Latest / The Financial Exchange Show / What happens to Google if the DOJ is successful breaking them up?
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- 1:08He's The Financial Exchange with Chuck Zada and Mark Vandetti.
- 1:13Speaker 2: Midweek. Here on the Financial Exchange is Chuck, Mark and
- 1:17Tucker with you, and our top story today is Hurricane
- 1:21Milton continuing to bear down on the west coast of
- 1:25Florida and the potential economic impact. Obviously, look, we can
- 1:29talk at a personal level just how horrible this is
- 1:31likely going to be for a number of people on
- 1:33the West coast of Florida, but our show focuses on
- 1:36the business impact. So we're you know, clearly going to
- 1:39leave you know, our thoughts and prayers with the people
- 1:42that are down there, either stuck down there or who
- 1:45have chosen to ride out the storm. And you know,
- 1:48certainly we hope for the best and that things, you know,
- 1:51are again as as there's as little disruption as possible
- 1:57is basically what we're hoping for. But this is going
- 1:59to be a tough one. But in a story from
- 2:02Barons this morning, we have some further proof that, Hey,
- 2:07a lot of times if you want to get the
- 2:09update on what's coming down the road, just listening to
- 2:12the Financial Exchange, a couple of weeks before, and you'll
- 2:15have Baron's articles, you know, a couple of weeks in advance,
- 2:18because this is all about, Hey, the October Jobs Report
- 2:20is going to be impacted by Hurricane Helen and now
- 2:23by Hurricane Milton. And we've been talking about this for
- 2:26a couple of weeks. Where the data collection period for
- 2:29the October Jobs Report is October six through twelfth, and
- 2:33so already, look, you've got Helene where if you know
- 2:37anyone in the mountains of the Carolinas, I've got a
- 2:41couple of folks that are in the Ashville area. I
- 2:43know someone else down in Greenville, South Carolina, and you
- 2:46know they're still trying to figure out how to get
- 2:48power and water on a consistent basis to these areas.
- 2:51You are not going to get accurate counts of jobs there,
- 2:55very clearly. And now with Milton making landfall right in
- 2:58the middle of this period, you've got two storms that
- 3:01are going to be completely disruptive to the October jobs data,
- 3:04probably the November jobs data as well. And so I'm
- 3:09now at the point where, in order to kind of
- 3:12get you know, an accurate picture of jobs from the
- 3:15jobs report, you're probably looking at the December, January, and
- 3:19February jobs data, which means we might not actually know
- 3:22what the jobs market really looks like, at least from
- 3:25the government jobs data until March.
- 3:30Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a good reminder, Chuck, that you should always
- 3:32look at long term smooth averages of this stuff. This
- 3:36is just an extreme example of how even the littlest blip,
- 3:43and this is far from a little blip, but even
- 3:45a little disruption to somebody's life can interfere with the
- 3:49accuracy with which you complete a survey, the timeliness with
- 3:53which you submit that survey to the authorities that they're
- 3:56trying to collect the data. Imagine trying to as an
- 3:59employ lawyer when your business is and we've all experienced
- 4:03this year and in uh, what do we Southern New England,
- 4:07in Middle New England whatever, we call this a little
- 4:10slice of heaven we occupy. We've all experienced floods.
- 4:13Speaker 2: Middle New England is the term I've never heard before.
- 4:15Speaker 3: But it sounds like Tolkien, something Tolkien would invent.
- 4:18Speaker 2: I'm from Middle Earth and I'm here to help you
- 4:21with from spells.
- 4:22Speaker 3: I'm from Middle New England.
- 4:23Speaker 2: Get the hell out of highway economics. To you, good
- 4:25people of Earth.
- 4:27Speaker 3: Okay, your fruitcake wizard anyways. Yeah, so those of us
- 4:31in middle New England have experienced this in the past
- 4:34couple decades. We all know somebody with a business that's
- 4:36been flooded. We saw it happen along the Connecticut River, right,
- 4:39that was earlier this year.
- 4:41Speaker 2: I mean, you talked to anyone up like the Vermont
- 4:44in New Hampshire riage in the last two years, and
- 4:45they've had all kinds of flooding.
- 4:47Speaker 3: So I mention those employers trying to complete it. Or
- 4:49household who gets the household survey. I've never actually known
- 4:52anyone that does, but they allegedly survey under twenty thousand
- 4:55households every month.
- 4:56Speaker 2: I would love to get surveyed. Yeah, it's that kind
- 4:59of hi one survey. You know, you always have one
- 5:01of those calls where you know you're on the phone
- 5:04with someone, Hey, please fill out a brief survey afterwards. No, no, click,
- 5:07I'm not going to do that. This is if if
- 5:10the Bureau of Labor Statistics actually called me.
- 5:13Speaker 3: Oh, they would rue the day they called you. Okay,
- 5:16mister Ziddath, thank you, that's that's that's really all we needed.
