Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Bitcoin Reaches $100,000!π Ethereum Next?π
Transcript
- 0:07Speaker 1: Bitcoin has done it. It has reached one hundred thousand,
- 0:10Speaker 1: probably one of the biggest psychological levels ever in investing history. Well,
- 0:15Speaker 1: today we're going to break it down for you. My
- 0:17Speaker 1: name is Paul Baron. Welcome back into tech Path. Let's
- 0:19Speaker 1: get started. I do want to remind everybody if you're
- 0:21Speaker 1: in our Diamond Circle, great, good for you. One thing
- 0:25Speaker 1: we are doing is we're doing a webinar called Mastering
- 0:28Speaker 1: Crypto Portfolio Management. Everbody's always asking me, how do you
- 0:31Speaker 1: manage your portfolio? Well, I'm going to do a live
- 0:33Speaker 1: webinar on this for our members. So if you're a
- 0:36Speaker 1: foundation member here on the Diamond Circle, you actually get
- 0:39Speaker 1: this for free. Otherwise you can register for it. So
- 0:41Speaker 1: just click over to the home site and you'll be
- 0:43Speaker 1: able to get into the live webinar. Just reserve your
- 0:46Speaker 1: seat right there. Check it out. All right, let's go
- 0:48Speaker 1: over to the topic right here Bitcoin. Here, of course
- 0:51Speaker 1: is watcher Guru just in. President elect Trump congratulates bitcoin
- 0:55Speaker 1: holders on the one hundred thousand dollars moment. I think
- 0:58Speaker 1: this is a big one, guys. This is a pretty
- 1:00Speaker 1: big day I think for crypto in general. I want
- 1:03Speaker 1: to go to a clip because this is one of
- 1:04Speaker 1: the reasons that this happened. And here is chair pal
- 1:08Speaker 1: take a.
- 1:08Speaker 2: Look dollar or in the federal reserve itself.
- 1:11Speaker 3: And so in terms of the system, what do you
- 1:13Speaker 3: think of that idea? I don't think that's how people
- 1:15Speaker 3: think about it. I mean, it's it's so, you know,
- 1:18Speaker 3: people use bitcoin as a speculative asset, right, It's like gold.
- 1:22Speaker 3: It's just like gold, only it's virtual. It's digital. People
- 1:25Speaker 3: are not using it as a form of payment or
- 1:28Speaker 3: as a store of value. It's highly volatile. It's not
- 1:31Speaker 3: a competitor for the dollar. It's really a competitor for gold.
- 1:33Speaker 3: You know. It's that's really how I think of.
- 1:36Speaker 1: It, all right. The shot, the shot heard round the world,
- 1:40Speaker 1: taking bitcoin to over one hundred thousand dollars, and of
- 1:43Speaker 1: course the gold bugs, including Peter Schiff not necessarily like
- 1:46Speaker 1: in this his statement it's ironic that bitcoin hit only
- 1:49Speaker 1: one hundred k after buying off politicians getting in bed
- 1:52Speaker 1: with the government. I mean, I understand this. It's meant
- 1:56Speaker 1: to be a problem for most of the gold holders
- 1:58Speaker 1: right now, but in reality, I think everybody wins together.
- 2:01Speaker 1: Gold's up, Bitcoin's up. Why is there I'm not upset
- 2:05Speaker 1: with that.
- 2:06Speaker 4: You look at this.
