Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Friday 1/23/26
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
- 0:06Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
- 0:08Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
- 0:12Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
- 0:15Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that.
- 0:18Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 0:23Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season. Man
- 0:32Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
- 0:37Speaker 2: I've reached a new pink.
- 0:39Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
- 0:43Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
- 0:46Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
- 0:47Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
- 0:51Speaker 1: don't know what day is anymore.
- 0:53Speaker 2: But I don't even know what data is anymore.
- 0:55Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 1: could possibly have with you, as I always am until
- 1:02Speaker 1: I die at least oh two yesterday and yesterday did
- 1:07Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
- 1:11Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:16Speaker 1: The slump, praise, the slump, disconvenius, the slump continues. Somebody
- 1:21Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
- 1:25Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
- 1:46Speaker 1: Seventy six, Stop.
- 1:50Speaker 2: Everybody, seventy six.
- 2:01Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you with toadstool Sports.
- 2:05Speaker 1: It is whatever day, Friday, January twenty third. I need
- 2:12Speaker 1: my coffee. I got up like an hour earlier. I
- 2:15Speaker 1: don't know. I was feeling sick glass night. I'm like,
- 2:17Speaker 1: I'm going to sleep a little bit earlier. Made me
- 2:20Speaker 1: get up a little bit earlier. I sense the snow coming.
- 2:24Speaker 1: We're gonna get like two to three feet of snow.
- 2:27Speaker 1: Apparently at first it was like, no, we're gonna get
- 2:29Speaker 1: three to six inches.
- 2:30Speaker 2: Now it's like, nah, two to three feet.
- 2:32Speaker 1: I'm like, well, which one is it? Like, that's a
- 2:34Speaker 1: that's a pretty big disparity. But we're up here in
- 2:37Speaker 1: New England, mare, Like nobody even really gives a shit.
- 2:39Speaker 1: It's just like, yeah, I don't know, one foot two
- 2:42Speaker 1: feet all right, Like it happens. Meanwhile, you got like
- 2:49Speaker 1: North Carolina. Look, shutting the whole state down for like
- 2:53Speaker 1: three to six inches, oh man, for a little bit
- 2:56Speaker 1: of ice on the road, and not the the ice
- 2:59Speaker 1: that's up in Minnesota. Well they have both kinds of ice.
- 3:02Speaker 1: But you know what I mean, I'm gonna have a bunch, dude.
- 3:05Speaker 1: I need to give up more plays on the Sixers
- 3:07Speaker 1: because their theme song is too good.
- 3:10Speaker 2: I don't even like the Sixers.
- 3:11Speaker 1: I can't stand Philadelphia, sorry, Jeffrey, but the song is
- 3:16Speaker 1: a banger, and I got to do it when I
- 3:17Speaker 1: give out a win on the on the Sixers. So
- 3:19Speaker 1: there you go, mister Pinsey. What's up, Tyson? What's up?
- 3:24Speaker 2: Kyle? What's up?
- 3:25Speaker 1: I'm actually not very happy about yesterday. It was a win.
- 3:28Speaker 1: It was four and three. We started out with the
- 3:30Speaker 1: The afternoon was a winner with Appalachi and State. They
- 3:34Speaker 1: were close for a while there early in the second half.
- 3:38Speaker 1: It was close, but they pulled away in the end.
- 3:41Speaker 1: We got a close win on I own. I mean,
- 3:43Speaker 1: that was a real toss up of a game, Like
- 3:46Speaker 1: statistically it was pretty close that one could have gone
- 3:48Speaker 1: either way.
- 3:49Speaker 2: But I guess you'd rather have the small home underdog
- 3:52Speaker 2: in a.
- 3:52Speaker 1: Situation like that, and that's what we had thousand easy
- 3:56Speaker 1: win with them. So we were rolling early on. Man.
- 3:59Speaker 1: The only early loss was well, Northeastern didn't do well.
- 4:04Speaker 2: I don't know what to say about that.
- 4:06Speaker 1: Man, if you look at the box score, I think
- 4:08Speaker 1: there was some crazy disparity there. I'm gonna bring it
- 4:11Speaker 1: up right now. Actually, let me see.
- 4:13Speaker 2: Actually I don't have it up in my.
- 4:17Speaker 1: Well.
- 4:17Speaker 2: I could share my screen right now.
- 4:18Speaker 1: Whatever, as we go through what happened yesterday Northeastern, there
- 4:23Speaker 1: was something that happened in that game where I was like,
- 4:25Speaker 1: come on, man, they did I mean they lost by fifteen,
- 4:28Speaker 1: but I don't want to.
- 4:28Speaker 2: Like go through it that.
- 4:32Speaker 1: In you know, that detailed the manner. But they had
- 4:34Speaker 1: nine more field goal attempts in the game. Really, I
- 4:38Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean they shot horribly from the
- 4:40Speaker 1: free throw line. Yeah, they got out rebounded. I don't know.
- 4:44Speaker 2: It wasn't the best game. And then what else do
- 4:47Speaker 2: we have?
- 4:47Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, New Mexico State was the most frustrating one.
- 4:50Speaker 1: New Mexico State. If you look at what happened in
- 4:53Speaker 1: that game, it was ridiculous, Like they they outshot Missouri
- 4:58Speaker 1: State in field goal attempt sixty two to fifty three.
- 5:01Speaker 1: Missouri State shoots fifty one percent from the field, though
- 5:04Speaker 1: New Mexico State was missing all of the three pointers.
- 5:09Speaker 2: Yet again, New Mexico State's.
- 5:11Speaker 1: Opponent got sent to the free throw line more, which
- 5:13Speaker 1: was something I mentioned in the Instagram video for this play.
- 5:17Speaker 1: New Mexico State has been on the wrong side of
- 5:21Speaker 1: the free throw attempts more than like any team in
- 5:24Speaker 1: the country. Like that's part of the reason why they're
- 5:26Speaker 1: so unlucky. The other team just keeps getting sent to
- 5:29Speaker 1: the free throw line. And it's not just New Mexico
- 5:31Speaker 1: State committing more fouls, it's just they're getting called for
- 5:35Speaker 1: more fouls. It's ridiculous. But yes, they did get out
- 5:37Speaker 1: rebounded as well, but still that really really angered me.
- 5:41Speaker 1: And then we had, of course the Philadelphia seventy six
- 5:46Speaker 1: ers with the win. Golden State couldn't get there, although
- 5:49Speaker 1: Golden State was winning by four or five late in
- 5:52Speaker 1: the game, but they were pretty much just never gonna
- 5:54Speaker 1: get there.
- 5:55Speaker 2: And that was that was the whole day.
- 5:57Speaker 1: And I'm wearing my Bruins hat because the Bruins won
- 6:00Speaker 1: a game they probably shouldn't have won, even though they
- 6:03Speaker 1: were winning four to nothing, and they almost blew the
- 6:05Speaker 1: entire game. They got outplayed in that game, dude. They
- 6:09Speaker 1: got a couple of power play goals early, so yeah,
- 6:12Speaker 1: they were effective on the power play early, which is
- 6:15Speaker 1: what put them in the lead early.
- 6:16Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm happy they won.
- 6:19Speaker 1: So there is that. All right, Let's jump into today. Man, today,
- 6:24Speaker 1: I'm only gonna have one college basketball play here. I
- 6:27Speaker 1: have a couple other opinions here that don't really make
- 6:30Speaker 1: the cut, and then two hockey plays, and it's gonna
- 6:33Speaker 1: be a rare Friday where I'm skipping the NBA board.
- 6:36Speaker 1: I feel like I've done that on other Fridays too.
- 6:38Speaker 1: Friday used to be like the big NBA day, if
- 6:41Speaker 1: I remember, it seemed like back in the day, like
- 6:43Speaker 1: not that long ago. I thought it was almost like
- 6:45Speaker 1: every team was playing on Friday for the most part.
- 6:47Speaker 2: But that's not really the case recently.
- 6:49Speaker 1: I think they are only like eight games and I'm
- 6:52Speaker 1: not gonna have a play in any of them. College basketball,
- 6:55Speaker 1: we have some weird stuff going on. We have more
- 6:58Speaker 1: noontime action between two teams played yesterday. UL Monroe and
- 7:02Speaker 1: Appleachian State both played yesterday. Apple Aatchid State one, of course,
- 7:06Speaker 1: and they're staying at home, so they probably have a
- 7:08Speaker 1: little bit of an advantage with the fact that they.
- 7:11Speaker 2: Don't have to travel here.
- 7:12Speaker 1: They got the win yesterday for US against Louisiana. New
- 7:16Speaker 1: All Monroe is coming in New All Monroe's even worse
- 7:19Speaker 1: probably than Louisiana. They are bad, dude, Like, where does
- 7:22Speaker 1: Ken Bomb have them? Yeah? He has Louisiana Monroe a
- 7:28Speaker 1: bottom like ten team, like even worse than that, like
- 7:30Speaker 1: seventh worst in the country, even worse than their Louisiana
- 7:34Speaker 1: counterparts there, which is why app State is a fifteen
- 7:37Speaker 1: and a half point favorite.
- 7:38Speaker 2: Although that you know, that's probably a little bit overkill.
- 7:41Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm New Al Monroe.
- 7:43Speaker 1: I believe they did play yesterday as well, and they
- 7:44Speaker 1: got obliterated by Marshall. And I think that was a
- 7:48Speaker 1: TV game. I think early on, wasn't it. I don't
- 7:51Speaker 1: know why that game would have been on TV if
- 7:53Speaker 1: it was. No, it was only on ESPN Plus. But yeah,
- 7:57Speaker 1: I mean, you lose by forty fifty five points, excuse me,
- 8:00Speaker 1: and give up.
- 8:02Speaker 2: One hundred and fifteen. I mean, there's probably no way
- 8:06Speaker 2: to go but up on that.
- 8:07Speaker 1: Like I don't know, man, This line, just this line
- 8:10Speaker 1: does seem a little bit out of control. Even though
- 8:12Speaker 1: Appalachi State is staying at home, They're up from fourteen and.
- 8:15Speaker 2: A half to fifteen and a half.
- 8:17Speaker 1: I know how bad Yue Monroe is, but yeah, I
- 8:20Speaker 1: don't know, man, I don't know if I would I
- 8:23Speaker 1: don't know if I would lay the points in that one.
- 8:25Speaker 1: I might lean towards taking the points in that one,
- 8:27Speaker 1: but I want no part of it. Obviously, it's a
- 8:30Speaker 1: fairly low total in the one forties. I felt like
- 8:33Speaker 1: we got a little bit lucky with app State pulling
- 8:35Speaker 1: away in yesterday's game. So I don't know. But those
- 8:39Speaker 1: are my thoughts on that one, all right, I feel
- 8:43Speaker 1: like am I usually like in the middle of the
- 8:45Speaker 1: left hand side of the screen. I don't know. Something's
- 8:47Speaker 1: thrown me off today, Like I don't know, stream Yard
- 8:51Speaker 1: just see be doing some weird stuff. Then, I don't know.
- 8:54Speaker 1: We have a bunch of afternoon games here. I mean,
- 8:56Speaker 1: if you want me to talk about some of these
- 8:57Speaker 1: other games, I guess I can. But Stetson and Austin
- 9:02Speaker 1: Pee has some interest because these teams also played yesterday,
- 9:06Speaker 1: and Stetson they seem to match up well against Lipscomb
- 9:11Speaker 1: or something, man, because they beat Lipscomb at home, and
- 9:13Speaker 1: then yesterday they almost won on the road. They took
- 9:15Speaker 1: Lipscomb into overtime. So obviously I'm gonna lean against Stetson today.
- 9:21Speaker 1: And I almost wanted to make I almost made it
- 9:24Speaker 1: a play, dude, because this is a huge performance from Stetson,
- 9:28Speaker 1: and again, I think they just match up well here
- 9:30Speaker 1: against Lipscomb. For whatever reason, Lipscomb had a really bad
- 9:33Speaker 1: shooting game. They had more field goal attempts in the
- 9:36Speaker 1: game and they still almost lost and they only shot
- 9:39Speaker 1: thirty nine percent from the field.
- 9:41Speaker 2: So that's a bit of an outlier there, I would say.
- 9:43Speaker 1: All though, Stetson massively out rebounded Lipscomb, which is interestic.
- 9:48Speaker 1: So that's one thing that kind of worries me about
- 9:49Speaker 1: fading Stetson in the game today.
- 9:52Speaker 2: But they gave it.
- 9:52Speaker 1: They're all in this game, man, against Lipscomb, and they
- 9:55Speaker 1: were fifteen and a half point underdogs, And you know
- 9:57Speaker 1: what I say, When you're a massive underdog like that,
- 10:00Speaker 1: and it was against like the team it's probably the
- 10:02Speaker 1: best team in the Atlantic Sun and you fall just short,
- 10:05Speaker 1: you're probably gonna be flat, especially when you have to
- 10:07Speaker 1: play the next day and they're having to travel to
- 10:10Speaker 1: a different city for it. Although they're staying in the
- 10:12Speaker 1: state of Tennessee for this, but they got to go
- 10:15Speaker 1: to Clarksville now, and it might be the last train
- 10:18Speaker 1: to Clarksville because they might lose to Austin p here.
- 10:23Speaker 1: Austin p also played yesterday, and I thought they would
- 10:25Speaker 1: have a more difficult time because they were coming off
- 10:27Speaker 1: of I believe, their first conference loss, and it was
- 10:30Speaker 1: a big game against Lipscomb. But they had no problem
- 10:34Speaker 1: bouncing back from that and they won by twenty one
- 10:36Speaker 1: yesterday against Florida Gulf Coast, who's not very good this year.
- 10:40Speaker 1: But that might set Austin PE up a little bit
- 10:43Speaker 1: better in this game. I mean, they're not having a
- 10:44Speaker 1: travel they're staying at home. Easy win yesterday. They don't
- 10:47Speaker 1: really have a huge game on deck Eastern Kentucky next.
- 10:51Speaker 1: So if I was gonna play this game, I would
- 10:53Speaker 1: have to lay the points with Austin p They did
- 10:56Speaker 1: drop from fourteen and a half to fourteen, though, but
- 10:59Speaker 1: I see no other way to play this. My worry
- 11:02Speaker 1: is just that Stetson, Well, there are two worries like
- 11:04Speaker 1: I think, well, it all is basically one. It's that
- 11:08Speaker 1: Stetson's not gonna overlook Austin P. So if you're gonna
- 11:12Speaker 1: play Austin P here, you're playing that Stetson is just
- 11:16Speaker 1: not gonna have anything left in the tank, like physically,
- 11:19Speaker 1: you know what I mean, because I don't think they're
- 11:20Speaker 1: gonna have a problem getting up for the game mentally
- 11:24Speaker 1: because they actually already played at Austin P at home
- 11:26Speaker 1: and Austin P beat them. So this is the second
- 11:30Speaker 1: match up here, and you know, I like to look
- 11:32Speaker 1: for the road underdogs if that team lost the first game,
- 11:36Speaker 1: similar to what I do in the NFL. So that's
- 11:37Speaker 1: one hesitation that I have with this, even though again
- 11:40Speaker 1: I would still lay the points with Austin P if
- 11:42Speaker 1: I was gonna do this, I think the spot is
- 11:44Speaker 1: really difficult for Stetson if you dig into this game
- 11:47Speaker 1: Stetson when they lost to Austin P at home, Stetson
- 11:51Speaker 1: actually out rebounded Austin P in the game, but they
- 11:53Speaker 1: massively lost the turnover battle. So there are some things
- 11:57Speaker 1: about this game that actually say that Stetson I actually
- 12:00Speaker 1: outplayed Austin P in the game as unbelievable as that sounds,
- 12:04Speaker 1: because Stetson's not very good. Stetson actually had more fueld
- 12:08Speaker 1: goal attempts in the game as well.
- 12:10Speaker 2: They do jack up a lot of threes a lot of.
- 12:12Speaker 1: The time, though Stetson does so there's some three point
- 12:15Speaker 1: variants that you get out of them. And there were
- 12:19Speaker 1: nine and a half point underdogs in that game the
- 12:21Speaker 1: first time. So the line here actually almost seems a
- 12:24Speaker 1: little bit well, no, it seems about right.
- 12:27Speaker 2: I guess it depends like how much do.
- 12:28Speaker 1: You give for home court here, But the fact that
- 12:31Speaker 1: Stetson is having to travel on a back to back
- 12:33Speaker 1: off of a monster game, I think you probably do
- 12:36Speaker 1: have to give Austin P a little bit more for that.
