 1: at our usage tool, we'd have them right there at
- 32:41Speaker 1: 26% usage. Just starting to get to the higher usage
- 32:44Speaker 1: point that I would want to attack this jazz scene with.
- 32:47Speaker 1: And he'd project as a positive value, 5.3, five X.
- 32:50Speaker 1: I'd be looking to him because he does have, Slate
- 32:52Speaker 1: breaking upside still. It's harder for Zion just because his
- 32:55Speaker 1: role has been so bad this year. They're trying to
- 32:57Speaker 1: turn him into a three-point shooter for whatever reason. And
- 33:00Speaker 1: just like he's in like the low 20s usage most nights.
- 33:03Speaker 1: Just a tough look for him. But DeJounte would be
- 33:05Speaker 1: a guy I'm looking at. They're also talking about trading him. So,
- 33:08Speaker 1: you know, show him off a little bit.
- 33:11Speaker 2: Makes sense. I was about to say that too, Ryan. But, yeah,
- 33:17Speaker 2: he's got the gardeners. He's got the workers out there
- 33:19Speaker 2: with that million extra. All right, let's keep it rolling.
- 33:22Speaker 2: Next game on the slate, Indiana Pacers and the Memphis Grizzlies.
- 33:26Speaker 2: Memphis is six in that point favorites, 228.5 total in
- 33:31Speaker 2: this one. On the Indy side, here we go. No Tyrese,
- 33:36Speaker 2: of course. No T.J. McConnell. Zubach, Kelly Oubre, Obi Toppin,
- 33:40Speaker 2: all questionable on the Memphis side. Quinton Post is questionable.
- 33:45Speaker 2: Just looking at the Indiana stuff and going by projection,
- 33:47Speaker 2: thankfully we're not going to have to deal with the
- 33:49Speaker 2: six-man rotation. Well, a pull after Locke and Kelly Oubre,
- 33:55Speaker 2: and then a six-man rotation. What a crazy day that
- 33:57Speaker 2: was on Monday. But we still do have plenty of
- 34:00Speaker 2: Q tags on the Pacers side that could change some
- 34:03Speaker 2: things around as far as Memphis. Cam Bouger, Ty Jerome,
- 34:07Speaker 2: both of their prices are up there, though, going to
- 34:09Speaker 2: keep their ownership in check. But, yeah, it's fun to watch.
- 34:11Speaker 2: Ty Jerome's just the man. We said week one, or
- 34:15Speaker 2: day one, was it $ 5, 700 or $ 6, 000? Whatever price it was,
- 34:19Speaker 2: we said that's not going to last long. And it
- 34:21Speaker 2: sure did. And 85 is a little tough to get to. But, hey,
- 34:25Speaker 2: this should be a pretty high-paced game, competitive game. I
- 34:28Speaker 2: prefer Boozer to Jerome. But, yeah, I think you can
- 34:31Speaker 2: go either one of them. And then on Indy, it
- 34:34Speaker 2: depends on these cue tags. But it could be opportunity
- 34:37Speaker 2: if two of the three guys miss. Two of Oubre, Toppin, Zubac.
- 34:42Speaker 2: I think we can go back to some of these pacers.
- 34:44Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely agree. I think that as it stands right now,
- 34:47Speaker 1: Siakam and Nembhardt, are at least viable but with the
- 34:50Speaker 1: opportunity to get much much better assuming that some of
- 34:53Speaker 1: these guys were to miss i mean it's crazy i
- 34:56Speaker 1: don't know the pacers like do they deserve to be
- 34:58Speaker 1: uh like they should be punished a little bit i
- 35:02Speaker 1: think for what they did on monday with only dressing
- 35:05Speaker 1: six guys and after lock ruling out kelly uber it's
- 35:07Speaker 1: just crazy that they are allowed to do that but
- 35:10Speaker 1: maybe these guys are actually injured they initially said knee
- 35:12Speaker 1: contusion and then switch it to a calf contusion. So
- 35:16Speaker 1: you gotta, you gotta choose one, two different areas of
- 35:18Speaker 1: your leg.
- 35:20Speaker 2: Um, yeah, that's not a good look. Why even change it?
- 35:23Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't get that, but yeah, I mean, as
- 35:26Speaker 1: it stands right now, Siakam, Nembhard viable, but would get much,
- 35:29Speaker 1: much better. Uh, Nembhard in particular, I think is an
- 35:32Speaker 1: interesting ceiling play because it is a decent spot here.
- 35:36Speaker 1: And in the last couple of games that Halliburton has missed,
- 35:39Speaker 1: he's had nearly nine minutes of touchdown, 10 and a
- 35:41Speaker 1: half potential assists. Um, And then if Oubre sits, spreading
- 35:46Speaker 1: those minutes out between Jairus Walker and Aaron Neesmith, kind
- 35:48Speaker 1: of a wide range of outcome for these guys when
- 35:50Speaker 1: everybody– or when at least Siakam and Nembhard are healthy.
- 35:53Speaker 1: But you can look to them. The Grizzlies have been
- 35:56Speaker 1: getting– or they did get beat in that game against
- 35:58Speaker 1: the Pelicans against three-point shooters. So those guys technically are
- 36:03Speaker 1: making a– it's a decent matchup for them. I have
- 36:05Speaker 1: a side of grief with what you said, though. I
- 36:07Speaker 1: do prefer Boozer over Jerome at these prices. It's just
- 36:09Speaker 1: a wider range of outcome for Jerome. Definitely has– Major
- 36:14Speaker 1: scoring upside, major DFS upside, like we saw second 40-point
- 36:17Speaker 1: game of the season. But Boozer just got the rebounding upside.