- 2:06Speaker 1: Kobeec of course is now saying that the prediction markets
- 2:10Speaker 1: are now seeing bitcoin rising to about one hundred and
- 2:12Speaker 1: twenty eight K by the end of the year, being
- 2:15Speaker 1: this month, and you look over the last month, prediction
- 2:18Speaker 1: markets had raised their bitcoin price target from seventy seven
- 2:21Speaker 1: to one twenty eight cording. This was on Calshi. Of course,
- 2:25Speaker 1: this is the kind of scenario that plays out. Let
- 2:27Speaker 1: me know in the comments down below, if you guys
- 2:29Speaker 1: think we're going to hit the one twenty eight by
- 2:31Speaker 1: end of year December, maybe Christmas time, we'll see a
- 2:34Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty eight thousand bitcoin. Just drop some
- 2:37Speaker 1: notes down there. Here's James Butterfill. He's talking about Bitcoin
- 2:40Speaker 1: is literally eating gold's market share currently ten percent. The
- 2:44Speaker 1: ETF inflows are at around thirty five billion for bitcoin,
- 2:47Speaker 1: so only twelve hundred and twenty two million one hundred
- 2:49Speaker 1: and twenty two million for gold. So definitely people are
- 2:53Speaker 1: looking at this from an ETF standpoint as where what
- 2:56Speaker 1: is the better asset to go into? And just remember
- 3:00Speaker 1: the bitcoin has had a long run here, okay, guys,
- 3:02Speaker 1: we are going back all the way down to sixteen
- 3:04Speaker 1: K and where it is today. There's been a lot
- 3:08Speaker 1: of you that have been buying along the way, and
- 3:10Speaker 1: it's great because it's up. The key here is watching
- 3:13Speaker 1: how this cycles into the next run. Remember these things
- 3:16Speaker 1: work in unison. You get a bitcoin run, typically we
- 3:20Speaker 1: see an ethereum run, you see an all coin season.
- 3:23Speaker 1: Sometimes we'll see a meme token season. There's going to
- 3:26Speaker 1: be some variations to that. But the key here is
- 3:28Speaker 1: how do investors move because this is a psychology at
- 3:32Speaker 1: the end of the day, that's all it is is
- 3:34Speaker 1: psychology of how investors the guy across the desk from
- 3:38Speaker 1: you is doing and making moves on it. Right now,
- 3:41Speaker 1: everybody's asking the question around bitcoin right here. I bit
- 3:45Speaker 1: also cross fifty billion in assets only two hundred and
- 3:47Speaker 1: twenty seven days on the market. This is insane to
- 3:49Speaker 1: me to see this kind of number, and it only
- 3:52Speaker 1: tells you that this is probably going to continue to climb. Now,
- 3:55Speaker 1: does this hit a cap and we start to see
- 3:57Speaker 1: bitcoin maybe retrace step back down to an eighty thousand
- 4:00Speaker 1: dollars in a bear market. That could possibly be the case,
- 4:04Speaker 1: but you have to remember where it came from in
- 4:06Speaker 1: its last bear market to where it will go in
- 4:08Speaker 1: its next bear market. So just give that some thoughts.
- 4:12Speaker 1: The other thing you got to look at right now
- 4:14Speaker 1: is the fact that the media has been pushing on
- 4:16Speaker 1: this for quite some time. In fact, if you look
- 4:18Speaker 1: at the narrative that has been around bitcoin since two
- 4:22Speaker 1: thousand and nine, it's always been negative, it's always been
- 4:26Speaker 1: upside down from reality. And the interesting thing is how
- 4:30Speaker 1: long they held it until now. I want to show
- 4:33Speaker 1: you a clip. Take a look. Is Joe Amato.
- 4:36Speaker 4: He's the president chief investment officer at Newberger Berman, which
- 4:39Speaker 4: has five hundred and nine billion dollars in assets under management.
- 4:42Speaker 3: And they're not all in bitcoin.
- 4:44Speaker 4: I don't think they are not. They are not, and
- 4:46Speaker 4: maybe they should be, given that it's up forty seven
- 4:49Speaker 4: percent since the election. I guess we missed it.
- 4:52Speaker 3: Why do you tell clients about bitcoin, Well, we tell them.
- 4:55Speaker 4: To be very careful. Look, I admitted I've been a
- 4:57Speaker 4: skeptic over the years because of some of the things
- 4:59Speaker 4: that you you just quote a pwell on in terms
- 5:01Speaker 4: of its story value. It's not a currency equivalent, right,
- 5:04Speaker 4: It's a speculative asset, and we say be very very careful.
- 5:08Speaker 4: But certainly it's getting the attention and we're getting lots
- 5:10Speaker 4: of questions about it. Forty percent since the election, but
- 5:14Speaker 4: sixty percent arr for fifteen years or ten to fifteen years.
- 5:18Speaker 4: So when you've missed it, we have missed that.