- 12:38Speaker 2: So I actually think the line might.
- 12:39Speaker 1: Be a little bit short given what the situation looks like,
- 12:42Speaker 1: although I think ken Bom has this line at around thirteen.
- 12:45Speaker 1: So do with all that information what you will. But
- 12:50Speaker 1: I would still lay it with Austin P if I
- 12:51Speaker 1: was going to play it. And then the other teams
- 12:54Speaker 1: that I just talked about are also playing today. Florida
- 12:56Speaker 1: Gulf Coast is having to go from Austin P to Lipscomb.
- 13:00Speaker 1: They're going from Clarksville to Nashville. Lipscomb is staying at home,
- 13:04Speaker 1: and Lipscomb is coming off that near loss. And you
- 13:08Speaker 1: know what I talk about, when a huge favorite almost loses,
- 13:11Speaker 1: it tends to refocus them in the next game. So
- 13:13Speaker 1: I think that might happen for Lipscomb here. So I
- 13:15Speaker 1: would lay the points with Lipscomb in.
- 13:17Speaker 2: This one as well.
- 13:18Speaker 1: They don't have a huge game on deck really against Jacksonville,
- 13:20Speaker 1: who's close to the bottom of the standings, so.
- 13:24Speaker 2: Florida Gulf Coast.
- 13:25Speaker 1: If they played really close against Austin p yesterday, then
- 13:29Speaker 1: I might be like actually going full board on.
- 13:32Speaker 2: Like both of these full bore, excuse me on both
- 13:35Speaker 2: of these.
- 13:36Speaker 1: But but as it stands, you know, well maybe this
- 13:39Speaker 1: is becoming a bore and me talking about these, but
- 13:41Speaker 1: these I thought there was a little bit of an
- 13:43Speaker 1: angle still for both of these, and really it is
- 13:46Speaker 1: fading Stetson off of playing a huge game as a
- 13:48Speaker 1: dog and playing on Lipscomb after almost losing is.
- 13:52Speaker 2: A huge favorite.
- 13:53Speaker 1: I think those are kind of the angles there, So
- 13:56Speaker 1: I prefer both home teams laying the points in those.
- 13:59Speaker 1: Lipscomb has gone up from a four and a half
- 14:01Speaker 1: point favorite to an eight point favorite though, so I
- 14:03Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with that line. The
- 14:06Speaker 1: initial line of four and a half actually seemed really short.
- 14:09Speaker 1: I don't know what ken Bom has the number at
- 14:11Speaker 1: because I just decided to skip the game and ken
- 14:14Speaker 1: Bomb wasn't gonna sway me one way or the other.
- 14:16Speaker 1: But you're losing live value on lipscumb if you missed
- 14:19Speaker 1: that four and a half. I mean, I think it
- 14:21Speaker 1: was six when I looked at her rolier. So that
- 14:23Speaker 1: line is skyrocketing, and I don't exactly know why. I
- 14:27Speaker 1: don't know if maybe there's an injury or something on
- 14:29Speaker 1: the Florida Gulf Coast side. I have no idea, but
- 14:32Speaker 1: that game's not on my card. I prefer Austin P
- 14:36Speaker 1: over Lipscomb anyway. Out of those two games, I think
- 14:38Speaker 1: Austin P is actually the stronger of the two plays,
- 14:41Speaker 1: but I like both home favorites there. Furman is that
- 14:45Speaker 1: you would see Greensboro and Furman lost out right in
- 14:49Speaker 1: their last game to Citadel. So that was a game.
- 14:52Speaker 2: Where I don't remember.
- 14:54Speaker 1: Somebody asked for my opinion on that game, and I hope,
- 14:56Speaker 1: I hope that I was correct with my Lean on Citadel, Like,
- 14:59Speaker 1: I hope I gave about a Citadel Lean in that game,
- 15:01Speaker 1: but I don't remember if I did.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Citadel is like the little brother.
- 15:06Speaker 1: In like all of these South Carolina schools, and they
- 15:08Speaker 1: played well, they beat They beat not Wafford. I think
- 15:14Speaker 1: Wafford might be in South Carolina too, But now they
- 15:16Speaker 1: beat Furman here. Yeah, so Furman is coming up a
- 15:20Speaker 1: really really ugly loss. Man. I think they've actually lost
- 15:23Speaker 1: two times as a favorite now twice in a row.
- 15:26Speaker 1: Is a favorite at this time, double digit favorite, and
- 15:29Speaker 1: they lose an overtime to the Citadel. Obviously that's a
- 15:32Speaker 1: bad loss. So I would be looking towards Furman to
- 15:35Speaker 1: bounce back after that. I don't know exactly what happened
- 15:39Speaker 1: in this game. Well, actually I do. There was a
- 15:41Speaker 1: huge free throw disparity in this game. Furman actually was
- 15:45Speaker 1: the slightly better shooting team in the game, and they
- 15:47Speaker 1: had more field goal attempts as well, but the reason
- 15:50Speaker 1: they lost was free throws. I mean, look at this,
- 15:52Speaker 1: Citadel had thirty free throw attempts and Furman only at sixteen.
- 15:56Speaker 1: So seems like some home biased reffing there. Man, So
- 16:01Speaker 1: that's really the main reason Furman lost that game, So
- 16:04Speaker 1: I think they're gonna bounce back.
- 16:05Speaker 2: That was just an ugly.
- 16:06Speaker 1: Loss, and it's kind of explainable when you dive into
- 16:10Speaker 1: the box score there. It is a second straight road
- 16:12Speaker 1: game for them, but I think they're gonna be in
- 16:14Speaker 1: a foul mood and they're gonna come out and play well.
- 16:17Speaker 2: In this one. You would see Greensboro. I expect them
- 16:20Speaker 2: to show.
- 16:21Speaker 1: Up as well, though, because Furman is one of the
- 16:22Speaker 1: better teams in this conference. They're ahead of Greensboro on
- 16:25Speaker 1: the standings. Greensboro easy win over VMI in their last game,
- 16:30Speaker 1: so I don't really want to do anything with the game,
- 16:33Speaker 1: but I would probably lean towards laying the points with
- 16:36Speaker 1: Furman though, just because they are coming off such an
- 16:39Speaker 1: ugly loss there. But the line actually dropped a little
- 16:42Speaker 1: bit on this game, from five and a half to five,
- 16:45Speaker 1: So some information for you on that one. Though. All
- 16:50Speaker 1: these games are in the afternoon that I've talked about
- 16:52Speaker 1: so far, a lot of afternoon Friday action. Here five
- 16:56Speaker 1: point thirty pm, we have an ESPN two game, the
- 16:58Speaker 1: first actually nationally televised game here between number twenty four
- 17:03Speaker 1: ranks Saint Louis and Saint Bonaventure. Saint Louis is a
- 17:07Speaker 1: legit man. I think we finally are gonna get to
- 17:09Speaker 1: see Robbie Avila in a tournament setting finally, which will
- 17:14Speaker 1: be fun. Do they deserve to be ranked in the
- 17:17Speaker 1: top twenty five? Probably not. Ken Bum has them close
- 17:21Speaker 1: twenty ninth, so it's not that far off. This is
- 17:24Speaker 1: a legit Saint Louis team, man, Although I think Saint
- 17:27Speaker 1: Bonaventure is probably not as bad as their conference record looks.
- 17:31Speaker 1: They're one in five in the conference so far. But yeah,
- 17:36Speaker 1: I just don't know, man. I mean, they lost a
- 17:37Speaker 1: fairly close game at VCU. They lost to Richmond at home.
- 17:41Speaker 1: That's not an easy opponent either. They've had a couple
- 17:44Speaker 1: other road games. I mean, the LaSalle game was the
- 17:46Speaker 1: worst loss that they have, but Bonaventure did finally get
- 17:50Speaker 1: a win in their last game against Loyola Chicago, who
- 17:53Speaker 1: we know is a mess this year. Sister Jean no
- 17:57Speaker 1: longer being with them.
- 17:58Speaker 2: I think, I don't know.
- 18:00Speaker 1: It seems to have tanked their season rather than you
- 18:02Speaker 1: think that they would like get up and play well
- 18:05Speaker 1: in a scenario like that, but that has not been
- 18:07Speaker 1: the case.
- 18:08Speaker 2: At all.
- 18:08Speaker 1: But for Saint Bonadventure, they just got their first conference
- 18:11Speaker 1: win finally and ended a long losing streak, so I
- 18:14Speaker 1: think that's good.
- 18:15Speaker 2: That will give the momentum coming into this.
- 18:17Speaker 1: You know, you just get that monkey off your back,
- 18:19Speaker 1: as I always say, when you have it won yet
- 18:21Speaker 1: in conference, it's like it's looming, like it affects you mentally,
- 18:25Speaker 1: and then once you get through that, then you can
- 18:28Speaker 1: play a lot looser. For Saint Louis, it's not really
- 18:32Speaker 1: a bad spot for them here, though they do have
- 18:35Speaker 1: George Washington up next, so possibly they would be looking
- 18:38Speaker 1: ahead to that. They're coming off a close call against
- 18:41Speaker 1: Ducaine though as Duquine.
- 18:43Speaker 2: Actually played them pretty well.
- 18:44Speaker 1: I believe I leaned to Dukine plus the points in
- 18:46Speaker 1: that one and they did cover, so because Saint Louis
- 18:51Speaker 1: did have a close call there, they might actually come
- 18:53Speaker 1: in and play better in this game. All that being said, though,
- 18:57Speaker 1: I probably would still lean towards taking the points with
- 18:59Speaker 1: Bonna Venture in this one. Saint Louis is down from
- 19:02Speaker 1: eight and a half to eight here. The line does
- 19:05Speaker 1: seem it makes it look pretty easy to lay the
- 19:07Speaker 1: points with Saint Louis. Let's just say that. So yeah,
- 19:11Speaker 1: I would probably take the points, but it's not a
- 19:13Speaker 1: game that I love by any means. Fox Sports won
- 19:16Speaker 1: at six pm as a great Big Ten match up
- 19:19Speaker 1: here are There are a couple of Big Ten games today.
- 19:22Speaker 1: This is the uglier of them. Indiana at Rutgers. Oh God.
- 19:28Speaker 1: Indiana's coming off of a respectable loss at Michigan where
- 19:33Speaker 1: I think they covered. They lost by fourteen and they
- 19:35Speaker 1: think they they came inside of the number there, which
- 19:39Speaker 1: doesn't sound good. But Indiana still they were not in
- 19:43Speaker 1: position to win that game or anything like that. They've
- 19:45Speaker 1: lost four games in a row. They haven't looked good
- 19:48Speaker 1: really in conference play. Man, They've gotten some wins against
- 19:50Speaker 1: some of the dregs of the Big Ten, and then
- 19:53Speaker 1: they have not stepped up one class.
- 19:55Speaker 2: But guess who is one of the dregs of the
- 19:58Speaker 2: Big Ten.
- 19:58Speaker 1: Yeah, that would be Rutgers. Rutgers is pretty awful, although
- 20:03Speaker 1: they actually have more conference wins than some of these
- 20:05Speaker 1: other teams. They're not good, though, But Indiana does also
- 20:09Speaker 1: have Purdue on deck, so that's something to keep in mind.
- 20:11Speaker 1: Not only does Purdue an elite team, one of the
- 20:14Speaker 1: top teams in the conference, but that's an in state
- 20:16Speaker 1: rivalry game as well between Indiana and Purdue. So the
- 20:22Speaker 1: concern with Indiana is that they might be looking ahead here.
- 20:24Speaker 1: Like I wouldn't classify this as a sandwich because they
- 20:28Speaker 1: lost by double digits to Michigan, So I don't think
- 20:31Speaker 1: that that's going to like hang them over or anything,
- 20:33Speaker 1: but the look ahead component might be a concern. And
- 20:36Speaker 1: they are having to travel from Michigan to New Jersey here,
- 20:39Speaker 1: so that's not that easy to do them. Rutgers is
- 20:42Speaker 1: actually coming off a better performance. They actually almost won
- 20:45Speaker 1: at Iowa. So Rutgers is actually maybe in the debatably
- 20:49Speaker 1: worst spot here because they were seventeen and a half
- 20:53Speaker 1: point underdogs in this game against Iowa and they actually
- 20:55Speaker 1: were in position to potentially win this game, like they
- 20:59Speaker 1: were down two in the final minute of this game.
- 21:01Speaker 1: So Rutgers actually maybe in the worst spot off of
- 21:04Speaker 1: that huge game and they have Michigan State on deck,
- 21:08Speaker 1: although I guess if you're Rutgers, They're probably not really
- 21:10Speaker 1: gonna overlook anybody. Rutgers has been better at home in
- 21:15Speaker 1: conference play. Their only home conference loss was to Purdue,
- 21:18Speaker 1: and they beat Oregon and Northwestern, although those aren't very
- 21:22Speaker 1: impressive wins, and I think we had Rutgers in the
- 21:24Speaker 1: game against Northwestern because I think they caught Northwestern in
- 21:27Speaker 1: a bad spot. But yeah, this is a tough game
- 21:30Speaker 1: to handicap. Really.
- 21:32Speaker 2: I think I would probably.
- 21:33Speaker 1: Lay the points with Indiana, though, to be honest, Like
- 21:35Speaker 1: Rutgers coming up that huge game against Iowa and they're
- 21:38Speaker 1: having to travel from Iowa back home, so both teams
- 21:41Speaker 1: have traveled from the Midwest here. The line for some
- 21:44Speaker 1: reason dropped from nine to six here on Indiana. I
- 21:47Speaker 1: don't really know why, but I would probably have to
- 21:50Speaker 1: lay it with Indiana if I was gonna play it
- 21:52Speaker 1: in Indiana. I mean, they're gonna have to do something
- 21:56Speaker 1: because they're on the verge of missing the tournament yet again,
- 22:00Speaker 1: so I think Indiana might be the team it's more
- 22:02Speaker 1: incentivized to come in and put in a better effort
- 22:05Speaker 1: here as well, So I would probably slightly lean towards
- 22:08Speaker 1: Indiana there. But again I don't know if there's an
- 22:10Speaker 1: injury or what's going on that line move there. High
- 22:14Speaker 1: Point in Radford is a pretty good game in the
- 22:16Speaker 1: Big South here between two of the top three teams.
- 22:20Speaker 1: High Point is actually now behind Winthrop in the standings
- 22:23Speaker 1: because they lost to Winthrop and they have one fewer
- 22:26Speaker 1: win right now in the conference.
- 22:29Speaker 2: This is gonna be a big game.
- 22:31Speaker 1: But Radford is pretty competitive. It's a third road game
- 22:34Speaker 1: in four games for high Point. High Point bounce back
- 22:37Speaker 1: nicely off of that loss to Winthrop, though they easily
- 22:40Speaker 1: handled USC Upstate. They don't have a bigger game up next,
- 22:43Speaker 1: so this is a big game for both teams. I
- 22:46Speaker 1: think both teams.
- 22:46Speaker 2: Will show up for it.
- 22:49Speaker 1: Radford actually probably sets up worse in this game because
- 22:52Speaker 1: they just went on the road to Winthrop, who's the
- 22:54Speaker 1: other better team in this conference for us, and Radford
- 22:57Speaker 1: lost the game by one in a close call. And
- 23:00Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Winthrop was a favorite in this game. Yeah,
- 23:03Speaker 1: they were in nine and a half point favorite, So
- 23:05Speaker 1: Radford came really close to playing off the nine and
- 23:08Speaker 1: a half point upset in that game. Now, they're not
- 23:11Speaker 1: gonna overlook High Point obviously, but the question is what
- 23:13Speaker 1: are they gonna have left in the tank after that?