- 36:21Speaker 1: I think he's averaging a double-double so far through his
- 36:23Speaker 1: first handful of games in his career. But again, it's
- 36:27Speaker 1: a pretty solid power forward slate tonight, and I do
- 36:30Speaker 1: prefer Cat and AD slightly to Boozer.
- 36:34Speaker 2: I do think ownership's going to reflect that as well.
- 36:37Speaker 2: Maybe 3X, two and a half to three times, I
- 36:40Speaker 2: think those guys will be to Boozer, so. Again, what
- 36:42Speaker 2: you're doing with your lineups, if you're already eating Paul George, Burries,
- 36:45Speaker 2: all that, I think Bouger would make more sense to
- 36:48Speaker 2: get different. If you're already getting different in other spots,
- 36:51Speaker 2: then I think playing either AD or Cat. And someone
- 36:54Speaker 2: did mention we didn't. I'm saying AD because I think
- 36:58Speaker 2: I'm more confident the game's going to be competitive, but
- 37:01Speaker 2: it's definitely close. If you told me Cat would be
- 37:05Speaker 2: out there for the final stretch last four minutes because
- 37:07Speaker 2: the game's close, then I'd go Cat. Any take on
- 37:10Speaker 2: that for you?
- 37:12Speaker 1: I think I'd lean Cat, but it's not by a ton,
- 37:14Speaker 1: and basically for the reasons that you mentioned. But I
- 37:16Speaker 1: do think that, yeah, like you said, if we're getting
- 37:19Speaker 1: full minutes from Cat, he's got 60, 70-point upside. AD
- 37:25Speaker 1: does have that, but you do add in DeBansa, whereas
- 37:29Speaker 1: you're taking away Hart from Cat.
- 37:31Speaker 2: Yep, no, definitely makes sense. If that game's close, Cat's
- 37:35Speaker 2: the answer there. All right, we'll keep rolling. Next game
- 37:38Speaker 2: on the slate, Cleveland Cavaliers and the OKC Thunder. Thunder
- 37:42Speaker 2: three and a half point in favor. It's 226 and
- 37:44Speaker 2: a half total. For Cleveland, no Peyton Watson again. No
- 37:47Speaker 2: Jalen Tyson as far as OKC. No Chet. Jalen Williams,
- 37:52Speaker 2: obviously the IN. Jalen, the other one, is down bad, unfortunately. Man,
- 37:59Speaker 2: we didn't even talk about that injury. It's been like
- 38:01Speaker 2: two weeks or something. But very, very sad to see that.
- 38:05Speaker 2: Definitely changes stuff for DFS, though. Shea coming off. a
- 38:09Speaker 2: great game last game. I believe it was, it was
- 38:12Speaker 2: on Monday, um, showing low ownership, 10.3 K. We have
- 38:16Speaker 2: the value. If you do want to play Shea, if
- 38:18Speaker 2: you don't want to play Jokic can most definitely do that.
- 38:21Speaker 2: He's not projecting to get much ownership. Then you are
- 38:23Speaker 2: giving up the ADs, the towns of the world. You
- 38:26Speaker 2: can play them both, but that's where a lot of
- 38:28Speaker 2: the ownership is going to go more of those AK
- 38:31Speaker 2: seven K and hammer the mid tier. Um, Ajay Mitchell
- 38:35Speaker 2: looks pretty good, even though he's 6,600. He's just a hooper.
- 38:38Speaker 2: We could see it last year during the playoff run,
- 38:40Speaker 2: how much they trusted him. Yeah. Two guys, Azonia, Malik Thomas.
- 38:44Speaker 2: I mentioned them when we were comparing Burry, Shireman and
- 38:48Speaker 2: all of those guys, they're going to be pretty popular
- 38:50Speaker 2: for value and get, or allow things to work. So
- 38:53Speaker 2: break down this game, Cavs and the Thunder.
- 38:56Speaker 1: Yeah. Like you said, we just saw these teams play
- 38:58Speaker 1: on Monday, kind of the rare East coast, West coast
- 39:01Speaker 1: baseball series that we never really see, but, Yeah, Shea
- 39:04Speaker 1: was just dominating in that one, 43 points on 39 minutes,
- 39:08Speaker 1: 35 field goal attempts. I would say defensively, it's a
- 39:14Speaker 1: tough spot for any team against OKC, but Cleveland in particular,
- 39:18Speaker 1: where you have high-usage guys like Donovan Mitchell, James Harden,
- 39:22Speaker 1: just because OKC is very willing and able to help
- 39:25Speaker 1: off on these guys or help give help to defenders
- 39:28Speaker 1: on high usage guys so you see the numbers and
- 39:31Speaker 1: you're like wow donovan mitchell had a double double 11
- 39:34Speaker 1: assist in that game but it makes sense he was
- 39:36Speaker 1: much more being forced into that passing role that's pretty
- 39:39Speaker 1: sticky with okc we've seen that a lot they're able
- 39:41Speaker 1: to take away these number one options so i'm not
- 39:44Speaker 1: really into donovan here i don't think that I was
- 39:46Speaker 1: trying to find a line for him on DraftKings of
- 39:49Speaker 1: what his assist would be. I wanted to see if
- 39:52Speaker 1: it was in like the four and a half, five
- 39:53Speaker 1: and a half range would be a pretty decent bet,
- 39:55Speaker 1: but wasn't able to find that. Can you talk in
- 39:58Speaker 1: the background? So if you got it.
- 39:59Speaker 2: Yeah. Five plus minus 151, six plus, plus 127.
- 40:03Speaker 1: Okay.
- 40:03Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 40:04Speaker 1: I mean, that seems like decent, a decent bet to take. Yeah.