- 5:19Speaker 2: No, but let me tell you about how many hours
- 5:21I worked on Tuesday, just so you know. But yeah,
- 5:25this is going to be hugely disruptive to survey collection,
- 5:28and so you're going to have you know, probably a
- 5:30significant drop just in you know, the percentage of respondents
- 5:33that are actually getting their surveys back. On top of that,
- 5:36the ones that are returning them might be indicating things
- 5:39that are different from how they normally would because there
- 5:42are some people who might say, look, I've I've had
- 5:44to file for unemployment because the place that I work
- 5:48was destroyed by you know, uh, flooding in North Carolina,
- 5:52and so I'm on unemployment temporarily and I'm hoping to
- 5:55get my job back in a month or two. But
- 5:57like the these are the things that are going to
- 6:00make it really hard to determine, not just over again
- 6:02one month, because remember, you then have to deal with
- 6:06the resolution of these impacts going forward. So as an example,
- 6:09if someone says, hey, I'm you know, marking myself is
- 6:13temporarily unemployed, Well, when they get that job back, you know,
- 6:17because the place is fixed up and it reopens, they
- 6:20now say, okay, I and I know that this isn't
- 6:23they don't survey the same people over and over, but
- 6:25they still target you know, same geographic areas who are
- 6:28likely going through the same things. And so as such,
- 6:33you might have something where, look, the October jobs report,
- 6:37I don't know, like it could show anywhere from like
- 6:40two hundred thousand jobs created to two hundred thousand jobs lost,
- 6:42and I wouldn't be surprised, Like that's that's how wide
- 6:45I think the band is it?
- 6:45Speaker 1: This?
- 6:46Speaker 3: Yeah, we sometimes talk about those error bands because it
- 6:48is a sample. We will be testing the limits probably
- 6:51of those in the upcoming samples.
- 6:53Speaker 2: Yeah, but then in the subsequent months, in you know,
- 6:56November and December, you might end up with, hey, look there,
- 7:00you know, three hundred and fifty or four hundred thousand
- 7:02jobs created because a bunch of people who previously said
- 7:06they were unemployed are now saying that they're working, and
- 7:08that throws off all of this as well. It's something
- 7:12that you have to pay attention to, and so you
- 7:16might not have any meaningful signal from the jobs report
- 7:21for the rest of the year, like for the remainder
- 7:23of the fourth quarter. It could be something where you're
- 7:25just well, we don't know if this means anything, and
- 7:28we're gonna have to rely on other indicators for the
- 7:30next few months in order to figure out what's going on.
- 7:34I did make the point mark that one of the
- 7:37things that we will be getting this month that will,
- 7:39you know, give us a little bit more information than
- 7:41if this had been happening, you know, a month before
- 7:43or month after, is we're going right into the middle
- 7:47of earning season, and so we're gonna be hearing from
- 7:49companies directly about what they're seeing in the broader economy
- 7:53and how they're adjusting their earnings projections and things like that,
- 7:57and so I do think that can at least give
- 7:59us some clarity in the short term, not on the
- 8:01overall state of the economy. But remember with the market,
- 8:04the reason why we care about the economy is because
- 8:07it feeds into how stocks potentially perform in terms of
- 8:11the overall amount of economic growth. Well, if you're hearing
- 8:14right from the companies, it kind of cuts out the
- 8:16middle man a little bit. I know, they always try
- 8:17to sell you on whatever, but look, it still is
- 8:20something where because you're going to be getting this earnings
- 8:24data at the same time that we are lacking jobs.
- 8:27Data doesn't make up for it, but at least, you know,
- 8:30helps to cover some of that.
- 8:31Speaker 3: I think, yeah, there could be more attention paid to
- 8:35first hand accounts as a result of this, to clarify,
- 8:38to confirm or disconfirm some of the unusually noisy, so
- 8:41to speak, signals that we're getting from what we know
- 8:44will be highly in perfect surveys.
- 8:46Speaker 2: In terms of the potential damage to the West Florida
- 8:50coast and even look through you know, Inland, where they're
- 8:52expected to get twelve to eighteen inches of rain all
- 8:55along I four in that area. The projections that we
- 9:00are seeing, according to Jeffreys, is that you could see
- 9:05in the worst case scenarios, potentially one hundred and seventy
- 9:08five billion dollars in insurance losses and somewhere you know,
- 9:13conservatively in the fifty to seventy billion dollar range. So
- 9:17this is likely going to be one of the most
- 9:19expensive storms ever to go through that area, not through
- 9:24that area, through you know, anywhere in the United States.
- 9:27And as such, for a region that is already beset
- 9:32by the problem of hey, we've got insurance that are
- 9:35either pulling out of the area or jacking premiums through
- 9:38the roof in order to cover massive losses from the
- 9:41last several years. This is not going to make the
- 9:44problem any better for homeowners that are trying to figure
- 9:46out how they can get insurance throughout Florida in the southeast.