- 23:15Speaker 1: So I think I would have to probably lean towards
- 23:17Speaker 1: high Point in this game. I just think the scheduling
- 23:20Speaker 1: spot works out better for them. The money is coming
- 23:23Speaker 1: against them. Though they've dropped from nine to seven and
- 23:25Speaker 1: a half. And again, I think sometimes you see these
- 23:28Speaker 1: like market moves, and I think some of it is
- 23:30Speaker 1: like professionals that play based on the numbers and not
- 23:34Speaker 1: on the situation. So sometimes the numbers in the situation
- 23:37Speaker 1: will be in conflict, you know, And I'm much more
- 23:40Speaker 1: of a situational handicap or like I, I probably don't
- 23:45Speaker 1: factor in the number even as much as I should,
- 23:48Speaker 1: you know, like I almost go pure situation, which almost
- 23:51Speaker 1: seems like pure vibes. But I don't know, that's just
- 23:54Speaker 1: the way that it's worked out for me. CBS Sports
- 23:59Speaker 1: is televised U Mass at Buffalo for some reason in
- 24:03Speaker 1: the MAC, I don't know why. U Mass is coming
- 24:06Speaker 1: up a pretty decent win at home against Toledo. Toledo
- 24:09Speaker 1: is in the top you know, five or six teams
- 24:12Speaker 1: in the in the MAC. Here U Mass probably worse
- 24:16Speaker 1: than that, though that U Mass does have Miami Ohio
- 24:18Speaker 1: on deck, that Miami Ohio team that nobody could get
- 24:23Speaker 1: rid of. They're ranked in the top twenty five. Ken
- 24:25Speaker 1: Bump still has them ranked around like ninetieth, and they
- 24:30Speaker 1: faced very very easy schedule though Miami Ohio just won
- 24:34Speaker 1: at Kent State. And by the way, there's a decent
- 24:37Speaker 1: chance that Miami Ohio finishes the regular season undefeated at
- 24:41Speaker 1: this point because they actually don't have to play on
- 24:43Speaker 1: the road at Akron. I looked at their schedule like
- 24:46Speaker 1: they must have to play two games against Akron because
- 24:49Speaker 1: that's like a big in state rivalry thing, but no,
- 24:52Speaker 1: they only had one game against Akron. It was at home,
- 24:55Speaker 1: and they already won that one. So it's crazy because
- 24:58Speaker 1: I think if they had to play at AC I
- 25:00Speaker 1: think they would lose. But it's insane. Miami Ohio has
- 25:03Speaker 1: a very, very easy schedule and their most difficult game
- 25:06Speaker 1: remaining is on the road at Ohio in the season finale,
- 25:10Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. But of course it's possible they slip
- 25:14Speaker 1: up at some point, but anyway, U Mass does have
- 25:17Speaker 1: them next, so it could be a look at for
- 25:19Speaker 1: U Mass going to Buffalo. I do think Buffalo is
- 25:22Speaker 1: not as good as their record looks though, as I
- 25:24Speaker 1: keep saying, Buffalo had a really really easy out of
- 25:27Speaker 1: conference schedule and they're in conference schedule actually was really
- 25:31Speaker 1: easy to start, and then since they started facing the
- 25:34Speaker 1: better teams in the conference, they've lost every game. Although
- 25:38Speaker 1: we know Buffalo is probably not as good as any
- 25:40Speaker 1: of those teams Ohio, Kent State, Miami Ohio, and Akron.
- 25:43Speaker 1: They're definitely not better than those last three, but those
- 25:46Speaker 1: are the teams they lost too. They lost to Akron
- 25:49Speaker 1: in pretty much a blowout, but Buffalo played really competitively
- 25:52Speaker 1: at Miami Ohio. They almost won that game, and that's
- 25:55Speaker 1: what they were coming off of, so I think they
- 25:56Speaker 1: just had no steam left at that point. They're back
- 26:00Speaker 1: at home, they're against U Mass. Buffalo, with a bunch
- 26:04Speaker 1: of losses in a row, They're gonna be looking for
- 26:06Speaker 1: a win here, man, So I probably prefer the Buffalo
- 26:09Speaker 1: side in this one.
- 26:11Speaker 2: U Mass is gone up a little bit from one
- 26:12Speaker 2: to one.
- 26:13Speaker 1: And a half, but I think I would probably take
- 26:15Speaker 1: the one and a half with Buffalo in that one.
- 26:17Speaker 2: If I was gonna play that game.
- 26:18Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do it, but I think the spot
- 26:20Speaker 1: sets up a little bit better for them. Long Island
- 26:24Speaker 1: at stone Hill I'm gonna talk about because Long Island
- 26:28Speaker 1: just lost a win streak. They took their first conference loss,
- 26:31Speaker 1: so sometimes when that happens, I talk about how the
- 26:33Speaker 1: team might be hungover coming off of a game like
- 26:36Speaker 1: that and going into the next game, and it's a
- 26:38Speaker 1: third straight road game for Long Island, so it's not
- 26:41Speaker 1: actually the greatest spot for them.
- 26:43Speaker 2: Although they did lose as a favorite in.
- 26:45Speaker 1: Their last game at Lemoyne, and I think Long Island
- 26:48Speaker 1: was only about a four and a half point favorite
- 26:50Speaker 1: in that game. And I'm going to talk about that
- 26:51Speaker 1: game in a little while for my best bet actually
- 26:56Speaker 1: in college basketball. But I could see it going both ways.
- 27:00Speaker 1: You could make the argument that well, Long Island was
- 27:02Speaker 1: the better team and they came They're coming off a
- 27:05Speaker 1: game that they probably should have won based on the
- 27:07Speaker 1: fact they were a favorite. And when I show you
- 27:08Speaker 1: the box scorer in this game, you're probably not even
- 27:12Speaker 1: gonna believe it. There was. That game was total insanity.
- 27:16Speaker 1: It's one of the most insane box scores that I've
- 27:18Speaker 1: ever seen. I'm not even joking, Like, there's no way,
- 27:22Speaker 1: there's no way to overstate it. And I'll show you
- 27:24Speaker 1: that when I talk about Lemoine because they're playing today.
- 27:27Speaker 1: But yeah, so my first reaction to that was, well,
- 27:30Speaker 1: Long Island's gonna bounce back here, but maybe they won't
- 27:33Speaker 1: because I don't know they play Lemoyne again. In two games.
- 27:37Speaker 1: It's a third straight road game. They hadn't lost in
- 27:39Speaker 1: conference yet, so it is possible to be hung over here.
- 27:43Speaker 1: They're having to go from Lemoyne is in Syracuse, New York,
- 27:46Speaker 1: and they're having to go to easton Mass for Stonehill here.
- 27:50Speaker 1: Stonhill is coming off a probably an uglier loss really
- 27:53Speaker 1: because Lemoyne has actually been pretty competitive in the conference
- 27:56Speaker 1: this year. Sonill just lost to Saint Francis. Saint Francis
- 28:00Speaker 1: is really bad, so that's a bad loss for Stonehill. Man,
- 28:04Speaker 1: there's no way around that, although Saint Francis is actually
- 28:08Speaker 1: favored in the game. But I still think that's a
- 28:10Speaker 1: real ugly loss if you lose to a team like that.
- 28:13Speaker 1: Maybe Stonehill was looking.
- 28:14Speaker 2: Ahead to Long Island here, so I don't know.
- 28:17Speaker 1: I mean, looking at the game, I think I would
- 28:19Speaker 1: actually probably take the points with stone Hill in that
- 28:21Speaker 1: one plus the seven in that one. It's a low
- 28:24Speaker 1: total of one thirty eight as well, it looks like
- 28:26Speaker 1: it's gonna be a bit of an ugly one. Speaking
- 28:29Speaker 1: of Lemoyne and Wagner, here we go, man, best bets
- 28:40Speaker 1: we are going to be on Wagner here plus the
- 28:43Speaker 1: points they're gonna fade Lamoyne, and I think this might
- 28:45Speaker 1: be an ugly game as well. We have a pretty
- 28:49Speaker 1: low total in this game as well. I think, well,
- 28:52Speaker 1: it's one forty seven. It's gone down a little bit. Actually,
- 28:54Speaker 1: you can get a better number on this right now.
- 28:55Speaker 1: Let me see, because the seven and a half, of
- 28:59Speaker 1: course is the key number here, but it looks like
- 29:01Speaker 1: the number is going up. And I'm pretty sure ken
- 29:04Speaker 1: Bam has this number.
- 29:05Speaker 2: At about six. So if we're getting more value on.
- 29:08Speaker 1: This now, I see all the books that I see
- 29:13Speaker 1: right now are either at seven and a half or
- 29:14Speaker 1: eight and a half, because dude, these books just screw
- 29:17Speaker 1: you at this point, like they the number should be eight,
- 29:21Speaker 1: like consensus right now. But the books are just trying
- 29:23Speaker 1: to screw you. So you can either get eight and
- 29:25Speaker 1: a half at bet mgm I'm looking at right now
- 29:28Speaker 1: and you have to pay more juice for it, or
- 29:31Speaker 1: and FanDuel or and the score actually, or you can
- 29:35Speaker 1: play DraftKings seven and a half and it's at even money. Now.
- 29:38Speaker 2: I mean, come on, I would just wait.
- 29:41Speaker 1: I would wait to see if the other books put
- 29:43Speaker 1: this game up and whatever, but get at least seven
- 29:45Speaker 1: and a half on this, and I think it's fine,
- 29:47Speaker 1: but you might be able to get a better number
- 29:48Speaker 1: than this cloud. What's up, man, Pittsburgh Penguins, I see
- 29:56Speaker 1: you're a terrible towel avatar. There, you're a Pittsburgh fan. There,
- 30:00Speaker 1: I'm I'm an Aaron Rodgers fan.
- 30:02Speaker 2: I will, I will give you that.
- 30:04Speaker 1: I as a well, I'm all over the place with
- 30:07Speaker 1: my rooting, but as a Bruins fan, I'm I'm not
- 30:09Speaker 1: a fan of the Penguins. I will, I will put
- 30:12Speaker 1: that out there. And I do think that they're overrated
- 30:14Speaker 1: this year. I apologize that. That's just that's my read
- 30:18Speaker 1: on the on the situation there. Thanks for checking out
- 30:21Speaker 1: the show man, I appreciate it. SOB. Yeah, you went
- 30:25Speaker 1: five and oh yesterday, I'm really really mad about the
- 30:28Speaker 1: Warriors not covering. You had it right with the first quarter.
- 30:33Speaker 1: You got the Blues and Ohio State. I agree with
- 30:35Speaker 1: you on Ohio. I probably agree on both. I don't
- 30:38Speaker 1: know if I agree on the Saint Louis side. I
- 30:40Speaker 1: agree with Ohio State. Those neither of those are my
- 30:42Speaker 1: plays though. And yesterday you had yeah Penguins, Predators, Yeah, Sixers.
- 30:49Speaker 1: We were both on the Sixers yesterday. That was a
- 30:52Speaker 1: good win. It went into overtime though, for the Sixers
- 30:56Speaker 1: to get that win. But anyway, all right, Wagner here, dude,
- 30:59Speaker 1: if you look at Lomoyne's box score, you're gonna see
- 31:01Speaker 1: why I'm doing this. But also we can we can
- 31:03Speaker 1: look at ken Bom here. Of course, do you really
- 31:06Speaker 1: want to lay points with the two hundred and sixty
- 31:08Speaker 1: sixth two hundred and sixty sixth best team in the country, Lemoyne,
- 31:13Speaker 1: I know they're at home and whatever, but I kind
- 31:15Speaker 1: of don't.
- 31:16Speaker 2: Uh.
- 31:16Speaker 1: They do play faster, They're on the faster side of
- 31:19Speaker 1: the tempo, whereas Wagner is gonna want to slow it down.
- 31:21Speaker 1: But it is easier to slow it down if you're
- 31:24Speaker 1: like the lesser team and whatever, So Wagner might be
- 31:26Speaker 1: able to muddy this thing up. Lamoyn is a very
- 31:29Speaker 1: bad defensive team, although both of these teams are at
- 31:32Speaker 1: two eighty fourth, and Lamoyn has faced a very weak schedule,
- 31:35Speaker 1: by the way, at three hundred and forty second, although yeah,
- 31:38Speaker 1: ken Bomb has them as a unlucky team as well.
- 31:41Speaker 1: But if you look at Wagner, yes, I know, Wagner
- 31:43Speaker 1: is total crap. Three hundred and twenty seventh in ken
- 31:46Speaker 1: BOM's rankings. They're comparable with limoyn on offensively. Defensively, they're
- 31:52Speaker 1: worse defensively, They're really really bad, I know, But again
- 31:56Speaker 1: they might be able to muddy this thing up, slow
- 31:58Speaker 1: the game down both teams. It's a really weak schedule,
- 32:01Speaker 1: but ken bum does have Wagner in the bottom like
- 32:03Speaker 1: twenty five in luck, so Wagner has underperformed according to
- 32:08Speaker 1: ken Bumb. But really this is about the spot man.
- 32:11Speaker 1: Wagner is coming into this on five straight losses, so
- 32:13Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get motivation out of them.
- 32:16Speaker 2: And I know it's a third straight road game.
- 32:18Speaker 1: They went to New Haven, Connecticut, they went to Fairleigh Dickinson,
- 32:21Speaker 1: which I believe is in New Jersey, and now they're
- 32:24Speaker 1: coming up to Syracuse, New York.
- 32:26Speaker 2: I know, and I know they have Long Island on.
- 32:28Speaker 1: Deck, and that's the team that's in front in the
- 32:31Speaker 1: conference right now. But this Wagner team, they have one
- 32:33Speaker 1: winning conference man like they I don't think they can
- 32:36Speaker 1: really overlook anybody right now. So I think they will
- 32:39Speaker 1: show up for this game. And my problem is with
- 32:41Speaker 1: Lemoye really well, not a problem, but this is a
- 32:44Speaker 1: fade of Lemoyne. I mean, first of all, already, it's
- 32:46Speaker 1: a big win. The fact that Lamoye beat Long Island
- 32:49Speaker 1: and gave them their first conference loss, and Long Island
- 32:52Speaker 1: is the best team in this conference. Big win for Lemoyne,
- 32:55Speaker 1: especially because Lemoyn is also pretty new to Division one,
- 32:58Speaker 1: so that's a big win for them. And Long Island
- 33:01Speaker 1: I believe won this conference within the last couple of
- 33:03Speaker 1: years as.
- 33:04Speaker 2: Well, huge win for them.
- 33:07Speaker 1: Also, I didn't check to see if it was a
- 33:09Speaker 1: revenge spot or anything. Let me see. Uh no, I believe, yeah,
- 33:14Speaker 1: Leamoyn in the conference tournament they lost to Central Connecticut
- 33:17Speaker 1: last year. But anyway, now Lamoy's coming to this game
- 33:21Speaker 1: against Wagner here, who's near the bottom of the conference fairly.
- 33:25Speaker 1: Dickinson up next, and then Long Island. Those are bigger
- 33:28Speaker 1: games than Wagner, even though FDU is kind of middle
- 33:30Speaker 1: of the pack. But Wagner is gonna be really easy
- 33:33Speaker 1: to overlook right now, I think, And if you look
- 33:35Speaker 1: at this box score, this is really why I decided
- 33:37Speaker 1: to do this. This was one of the most misleading
- 33:40Speaker 1: results you will ever see. The fact that Lemoyne won
- 33:43Speaker 1: this game. Look at this game, Long Island had thirty
- 33:48Speaker 1: more field goal attempts in the game than Lamoyne did
- 33:51Speaker 1: thirty and they had six more makes than Lemoyne did
- 33:56Speaker 1: and they lost the game.
- 33:58Speaker 2: How is that even, dude?
- 33:59Speaker 1: I don't think you will ever find a game in
- 34:01Speaker 1: history where a team attempted thirty more field goals and
- 34:06Speaker 1: didn't and yeah, and didn't win the game. I mean,
- 34:08Speaker 1: that's that's just complete insanity. And to make it worse,
- 34:12Speaker 1: Long Island only went to the line twelve times and
- 34:15Speaker 1: they missed half of their free throws. Lemoyne went to
- 34:18Speaker 1: the line thirty one times. So this is like complete
- 34:22Speaker 1: biased refing, I assume, totally misleading. I mean, there might
- 34:25Speaker 1: have been some intentional free throws at the end, but
- 34:27Speaker 1: still a thirty one to twelve free throw attempt to sparity,
- 34:32Speaker 1: and yeah, Lemoyne did. Lemoyne actually turned the ball over
- 34:36Speaker 1: more but still won the game.
- 34:38Speaker 2: But that's you know, the turnovers were close.
- 34:41Speaker 1: And then the other thing that you see here is
- 34:42Speaker 1: that Long Island also outrebounded Lemoye by double digits. When
- 34:46Speaker 1: do you ever see a team dominate the rebound battle
- 34:50Speaker 1: win the rebound battle by twelve have thirty more field
- 34:53Speaker 1: goal attempts and yet lose the game. It's unbelievable, Like
- 34:57Speaker 1: it's insane. I couldn't believe it when I looked at
- 34:59Speaker 1: this box score. Lemoyne shot sixty percent from the field
- 35:04Speaker 1: and fifty six percent from three point range. Absolute insanity.