- 40:10Speaker 1: That being said, I think that a lot of the
- 40:12Speaker 1: fantasy appeal from the Cleveland side does come from the
- 40:14Speaker 1: value plays in Hazonia and Malik Thomas. Malik Thomas, I mean,
- 40:19Speaker 1: he's a stud. Matt's been talking about him basically since
- 40:22Speaker 1: the season started. He was getting a ton of love
- 40:23Speaker 1: in the preseason and the summer league. Looks like a
- 40:26Speaker 1: real NBA player. They took him in the second round,
- 40:29Speaker 1: and he's already starting for them. He's more of an
- 40:31Speaker 1: off-ball scorer, and he's talked about trying to find open spots,
- 40:34Speaker 1: playing with two ball-dominant guys like James Harden and Donovan Mitchell.
- 40:38Speaker 1: And this could be a pretty solid spot for him.
- 40:39Speaker 1: I mean, you could see a three-point volume increase here.
- 40:42Speaker 1: So I think that he does make sense from a
- 40:44Speaker 1: matchup standpoint, but they might go to more Hazonia. I
- 40:48Speaker 1: don't know if the Hazonia minutes would come at the
- 40:50Speaker 1: expense of Jared Allen, who I will say, I mean,
- 40:52Speaker 1: he was plus 11 in his 28 minutes last game
- 40:55Speaker 1: and still got benched in the fourth quarter or just
- 40:58Speaker 1: had somebody else playing over him. But Hazonia is a
- 41:01Speaker 1: guy that is a big body defender that can match
- 41:03Speaker 1: up pretty well with Shea. So they probably want to
- 41:05Speaker 1: go there. So I do agree on the ownership on him.
- 41:08Speaker 1: I mean, we've seen him years ago. He's always been
- 41:11Speaker 1: a pretty solid defender. NBA player. Now he's getting a
- 41:13Speaker 1: no shot. So I think that he's totally fine. No rules.
- 41:16Speaker 1: I'm sort of setting there. I think it's probably a
- 41:18Speaker 1: max one of Mitchell and Harden max one, Mobley Allen.
- 41:23Speaker 1: Maybe if you want to toss in his own, you
- 41:24Speaker 1: in there as a max two would make some sense,
- 41:28Speaker 1: but I don't think that you're really getting to a
- 41:29Speaker 1: ton of Cleveland tonight.
- 41:32Speaker 2: Okay. So you're fine going Malik and his own you, right?
- 41:35Speaker 1: Yeah, I think so. I didn't get to look at
- 41:36Speaker 1: the rotation. I'll check, uh, you get a moment to
- 41:38Speaker 1: talk after I talk about, okay. So just to see
- 41:40Speaker 1: what it was. if they were overlapping, but I think
- 41:42Speaker 1: that they were just because one's a guard and one's
- 41:44Speaker 1: a forward, so they should be fine together. But yeah,
- 41:47Speaker 1: as for LKC goes, I mean, hard to not like
- 41:50Speaker 1: Shea here, assuming that he's going to have that big
- 41:52Speaker 1: of a usage role again, but I could, I'd imagine
- 41:56Speaker 1: that Cleveland helps off a lot more here than they
- 41:59Speaker 1: did in that game. And that kind of brings me
- 42:01Speaker 1: on to AJ a little bit more. I do think
- 42:03Speaker 1: that one kind of benefits from the other doing poorly
- 42:06Speaker 1: or just being double team. And I don't like pairing
- 42:09Speaker 1: them together because it seems like If Shea's getting doubled
- 42:12Speaker 1: and he's more into the passing role like we saw
- 42:14Speaker 1: from Donovan Mitchell, then AJ thrusted more into the scoring role.
- 42:17Speaker 1: Definitely has a ton of upside. So I'm going to
- 42:19Speaker 1: max one of those two guys. Don't love the prices
- 42:22Speaker 1: on everybody else. Maybe some more value opens up if
- 42:25Speaker 1: Jalen Williams were to miss. But 6.3K for Harden signed
- 42:29Speaker 1: as a guy that doesn't score at all. It's just
- 42:30Speaker 1: basically rebounding and then maybe get some more secondary playmaking.
- 42:34Speaker 1: Not too enticing for me. Yeah, I think that's all
- 42:38Speaker 1: I got.
- 42:39Speaker 2: Yeah, I was looking for Zonia and Malik Thomas. They
- 42:44Speaker 2: definitely overlapped some. Second quarter they did, and then the
- 42:49Speaker 2: fourth quarter they did as well a little bit. So
- 42:54Speaker 2: I don't see why we'd have to make a rule
- 42:57Speaker 2: to avoid it. That's all I got, though. Anything that
- 43:04Speaker 2: you saw before we go to the next statement?
- 43:05Speaker 1: No, I'm trying to keep my mic mute as long
- 43:07Speaker 1: as I can. I'm staring my gardener like right in
- 43:09Speaker 1: the face out my window right now.
- 43:11Speaker 2: So sounds good. Yeah, we'll keep it rolling. Appreciate everyone
- 43:16Speaker 2: hanging out. Just I'll throw it over to our shipping
- 43:19Speaker 2: nation homepage one more time. So Rio gets a little
- 43:21Speaker 2: more of a break. But if you do want to
- 43:23Speaker 2: join us, see plans and pricing so much going on
- 43:25Speaker 2: at the nation. Shout out to man. I don't know.
- 43:30Speaker 2: I'd have to look up his name quick, but he
- 43:31Speaker 2: won thirty eight thousand and showdown on Monday. and then
- 43:36Speaker 2: also donated some money to the community as well. Just
- 43:38Speaker 2: so many very generous people out there. Another reason to
- 43:42Speaker 2: get in, not only for all the content, so many
- 43:45Speaker 2: sports going on right now as well, but the best
- 43:46Speaker 2: community around. Definitely do join the Discord. If you do
- 43:49Speaker 2: join any of these packages, Core 100, Starter, Ultimate, Monthly, Annual,
- 43:55Speaker 2: whether it's single sport, NBA, everything does come with the Discord.