- 9:52Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean not my area, but sure, hard to
- 9:56argue with that. I'm thinking more about impact on to
- 10:00your earlier point statistics like GDP. We talked about unemployment,
- 10:03but no GDP per se, and there's no obvious immediate impact.
- 10:07Because GDP measures the flow of goods and services, it'll
- 10:11capture the response to that, it'll capture any immediate recovery
- 10:16efforts or decrease in production. Thank god, there's no Uh.
- 10:22It seems little crass to point it out because human
- 10:24lives are at stake. But it's not going to hit
- 10:26a manufacturing center or a major port, which could cause
- 10:30major supply disruptions and hit the economy with an inflationary
- 10:35and a production shocked at the same time. That would
- 10:38be bad news for our fight against inflation. But as
- 10:41as far as the impacts on the micro residential market, yes,
- 10:45it's hard to argue that there'll be anything but totally devastating.
- 10:49Speaker 2: Yeah, it's something where the short term impacts are probably
- 10:52pretty significantly negative. Longer term, you get all those relief
- 10:55funds that end up flowing through there eventually, but that's
- 10:58a process that can take years to fully play out.
- 11:01It does in terms of, you know, all of the
- 11:03rebuilding that you end up doing. Let's take a quick
- 11:06break here. When we come back, let's talk a little
- 11:10bit about the Google Ay, or Google as it's more
- 11:13commonly referred to, DOJ saying hey, here's what we think
- 11:17should happen as a result of you being found guilty
- 11:20of anti competitive practices. We'll cover that when we return.
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- 12:23Speaker 2: Mark is Google your search engine of choice?
- 12:26Speaker 3: Always?
- 12:26Speaker 2: Yes, Tucker, what about you?
- 12:28Speaker 5: Yeah?
- 12:28Speaker 1: Yeah?
- 12:29Speaker 2: Either of you ever use anything else?
- 12:31Speaker 4: No?
- 12:31Speaker 2: Try, try trying.
- 12:33Speaker 3: It's okay.
- 12:33Speaker 2: See you bing something?
- 12:35Speaker 4: I tried duck duck go just out of curiosity.
- 12:38Speaker 2: And if you're saying it in the past, did you
- 12:40did you? Did Mark Mark bing something? Or did he
- 12:44bong something? Binged bing bong binged binged? You can't bong something. No,
- 12:50that's different.
- 12:51Speaker 4: No, that's a very different.
- 12:52Speaker 5: Got it?
- 12:53Speaker 2: Anyways, Google, The DJ yesterday said a put fourth a
- 12:57filing basically outline the remedies that they are proposing for
- 13:02Google being found guilty of anti competitive practices, and I'll
- 13:06quote here from the Wall Street Journal. The filing said
- 13:08the government is considering a full range of tools to
- 13:10restore competition, including structural changes to Google's business that would
- 13:15prevent it from using products such as as Chrome Browser
- 13:18or Andrite operating system to advantage Google's engine search. Google
- 13:23responded in a blog post, of course they did it
- 13:25in a blog post that the Justice Department's initial proposal
- 13:28for reforming the search engine market is radical and sweeping.
- 13:31It could have negative, unintended consequences for American innovation in
- 13:34America's consumers. Let's talk about this just a little bit,
- 13:39because if there's one place where I think it's hard
- 13:41to make a case that Google is not a monopoly,
- 13:43it's in search, where they control just a huge amount
- 13:47of the market. And in such circumstances, you could actually
- 13:52make a case that radical and sweeping change is exactly
- 13:55what is needed in order to restore competition so that
- 13:58you can get the innovation that has kind of been
- 14:00lacking in search. I mean when we talk about search engines.
- 14:05The reason why Google is the most popular search engine,
- 14:09by the way, is because they actually competed and they won.
- 14:12Back in the early two thousands. They weren't the first
- 14:15company to do search. Y'all out there, you remember Alta
- 14:19Vista and likeos and ask Jeeves, and I mean even
- 14:23freaking Yahoo, which is still floating around as you know,
- 14:25just a shell of what it used to be. These
- 14:27were the big names in search in the nineties and
- 14:29early two thousands, and then Google said, no, we've got
- 14:32a better algorithm that helps you find the information that
- 14:35you want. And people chose it. It wasn't that they
- 14:38were forced upon it. That's what Googled it after in
- 14:40order to keep people there by paying Apple sixteen billion
- 14:44dollars a year to be the default search engine and
- 14:46stuff like that. But people chose Google. Like, let's not
- 14:49lose light of the fact that the reason why Google's
- 14:51in the place it is today is because people really
- 14:54liked it in the early two thousands.