- 35:09Speaker 1: And this is, of course, is a Lamoyn team. This
- 35:11Speaker 1: is not a very good offensive team, although they're worse defensively,
- 35:14Speaker 1: but still, it's just completely insane, Like there's gonna have
- 35:18Speaker 1: to be some regression here. This was one of the
- 35:21Speaker 1: most misleading results that you'll see all year. So I
- 35:23Speaker 1: just have to do it. I have to fade Lamoyne.
- 35:26Speaker 1: And should this team be laying points like this, I
- 35:29Speaker 1: don't think so. On this line keeps going up and
- 35:31Speaker 1: up and up, by the way, so you're probably gonna
- 35:33Speaker 1: get nine on this. Uh So I would just wait
- 35:36Speaker 1: to find a good number on this man, eight and
- 35:38Speaker 1: a half, nine whatever. I'm sure you'll find it out
- 35:40Speaker 1: there at some book. So seven and a half is
- 35:43Speaker 1: what I put it in. I put it into the
- 35:46Speaker 1: system when I put the banners in for the show.
- 35:48Speaker 1: But yeah, you're gonna get a better number than that.
- 35:50Speaker 1: Wagner is the play. My only college basketball play today.
- 35:58Speaker 1: Fairley Dickinson is at Central Connecticut. I know I'm talking
- 36:00Speaker 1: about this Northeast Conference a lot here. Central Connecticut just
- 36:05Speaker 1: had a pretty ugly.
- 36:06Speaker 2: Loss in Mercyhurst.
- 36:07Speaker 1: Now, that was their first loss in conference since Long Island,
- 36:11Speaker 1: or I think it was the only other conference loss.
- 36:13Speaker 1: It was a bad loss though Central Connecticut was a
- 36:15Speaker 1: road favorite in that one. It did end a win
- 36:18Speaker 1: streak for them, but I kind of think they're going
- 36:19Speaker 1: to bounce back from that coming back home. So I
- 36:22Speaker 1: actually prefer Central Connecticut in this one. Fairley Dickinson is
- 36:26Speaker 1: coming up a decent win over Wagner where I believe
- 36:30Speaker 1: FDU was actually favored in that game, a small home favorite,
- 36:33Speaker 1: but I prefer Central Connecticut the better team and what
- 36:36Speaker 1: I think is kind of a bounce back. You'd have
- 36:38Speaker 1: to lay seven and a half with them, though they're
- 36:40Speaker 1: not really a great team to lay points. But this
- 36:44Speaker 1: is a big favorite though similar to last year, the
- 36:48Speaker 1: Citadel who I just talked about a little while ago
- 36:50Speaker 1: in the soakon is at East Tennessee State. There are
- 36:53Speaker 1: a lot of situations that shape up here today. Man,
- 36:56Speaker 1: it's surprising that I'm only on one game with all
- 36:59Speaker 1: these situations, that's just the way that it is. The
- 37:02Speaker 1: Citadel is coming off that massive upset of Firman, which
- 37:06Speaker 1: I showed you already, and it was a little bit
- 37:08Speaker 1: misleading when you look at that box score as well.
- 37:10Speaker 1: Mostly again to refresh your memory, Citadel had way more
- 37:14Speaker 1: free throw attempts in the game, so it looks like
- 37:15Speaker 1: there was some bias refing in that game. Big upset
- 37:18Speaker 1: for them against Furman. Now they gotta go play East Tennessee,
- 37:22Speaker 1: who is near the top, actually at the top of
- 37:25Speaker 1: this conference right now. But that's kind of my hesitation
- 37:28Speaker 1: with it, is that if you're gonna fade the Citadel here,
- 37:31Speaker 1: which I still would, I would still lay the points
- 37:33Speaker 1: with East Tennessee here. But if you're gonna do that,
- 37:35Speaker 1: you're banking on the Citadel just having nothing left in
- 37:38Speaker 1: the tank here. And they are playing a third road
- 37:40Speaker 1: game in four games. It is definitely a difficult spot
- 37:42Speaker 1: for them. But mentally, I don't think they're gonna lack focus,
- 37:46Speaker 1: you know, because they're playing the best team in the
- 37:47Speaker 1: conference here. But that win was even a little bit
- 37:49Speaker 1: bigger for Citadel. Remember, because I believe Furhman is in
- 37:52Speaker 1: their state of South Carolina. But again, I don't think
- 37:56Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook East Tennessee. They're the top team in
- 37:58Speaker 1: the conference in East Tennessee already man handled them at
- 38:02Speaker 1: the Citadel, beating them seventy four to forty nine. So
- 38:06Speaker 1: when you have a second conference matchup, which is what
- 38:09Speaker 1: we have here in the home team in the first
- 38:11Speaker 1: matchup lost in a blowout and got totally embarrassed, they
- 38:16Speaker 1: will probably try.
- 38:17Speaker 2: To fix some things to show up focus in the
- 38:19Speaker 2: next game.
- 38:19Speaker 1: So that's kind of why I'm staying away from this,
- 38:22Speaker 1: that the Citadel will probably have some things to fix
- 38:25Speaker 1: after a game like that. For East Tennessee, they are
- 38:29Speaker 1: coming up a game wher. They didn't play that well
- 38:31Speaker 1: at Chattanooga, and I was correct about that game.
- 38:33Speaker 2: I told you Chattanooga plus.
- 38:35Speaker 1: The points was the lean in that when it was
- 38:37Speaker 1: a third straight road game for East Tennessee, not the
- 38:40Speaker 1: easiest spot. Chattanooga got up for them for an in
- 38:43Speaker 1: state rivalry game, and East Tennessee barely got through that
- 38:46Speaker 1: game with the win. Now they're back at home, So
- 38:49Speaker 1: I think in a spot like that, it is actually
- 38:51Speaker 1: a positive when a team who was a favorite almost
- 38:54Speaker 1: lost the game. Now they're back at home, I think
- 38:57Speaker 1: you're gonna get focus out of them. But one other
- 39:01Speaker 1: hesitation with East Tennessee is they have one conference loss
- 39:04Speaker 1: and guess who that loss was to. Oh yeah, that
- 39:07Speaker 1: would be the team that they play next, Western Carolina.
- 39:11Speaker 1: So they might actually look ahead to that game because
- 39:13Speaker 1: that's the only team in the conference that beat them
- 39:16Speaker 1: this year. So that is gonna be a big game
- 39:17Speaker 1: for East Tennessee, So potential look ahead there. So those
- 39:22Speaker 1: are my concerns with this. I would still lean towards
- 39:24Speaker 1: laying the points with East Tennessee, but you can see
- 39:26Speaker 1: why I have some concerns with it. They're a seventeen
- 39:30Speaker 1: point favorite. The totals also pretty low at one forty
- 39:33Speaker 1: and a half. If I was gonna play it, I
- 39:35Speaker 1: would still lay it, though in that one Middle Tennessee,
- 39:40Speaker 1: who's in a different conference than that in the Conference
- 39:42Speaker 1: USA is a Jacksonville state here, which is in Alabama.
- 39:47Speaker 2: By the way, Middle Tennessee.
- 39:49Speaker 1: They're playing a fourth road game in five games, which
- 39:52Speaker 1: is not that easy. So I have some hesitations with
- 39:55Speaker 1: this because when I first looked at it, I was like, oh,
- 39:57Speaker 1: we gotta play Middle Tennessee. To mounts back here because
- 40:00Speaker 1: they just had a pretty ugly game against Missouri State.
- 40:03Speaker 1: Missouri State took them into double overtime and Middle Tennessee
- 40:06Speaker 1: barely got through this game. They were a favorite, although
- 40:09Speaker 1: not a huge favorite, of five and a half. That
- 40:12Speaker 1: was part of the reason why I fade in Missouri
- 40:14Speaker 1: State yesterday as well, by the way, I thought it
- 40:15Speaker 1: was a good spot to fade them.
- 40:17Speaker 2: I'm still angry about it.
- 40:19Speaker 1: But Middle Tennessee after a game like that, on the
- 40:23Speaker 1: one hand, you should think they should bounce back because
- 40:24Speaker 1: they didn't play well as a favorite, But on the
- 40:26Speaker 1: other hand, it was two overtimes, which you could take
- 40:29Speaker 1: a lot out of you. They're playing a fourth road
- 40:31Speaker 1: game in five games, and their next game is against Liberty,
- 40:35Speaker 1: and that is a huge game because those are the
- 40:37Speaker 1: two teams atop the conference right now. So there's the
- 40:40Speaker 1: worry about the look ahead here to Liberty. So those
- 40:43Speaker 1: are my concerns with this game here with Middle Tennessee.
- 40:47Speaker 1: Jacksonville State comes into this game off of a win
- 40:49Speaker 1: over Louisiana Tech, which probably will just give them momentum
- 40:52Speaker 1: come into this game. They're staying at home, so the
- 40:55Speaker 1: spot isn't really that bad for Jacksonville State here. You know,
- 41:00Speaker 1: my first instinct was we gotta lean towards Middle Tennessee.
- 41:02Speaker 1: But I'm, you know, thinking about it more. I'm actually
- 41:06Speaker 1: kind of leaning in the opposite direction here. I actually
- 41:09Speaker 1: probably lean towards Jacksonville State. And the line looks a
- 41:12Speaker 1: little bit crazy as a pick them here, like nobody's
- 41:15Speaker 1: gonna watch Jacksonville State with the uglier record, as a
- 41:19Speaker 1: like gonna pick the winner type of situation here, nobody's
- 41:22Speaker 1: really gonna want to do that, But the osmakers are
- 41:24Speaker 1: telling you Jacksonville State is not that much worse. So
- 41:27Speaker 1: I actually would probably wind up leaning towards Jacksonville State
- 41:29Speaker 1: in that one, even though my initial instinct was Middle
- 41:33Speaker 1: Tennessee will bounce back, but there seemed to be a
- 41:35Speaker 1: lot of negatives for the spot for Middle Tennessee. All right,
- 41:40Speaker 1: and then we have SOBS game on Fox here, Ohio
- 41:44Speaker 1: State and Michigan not as big a rivalry as it
- 41:47Speaker 1: is in football, but still these teams don't like each other.
- 41:50Speaker 1: Michigan number three in the country. Ken Baum I believe
- 41:53Speaker 1: has them number one in his rankings. Let me see here, Uh,
- 41:58Speaker 1: yes he does, Yes, Michigan they're coming up a win
- 42:04Speaker 1: over Indiana. It's a fine win Michigan didn't cover. But really,
- 42:08Speaker 1: if you're gonna fade Michigan here, the reasoning would be
- 42:10Speaker 1: that their next two games are both monster games against
- 42:13Speaker 1: Nebraska and Michigan State. Those are huge games now Michigan
- 42:18Speaker 1: because they're playing on Friday.
- 42:19Speaker 2: They're actually not playing tomorrow.
- 42:20Speaker 1: I know. We have some smaller conferences that go back
- 42:23Speaker 1: to back Thursday Friday. We have some doing that today,
- 42:27Speaker 1: and then the IVY League, I know is pretty notorious
- 42:30Speaker 1: for doing Friday Saturday, although they don't have any games today,
- 42:33Speaker 1: I guess. But Michigan won't play tomorrow because they're playing tonight,
- 42:37Speaker 1: so they're not gonna play again until the middle of
- 42:39Speaker 1: the week. But they're playing Nebraska and Michigan State in
- 42:42Speaker 1: their next two games. Man, those are monster games, and
- 42:45Speaker 1: Nebraska is the only team ahead of them in the standings.
- 42:48Speaker 1: Michigan State is right behind them, and of course that's
- 42:51Speaker 1: a huge Michigan rivalry as well. So if you're gonna
- 42:54Speaker 1: fade Michigan, and I do agree with it, if you're
- 42:56Speaker 1: gonna play this game, I think Ohio State is the
- 42:58Speaker 1: right side you're doing because it's a major look ahead
- 43:01Speaker 1: spot man. That's the deal here. Ohio State probably needs
- 43:06Speaker 1: the game more. And I know need can mean different things,
- 43:09Speaker 1: like I don't like playing on a team that needs
- 43:11Speaker 1: the game if it's like a you know, it's late
- 43:15Speaker 1: in the season, like you know, you it's like a
- 43:17Speaker 1: must win to get in you know whatever, all that
- 43:19Speaker 1: type of thing, because usually that team's gonna be overvalued.
- 43:23Speaker 1: But obviously Ohio State's not gonna be overvalued in this
- 43:25Speaker 1: game when they're playing Michigan, you know what I mean.
- 43:27Speaker 1: So I think you're probably gonna get an effort out
- 43:30Speaker 1: of Ohio State, a full game effort, and that's what
- 43:33Speaker 1: you want when you're playing an underdog. So I do agree.
- 43:36Speaker 1: I think that that is what you will get. Ohio
- 43:38Speaker 1: State's coming off a win over Minnesota at home, not
- 43:41Speaker 1: a big win there, so I think they will show
- 43:43Speaker 1: up focus for this one. Now you might have to
- 43:46Speaker 1: worry a little bit about Ohio State on the road here.
- 43:50Speaker 1: They haven't exactly been that good on the road if
- 43:52Speaker 1: you'll get their road games this year. They only played
- 43:54Speaker 1: one out of conference road game, I think, and it
- 43:56Speaker 1: was a loss at pit which is pretty bad. Although
- 44:01Speaker 1: if I remember correctly. I think I actually did I
- 44:02Speaker 1: give out Pitt in that game. I thought I think
- 44:04Speaker 1: I did because I kind of considered it to be
- 44:07Speaker 1: a sandwich after Ohio State put up one hundred plus
- 44:10Speaker 1: points and they had the big ten opener on deck.
- 44:13Speaker 1: I think I actually gave up Pitt in that game.
- 44:15Speaker 1: But that wasn't a good game for Ohio State. And
- 44:18Speaker 1: then their other road games are all in conference. They
- 44:20Speaker 1: only beat Rutgers by seven. They went out to the
- 44:23Speaker 1: Pacific Coast and beat Oregon by ten. I mean, Oregon's
- 44:25Speaker 1: been bad this year, but that's a fine win, I
- 44:28Speaker 1: guess given the situation. They lost at Washington and that
- 44:32Speaker 1: was it. So this is obviously going to be their
- 44:34Speaker 1: most difficult road game so far. But Ohio State does
- 44:38Speaker 1: have the ability to hang, I think in this game,
- 44:41Speaker 1: at least hang within this number. So yes, I agree
- 44:45Speaker 1: with SOB. I would lean to Ohio State in this game,
- 44:47Speaker 1: but I don't have a strong opinion on it. Michigan's
- 44:50Speaker 1: down from sixteen to fifteen here, so the number might
- 44:53Speaker 1: continue to well, I don't know, because you might be
- 44:56Speaker 1: able to wait and get a better number on Ohio State.
- 44:58Speaker 1: Maybe because this gonna be the game that the public
- 45:01Speaker 1: is the most interested in, Like if the public wants
- 45:03Speaker 1: some basketball action tonight. This is on Fox. It's a
- 45:07Speaker 1: big game, it's a big ten game, involves a ranked team.
- 45:10Speaker 1: This is gonna be the game that probably gets the
- 45:11Speaker 1: most betting attention. So and Michigan is going to be
- 45:15Speaker 1: the public side. So you might be able to get
- 45:17Speaker 1: a decent number if you play it late on Ohio State.
- 45:22Speaker 1: But yes, I agree with Ohio State. Generally they're not
- 45:24Speaker 1: that bad of a team. Ken bommesam in like the
- 45:27Speaker 1: thirty something ranking spot. But Michigan's obviously an elite level
- 45:32Speaker 1: team this year. But that is factored into the number.
- 45:36Speaker 1: That's why they're laying a huge price. Marquette at Butler
- 45:40Speaker 1: is the other big conference game today.
- 45:42Speaker 2: There's this big East.
- 45:43Speaker 1: Game on Fox Sports one. It's you know, I mean,
- 45:47Speaker 1: it's it's not the greatest game. Marquette has not been
- 45:49Speaker 1: good this year. Marquette is coming off a crazy game
- 45:53Speaker 1: where they beat Providence in overtime. Both teams went into
- 45:56Speaker 1: the one hundreds. I think both teams like to play
- 45:59Speaker 1: fast and they don't play the defense. Probably some a
- 46:03Speaker 1: really high scoring game. A lot of times when a
- 46:05Speaker 1: team does that, they will not have a whole lot
- 46:07Speaker 1: of energy left after that. And for Marquette, theyre going
- 46:09Speaker 1: to be playing the third road game in four games,
- 46:12Speaker 1: which isn't great, although at least over the last three
- 46:15Speaker 1: games they're kind of staying in the same area. Ish.