- 43:59Speaker 2: So definitely get in on that. I do think the
- 44:02Speaker 2: best deal is Starter, though, because you get Saber Sims Projections,
- 44:05Speaker 2: And ownership, you get to build 400 more lineups from
- 44:08Speaker 2: the Core 100. Contest flashback, you're allowed to go back,
- 44:12Speaker 2: see a contest. Like last Wednesday, Nika won this exact
- 44:15Speaker 2: $ 5 tournament. What did her player pool look like? What
- 44:18Speaker 2: did she do? To help you get to the top
- 44:20Speaker 2: of the leaderboard, you can always check out what Rio
- 44:22Speaker 2: does in every single sport. I think back testing and
- 44:26Speaker 2: looking at what the professionals did to get better is
- 44:29Speaker 2: a very way to improve your process. Shout out to Lukey,
- 44:33Speaker 2: low stakes grinder, absolutely has crushed it. I don't even
- 44:36Speaker 2: know if I'd call him low stakes grinder anymore. He's
- 44:38Speaker 2: moved his way up a little, but very sharp dude.
- 44:40Speaker 2: And definitely has spent a lot of time on his process. So, hey,
- 44:43Speaker 2: I saw you in the NHL streets yesterday.
- 44:45Speaker 1: Do pretty good.
- 44:45Speaker 2: So, yeah, talk about grinding. The definition and having a
- 44:49Speaker 2: like-minded community to help is very important in any craft
- 44:53Speaker 2: you are working on. All right, let's get back to Saberson.
- 44:55Speaker 2: We got three games left. 8.30 Eastern, Minnesota Timberwolves and
- 45:00Speaker 2: the Houston Rockets, seven net point favorites. Other Rockets, 218.5
- 45:04Speaker 2: total as far as the Timberwolves. No new injury news
- 45:08Speaker 2: to talk about. Terrence Shannon still out. Houston, no Clint
- 45:11Speaker 2: Capellas and no new injuries there. Very low total game.
- 45:15Speaker 2: You can see ownership very low everywhere. I mean, everyone's
- 45:19Speaker 2: appropriately priced, so I just really am not sure where
- 45:22Speaker 2: there's any appeal personally. So, yeah, I'm out on this game.
- 45:24Speaker 2: I think a lot better real-life game than DFS.
- 45:28Speaker 1: Yeah, I think in general I would agree, although I
- 45:30Speaker 1: do think the Minnesota side has at least some appeal
- 45:33Speaker 1: in taking away another guy that was getting usage like
- 45:35Speaker 1: Terrence Shannon Jr. and then already having Ant out. I
- 45:38Speaker 1: think that Lomelo is kind of interesting, even in a
- 45:42Speaker 1: terrible matchup. The minutes just continue to look bad for him,
- 45:45Speaker 1: but I think that there's a little bit more deep
- 45:47Speaker 1: diving that we can do because some of that was
- 45:49Speaker 1: due to blowout. A lot of it's been due to
- 45:51Speaker 1: foul trouble, and I would assume who told him, like,
- 45:53Speaker 1: you just got to stop fouling because we need you
- 45:55Speaker 1: on the court. had a really good game against Milwaukee,
- 45:57Speaker 1: who I know is a much softer matchup, but you
- 46:00Speaker 1: just see what the upside can look like for a
- 46:02Speaker 1: guy like LaMelo when he is getting full run and
- 46:04Speaker 1: he is shooting the ball. Well, I didn't even add
- 46:07Speaker 1: any assists in that game, just three assists, but 34
- 46:10Speaker 1: points on six for 13 from three. So I have
- 46:13Speaker 1: interest in, in LaMelo for sure. Even despite the matchup
- 46:17Speaker 1: being really, really tough. And I also think that IO
- 46:19Speaker 1: is another guy that should be in a player pools tonight. He's,
- 46:23Speaker 1: I would say a little bit underpriced for the role
- 46:25Speaker 1: in minutes that we've seen from him. 21% usage rate,
- 46:27Speaker 1: nine and a half potential assists, which is actually more
- 46:30Speaker 1: than Lomelo. So he's been used as more of the
- 46:32Speaker 1: point in the games that Ant has missed. And 1.22
- 46:37Speaker 1: fantasy points per minute in a decently relevant sample size.
- 46:41Speaker 1: So I'm in on those two guys. Don't think it's
- 46:43Speaker 1: a good spot for Jaden McDaniels against a team that
- 46:45Speaker 1: protects the rim well. No thank you on Rudy Gobert.
- 46:48Speaker 1: Maybe Kaminga. Finch has been talking about it a ton,
- 46:50Speaker 1: but still I think the price is right on him.
- 46:52Speaker 1: So really just LaMelo and Io for me. On the
- 46:56Speaker 1: Houston side, I like Sangoon and I like KD here
- 47:00Speaker 1: a little bit. Sangoon has shown that he's just, it
- 47:02Speaker 1: doesn't really matter if there's a good defense on their side.
- 47:05Speaker 1: He's just playing some of the best basketball of his career.
- 47:08Speaker 1: And you can see the type of impact that adding
- 47:10Speaker 1: guys like Fred Van Fleet and Marcus Smart has made
- 47:12Speaker 1: for him. He's second in the NBA in front court touches,
- 47:15Speaker 1: so really solid usage role for him coming off of
- 47:17Speaker 1: nearly 60-point DK performance. Gobert, I get it, tougher matchup,
- 47:22Speaker 1: but Minnesota's rim defense has not been as good as
- 47:24Speaker 1: it was in years past. And I would say that
- 47:26Speaker 1: for KD, you can be a little bit concerned about
- 47:30Speaker 1: the usage for him. He's taken less than 10 shots
- 47:32Speaker 1: in back-to-back games, but they didn't really need him to
- 47:35Speaker 1: take on a higher usage role. I would say in
- 47:36Speaker 1: these types of competitive game environments is where you really
- 47:39Speaker 1: start to see the usage rise up in a little
- 47:41Speaker 1: bit or in a bigger way. So those two in particular,
- 47:45Speaker 1: I think, are worth a shout out.