- 14:56Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess the argument is they use the profits
- 14:58from that to secure an unfair advantage on certain platforms
- 15:02relative to competitors and thus became a monopoly, right, Isn't
- 15:07that is all?
- 15:08Speaker 2: And I think look at like, look at your experience
- 15:11with Google now, and how often do you, you know,
- 15:14put something into Google and you're like, this isn't giving
- 15:17me what I want? Like, these aren't the answers that
- 15:19I'm I'm looking for on this and are you being facetious?
- 15:23Speaker 3: Do you find that happens more frequently?
- 15:24Speaker 5: I do, I, oh, you are.
- 15:25Speaker 2: I find that I get all kinds of AI created
- 15:28crap that gets returned in like the top three search results.
- 15:31Now where in greated. It's not for important stuff, you know,
- 15:36it's it's for dumb stuff. I'm like, oh, what are
- 15:38the lyrics of this song mean? And I just get
- 15:40the top articles like a, I, well, this song is
- 15:44important because it's important. It's like, what the what the heck?
- 15:48Like this is just stupid.
- 15:49Speaker 3: So they've already been found to be a monopoly. Right,
- 15:51that's in the past. We're not going to be able
- 15:53to undo that question.
- 15:54Speaker 2: Know what the appeal process is on that?
- 15:56Speaker 6: I know.
- 15:56Speaker 3: I think that's a fund I think that is a
- 15:58finding of fact, and that is that responsibility resides with
- 16:02lower courts. I think higher courts will determine whether or
- 16:05not the remedy was too severe, Like if the judge
- 16:09in this case in charge says, break it up, sure,
- 16:12which is I guess the most severe thing you can do,
- 16:14which is what the government wants. Well, so that fixed
- 16:17the problem that you cited.
- 16:18Speaker 2: So I don't know, and it's like, it's tough to
- 16:22figure out. You think about why Google has the power
- 16:26that it does, and it's just it's so normalized. Is
- 16:29just what you do for search? I mean again, you
- 16:31say I'm going to google something. You don't say I'm
- 16:32going to search for something online. You literally say I'm
- 16:35going to google it.
- 16:36Speaker 3: I'm with you, but it's detractors. I don't agree with them.
- 16:39But this is the argument it was apparently successful back
- 16:41in August when they deemed it to be a monopoly.
- 16:43Is that they secured that advantage through unfair, anti competitive means,
- 16:48paying off Apple, paying off others to be the default.
- 16:51You and I probably would have chosen it anyway, at
- 16:52least I would have.
- 16:53Speaker 2: But that's the argument so here and again, I've suggested
- 16:57this before for Amazon, and I know that I'll say
- 17:00this and people be like, well, what does that even mean?
- 17:05I think it would be really really interesting to break
- 17:08up Google's search business based on geography.
- 17:12Speaker 3: Chuck, what does that even mean?
- 17:14Speaker 2: Thank you, Mark, I'm glad you asked hold on, let
- 17:17me google it. Here's what I mean by this. I'm
- 17:20not saying, Okay, if you want to google something about
- 17:23New England that you have to go to like the
- 17:24New England search engine. But what I am saying is, look,
- 17:27you know, Google knows where its revenue comes from and
- 17:31where its users come from. Break it up based on
- 17:35the geography of that, so that you have I don't know,
- 17:38eight to ten Googles, mini Google's baby Googles, just like
- 17:41the baby bells, you know back in the yay we
- 17:42do with Standard Oil and AT and T do that
- 17:45and then look, hey, you guys can compete to expand
- 17:47your territory and try to attract users from other places places,
- 17:51and we'll see who ends up being the best one,
- 17:54and you'll have how to improve your product.
- 17:55Speaker 6: To do so.
- 17:56Speaker 3: Unlike with AT and T and Standard Oil, you can't
- 17:58segment the customers by geography. So how would you prevent
- 18:01me from hitting.
- 18:02Speaker 2: I can, though, because I know where the revenue the
- 18:04revenue is.
- 18:04Speaker 3: Can you prevent me from No?
- 18:06Speaker 2: I can't prevent you from going somewhere else. But this
- 18:08is what I'm saying is, hey, one of those is
- 18:11going to then have to innovate in order to be
- 18:13the best one. Otherwise you'll just you know, keep using
- 18:16you know, whatever, whatever one you're using before and you know, okay,
- 18:21you've got ten Google, so it's Google New England Google,
- 18:24you know, Southeast Google and Midwest and so on and
- 18:27so forth. And those companies are going to have to
- 18:30compete each other against each other in order to build
- 18:33the best product to see who wins all that market share,
- 18:37and in doing so you also open it up to
- 18:40additional competition that's smaller that now is on the same
- 18:42scale as these smaller mini Googles, And I just think
- 18:47it would be interesting to see what happens there and
- 18:49how it plays out.