- 46:18Speaker 1: They played in Chicago against DePaul or wherever De Paul
- 46:22Speaker 1: is somewhere near Chicago. Then they played in Milwaukee at
- 46:25Speaker 1: home against Providence, and now they're going to Indiana to
- 46:27Speaker 1: play Butler in Indianapolis, but still coming up that crazy,
- 46:33Speaker 1: fast paced overtime game. I think the spot probably sets
- 46:38Speaker 1: up better for Butler. Butler's staying at home. They just
- 46:42Speaker 1: beat to Paul only by seven at home, not an
- 46:44Speaker 1: impressive win there, and Butler was coming up that nice
- 46:47Speaker 1: win Overseaton Hall the game before that, so they're potentially
- 46:50Speaker 1: in a little bit of a let down there. Now.
- 46:52Speaker 1: The warrior with Butler obviously is they have a look
- 46:54Speaker 1: ahead spot here potentially to Saint John's next and that
- 46:58Speaker 1: is going to be a bigger deal the Marquette because
- 47:01Speaker 1: Marquette's just not playing well this year, So this game
- 47:05Speaker 1: is obviously a stay away from me. Butler is up
- 47:08Speaker 1: from seven to seven and a half. It looks like
- 47:10Speaker 1: maybe some of the money came in on the Butler's side.
- 47:13Speaker 1: I probably agree with it, but no strong opinion on
- 47:16Speaker 1: this game at all. And then ESPN you has a
- 47:20Speaker 1: decent MAC game here between Akron and Ohio after they
- 47:24Speaker 1: have the uglier game earlier in the day. I think,
- 47:26Speaker 1: oh no, the other one was on CBS Sports.
- 47:28Speaker 2: My apologies.
- 47:29Speaker 1: This game is definitely a lot better though in the
- 47:31Speaker 1: games are gonna overlap Akron at Ohio. I mean, these
- 47:34Speaker 1: two teams don't like each other, their Ohio rivals. I
- 47:38Speaker 1: still believe that Akron is the best team in the MAC.
- 47:40Speaker 1: I mean, they were favored on the road at Miami Ohio.
- 47:43Speaker 1: Ken bum as in like twenty something ranking spots higher
- 47:46Speaker 1: than Miami Ohio. But it is what it is. Akron's
- 47:50Speaker 1: coming off winning at Buffalo and now they're going to Ohio.
- 47:53Speaker 1: They got Toledo and Kent State on DAKO. Though I
- 47:55Speaker 1: don't really see either team overlooking this game. You know,
- 48:00Speaker 1: I'm Ohio is not that far behind Akron, but it
- 48:03Speaker 1: is a second straight road game. I probably see Ohio
- 48:07Speaker 1: maybe being a little bit more motivated for this one.
- 48:09Speaker 1: Ohio staying at home as well, and they barely got
- 48:12Speaker 1: by Northern Illinois in the last game, which was not
- 48:15Speaker 1: a good performance from Ohio. Northern Illinois is a pretty
- 48:18Speaker 1: weak team, so Ohio may have been looking ahead to
- 48:21Speaker 1: this game, Man, but then ended the two game losing streak,
- 48:24Speaker 1: including an ugly loss to Ball State on the road.
- 48:27Speaker 1: So Ohio does have some newfound momentum coming into this game,
- 48:30Speaker 1: so I probably do lead to Ohio getting the points here.
- 48:33Speaker 1: They're a nine point dog at home here. I could
- 48:37Speaker 1: see them making this a battle in this game, So yeah,
- 48:40Speaker 1: I do need to taking the points in that one,
- 48:42Speaker 1: and then Fox Sports one has a Mountain West game
- 48:45Speaker 1: in the late night. The Degenerate Special at ten PM
- 48:48Speaker 1: is Utah State at Colorado State. Utah State's falling out
- 48:52Speaker 1: of the rankings. They just had an ugly, ugly loss
- 48:56Speaker 1: at home against UNLV Man, and I think you Utah
- 48:59Speaker 1: State was hungover, man, because they hadn't lost for a while.
- 49:03Speaker 1: They were undefeated in conference. They hadn't lost for like
- 49:06Speaker 1: a month until they lost at Grand Canyon, so I
- 49:08Speaker 1: think that had a hangover effect where sometimes you lose
- 49:12Speaker 1: the game twice when you have that first loss. So
- 49:15Speaker 1: now it might be bounced back time for them going
- 49:17Speaker 1: to Colorado State here, but they did already absolutely demolish
- 49:21Speaker 1: Colorado State in the conference opener, embarrassing them at Utah
- 49:25Speaker 1: State one hundred to fifty eight. So I don't know
- 49:29Speaker 1: how seriously they're gonna take Colorado State, but at least
- 49:32Speaker 1: you gotta think they will still be focused though, just
- 49:35Speaker 1: because of that result in the last game, losing to
- 49:37Speaker 1: UNLV at home.
- 49:39Speaker 2: That's just awful.
- 49:40Speaker 1: So I do think you're gonna get a good effort
- 49:41Speaker 1: out of Utah State here. Colorado State will show up
- 49:44Speaker 1: as well. I mean, they know they're gonna be hosting
- 49:48Speaker 1: what is still the best team in this conference, Utah State.
- 49:50Speaker 1: They know Utah State absolutely embarrassed them the last time
- 49:53Speaker 1: they played them. Colorado State is staying in the state
- 49:56Speaker 1: of Actually they're staying at home. They played their their
- 50:00Speaker 1: in state rival, air Force, which isn't much of a rivalry.
- 50:04Speaker 1: Air Forces really really bad in basketball, and Colorado State
- 50:07Speaker 1: got the win over them, a nice tune up game
- 50:09Speaker 1: for them basically, so the spot is not bad for
- 50:13Speaker 1: Colorado State here. But I think if both teams show up,
- 50:16Speaker 1: I do think you'll get the effort out of Utah State,
- 50:19Speaker 1: they are the better team. I would probably have to
- 50:21Speaker 1: lay it with Utah State here. They're out from four
- 50:23Speaker 1: to four and a half here, just because I think
- 50:26Speaker 1: they should focus after they had that just horrible performance
- 50:30Speaker 1: in the last game. I think they're gonna come out
- 50:33Speaker 1: with some intensity in this one. So those are my
- 50:39Speaker 1: thoughts on the college basketball slate today. All right, let's
- 50:43Speaker 1: go to hockey. I'm gonna have two hockey plays here, man.
- 50:47Speaker 1: Vegas is at Toronto and Vegas is on a back
- 50:50Speaker 1: to back. They played at Boston last night and they
- 50:53Speaker 1: almost came back and won. The Bruins were winning that
- 50:56Speaker 1: game four to nothing going into the third period and
- 50:59Speaker 1: then Vague cut it to four to three.
- 51:02Speaker 2: Really close game there.
- 51:03Speaker 1: And I think the Bruins actually used corporate Salo in
- 51:06Speaker 1: net in that game too, so it wasn't Swayman. But
- 51:10Speaker 1: now Vegas is on the back to back, they're gonna
- 51:12Speaker 1: have Hill back in net for this one. They've been
- 51:14Speaker 1: alternating their goal is though, so it probably doesn't really matter.
- 51:17Speaker 1: But the fact that it's a back to back, having
- 51:19Speaker 1: to go from Boston to Toronto, I don't love it, man,
- 51:22Speaker 1: And they did just beat Toronto back on January fifteenth
- 51:25Speaker 1: in Vegas in a crazy overtime game six to five,
- 51:29Speaker 1: or I think Toronto actually blew the game late.
- 51:33Speaker 2: So I don't know, man.
- 51:34Speaker 1: I mean, maybe Toronto will be more up for this game,
- 51:37Speaker 1: and the spot I think sets up a little bit
- 51:39Speaker 1: better for Toronto. Like Toronto, you know, might be making
- 51:43Speaker 1: the adjustments and wanting to win this game after losing
- 51:46Speaker 1: to this team before. But Toronto didn't play yesterday. Although
- 51:49Speaker 1: Toronto is coming off a big game themselves against Detroit
- 51:53Speaker 1: where they took Detroit to overtime on Wednesday, and they
- 51:56Speaker 1: have Colorado on deck, but I don't see them overlooking Vegas,
- 51:59Speaker 1: a team that just beat them Vegas on the back
- 52:02Speaker 1: to back. With travel, I probably would have to lead
- 52:06Speaker 1: to Toronto in this one. But I know the money
- 52:08Speaker 1: doesn't agree with me on this one. There's a strong
- 52:10Speaker 1: market read on Vegas in this one. I don't really
- 52:14Speaker 1: get it. I don't think it's a good spot for them.
- 52:16Speaker 1: They're off from minus one ten to minus one twenty
- 52:18Speaker 1: on the money line, fifty four percent of the cash
- 52:21Speaker 1: on Vegas, eighty three percent of the tickets on Toronto.
- 52:24Speaker 1: I don't That doesn't make sense to me. Like, do
- 52:27Speaker 1: you really think the public is coming into that extent
- 52:30Speaker 1: on Toronto in a game? It's almost like a pick
- 52:32Speaker 1: em price against Vegas. I don't see that being the case.
- 52:36Speaker 1: So I don't know. Man, it's a stay away from me.
- 52:38Speaker 1: But I disagree with the market in that one. I
- 52:41Speaker 1: think I would slightly lean towards Toronto. Next up is
- 52:45Speaker 1: one of my plays, and this is one of these
- 52:46Speaker 1: ones where I think I just have to do it.
- 52:50Speaker 1: We're gonna have a play in the ESPN game Tampa
- 52:53Speaker 1: Bay at Chicago, and we're going to Yeah, we're gonna
- 52:57Speaker 1: do it. We're gonna lay a puck line with the
- 52:59Speaker 1: road team with Tampa Bay. We're gonna lay in the
- 53:01Speaker 1: minds one and a half.
- 53:03Speaker 2: Man, I think we have to do it.
- 53:06Speaker 1: I'm almost never gonna lay a puck line on the road.
- 53:10Speaker 1: It's really really dangerous to do it. You're gonna need
- 53:12Speaker 1: them to win by margin here. But this spot is
- 53:15Speaker 1: really really crazy. If you want to find some other
- 53:18Speaker 1: way of playing it, like maybe you know Tampa over
- 53:20Speaker 1: their team total or something like that. I don't hate
- 53:22Speaker 1: that either. Now Tampa's starting a road trip, they've had
- 53:25Speaker 1: two days off, and I know sometimes I don't like
- 53:28Speaker 1: when a team. I usually don't like when a team
- 53:30Speaker 1: has multiple days off and they're on a win streak
- 53:32Speaker 1: like Tampa is, so that worries me a little bit.
- 53:34Speaker 1: But starting a road trip in the fact that it's
- 53:36Speaker 1: on ESPN, I think that should keep them focused in
- 53:39Speaker 1: this game. And it's only a two game road trip,
- 53:41Speaker 1: and tomorrow they play Columbus. I just don't see Columbus
- 53:45Speaker 1: being a huge game, really, so I think maybe they'll
- 53:47Speaker 1: put in the effort on the in the ESPN game,
- 53:50Speaker 1: you know, because it's the TV game. So I think
- 53:53Speaker 1: Tampa will show up in this game. They're definitely the
- 53:56Speaker 1: more rested team here in Chicago. I mean, this is
- 53:59Speaker 1: about his as it gets as far as the spot
- 54:01Speaker 1: goes for Chicago. They're on a back to back, and
- 54:05Speaker 1: what do they do. Yesterday They went down to Carolina
- 54:09Speaker 1: for a single game road trip and they upset Carolina
- 54:12Speaker 1: four to three in a shootout.
- 54:14Speaker 2: That's as crazy as a guess.
- 54:16Speaker 1: You play them through an overtime period and beat them
- 54:18Speaker 1: in a shootout and you were almost minus three hundred
- 54:22Speaker 1: underdogs in that game. That's insane. Man in Chicago started
- 54:25Speaker 1: off the game with a short handed goal. So yeah,
- 54:29Speaker 1: there are definitely some reasons why you should say Chicago
- 54:32Speaker 1: should not have won this game. Carolina outshot them by nine,
- 54:35Speaker 1: they out hit them by seven, they won sixty five
- 54:38Speaker 1: percent of the face offs, and Chicago got way more
- 54:41Speaker 1: heavily penalized, and yet Chicago still won the game. It's
- 54:45Speaker 1: a misleading result. Carolina dominated that game statistically, and now
- 54:49Speaker 1: Chicago's coming off getting that win, and now they're back home.
- 54:53Speaker 1: This is an awful spot for Chicago, dude, I know, debate,
- 54:57Speaker 1: like you know, sure, arguably they should still get up
- 55:00Speaker 1: for a game against one of the best teams in
- 55:01Speaker 1: the NHL, Tampa But they just beat one of the
- 55:04Speaker 1: best teams in the NHL in a misleading result yesterday.
- 55:07Speaker 1: So this is a letdown spot with no rest and
- 55:11Speaker 1: travel for Chicago. I hate it for Chicago. So we're
- 55:15Speaker 1: gonna be on Tampa Bay in this one puck line
- 55:18Speaker 1: and hopefully they just do it and they just run
- 55:20Speaker 1: away with the skate away with the game. Maybe we
- 55:22Speaker 1: can get an empty net goal at the end to
- 55:24Speaker 1: help us out. Who knows Tampa Bay up for minus
- 55:27Speaker 1: two to fifty minus two sixty here eighty six percent
- 55:30Speaker 1: of the tickets ninety five percent of the cash on them,
- 55:32Speaker 1: so it does look like the money is supporting this
- 55:35Speaker 1: at least for now. But I think we have to
- 55:38Speaker 1: do it. The spot is just it's a crazy spot, dude, Like,
- 55:41Speaker 1: it doesn't get much worse than this for Chicago, So
- 55:45Speaker 1: we're gonna do it. Tampa Bay the Lightning, all right? Uh,
- 55:50Speaker 1: Saint Louis at Dallas. This is a SOBS play here.
- 55:54Speaker 1: If I was gonna play Saint Louis in this one,
- 55:56Speaker 1: I would recommend making your own plus one puck line
- 55:59Speaker 1: on this one.
- 55:59Speaker 2: Lthough I don't know. Did you say you're going money
- 56:01Speaker 2: line on this?
- 56:02Speaker 1: I don't know. Now the spot sets up as a
- 56:05Speaker 1: positive spot for Saint Louis because they've lost both other
- 56:08Speaker 1: games on the road trips. I think you're gonna get
- 56:10Speaker 1: focused out of them because they want to at least
- 56:12Speaker 1: salvage the last game of the road trip. They've lost
- 56:15Speaker 1: badly on the road trip so far, by combined eight
- 56:17Speaker 1: to one score, including losing three to one to Winnipeg
- 56:21Speaker 1: in the last game, although at least Winnipeg does have
- 56:23Speaker 1: Hella buck back and Saint Louis now has two days off,
- 56:26Speaker 1: so that can help maybe disrupt that losing momentum too.
- 56:30Speaker 1: So I don't see this being a bad spot for
- 56:32Speaker 1: Saint Louis. Now. I'm not gonna play this game, but
- 56:36Speaker 1: I will say that if Saint Louis wins this game
- 56:40Speaker 1: or it's really close, they're gonna be in a Dallas
- 56:43Speaker 1: sandwich and a return home spot in the next game tomorrow,
- 56:48Speaker 1: by the way, on a back to back, so I
- 56:51Speaker 1: think you're gonna want to fade Saint Louis tomorrow when
- 56:53Speaker 1: they come back home and face LA who's actually a
- 56:56Speaker 1: better road team too. So I usually don't do this,
- 56:59Speaker 1: and you know, play the chess game and look ahead,
- 57:02Speaker 1: but that looks like a spot where LA Is jumping
- 57:05Speaker 1: out at me. Is maybe a play there, depending on
- 57:07Speaker 1: what happens tonight though, So that's something to keep in mind.
- 57:10Speaker 1: Saint Louis is gonna be in a bad spot, most
- 57:13Speaker 1: likely tomorrow. Now for Dallas, I don't really know if
- 57:17Speaker 1: I would want to fade Dallas here. Man. They're on
- 57:19Speaker 1: a back to back, so yeah, there is that, and
- 57:21Speaker 1: they're traveling. They went up to Columbus, but that was
- 57:24Speaker 1: an ugly game for them. Man. They lost one to
- 57:26Speaker 1: nothing yesterday. They don't have a big game up next.