- 47:51Speaker 2: You donkey. I mean, yeah, you have interest in a
- 47:53Speaker 2: game where no one's showing above 10%. So this seems
- 47:56Speaker 2: like a spot if you want to trust the man real,
- 47:59Speaker 2: and I have no reason why you would not want to,
- 48:01Speaker 2: to get different and chalk your lineup since there is
- 48:03Speaker 2: a lot of good chalk. This is a spot you
- 48:05Speaker 2: can get to. Sigun, yeah, I guess, 8,900. The dude's
- 48:09Speaker 2: just a complete monster. Even with his 21% usage last game,
- 48:12Speaker 2: he still put up almost 60 DraftKings points. Can just
- 48:15Speaker 2: do it in so many ways. And nice to have
- 48:18Speaker 2: power forward. and center eligibility as well. All right, next
- 48:22Speaker 2: game on the slate, two games left. 9 p.m. Eastern,
- 48:25Speaker 2: Portland Trailblazers and the Phoenix Suns. Trailblazers, two-and-a-half point favorites,
- 48:31Speaker 2: 227-and-a-half total in this one. No injuries to mention on
- 48:34Speaker 2: the Portland side as far as Phoenix. Jordan Goodwin is questionable,
- 48:37Speaker 2: and that is the only worthwhile news there. Another game,
- 48:40Speaker 2: not looking to get much ownership. Klingin, the only one
- 48:43Speaker 2: projected for over 10%. Scoot, 4,900. Like, jaw's out. I
- 48:47Speaker 2: should have mentioned that, but I assume people knew that. So,
- 48:51Speaker 2: any Scoot, any Damian Lillard, Drew Holiday. Like, man, the
- 48:54Speaker 2: backcourt is so loaded. I love the Blazers just as
- 48:57Speaker 2: a real-life team. The backcourt, Drew's a dog. Scoot can
- 49:00Speaker 2: fill it up on his good days. Dane can shoot.
- 49:02Speaker 2: Avdi is a monster. They got the big down low.
- 49:05Speaker 2: This team can play. Yeah, what do you think of
- 49:08Speaker 2: this one?
- 49:09Speaker 1: Yeah, I was kind of hoping that we went to
- 49:10Speaker 1: this one last because this is my, like, hands down
- 49:13Speaker 1: my favorite late-game target on the slate.
- 49:15Speaker 2: And no one's getting there.
- 49:18Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I think that this. game should be
- 49:20Speaker 1: higher round, even on like the Sun side. I think
- 49:22Speaker 1: that there's a little bit of appeal there, but the
- 49:24Speaker 1: Blazers look really, really solid here. Portland is top seven
- 49:29Speaker 1: or sorry. They've been like a top 10, both offense
- 49:31Speaker 1: and defense, but I honestly think it's a little bit
- 49:33Speaker 1: more smoke and mirrors. I don't think that their defense
- 49:35Speaker 1: is that good. You have two really solid, on-ball defenders
- 49:38Speaker 1: in Kamara and Drew, and then a massive body down
- 49:43Speaker 1: low with a pretty good block radius. But then outside
- 49:45Speaker 1: of that, like Denny's fine. I don't think Drew or
- 49:48Speaker 1: Scoot are very good. Or sorry, Dame or Scoot are
- 49:51Speaker 1: very good. But the appeal for this one, for Portland,
- 49:55Speaker 1: for me, is Phoenix has been the worst rebounding team
- 49:59Speaker 1: in the league this season. Portland is top seven in
- 50:02Speaker 1: offensive rebounding. I mean, it's just a tremendous setup for
- 50:05Speaker 1: Donovan Klingin. who, I mean, 16% owner, is that what
- 50:09Speaker 1: it says, 16.5% from Sabre? I mean, I'd be so
- 50:13Speaker 1: surprised if there's not more fantasy personalities out there that
- 50:18Speaker 1: aren't going to be talking about tonight, because it's just
- 50:19Speaker 1: a dream matchup for him at 6,200. Do you think he.
- 50:23Speaker 2: Might be higher on than that?
- 50:25Speaker 1: I don't know if other people in the industry are
- 50:27Speaker 1: going to be talking about him, which they should. I
- 50:29Speaker 1: think he could be, because it's a really cheap price
- 50:31Speaker 1: tag for him. Obviously, a small sample in this season,
- 50:35Speaker 1: but 1.55 DK points per minute with jaw off the
- 50:38Speaker 1: court this year but really the main appeal is the
- 50:40Speaker 1: rebounding rate 24% total but 21% offensive rebounding rate just
- 50:45Speaker 1: basically one out of every five balls that are going
- 50:47Speaker 1: up and being missed he's grabbing so keeping plays alive
- 50:50Speaker 1: is going to be really really good for the game
- 50:52Speaker 1: environment as a whole on the Blazers side of thing
- 50:54Speaker 1: I think that he's an excellent center option tonight probably
- 50:57Speaker 1: my favorite on the entire slate assuming that Ownership stays
- 51:01Speaker 1: in the mid-to-upper teens, but even if it gets to
- 51:03Speaker 1: low 20s, I'm going to be well, well over the
- 51:05Speaker 1: field there. Outside of that, I think Denny's price is
- 51:10Speaker 1: getting up there to a point where you're asking for
- 51:14Speaker 1: a lot, and he hasn't really had that great of
- 51:16Speaker 1: a role. He was a little bit worried about how
- 51:17Speaker 1: things would work with Ja coming into the season, and
- 51:19Speaker 1: you've kind of seen it come to fruition. Usage has
- 51:22Speaker 1: been okay, but not great. Hasn't really had that blow-up game.