- 18:50Speaker 3: I guess the other remedy is if they don't go
- 18:53with a rather, it seems pretty Dracronian to me. The
- 18:56actual breakup is force them to share enough so that
- 18:59others can and compete. That's being contemplated as well.
- 19:02Speaker 2: Which if you're gonna do that, you might as well
- 19:03just turn them into a regulated utility. And it's like, okay,
- 19:06you know what are we doing here? Then then you're
- 19:09definitely not getting any innovation. That feels worse to me.
- 19:12Speaker 3: You know, I don't know, I would try yours because
- 19:17we don't know.
- 19:18Speaker 2: Yeah, look, the worst thing that happens is well everything,
- 19:21but I don't know. This is why I'm not a regulator.
- 19:25Speaker 3: But I think, Oh, they're winging it too, Chuck. Let's
- 19:27not pretend they have any go ahead.
- 19:29Speaker 2: It's true. Let's just get some more competition in the space.
- 19:31Quick break Wall Street Watch and ask Todd our next.
- 19:41Speaker 1: Like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter. Act
- 19:43TFE show. Breaking business news is always first right here
- 19:48on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. Time now for Wall
- 19:53Street Watch, a complete look and what's moving markets so
- 19:56far today right here on the Financial Exchange Radio.
- 19:59Speaker 4: Netw Following yesterday's winning day with a strong performance from
- 20:03the tech sector, Marcus today are trading modestly higher as
- 20:07investors look toward FED meeting minutes due out this afternoon
- 20:11at two o'clock. At the moment, Dow was up by
- 20:14about a quarter percent, or eighty four points. SMP five
- 20:17hundred is up by ten points, and the NAZAC up
- 20:20another quarter percent as well. Russell two thousand is up
- 20:23nearly a third of a percent. Ten year Treasurealed is
- 20:26flat at four point zero three percent, and crude oiled
- 20:30down again today another two and a half percent, trading
- 20:33just below seventy two dollars a barrel. Alphabet shares down
- 20:36one and a half percent after the Justice Department submitted
- 20:39a court filing yesterday that gave a federal court a
- 20:42range of options, including setting restrictions or ordering a breakup
- 20:45to Google to end what it called an unlawful monopoly
- 20:49in search. Meanwhile, shares and Boeing down by three percent
- 20:53after the planemaker withdrew a pay raise offer it had
- 20:57made to striking factory workers, saying the union demands far
- 21:01in excess of what can be accepted. Ratings firm SMP yesterday,
- 21:06es tomated the strikes could cause Boeing one billion dollars
- 21:10a month, and minor Rio Tinto agreed to buy Arcadium
- 21:14for six point seven billion dollars. The deal will make
- 21:17Rio one of the top producers of a key commodity
- 21:20used in batteries for electric vehicles. Rio shares down by
- 21:24one percent, while Arcadium stock is surging by thirty percent.
- 21:30I'm Tucker Silvan, that's Wall Street Watch.
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- 22:43Todd Lutsky one more time. It is eight eight eight
- 22:46to zero five two two six three. Mister Lotsky, How
- 22:50are you today?
- 22:51Speaker 5: I am never better? How how are you doing.
- 22:53Speaker 2: Uh, tough day yesterday.
- 22:55Speaker 5: Yeah, what happened?
- 22:55Speaker 2: Got fired from the pasta factory.
- 22:57Speaker 5: It's a pasta factory. Yeah.
- 22:59Speaker 2: Why why is that made a focilly mistakes of silly mistakes? Yeah,
- 23:04I get it. It was a tough day, but we're
- 23:07bouncing back. Todd. Let's talk a little bit about naming
- 23:11beneficiaries on iras specifically.
- 23:13Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a.
- 23:15Speaker 2: Niche topic, but I think there's some some meat in
- 23:18this niche here.
- 23:19Speaker 5: Oh yeah, a lot of meat.
- 23:21Speaker 2: Historically, the guidance that I've heard on I rays and
- 23:25naming beneficiaries has been name individuals as beneficiaries on irays,
- 23:31don't name trusts or estates. Does that fit with kind
- 23:34of what the historical pattern has been.
- 23:36Speaker 7: Yeah, And I think starting with the historical pattern makes
- 23:38a lot of sense because for a very very long time,
- 23:42you know, the primary beneficiary rule of thumb, and even
- 23:46today a lot the primary beneficiary rule of thumb is
- 23:51surviving spouse. Yep, that's what you would go with, you know, generally,
- 23:56and then over time, and it's been going on now
- 23:59for a while. File that that if you've done your
- 24:02estate plan and you still would name the surviving spouse
- 24:08the primary beneficiary, but your contingent beneficiary might be your
- 24:13family revocable trust. If you know, if you want to
- 24:18ensure that the assets ultimately flow through a trust, and
- 24:22when you would do that is is if you if
- 24:25your revocable trust has language in it that says I
- 24:29want to protect my children from future divorces and future creditors,
- 24:35and you know, maybe they're not great with money or
- 24:38whatever reason you're holding assets in the trust. Remember when
- 24:41I say assets in the trust, all of your other
- 24:43estate planning assets are in the trust.