- 57:29Speaker 1: They play Saint Louis again to start a road trip. Yes,
- 57:33Speaker 1: they're playing a third game in four days with traveling
- 57:35Speaker 1: between the games. But you, I mean, you just got
- 57:38Speaker 1: shut out in your last game, man, so I think
- 57:40Speaker 1: you're gonna probably show up with some amount of effort.
- 57:43Speaker 1: And of course they're switching back to their primary goaltender
- 57:47Speaker 1: here Ottinger, so you're you're not getting their backup goalie
- 57:50Speaker 1: in this game.
- 57:51Speaker 2: To Smith, he played in yesterday's game.
- 57:53Speaker 1: So you're gonna get the better goaltender for Dallas here
- 57:56Speaker 1: with Ottinger, and he's better than Saint Louis's goalies.
- 58:00Speaker 2: So I don't know if I could get there with
- 58:02Speaker 2: this one.
- 58:02Speaker 1: Man. I agree that Saint Louis is probably the correct
- 58:07Speaker 1: side in this game to look towards. I'm not going
- 58:09Speaker 1: to do it. Dallas is down for minus one seventy
- 58:12Speaker 1: to minus one fifty eight, so it does look like
- 58:14Speaker 1: there is reverse line movement against Dallas. The market seems
- 58:18Speaker 1: to support the Saint Louis side here. Dallas is very
- 58:21Speaker 1: public ninety six percent of the tickets and cash on them.
- 58:25Speaker 1: I'll agree with the Saint Louis side, but this one
- 58:27Speaker 1: is not on my card, and again I would probably
- 58:31Speaker 1: do it a plus one. Make your own puck line
- 58:34Speaker 1: in this one, although if the line keeps dropping, I
- 58:36Speaker 1: guess you could grab Saint Louis on the money line,
- 58:39Speaker 1: but you're losing some value there as well as that
- 58:41Speaker 1: line keeps dropping. Philadelphia at Colorado. Philadelphia just played in
- 58:48Speaker 1: overtime into overtime in Utah on Wednesday. They're finishing the
- 58:53Speaker 1: road trip here, and yeah, they'll want to win the
- 58:55Speaker 1: road trip probably, so they'll probably be motivated for that reason.
- 58:59Speaker 1: They're one on one on the road trip right now,
- 59:01Speaker 1: but playing a second straight game in elevation of an
- 59:04Speaker 1: overtime game is not gonna be that easy, man. And
- 59:06Speaker 1: they're gonna be using one of their second string goaltenders
- 59:09Speaker 1: here basically or whatever you want to call it, because
- 59:11Speaker 1: they've used Arsen for three straight games. Not that I
- 59:14Speaker 1: even think he's any good, but Flyers have some goaltending issues, man,
- 59:20Speaker 1: So that is a concern, even though they should show
- 59:22Speaker 1: up with focus for the Colorado Avalanche. But the Avs
- 59:25Speaker 1: are staying at home. They've been at home since January eighth,
- 59:29Speaker 1: and they haven't gone anywhere and they've actually had a
- 59:31Speaker 1: bad home stand.
- 59:32Speaker 2: Believe it or not.
- 59:32Speaker 1: They're three and three on the home stand, and this
- 59:35Speaker 1: is the last game on the home stand, so I
- 59:37Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up, you know. And I think
- 59:41Speaker 1: Wedgewood was actually injured their goalie for part of this
- 59:43Speaker 1: home stand as well. It looks like he's back. I
- 59:46Speaker 1: don't know if it's gonna be him or Blackwood. It'll
- 59:48Speaker 1: be one of the two of them tonight, probably, but
- 59:50Speaker 1: they're coming off another loss in a shootout at home
- 59:53Speaker 1: to Anaheim, so I think Colorado might show up focus
- 59:56Speaker 1: in this game as well. I think both teams will.
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: Colorado looks like they're getting some of the money, even
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: though they drop from minus two ninety two to minus
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: two seventy six, eighty six percent of the tickets in
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on Colorado. Looks like
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: the money is kind of supporting the Colorado side here.
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: I could definitely see the argument for laying the puck
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: line with Colorado. I could also see an argument for
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: going Colorado over their team total here and just playing
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: against Philadelphia's like mess of a goaltending situation there and
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: playing for Colorado to come out with a better offensive
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: performance in this one, So I don't mind Colorado over
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: their team total in that one, but that's I'm staying
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: away from that game. The game does have a high
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: listed total, by the way, in the six and a
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: half range, so it is one of the higher totals
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: of the day. The Tampa Bay game I talked about
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: is in the six six and a half range as well,
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: so hopefully Tampa can get us over that threshold there. Man,
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: hopefully Tampa can cover the puck line. Mean, Washington is
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: at Calgary. Washington has lost both games on the road
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: trip so far, fairly ugly to lose to Vancouver. Man,
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: the Washington had played Florida and Colorado in the prior
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: to games, though they got pretty much destroyed in both
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: those games. But it's still an ugly loss to lose
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: to Vancouver. So I think you're probably gonna get effort
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: at least out of Washington here, although I said that
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: against Vancouver and it still didn't happen. But maybe after
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: that loss, maybe you will get a better effort this time.
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: Now they do play Edmonton tomorrow, so then maybe a
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: little bit a little bit of a concern there that
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: Edmonton is going to be the team that you usually
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: are going to focus more on the Calgary. I said
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: more on Calgary. Looks like they should be focused as well, though,
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: and they're staying at home.
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: The home stand hasn't gone that well so far.
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: The one and two on the road trip, they did
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: just or excuse me, one and two on the home stand,
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: excuse me, they did just lose two of the Pittsburgh
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: Penguins four to one. So Calgary is probably going to
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: be in a focused spot here as well, Man, and
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: actually probably the somewhat better spot because they're not having
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: to travel. But if both teams are gonna show up,
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: which I think they will, I think the better team
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: does probably win out. Although I know I said that
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: last time. But the money looks like it is supporting
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: the Washington side. I'll probably have to agree with it.
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: Washington's a minus one forty favorite sixty six percent of
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: the money on them for now, at least seventy nine
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Calgary. I don't know if
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: I buy that that's happening, but I know the public
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: does kind of like underdogs just generally like, oh, I
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: want you know, I want to pay a little to
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: win a lot, you know what I mean, Like they
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: do like those money line underdogs to some extent, And
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: maybe they're kind of fading Washington just because Washington's been
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: really ugly recently. So I don't know, but the market
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: read does look like it's indicating on Washington. The Devils
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: are at Vancouver here, Devil's Canucks here. New Jersey at Vancouver.
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: New Jersey could be in a potential letdown here. Man,
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: they just beat Edmonton on the back end of a
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: back back. No less, they swept the back to back
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: against Calgary at Edmonton, big win over Edmonton. Man, Now,
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: mark Strom should probably be back in that era, I'm
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: assuming unless he's injured or something like that, but he's been.
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: Kind of their primary goalie recently.
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: For New Jersey, they've had two days off, and I'm
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: thinking that two days off might not help them, because
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: when you are coming out of a big win like
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: that against Edmonton, you pulled off the upset or whatever
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: on the road and now you're on a win streak,
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: but now you have rest, I don't think the rest
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: helps you, you know, So I think it might be
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: a little bit of a negative for New Jersey, like
- 1:03:33Speaker 1: a sort of delayed letdown spot here where the extra
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: rest might kind of wreck their momentum. Meanwhile, Vancouver, Yeah,
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: they're coming off of a big win over Washington. You
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: could argue it's a letdown spot, but Washington hasn't been
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: playing well. They have not been playing well recently Washington,
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: and speaking of not playing well, that ended an eleven
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: game losing streak, I believe for Vancouver, and when teams
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: end a last streak like that sometimes it's, like I said,
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: with like a team getting their first conference win or whatever,
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: it's like you get that monkey off your back and
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: you can play a lot looser and play better. So
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: I think the spot is better for Vancouver.
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: In this game.
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: I think they have ended that losing momentum I would
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: lead towards Vancouver. Here.
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: It looks like the money does agree on that one.
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: New Jersey's up for minus one forty to minus one
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: forty five, seventy five percent of tickets on them, mid
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the cash coming in on Vancouver.
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: I agree with the Vancouver side and that one. You know,
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: maybe the slight concern that there's a little bit of
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: a letdown component there for Vancouver, But I have to
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: agree with Vancouver in that one. Then we have the
- 1:04:39Speaker 1: Rangers at San Jose. This is a weird game, and
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: I believe I disagree with the market on this one.
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: Van excuse me.
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: The Rangers are finishing up a road trip here and
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: they've gone one to two on the road trip, so
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: I actually think you're gonna get focus out of the
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: Rangers here, man, And of course I always point out
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: they're a better road team than a home team, and
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: the fact that they're one and two on the road trip,
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get focus out of them.
- 1:05:04Speaker 2: And they haven't played since Tuesdays.
- 1:05:06Speaker 1: They have two days off here to break this two
- 1:05:09Speaker 1: game losing strigg that they're on. So I think it's
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: a positive spot for the Rangers here. And they're staying
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: in the Pacific time zone, they're staying in California, They're
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: going up to northern California here. But it's a way
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: better spot for them than it is for San Jose.
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: Look at the spot for San Jose here, man. San
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: Jose is returning on from a road trip that they've
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: been on since the fifteenth, so they've been on the
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: road for over a week. They went all the way
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: out East. They played Washington, then they had to go
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: back to Detroit for some reason, then down to Florida
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: for the back to back Florida trip there, and.
- 1:05:44Speaker 2: Now they're coming back home from that. Yeah, they've had
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: two days off.
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: But you know what I always say, when a team
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: returns home from a road trip, they can get caught
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: in a bad spot. Man, it could be a distraction.
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: You have to get back to home life. You got
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: stuff to do. They're having to adjust time zones again,
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: travel cross country from Tampa Bay all the way up
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: to San Jose. That's a long trip, so they got
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: to readjust to the time zone. And it's even worse
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: because they started another road trip in their next game.
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: Although they get the weekend to stay at home, then
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: they have to go out for Tuesday. They have to
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: go to Vancouver to start a road trip. But they're
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: in a road trip. Sandwich and I talk about how
- 1:06:20Speaker 1: difficult this situation is. I think it makes the road
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: trip return even worse because you have less time to
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: get stuff done at home. Although at least for them,
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: they have multiple days off on both sides of this
- 1:06:32Speaker 1: single home game here, so at least that helps that
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: situation a little bit where they know they have a
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: couple of days left to do stuff at home after this.
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: But I think the spot is pretty bad for San
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: Jose here man, So I like the Rangers in this game,
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: and the market is completely disagreeing with me on this.
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: San Jose up from minus one to fifteen to minus
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: one thirty fifty two percent of the cash on San Jose,
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on that side, seventy
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the Rangers though public Still I
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: guess supporting the Rangers here, at least as an underdog,
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: but I agree with like I disagree with the market
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: in this one.
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: I lean to the Rangers in this one.
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: That's the only way I would play this game is
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: Rangers money line. Rangers. Again, there's sixteen eleven and two
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: on the road, so again they're much better on the
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: road than at home, even with the recent road struggles.
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: San Jose is okay at home as well, thirteen nine
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: and three. That's not terrible, but they don't have a
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: huge home road split like the Rangers do, and the
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: Rangers are much better on the road. So I like
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: the Rangers in that game. I don't know what the
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: market is doing there and my final play of the day,
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: I forgot to put the best bets thing up again.
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: I'm skipping the NBA today, but of course I'm gonna
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: still talk about it. Last play of the day, we're
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: gonna be on the Seattle crack and on the money line. Here.
- 1:07:51Speaker 2: We're fading the public in this one.
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: Man. The market read looks good on this one. We
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: have eighty one percent of the tickets on Anaheim, but
- 1:07:57Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash on Seattle. So I like
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: to see that Seattle is a small favorite here minus
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: one fifteen. So yeah, the osmakers are telling you Anaheim
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: is a slightly better team, but only slightly. As far
- 1:08:10Speaker 1: as the home road splits here, Anaheim, they're below five
- 1:08:13Speaker 1: hundred on the road. They are definitely better at home
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: than on the road. Seattle is if you include the
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: overtime loss of Seattle's below five hundred at home as well.
- 1:08:22Speaker 2: But I still think they're better at home than on
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: the road.
- 1:08:24Speaker 1: So there are slight home roads splits here in favor
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: of Seattle. But the whole crux of this handicap is
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: this is a major letdown spot for Anaheim. Man, They're
- 1:08:34Speaker 1: on a five game winning streak, but they just won
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: at Colorado on Wednesday in a shootout, huge, huge win
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: for Anaheim man, So I just think they're going to
- 1:08:43Speaker 1: be in a letdown off of that. I wish they
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: had a bigger game up next in Calgary, but they
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: do have.
- 1:08:48Speaker 2: It's a back to back Calgary and.
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: Edmonton Sunday Monday, so they still might consider that to
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: be one big event and be looking ahead to that.
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: But I still think at the very least a huge
- 1:08:59Speaker 1: letdowns a lot having to come out of elevation and
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: now go back to the Pacific Coast up to Seattle
- 1:09:05Speaker 1: where it's not really a team that really is going
- 1:09:07Speaker 1: to draw that much of your focus. Although I think
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: Seattle actually might have beaten Anaheim the last time they
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: played them. Yeah, they did at Anaheim on December twenty second,
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: But again, you don't want to weigh revenge too heavily,
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: and I just don't think that that's a huge component here.
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: And for Seattle, they did beat the Islanders in the
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: last game, which you could argue there might be a
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown component to this, but just
- 1:09:30Speaker 1: like I said with Vancouver, I think it breaks their
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: losing momentum. Actually so they had four losses in a row,
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: and I know that's not as drastic as Vancouver breaking
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: an eleven game losing streak, but I think Seattle's gonna
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: be focused on this game. Man. Anaheim has been okay
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: this year, Seattle. You know, they are one and one
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: on the home stands so far. Yeah, they beat the Islanders,
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: decent win, but I don't know if they're gonna be
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: totally like overconfident.
- 1:09:56Speaker 2: About that win, you know what I mean. So I
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: like Seattle. Money seems to agree with it.
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: I think it's just a major letdown spot for Anaheim
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: and that's what put me over the edge onto Seattle
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: in that one. So that's my other hockey play there.
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: And that is the last game on the NHL slate there,
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: all right, NBA. The first game up in the NBA
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: is on Amazon Prime and it is Houston at Detroit.
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: It's a good game, but Houston kind of got screwed
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: by the schedule makers here because they're playing a back
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: to back, they're playing a third game in four days,
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: and they're having to travel from Philadelphia to Detroit. And
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: their last two games were a win over San Antonio
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: and then yesterday we got the win with the Philadelphia side,
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: but Philadelphia that was an overtime game, and so Houston
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: did put up an effort in that game and had
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: to go to overtime to do it. Now they have
- 1:10:45Speaker 1: to turn around and travel to Detroit with no time
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: off off an overtime game. It just doesn't set up
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: well for Houston. Man, even if yeah, they should be
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: focused mentally on Detroit, but it's like you might be
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: seeing a pretty tired of Houston team at this point. Man.
- 1:11:01Speaker 2: The spot is significantly.
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: Better for Detroit here because they had their bad game
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: in the last game against New Orleans. We got to
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: win on that with New Orleans covering, although Detroit still
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: won the game, and I think what that will do
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: is continue their momentum. So Detroit had a pretty big
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: win over Boston my Celtics the game before that weird
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: one game road trip to New Orleans. But for Detroit,
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: they had the day off yesterday, they're back at home.
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: The spot is definitely better for Detroit. So I could
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: only look to the Detroit side. If I was going
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: to play this game, and pregame is not I have
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: to refresh it because it's not behaving for me. I
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: think sometimes the JavaScript must die or something. Pistons are
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: up from three to three and a half year, so
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: the money seems to agree with that side, seventy nine
- 1:11:46Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: on the Detroit side, and I agree with it. So
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: I agree with the market and that one. I would
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: lay it with the Pistons if I was gonna play it.
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: Phoenix is at Atlanta. Phoenix coming into this game off
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: of beating Philadelphia, and they're finishing a road trip. They've
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: been on pretty long road trip. They've been on since
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: ten days ago, so long road trip for Phoenix. They're
- 1:12:15Speaker 1: three and two on the road trip right now, so
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: they might not want to fall back to five hundred
- 1:12:18Speaker 1: on the road trip. They've had a couple of days
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: off between Philadelphia and this game now against Atlanta, but
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: a couple of days off might hurt their momentum, man,
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: And that's what I worry about, Like when you're winning
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: games like this, you might lose steam if you have
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: too many days off. They're playing against Atlanta here. Atlanta
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: did just beat in Memphis on the road on Wednesday.