- 5:22Speaker 1: Yeah, Jesus, I love that that Wall Street has been
- 5:26Speaker 1: able to at least admit their failings and that they
- 5:28Speaker 1: completely missed it. Hopefully they'll be in this next cycle
- 5:32Speaker 1: to see what digital assets will do. And I think
- 5:34Speaker 1: that's the point right there, is that you're looking at
- 5:37Speaker 1: maybe a next evolution of where markets are going to
- 5:40Speaker 1: be managed from. And it's become kind of a thing
- 5:43Speaker 1: that everybody I think is getting in on. Heres standard charter.
- 5:45Speaker 1: They're talking about bitcoin will double to two hundred thousand
- 5:49Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. Guys, we're less than thirty days
- 5:52Speaker 1: away from twenty twenty five. I want to go over to,
- 5:55Speaker 1: of course, my favorite analyst out there, and that is
- 5:58Speaker 1: mister Tom Lee, and he's always it's so interesting his
- 6:01Speaker 1: mannerisms of how he kind of points these things out.
- 6:03Speaker 1: But he called it, so let's give him his due.
- 6:05Speaker 1: Take a look.
- 6:07Speaker 2: It's really telling us investors are pro risk. I do
- 6:11Speaker 2: think it also just signals how much capital has been
- 6:14Speaker 2: idle for the last couple of years, either parked in
- 6:16Speaker 2: money market cash or waiting to see if the economy survived.
- 6:21Speaker 2: So I think bitcoin rising is to me breaking out
- 6:24Speaker 2: of a holding pattern, is a precursor to what the
- 6:27Speaker 2: S and P is going to do the rest of
- 6:28Speaker 2: the year. Next week is CPI, which has been running
- 6:31Speaker 2: a little hot, and Fetcher Pal spoke about that earlier
- 6:35Speaker 2: this week, and then of course on the eighteenth is
- 6:38Speaker 2: the FMC rate decision. So I think once we're through
- 6:40Speaker 2: these events, investors can actually then invest into sort of
- 6:44Speaker 2: that Christmas Santa Claus rally. So I think sixty three
- 6:47Speaker 2: hundred is still very doable.
- 6:49Speaker 1: So you're basically saying don't go away after the eighteenth
- 6:52Speaker 1: because there may be some additional upside toward the end of.
- 6:54Speaker 2: The year, yes, or by the dips.
- 6:56Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, this is going to be a hot season,
- 7:00Speaker 1: so just be on the lookout for this. Tom Ly
- 7:03Speaker 1: has been on record multiple times calling the one hundred
- 7:06Speaker 1: k by end of year clearly that was hit. He's
- 7:10Speaker 1: also been on record that he's very bullish into twenty
- 7:13Speaker 1: twenty five. Now, where in twenty twenty five is the
- 7:16Speaker 1: real question mark? So that's still a big one. One
- 7:19Speaker 1: thing to watch is how the equities perform. If you
- 7:21Speaker 1: look at how micro Strategy has been able to do this,
- 7:24Speaker 1: they surged ten percent overnight. Obviously, we know what happens
- 7:28Speaker 1: overnight in crypto. This is a twenty four thirty, three
- 7:32Speaker 1: hundred and sixty five market year round all the time.
- 7:35Speaker 1: I think now many people are starting to understand why
- 7:38Speaker 1: and how you can leverage against that. You look at
- 7:40Speaker 1: this note right here from Kobec. This is interesting. Most
- 7:43Speaker 1: of the stock market's gains occurred in overnight trading. The
- 7:47Speaker 1: S and P five hundred return twenty six nine year
- 7:49Speaker 1: to date, with twenty three percent of those gains coming
- 7:52Speaker 1: outside of trading hours. Welcome to the game, guys, that's
- 7:55Speaker 1: how crypto works, so it's kind of interesting to see
- 7:58Speaker 1: how that mirrors across. I think we're going to get
- 8:00Speaker 1: to see in our lifetime twenty four to seven equities
- 8:05Speaker 1: trading without a doubt, and I think it's going to
- 8:07Speaker 1: be tokenized. So just be ready. This is just the
- 8:10Speaker 1: beginning of where all of this technology is going. Eighty
- 8:13Speaker 1: eight percent of crypto holders now feeling that they missed
- 8:16Speaker 1: out a little bit on major gains. This is coming
- 8:18Speaker 1: in from the Krack and survey. There's a few points
- 8:20Speaker 1: within this I want to hit on and then I
- 8:21Speaker 1: want to rest your laurels. Here survey says right now
- 8:26Speaker 1: they sentiment's driven by the bullmarket rally land by Bitcoin.