- 24:45Speaker 5: Already, but not your era.
- 24:47Speaker 7: But let's say you have, you know, a million dollar IRA,
- 24:51Well you might not want to say, you know, And
- 24:54I've got my trust over here with another couple million
- 24:56in of assets protected from my kids.
- 24:59Speaker 5: I got a million dollar IRA not in there.
- 25:03Speaker 7: Maybe I don't want to list the kids as the
- 25:04contingent beneficiary because then it will what come out to
- 25:07them directly over ten years. I get it, that's the
- 25:11new rule. But the point is it's coming out to them,
- 25:16not protected, not sheltered from creditors, not you know. And
- 25:20so if you're saying, you know what, I really want
- 25:22to make sure that those assets find their way to
- 25:26the protection of the trust for the kids. Then the
- 25:29contingent beneficiary should be the trust. Okay, So that's been
- 25:33sort of the evolution, and that's for people who've done
- 25:36revocable trust planning, never mind irrevocable trust.
- 25:39Speaker 2: Talking with Todd Lutsky from the law firm of Cushing
- 25:41and Dolan. If you've got a question that you'd like
- 25:43to ask Todd during this segment here studio line is open.
- 25:48It eight eight eight to zero five two two six three.
- 25:52That number again is eight eight eight two zero five
- 25:56two two sixty three. In order to chat with mister
- 25:59Todd one more time, it's eight eight eight two zero
- 26:03five two two six three. Todd, is there anything that
- 26:06you can do in terms of beneficiaries or contingent beneficiaries
- 26:09on iras that impacts how they're viewed from a medicaid
- 26:13perspective where you're still kind of in a tough spot
- 26:16with that, and there's not much you can do well.
- 26:19It is a tough spot generally.
- 26:21Speaker 7: But now with the Secure Act two point zero that
- 26:24I believe came out in about twenty twenty two, seemingly
- 26:27getting to be long ago. But you can name the
- 26:34estate the beneficiary, but there's a lot of rules you
- 26:37got to follow. You would generally do it only if
- 26:40you're a married couple number one, and you'd kind of
- 26:43want to be seventy three to do it. And then
- 26:47by naming the estate the beneficiary, which is remember as
- 26:50you said, the iras are assets I cannot protect in
- 26:53advance from the nursing home generally, but if you qualify,
- 26:58you can name the estate the benefit fishery, and then
- 27:01you can protect these assets from nursing homes for the
- 27:06surviving spouse. And the real key is without a five
- 27:10year waiting period.
- 27:12Speaker 2: Huge talking with Todd Lutsky from the law firm of
- 27:14Cushing and Dolan. Again, if you've got a question for Todd,
- 27:17studio line is open at eight eight eight to zero
- 27:19five two two six three. Still have a little bit
- 27:22of open space there on those lines, So please, if
- 27:25you got a question for Todd, this is your chance
- 27:28to ask him that question again. Eight eight eight to
- 27:31zero five two two sixty three. We're gonna go to
- 27:34a quick break here, but it's right to your questions
- 27:36when we return. That number again is eight eight eight
- 27:40to zero five two two sixty three.
- 27:43Speaker 1: Ask Todd with Todd Lutsky every Wednesday at ten thirty
- 27:47only here on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. You're listening
- 27:53to Ask Todd with Todd Lutsky on the Financial Exchange
- 27:57Radio Network.
- 28:02Speaker 2: All right, Tod, we got callers lined up for you.
- 28:04Let's get to them with Paul in Sandwich kicking things off. Paul,
- 28:07you're on with Tom Lutsky.
- 28:09Speaker 8: Hey, good morning, how are you?
- 28:10Speaker 5: Good morning?
- 28:12Speaker 8: Can you help me understand if I set up in
- 28:15the irrevocable trust and the beneficiaries are my children who
- 28:21are who are married?
- 28:22Speaker 5: What you know?
- 28:25Speaker 8: God forbid that the marriages don't last, But in this
- 28:28day and age, a lot of marriages don't last. What
- 28:30rights do the spouses or ex spouses have.
- 28:35Speaker 7: So this is a great question because it applies, and
- 28:38I want to answer it for a lot of listeners.
- 28:40I'm going to expand the answer to include not only revocable,
- 28:43not only irrevocable trust, which is what you asked for, Paul,
- 28:47but revocable trust. So I don't care if you've done
- 28:50revocable trust planning or you've done irrevocable trust planning. You know,
- 28:54I always tell people, Yeah, you know, sheltering assets for
- 28:58state taxes and probate avoidance. All that is is important,
- 29:02but that's kind of the noise, right. The family behind
- 29:05the estate plan is really why we're doing this, and
- 29:08that is when you pass away, you can actually control
- 29:12the assets as to how they get to the beneficiaries,
- 29:15in this case protection from future divorces. And so you
- 29:20put language in the document that does that and basically,
- 29:23in a nutshell to answer your question is they will
- 29:26have no right to the assets when the divorce comes.