- 51:27Speaker 1: Probably going to see a lot of Dylan Brooks tonight,
- 51:28Speaker 1: so it's not the greatest individual matchup, but the Suns
- 51:31Speaker 1: as a whole are just kind of a train wreck,
- 51:32Speaker 1: so he could get there. Don't think I'm going too
- 51:35Speaker 1: overboard with either Denny or Dame tonight. The prices look right.
- 51:39Speaker 1: If anything, I would say a little bit overpriced for
- 51:41Speaker 1: those two. Klingon looks great, though. I think Drew looks
- 51:43Speaker 1: pretty good at 5.7K. Should be close to like 30
- 51:46Speaker 1: minutes off the bench, filling up the stat sheet. So
- 51:49Speaker 1: fine with him. Not super into Kamara or Scoot or
- 51:52Speaker 1: anybody else. I think it's those two in particular. And
- 51:54Speaker 1: then the Suns side, I think all of Booker, Bridges, Green,
- 51:58Speaker 1: and Brooks should be kept in player pools, especially if
- 52:01Speaker 1: you're expecting the game to stay close. I do think
- 52:03Speaker 1: this game has shootout potential, so correlating some of these
- 52:07Speaker 1: guys with opposing Blazers I think makes at least a
- 52:10Speaker 1: little bit of sense. It's just really hard to predict
- 52:14Speaker 1: the usage for these guys. Booker can be the guy
- 52:17Speaker 1: that leads it, but then sometimes it's Dylan Brooks or
- 52:20Speaker 1: sometimes Jalen Green. Dylan Brooks probably has the worst matchup
- 52:22Speaker 1: as well against Kamara or Drew Holiday. So if you
- 52:26Speaker 1: want to go to Miles Bridges, he's put up some
- 52:27Speaker 1: pretty big games lately. We know that Jalen Green and
- 52:31Speaker 1: Brooks can both do it at times. So I just
- 52:32Speaker 1: think that there's more of a likelihood of these guys
- 52:37Speaker 1: hitting in a big way than they're being owned, and
- 52:39Speaker 1: I want to be a part of that group that
- 52:41Speaker 1: has them.
- 52:41Speaker 2: Do you have a lead on Goodwin? Left the game
- 52:46Speaker 2: on Monday right before half with a calf injury.
- 52:49Speaker 1: I don't, but I can try to find something right now.
- 52:54Speaker 2: The only reason is you already kind of like this
- 52:55Speaker 2: game a little bit there. And I mean, Jordan Goodwin
- 52:58Speaker 2: has somewhat of a role. You take away his minutes.
- 53:00Speaker 2: I'm bumping Gillespie, Jalen Green a little bit. I mean,
- 53:04Speaker 2: Booker is fine. I prefer Jalen Green, the savings with
- 53:07Speaker 2: Green and Gillespie personally, 8,300 up there. So, but yeah,
- 53:12Speaker 2: if there's no Goodwin and you use our tool over
- 53:14Speaker 2: here and you bump the projection for Phoenix, you will
- 53:17Speaker 2: have to do that because this game is the last
- 53:19Speaker 2: game of the night or in the last window of
- 53:22Speaker 2: And we're going to get injury news more than likely. Again,
- 53:24Speaker 2: the Jalen Johnson. There's a couple injury tags that we're
- 53:27Speaker 2: waiting on that can only make Trey Murphy, other players,
- 53:31Speaker 2: a lot more popular. And then people will just avoid
- 53:33Speaker 2: the last two games of the night. So any thoughts?
- 53:38Speaker 1: I wasn't able to find anything, so I'm not too sure.
- 53:41Speaker 2: Gotcha. All right, we'll keep it rolling. We've got the
- 53:44Speaker 2: last game of the night again. Appreciate everyone hanging out
- 53:47Speaker 2: in for a nice 11-game DraftKings slate. Tonight's Toronto and
- 53:51Speaker 2: Denver cap it off. Nuggets four and a half point favorites.
- 53:55Speaker 2: 231 and a half total in this one. Yaka Pirtle
- 53:57Speaker 2: is questionable for Toronto. No injury news on, excuse me,
- 54:01Speaker 2: the Denver side. Looking at ownership in this game, it
- 54:04Speaker 2: is all coming pretty much from the Toronto side. Scotty Barnes, 8-6.
- 54:09Speaker 2: RJ Barrett, 7-1. Quickly, 6-9. All getting a little bit.
- 54:13Speaker 2: Jacoby Walter as well. Cam Johnson, the only one on
- 54:16Speaker 2: the Nuggets. Getting some at four points. 7K. I'm curious
- 54:20Speaker 2: to hear your take on Jamal, on Jokic. Yeah, I mean,
- 54:23Speaker 2: that 8-7 price tag is definitely going to keep Jamal
- 54:25Speaker 2: low on, but their favorites in a pretty high-scoring game
- 54:29Speaker 2: are pretty high total, and there's plenty of value on
- 54:31Speaker 2: the slate to make it work if you want to
- 54:32Speaker 2: get contrarian. So I think Jamal or Jokic is interesting.
- 54:37Speaker 2: You are paying for it, though. What do you think?
- 54:40Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree there. Nothing about the matchup really
- 54:42Speaker 1: stands out. Toronto's done a really good job on defense
- 54:45Speaker 1: this year. I think they're in the top Six defensively, obviously,
- 54:49Speaker 1: with Scottie Barnes and CMB, two really, really plus defenders.