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: Memphis was coming back from Europe. Remembers I think it
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: was a pretty bad spot for Memphis and Atlanta barely
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: got by that game, but I believe it was technically
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: a road upset where they I believe they were small
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: underdog yeat, they were very small underdog one and a
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: half one. They won the game by two. Now they're
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: coming back home from that single game road trip here
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: to Phoenix. They don't really have anything upcoming, though, and
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: that win against Memphis broke a four game losing streak,
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: so I think that does give Atlanta some momentum coming
- 1:13:08Speaker 1: into this one. So I probably prefer the Hawks in
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: this game. But the money seems to not agree with that.
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: The Suns are up from one and a half to
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: three as a road favorite, eighty four percent of the tickets,
- 1:13:20Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the cash on the Suns. I
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: don't agree with the cash percentage actually being ninety nine,
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: but it does look like, if you read into it, it
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: looks like the money is at least for now coming
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: in on the Phoenix side. But I would lean against that.
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: I kind of lean towards taking it with Atlanta in
- 1:13:36Speaker 1: that game, just the way that it sets up. My
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: Boston Celtics are at the Brooklyn Nets here, and this
- 1:13:43Speaker 1: is a game where it almost looks too easy to
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: play the Celtics. They drop from ten to eight and
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: a half here. They're very public, ninety four percent of
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash is probably
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: not accurate for the Celtics. The fact that they're only
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: an eight and a half point favorite kind of leads
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: me to believe that Celtics might be resting somebody in
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: this game. Let me see, Yeah, Derek White is not playing,
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: so that's what's going on here. White is getting a
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: day of rest here for the Celtics, so that's why
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: the line has dropped. I don't know if White just
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: on his own is worth one and a half points though,
- 1:14:17Speaker 1: So I don't know about that, even though he is
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: probably the celtics second but best player to Brown right now,
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: with Tatum obviously not having played yet this entire season.
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't know. So I kind of went
- 1:14:30Speaker 2: back and forth on this.
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: I'm like, well, if White's out, you know, that might
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: be a little bit of an overreaction in the number,
- 1:14:36Speaker 1: but it also kind of indicates because it's rest and
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: it's not an.
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: Injured it's not an injured injured player. Spot.
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: You know, it kind of seems like the Celtics are
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: kind of just figuring, Ah, we're gonna, you know, take
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: some rest in a game that should be a little
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: bit of an easier game here, which kind of indicates
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: that the Celtics aren't fully focused.
- 1:14:53Speaker 2: On the game.
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: But sometimes the backups will come in and get fired
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: up too, So there's a lot of things going on
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: in this game. It is the start of a road
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: trip for the Celtics, though it's only a two game
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: road trip, just tonight and tomorrow night, where they go
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: to Chicago tomorrow. And if they're gonna pay attention to
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: one of these two teams, it's gonna be the Bulls.
- 1:15:11Speaker 1: It's not gonna be the Nets, even though the Bulls
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: haven't been good, but the Nets are easily overlookable man
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: and the Celtics. I believe the Celtics did actually lose
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: to Brooklyn once this year though they Yeah, they lost
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: it home to Brooklyn, which was a weird.
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: Spot because it was a back to back.
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: It was, or not a back to back, but it
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: was a home and home with a couple of days
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: in between the two, and yeah, Brooklyn zigzagged the Celtics there.
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: So yeah, the Celtics actually lost their most recent game
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: to Brooklyn.
- 1:15:42Speaker 2: But I still don't know.
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: You again, you don't want to factor revenge in too heavily,
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: and I don't know if the Celtics are really gonna
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: care about that that much and be like, oh, we're
- 1:15:50Speaker 1: gonna just you know, we're gonna readjust to what happened
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: in that game or whatever. That was too long ago
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: for me to really think that way. Celtics did just
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: beat Indiana on Wednesday, but that's not really a big
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: winner anything for Brooklyn. Ah. No, I apologize man, as
- 1:16:09Speaker 1: my window dude, I don't know's it's not really a Firefox.
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: It's like Windows is just I don't know the way
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: the Windows is trying to be like Apple and like
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: automatically adjust the windows size.
- 1:16:23Speaker 2: I hate that.
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: But anyway, Brooklyn. The main reason why I like Brooklyn
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: in this game is because they just lost. It might
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: have been the worst loss all season, man, except for
- 1:16:35Speaker 1: the fact that it was to the Knicks, and the
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: Knicks are a good team and the Knicks, We're probably
- 1:16:39Speaker 1: gonna come into that game pissed off because the Knicks
- 1:16:41Speaker 1: hadn't been playing well. But look at the final score
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: in that game. The Knicks just beat Brooklyn one twenty
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: to sixty six in Madison Square Garden. I mean, it
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: doesn't get much worse than that. How do you only
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: put up sixty six points in a game? And that's ridiculous.
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: So coming off a game like that like that alone,
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: has to be leaning towards the Brooklyn side in this game,
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: just for that reason alone. And they are staying in
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: New York. I know that was a road game, but
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: it was in New York City.
- 1:17:11Speaker 2: Whatever.
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: Brooklyn is staying in New York City here now they
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: are playing a fourth game in six days, so there
- 1:17:19Speaker 1: is that they've had a little bit of a packed
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: schedule with one of those games being in Chicago. But
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean towards the Nets
- 1:17:25Speaker 1: plus the points in this game or leave the game alone.
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: It's a low total to it two sixteen and a half,
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: so it doesn't mean much in the NBA when it's
- 1:17:34Speaker 1: still a lot of points being scored in the NBA
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: just generally, but low total does at least mean that
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: taking the.
- 1:17:40Speaker 2: Points it makes a little more sense.
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: But again, when you put up sixty six points in
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: a game, you lost by fifty four. That's a team
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: you probably want to look to be on in their
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: next game, if you're gonna play the game, correct, Garrett,
- 1:17:55Speaker 1: what's up man? Yeah, they lost by fifty four to
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: the Knicks. I know the Knicks are, like I think
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: they're the best team in the East. The Knicks, like
- 1:18:04Speaker 1: power ratings will tell you that. But still, I mean,
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: nobody wants to get embarrassed like that, So it would
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: be nets or pass for me in that game, and
- 1:18:12Speaker 1: it is a pass for me though. Sacramento is playing
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: at Cleveland. Sacramento is starting a road trip off of
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: a pretty bad home stand where they lost the last
- 1:18:21Speaker 1: three games of the home stand, although actually they won
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: the home stand, believe it or not.
- 1:18:26Speaker 2: They won the.
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: First four games, including three massive upsets, and then they've
- 1:18:32Speaker 1: actually been worse since Simonis came back, which makes zero sense.
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: They might be easing him back in though, because it
- 1:18:40Speaker 1: looks like he hasn't factored into the stat leader, so.
- 1:18:43Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with that.
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: But Sacramento's lost every game except the first game that
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: he came back, and that was the game what we
- 1:18:51Speaker 1: lost on the Wizards on so isn't that just great?
- 1:18:54Speaker 1: Sacramento's lost three in a row, but now it might
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: be good for them to just forget about that go
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: on the road. They are playing a third game in
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: four days.
- 1:19:00Speaker 2: But I talk about this.
- 1:19:01Speaker 1: When things aren't going well for you at home and
- 1:19:04Speaker 1: you start a road trip, sometimes that is a good thing.
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: You just get out home, go focus on basketball. They
- 1:19:10Speaker 1: should be focused playing the Calves here. The Calves just
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: won on TV against Charlotte, although it wasn't that impressive
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: of a win, but Charlotte has actually been playing well,
- 1:19:20Speaker 1: believe it or not, recently. They've actually been like one
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: of the better teams in the NBA over the last
- 1:19:25Speaker 1: month or so, which is hard to believe, but the
- 1:19:27Speaker 1: stats bear that out and that's why the oddsmakers are
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: giving Charlotte a lot of respect recently.
- 1:19:33Speaker 2: So that was a decent win for Cleveland.
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: And now they're coming back home off of that weird
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: single trip, single game trip to Charlotte. They do over
- 1:19:41Speaker 1: Orlando on deck tomorrow. They gotta go to Orlando tomorrow,
- 1:19:45Speaker 1: so it's kind of a tricky spot for Cleveland. So
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: I probably prefer Sacramento in this one. I would lean
- 1:19:51Speaker 1: towards taking the points with the Kings here, they're a
- 1:19:54Speaker 1: big underdog twelve point underdog, seventy six percent of the
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: tickets and only seventy one percent of the cash on
- 1:19:59Speaker 1: the So the Cavs are public with less of the
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: money on them for now. So the market seems to
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: agree with the King's side and that one. That is
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that game as well.
- 1:20:10Speaker 1: The Pelicans are at the Grizzlies here, New Orleans at Memphis.
- 1:20:14Speaker 1: New Orleans just played that pretty tough game against Detroit. Man,
- 1:20:18Speaker 1: they played reasonably well against Houston and Detroit in their
- 1:20:21Speaker 1: last two games. Now they start a road trip, but
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: they play San Antonio and Oklahoma City after this, So
- 1:20:27Speaker 1: if they're gonna overlook anybody on the road trip, it
- 1:20:30Speaker 1: might be this Memphis team. Man. Memphis hasn't really been
- 1:20:33Speaker 1: playing particularly well, so I don't really love how this
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: sets up for New Orleans. This game is kind of
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: sandwiched in there between these bigger games.
- 1:20:42Speaker 2: The game is pretty much over against Detroit.
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: It's not like they took Detroit to the limit or anything,
- 1:20:46Speaker 1: but they did cover at least for roster. I think
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: New Orleans covered two games in a row for us
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: on the show. So there we go. But yeah, the
- 1:20:54Speaker 1: spot's not great for New Orleans here. Now for Memphis,
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: they return home from the Europe trip. They're back home,
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: and I believe Yeah, John Morant actually came back in
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: the London game against Orlando. I didn't even realize he
- 1:21:08Speaker 1: was coming back, and that would have had me leaning
- 1:21:12Speaker 1: against Memphis a little bit in that game, even though
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: it was a zigzag spot for them.
- 1:21:16Speaker 2: But Morant coming back, I think he's.
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: A chemistry disruptor, and when a star player comes back
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: like that, usually it shifts the line too much and whatever.
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: But luckily I didn't didn't consider that, and I just
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: avoided the game because Memphis did win. And again, then
- 1:21:32Speaker 1: they came back home from Europe, which is a tricky spot,
- 1:21:34Speaker 1: and they lost to Atlanta. But now it's a second
- 1:21:36Speaker 1: game back home after a loss. I think they'll show
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: up for this game. They do have Denver on deck,
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: which is a little bit of a concern in Houston
- 1:21:44Speaker 1: after that. So my concern with Memphis is that they
- 1:21:46Speaker 1: might be looking ahead. But I lean to Memphis otherwise.
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: They're laying six points ninety percent of the tickets ninety
- 1:21:52Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on them. They're up from
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: four and a halfter six years, so the money looks
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: like it is agreeing with Memphis in this one as well.
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: That's right, Garrett, you're the Carolina guy there. Yes, the
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: Hornets there, they're playing alright, dirty sock.
- 1:22:07Speaker 2: What's up man? Thanks for hanging out all right.
- 1:22:12Speaker 1: Next up is Indiana at Oklahoma City, and Indiana's still
- 1:22:15Speaker 1: looking for finals revenge. Man, If you remember I gave
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: out Indiana in the first game of the season, I'm
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: pretty sure, because they actually played Oklahoma City the first
- 1:22:28Speaker 1: game of the season. I don't know if I've ever
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: seen that, to be honest, where the finals matchup is
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: also the first game of the next regular season.
- 1:22:36Speaker 2: But Indiana almost won that.
- 1:22:38Speaker 1: Game if you don't remember, even without haliburt, and they
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: took Oklahoma City I believe it was in Indiana and
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: Indiana took okay See to double overtime in the game
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: and lost, but covered. I believe it was like a
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: seven and a half point dog or something like that
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: in the game. We got the win with Indiana in
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: that one, and I think people were thinking that was
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: a crazy idea to play Indiana in that one. But
- 1:22:59Speaker 1: I'm crazy, baby, So I think Indiana still will be
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: focused for a game against the I mean, how could
- 1:23:05Speaker 1: you not be focused anyway when it's the best team
- 1:23:07Speaker 1: in the NBA that you're playing against the Thunder. But
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: Indiana has even more reason to focus because they still
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: haven't beaten them since getting eliminated in the finals last year.
- 1:23:19Speaker 2: Indiana is coming off a game against Boston.
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: They are playing a fourth straight road game, which is
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: not that easy, and they've played all pretty difficult opponents
- 1:23:26Speaker 1: on this road trip, and they're having to now travel
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: from the East Coast to Oklahoma City, which still isn't
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: that easy to do.
- 1:23:33Speaker 2: But I think they will show up for the game
- 1:23:35Speaker 2: at the very least, and they're used to playing.
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: In Oklahoma City because they did last year numerous times
- 1:23:42Speaker 1: in the finals, so more than they usually would.
- 1:23:45Speaker 2: Oklahoma City is.
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: Coming off a game against Milwaukee. But the big deal
- 1:23:48Speaker 1: with Oklahoma City here is they're returning home from a
- 1:23:50Speaker 1: road trip, so I think that does make it a
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: negative spot.
- 1:23:54Speaker 2: They've been on the road for a week.
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: They were on the road since last Thursday, And I
- 1:23:58Speaker 1: talk about it when a team or turns on from
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: a road trip, sometimes they can lack focus. They have
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: to get back to home life. They might not totally
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: pay attention. They play Toronto next. Maybe not a huge
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: look ahead there, but Toronto is at least a winning
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: team right.
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: Now, unlike Indiana at Oklahoma City.
- 1:24:15Speaker 1: You know, they beat Indiana earlier this year, Like I
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: saettle that it was a close game, but they beat them
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: in Indiana, so okay, see probably thinks this will be
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: you know, they'll probably think it'll be an easy game.
- 1:24:25Speaker 1: I would imagine the Thunder will. So if I was
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: gonna play this game, I would take the points with
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: the Pacers. But fading the Thunder at home is a
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: little bit dicey because the Thunder do win by margin
- 1:24:37Speaker 1: at home quite often. Like I said, they probably win
- 1:24:40Speaker 1: by about an average of like eighteen points or so
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: at home. The Thunder down from seventeen to sixteen. Here,
- 1:24:47Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of the tickets and ninety four percent
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: of the cash on the Pacers, So the money is
- 1:24:52Speaker 1: agreeing with me on taking the points of the Pacers.
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: I wonder if there are some injuries at play here
- 1:24:57Speaker 1: as well, because it seems like somebody's.
- 1:24:58Speaker 2: Always outvroke Gloma City.
- 1:25:01Speaker 1: Uh, it's Hart and Steen is still out, and then
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: I guess Caruso is out and he's one of their
- 1:25:06Speaker 1: better defenders.
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: So a couple of guys out for okay se.
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: Although you know they're a deep team though, and you
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: know Pacers is just the usual. Mathron is still out.
- 1:25:15Speaker 1: I think he's been out for a while. Topping I
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: think also has been in. Halliburton has missed the whole season.
- 1:25:20Speaker 1: So uh, that's what's going on there. Hard to believe
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: Indiana is this bad this year. Well, they've had other
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: injuries too though, like they haven't been healthy even like
- 1:25:34Speaker 1: even if you don't factor in Halliburton, they still haven't
- 1:25:36Speaker 1: had the rest of their their players, Like they haven't
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: had a full roster minus Haliburton this entire season though,
- 1:25:43Speaker 1: like always, somebody has been out, like they've been missing Mathron,
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: Halliburton and Mathern and uh uh Topping for a lot
- 1:25:51Speaker 1: of the season, and then Nemhard was out for a
- 1:25:54Speaker 1: bunch of a bunch of it as well.
- 1:25:56Speaker 2: Like they just they have not been healthy.
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: But they're all a little bit overrated last year as well,
- 1:26:02Speaker 1: like that run that they made to the final was
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: a little bit misleading, like they were not like the
- 1:26:06Speaker 1: second best team in the NBA or anything, not even close,
- 1:26:10Speaker 1: like Indiana would have been an underdog to probably like
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: nine or ten teams like That's why I was very
- 1:26:16Speaker 1: heavy on the Thunder in the finals, and I gave
- 1:26:19Speaker 1: up the Thunder I think twice as play as in
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: the finals. And even though I lost my job, one
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: of the bets that I actually made with money was
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: on OKC to win the finals after they were losing.