- 29:30So I'll just tell you how it works quickly. You
- 29:32put language in that says if it said I divide
- 29:35my assets equally to my kids and I give it
- 29:37to them, well, then you can imagine that five years later,
- 29:40after you're dead, when the divorce comes, whatever you gave
- 29:43your children is now going to be gone. There is
- 29:46going to be cut in half on a good day
- 29:48subject to that divorce. And it does happen by not
- 29:52giving it to them. And I'm going to sort of
- 29:53put the pen back here into the trust bucket and
- 29:56hold it. If you hold it in trust, you put
- 29:59language in there it says things like, you know your
- 30:02kids can be trustee, your kids can have the power
- 30:06to appoint a disinterested trustee, and even remove and replace
- 30:11the disinterested trustee. So no problem there. But language says
- 30:15that when distributions come out, the only job the disinterested
- 30:18trustee has is to authorize distributions to that kid or
- 30:22to that to that kid's kids, your grandkids. And so
- 30:27your child as general trustee is doing everything and the
- 30:30disinterested trustee is doing very little. But you know, every
- 30:34time the child says, you know, we're going on a
- 30:35family vacation, We're taking a family trip. We need a car,
- 30:39you know whatever, the disinterested trustee authorizes the distribution. Now,
- 30:44the child, five years after your dead gets a divorce
- 30:47and the surviving the soon to be ex spouse says,
- 30:51I want half of what's in that trust we've been
- 30:53taking money out of over the last five years. And
- 30:56your child says, that's a really great idea, But you
- 30:58got asked the disinterested trustee. Oh see how that works.
- 31:02It's protected, and it's not just protected because the disinterested
- 31:06trustee can say no. Think about it from an ownership perspective.
- 31:09From an ownership perspective, the individual your child never owned
- 31:14what's in that trust, So if they don't own it,
- 31:18it's really not a marital asset to begin with, so
- 31:21you simply tell the other side that it's not a
- 31:24marital asset, so you know, no, it's not available. So
- 31:28really provide some great protection and that can be in
- 31:31a revocable trust or an irrevocable trust, because remember, once
- 31:35you die, all trusts are irrevocable. Now, folks, speaking of that,
- 31:42that's one way to protect assets.
- 31:44Speaker 1: One of the.
- 31:44Speaker 7: Assets that's tough to protect is an IRA. And that's
- 31:47why we're doing a guide in this case to go
- 31:49to Paul's situation. By naming the trust the beneficiary of
- 31:53the IRA the trust at least then it would be
- 31:56protected from these future divorces that I just discuss. So
- 32:00naming the kid outright might not be the way to
- 32:03go for everyone. In addition, folks that specifically want to
- 32:08add nursing home protection to their estate planning and are married,
- 32:12and there's a lot of other restrictions. You can learn
- 32:15how to name your state the beneficiary of the IRA, which,
- 32:19as Chucker mentioned earlier, is very much outside the norm.
- 32:24It will avoid pro it will allow you to shelter
- 32:27assets for these iras from the state taxes. It will
- 32:30allow you to not have any adverse income taxes and
- 32:35without a five year waiting period can protect it from
- 32:38the nursing home. But you need a couple it with
- 32:40a testament of trust. Get the guide, folks, learn how
- 32:42to do it with your IRA eight six six eight
- 32:46four eight five six ninety nine or Legal Exchange Show
- 32:50dot com again eight six six eight four eight five
- 32:54six nine nine or Legal Exchange Show dot com.
- 32:57Speaker 2: Todd, I've got another caller for you here. Let's go
- 32:59to Jerry in the hunt. Jerry, what is your question
- 33:03for Todd?
- 33:04Speaker 6: My question is I own a lot of real estate
- 33:07and everything's in LLCs, so each individual warehouse or buildings
- 33:12I own are in LLC. So now I'm at fifty
- 33:15four years old, and now I get to get a trust,
- 33:18every revarokable trust, some type of trust, a team together
- 33:22that can put this together. Unfortunately, I'm either between ten
- 33:27million dollars in real estate or over on the assessed values,
- 33:31I could be up to tent sure. So I don't
- 33:34know how to number one tax defer it some of
- 33:38the situation that I have put everything in a trust
- 33:42because I'm at fifty.
- 33:43Speaker 9: Four years old now, and are you married sixty and.
- 33:45Speaker 6: Sixty years I'm married, I have five kids, So I
- 33:49really I've been listening to you guys for a while.