- 8:29Speaker 1: Everybody looking at the hundred k right now, but you
- 8:32Speaker 1: look at apart from Bitcoin. All cones also have followed
- 8:35Speaker 1: the suit, and most notably is XRP Soalana. Many people
- 8:39Speaker 1: have seen that. The survey also showed about eighty four
- 8:41Speaker 1: percent are still looking forward to future opportunities and crypto investments.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Let me know what you guys think. Are we finally
- 8:47Speaker 1: at the heat of the kind of gains that are
- 8:51Speaker 1: going to happen in these seasons because everything is timed
- 8:54Speaker 1: in correctly or it feels like it. Bitcoin's hitting its
- 8:57Speaker 1: all time high, another one, it's crossing the one hundred
- 9:00Speaker 1: thousand psychological mark. Ethereum is on the move, and we're
- 9:04Speaker 1: starting to see a massive fleet of all coins really
- 9:08Speaker 1: starting to move as well, including things like swee h bar.
- 9:11Speaker 1: I mean, will show you the list. It's crazy the
- 9:14Speaker 1: kind of numbers we're seeing. Here's ethereum all time high
- 9:18Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four. That's the question mark right now,
- 9:20Speaker 1: it says a thirty five percent chance. I think this
- 9:22Speaker 1: is undervalued right now of seeing all time highs now,
- 9:27Speaker 1: does it happen in twenty twenty four is the question mark.
- 9:29Speaker 1: People are still saying that eth is a little slow,
- 9:31Speaker 1: that would have to get to forty eight hundred, eh
- 9:33Speaker 1: trading it around thirty nine hundred right now? Does bitcoin
- 9:37Speaker 1: take this limelight away during December and ethereum kicks off
- 9:43Speaker 1: in January? That's the big question mark everybody's asking. If
- 9:46Speaker 1: you look at where eth inflows are coming, they have
- 9:49Speaker 1: surged over four thousand percent. This is in November, reaching
- 9:52Speaker 1: ondred one point four two billion. That's pretty big, guys.
- 9:56Speaker 1: This is a maybe the surge is starting to occur.
- 9:58Speaker 1: Price of ethereum surge around two twenty four hundred, remember
- 10:01Speaker 1: we saw that and thirty nine hundred over the past
- 10:04Speaker 1: thirty days. Nice move for a lot of people that
- 10:06Speaker 1: have been making it at one point three billion right there,
- 10:09Speaker 1: also moving into some of these inflows. So a lot
- 10:12Speaker 1: of fireworks definitely on play here. But here's a narrative
- 10:15Speaker 1: that's kind of interesting, and I want you to think
- 10:17Speaker 1: about this for a second. There's one hundred k Bitcoin.
- 10:20Speaker 1: That's the narrative everybody kind of is painting here, and
- 10:23Speaker 1: I would agree, yeah, that's that's kind of the core
- 10:26Speaker 1: of what's happening in the market right now. But Ethereum
- 10:28Speaker 1: ETFs have seen eight ras eight straight days of positive
- 10:31Speaker 1: inflows totally eight hundred mili plus and then several days
- 10:34Speaker 1: Eth inflows were greater than that of Bitcoin. So you've
- 10:38Speaker 1: got NFTs quietly starting to move. Ethereum is leading the
- 10:42Speaker 1: main chain two hundred and fifty nine million and thirty days,
- 10:44Speaker 1: and then crypto punks also leading the main collection sixty
- 10:48Speaker 1: three million and thirty day volumes. So now I know
- 10:51Speaker 1: a lot of that's quick and fast, But the point is,
- 10:53Speaker 1: is eth really the one that is moving right now
- 10:58Speaker 1: and in essence maybe drag the market along with it.