- 54:53Speaker 1: And then also, Jacoperto's questionable, so I think that makes
- 54:56Speaker 1: their defense much better because I've talked a lot about
- 54:59Speaker 1: how he's not that great down low. Yeah, Denver, I mean, man,
- 55:04Speaker 1: it's been bad for them this year. Their offenses look bad.
- 55:06Speaker 1: Defense looks really bad. They're bottom three in rim defense
- 55:09Speaker 1: this season. I mean, it's hard not to like the
- 55:12Speaker 1: Raptors side, but for me, it's going to be Pretty clearly,
- 55:16Speaker 1: Scottie Barnes at 8.6K. I mean, he's starting to play really,
- 55:19Speaker 1: really good basketball, averaging 52.5 DK points over his last four,
- 55:23Speaker 1: despite just shooting 10% from three, adding production across scoring, rebounds, assists, stocks,
- 55:30Speaker 1: small forward, power forward. There's just nothing really negative to
- 55:32Speaker 1: say about him and what should be a really good
- 55:34Speaker 1: spot for him. When you get it to Barrett and
- 55:38Speaker 1: quickly in the low seven, upper 6K range, you can
- 55:40Speaker 1: start to question their upside. I think they have solid floors.
- 55:44Speaker 1: I wouldn't say either is a priority. If I did
- 55:46Speaker 1: have to choose one, I would probably go Barrett because
- 55:48Speaker 1: we've seen him put up the upper 40s games this season.
- 55:52Speaker 1: Hasn't really been there for quickly as much. And there
- 55:55Speaker 1: are some pretty solid point guard options that he'd have
- 55:57Speaker 1: to compete with. So a little bit higher on Barrett,
- 55:59Speaker 1: but neither are really that much of a priority. I
- 56:03Speaker 1: don't really see it on Walter on this big of
- 56:06Speaker 1: a slate. If we're going to get all that value
- 56:08Speaker 1: at shooting guard small forward below him, I'd rather just
- 56:09Speaker 1: go there if it opens up. More spend-ups, but I
- 56:12Speaker 1: get it. He's a good player, just not really my
- 56:15Speaker 1: type of play. I guess CMB would have to come
- 56:20Speaker 1: into play a little bit with power forward center eligibility,
- 56:22Speaker 1: assuming that Perto were to miss.
- 56:28Speaker 2: You're probably going to have to bump CMB in the
- 56:31Speaker 2: beginning to get any of them again, because there's only
- 56:34Speaker 2: two games at 9 Eastern. This game's already going to
- 56:37Speaker 2: get some love, but still like a CMB play, especially
- 56:40Speaker 2: you're going to have to force it. Rock is Minnesota,
- 56:43Speaker 2: not really getting love. So the last hour, you're going
- 56:46Speaker 2: to almost have to prioritize, manually bump individual pieces if
- 56:51Speaker 2: you want that. Is that something you think you'll be
- 56:52Speaker 2: doing before the slate?
- 56:54Speaker 1: Yeah, I think so. For the very least, just to
- 56:56Speaker 1: give me some more late swap flexibility and just hope
- 57:00Speaker 1: that the news hits your way or hope that it
- 57:02Speaker 1: doesn't and you get it before 8.30, I guess, which
- 57:06Speaker 1: is even then you're still skipping out on three games
- 57:09Speaker 1: that are pretty appealing indie Cleveland, Utah game.
- 57:13Speaker 2: To win all the cheese though, especially in like that $ 5,
- 57:15Speaker 2: I think the risk reward's worth it when it's so
- 57:18Speaker 2: top heavy. If you do get the CMB right, other
- 57:21Speaker 2: people will not be able to play it. Whereas $ 100
- 57:24Speaker 2: single entry with 230 people or 330, probably not something
- 57:28Speaker 2: you need to do is how I see it. Barrett, Scottie,
- 57:32Speaker 2: max one?
- 57:35Speaker 1: No, I think it's a max two. Barnes, quickly Barrett. Okay. Yeah.
- 57:39Speaker 1: But yeah, to kind of build off what you said
- 57:41Speaker 1: about starting with a Pertola, I mean, looking at what
- 57:44Speaker 1: we have on the usage bump tool, you see CMB
- 57:47Speaker 1: above a six point or six times value. Scotty Barnes
- 57:50Speaker 1: as well. Like these guys would be must have plays
- 57:52Speaker 1: if Pertola were to miss.
- 57:54Speaker 2: And not enough people are going to do that, especially
- 57:56Speaker 2: in a tournament like that. So, yeah, I think the
- 57:58Speaker 2: risk reward's worth it. I mean, Scotty's already a good
- 58:01Speaker 2: play and CMB is just a point per minute monster
- 58:03Speaker 2: where like you're not drawn dead with them at 4,700 here.
- 58:07Speaker 2: You don't love it, but you surely don't hate it.
- 58:10Speaker 1: Yeah, and then if you haven't met forward, you can
- 58:12Speaker 1: just swap over to Cam Johnson.
- 58:13Speaker 2: There you go.
- 58:15Speaker 1: So, yeah, I like that call. Good shout there. As
- 58:18Speaker 1: for the Denver side, I think something that's interesting was
- 58:21Speaker 1: reading into some of the coaching press conferences from Adelman,
- 58:26Speaker 1: who also I think it's probably time for him to go.
- 58:28Speaker 2: Donkey.
- 58:29Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't really understand. There must have been something
- 58:31Speaker 1: going on behind the scenes with Mike Malone, but, I mean,
- 58:33Speaker 1: he was a good coach, I thought. I'm just surprised.
- 58:36Speaker 2: I was hit or miss. But, yeah, I mean, you
- 58:38Speaker 2: couldn't argue with his results.