- 33:51I really think that you're the right choice. I just
- 33:54need a team of you know, tax lawyers and everybody
- 33:59else they can put this together. Well, I don't know
- 34:02nothing about it. I just know that I do real
- 34:04estate and I collect rent.
- 34:05Speaker 7: And that's I can tell you certainly that we have.
- 34:09You know, pick, you needed a lawyer of some of
- 34:13for sure, you need an estate planning attorney. With that
- 34:15kind of an estate and married in five kids, so
- 34:18who you pick up to you? But certainly one you
- 34:21need one. Two, Yes, an estate plan to help you shelter.
- 34:24And again, remember folks, the federal estate tax exemption is
- 34:27going to drop to about seven million in a year
- 34:29and a half or so, so you know ten million,
- 34:32you're looking at fifty percent estate tax on the amount
- 34:35over prefer federal and state. So there's a lot of
- 34:37money right there. I love, Jerry, the fact that you
- 34:39have iras. I'm sorry that you have LLC's in place
- 34:43for your real estate, right that is really a great,
- 34:46a great idea. But now you need to take the
- 34:49shares of the LLC and put them into probably a
- 34:52revocable trust, whether you can get away with a joint
- 34:55or not. Would really need to sit down and learn
- 34:57about the size of your estate, whether we need one
- 34:59trust too. So we'd take the LLC shares, put them
- 35:03in there. You would always be able to then, and
- 35:05we put your other assets in there, and I will
- 35:08look at your LLC's and see if there's a way
- 35:10to you know, you know, sort of fine tune how
- 35:13you own those a little bit. But yes, I think
- 35:15in a state plan is in order to get your
- 35:17shares in there, to get your other assets in there,
- 35:20and then structure it to reduce really eliminate your federalist
- 35:24attax completely and then significantly reduce your mass tax while
- 35:28also providing for your family and maybe even within a
- 35:31state this large, protecting those five kids from their future
- 35:34divorces and creditors, et cetera.
- 35:36Speaker 5: I would certainly want to do.
- 35:37Speaker 2: That, Todd. I've got one more for you. Let's go
- 35:40to Peter and Worcester. Peter, we've only got about a
- 35:41minute and a half, so we got to speed run
- 35:43this one a little bit. What's your question for Todd?
- 35:45Speaker 9: All right, Todd, thanks for thinking the call. Hey, listen,
- 35:47I set up trust about five years ago. I'm retired
- 35:51state and boie.
- 35:55Speaker 5: Is it an irrevocable trust.
- 35:57Speaker 9: It's a it's a revocable trug.
- 35:59Speaker 5: Go ahead.
- 36:00Speaker 9: My two daughters A twenty three and twenty six, and
- 36:03I'm looking at right now. Haven't looked at again. I
- 36:07have a four to fifty seven with the state that
- 36:09I started way back when in the eighties.
- 36:11Speaker 5: Yep.
- 36:11Speaker 9: There's probably about a million bucks in there. Yeah, and
- 36:14that's going through.
- 36:15Speaker 5: What's the question? Get right to the question. What's the question?
- 36:18Speaker 9: Okay, here's here's what I want to do. I was
- 36:21thinking about making my oldest daughter the trustee, and I
- 36:24don't know if that's a good idea.
- 36:26Speaker 5: Okay, well it can be when you you mean, when
- 36:30are you married.
- 36:31Speaker 9: I'm not divorced, So when you.
- 36:33Speaker 7: Pass away, I don't want the trustee to be your daughter. Now,
- 36:37you should be the trustee because it's a revocable trust.
- 36:40And and then you could you when you die, you
- 36:43certainly can have your daughter as trustee. That's not not
- 36:46a problem. Ever, if, on the other hand, based on
- 36:49as you get older, you want to do irrevocable trust planning,
- 36:52it's also not a problem to have your daughter as trustee.
- 36:55But you know you don't have to have a daughter
- 36:58as trustee, so you need to think about that. So
- 37:00if that's the question, no real problem there. Todd, thanks
- 37:03so much for joining us today. We appreciate it.
- 37:05Speaker 5: Thank you always a pleasure.
- 37:08Speaker 1: This has been asked Todd on the Financial Exchange Radio network.
- 37:11Ask Todd with Todd. Lutsky has been presented by Cushing
- 37:14and Dolan, serving Massachusetts and New England for more than
- 37:17thirty years, helping families with the state and tax planning,
- 37:20Medicaid planning, and probate law. Call eight hundred and three
- 37:22nine three four thousand and one or visit Cushingdolan dot com.
- 37:26The views expressed in this segment are solely those of
- 37:28Cushing and Dolan Armstrong advisor. He does not provide any
- 37:30legal or tax advice. Please consult with your legal or
- 37:33tax advisor on such matters. Cushing and Armstrong do not
- 37:35endorse each other and are not affiliated