- 11:01Speaker 1: That's a question everybody's asking. And if you look at
- 11:04Speaker 1: the flow, let's go over to the Bitcoin tracker and
- 11:07Speaker 1: the ETH tracker. Let me click back and forth. Here's
- 11:09Speaker 1: the Bitcoin tracker right here on what's happening within the ETFs.
- 11:14Speaker 1: There's a thirty day If you go to the all
- 11:16Speaker 1: you see that big jump right there, and it jumps
- 11:18Speaker 1: right into sixty one billion in annual or excuse me,
- 11:22Speaker 1: assets under management pretty much flat until here where we
- 11:26Speaker 1: are right now fifty eight billion. Okay, then you go
- 11:29Speaker 1: look at where Ethereum has come from. Little different picture.
- 11:33Speaker 1: Look at this spike we're seeing right here just in November.
- 11:37Speaker 1: That's November where I have my mouse at right now,
- 11:39Speaker 1: that's setting at about six billion to where we are
- 11:42Speaker 1: right now at only eleven billion. So could we see
- 11:46Speaker 1: eight in comparison to bitcoin? Because remember market cap is
- 11:49Speaker 1: about what one quarter that of bitcoin, about four hundred
- 11:53Speaker 1: and fifty let's say five hundred billion to the two
- 11:55Speaker 1: trillion on bitcoin. Are we maybe in a position where
- 11:59Speaker 1: E could make that leap based on market cap, also
- 12:03Speaker 1: in alignment with what would happen with bitcoin as well.
- 12:06Speaker 1: But could eth be highly undervalued right now? That's what
- 12:09Speaker 1: everybody's asking, And I think everybody's watching this because the
- 12:12Speaker 1: thing that kicks off phase two is always Ethereum. So
- 12:17Speaker 1: there you are Bitcoin phase two or phase one, Ethereum
- 12:21Speaker 1: phase two outperforming Bitcoin, and here we have talks of flipping.
- 12:24Speaker 1: This is maybe where we are right now, guys. And
- 12:27Speaker 1: then you get into large caps, we know what that means.
- 12:29Speaker 1: You're going to see things like well, we've already seen
- 12:32Speaker 1: it to a certain extent. You're gonna think it seems
- 12:34Speaker 1: like Sweet is already moving, Avalanche, Cardano, Solana, all of
- 12:39Speaker 1: these could take massive moves up in a very interesting way.
- 12:42Speaker 1: And then of course all Season being number four right there.
- 12:45Speaker 1: All right, so we've been showing this chart. You guys
- 12:47Speaker 1: can kind of follow this along with this is the
- 12:49Speaker 1: all coin season. The index itself, remember this was back
- 12:52Speaker 1: in kind of the bluish green area sixty seventies. Over
- 12:56Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks it has spiked into almost
- 13:00Speaker 1: heeded all coin season in a very short period of time,
- 13:02Speaker 1: rating at number eighty six. And if you look at
- 13:04Speaker 1: some of the performers, and it's possible that eth is
- 13:07Speaker 1: kind of the precursor to this. I mean, you've got
- 13:10Speaker 1: h bar outperforming, XLM, Sui is in their Doge, XRP, etc.
- 13:15Speaker 1: I mean, we've seen Algoran, Cardano, v Chain, many of
- 13:19Speaker 1: these are older, remember some of those, And that I
- 13:22Speaker 1: think is very intriguing because it starts to move the
- 13:25Speaker 1: needle on where these all coins are going. I think
- 13:27Speaker 1: we're about ready to see a face melter in terms
- 13:30Speaker 1: of a lot of assets out there. The question is
- 13:32Speaker 1: which once and I know we're going to be doing
- 13:34Speaker 1: an all coins show for you guys coming up. We'll
- 13:36Speaker 1: definitely get that for you. If you're not in the
- 13:38Speaker 1: Diamond Circle, make sure and get in on that as well.
- 13:40Speaker 1: It's a great place to get additional content and of
- 13:43Speaker 1: course tag me out there on x at Paul Baron.
- 13:45Speaker 1: We'll catch you next time right here on tech Bath