- 58:40Speaker 1: Yeah. I think there's something to be said, too, about
- 58:43Speaker 1: coaches that are able to, like, have players buy in personality-wise. Like,
- 58:47Speaker 1: Steve Kerr, the reason he's been so successful is because,
- 58:51Speaker 1: you know, he's good with the player relationship. I think
- 58:55Speaker 1: Mike Malone was pretty good at that as well.
- 58:57Speaker 2: Yeah, makes sense.
- 58:59Speaker 1: But, yeah, Adam was saying in some of these press
- 59:01Speaker 1: conferences that they just need to take more threes, and
- 59:03Speaker 1: that includes you know stretching jokic further away from the
- 59:06Speaker 1: basket if he can you know pull the uh pull
- 59:09Speaker 1: the center away from the rim and actually be a
- 59:11Speaker 1: threat around a three-point line it opens up everything for
- 59:14Speaker 1: them so i think that you could see that early
- 59:16Speaker 1: on here which which kind of had me digress a
- 59:19Speaker 1: little bit i wasn't too interested in like the gordon's
- 59:21Speaker 1: cam johnson or bronze of the world but now i
- 59:24Speaker 1: mean i'm still not really in on aaron gordon but
- 59:26Speaker 1: like cam johnson and braun i think if they're gonna
- 59:28Speaker 1: be seeing an uptick in three-point volume, you do have
- 59:31Speaker 1: to have interest there just because it's so easy to
- 59:33Speaker 1: pile up points, fantasy points, if you are knocking down
- 59:35Speaker 1: your shots. And we saw it a couple of games
- 59:37Speaker 1: ago from Christian Brown. Brown, sorry. For Cam Johnson, he
- 59:42Speaker 1: returned from the injury and then was basically back to full.
- 59:45Speaker 1: So expect him to be playing a ton of minutes.
- 59:47Speaker 1: And they just don't have any depth right now. DeMar DeRozan,
- 59:50Speaker 1: what a terrible signing. This Trayvon Brazil guy doesn't look
- 59:53Speaker 1: very good. Alfa Diallo's injured and not taking any threes.
- 59:56Speaker 1: So they're just going to really lean into these main
- 59:58Speaker 1: starters a ton uh adamant even said with like the
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: jamal murray stuff his workload has been so big but
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: they just don't have any depth behind him that they
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: have to play him 36 38 minutes in these close
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: games and this game does are denver his favorite here
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: so you would probably expect them to be close enough
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: where we're getting full minutes from these guys i'm a
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: little bit worried about the yokich stuff because the efficiency
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: hasn't been there but obviously have a long-standing history with
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: him being the best or at least like a top
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: two top three player in the league he'll probably end
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: up turning it around but yeah just as it looks
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: off right now so i don't really think that we
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: need to pay 12.3k when he's only paid off that
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: salary once this season.
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: Fair enough yeah i mean i just i think they're
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: gonna play a bunch of minutes like the 34.8 35
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: for jamal i think that's like three minutes under projected
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: i they have no bench like you're talking about so
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: And Jokic isn't going to be 0.68%, but he might
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: be 4% or 5%. I like it a little more
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: than you. Cam Johnson, though, I think is a great
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: play at 4,700. And for sure, the CMB, if you
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: are able to play him, you more than likely will
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: have him at forward or a util spot unless he
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: is your only center, which, again, it's fine that way,
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: but would prefer him to be in a forward util spot.
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: And then he would be a great play if Jakob's out.
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: If he's in, then you can go right to Cam Johnson. Yeah,
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: that's all 11 games on the slate. Rio had mentioned
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: a couple times the what if tool, the usage, the
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: bump tool, sports, NBA, slate station. You can find that
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: at the bottom. I'm not going to.
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: We have another page for it now. We put it
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: on the other tab.
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: Oh, it's on the other tab?
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: Yeah. NBA, it's all the way to the right.
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: Oh, there it is. Nice. I'll click it right there.
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: I didn't want to give away anything with Matt. But, yeah,
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: just going to what if and then clicking on. the, uh,
- 1:01:48Speaker 2: where is it? Where is it? It's Toronto. This is what,
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: this is what Rio was looking at. If, where is, uh,
- 1:01:55Speaker 2: what's his nuts? Yaka Purtles. You could see the little
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: orange dot right here. You can see where the boost
- 1:02:01Speaker 2: come from. CMB would look like great value on this
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: slate projection from 22 to 30. And this is a
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: rough projection, um, boost, but it, you paint, you get
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: the picture, Scotty Barnes, CMB, if Purtles out, it looks
- 1:02:13Speaker 2: very good. So you can do that, uh, You can
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: do edits if you have a lean or you just
- 1:02:17Speaker 2: want to get overweight. You can manually bump CMB's projection
- 1:02:21Speaker 2: before the slate starts to get a lot more than
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: you would for the field. So a great tool for
- 1:02:26Speaker 2: NBA because, yeah, it's constantly moving parts and you should
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: be thinking ahead. If this happens, then this, and then
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: you're not just waiting for projections updating and being reliant
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: on that. But all of our projections do update throughout
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: the night, of course. Showdown content from our man Little Neck,
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: one of the best in the business, especially in the
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: showdown departments. Rio. Final thoughts? Great work as always.
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: No, no final thoughts. I'm excited for some basketball tonight.
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: Definitely going to be glued to the TV watching it. And, yeah, excited.
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: Hopefully somebody else that's either watching the show or in
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: the Ship It Nation Discord will come down with another
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: 100K tonight. Absolutely.
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: That would be cool to see. Get those Ship It
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: Nation logos on and then get them to the top,
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: like Rio, like Nika, like many have done recently. Hit
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: that like, hit that subscribe on the way out. Helps
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: us out a ton, and that is going to do
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: it for Rio Untitled Town. Good luck. Be safe. Peace.