- 1:26:31Speaker 2: What were they down?
- 1:26:32Speaker 1: They were down two to one, I think is what
- 1:26:35Speaker 1: they were down. I think is when I did it,
- 1:26:37Speaker 1: when they were down to one, you got a pretty
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: good number. They were still like minus two hundred, but
- 1:26:41Speaker 1: that was a really really good number and that wound
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: up winning for me. So but Indiana was not that
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: good last year, let's just put it that way. They
- 1:26:52Speaker 1: overperformed in the playoffs. They they caught a Cleveland team
- 1:26:55Speaker 1: it was better than them, but Cleveland just had wasted
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: all their energy to the regular season and then got
- 1:27:01Speaker 1: massively injured and couldn't get through them. And then who
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: else did Indiana even beat? I don't They beat the Knicks,
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: I guess, which was fine, but the Knicks were coming
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: off that monster series against the Celtics when Indiana ran
- 1:27:13Speaker 1: into them. So I think Indiana was not as good
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: as the Knicks. They were not as good as the Celtics,
- 1:27:18Speaker 1: but the Celtics of course lost Tatum. I think the
- 1:27:20Speaker 1: Knicks might have had some injuries as well. The Knicks
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: just weren't a deep roster, so I don't know. And
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: then Indiana, you know, through their playoff run, they got
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: to avoid the entire Western Conference, and the Western Conference
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: was stacked like.
- 1:27:33Speaker 2: Over in the West last year.
- 1:27:36Speaker 1: Numerous teams in the West were all better than Indiana
- 1:27:38Speaker 1: last year, like, of course Oklahoma City, Minnesota, probably the Lakers,
- 1:27:44Speaker 1: I would even say probably Houston, Golden State, Denver, of course,
- 1:27:48Speaker 1: I think all those teams would have been favored on
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: a neutral location over Indiana last year. So Denver at
- 1:27:57Speaker 1: Milwaukee is the other Amazon Prime. Amazon Prime's got the doubleheader,
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: and when they scheduled this, they probably didn't realize that
- 1:28:05Speaker 1: Jokic was gonna be out, so this game looked better
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: than it is now. Denver's coming up beating Washington yesterday,
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: but now they're on a back to back, They're playing
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: a third game in four days. That's not that easy
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: to do. Man, So the spot's not great for Denver here.
- 1:28:21Speaker 1: They did get by Washington yesterday though, so they'll have
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum at least from Milwaukee.
- 1:28:27Speaker 2: They're staying at home. They didn't play yesterday.
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: They return home from a quick road trip and lost
- 1:28:33Speaker 1: to Oklahoma City by twenty. In the return home spot,
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: you gotta think they will show up because it is
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: still Denver. They they did actually just lose at Denver
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: by four on January eleventh as well, so I probably
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: prefer Milwaukee in this game. They're gonna be laying points though.
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: So it's also gonna look weird right that the Bucks
- 1:28:53Speaker 1: are a favorite like this against the Nuggets. But again,
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: Jokic gets factored big time into the line here, and
- 1:28:58Speaker 1: the Nuggets might actually have other injuries that they're dealing
- 1:29:00Speaker 1: with as well. Right now, let me see.
- 1:29:05Speaker 2: What do we have going on here?
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: Uh no, it looks like they are fairly healthy otherwise,
- 1:29:11Speaker 1: you know, like the the usual suspects look like they
- 1:29:13Speaker 1: are playing here, Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray.
- 1:29:17Speaker 2: So whatever, But Jokich is a big factor.
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: Man. The Bucks are up from five to six and
- 1:29:21Speaker 1: a half, and of course the Bucks are not as
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: bad as their regular season record might lead you to believe,
- 1:29:26Speaker 1: because they do have Giannis back now and he missed
- 1:29:29Speaker 1: a large portion of the season, so the Bucks are
- 1:29:32Speaker 1: more at full strength right now than they have been
- 1:29:35Speaker 1: for some of the season. Fifty tickets, sixty nine percent
- 1:29:38Speaker 1: of the cash on the Bucks. I agree with the Bucks.
- 1:29:41Speaker 2: I would lay it.
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: If I was going to play it, but I don't
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: really have any interest in doing so. Toronto is at
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: Portland to finish the NBA slate. Here, Toronto's staying on
- 1:29:52Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast. They're already in the middle of a
- 1:29:54Speaker 1: Pacific Coast road trip. Here.
- 1:29:56Speaker 2: They're two and one on the trip so far.
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: They just won by margin at Sacramento, and now they're
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, fourth game in
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: six days, fifth game and eight days, all in different cities,
- 1:30:07Speaker 1: so that's not that easy. And they play Oklahoma City
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: next and the Knicks after that. So there's a possible
- 1:30:12Speaker 1: look ahead component of this year. So I prefer the
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: Trailblazers in this game. And the Trailblazers, by the way,
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: they're above five hundred.
- 1:30:22Speaker 2: Believe it or not.
- 1:30:23Speaker 1: The Blazers have won eleven of their last fourteen games,
- 1:30:26Speaker 1: so they've been sneakily been playing good basketball, although they
- 1:30:30Speaker 1: have this dude who I basically had never even heard
- 1:30:33Speaker 1: of until yesterday or whatever IV did. Of Dja. How
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: do you pronounce this? I thought his name was something else.
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: I thought it was of g It's of Dija. He's
- 1:30:47Speaker 1: and Israeli and he's basically out there promoting I can't
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: say it.
- 1:30:50Speaker 2: I'm gonna get nuked on the show.
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: He's promoting the things that Israel is doing out there.
- 1:30:55Speaker 2: I'm like, give me a break, man.
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: You could at least admit that they're doing that, but
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: still say that you like your country or something like that.
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: I would have more respect for you if that was
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: your take, right like that, that would be my take
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: as well. Like I'd be like, yeah, I don't like
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: what the US military is doing. They're committing mass murder
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: all over the place, but I like my country, the
- 1:31:16Speaker 1: United States. I like America, you know what I mean?
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: Like that should be the take. That's that's a good take,
- 1:31:21Speaker 1: But that's not what he said. He's like, you have
- 1:31:24Speaker 1: to promote everything that the that the state is doing.
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: I'm like, this is ridiculous. Screw that guy. So Portland
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: is not on my good side right now. Let's just
- 1:31:33Speaker 1: put it that way. Portland is on a nice run here,
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: four wins in a row. They did just get a
- 1:31:37Speaker 1: win over from Miami yesterday though, and they have Boston
- 1:31:41Speaker 1: next starting a road trip which will be a Peacock game.
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: So I don't think Portland's in the greatest spot here either.
- 1:31:49Speaker 1: Although prior to yesterday they had multiple days off. They
- 1:31:51Speaker 1: had three days off before that, so it's not every
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: back to back as equal. The rest isn't gonna be
- 1:31:58Speaker 1: as bad for them because they had a lot of
- 1:32:00Speaker 1: rest before yesterday.
- 1:32:02Speaker 2: So I still.
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: Prefer the Trailblazers in this game, plus the points. But
- 1:32:06Speaker 1: the money's not agreeing with me. Sixty percent of the tickets,
- 1:32:09Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the cash on the Raptors. They're
- 1:32:13Speaker 1: up from two and a half to three here, so
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: the money is on Toronto for what that's worth.
- 1:32:17Speaker 2: I somewhat disagree with that, but that's gonna do it.
- 1:32:20Speaker 1: Man. I'm being a little bit selective today. I say
- 1:32:23Speaker 1: that a lot. But yes, yes, oh yes, college basketball,
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: yes correct, yeah, I have to do it the Saturday
- 1:32:36Speaker 1: college basketball slave. Thank you for reminding me Tyson. Yes,
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: that is correct. I will be back tonight to do
- 1:32:42Speaker 1: the huge college basket. Well, actually last week I did
- 1:32:45Speaker 1: it early in the morning. I don't know, man, it
- 1:32:48Speaker 1: depends how I'm feeling. I have to start handicapping it
- 1:32:50Speaker 1: earlier in the night. That's what I have to do,
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: because it is I don't like to start. Like dude,
- 1:32:55Speaker 1: I start the handicapping at like ten and that it
- 1:32:57Speaker 1: takes me like an almost two hours to hand handicap everything,
- 1:33:01Speaker 1: which is actually quick to handicap every single game, but
- 1:33:03Speaker 1: I use my shortcuts. I look for situations mostly. Then
- 1:33:08Speaker 1: it's like a two two and a half hour show
- 1:33:10Speaker 1: on top of that ending at like three four in
- 1:33:12Speaker 1: the morning. I don't want to do that. So like
- 1:33:15Speaker 1: if I could started earlier at night, then I will
- 1:33:17Speaker 1: do it tonight. So maybe that's the way that I
- 1:33:19Speaker 1: have to do it. Uh. You like Caleb Love Yeah,
- 1:33:23Speaker 1: I mean he's I don't know, he's kind of on
- 1:33:25Speaker 1: my bad side just because he he takes too many
- 1:33:28Speaker 1: bad shots. Man, Like when he was in college, I
- 1:33:31Speaker 1: was getting really frustrated, Like I got frustrated making plays
- 1:33:36Speaker 1: on his teams. I know you like him because he
- 1:33:38Speaker 1: went to North Carolina. The thing I like about him
- 1:33:41Speaker 1: is he exposed Hunter Dickinson for being a dick, which
- 1:33:46Speaker 1: we already knew. But Dickinson had that real cheap shot
- 1:33:49Speaker 1: where he like stepped on Love when Love was already
- 1:33:51Speaker 1: on the floor, when Dickinson was on Michigan and Caleb
- 1:33:55Speaker 1: Love was on on North Carolina. If you remember that
- 1:33:58Speaker 1: and then Dickinson, people don't remember that. Everybody only remembers
- 1:34:02Speaker 1: like the most recent thing where Dickinson, of course then
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: wound up on Kansas and Caleb Love wound up on Arizona.
- 1:34:08Speaker 1: But yeah, but yeah, Caleb Love, I mean he could
- 1:34:11Speaker 1: definitely he can hit some shots, dude.
- 1:34:14Speaker 2: He he was on my good side.
- 1:34:16Speaker 1: There was one There was one game where I think
- 1:34:18Speaker 1: he hit like a half court shot at the buzzer
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: to cover a game from me, like last year maybe
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: or something with Arizona. Do you remember that game? Whatever
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: game that was, that half court shot that he hit
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: gave me, gave me a win on one of my plays.
- 1:34:31Speaker 2: So I liked him for that as well. Maybe he's
- 1:34:33Speaker 2: not on my bad side then.
- 1:34:36Speaker 1: Pinzy, I think, yeah, yeah, Ice is gonna show up.
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: I don't know these NBA players, they can get away
- 1:34:42Speaker 1: with that mantle. He's probably legally in the country. Yeah,
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: I don't want to be associated with.
- 1:34:49Speaker 2: Net and Yahoo. Yeah you do remember that.
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: Yeah, I forget what game that was, but I'm pretty
- 1:34:54Speaker 1: sure it was for Arizona. It was last year or
- 1:34:56Speaker 1: two years ago, and whatever it was, it covered the
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: number of me. Whatever it was, I'm pretty sure I'd
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: have to go back and find that game though. All right,
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: that's gonna do it our selectivity tonight. We have one
- 1:35:09Speaker 1: college basketball play, which is Wagner plus the points. I
- 1:35:12Speaker 1: think you'll be able to get about nine on this game.
- 1:35:15Speaker 1: And then we have the two hockey plays, which are
- 1:35:18Speaker 1: getting a little bit risky with laying a puck line
- 1:35:21Speaker 1: on the road with Tiampa, babe, And I'm only gonna
- 1:35:22Speaker 1: do that if I think the spot is really really
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: horrific and there's a really big gap between the two teams.
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: I think that's the case there, So we're gonna do
- 1:35:31Speaker 1: it with the lightning. And then we're also on the
- 1:35:33Speaker 1: Seattle Kraken on the money line there fading another let fading,
- 1:35:37Speaker 1: the two biggest letdown spots in the NHL.
- 1:35:39Speaker 2: That's the name of the game, and.
- 1:35:43Speaker 1: That's what I'm doing, and the market seems to agree
- 1:35:45Speaker 1: with those. It's hard to read what the market is
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: doing on the on the Wagner game. But that's gonna
- 1:35:49Speaker 1: do it, man, Learn it tone on Twitter, learn a
- 1:35:51Speaker 1: tone on Instagram.
- 1:35:52Speaker 2: I appreciate it, guys. Thanks for hanging out again.
- 1:35:55Speaker 1: Of course, like, subscribe to the channel here, tell more
- 1:35:58Speaker 1: people about it, put it out there. We gotta get dude,
- 1:36:01Speaker 1: I've been stagnant. Man, I gotta get to the five
- 1:36:03Speaker 1: hundred subscriber threshold. I got to get to a thousand, like,
- 1:36:06Speaker 1: try to monetize this. That's really what I want to do.
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: Start getting some super chats involved. We're on audio as well,
- 1:36:13Speaker 1: so listening over there house, Now give me a review.
- 1:36:15Speaker 1: We have some five star reviews out there already on
- 1:36:18Speaker 1: Spotify and Apple.
- 1:36:19Speaker 2: That helps me out.
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: Covered in YU because my yuke channel on YouTube, I
- 1:36:23Speaker 1: got a couple of yuke covers.
- 1:36:24Speaker 2: I need to get up there.
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: I gotta start putting some behind the subscriber wall on
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: Twitter though, because I've been meaning to do that. But
- 1:36:31Speaker 1: I also, dude, I have to organize. I have so
- 1:36:34Speaker 1: many of my like all the old ones that I
- 1:36:36Speaker 1: used to post on Twitter are all on my phone
- 1:36:38Speaker 1: still on my phone is running out of space. I
- 1:36:40Speaker 1: have so many yuke videos. My phone is almost all
- 1:36:43Speaker 1: yuke video. It's yuke videos and memes. But the uke
- 1:36:46Speaker 1: videos are.
- 1:36:46Speaker 2: Taking up so much space.
- 1:36:47Speaker 1: I have to organize and it's gonna be a huge undertaking,
- 1:36:51Speaker 1: but I gotta do it. So I'm gonna try patreon
- 1:36:54Speaker 1: dot com, slash learn to toad and you get some
- 1:36:56Speaker 1: bonus yuke content there, and the Loser Cast. You're gonna
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: check that out. You can vote for j Cup Exploding.
- 1:37:04Speaker 1: J Cup Lady was my loser A pick for the week.
- 1:37:07Speaker 1: Thank you Charles for that one. I don't Charles gave
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: me another suggestion for the upcoming week. I don't know
- 1:37:12Speaker 1: if I'm gonna use that one though, And sometimes, dude,
- 1:37:15Speaker 1: we have to see what happens. So many things are
- 1:37:17Speaker 1: gonna happen between now and Tuesday, So Tuesday Lose Day, Yeah,
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: that's what we should call it.
- 1:37:25Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna tell late in that all right.
- 1:37:27Speaker 1: But yeah, like somebody might arise as a loser selection
- 1:37:31Speaker 1: between now and then. Kind of likely actually, because I
- 1:37:34Speaker 1: just hang out on Twitter and I see things.
- 1:37:36Speaker 2: So until then, man, that's gonna do it.
- 1:37:39Speaker 1: I'll be back. I'll try to do it tonight because
- 1:37:42Speaker 1: it makes my morning way easier if I do.
- 1:37:44Speaker 2: But I'll try to do it at least like a
- 1:37:46Speaker 2: little bit.
- 1:37:46Speaker 1: Or I'll probably try to get the handicapping started at
- 1:37:50Speaker 1: like eight pm tonight. Maybe I gotta get all my
- 1:37:52Speaker 1: steps in before that though, ten thousand steps. Man on Friday,
- 1:37:56Speaker 1: at least, still have to get the steps done. But
- 1:37:58Speaker 1: I'm gonna list some weights too at some point, So
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: I gotta get all this stuff done today, man.
- 1:38:02Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. Be on the lookout.
- 1:38:05Speaker 1: If you subscribe to the channel, you'll know when I
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: go live, and hopefully my intro is long enough that
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: it gives you enough time to get in here.
- 1:38:11Speaker 2: That's gonna do it for now.
- 1:38:13Speaker 1: Peace,